Early Acting Oscar Predictions with Oscar Expert & Brother Bro!
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- Опубліковано 26 вер 2024
- It's the perfect time of year to talk early acting Oscar predictions, and who better to join me than Oscar Expert and Brother Bro! Join us for our very first collaboration as we break down our predictions in all four acting categories for the upcoming 97th Academy Awards! #oscars2025 #academyawards #oscars #oscarpredictions #oscarexpert #theawardscontender
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WRITTEN AND PRODUCED BY BRIAN ROWE
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Demi Moore getting a nomination would be an all timer pick, she was phenomenal in The Substance and has the career narrative
Two hours of Brian and the Oscar Expert crew??? Let's go!!!!!
Toni Collette's snub was definitely one of the most infamous. Perhaps Demi Moore could get nominated, it would be like sorry from Academy 😂
It makes sense if you think about it. A24 was still a fairly new studio and Hereditary was its biggest hit at the time. Ari Aster was not in contention for any awards, and the film was not in contention for any awards outside of best actress.
Additionally, the academy was smaller and has since expanded, which is why their picks have been more non-traditional in recent years. If you watch Perri Nemiroff’s channel Jeff has even mentioned that he used to be able to predict based on what old white men like, but he can’t predict like that anymore and the voters are more diverse and unpredictable.
Most "infamous " highly doubtful
Lupita Nyongo is the bigger snub since she won New York Film Critics and was nominated for SAG award
I'm rooting for Demi Moore. I am not really enthusiastic about any other contender in the BA category.
Same! Her performance really moved me in a way that I haven’t felt in years. She was truly fearless and gave what had to have been an extremely vulnerable and demanding performance her all and delivered
While a win would be very difficult to pull off she does have the career narrative on her side and I could see the movie getting nominated in some of the technical categories so I wouldn’t write her off just yet
fernanda torres please 🙏 ❤
Ela nunca teve chance nenhuma e nem vai,acordem
@@girlboss3426printado just in case 🤭
we need some timestamps for these
Demi Moore being nominated or winning BA would be so cool. Her performance was awesome in Substance.
Think I'm still recovering from how impactful that Demi Moore performance was. I really hope they Academy can look past their horror snobbery.
Same! Her performance really moved me in a way that I haven’t felt in years. She was truly fearless and gave what had to have been an extremely vulnerable and demanding performance her all and delivered
While a win would be very difficult to pull off she does have the career narrative on her side and I could see the movie getting nominated in some of the technical categories so I wouldn’t write her off just yet
If 30 year old Saoirse Ronan gets nominated for the outrun and blitz, she’ll break the record of youngest person with 5 and 6 nominations, Kate winslet was 31 in little children and 33 in the reader
Everytime I see a good performance in a horror movie I'm like "If Toni Collette did not get a nomination for Hereditary, this shouldn't either!". Yep, I'm still pissed at that.
Demi Moore getting in would be a well deserved shocker
Yeah, Demi Moore is outstanding in "The Substance", but Oscar voters hate horror movies. i think that if that movie will get only in "best makeup and hairstyling", it would be still a big success
The difference is the major horror performances snubbed in the past have just been about the performance. Moore has a better shot because it’s the film AND the narrative
The academy was different when Hereditary came out than it is now.
😢
Dear Brian when talking about nominations pls put a list on the screen.
Brian*
Fernanda Torres is extraordinary and deserv a nomination for "I'm Stil Here"
Ela não tem chance nenhuma e nunca teve
@@girlboss3426sai do fake gwyneth
I don't think Saoirse Ronan will win for The Outrun. I think she's kind of like a Kate Winslet type. Nominated a bunch but too young to be 'time.' She'll have her Reader performance someday and needs to win Actress with a Best Picture nominee. This being said, it's possible she does a Blanchett strategy and wins her first Oscar in Supporting for Blitz. I would predict Ronan over someone like Zoe Saldana. Anora probably won't win Best Picture. I think Madison is really primed to be the big win for Anora and I think Baker will win Best Screenplay. I think the Academy is going to go all-in for The Brutalist in many of the other categories. Emilia Perez seems like the kind of movie to get a lot of nominations but win little. I can't see a world where Angelina Jolie misses for Maria but I guess it's possible. Critics might actually try to make someone like Demi Moore happen this year. I'm not sure if AMPAS will nominate Demi Moore but I can see them doing a riskier performance like Kidman in 'Babygirl' or Adams in 'Nightbitch.'
ANORA's run is eerily similar to PARASITE right now. Both won the Cannes Palme D'Or and placed 3rd at Toronto Film Festival. It also seems to generate genuine passion too.
Too difficult to Mike Madison to win, she is too young and its her first well praised and nominated performance, a veteran with an overdue narrative like Ronan, Adams or even Jolie are more safe picks for a win next year
@@caiquelevir4335I mean the academy loves giving lead actress Oscar’s to young and fresh actresses. Like Brie Larson, Jennifer Lawrence, and Emma Stone.
