Shohei Ohtani ALWAYS steals bases during these moments

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  • Опубліковано 26 січ 2025
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  • @coburnboeder2320
    @coburnboeder2320 4 місяці тому +217

    I love it when Jim says "so we did a little digging" and then pulls up a comically extensive spreadsheet.

    • @MMuraseofSandvich
      @MMuraseofSandvich 4 місяці тому +10

      That's my kind of data guy. I'm sure Shohei would want that spreadsheet.

    • @BryanChance
      @BryanChance 4 місяці тому

      Hehehe lol

    • @TwimsFan
      @TwimsFan 4 місяці тому +1

      A spreadsheet that he did not make himself

    • @moejuggler6033
      @moejuggler6033 4 місяці тому

      ​@@MMuraseofSandvichYeah, they should send it to him!

    • @robintay1449
      @robintay1449 4 місяці тому

      @@moejuggler6033 I'm sure he has made it already.

  • @DanielOrteez
    @DanielOrteez 4 місяці тому +82

    He's just fast. So many times he's already on 2nd before the ball passes the mound.

    • @rainbowhouse3427
      @rainbowhouse3427 4 місяці тому +5

      He feels faster these days tbh.

    • @DeepfriedBeans4492
      @DeepfriedBeans4492 4 місяці тому +3

      No, speed most certainly is not the only reason. 26% of players have a higher sprint speed than Ohtani, yet he’s second in steals.
      The fact that he gets to the base quickly doesn’t prove it’s just that he runs faster than other players. That still involves getting a good jump and reading when you are able to run.

  • @JohnSmith-nj4zq
    @JohnSmith-nj4zq 4 місяці тому +103

    I think Shohei being a pitcher helped him decipher what the other pitchers are going to do next pitch. It takes a lot of studying. Just like the past greats like Kobe, Brady and others, they are students of the game. Studying and learning of the games never stop with those guys.

    • @burningknuckle26
      @burningknuckle26 4 місяці тому +1

      Fax

    • @koningklootzak7788
      @koningklootzak7788 4 місяці тому +2

      True, as a pioneer of TWP, Shohei is seeing and knowing things beyond us for sure. I want him to write a book on it when he retires.

    • @markbaileycimarron-memoria3446
      @markbaileycimarron-memoria3446 4 місяці тому

      i'd argue "being a pitcher" plays almost no role in ohtani's ability to steal bases. i doubt it hurts in any way, but shohei isn't an above-average to great base-stealer cuz he's been a pitcher. he's actually a really solid base-stealer and easily one of the most talented ball players any of us have ever seen. and the kobe comparison is funny. like, I get it. he's a GOAT and kobe is a GOAT, but we can think of a ton of actual baseball players who are also really solid base-stealers that work a bit better for that metaphor. plus FK your stupid AI.

    • @markbaileycimarron-memoria3446
      @markbaileycimarron-memoria3446 4 місяці тому

      @@devonesq.7533 lol no dude.

    • @hairyballs089
      @hairyballs089 4 місяці тому

      @@markbaileycimarron-memoria3446 reading pitches to steal off of is apart of baserunning. You're more likely to swipe second off a changeup rather than a 4-seam fastball.

  • @NohyphenAmericanXVII
    @NohyphenAmericanXVII 4 місяці тому +14

    Ohtani's potential 50/50 season even being a possibility is one of the coolest things I've ever seen in baseball.

  • @jragadio
    @jragadio 4 місяці тому +43

    How did the forefathers of baseball even know to put the bases at 90 feet? I doubt they had any statistics of how fast runners are or will be in the future, how fast pitchers throw, catcher throw downs, etc.
    Yet, it’s always so close. Amazing if you think about it.

    • @jerban8879
      @jerban8879 4 місяці тому +4

      Something similar is the 3 point arc in basketball. Basically chosen at random many years ago but analysis of deep 2s and 3s show that it rly is at the perfect depth where it is

    • @jsmorman
      @jsmorman 4 місяці тому

      I think about this once or twice a month, every month, every year.

