Anyone who knows anything about geopolitics knows Iran does not want the bomb, they threat to create one as a geopolitical strategy. They know if they create one, they will be like North Korea.
I bought one of these a year ago and they are excellent and I got one for my dad that malfunctioned and broke and they replaced it for free in no time at all
is there a former Obama staffer aon your staff, or as your source? you think Iran came to the table in good faith? appeasement with monsters. btw i also believe my country's (usa) operation Ajax is ultimately responsible for the iranian mentality of pursuing symbols of strength like nukes.
A couple of issues somewhat glossed over... 1. The JCPOA didn't even *pretend* to solve the problem - it was self-terminating, and thus only *delayed* an Iranian nuke even if it worked *perfectly*. 2. Obama and the EU *immediately* weeked the deal by lifting sanctions early, while gaining *nothing* substantive in exchange. 3. Kind of glossed over the problem with the US end of the agreement. Obama never even *attempted* to get the JCPOA ratified by the Senate, as the US Constitution requires for any treaty. 4. Iran had, since 1979, an almost unbroken pattern of violating *every* international agreement, including during the JCPOA period. 5. Obama further weakened the deal by - *in violation of US law* - secretly shipping literal *pallets* of cash (and this "gift" was not required by the JCPOA, even if it had been ratified) to Iran, cash that was immediately out to use funding terrorist groups planning and carrying out attacks against the US, Saudi Arabia, Israel, etc. So Iran realized they were getting all the benefits of the JCPOA, with very few restrictions, and the US was getting... more attacks on US servicemembers, allies, and further destabilization of the region (such as Iranian interference in Syria). That was all *before* Trump took office. After he reimposed sanctions, things *somewhat* calmed down, primarily because Iran was running short on funds to pay terrorists, and other Gulf region nations saw the US as taking Iran as a threat seriously. 6. *Before* the Gulf region and Levant truly blew up, Biden took office and basically reduced the pressure on Iran *again* . Almost immediately, everywhere there were Iranian supported terrorist groups, things blew up. The JCPOA was a failure before it was even signed - toothless, impotent, and primarily useful for making Western diplomats feel like they had accomplished something, while actually doing little to nothing to stop Iranian nuclear weapons progress... and as actually executed, making things in the Middle amd Near East *demonstrably* more dangerous.
I was wondering where the “pallets of cash” fit into all this. I usually think Simon is pretty unbiased in his assessments but this seemed to be unrealistically positive about the effects of the JCPOA.
He does often put to much faith in international circle jerks. Like the un and icj. Words aren't much. Hell this comment is a perfect example. No one cares what I say.
‘We don’t negotiate with terrorists’ only applies to Les Grossman. For everyone else, we negotiate all the time. For instance, using missiles to strike non-military targets like apartments in Ukraine is a terrorist attack, but negotiation has not been taken off the table. Just one of MANY examples.
"Everybody's favorite speed bump: Congress." 🤣 Great video! I've been following this issue for almost 10 years now, and I think you guys did an excellent job covering it! I wish you had gone over a bit more of Iran's pre-Shah history because I think it has real bearing on the current government's mindset, but I understand Why you didn't: your video can only be so long. Keep it up!
1:00 - Chapter 1 - The cold war 3:10 - Mid roll ads 4:40 - Back to the video 8:35 - Chapter 2 - How nukes are made 13:25 - Chapter 3 - Iranian enrichment uncovered 18:35 - Chapter 4 - Road to the nuclear deal 23:25 - Chapter 5 - The trump years & the death of the deal 28:50 - Chapter 6 - Escalation station ; are iranian nukes invevitable ? 34:25 - Chapter 7 - Conclusion ; an uncertain future ?
That's the difference it makes if a country actively pursued nukes or not at times. At times Iran has pushed that clock forward. My country is x years from a nuke. We are not actively pursuing one, but you can estimate how many components of a working device we have (enrichment, physics, facilities or even carriers like rocketry) and conclude that, if we want to, we could reach a nuke in x years.
A very detailed timeline! The complexities of diplomacy and nuclear proliferation are staggering. It's fascinating to see how small decisions snowball into major geopolitical shifts.
As an Iranian, it's really hard to find an analysis that convey a close view of the true story. but as always, you're team have managed to paint the full picture spectacularly and as honest as possible. Although you've failed to mention the difference between the administrative governments and the leading powers behind tge curtains in Iran or how the US never actually gave Iran a chance to trust them or how Israel kept lobbying the congress again the nuclear deal that could have made this video a more cheerful one...
