The thing is, if China and Russia really do intend to fully stress test the US' commitment to refusing to allow peers in its global hegemony, then regardless of whether there is an additional invasion now or not this will not be the end of this. The point is to make noise, and now that the Olympics are over China may also feel more comfortable making a louder noise in the South China Sea at the same time.
Im blown away by how people are treating this like theyre fans of a sports team, only able to speak in terms of how their side is righteous and will be victorious over the bad guys.
I believe that We are moving from an era of small nations back to what are essentially large empires. The United States very well may take over Canada and/mexico in the next century as well as Canada having the possibility of reuniting with the uk or Canada splitting in 2. In Africa Nigeria and Ethiopia will run shop on the east and west coasts respectively. The middle east will come under the control of a single power once again, likely Iran. Turkey or Russia will likely have control over that Baltic states, and Russia will regain much of eastern Europe. Again, this is all baseless speculation from an idiot on the internet but that's how I see it
Putin doesn’t want China cooperation primarily. just wants east Ukraine, And nato back off. As you saw he used the idiot in Belarus to get his way. He’ll do the same for China
I think Russia moving missiles to Cuba or Venezuela is unlikely but i do expect Russia to try to straignten its raltions with these countries maybe sell them weapons too
@@tatumergo3931 "more influential in the region again" = send coups and dictatorship to latin america to punish them for not being obedient slaves in front of uncle sam.
@@tatumergo3931 OH NOooOo! HoW ThEy DaRe To HaVe a DiFeRrent opInIon ThAn MiNe!!! 😠😠😠😠 BeTtEr SeNd sOmE MuRdErOuS aNd CoRruPt DicTaTorS To rEplAce ThEiR FaIr AnD SquArE ElEctEd PrEsIdEnTs!!! CauSe FrEeDoM aNd DeMoCrAcY Of CoUrSe!!! 🔫🔪🗡
@@robertortiz-wilson1588 i was talking with an idiot who tried to justify the U.S sending coups and dictatorships to latin america simply because latin american countries had different opinions than the U.S wich this guy was seeing as a justification but i guess he finally learned all that shit he said was bullshit and deleted his own comments
As always, great job with the video and analysis. Really enjoyed the historical backgroud and the fitting more classical music :) Also the animations, transitions and maps... just a joy in themselves to watch :) keep up the great work
Our grand strategy is poisoned by our domestic politics. The ongoing embargo of Cuba and the sanctions against Venezuela create unnecessary vulnerabilities. Not only are we antagonizing these states, but we are essentially propping up hostile regimes by allowing dictators to portray themselves as anti-imperialist patriots. Most dispassionate American strategists understand this, but our leaders are constrained by the irrational hatred and apathy of our electorate.
I'm not fully sure about Venezuela, but refusing to trade with Cuba seems to be working relatively well. (Btw, the USA doesn't prevent essentials like medicine from entering the island, especially from elsewhere.) The Cuban government had to shut off the internet because a bunch of citizens were sick and tired of the government. If any natural disasters hit Cuba, the USA should alert the Cuban government that it will fly and or deliver rescue Aid to the country. Use the people's goodwill and exhaustion of the Cuban government to slowly start opening back up trade in certain areas over an extended period of time. Once it gets to a certain point, assuming the government either semi changes or at least allows it to happen, the USA should covertly and overtly flood the island with USA pop culture to the further delight of the populist. Obviously there'd have to be more to it, but if that can be done, the current government as it is, if it still remains more or less the same by then, may have its days numbered. No attempted CIA nonsense needed. Those are my optimistic thoughts at least for a strategy concerning Cuba.
@@robertortiz-wilson1588 The Cuban embargo has been in place for 62 years. The embargo failed to achieve its original aim decades ago. If Cubans form a better government next Tuesday, the embargo will not be the cause. But most importantly the embargo is completely out of line with modern US policy against dictatorships and communist states. Most such states are tolerated, or are given light symbolic sanctions against individual leadership. Cuba has a complete trade embargo, despite the fact that the US hasn't been at war with communism for 30 years. This policy is a relic of the Cold War - nothing more.
@@robertortiz-wilson1588 they do prevent essentials from going into cuba, at least rhetorically , however some countries just ignore them. mexico certainly ignored the US blockade and send them aid anyway
@@robertortiz-wilson1588 Pop-culture wouldn't be pop-culture if governments needed to "flood" a country with it. The appeal of pop in a place like Cuba has more to do with the Cuban government's efforts to quash it.
On the one hand, of course internal politics affect international policy (that's true in any country). On the other hand, the US grand strategy for Latin America is extremely consistent and historically it has been very efficient in producing the intended effects.
Cant do this yourself i see you joined in 2013 so you not that young. I can think of several things to say that you could google yourself on this. Give me a bit on why you don't believe there is a strategic value so i know you are not lazy or dim please. Just reply with a mere 100ish words so i know you worth educating and all your neurons are firing.
@@Vrangelrip Give a man a fish and feed him for a day teach him to fish and feed him for a lifetime idea . Heres my comment for you " get bent you tosser" is that handle "I Lie 2"
@@Doochos apart from France invasion of Mexico I don't remember any time a european power invaded The Americas after the collapse of the spanish empires.
It would be interesting to see a video on Antarctica, the geopolitical history around this continent, who the major players are, and what the future might hold. It's often overlooked in favor of the Arctic, but Antarctica is truly the final frontier on this planet, and there is a lot of potential hidden on that continent. So far the status quo is to leave it relatively uninhabited and reserved for scientific exploration. Conditions on the continent are extremely harsh, but as the planet warms up and as resources dwindle, can this continent become a new center of attention for the major powers? Could we see a race to conquer or colonize the continent? What could drive such a move? And would the cost of colonizing the continent be worth it?
I would say the Arctic is the most important future geopolitical arena as that would lessen China's dependence on the SCS for trade to Europe and make it harder for the United States and allies to blockade China in a war. Not to mention, Russia will benefit greatly from taking transit charges and forcing people to pay for Russian icebreakers to pave the ice.
@@h.a2736 China wasn't being shortsighted in throwing cash at "appropriating" the SCS, though. As to difficulties blockading China, don't forget the Bering Strait, the GIUK Gap, and winter.
The Russians had a trading post in northern California but they never claimed land there,Spain and few years later Mexico were the owners of all of Alta California.
The Chinese had a huge presence in California: built bridges and railroads out there. Then they were deported by the Chinese Exclusion Act. Probably no coincidence that now they all but completely own California: and block the docking of ships at its Southern Ports....
The problem with this type of analysis, even if good, is that they fail to accentuate that Russia is not the Soviet Union. It’s smaller, half the population, and even if rich, not as much as it would be if it had all territories and riches it had when being the Soviet empire plus it’s subject countries under the iron curtain. And even the Soviet Union exhausted itself trying to balance counter to the West, bureaucratic and administrative nightmare and all. If Russia’s aspiration is to restore some of the old Soviet (or Russian) empires’ weight, it will find that hard if it tries to use those old countries’ tactics without the resources: it can play bully and accost its weaker neighbors but can’t seriously deal with superpowers lest it falls back, over and over again, to the nuclear mantra of deterrence. There is also another problem that is shared with the West, but that nevertheless changes the chessboard: historically one of Russia’s big assets was its huge population, the young usually used as cannon fodder for conflicts. Now Russia is aged (the median age around the 40’s) and the young are a luxury, a treasure in a country whose population is decreasing, not increasing. This doesn’t make Russia’s army desperate but it cannot rely on the old “just send swarms of soldiers” its former self relied upon to try to balance its incredible lack of strategic victories. Any war that demands Russian lives will hurt way more in a country with a birth rate of 1,5 than when it had triple or way more that number. You could argue that technology easily can manage such demands but also people migrate and wars aren’t something that make the young stay in the country. All in all, what Russia (or Putin or its elites) doesn't want to admit is that size doesn't grant wealth, eating its neighbors (directly or indirectly) it's not what will stabilize Russia's economy but improving itself by diversifying its economy while granting political and administrative clarity (justice, in other words). The problem being (of course) that in such scenario you, as a corrupt member of the Russian oligarchy, delete (or limit) yourself out of existence.
@JaceBass I think you have a very spot on analysis, the US has many advantages over Russia and China, however even if the chinese economy will be affected by its huge population ageing, it my opinion it won't be as cataclysmic as some analysts think. Many countries, which are economic powerhouses, like Japan and Germany have ageing populations. The window of opportunity China has, in my opinion is wider than you pointed out, this is not the case for Russia tho.
Hm. Granted that Russia's population is ageing and its demographics are dwindling, but so are the population pyramids of most (all?) Western democracies. In other words, our numbers of potential cannon fodder will decline in parallel. Vlad is 69. Pooooooooh is 68. Perhaps their rush to monopolize on their nations' power is partly dictated by their running out of personal time ----- totalitarian midlife crises, so to speak.
Russia is not soviet union, but the West is also not the same. Socialist/communist destructive ideas have inflitrated the West making it weaker. People in the West would rather have comfort and safety even if that means making compromises to Russia, while Russians people are full of revanchism. Morale is what determines victory when forces are relatively equal. In this case Russias morale is higher.
