Experts slugfest: Our ridiculously early 2024 Oscar predictions

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  • Опубліковано 29 жов 2024

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  • @justingerald
    @justingerald Рік тому +21

    Joyce is just straight DGAF energy all of the time and it's great.

    • @justingerald
      @justingerald Рік тому +1

      @Json no one is making you watch. I think that's just her natural demeanor

    • @justingerald
      @justingerald Рік тому +1

      @Json which is rude thing to say, but this is youtube so that's expected

  • @whatsup4825
    @whatsup4825 Рік тому +12

    I love this howling wilderness of early award season when movies can just be movies and not put into competition with each other. Thanks for the palette cleanser, Joyce and Christopher! 👌

  • @DavidN369
    @DavidN369 Рік тому +11

    Totally dig your ridiculously early picks, some seem pretty plausible, some are way out there, all are really fun. Loved the Greta Gerwig shirt, "The Adam McKay Memorial Slot," and "The Son" banter, cracked up right at the outset. Totally agree re: the influence of phone alerts/social media/streaming's impact on the ratings, and certainly how EEAAO just swallowed up the competition. Also, after 4 years of smaller/underdog/atypical films, could the pendulum swing back to Big Oscar-Bait again? After all, this year did see a return to Sweep. Well, 9 months to go. Let the games begin, again. Overdue veteran never nominated: Derek Jacobi. Do bring back Oscar Playback, yes, yes, yes. As always, youse twose are the berries. More, please, thank you.

  • @haroldandmod
    @haroldandmod Рік тому +7

    Been waiting for this video for a while 😷

  • @Bryan4Hillary
    @Bryan4Hillary Рік тому +4

    I’m here for this wonderful chaos.

  • @D-RayMovieReviews
    @D-RayMovieReviews Рік тому +7

    I say for sure Jonathan Majors gets at least a Best Actor nomination next year for Magazine Dreams. And Dune Part 2 gets a strong chance of winning Best Picture. I can see a Return Of The King situation happening at the Oscars for Dune Part 2

    • @ssshar2176
      @ssshar2176 Рік тому

      Dunde doesn’t have the same love and adoration LOTR had back in the day. They were Harry Potter level events in the early 2000s.

  • @govindarora6315
    @govindarora6315 Рік тому +2

    Best actress prediction:
    Emma stone - poor things
    Margot robbie- barbie
    Natalie portman- may/december
    Anne hathaway- mother's instinct
    Kate winslet- lee
    Best actor:
    Leonardo dicaprio- kotfm
    Bradley cooper- maestro
    Joaquin phoenix- napolean
    Cillian murphy- oppenheimer
    Michael fassbender- the killer

  • @beenhim9229
    @beenhim9229 Рік тому +7

    not including Fantasia in Best Actress is wild lol when you have The Color Purple in BP. The role of Celie is Oscar nominated/Tony Winner

    • @chrisjrosen
      @chrisjrosen Рік тому +1

      Based on the academy’s history I don’t think it’s that wild! But I could see moving her in depending on which movies actually come out this year anyway.

    • @beenhim9229
      @beenhim9229 Рік тому +2

      @@chrisjrosen We will see, Whoppi Goldberg was not a actress at the time either when she did did the role.

    • @TheAlienGinger
      @TheAlienGinger Рік тому +3

      ​@@chrisjrosenWhat about Lady Gaga? She was nominated in lead and was even a serious contender to win. If there was a bias against musicians in lead acting categories, I feel like she would have been snubbed.

    • @beenhim9229
      @beenhim9229 Рік тому

      @@TheAlienGingerYeah I think that was a bad take and then he said he put Taraji and Danielle in Supporting because those roles were Oscar nominated and Tony nominated, well so was the role of Celie lol

    • @chrisjrosen
      @chrisjrosen Рік тому +2

      @@TheAlienGinger That's fair! I don't think it's a perfect comp -- A Star Is Born is not a full musical, Lady Gaga had already won a Golden Globe for acting and was perhaps taken more seriously as a film/tv actor -- but it does show there isn't necessarily a bias against musicians. Andra Day comes to mind too!

