US was in decline even if China had not developed as it did. China did not cause the decline. Rather the US was suffering a malaise of its own making. 👏👏👏👍
The biggest problem with all these narratives is that they talk about China as a rising power, in isolation. And they miss out on the big picture. The big picture is that Asia is rising. First there was the rise of Japan and Australia (yes too bad, Australia is also considered here). Then there was the rise of the Asian tigers, Hong Kong / Singapore / South Korea / Taiwan. Then there was the rise of China. And now there is the rise of India / Southeast Asia / Persian Gulf states. The discussion about the rise of China has to be centered around Asia, because China's influence and their challenge to the US power will be mostly confined to Asia. And at the same time, East / South / Southeast Asia will be challenging the dominance of the US, and possibly the West. The lessons of the past will not be relevant because we are in a truly multi-polar world. The only real precedents in western history are the 30 year war, where multiple nations of roughly equal powers were coming up against each other, rather than eras where 1-2 great powers reigned (Napoleonic France, British empire, Pax Americana).
@@sieteocho Sir/Madam/Ai Software: Please understand there there is no China rising. China has risen, to the highest it’s ever going to rise to in our time. And while yes, a spectacular rise by many metrics, one cannot ignore the many many mannnny examples of the metrics that have been falsified by China’s “Government”. The sad truth is that the CCP has squandered China’s rise. Absolutely squandered it. I suppose we shall see? Huh? 📉🌀
If you have good understanding of China's values, culture, history and philosophies, you will know that the theory of power satisfaction does not apply. Further, this set of theories are basically western world view, which is narrow minded.
China has never gone around colonizing and conquering other countries or peoples even when it was at its most powerful. Instead, it has traded with them. When you make stuff people want (silk, porcelain, teas, etc) you can just sell that to get the stuff you want. This was true even during China's great age of exploration, during the 1400s when it sailed huge fleets across the Indian Ocean to Africa numerous times. It never took an acre of land. It simply traded with the African peoples.
@@mikestewart4752 All these places you mentioned are Chinese territories, and thieves stole them! The problem with India is that India thinks they can inherit the areas arbitrarily demarcated by the former colonizers; the problem with the Philippines is even more ridiculous. The country of the Philippines and its name were created by the colonizers, and China owned these places long before the Philippines was born.
@@mikestewart4752 whenever people asking these questions it is obvious they have not done any homework but being completely brainwashed by the west and the media. If you study China's history you would completely understand China and support China's side, because in old history these land & sea coast belonged to China. It was only because of west colonization of India and Philippines that they were falsely claimed by the west, in other words they stole them from China. In regards of Tibet, Tibetans took over China for hundreds of years, and was always united as one China.
During the Qing dynasty, they made the biggest mistake of not building up its military mights. That's why those Imperial Colonial pirates have taken the opportunity to push opium and used it military to try to break up China, after the opium war, China has to lease Hong Kong and Macau for 99 years. China deem it as century of humiliation. Built more weapons to deter these Imperial Colonial pirates. So, Taiwan province is the important for China to reunification peacefully.
One point to make it clear: China ceded Hong Kong island to the pirate colonialist in perpetuity in an unequal treaty during the opium war. The new territories on the north of HK island was leased for 99 years. When the lease was up, Margaret Thatcher asked for a further extension which Deng Xiaoping firmly rejected. So started a process of returning both parts of HK to China because without the New Territories the Brits colonialist realised that just HK island itself is not viable.
The reality is not just China that's challenging the American hegemony, it's also the Middle East and the whole entire South that's fed up with its leadership. You think the Middle East is just a reaction against Israel? It's a whole reaction against what the West has done and continue to do in the region. We are witnessing the end of the leadership of the West in the world after 5 hundred years. Now it wants to keep it, then it has to bomb and colonize those countries again but it will destroy the world order it created after the WW2. Why would the West think the world should remain like this is crazy.
As a Chinese, it seems like we are okay to stay under the current world order, as long as USA doesn’t push us too much(which they already did) and containment military encirclement etc. Because we THRIVE in the current world order, we out-compete everybody else without a fight, we are smart, hardworking and have long term panning and very efficient at executing. We don’t need a war to go to the Top. But Taiwan is another issue, it’s not about changing current world order, it’s about national sovereignty, but the action of taking back Taiwan by force might trigger a change of World Order
Taiwan is an issue about changing the current world order. Strategically, it is the most important link in the first island chain. If and when China takes over Taiwan, the military power balance will shift towards China. Therefore China's conquest of Taiwan is about its military dominance in Asia. Japan was able to conquer southeast Asia because they already had Taiwan. What China wants is a repeat of the 1940s. Instead of the imperial Japanese, we have the Chinese.
a PLA high rank officer once said, 'take Taiwan by force is the easiest way to reunite. we will win the island easily, but not their heart.' maybe that's why until now china hasn't attack yet
As a South Asian, I used to love American supremacy and western liberalism because I thought it came with a lot of freedoms, like free press etc. But the JennySide in Gaza has completely blown me out of my dream state or hypnosis. All of that was just smart manipulation by a group of elite capitalist. Even the ordinary American is in some kind of bondage where they can't escape. The elite class manipulates you, gas lights you and steals from you. Its like being in a relationship with a psychopath that constantly lies and steals from you and physically harms you and makes you think its your own fault.
After colonizing your continent, do you think the elite here in Europe have changed that much? Why do you think France is being expelled from Africa, and as for America, don't tell me you didn't know it carried out coups d'état, color revolutions and invasions? or who has been arming radical Islamic and neo-Nazi groups? What do you think Necon Victoria Mulan did in Ukraine during the 2014 coup d'état? drink tea? This thing about us being the good guys and the others being the bad guys, I'm sorry to say, is fantasy, reality is more complex than that.
