I’m curious…I noticed there was no mentions of Rebecca Hall (“Resurrection”) or Aubrey Plaza (“Emily the Criminal”) and I know you’ve both discussed their performances being really strong (especially, Hall). I realize these are “genre” films and not “prestige” films, but I’m wondering based on performances alone if they rank anywhere for either of you or are they pretty far off the grid.
2017 - Woody Harrelson and Sam Rockwell for 3 Billboards 2018 - Rachel Weisz and Emma Stone for The Favourite 2019 - Joe Pesci and Al Pacino for The Irishman 2020 - Lakeith Stanfield and Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah 2021 - Jesse Plemons and Kodi Smit-McPhee for The Power Of The Dog I never noticed that
He should've been nominated for There Will Be Blood and Little Miss Sunshine and he's definitely proved himself as a good actor in other movies so the role as the father in The Fablemans could well win
@@gabrielcastaneda9700 I don’t think that’s a bad take at all but I still think Steve Carell had a better performance of the three regardless. It was more subdued. He didn’t have a screaming scene but the sadness in his eyes was so authentic.
I want to put an idea out here for people who think EEAAO is only an original screenplay winner and not a best picture winner, like Her or Get Out. The thing about Her and Get Out is the fact that they didn’t get editing noms and EEAAO is already a contender to win best editing. Just putting that process out there.
I would really suggest putting Nina Hoss in TÀR on your radars. Her work in German films, particularly in her collaborations with Christian Petzold is literally some of the best of the decade. And since Todd Field is great at getting actors nominated for his films she could definitely be at least in the conversation. Really looking forward to the film and her and Blanchett's performances in it!
Things could definitely change, but this feels like a pretty likely 10 for Best Picture •Everything Everywhere... •Babylon •Killers of the Flower Moon •The Fabelmans •The Son •Women Talking •Rustin •Top Gun: Maverick •Thirteen Lives •Bardo I threw in Thirteen Lives cause it feels like an Oscar-y movie and it’ll probably be at least good. Also considering Avatar 2 and maybe Till
@Humza Akbar There’s been a lot of buzz recently that it’s getting delayed to 2023. Still holding out hope that it comes out this year; I do think the fact that they’ve already done screenings is a good sign but we’ll see
I have been skeptical about Fablemans for a while but that "Michelle Williams is getting nominated for this, tie a bow on it, it's over" remark convinced me it'll top out at NBR.
Everyone is overlooking the fact that James Cameron spent 12 years working on Avatar: The Way of Water. That level of dedication I think makes him a far bigger threat than people realize. When both Titanic and Avatar were in production, everyone thought they didn't have a shot at anything and when they came out all dissent was silenced. Tar is also a far bigger threat than people think. Todd Field is an Oscar regular and his return to cinema after 16 years will benefit the allure of the film and wanting to nominate it. I don't think The Fablemans is as much of a lock as people realize. This is only the fourth film Spielberg has both written and directed and of the other three (Sugarland Express, Close Encounters, and AI) only one has done well at the Oscars.
Can we seriously talk about the possibilty of a Bale nomination for Amsterdam? Ik the controversy ariund the film but he was nominated for every David O. Russell movie he's been in and it happened with Bohemian Rhapsody despite the allegations of the director Bryan Singer. And Bale was not expected to get nominated for American Hustle yet he did, he just seems like he could stand out as the best performance in the entire cast and that could get him a nominationf possibly
It’s not impossible, but the controversy around David O. Russell is too big and nobody seems to be excited about this movie. And I think Bale was somewhat expected for American Hustle, he got Globe and BAFTA nominations
@@seankoontz4235 what's saying Bale won't get a bafta and globe nomination for Amsterdam? Plus he was 7th on goldderby for american hustle. I still feel like the film could get some nominations despite the controversy.
