Hele tijd heel slecht zijn, wonderbaarlijk toch goed zijn in het grote toernooi, eruit tegen de uiteindelijke kampioen in kwartfinale. Zo gaat het ongeveer altijd
Poland and Ukraine with 100% winrate on the euros, lads this clearly means if one of them reach the finals the other team is cooked according to football manager 😭
Gotta love Mike, remember when i sat there in a discord call helping him make a few of the prints, back when it was for peoples FM saves... seen it come a long way, and have 3 different prints up on my wall made by him, which i love
Especially, that he only played in national team in 4 games - 3 in 2020 and 1 in 2023 with a total of 156 minutes on the pitch. I'd like to see simulations with teams having lists of players according to the real life tournament. Would be really interesting.
Since I ended up watching this well after the Euros, I have to say that the net result of the simulations were pretty close to what happened. The top 4 predicted semi-finalists were France (59%), England (50%), Spain (37%) and Netherlands (36%). This was exactly what happened and Germany having trouble getting to the semis was spot on. I did watch that Spain vs Germany and it took some crazy antics from the Spaniards to keep Germany at bay. Dani Carvajal picked up a red card towards the end of extra time to stop the Germans from scoring. The top 8 predictions for quarter finals, apart from the above 4 were Italy, Portugal, Germany and Belgium. Here is where Italy and Belgium didn't make it but Switzerland and Turkey made it. 6 out 8 (75%) being right is still pretty great. Just goes to show how good the FM simulation engine is. Most of the Euros was exciting to watch except for the games where France or England scored first.
Some countries get a higher appreciation in fm as others do. FRANCE GERMANY SPAIN AND ITALY BUT MOSTLY ENGLAND. MAINLY the higher amount of people the higher the odds are and how the players are appreciated. People like to see their country win. BIG nationS have more people so possible more games to sell.
Yeah the bias has been clear for years, there is some hidden data that increases the odds of the english nt and its clubs. Now with the official sponsorship of the Premier League...it's not going to get any better.
the fact that turkey didnt advance from the 2nd round that much is because when they finish 2nd in their group, they having a match with france in case of france finishes 1st in their group.
@TomFM you should do a similar video of this but do it with all the worst European nations. One of my favourite channels on UA-cam. Keep up the great work
Opposite of the Maignan situation for Belgium; somehow they didn't pick the keeper who just won the Champion's League, and he did pick up a number of the clean sheets awards here. I can see them doing worse than you've got them
Germany did beat France in a friendly not too long ago, but still just a friendly France will show up most likely unless Wirtz scores less than 10 seconds in lmao
@TomFM you should do a similar video of this but do it with all the worst European nations. One of my favourite channels on UA-cam. Keep up the great work 😊💪
what an impressive video once again Tom ! From France perspective we're seeing the english boys favourites. Hope everyone has a nice tournament without too many referees mistakes.
Big props to you Tom for the dedication and time this video must have taken to make. Compiling all of these stats must have been so time consuming. Great video!!
In the run you show with England winning, they actually did not win a SINGLE game in 90 mins, even against Georgia. They emulated 2016 Portugal to win that one lol
@TomFM What if "EURO B" existed? it would be a copy of EURO, but with best teams which did not qualified for Regular EURO, like Wales, Israel, Sweden, Norway, Luxembourg etc.
let's put this into perspective. It is more likely that France wins the tournament than: - Albania getting out of the group - Austria and Switzerland getting to the quarters - Portugal, Belgium and Croatia getting to the semis - Any other team getting to the final Insane.
Hi Tom I have a suggestion. Could you start a new series on football manager 24 with an even lower team in English division? See how low you can get it and then bring them all the way to the top as fast as possible😅😂
It will be an interesting reflection video after the tourney....can't wait I'd presume, that even with 100 supposedly educated guesses... None of those simulations will be correct. My £1 is on Hungary to get out of their group.
Hey Tom, do you have a link to the editor data file you used to simulate this? Or did you set it up yourself and if so, would you be able to upload the file by any chance? Cheers!
