Fox-2: Breaking the S-400

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  • Опубліковано 20 вер 2024
  • Special thanks to attending podcasters:
    Whatismoo: / whatismoo
    Professor Groeteschele
    Eskild: / eskild.brennen
    Excelsior
    Omega
    Breaking the S-400 video: • USA vs Russia: Breakin...
    MWI Podcast on Ukraine/Russia crisis: mwi.usma.edu/m...
    Enlist with HypOps today!
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    Twitter: / hyp_ops

КОМЕНТАРІ • 413

  • @HypOps
    @HypOps  2 роки тому +197

    I sound so sleep deprived in this one. 🤣
    Thanks to all my fellow podcasters for carrying me during this episode.

    • @eskild9917
      @eskild9917 2 роки тому +2

      Dont worry man, i was pretty tired too

    • @anguswaterhouse9255
      @anguswaterhouse9255 2 роки тому +6

      What happened to the second episode of the USA vs China series in the Souh China sea?

    • @Av-vd3wk
      @Av-vd3wk 2 роки тому +3

      Hey man good stuff! I’m curious, have you seen this channel, Grim Reapers? ua-cam.com/video/BL9oFHzfZ3I/v-deo.html - Also, I’m curious if you’d ever consider using something like DCS for your war simulation as they do-?

    • @captain61games49
      @captain61games49 2 роки тому +1

      @@anguswaterhouse9255 as he mentioned in the podcast it's on the backburner for reasons he'll get to it when he can

    • @MrShadowtruth
      @MrShadowtruth 2 роки тому

      Hey just a question will you guys continue the previous scenario of your first China vs USA video?

  • @jungtaemin1639
    @jungtaemin1639 2 роки тому +447

    Yes this channel has great potential to be one of the biggest military analysts channel on UA-cam

    • @Joh1002mm
      @Joh1002mm 2 роки тому +37

      I agree. Only issue is the rate of output 😅

    • @HypOps
      @HypOps  2 роки тому +104

      This is now my highest priority in terms of improvement. I am reasonably happy with the formula and video quality. Now I gotta solve the upload frequency.

    • @matthewford9871
      @matthewford9871 2 роки тому +17

      @@HypOps Even Covert Cabal has become more clickbait and less substantial. Id love to see some serious defense analysis.

    • @Joe_Friday
      @Joe_Friday 2 роки тому +6

      @@HypOps This will easily become one of my top 3 favorite military channels along with Binkov and Covert. Keep these scenarios up. I think it would be awesome if you could get some navy and/air force fighter pilots to join your discussion panels.

    • @Mungobohne1
      @Mungobohne1 2 роки тому +2

      Really good content

  • @lightweight3908
    @lightweight3908 2 роки тому +44

    HyOps if you're reading this, keep it up you are the best and most informative military analysis and battle simulator here in youtube. Rooting more of this channel.

  • @lilyizquierdo6341
    @lilyizquierdo6341 2 роки тому +32

    I could see how the longer time stamp on this could deter most casual viewers (which might be why this has less views than the animations) but Im going to watch everything and this channel was an instant subscribe for me. I cant wait for more content, I know so little about modern warfare and this really does give me a better understanding of what militaries could be capable of in a contemporary war.

  • @enterthesaul
    @enterthesaul 2 роки тому +26

    I check this channel every few days to see if I missed a new video. I can imagine it’s a ton of work, but I sincerely enjoy your videos and hope to see a new one soon.

  • @wiiconsole2
    @wiiconsole2 2 роки тому +55

    Very interested in the point raised near the start of the video on how realistically a defensive, mobile AA force wouldn't simply sit there turned on waiting to be shot at. Given SEAD requires the ability to actually hit said defenses.
    I imagine theres a playbook for this kind of scenario that exists to counter this kind of massed initial attack so it'd be iteresting to see what kind of losses a more complex defensive strategy would cause.

    • @HypOps
      @HypOps  2 роки тому +23

      Yes. I think I made the point somewhere that the defensive SAMs gave away their biggest advantage (uncertainty of location) in order to defend the airbase.
      I forced the assumption that they had to emit and defend in order to create the video.

    • @janhansen3753
      @janhansen3753 2 роки тому +8

      @@HypOps Look at the opening of the war i Iraq in both 1991 and 2003. Both started with a swarm of ADM-141 TALD's combined with ARM missiles to remove the absurd amount of SAM's in the area. These missiles force the defenders to turn on their radars as it just as well CAN be real planes approaching.

    • @overlordgaming752
      @overlordgaming752 2 роки тому

      @@janhansen3753 this is absolutely true! Radar has come a long way since then, but as long as stealth remains an option, they will have to key up. Until stealth is negated these very simple effective strategy’s can and will continue to work

    • @edwalker2169
      @edwalker2169 2 роки тому +5

      @@HypOps That's the thing though. SAMs are always at the defensive because they can either light up and put themselves at risk, or choose not to defend the target to save themselves. The air planners really don't care which, a radar that never switches on is as much of a mission kill as one that is hit by an AARGM

    • @meklowthelemur861
      @meklowthelemur861 2 роки тому

      @@edwalker2169 Until you bring in the fighters, troop plane carriers, etc thinking your doctrine was effective.

  • @PbThunder
    @PbThunder 2 роки тому +18

    I found this channel tonight and I've binged every video, subbed and hit the bell because I can't wait for your next video. Keep up the great work, thanks!

    • @MuffinManUSN
      @MuffinManUSN 2 роки тому

      I was the same way months ago. Stoked when he dropped in this format also. Questioned at first but when I broke into it I am sold all the same.

