Annual Event 2022 - Peter Zeihan Presentation
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- Опубліковано 18 гру 2022
- The Ames Chamber of Commerce and Affiliate Organizations held their 2022 Annual Event on December 14 in the Sukup End Zone Club. This video includes the keynote presentation from geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan.
The keynote presentation was sponsored by the Ames Chamber of Commerce Foundation. Presentation recorded and produced by The Film Silo.
As a German who will graduate with an engineering degree in 2-3 years:
if you guys need any helping hands over on the other side of the ocean, i am happy to get a green card :)
Transfer to an american university now get a student visa and start working on your citizenship now.
They will take you. Much easier to go west to the States, than the opposite.
America was, and still is, made great by immigrants with talents such as yours.
"Give us your tired, your poor, your huddled (and talented) masses.... "
Honestly dude, feel free to come on over whenever you feel like you've got all your ducks in a row. I'm working on my nuclear degree, and a year and a half from now I should hopefully be working on reactors. I'm always glad to see and talk with more people with technical expertise, so you won't hear any complaints from me about immigration, lol.
As Peter points out, we need skilled workers for all levels. From welders to physicists and everything in between.
Peter is the eccentric academic archetype character in the catastrophe movie that the government calls to save the world with his wit and wisdom just in time for a beer.
No joke I could quite seriously see him play one of those roles in an actual movie
Jeff Goldblum
After this crap presentation he is the intellectual with all the wrong ideas. Things are going radically wrong for Ukraine and their army is getting broken in Bahkmut. As this is an existential threat to Russia and them winning is an existential threat to the dollar because it has to do with credibility NATO will get involved in a few months. I mean I know they are by proxy now but directly.
@@DiamondLil yeah, but he didn't need to turn himself into a fly first.
@@DiamondLil ... only WAY better. Cheers!
Are we going to ignore the fact that he said “do you see that DINGLEBERRY of land there?”
Peter Zeihan: God-tier candidate for Secretary of State
It’d be amusing
If I were president (what a glorious 3 days that would be), I'd happily invite him to dinner 2x a month, but I dont think he'd like staying in DC dealing with politicians (95% of whom are dumber than him) for very long. He's brilliant guy who contributes the most to society through his books and his consultation work. I wouldn't really want to mess that up
Yes please
thank god no.
@@wishuhadmyname He's brilliant enough to take a hard no approach to working in the beltway.
The info is fascinating and his research, recall and organization of the material is impressive. He's a performer, and the smug, smart-assy delivery is part of the show.
I've been following peter for awhile now. The smug, smart-assy delivery isn't part of the show lol.
The reason for the structure of the Russian military is that its basically a defensive organisation, they thought, planned for a defensive war where they could use the railway system as part of their logistics... The increase in manpower (+500.000) will largely be focusing of conscripts driving supply trucks. Not new tanks. Russia is still in firm control of the North Crimean Canal. The evacuation of Cherson was Probably that they wanted to play safe and make sure not to risk any collapse that could jepordise the control of this water asset.
"He's a performer, and..." No. If you follow his lectures he is becoming increasingly smarmy. He is beginning to believe the flowery introductions. I'm sure his manner goes over well in the 408/415 and Martha's Vineyard chuckling throatily about flyover country, etc. They probably love him at the CIA even if they won't answer his questions. That doesn't mean the meat of the lecture is bad. It's from before-celebrity. Going forward I'm a little more skeptical. Ok. That's it for me.
Emphasis "the show."
@@thafunktapus They don't love him at the CIA. He works for the CIA.
In case you don't have time to watch the entire talk, here is a quick summary.
1) we're all screwed 🤷♂️
Thank you
As a healthcare economist I can appreciate good economics. Peter is at the top of his game. Building the momentum to be the celebrity geopolitical strategist. Read his books. Last one was 500 pages and is an awesome deep dive that his presentations just touch on.
He's pretty much what Frank Herbert envisioned when writing Mentats. A highly analytical mind paired with an overwhelming dataset.
@@StephenGillie Peter will be the first to say he is carried on the many shoulders of his team. Peter is good but without all those that work for him we’d probably see very little of him; forget his growing fame.
@@StephenGillie I liked Dune also. His predictions rarely come true. Sadly no one can predict the future. The upside is he knows a lot so he gives a lot of accurate up-to-date facts which help people to make better decisions.