@@caiquelevir4335 As we are increasingly seeing lately, overdue narratives no longer have the same cache they did. Case in point: Glenn Close, who now ties Peter O'Toole for the dubious record of most acting nominations without any wins.
The last time a lone nominee won solely as an overdue narrative was Julianne Moore. Most overdue winners come for Best Picture nominees (Leo DiCaprio, Al Pacino, Kate Winslet all won that way).
@@poett8875they won because of Harvey weinstein,hes gone now which makes the competition between saoirse vs jolie vs Moore vs adams.
This interview deserves it owns Oscar
For a horror performance to get in the film needs to be one of the most talked films of the year and a cultural pehnomenon (Black Swan, Get Out, Silence of the Lambs, The Exorcist etc Misery and Carrie are only exeptions but the years were not that competitive and both became instant classics). Hereditary and Us were popular but were not phenomenons and were also out of the best picture, screenplay and director races. The Substance may really become the film of the year in a sense of a phenomenon especially with social media thing and has a bit more prestige thing going on with Cannes win, this year the only women directors who can get in are All we imagine is light, Babygirl and The Substance which i would keep an eye on cause it really could become a thing. The industry is already raving about it and Demi is on a full campaign trail. The film is bizzare and gory BUT its also unlike Hereditary and Us also a satire and a black comedy with a LOT of refrences to classic films and Kubrick that older voters COULD LIKE. I think The Substance is much closer to Black Swan and Get Out than to Hereditary and Us. What is also very important is that everyone is saying how The Substance NEEDS TO BE EXPERIENCED, SEEN etc especially with crowds and this kind of buzz is great.
I will be rooting for Adams/Ronan until either they do not get nominated or I don't like their movies/performances.
I wish Demi Moore would at least get a nomination for The Substance.
She's getting in.
@@singstreetcar5881 From your mouth to the good Lord's ears
I think she has a better chance than Toni Collette and Lupita Nyongo did tbh. The Substance is a contender in some of the technical categories, possibly Original Screenplay and Demi would have a hell of a narrative
If she keeps campaigning and the word of mouth for the movie remains strong she may be able to get the nom
you have to remember the SAG Awards won't have any impact on the Oscars next year because when the SAG Awards do happen the Oscar voting will already been done. The winners won't make a difference.
Thank you for informing us! So it's the Globes, Critics Choice, Satellite, BAFTA, and AACTA that will matter this year regarding the acting categories.
@@davidpunzalan7354 AACRA and Satellites don't matter
Well the Oscar's voters will know who was nominated, so the nominations can definitely influence who they vote for.
That’s true SAG used to take place right before the final Oscar voting began so whoever won got the lasting momentum buzz from Oscar voters but due to last year actors/writers strike this date changed where the past SAG took place 3 days before final Oscar voting ended, this is one of the reasons why Emma stone was able to win the best actress Oscar over lily Gladstone Emma has the buzz for her back to back wins for the golden globe, critics choice and BAFTA.
@@davidpunzalan7354 Yes these matter more than ever.
Its crazy to think that year after year horror film performances are lauded as the best performance and the Academy continues to snub them: Toni Collete, Lupita Nyongo, Mia Goth. I hope the trend doesn't continue with Demi Moore
Can’t describe how great it is to get 2 hours of this discussion
The substance needs attention for its makeup and hair! Practical effects like this need to be rewarded.
Demi too I'm rooting for her but we know how the academy snubs horror or weird films
I think she has a better shot at getting in than Toni Collette or Lupita Nyongo, not to mention Emma Stone won for a weird, visually stunning performance just last year. I think Demi may be able to get the nomination and hope she does because her performance was one of the best I’ve seen in years
@@bryanalstoncoxing that's true! Triangle of Sadness was a super weird and gross film too and it got a nomination
The collaboration of the century
Demo Moore blew me away in The Substance, and so many people I know have loved the movie. It was such an experience unlike anything I have ever watched and I think the word of mouth for it will be great. I hope both the movie and her get awards recognition as it is completely deserved.
I would love a nomination for Natasha Lyonne for "His Three Daughters" and also "Best Original Screenplay"
Demi Moore absolutely for Best Actress! She was incredible!
Manifesting another nomination for Kidman. The role/movie sound exciting.
Demi Moore has made alot of money for hollywood in her career, which might help her chances.
Best supporting actor is up in the air
Dennis quaid is gaining momentum for the substance. He is a veteran. He has pained his dues in Hollywood
I think it comes down to
Denzel Washington vs guy pearce
Demi Moore!
I think Nicole Kidman is locked
I get all that warm love for Demi and all, but my God!!! Substance needs a director nomination just as much... One big, massive achivement that was...