There's no reason too. The entire reason soviet missiles were there was because at the time the Soviets had no ICBMs available at the time. The loss of Cuban bases spurred development of these for Russia in addition to american nukes in Turkey which are no longer present there. In fact, I don't think there are any in Europe anymore.
Dont know about 5 countries, but nukes in Turkey exist, they are obsolete cold war relics that can only be deployed by plane and the base doesnt even have those planes, but around 50 are there.
@@havocgr1976 ''In 2021, it is estimated that there are 100 U.S.-owned nuclear weapons stored in five NATO member states across six bases: Kleine Brogel in Belgium, Büchel Air Base in Germany, Aviano and Ghedi Air Bases in Italy, Volkel Air Base in the Netherlands, and Incirlik in Turkey.''
I follow Cuban news and one of the most interesting things about this I have heard has been the amount of Russian tourists going over to Cuba. Makes me wonder if they might be nuclear physicists on a nice Varadero Beach vacay.
No mentioned if Cuba is likely to be willing. With Castro dead and with no recent hostilities between the countries I think it is less likely they will be willing to create trouble for themselves.
It depends on how safe they feel. Not just externally but internally. If the cuban regime feels internally threatened it might decide to ask for russian assistance. Russia has shown itself willing to aid faltering regimes see Syria or recently Kazachkstan. Obviously this comes at a price. In the case of Cuba the price would be either a sigint station or medium range missiles. Or both.
@@jerrymiller9039 They abandoned the cubans but Russia in 1995 was in no position to aid anyone.Honestly you can't be accused of abandoning your friends if you ran out of money. The russians have made it clear that if need be these days they'll aid anyone willing to receive it. The fact is the cuban regime if it felt threatened internally has only two options. China or Russia. China is not ready yet to expand that far so that leaves Russia. At the very least Russia can paralyse any efforts at the UN against Cuba.
It honestly would be hilarious to me if the US decided to try making amends to Cuba and bettering our relations with them. Russia: *makes subtle threat to put missiles in Cuba* US: *improves relations with Cuba substantially, convinces Cuba to join NATO* Russia (or more specifically, Putin): *loud and angry toddler tantrum*
Monroe Doctrine also states that while Europeans stay out of American affairs, the USA stays out of Euroopean affairs. So the US violated and negated the Doctrine over a century ago...
>the USA stays out of Euroopean affairs Mainland Europe is responsible for Napoleonic Wars, World War 1, and World War 2. The Russian Revolution has gone down in history as the victory of the workers and peasants over the Czarist rulers. Few people realize the German Kaiser was also involved: He gave aid to the Bolsheviks in 1917. Marxist idealogy was made-in Germany.
"*The European move, and follow-up actions elsewhere, are expected to put pressure on the United States to grant recognition*, even though it has been opposed to such a step at this time. The U.S. fears that recognition could endanger the current cease-fire in the war between Serbia and Croatia and cause the war to spread to Bosnia-Herzegovina." 19 December 1991: Germany announces that it will recognize Croatia on January 15, 1992, with or without the rest of the European Community. 23 December 1991: Germany becomes the first major power to recognize Croatia and Slovenia as independent states 15 January 1992: The European Community recognizes Slovenia and Croatia. Without NATO (and the U.S.), Germany would have done it alone and we would have another WW1 trigger i.e. Russia would have declared war against Germany as in WWI. Germany used NATO with North America's raw material security insurance to further its own interest when it failed in WW1's goals. The shopkeeper's inherent self-interest still exists and Germany has learned to drag the US into its adventures. Decoupling North America's raw material security guarantees from mainland Europe will enable Russia to win any war of attrition against Germany! On the other side, Russia was meddling in Australia's Antarctica interest that caused Australia to enlist EU support. Russia was meddling in New Zealand's Antarctica interest that caused New Zealand to enlist US support.
@@valenrn8657 The Russian Revolution has gone down in history as the victory of Russians over the Tsar and the aristocracy ...followed by dashed hopes at actual democracy, a coup by the Bolsheviks, a civil war, a famine, collectivization, more famine, the red terror, stalin's purges, a war with Finland, the Molotov-Ribbentrof pact.... but I guess you didn't know any of that.
@@andrewlankford9634 Born in Trier, Germany, Marx studied law and philosophy at the universities of Bonn and Berlin. He married German theatre critic and political activist Jenny von Westphalen in 1843. Due to his political publications, Marx became stateless.
I don't think Cuba wants to cause it's relations with the USA to get worse. It was just improving under Obama and Trump. Besides, I don't think Russia has the Navy to continue to support missiles in Cuba
@@SaintGBar22 Venezuela and Russia both dumping the dollar and do trade on crypto currency 🙃 nobody will care about dollar or sanction if crypto currency is stable 😂😂 it's the fall of United States once my great country and soon to meets it end our foreign policy of crusader created this
It's a recognition perhaps that of all Russia's opponents, the US is the most dangerous. Sadly, the Ukraine is not. That is all Putin understands, so that's why it's all about the US. If this was the Ukraine and Russia quarrelling over gas bills prior to 2014 the US wouldn't care.
@@andrewlankford9634 But it isn't about the US? Russia and China are the only modern nations that are ready to wage war against an power similar in strength and technology. The USA is not ready to face Russia or China, nevermind both at the same time. The US has a large military but its geared to beat up small nations and for counter insurgency. It is not ready for an war against nations with equal footing along thousands miles of frontline. Not to mention American soldiers arent prepared for the psychological impact or even trained in conventional warfare at all against another great power, Chinese and Russians are willing to bleed and fight to the end for their nations. Americans on the other hand, no.
In a way it is about the US. Ukraine is for Russia of the same strategic importance as Cuba is to the US. The US didn't allow the deployment of Soviet missiles in Cuba. Russia doesn't allow Ukraine to join NATO for the exact same strategic reasons. Putin doesn't want NATO weaponry in his back yard. The US invited Ukraine to join NATO, so in a way it is about the US. Mind you, I am not a fan of Putin. In my opinion he's just an authoritarian cleptocrat. But... what's good for the goose is good for te gander ;-)
@@DoctorDeath147 Cuba nationalised American's businesses and companies following the revolution. Cuba refused to compensate. Therefore, the embargo is justified.
Well, raise the stakes to that level, and Russia gets to negotiate however it likes. If nukes and weapons on your border is the type of thing that makes you nervous, think about how Russia feels about NATO.
Ukraina is moving closer to Washington ANYWAYS , so moscow doesnt care. The invasion is immoral, but russia a country that runs as an independent power and needs its buffers. Mongolia, and Ukraina. It cant accept Ukraina moving too far in the west on its doorstep and that is exactly what is happening. After putin Sets up a puppet gov;(unfortunately) in Ukraina there will be peace again.
@@dariomladenovski7047 the point is to make a statement if you slap powerful weapons on someones front door and tell them if they do anything they go kaboom they will leave you alone.
Only way I can see Cuba really accepting this is to get leverage to finally rid themselves of the trade embargo which pretty much all but America has voted to end in the UN for years now.
@@jerrymiller9039 Yeah, he means Cuba would just play along to get the US attention then offer to never have such foreign missile systems in return for a guarantee to be free of some/most sanctions. I don't think they'd expect to have any chance of being free from sanctions after hosting such again.
Then you obviously don't know much history about the region. Ironically, Venezuela was one of the countries that that got saved by the Monroe Doctrine from several angry European Empires including both the British and German Empires.
@@MyFancySauce The French invasion of Mexico only happened because the US was in Civil War. The US only ended up sending weapons to the Mexicans. It's an example of the Monroe Doctrine failing.
@@MyFancySauce Venezuela declared a trade war against US companies' Venezuela hardware assets nationalization (aka state-sponsored stealing). The US applied its own socialist trade protection against Venezuela's socialist trade war.
Russia is kind of desperate. Putin is kind of little spoiled brat who only knows how to get attention by misbehaving. In other words, he as a lot in common with the Kim regime in NK.
@J Silva There is enough to debate about this, but what about the rest? USA & its allies must mind their own business. Their malicious actions & propaganda makes people believe they are righteous & only mean good.. But it is so far from the truth..
