🔥 Get a 14-day 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄 trial to Real Vision 👉 rvtv.io/unfk CHAPTERS: 1 What's Your Current Assessment of China and the Ukraine War? 09:10 2 Has Europe Averted or Only Delayed Their Energy Problem? 09:23 3 How Fragile Is the Global Food Supply Chain? 0:16:21 4 Semiconductors and Deglobalization 0:24:09 5 The Ambiguous Path Forward for China 0:31:29 6 The Rise of Authoritarianism and the Ukraine War 0:42:19 7 The Economic Impact of Reshoring 0:47:26 8 What Are the Most Underappreciated Geopolitical Risks Right Now? 0:51:41 9 The Takeaways 0:56:49
*Yeas,* _this is a death blow to EU._ It also means that even if Russia loose the war in Ukraine on the tactical side *Russia will win* on the strategical side. USA will loose its allies in Europe. Its fully possible that a European financial collapse will put EU-governments in charge that are outright hostile towards US. in Iran style fashion. US. loose Russia wins.
@@wasdwasdedsf speaking of incompetent, nice spelling on your post above. You must've been all worked up over the talk about Chilli dren. Try not to 'blow a gasket' thinking about the younger generation wadswallower.
I love Peter's stuff and he is incredibly entertaining but don't confuse confidence in one's Viewpoint with true knowledge of the future. Just in this interview he's backtracking on many of the things he said last year were definitely going to happen like Mass famine and people freezing to death in their homes. What prognosticators like Peter fail to realize is that there are billions of people that are conscious actors in this world and all have a vested interest in survival. Charts and spreadsheets are great but they don't speak to the human spirit.
The outcomes might be speculative but the underlying demographics, geographies, and existing industrial and energy complexes take years and decades to change. The world was sleep walking into this deglobalization and fed into Peter's narrative very well. Then Russia invaded Ukraine and woke everybody up. It's like they suddenly realized there was cobra in the room and took immediate action. It clearly took Russia by surprise. It's unfortunate because Russia has so much to offer the world...if only they'd be a better neighbor. He made an interesting point here I've not heard before. He's said in the past that Germany was demographically declining. He's also said since the invasion that their economy is on the precipice of an energy induced collapse. What's new...the large portion of the EU economy that Germany represents puts them all in peril. I'd not heard him explicitly state that before. Peter could be all wrong but we'd be foolish not to make contingency plans for various scenarios.
@@chrishooge3442 How about you become a better neighbour for Russia? How come Russia and India can collaborate very well but people can’t in Europe? India is a democracy. Why do you blame EU policy failures on the Russians?
Peter is completely wrong about everything. He is being a NATO shill Unless he has just swallowed the NATO narrative hook line and sinker. Quite a disappointment.
It is a rare occurrence that interviewer makes a summary of important points at the end and for that alone would deserve praise but of course there were much more.
Great interview Maggie. I watched you interview Peter a year ago. He made some strong predictions and you challenged him on them a year later. It's important to test our prophets. Peter has sound logic and Intel but he needs to be challenged. Thank you for doing what I couldn't. An extremely helpful podcast
This guy clearly takes state department propoganda at face value. Ukraine has been a us proxy since at least 2014......they've gotten completely wrecked, the us sends them weapons that don't even work. All their military is dead. No one even left to use the junk they keep sending.
Great interview, I’ve heard Peter speak about all this quite a bit lately and he does it very well. But what I liked the most was the end summary the young lady gave about what Peter spoked about and she did it in plain English 👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍 Thank you 😊
Finally Peter admits the Russian people understand privation. So I've spent a lot of time in Ukraine and ventured into Russia once. One can't help but understand how similar their societies are. Most of the Ukrainians I speak with note their families raise 100-200kg of potatoes every year. Food preservation is a normal activity. As long as they have access to their preserved food and potatoes they will not starve. One also has to understand normal salaries. Unless one lives in a city the equivalent of $200/month is normal. And it seems like everyone's boss skips out on paying them at least once a year.
I taught English to Ukrainian university students (Slavyansk) from 2018 to 2019. My faculty colleagues told me they regularly give 5% cut of their salary to their boss, the heard of the English Department, who gave 5% of his salary to her boss, the head to the university, who gave 5% of his salary to the head of the state Bureau of Education, etc, etc.......
Interesting interview. I think Maggie is doing a fantastic job of asking the right questions in the right order, at the right cadence. I'd like to see her do more interviews with listenable interviewees like Zeihan.
XiXiPi's goals have been worldwide domination by 2049 for decades. This is no secret, but the majority of individuals have no power nor resources to do anything about it. It's GOING to happen, and the only possibility that could thwart it is highly unlikely to materialize.
TSMC announced the Arizona factory in May 2020, initially pledging $12 billion toward it. In December, the company increased that to $40 billion, with plans to upgrade the factory with more advanced - though not the most advanced - chip-making technology.
My comment was intended for the advert on during a pause in Peter's programme. By chance it could technically apply to Peter but as an economist I hang on his every word.
Adele said so herself, in the song 'Skyfall'. "This is the end Hold your breath and count to ten Feel the Earth move and then Hear my heart burst again For this is the end I've drowned and dreamt this moment So overdue, I owe them Swept away, I'm stolen"
China is not long for this world? Really? The 10,000 yo China? If talking about, the (America-makes-the-)rules based order Peter's right. Arrogance, preceded Babylon, Rome, Ottoman and Britain because it's always better to over-estimate your enemies. "Keep your friends close and your enemies closer" -Vito Corleone
Never underestimate what a blank check from the United States can do for you. If it were strictly Ukraine and Ukraine alone, russia would have won within a week. Ukraine has the full backing of nearly all of Europe, US, Canada, NATO, etc… so russia is actually the clear underdog
The entire world thought that Kiev would fall within a week or two. I personally know that the Ukrainians see this fight as an existential threat to their democracy, and democracy of the entire world writ large. If Kiev were to surrender, the Russians would kill literally every Ukrainian civilian as well as every serviceman that surrenders. After that, it would be Moldova, then China would feel confident enough to invade Taiwan. The CCP sees just how strong the will to fight to save not only your democracy in their country, but countries everywhere. The PRC would lose half of their military force within 2 weeks.