Nuclear proliferation in Ukraine would have meant the old, pro-russian government would have been nuclear armed. A detail of the nuclear club is that all members usually agree that new members are not desired.
Not treating nuclear non-proliferation as a separate diplomatic table or lane would be a big change to me. The DPRK tags things not related to nuclear weapons to the negotiation.
It's there, it just takes millions of dollars and VERY specific equipment. The "how-to" is easy, it's the follow through that is complicated. HOW to build a bomb has been widely known for decades. Governments have made it impossible for you or I, by regulating the equipment and raw materials.
No one makes U-235; they filter out existing U-238 to concentrate U-235, and it’s easy to do with a large quantity of uranium and billions of dollars worth of centrifuges. It’s also pretty easy to detect, so you better build it deep underground.
First computer virus was used by israrl , the outlaw country with leadership indicted by the ICC for genocide. Israrl introduced nuclear weapons in West Asia.
most likely never.....once biten, twice shy.......I am pretty sure the Iranians learned their lessons from the first time and have precautions in place by now. We in the west tend to dismiss or diminish the technical prowess of people from non-white, christian or western nations, and that has biten us on the arse quite a bit as of later. China anyone?
@@bannankev I was waiting for him to say something like "I had a clunky old wallet for a while, then I got a Ridge wallet which is so much better, and now these guys are sponsoring me so they're cool too"
Enriching Uranium takes a lot of power. During WW2, about 15% of US power generation went into enrichment. So trying to help Iran build civil power plants gives them more electricity to use to make weapons grade uranium. Let’s not do that.
Jackie chan actually broke his ankle in Rumble during the apartment jumping scene. They had to make a sock that resemmbled his characters tennis shoes so that they could conceal the cast on his ankle during further filming. Classic movie, one of my childhood favorites.
An additional criticism of JCPOA is that it explicitly exempted numerous military sites from inspection where Iran was KNOWN to have conducted nuclear research and enrichment before. It merely forced them to move from civilian sites to military sites. On top of that, a popular argument for the JCPOA at the time was that it contained 'snap back' sanctions that would restore the prevailing sanctions regime (which was the toughest Iran had faced to that point owing to Europe finally cooperating). There was a fear that once dissolved, those sanctions would never be restored (even if Iran broke the agreement) because numerous European regimes had an 'in' with Iran, having helped them evade US sanctions and so Europe would benefit more from the end of sanctions and not want to go back. But these 'snap back' terms were largely a lie. An extremely generous commentator might say they were an on-paper-illusion. In order to trigger them, Iran would practically have to ADMIT that it had violated the deal, and even that required months of process and opportunities for the UN to put the kibosh on it. Which, if you're at all familiar with how the UN works, it absolutely would have. Ultimately, the JCPOA was never INTENDED to restrict Iran's nuclear progress. Rohani nor Obama were serious about that as the terms of the deal showed. It was a PR stunt. It was legacy building in the twilight of Obama's term. I'm not saying "If you'd done X, Iran wouldn't have kept on going for nukes". I think the Ayatollahs had long since decided this was a thing they were going to do at ANY cost. JCPOA was just a way to lower the cost significantly in exchange for a SLIGHTLY longer time frame as they'd be forced to change locations and be SLIGHTLY sneakier. This is one of those things where there just wasn't a good answer. JCPOA merely created the ILLUSION that there might be for public consumption.
Probably because it's just that a theorized but yet proven or disproven test. Best to leave such speculation alone as it just creates mass hysteria, case in point, the recent drone things in the US......its drummed up such hysteria that a former GOP Governor of Maryland posted a video claiming it showed a drone swarm over his house...the swarm turned out to be the stellar constilation of Orion.......
I moved to Iran right after the JCPOA deal was signed and soon after when Trump pulled out, things changed negatively and everything went down and I personally lost lots of money I had made before 😔
With Syria gone, Hezbollah and Hamas on the ropes and Russia mired in Ukraine, it won't be surprising if Iran finds itself facing a military campaign from a coalition of countries. Turkey, Israel, Saudi Arabia, UK and the USA come to mind.
Before watching video reaction: It would be extremely irresponsible for Iran to go nuclear when their entire defense pack is crumbling around them. They can make the nuke but good luck trying to shoot it.
There is still a taboo against nuclear risk. All actors think a little longer when just the risk of nuclear escalation is up. Even if it remains high up the escalation ladder.
How is it going for Iran now? By the way, did Iran truly give up its nuclear weapons research? How many would like to place a bet Iran has enough uranium to build a bomb now?