Oscar Expert, Brother Bro, & Brian collabing on a video that will probably be longer than some of this year’s Best Picture nominees. This is gonna be a great way to kill two hours.
Fernanda Torres is also a Cannes Best Actress winner when she was just 19. She is not an amateur falling from nowhere. She is coming for her nomination.
Imo very important fact is that Kidman was always ONLY nominated for Oscar bait, everything experimental and arthaus she had been snubbed for (The Paperboy, Birth, Eyes Wide Shut, Sacred Deer, To die for, Destroyer), and Babygirl is def in the later group. If nominated it will officialy be her first non classic Oscar bait nominated performance.
What’s Oscar-bait about her performance in Lion or Rabbit Hole???
@@gauravw6947 Griveing mother roles one based on real life biopic other on a play that won Cynthia NIxon a Tony. And thats Oscar catnip. Everyone had her in their predictions even before the films premiered.
how is best actress complete if half the bets you think won't happen? girl, so confusing
In a perfect world, best actress 2025 would be:
- Mikey Madson
- Demi Moore
- Fernanda Torres
- Pamela Anderson
- Angelina Jolie
👀👀👀
nice pick
Pam? seriously
Karla Sofia Gascon should be here
Nicole kidman
troque só a demi moore com a karla que tá perfeita
The brutalist hype will push felicity Jones to best supporting actress win
She is a former nominee for the theory of everything. Nobody ever thought she will get a another nomination in her career
I think deadwiyler is stronger also we still need to see Elle fanning and Ariana grande
I love Fernanda Torres in "I'm Still Here' and Marianne Jean Baptiste in "Hard Truths".
I think Jean-Baptiste has the best chances of winning. She's an established veteran. She has the raves and reviews. She has Mike Leigh, an industry darling, by her side. The British voting bloc will back her. She's well known to audiences. A woman of Black/African descent hasn't won in ages. The frontrunners are both unknowns. The rest of the established veterans running (Jolie, Kidman, Ronan, Swinton and Moore) are in films that may not appeal to many audiences.
I could be wrong, but I'm betting on it. I believe that Jean-Baptiste will win.
My picks :
Nicole Kidman
Saoirse Ronan
mickey Madison
Angelina Jolie
Demi Moore
Demi Moore best actress bye
I think something important to note is that the last ceremonies, the Oscars were won acting by actors for their first nomination (Kotsur, DeBose, Fraser, Yeoh, Quan, Curtis, Murphy, Randolph), so I cant say that the “first time nominee” thing could be an issue
I think Downey was nominated before?
Downey has two previous...Chaplin and Tropic Thunder
Oh shi myb, but the point still stands tho
I personally loved Selena's performance in Emilia Perez
I do agree it's an oscar nomination could be harder to get, but hopefully she gets a bafta or critics choice award nomination
Guardians of the galaxy 3 is the only MCU movie without an Oscar winner in the cast, and if Zoe Saldana wins, then every mcu movie will have an Oscar winner
I saw Maria. It’s 100% a lock and I’d honestly be shocked if she doesn’t win.
Maclin won't win. He's Barkhad Abdi in Captain Phillips.
Justice por Fernanda Torres ❤❤❤
thanks to one french actress that loves to reward her friends at venice, sony classics will go full rampage for the room next door
and sadly fernanda will be ignored by them during campaigning
@@sasha76944 yea, i wish isabelle huppert stops being a jury president for the festivals
that's a biased woman
now fernanda will get nothing because of her fault
-Demi Moore would be awesome! She was absolutely great! 🙏🏽
- It was my impression, but I didn't hear you mention the two Fernandas: Torres and Montenegro in I'm Still Here 🤔 They were incredible!
They did discuss Torres, they even had a still of her on the screen.
My two fav film channels coming together!
Fernanda Torres is the best this year
Mikey madison is young and fresh. The academy loves to give young fresh actresses best lead actress oscars.
Brie larson, Jennifer Lawrence, emma stone.
Hilary Swank
Marlee matlin
Plus they haven’t given it to a young and upcoming actress since Stone’s first win, we haven’t had a young actress win since then
Kate Winslet in Lee?
is Lee not eligible?
it's so cute that you guys know each other!!!!
I HAVE BEEN WAITING FOR THIS CROSSOVER!!!! Thank you Brian and Oscar Expert! This is fantastic.
FERNANDA TORRES. ORGULHO DO BRASIL! A CAMPANHA PRO OSCAR VAI ACONTECER! 🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷
What do you mean if Anora takes Picture, she’ll take Actress? You won’t know beforehand
You better watch what comes out of your mouth Brian don’t speak that “what if she gets snubbed again” into existence. Danielle Deadwyler will be a strong Oscar contender this year.
Sorry where was Lady Gaga for Joker in this conversation? Did I miss this or are you guys not considering it anymore?
