I think Murphy is as much overdue as Domingo, but he's in a stronger film that is likely the frontrunner for a ton of categories. I still think he's the clear frontrunner
Absolutely he is. The Oscar Expert needs to check out Neil Jordan's 'Breakfast On Pluto' with Cillian in the lead - 17 years ago! Incredible performance.
yeah i don’t know what they’re talking about with domingo, i think they’d be surprised with how many people don’t know who colman domingo is. cillian murphy is a name that people recognise and hasn’t had his due.
Plus he’s been in a fantastically popular TV show (Peaky Blinders) that was also considered ‘underrated’ but went on for a decade and people LOVED him in that. It’s like a cult hero type of role and I wouldn’t be surprised if that gives him some sway - especially with the UK voters.
@@purplecookie4798 I will get a big touch of deja vu if he doesn't win. Peaky Blinders was massively snubbed by the main award shows, despite it being such a staple and revolutionary TV show. When the show won a BAFTA for S5, Steven Knight expressed his annoyance at the actors not being acknowledged as well in his speech. Cillian Murphy only got nominated S6. So it will be more interesting to see Cillian win a BAFTA for Oppenheimer than winning an Oscar imo.
Best Actor 1 Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer 2 Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers 3 Colman Domingo - Rustin 4 Andrew Scott - All Of Us Strangers 5 Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction 6 Bradley Cooper - Maestro 7 Leonardo DiCaprio - Killers OTFM 8 Barry Keoghan - Saltburn 9 Mads Mikkelsen - Promised Land Adam Driver - Ferrari 10 Glenn Powell - Hit Man
Best Actor Predictions: 1. Murphy: in the Best Picture front runner and has a narrative of being well liked actor being in a huge leading role, looking pretty good for a win imo. 2. Cooper: in a film looking good for Picture, and has a narrative and baity performance, but Mulligan has bigger praises than him, which will hurt him. 3. DiCaprio: in a movie locked for Picture, but he doesn’t have a strong narrative like Murphy or Cooper. 4. Giamatti: in a movie looking good for Picture, but the fact that his co Star is likely winning will hurt him, as I don’t see this movie winning 2 acting Oscars. 5. Wright: if this movie is going to keep the TIFF star like I think it will, Wright will come along with it. Next in Line: Domingo (he could get nominated but I think the fact that his movie has medicine reviews compared to my top 5 will hurt him, and I don’t see him winning), Scott (could get in, but I think he will be a critics thing. Best Actress: 1. Gladstone: has a narrative and is in a movie locked for Picture, with endless raves her for performance, though her performance being relatively subtle could hurt her. 2. Stone: has career best raves and is in a movie locked for Picture, though her lack of a narrative might hurt her. 3. Mulligan: is getting raves for her performance in a movie looking good for Picture, though I don’t think she will win compared to more exciting options like Gladstone or Stone. 4. Huller: is getting raves for her performance, though I don’t see it being a performance that wins you the Oscar. 5. Robbie: with the momentum the movie is, I personally think she will come along with it, though she could absolutely fall short. Next in Line: Barrino (I personally think she will be the big snub of the year, especially since this is her first movie, but could still happen), Lee (with the competition and the movie losing steam, I think she will fall short, but I could see critics saving her), Portman (I personally don’t see this movie being much of a player, but could be wrong), Spaeny (think this was just Venice being Venice and that the movie will be ignored)
I haven’t seen Poor Things yet but I wonder if Emma Stone’s lead role is similar in emotional scope to the role Olivia Colman won for in The Favourite - a role that required Olivia to show her entire range of acting talent from comedy to tragedy and everything inbetween. If this is that sort of role for Emma then the academy might eat it up like they did for Olivia!
I disagree. Netflix is a different beast so I believe Domingo would get in even if he wasn’t the most deserving (and from what I’m hearing he is, and with Netflix support should be considered a possible winner).
@@nate-it9xq that’s fair. I’ve seen people putting a lot of actors from festival darling films ahead of him and I just want to tell them “Netflix got a nomination for Ana de Armas in Blonde, do you really think they are going to miss the layup that is Domingo?” But yeah, winning is a different thing, though I certainly wouldn’t count him out for that either.
My Best Actor Predictions: 1. Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer 2. Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers 3. Bradley Cooper- Maestro 4. Leonardo DiCaprio - Killers of the Flower Moon 5. Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction (Just put him in my Top 5 after winning People’s Choice and buzz for his performance, possible first nomination for him.) 6 and possible snub. Colman Domingo - Rustin My Best Actress Predictions: 1. Emma Stone - Poor Things (Skyrocketed to number one after festival reactions. She’s won before and seems to giving it her all in Poor Things.) 2. Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon (Could she have a shot at winning lead now with her narrative. In the trailer, it looks like she’s going to give a fantastic performance with her emotional scenes. Excited to see her performance, could this win her an Oscar?) 3. Sandra Hüller - Anatomy of a Fall 4. Carey Mulligan - Maestro 5. Greta Lee - Past Lives (If Past Lives is strong in Picture and Screenplay, I still can see Lee or other acting nominees in.) 6 and possible snub. Fantasia Barrino - The Color Purple
@dariussalepetru6770 NO SHE IS NOT!!!! Barbie is an Iconic Movie with Iconic Performances. She is thus year's JOHNNY DEPP AS JACK SPARROW #MargotRobbieForBestActress✊️✊🏻✊🏼✊🏽✊🏾✊🏿
Don't forget these guys are hard-core liberals so they will put minorities and people of color on a step above. It's a shame people In hollywood have this sort of bias but at the end of the day it's just their opinion
just watched killers of the flower moon and i must say i was absolutely blown away by Lily Gladstones performance. i know its debatable whether she is to be considered a main character or not, but her performance was very moving and elegant, in my opinion she was nearly perfect.
