Hey Ted, really enjoying your new content. Low, low stakes recreational player here - would appreciate it if you would take a minute next time to explain just how silly my multiple match accas are. Under what circumstances would you ever parlay? (I'm feeling good about my Fribourg, Barcelona, Celtic, ManU, Brighton, PSV, Aston Villa, Bayern play 🙃)
It's quite simple...parlays are value when you can justify that you have value in the individual selections themselves. If you're just picking random teams you think will win to "boost the price" (but have no understanding of if they are more or less likely to lose than what the market prices the result at), you're just guessing and will inevitably lose money long term.
@@itsmano22I thought parlays are only for weird conditional bets and if you really want to leverage. But the edge you would need is insane because gives worse odds on parlays than straight bets. So should never be made, unless you have some bizarre conditional edge
I subscribed to the premium newsletter but didn’t get an email with picks or anything. Not sure if I didn’t do something right. Appreciate all the work you guys do
When logged in, you should see an entire section for Premium subs only at the bottom of this web post/email www.thetransferflow.com/p/variance-betting-finally We're still working out the kinks, so tell us if there are problems and feel free to email us [respond to the newsletter] and it will hit our inbox. Thanks!
I enjoy the content, could you share the decimal odds equivalents on the slides. My head hurts with the USA odds..
Really enjoyed this Ted. it's nice hearing about the thought process behind the bets.
Hey Ted, really enjoying your new content. Low, low stakes recreational player here - would appreciate it if you would take a minute next time to explain just how silly my multiple match accas are. Under what circumstances would you ever parlay? (I'm feeling good about my Fribourg, Barcelona, Celtic, ManU, Brighton, PSV, Aston Villa, Bayern play 🙃)
This is something we'll look at in future episodes.
It's quite simple...parlays are value when you can justify that you have value in the individual selections themselves. If you're just picking random teams you think will win to "boost the price" (but have no understanding of if they are more or less likely to lose than what the market prices the result at), you're just guessing and will inevitably lose money long term.
@@itsmano22I thought parlays are only for weird conditional bets and if you really want to leverage. But the edge you would need is insane because gives worse odds on parlays than straight bets. So should never be made, unless you have some bizarre conditional edge
I subscribed to the premium newsletter but didn’t get an email with picks or anything. Not sure if I didn’t do something right.
Appreciate all the work you guys do
When logged in, you should see an entire section for Premium subs only at the bottom of this web post/email
www.thetransferflow.com/p/variance-betting-finally
We're still working out the kinks, so tell us if there are problems and feel free to email us [respond to the newsletter] and it will hit our inbox. Thanks!
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