That would be a suckers bet in my humble opinion. And given that Iran is able to conduct trade without using US dollars or banking system with its major trading partners, I guess the sanctions while annoying are not as effective as the US expected them to be. And given the weaponization of the US Dollar and banking system, more and more nations are beginning the process of de-Dollarization.
@gumpyoldbugger6944 Brics is using project Embredge as its guide so you are correct alternative payment systems are well underway. You are also right about that suckers bet. Iran obtained a nuclear weapon design from Pakistan at the same time it obtained centrifuge designs. The word is it already has a weapon and just hasn't tested it yet.
@@SusCalvin Inspections might not detect the existence of weapons, given the subject country has many ways to deceive inspectors. History provides examples.
It's aluminium in the UK and its commenwealth, hence the pronunciation. I also find it weird how angry Americans get over non-American accents. I usually get a yelling by someone during southern visits there over my Canadian accent. Aluminium being an element makes more sense, you dont call plutonium, plutonum do you? Or iridium, irididum?
@@Mike-hu3pp Please don't misunderstand me. Yeah, we Americans can be pretty silly. I was mocking myself a bit because it shouldn't bother me. It's a problem with me, not Mr. Whistler.
I think it's really funny this video describes the Iran Deal as a great potential step towards peace rather than what it actually was, an Obama deal that pathetically, delusionally, and borderline treacherously conceded $6 Billion in frozen Iranian assets that could "only go to humanitarian efforts"... which frees up the rest of the Iranian budget to go purely to the military and proxies. As soon as Iran had breathing room, any excess budget went to Iranian proxies like the Houthis, Hezbollah, and Hamas, and removing sanctions allowed for more even MORE money to go towards armaments and military research and development, further destabilizing the rest of the Middle East by stoking the ongoing Iran-Saudi cold war. Why leave out such obviously critical facts? A cursory glance at the current state of Europe is a good gauge of the naivety and sheer retardation of the exact same leaders who chose to... *checks notes* give Iran more money... over allying with Orange Man Bad over the dissolution of the Iran Deal? Truly the most intelligent geopolitical choice of all time from our European "allies". The only charitable assumption is they were truly stupid enough to think Iran would become good after receiving billions of dollars, or maybe they were hoping for cheap oil eventually. So long as Saudi Arabia exists as a Sunni nation and Iran is a theocratic (Shia) state, Iran will never be a western ally, and will always work towards nuclear armament.
This is a boring US-centric narrative and it's tired at this stage. This is why the world is slowly but surely moving away from the dollar, because the US has shown a pattern of thieving money from countries when they do anything the US disagree with. Can't wait for the incoming tariffs 🤞🏻
No matter how much I personally dislike Trump, it’s true that, from the Iranian perspective, the JCPOA negotiations were never anything but a smokescreen to get a gullible western political establishment to lift sanctions. Nothing’s more fungible than cash, and they funneled it to their proxies as armaments. The Europeans might have wanted Iranian energy, but instead it went to China. The sophisticates are really pretty dumb.
Ah yes, the "master negotiator" Donald Trump canning a reasonable starting deal for a "better" deal and ending up with nothing. Is this the Art of the Deal?
I WANT to call Orange Man a moron for his interference in the deal but lord knows it ain't that black and white and simple. But damn if I don't feel like his stupidity was -in bloom- here for the part he played.
The part starting at around minute 25 seems somewhat backwards in terms of cause and effect. Giving up an agreement the other side actively showed no sign of adhering to in exchange for a broad peace agreement that by all rights turned out to be workable was probably not a mistake. Further, the problems that broke out later probably came from the Biden administration dismantling that peace agreement for political reasons rather than the agreement as negotiated by Trump having itself failed. I don't think you can honestly pin the eventual outcome the way it seems to be framed in the video, at least in my opinion.
There was no peace agreement to dismantle by the time Biden was in office. Iran was in open defiance of nearly every provision of the original agreement by 2021, and was engaged in covert war on multiple fronts. I would be receptive to criticism of Biden for failing to ink a new deal, but the idea that he dismantled an existing agreement has no basis in reality whatsoever.
Honestly that seemed to be a bit of bias on Simons part based on other (non-US) reporting of what happened, putting the blame squarely on him for it seemed a little much (no I'm not American).
The status of Jerusalem is internationally disputed. Israel considers Jerusalem its capital and has established its primary government institutions there, including the Knesset (parliament), the President's residence, and the Prime Minister's office. Many countries do not recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capital due to the conflict over the city's status in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Never. Wars have been a part of human history since the dawn of humanity. They are a part of the world today, and they will be a part of the future of humanity until we cease to exist as a species.
