Also, it was a terrible film and Toni Collette's much admired talents were grossly misused. It's no surprise Ari Aster is in director jail. He should stay there.
Fernanda Torres is also a Cannes Best Actress winner when she was just 19. She is not an amateur falling from nowhere. She is coming for her nomination.
Totally agree. She could be the one to pay attention. People are talking a lot about her, and I’m talking about important critics. Wish the best luck for her.
2 місяці тому+28
Demo Moore blew me away in The Substance, and so many people I know have loved the movie. It was such an experience unlike anything I have ever watched and I think the word of mouth for it will be great. I hope both the movie and her get awards recognition as it is completely deserved.
Everytime I see a good performance in a horror movie I'm like "If Toni Collette did not get a nomination for Hereditary, this shouldn't either!". Yep, I'm still pissed at that.
Yeah, Demi Moore is outstanding in "The Substance", but Oscar voters hate horror movies. i think that if that movie will get only in "best makeup and hairstyling", it would be still a big success
The difference is the major horror performances snubbed in the past have just been about the performance. Moore has a better shot because it’s the film AND the narrative
Same! Her performance really moved me in a way that I haven’t felt in years. She was truly fearless and gave what had to have been an extremely vulnerable and demanding performance her all and delivered While a win would be very difficult to pull off she does have the career narrative on her side and I could see the movie getting nominated in some of the technical categories so I wouldn’t write her off just yet
If 30 year old Saoirse Ronan gets nominated for the outrun and blitz, she’ll break the record of youngest person with 5 and 6 nominations, Kate winslet was 31 in little children and 33 in the reader
Its crazy to think that year after year horror film performances are lauded as the best performance and the Academy continues to snub them: Toni Collete, Lupita Nyongo, Mia Goth. I hope the trend doesn't continue with Demi Moore
Same! Her performance really moved me in a way that I haven’t felt in years. She was truly fearless and gave what had to have been an extremely vulnerable and demanding performance her all and delivered While a win would be very difficult to pull off she does have the career narrative on her side and I could see the movie getting nominated in some of the technical categories so I wouldn’t write her off just yet
@@arethanow agreed. Plus Emma Stone’s win last year for a daring performance in a visually/technically stunning film shows that the Academy is more openminded now than before
I watched a lot of awards discussion videos over the years but I don't think I've ever clicked one as fast as this one. My favorite Awards pundits in one video? Dream!
-Demi Moore would be awesome! She was absolutely great! 🙏🏽 - It was my impression, but I didn't hear you mention the two Fernandas: Torres and Montenegro in I'm Still Here 🤔 They were incredible!
you have to remember the SAG Awards won't have any impact on the Oscars next year because when the SAG Awards do happen the Oscar voting will already been done. The winners won't make a difference.
Thank you for informing us! So it's the Globes, Critics Choice, Satellite, BAFTA, and AACTA that will matter this year regarding the acting categories.
That’s true SAG used to take place right before the final Oscar voting began so whoever won got the lasting momentum buzz from Oscar voters but due to last year actors/writers strike this date changed where the past SAG took place 3 days before final Oscar voting ended, this is one of the reasons why Emma stone was able to win the best actress Oscar over lily Gladstone Emma has the buzz for her back to back wins for the golden globe, critics choice and BAFTA.
We need Challengers to have an awards season revival! Zendaya, Nine Inch Nails, and Luca are so deserving. And with the cinematography and other lead performance this feels like a ten plus nomination film and I just don't understand how it's not gaining traction.
Kiman as snubbed for To Die For, Dogville, The Paperboy, Birth Destroyer and many other performances in divisive movies. The difference this time is: Babygirl seems to be almost unanimously praised, unlike the movies I just mentioned that worked against her. So, coming off Riccardos nod, and her AFI Lifetime Achievement award, and her success on TV, I think she might actually get in. Hope so.
The substance needs attention for its makeup and hair! Practical effects like this need to be rewarded. Demi too I'm rooting for her but we know how the academy snubs horror or weird films
I think she has a better shot at getting in than Toni Collette or Lupita Nyongo, not to mention Emma Stone won for a weird, visually stunning performance just last year. I think Demi may be able to get the nomination and hope she does because her performance was one of the best I’ve seen in years
For a horror performance to get in the film needs to be one of the most talked films of the year and a cultural pehnomenon (Black Swan, Get Out, Silence of the Lambs, The Exorcist etc Misery and Carrie are only exeptions but the years were not that competitive and both became instant classics). Hereditary and Us were popular but were not phenomenons and were also out of the best picture, screenplay and director races. The Substance may really become the film of the year in a sense of a phenomenon especially with social media thing and has a bit more prestige thing going on with Cannes win, this year the only women directors who can get in are All we imagine is light, Babygirl and The Substance which i would keep an eye on cause it really could become a thing. The industry is already raving about it and Demi is on a full campaign trail. The film is bizzare and gory BUT its also unlike Hereditary and Us also a satire and a black comedy with a LOT of refrences to classic films and Kubrick that older voters COULD LIKE. I think The Substance is much closer to Black Swan and Get Out than to Hereditary and Us. What is also very important is that everyone is saying how The Substance NEEDS TO BE EXPERIENCED, SEEN etc especially with crowds and this kind of buzz is great.