Would love to see Domingo finally get his due, but I'm placing Murphy in first. Robbie is top five. She's being seriously underestimated. When Barbie makes it in BP, she'll be right there with it in lead actress. The Gladstone move...good luck to her is all I'll say to that decision. Just like I did with Williams last year.
I want Andrew Scott to get an Oscar nom so badly! He’s just such a stunning actor and consistently puts out some of the best work in the entire industry. A nomination would feel so deserved and overdue despite him still being fairly young
But Lily Gladstone definitely has a great chance because Emma Stone already won before and this year is the 50th anniversary of Littlefeather refusing an Oscar. If Apple can pull CODA off, then they can definitely pull it off for Gladstone again this year
The book Killers of the Flower Moon also paints Lily Gladstone’s character Mollie as a passive/stoic figure. Hard to say if that’s accurate historically considering there isn’t much record of her outside court proceedings and headlines. Haven’t seen the film but have heard Scorsese say he wanted to change that narrative a bit, interested to see how that change played out on screen.
Emma Stone is my absolute favorite actress working today and seeing her win a second would be great, but my heart is actually really hoping to see Greta Lee get back up in the mix. Also ever since I got out of Oppenheimer I have been praying for Cillian Murphy to win best actor, I think he is so immensely talented and seeing him command that screen the whole movie is the first time in a while I said “that’s a true Oscar performance”
It's actually going to happen! Emma is in EVERY SCENE of Poor things cuz she's the one driving the story! Lily probably has ample time in the 3.5 hour Killers to justify being in the lead category, but her character IS NOT driving the MAIN PLOT, which is scheming and murdering her family and Osage community. Grave injustice and tragedy is happening to her, but she's not driving the main plot! Which is why I think Emma has a stronger chance of winning!
@@connor194wq The Academy has messed up a lot but giving Yeoh the oscar over blanchett isn't as bad as Jamie Lee Curtis winning in her category despite being the least deserving one in that category. Blanchett was predicted as the frontrunner last year and many many other major awards like Bafta but EEATO was trending and maybe they thought Blanchett will get nominated many more times but Yeoh won't or whatever! Also, the Academy doesn't always nominate and reward people just because of their ethnicity or color of their skin! If they were biased like that, they would have at least nominated Viola Davis and Danielle Deadwyler, who were BOTH FAR MORE DESERVING AND BETTER in their films than Ana De Armas and Michelle Williams! However, like I said before, Emma IS THE MAIN FOCUS and in every scene of Poor things. The reviews for her are VERY STRONG and she is set to sweep. Lily sacrificed the Oscar by moving to Best Leading Actress but she will always be the first American Native American woman to be nominated in that category and she will have a long and very successful career after Killers with many more nominations and possible wins! What happened with Blanchett last year isn't exactly comparable to the Emma Stone and Gladstone situation. And again, we haven't seen the movies but I have heard that Lily is very subtle and understated in her performance where she is acting mainly through her eyes and small gestures while still moving and captivating audiences...similar to Cillian Murphy in Oppenheimer. Emma is A LOT MORE SHOWIER (but still terrific and it's a very versatile performance and she shows tremendous range) and SHOWIER performances tend to make a lot of noise and be noticed and rewarded as opposed to the subtle, understated ones!
Greta Lee and Andrew Scott barely being out of the 5 makes me worried. And along with what you said with the BAFTAs- Bradley cooper and Paul Giamatti are snubbable there and if they’re gone, Andrew Scott could get in (he’s also Irish so he has the “European advantage”).I also see Andrew getting in to critics choice and maybe golden globe drama I definitely see Sandra Huller taking the BAFTA as well. Emma Stone is taking golden globe comedy/musical and probably SAG. Critics choice feels like it could go to any of that top three.
You are right! Yhe Oscar voters were fascinated with Michelee Yeoh's use of the fim's visual effects to jazz up her acting plus her collapsing all the cting gendres into one role. She score points in all these miscrlaneous attributes. Cate wanted to learn from her when these two had a conversation in the Variety channel.
I caught this one with Cole in Cannes and I share your feelings on her being very passive. I was quite surprised when people came out raving about her performance tbh. She's very good but there's really not THAT much she gets to do.