Seeing Ter Stegen, Areola AND Courtois as the goalkeepers with the most clean sheets is kind of funny considering they most likely won't even play. Nagelsmann seems to prefer Neuer, Maignan always starts over Areola and Courtois didn't get called up because he's a crybaby
Could you do a video where you simulate until Bosnia wins Euros please? They once were top 10 and now it just hurts to watch them so I wish I could escape reality a bit
i think you made a mistake at 4:20. if germany wins group A they will play against 2nd of group C and not the 2nd of group B. if they get 2nd place in A they play against 2nd in B. but i saw the shedules from the serbia win, so it tells me they played against group C and often finished only 2nd in group A. good video tho :)
No bias in favour of England, right? lol this freaking game somehow is capable of making Portugal feel like a 2nd tier team when stats wise is absolutely top 3. Ridiculous consistent prediction stats even from another video.
11:35 You say your life would be complete, but I think your life would've ended to a heart attack before, considering England has to go through three extra times plus penalties in the final.
Netherlands losing 19 of their 22 finals is so realistic that it hurts me.
Pijn…
Hele tijd heel slecht zijn, wonderbaarlijk toch goed zijn in het grote toernooi, eruit tegen de uiteindelijke kampioen in kwartfinale.
Zo gaat het ongeveer altijd
Spoilers much?!
@@indiegamesarchives7772 grow up
Its de istory of de Netherlands
Seeing the Netherlands win 3 out of 22 finals makes sense. We're terrible in finals.
kut maar waar
Poland won once.. So you're telling me there's a chance lol
well hope can t kill us wright?
Won in final with portugal as revenge for the 2016 euros lmao
Lewangoalski to the rescue
POLSKA GUROM 💪💪💪
8:46 no one tell Tyson Fury
Poland and Ukraine with 100% winrate on the euros, lads this clearly means if one of them reach the finals the other team is cooked according to football manager 😭
And if they both make it to the finals, we can expect the collapse of the entire universe.
6:45 the top 4 teams are actually the semi finalists rn
Well, Tom, ter Stegen is not Gk number 1 in German team too.
Will you do a similar video for Copa America?
Potentially! Got a few trips planned in the next month or so and Euro's is my priority, will just depend if I have the time.
Your blurring needs a little work - not leaving much to the imagination! 😉
Gotta love Mike, remember when i sat there in a discord call helping him make a few of the prints, back when it was for peoples FM saves... seen it come a long way, and have 3 different prints up on my wall made by him, which i love
Imagine Karbownik scoring that irl
Especially, that he only played in national team in 4 games - 3 in 2020 and 1 in 2023 with a total of 156 minutes on the pitch.
I'd like to see simulations with teams having lists of players according to the real life tournament. Would be really interesting.
Can you rebuild stirling albion since they just got relegated
@KenanXaers Scotland league 2
Yep will do
Yo Tom, have you heard Saint Ettiene are back to Ligue 1?
Since I ended up watching this well after the Euros, I have to say that the net result of the simulations were pretty close to what happened.
The top 4 predicted semi-finalists were France (59%), England (50%), Spain (37%) and Netherlands (36%). This was exactly what happened and Germany having trouble getting to the semis was spot on. I did watch that Spain vs Germany and it took some crazy antics from the Spaniards to keep Germany at bay. Dani Carvajal picked up a red card towards the end of extra time to stop the Germans from scoring.
The top 8 predictions for quarter finals, apart from the above 4 were Italy, Portugal, Germany and Belgium. Here is where Italy and Belgium didn't make it but Switzerland and Turkey made it. 6 out 8 (75%) being right is still pretty great. Just goes to show how good the FM simulation engine is.
Most of the Euros was exciting to watch except for the games where France or England scored first.
10:32 The Netherlands just winning 3 times out of 22, sounds about right to me. Wasn't expecting anything else, really. 😉
I don't believe in that 98% of Germany making it out of the group stages.
There are no Asian teams in the Euro, so Germany's safe.
😂😂😂😂
I think it might not be 98% but i think its gonna be pretty good
courtois is out of the belgium squad cause of issues with the manager so belgium got a buff there
Interesting, I didn't know that! Casteels to be the first choice?
@@TomFM yes, indeed. We can also see Mechele as a defender in de serbia final, but he's not on the squad either
@TomFM that's what I think but idk I heard calls that cells should be the first choice gk
Thanks, imma use these results for my work betting game of the euros
Some countries get a higher appreciation in fm as others do. FRANCE GERMANY SPAIN AND ITALY BUT MOSTLY ENGLAND. MAINLY the higher amount of people the higher the odds are and how the players are appreciated.