@J Silva I am not biased, both system have faults, but USA's has proven that its malicious, hegemonic and neocolonialist. I am a realist and anti impirialist. I understand that the world must work and cooperate for a better future, and at the same time we have inherited a lot of sh1t from the ones before.. every action has consequences and we are paying the price for that. Russia is trying to implement a socialist system. China achieved in 20 years what USA has done in a record time. Values and morals must be tailored to the results wished. Russia is the underdog here, so it needs to do propaganda which I would rather call it a counter propaganda, but OK. Russia is not perfect, but nor is the US. Now how many countries did Russia invade in the past 20 years? Now compare that to USA. It is not whataboutism, USA is the ruler of the world since the end of WWII right? What did it do? Do you know whats the Monroe Doctrine? Ah. it spread democracy, bettered our lives with technologies etc. right? To some countries yes, by installing puppet govs that still opressed their people (USA, Saudi Arabia etc..) Is the suffering of millions around the world and war crimes in many countries (that were literally turned into failed state for generations to come) worth these technological or cultural hegemonic "achievements" (which is basically just neocolonialism)? NO. That is what I mentioned in the first comment. "Is the current global security system working? No" it is a very objective view that many share, but I think ppl need to argue with each other to feel good about themselves. People are brainwashed to believe that a country could change with a click of a button, each country has its history and Russia came with heavy luggages (ie oligarchy, corruption and poverty by the end of the soviet union). These are realities that any new president have to deal with, Yeltsin was US's puppet thus opening up Russia to its exploitation, hindering the prospects of a multipolar world in the post cold war era as part of its containment policy (which started and was the goal of the NATO alliance, which Russia wanted to join back then but USA refused). USA managed to tame the EU due to its economic hegemony and capitalist investments in Europe and ensured EU's constant dependence on it. This is very clear now, for eg. Germany is forced to parrot US rhetoric regarding Russia even though it doesnt want war, understands whats the real geopolitical situtaion and dearly want to conduct business with RU. One of the ways you could measure the performance of a president or a gov is by looking at the economic development of that country (as well as social democracies, but you have to understand that corruption cant be solved by democracy, the corrupt will unite and replace you). Manabendra Nath Roy, a communist who disagreed with Lenin about how to rule a country and how to support revolutions in countries back in 1920 in what is called the Lennin - Roy debate) Roy saw that the ruling bourgeoisie or oligarchs must be removed and the people (proletariats) could form a socialist gov that would be fair to its people. But Lennin disagreed and stressed on the necessity to temporarily work with the oligarchs until the proletariats (people like you and me) have enough resources, ecomonic stability and education to take control of the country and then get rid of the bourgeoisie. And thats what most of the ex communist countries need to do and seems to be the only way. If oligarchs feel threatened they would either form coalitions to perform a coup, devide the country or simply take their investments and money outside the country to tax havens or maybe even to the USA. How do you know that USA didnt reach to oligarchs in Russia to get them to cooperate with US's agenda in Russia. Putin is not perfect, but he is not one person, he said that they need to improve their macroeconomy and then achieve a better microeconomy which would inevitably lead to better standards of living and education allowing the people to take control of their lives the best way without getting bribed by external forces that seek to hinder Russia. I think that Putin is realistic about working with oligarchs and at the same time achieving reasonably good results economically. The poverty in Russia is now around 30% lower than when he took power (am not 100% sure but its a substantial decrease in poverty). Putin as well as any politician know that economic stability is the first corner stone of common prosperity. I think Putin's "Lenninist"approach is reasonable and this is also what is happening in the USA now !!! AOC caved in to Pelosi and the neolibs, after she was and still is constantly attacked by plutocrats, neocons and neolibs. There are oligarchs in USA too and they are the ones backing puppet politicians to make laws that benefit them (militray industrial complex, pharma industries, oil companies etc..). Thats why a real democracy in USA is not possible. Bernie Sanders's experience was/is still an excellent eg., the plutocrats used their media outlets and tv/news channels to destroy Bernie's image and the neolibs made sure enough dem candidates (20+) ran in order to dilute his pool of voters. If you knew anythjing about Ukraine and its history you would think differently. Ukraine became a state independent from USSR only a couple of decades ago! So of course there is a lot of Russian heritage and ethnics there. It was one county. A country is made by the ethnicity of people living there. The eastern part of Ukraine has Russian majority, we call them now "ethnically "Russian because a Ukranian state is formed with a certain borders, but they are basically Russians! Ukraine has neonazi parties and as the security situation in Ukraine became violent, Russians or Russian speaking citizens became weary of the Svoboda party taking power and they did. the Svoboda party are anti russia as well as other things (neo 4..Naz! ) and changed the constitution to opress the Russian speaking south eastern part of the country. Crimea (which has a Russian majoirty) has a Russian base that was leased until 2027 and during the 2014-15 events, Russia felt its national security (losing one of the most important bases) at risk and the russian speaking called for it to be annexed. Are crimeans now complaining to you that they need their independence ?? Then why do you and the west care? I dont agree with the corruption but its an evil we have to accept and then turn around. USA is the example of how many progressive democrats are now trying to take over from the capitalist system to give real social equality in USA. Ukraine had 8 years under Pro-EU Zelensky and he didnt manage to change the system the way everybody thought and wanted.
@J Silva What a stupid comment!!! If you have ever looked at a map, you will see that poland, lithuania, estonia, latvia, romania, and UKRAINE are very close to russia. If the US has place missiles there, whats wrong with the russians placing missiles in cuba.......................by the way cuba is close to the US. Learn some geography
@J Silva When I say doorstep, I mean "close to it" close to russia. I know that lithuania, romania, etc are not doors, but countries. And if those countries want to have nukes on their territories, the same could be said about cuba. If cuba wants to have russian nukes inside its territory, then they should as well
You missed the point, the Russians got what they wanted back then, they won.The missiles from Turkey were removed.If they can freeze Ukraine joining NATO by not putting missiles , so basically by doing NOTHING, it d be a total win for em again.
@@logikus8638 well keep in mind I'm not a policy maker. But I do look at the world through a realistic glass, and the United States is an empire first and foremost. Whether you agree with that or not or I agree with it or not is irrelevant. We will never let a foreign power get an edge on us so close to our own shores... Empires don't allow that.
I think that there is another major aspect of setting up in Venezuela: threatening the Panama canal and the critical connection between east and west usa. Ofc, from Cuba this path can also be threatened, but far more effectively from Venezuela as Cuba can theoretically be circumvented
I don't care how much Russia claims to be backing up Venezuela, if they're stupid enough to try and threaten the Suez Canal, and by extension Panama itself, Maduro's days may be numbered.
The problem for the USA is that nearly a third of all it's exports and imports travel down the Mississippi River and out the Gulf of Mexico. By controlling Cuba and cutting off the trade out of the Gulf of Mexico, Russia can severely damage the US economy.
I mean I hope they do, because the Baltics would be more then happy to get the US to station it's missiles there. It's like Russia doesn't understand that they lost, trying to fight the previous war is a grave mistake and is already reducing Russia's opportunity to become wealthier and stronger in the long run.
@@TuscanBrick I'm sure you are aware that in a conventional war with the west, they'd be the first target too right? I'm more talking about long range conventional weapons, as in the case of nuclear weapons, well pretty sure nobody would survive that. I mean billions would survive the first few volleys but I'm sure you get the point.
The current world order favours/ed the western power they had no reason to take the initiative and change the status quo while on the other hand the Chinese bloc wants to change the existing situation and is thus taking actions
Cuba and Venezuela are sovereign nations, they can accept missiles from whoever they want. Just like any other nation. Same standards apply. Maybe it will be a money sink-hole for Russia, their economy isn't great.
Just like Ukraine is a sovereign country they can join any alliance and also accept foreign missles if they wanted to just like any other nation but you see how that’s working out with the Russian hypocrites
This isn't the 1960s. I am pretty sure the Russians could hit important US targets if they wanted already from their own territory. If they want to waste resources on pointless foreign adventurs in Cuba that provide them no strategic advantage go right ahead.
I hope Russia does not only for their security but for the security of Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua who have endured years of maltreatment from the USA.
Why bother doing something so ostentatious and provocative when the nation has spent a fortune on nuclear-powered, ballistic missile-carrying submarines?
For the same reason cuba crisis once happened, to show em what it means to have missiles in range of your major cities.I mean you are correct about the subs, but nuclear aint an option to attack anything, they are a deterrent since the "winner" will just get radioactive ashes falling from the sky.
You're right, there's no tactical reason to do this now, but I think it's as much of a symbolic threat more than anything, which is enough to create panic in the media as we know
I really love how you ignore Ukraine's potential NATO membership and article 10's requirement of mutual defense, which would be akin to Russia having an alliance with Mexico and defending her if she is under attack by her northern neighbor. You highlight how dangerous Cuba' proximity is to Florida and military-strategic risks that that would impose, but completely ignore the proximity of Ukraine to the capital city of Moscow itself.....Love how you think, i.e Simultaneously having super clarity and vision and hearing in one eye and ear and completely deaf and dumb in the other when it suits your needs and narrative......That's Amazing! man! How do you do that with a good conscience? Good times Bad times?...or Sharp eye, Blind eye.. good ear, deaf ear? Smart thinking-Dumb-thinking? Its like arguing that Russia has the raw nerve of having it's borders too close to a ring of Nato Military bases instead of the truth, which is the other way around...
12 mins in - yeah, everyone did expect these actions of russia and china. they were not at all surprising and the plans have been public knowledge for years.
Everyone supporting Ukraine should also support Russia arming Cuba and Venezuela. The US threatens Cuba's and Venezuela's sovereignty on a daily basis.
I'm not fully sure about Venezuela, but refusing to trade with Cuba seems to be working relatively well. (Btw, the USA doesn't prevent essentials like medicine from entering the island, especially from elsewhere.) The Cuban government had to shut off the internet because a bunch of citizens were sick and tired of the government. If any natural disasters hit Cuba, the USA should alert the Cuban government that it will fly and or deliver rescue Aid to the country. Use the people's goodwill and exhaustion of the Cuban government to slowly start opening back up trade in certain areas over an extended period of time. Once it gets to a certain point, assuming the government either semi changes or at least allows it to happen, the USA should covertly and overtly flood the island with USA pop culture to the further delight of the populist. Obviously there'd have to be more to it, but if that can be done, the current government as it is, if it still remains more or less the same by then, may have its days numbered. No attempted CIA nonsense needed. Those are my optimistic thoughts at least for a strategy concerning Cuba.
if russia did indeed send missiles to cuba i want to replay biden/blinken saying that shit " every country is free to choose their military alliance / destiny " in their faces over and over again
I’m not pro Russia, but it seems awfully hypocritical that Americans get outraged if there’s missiles 150 km away from them. And yet think it’s cool to have NATO expand to Russia’s own border. Is US only country entitled to not have foreign forces nearby?