😭😭Why are critics still doubting about Cillian Murphy??? NBP says Bradley Cooper and you guys say Colmin Dolmingo? Guys CIllian Murphy is one glorious lead in a 1 billion biopic, he's gonna S-W-E-E-P. Even he lost at the SAG, it doesn't matter. SAG is 2 days after voting. Cillian Murphy has BAFTA in bag, then the voting will immediately start. He's not going to lose
Teyana Taylor is the most under appreciated talent in America, such a good voice and makes great RnB music but never pushed by Kanye West and her label and now similarly getting forgotten about in acting
comparing emma and lily with last year's cate and yeoh is so stupid, cause yeaoh was a literal legend with decades of illustrious work. she had a lot going for her.
right? They both insinuate that Michelle Yeoh won mostly on diversity votes, ignoring all the box office success and great performance. These 2 white twinks are driving me NUTS!
Call me crazy, but I don’t think Fantasia’s getting a best actress nom anymore. The Color Purple looks like a very subpar Oscar-bait remake and I see the academy giving either Greta Lee or Margot Robbie the fifth slot. I think WB is going to do way more campaigning for Barbie than The Color Purple, considering both the box office and general love for the movie, and if we can agree that Color Purple is pretty low on the ranking of possibilities for best picture, should we be so sure it’ll get 1, 2, or on some people’s lists, 3 acting nominations?
Agreed. The Color Purple had its moment in 1986, and from what I've seen that character was already awarded with Whoopi's nomination. I can see Margot winning the Globe for comedic actress, but will Poor Things be considered a comedy?
@@poett8875 it was still a relatively "tame" year coming off of a pandemic, put that movie into any other year before it and i don't think it gets anything but kidman
tiktok will go insane if murphy doesn't win actor lmao, over Rustin which most of the people on the platform would've never heard of. Would be a sight to see
Couldn’t agree with you more Brother Bro! The Boseman and Viola Davis very recent losses illustrate that the Academy won’t just jump ship to a minority and give them the win just for the sake of a diversity pick. Whilst Gladstone can absolutely win the Oscar for Best Actress the primary reason wouldn’t be because it’s their chance to give the first Native American the win for best actress. I don’t think they would vote that way. It may come into play but she’s up against Emma Stone in Poor Things and that’s a performance that just as many people are excited for/about. Great vid boys. I still have Greta Lee in My picks. I just think Past Lives is really beloved and I have it getting into BP - I feel she’s gotta come along with that. X
Apples and oranges. Davis and Boseman were not in best picture movies. Hopkins and McDormand were. With Cate vs Michelle Yeoh, they did make the diversity pick. If it comes down to Stone and Gladstone, they may pick Gladstone if as expected, both movies are in best picture.
@@tonyg76being in a BP nominee is irrelevant ,like they mentioned Renee Zellweger won against two BP performances and The Father was a surprise BP nominee
@@blackguyofthesouth2161 Year by year man. The year Hopkins and McDormand won, it was relevant. The year Zellweger won it was not. All things being equal, the person in the best picture usually wins. Olivia Coleman over Glenn Close for example. Just saying if it comes down to Stone vs Gladstone, the same thing may happen especially if Gladstone wins the SAG, because they go last. She will have the Oscar momentum. It all depends on how THIS year plays out.
Ok craziest thought, what if somehow Sandra Huller misses out? Could happen. Last year Andrea Riseborough got nominated. What if Greta Lee also becomes Andrea of 2024? The movie was deemed one of the bests at the starting of the year. It's winning Screenplay for sure.
It's interesting how differently you talked about Colman Domingo and Annette Bening. With Bening, you said you're weary of picks that people are toying with either at 1 or at 6.
Just to mention , on Michelle Yeoh, how many actors have won for a role which incorporates, martial arts and stunts , her performance is just gonna age like fine wine
She deserved the Oscar but nobody else in that movie deserved to even be nominated, especially the old woman from Halloween who won. That has to be the worst Oscar winning performance of all time, all she did was run around with a zero on her head and have sausage fingers
@@barry4649 that is true with jaime lee curtis, but no way is key huy quan and stephanie hsu not deserved to be nominated, the two of them showed insane range and physicality
not my fav thing in Barbie, but I realy believe Margot Robbie will be nominated, specially if The Color Purple is pushed or is not as good as we think, she will be WB only actress to push
13:50 predicting the obvious ones is always easy. But you criminally underestimated Annette Bening’s performance. She was so happening but you guys choose not to see it. The 20th century women was more like an ensemble which wasn’t really focusing on Benings character that much but Nyad was solely focusing on Diana Nyad and Voila she got the Oscar nomination.
As far as Wright/American Fiction is concerned, knowing how MGM handled both Till and Women Talking last year, I don’t necessarily trust them to push Wright in the five right now, though that could change. WT got in Picture and Screenplay (and won the latter) without any actresses nominated, so who knows?