Difference is Queen has a MASSIVE fanbase spanning generations and there was genuine excitement leading up to the film because of that. Amsterdam doesn’t have that kind of hype and when the trailer was released on Twitter people were not having it
@@seankoontz4235 then who tf is gonna get oscar nominated for best actor? Super hard to predict now kotfm and rustin are getting next year release dates
With the she said trailer out I think mulligan. Is supporting, Kazan is lead I also feel like Seth rogen could be the supporting nom for the fabelmans I think they will Belfast PAUL Dano
I think some are missing like Emma Stone and Empire of Light because they only judt put the nominees on goldderby. Usually it takes a couple weeks or so for everything to go on there. Also feeling good about a possible Zenn McGrath nomination for the Son but he's not on there either. Plus for Babylon they put Brad Pitt in lead when he's gonna be supporting
I'm gonna have to see Babylon to understand why Margot Robbie is above Michelle Yeoh. I just don't understand. Michelle Yeoh has a legacy, a culture and people behind her that Robbie doesn't have.
If the Academy doesn't nominate Top Gun for Best Picture, the whole point of expanding the nominations is moot. Yes, Avatar may be nominated as well if it's good, but Top Gun has helped revive the blockbuster movie business and also many people were emotionally moved by it more than they expected
Top Gun Maverick is a fine movie. It’s good popcorn entertainment. The last 30 minutes of flying are cool. But in terms of actual filmmaking & craft, it’s mediocre.
You talked about why Michael Keaton was not nominated for Spotlight and I get curious about why Rachel McAdams was. In my memories she look good but not so great that she needed a nomination (but there's time I watched).
I don't know, the trailer just dropped and it doesn't look amazing? Plus if you check Twitter there's already a lot of controversy surrounding it. I can see it maybe getting Adapted Screenplay and maaaaybe Carey Mulligan for Best Actress, but that's all.
I think Wakanda Forever has a 50/50 chance for Best Picture: I imagine either it’s gonna be sadly lame or it’s gonna be even way better than Black Panther.
I hope not. Enough from MCU movies. The first one was terrible and had no place on the list of the best movies of the past year. Not to mention that it was full of forced left wing politics.
I have almost no faith in Wakanda Forever. The fact that it’s supposed to come out in November and there’s been *zero* trailers is more than a little concerning
As much as I enjoyed it, it ain't gonna happen. It may win something but it won't sweep. I'm not even sure if it's gonna get nominated. The Academy doesn't really like this kind of films.
@@madman00774 I disagree. It’s a box office success, it’s critically acclaimed, it’s a fan favorite, it’s currently #10 in top on Letterboxd for best film of all time, it’s getting a theatrical re-release this weekend due to how much ppl love it. It has everything in its narrative to sweep big time.
@@gaysianflip82 Frankly speaking. Just because the audience loves it, doesn't necessarily mean that the Academy will do. Even if they nominate it, it won't have many chances to win.
How did you know Gold Derby had opened the Predictions Centre for Oscars 2023? I didn't get an email about it. I checked Gold Derby a week ago - it wasn't open. Checked it a few days later - it's open and I got Michelle Williams at 7/2 and Lily Gladstone at a measly 5/1.
Handling of multiple actors in this manner will bode well. See Tom McCarthy in Spotlight. Major screenplay contenders more often than not also do find their way into director...
10:27 I would count on Innarito getting in unless there is a BIG backlash to the COVID controversy. There has been at least one director of an "international" film nominated since 2018 and I don't think that'll change.
I don’t think Butler is winning because I don’t think the movie is getting into Picture. I have him getting nominated though despite the early release date.
Serious question: Is killers of the flower moon coming out this year? I have been trying to find news on the movie, I know its in post production but there are no news, and no trailer yet. It was supposed to come out in october, we are already in the middle of July and no trailer. I can't wait for it to come out. To see De Niro and Leo once again is really making me hype.
@@pb.j.1753 where did you get that information? If it doesnt release this year it wouldnt make sense for every “oscars channel” on youtube to be predicting the movie for this years ceremony
@@nate-it9xq No a friend of mine has just seen it in full and told me that. She said it was strong but doesn’t think it’s an Oscar contender necessarily.