If NATO wasn't in the Baltic states, Putin would have drummed up an excuse to re-occupy them years ago. And Americans should be no more outraged than they already are that already has thousands of nukes pointed at us. The largest assortment of nukes in the world. That's the main reason why we have our own nukes, btw. If you think it's because of a conspiracy by the "military industrial complex" in the US, you're the same sort of sap who thought the Berlin wall was to protect the East Germans from the US.
@@andrewlankford9634 Why would "Putin" invade the Baltic states? Keep in mind that in the past 20 years Russia only invaded parts of Ukraine and Georgia. Russia newer needed to funny invade other countries because it would be really costly. In addition Russia did this to stop this countries from joining NATO and to protect Russian people in a region.
Europe nations must known, if the war in Ukraine broke out, the most lost in the war are Europe itself and the most beneficial are warmonger in pentagon and financial institutions in Wallstreet and Hong Kong, Beijing, London. That is the truth. French and German must be strong enough to conforn and stand. Say no to the US foreign politics. Look Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, and care of the dangers of nuclear war. Be cooperation with Moscow and Beijing, not to Washington (War shington).
1963 - Russia, nukes in Cuba. USA, nukes in Turkey. 2022 - Russia, nukes in Cuba. USA, nukes, tanks, air forces, allies, etc in Ukraine. Russia: "We'll get 'em this time!" USA: "Did babushka spike the borshcht?"
Ever since Russia, which continues to idolize the USSR, has been pushing Ukraine, like it the Balts, into the Western orbit with its idiotic Soviet-glorifying BS that all Europeans, except for the Stockholm Syndrome Russia ruling caste, hate with a passion.
@@andrewlankford9634 I don't see what delusions you're talking about, must be yours. Multiple top officials from the EU have confirmed the EU has been behind the Maidan revolution, including some presidents of EU countries(Like the Croatian president). USA involvement is also a known fact. The west basically started a Cuban missile crisis no. 2 with Ukraine and now they're reaping the consequences. The desperation of a dying criminal empire(Anglo-saxons) is a joy to see.
Nicaragua is the preferred option for Russia and China. For Russia - the military aspect, for China - the economic aspect. The Panama Canal controls the US. China doesn't like it. There is a joint project between China and Russia to build a new canal through the territory of Nicaragua. Money and construction - China. Protection of the object and deployment of military bases - Russia.
I am venezuelan and I know that even some of our president body guards are russian, Russia, and China have a bunch of personel inside the military and they even have 1 or 2 bases within venezuela, they are "joint collaboration bases" but in reality they are russian bases, there's even a russian nuclear plant in the center of the country but many of the reports to the outside are scarce, the people that live near are mostly Indians or people that go in to explore but it's it's hard place to get for all the jungle and forests
Can you imagine the Cuban government hearing : "Vlad is having a hissy fit over Ukraine, do you mind we park nuclear weapons on your island, make you a nuclear target of the USA, to help Vlad with his Ukrainian border war?" "Sure...of course... "
@@harukrentz435 You think the USA would waste a nice, high quality missile on that rotting socialist prison? Wow, that is the "UA-cam Post of the Day"! Congrats! 👏👏👏
Remember to leave a comment & like to feed the mighty algorithms.
📌 Support GTBT on Patreon! www.patreon.com/GTBT
Hm. Btw
Is regime change possible in Cuba?
Your a liar
That’s right. Make a video telling me you are a hypocrite without telling me you are a hypocrite.
The thing is, if China and Russia really do intend to fully stress test the US' commitment to refusing to allow peers in its global hegemony, then regardless of whether there is an additional invasion now or not this will not be the end of this. The point is to make noise, and now that the Olympics are over China may also feel more comfortable making a louder noise in the South China Sea at the same time.
Im blown away by how people are treating this like theyre fans of a sports team, only able to speak in terms of how their side is righteous and will be victorious over the bad guys.
I believe that We are moving from an era of small nations back to what are essentially large empires. The United States very well may take over Canada and/mexico in the next century as well as Canada having the possibility of reuniting with the uk or Canada splitting in 2. In Africa Nigeria and Ethiopia will run shop on the east and west coasts respectively. The middle east will come under the control of a single power once again, likely Iran. Turkey or Russia will likely have control over that Baltic states, and Russia will regain much of eastern Europe. Again, this is all baseless speculation from an idiot on the internet but that's how I see it
They are trying to get usa to see the other side, because usa is hellbent on not seeing any problems with placing their missiles close to russia.
@@nikolai502 missiles can travel over oceans, whether one is stationed in France or in turkey doesn't make much difference anymore
Putin doesn’t want China cooperation primarily. just wants east Ukraine, And nato back off. As you saw he used the idiot in Belarus to get his way. He’ll do the same for China
I think Russia moving missiles to Cuba or Venezuela is unlikely but i do expect Russia to try to straignten its raltions with these countries maybe sell them weapons too
@@tatumergo3931 Amen
@@tatumergo3931 "more influential in the region again" = send coups and dictatorship to latin america to punish them for not being obedient slaves in front of uncle sam.
@@tatumergo3931 OH NOooOo! HoW ThEy DaRe To HaVe a DiFeRrent opInIon ThAn MiNe!!! 😠😠😠😠 BeTtEr SeNd sOmE MuRdErOuS aNd CoRruPt DicTaTorS To rEplAce ThEiR FaIr AnD SquArE ElEctEd PrEsIdEnTs!!! CauSe FrEeDoM aNd DeMoCrAcY Of CoUrSe!!! 🔫🔪🗡
@@elnovillomapuchedehomerus2412 what?
@@robertortiz-wilson1588 i was talking with an idiot who tried to justify the U.S sending coups and dictatorships to latin america simply because latin american countries had different opinions than the U.S wich this guy was seeing as a justification but i guess he finally learned all that shit he said was bullshit and deleted his own comments
As always, great job with the video and analysis. Really enjoyed the historical backgroud and the fitting more classical music :)
Also the animations, transitions and maps... just a joy in themselves to watch :) keep up the great work
Our grand strategy is poisoned by our domestic politics. The ongoing embargo of Cuba and the sanctions against Venezuela create unnecessary vulnerabilities. Not only are we antagonizing these states, but we are essentially propping up hostile regimes by allowing dictators to portray themselves as anti-imperialist patriots. Most dispassionate American strategists understand this, but our leaders are constrained by the irrational hatred and apathy of our electorate.
I'm not fully sure about Venezuela, but refusing to trade with Cuba seems to be working relatively well. (Btw, the USA doesn't prevent essentials like medicine from entering the island, especially from elsewhere.) The Cuban government had to shut off the internet because a bunch of citizens were sick and tired of the government. If any natural disasters hit Cuba, the USA should alert the Cuban government that it will fly and or deliver rescue Aid to the country. Use the people's goodwill and exhaustion of the Cuban government to slowly start opening back up trade in certain areas over an extended period of time. Once it gets to a certain point, assuming the government either semi changes or at least allows it to happen, the USA should covertly and overtly flood the island with USA pop culture to the further delight of the populist. Obviously there'd have to be more to it, but if that can be done, the current government as it is, if it still remains more or less the same by then, may have its days numbered. No attempted CIA nonsense needed.
Those are my optimistic thoughts at least for a strategy concerning Cuba.
@@robertortiz-wilson1588 The Cuban embargo has been in place for 62 years. The embargo failed to achieve its original aim decades ago. If Cubans form a better government next Tuesday, the embargo will not be the cause.
But most importantly the embargo is completely out of line with modern US policy against dictatorships and communist states. Most such states are tolerated, or are given light symbolic sanctions against individual leadership. Cuba has a complete trade embargo, despite the fact that the US hasn't been at war with communism for 30 years. This policy is a relic of the Cold War - nothing more.
@@robertortiz-wilson1588 they do prevent essentials from going into cuba, at least rhetorically , however some countries just ignore them. mexico certainly ignored the US blockade and send them aid anyway
@@robertortiz-wilson1588 Pop-culture wouldn't be pop-culture if governments needed to "flood" a country with it. The appeal of pop in a place like Cuba has more to do with the Cuban government's efforts to quash it.
On the one hand, of course internal politics affect international policy (that's true in any country). On the other hand, the US grand strategy for Latin America is extremely consistent and historically it has been very efficient in producing the intended effects.
You highlighted Nicaragua but never mentioned there strategic value to Russia was wondering if anyone could give insight on this
Cant do this yourself i see you joined in 2013 so you not that young. I can think of several things to say that you could google yourself on this. Give me a bit on why you don't believe there is a strategic value so i know you are not lazy or dim please. Just reply with a mere 100ish words so i know you worth educating and all your neurons are firing.
