can you guys plz bring the video back, i don't understand why you took it away for the main but have it for the clips. it makes no sense. can you just explain it to us plz? thx!
Actually, she did say that Russia was "right over the border" but the nearest point is the Bering Strait. The closest distance between them is 55 miles. But she did make it sound like it was "right next door."
I don't mean to be rude, but you really think Trump would have picked a minority to be his VP? He used Vivek, Tim, and Byron as tokens, and tokens always get spent.
@@JKDC97 yes, I think he could have. Trump isn’t the racist that the media likes to portray him as. They never called him that before he decided to run in 2015.
I'm going to have to disagree, there's a lot of downside to JD Vance. He's really conservative on abortion and isn't that and election denial stuff where Republicans poll the worst?
I prefer Trump over Biden, and this pick is pretty disappointing. One thing that I like about Trump is that his instincts on social issues are fairly libertarian: he was once a Democrat, and he has little real interest in LGBT issues, further restricting abortion, banning porn like project 2025 suggests, etc. Vance though is very socially conservative, kind of a Christian nationalist, and this is not the direction I'd like to see the Republican party go. If in 2028 it's Vance vs Harris, then that'd be even worse options than Trump vs Biden, and I might very reluctantly prefer Harris there.
Biden will lose in November and Harris will go away. She is hated by the party elites and America writ large. Democrats will be starting fresh in 2028 but I expect Newsom, Whitmer, and Shapiro to talk for 4 years about how running Biden a second time was stupid.
His administration banned trans people from the military; I think that's more indicative of his second-term agenda than his supposed instincts or lack of real interest in LGBT issues. If he really does have libertarian-ish personal views, he's happy to set them aside for political gain and/or is easily swayed by his advisors.
Trump tries to act like a moderate but when he's running for office, definitely plays to the hardliners in the party, which is now his party. Vance has said that rape pregnancies are merely "inconveniences." And Trump has never done anything for the LGBTQ community or the black community but he likes to talk about how he's their "best friend." "Maybe better than Lincoln." So picking Vance is not out of line with his social views of the last decade. Maybe the Trump of 2000, when he briefly ran for the Libertarian nomination, he was more liberal and "very pro choice" but he isn't that person now.
I'm glad you mentioned the part about Vance being a successor. This is the part that terrifies me. Every cult needs a competent second before they solidify from an incoherent set of beliefs to a religion. Christ had Peter. Joseph Smith had Brigham Young. Caesar had Octavian. And now Trump has Vance.
Their model weeds out the extra noise surrounding the election. The fundamentals are still pretty good for Biden. This is going to be a close election. Don't believe people who say one or the other is winning a landslide.
I could have told you six months ago Vance would be his pick and I did in fact say it then. Its the worst pick he could make but it is also the easiest
Need the video back
can you guys plz bring the video back, i don't understand why you took it away for the main but have it for the clips. it makes no sense. can you just explain it to us plz? thx!
they want to be able to pick their noses
Wow, did 538 just descend to I can Russia from my house? I remember when it was about facts.
You guys at 538 are the best! I enjoy listening to all your material! Keep up the great work!
I can see Russia from my house was never said by Palin. It was an SNL skit
Actually, she did say that Russia was "right over the border" but the nearest point is the Bering Strait. The closest distance between them is 55 miles. But she did make it sound like it was "right next door."
is there a video feed on any platform? or is it purely audio now?
I think your upload is broken, there’s no video.
FDR was a VP candidate but he was not elected in that election. Teddy Roosevelt did get elected and was one of our youngest presidents.
"Trump now has support amongst most Republicans." I want my money back.
Vance is the Thiel and Musk candidate.
VIDEOOOOO
Bring back video!!!
As a Trump voter I’m very disappointed with this pick. VP should have gone to Tim Scott. This will backfire as bad or worse than Pence.
Trump is at his least appealing to Trump voters when he’s courting blacks.
