In case anybody doubted this like me, thinking that it's gotta be lower: I checked. It's correct. More precisely (still not exact) it's 0.103%, which is a bit dissapointing, cause it's so close to 0.111111111...%, which you could represent as repeating 11s: 0.(11)%
The expected number is about 4 (3.8) The probability of getting exactly 4 is only about 20% A more relevant calculation would be the probability of getting 11 or more, which is at 0.14%. Now, of course, we are looking at only the eleven, so obviously, games like this could happen with any other number, and thus more often than 0.14% of the time. So, maybe a 1 in 100 game ?
Well, in a truely random setup maybe. Idk how colonist randomizes dice rolls but they never felt random to me. I am pretty sure if you make some analyses of the dice rolls you would gett a different calculation. Nevertheless, very interesting, thank you!
Once you got the road builder, you actually had a road play again, since red was locked and you had room for 10. So at 25:52, you could have taken the brick trades and been really close to the win! Actually you would have won with those rolls!
The quality of the channel has really improved. I’ve already played against once a while ago and I got happy cause you won the US tournament. Congrats and keep up the good work!
Of course you produce that much ore, wheat, and sheep and don't get army. Why would you get army with your setup? Rolling that much ore is 100% a road play. 😂
Awesome Justin! I haven’t posted the 4th running of TSI but please join the discord in the description and shoot me a message there! I’ll make sure to put you on the list, we are starting soon!
Tried playing this site. Complete azz. Wait forever for a game to start. Then, when it does, people drop if they don't get a slamming start. Total crap site.
If it's strong OWS for everyone then you can either go for the best road setup, (ensuring you can connect 5 roads faster than the one who draws road builder) or go for the best city-building and go for 4 safe settle spots. So maybe strong Ore-Wheat and leave the Sheep open for the others to fight over so you can guarantee open settles on weaker hexes.
Hi Ashton. Thank you for this and happy to get you in. Can you send me a message ASAP via discord? You can join my discord here and you’ll find my account discord.gg/6eXxeFGR
Hey Drew! I joined the server and sent you a friend request so that we can chat on discord. VERY excited to get started! I wanna be a force to be reckoned with in Catan and I've seen your students do just that! Can't wait
11 11’s for an 11 point win with 11 cards in hand
wierd there is no 9 in it
And 69 turns ...
Make a wish bish
Could have won with 11 roads too
11 X 7,8,9
There's a 0.1% chance of rolling 11 11s in 69 turns in case you were curious.
In case anybody doubted this like me, thinking that it's gotta be lower: I checked. It's correct. More precisely (still not exact) it's 0.103%, which is a bit dissapointing, cause it's so close to 0.111111111...%, which you could represent as repeating 11s: 0.(11)%
The expected number is about 4 (3.8)
The probability of getting exactly 4 is only about 20%
A more relevant calculation would be the probability of getting 11 or more, which is at 0.14%.
Now, of course, we are looking at only the eleven, so obviously, games like this could happen with any other number, and thus more often than 0.14% of the time.
So, maybe a 1 in 100 game ?
*Noice*
Well, in a truely random setup maybe. Idk how colonist randomizes dice rolls but they never felt random to me. I am pretty sure if you make some analyses of the dice rolls you would gett a different calculation. Nevertheless, very interesting, thank you!
Soul-crushing 11 meta to the fullest - pts, ore, 7/8/9/11 rolls
Craziest game I've ever seen. If i were you, i would've bought lottery tickets right after the game.
Once you got the road builder, you actually had a road play again, since red was locked and you had room for 10.
So at 25:52, you could have taken the brick trades and been really close to the win!
Actually you would have won with those rolls!
noticed that too, was wondering why he didn't take that wheat for brick trade
Exactly!
6, 5, 11 is just 6, 9, 3's brother. Its the same pips for all 3 spots haha
The title for this video coupdn't have been more on point.
The quality of the channel has really improved. I’ve already played against once a while ago and I got happy cause you won the US tournament. Congrats and keep up the good work!
Thanks Thiago!
I mean.... 11, 11, 11 to start and then someone immediately trades you a sheep. I've watched 3 minutes and it's GG FOR SURE 😂
Of course you produce that much ore, wheat, and sheep and don't get army. Why would you get army with your setup? Rolling that much ore is 100% a road play. 😂
Thx for the awesome content, man. Watch you every day
DandyDrew when he has developers on the inside feeding him 11's.