The Whale, Rustin, Elvis for lead noms. I predict Butler and Ana De Armas winning tho. Don't think Yeoh will sustain the momentum all year. P.S - I'm a straight guy but brother bro with that hair? too handsome
@@lilchaos4792 I’m sure she’ll kill it but from it’s gonna be controversial given the extremely graphic sexual assault scenes. Also a September release date isn’t great.
12:32 Empire of Light was screened and apparently there are some overly graphic sexual scenes that put off some viewers and I read that multiple people are saying it probably won't go to the fall festivals, plus there is no release date confirmed yet. But if it's sivise and not going to the festivals, it may not be seen ore voted for that much but should def still be on goldderby
Elvis doesn’t really hold up as a film for me even though it makes for an entertaining watch. But Butler was really outstanding. I doubt we’ll see a more dynamic performance this year.
@@ad-sd-vids5332 Well Judas and the Black Messiah got two nominations in Best Supporting Actor, one for the man playing Judas, one for the man playing the Black Messiah...
They're two totally different things and totally different roles. I don't get calling something like this lol. Especially when we don't even have an image from the film.
I think you people are seriously underestimating RRR. It’s a huge box office hit; as fun and exciting as Raiders of the Lost Ark or Mad Max: Fury Road. The action sequences are beyond beyond. The dancing scene in the middle is AMAZING with a cast of thousands. Directing, editing, costumes, visual effects, score are all worthy contenders. That’s my two sense!
Don't compare it to these movies. There are no big names behind this movie unlike the movies you mentioned. It isn't James Cameron's Avatar 2 or Peter Jackson' Return of The King.
@@madman00774 I didn’t mention Avatar or LOTR. I mentioned the 2 films for a reason-mostly due to the ingenuity of action scenes, & the sheer level of kinetic fun
@@brendanbrown8704 The same goes for the movies that you mentioned (Raiders of The Lost Ark & Mad Max Fury Road). There are parts of big franchises (Indiana Jones & Mad Max) and there are big names behind them (Steven Spielberg & George Miller). Same cannot be said for RRR. It isn't a part of a big franchise and there are no big names behind it. It will luckily get a Foreign Language Film nomination.
@@akshudhavala836 why??? It could be a Best Picture nominee! It’s an incredible achievement & the best fun I have had at the movies since Mad Max:Fury Road
EEAAO still very much overrated by you two. I can see it winning nothing at the Oscars. Nominated sure but if it left with nothing I would not be surprised at all, including Michelle Yeoh
@@estebanromero3898 I can agree with that, but it is rather early. We’ll see what else really makes an impact but for sure if they win one it’ll be that one.
@@natesmart9959 true. I think Belfast will be an outlier. EEAAO will continue to remain as THEE most original story of the year which is buzz in itself.
@@madman00774 I think it will be as well, and won’t be taken seriously enough cause it’s so much a raunchy comedy and heavy genre affair, even though brother bro tries to say it’s crossed over into “high art” but eh….it’s still mostly a very tender raunchy comedy imo lol too weird and crass for the oscars but we’ll see, I just don’t see it
MOM get in here. Gold Derby poles are open!
Correction: The Force Awakens and Baby Driver were nominated for both sound and editing
I’m curious…I noticed there was no mentions of Rebecca Hall (“Resurrection”) or Aubrey Plaza (“Emily the Criminal”) and I know you’ve both discussed their performances being really strong (especially, Hall). I realize these are “genre” films and not “prestige” films, but I’m wondering based on performances alone if they rank anywhere for either of you or are they pretty far off the grid.
