Yet More French Elections: Could Macron Lose the Legislature? - TLDR News
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- Опубліковано 9 чер 2022
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France is heading the polls yet again this weekend, with them electing a new legislature. This could be a crucial, as if Macron's party loses then the President's power will be severely diminished by their inevitable new coalition partner...
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1 - / 1533111904163573760
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5 - www.politico.eu/article/macro...
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- *all overseas territories including the UK* 5:46
Bonaparte would be proud
I think he meant the "French in Foreign Countries" ("Français de l'étranger") situation, which is a special "district" where French citizens living in foreign countries can vote for a special candidate dedicated to French people living outside of France
@@koopanique you're probably right, but imagining it as him mistakingly implying that all of the UK has been conquered and integrated into France feels funnier
@@CheekyHussar Yeah indeed, it could have been expressed better I think
@@koopanique with their frequent upload schedule I suppose the overall small amount of slip ups is quite impressive
I thought I had misheard... :D
1:26 well actually the top 2 directly qualify but for a triangular you need 12.5% of people eligible to vote to go through, not 12.5% of voters. For instance, you got 20% of the votes but only 50% voted, it makes 10% and it's not enough for the 3rd-placer to be in the 2nd round run-off
There's nothing more important when presenting news about France than making sure you're pronouncing the French names right XD
MeeterAND gave me a giggle.
Mélenchon sometimes sounded me very English
just a pity they can't pronounce a single Ukrainian placename even remotely right
Small correction: the threshold for the 2nd round is 12.5% of all *registered voters* and not of all participating voters. This is why only 2 or 3 can make it; voter turnout is usually very low since the parliamentary and presidential elections were synchronized in 2002, as a lot of people feel voting again only a month or two after the presidential election is pointless.
the fewer people vote the better it is 😂
Not TLDR suggesting that the uk is an overseas territory of france
They meant french nationals voting in foreign countries.
@@ilanpichon7038 I’m aware what they meant that is the problem with using imprecise language.
sadly it isn't.
President Macron and Prime Minister Melenchon would be fucking wild
Not really, I’d expect J-L to become surprisingly tame once given what he drooled over for so long, and Macron only has to ‘pull a Chirac’ and let his leftist side out a bit more to cajole the least-radical far left elements. A few Minister and state secretary positions offered, and you will see exactly how ‘insoumis’ they truly are...
@@KerbalFacile Melenchon is aware of the losses of Syriza, Corbyn and Sanders. I don't expect him to be so weak and politically ineffectual.
He'll never chose Mélenchon. If NUPS gets majority, he'll either chose some lieutenant of France Insoumise or even someone from another party of the coalition like PS with whome he can work.
@@HahaDamn i really hope a left PM in French would be better than our Syriza government in Greece. It's a shame we had the chance to set an example of left-wing politics could work in the frame of EU too (and I am saying this because I firmly believe that most citizens support EU membership and that EU could change for the better) but we did nothing with it
@@zaydalaoui9397 The nupes made a contract to let Mélanchon be prime minister so it would be his only choice.
Indeed ! Actually, I spoke about it with my sons. Educated anglos take care of pronouncing French names correctly, while most of the francophones, except the Quebecois, pronouce english names with a strong french accent.
I can assure you I cannot recall a single time I heard an anglophone correctly pronounce a French name
@@depauwgerlings because you dont know educated anglos :-)
we make no effort simply because we know that Anglo-Saxon women love our accent XD
It just hard for us
@@olelain I very much do, they think they're pronouncing it right, but they're really not
Macron not getting a majority is unlikely, but it might end up being a relative majority, which would still allow him to pick his government, including prime minister, but his delegates in the Assembly would have to negotiate with other parties in order to pass legislation.
Not a coalition though?
I would love to have coalition however, this will be difficult.
The current party are coalition, Nupes for the left and ensemble for the center (with macron).
So it would means dissolving the current coalitions which will takes some time.
I'm French and the game is rigged my friend
@@gistar22 The universe may be vast and complex, a quantum particle may be difficult to keep track of, but humans fit a physiological and psychological pattern which is incredibly predictable. If the game isn't rigged, that means nobody is playing.
@@sirdeadlock If human groups are very predictable, can we predict what's going to happen in the next 100 years?
This reminds me of what happens in the United States if the president and Congress are from different parties.
Pretty that Obama spent a portion of his 2nd term as a "lame duck" because of cohabitation, I may be wrong though
@@liammaterman1701 Happened to Bill Clinton in the 90s.
That was ironic. Just as you were about to spill the beans on your opinion of Brexit, UA-cam decided to interrupt with an ad. Probably when I return you will have skipped over the reveal. :-)
Can we get an update to this
If it's rare that even two candidates get through to the second round, how could there have only been four seats that were won in the first round in 2017?
There are always two candidates minimum in a second round.
I think he meant it say "it's rare that *more than* 2 candidates get through"
I guess that means 2017 was an exceptional year. It's just that in most elections only 1-2 candidates get through in the first round.
Why do they always vote on a Sunday? Don't they like their roast beef?