  • @alkar19
    @alkar19 2 роки тому +62

    keep up the good work man, this channel has a lot of potential

    • @HypOps
      @HypOps  2 роки тому +6

      Thank you for your praise and support!

    • @folienkiste6242
      @folienkiste6242 2 роки тому

      @@HypOps are you still producing vids?
      I swear to god, do some vids on the ukraine conflict and you will be at 250k subs in no time!
      and you deserve it man. this is a+ content!

  • @adityaparam8736
    @adityaparam8736 Рік тому +6

    A year after the start of the Russo Ukrainian war, its really interesting to see how poorly a lot of takes on the Russian military aged.
    Phenomenal video though.

  • @842wolves
    @842wolves 2 роки тому +6

    I think something that was very well demonstrated in the episode was how ground-based anti-air is not meant to be a "killer" for aircraft. It is inherently a necessary defensive tool. To borrow an analogy from American football, they are the linemen on the team. You have them there to stop the other side from being able to use the route out and to have to expend considerable resources to neutralize the defense in order to keep its own assets safe and complete its objectives.

    • @HypOps
      @HypOps  2 роки тому +2

      Indeed, the few Sukhois are the only active element. This was done on purpose because I wanted to focus on demonstrating SEAD concepts. BLUFOR gets to choose the time and place of the engagements.

  • @Grimpy970
    @Grimpy970 Рік тому +7

    Listening to this in 2023 hits different

  • @scenicdepictionsofchicagolife
    @scenicdepictionsofchicagolife 2 роки тому +3

    Just discovered this channel. Literally can't get enough.

  • @jaredgup6537
    @jaredgup6537 2 роки тому +3

    Got a community page shout-out from battleorder. Did not expect Whatismoo here! Great new channel. Will be watching.

    • @HypOps
      @HypOps  2 роки тому +4

      Just talked to him. I'm glad he likes my work!

  • @adalzemmo
    @adalzemmo Рік тому +3

    🤔💭 @HypOps, You know that you've made one helluva impact when you have garnered the UNDIVIDED ATTENTION of academia, (BOTH) retired & active members of the armed services, AND organizations such as CSIS amongst others. 👌🏾👍🏾 Excellent job, description & narration. Please continue to make MORE video simulations depicting past encounters/contacts (and possibly foreseeing new encounters) and much respect for even daring to embark on such a broad, vast, tedious and monstrously meticulous journey. 😊

  • @thomasmagnussen6823
    @thomasmagnussen6823 2 роки тому +2

    We need your analysis on the situation with Ukraine and Russia. I would find that very interesting from your perspective. I hope that war will never be real, but your work here is amazing.

    • @TacticalMetalhead
      @TacticalMetalhead 2 роки тому +1

      I doubt anything will happen. Disputes have been going on over there since 2014. The media is most likely keeping you distracted from what's really going on in the world.

  • @josefowitzer
    @josefowitzer 2 роки тому +56

    What I found interesting was the absence of the “Russian” jammers, and other electronic warfare systems (Khrasuha, Moskva etc.), because aparently in CMO they had no effect. I’d like to know if you find that realistic, as this seems to be critical to “American” victory.

    • @michaelharrington6698
      @michaelharrington6698 2 роки тому +6

      Yeah, superficially it seemed like the Americans had a lot of tricks up their sleeves. Counter electronic measures seemed missing for sure.

    • @dankokovacevic
      @dankokovacevic 2 роки тому +2

      Ask western Russians and Americans how surprised were they in Donbass and Crimea😉
      Michael Kofman and US airforce general did an excellent breakdown of Russian EW that blocked the airspace and airwaves of NovoRUSSIA and MaloRUSSIA in 2014 for CSIS!

    • @bacevs
      @bacevs 2 роки тому +4

      @@dankokovacevic did you have the title for that video? I cannot seem to find it.

    • @downtempus
      @downtempus 2 роки тому +2

      @@bacevs bump, would be interested too

    • @bacevs
      @bacevs 2 роки тому +1

      @@downtempus I believe this is the video, youtube search "Ukraine’s Armed Forces Five Years into Conflict with Russia"

  • @Sir_Budginton
    @Sir_Budginton 2 роки тому +8

    22:41 if we’re thinking of the same thing, I’m pretty sure these bombs are more meant for taking out ships without any long range air defences (or have such defences in their fleet). So you wouldn’t use such weapons on a destroyer or frigate because the plane would get swatted out of the sky before getting in range, but you might against corvettes or other small boats that can’t touch a plane lobbing bombs from 20 miles away. It would be a much cheaper way of dealing with these vessels than anti ship missiles.
    Correct me if I’m wrong though

    • @user-ro9zf9kz1h
      @user-ro9zf9kz1h 2 роки тому +1

      Oh you do not want to do that even against corvettes, since now some corvette are starting to get equipped with medium to long range anti air missile, getting close to any surface combatant would be a bad idea, best to dispatch them at long range.

    • @apolloaero
      @apolloaero 2 роки тому

      Another possibility is blinding them with HARM or AARGM and then hit them with a QuickSink. But maybe a mission kill would suffice

  • @Bill-cf8ot
    @Bill-cf8ot 2 роки тому +4

    Israel found that:S-400 can't find F35 before F35 destory S-400.

  • @cannonfodder4376
    @cannonfodder4376 2 роки тому

    I have been meaning to comment but these videos and in this case, this podcast are some of the best on the internet. Calm, collected and analytical in a way most are not about these topics. A very enjoyable podcast episode, I look forward to more.