@@charleswomack2166 Some of the Ukrainian speaking Ukrainians are wising up to the fact that Zelensky isn't a good guy. They are Orthodox Christians, and Zelensky has been jailing Orthodox priests and nuns. Don't be surprised to see a backlash for this.
@@charleswomack2166 Having to defend your home has that effect on people. Unlike much of the rest of the world, Americans luckily don't know anything about that, hence their egregious use of tinfoil that only makes them more susceptible to BS: incubator babies, fifteen minutes from a mushroom cloud, the GWOT that must be fought "over there" even when we all know 9/11 would've been prevented were it not Cheney's LIHOP moneymaker. Getting your home occupied without your consent turns anyone into a fighter, from Palestine to Ukraine.
I would have liked to hear Peter make a comment on the increasingly authoritarian regime of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in Canada. Never the less, Peter digs deep in how interconnected the whole world is.
Peter is smart for sure. History may disagree on some points in the end. I suspect most of his macro analysis is close to home. That said, I think Maggie Lake was the STAR of that interview. Going forward, I would subscribe to see all of her interviews!
He has been saying the Russian will recover over a year. He should reevaluate. Nearly a million russians have left and there is no indication that 500 -600 thousand are willing to fightand die. His assumption that the Russian peoples will submit to this is just that. His underestimation of the west to ability to supply Ukraine and overestimation of Russia to supply themselves has proven to be incorrect.
Great interview as usual, Maggie. Always great to hear Peter even though he makes a lot of black and white predictions without factoring that some Nations (or new blocs) may outplay and outperform at Geo political chess.
Lots of bad news for people who want to believe their countries can just ignore geographic realities if they just play better at geopolitical chess. It's perfectly normal for Peter to get a lot of pushback since he is the bearer of bad news for a LOT of people around the globe.
@@Equalzer But he is usually wrong... Russian crude is still flowing, no starvation or food shortage of any consequence happened last year, I can keep writing but his most important predictions turned out to be hyperbole at best.
@@Prashant44082 He's usually right, we are only one year into Ukraine war, let it play out. Countries had reserves for the past year and the Ukraine grain deal lasted a year. Look at China now, 21% youth unemployment, economy slipped into deflation, real estate prices collapsing, exports down and that's not counting what they are hiding.
You may appreciate this guy but I can tell you that he is fundamentally completely wrong and everything that he says you should think oh it's the opposite of that that's true. He's a NATO shell singing the NATO narrative. I won't send for that It upsets me to be lied to.
The Louisiana workforce can build chemical plants virtually overnight. That's literally all we do. Our entire economy is based on chemicals production.
Good interview; been watching Peter fairly intensely in the past weeks and have been able to deduce a lot of his logic. There is a lot of common sense baked into his predictions but there hasn't been enough time to establish his hit rate yet. But, in aggregate, I think a lot of his views make sense assuming the data he uses as established fact is true. But I appreciate his ability to transform his understanding into entertaining discussion flow that helps to educate and to provide for provocative dialog.
I disagree this man is nothing more than a NATO narrative shill. He is spouting misinformation and does not even have his fax correct. Russia has increased the mobilization in Ukraine to 1.5 million and he doesn't even know that or he does but won't tell you.
A really excellent interview. I've been listening to Peter on multiple platforms and this might be the best. Simple lucid questions and the ability to listen without interruption. Well done.
About one million Russians have left Russia while there is six million plus Ukrainian refugees from a much smaller base Therefore I conclude that Russia is beating the snot out of Ukraine We need to send much more aid to Ukraine if we want them to have a chance of beating off the Russians
I just saw and listened to this vid for the first time, but I've been listening to Peter for a long time. Peter tends to stick to a tight script in his interviews but I believe he's at his best and most interesting when an interviewer can take him off script a bit with more detailed questions and discussion. Maggie you did that and it resulted in a great discussion. There is so much happening! Thanks.
He is sticking to the narrative that the CIA gave him. There is no truth in anything he says usually you can imagine it's the opposite of what he is saying. Ukraine is no match for the Russian military. You will see soon. Soon they will not be able to hide it anymore.
16:30 Don't worry about us Europeans - we're used to surviving and coming up on top and we will do it again.... We are not called the Old Continent for nothing :) Great inteview - very informative.
Interesting analysis. Surprisingly there hasn't been more discussion on these key factors in mainstream media. Now the difficult question, who can and how can they fix this or improve the situation?
@@dingfeldersmurfalot4560 He said China would be done a decade ago, and has just pushed the claim back 10 years. Believed Russias nuclear hyperbole was just that, then considered it serious against certain targets, and is now saying it’s bull again. Flip flops constantly on how well either side is doing in this war.
@HARDWOOD THOUGHT well he updates his views with new information. Id prefer that over sticking to the same theory even when presented with new counter-evidence. He is certainly wrong about timelines, that is the hardest part to predict in anything. But just because his conclusions are wrong doesnt mean he isnt worth a listen. Look at the evidence he has and it has value. Unexpected or unpredicted things WILL happen. So no, he isnt nostradomus, but he does have some great points: demographics is influencing our economics in the background, globalization made the economy very vulnerable and we may be looking at its end, and things like energy and raw materials are taken as a given in the modern world but the abundance of them is a luxury we have been living with and gotten used to, which isnt sustainable.