At the point of the presentation where the good professor explains that usually it is the dominant power who is satisfied with the current hierarchy of power and it is also usually the dissatisfied rising power that causes instability or even war, I think the current situation is not so. It is quite obvious the current instability is not due to China demanding a huge change to the current globalization situation. Rather the current instability comes from the current dominant power’s sense of insecurity of it top position and its agitations from that insecurity. Hence it is not the dominate power that is satisfied of the current situation. The dominant power’s insecurity is the real source of instability. The world must convince the dominant power that its own insecurity and agitation will cause more harm and it is self inflicted.
I would argue that the hegemon is profiting from creating chaos or wars and its not in its interest to uphold moral values or support international institutions that were themselves setup by the hegemon. This professor is unable to recognize reality 1.0 , so that's the main issue when dealing with scholars from the hegemon side
When he mentioned Australia was anxious with China's rise, we knew he was reading script from the state department. Anybody with a bit knowledge of the world map knows Australia is so far down under😂
I stopped as soon as he mentioned that the rise of China has implications for regional countries such as Philippines and Vietnam because I know he is up to no good. By mentioning only the two countries having disputes with China, he is disguising all the beneficial aspects of China’s rise with neighboring countries particularly in economic development.
Vietnam and Philippines aren't the one that want to beat off China, it's USA behind of them. That's the source of disputes. Vietnam has benefited from China a lot and a lot, since fighting for their freedom against the French.
@@fargr5926It is because China is encroaching with other countries EXCLUSIVE Economic Zone or EEZ and their claim is baseless. What do you think is behind this? Surely, not because of the US but because they have greater ambitions just like their BRI. Don't you ever think that China is benevolent.
China has publicly said over and over again that it will not use nuclear weapons first. Which country has used nuclear bombs unnecessarily in the past?
Don't forget the unnecessary nuclear experiment on 10000 innocent islanders of a Pacific Island used as guinea pigs in the 1950s. I don't understand how the nuclear experiment can help US survive a nuclear war
@@TacticalMayoWhy this doesn’t matter? The US was the first country to use nuclear weapons on another country and it has refused to denounce its “first nuclear strike policy.”
@@wong3150 because this is the classic case of Thucydide's trap in its purest form. Out of the 16 times that this has happened 12 of those times have ended in brutal confrontation. The sad reality is that it will be exactly the same thing this time but on a global scale because the US is not an empire it's a global hyper power hegemon. This is going to be how all things will come to a close....
As an African man i would choose China over US 10/10 because I believe under Chinese hegemony peace would prevail, and i hope the developing would rallies behind China as long as they don’t preach and be fair.
Frankly, I have learnt very little from this talk. Actually I found it uninspiring and poorly delivered. The speaker is slow in making his principal arguments which remain rather vague to me He is topical of those Western political scientists who focus on theories but fail to shed light on the realities on the ground. There is nothing about China and the US here that I didn't already know.
I applaud Carlton University for offering Mandarin classes. Direct intellectual contacts is the best way to achieve understanding. America has already shown signs of decline, when it abandoned its liberal capitalist principles to sanction Huawei and other Chinese businesses, created legislation purely to restrict particular business entities. Then its government ran out of cash and has to operate depending on huge debts sponsored by foreign governments.
Which Country of more speaking ENGLISH: USA or China ??? China have an est. 980 Millions English speaker. Why: because of Queen Victoria of UK in 1850's, Commerce Worldwide are done in English & Arabic Numbers
Chinas military budget % of gdp, has not increased intentionally, it is there gdp that has grown. They have a very modest military budget of 1.7 percent, less than required of nato countries (2%) and half of what US spends 3.4%. Their purchasing power is also significantly better being that everything is made in china and have invested so much in optimizing manufacturing (automated cruise missile factories capable of making 1000 a day).
You underestimate the 1.4 billion industrial countries. They have the heavy industry of the Soviet Union and the light industry of the United States. There has never been a 1.4 billion industrial country in human history. They have solved the energy problem and they can fight the whole world.
@@arminius6506 China's unmanned system is very developed, and there are tens of millions of robots in civilian drones. The United States can't measure the current war form with its weapons of war during World War II. Now there are too many aircraft carriers that can be attacked. China's missile technology is very powerful. They have space stations and aerospace technology, which requires strong missile technology.
@@LunarGlow92 You mean, one must lead and one must be US lap dog. Look at EU and Japan. Henry Kissinger Quote: “To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal.”
In June 2024, 1400000000 of the People's Republic of CHINA stand firm with the coast guards and the Liberation Army of CHINA defend the South China Sea against foreign troublemakers according to the laws of the country and the will of the people.
The Monroe Doctrine is a United States foreign policy position that opposed European & Asian colonialism in the Western Hemisphere. It held that any intervention in the political affairs of the Americas by foreign powers was a potentially hostile act against the U.S. The doctrine was central to U.S. foreign policy for much of the 19th and early 20th and now 21st centuries. One example of the doctrine was the Cuban Crisis of 1962, almost started WWIII
@@mikestewart4752no where near close to that of the us, China controls most of south america, central america, africa, Us has lost its power influence in most of the world while china is buying the complete electricity and water or infrastructure from 3rd world countries, controling them in some sort of way
@@mikestewart4752 Collapse is what I would describe for all the cities in America like SF, NY, LA etc... U.S. is imploding it. I know you feel bad, and you feel the need to bad mouth China, but think before you talk. China has a surplus of trillion dollars per year, while the U.S. have a trillon dollars in debt every 3 months.
I stopped watching after 3mins when he said Australia is nervous over a rising China. For the past 20yrs, China has been overtaking the G7 members one by one but the US didn't behave like today.
PRC is not hawkish, warmonger, aggressive and bully but intend to accumulate enormous wealth diving in international trade which worldwide people like and China would like to avoid war in any cost.