Can someone please tell me why the Best Actress category is the most stressful category out of all categories at the Oscars?? What the hell man?? Back in 2022, people weren't sure that Kristen Stewart would get in because she was snubbed in some major awards but she managed to get through anyway, then this year we had the whole Andrea Riseborough situation and for Oscar next year we have Lily Gladstone who was clearly playing a supporting role in Killers yet Paramount and Apple are campaigning her for the lead role? What's going on with this category??? 😂😂
@@martin3980 Because it's clear that she's playing the supporting character yet she somehow is going to be campaign for the lead. Even when she has an important role, she's still a supporting anyway. Anyone who won an Oscar for playing a supporting role plays an important character 🤷
Patricia Neal, Nicole Kidman, Louise Fletcher, and Luise Rainer all won Best Actress Oscars for supporting roles. So, if Lilly Gladstone wins, she will be in good company.
Whom is Nicole Kidman a supporting role to in The Hours? The movie starts with her and Julianne Moore’s and Meryl Streep’s sections are based on what Virginia Woolf goes through.
Glad to see I’m not the only one predicting Colman Domingo. I see so much passion for his performance and he’s just having a great year with Rustin, The Color Purple & now even Sing Sing.
It's not cause he has the baitiest and most topical role+diversity factor. And he is in 37388392 projects this year. The best picture talk is shit cause it not always works just look at Monster, Judy, Tammy Faye, Crazy Heart etc.
@@antoniodjordjevic9493 Brendan Fraser was the first person to win lead actor for a film that wasn’t in best picture since Jeff Bridges did for Crazy Heart, and that was all the way back in 2010. You seriously think that’ll happen two years in a row after it took over a decade for it to happen again? I’m sure Domingo is great, but Murphy, Cooper, Leo, and maybe even Giamatti are all stronger than him.
because TIFF Tribute awards goes to Colman Domingo for his works in Rustin & Sing Sing and Colman Domingo have 3 movies his in showing this year Rustin, Sing Sing & The Color Purple.. look last year and the other previous years of TIFF Tribute awards winners also won the Oscars like Brendan Fraser (for The Whale), Jessica Chastain (for The Eyes Of Tammy Faye), Joaquin Phoenix (for Joker) & Anthony Hopkins (for The Father)
Best Actress: 1 Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon 2 Emma Stone - Poor Things 3 Carey Mulligan - Maestro 4 Greta Lee - Past Lives 5 Annette Benning - Nyad 6 Sandra Huller - Anatomy of a Fall 7 Fantasia Barrino - The Colour Purple 8 Margot Robbie - Barbie 9 Olivia Colman - Wicked Little Letters 10 Ellen Burstyn - Mother Couch
I think Gladstone’s narrative is more than just being the first Native American to win though. She’s the heart of a Best Picture frontrunner, carrying the pain of what happened during that point in time. It may be subtle, but it seems pretty visibly subtle.
Thats a very good point. And also during the awards circuit every time Leo or De Niro win an award (and they will win a few for sure), they will push for her as hard as possible. And she will do the same for them. I can honestly see the 3 of them ending up winning the acting Oscars. Critics said its Leo's best performance ever and he delivered many 10/10 performances already (in my opinion). I love Cillian Murphy and I would love to see him winning an Oscar too, so I guess whoever wins leading actor, I will be happy.
I had many problems with Poor Things but Emma Stone is undeniably good in it. At the same time, I think it’s lame to call a performance brave and fearless for requiring lots of nudity and sex. Stone does the emotional part well enough to justify awards.
I agree with your point about “brave and fearless” connected to sex and nudity, but (only having seen the trailer) I would still call the role “brave and fearless” just for how out-there she manages to go trusting both her ability and her director not to make her look stupid.
You guys are obviously rooting for Domingo and have been the whole year. Here’s my two cents: I feel better about predicting him for a nom, but the Best Picture stat is huge. Best Actor has never had back to back years of going to someone from a non-Best Picture nominee, and it took 13 years for Brendan Fraser to break
Frances McDormand won her first Best Actress award for her performance in Fargo. Her performance in that movie was also quiet, and she did not look like a lead at all.
My current GoldDerby predictions: (as of 25.10.23) *Best Actress:* 5. Greta Lee (Past Lives) 4. Margot Robbie (Barbie) 3. Sandra Huller (Anatomy of a Fall) 2. Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) 1. Emma Stone (Poor Things) How dare you say Best Actress this yeatr will be ghe Battle of the Stones after I already came up with that in my mind??! Very easily my 6# is Fantasia Barrino (The Color Purple), until a couple days ago I still had her on but then I realised Past Lives needs that Actress nomination more than The Color Purple, since I have it higher in Best Picture but with less nominations in other categories. Natalie Portman can happen if May December happens, which I'm still not sure about. Currently I don't have that movie in at any category, but consider it a "maybe" in 5 different ones, Best Picture included. I'm not feeling Priscilla and 1001 as Oscar contenders, but I'm open to having my mind changes. I am, however, not as open minded about Origin, which I'm feeling pretty confident isn't a real thing. Nyad isn't actually in the running anywhere besides Supporting Actress. And now something that we all need to get into our heads: Maestro 👏 won't 👏 get 👏 nominations 👏 above 👏 the 👏 line! That movie would be grateful having a total of 2 nominations, and even at that, both WILL be below the line. *Best Actor:* 5. Kingdley Ben-Adir (Bob Marley: One Love) 4. Leonardo DiCaprio (Killers of the Flower Moon) 3. Colman Domingo (Rustin) 2. Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) 1. Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) Don't discredit Giamatti's winning chances folks! It can happen. My clear 6# right now is Jeffery Wright (American Fiction), since I finally caved and put that movie in Best Picture, but I'm afraid the only way I can put him in there is if the Bob Marley movie gets officially postponed and doesn't get a release this year. Otherwise I'll continue predicting it in Picture, Actor and Original Screenplay. Yes, I am 1 of the 18 people still predicting the Bob Marley movie in Best Picture, what about it? Matt Damon can happen if happens in Best Picture AND if Bob Marley gets moved. Otherwise nobody else that I think has that much of a shot. And if you wonder how I feel about Bradley Cooper, look above at what I had to say about that movie in the context of Carey Mulligan.