    • @wastanley734
      @wastanley734 21 день тому

      They were smarter than you think. They knew the average speed of good runners. Knew the average of good pitchers, and catchers throws. They did some basic trajectories and trigonometry to come to 90ft. You realize these men built buildings still standing 100 years ago from those same mathematics. Yet we cannot figure out basic math today. The cognitive decline is real.

    • @TheSilentHeel
      @TheSilentHeel 14 днів тому

      @@wastanley734 mf whos we? Lmao maybe YOU cant figure out basic math lmaoooo

  • @notaboxofjuice
    @notaboxofjuice 4 місяці тому +11

    I need the sales team to find a coffee brand to sponsor these episodes so that Jimmy can always take a sip of his coffee before jumping into it

  • @bentley230
    @bentley230 4 місяці тому +35

    Lmao, Shohei hasn’t gotten caught stealing from Tuesday to Thursday this season??? That’s huge

    • @gsmarcom
      @gsmarcom 4 місяці тому +4

      Shohei steals bases at a 91.5% success rate (43/47) compared to De La Cruz at 82.4.% (61/74)

    • @SuPaSaSiN
      @SuPaSaSiN 4 місяці тому

      To be fair, the dodgers usual day off is thursday

    • @jimwerther
      @jimwerther 4 місяці тому +1

      Neither have I

  • @timg6125
    @timg6125 4 місяці тому +52

    Your analysis on Ohtani's base stealing was interesting but I still have some questions. If you look on Baseball savant for who are the fastest players, Ohtani is only 157th in MLB in sprint speed. Bobby Witt Jr. is No. 1 by that metric, but he's only had a 70% success rate stealing bases this year, whereas Ohtani has been successful 92% of the time. Can you do one of those side by side things where you synch up the videos to show who is actually faster, or how exactly he does it. Does he get a better jump or time it better? What's going on?

    • @enshk79
      @enshk79 4 місяці тому +2

      157th? I thought Ohtani had elite speed? Interesting!

    • @herewegoagain117
      @herewegoagain117 4 місяці тому +13

      The one thing I notice about Ohtani is he almost always runs at the exact right time. Like he times up the pitchers wind up perfectly. I think steal timing matters almost as much as sprint speed. No hard stats to back this up though all eye test lol

    • @AliceYobby
      @AliceYobby 4 місяці тому +4

      Yes, like he shows in this video, Shohei is timing pitchers perfectly - which is by far the most important part of stealing bases, *if* you have the speed in the first place (as no matter how well you time the pitcher up, if you're a bottom half speedster you aren't coming in safe unless the pitcher is incredibly slow to the plate and the catcher has a bad arm as well)

    • @ХорхеГарсия-э5е
      @ХорхеГарсия-э5е 4 місяці тому +3

      That's one of those stats that just sounds wrong. Not saying it is, but 157th? Forget the stolen bases, just seeing him run around the bases for doubles and triples gives you an idea that he is extremely fast, and he has been measured at 157th? I think Baseball Savant need to check their data or Ohtani has some time warping field around him that make everyone slower instead of him faster.
      That aside, stealing bases has been always more an art than a brute force thing. You need speed, of course, but just being fast doesn't make you a good stealer. It's all about the moment you start running. If you can time the pitcher just right you can steal bases even without blazing speed, of you can't is very hard even with it. Knowing the pitcher is also a factor. Is not the same to run on prime Justin Verlander throwing fastball after fastball at 97mph that on a slower pitcher who mainly throws breaking balls.

    • @NohyphenAmericanXVII
      @NohyphenAmericanXVII 4 місяці тому

      by speed, do you mean home to 1st(out of the box), stealing 2nd or 3rd(sprint), 1st to 3rd(top), there's a lot of ways to measure speed.

  • @ThatSockmonkey
    @ThatSockmonkey 4 місяці тому

    Just so you know, Jimmys 3 Things is the only Talkin Baseball show I ALWAYS watch.

  • @OhJustSomeRandomGuy
    @OhJustSomeRandomGuy 4 місяці тому +14

    Another possible piece of data affecting this. Mookie returns to the lineup on Aug. 13. Shohei stole 5 bases in August before Mookie returned, and 10 in the rest of August.