@@tijo2524 Look at China today, has China invaded anywhere outside of its border in its over 5000 years of history. Oh, yes, there is Genghis Khan, who actually came from Mongolia. Please understand culture first.
FYI, there is an academic subject called “history”, and it is much longer than 240 years. For the vast minority of human history, China has always been THE most powerful country on the planet. It’s not China’s rise that you need to study, it’s China’s rejuvenation.
The United State's government and business / financial / media sectors are doing injustice to China, by presenting it as vile, which it is not. China invests heavily in its economy for the benefit of its citizens' quality of life. China is not a war mongering country, it has increasingly relied on economic influence, diplomacy, and practically did not start any war in the recent many decades (with the only possible exception re: its 1979 war with Vietnam. Each of the 2 countries has claimed that the other had started that war). Chinese men retire at age 60 and women at age 55. Yes ! It has a super broad / extensive and convenient high speed trains network and the country's industrial and technological sectors are overall very modern and advanced. And transportation, groceries and eating out there are significantly less expensive than in the U.S. ... I recommend that you watch some UA-cam videos that show the situation in China, you will be totally amazed. As opposed to what Americans are constantly told by their government, the Chinese government is doing the right thing: Planning its economy with the goal of improving the quality of the lives of its citizens, not letting some few Capitalists promote the initiatives that are in their own interests (will enrich them personally), rather than those of the general population. The U.S. government has A LOT to learn from the Chinese one, about how to manage a country successfully for the well being and quality of life of its people. Many Americans suffer a lot financially under Capitalism. They simply don't understand that Capitalism is what they should channel their frustrations at, rather than at one another, or at China or Russia. Under Capitalism financial crises are created every certain number of years, it's not a stable economic system. The Capitalism approach that is supposed to bring a trickle down economy, has been proven again and again not to be working. As long as so many Americans continue to vote for the two mainstream political parties (Republican and Democratic), both which are aligned with the extreme implementation of Capitalism in the United States, the country will continue to endure financial hardship caused by inflation and other adverse outcomes of Capitalism, such as huge inequality. The U.S. government (and many of its people) thinks it still manages / controls the world. It no longer does ... It's time for implementing Socialism in North America, similar to the one with Chinese characteristics that's implemented in China.
China isn't trying to be number one. China is more interested in developing its economy, and forming trade networks around the world. Chinese history has never been about annexing other countries, and taking all their resources. China had a tributary system, it is kind of like trade relations with other countries.
A guy named China went for a health screening and was deeply dissatisfied with some of his health indicators, so he decided to do what was necessary to make sure that he could go back to be in the pink of health. He started a very disciplined regime of dieting and exercises. As a result, some aspects of his life was badly affected. He had to give up drinking, partying, he had to watch what he ate, he had to exercise rigorously. A guy name US went for a health screening and found that he was extremely obese, he had diabetes, high blood pressure, extremely high artery blockage, extremely high cancel markers. But the doctor said to him, "Don't worry, I will give you strong painkiller to ensure that you do not feel any discomfort to disrupt your daily life. You can just live your life as per normal. If you should ever feel any discomfort after taking the painkiller, I will increase the dosage until the discomfort disappears." And so the cool guy US has continued to party and to be engaged in all sorts of wild orgy. What a cool guy indeed.
as a chinese living educated and teaching in the uk,.i say thus is typical, eurocentric thinking, vocabulary in him is power struggle war, which is in opposot r direction to china, china s are development win win common destiny peace coexistence.
This speech is way out of date. China's Economy has been the world's 2nd largest since 2011 or so when it became bigger tjan that of Japan. They just tested their 3rd aircraft carrier twice in May and June this year.
Western countries main problem is believed in capitalism. If capitalism exists democracy doesn't work properly. Because all parties are working as capitalist society says.....as for example India is multi party democracy. All parties are as capitalist lobby...
An American led neo-liberalism is imploding into a unipolar black hole of it's own making ie; extreme individualism and insecurity. In contrast, a China led neo-socialism is expanding into a more secure multipolar world of partnerships, with BRICS proving to be a more reliable and attractive trading partner, especially throughout the developing world.
We create our reality through our thoughts, feelings, emotions, expectations and beliefs. If like attracts likes, then, if we imagine a peaceful world and start living peacefully with our neighbours, then, our world will be peaceful.
You shouldn't compare Shanghai with New York. You should compare small villages and towns in Mississipi and Alaska with villages in Tibet and Xinjiang.
If the US is in Decline, how come its GDP has gone from 2.3 trillion USD in 1950 to 23.2 trillion USD in 2023? Rather, it is in with drawl on its terms from Globalization. And China is completely dependent on the Globalization the US created and has protected for its rise.
Appeasement to China is the safest and most sensible course of action. China has proven to be a most peaceful world power. It has fought no wars since 1979 (Vietnam). That's over 45 years ago! Remind us how many wars the USA has fought since 1979. China has vowed not to use nuclear weapons in a first strike. The USA is the only nation to have used nuclear weapons in wartime. What guarantee do we have that it won't use nuclear weapons against China? China's military build-up is common sense. It has to be worried about what the USA might do. Maybe start a proxy war like in Ukraine? Maybe create another Gulf of Tonkin incident? China is encircled by US military bases in Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, Australia, etc. The US Navy is operating in the South China Sea. The USA formed the AUKUS pact against China. The USA has 1,770 deployed nuclear weapons out of 5,044. China has 24 deployed nuclear weapons out of 500. [Source: SIPRI.] The imbalance is very concerning. The USA may get the idea that it can win a nuclear war. China wants peace. China wants international trade and commerce. What does the USA want?
Inferior is inferior.....Carleton University ranks 651-700 in QS World University Ranking in 2024, and 526 in Global Universities! Is the speaker of this session an alumni??🤠 Ignorance has a price!