How about not
even if macron doesn't get his plurality. he may team up with le rublicien
1:35,you made the same mistake, again. to go to the second round, a candidate needs 12.5% of registered voters, not 12.5% of votes. Turnout in legislative elections is usually around 50%, so 12.5% of registered voters is around 25% of the votes
Good News!
Interesting that luc mélenchon is seen as left and not radical left despite there being a more 'mainstream'/'moderate' left option. The left can also be radical; not just the right.
They're openly biased. Just watch the part where they say that national preference is unconstitutional.
He is quite radical it is true, but there are more "moderate" parties like the Green party (EELV) and the socialist party (PS), though the PS is largely hated by most since the presidency of François Hollande the traitor.
But Mélenchon is far from an extremist either, though Macron's supporters call them extremists, enemies to the republic, islamo-leftists, and more stupid names clearly wrong or exagerrated. Just because they were afraid to lose. But in the end, they did lose.
And now Macron has no majority and wants to patner with the far right to pass laws, meaning that he has no problem allying with a party known for having in its ranks not only nationalists, but fascists and even neo-nazis, though they're not the majority.
Macron doesn't care, he's known to despise the slowness of democracy, and hates debates. He's what we call in France a bonapartist. In appearance faithful to the republic, but in fact wants to rule on his own, without people questioning him or his decisions.
@@hugolouessard3914 He’s a self-declared marxist, who fetishizes both Venezuela and Cuba.
His party’s platform is also akin to that of Mitterand circa 1998, long before he espoused social democracy.
His party is now violating the national Assembly’s guidelines too.
He calls elections illegitimate when he loses and opposes laïcité, which even the Communist party supports.
His party is filled with racialists, who have voiced pro-islamist stances.
The entire political spectrum considers him an extremists, even his PS and Green allies did until recently.
@@flyingpharoah4867 That's funny, cause none of what you said is even close to be true.
He was a communist when he was in his twenties to begin with.
Second he's influenced by the writings of Marx, that doesn't make him an extremist.
The "fact" that he supposedly fetichizes Venezuela and Cuba is an argument used over and over again by his opponents, but the truth is he just, rightfully so, points out that good things have been done in Venezuela. He doesn't speak good of Cuba at all except when talking about vaccines though.
He didn't call any election illegitimate, that's fake news, I don't know on what shitty news site you saw that.
He doesn't oppose laicity, on the contrary, he's one ofthe very few that treats islam equally to the other religions when others treat it like a danger to democracy, spread islamophobia and treat all muslims like criminals.
He's an atheist, even used to be anticlericalist, he is very strict on laicity.
He's not a "racialist" (this word means nothing, it's a made up word to villify people), he just aknowledges the fact that some minorities need special help to counterbalance the deficit thay start with in life in general.
And no, the political spectrum doesn't consider him an extremist. That's just a very recent tactic used by Macron's party and the right to destroy the whole left.
These last 5 years, in the assembly, all the members of parliament adressed him regularly by saying they admired his passion for the republic, deep down they have a high opinion of him. Especially Macron, who's very condescending, considers him of those very smart, a fantastic speaker and true republican.
He's one of the very few great republicans we have left with the right wing becoming more and more extreme.
He'll be remembered in history as a great figure of the left because he fought the truly, deeply right fights.
He has nothing extreme, he's an ecosocialist, he practicaly invented a new current of thought in France, created the main left-wing party of the years to come.
You're clearly biased by billionaire's medias.
Give me one extreme thing in his presidential program. There are none.
He wants a greener France, with a renewed strong industry, a new republic, more democratic that involves the pople much more.
He wants social justice ; to give everyone a chance to live decently, with a decent wages.
He wants to tax the very rich, who have multiplied their worth by 6 in 2 years !!!!!!!
Most of his propositions, the majority of people stand behind.
But the media, owned by billionaires with their own, different interests, hate him and do everything to make people think he's dangerous when in fact he's a social democrat ecologist.
@@hugolouessard3914 I love how you don’t answer my points and instead start responding to comments others have made.
It’s clear you’re one of his demented followers.
There’s no ounce of honesty here.
Also, islamophobia is a meaningless term devised and spread by islamist scholars.
Islam is an ideology, not a race, but your race-obsessed friends don’t understand that.
Ok so:
- The threshold for getting to the second round isn't 12.5% of the vote but 12.5% of the registered voters in the circonscription.
- So triangulgars are rare indeed because turnout is generally around 50%, so three candidates need about 25% of the vote for it to happen. But a two candidates second round isn't rare as you said because it's what happens by default. 572 out of the 577 elections had a 2 way second round. That's also because, if no candidate gets 50% of the vote AND only one gets 12.5% of the registered, the two first candidates of the first round go to the second round anyway.
- "Assemblée Nationale" is pronounced "NaSSionale", not "NaSHionale". It was almost perfect though, got to appreciate the effort
- Most estimates don't suggest a cohabitation would happen, but maybe a coalition. Cohabitations happened in France when one bloc had an absolute majority and wasn't the presidential bloc. This is probably not going to happen, but Macron might not get 289 seats so he would be forced to compromise (probably with LR, the traditionnal right-wing party), and with the left if that's still not enough.