@@yedidyah-jedshlomoh1533 Yes, much like the Mentats in Dune. Or even Seven of Nine on STV when she loads years of the ship's logs into her Borg-enhanced brain. They're almost like a type of precrime, substituting overwhelming pre-knowledge for the paranormal.
I read his 500 page book too. And while I am no geopolitical expert, and while I enjoy listening to him, he is kind of a cult of personality type who speaks too authoritatively about stuff he actually doesn’t know much about. What he says about china’s vax not working (NEITHER DID OURS) and he literally believes that China wasn’t exposed to covid … total nonsense I could write four pages about why he’s totally wrong about covid and China and covid … and the whole vax issue. His extreme views about the generations (boomer, gen x, millenials, zoomers) is pretty way off in many ways too.
Peter apologizes for going over his allotted time…
Sir, my ass is firmly planted. Take all the time you need.
I've listened to Peter for years and it's helped tremendously in the stock market and world view conversations.
What have you invested in? Shell?
@@wizflame9960 ENB!
Peter is the best!!. My son said, "I wish I could find a Peter Zeihan type expert for all topics". To me, he seems like the expert in so many areas, but I listen to him almost every day.
No expert mate, just propagating the government propaganda (who is devising all that content). He probably never been to neither Ukraine nor Russia.
An expert is someone with military expertise like Col.Douglas Macgregor. Come back to this post by spring 2023 when the Nato armies in Ukraine are destroyed and Zaluzhnyi surrenders the country.
These presentation's are some of the best economic commentary on you tube
Thank you. As a native of Iowa, I'm pleased to have found this speaker through a recommendation of a respected friend. I was delighted to find this recent talk available on youtube today.
In the late 50's and early sixties Potash mining in the U.S. was outsourced. The U.S. still has mines that exist, and huge amounts of Potash in the ground in Eastern New Mexico and Western Texas.
It's pretty wild to actually see what he's talking about coming to play in front of my eyes. The company I work for is mostly older folks that have been with the company for 30 years or more and out of the 50 more skilled ones, 15 of them are set to retire this year or the next and the company is in a scramble to make sure the rest of us can take there place when it comes to writing code for CNC machines.
Same in my shop, and it just can't be done, some of these guys were never given the time to transfer their skills to the younger dudes either. So once they leave we're going to start re learning old lessons.
Amazing talk. So rich you could spend a long time digesting it. Please keep it up.
He’s a gay politition from Austin Texas …
He is an actor
He performs as he informs… he’s unique and as honest as someone’s opinion mixed with facts could be… he’s well studied and brings a full understanding of the subjects with him…
I find his witty sarcasm intriguing and hilarious… he is a pro
No stone left unturned.
@@hydrogravix6924 👍 😊
New to me. What a blessing. Zeihan 4ever. ❤
Дякую, цікаво 👍 читав у твітері тред-переклад цього вашого виступу
Or should I have said, "The Return of the Jedi?" 🤣
Kidnapped a million children and sent them to Siberia? Where does he get this stuff?
You’ve become my morning news. I wish I could get my right leaning family to listen. Nowhere else do I hear anybody with their finger on the planet like this, consistently.
THANK YOU for sharing this!
After watching this twice the president of the galaxy called me and gave me 3 job offers.
I have listened to Peter Zeihan frequently and daily for my own understanding and he has been consistent and deeply resourceful exceptionally detailed worthy for anyone who needs to know what is coming in vast amount in the foreseeable future.
Some of the information is repeated but this is the best summary of his thoughts.
I am great full and enjoy his presentation.
I am glad more people and the government officials are listening to his views.
He's just a mouthpiece for US military and mostly full of shit and propaganda. Go watch the Duran and New Atlas
Fantastic presentation. really good.
Thank you for posting this for us who couldn't come home and see this!
I have a friend, she was born in China her son still lives in China. I just spoke to her before starting this video. She told me Covid is tearing throughout the country. The government is trying to not let the news out, but she says last 2 weeks everyone has it.
If the government is trying to not let these out.......how come you got the news?
In a nation of over one billion people things eventually gats out.
As the old saying goes, two people can keep a secret if one of them is dead.
😂😂😂
Bot
@@yoyolim538 phones exist
@@achen131The Chinese like the First Nation people used smoke signals. They don't make mobile phones as the device is merely a toy.