Enjoy up to 55% off during Ekster's Christmas sale and use code WARFRONTS at checkout for even more savings! partner.ekster.com/warfronts
Anyone who knows anything about geopolitics knows Iran does not want the bomb, they threat to create one as a geopolitical strategy. They know if they create one, they will be like North Korea.
I bought one of these a year ago and they are excellent and I got one for my dad that malfunctioned and broke and they replaced it for free in no time at all
is there a former Obama staffer aon your staff, or as your source? you think Iran came to the table in good faith? appeasement with monsters. btw i also believe my country's (usa) operation Ajax is ultimately responsible for the iranian mentality of pursuing symbols of strength like nukes.
Congratulations on having your 374th channel with over 1M subs!
I remember those times when Simon dressed like either business man or druglord.
Now it's casual Friday everyday.
Factboi realized he can make an extra 30 seconds of video each day by going straight from napping to recording $$$
Trust me there's no difference if you're doing it well 🤨
Rusty Venture sways with the winds of script😂
I kinda miss the old look
A couple of issues somewhat glossed over...
1. The JCPOA didn't even *pretend* to solve the problem - it was self-terminating, and thus only *delayed* an Iranian nuke even if it worked *perfectly*.
2. Obama and the EU *immediately* weeked the deal by lifting sanctions early, while gaining *nothing* substantive in exchange.
3. Kind of glossed over the problem with the US end of the agreement. Obama never even *attempted* to get the JCPOA ratified by the Senate, as the US Constitution requires for any treaty.
4. Iran had, since 1979, an almost unbroken pattern of violating *every* international agreement, including during the JCPOA period.
5. Obama further weakened the deal by - *in violation of US law* - secretly shipping literal *pallets* of cash (and this "gift" was not required by the JCPOA, even if it had been ratified) to Iran, cash that was immediately out to use funding terrorist groups planning and carrying out attacks against the US, Saudi Arabia, Israel, etc. So Iran realized they were getting all the benefits of the JCPOA, with very few restrictions, and the US was getting... more attacks on US servicemembers, allies, and further destabilization of the region (such as Iranian interference in Syria).
That was all *before* Trump took office. After he reimposed sanctions, things *somewhat* calmed down, primarily because Iran was running short on funds to pay terrorists, and other Gulf region nations saw the US as taking Iran as a threat seriously.
6. *Before* the Gulf region and Levant truly blew up, Biden took office and basically reduced the pressure on Iran *again* . Almost immediately, everywhere there were Iranian supported terrorist groups, things blew up.
The JCPOA was a failure before it was even signed - toothless, impotent, and primarily useful for making Western diplomats feel like they had accomplished something, while actually doing little to nothing to stop Iranian nuclear weapons progress... and as actually executed, making things in the Middle amd Near East *demonstrably* more dangerous.
I was wondering where the “pallets of cash” fit into all this. I usually think Simon is pretty unbiased in his assessments but this seemed to be
unrealistically positive about the effects of the JCPOA.
He does often put to much faith in international circle jerks. Like the un and icj. Words aren't much. Hell this comment is a perfect example. No one cares what I say.
Hi bot how's it going?
Last time I was this early, the Iranians and the Israelis were trying to stop Iraq from getting nukes
They’re still doing that.
These dude been fighting since before the land before time. Good man doesn't just make coffee... Hebrews.
Us hebrews win Nobel prizes so you can either hate us or learn something
@@elypearl826congratulations on your Nobel.
What did you win it for?
Or just claiming other people's accomplishments?
@@mini-carnage7540 no we're just smarter than the rest . All of us
Huh weird how black friday has such a different meaning over there.
I don't even want to know about their Black History Month.
The black September wasn’t a very cheap time either
Two standard Warfromts episode templates:
A. The United States must intervene!!!
B. The United States effed up intervening!!!
As usual, both are true in this video
‘We don’t negotiate with terrorists’ only applies to Les Grossman.
For everyone else, we negotiate all the time. For instance, using missiles to strike non-military targets like apartments in Ukraine is a terrorist attack, but negotiation has not been taken off the table. Just one of MANY examples.
You aren't wrong
Is that a tropic thunder reference?
"Everybody's favorite speed bump: Congress." 🤣
Great video! I've been following this issue for almost 10 years now, and I think you guys did an excellent job covering it! I wish you had gone over a bit more of Iran's pre-Shah history because I think it has real bearing on the current government's mindset, but I understand Why you didn't: your video can only be so long. Keep it up!
Right? Like instead of helping to rework the treaty and address concerns they immediately panned it as terrible and gave up. Just dumb.