Also girl with the dragon tattoo I believe
But that was also when they didn’t have the mandatory rule of 10 and had 2 sound categories
@@flynnnolen1067 Force Awakens was maybe somewhat close, but I don't really think Baby Driver was even close to picture
2017 - Woody Harrelson and Sam Rockwell for 3 Billboards
2018 - Rachel Weisz and Emma Stone for The Favourite
2019 - Joe Pesci and Al Pacino for The Irishman
2020 - Lakeith Stanfield and Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah
2021 - Jesse Plemons and Kodi Smit-McPhee for The Power Of The Dog
I never noticed that
2022 Robert deniro and Leo for killers of the flower moon
Zoe Kazan and Carey mulligan she said
Never noticed what? 🧐
Or Laura Dern and Vanessa Kirby for The Son
@@pb.j.1753 Every year for the past five years has seen two supporting actors from the same movie nominated in the same category.
@@Gemnist98 aaah thank you! Gotta say lakeith in judas was some weird category fraud though
Could see Paul Dano winning honestly. He has been overdue for a nomination for a while; if The Fabelmans is big and he has a meaty role, why not?
He should've been nominated for There Will Be Blood and Little Miss Sunshine and he's definitely proved himself as a good actor in other movies so the role as the father in The Fablemans could well win
@@romanxxxxyoutube not Little Miss Sunshine. He was the 3rd best supporting actor in that movie.
@@romanxxxxyoutube he was better then arkin in sunshine
He should’ve been nominated in lead for Love & Mercy, he definitely could’ve gotten in over Cranston or Eddie Fuckface
@@gabrielcastaneda9700 I don’t think that’s a bad take at all but I still think Steve Carell had a better performance of the three regardless. It was more subdued. He didn’t have a screaming scene but the sadness in his eyes was so authentic.
I want to put an idea out here for people who think EEAAO is only an original screenplay winner and not a best picture winner, like Her or Get Out.
The thing about Her and Get Out is the fact that they didn’t get editing noms and EEAAO is already a contender to win best editing.
Just putting that process out there.
I would really suggest putting Nina Hoss in TÀR on your radars. Her work in German films, particularly in her collaborations with Christian Petzold is literally some of the best of the decade. And since Todd Field is great at getting actors nominated for his films she could definitely be at least in the conversation. Really looking forward to the film and her and Blanchett's performances in it!
She might be this year’s Jessie Buckley/Laura Dern (in Wild) where she misses most or all of the precursors but ends up sneaking in
Yeah man! The end of Whiplash was HILARIOUS !!! 😂😂😂😂😂
Things could definitely change, but this feels like a pretty likely 10 for Best Picture
•Everything Everywhere...
•Babylon
•Killers of the Flower Moon
•The Fabelmans
•The Son
•Women Talking
•Rustin
•Top Gun: Maverick
•Thirteen Lives
•Bardo
I threw in Thirteen Lives cause it feels like an Oscar-y movie and it’ll probably be at least good.
Also considering Avatar 2 and maybe Till
Gold Derby is underestimating EEAO. Watch them flip flop when the precursors happen.
This year looks like it's shaping up to be one of the best movie years in a while.
If Poor Things, Killers of the Flower Moon & Next Goal Wins came out yes
@@BrentFanan Next Goal Wins is next year.
@Humza Akbar There’s been a lot of buzz recently that it’s getting delayed to 2023. Still holding out hope that it comes out this year; I do think the fact that they’ve already done screenings is a good sign but we’ll see
Lol what a surprise every single movie i mentioned got delayed to next year
I wish there were MORE STELLAR MOVIES IN THE FIRST 6 MONTHS THOUGH!
I have been skeptical about Fablemans for a while but that "Michelle Williams is getting nominated for this, tie a bow on it, it's over" remark convinced me it'll top out at NBR.
Everyone is overlooking the fact that James Cameron spent 12 years working on Avatar: The Way of Water. That level of dedication I think makes him a far bigger threat than people realize. When both Titanic and Avatar were in production, everyone thought they didn't have a shot at anything and when they came out all dissent was silenced.
Tar is also a far bigger threat than people think. Todd Field is an Oscar regular and his return to cinema after 16 years will benefit the allure of the film and wanting to nominate it.
I don't think The Fablemans is as much of a lock as people realize. This is only the fourth film Spielberg has both written and directed and of the other three (Sugarland Express, Close Encounters, and AI) only one has done well at the Oscars.