Leave it to the warmongering Caucasians to see everything as zero sum game. Believe it or not, business is about win win which is what the Chinese are really good at. Talk to any entrepreneur if any business can be sustained when it only takes but never gives.
@user-og6zk8qm6bnaive of you to think that business success does not translate to power. I bet you only think military is power which only reinforces my original post
@user-og6zk8qm6bthe ultimate victory is to win without firing a single shot which is what China is doing. The sanctions, the tariffs, the media smear fail to slow or contain that country to the point of US had to hide from Chinese EV instead of competing. Tell me, who do you prefer to run the world? The country that manufacturers the most weapons or the ones making the best EV?
There is no doubt , China is rising , rising upward or downward , My contribution is an analysis if war is inevitable , great devastation can be rsulted as it reach with the use of weapon in advance it is a fact resulted in Russia and Ukraine this years fast, unless there is a much strong mediator to resolve this conflict, war can be avoided.
If the people of North America learned to speak chineese in the next 55 years,just like the efforts tiawan and china have done to learn English,where would it lead.More trade for us all 8f the big shippers would open up and let it flow some more!Also let s9me airline open up real cheap flights.kind of like Ryan Air in Europe. MIght be a lot more 8nteresting than trying to lihe up humanity to more fighting for nothing.
Why are Europeans, including those in the diaspora so preoccupied with imperial colonial wars?😢 lecturer was spewing propaganda hatred throughout his presentation - only surprised at how far ahead Shangai is when he last visited😂
This professor's lecture makes people think that US team must have done or is going to do something extraordinary to all the closer competitors in the Olympic game. Or maybe the bottom 99% of poor people in the US have been too nice to the top 1% elite dominating group.
It's not propaganda he states the facts. Choose as you wish as to what you believe. The US mainstream Media won't do this, just talk about narratives to get you to think in a certain way, essentially brainwashing of the masses..
When I was in Carleton for policies, I was in a class for intro of democracy. My prof is that super pale lady, dark hair I forgor her hair colour, she was shocked by my interest in communism. I think she is from Romania. Of course her people is treated like shyt. Romania supported German invasion
US was in decline even if China had not developed as it did. China did not cause the decline. Rather the US was suffering a malaise of its own making. 👏👏👏👍
I hope you like fallout 4 ☢️
@@TacticalMayoDollar Army ⁉️
🪖🪖🪖
Sample: Rome in it's later years...
@@chriswong9158 Rome didn't have nukes.
@@TacticalMayo Yes, the US would rather destroy all life as its last desperate throw of the dice. That's the mindset of Americans. 🤣🤣🤣
China did all these without firing a single shot.
Basically they followed The Art of War !
And all while consuming virgin-boy eggs by the millions! Truely…. Umm… impressive! 🤮
The biggest problem with all these narratives is that they talk about China as a rising power, in isolation. And they miss out on the big picture. The big picture is that Asia is rising. First there was the rise of Japan and Australia (yes too bad, Australia is also considered here). Then there was the rise of the Asian tigers, Hong Kong / Singapore / South Korea / Taiwan. Then there was the rise of China. And now there is the rise of India / Southeast Asia / Persian Gulf states.
The discussion about the rise of China has to be centered around Asia, because China's influence and their challenge to the US power will be mostly confined to Asia. And at the same time, East / South / Southeast Asia will be challenging the dominance of the US, and possibly the West.
The lessons of the past will not be relevant because we are in a truly multi-polar world. The only real precedents in western history are the 30 year war, where multiple nations of roughly equal powers were coming up against each other, rather than eras where 1-2 great powers reigned (Napoleonic France, British empire, Pax Americana).
@@sieteocho Sir/Madam/Ai Software: Please understand there there is no China rising. China has risen, to the highest it’s ever going to rise to in our time. And while yes, a spectacular rise by many metrics, one cannot ignore the many many mannnny examples of the metrics that have been falsified by China’s “Government”.
The sad truth is that the CCP has squandered China’s rise. Absolutely squandered it.
I suppose we shall see? Huh? 📉🌀
Because the US has been making trade and other economic concessions to China for decades now. This process has now reached its limit.
We are tired of US, from Africa
Likewise from SEA.
From everywhere
amen
same from latin america
If you have good understanding of China's values, culture, history and philosophies, you will know that the theory of power satisfaction does not apply.
Further, this set of theories are basically western world view, which is narrow minded.
Agree so much!
Agree.
Couldn't agree more 🎯
Lool😂
Touché!
China has never gone around colonizing and conquering other countries or peoples even when it was at its most powerful. Instead, it has traded with them. When you make stuff people want (silk, porcelain, teas, etc) you can just sell that to get the stuff you want.
This was true even during China's great age of exploration, during the 1400s when it sailed huge fleets across the Indian Ocean to Africa numerous times. It never took an acre of land. It simply traded with the African peoples.
What about the mountainous border region with India? What about Tibet? What about the West Philippine Sea??? Get your facts straight. China: 📉🌀💀
@@mikestewart4752What about it? Saids who it does not belong to China except for those who wants to steal from it?
@@clearheaded5696 Try again, your statement is a touch ambiguous.
@@mikestewart4752 All these places you mentioned are Chinese territories, and thieves stole them! The problem with India is that India thinks they can inherit the areas arbitrarily demarcated by the former colonizers; the problem with the Philippines is even more ridiculous. The country of the Philippines and its name were created by the colonizers, and China owned these places long before the Philippines was born.
@@mikestewart4752 whenever people asking these questions it is obvious they have not done any homework but being completely brainwashed by the west and the media. If you study China's history you would completely understand China and support China's side, because in old history these land & sea coast belonged to China. It was only because of west colonization of India and Philippines that they were falsely claimed by the west, in other words they stole them from China. In regards of Tibet, Tibetans took over China for hundreds of years, and was always united as one China.