4:52 A country putting it's own citizrns first is not against that stated equality, if they are already citizens.
One thing to keep in mind is the fact that center left leaning voters ( Progressives, Social Democrats) are currently split between Macron and Mélenchon and the candidate who gets the most of their votes will have an advantave in the second round
There's also the ongoing question about the portion of registered voters who will choose to abstain or not .
Mélenchon's electorate is far more popular than Macron so it is an open question if enough Mélenchon voters who are generally disintested and apathetic during elections will show up to make a difference
Ya, out of Melencon himself's voters, 1/3rd voted for Macron on the 2nd round, a third abstained, but the other third voted Le Pen
Popular translates perhaps better here to disaffected or blue collar.
Melenchon has a lot of young supporters - who have a habit of not actually turning up to vote!
@@rogink Indeed important point to keep in mind
5:45 wait, the UK can vote in French elections?
French citizens in the UK can
In their intentions they can. I'm curious when the Tories will spark and actual armed conflict with France
cohabitation is when the opposition has the absolute majority otherwise it's a minority government
And, with a majority to Macron, the scenario you have just described is among the most likely to happen, unlike a complete victory (absolute majority) for NUPES
5:45 including the uk?
I think he meant the "French in Foreign Countries" ("Français de l'étranger") situation, which is a special "district" where French citizens living in foreign countries can vote for a special candidate dedicated to French people living outside of France
Yeah! French parliamentary elections also holds in other countries as well, there are deputies which represents foreign territories. You might want to ask why and the answer is pretty simple. The point is not to represent foreigners but to represent _french_ people who _lives_ in those foreign countries. Those are the ones who actually vote for these deputies. Those deputies are not actually tied to countries like the UK but to whole parts of continent. The UK is part of an arbitrary "north europe" section.
@@koopanique oh right thank you
Good.
So far not a single poll (taking into account the left as a coalition) indicates Macron would lose his plurality, ofcourse it is possible, but would be quite the upset. For now the real question according to the polls is whether he'll get a majority or not, since most indicate a number of seats right above or around the needed seats to get it.
That's a spot-on observation and it raises a question about the accuracy and/or trustworthiness of said polls, which have unanimously and consistently underestimated the left's results for at least ten years. So it seems to me rather unwise to consider what polls say to determine any sole real question.
Further into this, french polling institute have explained that their formulas exclude electors who are uncertain for whom to vote or whether they will vote. At the same time the left has been increasingly focusing their campaigns in the areas where participation has been low for a while, so I'd say there is a distinct possibility for an offset of the current power balance and so of polls.
@@jg9585
*which have unanimously and consistently underestimated the left's results for at least ten years*
Have they though? In 2012 and 2017 presidential elections the polls were pretty much dead on and this year it was within the margin of error of 3% (when looking at the entire left).
In 2012 the polling in the legislative elections the seats and votes for the left were also pretty much dead on. In 2017 it was quite a bit off, but not just for the left, also for the right. It seems the polls overexaggerated the succes of the new LREM party back then.
I'd assume with the experiences of 2017, this time the legislative polling might be a bit improved to more match the 2012 accuracy, but that is something we'll have to see within a few days.
*french polling institute have explained that their formulas exclude electors who are uncertain for whom to vote or whether they will vote.*
Except I am looking at the results of several different polling agencies, often with different techniques. But I guess we'll find out how accurate they were this time.
*At the same time the left has been increasingly focusing their campaigns in the areas where participation has been low for a while, so I'd say there is a distinct possibility for an offset of the current power balance and so of polls.*
Polling should normally look at all of the population, so if more people intend to vote compared to the other times, then this should already be reflected in the polls. Again might depend on the different techniques used.
What the current polls show is that possibly the left coalition might get a plurality of the vote, but not even close to a pluraility of the seats, which could indicate the left being very strong in some departments, but overall speaking less strong than some other parties (like Ensemble). In the % of the votes, there constantly is a switch of who gets the plurality, but there never is a switch in the number of seats, there it doesn't seem to even be close.
What polls are you seeing? Most polls have them tied or the left winning.
@@DOCTORKHANblog You need to look at the seats predictions, not the first round vote share, where they indeed regularly switch who has the plurality.
@Jean Sanchez Yes, but the overall left lost votes in the election vs polling, if you coun't the overall left the polls were just within the 3% margin, not great, but not that wrong either.
Overall speaking polls are generally pretty close to the result, only in few cases is it off the mark, which can happen afterall it are just predictions and people can change their mind or make them up right at the end.
Personally I rarely ever heard of people getting influenced by polling, it can happen, but is generally rare.
Ironically this presidential election it might actually have impacted it, with more of the left voters switching to Melenchon because polling had him as the only shot for a left wing candidate to get into the second round.
This aged like milk
it's not very accurate to call the tree block left or right.French political partry now try to stay away from the notion of left or right. What would be the most accurate is calling it : A social-ecological bloc, a liberal block and a identitarian bloc.
Not at all, just the presidential party (centre-right party) say that, the left is still the left and the right is still the right 😅
That is completely false. First the far right : OK they don't call themselves far right, but they actually don't call themselves identitarians either. They entertain the fact that they're supposedly not right nor left.