1:00 - Chapter 1 - The cold war
3:10 - Mid roll ads
4:40 - Back to the video
8:35 - Chapter 2 - How nukes are made
13:25 - Chapter 3 - Iranian enrichment uncovered
18:35 - Chapter 4 - Road to the nuclear deal
23:25 - Chapter 5 - The trump years & the death of the deal
28:50 - Chapter 6 - Escalation station ; are iranian nukes invevitable ?
34:25 - Chapter 7 - Conclusion ; an uncertain future ?
Surprised stuxnet didn't get a mention.
I don’t know, Iran has been a few weeks from building the bomb for the last 15 years. I kind of think Tehran doesn’t really want nukes.
That's the difference it makes if a country actively pursued nukes or not at times. At times Iran has pushed that clock forward.
My country is x years from a nuke. We are not actively pursuing one, but you can estimate how many components of a working device we have (enrichment, physics, facilities or even carriers like rocketry) and conclude that, if we want to, we could reach a nuke in x years.
Thanks to Israel 🇮🇱
Another good video to enjoy for my lunch
For the past 5 years I've been told every day that Iran is two weeks away from nuclear weapon core production.
The problem is not nuclear weapons. The problem is that countries feel too comfortable to openly and publicly threat other countries existence.
Also some nuclear countries are too comfortable with taking territory from other countries.
There is also the small issue of such a peaceful religion... just sayin
@@user-jg6bd7se8u poooopjet detected get a toilet 😂
@@user-jg6bd7se8u poooopjet detected get a toilet 😂
@@user-jg6bd7se8u russia are christians buddy
Every day we come closer to living in the world of fallout.
It's all over but the crying
And nobody's crying but me
Friends all over know I'm trying
Yeah, the constant warmongering of the US is terrifying.
@@nocigar7730 IM GOOOOOING UUUUUNDER
I've been collecting bottle caps
War... War never changes...
1:37 who else thought the supreme leader was saluting 😂😂
I thought that was Saruman showing solidarity with the Palestinians.
I am 20 minutes through, but Simon has missed the entire Stuxnet thing
In the long term it was just a delay.
I forgot the name of it, but I was thinking the same thing
He has like a 30 minute video on the subject so he probably didn't want to be redundant
What is it?
...because he already made that video
19:54 - LOL , but seriously, the tale of Iran from 1949 to present day is fascinating.
That sponsor transition was kinda rough but thanks as always for the comprehensive video
11:33 “…and we’re going to use scientific term here: cause a really really big boom” This part me me gigle
gigle
Persia having functional nukes is a timeline I never thought I'd live in. Someone bring Alexander back.
Thanks for educating me on this so clearly simon.
Very well done summary!
Thank you for making the physics easier to understand!! Very scary, yet interesting video. Thank you, Simon and team. 😊❤❤
Sooooo Iran cries victim and fear of neighbors while antagonizing them at the same time? Makes perfect sense
A very detailed timeline! The complexities of diplomacy and nuclear proliferation are staggering. It's fascinating to see how small decisions snowball into major geopolitical shifts.
There’s an alternate universe where the US invaded North Korea or Iran in 2003 instead of Iraq
Both would of triggered a nuclear war.
One already happened.@@gumpyoldbugger6944
Woulda been awful either way. With conventional warfare, Americans could lose the same amount of troops as Vietnam. Wouldn’t be good for the public
Thank you
Great episode guys, is there anywhere you publish your sources of information?
I'd love to do some deep diving
I agree.
Ask the writers in his basement
Thanks
As an Iranian, it's really hard to find an analysis that convey a close view of the true story. but as always, you're team have managed to paint the full picture spectacularly and as honest as possible.
Although you've failed to mention the difference between the administrative governments and the leading powers behind tge curtains in Iran or how the US never actually gave Iran a chance to trust them or how Israel kept lobbying the congress again the nuclear deal that could have made this video a more cheerful one...
I need a video on turkey and their possible invasion on Syria, their end game, and why
What a nice looking sweater.
With all my dislike for the Iranian government, giving up on nuclear weapons after what happened to Ukraine would be very stupid.
Nuclear proliferation in Ukraine would have meant the old, pro-russian government would have been nuclear armed.
A detail of the nuclear club is that all members usually agree that new members are not desired.
Not treating nuclear non-proliferation as a separate diplomatic table or lane would be a big change to me.
The DPRK tags things not related to nuclear weapons to the negotiation.
I can’t wait for the day when someone posts instructions on how to make U-235 onto the internet
Step 1: Create the universe.