Meanwhile, back in Nicaragua (its all Russian equipment it seems) - ua-cam.com/video/q3guEbuddQA/v-deo.html
@@geopoliticsjunkie4114 this comment is rather unhelpful. if you want to write this, better not write at all
@@Vrangelrip Give a man a fish and feed him for a day teach him to fish and feed him for a lifetime idea . Heres my comment for you " get bent you tosser" is that handle "I Lie 2"
There’s a joint Russian-Chinese base there
Dust off the monroe doctrine?
Don't make me laugh.
The Monroe doctrine has always been alive and kicking.
It wasn't invoked several times even though European powers were involved in South America.
@@Doochos apart from France invasion of Mexico I don't remember any time a european power invaded The Americas after the collapse of the spanish empires.
@@mitonaarea5856 forgot Falklands 1982
@@SasukeUchiha-pv4xn The Falklands were and are British territory.
@@mitonaarea5856Also the settlement of the Falklands and the Anglo-French blockade of Argentina.
It would be interesting to see a video on Antarctica, the geopolitical history around this continent, who the major players are, and what the future might hold. It's often overlooked in favor of the Arctic, but Antarctica is truly the final frontier on this planet, and there is a lot of potential hidden on that continent. So far the status quo is to leave it relatively uninhabited and reserved for scientific exploration. Conditions on the continent are extremely harsh, but as the planet warms up and as resources dwindle, can this continent become a new center of attention for the major powers? Could we see a race to conquer or colonize the continent? What could drive such a move? And would the cost of colonizing the continent be worth it?
Yeah, but Antarctica is too far from major trade routes and major power-bases to rival the Arctic in geostrategic importance.
@@compassroses Yeah, the Arctic is sure to become the hotspot over the next few decades.
I would say the Arctic is the most important future geopolitical arena as that would lessen China's dependence on the SCS for trade to Europe and make it harder for the United States and allies to blockade China in a war.
Not to mention, Russia will benefit greatly from taking transit charges and forcing people to pay for Russian icebreakers to pave the ice.
@@h.a2736 China wasn't being shortsighted in throwing cash at "appropriating" the SCS, though. As to difficulties blockading China, don't forget the Bering Strait, the GIUK Gap, and winter.
@@AirShark95 Arctic hotspot ............ good one.
The Russians had a trading post in northern California but they never claimed land there,Spain and few years later Mexico were the owners of all of Alta California.
Really? Same time as Alaska?
Interesting. Very...
Thank you for the hint, that I gotta learn more about.
The Chinese had a huge presence in California: built bridges and railroads out there. Then they were deported by the Chinese Exclusion Act.
Probably no coincidence that now they all but completely own California: and block the docking of ships at its Southern Ports....
Holy shit we're bringing back 2000s era Axis of Evil. 2000s nostalgia is back!
Rofl....can't write more, because still on the floor 🤣
the west/europe are the axis
@@kobemop good joke
@@millevenon5853
You're sure it was a joke?
I fully agree btw... And I'm a westerner myself.
@@oneshothunter9877 in that case I hope you get some help soon
I always love seeing new content from this channel
Very good quality material, as always. Cheers.
The problem with this type of analysis, even if good, is that they fail to accentuate that Russia is not the Soviet Union. It’s smaller, half the population, and even if rich, not as much as it would be if it had all territories and riches it had when being the Soviet empire plus it’s subject countries under the iron curtain.
And even the Soviet Union exhausted itself trying to balance counter to the West, bureaucratic and administrative nightmare and all.
If Russia’s aspiration is to restore some of the old Soviet (or Russian) empires’ weight, it will find that hard if it tries to use those old countries’ tactics without the resources: it can play bully and accost its weaker neighbors but can’t seriously deal with superpowers lest it falls back, over and over again, to the nuclear mantra of deterrence.
There is also another problem that is shared with the West, but that nevertheless changes the chessboard: historically one of Russia’s big assets was its huge population, the young usually used as cannon fodder for conflicts. Now Russia is aged (the median age around the 40’s) and the young are a luxury, a treasure in a country whose population is decreasing, not increasing.
This doesn’t make Russia’s army desperate but it cannot rely on the old “just send swarms of soldiers” its former self relied upon to try to balance its incredible lack of strategic victories.
Any war that demands Russian lives will hurt way more in a country with a birth rate of 1,5 than when it had triple or way more that number. You could argue that technology easily can manage such demands but also people migrate and wars aren’t something that make the young stay in the country.
All in all, what Russia (or Putin or its elites) doesn't want to admit is that size doesn't grant wealth, eating its neighbors (directly or indirectly) it's not what will stabilize Russia's economy but improving itself by diversifying its economy while granting political and administrative clarity (justice, in other words). The problem being (of course) that in such scenario you, as a corrupt member of the Russian oligarchy, delete (or limit) yourself out of existence.
Russia is dying.
@JaceBass I think you have a very spot on analysis, the US has many advantages over Russia and China, however even if the chinese economy will be affected by its huge population ageing, it my opinion it won't be as cataclysmic as some analysts think. Many countries, which are economic powerhouses, like Japan and Germany have ageing populations. The window of opportunity China has, in my opinion is wider than you pointed out, this is not the case for Russia tho.
Good points. It boils down, then, to oligarchic plutocratic interests versus the geoeconomic future of the Russian people.
Hm. Granted that Russia's population is ageing and its demographics are dwindling, but so are the population pyramids of most (all?) Western democracies. In other words, our numbers of potential cannon fodder will decline in parallel. Vlad is 69. Pooooooooh is 68. Perhaps their rush to monopolize on their nations' power is partly dictated by their running out of personal time ----- totalitarian midlife crises, so to speak.
Russia is not soviet union, but the West is also not the same. Socialist/communist destructive ideas have inflitrated the West making it weaker. People in the West would rather have comfort and safety even if that means making compromises to Russia, while Russians people are full of revanchism. Morale is what determines victory when forces are relatively equal. In this case Russias morale is higher.
There's no reason too. The entire reason soviet missiles were there was because at the time the Soviets had no ICBMs available at the time. The loss of Cuban bases spurred development of these for Russia in addition to american nukes in Turkey which are no longer present there. In fact, I don't think there are any in Europe anymore.
It’s simply to scare the us out of Ukraine
USA has nukes in 5 european countries...
@@ccdsds3221 Thanks for the correction
Dont know about 5 countries, but nukes in Turkey exist, they are obsolete cold war relics that can only be deployed by plane and the base doesnt even have those planes, but around 50 are there.
@@havocgr1976 ''In 2021, it is estimated that there are 100 U.S.-owned nuclear weapons stored in five NATO member states across six bases: Kleine Brogel in Belgium, Büchel Air Base in Germany, Aviano and Ghedi Air Bases in Italy, Volkel Air Base in the Netherlands, and Incirlik in Turkey.''
I follow Cuban news and one of the most interesting things about this I have heard has been the amount of Russian tourists going over to Cuba. Makes me wonder if they might be nuclear physicists on a nice Varadero Beach vacay.
No mentioned if Cuba is likely to be willing. With Castro dead and with no recent hostilities between the countries I think it is less likely they will be willing to create trouble for themselves.
It depends on how safe they feel. Not just externally but internally. If the cuban regime feels internally threatened it might decide to ask for russian assistance. Russia has shown itself willing to aid faltering regimes see Syria or recently Kazachkstan. Obviously this comes at a price. In the case of Cuba the price would be either a sigint station or medium range missiles. Or both.
@@florinivan6907 russia abandoned cuba in the 1990s and their economy is still bad
@@jerrymiller9039 They abandoned the cubans but Russia in 1995 was in no position to aid anyone.Honestly you can't be accused of abandoning your friends if you ran out of money. The russians have made it clear that if need be these days they'll aid anyone willing to receive it. The fact is the cuban regime if it felt threatened internally has only two options. China or Russia. China is not ready yet to expand that far so that leaves Russia. At the very least Russia can paralyse any efforts at the UN against Cuba.
It honestly would be hilarious to me if the US decided to try making amends to Cuba and bettering our relations with them.
Russia: *makes subtle threat to put missiles in Cuba*
US: *improves relations with Cuba substantially, convinces Cuba to join NATO*
Russia (or more specifically, Putin): *loud and angry toddler tantrum*
@@florinivan6907 Read my comment before responding. We can shut both of their economies and the UN is irrelevent
Monroe Doctrine also states that while Europeans stay out of American affairs, the USA stays out of Euroopean affairs. So the US violated and negated the Doctrine over a century ago...
>the USA stays out of Euroopean affairs
Mainland Europe is responsible for Napoleonic Wars, World War 1, and World War 2.
The Russian Revolution has gone down in history as the victory of the workers and peasants over the Czarist rulers. Few people realize the German Kaiser was also involved: He gave aid to the Bolsheviks in 1917.
Marxist idealogy was made-in Germany.
"*The European move, and follow-up actions elsewhere, are expected to put pressure on the United States to grant recognition*, even though it has been opposed to such a step at this time. The U.S. fears that recognition could endanger the current cease-fire in the war between Serbia and Croatia and cause the war to spread to Bosnia-Herzegovina."
19 December 1991: Germany announces that it will recognize Croatia on January 15, 1992, with or without the rest of the European Community.
23 December 1991: Germany becomes the first major power to recognize Croatia and Slovenia as independent states
15 January 1992: The European Community recognizes Slovenia and Croatia.
Without NATO (and the U.S.), Germany would have done it alone and we would have another WW1 trigger i.e. Russia would have declared war against Germany as in WWI.