Macron is indeed a liberal, there's no denying that, but french people agree that he's clearly right winged overall, and his party, though going from a few centre left members to right neo-liberal conservatives, is agreed by most to be centre-right.
For the left, yes they agree they are a social-ecological bloc, but they insist they are the left; it is a big pride for most left-winged. Even if the Parti socialiste for example has become more of social-liberal party, clearly centrist for the last 20 years or so. Though the new generation rejects François Hollande's government actions more and more and tends to go left again a bit more these days.
Man that grumpy Macron at 05:30
😂
The reason why Les Republicains win more seats than Le Pen is that in the second round, the centrists-to-left-wing parties coalesce around LR(Front Republicain) to limit as much as possible the number of seats the far-right wins.
Finaly the RN have more seats than the republican
There is a little mistake in the video, there are at least 2 candidats on the second round, the 12.5% rule apply only to the other candidate
In what UNIVERSE is Marcon anywhere near the right???
Great video!
Jack... From what I heard from a few Frenchmen, aren’t Macron’s party and his coalitions called Ensemble not En Marche?
Would you please make a video on the possibility of a food crisis triggered by the invasion? Thanks.
It's current name is "Renaissance"
@@insertname2insertsurname216 "Ebsemble" is its slogan
Ensemble! is the name of the electoral coalition, LREM (soon Renaissance) is the party name.
@@playman350 Merci.
@@Juju-id6dw Merci.
I love that you put Macron's party as centre-right and within the French right block -- I've been saying Macron is centre right for years.
Like Obama and Biden.
@ The Democratic Party is pretty much centre right by default, with some more liberal and left leaning members in there. It’s not like those more left leaning members have anywhere to go anyway and they’ll never be put into positions where there’ll hold too much power or that they will be in the majority.
@@ruekurei88 it’s all about perspective, Americas Overton is way more to the right than an average European nation so depending on the nation where one party may seem left to one, may seem right to another
@@braedanquigley7500 Exactly, people don't get that right and left in politics are not absolute, but change from context and personal perspective
@ The US's left-right definition in general is a lot more skewed compared to the rest of the world.
US far left = left
US left = centre
US centre = right
US right = far right
US far right = terrorist
You label the far-left "left", yet label the far-right "far-right". You also label the centrists "center-right". How biased can you plebs get?
@Alex Pokrandt There 1 right-wing party out of 4 in ensemble.
Any centrist coalition will have more right and left wing elements.
This is not biased. This is partisan. It rehashes far-left talking points.
LFI is not a Social Democratic party and is regarded as far-left by all political parties, save for LFI.
Even the Greens and PS uses to regard them as such before they allied with them.
NUPES is composed of the Communist Party, openly anti-cap Greens (not like in Germany), the PS, and LFI - whose program is akin to that of Mitterand circa 1989, before he become as Social Democrat.
Hell, the NUPES’s leader, Mélenchon, openly identifies as a Marxist.
Facts do not agree with your partisan labels.
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I understood all of that.
The name of Macron's party changed a few days (weeks) ago.
Essemble/Renaissance are just branding names. They're still officially en march.
In my opinion macron has a very good, probably even optimal strategy for victories, it might not secure him a full majority but its very smart how he pivots from center right to center left campaigning depending on the major opponent, he ran a more right campaign to squeeze NR between him and the extreme right, now he is selecting more leftist candidates during the campaign try and do the same to the left
He has selected no leftist candidate. Are you high? He's selected an accused rapist and a hyper capitalist.
I'm French and the game is rigged my friend
I do not mind him but he is a Russian fan
@@gistar22 La Nupes ou 5 ans d'enfer.
I wonder what he's strategy would have be if he was against Mélenchon in the 2nd round of the presidential election
How exactly does prioritizing french citizens go against the equality of french citizens? I dont see how it would go against the french constitution (unless its some weird EU law that got copied).
I think they meant French-born people rather than just French citizens.🤔 At least that's what I got.
@@sion8 That's not what she's proposing. No, they lied. They've shown massive biased throughout this and other videos.
@Somewhatskeptical Not against French law. Only discriminating BETWEEN citizens is.
@Somewhatskeptical French law can be changed. That’s what politics is about.
Discriminating between Citizens is what is against the Constitution. Hell, we already discriminate between citizens and mere residents.
Otherwise citizenship would simply be worthless.
Farage is gonna be furious when he finds out we're now an overseas territory of France.
Indeed
- Wait, it's all France?
- Always has been.
It's 1066 all over again. Suck it, Nigel.
I was in a cohabilitation once. learned a lot about skin care routines
he lost. badly.
legisltative lol
Can't unsee
Big up for the spot on pronunciations. I know a lot of people probably don't care but it's nice to see the occasional people trying to get foreign languages pronunciation right, even if it weren't spot on, it can mean a lot.
You missed "MeeterAND"? It was laughable.
Le Pen is mightier than le sword
cringe
@@bothi00 _-your words have no power here-_
@@E4439Qv5 grow up kid
@@bothi00 **twiddles moustache**
And just how old do you think I am?