I personally cannot speak on whether or not Colman Domingo will actually get nominated or not, let alone win - I have him at number 2 behind Cillian Murphy just to be safe - but I’m reading through these comments right now, and to insinuate that he stands no chance towards the end of September is kinda jumping the gun a bit. For me, I feel like he has pretty much a lot of things the other contenders have: the feel-good film according to audiences (Giamatti), the film focusing on an important social issue (DiCaprio), the overdue-for-a-nomination narrative (Murphy), and the hair/makeup transformation (Cooper). He’s really the only actor in this category outside of Cooper imo who stands a chance at the actor-makeup combo (like Butler and Fraser last year). Also, I skimmed through some reviews from people who actually saw it at Telluride and TIFF, and this isn’t me saying it’ll get in Picture, either, but I would argue that categories like score, song, and (maybe) screenplay - big “maybe,” I’m aware - would all make a decent nomination package, in addition to actor and makeup. We have to keep in mind that none of these movies (outside of Oppenheimer) are actually out yet, and we would have to see how Netflix handles the rollout + campaign before we can call anything.
Poor Bradley Cooper, he has nine Oscar nominations so far with zero wins and next year he'll likely be nominated again but winning might be a far chance because of the tight competition. Dude can't catch a break with the Oscars 😂
This is a very unpopular opinion, but he’s not a very memorable actor. Even in A Star Is Born, he got overshadowed by Lady Gaga, Sam Elliot, and the dog. And that was his best role.
@@Sharpe1502 We'll agree to disagree here cause I thought he was phenomenal in ASIB. He broke my heart at the end. Still, he did change the film's focus, for better or worse.
I think Carey Mulligan will miss. I see her as the Viola of this season. It just feels like her performance won't have that type of passion behind it. I honestly could see Emma, Lily or Annette winning. It truly could go any way. Side note, I'm praying for a surprise Teyana Taylor nomination. That would be one of the most justified Oscar nominations in recent years.
My predictions (alphabetical order) Best Actor 1.Bradley Cooper-Maestro 2.Leonardo DiCaprio-Killers of the Flower Moon 3.Colman Domingo-Rustin 4.Paul Giamatti-The Holdovers 5.Cillian Murphy-Oppenheimer Best Actress 1.Fantasia Barrino-The Color Purple 2.Lily Gladstone-Killers of the Flower Moon 3.Sandra Hüller-Anatomy of a Fall 4.Carey Mulligan-Maestro 5.Emma Stone-Poor Things
I don't think Hueller will make it and I think Lee is a lock and I agree that Cooper is the frontrunner and Murphy isn't winning at all which sucks so bad
Are y’all playing the Vulture fantasy league? Your point about Huller’s likely success with critics groups has me thinking that Anatomy of a Fall will round out a lineup nicely
The Color Purple is a Warner Brothers production. WBD already moved Dune Part 2 to free up all the technical awards. If they move TCP then the other half of the awards are also freed up. Why would they want to compete with themselves? Also, considering how badly they want Nolan back, they would be opening up potential wins for Oppenheimer by doing this as well. They have way more reasons to move the movie to 2024 than to keep its scheduled release for later this year.
I don't understand this Colman Domingo overdue for a nom/recognition thing, at all. Jeffrey Wright? Now THAT's a veteran actor who has been so good in so many things for decades now. I couldn't even tell you 3 things that Colman Domingo has been in and, I feel like plenty of Academy voters would think similarly; and many know/admire/have worked with Wright for many years. Ditto that for Cillian Murphy, a true veteran who's been around for quite some time, worked with everyone, and received raves for his performance in one of the biggest films of the year. Will Rustin be that? If Domingo is as good as I've heard about, then great, he should be in and with a fighting chance to win. But I don't get the overdue thing. I also think you guys are off on Bening. I think she has plenty going for her. The film has been well-received by critics and said to be a crowd-pleaser. She will be pulling Foster in (Supporting, especially with Gladstone out) and/or the reverse. Bening would be the oldest nominee by quite a bit and, there is usually an older nominee each year. She's the ULTIMATE overdue veteran actress this year. And word is that she's been banging the drum behind the scenes of the actors strike; which voters would appreciate. I can also see her getting in with GG/SAG. I think she's in the 4-6 range, personally. Just my thoughts :) Love your videos.