  • @LukgadePayakorn
    @LukgadePayakorn Рік тому +2

    A lot of people around me watched Oscar this year because they were rooting for Austin, may be that's why the rating of the show was high hahaha. 🤣

  • @ssshar2176
    @ssshar2176 Рік тому +2

    In the era of streaming, I think the earlier you release and land on streaming after theaters will help a films chances - more exposure. After the last 2 year, we may be seeing the end of awards contenders being exclusively released in the fall/winter.

  • @Mauricio21ish
    @Mauricio21ish Рік тому +7

    Oppenheimer is going to be a strong contender

  • @histubeness
    @histubeness Рік тому +2

    I have high hopes for The Holdovers. Alexander Payne is due for a comeback, after Downsizing, which I didn't bother to watch after the bad reviews. He doesn't make films often enough anyway. Sideways was my favorite film of 2004.

  • @cbdart512
    @cbdart512 Рік тому +3

    I hope Saltburn turns out to be just as good or better than Promising Young Woman. I'd love to see both Barry Keoghan and Rosamund Pike become 2-time Oscar nominees.

  • @luisanaya6123
    @luisanaya6123 Рік тому +4

    Christopher, where did you get that shirt?? I need it!

    • @chrisjrosen
      @chrisjrosen Рік тому +2

      It's an online shop called Super Yaki!

  • @nigelbrigden4364
    @nigelbrigden4364 Рік тому +2

    My pics for Best picture as of now are
    1. Past Lives
    2. Killers of the Flower Moon
    3. Oppenheimer
    4. Dune Part 2
    5. The Color Purple
    6. Maestro
    7. Barbie
    8. Blitz
    9. Saltburn
    10. The Killer

  • @oldschoolabrahamhicks2742
    @oldschoolabrahamhicks2742 Рік тому +1

    Yay anything to extend Oscar season Woo!

  • @matthewkauerauf1886
    @matthewkauerauf1886 Рік тому +3

    I don't think Blitz or Piano Lesson will come out this year. I'm also betting all my cards on Nolan this year. I believe Oppenheimer will be like The Departed. It was Martin Scorsese's long overdue win. Nolan has been in the business for awhile but has never won. This is his most Oscar film like Dunkirk but this time with big name actors.
    Best Picture
    1. Oppenheimer
    2. Killers of the Flower Moon
    3. Maestro
    4. The Color Purple
    5. Asteroid City
    6. May December
    7. Dune Part II
    8. Past Lives
    9. Poor Things
    10. Napoleon
    Best Director
    1. Oppenheimer
    2. Killers of the Flower Moon
    3. Maestro
    4. The Color Purple
    5. Past Lives
    Original Screenplay
    1. Asteroid City
    2. Maestro
    3. May December
    4. Past Lives
    5. Napoleon
    Adapted Screenplay
    1. Killers of the Flower Moon
    2. Oppenheimer
    3. Color Purple
    4. Dune Part II
    5. Poor Things
    Actor
    1. Maestro - Bradley Cooper
    2. Killers of the Flower Moon - Leonardo DiCaprio
    3. Rustin - Colman Domingo
    4. Oppenheimer - Cillian Murphy
    5. Napoleon - Joaquin Phoenix
    Actress
    1. The Color Purple - Fantasia Barrino
    2. May December - Natalie Portman
    3. Past Lives - Greta Lee
    4. Poor Things - Emma Stone
    5. Lee - Kate Winslet
    Supporting Actor
    1. Oppenheimer - Robert Downey Jr.
    2. Killers of the Flower Moon - Jesse Plemons
    3. Killers of the Flower Moon - Robert De Niro
    4. Poor Things - Willem Dafoe
    5. Past Lives - John Magaro
    Supporting Actress
    1., Killers of the Flower Moon - Lily Gladstone
    2. Maestro - Carey Mulligan
    3. May December - Julianne Moore
    4. Color Purple - Danielle Brooks
    5. Color Purple - Taraji P. Henson
    Editing
    1. Oppenheimer
    2. Killers of the Flower Moon
    3. Maestro
    4. Dune Part II
    5. The Killer
    Cinematography
    1. Dune Part II
    2. Oppenheimer
    3. Killers of the Flower Moon
    4. Maestro
    5. Asteroid City
    Production Design
    1. The Color Purple
    2. Asteroid City
    3. Oppenheimer
    4. Killers of the Flower Moon
    5. Dune Part II
    Costume
    1. Asteroid City
    2. Dune Part II
    3. Killers of the Flower Moon
    4. Napoleon
    5. Barbie
    Make-up & Hair
    1. Maestro
    2. Barbie
    3. Poor Things
    4. Color Purple
    5. Napoleon
    Score
    1. Killers of the Flower Moon
    2. Oppenheimer
    3. Dune Part II
    4. Past Lives
    5. Lee
    Song
    1. High in the Clouds
    2. Color Purple
    3. Wonka
    4. Spider-Man Across the Spider-Verse
    5. Wish
    Visual Effects
    1. Dune Part II
    2. Oppenheimer
    3. Barbie
    4. The Flash
    5. Wonka
    Sound
    1. Oppenheimer
    2. Dune Part II
    3. Wonka
    4. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part I
    5. Maestro
    Animated
    1. Spider-Man Across the Spider-Verse
    2. How Do You Live?
    3. Wish
    4. Elemental
    5. High in the Clouds