Can we seriously talk about the possibilty of a Bale nomination for Amsterdam? Ik the controversy ariund the film but he was nominated for every David O. Russell movie he's been in and it happened with Bohemian Rhapsody despite the allegations of the director Bryan Singer. And Bale was not expected to get nominated for American Hustle yet he did, he just seems like he could stand out as the best performance in the entire cast and that could get him a nominationf possibly
It’s not impossible, but the controversy around David O. Russell is too big and nobody seems to be excited about this movie. And I think Bale was somewhat expected for American Hustle, he got Globe and BAFTA nominations
@@seankoontz4235 what's saying Bale won't get a bafta and globe nomination for Amsterdam? Plus he was 7th on goldderby for american hustle. I still feel like the film could get some nominations despite the controversy.
Difference is Queen has a MASSIVE fanbase spanning generations and there was genuine excitement leading up to the film because of that. Amsterdam doesn’t have that kind of hype and when the trailer was released on Twitter people were not having it
Bale will probably get a Golden Globe nom in the Comedy/Musical category but idk about Oscar or anything else
@@seankoontz4235 then who tf is gonna get oscar nominated for best actor? Super hard to predict now kotfm and rustin are getting next year release dates
With the she said trailer out I think mulligan. Is supporting, Kazan is lead
I also feel like Seth rogen could be the supporting nom for the fabelmans I think they will Belfast PAUL Dano
I think some are missing like Emma Stone and Empire of Light because they only judt put the nominees on goldderby. Usually it takes a couple weeks or so for everything to go on there. Also feeling good about a possible Zenn McGrath nomination for the Son but he's not on there either. Plus for Babylon they put Brad Pitt in lead when he's gonna be supporting
Aftersun is definitely the c’mon c’mon of this year
Help…
Stephanie Hsu has the best performance of the year I've seen so far
Everything Everywhere All At Once is absolutely amazing.
I'm gonna have to see Babylon to understand why Margot Robbie is above Michelle Yeoh. I just don't understand. Michelle Yeoh has a legacy, a culture and people behind her that Robbie doesn't have.
it’s the way you just reminded me that denis got snubbed for director. i forgot. i was set in my mind that he had. that was so raw
If the Academy doesn't nominate Top Gun for Best Picture, the whole point of expanding the nominations is moot. Yes, Avatar may be nominated as well if it's good, but Top Gun has helped revive the blockbuster movie business and also many people were emotionally moved by it more than they expected
BP nom should be solely based on merit and not on box office numbers.
@@rambunctiousrohan Well the merit is there for this film too.
@@rambunctiousrohan it has almost a 100% on rotten tomatoes so the accolade is there
And it is way better than Marvel's garbage movies. I can't believe that they nominated Black Panther!
Top Gun Maverick is a fine movie. It’s good popcorn entertainment. The last 30 minutes of flying are cool. But in terms of actual filmmaking & craft, it’s mediocre.
So you´re working on a 2015 retrospective? Interesting
You talked about why Michael Keaton was not nominated for Spotlight and I get curious about why Rachel McAdams was. In my memories she look good but not so great that she needed a nomination (but there's time I watched).
5:32 Baby Driver was nominated for Editing and both Sound categories and was NOT in Best Picture.
A) I love your ads and B) I love that you used Whiplash as an example, that's the movie I can't find anywhere lol
Isn't She Said basically Spotlight so it can easily get Picture, Director, Editing, Screenplay and several Acting noms without being "stylish" ?!
I don't know, the trailer just dropped and it doesn't look amazing? Plus if you check Twitter there's already a lot of controversy surrounding it. I can see it maybe getting Adapted Screenplay and maaaaybe Carey Mulligan for Best Actress, but that's all.
Too much controversy I think. Could be wrong but it seems like the kind of thing that steamrolls over time and people start hating it.