I think something important to note is that the last ceremonies, the Oscars were won acting by actors for their first nomination (Kotsur, DeBose, Fraser, Yeoh, Quan, Curtis, Murphy, Randolph), so I cant say that the “first time nominee” thing could be an issue
I think Jean-Baptiste has the best chances of winning. She's an established veteran. She has the raves and reviews. She has Mike Leigh, an industry darling, by her side. The British voting bloc will back her. She's well known to audiences. A woman of Black/African descent hasn't won in ages. The frontrunners are both unknowns. The rest of the established veterans running (Jolie, Kidman, Ronan, Swinton and Moore) are in films that may not appeal to many audiences. I could be wrong, but I'm betting on it. I believe that Jean-Baptiste will win.
Imo very important fact is that Kidman was always ONLY nominated for Oscar bait, everything experimental and arthaus she had been snubbed for (The Paperboy, Birth, Eyes Wide Shut, Sacred Deer, To die for, Destroyer), and Babygirl is def in the later group. If nominated it will officialy be her first non classic Oscar bait nominated performance.
@@gauravw6947 Griveing mother roles one based on real life biopic other on a play that won Cynthia NIxon a Tony. And thats Oscar catnip. Everyone had her in their predictions even before the films premiered.
Huge fan of you tree !!!! i am so happy to see this amazing critics crossover!!!! i see always the awards contender ands oscar expert brother bro !!!! a mean every day!!! you guys are the best fot us the cinephiles!!! greetings from Guatemala !!!
There are no locks this year for best actress and this makes for an exciting race. Though Demi has Twitter buzz, it would be a gigantic push-forward for the Academy to admit a Horror performance (however great) is deserving.
Mikey madison is young and fresh. The academy loves to give young fresh actresses best lead actress oscars. Brie larson, Jennifer Lawrence, emma stone.
I personally loved Selena's performance in Emilia Perez I do agree it's an oscar nomination could be harder to get, but hopefully she gets a bafta or critics choice award nomination
Oscar Expert, Brother Bro, & Brian collabing on a video that will probably be longer than some of this year’s Best Picture nominees. This is gonna be a great way to kill two hours.
I think Demi can get the nom, maybe even go the distance. She will definitely get a boost from critics groups - even your discussion of Best Actress is mostly about strategies and campaigns, hers is the only work that is generating a conversation in itself. And she's got such a great narrative and she is handling herself with such poise - there's a subtle sense that maybe we could've treated Demi Moore a bit better in the '90s which fuels generosity here, not that she needs it. She's earned this nomination. She hasn't been around much so is a magnet herself, we are drawn to her, we want to see her, hear what she has to say - Demi Moore is conducting an entire revisionist view of her career and she's doing it with such ease. We look back and realise she starred opposite Nicholson, Cruise, Redford, and with genuine affection for her work with the now departed Patrick Swayze. She stood up to the rigors of Ridley Scott in a film that, regardless of industry word pre-release, opened at No. 1. She was at one time the highest paid actress in Hollywood history and notes that ALL actresses benefited from that. And, of course, we admire and respect her, not just for her return, but because like so many of us, we know she's dealing with a family member suffering from dementia, her former husband. We know her to be a good person. And her body. Her body was her work of art, her pregnant body a game-changing media construct that forever changed the way women perceive themselves and the way the world perceives them, which is such a great connection to her present. The film, The Substance. I can't stop thinking about it and am going to see it again this week. Word of mouth must be incredible because everyone I know who has seen it, really liked it. I'll bet the per screen average increases this week. I'm guessing The Substance will be sticking around. Comparisons to Hereditary are misplaced - Hereditary wasn't about anything. (And I was not a fan.) The Substance is an on-going provocation, a conversation that continues; while it may tackle its issues with a sledgehammer, its core issue - that we are all doing these things to ourselves - is powerful. It's pointing the finger at us, rather than saying we're the victims of something else. Nowhere is this better exemplified than in its star because we'd all be perfectly happy to be Demi Moore at 61. She's put herself out there and with good reason, it's a powerful activating message. The excesses of The Substance fall to the wayside, it's the core of the film that stays with you. (And even the excesses make one giddy with their ridiculousness.) I think Demi Moore is going to bag a nomination. Because she should.
What’s impressive is that Demi Moore is practically in scenes all alone and still has a commanding presence. It’s like doing a one man show with less lines. I would be so upset if she doesn’t get nominated atleast.
I think she has a better chance than Toni Collette and Lupita Nyongo did tbh. The Substance is a contender in some of the technical categories, possibly Original Screenplay and Demi would have a hell of a narrative If she keeps campaigning and the word of mouth for the movie remains strong she may be able to get the nom
Excellent video and collab!! I actually saw Sing Sing in Toronto just before tiff this year at a Cineplex because it also did not come to my city. Once you see Colman Domingo and especially Clarence Maclin with the whole ensemble (also Paul Raci!!), you will see how sensational the film is. I just hope that A24 can really push it this season especially with The Brutalist, Queer, and Babygirl on its slate.
Guardians of the galaxy 3 is the only MCU movie without an Oscar winner in the cast, and if Zoe Saldana wins, then every mcu movie will have an Oscar winner
my Oscars 2025 Best Actress top 5 Angelina Jolie - Maria Karla Sofía Gascón - Emilia Pérez Saoirse Ronan - The Outrun Nicole Kidman - Babygirl Demi Moore - The Substance next-in-line: Pamela Anderson - The Last Showgirl Amy Adams - Nightbitch Marianne Jean-Baptiste - Hard Truths Tilda Swinton - The Room Next Door Fernanda Torres - I'm Still Here
The brutalist hype will push felicity Jones to best supporting actress win She is a former nominee for the theory of everything. Nobody ever thought she will get a another nomination in her career
No 5 is enough, or they might just nominate every actress that year. Even best picture it should be only 5 like before because now it feels like every movie is nominated which is bs. Best picture should meet all elements that warrant best picture, and this is not the case anymore.