  • @kjohnston4846
    @kjohnston4846 2 роки тому +7

    Love to see it. Daily upload schedule when? (JOKING!!!!)

    • @HypOps
      @HypOps  2 роки тому +3

      Never if I can help it. Good episodes in this area require a certain amount of research.

  • @ZbjetisGod
    @ZbjetisGod 2 роки тому +11

    Amazing channel! Looking forward to what comes next. For growth you might want to consider uploading these to a 2nd channel since the viewer retention and clicks from impressions on this video will be a lot less than your other content due to length and thumbnail. This can hurt the discoverability and promotion of your other videos.

    • @HypOps
      @HypOps  2 роки тому +2

      Yes. Now that the channel has hit a certain size, likely I will make a 2nd channel for this sort of longer form content.

    • @benjohnson2770
      @benjohnson2770 2 роки тому

      10k views in one month! Great channel. Looking forward to more.

  • @abaddon3744
    @abaddon3744 2 роки тому +1

    This channel will blow up, know that I was here before it happens. Great videos, keep it up!👍👍👍

  • @williamhenry8914
    @williamhenry8914 2 роки тому +3

    No. Russia does not feel any existential worry about NATO because of interventions in tiny skirmishes like Kosovo/Serbia or Libya. What Russia fears is loss of influence in states it regards as vassals, like Ukraine.

  • @bdrobe2
    @bdrobe2 2 роки тому +1

    I just discovered this channel and I’m already a fan! Keep it up man, I learned a lot here.

  • @timkuehn8888
    @timkuehn8888 2 роки тому +3

    Just found this channel - great vids and I look forward to more.

  • @iamscoutstfu
    @iamscoutstfu 2 роки тому +12

    That video was amazing.
    I thought the idea was to mix F35's in with the 4G, load F18s up with LRMs which they fire from max range and then notch. F35's shoot from high and close on the flanks, dropping AIM rain after the SU's expend their energy in their post -notch dives, alternating and strobing their radars.

    • @HypOps
      @HypOps  2 роки тому +13

      There will be a video in the future that will explore 5th and 4.5 Gen aircraft coordination.

  • @Roborob12345
    @Roborob12345 2 роки тому +2

    With regards to the scope of the scenario, I always consider something like like to be measuring a punch in a boxing match. It doesn't define the outcome but if you total up all the parts you can start to estimate who can hit who, how hard, and when

  • @bushyrho1674
    @bushyrho1674 2 роки тому +13

    Do you think you can work on a simulation between Russia and Ukraine (NATO personal as well)? It would be very interesting considering the current event occurring.

    • @overlordgaming752
      @overlordgaming752 2 роки тому +4

      I think that front would be a little much to try to simulate considering the size conflict that would spawn. Your talking about the rapid deployment of two nations that know an incredible amount of each other’s military capability’s and tech. It would be a blood bath. Not even accounting for the geopolitical nightmare of the UN and NATO involvement. A complex rabbit hole to dive down for sure though. Maybe could make it a series and break down the front into multiple sections going over how each area would progress as if it were confined to its own space and time instead of as a whole. Could be interesting

    • @KioneWinterHowl
      @KioneWinterHowl 2 роки тому +2

      @@overlordgaming752 Watchong it in real time

    • @TheUltimat111
      @TheUltimat111 9 місяців тому

      How did the simulation work out? 😂

  • @jaredyoung5353
    @jaredyoung5353 2 роки тому +24

    I love your content. The China v Carrier is epic. Any chance you do Russia invaded Ukraine or a conflict in the Black Sea next?

    • @Marinealver
      @Marinealver 2 роки тому +2

      Either the missiles have made Aircraft Carriers as obsolete as Battleships or the capabilities are an overexaggeration.

    • @bobtank6318
      @bobtank6318 2 роки тому +1

      The Patron poll shows the following as future vid ideas.
      1) Taiwan ADIZ violation by China (winning)
      2) Ukraine conflict scenario
      3) Israeli/US strike on Iranian nuclear program

    • @npyrhone2
      @npyrhone2 2 роки тому +3

      @@Marinealver Neither. The carrier had clearly overextended. It was way too deep, surrounded by the enemy, close to the big coastal missile silos, with all its resources depleted by three, large different types of attacks taking place simultaneously.
      The fact that a lone carrier with a support group of 4 was there, means the US were not actually prepared to fight against everything China could threw at them at a moments notice.
      At this very moment, a great number of military forces have a similar opportunity to give a huge first strike sucker punch against a several targets - but choose against doing so. As would China probably have. Knowing this, Mustin's captain would not have fired against the JH-7s. But then we wouldn't had that excellent simulation.

    • @fockewulf656
      @fockewulf656 2 роки тому

      @@Marinealver Hopefully we will never find out

    • @finleytaylor5433
      @finleytaylor5433 2 роки тому

      @@fockewulf656 We unfortunately have

  • @hududiyya
    @hududiyya 2 роки тому +1

    Bro I love this channel! Y'all are so qualified it makes you incredibly credible (no-pun intended)...

  • @anguswaterhouse9255
    @anguswaterhouse9255 Рік тому +2

    1:01:50 “I’m going to say something super propaganda about Ukraine”
    Probably wouldn’t even be that outlandish by this point lol

  • @gaius9240
    @gaius9240 2 роки тому +2

    Oh man watching this video now. The Ukraine talk is very interesting

  • @cgilby9925
    @cgilby9925 2 роки тому +13

    One thing I’d like to add is that as someone who plays CMO a lot, the interception systems seem to be very one-sided. Whenever I mess around with things like S-400’s or Arleigh Burke’s or whatever, the defensive Missiles on them seem to almost have a 100% interception rate against incoming projectiles. I think irl an S-400 wouldn’t intercept as many HARM’s as it did. This would limit the amount of resources needed to take it down greatly from what CMO requires.