Okay but that sponsorship bit was too good
I think till is Whoopi’s return to the Oscar’s
The screenshots of the gold derby pages are unreadable to me :/
@The Oscar Expert How did you find out Birdman is streaming in Japan on Just Watch without randomly stumbling across it?
The Babylon opening scene sounds WILD.
Also, Bardo is going to be great, I can feel it. Third oscar coming for Iñarritu for this, and a very obvious nomination for Lubezki in Amsterdam?
I love Margot and I want her to win an Oscar but she’s gonna have to KILLLLL it in Babylon for me to accept this over Michelle Yeoh
There Mia Goth in Pearl too whose performance looks incredible in the trailer itself! Cate Blanchett in TAR too.
I think Wakanda Forever has a 50/50 chance for Best Picture: I imagine either it’s gonna be sadly lame or it’s gonna be even way better than Black Panther.
I hope not. Enough from MCU movies. The first one was terrible and had no place on the list of the best movies of the past year. Not to mention that it was full of forced left wing politics.
@@madman00774 (yawn)
I have almost no faith in Wakanda Forever. The fact that it’s supposed to come out in November and there’s been *zero* trailers is more than a little concerning
Wakanda Forever will be a mess
Everything Everywhere All at Once is gonna sweep no it’s true it’s true
As it should
As much as I enjoyed it, it ain't gonna happen. It may win something but it won't sweep. I'm not even sure if it's gonna get nominated. The Academy doesn't really like this kind of films.
@@madman00774 I disagree. It’s a box office success, it’s critically acclaimed, it’s a fan favorite, it’s currently #10 in top on Letterboxd for best film of all time, it’s getting a theatrical re-release this weekend due to how much ppl love it. It has everything in its narrative to sweep big time.
@@gaysianflip82 Frankly speaking. Just because the audience loves it, doesn't necessarily mean that the Academy will do. Even if they nominate it, it won't have many chances to win.
@@madman00774 which is why I listed more reasons why it would win. I believe in this movie and we can circle back once the nominations are announced.
How did you know Gold Derby had opened the Predictions Centre for Oscars 2023? I didn't get an email about it. I checked Gold Derby a week ago - it wasn't open. Checked it a few days later - it's open and I got Michelle Williams at 7/2 and Lily Gladstone at a measly 5/1.
Gotta obsessively check it like every day lol
I don’t know how someone puts Sarah Polley above Daniels. That movie is just gonna be a bunch of static conversations.
Handling of multiple actors in this manner will bode well. See Tom McCarthy in Spotlight. Major screenplay contenders more often than not also do find their way into director...
10:27
I would count on Innarito getting in unless there is a BIG backlash to the COVID controversy. There has been at least one director of an "international" film nominated since 2018 and I don't think that'll change.
I guess Michelle Yeoh and Austin Butler will be the frontrunners and win all the award season.
They are the best so far in the year probably but once they have more competition it will get harder.
Easily. Austin Butler won the minute that film came out. He embodied Elvis on every level. Typical Oscar Bait lead winning role.
Lol, Austin? No.
I don’t think Butler is winning because I don’t think the movie is getting into Picture. I have him getting nominated though despite the early release date.
they are like the only contenders who’s movies have come out
I'm sad that this all but confirms AFTER SUN will do it's best if it gets in at the Spirit Awards and at best BAFTA.
why is not emipre of the light on gold derby neither olivia and sam?
I find the Gold Derby site extremely difficult to navigate. I can't find the Oscar predictions 2023 only posts from March and April
Serious question: Is killers of the flower moon coming out this year? I have been trying to find news on the movie, I know its in post production but there are no news, and no trailer yet. It was supposed to come out in october, we are already in the middle of July and no trailer. I can't wait for it to come out. To see De Niro and Leo once again is really making me hype.
@@humzaakbar809 that would be fantastic. Would be my birthday present
It is not coming out this year.
@@pb.j.1753 where did you get that information? If it doesnt release this year it wouldnt make sense for every “oscars channel” on youtube to be predicting the movie for this years ceremony
How in the world did they forget Empire of Light
It was pushed to 2023
@@miguelaguilar5763 It wasn‘t. Searchlight announced it will be released December 9th.