  • @christianletellier5802
    @christianletellier5802 Рік тому

    What was that name/ movie at 16:40? Joyce's international pick????

  • @tylerrigby6060
    @tylerrigby6060 Рік тому +2

    My own predictions for next year, I'll asterisk my guess for the winner (I'm hopedicting Poor Things hard) :
    Best Picture
    Killers of the Flower Moon
    Maestro
    Oppenheimer
    Dune: Part 2
    Napoleon
    The Color Purple
    Past Lives
    Poor Things *
    The Killer
    Rustin
    Best Director
    Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flower Moon*
    Bradley Cooper - Maestro
    Denis Villeneuve - Dune: Part 2
    Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer
    Greta Gerwig - Barbie
    Best Actor
    Bradley Cooper - Maestro *
    Colman Domingo - Rustin
    Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer
    Jonathan Majors - Magazine Dreams
    Michael Fassbender - The Killer
    Best Actress
    Regina King - Shirley
    Carey Mulligan - Maestro
    Emma Stone - Poor Things *
    Kate Winslet - Lee
    Margot Robbie - Barbie
    Best Supporting Actor
    Willem Dafoe - Poor Things *
    Robert De Niro - Killers of the Flower Moon
    Jesse Plemons - Killers of the Flower Moon
    Glynn Turman - Rustin
    Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer
    Best Supporting Actress
    Emily Blunt - Oppenheimer
    Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon *
    Vanessa Kirby - Napoleon
    Elizabeth Moss - Next Goal Wins
    Tilda Swinton - The Killer
    Best Original Screenplay
    Maestro
    Past Lives *
    Rustin
    Asteroid City
    Napoleon
    Best Adapted Screenplay
    Killers of the Flower Moon
    Poor Things *
    Next Goal Wins
    Barbie
    The Killer

  • @niccage6375
    @niccage6375 Рік тому +3

    The Tetris movie might have a chance

  • @garneyjohnson
    @garneyjohnson Рік тому +2

    My early predictions that didn't make your lists (or in one case just a different category):
    Picture - Napoleon, Rustin
    Directpr - Bradley Cooper "Maestro" Ridley Scott "Napoleon" Denis Villeneuve "Dune: Part Two"
    Actor - Joaquin Phoenix "Beau is Afraid" John David Washington "True Love"
    Actress - Julia Louis-Dreyfus "You Hurt My Feelings" Michelle Williams "Showing Up"
    Supporting Actor - Barry Keoghan "Saltburn" Tahar Rahim "Napoleon" Chris Rock "Rustin"
    Supporting Actress - H.E.R. "The Color Purple" Da'Vine Joy Randolph "The Holdovers" Alfre Woodard "The Book of Clarence"
    Adapted Screenplay - Dune: Part Two, Leave the World Behind
    Original Screenplay - Beau is Afraid, You Hurt My Feelings
    My predictions have white actors earning less than half of the acting nominations for the first time in Oscar history, with supporting actress (where I also have Lily Gladstone and Taraji P. Henson) comprised of all minorities. Do you think this Academy is ready to make history that way? It might make another year of all male and mostly white directors a little more sufferable.
    Always love listening to your conversations... as a fellow Oscar enthusiast, I feel "seen"