    • @gorilla6099
      @gorilla6099 2 роки тому +1

      I totally agree, at least we see public tests of the SM intercepting targets and I think all have been successful by now, while on the other hand I've never seen a real test of the S-400 or a real life interception for that matter. This system is similar to the S-300 and that one failed badly wherever deployed, especially Syria and Armenia where cheap Israeli and Turkish drones were all it took to completely wipe them out without a single loss.

    • @KoishiVibin
      @KoishiVibin 2 роки тому

      @@gorilla6099
      This goes into questions of how Armenia goes on training and capabilities. Weapons system is only good as fire control, which majorly includes human.

    • @illarionbykov7401
      @illarionbykov7401 2 роки тому

      @@gorilla6099 where do you get your information? Never heard that before, anywhere, and I look at both Western and Eastern sources. Seems more like "stealth" is useless against even 1960's-era Soviet SAMs, as long as the radar operators know what they're doing.

    • @gorilla6099
      @gorilla6099 2 роки тому

      @@illarionbykov7401 Can't even put down a low quality disposable drones let alone stealth aircraft lol. Useless?? 🤣🤣🤦‍♂ How many stealth aircraft were ever shot down? Like 1?? and it's useless?? 🤣🤣You sound a bit butthurt about the ineffectiveness of the S-300 but it's facts, just look at how Turkey, Israel and Azerbaijan toasted them with ease.

    • @gaiofattos2
      @gaiofattos2 2 роки тому +2

      @@illarionbykov7401 F-117 was shot down only one time. While non-stealth planes get shoot down a lot by SAM's.

  • @anguswaterhouse9255
    @anguswaterhouse9255 2 роки тому +5

    What happened to the second episode of the USA vs China series in the Souh China sea?

    • @HypOps
      @HypOps  2 роки тому +5

      The Spratly series is on the backburner because the scope creep is such an issue and I'm afraid I won't do ep.2 justice.
      I will return to this series and 'war simulation' concept when I have the manpower to tackle this properly. You'll note the latest SEAD episode doesn't suffer at all from scope creep issues and is self contained.

  • @dnbuk3111
    @dnbuk3111 2 роки тому +1

    Stumbled across your channel. Very cool and hope to see more content. Good stuff

  • @mandoreforger6999
    @mandoreforger6999 2 роки тому +11

    This scenario misses out on the human operator element, as expected, given Command limitations. Under such a saturation attack the ability of these missile crews to respond with such efficiency would be very limited. It would also seem that active jamming versions of the glide bombs would be a great addition, or lead glide munitions that can deploy chaff along the trajectories of the glide path would severely degrade the hit rate of the S-400 systems.
    This scenario clearly points out the need to decoy S-400 missiles against glide munitions, not just aircraft. Likewise, reducing the RCS of glide munitions would help. A corresponding chaff cloud along the attacking trajectory to glide munitions through would be a tremendous game changer.

  • @jdogdarkness
    @jdogdarkness 7 місяців тому

    I think this discussion would have been much more directed in an ideal direction by a panelist that flew combat aircraft. I liked the video they were talking about, very cool to see that software at work.

  • @steadyjumper3547
    @steadyjumper3547 2 роки тому +1

    1:19:00 seems like the opposite proved to be true. Looks like ground anti tank and anti air proved decisive in this aspect.

  • @riddler2127
    @riddler2127 2 роки тому +1

    Just discovered this channel and it is freaking awesome! Gonna listen to this discussion on my flight to DC tomorrow. Best of luck to your channel HypOps!
    I look forward to the continuation of your Spratly scenario for sure. I see you've been asking so here's a few scenario ideas rattling around in my head:
    -A modernized take on Millennium Challenge 2002 where Gen. Van Riper took an inferior Middle Eastern Red Team and defeated a US CBG.
    -An engagement between Greece and Turkey in the Aegean and Eastern Med.
    -Why not try a fishing rights dispute off the waters around Jersey goes horribly wrong between France and the UK
    -The Nagorno-Karabakh War alternative- instead of pushing for a ceasefire, Russia decides to increasingly aid Armenia to counterbalance Turkish assistance to Azerbaijan. Tensions rise over a period of weeks and after a flashpoint, perhaps explore the initial stages of a limited war across the Black Sea (so we can get naval assets involved) and Caucasus. Bonus for including the Syrian theatre.
    -A South Korean political group manages to popularize the Korean claim to Tsushima Islands. In the near future, a more populist S. Korean government sees the US pulling the Ronald Reagan back to the West Coast and drawdown's across its various bases in Japan and Korea as a sign of waning American interest in the region. It's a risky political gamble, but now may be the best time to press the various Korean grievances with Japan and gain control of the Tsushima Straight, especially with the Japanese left scrambling with the potential loss of its #1 security guarantor. The opening of the Northwest Passage making the area an ever more strategic chokepoint helps justify the economic angle, too.