(The answer might surprise you.) 😉
Semi persidential systems seem very redundant with a PM and President.
Fix your sound please
5:47 ah yes, the u.k., my favourite french overseas territory
LREM would probably cooperate with NUPES or LR if they do not achieve a majority.
3:20 because the French think Marine Le pen is too soft, they need a “Very Far-Right” party .. awesome
To be fair, Zemmour is more of a media phenomenon. He was one of the most important figures of Cnews (French Fox News in a way), and his very shocking interventions were always relayed in other medias, causing an echo chamber. He was polling extremely high during the presidential campaign, but after the first round he only scored 7%, which is 5 to 10% less than some polls had estimated. He was a candidate for the legislative elections, and neither he or his lieutenants even made it to the second round which is quite rare for a high profile politician
She is too soft. She's basically the French equivalent of the Danish Social Democrats but ignorant fools slander her
Anyone else read the thumbnail as French Erection: Is Macron Losing Control?
double edge sword
he won as president but legislature is enemy majority if ever
He might get a deal with the centre right (Republicans, Christian democrats, etc...)
there's no christian democrats party in france
@@speaker6532 no but there's many of them in UDI
@@speaker6532 There is one actually, Via (previously Parti Chrétien Démocrate), founded by Christine Boutin, but this is a small party, with no seat in the 2017 elections. Can't really make an impact then. They're currently affiliated with Eric Zemmour.
Your citing of french constitution does not contradict with le pens policy. She wants citizens to get differential treatment over noncitizens and your cited quote says that all citizens are equal under the law.
Furthermore, melecon is euroskeptic, meaning that over half of ballots cast in the presidential election were for euroskeptics. If melecon leads the left then macros pro euro policies will have a difficult time getting through parliment.
When did the UK become an overseas territory of France???
1066
Since William.
Daily briefing yawn, but I'd love to be interested in Nebula
as a Frenchman, I'm very amused about how you try so hard to pronounce our politicians' names accurately
I'm sure your pronunciation of British names is absolutely perfect, of course.
@@MikeAG333
your ego is fragile, he’s just joking…
It’s a respect thing in English. You always make the effort to pronounce peoples names as they would pronounce it themselves, whether it’s German, Japanese, Ghanaian or Guatemalan.
@@jonathanodude6660
I think english-speaking canadian journalists are the only ones who try to pronounce foreign names correctly.
let’s be honest, british, american or australian people just butcher foreign names…
english speaking people always look with contempt anything that doesn’t sound english…
@@maxrolland3148 I mean this is very wrong, but it’s not exactly fair to say that about journalists because they’re reading on the spot. Guessing it wrong is probably worse than not guessing how to pronounce it at all. Canadians kinda have to when it comes to French lol, but everywhere else it’s a respect thing. If they respect you, they’ll look it up beforehand and practice and try. If not, well, get used to the anglicisation.
Macon never struck me as a "center-right" kinda guy. I've always seen him as a centrist technocrat; fairly socially liberal, but a friend to big business and a bigger friend to the E.U. In the U.S. he'd be a business Democrat like Bill Clinton, and in the U.K. he'd be a LibDem.
Also, when did the U.K. become an oversees territory of France? That sounds like the only thing the British would dread more than being part of the European Union.
From my understanding of Macron's policies I'd put him down as a Blairite. Yes, he wants to be all things to all people, but he's keen to reform the big stuff like pension age and other welfare, which is draining the French state and racking up debt for the future. OK, in that regard his outlook is more Thatcherite - but Mrs Thatcher didn't care if she was hated!
@@rogink Thatcherism is more right than merely centre-right,
Liberalism is a centre-right ideology
He presented himself as a centrist when he began but he drifted slowly but surely to the right, he's now way closer to Thatcher than anything.. He applies the same policies as any president from the right we previously had in France such as Sarkozy.
@@bothi00 True, but a lot of what we see today as 'Thatcherite' policies didn't actually happen under Thatcher, but under John Major. She was PM for 11 years but stuff like privatisation of nationalised industries only really started after she left. Her cabinet was actually quite balanced, between the 'wets' and 'dries' - i.e. the old compromise Tories and the hard liners who wanted radical change.
LePe said housing and jobs French citizens preferred. SHe didn't mention race, but foreigners
That's the same thing, foreigners are just another word for others who are not your race. She didn't say race but means everyone who isn't French which is discrimination.
@@kieragard it is appropriate the citizens of a nation get preference for housing in their own country
@@alanbstard4 racism, just say racism is OK with you.
@@kieragard lol? Racism?
@@faldovifendi6878 yeah it's a real thing. If you haven't noticed yet, congratulations you are not a minority in your community.
I'm sorry but NUPES is far left
This video is entirely based on NUPES talking points. They label themselves left and call Macron a right-winger.
@@flyingpharoah4867 yeah totally and it’s total bullshit. Fortunately they are starting to collapse and only have a total of 131 seats which is less than expected. And Macron doesn’t have the majority, so yay 😁
@@achillezins6548 The united left barely scored more than in 2017 when disunited, and won less seats than the disunited right 😂
Viva Polska, Viva Roma, Viva Americana, Viva Liberty.