Zeihan speaks at 2:40.
Slides start 3 minutes after he starts talking. Boring story about driving in snow.
I'm glad they let him have the time, Peter is a great speaker and high-quality presenter.
The perfect trade envoy for any administration.
Greatness.
Australia was an importer of most of its fertilizer because it was cheap. Now it's expensive to import and we are increasing our domestic production capacity but the massive industrial plants won't come online for another couple of years.
We will go from fertilizer importer to exporter because we have all the raw ingredients in abundance for fertilizer.
Yea, people just need to not eat for 5 years. It will be fine.
@@worndown8280 Not gonna happen. Food shortages always hit the poor countries first, the rich countries can ALWAYS afford to pay higher.
@@theredscourge They can only afford to pay if the food is grown. The problem is that most of the modern food stuffs that are grown are engineered for massive amounts of fertilizer. Without it yields collapse.
Its one of the main reasons why so many US farmers switched to soy this year over corn. And this has happened everywhere. This isnt a regional issue because its not a farming issues, its an industrial production of fertilizer issue.
Go talk to another if you dont believe me. farmer.
@@worndown8280 given that north america and europe combined have less than a billion people, and the world has 8, I don't think what I said is unreasonable unless the world fertilizer supply is going to fall by over 80 percent. Also one of the largest producers of potash is located in Saskatchewan Canada.
@@theredscourge Yes and that plant covers about 50 percent of all of North America needs. To spin another one up, which Canada could do, would require about 10 billion in investment and, this is the important part, another 5 years.
The worlds four largest sources, Russia Belarus, Ukraine and China are no longer able to ship or choosing to ship fertilizer or food outside their borders. Several nations have already stopped food stuff exports. I am not sure if you understand whats going on in a lot of these other nations, their governments are pushing for them to stop using fertilizer.
But they like you dont understand just how much yields will drop if they do. Take corn, its America's staple crop. Corn that is not engineered requires about a 3 square foot print per plant. That allows it to gather enough nutrients to grow and produce. Engineer corn can be grown tighter together, some species as close as a foot. This alone will triple the yield per acre of land. But you must have fertilizer.
Many farmers cant even plant the old varieties because they are under contract from agra corps. In the US we wont starve, we just have way to much land to do that, even without fertilizer. But that would mean we would export a lot less calories. That means other nations starve. And you add that every other nation is going to be having a lot less or even no fertilizer, lands that were once only marginal farmland go back to being non producing. And calories farmed crash. We have a word for that. Famine. And its as old as humanity.
One day Peter will turn that map to not be sideways.
The problem is that the text is the right way so if he made the map the right way he would have to rotate the text.
@Son_nyfaz7 why?
Got a good laugh when you mentioned how Gen X raised Gen Z (me a zoomer raised by X’ers) My moms favorite saying and something she instilled in me at an early age is “life isn’t always fair”. Can’t wait to see what me and my peers accomplish in the coming decades
Yeah, I'm a bit concerned as to what the zoomers do as well. Say goodbye to any in-person job where you don't Have to be
The prodigal son returns!
Peter Zeihan is wrong. Well, some of his conclusions are (read his past books). He knows a lot. He's very provocative and always entertaining. He oversimplifies a LOT. He sometimes emphasizes the wrong thing and doesn't emphasize the right thing. He always assumes that human beings can not adapt to change, which is usually wrong.
Anyway, as I said, He knows a lot. He's very provocative and always entertaining, so I watch his videos, I just take them with a grain of salt and I suggest you do too.
I used to live in Ames, Iowa..-What a nice Town..!
I'm a geographer by profession and I have been increasingly questioning myself because everywhere I look I see these problems in the networks, the failure of multiple nodes in a system with no in-built redundancy.
Then I heard Peter Zeihan and I didn't feel quite so paranoid-crazy.
The think that Peter isn't talking about - ok it isn't his thing - is that asides from all these bad timing geopolitical events from the Ukraine invasion to the growing cohort of old dependents distorting the population pyramid we have major social problems too.
Social media, tribalism, the breakdown in trust in the authorities, critical social justice, a west that no longer believes in itself, and in UK and some of western Europe we have parallel societies thanks to the policy of multiculturalism rather than assimilation and integration, and huge migration problems that will only grow as the hunger in Africa grows.