@@Jorrr-tj6suyou live in a bubble where everyone on the other side is a imaginary two dimensional caricature.
I don't mean to be rude, but you really think Trump would have picked a minority to be his VP? He used Vivek, Tim, and Byron as tokens, and tokens always get spent.
you'll still vote for Trump, so he doesn't care / disagrees with you.
@@JKDC97 yes, I think he could have. Trump isn’t the racist that the media likes to portray him as. They never called him that before he decided to run in 2015.
2 podcasts, 0 video feeds, bad math
Vance: Trump's idea of life insurance. _Nobody_ wants Vance in the oval office.
I'm going to have to disagree, there's a lot of downside to JD Vance. He's really conservative on abortion and isn't that and election denial stuff where Republicans poll the worst?
I prefer Trump over Biden, and this pick is pretty disappointing. One thing that I like about Trump is that his instincts on social issues are fairly libertarian: he was once a Democrat, and he has little real interest in LGBT issues, further restricting abortion, banning porn like project 2025 suggests, etc. Vance though is very socially conservative, kind of a Christian nationalist, and this is not the direction I'd like to see the Republican party go. If in 2028 it's Vance vs Harris, then that'd be even worse options than Trump vs Biden, and I might very reluctantly prefer Harris there.
Biden will lose in November and Harris will go away. She is hated by the party elites and America writ large. Democrats will be starting fresh in 2028 but I expect Newsom, Whitmer, and Shapiro to talk for 4 years about how running Biden a second time was stupid.
His administration banned trans people from the military; I think that's more indicative of his second-term agenda than his supposed instincts or lack of real interest in LGBT issues.
If he really does have libertarian-ish personal views, he's happy to set them aside for political gain and/or is easily swayed by his advisors.
If Trump wins in November, you won't have to worry about elections in '28...
Trump tries to act like a moderate but when he's running for office, definitely plays to the hardliners in the party, which is now his party. Vance has said that rape pregnancies are merely "inconveniences." And Trump has never done anything for the LGBTQ community or the black community but he likes to talk about how he's their "best friend." "Maybe better than Lincoln." So picking Vance is not out of line with his social views of the last decade. Maybe the Trump of 2000, when he briefly ran for the Libertarian nomination, he was more liberal and "very pro choice" but he isn't that person now.
Trump runs a Christian fundamentalist platform. That's the engine behind his nationalist machine.
JD Vance does wear eyeliner. Scandal?
I'm glad you mentioned the part about Vance being a successor. This is the part that terrifies me.
Every cult needs a competent second before they solidify from an incoherent set of beliefs to a religion. Christ had Peter. Joseph Smith had Brigham Young. Caesar had Octavian. And now Trump has Vance.
Bad pick.
trump did not pick j d vance...project 2025 did.
This comment is stupid. Biden is the puppet to his political party, Trump is certainly not. Plus Trump has denounced Project 2025. Stupid comment.
more like Peter Thiel and Elon Musk.
Your model currently has Biden with a 53% chance of winning the election. 😂😂
Their model weeds out the extra noise surrounding the election. The fundamentals are still pretty good for Biden. This is going to be a close election. Don't believe people who say one or the other is winning a landslide.
It's probably much higher since America is not a democracy, and the candidate with most votes never wins.
Have you ever flipped a coin before buddy boo?
Trump is one hell of a drug!
More like a cult leader.
I hope they find some connection between Vance and Russia.
You’re joking, right? Please tell me this is sarcasm.
@@TrentSLucas Vance would have been Putin's pick. He already fought in congress to have Putin destroy Ukraine.
I could have told you six months ago Vance would be his pick and I did in fact say it then.
Its the worst pick he could make but it is also the easiest
He’s got a 145 tested IQ. I’m not sure how that ranks against past VPs but I’d imagine it’s pretty high
I find Vance really creepy... Also reminds me of John Ritter.
John Ritter the actor, why would he ve creepy?