Sarah Polley is hype. A movie about Mennonites doesn't scream Oscars lol...
5:34 Star Wars: Force Awakens
I think they meant movies that won, not nominated.
@@snowballthepro2926 no they didn’t
Wait? You're not gonna do predictions this month?
next month we should have some festival lineups and we'll have more to go off of
Question- do you all consider foreign language films for all categories?
Frances McDormand is listed in Best Actress in Women Talking. She has three short scenes in it. Will be Supporting.
Have you read the script? If so, what would you expect awards-wise from it?
@@nate-it9xq No a friend of mine has just seen it in full and told me that. She said it was strong but doesn’t think it’s an Oscar contender necessarily.
I actually didn't know that you can go to jail if you watch a movie illegally in US
Vpn exist…but in Japan illegally downloading is crime …
@@Martinmarshallmargella Here in Pakistan, the only way you can access to some movies is through VPN. Everything is censored here
Christopher Nolan's OPPENHEIMER teaser trailer was just released. Cillian Murphy could be a strong contender.
Yes. For 2024
@@pb.j.1753 umm it's releasing in July 2023!
@@nikitamohanan2124 Yes, so it will be relevant for 2024 Oscar noms/wins.
@@pb.j.1753 Ya but that's for the following year. They are discussing their Oscar predictions for next year's ceremony!
I am new to goldderby. Can you explain how that odds system works?
Elvis and top gun maverick deserve top nominations, and she said doesnt look good
I think She Said is going to be this year’s Bombshell.
Yeah the She Said trailer feels like a mayonnaise sandwich
The Whale, Rustin, Elvis for lead noms.
I predict Butler and Ana De Armas winning tho. Don't think Yeoh will sustain the momentum all year.
P.S - I'm a straight guy but brother bro with that hair? too handsome
De Armas' movie is NC-17 and Netflix is apparently not happy with it so idk.
@@nate-it9xq Oooou that's not good. However it's a huge biopic so I still seeing it getting in. Maybe not winning but def. a nomination.
@@lilchaos4792 I’m sure she’ll kill it but from it’s gonna be controversial given the extremely graphic sexual assault scenes. Also a September release date isn’t great.
No Butler ? :0
Butler is locked for a nom, I don’t know how they don’t see that
It seems so obvious too. Do you even Rami Malek bro
He's winning easy
@@lilchaos4792 ok I wouldn’t go that far
Aftersun won't get anything anywhere. It's too tiny and subtle. Also a bit overhyped already.
It’s the cmon cmon of 2022
12:32 Empire of Light was screened and apparently there are some overly graphic sexual scenes that put off some viewers and I read that multiple people are saying it probably won't go to the fall festivals, plus there is no release date confirmed yet. But if it's sivise and not going to the festivals, it may not be seen ore voted for that much but should def still be on goldderby
Just got confirmed for December 9th release by Searchlight.
If it lands at a fall festival, „multiple people“ will have lied then? 🧐
Why is Empire of Light programmed at TIFF now? I am confused 🧐
@@pb.j.1753 idfk bro that's just what it said online
1:08 - Ram Jaane
Elvis doesn’t really hold up as a film for me even though it makes for an entertaining watch. But Butler was really outstanding. I doubt we’ll see a more dynamic performance this year.
Reaction to Nope?
I'm on team "somewhat"
The Daniels is so not happening. Mark my words.
It will be Marty, Chazelle, Steven, an international director (probably Inaturru) and a women (Polley likely)
Here is what I’m worried about happening. Austin Butler getting nominated for an Oscar… in Supporting Actor resulting in Ke Huy Quan losing.
Nah Tom Hanks is getting supporting. Austin is getting lead..