I saw Poor Things at Venice. Honestly, Emma is pretty much going to sweep. It's a performance of a lifetime. Also, as much as they'd like to talk about it the Academy doesn't care about diversity as much as people think. There were ZERO black women lead last year, despite Viola and Deadwyler being way better than De Armas.
Michelle Williams, Andrea Risenborogh and Ana De Armas FLAT OUT STOLE Deadwyler and Viola's spots in that category! What the hell was that? Even if Till and The Woman King GOT NO OTHER NOMINATIONS, those 2 women deserved the recognition!
Natalie Portman's toe is reminiscent of romantic roes of the Annie Hall era of the 70s but with glashbaks andore grounded for the basis of the romanticism. Could be a stronger contender than what you have suggested.
Are we supposed to forget Yeoh's Instagram posts that basically stated that, she might not give the best performance of the year (Blanchett did), her winning would be historic as an Asian actress so she should be rewarded. It doesn't matter if her or her team posted that, it's telling of what happened backstage. Yeoh absolutely used this narrative to win the award, let's not be delusional.
Whereas Cate voted for Marion Cortillard, who was her biggest competitor the year Marion won, simply because Cate genuinely believed Marion was more deserving than her for that Oscar. Speaks volumes about how selfless Cate is as opposed to what Yeoh and her team did but whatever...
She posted the IG post at the last 3 hour before the voting ends. The news outlet came out with the story at least 5 or 6 hours after the voting ends. If you think there were members who would even bother to check her instagram or saw that post and still voted for her, then you're the one that's delusional. And don't tell me Cate Blanchett didn't win her first Oscar for being white and snubbing way better WoC performance in her category. Cate Blanchett lost fairly, face it.
@@nikitamohan3390 The one who would tell horse race award shows won't matter to her but show up at every single damn award show? The one who says she can't play lesbian anymore and insinuates that people shouldn't judge that quickly about Scarlet Jo playing an Asian woman(WTF) in a movie? So shockingly generous
@@jaguarkaboom8967 Well then you should also check the replies and see some ugly facts about Cate Blanchett during the last award season. Not that you Blanchett fans care, painting her as a saint
BEST ACTRESS 1. Greta Lee 2. Sandra Huller 3. Emma Stone 4. Lily Gladstone 5. Carey Mulligan Alternates: Natalie Portman or Cailee Spaeny BEST ACTOR 1. Teo Yoo 2. Cillian Murphy 3. Leonardo DiCaprio 4. Colman Domingo 5. Bradley Cooper Alternates: Andrew Scott or Paul Giamatti
@@RA-hx9uc This was 2 months ago, man. I think I'd have Lily higher in actress now maybe with Natalie or Margot. I feel like they won't nominate Greta Lee. In actor maybe Andrew Scott & Jeffrey Wright will be more likely to get in over Teo Yoo & Colman Domingo now.
I think Jeffrey Wright has a really strong shot at making it. Personally predicting him, Leo, Cillian, and Cooper, with the other slot being a tossup between Giamatti (who would miss because Wright is the supposed stronger comedic performance) or Domingo (because Rustin doesn't really look like its gonna compete in any other categories other than maybe song, and I have American Fiction in Picture, Screenplay, and Editing as well). As for actress, I've got a sinking feeling that we might see Mulligan snubbed since her performance is less bait than Cooper's (predicting Gladstone, Stone, Huller, Barrino, and Spaeny).
Best Actress (my projections): Lily Gladstone (Locked in) Emma Stone (Locked in) Sandra Huller (Locked in) Carey Mulligan (Should be a lock if the film performs as expected.) Annette Bening (Excellent actress with a strong narrative. Will depend on the film's performance.) Other Possible 5th spots: Greta Lee (Lily's performance is also subtle, which is fine. Subtlety is highly respected in acting when it's well executed.) Fantasia Barrino (The acting has to be on par with the singing. We'll see. Plus it's an old throwback in a field of exciting new stories as well as riveting biopics and historical dramas, so I'm not sure if it'll fit.) Aunjanue Ellis (Excellent actress, but depends on how the Academy receives the overall film.) *As far as Margot Robbie is concerned: If she gets in, I believe it will solely be due to extreme Barbie fandom. Nothing more.
Lily Gladstone's personal narrative (being the first Native American actress nominated, nearly quitting acting before this film, having SO MANY more acclaimed roles that people have not given recognition) will certainly beat out Emma Stone's great performance, very much like last year! I hope Emma also sees this opportunity like Cate did and lets Lily SHINE
It’s funny when people say she moved from supporting, a category that she was never in because they never said which category she would campaign in. She was “supporting” only because pundits said she was, lol, but in reality she never was.
Having now seen Killers of the Flower Moon, Lily Gladstone has given the single best performance of anyone I've seen so far this year. I still have to see Poor Things, Maestro, and the Color Purple, but they would have to be beyond outstanding to overtake Gladstone for me.