Peter is more often right than wrong in his predictions. Timing may be off, but it's not hard to extrapolate scenarios that lead to his projections. Hope for the best but prepare for the worst, as always. Made in the America's beats made over seas i.m.o.
I wouldn't write off China too easily, with more than four thousand years of recorded history, and probably plenty more undocumented history behind that. To say China can be stubborn, and willing to make sacrifices, is an understatement. They certainly can adapt to a degree, but they do believe in a total top down hierarchical control (effectively with a "King" or royalty). The economy is certainly a huge part, but China survived before the West came along to engage economically, and they're far more self-sufficient now. Russia proved when the USSR fell in the late 80's, that it's not impregnable to external pressures.
Long term, sure. Within our lifetimes? They're in for some bad times. And yes. Particularly their leadership is painfully stubborn. That's not a good thing. Also, they're not self sufficient. Not remotely.
Last night I had the craziest dream. In the dream, Elizabeth Holmes was the CTO of ChatGPT. But the whole thing turned out to be fake. When you typed in a question and thought that AI was producing an answer, it was actually Peter Zeihan at the other end. I woke up in a cold sweat.
I'm less concerned about his prognostications and more interested with the scope of his analysis. When he is wrong, what factors are being left out? He and the creator of "Real Life Lore" are rich in both information and analysis. With every sentence I feel like I am, at least, gaining perspective.
MIT Romney is getting attention these days, speaking on his concerns, with China overtaking the U.S in every way, including Militarily… when I read an excerpt of MIT’s speech, this Real Vision - PZ interview came to mind. For me… this interview is a great PZ update. Thanks to all!
Mitt Romney is nothing but a rino sellout. He's one of those that were doing big business with china but talking bad about them here at home. I wouldn't put a dimes worth of interest in what mitt has rlto say about anything particularly when it comes to pharmaceutical companies.
My pedantic quibble is lasers are not typically used in "etching" semiconductors as Peter often states. That's generally done with plasma or terrible acids. The neon lasers are on the photolithography equipment that makes the pattern to be etched, in a later step.
True enough, but the point is that the UV lasers are required to make the make the best semiconductor chips, so it's a distinction without much importance.
@@philblum1496 That's true but I did say I was being pedantic. More broadly, it's good to be technically correct in what you're saying when you wade into commenting on technical stuff and this is the most technical of stuffs.
Just some advice….you should learn what the foundations of your society are, and figure out what happens if those foundations go away without a plan to replace them. Good luck kiddo.
The difference between science vs politics and religion, is that science is meant to change as it keeps testing and challenging its assumptions. Politics and religion are more prone to sticking to their ideologies no matter how the world changes around them. I like the fact that Peter can be wrong. He keeps taking in new info and adjusting his projections. I have more confidence in that approach than in any insistence that he always get it right.
i dont know if you realized but you've bought a faulty map, the map in the background is missing New Zealand. the NZ government did a campaign to educate people not to forget them when printing a map...
What Russia is doing is bleeding Ukrain steadily.Russia is holding positions for longer periods of time to invite Ukrain to plan and attempt counter assult after assult and missions While the more the more experienced Russians set traps and destroy more and more soldiers and expensive equipment for the cost of the round basically.
I'd love to listen to a Nigerian who took the time to study the detailed, boring economic statistics, the detailed, boring statistics about education, employment and industrial activity, and then turn all this data into fun, exciting and entertaining material. Because this is, more or less, what Peter seems to be doing.
Nobody. Germany restructured, Russia wasn't delivering anyway, no need for the pipelines anymore and a good way to force other European countries to get gas and oil elsewhere. You think Nato Partners don't talk and planed to destroy the pipelines to hurt Russia together? Just bc they don't made it public? Thats not how war and intel works btw🤷♂️. Germany's economy pretty stable, except for the idiotic auto industries(20% of GDP), who are way too late to the EV's party and now might be doomed pretty likely unfortunately. Combustion engine cars are the walking/rolling dead, have no margin and future.
First he goes from really confident about his predictions in the past to maybe this and maybe that if this happens. This guy has more back doors to the NSA.
Well I assume everyone changes their level of certainty about things as new information comes in? If he were to maintain his certainty despite changes in reality would that make you happier?
CHINA is now the world’s second-largest provider of hull insurance, after overtaking Lloyd’s on market share, the International Union of Marine Insurance has confirmed. The country - which has seen its slice of the pie grow slowly but steadily in recent years - recorded a 12.4% share of 2020 global aggregate hull premiums totalling $7.1bn. It now sits second in the league table behind the Nordic region on 14%, and well ahead of Lloyd’s, at number three on 8.6%.
@@Withnail1969 but why would the Chinese help the Russians raise the price of the oil they're selling them with they've got such a wonderful excuse to get even steeper discounts?
@@bobs_toys I don't think you've understood. They need oil and they can and do routinely insure ships such as tankers, contrary to Peter's claims. That's all I'm saying.
@@Withnail1969 I understand. Just like they and I understand that they have other sources of oil, but Russia doesn't have other major buyers. Putin has put Russia into a position where a country that hates them can dictate the terms of their relationship, and Putin's Russia has no choice but to bend over the barrel, spread wide and hope what comes next isn't too painful.
It can be hard to win war with people that have nothing worthwhile. You can’t bomb the entire jungle. But the usa left and went on to become extremely wealthy and dominate and Vietnam is still as poor as it was then hoping USA companies come and pay them 1 dollar a day. Nice “win” lol.
@@marcwichmann2012 Neither of your putative winners came to America, occupied the country, or did anything beneficial to them that would suggest they had won. Ha!
@@MarkGast Yep there's tons of that. I can appreciate a good argument, but a simple bald assertion on how much he sucks doesn't advance anyone's understanding about anything.