I'm pretty sure you could find it if you look hard enough
It's there, it just takes millions of dollars and VERY specific equipment. The "how-to" is easy, it's the follow through that is complicated. HOW to build a bomb has been widely known for decades. Governments have made it impossible for you or I, by regulating the equipment and raw materials.
Its easy if you got mony en time
No one makes U-235; they filter out existing U-238 to concentrate U-235, and it’s easy to do with a large quantity of uranium and billions of dollars worth of centrifuges.
It’s also pretty easy to detect, so you better build it deep underground.
Simon. When are we going to get a Canadian political update video?
Stuxnet 2.0 when?
First computer virus was used by israrl , the outlaw country with leadership indicted by the ICC for genocide. Israrl introduced nuclear weapons in West Asia.
I doubt ever. Back then they used unprotected PLCs and I doubt they run anything that open again.
most likely never.....once biten, twice shy.......I am pretty sure the Iranians learned their lessons from the first time and have precautions in place by now. We in the west tend to dismiss or diminish the technical prowess of people from non-white, christian or western nations, and that has biten us on the arse quite a bit as of later. China anyone?
@@danlemke6407true but it is Israel we’re talking about they’ll find a way
@@danlemke6407 I doubt that's going to stop Mossad and the CIA forever
I like my traditional wallet.
Aw man, how could you spoil the sponsor like that?
Me too
@@TheAugustburnsbrightwonder what happened to Ridge? 😂
@@bannankev I was waiting for him to say something like "I had a clunky old wallet for a while, then I got a Ridge wallet which is so much better, and now these guys are sponsoring me so they're cool too"
15:47 BRACK BAMA🗣️‼️🔥💯
Dont woory so much. After Operations Orchard and Opera, Opertion Finale will come.
Enriching Uranium takes a lot of power. During WW2, about 15% of US power generation went into enrichment. So trying to help Iran build civil power plants gives them more electricity to use to make weapons grade uranium. Let’s not do that.
And make them economically more powerful which is the real reason why Israel does not want that.
That was 80 years ago. Power generation and efficiency has progressed so much since then. It’s not a hang up for Iran
00:47 who wrote this line?
4:43 pause it….. the image on the board in the background what is that image????
Iran's map?
2004: Iran is months away from having a bomb!
2024: Iran is months away from having a bomb!
2124: Iran is months away from having a bomb!
Who else is shadow banned on youtube unless their topic of comments is mentioning the fact they are shadow banned?
Jackie chan actually broke his ankle in Rumble during the apartment jumping scene. They had to make a sock that resemmbled his characters tennis shoes so that they could conceal the cast on his ankle during further filming. Classic movie, one of my childhood favorites.
An additional criticism of JCPOA is that it explicitly exempted numerous military sites from inspection where Iran was KNOWN to have conducted nuclear research and enrichment before. It merely forced them to move from civilian sites to military sites.
On top of that, a popular argument for the JCPOA at the time was that it contained 'snap back' sanctions that would restore the prevailing sanctions regime (which was the toughest Iran had faced to that point owing to Europe finally cooperating). There was a fear that once dissolved, those sanctions would never be restored (even if Iran broke the agreement) because numerous European regimes had an 'in' with Iran, having helped them evade US sanctions and so Europe would benefit more from the end of sanctions and not want to go back.
But these 'snap back' terms were largely a lie. An extremely generous commentator might say they were an on-paper-illusion. In order to trigger them, Iran would practically have to ADMIT that it had violated the deal, and even that required months of process and opportunities for the UN to put the kibosh on it. Which, if you're at all familiar with how the UN works, it absolutely would have.
Ultimately, the JCPOA was never INTENDED to restrict Iran's nuclear progress. Rohani nor Obama were serious about that as the terms of the deal showed. It was a PR stunt. It was legacy building in the twilight of Obama's term. I'm not saying "If you'd done X, Iran wouldn't have kept on going for nukes". I think the Ayatollahs had long since decided this was a thing they were going to do at ANY cost. JCPOA was just a way to lower the cost significantly in exchange for a SLIGHTLY longer time frame as they'd be forced to change locations and be SLIGHTLY sneakier. This is one of those things where there just wasn't a good answer. JCPOA merely created the ILLUSION that there might be for public consumption.
Im surprised you didnt include the recent theorized underground nuclear test they allegedly did
Probably because it's just that a theorized but yet proven or disproven test.
Best to leave such speculation alone as it just creates mass hysteria, case in point, the recent drone things in the US......its drummed up such hysteria that a former GOP Governor of Maryland posted a video claiming it showed a drone swarm over his house...the swarm turned out to be the stellar constilation of Orion.......