Germany used NATO with North America's raw material security insurance to further its own interest when it failed in WW1's goals. The shopkeeper's inherent self-interest still exists and Germany has learned to drag the US into its adventures.
Decoupling North America's raw material security guarantees from mainland Europe will enable Russia to win any war of attrition against Germany!
On the other side,
Russia was meddling in Australia's Antarctica interest that caused Australia to enlist EU support.
Russia was meddling in New Zealand's Antarctica interest that caused New Zealand to enlist US support.
@@valenrn8657 The Russian Revolution has gone down in history as the victory of Russians over the Tsar and the aristocracy ...followed by dashed hopes at actual democracy, a coup by the Bolsheviks, a civil war, a famine, collectivization, more famine, the red terror, stalin's purges, a war with Finland, the Molotov-Ribbentrof pact.... but I guess you didn't know any of that.
@@valenrn8657 Marxist ideology was mainly made by Marx, who was living in London at the time, not Germany.
@@andrewlankford9634 Born in Trier, Germany, Marx studied law and philosophy at the universities of Bonn and Berlin. He married German theatre critic and political activist Jenny von Westphalen in 1843. Due to his political publications, Marx became stateless.
Good times, bad times indeed
I don't think Cuba wants to cause it's relations with the USA to get worse. It was just improving under Obama and Trump. Besides, I don't think Russia has the Navy to continue to support missiles in Cuba
Not like they did in the past. Russia in the Alliance between it and china is essentially how Italy was to Germany in the Axis
@@shadewolf0075 I think China would be more like Japan to Germany. China would probably just end up fighting a different war then Russia.
Not really under Trump. Trump got tough on Cuba .
We still impose barbaric sanctions on them and Venezuela why would they care?
@@SaintGBar22 Venezuela and Russia both dumping the dollar and do trade on crypto currency 🙃 nobody will care about dollar or sanction if crypto currency is stable 😂😂 it's the fall of United States once my great country and soon to meets it end our foreign policy of crusader created this
I like your analysis, but is a bit too hawkish/pro Nato
That first sentence couldn't be any more US-centric. "How do we make the Ukraine situation all about America?" FFS
It's a recognition perhaps that of all Russia's opponents, the US is the most dangerous. Sadly, the Ukraine is not. That is all Putin understands, so that's why it's all about the US. If this was the Ukraine and Russia quarrelling over gas bills prior to 2014 the US wouldn't care.
@@andrewlankford9634 But it isn't about the US? Russia and China are the only modern nations that are ready to wage war against an power similar in strength and technology. The USA is not ready to face Russia or China, nevermind both at the same time. The US has a large military but its geared to beat up small nations and for counter insurgency.
It is not ready for an war against nations with equal footing along thousands miles of frontline. Not to mention American soldiers arent prepared for the psychological impact or even trained in conventional warfare at all against another great power, Chinese and Russians are willing to bleed and fight to the end for their nations. Americans on the other hand, no.
In a way it is about the US. Ukraine is for Russia of the same strategic importance as Cuba is to the US. The US didn't allow the deployment of Soviet missiles in Cuba. Russia doesn't allow Ukraine to join NATO for the exact same strategic reasons. Putin doesn't want NATO weaponry in his back yard. The US invited Ukraine to join NATO, so in a way it is about the US.
Mind you, I am not a fan of Putin. In my opinion he's just an authoritarian cleptocrat. But... what's good for the goose is good for te gander ;-)
@@noobplays-saslow2920 few days later, Russian troops being destroyed by some random dudes with little to no combat experience
What would Russia offer Cuba in return? Besides the threat will go both ways for the USA and Cuba.
This, Cuba won't want to attract that sort of attention to itself.
@J Silva You are very correct
US continues to embargo Cuba. Maybe Cuba could do this merely to spite the US.
@@DoctorDeath147 Cuba nationalised American's businesses and companies following the revolution. Cuba refused to compensate. Therefore, the embargo is justified.
@@petercharlery7661 Uh. Yeah. Ok. I'm not here to discuss whether it's justified or not. Just what Cuba could gain from helping Russia.
Nukes in Cuba means nukes and NATO troops in Ukraine. This is exactly what happened last time and will probably happen again.
Haha Cuba it's a disaster of a country. Russia would have to do a lot for the people there to gain the people's just
it makes no difference where the nukes are anymore, they can reach any place on Earth now it's not the 60's lol
Well, raise the stakes to that level, and Russia gets to negotiate however it likes.
If nukes and weapons on your border is the type of thing that makes you nervous, think about how Russia feels about NATO.
Ukraina is moving closer to Washington ANYWAYS , so moscow doesnt care. The invasion is immoral, but russia a country that runs as an independent power and needs its buffers. Mongolia, and Ukraina. It cant accept Ukraina moving too far in the west on its doorstep and that is exactly what is happening. After putin Sets up a puppet gov;(unfortunately) in Ukraina there will be peace again.
@@dariomladenovski7047 the point is to make a statement if you slap powerful weapons on someones front door and tell them if they do anything they go kaboom they will leave you alone.
Only way I can see Cuba really accepting this is to get leverage to finally rid themselves of the trade embargo which pretty much all but America has voted to end in the UN for years now.
It would mean more sanctions not less
@@jerrymiller9039 Yeah, he means Cuba would just play along to get the US attention then offer to never have such foreign missile systems in return for a guarantee to be free of some/most sanctions. I don't think they'd expect to have any chance of being free from sanctions after hosting such again.
@@Megalomaniakaal The US would never accept to be blackmailed by Cuba, it doesn't act in that fashion.
@@FOLIPE Yeah I don't see it happening either.
I think that's a good way to give a hint to the US how the Russia feels about other countries put their weapons and military pacts near their border
You mean, how Ukrania feels about other countries putting 100k soldiers near their border, right?
like the usa stacked 100k troops on Mexico's border
@@fabiorodrigo3638 😂 if it's star wars world
Would you like the empire to expand next to the rebels 😂😂
Bto this channel is a gem
Another great video showing the hypothetical
Neither Cuba nor Venezuela will let Russia do that. There is no real benefit for either country, and nothing but downside for each.
The idea that the Monroe Doctrine has ever protected Latin American independence is ridiculous
Then you obviously don't know much history about the region. Ironically, Venezuela was one of the countries that that got saved by the Monroe Doctrine from several angry European Empires including both the British and German Empires.
@@MyFancySauce The French invasion of Mexico only happened because the US was in Civil War. The US only ended up sending weapons to the Mexicans. It's an example of the Monroe Doctrine failing.
@@MyFancySauce Venezuela declared a trade war against US companies' Venezuela hardware assets nationalization (aka state-sponsored stealing).
The US applied its own socialist trade protection against Venezuela's socialist trade war.
The United States ending the Civil War alone saved Mexico from European influence
What if they 'sold' Cuba an S-400?
"freedom" intensify increases
Then they'll get free bombs from Uncle Sam. Express delivery, no refunds.
This is extremely unrealistic.
Honestly I hope it stays unrealistic.
Russia is kind of desperate. Putin is kind of little spoiled brat who only knows how to get attention by misbehaving. In other words, he as a lot in common with the Kim regime in NK.
It will never happen or otherwise it is a one way ticket for everyone. We need to stop escalating the current situation in vain, as some media do.
The next important question is, Is the current global security system working? No, why? Just look at Iraq, Libya, Venezuela, Syria & Afghanistan.
@J Silva There is enough to debate about this, but what about the rest? USA & its allies must mind their own business. Their malicious actions & propaganda makes people believe they are righteous & only mean good.. But it is so far from the truth..
@J Silva
I am not biased, both system have faults, but USA's has proven that its malicious, hegemonic and neocolonialist. I am a realist and anti impirialist. I understand that the world must work and cooperate for a better future, and at the same time we have inherited a lot of sh1t from the ones before.. every action has consequences and we are paying the price for that.
Russia is trying to implement a socialist system. China achieved in 20 years what USA has done in a record time.
Values and morals must be tailored to the results wished.
Russia is the underdog here, so it needs to do propaganda which I would rather call it a counter propaganda, but OK. Russia is not perfect, but nor is the US. Now how many countries did Russia invade in the past 20 years? Now compare that to USA.
It is not whataboutism, USA is the ruler of the world since the end of WWII right? What did it do? Do you know whats the Monroe Doctrine?
Ah. it spread democracy, bettered our lives with technologies etc. right? To some countries yes, by installing puppet govs that still opressed their people (USA, Saudi Arabia etc..)
Is the suffering of millions around the world and war crimes in many countries (that were literally turned into failed state for generations to come) worth these technological or cultural hegemonic "achievements" (which is basically just neocolonialism)? NO.
That is what I mentioned in the first comment. "Is the current global security system working? No" it is a very objective view that many share, but I think ppl need to argue with each other to feel good about themselves.
People are brainwashed to believe that a country could change with a click of a button, each country has its history and Russia came with heavy luggages (ie oligarchy, corruption and poverty by the end of the soviet union).
These are realities that any new president have to deal with, Yeltsin was US's puppet thus opening up Russia to its exploitation, hindering the prospects of a multipolar world in the post cold war era as part of its containment policy (which started and was the goal of the NATO alliance, which Russia wanted to join back then but USA refused).