Hehe, NUPES
How is Le Pen Préférence Nationale a violation of the french constitution exactly ? I dont understand how giving priority to french citizen over foreigner break the equality between citizens given in the constitution.
Universal Declaration of Human Rights : "Every human being are born equal free and equal in dignity and rights". People are entitled to find a job regardless of gender, race or citizenship. Preference nationale would be a law that says the contrary. The fact that you cannot fathom that is concerning.
@@3DJMV3 It doesn't prevent non-citizen to access job it just mean citizens are given priority. And since the job of the state is to serve the interest of citizens I dont see whats wrong with it. Especially in a country like France where unemployement has been high for a long time. And non-citizen obviously dont have the rights of citizens.
@@3DJMV3 I don't think that declaration - even though symbolic - is inculded in the constitution. Those are two separate things.
And it's blitheringly obvious that some services favour French citizens over non-French citizens (like the right of vote obviously). So there's already Preference Nationale in some aspects and it's not unconstitutional.
If I may use a very displeasung and condescending expression: "The fact that you cannot fathom that is concerning" (mistaking the constitution for the Declaration of Huma Rights is weird)
@@bobing1752 I chose the UN text because it echoes more easily with non-French people. Though Article 1st of the 1789 Declaration of human and civic rights (which is part of the French Constitution of 1958) states : "Men are born and remain free and equal in rights". Also we are not talking about mere "services" but a human right (ICESC).
Go ahead, give an example of human rights favouring French citizens over non-citizens.
@@zogoli5927 it clearly contradicts any principles of equality.
Constitutional judges decisions and international human rights clearly states that citizens and non-citizens are equal regarding human rights. We are talking about France, not some kind of lawless third-world country. It is not a solution to unemployment. You're just deciding who ought to have jobs and who oughtn't. That is a sheer disregard to the rule of law and genuine xenophobia rather than a solution of unemployment.
when was the UK a French 'overseas territory' of France? shouldn't it be "overseas voters" ?
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We can only hope that Macaroon loses for the sanity and peace of all Europeans.
I'm more fond of the United States' system in which bills have to first be passed by both chambers of Congress and then signed into law by the president.
I'd like the system a little more if they got rid of the filibuster. There is no reason to hobble the senate's ability to do its job with this mechanism.
@@Gwyrddu Certain budgetary legislation can still be passed with a simple Senate majority thought budget reconciliation.
@@tomind5784 Sure, after government shutdowns proven what I pointed out above. And then again when Republicans starting blocking judicial confirmations another exception to filibusters had to be made. And again for SC justice confirmations. But making legislation in general is the job of congress, and between the two bodies and the president and SC there are enough checks on those laws without a dumb unaccountable system to prevent any arguments ever being heard, votes being taken or any accountability for the positions of the senators just because an unnamed minority of senators don't want these bills being discussed. The filibuster is idiotic and you aren't going to convince me otherwise on this. The house got rid of it a century ago and it's time the senate follow suite.
You don't want the US system. It just causes obstruction. The senate is a shitshow. Easy as fuck to buy off a few senators to tank the whole government.
So, complete stasis and the inability to get anything meaningful done at the federal level, leaving individual ststes to do what they please. So the death penalty and no abortion in some, and the complete opposite in others. Right.....that makes an awful lot of sense.
why do you look so different in each video
Because sometimes its zach, sometimes its jack
Commenting 4 algorithm
A state that actually prioritises the wellbeing of its own citizens over foreigners. What an extremist idea...
God this world is fcked.
I want both RW and LW to gain some so that macron can go to any side to pass good legislation
Those two parties don't exist or I don't know what you're refering to. As far as I know, no party has a W in its name in France
@@bobing1752 Right-wing and Left-wing, he's not talking about parties specifically
@@tanker00v25 Oh ok, I didn't get it. But then it doesn't make much sense, why would you want the left AND the right to gain weight (let alone the fact that not everybody can get seats)?
@@bobing1752 as op said, he wants Macron to be able to go to either side to push through whatever he wants. Basically let Macron exploit either side when he needs it. Like a true centrist
@@tanker00v25 Ok. I guess it would make more sense to directly say that you want the center/Macron to gain weight, but I suppose it's just a clumsy way of supporting him.
"... all overseas territories, including the UK, have already voted." The UK is part of France now?
The UK has a high population of French people. Before Brexit, London was reportedly something like the tenth largest French city by population. Doesn't mean the UK is part of France though (we'd have better food if we were...)
@@patriarch7237 I figured there would be a large French population in the UK. It was the lumping the UK in as a French overseas territory that I was pointing out.
5:43 ah yes, the famous overseas territory - the UK.
This show is great but please please stop fucking asking me to sign up or Subscribe in your short videos.
I'm very disappointed by your channel in the past 3 months become non neutral in your opinion of news
100%
"Leading to a political position known as cohabitation."
How very French.🗼
I don't think the Eiffel Tower is red and white. Might be the one in Japan?
Why is it French? I don't get it
@@bobing1752 He's speaking about Vichy
Or perhaps alluding to "sharing a room"?