Iran is an interesting country and have potential superpowers
Remember Ridge wallet? Pepperidge Farm remembers.
Can't blame Simon, he needs to drum up sponsorship money in order to feed his collection of basement dwelling writers.
@@gumpyoldbugger6944 lol
Not only are we building The Wall....we also are building that big red button you speak of that says "NO DEAL" 😉😁
I moved to Iran right after the JCPOA deal was signed and soon after when Trump pulled out, things changed negatively and everything went down and I personally lost lots of money I had made before 😔
Long Live the Islamic Republic of Iran. 🇮🇷🇮🇷🇮🇷
Proud to be a Muslim and an Iranian.
Our nation will stand strong and fight all aggressors.
"Shah's increasing autocratic tendencies"
And then he goes straight to a card holder promotion
I figure they've had at least one or two basic gunbarrel type nukes for years now....
The thing about nuclear bombs is that all that have them never want to use them, so far...
With Syria gone, Hezbollah and Hamas on the ropes and Russia mired in Ukraine, it won't be surprising if Iran finds itself facing a military campaign from a coalition of countries. Turkey, Israel, Saudi Arabia, UK and the USA come to mind.
Last time I was this early Iran had a Shah
Before watching video reaction: It would be extremely irresponsible for Iran to go nuclear when their entire defense pack is crumbling around them. They can make the nuke but good luck trying to shoot it.
There is still a taboo against nuclear risk. All actors think a little longer when just the risk of nuclear escalation is up. Even if it remains high up the escalation ladder.
0:33 "years of careful diplomacy"?🤣 Foreign policy towards Iran has been more like brain surgery with bulldozer, so stop asking how we got here.
What could we have done differently? The US could have collectively made the right decision in 2016.
So, I guess Ridge is out of here, huh?
Only reason we are here is because the british wanted free iranian oil
Ya but. How did Pakistan get nukes?
By paying a lot of the budget into a nuclear program.
10 ads mate what
USA also give tomcat
How is it going for Iran now? By the way, did Iran truly give up its nuclear weapons research? How many would like to place a bet Iran has enough uranium to build a bomb now?
That would be a suckers bet in my humble opinion. And given that Iran is able to conduct trade without using US dollars or banking system with its major trading partners, I guess the sanctions while annoying are not as effective as the US expected them to be. And given the weaponization of the US Dollar and banking system, more and more nations are beginning the process of de-Dollarization.
@gumpyoldbugger6944 Brics is using project Embredge as its guide so you are correct alternative payment systems are well underway. You are also right about that suckers bet. Iran obtained a nuclear weapon design from Pakistan at the same time it obtained centrifuge designs. The word is it already has a weapon and just hasn't tested it yet.
Part of the deal would have involved sending in IAEA inspectors to verify that. With sanctions lifting depending on their findings.
@@gumpyoldbugger6944I just think finance people have a hard time understanding industrial economy. They think they are an absolutely vital part.
@@SusCalvin Inspections might not detect the existence of weapons, given the subject country has many ways to deceive inspectors. History provides examples.
I would not be surprised if the entire thing is a scam
Explain by crazy lefty is always funny
🤡
What about stuxnet?
Is he saying “Terran”?
Last time I was this early, Iran had a free democracy, but the US said "not on my watch"
No plug for your stuxnet video? Hehehe
Probably already have a few
They just got a big set back by hebrews no?
Team 1 minute
Why does his pronunciation of aluminum drive me crazy? It shouldn't.
It's aluminium in the UK and its commenwealth, hence the pronunciation. I also find it weird how angry Americans get over non-American accents. I usually get a yelling by someone during southern visits there over my Canadian accent.
Aluminium being an element makes more sense, you dont call plutonium, plutonum do you? Or iridium, irididum?
@@Mike-hu3pp Please don't misunderstand me. Yeah, we Americans can be pretty silly. I was mocking myself a bit because it shouldn't bother me. It's a problem with me, not Mr. Whistler.
Sucks Iran has nukes and isn’t free.
I think it's really funny this video describes the Iran Deal as a great potential step towards peace rather than what it actually was, an Obama deal that pathetically, delusionally, and borderline treacherously conceded $6 Billion in frozen Iranian assets that could "only go to humanitarian efforts"... which frees up the rest of the Iranian budget to go purely to the military and proxies. As soon as Iran had breathing room, any excess budget went to Iranian proxies like the Houthis, Hezbollah, and Hamas, and removing sanctions allowed for more even MORE money to go towards armaments and military research and development, further destabilizing the rest of the Middle East by stoking the ongoing Iran-Saudi cold war.