  • @kiarahnama
    @kiarahnama Рік тому +1

    Y'all no way Jonathan Glazer is not winning that adapted screenplay award for adapting Martin Amis's Zone of Interest. If there was one category I was gonna put money down right now....I think that movie is gonna be huge. I also felt like maybe Ferrari and Leave the World Behind were left out of discussion. I can definitley see an Adam Driver nom for Ferrari and Leave the World Behind has very high potential for a bunch of acting noms

  • @veggieplaysmv3638
    @veggieplaysmv3638 Рік тому +2

    I’m Almost Certain Lily Gladstone Is In Supporting Actress

  • @amexred
    @amexred Рік тому

    LOL . Joyce should have been on Veep or the Office . I think Viola Davis is winning supporting actress for Air .

  • @Ella-gb7no
    @Ella-gb7no Рік тому

    i love the greta gerwig shirt, i want it

  • @ssshar2176
    @ssshar2176 Рік тому

    I’m all in for Tetris now. I loved loved loved the trailer

  • @LovedByYou
    @LovedByYou Рік тому

    These are my predictions:
    I think we will see films such as Barbie get costume, Best Director( Greta Gurwig) Cinematography nominations.
    Films like Wonka, and Dune 2 will be nominated for Directing, Best Film, and costume. Dune 2 will also get a cinematic nomination.
    I see ACTING awards going to people like : Taron Egeorton, Jonathan Majors, Jennifer Lawrence, maybe Joaquin Phoenix (Beau is afraid)….. we shall see.
    Yeah but I’d look out for films like Barbie, Wonka, and Dune 2!!! ❤

  • @samhidalgo6271
    @samhidalgo6271 Рік тому

    Anne Hathaway for EILEEN (supporting). Already receive high praises earlier this year ar sundance + fall showing + A24

  • @Sharpe1502
    @Sharpe1502 Рік тому

    For my Best Picture predictions, I have:
    1. Rustin
    2. Killers of the Flower Moon
    3. Across the Spider-Verse
    4. Asteroid City
    5. Past Lives
    6. Poor Things
    7. The Color Purple
    8. Spaceman
    9. Dumb Money
    10. Saltburn

  • @chocolateindie6
    @chocolateindie6 Рік тому +1

    I don't usually like Oscar's results especially this year. But I like watching you 2 talk about movies for Oscar. Thanks ❤

  • @chasewoolfork2350
    @chasewoolfork2350 Рік тому +2

    I've seen alot of people asking "What will be this years EEAAO" ? I honestly don't think we're getting another EEAAO level film. Really think about that films journey from start to finish:
    Coming out in march which most would say, its already got one foot in the Oscar grave. Yet it maintained massive critical acclaim from the public and industry for a full year.
    on a Budget around 14 Million grossed over 107 Million worldwide and became A24's biggest grossing hit ever
    Outside of Golden Globes and BAFTA ( BAFTA was f'n weird this year ), it always felt like the dominate frontrunner. It never felt like "Oh man EEAAO is in deep shit". dominated the Guilds, winning
    the most guild awards of any film ever, it broke the record for most SAG wins, broke the spirit indie award record for most wins, and in terms of overall accolades EEAAO is the most awarded movie of all time in general ( overtaking Return Of The King ). The proceeded to complete a historic Oscar sweep that we rarely get, winning 7 ( the most above the line wins for a film ever ), and the only film to win three acting oscars along with Best Picture.
    If another movie this year pulls all of that off again ? Then we're just in a new Golden Age of films. But I don't think so... EEAAO is one of the all time historical "Nobody saw that coming" outliers

    • @minavamp2811
      @minavamp2811 Рік тому

      yes last year joyce and christopher did the 2022 films that will make the impact for the Oscars, neither one of them put any weight on EEAAC, even though that movie had already been premiered at south by southwest film festival for film critics to see. by the time joyce and christopher made that video around this same time last year, it shows that when you have not been around Hollywood long enough, and have not done many movies and have not had success, then people will not notice you. which was the case for the daniels because EEAAO is their second movie, and their first movie swiss army man was done in 2016.