    • @baosommurr4566
      @baosommurr4566 4 місяці тому +6

      He actually started stealing lot more after mookie was out. Him being leadoff has alot to do with this mentality of stealing

    • @OhJustSomeRandomGuy
      @OhJustSomeRandomGuy 4 місяці тому +1

      @@baosommurr4566 Yeah, it could also be linked to the switch up of the batting order that resulted from Mookie being out.

    • @recommended1782
      @recommended1782 4 місяці тому

      @@baosommurr4566 considering the lineup they had when mookie and freedie were out and bunch of aa or .230 guys i think he understood he had to do more so he did he is very smart he has a big brain as well

    • @steveotron
      @steveotron 4 місяці тому

      Yeah, it's more because Mookie happened to come back and is batting second while Shohei is on this stealing spree than his preferences depending on who is batting behind him.

  • @BryanChance
    @BryanChance 4 місяці тому +1

    The thing is no one else seems to be doing it like Ohtani does. Knowing the “secret” is one thing and the ability to successfully execute is another.

  • @chansamone
    @chansamone 4 місяці тому +1

    I loved the deep dive. Great job

  • @yetigonecrazy
    @yetigonecrazy 4 місяці тому +1

    The Twins and the White Sox each only having one double steal on the season, and them coming against each other, is the most baseball stat ever and I love it.

  • @jewelrunner5137
    @jewelrunner5137 4 місяці тому +4

    Would love to see some deep dive on the mariners pitching
    Logan Gilbert especially, his w/L if he had run support is insane

  • @baronvg
    @baronvg 4 місяці тому

    Ron Washington has the best reactions. He was the 3rd base coach in the 2020 NLCS when Turner made that play and his reaction there was funny too.

  • @markbaileycimarron-memoria3446
    @markbaileycimarron-memoria3446 4 місяці тому

    i love an insanely deep dive. thanks for this.

  • @mtt69
    @mtt69 4 місяці тому +22

    So you’re telling me Shohei is studying pitchers and to a point where he can have the highest percentage chance of stealing bases from them in real-time--and applying it?
    All the while keeping into consideration who he has batting before and after him to put his team in the best position to bring him home?
    All the while re-habbing his arm because he’s actually a pitcher and not a hitter/base runner to begin with?
    👏 mvp 👏

    • @timg6125
      @timg6125 4 місяці тому +4

      Is he a pitcher who also hits, or a hitter who also pitches? 😆
      MVP either way!! (I think he's always been a 2-way player. He's both, which is what makes him special.)
      Most pitchers rehabbing from elbow surgery can't do anything for their team until their arm heals. It's amazing to me, but we see it. 🤩

    • @BryanChance
      @BryanChance 4 місяці тому

      Well said!

    • @BKDBut
      @BKDBut 4 місяці тому

      So you're telling me that playing no defense and sitting on the bench all game allows you to look at pitchers' movements on the iPad?
      👏what a shocker👏

  • @jackknapp6384
    @jackknapp6384 4 місяці тому +6

    Jimmy, Lopez was not out in that tag attempt. Raleigh had the ball in his bare hand when he went for the swipe tag. If you watch it close you can see he doesn't make a transfer after the swipe to throw to first.

  • @nroose
    @nroose 4 місяці тому +1

    I mean, only 4 CSs so it couldn't be all the days of the week even once, so that is not statistically significant.

  • @Lucky008aau
    @Lucky008aau 4 місяці тому +1

    28:30 It looks like the ball lands in front of the plate with backspin, spins back onto the plate (look for the little hop). The catcher grabs it pretty much right in the middle of the plate (before it goes foul).

  • @bdnguyen
    @bdnguyen 4 місяці тому +1

    Being a pitcher helps him know whats coming as well. He's only 151st fastest in the game but his SB success rate (92%) is way higher than De La Cruz.

  • @gettruth3351
    @gettruth3351 4 місяці тому +2

    Dude I just noticed how much of Shohe how much he uses his brain to calculate the pitchers. Bro this dude is so in tune with baseball in the states. Bro if more baseball players treated baseball like he does, baseball would be way better astelectly than it is, it would be better.