USA managed to tame the EU due to its economic hegemony and capitalist investments in Europe and ensured EU's constant dependence on it.
This is very clear now, for eg. Germany is forced to parrot US rhetoric regarding Russia even though it doesnt want war, understands whats the real geopolitical situtaion and dearly want to conduct business with RU.
One of the ways you could measure the performance of a president or a gov is by looking at the economic development of that country (as well as social democracies, but you have to understand that corruption cant be solved by democracy, the corrupt will unite and replace you).
Manabendra Nath Roy, a communist who disagreed with Lenin about how to rule a country and how to support revolutions in countries back in 1920 in what is called the Lennin - Roy debate) Roy saw that the ruling bourgeoisie or oligarchs must be removed and the people (proletariats) could form a socialist gov that would be fair to its people. But Lennin disagreed and stressed on the necessity to temporarily work with the oligarchs until the proletariats (people like you and me) have enough resources, ecomonic stability and education to take control of the country and then get rid of the bourgeoisie.
And thats what most of the ex communist countries need to do and seems to be the only way.
If oligarchs feel threatened they would either form coalitions to perform a coup, devide the country or simply take their investments and money outside the country to tax havens or maybe even to the USA.
How do you know that USA didnt reach to oligarchs in Russia to get them to cooperate with US's agenda in Russia.
Putin is not perfect, but he is not one person, he said that they need to improve their macroeconomy and then achieve a better microeconomy which would inevitably lead to better standards of living and education allowing the people to take control of their lives the best way without getting bribed by external forces that seek to hinder Russia.
I think that Putin is realistic about working with oligarchs and at the same time achieving reasonably good results economically. The poverty in Russia is now around 30% lower than when he took power (am not 100% sure but its a substantial decrease in poverty). Putin as well as any politician know that economic stability is the first corner stone of common prosperity.
I think Putin's "Lenninist"approach is reasonable and this is also what is happening in the USA now !!! AOC caved in to Pelosi and the neolibs, after she was and still is constantly attacked by plutocrats, neocons and neolibs.
There are oligarchs in USA too and they are the ones backing puppet politicians to make laws that benefit them (militray industrial complex, pharma industries, oil companies etc..). Thats why a real democracy in USA is not possible. Bernie Sanders's experience was/is still an excellent eg., the plutocrats used their media outlets and tv/news channels to destroy Bernie's image and the neolibs made sure enough dem candidates (20+) ran in order to dilute his pool of voters.
If you knew anythjing about Ukraine and its history you would think differently. Ukraine became a state independent from USSR only a couple of decades ago! So of course there is a lot of Russian heritage and ethnics there. It was one county. A country is made by the ethnicity of people living there.
The eastern part of Ukraine has Russian majority, we call them now "ethnically "Russian because a Ukranian state is formed with a certain borders, but they are basically Russians!
Ukraine has neonazi parties and as the security situation in Ukraine became violent, Russians or Russian speaking citizens became weary of the Svoboda party taking power and they did. the Svoboda party are anti russia as well as other things (neo 4..Naz! ) and changed the constitution to opress the Russian speaking south eastern part of the country.
Crimea (which has a Russian majoirty) has a Russian base that was leased until 2027 and during the 2014-15 events, Russia felt its national security (losing one of the most important bases) at risk and the russian speaking called for it to be annexed.
Are crimeans now complaining to you that they need their independence ?? Then why do you and the west care? I dont agree with the corruption but its an evil we have to accept and then turn around. USA is the example of how many progressive democrats are now trying to take over from the capitalist system to give real social equality in USA.
Ukraine had 8 years under Pro-EU Zelensky and he didnt manage to change the system the way everybody thought and wanted.
Theres an S in Caracas
They ought to pronounce it as "Ca ca".
anyone know what is the bridge at 6:04?
The US has place missiles in russia's doorstep, so what wrong with russia using cuba to place its missiles there?
@J Silva What a stupid comment!!! If you have ever looked at a map, you will see that poland, lithuania, estonia, latvia, romania, and UKRAINE are very close to russia. If the US has place missiles there, whats wrong with the russians placing missiles in cuba.......................by the way cuba is close to the US. Learn some geography
@J Silva When I say doorstep, I mean "close to it" close to russia. I know that lithuania, romania, etc are not doors, but countries. And if those countries want to have nukes on their territories, the same could be said about cuba. If cuba wants to have russian nukes inside its territory, then they should as well
@Reader Stuff Hahahahahaha.................................yep
Great channel.
america sent missiles to turkey, romania, poland. russia shouldn't have a problem sending them to cuba
Hey mate, just coming from 2024 and yes it's indeed a missle crisis 2.0
That would be a VERY poor decision for Russia.
That's an old map of Europe. Yugoslavia doesn't exist anymore.
Chris, please don't try and drag facts into this silly video.
We didn't let it happen then, we damn sure won't let it happen now...
You missed the point, the Russians got what they wanted back then, they won.The missiles from Turkey were removed.If they can freeze Ukraine joining NATO by not putting missiles , so basically by doing NOTHING, it d be a total win for em again.
Why wouldn't you let it happen? You're attempting to do so in Ukraine to Russia but you don't want someone else doing it to you? Strange.
@@logikus8638 well keep in mind I'm not a policy maker. But I do look at the world through a realistic glass, and the United States is an empire first and foremost. Whether you agree with that or not or I agree with it or not is irrelevant. We will never let a foreign power get an edge on us so close to our own shores... Empires don't allow that.
I think that there is another major aspect of setting up in Venezuela: threatening the Panama canal and the critical connection between east and west usa. Ofc, from Cuba this path can also be threatened, but far more effectively from Venezuela as Cuba can theoretically be circumvented
If chavez threatens the canal he will soon be gone
Chavez?
I don't care how much Russia claims to be backing up Venezuela, if they're stupid enough to try and threaten the Suez Canal, and by extension Panama itself, Maduro's days may be numbered.
The problem for the USA is that nearly a third of all it's exports and imports travel down the Mississippi River and out the Gulf of Mexico. By controlling Cuba and cutting off the trade out of the Gulf of Mexico, Russia can severely damage the US economy.
@@robertortiz-wilson1588 the Suez canal?
I mean I hope they do, because the Baltics would be more then happy to get the US to station it's missiles there.
It's like Russia doesn't understand that they lost, trying to fight the previous war is a grave mistake and is already reducing Russia's opportunity to become wealthier and stronger in the long run.
You're missing the point
@@NgolaNalane Why comment that instead of saying what that point is? Are you trying to win the award for most pointless comment on the internet?
@@TuscanBrick Yap, I d say all 3 would last a week.Before any help could arrive.
@@TuscanBrick I'm sure you are aware that in a conventional war with the west, they'd be the first target too right?
I'm more talking about long range conventional weapons, as in the case of nuclear weapons, well pretty sure nobody would survive that.
I mean billions would survive the first few volleys but I'm sure you get the point.
@@havocgr1976 Georgia lasted a week. I'd give the baltics around 3-5 days.
That woman at 2:35 is playing a dangerous game
what about making a video about America and Europe taking on initiative instead of reacting on what russia, china and others?
The current world order favours/ed the western power they had no reason to take the initiative and change the status quo while on the other hand the Chinese bloc wants to change the existing situation and is thus taking actions
You guys need to post more man where you all been at brugh
Cuba and Venezuela are sovereign nations, they can accept missiles from whoever they want. Just like any other nation. Same standards apply. Maybe it will be a money sink-hole for Russia, their economy isn't great.
The US is also sovereign. We can refuse to do business with any company doing business with them. Then each company can decide which market they want
Just like Ukraine is a sovereign country they can join any alliance and also accept foreign missles if they wanted to just like any other nation but you see how that’s working out with the Russian hypocrites
Very true, both of you!
This isn't the 1960s. I am pretty sure the Russians could hit important US targets if they wanted already from their own territory. If they want to waste resources on pointless foreign adventurs in Cuba that provide them no strategic advantage go right ahead.
I hope Russia does not only for their security but for the security of Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua who have endured years of maltreatment from the USA.
USA and EU been abused everyone for centuries but now it's on a decline
Why bother doing something so ostentatious and provocative when the nation has spent a fortune on nuclear-powered, ballistic missile-carrying submarines?
For the same reason cuba crisis once happened, to show em what it means to have missiles in range of your major cities.I mean you are correct about the subs, but nuclear aint an option to attack anything, they are a deterrent since the "winner" will just get radioactive ashes falling from the sky.
You're right, there's no tactical reason to do this now, but I think it's as much of a symbolic threat more than anything, which is enough to create panic in the media as we know
Because the public won't have it. So the deployment can be halted, or reverted at a later time in trade for something else.
@@novat9731 You're missing the point.
2:36 woooooow....spektakuleerrrr
😄😄😄 a great piece of "journalism" from RT
0:04 when did the serds annex Montenegro
russia ain't gonna build shit in america.