Crazy 11s and crazy game 😂
11 11's for an 11 point win
With 11 cards in hand 😮
Oh holy cow I didn’t see that one! 11’s must be lucky for you
What music are you using? I really like the chill vibe :P
(Asking for a friend)
ua-cam.com/video/gyMFujCaPYY/v-deo.htmlsi=tR68XRs5D1ckruK7
@@dandydrew Thank you!
hey Drew, I am very interested in learning more advanced strageties - thanks!
Awesome Justin! I haven’t posted the 4th running of TSI but please join the discord in the description and shoot me a message there! I’ll make sure to put you on the list, we are starting soon!
What is the actual online game he’s playing? I know it’s catan but like where do you download it?
Its called colonist
It will never top that one game with Penny 😂
couldn’t you just have built a settlement on the 11-12 spot with your roads being up there? you kept saying you didn’t have a settlement
I once played a game, about 12 years ago. Started on both 8s. It didn't get rolled until turn 108.
You had no right to win that game but the 11s were HUGE! Make it brick instead of ore and it would of been a kellyc classic
Whats the "go-to" digital Catan client? I saw there are few of them.
Funny game 😂.
You had the win one turn earlier if you accepted the brick trade with OJ and ported Wheat for one more brick.
Where do you play online? I can't find a good place
Hey Dandy! How does one get into the coaching program, where do I reach you for that?
If you could please join my discord group and shoot me a message, I will be happy to share the details for TSI 4!
The most disgusting game I had was when 2 came up 5 times and 3 came up 9 and 12 6.
While 6 and 8 were around 3-5 times.
what is this version of catan? where can i download and play
New meta unlocked 🔓
Where are these resources when I'M playing?
What website is this I recently got into catan irl and wanna play online with good playerz
What is this Catan app? Where do I find it? Is it IOS?
You should find a way to enlarge the chat text on the iPad games.
Is this game on steam or is it in broswer?
This is a average game with my sister and somehow she wins way more than what’s fare
18 Ore in hand. 18!
Eleven sounds weird after this game
why didnt you build on 11 and 12???
Tried playing this site. Complete azz. Wait forever for a game to start. Then, when it does, people drop if they don't get a slamming start. Total crap site.
You came here just to say this? Move on.
Why did you not just settle on the 11 12 ore wood
I feel like this online game is fixed.
Dandy or anyone in the comments, what would your strategy to win or thought process be if the board is rich for ows game for everyone?
I would try to take advantage by picking the best road mats with the initial placements if they’re still available on your turn
If it's strong OWS for everyone then you can either go for the best road setup, (ensuring you can connect 5 roads faster than the one who draws road builder) or go for the best city-building and go for 4 safe settle spots. So maybe strong Ore-Wheat and leave the Sheep open for the others to fight over so you can guarantee open settles on weaker hexes.
U missed the win with longest road port for brick 23:47
Nope. I would need 2 roads plus the road builder to get to 10 roads… 1 extra road wasn’t enough
Should've posted this game on the 11th.
I'm VERY interested in TSI... how do I join??
Hi Ashton. Thank you for this and happy to get you in. Can you send me a message ASAP via discord? You can join my discord here and you’ll find my account discord.gg/6eXxeFGR
Hey Drew! I joined the server and sent you a friend request so that we can chat on discord. VERY excited to get started! I wanna be a force to be reckoned with in Catan and I've seen your students do just that! Can't wait
damn recording on an Ipad and its this HD
It appreciate that I can do that and share it with UA-cam.
I would love to see you play 1vs1
where is the best place to play catan? catan universe on steam is pretty terrible
Colonist.io
nuts
You’re the guy always asking for stupid trades.
If it’s good enough to get to #1 in the world, I have no issues being that guy.
@@dandydrewhuge.
Post game is commentary is boooring… do more live analysis!
All my main run games are played on my desktop with live audio. This was played on my iPad and recorded during lunch 🤣 epic game is still epic!
@@dandydrewstill very enjoyable! Thanks for posting
post game commentary isn't boring, it's a nice touch of variety.