@@MarkGast it's like they all have a sheet to read from. They have to call him a propagandist, which doesn't really mean anything to an American, so I'm not sure what that means, maybe something to the Chinese. Then they say something about the CIA or neocon, then somehow bring it back to how he's wrong on China.🤣
I want to hear what Mr Zeihan has to say about the CQV Trust/Social t trust funds becoming more and more accessible to everyone, and completely financing world governments.
Fantastic interview. i love Peter and i watch his channel too, have all his books and he has some great information all the way around. As with anything, he isn't a prognosticator but he does bring up some important points and some possible outcomes, i agree with most of what he says just based on his data he puts forth and how he frames it. Love seeing his view on things.
🔥 Get a 14-day 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄 trial to Real Vision 👉 rvtv.io/unfk
CHAPTERS:
1 What's Your Current Assessment of China and the Ukraine War? 09:10
2 Has Europe Averted or Only Delayed Their Energy Problem? 09:23
3 How Fragile Is the Global Food Supply Chain? 0:16:21
4 Semiconductors and Deglobalization 0:24:09
5 The Ambiguous Path Forward for China 0:31:29
6 The Rise of Authoritarianism and the Ukraine War 0:42:19
7 The Economic Impact of Reshoring 0:47:26
8 What Are the Most Underappreciated Geopolitical Risks Right Now? 0:51:41
9 The Takeaways 0:56:49
❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
Ghu
Great video, incredibly informative. Angry Communist Fifty Cent Army mass flagging incoming.... 😊
*Yeas,* _this is a death blow to EU._ It also means that even if Russia loose the war in Ukraine on the tactical side *Russia will win* on the strategical side. USA will loose its allies in Europe. Its fully possible that a European financial collapse will put EU-governments in charge that are outright hostile towards US. in Iran style fashion. US. loose Russia wins.
why bringb on an incompetent authoritarian apologist?
@@wasdwasdedsf speaking of incompetent, nice spelling on your post above. You must've been all worked up over the talk about Chilli dren. Try not to 'blow a gasket' thinking about the younger generation wadswallower.
I love Peter's stuff and he is incredibly entertaining but don't confuse confidence in one's Viewpoint with true knowledge of the future. Just in this interview he's backtracking on many of the things he said last year were definitely going to happen like Mass famine and people freezing to death in their homes. What prognosticators like Peter fail to realize is that there are billions of people that are conscious actors in this world and all have a vested interest in survival. Charts and spreadsheets are great but they don't speak to the human spirit.
Thanks for watching!
The outcomes might be speculative but the underlying demographics, geographies, and existing industrial and energy complexes take years and decades to change. The world was sleep walking into this deglobalization and fed into Peter's narrative very well. Then Russia invaded Ukraine and woke everybody up. It's like they suddenly realized there was cobra in the room and took immediate action. It clearly took Russia by surprise. It's unfortunate because Russia has so much to offer the world...if only they'd be a better neighbor.
He made an interesting point here I've not heard before. He's said in the past that Germany was demographically declining. He's also said since the invasion that their economy is on the precipice of an energy induced collapse. What's new...the large portion of the EU economy that Germany represents puts them all in peril. I'd not heard him explicitly state that before.
Peter could be all wrong but we'd be foolish not to make contingency plans for various scenarios.
Great points -- thank you!
@@chrishooge3442
How about you become a better neighbour for Russia?
How come Russia and India can collaborate very well but people can’t in Europe? India is a democracy.
Why do you blame EU policy failures on the Russians?
He's a charlatan selling his pabulum to fools parting with their money for feigned sophistications...
Thanks!
Thanks for watching!
At least some of Peter Zeihan's predictions might be proven wrong, but I think he deserves credit for encouraging his audiences to think systemically.
Thanks for watching!
This bagpiper will lead you all to the precipice.
Peter is completely wrong about everything. He is being a NATO shill
Unless he has just swallowed the NATO narrative hook line and sinker.
Quite a disappointment.
No Peter it's not going to be 600,000 Russ😂ia is increasing its mobilization to 1.5 million. At least you can get some facts straight.
@@wilsonluytan212Never knew Hameln was somewhere up in Scotland. Interesting perspective nevertheless.
It is a rare occurrence that interviewer makes a summary of important points at the end and for that alone would deserve praise but of course there were much more.
Great interview Maggie. I watched you interview Peter a year ago. He made some strong predictions and you challenged him on them a year later. It's important to test our prophets. Peter has sound logic and Intel but he needs to be challenged. Thank you for doing what I couldn't. An extremely helpful podcast
Thanks!
Thanks for watching.
peter has successfully predicted 62 of the last 5 global crisis.
Huh That doesn’t make sense 🤔
@@anthonyfam5469 thats the point, hes saying he keeps predicting things incessantly so eventually he has to become "right"
Don’t worry Anthony, there are 3 times of people in the world. Smart people and this who don’t understand simple jokes.
😂😂😂
Welcome to the expanding world of entangled quantum economics.
One year has passed since his first wave of predictions and let's actually be honest... very little of it actually came to fruition.
Exactly
Thanks for sharing!
This guy clearly takes state department propoganda at face value. Ukraine has been a us proxy since at least 2014......they've gotten completely wrecked, the us sends them weapons that don't even work. All their military is dead. No one even left to use the junk they keep sending.
He is the smartest propagandist out there. The White house should hire this guy.
Most people accept for facts what he says, even if it is false.
But it will! It will (Or maybe it wont)
Great interview, I’ve heard Peter speak about all this quite a bit lately and he does it very well. But what I liked the most was the end summary the young lady gave about what Peter spoked about and she did it in plain English 👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍 Thank you 😊
Very _very_ concise summary at the end. Watch the whole thing so the summary is a review. It's a summary, not a substitute for the conversation.