People like to see their country win. BIG nationS have more people so possible more games to sell.
Yeah the bias has been clear for years, there is some hidden data that increases the odds of the english nt and its clubs. Now with the official sponsorship of the Premier League...it's not going to get any better.
We’ve ALL been waiting for this…
genuinley i could see simulation 21's final happening. it would be such nice redemption for southgate
That serbian route to win is insane beating all the big dogs
I have another great/tearable idea so ever herd of flint town ? nope so in the welsh leuge lets give this club 200m ponds per seson
the fact that turkey didnt advance from the 2nd round that much is because when they finish 2nd in their group, they having a match with france in case of france finishes 1st in their group.
@TomFM you should do a similar video of this but do it with all the worst European nations. One of my favourite channels on UA-cam. Keep up the great work
Opposite of the Maignan situation for Belgium; somehow they didn't pick the keeper who just won the Champion's League, and he did pick up a number of the clean sheets awards here. I can see them doing worse than you've got them
Must be people from England who created that game. Wishful thinking to see them do so well. Especially in Germany.
Germany did beat France in a friendly not too long ago, but still just a friendly France will show up most likely unless Wirtz scores less than 10 seconds in lmao
thank you for being a not obnoxious football youtuber, a rare breed these days
bruh look around the internet goodwin dude jared hd do you even look?
@TomFM you should do a similar video of this but do it with all the worst European nations. One of my favourite channels on UA-cam. Keep up the great work 😊💪
superd idea
henlo
what an impressive video once again Tom ! From France perspective we're seeing the english boys favourites.
Hope everyone has a nice tournament without too many referees mistakes.
Throughout this whole video with all the percentages all I can think of is "60% of the time it works every time"
Gotta say Mikes templates are very similar to Vizeh's Mezzala designs..
what I'm getting here is that Croatia is criminally underrated in FM24
I didn't expect Poland to win once, revenge for 2016 in the final
Big props to you Tom for the dedication and time this video must have taken to make. Compiling all of these stats must have been so time consuming. Great video!!
Luckily for me I spent a lot of time on trains the other week so I managed to get all the simulations done there which was handy!
Oh so this is why we didn't make it in the Euros - no Karbownik in the lineup. I'll let our manager know
In my FM24 Bayern save, England won two euros and a world cup in a row.
Fair play to Areola, but ter Stegen neither is Germanys No. 1 keeper.
Who are here after Germany are being very good
I guess Football manager also keeps in mind how the Netherlands is known for their 2nd places...Damn...
Should’ve simulated it 2024 times
As a Georgian who is going to our first game, I'm pretending this means we have a 6% chance of reaching the semi finals 😂😂😂
You have a 6% chance of having a very expensive month! 😊
In the run you show with England winning, they actually did not win a SINGLE game in 90 mins, even against Georgia. They emulated 2016 Portugal to win that one lol
Great simulations 🙌
Yoo its toboloco
Loves these simulations and they way you put it together is even better
Bro, I'm Dutch and I can't stop laughing. This is spot on! 👌🏽
11 seconds, that reaction time
nice pfp
@@AM9DR3 thanks bro
great vid (i dont know how tf it will be turning out)
Denmark being with Romania and Poland hurts to see, i'm quite sure our roster is 10x that of those squads.
Give all the medals to the respective teams and we are fine with the Euro for another 400 years.
Not sure i have seen it yet but throughout your challanges you use the same formation i would love to see a video on that setup :)
@TomFM What if "EURO B" existed? it would be a copy of EURO, but with best teams which did not qualified for Regular EURO, like Wales, Israel, Sweden, Norway, Luxembourg etc.
Drinking game idea - have a drink every time Tom says “percent”, “of”, “the” or “time” 😂
I'm from poland and 7:50 honestly shocked me i didnt think we would win once but hopefully we win irl
So the odds are that no-one will win Euro 2024.
11:45 I switched off 🤣🤣
The most insane thing in all of this, is that England managed to win by penalties
let's put this into perspective. It is more likely that France wins the tournament than:
- Albania getting out of the group
- Austria and Switzerland getting to the quarters
- Portugal, Belgium and Croatia getting to the semis
- Any other team getting to the final
Insane.