Hi Brian. Great video, love the collab. But the comparison you made between Toni Collette in Hereditary and Demi Moore in The Substance really seemed like a huge implicit spoiler, though I have not seen The Substance. Please be careful with spoilers, even if they are not overt!
"Sing Sing" had so much hype and then was released only to select cities forever. Never got to see it and I have an AMC with 30 screens nearby. If it ever played there, must have been for less than a week. I really wanted to see it.
@@vinnym5607 I also really wanted to see it. I live in a big city (Not LA or NY though), and it never came to town. Really stupid release strategy with this one
The A24 rollout of Sing Sing continues to bother me every time I think about it. I would've had to drive almost 5 hours to the nearest theater playing it, and I live in the second biggest city in my state! That's such an insane failure on A24's part I can't even fathom how they thought it was a good idea
Ridiculous. I almost saw it in Ann Arbor but that's too long a drive to justify seeing a movie. That it either never played at my AMC 30 or it happened in such a small window is absurd. I'm not sure what the thought process is.
thanks to one french actress that loves to reward her friends at venice, sony classics will go full rampage for the room next door and sadly fernanda will be ignored by them during campaigning
@@sasha76944 yea, i wish isabelle huppert stops being a jury president for the festivals that's a biased woman now fernanda will get nothing because of her fault
Weird to say Madame Morrible is a big flashy role in Wicked. It absolutely isn't. It's kind of a bit Part tbh. She doesn't even get a song. I would stake anything that Michelle Yeoh will not be nominated for that role tbh
Two thoughts: 1) The best parallel for Kidman's performance in Babygirl isn't her performance in Destroyer, but instead the one in The Paperboy, which was risqué, got Globes/SAG nominations, and then snubbed at the Oscars. I hope the result is different this time-- it's such a fun role and the Academy has changed by leaps and bounds-- but I'm nervous for her. 2) The difference between a Bob Dylan biopic and ones for Elton John, Whitney Houston, and Aretha Franklin is that the latter three can all skew camp (not that their lives aren't dramatic, but their cultural cachet can be caricaturish) whereas Dylan will probably be stone cold serious. This is part of why I think the Dylan biopic will be more loved by the Academy even if it's fairly standard.
there is a possibility that Mikey Madison might be the biggest snub to get the other veteran actresses have great performances like Demi Moore for The Substance, Pamela Anderson for The Last Showgirl, Marianne Jean-Baptiste for Hard Truths, Amy Adams for Nightbitch, Tilda Swinton for The Room Next Door, Fernanda Torres for I'm Still Here
My current predictions on the Awards Expert App (as of 27.9): *Best Lead Actress:* 21. Tilda Swinton (The Room Next Door) 20. Natasha Lyonne (His Three Daughters) 19. Sohelia Golestani (The Seed of the Sacred Fig) 18. Saoirse Ronan (Blitz) 17. Florence Pugh (We Live in Time) 16. June Squibb (Thelma) 15. Tilda Swinton (The End) 14. Lady Gaga (Joker: Folie à Deux) 13. Ryan Destiny (The Fire Inside) 12. Julianne Moore (The Room Next Door) 11. Jessica Lange (Long Day's Journey Into Night) 10. Fernanda Torres (I'm Still Here) 9. Mariane Jean-Baptiste (Hard Truths) 8. Pamela Anderson (The Last Showgirl) 7. Demi Moore (The Substance) 6. Nicole Kidman (Babygirl) --------------------------------------------------------- 5. Amy Adams (Nightbitch) 4. Saoirse Ronan (The Outrun) 3. Angelina Jolie (Maria) 2. Karla Sofía Gascon (Emilia Pérez) 1. Mikey Madison (Anora) *Best Lead Actor:* 21. Tom Hiddelston (The Life of Chuck) 20. Timothée Chalamet (Dune: Part Two) 19. Peter Sarsgaard (September 5) 18. Nicholas Hoult (Juror No. 2) 17. Sebastian Stan (A Different Man) 16. Cillian Murphy (Small Things Like These) 15. Paul Bettany (The Collaboration) 14. Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine) 13. Paul Mescal (Gladiator II) 12. Jesse Eisenberg (A Real Pain) 11. Andrew Garfield (We Live in Time) 10. Joaquin Phoenix (Joker: Folie à Deux) 9. Ethan Herisse (Nickel Boys) 8. Gabriel LaBelle (Saturday Night) 7. John David Washington (The Piano Lesson) 6. Ralph Fiennes (Conclave) --------------------------------------------------------- 5. Daniel Craig (Queer) 4. Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) 3. Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice) 2. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) 1. Colman Domingo (Sing Sing) *Best Supporting Actress:* 21. Karen Gillan (The Life of Chuck) 20. Catherine Keener (Joker: Folie à Deux) 19. Natasha Lyonne (His Three Daughters) 18. Tilda Swinton (The Room Next Door) 17. Elle Fanning (A Complete Unknown) 16. Rebecca Ferguson (Dune: Part Two) 15. Leonie Benech (September 5) 14. Margaret Qualley (The Substance) 13. Rachel Sennott (Saturday Night) 12. Joan Chen (Didi) 11. Lesley Manville (Queer) 10. Toni Collette (Juror No. 2) 9. Lady Gaga (Joker: Folie à Deux) 8. Selena Gomez (Emilia Pérez) 7. Isabella Rossellini (Conclave) 6. Maria Bakalova (The Apprentice) --------------------------------------------------------- 5. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Nickel Boys) 4. Felicity Jones (The Brutalist) 3. Saoirse Ronan (Blitz) 2. Danielle Deadwyler (The Piano Lesson) 1. Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) *Best Supporting Actor:* 19. Mark Hamill (The Life of Chuck) 18. Jeremy Pope (The Collaboration) 17. Javier Bardem (Dune: Part Two) 16. John Lithgow (Conclave) 15. J.K. Simmons (Juror No. 2) 14. Austin Butler (Dune: Part Two) 13. Brian Tyree Henry (The Fire Inside) 12. Drew Starkey (Queer) 11. Mark Eydelshteyn (Anora) 10. John Magaro (September 5) 9. Denzel Washington (Gladiator II) 8. Harris Dickinson (Blitz) 7. Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown) 6. Samuel L. Jackson (The Piano Lesson) --------------------------------------------------------- 5. Stanley Tucci (Conclave) 4. Guy Pearce (The Brutalist) 3. Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice) 2. Keiran Culkin (A Real Pain) 1. Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing) P.S. look me up on The Awards Expert app @poihpio98 for more wrong predictions and even wronger favourites!
