Відео

I get the sense that both you and Brandon think COVID was a bigger inflection point in the current 4th turning than the 2016 election. I think Neil's identification of the 2016 election as a regeneracy in his latest book is a bit off base. The attempt to forge a COVID consensus fits the definition of a regeneracy much better, even though it appears to have largely failed.

I'm starting to get the feeling that you feel Neil Howe is taking for granted the eventual salvation of the future millennials will bring about because you seem to believe that Howe makes certain assumptions as to how millennials were brought up, and that Howe should do a deeper dive into millennial upbringing and arrive at a better conclusion. I could be wrong tho.

I don’t know why I didn’t get a notification for this but - long form! Heck yeah …

good ep

Great talk. Just saw his interview with Neil a month or so ago.

Why are you denying context? Millenials voted for trump until he failed to do his job, and then they caused his defeat. Millenials are only statistically more left by a margin made of entirely of minorities who increased in number at the same time because boomers invited in the world and sterilzed themselves after 1.5 children.

This is sooo good PZF… half way through but loving it; really appreciating Brandon’s clarity of thought, observations and rationalisations and exemplary delivery… am a big fan of you both TY 🙏

Young people don't want to go to the bank anymore than they want to go to a Blockbuster.

Evolution is bogus. Adaptation I can get behind. But my dude… there is no proof of this satanic theory

Good content gents!

Brandon appeara to be a dan of Peter Zeihan as well. Loved the talk. I learned of BTC and was sucked into it in months in '17 Found the The Fourth Turning 2 years later. I'm very much Left of center, still am. I don't see a conflict in this at all

Great talk Gentlemen!!

Holy shit 2 of my favorite subjects if you could have included whiskey and sex this would be the best video ever! Great job 45% through so far

The fourth turning and New order are just interchangeable terms for jewish supremacy

Do you know details from his car accident?

STEVE BANNON IS A LOWLIFE TRAITOR

Agreed...👍🏻 💯. But generational theory works looking backward.. when people aren't aware that their personalities are archetypal based on their age.. but if one has knowledge of this feature.. one may actively work to alter that... now scale that up by millions of people, corporations, etc. and we're in uncharted waters now because the very knowledge of the theory has become so widespread. It's almost like a generational double slit experiment is what im getting at.

It's all about who will buy more Mountain Dew and Doritos.

People can't handle power...it makes megalomaniacs of most.

It seems to me that, although it was rather irregular during medieval times, it's been turning rather like clockwork since 1700ish, transitioning into a new era every even decade. So, I'm confident that the 2020s will mark a transition out of the fourth turning. The 2030s will be more like the 1950s. But we'll see.

I think it'd be interesting for someone to do a deep-dive on us border mini-generations, the Xennials, Zennials, etc. I wonder if we have the potential to choose our generational role or maybe even role-shift. Neil Howe has mentioned somewhere that the big crisis creates a pretty hardline for when the Hero generation begins/ends based on who is old enough/capable of military service. However, I think for most generations there can be a bit of a fuzzy transition era between each generation in which people can fall more on one side or another based on geographic location (cities hit trends in culture and politics sooner than rural areas), and childhood experience/who their parents are (half of Millennials were raised by Boomers and half by Xers).

You got to love when someone is telling you to not listen to the historians. Always make you wonder what they want you to forget

Its been going downhill every since 2008 ,it will go down in history as the year that America died

The Electoral College is a fair and equitable system. The problem is that most (48) states have perverted that system by making their state electoral vote a winner-take-all contest. If electors were distributed as they originally were, presidential elections would mirror the composition of the House of Representatives.

democracy is how Nazis got elected, communism starts etc.

They are anti American academics who want to plunge the country into one party rule.

Sounds like more leftist ideology of how to destroy this one of a kind country - their comments and ideas would literally destroy this country. Huge thumbs down from Siskel and Ebert.

I don't give a rats ass about Democracy, I care about Our Constitutional Republic.

We are a Republic. We are not a democracy..... For professors of government at Harvard that's a pretty big mistake to make.....

Wrong. This is not a Democracy, it’s a Republic. Check the founding documents and there isn’t any mention about Democracy

As of now it sounds like you've soured on Strauss and Howe.

If we don't have trust in our institutions whaat do we got, their theory to serve people

Unfortunately Biden has succeded in sending the U.S. on a downward path to it's eventual crash.This is why we need to reelect Trump.

Heidi is great.

Exceptional song for expedient thoughts and deeds.

The van neistat video makes sense. he described the start of the regeneracy as "when people start to get pissed off and politically active, people begin to organize themselves into groups" Does that sound like 2016 to you? The FDR presidency cause similar polarization, and Neil howe agrees with this assessment. What you are actually referring to here is the consolidation. this is where those groups consolidate into one group in order to tackle a larger threat. warlord era China during the Japanese invasion is the best example. ua-cam.com/video/jgwLBPkKpBk/v-deo.html The regeneracy is ongoing, we are waiting for the consolidation phase.

Great video! However, I want to point out that the third millennium started in 2001, not 2000. Many people don’t realize this.

Neolib Media: "4th turning theory DOOMSDAY prophecy" Yes, its doomsday for the neo-liberal order, lets be honest, these political ideologies tend to last for about 2 turnings before there's a political realignment. your just going to have to wait until the 2060s thats assuming the IPAD kids want your ideology.