Finally Peter admits the Russian people understand privation. So I've spent a lot of time in Ukraine and ventured into Russia once. One can't help but understand how similar their societies are. Most of the Ukrainians I speak with note their families raise 100-200kg of potatoes every year. Food preservation is a normal activity. As long as they have access to their preserved food and potatoes they will not starve. One also has to understand normal salaries. Unless one lives in a city the equivalent of $200/month is normal. And it seems like everyone's boss skips out on paying them at least once a year.
I taught English to Ukrainian university students (Slavyansk) from 2018 to 2019. My faculty colleagues told me they regularly give 5% cut of their salary to their boss, the heard of the English Department, who gave 5% of his salary to her boss, the head to the university, who gave 5% of his salary to the head of the state Bureau of Education, etc, etc.......
Semiconductor shortage.
If my refrigerator is unable to communicate with my lawn-mower, I shall endure the consequences with stoicism.
Interesting interview. I think Maggie is doing a fantastic job of asking the right questions in the right order, at the right cadence. I'd like to see her do more interviews with listenable interviewees like Zeihan.
Thanks for watching!
First time I've heard her...she is excellent.
O dear but let’s hope it’s just me
@@lawrencefunding8219 not really
Peter is listenable, but not a very good analyst. Wrong on so much, too much personal bias.
Great interviewer. She knows what she's talking about but she gives space for Peter to say his opinions
This perhaps the most amazing interviews ever. A brilliant man.
The master of false certainty is always entertaining
*I know right. There's nothing more dangerous than a "fake friend" (Puntin & Xi)*
This dude Peter is nuts!
Care to clarify your statement?
@@0patience4flz you are so true
That's why brainwashed PRC residents believe Pooh-Daddy, or say that they do.
I haven’t heard a better breakdown of the macro situation that affects the world today. This guy is good!
Thanks for watching!
@Jack Smith yet… it’s a slow moving iceberg
As a Chinese, I wish all Americans vote for this Peter Zaihan dude as the president of the united states
Is that sort of like wishing Biden was President of the US?
O dear the man is dilusional
I've listened to about eighteen minutes of this podcast so far. Your very knowledgeable guest is only underscoring my fears.
XiXiPi's goals have been worldwide domination by 2049 for decades. This is no secret, but the majority of individuals have no power nor resources to do anything about it. It's GOING to happen, and the only possibility that could thwart it is highly unlikely to materialize.
Thanks for watching! Check the whole conversation, will give you extra insights!
THIS MEANS SAVE YOUR MONEY FOR THE FUTURE, BECAAUSE SS MAY NOT BE THERE,
I think Peter needs to watch a few Douglas Mcgregor and Scott Ritter interviews to understand the dynamics on the ground.
Totally agree.
TSMC announced the Arizona factory in May 2020, initially pledging $12 billion toward it. In December, the company increased that to $40 billion, with plans to upgrade the factory with more advanced - though not the most advanced - chip-making technology.
They're building 12 chip fabs there I believe.
Thanks for sharing!
Deal cancelled
Intel is building 2 chip plants right now in Columbus, Ohio. 50bil+ investment!
Ok, but still dependent on ASML chip fabricating. Anyway US can develop this technology?
This guy sounds like a correspondent from CNN talking about Russia/ukraine.... if you know what I mean.
Still amusing
My comment was intended for the advert on during a pause in Peter's programme. By chance it could technically apply to Peter but as an economist I hang on his every word.
Adele said so herself, in the song 'Skyfall'.
"This is the end
Hold your breath and count to ten
Feel the Earth move and then
Hear my heart burst again
For this is the end
I've drowned and dreamt this moment
So overdue, I owe them
Swept away, I'm stolen"
“HAALLLIIBBUURRTTON… walked away on MORAL grounds!” Lol!
Peter’s opinions are almost being stated here as facts. He’s rather extreme in his views, and I’d be careful.
China is not long for this world? Really? The 10,000 yo China? If talking about, the (America-makes-the-)rules based order Peter's right. Arrogance, preceded Babylon, Rome, Ottoman and Britain because it's always better to over-estimate your enemies. "Keep your friends close and your enemies closer" -Vito Corleone
Forgive him, he just likes to project what he hopes will happen, not what may happen. There is something very deranged about him too.
China success cuz of globalisation.. US doing the opposite right now
She is hands down the best interviewer I have seen. I thoroughly enjoy her interviews.
Thanks for watching!
The more i listen to him
The more i th8nk we are going into a world depression
If globalisation truly is ending then yeah word real gdp going down down
The number one lesson that the Ukraine situation is to never ever underestimate the will to fight.
Never underestimate what a blank check from the United States can do for you. If it were strictly Ukraine and Ukraine alone, russia would have won within a week. Ukraine has the full backing of nearly all of Europe, US, Canada, NATO, etc… so russia is actually the clear underdog
The entire world thought that Kiev would fall within a week or two. I personally know that the Ukrainians see this fight as an existential threat to their democracy, and democracy of the entire world writ large. If Kiev were to surrender, the Russians would kill literally every Ukrainian civilian as well as every serviceman that surrenders. After that, it would be Moldova, then China would feel confident enough to invade Taiwan. The CCP sees just how strong the will to fight to save not only your democracy in their country, but countries everywhere. The PRC would lose half of their military force within 2 weeks.
@@charleswomack2166 Some of the Ukrainian speaking Ukrainians are wising up to the fact that Zelensky isn't a good guy. They are Orthodox Christians, and Zelensky has been jailing Orthodox priests and nuns. Don't be surprised to see a backlash for this.