During the Qing dynasty, they made the biggest mistake of not building up its military mights. That's why those Imperial Colonial pirates have taken the opportunity to push opium and used it military to try to break up China, after the opium war, China has to lease Hong Kong and Macau for 99 years. China deem it as century of humiliation. Built more weapons to deter these Imperial Colonial pirates.
So, Taiwan province is the important for China to reunification peacefully.
ua-cam.com/video/zzXOm0vY_bs/v-deo.htmlfeature=shared
One point to make it clear: China ceded Hong Kong island to the pirate colonialist in perpetuity in an unequal treaty during the opium war. The new territories on the north of HK island was leased for 99 years. When the lease was up, Margaret Thatcher asked for a further extension which Deng Xiaoping firmly rejected. So started a process of returning both parts of HK to China because without the New Territories the Brits colonialist realised that just HK island itself is not viable.
wumao ideology
The reality is not just China that's challenging the American hegemony, it's also the Middle East and the whole entire South that's fed up with its leadership. You think the Middle East is just a reaction against Israel? It's a whole reaction against what the West has done and continue to do in the region. We are witnessing the end of the leadership of the West in the world after 5 hundred years. Now it wants to keep it, then it has to bomb and colonize those countries again but it will destroy the world order it created after the WW2. Why would the West think the world should remain like this is crazy.
And if the Taiwanese don't agree then war?
As a Chinese, it seems like we are okay to stay under the current world order, as long as USA doesn’t push us too much(which they already did) and containment military encirclement etc. Because we THRIVE in the current world order, we out-compete everybody else without a fight, we are smart, hardworking and have long term panning and very efficient at executing. We don’t need a war to go to the Top. But Taiwan is another issue, it’s not about changing current world order, it’s about national sovereignty, but the action of taking back Taiwan by force might trigger a change of World Order
Taiwan is a part of China,so it's just another excuse to contain China...
Taiwan is an issue about changing the current world order. Strategically, it is the most important link in the first island chain. If and when China takes over Taiwan, the military power balance will shift towards China. Therefore China's conquest of Taiwan is about its military dominance in Asia.
Japan was able to conquer southeast Asia because they already had Taiwan. What China wants is a repeat of the 1940s. Instead of the imperial Japanese, we have the Chinese.
a PLA high rank officer once said, 'take Taiwan by force is the easiest way to reunite. we will win the island easily, but not their heart.' maybe that's why until now china hasn't attack yet
@@sieteochoit’s not taking over, it’s reclaiming. The Chinese civil war is not over.
prevent taiwan leanin US/NATO is exactly maintainin post WW2 order when we saw NATO nowadays went pro-nazifie and more milliatary-complex haijacked.
Who said democracies were peaceful nations? As far back as Sparta v Athens, the Spartans felt democracy was aggressive and warlike, not peaceful.
Don't forget Hitler, who rose in power through elections too.
Prof. Jeffrey Sachs gave another example: UK.
democracies are peaceful?
😂😂😂😂
Fallacious argument.
一二次世界大战都是这些所谓的民主国家挑起
As a South Asian, I used to love American supremacy and western liberalism because I thought it came with a lot of freedoms, like free press etc. But the JennySide in Gaza has completely blown me out of my dream state or hypnosis. All of that was just smart manipulation by a group of elite capitalist. Even the ordinary American is in some kind of bondage where they can't escape. The elite class manipulates you, gas lights you and steals from you. Its like being in a relationship with a psychopath that constantly lies and steals from you and physically harms you and makes you think its your own fault.
very relatable
After colonizing your continent, do you think the elite here in Europe have changed that much? Why do you think France is being expelled from Africa, and as for America, don't tell me you didn't know it carried out coups d'état, color revolutions and invasions? or who has been arming radical Islamic and neo-Nazi groups?
What do you think Necon Victoria Mulan did in Ukraine during the 2014 coup d'état? drink tea? This thing about us being the good guys and the others being the bad guys, I'm sorry to say, is fantasy, reality is more complex than that.
dude ,u r quite smart! u see through the essence of the seemingly dreamy appearance.
At the point of the presentation where the good professor explains that usually it is the dominant power who is satisfied with the current hierarchy of power and it is also usually the dissatisfied rising power that causes instability or even war, I think the current situation is not so. It is quite obvious the current instability is not due to China demanding a huge change to the current globalization situation. Rather the current instability comes from the current dominant power’s sense of insecurity of it top position and its agitations from that insecurity. Hence it is not the dominate power that is satisfied of the current situation. The dominant power’s insecurity is the real source of instability. The world must convince the dominant power that its own insecurity and agitation will cause more harm and it is self inflicted.
I would argue that the hegemon is profiting from creating chaos or wars and its not in its interest to uphold moral values or support international institutions that were themselves setup by the hegemon. This professor is unable to recognize reality 1.0 , so that's the main issue when dealing with scholars from the hegemon side
@bobmorane4926
agree, but as a compliment, only Western hegemon profit from creating chaos or wars.
When he mentioned Australia was anxious with China's rise, we knew he was reading script from the state department. Anybody with a bit knowledge of the world map knows Australia is so far down under😂
There are two main parties in Australia, and I think one of them is anxious about China. The other party is relatively neutral on China
Good Point ✌️
I think it's a little bit of both,
Both feel the same way
I stopped as soon as he mentioned that the rise of China has implications for regional countries such as Philippines and Vietnam because I know he is up to no good. By mentioning only the two countries having disputes with China, he is disguising all the beneficial aspects of China’s rise with neighboring countries particularly in economic development.
He is indeed very biased in his field of study.
Vietnam and Philippines aren't the one that want to beat off China, it's USA behind of them. That's the source of disputes.
Vietnam has benefited from China a lot and a lot, since fighting for their freedom against the French.