_warning: long paragraph + a less filtered take_ First, I also personally don’t like how cinephiles are selective on how they argue for or against women of color sometimes. I do think you guys are touching a line tho that had me tugging a collar. The truth is their identities will ALWAYS be important to their narrative bc outside of that the system just isn’t made fairly. You have to respect/get that or you’re being abit cynical. It’s not a diversity thing (personally really feel uncomfortable when mainly white critics use the term in a weird way) to acknowledge something that we know doesn’t happen often bc of the industry. Riseborough’s nomination should’ve open people’s eyes to that by now. That being said, I think Lily has a high chance outside of history. Emma already has one fairly recent and given the “backlash” EEAAO got they may resort back to the genre bias which Lily and maybe Sandra take front. _(Note: I don’t really care for the Oscars or the Academy but I do like watching videos that focus a lot on the social climate, thought process, and patterns the system follows)_ Overall, I think Lily campaigning isn’t a lock but it presents an out if they don’t want to reward another “unconventional winner” so soon. Nothings locked but given the mentality of the Riseborough campaign they may push for ‘traditional’ Oscar performances
I think it is unfair to only think of Lead Actress potential nominees in conjunction with Best Picture. The performances should be taken on their own. I think it speaks to the laziness of movie watchers and award prognosticators that they don’t seem to be interested in seeing any film that is not in contention for Picture. That’s why ratings and interest is down. It’s the same ol people and predictable wins. Expand!
I think the academy care about the best performance but the predictors care about who is probably going to win based on the movie like for example they didn’t expect jessica chastain to win an oscan for her movie tammy faye because the movie sucks but she won
@@CRM-114 what are you talking about. im talking about the choices of nominations and winners. Tiktok and letterboxed guys throw hands about how whiplash and interstellar didn't get as much awards and discount their respective nominees in the years. And yes, movies and art are definitely subjective.
Are you guys not considering Peter Sarsgaard to be in contention for the Best Actor nomination? He won the Volpi Cup Best Actor at the Venice Film Festival for "Memory" so never say never that he'll likely be nominated. That Volpi Cup win could easily pushed the studio to campaign him strong enough for the Oscars 🤷
@@devdanferguson7616Oh never mind, I read the eligibility rules. You need the movie to be played for a week in certain New York or Los Angeles theater that the Academy picks as far as I'm concerned eventhough Mubi produced the movie so it'll likely be released straight to Mubi, similar with Aftersun. I'm hoping the movie could find a distribution soon so that Sarsgaard can be Oscar nominated next year. I'm actually dying to see Memory 😂
@@Fl0k5ser Yep. Im excited for it to get released, I wanna see how it can become a player (same with Hit Man and Sing Sing). Time to start those early 2025 predictions!
She’s not happening bro. Lead Actress is too stacked for a subtle performance to get in. I honestly don’t think Past Lives is going to perform great. It’ll end up like Women Talking and only end up getting noms for Picture and Screenplay.
@@jackvlahos407 But they saw the film. For them to put him at #1 is because they think the performance is that good. We honestly don't know what's going to happen.
@@jackvlahos407 Again. It's their prediction. Theyre really good at predicting. Nobody knows whos going to win. In any case. We can comw back to this in a couple of months. Who's your pick to win?
If Oppenheimer is the clear frontrunner for basically every award, how is the leading actor who is in 99% of the movie not the frontrunner too?
He is.
Funny enough, I think there’s a world where Domingo isn’t even nominated, which I can’t say about Cillian Murpby
I think Murphy is as much overdue as Domingo, but he's in a stronger film that is likely the frontrunner for a ton of categories. I still think he's the clear frontrunner
Absolutely he is. The Oscar Expert needs to check out Neil Jordan's 'Breakfast On Pluto' with Cillian in the lead - 17 years ago! Incredible performance.
yeah i don’t know what they’re talking about with domingo, i think they’d be surprised with how many people don’t know who colman domingo is. cillian murphy is a name that people recognise and hasn’t had his due.
Plus he’s been in a fantastically popular TV show (Peaky Blinders) that was also considered ‘underrated’ but went on for a decade and people LOVED him in that. It’s like a cult hero type of role and I wouldn’t be surprised if that gives him some sway - especially with the UK voters.
@@purplecookie4798 I will get a big touch of deja vu if he doesn't win. Peaky Blinders was massively snubbed by the main award shows, despite it being such a staple and revolutionary TV show. When the show won a BAFTA for S5, Steven Knight expressed his annoyance at the actors not being acknowledged as well in his speech. Cillian Murphy only got nominated S6. So it will be more interesting to see Cillian win a BAFTA for Oppenheimer than winning an Oscar imo.
No such thing as over due.
The best actor will be Cillian Murphy I have no doubt at this stage
Best Actor
1 Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer
2 Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers
3 Colman Domingo - Rustin
4 Andrew Scott - All Of Us Strangers
5 Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction
6 Bradley Cooper - Maestro
7 Leonardo DiCaprio - Killers OTFM
8 Barry Keoghan - Saltburn
9 Mads Mikkelsen - Promised Land
Adam Driver - Ferrari
10 Glenn Powell - Hit Man
Best Actor Predictions:
1. Murphy: in the Best Picture front runner and has a narrative of being well liked actor being in a huge leading role, looking pretty good for a win imo.