    • @KoishiVibin
      @KoishiVibin 2 роки тому +1

      Riper is one of those onion memes
      like, on the surface it looks like a guy showing the weaknesses in the us navy
      and then it looks like an idiot cheating who spun an appealing tale
      and then it turns into a clusterheck about political shenanigans.
      Lightspeed bicyclists ahoyyyyyy

    • @bobtank6318
      @bobtank6318 2 роки тому +3

      Glad to see more people interested in the channel.
      One thing I would like to note is that Millennium Challenge isn’t really something that should be used as an example. Van Riper really only demonstrated that the rules of wargames can be exploited. He used motorcycles that traveled at light speed for communications and put missiles on boats that were too large for them to actually fit on said boats.

    • @riddler2127
      @riddler2127 2 роки тому +1

      @@bobtank6318 I get that. I wasn't suggesting copying Millennium Challenge in detail. I intended it to mean creating a scenario pitting an American task force and local assets against an asymmetrical force and see what it would realistically take to succeed.

    • @bobtank6318
      @bobtank6318 2 роки тому +2

      @@riddler2127 Okay, that sounds interesting.

    • @KoishiVibin
      @KoishiVibin 2 роки тому

      @@bobtank6318 LIGHTCYCLES
      THE NEW CUTTING EDGE AMERICAN WEAPON

  • @Blueskies885
    @Blueskies885 2 роки тому +2

    I don’t think they want to take anymore of Ukraine. That is a bit of an oof right now

  • @CocoDave37
    @CocoDave37 2 роки тому +1

    When is the next video coming out? Anxiously waiting...

  • @cameronhilton8643
    @cameronhilton8643 8 місяців тому +1

    Btw you're wrong about the "Nato made assurances that they would not expand eastward". That was a "quote" uttered by James Baker. The meaning of the quote was that Nato would not expand into East Germany if the Russians ceased occupation of Germany.

  • @AbsoluteZero6714
    @AbsoluteZero6714 2 роки тому +1

    A comparison of Chinese vs American fighter inventories (older aircraft- before 4th generation, training variants and low numbers are excluded):
    China: 1196+
    x~150 J-20A
    x395+ J-10A / B / C
    x280 J-11A / B
    x67 SU-30MKK
    x24 SU-35S
    x150+ J-16A
    x50 J-15A (Navy)
    x16 J-10AS (Navy)
    x24 SU-30MK2 (Navy)
    x40 J-11BS (Navy)
    US: ~2256
    x784 F-16C
    x208 F-15C
    x218 F-15E
    x186 F-22A
    x283 F-35A
    x401 F / A-18E / F (Navy)
    x32 F-35B (Marine Corps)
    x144 F / A-18A / C / D (Marine Corps)
    This adds to slightly over 1200 modern / somewhat modern combat aircraft for the Chinese and slightly over 2200 for the US.
    China’s carrier aviation is still way in its infancy, but I read news that they plan to build four new aircraft carriers this year without the jets. The PLANAF’s new carrier borne fighter will likely be a naval variant of the FC-31 Gyrfalcon, and I can see the J-15 still being produced in the meantime.
    To have anything matching American capabilities in a holistic sense, I predict 2035 and beyond for the PLAN and PLAAF.
    In the early stages of any fight against China, the US will be outnumbered and possibly outgunned too. We have to remember the US military has a global presence while China’s forces are much more concentrated in its own region. The US, for the first time in several decades, will have to be prepared to absorb a couple punches before launching any counterattacks. I’m looking forward to the continuation of your Spratlys scenario as well as a Taiwan one.
    Onto Russia, I simply don’t see the Russian military as having much of an impact on anything beyond its immediate borders and as we’ve seen, some expeditionary capability into the Middle East via the Black Sea. Russia will soon have its #2 spot taken by China on Global Firepower (not that I put much stock into their rankings). Its maritime force projection capabilities are being dwarfed (or rather, already have to a degree) by China, its air force is still undergoing modernization and repairs and we’re not sure how many combat ready aircraft it has. I feel the reason why Russia’s increasingly resorting to hybrid warfare is because it knows it cannot catch up to the West or China’s conventional capabilities for quite some time, if ever. In other words, it’s still reeling from the collapse of the USSR.
    In this day and age, I believe the US military can still win a two-front war and it will have allies in both the Asia-Pacific and Europe, but it will be nothing like what the US has ever encountered before, especially versus China. It will be a learning curve for all sides involved.
    I don’t think China will actually invade Taiwan in another 20-25, maybe 30 years. Despite all the talk of it, and sending aircraft to fly over Taiwan, behind closed doors the leaders of the CCP know that an actual war is far more risky to contemplate than grey-zone actions.
    Ironically, I feel a full-on invasion is what Taiwan (and the US, by extension) fears the least. A combination of limited warfare, blockades, and a string of other economic measures from China would possibly be harder to counter than just invading Taiwan’s main island outright.
    Militarily, China will only contemplate war when it’s confident it can not only deter, but outright defeat American, Taiwanese, and Japanese forces in all spheres of battle: Land, air, naval, and cyber. China doesn’t have that assurance yet.
    Politically, China will be far more likely to act when the US is at a point where it’s losing or has already lost the trust of many Asian and maybe European allies, meaning that they’ll be a lot more inclined or pressured into remaining neutral / staying out of China’s way.
    Economically, China won’t feel confident enough until it has carved out, at least in the region, a sufficiently independent economic and monetary sphere of influence that leads countries to pivot away from the power of the dollar. China is desperate to have Belt and Road (both land and sea) be a smashing success, but as things stand countries are starting to wake up to the realities of debt trap diplomacy.
    Both China and Russia, IMO, will grow old and lose chunks of their population before they can fulfill their geopolitical objectives.
    A China vs India scenario would also be very interesting.

    • @bobtank6318
      @bobtank6318 2 роки тому +1

      This is a great summary here.