@@errorcrj110 Yes?
Fkin noobs ruining yet another game :P
Few additional facts :
- There's a lot of untold Gerrymandering going on in France. Right-wing older rural circonscription (constituencies) are less populated than youger left-wing urban constituencies. This partly explains why the right (Macron's party and Les Republicans) are expected to win seats despite low polling.
- During the 2nd round of the presidential election, a significant part of the left-wing voted Macron to prevent Le Pen from winning. Macron told in his victory speech that he owed them. Now he his spreading fake news about the left (see AFP fact check).
- Macron's Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne had a rough start. When she was appointed PM she told that she would never lie to the French, a few days later she lied about not knowing one of his minister was accused of rape. She now has 2 Ministers currently accused of rape (Abad, Darmanin). Recently she told a crying disabled person to "go find a job" while arguing about lowering disabled people benefits.
- Home affairs minister Darmanin and Paris chief of police are also facing difficulties. There was the Stade de France event, but the police also pepper sprayed people in a train for causing jam and recently shot a young women fleeing from police inspection because she didn't wear her seatbelt.
What happened to Elisabeth Borne after?
One thing I love about portuguese elections is that our districts are impossible to Gerrymander, since they arent redesigned. They were instituted in the 19th century and have been the same ever since. Each district elects a specific number of seats in parliament, proportional to its population, which can be changed every 10 years after the census is taken. This process cannot be falsified because it is a simple math.
@@Duck-wc9de Não sabia! It makes so much sense, I love it
@@Duck-wc9de That's a party list system vs single winner system for you
@@Duck-wc9de yes our systems is great. Gotta love PS getting absolute majority seats with 40% votes, and having only two choices if you live anywhere other than Lisboa and Porto.
Macron seems to be pretty much a down the middle centrist. Titling him as centre-right seems quite odd to me.
They are basically the same
They are rehashing the far-left's talking points. Reason why they label them 'left' but label the far-right "far-right""
As long as the far right doesnt come to power its all good.
Not only the far-right, the far left too. Any extreme is not good.
@@PandaKawan thts some baby brain analysis my guy
@@howieisbored he isn't wrong tho
@@PandaKawan The far-left you're speaking about doesn't exist here
@@PandaKawan the established far right in france definitely goes more into the extreme than the french far left. The extreme far left is not popular as of now.
One thing that is very weird about French politics right now is that the extreme anti-system nature of the politics is completely out of keeping with Macron's pretty solid stewardship of the country.
I'll concede that he's not a particularly likeable guy, he's arrogant and his vibe is very much that of an elitist/insider. But the actual background numbers are good for him. Unemployment is down, wages are up, and inflation is barely half of what it is elsewhere in the EU.
I feel this is a case of (a) French politics being inherently revolutionary, and (b) image being at least as important as governance (and Macron's image is poor).
Yeah he's actually doing all right, overall
how is he arrogant, are you saying that because he is french ? Where are you from ?
Unemployment numbers are known to be manipulated by politics in France. They count pretty much what they want. Ignoring people who are not explicitly registered in the "job center" institution and creating precarious status/work/formation which barely pay or dont pay at all so people are not considered unemployed anymore.
Wages didn't changed, not even always tied to the inflation, and are pretty low for our standards. The lost of buying power this last decade is juste terrifying. That's the metric to follow.
The inflation might have been mitigate thanks to his politic during the pandemic tho.
@@SaladeDeFruitt He is arrogant because he is arrogant
I would agree if you only look at the economy. However,his numbers on ecology, education, and inequalities are really bad. Which are probably the 3 subjects on which the left is at its strongest.
based french left
It's a minority lol
2:06 that's inaccurate, the president has no obligation to appoint a member of the largest party as PM.
neither does the queen of england. it’s a de facto rule not de jure.
@@blank_3768 but he said that no one can force the President to force him to appoint someone as PM he doesn't want to, I don't think the Queen would say that
@@diegoyuiop because the queen is in an extremely precarious position, and so will macron be in one if he tries that. He may grandstand power but if the left gets a majority there WILL be a leftist pm.
Macron should just keep calling Putin since that’s all he’s doing anyway, maybe he’ll get a place to stay in Russia after he loses
Yes - France is still a nation of cowards - like during 2. world war.......
Funny how you say that, yet both the extreme left and extreme right are pro-Russia.
Please, I beg you, just use the english translation
I'd much rather hear them try to pronounce French words! They're not doing a bad job of it.
@@alexseguin5245 How can you say that while having a french name
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France is one of the most important country in the EU but it’s treated in this channel like it’s not a big stuff. How the hell can you guys be wrong about the first round rules and even calling the UK a overseas territory. Shitty content to be honest !
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Macron and scholz are the chamberlain of our times
I. CAN'T. WAIT. For Sunday. I want to see Macron's squad of robots lose H A R D. That's all I want. Please God? PLEAAASE.
Delivered!