@@charleswomack2166 Having to defend your home has that effect on people. Unlike much of the rest of the world, Americans luckily don't know anything about that, hence their egregious use of tinfoil that only makes them more susceptible to BS: incubator babies, fifteen minutes from a mushroom cloud, the GWOT that must be fought "over there" even when we all know 9/11 would've been prevented were it not Cheney's LIHOP moneymaker.
Getting your home occupied without your consent turns anyone into a fighter, from Palestine to Ukraine.
You have been completely played. It's kind of amazing.
I would have liked to hear Peter make a comment on the increasingly authoritarian regime of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in Canada. Never the less, Peter digs deep in how interconnected the whole world is.
Peter's take is that Canada isn't a 'country' at all. It's a string of provinces that are each more connected to the US than to each other.
Peter is smart for sure. History may disagree on some points in the end. I suspect most of his macro analysis is close to home. That said, I think Maggie Lake was the STAR of that interview. Going forward, I would subscribe to see all of her interviews!
Maggie is top-notch!! Thanks for watching!
The best interviewer and the topics. And Peter as usually is fantastic!
Lots of wrong predictions. Always USA centristic and thats a Problem. All his predictions about Germany wrong btw, too.
He has been saying the Russian will recover over a year. He should reevaluate. Nearly a million russians have left and there is no indication that 500 -600 thousand are willing to fightand die. His assumption that the Russian peoples will submit to this is just that. His underestimation of the west to ability to supply Ukraine and overestimation of Russia to supply themselves has proven to be incorrect.
Nice to hear from a real expert who explains whats going to happen ...and later explain why exactly it didnt.
Thanks for watching!
the way you put it.. it's hilarious! 🤣
You got a way with words my friend! Well put!👍👍
This Peter guy is full of it! She actually said "balloon fiasco"!
Great interview as usual, Maggie. Always great to hear Peter even though he makes a lot of black and white predictions without factoring that some Nations (or new blocs) may outplay and outperform at Geo political chess.
Thanks for watching!
🔥 Get a 14-day 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄 trial to Real Vision 👉 rvtv.io/unfk
Lots of bad news for people who want to believe their countries can just ignore geographic realities if they just play better at geopolitical chess.
It's perfectly normal for Peter to get a lot of pushback since he is the bearer of bad news for a LOT of people around the globe.
@@Equalzer But he is usually wrong... Russian crude is still flowing, no starvation or food shortage of any consequence happened last year, I can keep writing but his most important predictions turned out to be hyperbole at best.
@@Prashant44082 He's usually right, we are only one year into Ukraine war, let it play out. Countries had reserves for the past year and the Ukraine grain deal lasted a year. Look at China now, 21% youth unemployment, economy slipped into deflation, real estate prices collapsing, exports down and that's not counting what they are hiding.
Getting Peter Z is such a score for Real Vision. Wonderful Raoul. Thank you
Thanks for watching!
You may appreciate this guy but I can tell you that he is fundamentally completely wrong and everything that he says you should think oh it's the opposite of that that's true. He's a NATO shell singing the NATO narrative. I won't send for that It upsets me to be lied to.
Amazing interview, truly.
The Louisiana workforce can build chemical plants virtually overnight. That's literally all we do. Our entire economy is based on chemicals production.
Good interview; been watching Peter fairly intensely in the past weeks and have been able to deduce a lot of his logic. There is a lot of common sense baked into his predictions but there hasn't been enough time to establish his hit rate yet. But, in aggregate, I think a lot of his views make sense assuming the data he uses as established fact is true. But I appreciate his ability to transform his understanding into entertaining discussion flow that helps to educate and to provide for provocative dialog.
Thanks for watching!
Peter's best moment was when he told Canada they weren't a country lol !
Don't you know, you know Trudeau and Canada will be the greatest socialist nation in North America?
PZ is one of the best and most insightful social/political/economic commentators out there…
I disagree this man is nothing more than a NATO narrative shill. He is spouting misinformation and does not even have his fax correct. Russia has increased the mobilization in Ukraine to 1.5 million and he doesn't even know that or he does but won't tell you.
Excellent Maggie. Well done
Many thanks!
Thank you for the review at the end! Love Zeihan on!
Thanks for watching!
A really excellent interview. I've been listening to Peter on multiple platforms and this might be the best. Simple lucid questions and the ability to listen without interruption. Well done.
And you've not realised he's wrong on so many levels, and can't see past his own biases. Your not paying attention.
Well Peter tends to see the worst case likely scenario but people , states, leaders and the world do have a habit of muddling through.
@@User0resU-1Right you are this man is a NATO shill 100%. If he knows anything of the truth he's not speaking it.
About one million Russians have left Russia while there is six million plus Ukrainian refugees from a much smaller base
Therefore I conclude that Russia is beating the snot out of Ukraine
We need to send much more aid to Ukraine if we want them to have a chance of beating off the Russians
Yes,,,much much much more Hunter-bucks $$$...lol
I just saw and listened to this vid for the first time, but I've been listening to Peter for a long time. Peter tends to stick to a tight script in his interviews but I believe he's at his best and most interesting when an interviewer can take him off script a bit with more detailed questions and discussion. Maggie you did that and it resulted in a great discussion. There is so much happening! Thanks.
He is sticking to the narrative that the CIA gave him. There is no truth in anything he says usually you can imagine it's the opposite of what he is saying. Ukraine is no match for the Russian military. You will see soon. Soon they will not be able to hide it anymore.
16:30 Don't worry about us Europeans - we're used to surviving and coming up on top and we will do it again.... We are not called the Old Continent for nothing :)
Great inteview - very informative.
Great interview, appreciate your summary Maggie Lake, thanks.
Interesting analysis. Surprisingly there hasn't been more discussion on these key factors in mainstream media. Now the difficult question, who can and how can they fix this or improve the situation?