    • @AbsoluteZero6714
      @AbsoluteZero6714 2 роки тому

      @@bobtank6318 Thanks. I’m no political science expert, I am just sharing what little I know.
      I would perhaps add the fact that we shouldn’t have any illusions about China and Russia being true friends / allies. The Chinese leadership’s psyche, deep down, will always reserve a degree of wariness towards Russian ambitions. This has historical roots in the late Qing, Tsarist Russia’s involvement in the Eight Nations Alliance, Russian semi-colonization of parts of northeast China, and the Sino-Soviet split which pit Mao against Khrushchev and which led China to pursue closer ties with the West (or rather, the other way around. The J-8II was developed with some American assistance). Russia and China are friends with benefits + frenemies at best, and bitter rivals at worst. If China acts on Taiwan, Russia would at most give some muted affirmation while contemplating its own moves.
      The Russians also have a spot in their hearts that resent the Chinese, because China buys small quantities of Russian military tech only to reverse engineer them and then build increasingly better versions in much larger quantities due to China’s economic capacity. Chinese labor migrating into the Russian Far East has also become a point of contention in recent years.
      The West, specifically America, is about the only thing that binds Russia and China together on some issues. Russian and Chinese goals do not share a natural affinity for cooperation, as they want different things and both want success for themselves first and foremost. If not for the West, especially the US, China would perhaps see Russia more as another “Western” power. Not to mention the Belt and Road’s incursions into Eastern Europe, which Russia sees as its traditional sphere of influence, won’t be taken kindly. Russia sells its tech to China, but also to China’s rivals, namely India. The Russians know that due to the state of their economy, they have to be pragmatic too.
      It’s really a case where A builds up B, only to see B increasingly make moves that put it in a superior position to A while forcing A to take steps back and making A subservient to B’s wishes. A, knowing that it has no choice (due to its now weakened position) but to keep its head down, will begrudgingly go along until one day it becomes that cornered beast, and by then, all bets are off.
      We are looking at an increasingly lopsided relationship in China’s favor at Russia’s expense. China’s power projection capabilities via infrastructure and other economic projects into Russia’s backyard is greater than Russia’s power projection capabilities in the Far East due to its limited naval power and the general underdevelopment of the Russian Far East. While masses in China are still poor, its GDP per capita has already exceed Russia’s (while having a much larger population almost 10x Russia’s, and much more concentrated) while Russia’s overall an increasingly poorer country with the exception of the Moscow and St. Petersburg regions.
      All Russia has are nukes, but once we get there it’s a whole different story.

  • @McMayer00
    @McMayer00 7 місяців тому +2

    I know I'm speaking from hindsight here, but am I the only one that notices how "Whatismoo" is talking in length about how Russia would crush Ukraine within hours from the start of the invasion... It's 2024 now, I think he has been slightly wrong :3
    But anyway, love your vvvideos HypOps, keep up the good work

  • @TacticalMetalhead
    @TacticalMetalhead 2 роки тому +1

    Here's a topic that might be fun to cover.
    Are organically manned battle tanks obsolete to unmanned vehicles and ATGMs (both infantry carriable and vehicle equipped)?

  • @SGVmaniac24
    @SGVmaniac24 2 роки тому

    I am thoroughly enjoying your content, please make more!

  • @Xcreator999
    @Xcreator999 2 роки тому

    Can't wait for the next vid! Trying to find other channels that upload the same content but they are hard to find.

  • @mattkerr3508
    @mattkerr3508 2 роки тому

    Just found this channel and it's now my favourite military channel. Call sign battlehawk

  • @BrokeBaller444
    @BrokeBaller444 Рік тому +1

    You guys need a fully funded channel to go through all this stuff amazing content.

  • @mrelusive8038
    @mrelusive8038 2 роки тому +2

    You need to start pumping out the vids bro

  • @idkbruhlol1376
    @idkbruhlol1376 2 роки тому

    the battle in the south china sea vid came up on my suggested, i watched it and i loved it, a masterpiece. HypOps if u see this, congrats man u earnt urself another sub. 😀

  • @sinisterisrandom8537
    @sinisterisrandom8537 2 роки тому

    Just found this channel and i have entirely fallen in love with it.

  • @AbsoluteZero6714
    @AbsoluteZero6714 2 роки тому +1

    Spratlys Part 2 when? :)
    Also would love to see a China-Taiwan series, and a China-India series.

  • @skateraptor12
    @skateraptor12 10 місяців тому

    Hey man! Huge fan of your work. This content has limitless possibilities especially with the world as it is now

    • @TheUltimat111
      @TheUltimat111 9 місяців тому

      Wonder how these videos helped Zalyzhniy 😂😂😂

  • @Chris-gh2tv
    @Chris-gh2tv 2 роки тому

    This is really cool work you are doing. Great videos. Fun to learn this stuff.

  • @PoorlyPlaying
    @PoorlyPlaying 8 місяців тому

    I wanna see you get Habitual Linecrosser on to discuss this. Would be very interested to hear what he has to say, even if he can only go with declassified numbers and such.

  • @edrd6257
    @edrd6257 2 роки тому

    Really excited to wait for your new video.

  • @Mama-Deuce
    @Mama-Deuce 2 роки тому

    I really enjoyed this breakdown and I found the information provided on the political situation in Ukraine really eye-opening. I look forward to this type of chill setting with back and forth in the future loved it.

  • @spencerliu211
    @spencerliu211 2 роки тому

    hey, i love this channel! i’m ngl i stumbled into this channel while searching up Hoi4 tips 🤣, but i’m hooked! keep up the great work!