He just collected a $500 pay check from the US Embassy
China rise is problem..US rise is good...western wisdom...China rise dangerous ...American hegemony welcome...idiotic theory
@@fargr5926It is because China is encroaching with other countries EXCLUSIVE Economic Zone or EEZ and their claim is baseless. What do you think is behind this? Surely, not because of the US but because they have greater ambitions just like their BRI. Don't you ever think that China is benevolent.
China has publicly said over and over again that it will not use nuclear weapons first.
Which country has used nuclear bombs unnecessarily in the past?
Don't forget the unnecessary nuclear experiment on 10000 innocent islanders of a Pacific Island used as guinea pigs in the 1950s. I don't understand how the nuclear experiment can help US survive a nuclear war
That doesn't matter.
@@TacticalMayoWhy this doesn’t matter? The US was the first country to use nuclear weapons on another country and it has refused to denounce its “first nuclear strike policy.”
@@wong3150 because this is the classic case of Thucydide's trap in its purest form. Out of the 16 times that this has happened 12 of those times have ended in brutal confrontation. The sad reality is that it will be exactly the same thing this time but on a global scale because the US is not an empire it's a global hyper power hegemon. This is going to be how all things will come to a close....
You forgot the PART2 of this China's policy: never use nuclear weapons to a country that doesnt own nuclear weapons
As an African man i would choose China over US 10/10 because I believe under Chinese hegemony peace would prevail, and i hope the developing would rallies behind China as long as they don’t preach and be fair.
Frankly, I have learnt very little from this talk. Actually I found it uninspiring and poorly delivered. The speaker is slow in making his principal arguments which remain rather vague to me He is topical of those Western political scientists who focus on theories but fail to shed light on the realities on the ground. There is nothing about China and the US here that I didn't already know.
Mother Nature and its natural Cycles.
⁉️⁉️⁉️
I applaud Carlton University for offering Mandarin classes. Direct intellectual contacts is the best way to achieve understanding. America has already shown signs of decline, when it abandoned its liberal capitalist principles to sanction Huawei and other Chinese businesses, created legislation purely to restrict particular business entities. Then its government ran out of cash and has to operate depending on huge debts sponsored by foreign governments.
Which Country of more speaking ENGLISH: USA or China ??? China have an est. 980 Millions English speaker.
Why: because of Queen Victoria of UK in 1850's, Commerce Worldwide are done in English & Arabic Numbers
Chinas military budget % of gdp, has not increased intentionally, it is there gdp that has grown. They have a very modest military budget of 1.7 percent, less than required of nato countries (2%) and half of what US spends 3.4%. Their purchasing power is also significantly better being that everything is made in china and have invested so much in optimizing manufacturing (automated cruise missile factories capable of making 1000 a day).
You underestimate the 1.4 billion industrial countries. They have the heavy industry of the Soviet Union and the light industry of the United States. There has never been a 1.4 billion industrial country in human history. They have solved the energy problem and they can fight the whole world.
@@gsyoouactually he is at the same page as you
@@arminius6506 China's unmanned system is very developed, and there are tens of millions of robots in civilian drones. The United States can't measure the current war form with its weapons of war during World War II. Now there are too many aircraft carriers that can be attacked. China's missile technology is very powerful. They have space stations and aerospace technology, which requires strong missile technology.
@@arminius6506 Lol this is why US & and China can't get along, everything is lost in translation 🤣
@@LunarGlow92 You mean, one must lead and one must be US lap dog. Look at EU and Japan.
Henry Kissinger Quote: “To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal.”
In June 2024, 1400000000 of the People's Republic of CHINA stand
firm with the coast guards and the Liberation Army of CHINA defend the South China Sea against foreign troublemakers according to the laws of the country and the will of the people.
The Monroe Doctrine is a United States foreign policy position that opposed European & Asian colonialism in the Western Hemisphere. It held that any intervention in the political affairs of the Americas by foreign powers was a potentially hostile act against the U.S. The doctrine was central to U.S. foreign policy for much of the 19th and early 20th and now 21st centuries. One example of the doctrine was the Cuban Crisis of 1962, almost started WWIII
Henry Kissinger Quote: “To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal.”
All Empires come & go.
No exception. 😊
This explains China’s current collapse… 📉🌀
@@mikestewart4752no where near close to that of the us, China controls most of south america, central america, africa,
Us has lost its power influence in most of the world while china is buying the complete electricity and water or infrastructure from 3rd world countries, controling them in some sort of way
@@mikestewart4752You guys claim China collapse for decades.
@@mikestewart4752 Collapse is what I would describe for all the cities in America like SF, NY, LA etc... U.S. is imploding it. I know you feel bad, and you feel the need to bad mouth China, but think before you talk. China has a surplus of trillion dollars per year, while the U.S. have a trillon dollars in debt every 3 months.
@@mikestewart4752 Current? They've been collapsing for 20 years...
I stopped watching after 3mins when he said Australia is nervous over a rising China. For the past 20yrs, China has been overtaking the G7 members one by one but the US didn't behave like today.
it is more of bashing China in this video !
A good example, Australia's Defence Policy In 2023 Explained - ua-cam.com/video/sgspkxfkS4k/v-deo.html
PRC is not hawkish, warmonger, aggressive and bully but intend to accumulate enormous wealth diving in international trade which worldwide people like and China would like to avoid war in any cost.
USA : Please help us to end the Ukraine War so that we can concentrate War in the island of Taiwan with you.
China : You're Nuts
8:47 "China has their first aircraft carrier..." means this video is made a few years back.
China's aircraft carrier(s) been around since 2010, first one build by Ukraine for the Russian from the Black Sea.
at 0:10, this video was done on april 18, 2024.
的确，怎么会不知道中国已经拥有三艘航空母舰？这真是令人困惑@@iamcanadianedmonton
Are u sure u know China?