Zeihan gets a lot right......and so much more very, very wrong. Mostly he LOVES hearing himself talk. He'd be perfect on NPR
Specifics please.
@@dingfeldersmurfalot4560 He said China would be done a decade ago, and has just pushed the claim back 10 years. Believed Russias nuclear hyperbole was just that, then considered it serious against certain targets, and is now saying it’s bull again. Flip flops constantly on how well either side is doing in this war.
😂😂😂😂😂
@HARDWOOD THOUGHT well he updates his views with new information. Id prefer that over sticking to the same theory even when presented with new counter-evidence. He is certainly wrong about timelines, that is the hardest part to predict in anything. But just because his conclusions are wrong doesnt mean he isnt worth a listen. Look at the evidence he has and it has value. Unexpected or unpredicted things WILL happen. So no, he isnt nostradomus, but he does have some great points: demographics is influencing our economics in the background, globalization made the economy very vulnerable and we may be looking at its end, and things like energy and raw materials are taken as a given in the modern world but the abundance of them is a luxury we have been living with and gotten used to, which isnt sustainable.
@HARDWOOD THOUGHT I haven't noticed any flip flopping when it comes to anything, he has been VERY consistent to be frank.
Peter is more often right than wrong in his predictions. Timing may be off, but it's not hard to extrapolate scenarios that lead to his projections. Hope for the best but prepare for the worst, as always. Made in the America's beats made over seas i.m.o.
Not if it's made in Germany. But most of the best American engineers have German pedigree anyway. Or an other North European country
I wouldn't write off China too easily, with more than four thousand years of recorded history, and probably plenty more undocumented history behind that. To say China can be stubborn, and willing to make sacrifices, is an understatement. They certainly can adapt to a degree, but they do believe in a total top down hierarchical control (effectively with a "King" or royalty). The economy is certainly a huge part, but China survived before the West came along to engage economically, and they're far more self-sufficient now.
Russia proved when the USSR fell in the late 80's, that it's not impregnable to external pressures.
Long term, sure.
Within our lifetimes? They're in for some bad times.
And yes. Particularly their leadership is painfully stubborn.
That's not a good thing.
Also, they're not self sufficient. Not remotely.
Younger Chinese have a saying “Lie Flat” as in they don’t believe they will receive proper compensation for work. New saying is “Let it Rot”.
Thanks for your time and your smarts 😊
Appreciate the summary at the end
We love making the takeaways for you guys!
Last night I had the craziest dream. In the dream, Elizabeth Holmes was the CTO of ChatGPT. But the whole thing turned out to be fake. When you typed in a question and thought that AI was producing an answer, it was actually Peter Zeihan at the other end. I woke up in a cold sweat.
Thank you
I think this guy honestly believes he knows it all. He's potentially very dangerous.
He is new face of CIA
Don’t think he has been to China 😂
If you could reverse everything by 180 degrees, he would be right
The summary section at the end was excellent. Really great ending!
Finally remembered to exhale.
Thanks Peter for sharing your due diligence.
Putin was slow at the start because Putin was preventing loses on the civilian population, hope you understand that.
I'm less concerned about his prognostications and more interested with the scope of his analysis. When he is wrong, what factors are being left out? He and the creator of "Real Life Lore" are rich in both information and analysis. With every sentence I feel like I am, at least, gaining perspective.
MIT Romney is getting attention these days, speaking on his concerns, with China overtaking the U.S in every way, including Militarily… when I read an excerpt of MIT’s speech, this Real Vision - PZ interview came to mind.
For me… this interview is a great PZ update.
Thanks to all!
Mitt Romney is nothing but a rino sellout. He's one of those that were doing big business with china but talking bad about them here at home. I wouldn't put a dimes worth of interest in what mitt has rlto say about anything particularly when it comes to pharmaceutical companies.
Thank you for this interview.
Wow, this guy opens his mouth and in 10 seconds shows me he is absolutely out to lunch.
Wow, what an interesting show. I love this macro outlooks, thank you for your work
I don't want to see a world without Putin. I look forward too the multi polar world and real fair trade. No more wars. Free Assage.
My pedantic quibble is lasers are not typically used in "etching" semiconductors as Peter often states. That's generally done with plasma or terrible acids. The neon lasers are on the photolithography equipment that makes the pattern to be etched, in a later step.
True enough, but the point is that the UV lasers are required to make the make the best semiconductor chips, so it's a distinction without much importance.
@@philblum1496
That's true but I did say I was being pedantic. More broadly, it's good to be technically correct in what you're saying when you wade into commenting on technical stuff and this is the most technical of stuffs.
Interesting!
Peter Zeihan is my favorite boomer fan fiction.
Just some advice….you should learn what the foundations of your society are, and figure out what happens if those foundations go away without a plan to replace them. Good luck kiddo.
Thanks for watching!
He is not a boomer. He was born in 1973 hence x generation.
28:00 no high-end chips? I'm going to buy vintage shit like older cars, old refrigerators.
Russia losing should NOT be a desired outcome. A negotiated settlement is the only way to reduce the existing nuclear threat
Fertilizers won't be a problem, for now. We got tons of Sargassum being harvested as an alternative every day.
That's encouraging, ty.
It’s not about performance. It is about who will win the war.
Peter Z is the go to analyst that American normies follow to reaffirm their beliefs in US exceptionalism and help them sleep better at night
The US is by far the most exceptional by every measure. And I do love to hear it
AMAZING INTERVIEW . well done . Great questions and conversations…
lessons learned and a new subber from Ottawa Ontario Canada 🇨🇦
The difference between science vs politics and religion, is that science is meant to change as it keeps testing and challenging its assumptions. Politics and religion are more prone to sticking to their ideologies no matter how the world changes around them.