  • @squidgameman441
    @squidgameman441 2 роки тому +1

    HypOps this China war scenario was about a hypothetical SCS war. How about Korean Peninsula? What if a Korean peninsula crisis spilled over to include China? How would initial skirmishes go, with limited US support?

    • @TacticalMetalhead
      @TacticalMetalhead 2 роки тому +2

      China doesn't like North Korea, and with US/NATO presence being so deeply rooted with South Korea I feel China will most likely not get involved in such a scenario. North Korea is practically useless on the world stage, holds no benefit to China other than being cannon fodder, and their military is severely weak and outdated. They could be easily crushed by any modern military.

  • @willielinks3865
    @willielinks3865 2 роки тому

    I know your videos take but would you ever consider doing a podcast on the side? This was amazing to listen too! Keep up the great work!

  • @nh-10yae90
    @nh-10yae90 10 місяців тому +3

    its interesting to watch this back when they were talking about ukraine, and we have been proven wrong.

  • @AJS-ow4zu
    @AJS-ow4zu 2 роки тому +2

    I really hope you keep at this, as I've seriously enjoyed your videos so far. Are ground battles like 73 Easting something you could do?

    • @Arnal17
      @Arnal17 2 роки тому +1

      As far as i know, C:MO only has ground assets as tatgets (such as factories etc) and focus mostly on naval and air simulation.
      i could be wrong tho.

  • @EpicFox
    @EpicFox 2 роки тому +1

    Won't you continue the Spratly Series ?

  • @Quraishy
    @Quraishy 2 роки тому +2

    Did you remove the videos ?

    • @tacticolidiocy
      @tacticolidiocy 2 роки тому +2

      No, these videos are just hard to make. His next video is already well under way.

  • @jessechen4971
    @jessechen4971 2 роки тому

    Channel's growing! Congrats =)

  • @kylesanford3666
    @kylesanford3666 2 роки тому

    No way I’m listening to that whole thing, but you guys are awesome.

  • @chestnutrice9855
    @chestnutrice9855 2 роки тому

    thanks for the videos greatly enjoy your work

  • @ReachDefence
    @ReachDefence 2 роки тому

    Great great work, absolutely loved it.

  • @wahtx7717
    @wahtx7717 2 роки тому +1

    when new vid

  • @felwinter1861
    @felwinter1861 2 роки тому

    Do you have any plans on doing ground operation-simulations? I have been loving these videos and I hope you can continue making these videos as they have given me more interest in geopolitics and the politics behind warfare in the modern world, and might have helped me choose what to study, so thanks so much! You don't understand how helpful your videos have been to me (and interesting)!

    • @bobtank6318
      @bobtank6318 2 роки тому

      Unfortunately, CMO does not do ground operations as nearly as much detail as the air/naval ones.

    • @felwinter1861
      @felwinter1861 2 роки тому

      @@bobtank6318 Ahh, that’s too bad, still, I can’t complain. Thanks for answering my question :)

  • @stribika0
    @stribika0 2 роки тому +1

    It's interesting to listen to this now, after the invasion began. They tried destroying airfields and planes on the ground, and it worked somewhat, but I think not as much as they expected. Also the speed... seems to be a lot slower than you said, European NATO members have the time to prepare. And, surprising everyone, EU wasn't indecisive! Poland is getting 300 Abrams tanks, Germany is buying 40 F-35s, etc. Hopefully those get shipped before the Russians get here.

  • @PeterAngerani
    @PeterAngerani 2 роки тому +4

    SharpDog reporting for duty.
    suggestions for another scenario:
    Russia invades Ukraine but NATO provides air, ISR & logistical support.

  • @tylerbarse2866
    @tylerbarse2866 2 роки тому

    I came to the podcast from just watching the Video, and it was definitely interesting. What I have to say is less criticism and more about a talking point for future videos, but you didn't mention UAVs. Given the actual situation you simulated, leaving out UAVs wasn't a problem, but I personally feel like UAVs should have an honorable mention on the topic of SEADs. While I think people can understand how Drones can operate in an ISR role, the use for them to saturate air defenses is not so widely understood.
    All in all, amazing content and I definitely can't wait to see more.

  • @skwb29
    @skwb29 2 роки тому +2

    "I want to make this scenario but set in Ukraine". Bruh... lmao.

    • @skwb29
      @skwb29 2 роки тому +1

      That said, the insight into supply of PGMs seems very prescient in late March of 2022, where we've been hearing numerous reports of Russia having to resort to dumb bombs to carry out airstrikes.

  • @BSenta
    @BSenta 2 роки тому

    Don't worry about uploading every week keep up the quality

  • @victorvescovo5773
    @victorvescovo5773 2 роки тому +1

    Just curious . . why no use of AGM-160s MALDs (Miniature Air-Launched Decoys) to get the SAM Umbrella to light up, or absorb incoming missile fire? I thought that was pretty much US doctrine to lead a large attack with at least a few (or a lot of) MALDs.

    • @KoishiVibin
      @KoishiVibin 2 роки тому

      I think it's saturation attack.
      Consider:
      having 100 shot attack, with all of the shots being used, would mean that it is better to deploy all 100 shots as attack weapons
      at least that's what I see

  • @kevinkanable8191
    @kevinkanable8191 2 роки тому +1

    What’s your discord? I would like to get with you guys. I’m a former Navy ordinanceman on A6E.