Elvis felt like it focused on the manger more then butler but I think they fraud Austin in lead
The movie is called Elvis, how can they put Elvis in supporting
@Sharpe It won’t happen, nobody thinks of him as supporting
@@ad-sd-vids5332
Well Judas and the Black Messiah got two nominations in Best Supporting Actor, one for the man playing Judas, one for the man playing the Black Messiah...
Emmys snubbed Sadie Sink. So will Oscars.
Stranger Things isn’t cinema, that was an easy call
They're two totally different things and totally different roles. I don't get calling something like this lol. Especially when we don't even have an image from the film.
wut?
What do you think about Bullet Train? will be on Academy's radar?
I think you people are seriously underestimating RRR. It’s a huge box office hit; as fun and exciting as Raiders of the Lost Ark or Mad Max: Fury Road. The action sequences are beyond beyond. The dancing scene in the middle is AMAZING with a cast of thousands. Directing, editing, costumes, visual effects, score are all worthy contenders. That’s my two sense!
Don't compare it to these movies. There are no big names behind this movie unlike the movies you mentioned. It isn't James Cameron's Avatar 2 or Peter Jackson' Return of The King.
@@madman00774 I didn’t mention Avatar or LOTR. I mentioned the 2 films for a reason-mostly due to the ingenuity of action scenes, & the sheer level of kinetic fun
@@brendanbrown8704 The same goes for the movies that you mentioned (Raiders of The Lost Ark & Mad Max Fury Road). There are parts of big franchises (Indiana Jones & Mad Max) and there are big names behind them (Steven Spielberg & George Miller). Same cannot be said for RRR. It isn't a part of a big franchise and there are no big names behind it. It will luckily get a Foreign Language Film nomination.
It’s on Netflix. How can it be a box office hit
@@pb.j.1753 because it was also selling tickets in a theatre’s. Duh
I don't think Triangle of Sadness is happening anywhere outside International Feature
Uhh....isn't it in English??
@@slimnave4846 oh that's right, it's getting nothing then
*International* feature has nothing to do with English or not, it’s about the country of origin
@@SuperOmarcena nah, if the film is mostly in English it won't qualify, that's why they disqualified Nigeria in 2019.
@@alfonsoamaya6890 Really? Well that’s stupid
RRR BEST international movie
India probably isn't gonna send it unfortunately
@@akshudhavala836 why??? It could be a Best Picture nominee! It’s an incredible achievement & the best fun I have had at the movies since Mad Max:Fury Road
@@brendanbrown8704 dialogues in english. The branch of International movie don't like it.
@@igorsilva3657 the version I saw wasn’t in English
@@brendanbrown8704 in any scene?
Hey
Hello
Hope to God Everything Everywhere is not in the award conversation. So incredibly tired of that movie already.
I agree, way over hyped
Same. Ana De Armas is winning lead actress anyways
EEAAO still very much overrated by you two. I can see it winning nothing at the Oscars. Nominated sure but if it left with nothing I would not be surprised at all, including Michelle Yeoh
Considering the slate of movies to be in contention at the Oscars, EEAAO's likeliest shot at winning Original Screenplay.
@@estebanromero3898 I can agree with that, but it is rather early. We’ll see what else really makes an impact but for sure if they win one it’ll be that one.
@@natesmart9959 true. I think Belfast will be an outlier. EEAAO will continue to remain as THEE most original story of the year which is buzz in itself.
I agree with you. I find it weird how confident people are. It will be "too weird" for the Academy.
@@madman00774 I think it will be as well, and won’t be taken seriously enough cause it’s so much a raunchy comedy and heavy genre affair, even though brother bro tries to say it’s crossed over into “high art” but eh….it’s still mostly a very tender raunchy comedy imo lol too weird and crass for the oscars but we’ll see, I just don’t see it
hoping for a total EEAAO shutout. one of the worst films i've ever seen.
you're joking right
@@lila2029 no? people are entitled to have different opinions.
I’m hoping for a total Rustin shutout.
@@BrentFanan not happening. The Whale and Rustin will compete for lead actor.
@@CRM-114
Movies don't have to be logical.