I like the fact that Peter can be wrong. He keeps taking in new info and adjusting his projections. I have more confidence in that approach than in any insistence that he always get it right.
Thanks for sharing!
i dont know if you realized but you've bought a faulty map, the map in the background is missing New Zealand. the NZ government did a campaign to educate people not to forget them when printing a map...
An excellent discussion with Peter Zeihan. Thank you
Thanks for watching!
EXCELLENT. EVEN I DISGREE
His viewpoint is the reason we are in trouble today and in the future
What Russia is doing is bleeding Ukrain steadily.Russia is holding positions for longer periods of time to invite Ukrain to plan and attempt counter assult after assult and missions While the more the more experienced Russians set traps and destroy more and more soldiers and expensive equipment for the cost of the round basically.
I would love to hear Peter's opinion on my country,Nigeria, especially after our recent election.
Is the government still trying to force everyone to use the cbdc?
African countries won't pay back the debts.
I'd love to listen to a Nigerian who took the time to study the detailed, boring economic statistics, the detailed, boring statistics about education, employment and industrial activity, and then turn all this data into fun, exciting and entertaining material. Because this is, more or less, what Peter seems to be doing.
Cheap money= dirty financial speculation money. Money not created through work! Worldwide most money is dirty money.
How does the Xi / Putin agreement for energy affect predictions, and switching to yuan currency.
They have to transport that energy several thousand miles.that will drive the cost of the energy any where from 5 to 10 times the industrial average.
Who blew up the Nord Stream pipelines? Who did erase Germany from the map of industrial production?
Nobody. Germany restructured, Russia wasn't delivering anyway, no need for the pipelines anymore and a good way to force other European countries to get gas and oil elsewhere. You think Nato Partners don't talk and planed to destroy the pipelines to hurt Russia together? Just bc they don't made it public? Thats not how war and intel works btw🤷♂️. Germany's economy pretty stable, except for the idiotic auto industries(20% of GDP), who are way too late to the EV's party and now might be doomed pretty likely unfortunately. Combustion engine cars are the walking/rolling dead, have no margin and future.
First he goes from really confident about his predictions in the past to maybe this and maybe that if this happens. This guy has more back doors to the NSA.
Well I assume everyone changes their level of certainty about things as new information comes in? If he were to maintain his certainty despite changes in reality would that make you happier?
For every tank sent to Ukraine 100+ been blown up in a day!
CHINA is now the world’s second-largest provider of hull insurance, after overtaking Lloyd’s on market share, the International Union of Marine Insurance has confirmed.
The country - which has seen its slice of the pie grow slowly but steadily in recent years - recorded a 12.4% share of 2020 global aggregate hull premiums totalling $7.1bn.
It now sits second in the league table behind the Nordic region on 14%, and well ahead of Lloyd’s, at number three on 8.6%.
That's cool, but the quality of insurance is only discovered when you go to claim on it.
@@VenturiLife the point is Peter's claim that Russian tankers would be unable to sail because only Lloyds insures ships is a lie
@@Withnail1969 but why would the Chinese help the Russians raise the price of the oil they're selling them with they've got such a wonderful excuse to get even steeper discounts?
@@bobs_toys I don't think you've understood. They need oil and they can and do routinely insure ships such as tankers, contrary to Peter's claims. That's all I'm saying.
@@Withnail1969 I understand.
Just like they and I understand that they have other sources of oil, but Russia doesn't have other major buyers.
Putin has put Russia into a position where a country that hates them can dictate the terms of their relationship, and Putin's Russia has no choice but to bend over the barrel, spread wide and hope what comes next isn't too painful.
Really need to dissect truth from BS with this guy. I'd like to hear his take on BRICS.
This dude is the Peter schiff of geopolitics.
Not at all. Peter has been the most prescient commentator that I have witnessed over the last several decades.
This guy's record is dreadful...can't wait to see what he's going to be wrong about next
How can we find out about Zeihan's track record?
You can nit-pick the details or see the trends he's pointing out. Those, I believe, are pretty valid.
He's a genius, post your criticisms
Thanks for watching!
Vietnam vs US ...who won?
It can be hard to win war with people that have nothing worthwhile. You can’t bomb the entire jungle. But the usa left and went on to become extremely wealthy and dominate and Vietnam is still as poor as it was then hoping USA companies come and pay them 1 dollar a day. Nice “win” lol.
Taliban vs US ... who won?
@@marcwichmann2012 Neither of your putative winners came to America, occupied the country, or did anything beneficial to them that would suggest they had won. Ha!
I would love to hear Peters view on the UK leaving the EU
When Peter talks, the 50 cent army shows up to comment.
Like he doesn't have a portfolio?! Derp
@@colemeeker908 his portfolio was calling Ukraine war a decade ago.
I noticed they just call him names like a kid on a school playground. They can't actually provide numbers or reasoning to debunk what he says.
@@MarkGast Yep there's tons of that. I can appreciate a good argument, but a simple bald assertion on how much he sucks doesn't advance anyone's understanding about anything.
@@MarkGast it's like they all have a sheet to read from. They have to call him a propagandist, which doesn't really mean anything to an American, so I'm not sure what that means, maybe something to the Chinese. Then they say something about the CIA or neocon, then somehow bring it back to how he's wrong on China.🤣
I want to hear what Mr Zeihan has to say about the CQV Trust/Social t trust funds becoming more and more accessible to everyone, and completely financing world governments.
Fantastic interview. i love Peter and i watch his channel too, have all his books and he has some great information all the way around. As with anything, he isn't a prognosticator but he does bring up some important points and some possible outcomes, i agree with most of what he says just based on his data he puts forth and how he frames it. Love seeing his view on things.
Thanks for watching!
Peter bases almost everything on data, he uses real data to back up his analysis.