Demi Moore getting a nomination would be an all timer pick, she was phenomenal in The Substance and has the career narrative
Two hours of Brian and the Oscar Expert crew??? Let's go!!!!!
Get back to hockey!
Toni Collette's snub was definitely one of the most infamous. Perhaps Demi Moore could get nominated, it would be like sorry from Academy 😂
Most "infamous " highly doubtful
Lupita Nyongo is the bigger snub since she won New York Film Critics and was nominated for SAG award
Also, it was a terrible film and Toni Collette's much admired talents were grossly misused. It's no surprise Ari Aster is in director jail. He should stay there.
Demi moore is not happening.
@@myytchanneldinakoha8498 She would definitely be in my top 5 candidates this year
Fernanda Torres is also a Cannes Best Actress winner when she was just 19. She is not an amateur falling from nowhere. She is coming for her nomination.
Totally agree. She could be the one to pay attention. People are talking a lot about her, and I’m talking about important critics. Wish the best luck for her.
Demo Moore blew me away in The Substance, and so many people I know have loved the movie. It was such an experience unlike anything I have ever watched and I think the word of mouth for it will be great. I hope both the movie and her get awards recognition as it is completely deserved.
we need some timestamps for these
Agreed
Everytime I see a good performance in a horror movie I'm like "If Toni Collette did not get a nomination for Hereditary, this shouldn't either!". Yep, I'm still pissed at that.
Demi Moore getting in would be a well deserved shocker
Yeah, Demi Moore is outstanding in "The Substance", but Oscar voters hate horror movies. i think that if that movie will get only in "best makeup and hairstyling", it would be still a big success
The difference is the major horror performances snubbed in the past have just been about the performance. Moore has a better shot because it’s the film AND the narrative
The academy was different when Hereditary came out than it is now.
😢
Demi Moore being nominated or winning BA would be so cool. Her performance was awesome in Substance.
I'm rooting for Demi Moore. I am not really enthusiastic about any other contender in the BA category.
Same! Her performance really moved me in a way that I haven’t felt in years. She was truly fearless and gave what had to have been an extremely vulnerable and demanding performance her all and delivered
While a win would be very difficult to pull off she does have the career narrative on her side and I could see the movie getting nominated in some of the technical categories so I wouldn’t write her off just yet
Not happening.
If 30 year old Saoirse Ronan gets nominated for the outrun and blitz, she’ll break the record of youngest person with 5 and 6 nominations, Kate winslet was 31 in little children and 33 in the reader
fernanda torres please 🙏 ❤
Ela nunca teve chance nenhuma e nem vai,acordem
@@girlboss3426printado just in case 🤭
@@girlboss3426 she has a chance. She is amazing
Fernanda Torres is extraordinary and deserv a nomination for "I'm Stil Here"
Ela não tem chance nenhuma e nunca teve
@@girlboss3426sai do fake gwyneth
@@girlboss3426tá com tempo msm de vir em todo comentário falando da Torres que ela não tem chance de indicação pqp
My picks :
Nicole Kidman
Saoirse Ronan
mickey Madison
Angelina Jolie
Demi Moore
Great picks!
Can’t describe how great it is to get 2 hours of this discussion
Its crazy to think that year after year horror film performances are lauded as the best performance and the Academy continues to snub them: Toni Collete, Lupita Nyongo, Mia Goth. I hope the trend doesn't continue with Demi Moore
This interview deserves it owns Oscar
Think I'm still recovering from how impactful that Demi Moore performance was. I really hope they Academy can look past their horror snobbery.
Same! Her performance really moved me in a way that I haven’t felt in years. She was truly fearless and gave what had to have been an extremely vulnerable and demanding performance her all and delivered
While a win would be very difficult to pull off she does have the career narrative on her side and I could see the movie getting nominated in some of the technical categories so I wouldn’t write her off just yet
@bryanalstoncoxing I hope you're right.