He loose
As a centrist I would normally vote for Macron's political coalition, and I hate his opponents' party positions ; but after his insistence on appeasing Putin I can no longer give him my vote. Since I wouldn't vote for the others either, I simply won't vote. In general France, Germany and Italy are proving to be led by cynical political leaders who put economic interest before moral values. Nevertheless, Macron's "majority" should win most of the seats in parliament, but I think it's only poetic justice that he should finally find himself having to deal with contrarians on a sufficiently important scale, that he is humbled.
Macron is trying to end the war by diplomacy. Likely won't work, but it's better to try. If we embarrass Putin, the war will only escalate and go longer, which isn't good for anyone. Putin is rather dangerous and everyone knows it. If we give him the feeling that he isn't cornered, that he still hasn't lost everything there is to lose, he decision to end the war is easier. Ending the war isn't economic values, although as a president he should put his people first. Isn't it moral values too to want end to this war? It's not only Ukrainian and Russian soldiers dying every day, it's also civilians dying and traumatizing every day, and millions leaving their homes and country. Many African and middle eastern countries are already starving, and without Ukrainian food they'll starve even more. The war affects the entire world, and it's in everyone's best interests to put an end to it. Unlike Biden and others, Macron actually does what's reasonable and right. We shouldn't see the world as black and white, everything is more complicated than it seems
You mind the NUPES doesn't put moral values before economic interest?
As far as I understand, he said Russia should not be humiliated, which is quite different from appeasing Putin. At the end of the war, Russia will still be there so it seems right that we as Europeans should think about how they perceive us. If they ressent us too much, the cycle of violence will never stop. Look at how the Versailles treaty from 1919 ultimately led to nazi Germany.
On the other hand, Macron's diplomacy supported Ukraine from the beginning and, as far as I understand, both Melenchon and Lepen actively supported Putin's claims and said they wouldn't sent weapons to Ukraine.
@@felix4833 They supported nothing and are right in not sending weapons to Ukraine.
@@cocowondering Well that's not my understanding and it would be moraly and strategically wrong not to send weapons to Ukraine.
I can see no rational for not arming Ukrainians outside sympathy towards Putin's claims.
It's terrifying that Macron can dissolve the national assembly.
Why ? If he does, he'll only get worse results because people don't like to be forced into the polls for no reason, so there's little chance of that happening anyway.
@@bobing1752 true, but it's still a centralization of power that I find scary.
@@tangentreverent4821 I don't find it scary. If the Assembly is gridlocked, it probably is the better option and someone has to be able to do it. And who would get such power? The Assembly won't self-dissolve, it's not gonna happen; and the Prime Minister needs to be supported by the Assembly so that's also illogical. Only option remaining is the President.
And if you're really concerned by the centralisation of powers, don't worry because most of the executive powers actually rest on the Prime Minister (as mentionned in the video: if there's a cohabitation, the Prime Minister does most things and the President remains leader of the army and leads the foreign policy). So theretically, the Prime Minister is more important. But obviously, when he's on the side of the President, he just does what the President wants.
@@bobing1752 I suppose that I will have to agree to disagree with you.
That's the point of the presidency
I suspect the population wants a more Left gov and chose Macron as the least worst option for their executive
Worst of two devils, twice the same year.
The left is an absolute minority in France.
He can just ask the Russians to vote in France.
In Belgium we had a merger of the green parties on the national level. Everyone expected them to get a lot of votes. They called it the 'green wave'.
In the end it was a big joke and we all had a good laugh.
Hope the same happens in France
Why? They are the best option
Stooge syndrome?
@@avigailpekelman8239 the Belgian greens are amongst the most elitist parties in the country
I always pray to the Lord Jesus Christ every day for peace negotiations.. Forgiving each other and talking to each other looking for a peaceful solution.. Lord Jesus Christ the true and living God..who died on the cross to atone for sins and rose again on the 3rd day...owner of eternal life or heaven (a very beautiful heaven with Jesus ) and creator of heaven and earth,,,, really hate nuclear weapons ...... ,,because......,
, Lord Jesus Christ the true and living Lord..who died on the cross to atone for sins and rose again on the 3rd day... owner of eternal life or heaven (a very beautiful heaven with Jesus ) and creator of heaven and earth... really hate nuclear weapons..because nuclear weapons is a big sin..a big sin is the eternal fire of hellfire..nuclear weapons are a big sin..a big sin is the eternal fire of hellfire..ballistic missiles and hypersonic missiles are big sins...I always pray to the Lord Jesus Christ every day for peace negotiations.. Forgiving each other and talking to each other looking for a peaceful solution.. Lord Jesus Christ the true and living God..who died on the cross to atone for sins and rose again on the 3rd day...owner of eternal life or heaven (a very beautiful heaven with Jesus ) and creator of heaven and earth,,,, really hate nuclear weapons ...... ,,because......,
, Lord Jesus Christ the true and living Lord..who died on the cross to atone for sins and rose again on the 3rd day... owner of eternal life or heaven (a very beautiful heaven with Jesus ) and creator of heaven and earth... really hate nuclear weapons..because nuclear weapons is a big sin..a big sin is the eternal fire of hellfire..nuclear weapons are a big sin..a big sin is the eternal fire of hellfire..ballistic missiles and hypersonic missiles are big sins.....