    • @pali_aha
      @pali_aha 4 місяці тому

      Bro, what does astelectly mean?

  • @ohtani2024
    @ohtani2024 4 місяці тому

    This video needs more views!

  • @nossonrosenberg9122
    @nossonrosenberg9122 4 місяці тому

    In terms of the batter up data, it's more coinciding with the months and batting position. When Mookie went down, Ohtani moved into the leadoff spot, and as the season has progressed he's been running more and when Mookie came back, he stayed in the 1 and they put Mookie in the 2...

  • @rrickyspanish6674
    @rrickyspanish6674 4 місяці тому

    Mlb teams watching this: "WRITE THAT DOWN WRITE THAT DOWN"

  • @ddaug4uf
    @ddaug4uf 4 місяці тому

    The Mookie AB numbers are skewed because before Mookie went on the IL, he batted lead off and Ohtani batted 2nd (Freddie and Smith after them). But when Mookie came back, which correlates with Ohtani stealing more, Mookie has batted behind Ohtani in the order.

  • @merrittpalmer4349
    @merrittpalmer4349 4 місяці тому +15

    the bots are out of control

  • @wi1h
    @wi1h 4 місяці тому

    hey jimmy/whomever, out of curiosity, where is this data from? i've been doing some hobby research into deep data analysis for the mlb, and i've been using retrosheet which is great but doesn't have current season information, and the information it does have isn't this specific (i.e. catcher pop time). is the data publicly available?

  • @danielcastiglione5328
    @danielcastiglione5328 4 місяці тому

    Great analysis on Ohtani. But one other key factor is missing. What is the catchers pop time. Catcher’s over 1.7 seconds are slow. The idea for fast runners, pitcher is 1.5 + catcher is 1.7+ that is 3.1+ seconds. If you have a 13’ lead plus 18” first base, 9” second base (those that know how the field is laid out, that is 75’ in 3.1+ seconds. Most good runners can run a 75’ under 3.1 seconds. To translate to a 40 yards that is 4.96 second. So don’t need blazing speed to be a great base stealer.

  • @jeffdollaz
    @jeffdollaz 4 місяці тому

    You gotta say pause jomboy takin it givin it lmfao pause

    • @AliceYobby
      @AliceYobby 4 місяці тому

      he's not a child so no he doesn't

    • @jeffdollaz
      @jeffdollaz 4 місяці тому

      @@AliceYobby it’s a joke why you gotta be a Karen stop your mewling

  • @ikigai47
    @ikigai47 4 місяці тому

    Totally irrelevant to finding out Shohei's secrets but would have been very interesting to see an excel column on if his stolen base mattered (did advancing help him score). Also a stat column for when he wouldn't even try to steal. Guessing those are all pitchers below 1.5 seconds to the plate

  • @hrs795
    @hrs795 4 місяці тому

    The main key is that he has talented batters behind his back. With Mookie and Freddie as the most effective hitters in the line up. Also the bottom of the line are just doing fine to boost the winning rate. So, the team help him, and he help the team. I would say a great teamwork, in contrast with...you know, his last team. Lol
    Or yeah maybe you can ask Mensa to test Shohei IQ. He definitely a genius.

  • @koningklootzak7788
    @koningklootzak7788 4 місяці тому +12

    You need a better analysis. It's not that he likes to steal when Mookie is up compared to Freddie.
    It's got more to do with the batting order. He started stealing much more after Mookie injured his wrist, that's when he was in the 1st in the order. He is just playing his role as the 1st batter.

  • @kevinhuerta-ponce138
    @kevinhuerta-ponce138 4 місяці тому +10

    More bots than shohei stolen bases

  • @xiaobiaoxu5984
    @xiaobiaoxu5984 4 місяці тому

    Great stuff. Ohtani steals a lot before Betts is because that was the reason (to play him at leadoff). Apparently, Ohtani felt that he needs to do extra to be leadoff (because Betts was great). And it is not surprising his SB ramp up drastically in June/July. He probably did not feel the need/urgency to SB when batting 2nd ...
    Can one imagine if Dodgers realized how successful Ohtani can be on SB from the beginning of the season?!? His SB may be more like de la cruz's ... unfortunately, he will start pitching next year and I don't think Dodgers will let him SB this much.