I think she's established enough for them to look past their horror dislike
@@arethanow agreed. Plus Emma Stone’s win last year for a daring performance in a visually/technically stunning film shows that the Academy is more openminded now than before
@@bryanalstoncoxing also EEAAO sweeping the year before makes me think the academy has opened up a lot more when it comes to genre films.
I get all that warm love for Demi and all, but my God!!! Substance needs a director nomination just as much... One big, massive achivement that was...
The collaboration of the century
This Oscar is for Demi, she is absolutely brilliant
I’m glad that you’re considering Michelle Yeoh for Wicked! I really hope that she’d get it!
In a perfect world, best actress 2025 would be:
- Mikey Madson
- Demi Moore
- Fernanda Torres
- Pamela Anderson
- Angelina Jolie
👀👀👀
nice pick
Pam? seriously
Karla Sofia Gascon should be here
Nicole kidman
troque só a demi moore com a karla que tá perfeita
I watched a lot of awards discussion videos over the years but I don't think I've ever clicked one as fast as this one. My favorite Awards pundits in one video? Dream!
Dear Brian when talking about nominations pls put a list on the screen.
Brian*
My two fav film channels coming together!
This was such a great conversation. The three of you offered interesting perspectives. Enjoy all three of you.
Demi Moore absolutely for Best Actress! She was incredible!
-Demi Moore would be awesome! She was absolutely great! 🙏🏽
- It was my impression, but I didn't hear you mention the two Fernandas: Torres and Montenegro in I'm Still Here 🤔 They were incredible!
They did discuss Torres, they even had a still of her on the screen.
Brian mentioned Torres
I HAVE BEEN WAITING FOR THIS CROSSOVER!!!! Thank you Brian and Oscar Expert! This is fantastic.
Manifesting another nomination for Kidman. The role/movie sound exciting.
Just remember: Wicked Part 1 will end with Erivo preforming Defying Gravity. If she nails it - and the film is terrific - watch out.
What time do they talk about Wicked?
@@AnotherOpinion69530:00
you have to remember the SAG Awards won't have any impact on the Oscars next year because when the SAG Awards do happen the Oscar voting will already been done. The winners won't make a difference.
Thank you for informing us! So it's the Globes, Critics Choice, Satellite, BAFTA, and AACTA that will matter this year regarding the acting categories.
@@davidpunzalan7354 AACRA and Satellites don't matter
Well the Oscar's voters will know who was nominated, so the nominations can definitely influence who they vote for.
That’s true SAG used to take place right before the final Oscar voting began so whoever won got the lasting momentum buzz from Oscar voters but due to last year actors/writers strike this date changed where the past SAG took place 3 days before final Oscar voting ended, this is one of the reasons why Emma stone was able to win the best actress Oscar over lily Gladstone Emma has the buzz for her back to back wins for the golden globe, critics choice and BAFTA.
@@davidpunzalan7354 Yes these matter more than ever.
We need Challengers to have an awards season revival! Zendaya, Nine Inch Nails, and Luca are so deserving. And with the cinematography and other lead performance this feels like a ten plus nomination film and I just don't understand how it's not gaining traction.
Kiman as snubbed for To Die For, Dogville, The Paperboy, Birth Destroyer and many other performances in divisive movies. The difference this time is: Babygirl seems to be almost unanimously praised, unlike the movies I just mentioned that worked against her. So, coming off Riccardos nod, and her AFI Lifetime Achievement award, and her success on TV, I think she might actually get in. Hope so.
Wow, awesome you got the oscar expert and brother bro on your channel! Love them
The substance needs attention for its makeup and hair! Practical effects like this need to be rewarded.
Demi too I'm rooting for her but we know how the academy snubs horror or weird films
I think she has a better shot at getting in than Toni Collette or Lupita Nyongo, not to mention Emma Stone won for a weird, visually stunning performance just last year. I think Demi may be able to get the nomination and hope she does because her performance was one of the best I’ve seen in years
@@bryanalstoncoxing that's true! Triangle of Sadness was a super weird and gross film too and it got a nomination
I would love a nomination for Natasha Lyonne for "His Three Daughters" and also "Best Original Screenplay"
For a horror performance to get in the film needs to be one of the most talked films of the year and a cultural pehnomenon (Black Swan, Get Out, Silence of the Lambs, The Exorcist etc Misery and Carrie are only exeptions but the years were not that competitive and both became instant classics). Hereditary and Us were popular but were not phenomenons and were also out of the best picture, screenplay and director races. The Substance may really become the film of the year in a sense of a phenomenon especially with social media thing and has a bit more prestige thing going on with Cannes win, this year the only women directors who can get in are All we imagine is light, Babygirl and The Substance which i would keep an eye on cause it really could become a thing. The industry is already raving about it and Demi is on a full campaign trail. The film is bizzare and gory BUT its also unlike Hereditary and Us also a satire and a black comedy with a LOT of refrences to classic films and Kubrick that older voters COULD LIKE. I think The Substance is much closer to Black Swan and Get Out than to Hereditary and Us. What is also very important is that everyone is saying how The Substance NEEDS TO BE EXPERIENCED, SEEN etc especially with crowds and this kind of buzz is great.
I think something important to note is that the last ceremonies, the Oscars were won acting by actors for their first nomination (Kotsur, DeBose, Fraser, Yeoh, Quan, Curtis, Murphy, Randolph), so I cant say that the “first time nominee” thing could be an issue
I think Downey was nominated before?
Downey has two previous...Chaplin and Tropic Thunder
Oh shi myb, but the point still stands tho
My two fave Oscar UA-camrs collabing in a two-hour prediction video?!? I COULD KISS YOU GUYS.