Why leave out such obviously critical facts? A cursory glance at the current state of Europe is a good gauge of the naivety and sheer retardation of the exact same leaders who chose to... *checks notes* give Iran more money... over allying with Orange Man Bad over the dissolution of the Iran Deal? Truly the most intelligent geopolitical choice of all time from our European "allies". The only charitable assumption is they were truly stupid enough to think Iran would become good after receiving billions of dollars, or maybe they were hoping for cheap oil eventually.
So long as Saudi Arabia exists as a Sunni nation and Iran is a theocratic (Shia) state, Iran will never be a western ally, and will always work towards nuclear armament.
This is a boring US-centric narrative and it's tired at this stage. This is why the world is slowly but surely moving away from the dollar, because the US has shown a pattern of thieving money from countries when they do anything the US disagree with. Can't wait for the incoming tariffs 🤞🏻
Exactly - missing all of the funding that the Obama "deal" freed up to fund terror proxies.
No matter how much I personally dislike Trump, it’s true that, from the Iranian perspective, the JCPOA negotiations were never anything but a smokescreen to get a gullible western political establishment to lift sanctions. Nothing’s more fungible than cash, and they funneled it to their proxies as armaments. The Europeans might have wanted Iranian energy, but instead it went to China.
The sophisticates are really pretty dumb.
Hopefully it's just use of an extremely biased source material.....
@@Dragon4Soul I like Simon, but his political bias is pretty evident in quite a number of his videos.
Iran wants to mess around and find out why the us has no universal healthcare in the worst way possible lol
Cringe
I vote Simon Whistler for Ambassador to EVERYBODY.
When ever they want. It's all a political decision not too
Ah yes, the "master negotiator" Donald Trump canning a reasonable starting deal for a "better" deal and ending up with nothing. Is this the Art of the Deal?
No they havent reached the technology, ruzzia has given it to them for their assistance
AIEA
We gone die y'all😭
Trump orange lence 😂😂😂😂
Iran about to FAFO
I don't believe anyone want to FAFO with nukes.
How dare Iran defend itself against our aggresion.
Is he wearing a gold Rolex lol
Was Simon a cold child?
I WANT to call Orange Man a moron for his interference in the deal but lord knows it ain't that black and white and simple. But damn if I don't feel like his stupidity was -in bloom- here for the part he played.
Say this on any American news cite and you'll be spammed with loyalists blindly praising his decision without even knowing what they're talking about
3rd! Last time i was this early, Iran was a monarchy
The part starting at around minute 25 seems somewhat backwards in terms of cause and effect. Giving up an agreement the other side actively showed no sign of adhering to in exchange for a broad peace agreement that by all rights turned out to be workable was probably not a mistake. Further, the problems that broke out later probably came from the Biden administration dismantling that peace agreement for political reasons rather than the agreement as negotiated by Trump having itself failed. I don't think you can honestly pin the eventual outcome the way it seems to be framed in the video, at least in my opinion.
😂when in doubt blame Biden. You don’t know what you’re talking about tell the truth..:!
There was no peace agreement to dismantle by the time Biden was in office. Iran was in open defiance of nearly every provision of the original agreement by 2021, and was engaged in covert war on multiple fronts.
I would be receptive to criticism of Biden for failing to ink a new deal, but the idea that he dismantled an existing agreement has no basis in reality whatsoever.
What agreement did Trump do???? He is literally responsible for where we are
@@Recon6delta Dude, how can these people be so damn dumb
Wait, so you are saying OrangeMan did something that screwed us and our allies? Well color me surprised.
Ffs get over it.
@@BTM666-t7r Not yet. He's back in office. Maybe I will get over it once he's out of this world.
Honestly that seemed to be a bit of bias on Simons part based on other (non-US) reporting of what happened, putting the blame squarely on him for it seemed a little much (no I'm not American).
Sounds like Trump is quite the negotiator.
The capital of Israel is Jerusalem, not Tel Aviv
The status of Jerusalem is internationally disputed. Israel considers Jerusalem its capital and has established its primary government institutions there, including the Knesset (parliament), the President's residence, and the Prime Minister's office. Many countries do not recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capital due to the conflict over the city's status in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
This is the third wallet you've pushed to me, which diminishes your credibility.
What a load of shit! They have been saying the same thing since the 80s.
It’s crazy the world we live in … wars and more. At some point when will it stop?
Never. Wars have been a part of human history since the dawn of humanity. They are a part of the world today, and they will be a part of the future of humanity until we cease to exist as a species.
When one side wins, both sides lose, or both win.