  • @13tsted
    @13tsted 4 місяці тому

    How many unassisted double plays have catchers turned? Cant be many

  • @IRanOutOfPhrases
    @IRanOutOfPhrases 4 місяці тому +1

    Not sure the 'count' graph is all that interesting. Every at bat is going to have a first pitch. A lot of at bats are going to have second pitches. And third pitches. Less at bats are going to get to 2-2 or 3-2. So it would make sense for more steals to happen on the counts that are most frequent.
    I think to make that chart interesting, we'd need to see something like how many at-bats got to those counts with second/third open while Ohtani was on base regardless of stealing. If would need to be displayed as a proportion rather than a 'raw' count.
    When measuring by outs:
    Makes sense to be a little more aggressive on two outs. Likewise, would it be 'safer' to steal on two outs? I would need someone who knows how the MLB works to jump in here. But I would assume that with two outs, the pitcher/catcher are probably more focused on getting the batter out than the runner at that point, no? Obvious its not quite "defensive indifference" but would a catcher be more willing to not throw on a close play in order to prevent a more disastrous error?

  • @SpecsJigglypuff
    @SpecsJigglypuff 4 місяці тому +16

    12 bots in 2 minutes, crazy.

    • @smcdonough1427
      @smcdonough1427 4 місяці тому +6

      The bots on UA-cam are truly out of control now. Half of them are just posting nonsensical lists of names recently

  • @PeepsWaxPacks
    @PeepsWaxPacks 4 місяці тому

    Mookie would be the perfect batter to take off with IMO, for so many reasons, not least of which is his HOF level situational awareness.

  • @HawaiisTravelGuide
    @HawaiisTravelGuide 4 місяці тому

    yeah its this thing called SPEED LMAO

  • @blitztim6416
    @blitztim6416 4 місяці тому +1

    Many times there isn't even a throw.
    And he never goes in head first.

  • @connorcoleman2111
    @connorcoleman2111 4 місяці тому

    I’m curious how Soto’s at bats go against a pitcher he is seeing for the very first time

  • @hickorydiggoryjock
    @hickorydiggoryjock 4 місяці тому +1

    Actually, if you're the Baltimore Orioles, your team doesn't even make the list, so I guess they've had no double steals all year. Sounds correct 😅

  • @IGI_Media
    @IGI_Media 4 місяці тому

    Jomboy Math Media - There's an obvious threshold with context.
    A) He doesn't take the bat out of the batter's hands
    B) He doesn't steal if the base can be given to him for free i.e. he doesn't steal if the walk is imminent No steals on 2-0 or 3-0 or 3-1
    C) He also steals as a way to help the batter get favorable pitches.
    D) he's protected by the talent who follows him. [Murders row] if they were low batting averages, the pitcher doesn't care about the count.
    E) does the last run of steals correspond to his buddy Mookie getting back from injury? Do the maths Mookster got back in August approx 23 games ago

  • @kly1994
    @kly1994 4 місяці тому

    sho must start the weekend early and have long weekends. being being perfect for attempts Tuesday - Thursday and being thrown out on Friday - Monday.

  • @soymilkassassin
    @soymilkassassin 4 місяці тому +2

    The Mookie/Freddie split is probably because he has started batting ahead of Mookie recently as his SBAs have taken off. His opportunities with Freddie batting probably mostly came in the early months before he got going.

  • @JackGeezy
    @JackGeezy 4 місяці тому +5

    I want Dodgers to win World Series this year to watch the freaking haters cry

    • @AliceYobby
      @AliceYobby 4 місяці тому

      are you 11 years old

  • @kiley3030
    @kiley3030 4 місяці тому

    No stats on if a pickoff was already attempted?

  • @fraydow
    @fraydow 4 місяці тому

    He sold my parlay I needed 1 stolen base from him smh

  • @chrissze6273
    @chrissze6273 4 місяці тому

    Ohtanis secret exposed

  • @DaleStLouis-xb5mx
    @DaleStLouis-xb5mx 4 місяці тому

    Soto found his bat against my Cardinals' pitching that's not worth a shit sammich.