I could go on, but its just UA-cam....
This info helps to better understand some of the government actions we question so often. Fascinating info and data.
As a Brit, who voted for Brexit, I watch this with interest. For the last 10-15 years I have watched as our governments have allowed Chinese and Russian money come into the country and buy up ( and then dismantle) our manufacturing. A few have managed to remain here - Lotus cars look to Malaysia and that area of the world, JCB (yes, the heavy equipment, diggers etc) continue to innovate and challenge competitors. BUT we have stuck to the intellectual stuff more. I really fear for the loss of our industry and manufacturing and the absolute lack of understanding there seems to be amongst our politicians and business people about how this world situation is going to pan out.
Because during last ~30years they had same dilemma : put some money in r&d, which gives small profit margin & lot of uncertainty, or just offshore as anyone alse, with instant gratification in terms of $. Decision was easy: instant gratification. But in the long term, this is a trap.
For young generation there is just no hope in Europe: you have in most countries no option to buy a property due to the asset bubble, you will pay more taxes for climate change policy, you will pay more taxes for growing welfare/social system needs, and the company you are working for has no chance in global competition with US or China.
Does anyone else hear that ring
yeah the audio is unbearable
He's has another presentation that is pretty much the same but without the ringing
I think this lecture is most fascinating not just because of the vast array and detail of information presented, but because at least certain members of the audience are in full view the entire time so how they react to this information can be seen. Having studied body language and personality in my time I find myself watching the audience to see what I can learn just as much as Zaihan's presentation....
You don't mess with the Zeihan on geopolitics
Always entertaining and interesting, love to hear David Goldman's critique
I absolutely revere this mind. It’s so refreshing to hear a man with facts instead of politically motivated propaganda and lazy diatribe.
Guy killed it
I appreciate that you keep your audience up dated and versed in history as a package deal.
I've seen so many people mis-quoting the title of his book. "The End of the World is Just Beginning" VS "The End of the World is Just the Beginning"
Peter loves him some America.
As a fellow American, his ''the outside world is collapsing but everything's going to be just fine here at home" message gives me pause. I certainly would love to believe that notion, but it seems a little too neat and tidy for me as he presents it.
He didn’t say everything would be fine, he said we’d have 9 to 15% inflation for 5 to 10 years. That’s not nothing
Peter Zeihan NEVER goes over time! You speak for as long as you want sir. We’re all ears.
Iowa is the most value added agricultural state. Translation: Iowa grows corn and turns it into Captain Crunch.
A shame you don't show the slides. It kills the effectiveness of the talk.
He is very good at rhetoric but you never see him in a debate with someone who is also good at rhetoric that has different conclusions and facts.
I've seen him in at least one debate. And he's mentioned beating the Canadian deputy PM in a debate at some point.
@@immortaljanus big deal. Canadian's don't feature anywhere in terms of geopolitics
Great!!!
He needs to have a debate with Ray Dalio.
Dear Ames Chamber Of Commerce, As of last June, 2023 Vladimir had already deployed Tactical Nukes to Belarus, (confirmed). He's telegraphing that the Ukraine is a Done Deal. Mr. Zeihan truly knows what he's talking about. Thank you for Posting this video and please let's ALL support the Ukraine. God Bless, ~Mark~
That issue for brazil is basically a business opportunity for someone with the right contacts with the oil & gas companies. Scale out fertilizer production facilities, partner with small number of brazzilian farmers. Run the rest out of the market.
Always going to happen
And then there is projects that government has ignored....abilities to move resources to areas of need...water to drought areas preventing flooding....
Watching from my couch in Germany 🤔
Peter is the best person who put all bullshits together. People know his bullshits and that's why he is popular as comedian than real analysts
Win Win.. my two greatest annoyances was always Germans and their rump state and Apple Co.
Throw in "muh American labor market"
Wow
remember when german politicians laughed at a president telling them about their situation.
Peter is the go to when you want to hear what you want to hear . Avoiding all reality
Who wants to hear this? He's talking about mass death. No sane person wants to hear this.
Good propagandist and bs artist.
bot
@@hangtuah888 bot
@@jeffburke170MORON.
Peak Peter.
The broad sweeping statements he makes about generational behavioral attributes discredit what is otherwise a solid body of work.