Please take a long look at China history before giving a lecture relating to China.
are you a specialist?? talk … not soap details …
@@tijo2524 Look at China today, has China invaded anywhere outside of its border in its over 5000 years of history. Oh, yes, there is Genghis Khan, who actually came from Mongolia. Please understand culture first.
FYI, there is an academic subject called “history”, and it is much longer than 240 years. For the vast minority of human history, China has always been THE most powerful country on the planet. It’s not China’s rise that you need to study, it’s China’s rejuvenation.
And btw, who won the Peloponnesian war.... And why isn't this spoken about....
Because nukes are involved
The United State's government and business / financial / media sectors are doing injustice to China, by presenting it as vile, which it is not.
China invests heavily in its economy for the benefit of its citizens' quality of life.
China is not a war mongering country, it has increasingly relied on economic influence, diplomacy, and practically did not start any war in the recent many decades (with the only possible exception re: its 1979 war with Vietnam. Each of the 2 countries has claimed that the other had started that war).
Chinese men retire at age 60 and women at age 55. Yes !
It has a super broad / extensive and convenient high speed trains network and the country's industrial and technological sectors are overall very modern and advanced.
And transportation, groceries and eating out there are significantly less expensive than in the U.S. ... I recommend that you watch some UA-cam videos that show the situation in China, you will be totally amazed.
As opposed to what Americans are constantly told by their government, the Chinese government is doing the right thing: Planning its economy with the goal of improving the quality of the lives of its citizens, not letting some few Capitalists promote the initiatives that are in their own interests (will enrich them personally), rather than those of the general population.
The U.S. government has A LOT to learn from the Chinese one, about how to manage a country successfully for the well being and quality of life of its people.
Many Americans suffer a lot financially under Capitalism. They simply don't understand that Capitalism is what they should channel their frustrations at, rather than at one another, or at China or Russia. Under Capitalism financial crises are created every certain number of years, it's not a stable economic system. The Capitalism approach that is supposed to bring a trickle down economy, has been proven again and again not to be working.
As long as so many Americans continue to vote for the two mainstream political parties (Republican and Democratic), both which are aligned with the extreme implementation of Capitalism in the United States, the country will continue to endure financial hardship caused by inflation and other adverse outcomes of Capitalism, such as huge inequality. The U.S. government (and many of its people) thinks it still manages / controls the world. It no longer does ...
It's time for implementing Socialism in North America, similar to the one with Chinese characteristics that's implemented in China.
Leaving at 8:55, info not useful.
This theory assumes so many things.
That's why it is far from reality.
😇
China isn't trying to be number one. China is more interested in developing its economy, and forming trade networks around the world.
Chinese history has never been about annexing other countries, and taking all their resources. China had a tributary system, it is kind of like trade relations with other countries.
Where's the question session ?
when was this recorded ?
looked like old video and only now post online ??
april 18, 2024 at 0:10.
Are you quoting Graham Alison?
how old is this professor. he's surprisingly sober for a young prof.
The Chinese understand respect, something western Europeans don't have
A guy named China went for a health screening and was deeply dissatisfied with some of his health indicators, so he decided to do what was necessary to make sure that he could go back to be in the pink of health. He started a very disciplined regime of dieting and exercises. As a result, some aspects of his life was badly affected. He had to give up drinking, partying, he had to watch what he ate, he had to exercise rigorously. A guy name US went for a health screening and found that he was extremely obese, he had diabetes, high blood pressure, extremely high artery blockage, extremely high cancel markers. But the doctor said to him, "Don't worry, I will give you strong painkiller to ensure that you do not feel any discomfort to disrupt your daily life. You can just live your life as per normal. If you should ever feel any discomfort after taking the painkiller, I will increase the dosage until the discomfort disappears." And so the cool guy US has continued to party and to be engaged in all sorts of wild orgy. What a cool guy indeed.
as a chinese living educated and teaching in the uk,.i say thus is typical, eurocentric thinking, vocabulary in him is power struggle war, which is in opposot r direction to china, china s are development win win common destiny peace coexistence.
This speech is way out of date. China's Economy has been the world's 2nd largest since 2011 or so when it became bigger tjan that of Japan.
They just tested their 3rd aircraft carrier twice in May and June this year.
Very good analysis.
It's basically just about the decline of the US....
Western countries main problem is believed in capitalism. If capitalism exists democracy doesn't work properly. Because all parties are working as capitalist society says.....as for example India is multi party democracy. All parties are as capitalist lobby...
Western countries main problem is NOT believed in Capitalism, but TRUST & PRINCIPLE does not apply to them
18:40 Harvard team: 15 of the last 19 power transitions result in war
Brian Schmidt speaks like he's always annoyed. It's very unpleasant to listen to.
He is an American prof giving a presentation to the American students, agenda limited
An American led neo-liberalism is imploding into a unipolar black hole of it's own making ie; extreme individualism and insecurity. In contrast, a China led neo-socialism is expanding into a more secure multipolar world of partnerships, with BRICS proving to be a more reliable and attractive trading partner, especially throughout the developing world.
We create our reality through our thoughts, feelings, emotions, expectations and beliefs. If like attracts likes, then, if we imagine a peaceful world and start living peacefully with our neighbours, then, our world will be peaceful.
passing of the blazing torch from uncle sam to the paws of the panda bear!
Damn, no wonder west is declining if these are intellectuals
You shouldn't compare Shanghai with New York. You should compare small villages and towns in Mississipi and Alaska with villages in Tibet and Xinjiang.
If the US is in Decline, how come its GDP has gone from 2.3 trillion USD in 1950 to 23.2 trillion USD in 2023? Rather, it is in with drawl on its terms from Globalization. And China is completely dependent on the Globalization the US created and has protected for its rise.