Mikey Madison will win Best Actress 2025 she stomp everyone with her performance, I don't think some other nominees overdue narrative best actress can beat her.
Demi Moore
Uggggg why is nobody talking about Kate Winslet in LEE?! She's way overdue for a second Oscar at this point!
her distributor is bad, the movie has no buzz, that's it
Demi Moore and Amy Adams and Lady Gaga and Saorsieeau Ronan
Surprise nomination should be Pierre Niney for Le Compte de Montecristo
I was shocked to hear that Demi Moore may not even get nominated for The Substance ☹
The academy hates horror 😢
competition and also the academy doesn't like horror that much
2 hours????? Omg what did I do to deserve this!!!🤩
Chalamet should be nominated for Dune 2 and not Complete Unknown.
I literally manifested this....Oscar heaven
Kate Winslet for Lee.
Has that recipe.
Several horror/gore/slasher actresses have been nominated: Bette Davis, Janet Leigh, Sissy Spacek, Ellen Burstyn, Ruth Gordon, Kathy Bates, Piper Laurie, Linda Blair, Audrey Hepburn, Jody Foster...
And hope Demi Moore gets in
And hope Demi Moore gets in
omg the Menendez brothers! 😆😆 (love the collab)
🤭
YAY 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
Fitzgerald for Strange Darling just for the final scene!
Also Villeneuve for director.
Wating for your reactions when Fernanda Torres get nominated for Best Actress
I just have the feeling that Jolie will end up missing on Oscar nomination morning.
What about J Lo for “unstoppable”. Heard great reviews.
This was such a great conversation. The three of you offered interesting perspectives. Enjoy all three of you.
Hoping The Brutalist, Anora, Conclave, etc. live up to the hype. Weak year for movies so far
I wonder if biopic performances have permanently been affected by the backlash to Bradley Cooper's Maestro.
My predictions (please do not attack me. They’re just my opinion)
Marianne Jean-Baptiste (Hard Truth)
Cynthia Erivo (Wicked)
Angelina Jolie (Maria)
Mikey Madison (Anora) (Winner)
Saorise Ronan (The Outrun)
Adrian Brody (The Brutalist) (Winner)
Timothee Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
Colman Domingo (Sing Sing)
Ralph Fiennes (Conclave)
Gabriel Labelle (Saturday Night)
Danielle Deadwyler (The Piano Lesson)
Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Nickel Boys)
Selena Gomez (Emilia Perez)
Felicity Jones (The Brutalist)
Zoe Saldana (Emilia Perez) (Winner)
Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing) (Winner)
Guy Pearce (The Brutalist)
Stanley Tucci (Conclave)
Denzel Washington (Gladiator ||)
I need Demi to get nominated everywhere so y’all can get gagged. I will stay delusional until nominations are announced
Possibly unpopular opinion but Jeremy Strong is in winning contention for The Apprentice
Huge fan of you tree !!!! i am so happy to see this amazing critics crossover!!!! i see always the awards contender ands oscar expert brother bro !!!! a mean every day!!! you guys are the best fot us the cinephiles!!! greetings from Guatemala !!!
Excellent video and collab!! I actually saw Sing Sing in Toronto just before tiff this year at a Cineplex because it also did not come to my city. Once you see Colman Domingo and especially Clarence Maclin with the whole ensemble (also Paul Raci!!), you will see how sensational the film is. I just hope that A24 can really push it this season especially with The Brutalist, Queer, and Babygirl on its slate.
Not this Nicole Kidman erasure when she’s the one winning Volpi Cup
Byeeee
What do you think about Lee with Kate Winslet? Does she have a shot? The trailer looks amazing!
mickey, nicole, angelina, tilda. 5th slot probably for The Message for Modern Audiences (Emilia Perez)
Nobody is talking about nic cage in long legs fir best supporting actor
Dont disrespect mr cage.
He may get in
Angelina Jolie is not popular due to the whole Brad Pitt thing
Why is no one talking about Civil War
I loved it. The experts will say that it came out too early.
@@keeganthorpe I still think Dunst and Plemons have a shot.
Amy Adams is not happening, and it was only ever a hopediction to begin with.
Indie spirits are going to bust for anora that movie will sweep that and Gotham
It looks like the supporting categories will be interesting this year.
Kieran is lead and the trailer can’t stop highlighting him specifically. He opens and closes the film. They need to stop with the category fraud. Not you just campaigners. I still feel like Jackson will campaign relentlessly for piano lesson and he’ll probably win the tribute Oscar.
Have you seen Ghostlight? The lead actor there deserves an Oscar nom
Brother Bro can go as dueling The Bears for Halloween.
this is my multiverse of madness
I really enjoyed this collaboration!
I’m thinking Saoirse takes it with a weak year.
Nicole Kidman best actress nomination is a locked
The biggest crossover event in Oscar history!
Been waiting for this collab!