    • @oldschoolabrahamhicks2742
      @oldschoolabrahamhicks2742 Рік тому +1

      It was once in a lifetime occurence, no season will come close for me

    • @chasewoolfork2350
      @chasewoolfork2350 Рік тому

      @@oldschoolabrahamhicks2742 It was like an Underdog, with the performance of an unstoppable juggernaut frontrunner all year ( never seen anything like it ). Thats why when people compare this to the CODA deal, I highly disagree. CODA didn't destroy its competition like this, becoming the most awarded film ever in a historic sweep.

    • @oldschoolabrahamhicks2742
      @oldschoolabrahamhicks2742 Рік тому +1

      @@chasewoolfork2350 Exactly, plus you've got the divisiveness of it but also the Asianness

    • @chasewoolfork2350
      @chasewoolfork2350 Рік тому +1

      @@oldschoolabrahamhicks2742 I for sure don't think A24 replicates this again this year. They're very fortunate two of their films are two best picture winners ( especially EEAAO )

  • @DavidBhoy1967
    @DavidBhoy1967 Рік тому +1

    Super Mario for best pic

  • @slc2466
    @slc2466 Рік тому

    Judging by the intro, I would never want to play poker with Joy.

  • @AgathaStan2024
    @AgathaStan2024 Рік тому

    I just dont see how Fantasia dosent get nominated.

  • @jakesws934
    @jakesws934 Рік тому +1

    Barbie for best picture

  • @markchristmas320
    @markchristmas320 Рік тому

    Is Joyce having a bad day

  • @KikeNavarrete68
    @KikeNavarrete68 Рік тому

    And FairPlay??

  • @Nobody-nv6ds
    @Nobody-nv6ds Рік тому

    Thanks

  • @oldschoolabrahamhicks2742
    @oldschoolabrahamhicks2742 Рік тому

    Wicked?

  • @glenmorgan8503
    @glenmorgan8503 Рік тому

    Robert Downey Jr definitely supporting. Plemons, no chance..

  • @lisagsims
    @lisagsims Рік тому

    I listen to Joyce and Chris via podcast most of the time. I enjoy their awards season takes and, of course, they're both very knowledgeable, however, sometimes it is painfully obvious that Joyce would rather be doing other things. Is it a "bit" or something that she is always so disrespectful (and dismissive) of Chris's opinions? I mean, I'm not an overly emotional person myself but she has zero emotion. When I listen to these types of podcasts, it's nice if the people on the other side of them actually love and enjoy movies and have somewhat of a decent rapport with each other. Someone else made a comment that Joyce has a DGAF attitude and I think that's putting it mildly. I know she likes Saving Private Ryan but everything else is always "fine" or " whatever" or "I don't remember what I put" or "who cares?". The woman is salty and I am very close to not listening to this podcast again because of it. No offense to Chris and I'm honestly not trying to be offensive to Joyce either, regardless of what I'm saying here, but geez... if she's not happy doing what she's doing, maybe she should do something else. Maybe she would have a better vibe with a co-host that she actually respects, I don't know.

  • @timgriffin3368
    @timgriffin3368 Рік тому +1

    Carrie-Anne Moss had the only perfect for supporting actress nod for the Academy created by Nolan. All of the others, quite weak.
    Also, Wow, what if The Color Purple becomes similar to Cats, ruff 💜

    • @beenhim9229
      @beenhim9229 Рік тому

      The Color Purple was not shot in CGI, which was sort of the issue with Cats

  • @xiayul
    @xiayul Рік тому

    the man on the left look like Brendan