Lecture way too short, I had expected another hour.
Appeasement to China is the safest and most sensible course of action. China has proven to be a most peaceful world power. It has fought no wars since 1979 (Vietnam). That's over 45 years ago!
Remind us how many wars the USA has fought since 1979.
China has vowed not to use nuclear weapons in a first strike. The USA is the only nation to have used nuclear weapons in wartime. What guarantee do we have that it won't use nuclear weapons against China?
China's military build-up is common sense. It has to be worried about what the USA might do. Maybe start a proxy war like in Ukraine? Maybe create another Gulf of Tonkin incident?
China is encircled by US military bases in Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, Australia, etc. The US Navy is operating in the South China Sea. The USA formed the AUKUS pact against China.
The USA has 1,770 deployed nuclear weapons out of 5,044. China has 24 deployed nuclear weapons out of 500. [Source: SIPRI.] The imbalance is very concerning. The USA may get the idea that it can win a nuclear war.
China wants peace. China wants international trade and commerce. What does the USA want?
Inferior is inferior.....Carleton University ranks 651-700 in QS World University Ranking in 2024, and 526 in Global Universities! Is the speaker of this session an alumni??🤠 Ignorance has a price!
stigmazing will never stop...keep calm and working harder..
Leave it to the warmongering Caucasians to see everything as zero sum game. Believe it or not, business is about win win which is what the Chinese are really good at. Talk to any entrepreneur if any business can be sustained when it only takes but never gives.
Oh my God and then you come on US social media of all hypocrite things to do 🤣
@@TacticalMayo please, I'm not a god
@@TacticalMayo you don't like the challenge ⁉️ ️
@user-og6zk8qm6bnaive of you to think that business success does not translate to power. I bet you only think military is power which only reinforces my original post
@user-og6zk8qm6bthe ultimate victory is to win without firing a single shot which is what China is doing. The sanctions, the tariffs, the media smear fail to slow or contain that country to the point of US had to hide from Chinese EV instead of competing. Tell me, who do you prefer to run the world? The country that manufacturers the most weapons or the ones making the best EV?
Speaker drinking that Kool Aid again...
Quoting "U.S. Military" is NOT reliable info.
Like talking to Joe Biden... "nothing to see here"
There is the elephant in the room that no scholars talk or writer about which is the nuclear bomb that can wipe out human civilization.
Load of rubbish.
This fellow does not appear to believe in his own words.
He rarely look at the students with conviction.
Good lecture. I enjoyed the lack of ideological bullshit.
It's hard to provoke China.
That's how you justify it 🤣
There is no doubt , China is rising , rising upward or downward , My contribution is an analysis if war is inevitable , great devastation can be rsulted as it reach with the use of weapon in advance it is a fact resulted in Russia and Ukraine this years fast, unless there is a much strong mediator to resolve this conflict, war can be avoided.
China in decline since March 2020, theirs no hope for recovery, if you are in china with money get out now while you still can
We can all thank Reagan for accelerating all jobs out of the US, including the entire US shipbuilding industry to Japan and South Korea.
This guy is talking about nonsense. He doesn't know about China, neither does understand China at all.
international law and government are human sovereignty; God sovereignty over nations and peoples
If the people of North America learned to speak chineese in the next 55 years,just like the efforts tiawan and china have done to learn English,where would it lead.More trade for us all 8f the big shippers would open up and let it flow some more!Also let s9me airline open up real cheap flights.kind of like Ryan Air in Europe. MIght be a lot more 8nteresting than trying to lihe up humanity to more fighting for nothing.
Why are Europeans, including those in the diaspora so preoccupied with imperial colonial wars?😢 lecturer was spewing propaganda hatred throughout his presentation - only surprised at how far ahead Shangai is when he last visited😂
US once upon a time a superpower.
The US is the world's global power.
West - Hypocrites
20th century is american century, 21th century is indian century, indian century is coming , jai hind!
Without loyalty money worth nothing
The threatening of nuclear war demonstrates how evil, desperate and pathetic.
Absolutely not, you knew exactly what would happen if you reach for the United States number one spot so now you reap what you sow.
reap what though ⁉️
G.I Joe Bot ⁉️
@@TacticalMayoand you still think usa can win the war? Lol you guys cant even determine what a women is or let alone draft men into your military
@@minhloi4536 a good old fashioned passionate ass whoopin tankie on US social media 🤣
BRICS all day
shit!
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What is rules based international order? How many countries are considered international? 😂
Anderson Deborah Rodriguez Sharon Williams Linda
Too many of uh uh uh uh uh uh uh ….
📉🌀💀
This professor's lecture makes people think that US team must have done or is going to do something extraordinary to all the closer competitors in the Olympic game. Or maybe the bottom 99% of poor people in the US have been too nice to the top 1% elite dominating group.
Chinese propaganda alert.
It's not propaganda he states the facts. Choose as you wish as to what you believe. The US mainstream Media won't do this, just talk about narratives to get you to think in a certain way, essentially brainwashing of the masses..
As a Chinese
What he’s saying is true
Except the aircraft carrier
We not only have one but 4~5 by now
But we do not aim to be a world order or something like that
We don’t think that way we just wanna improve our country and life.
That’s all we want
We aren’t interested in settling up military base like USA from like every continent on earth
经过有的细心的观众提醒，他告诉我，中国只有一艘航空母舰，难道他的思想还停留在十年前的中国吗？
而且中国十多年以前就已经成为了第二大经济体，那么从这两点可以看出，这个视频录制时间肯定是十年以前
When I was in Carleton for policies, I was in a class for intro of democracy. My prof is that super pale lady, dark hair I forgor her hair colour, she was shocked by my interest in communism. I think she is from Romania. Of course her people is treated like shyt. Romania supported German invasion
we should be discussing the fall of America instead