I love Fernanda Torres in "I'm Still Here' and Marianne Jean Baptiste in "Hard Truths".
I think Jean-Baptiste has the best chances of winning. She's an established veteran. She has the raves and reviews. She has Mike Leigh, an industry darling, by her side. The British voting bloc will back her. She's well known to audiences. A woman of Black/African descent hasn't won in ages. The frontrunners are both unknowns. The rest of the established veterans running (Jolie, Kidman, Ronan, Swinton and Moore) are in films that may not appeal to many audiences.
I could be wrong, but I'm betting on it. I believe that Jean-Baptiste will win.
Please Marianne Jean Baptiste. I really hope this movie plays near me. I'd love to see a Mike Leigh movie in a theater.
how is best actress complete if half the bets you think won't happen? girl, so confusing
Imo very important fact is that Kidman was always ONLY nominated for Oscar bait, everything experimental and arthaus she had been snubbed for (The Paperboy, Birth, Eyes Wide Shut, Sacred Deer, To die for, Destroyer), and Babygirl is def in the later group. If nominated it will officialy be her first non classic Oscar bait nominated performance.
What’s Oscar-bait about her performance in Lion or Rabbit Hole???
@@gauravw6947 Griveing mother roles one based on real life biopic other on a play that won Cynthia NIxon a Tony. And thats Oscar catnip. Everyone had her in their predictions even before the films premiered.
OMG-- my TWO favorite Oscar-watch channels have joined forces!!
Demi Moore has made alot of money for hollywood in her career, which might help her chances.
Huge fan of you tree !!!! i am so happy to see this amazing critics crossover!!!! i see always the awards contender ands oscar expert brother bro !!!! a mean every day!!! you guys are the best fot us the cinephiles!!! greetings from Guatemala !!!
How about Margaret Qualley - The Substance Supporting Actress?
There are no locks this year for best actress and this makes for an exciting race. Though Demi has Twitter buzz, it would be a gigantic push-forward for the Academy to admit a Horror performance (however great) is deserving.
Mikey madison is young and fresh. The academy loves to give young fresh actresses best lead actress oscars.
Brie larson, Jennifer Lawrence, emma stone.
Hilary Swank
Marlee matlin
Plus they haven’t given it to a young and upcoming actress since Stone’s first win, we haven’t had a young actress win since then
jennifer and emma were previous nominees before their wins. brie was in an indie hit before her win, mikey is gonna have it hard
@@Mai-jt6us why do you think Marley matlin won at the tender age of 21
I personally loved Selena's performance in Emilia Perez
I do agree it's an oscar nomination could be harder to get, but hopefully she gets a bafta or critics choice award nomination
it's so cute that you guys know each other!!!!
Oscar Expert, Brother Bro, & Brian collabing on a video that will probably be longer than some of this year’s Best Picture nominees. This is gonna be a great way to kill two hours.
I’m just hoping Pamela and or Demi get an Oscar nomination
🙌🏼I agree ❤ Give them the nominations atleast!
I think Demi can get the nom, maybe even go the distance. She will definitely get a boost from critics groups - even your discussion of Best Actress is mostly about strategies and campaigns, hers is the only work that is generating a conversation in itself. And she's got such a great narrative and she is handling herself with such poise - there's a subtle sense that maybe we could've treated Demi Moore a bit better in the '90s which fuels generosity here, not that she needs it. She's earned this nomination. She hasn't been around much so is a magnet herself, we are drawn to her, we want to see her, hear what she has to say - Demi Moore is conducting an entire revisionist view of her career and she's doing it with such ease. We look back and realise she starred opposite Nicholson, Cruise, Redford, and with genuine affection for her work with the now departed Patrick Swayze. She stood up to the rigors of Ridley Scott in a film that, regardless of industry word pre-release, opened at No. 1. She was at one time the highest paid actress in Hollywood history and notes that ALL actresses benefited from that. And, of course, we admire and respect her, not just for her return, but because like so many of us, we know she's dealing with a family member suffering from dementia, her former husband. We know her to be a good person. And her body. Her body was her work of art, her pregnant body a game-changing media construct that forever changed the way women perceive themselves and the way the world perceives them, which is such a great connection to her present. The film, The Substance.
I can't stop thinking about it and am going to see it again this week. Word of mouth must be incredible because everyone I know who has seen it, really liked it. I'll bet the per screen average increases this week. I'm guessing The Substance will be sticking around. Comparisons to Hereditary are misplaced - Hereditary wasn't about anything. (And I was not a fan.) The Substance is an on-going provocation, a conversation that continues; while it may tackle its issues with a sledgehammer, its core issue - that we are all doing these things to ourselves - is powerful. It's pointing the finger at us, rather than saying we're the victims of something else. Nowhere is this better exemplified than in its star because we'd all be perfectly happy to be Demi Moore at 61. She's put herself out there and with good reason, it's a powerful activating message. The excesses of The Substance fall to the wayside, it's the core of the film that stays with you. (And even the excesses make one giddy with their ridiculousness.) I think Demi Moore is going to bag a nomination. Because she should.
What’s impressive is that Demi Moore is practically in scenes all alone and still has a commanding presence. It’s like doing a one man show with less lines. I would be so upset if she doesn’t get nominated atleast.
Been waiting for this collab!
One of the guys said that no one in the musicals named was nominated before but Jennifer Hudson WON an Oscar and she played Aretha in “Respect”
Rooting for Nicole and Demi.