Hard to disagree with Mr. Zeihan's inclusion of inputs affecting issues and problems. One might argue with the weighting of the inputs as to how they affect end results. Just knowing what the inputs are is a big knowledge increase for many of us.
Tired of political b.s. and just want to look at the data and what it tells us about where we all are headed, just listen to Peter.
It cannot be separated and he is making fun there as well.
Skip to 2:40 for Peter
Another 10/10 from Peter Z
Was the zero covid policy cancelled due to money, (i.e. the cost of testing) the CCP stopped paying and the local government couldn't pick up the costs?
It's for propaganda reasons. Protests happened because the situation in china is shit -> government backs down on some 0 covid policies -> local authorities have more autonomy -> covid will get worse because chinese vaccine is shit and no one has natural immunity -> situation gets much worse -> CCP says "See? 0 covid is our only chance, protesters were wrong, and the central government needs to have all the authority because local gov needs our guidance. We're going back to massive lockdowns." -> even more lockdowns.
The CCP knew 0 covid couldn't go on forever, but because things will be much worse without 0 covid, the government can say that they're always right and need to have the authority to do what needs to be done. It's all a grab for more power. the CCP can make a propaganda win even in the worst of situations.
local Chinese governments for the last decade have only made revenue from "selling" land for home and apartment construction. That business model has imploded.
Anyone else enjoying themselves yet? Sounds like these are the good old days.
I graduated from law school in 2009. The entry-level job market completely collapsed, and the largest classes ever to graduate from American law schools faced a brutal job market. Most of us didn't get real jobs. Now, more than a decade on, there is a shortage of experienced attorneys to take over law practices, serve as prosecutors, and take public defender contracts, and applications to law school collapsed because would-be lawyer Millennials were living at home at 30 with poorly-paid service jobs. I went into chemical manufacturing afterwards.
Yup. Us late 2000s college grads took a HIT
We all need a Xanax after this presentation 😮
I didn't understand what he meant when he talked about fixing the Oil coming from the Thermofrost and it taking 30 years from 1992. Because clearly thats this year and the Russians have been moving that oil for decades.
Used to be more of a fan... until I heard him on Joe Rogan discussing Bitcoin. He was so obviously and woefully uniformed, but spoke just as confidently as when he speaks on Russia or China. Not saying he's wrong on everything, but clearly confidence ≠ correct.
...just my 2¢
No one really knows what’s gonna happen to bitcoin.
Excellent information and insight. There was a lot of information in his presentation. As he spoke, there was some opinion that I did not agree with, but for the most part, I did agree with the vast majority of what he said.
Now, every place he speaks, he promises the audience a great future. Maybe China should invite him.
I guess you didn’t see the talk he gave to the offshore oil drillers. He basically told them to learn to code.
@@BeatsAndMeats do you have a link to the video?
@@BeatsAndMeats Learn to code? The AI will take all coding jobs. Learn to weld and plumb.
@@immortaljanus Yes!!! Learn to weld, smelt iron and copper, and build scaffolding.
AgroTech we are selecting our locations
Good video again, Thanks
🔥
He's getting funnier. I like that.
Is he funnier or just more insulting?
@@NancyLebovitz He is funny, period. Although I wouldn't gamble on buying the national lottery based on his predictions. Especially with China and his countless predictions on her economic collapses
and/or
@@yoyolim538 Spoken like a true wolf worrier.
@@NancyLebovitz cry more
He's been doing this same talk since well before the Invasion. I've watched many. Never has to change much, just adds details because he's basically 'predicted' so much for lack of a better word.
Yeah like when he "predicted" there'd be 10s of millions of deaths from starvation this winter. We'll see soon if that happens or its yet another wrong prediction from him.
@@rickstone3770 Do you mind providing a link to where he said that?
I never get tired of his speeches. he talks of scary stuff with a smile, as if what he forecast it's totally obvious and unavoidable, but yet it's all pretty damn complex, so a little variable change on the mix could change the final result on an unforseen scale ...
Peter, you ROCK!!
Accept he's completely off on everything he says, 😆 🤣 😂
@@nazihater2798 and you know this how? Your PhD is in what?
@@JonathanLoganPDX what did he say that was correct? LOL!@ That guy is a military industrial complex talking head. I have 22 years of active duty military service as an Intel analyst. He knows nothing he speaks of LOL.. I know a spook when I hear one.