I a loving these long form videos and conversations.

the majority of the generations I see defined by Strauss and Howe, span 20-25 years, but why is it some of the generations like The Lost Generation (1883-1900) The Silent Generation (1925-1942) and Baby Boomers (1943-1960) span only 17 years? why 17 years specifically is their a reason for this?

Good interview. It's nice to finally see your face, Paul. I like your point about Strauss & Howe theory resonating most with Gen Xers, because they get the most 'ah-ha' moments. I've found that to be the case as well.

IIRC didn't the GI generation know their purpose in society in that they were the ones fighting in WW2 to ultimately end dictatorships in favour of democracy? What is the big purpose in society Millennials have this time around? As a nearly 40-year-old, climate change seems like something that will continue go on long after we are no longer living, and so restoration of nature on our planet will be a continuous thing every day, year, decade, and century. So I don't see climate change as the big thing we (Millennials) and we alone specifically must address.

Thank You Paul and your guest Patick. Great converstion and I enjoyed the longer more in depth format. As much as I like your Channel your videos always leaves me wanting more. Regarding Revenge of Geography and concepts of the Fourth Turning I think that Peter Zeihan concepts and particlularly his book The End Of The World Is Just The Beggining share a lot in theories. Thank you I do fall into the trap of fear and loathing regarding the comming election. I have a plan B, This year is when I get my Mexican Citizenship just incase things go south (no pun) in the US

Reading Thomas Sowell? You've exposed yourself as a pro-reality extremist.

You're the man that got Maggies Farm stuck in my head. I'm half way through this. America, UK and the EU have elections this year. The EU is more predicatble. There will be a nationalist trend in June. Dont be surpised if Ireland has a civil war. There's regular arson attacks on specific buildings. The UK going more nationalist will have a random effect. Either The Conversatives lose votes to a new more nationalist party, or lose votes to Labour for becomign more nationalist.

When will the three generations fill their age cohorts: Elderhood, Mid-life and Young Adulthood? That is the beginning of the Climax Phase of the Crisis Era. That is when Boomers become Prohpets, GenX become Nomads and Millennials become Heros.

Do you have a list of the books you mentioned somewhere? I listen while doing tasks and couldnt write them down. Good pod.

GenX does not fill their role until the Climax Phase begins. Boomers do not fill their role as Prophet until Climax phase. Also the three generations must align in age cohort and climax phase begins before Millennials become the Hero generation. Critique is premature if Climax phase has not begun

Greetings Paul .. Early Gen-Xer here. I definitely agree with Patrick that reading Strauss and Howe's analysis in “Generations” and “The Fourth Turning” gave me a lot of ah-hah moments. I think it's also a matter of Gen-X being a lot less visible in the media than the Boom or Millennial generations. Though my family was more stable than Patrick's, I can relate to the free-range kid experience as people would call it. I think I first heard of Strauss and Howe from one of their appearances on C-SPAN in the 1990s, and I've been re-reading and thinking about Generation Theory more since about 2020. I've been viewing your videos and subscribed to both Patrick and Heidi Briones's SubStacks. Thanks for highlighting them. I'd been wondering if anybody else was reading and thinking about Generation theory. I thought “The Fourth Turning is Here” was good (after binge reading it over New Years Eve day), and agree that Mr Howe does a pretty good job of presenting events and analysis with as little bias as possible. I appreciated his deeper dive into a framework for understanding Fourth Turnings, and more descriptions of the American Saeculums in general. I thought your comment about the book having a 1990s world view was interesting, and tracks with one of the only things that disappointed me about the book. It did seem a lot of material related to events that occurred in the last decade was sort of tacked on to a narrative that hadn't changed much since then. I follow a geopolitical analyst named Peter Zeihan. He doesn't specifically endorse Strauss and Howe but the demographic labels and descriptions he uses track pretty well with Generations theory so he's at least reaching the same conclusions if he's looking at the same data. (If you do watch his stuff on UA-cam I hope you aren't offended by his occasional Gen-X wisecracks about Millennials.) In comparing his predictions with Mr Howe's, I think Mr Howe leans too much toward thinking this cycle will be a repeat of the Great Power saeculum Fourth Turning even though the US doesn't really have peer opponents as we did during that period and the Global Order of the American High is unlikely to return soon per Mr Zeihan's analysis. That's a bit ironic in a book that often cautions against assuming recent history will repeat itself. My other disappointment, which could be a bit of an X-er sniping at a Boomer, is the (small h) heroic stature consistently given to the Boom Generation in the Fourth Turning across all of their works. We're deep into the Fourth Turning now and, while future events certainly could change attitudes, I really don't see evidence that the Boomers will “choose to retain their moral authority by arguing-uncharacteristically-to impose sacrifices on themselves and other older Americans for the sake of their community.” (The Fourth Turning Is Here, p. 344) If anything, to me the arrow points in the opposite direction where Boomer (and Silent) leaders are essentially pulling up the ladder and insisting that younger generations forgo the material abundance the Silents and Boomers enjoyed in the first three turnings of this saeculum in response to projected threats that I find to be pretty dubious. My personal prediction is that we're going to wind up in a period more like the Civil War Crisis-Gilded Age High(minus the war) where our national government delegitimizes itself due to corruption and ineffectiveness, and the institutions that come to the forefront are private enterprises (SpaceX vs NASA being an example) and non-government organizations.

I been interacting with her on twitter. Seems pretty cool. Making a fourth turning video soon. I mainly do PA News but got a documentary on my other channel that features the fourth turning. Its such a great topic. Here looking at a great 2024, for the worst and the best.