I will be rooting for Adams/Ronan until either they do not get nominated or I don't like their movies/performances.
I really enjoyed this collaboration!
Demi Moore!
It looks like the supporting categories will be interesting this year.
I wish Demi Moore would at least get a nomination for The Substance.
She's getting in.
@@singstreetcar5881 From your mouth to the good Lord's ears
I think she has a better chance than Toni Collette and Lupita Nyongo did tbh. The Substance is a contender in some of the technical categories, possibly Original Screenplay and Demi would have a hell of a narrative
If she keeps campaigning and the word of mouth for the movie remains strong she may be able to get the nom
She won't a body horror performance isn't making it to the Oscars. She was amazing so I hope I'm wrong though.
All these collabs are fire Brian!
25:55 - the part about Fernanda Torres
Excellent video and collab!! I actually saw Sing Sing in Toronto just before tiff this year at a Cineplex because it also did not come to my city. Once you see Colman Domingo and especially Clarence Maclin with the whole ensemble (also Paul Raci!!), you will see how sensational the film is. I just hope that A24 can really push it this season especially with The Brutalist, Queer, and Babygirl on its slate.
Demi Moore’s performance in “The Substance” is phenomenal!
3:50 this is really delightful
Guardians of the galaxy 3 is the only MCU movie without an Oscar winner in the cast, and if Zoe Saldana wins, then every mcu movie will have an Oscar winner
my Oscars 2025 Best Actress
top 5
Angelina Jolie - Maria
Karla Sofía Gascón - Emilia Pérez
Saoirse Ronan - The Outrun
Nicole Kidman - Babygirl
Demi Moore - The Substance
next-in-line:
Pamela Anderson - The Last Showgirl
Amy Adams - Nightbitch
Marianne Jean-Baptiste - Hard Truths
Tilda Swinton - The Room Next Door
Fernanda Torres - I'm Still Here
mickey, nicole, angelina, tilda. 5th slot probably for The Message for Modern Audiences (Emilia Perez)
The brutalist hype will push felicity Jones to best supporting actress win
She is a former nominee for the theory of everything. Nobody ever thought she will get a another nomination in her career
I think deadwiyler is stronger also we still need to see Elle fanning and Ariana grande
@@gabrielcastaneda9700neither of them stand a single chance lmfao
@@Lamidemonami7891 Elle could pull a Maggie in crazy heart
@@gabrielcastaneda9700 eh… no
I think the Oscar’s should expand their acting categories to 6 nominees instead of 5
Agreed
Then people would ask for 7... then 8.
@@shadysorkin9214 no, 6 is enough
No 5 is enough, or they might just nominate every actress that year. Even best picture it should be only 5 like before because now it feels like every movie is nominated which is bs. Best picture should meet all elements that warrant best picture, and this is not the case anymore.
omg the Menendez brothers! 😆😆 (love the collab)
🤭
Hi Brian. Great video, love the collab. But the comparison you made between Toni Collette in Hereditary and Demi Moore in The Substance really seemed like a huge implicit spoiler, though I have not seen The Substance. Please be careful with spoilers, even if they are not overt!
Sing Sing is giving me The Iron Claw vibes with how much A24 is botching this release
"Sing Sing" had so much hype and then was released only to select cities forever. Never got to see it and I have an AMC with 30 screens nearby. If it ever played there, must have been for less than a week. I really wanted to see it.
@@vinnym5607 I also really wanted to see it. I live in a big city (Not LA or NY though), and it never came to town. Really stupid release strategy with this one
I think Nicole Kidman is locked
Definitely
I literally manifested this....Oscar heaven
Best supporting actor is up in the air
Dennis quaid is gaining momentum for the substance. He is a veteran. He has pained his dues in Hollywood
I think it comes down to
Denzel Washington vs guy pearce
He’s also a dumbass conservative
I think Angelina Jolie for best actress
Kate Winslet in Lee?
The crossover we didn't know we needed!
The A24 rollout of Sing Sing continues to bother me every time I think about it. I would've had to drive almost 5 hours to the nearest theater playing it, and I live in the second biggest city in my state! That's such an insane failure on A24's part I can't even fathom how they thought it was a good idea
Ridiculous. I almost saw it in Ann Arbor but that's too long a drive to justify seeing a movie.
That it either never played at my AMC 30 or it happened in such a small window is absurd. I'm not sure what the thought process is.
FERNANDA TORRES. ORGULHO DO BRASIL! A CAMPANHA PRO OSCAR VAI ACONTECER! 🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷
Justice por Fernanda Torres ❤❤❤
thanks to one french actress that loves to reward her friends at venice, sony classics will go full rampage for the room next door
and sadly fernanda will be ignored by them during campaigning
@@sasha76944 yea, i wish isabelle huppert stops being a jury president for the festivals
that's a biased woman
now fernanda will get nothing because of her fault
Weird to say Madame Morrible is a big flashy role in Wicked. It absolutely isn't. It's kind of a bit Part tbh. She doesn't even get a song. I would stake anything that Michelle Yeoh will not be nominated for that role tbh
What time do they talk about Wicked!?
Two thoughts:
1) The best parallel for Kidman's performance in Babygirl isn't her performance in Destroyer, but instead the one in The Paperboy, which was risqué, got Globes/SAG nominations, and then snubbed at the Oscars. I hope the result is different this time-- it's such a fun role and the Academy has changed by leaps and bounds-- but I'm nervous for her.