@@JonathanLoganPDX turn off CNN.. everything they ate saying is a lie.. who do you think has murdered over 20,000 women and children in Ukraine since 2014? Tell me who you think has Bern shelling and bombing eastern Ukraine for 9 years.
I'm still waiting.... who has been shelling, bombing , raping and murdering women and children of the Donbas for the past 9 years straight... it does not take even a H.S. diploma to know the answer to that one. Come on Jon, who has been conducting genocide on the people of eastern Ukraine for the past 9 years? Tell us all 😆 🤣 😂... I guarantee you are too ignorant to know the answer, or you know the answer and cannot say because you know Zelenskyy is a FASCIST Nazi conducting genocide on the people of eastern Ukraine.
Maybe it would be a good idea to show the maps he's discussing while he's discussing them?
This is a good video, I want to use this say something, I will forever be indebted to you Gardner 😇you’ve changed my whole life I’ll continue to preach about your name for the world to hear you’ve saved me from a huge financial debt with just little investment in money market, thanks so much Mrs Rose Gardner
I got introduced to Ms, Gardner during the pandemic year, I cried about challenges I was facing here in Ireland, during my time working with her, I was able generate returns on my investment.
As a first time investor, I was skeptical so I tried out with just 1000 bucks, to my surprise in just a week I got 3 times my initial deposit, truth be told she's the most reliable!
sorry but I'm new to the trading market, some say local market I don't understand, I need help generate side allowance, how do I reach out to her, is she still active?
You can communicate her on here telegrm page.
@ROSEGARDNERBIS
Free Julian Assange!
He sounds like Jon Hamm.
The Gen-X as parents is soooo right on.
We were horrified and annoyed by the way many of the Millennials were raised (e.g. participation trophies) so it isn't surprising that we'd take a different approach.
The tremendous amount of free knowlege from this video is wonderful.
However if I may share a helpful critique to the editers: Please show Peter's maps on the screen anytime he references it in the presentation. The map is shown initially @5:40 but when he actually speaks to specific details on the map, the shot is cut-off and we are just left guessing.
This a wondeful reasouce and we should be truly thankful that this level of information is being shared freely amongst humanity.
If I could perhaps offer a helpful critique fro the editors: Please show Peter's maps while he is referencing them. They were initially shown around 5:38 yet right as he begins to directly speak a about certain details of the map the shot cuts--leaving us in the dark. A small detail that may inhance the quality of educational output. Idk
VEECO CMP is ramping up in the Valley! Chips have returned to the Valley. Sole is implementing the Space Ship as a manufacturing System. As was always intended! MWM
Top 10 all time eulogy
The USA just put billions into microchip build out. Making neon isn't hard. We have THOUSANDS of air separation units in the USA. We just don't make Neon because of the return on investment needed to produce it. If the US tossed some of that money to an air separation company we'd be glad to add on the extra parts of the plant needed to capture and purify that neon. The refining process is already well known, and we already have the first half of the process running. Neon only makes up 0.00182% of the air we breath. You have to suck in a lot of air with very large compressors to get very much(big electric bill). Nitrogen is aprox 78% oxygen is aprox 21% and argon is aprox 1% for reference. The other part of it is that the boiling point is -410. That's pretty darn cold. Liquid N2 is -320f(think terminator 2 folks). Even more electricity is needed to refrigerate it down to that cold so it can be purified. Its a problem. But one that can be fixed with $$.
Light Amplification by Stimulated Emission of Radiation
Although you are very knowledgeable, your world viewpoint is still USA grounded.
I have to say you are probably right about 78% of most of your points and world view.
His world view is USA grounded because the US has the world's largest economy and also has all the materials it needs to increase economic output and a population to do it.
Oh ok let's hear your hour long public lecture on geopolitics
His view is inside the CIA and US military ech chamber, basically believes their own propaganda. If you think Russia "forgot fuel" I have a bridge to sell you
tl;dr: It's going to suck the least in the Americas.
US has the best geography and the BEST demography, no other country has such a large Millennium demographic, this on itself is the key factor of what Peter says, and I'm not saying this because I'm American, I'm not, but I can clearly see their advantage here.
A million people, mosly children, shipped to Russia. Peter, you are just making shit up at this point.
There are alooooot of holes in his theories but very interesting to listen to!