I really love how you ignore Ukraine's potential NATO membership and article 10's requirement of mutual defense, which would be akin to Russia having an alliance with Mexico and defending her if she is under attack by her northern neighbor. You highlight how dangerous Cuba' proximity is to Florida and military-strategic risks that that would impose, but completely ignore the proximity of Ukraine to the capital city of Moscow itself.....Love how you think, i.e Simultaneously having super clarity and vision and hearing in one eye and ear and completely deaf and dumb in the other when it suits your needs and narrative......That's Amazing! man! How do you do that with a good conscience? Good times Bad times?...or Sharp eye, Blind eye.. good ear, deaf ear? Smart thinking-Dumb-thinking? Its like arguing that Russia has the raw nerve of having it's borders too close to a ring of Nato Military bases instead of the truth, which is the other way around...
@@davidduffy2046 Yes in fact it is....since it does not border Russia directly...There are countries called Belarus and Latvia in the way.
The guy behind this channel is Polish. Always check the location of a channel. It tells you the tint of the glasses he looks through ;-)
12 mins in - yeah, everyone did expect these actions of russia and china. they were not at all surprising and the plans have been public knowledge for years.
Define "everyone". Ex-soviet and warsaw pact states? Sure. Their western allies that actually listen to them(i.e. US & UK)? Sure.
Everyone supporting Ukraine should also support Russia arming Cuba and Venezuela.
The US threatens Cuba's and Venezuela's sovereignty on a daily basis.
Unless there is an economic incentive that benefits the citizens both countries won’t do it
Russia has a smaller economy than NYC and we can crush all three of their economies without firing a shot
@@jerrymiller9039 LoL Keyboard hero has entered the chat.
@@jerrymiller9039 sure, just like you did to Cuba, a country you definitely defeated with sanctions. You Americans make us foreigners lagh
@@meteor7836 Reality hits you hard bro
Sensationalist reporting. Because a Russian official said "I can neither confirm or deny"
Interesting topic indeed
It was 'spectacular' though!
I'm not fully sure about Venezuela, but refusing to trade with Cuba seems to be working relatively well. (Btw, the USA doesn't prevent essentials like medicine from entering the island, especially from elsewhere.) The Cuban government had to shut off the internet because a bunch of citizens were sick and tired of the government. If any natural disasters hit Cuba, the USA should alert the Cuban government that it will fly and or deliver rescue Aid to the country. Use the people's goodwill and exhaustion of the Cuban government to slowly start opening back up trade in certain areas over an extended period of time. Once it gets to a certain point, assuming the government either semi changes or at least allows it to happen, the USA should covertly and overtly flood the island with USA pop culture to the further delight of the populist. Obviously there'd have to be more to it, but if that can be done, the current government as it is, if it still remains more or less the same by then, may have its days numbered. No attempted CIA nonsense needed.
Those are my optimistic thoughts at least for a strategy concerning Cuba.
if russia did indeed send missiles to cuba i want to replay biden/blinken saying that shit " every country is free to choose their military alliance / destiny " in their faces over and over again
12:20 "did anyone expect," everyone expected it, US currently has weak leadership
Geopolics is like a shark dive, and weakness is blood in the water
If Venezuela is Russia's biggest arms customer, Russia's defense industry isn't doing all that great.
In South America
It’s always good to come here for unbiased reports 👍🐻😻
I’m not pro Russia, but it seems awfully hypocritical that Americans get outraged if there’s missiles 150 km away from them. And yet think it’s cool to have NATO expand to Russia’s own border. Is US only country entitled to not have foreign forces nearby?
There are no US nuclear-armed missiles in Eastern Europe.
From the Poland-Belarus border to the Belarus-Russian border is about 634 km.
If NATO wasn't in the Baltic states, Putin would have drummed up an excuse to re-occupy them years ago. And Americans should be no more outraged than they already are that already has thousands of nukes pointed at us. The largest assortment of nukes in the world. That's the main reason why we have our own nukes, btw. If you think it's because of a conspiracy by the "military industrial complex" in the US, you're the same sort of sap who thought the Berlin wall was to protect the East Germans from the US.
@@andrewlankford9634 Why would "Putin" invade the Baltic states? Keep in mind that in the past 20 years Russia only invaded parts of Ukraine and Georgia. Russia newer needed to funny invade other countries because it would be really costly. In addition Russia did this to stop this countries from joining NATO and to protect Russian people in a region.
I don't think you understand that nothing is fair in the world of geopolitics.
Europe nations must known, if the war in Ukraine broke out, the most lost in the war are Europe itself and the most beneficial are warmonger in pentagon and financial institutions in Wallstreet and Hong Kong, Beijing, London. That is the truth. French and German must be strong enough to conforn and stand. Say no to the US foreign politics. Look Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, and care of the dangers of nuclear war. Be cooperation with Moscow and Beijing, not to Washington (War shington).
1963 - Russia, nukes in Cuba. USA, nukes in Turkey.
2022 - Russia, nukes in Cuba. USA, nukes, tanks, air forces, allies, etc in Ukraine.
Russia: "We'll get 'em this time!"
USA: "Did babushka spike the borshcht?"
It's a matter of being left with no choice, Russia is on the defensive ever since the US organized 2014 Maidan revolution.
Ever since Russia, which continues to idolize the USSR, has been pushing Ukraine, like it the Balts, into the Western orbit with its idiotic Soviet-glorifying BS that all Europeans, except for the Stockholm Syndrome Russia ruling caste, hate with a passion.
Russia's aggressive actions against Ukraine are the best marketing PR for NATO. Make NATO Great Again.
@@logikus8638 Delusions are more comforting than the truth usually is. Russia's problems are self-inflicted.
@@andrewlankford9634 I don't see what delusions you're talking about, must be yours. Multiple top officials from the EU have confirmed the EU has been behind the Maidan revolution, including some presidents of EU countries(Like the Croatian president). USA involvement is also a known fact. The west basically started a Cuban missile crisis no. 2 with Ukraine and now they're reaping the consequences. The desperation of a dying criminal empire(Anglo-saxons) is a joy to see.
I'm in love with that gulf of Mexico map at 0:39
Wonderful
Dude.... Not "Caraka" ... It's "Caracas" the S is not silent
12:12 - 12:21 ukraine has over 200000 on it's border with RF so no Russia did not amass the laegest concentration of troops since ww2
Um... they've already done that during the Cuban missile crisis
Fort Ross is not even close to SF :P It is like 4h drive.
Russian should help the Cuban build large underground factories.
The Russian doesn't need to build the rocket and ship ore fly them to Cuba!
Trump wanted to invade Venezuela but he was talked out of it , If Russia does put missilles there then holy shit bro ....
Nicaragua is the preferred option for Russia and China. For Russia - the military aspect, for China - the economic aspect. The Panama Canal controls the US. China doesn't like it. There is a joint project between China and Russia to build a new canal through the territory of Nicaragua. Money and construction - China. Protection of the object and deployment of military bases - Russia.
The only difference is that the USA didn't have any missiles stationed in the Europe.
itali and turkey (in part) are in europe
@Reader Stuff they where int 60 and there are nuclear weapons in aviano and Incirlik
I am venezuelan and I know that even some of our president body guards are russian, Russia, and China have a bunch of personel inside the military and they even have 1 or 2 bases within venezuela, they are "joint collaboration bases" but in reality they are russian bases, there's even a russian nuclear plant in the center of the country but many of the reports to the outside are scarce, the people that live near are mostly Indians or people that go in to explore but it's it's hard place to get for all the jungle and forests
I heard Chaves used to roll with Cuban bodyguards too
NOT
ONLY
THE
COWBOYS.....
CAN
GO
AROUND,,,,,TO PUT BASES,,,,,,
OTHERS CAN AS WELL....
WHY
NOT,,,,,,
,,,,
With Zircon it is pretty much irrelevant where you put it... but yeahh, that would be fun.
It's Okay
If USA deploy missiles near Russia but it's not Okay If Russia deploy missile in Cuba
Hypocrisy
Real easy for Russia just make Cuba a Nuclear power like Russia just did in Belarus. Heck Russia was already building a nuclear reactor in Cuba
They should, it'd even things out more and make it fairer.
Putin wouldn’t dare put missiles in Cuba or Venezuela, c’mon mayon!
Why would they need to? They have hypersonic missiles.
Can you imagine the Cuban government hearing : "Vlad is having a hissy fit over Ukraine, do you mind we park nuclear weapons on your island, make you a nuclear target of the USA, to help Vlad with his Ukrainian border war?"
"Sure...of course... "
Hissy Fit. That is all you can say about Putin?
Do you not think Cuba is a nuclear target already? How naive.
@@harukrentz435
You think the USA would waste a nice, high quality missile on that rotting socialist prison?
Wow, that is the "UA-cam Post of the Day"!
Congrats!
👏👏👏
btw your map is missing a border between serbia and montenegro
Ah shit. Here we go again
"The herd needs culling."
The Elites
You think Russia didn't learnt lessons from USSR. West really had not figure out hybrid war strategies of China and Russia.
No
"Comment for appealing to all mighty algorithm"
If this happened in the Caribbean and it turned out to be a reality me in Jamaica will come to an end
you realize they have nuclear submarines...
yes
Very comprehensive video, however the subtle one sided analyis is still there. 😊
looks like you geopolitics channels are running out of topics.
Elaborate please
In what way ?
CaracaS
Uhhh... Fort Ross is NOT a suburb of San Francisco.
We should have been nicer to Cuba. And if they went awry, stomped on them.