2) The difference between a Bob Dylan biopic and ones for Elton John, Whitney Houston, and Aretha Franklin is that the latter three can all skew camp (not that their lives aren't dramatic, but their cultural cachet can be caricaturish) whereas Dylan will probably be stone cold serious. This is part of why I think the Dylan biopic will be more loved by the Academy even if it's fairly standard.
there is a possibility that Mikey Madison might be the biggest snub
to get the other veteran actresses have great performances like Demi Moore for The Substance, Pamela Anderson for The Last Showgirl, Marianne Jean-Baptiste for Hard Truths, Amy Adams for Nightbitch, Tilda Swinton for The Room Next Door, Fernanda Torres for I'm Still Here
Wating for your reactions when Fernanda Torres get nominated for Best Actress
Demi Moore best actress bye
My current predictions on the Awards Expert App (as of 27.9):
*Best Lead Actress:*
21. Tilda Swinton (The Room Next Door)
20. Natasha Lyonne (His Three Daughters)
19. Sohelia Golestani (The Seed of the Sacred Fig)
18. Saoirse Ronan (Blitz)
17. Florence Pugh (We Live in Time)
16. June Squibb (Thelma)
15. Tilda Swinton (The End)
14. Lady Gaga (Joker: Folie à Deux)
13. Ryan Destiny (The Fire Inside)
12. Julianne Moore (The Room Next Door)
11. Jessica Lange (Long Day's Journey Into Night)
10. Fernanda Torres (I'm Still Here)
9. Mariane Jean-Baptiste (Hard Truths)
8. Pamela Anderson (The Last Showgirl)
7. Demi Moore (The Substance)
6. Nicole Kidman (Babygirl)
---------------------------------------------------------
5. Amy Adams (Nightbitch)
4. Saoirse Ronan (The Outrun)
3. Angelina Jolie (Maria)
2. Karla Sofía Gascon (Emilia Pérez)
1. Mikey Madison (Anora)
*Best Lead Actor:*
21. Tom Hiddelston (The Life of Chuck)
20. Timothée Chalamet (Dune: Part Two)
19. Peter Sarsgaard (September 5)
18. Nicholas Hoult (Juror No. 2)
17. Sebastian Stan (A Different Man)
16. Cillian Murphy (Small Things Like These)
15. Paul Bettany (The Collaboration)
14. Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine)
13. Paul Mescal (Gladiator II)
12. Jesse Eisenberg (A Real Pain)
11. Andrew Garfield (We Live in Time)
10. Joaquin Phoenix (Joker: Folie à Deux)
9. Ethan Herisse (Nickel Boys)
8. Gabriel LaBelle (Saturday Night)
7. John David Washington (The Piano Lesson)
6. Ralph Fiennes (Conclave)
---------------------------------------------------------
5. Daniel Craig (Queer)
4. Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
3. Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)
2. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
1. Colman Domingo (Sing Sing)
*Best Supporting Actress:*
21. Karen Gillan (The Life of Chuck)
20. Catherine Keener (Joker: Folie à Deux)
19. Natasha Lyonne (His Three Daughters)
18. Tilda Swinton (The Room Next Door)
17. Elle Fanning (A Complete Unknown)
16. Rebecca Ferguson (Dune: Part Two)
15. Leonie Benech (September 5)
14. Margaret Qualley (The Substance)
13. Rachel Sennott (Saturday Night)
12. Joan Chen (Didi)
11. Lesley Manville (Queer)
10. Toni Collette (Juror No. 2)
9. Lady Gaga (Joker: Folie à Deux)
8. Selena Gomez (Emilia Pérez)
7. Isabella Rossellini (Conclave)
6. Maria Bakalova (The Apprentice)
---------------------------------------------------------
5. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Nickel Boys)
4. Felicity Jones (The Brutalist)
3. Saoirse Ronan (Blitz)
2. Danielle Deadwyler (The Piano Lesson)
1. Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)
*Best Supporting Actor:*
19. Mark Hamill (The Life of Chuck)
18. Jeremy Pope (The Collaboration)
17. Javier Bardem (Dune: Part Two)
16. John Lithgow (Conclave)
15. J.K. Simmons (Juror No. 2)
14. Austin Butler (Dune: Part Two)
13. Brian Tyree Henry (The Fire Inside)
12. Drew Starkey (Queer)
11. Mark Eydelshteyn (Anora)
10. John Magaro (September 5)
9. Denzel Washington (Gladiator II)
8. Harris Dickinson (Blitz)
7. Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown)
6. Samuel L. Jackson (The Piano Lesson)
---------------------------------------------------------
5. Stanley Tucci (Conclave)
4. Guy Pearce (The Brutalist)
3. Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice)
2. Keiran Culkin (A Real Pain)
1. Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing)
P.S. look me up on The Awards Expert app @poihpio98 for more wrong predictions and even wronger favourites!
Kate Winslet for Lee.
Has that recipe.
Saoirse Ronan for both The Outrun and Blitz will give her enough nominations for Oscars, both great performances! She's long overdue for the Academy.
Finallllyyy! My faves in one video ❤❤❤❤
2 hours????? Omg what did I do to deserve this!!!🤩
Fernanda Torres is the best this year
The most ambitious crossover!!!
is Lee not eligible?
The crossover I knew I needed 😎
My favorite movies of the year are Dune, Challengers, The Substance, Babygirl and Anora. I hope they all win something.
The biggest crossover event in Oscar history!