  • @therocinante3443
    @therocinante3443 7 місяців тому

    Man you sound way better in this. Do you use some sort of voice filter in post?

  • @jamesmaddison4546
    @jamesmaddison4546 2 роки тому +1

    Do you have any more videos anywhere??? I love your videos dude

    • @HypOps
      @HypOps  2 роки тому +3

      Working on it!
      I'm glad you enjoy them, I hope to upload faster as time goes on.

  • @timkuehn8888
    @timkuehn8888 2 роки тому

    Great stuff and thanks for the recording. If big force-on-force scenarios are big time sinks, how about small unit tactics?

  • @schitify
    @schitify 2 роки тому +4

    "If you're down to the point where you're dropping dumb bombs off of fighter jets... maybe the war's not going very well." These words. There is much to learn from them.

  • @da_muffinman
    @da_muffinman 2 роки тому

    I love your videos, thanks!

  • @user-sg3wp2qs2b
    @user-sg3wp2qs2b 2 роки тому

    Wow, your videos blew up keep up the good work.

  • @takaharatanaka8818
    @takaharatanaka8818 2 роки тому

    I enjoy your videos vary much. They are well made and informative, if from the standpoint of a retired US Army Rotary Wing Aviator, flawed since all is based on assumptions made by Eagle Dynamics, still very enjoyable & filled with information for the layperson.
    Your very slow release of content doesn't make me very inclined to donate via Patreon. On UA-cam quantity also has a quality all of it's own.
    Thanks for the hard work, please don't stop.

    • @bobtank6318
      @bobtank6318 2 роки тому +1

      The software he uses isn't DCS. HypOps uses Command: Modern Operations, a simulator used by the Pentagon for training. It's the commercial version, so the some classified stuff isn't in it, but It is pretty close.

    • @takaharatanaka8818
      @takaharatanaka8818 2 роки тому

      @@bobtank6318 Published by Matrix Games, I knew that. I for some reason had Eagle Dynamics on my mind. I was drunk posting even though I know better than to do that.

  • @SanityUnknown
    @SanityUnknown 2 роки тому

    Looking forward to more videos like your other three posted. Are we going to see anymore uploaded? It's like an itch we all have that we can't quite reach or find. Of course, referring to your videos. We want to see content like this badly but can't find enough of it.

    • @HypOps
      @HypOps  2 роки тому +2

      Next video is well under way. This one is closer to reality than my other videos so I want to spend some time and get it right. I'm glad you enjoy them!

  • @piotr780
    @piotr780 2 роки тому

    reloading S-400 in combat situation after launch is going to take a few hours, so its quite vulnerable against saturation attacks, missile decoys etc. also its effective radar range is not so large becuase of earth curvature

  • @juliomaldonado4028
    @juliomaldonado4028 Рік тому

    Hey HypeOps. It's been a while since you last posted a video. I know the content you made is extremely time consuming, but none the less. Do come back to these videos time to time to enjoy them again.
    Take care

  • @Leon-tk2zc
    @Leon-tk2zc 2 роки тому

    Hey, I´ve been loving your videos. I would love it if you could simulate scenarios from the Kosovo War against the Serbs like the use of the US B2 bombers! Thank you so much for these vids. Keep it up!

  • @steadyjumper3547
    @steadyjumper3547 2 роки тому +1

    1:14:00 so this was the root cause of the lack of air control in Ukraine.

  • @mustafa8988
    @mustafa8988 2 роки тому

    My new favorite channel

  • @XDTape
    @XDTape 2 роки тому

    fantastic content. my only request is for more

  • @steadyjumper3547
    @steadyjumper3547 2 роки тому

    We shall watch your career with great interest

  • @JeremiahAnunnaki
    @JeremiahAnunnaki 2 роки тому

    SolarWarden-F-22A/NGAD test pilot. (mainly play ace-7)
    Lives at area 51.
    Sometimes he gets tired of microwaved meals and living with aliens.
    Could use time time in the next war simulation.

  • @johnschuman8910
    @johnschuman8910 2 роки тому

    New favorite channel

  • @fulcrum2951
    @fulcrum2951 2 роки тому +1

    Is it possible to recreate the Fulda Gap scenario?

  • @adiscordbot6140
    @adiscordbot6140 Місяць тому +1

    turns out you don't need F35s to break the S400, HIMARS works just fine

  • @gmanhobo
    @gmanhobo 2 роки тому

    Honestly don't worry about frequency of uploads just try to get a regular schedule of uploads weekly or even biweekly would be great.

  • @BiggestMarph
    @BiggestMarph 2 роки тому

    Flight Call signs that my units have had through the years: Thunder, Oasis, and Cyclone.

  • @MostlyPennyCat
    @MostlyPennyCat 2 роки тому +3

    If love to see what happens if you swap out American weapons for European of others' weapons.
    I've been speculating what you could make MBDA's new weapons do with the right programming for smart salvo attacks.
    SPEAR 3 and SPEAR-EW are particularly interesting. You can carry dozens of them.
    The modern Russian and Chinese radars on these IADS, are they jammable any more or is that in the past?
    Are these weapons available in this game or would you have to mod them in?
    Is it modable?

    • @MostlyPennyCat
      @MostlyPennyCat 2 роки тому

      Like, SPEAR-EW.
      It's a 140km subsonic miniature cruise missile with a Leonardo ECM payload.
      Could they loiter above a SAM and SHORADS site jamming radar and spotting targets?
      Followed by a salvo of the offensive type, SPEAR-3.
      And further followed by a salvo of less smart but still precise PGMs, JDAMs, Paveways and SDBs.