  • @jackvsc
    @jackvsc 4 місяці тому

    Look at me ma. I’m Twitter famous!

  • @sohel73405ny
    @sohel73405ny 3 місяці тому

    60 Sb in a season is nothing. That’s like 225 th best. Ty cob had 130 SB

  • @BrianKoontz2
    @BrianKoontz2 4 місяці тому

    As far as attempting steals with Betts at the plate, that's a meaningless stat. Betts came off injury near the time that Ohtani started his push for 50-50.

  • @LaSlattance
    @LaSlattance 4 місяці тому

    Jimmy four things

  • @chrismartino3519
    @chrismartino3519 4 місяці тому

    Now everyone is gonna know when he's stealing. WTF!

    • @AliceYobby
      @AliceYobby 4 місяці тому

      teams already have this info man. unless you're the white sox or A's or Rockies that is. but they aren't going to be able to get him out regardless, let's be real

  • @dylanmckinley9685
    @dylanmckinley9685 4 місяці тому +1

    How does shohei have a stolen base on a full count? How Is that possible?

    • @johnsonyu6571
      @johnsonyu6571 4 місяці тому +3

      Shohei took off before the pitcher delivered the 3-2 pitch

    • @lucasdaversa795
      @lucasdaversa795 4 місяці тому +3

      3-2 count with less than 2 outs and the batter struck out

    • @AliceYobby
      @AliceYobby 4 місяці тому

      you steal and the batter strikes out. use your noggin

  • @strange-universe
    @strange-universe 4 місяці тому

    if Shohei is going to be pitching again, then this is his one shot at this. I just wonder what inspired it? Being second in MLB in homers and steals is impressive.

    • @AliceYobby
      @AliceYobby 4 місяці тому

      what. him pitching won't make it so that he stops hitting and stealing. i'm assuming this is AI because you can't be that dumb about baseball watching this video surely

  • @fated316
    @fated316 4 місяці тому

    Ohtani = Click

  • @SharpwithanE
    @SharpwithanE 4 місяці тому

    For the algo

  • @maxgarcia2088
    @maxgarcia2088 4 місяці тому

    i am bot

  • @TheTEN24
    @TheTEN24 4 місяці тому

    So Shohei is gonna get caught stealing today lol

  • @fromthegroundup507
    @fromthegroundup507 4 місяці тому +1

    Should Jomboy be glazing Ohtani, AS IF OHTANI WAS A NEW YORK YANKEE. Would justify this spreadsheet

    • @AliceYobby
      @AliceYobby 4 місяці тому

      are you a child. being a fan of a team doesn't mean you can't appreciate greatness on other teams. especially if they aren't even in your same league. grow up my guy

  • @FrodohTBaggins
    @FrodohTBaggins 4 місяці тому +1

    Shohei is the greatest ball player to ever live and I’m not even a Shohei fan but this judge is the best needs to stop, he’s just another mark mcguire/DH

    • @AliceYobby
      @AliceYobby 4 місяці тому

      judge is an above average center fielder, which is the 4th most important position on the field. are you dumb

    • @dreigivetimpoolmassivewedg7646
      @dreigivetimpoolmassivewedg7646 4 місяці тому

      Uhhhhhhhh what?

  • @frighty
    @frighty 4 місяці тому +1

    The secret? Distract by pointing to his interpreter and just taking it without anyone caring.

    • @drew8546
      @drew8546 4 місяці тому

      🥱🥱🥱 That joke is so overplayed already

  • @AA-jq7xq
    @AA-jq7xq 4 місяці тому

    Wow. Much boring.

  • @JohnC3POlerud
    @JohnC3POlerud 4 місяці тому

    Jim do you know if soto weas suffering from a foot injury or toe injury. Looks like he may have been hesitant to make contact on any running down in the zone trying not to foul anything off into his feet

  • @JohnC3POlerud
    @JohnC3POlerud 4 місяці тому

    have the white sox had two men on base that many times all year that they could even attempt double steals? yikes