Ter Stegen played for Germany in game? Isn’t it Neuer that will play irl?
there will be nothing worse in the world of football than england winning a major international event....
Hi Tom I have a suggestion. Could you start a new series on football manager 24 with an even lower team in English division? See how low you can get it and then bring them all the way to the top as fast as possible😅😂
I predict the semi-finalists will be France, Portugal, Germany, and England
It will be an interesting reflection video after the tourney....can't wait
I'd presume, that even with 100 supposedly educated guesses...
None of those simulations will be correct.
My £1 is on Hungary to get out of their group.
Pretty accurate for Netherlands, they just can't win a final unfortunately
This video has strong Sex Panther energy. “80% of the time, it works every time”
England 15 vs Spain 13, we will see who will win soon.
1 minute and i am ready to watch TomFM
Hey Tom, do you have a link to the editor data file you used to simulate this? Or did you set it up yourself and if so, would you be able to upload the file by any chance? Cheers!
did you get any luck finding one?
Ter Stegen is clearly not german no.1 and Thibaut Courtois didn't even make Belgium squad 😅
You should simulate the Copa America too
Is theres any database with real Euro24 groups in FM24 ?
So, England won a trophy AHAHHA.. such a unrealistic game
I had no hope for my country (Romania) but after this video I somehow have less hope
How do you simulate 100 years for example
The greatest footballer of all time has uploaded let’s gooooo
Seeing Ter Stegen, Areola AND Courtois as the goalkeepers with the most clean sheets is kind of funny considering they most likely won't even play. Nagelsmann seems to prefer Neuer, Maignan always starts over Areola and Courtois didn't get called up because he's a crybaby
Justice for Saint Ettienne! 🟢
As a dutch seeing us win 3 out of the possible 22 finals is so hurting but yet so realistic. 😂🥲 The detail this game has is insane
I’m so happy that Poland won and also got their revenge for 2016!!! 🥳🥳🥳
do you by any chance have the save file of all the groups? been wanting to try and win it with scotland
We will see us in the finals. Greetings from Germany xD
Re-do it but with mourinho/klopp/other managers managing england instead of southgate
Could you do a video where you simulate until Bosnia wins Euros please?
They once were top 10 and now it just hurts to watch them so I wish I could escape reality a bit
Last time that France was the favorite to win an international competition they've finished bottom of their group with 0 goal so now i'm scared 😅
Poland mentioned 🎉 and we even won once against our euro 2016 dream run killer 💪🏻. Will we make it out of the group irl? Probably not 😢
0 wins for the Netherlands out of the 22 would've been more realistic
They’ve won a Euro before
1000 YEARS NEXT!!!
Hi Tom! What kind of savegame setup did you use to get the correct groups and line-ups?
if England were to beat Germany on pens it's possible i die before the trophy is lifted 😂
great video. how did you simulate with the real squads?
Georgia qualifies to the Semi-final for the first european championship in history - I'll take it 🔴⚪
i think you made a mistake at 4:20. if germany wins group A they will play against 2nd of group C and not the 2nd of group B. if they get 2nd place in A they play against 2nd in B. but i saw the shedules from the serbia win, so it tells me they played against group C and often finished only 2nd in group A. good video tho :)
420 meantioned🤩
Where is part 5 impossible challenge
Does Turkey get to choose what cup they play in. They kinda seem to be in the middle of pretty much everyone
Alphonse Areola is so good
No bias in favour of England, right? lol this freaking game somehow is capable of making Portugal feel like a 2nd tier team when stats wise is absolutely top 3. Ridiculous consistent prediction stats even from another video.
11:35 You say your life would be complete, but I think your life would've ended to a heart attack before, considering England has to go through three extra times plus penalties in the final.
the fist of group A plays against de 2nd team of group C and not group B . Its 2A vs 2B.
If Turkey will pass group stage probably match with England or France. Naturally they eliminated :p
Legit on FM Turkey gets a golden generation by the 2026 world Cup
@@declangaming24turkey dont has a good goalkeeper, they cant win anything
@@serokataturk7218 there top of a WC26 qualifying group with France
how long does it take you to play through 1 season