2. Cooper: in a film looking good for Picture, and has a narrative and baity performance, but Mulligan has bigger praises than him, which will hurt him.
3. DiCaprio: in a movie locked for Picture, but he doesn’t have a strong narrative like Murphy or Cooper.
4. Giamatti: in a movie looking good for Picture, but the fact that his co Star is likely winning will hurt him, as I don’t see this movie winning 2 acting Oscars.
5. Wright: if this movie is going to keep the TIFF star like I think it will, Wright will come along with it.
Next in Line: Domingo (he could get nominated but I think the fact that his movie has medicine reviews compared to my top 5 will hurt him, and I don’t see him winning), Scott (could get in, but I think he will be a critics thing.
Best Actress:
1. Gladstone: has a narrative and is in a movie locked for Picture, with endless raves her for performance, though her performance being relatively subtle could hurt her.
2. Stone: has career best raves and is in a movie locked for Picture, though her lack of a narrative might hurt her.
3. Mulligan: is getting raves for her performance in a movie looking good for Picture, though I don’t think she will win compared to more exciting options like Gladstone or Stone.
4. Huller: is getting raves for her performance, though I don’t see it being a performance that wins you the Oscar.
5. Robbie: with the momentum the movie is, I personally think she will come along with it, though she could absolutely fall short.
Next in Line: Barrino (I personally think she will be the big snub of the year, especially since this is her first movie, but could still happen), Lee (with the competition and the movie losing steam, I think she will fall short, but I could see critics saving her), Portman (I personally don’t see this movie being much of a player, but could be wrong), Spaeny (think this was just Venice being Venice and that the movie will be ignored)
I haven’t seen Poor Things yet but I wonder if Emma Stone’s lead role is similar in emotional scope to the role Olivia Colman won for in The Favourite - a role that required Olivia to show her entire range of acting talent from comedy to tragedy and everything inbetween. If this is that sort of role for Emma then the academy might eat it up like they did for Olivia!
Agree !🎉❤
It isn't Barino's 1st movie and she will have the best campaign. She can win.
I think Domingo is just such a thing of the moment. It’s not Till but I think Murphy has a better shot.
I disagree. Netflix is a different beast so I believe Domingo would get in even if he wasn’t the most deserving (and from what I’m hearing he is, and with Netflix support should be considered a possible winner).
@@thrawncaedusl717 Oh I meant for the WIN
@@nate-it9xq that’s fair. I’ve seen people putting a lot of actors from festival darling films ahead of him and I just want to tell them “Netflix got a nomination for Ana de Armas in Blonde, do you really think they are going to miss the layup that is Domingo?” But yeah, winning is a different thing, though I certainly wouldn’t count him out for that either.
I have heard nothing about Rustin...... Cillian Murphy's performance has been talked about for awhile
to answer the ending question it would be Cillian and Emma
My Best Actor Predictions:
1. Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer
2. Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers
3. Bradley Cooper- Maestro
4. Leonardo DiCaprio - Killers of the Flower Moon
5. Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction (Just put him in my Top 5 after winning People’s Choice and buzz for his performance, possible first nomination for him.)
6 and possible snub. Colman Domingo - Rustin
My Best Actress Predictions:
1. Emma Stone - Poor Things (Skyrocketed to number one after festival reactions. She’s won before and seems to giving it her all in Poor Things.)
2. Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon (Could she have a shot at winning lead now with her narrative. In the trailer, it looks like she’s going to give a fantastic performance with her emotional scenes. Excited to see her performance, could this win her an Oscar?)
3. Sandra Hüller - Anatomy of a Fall
4. Carey Mulligan - Maestro
5. Greta Lee - Past Lives (If Past Lives is strong in Picture and Screenplay, I still can see Lee or other acting nominees in.)
6 and possible snub. Fantasia Barrino - The Color Purple
Greta Lee is out. Her performance is too subtle and quiet for the academy to take notice. And Lead Actress is too packed this year.
I agree with you
#MargotRobbieForBestActress✊️✊🏻✊🏼✊🏽✊🏾✊🏿
@@Kituchxy No
She is this year's Tom Cruise
@dariussalepetru6770 NO SHE IS NOT!!!!
Barbie is an Iconic Movie with Iconic Performances.
She is thus year's JOHNNY DEPP AS JACK SPARROW
#MargotRobbieForBestActress✊️✊🏻✊🏼✊🏽✊🏾✊🏿
Bruh 😭 No way you guys don’t have Cillian winning. It is undeniable in my eyes.
It should be undeniable. The most memorable role in years and a great performance where he got skinny as fuck and learned Dutch for
@@barry4649 ok he said like half a sentence of dutch in the film itself, not denying his performance but that isn't really relevant
Don't forget these guys are hard-core liberals so they will put minorities and people of color on a step above. It's a shame people In hollywood have this sort of bias but at the end of the day it's just their opinion
just watched killers of the flower moon and i must say i was absolutely blown away by Lily Gladstones performance. i know its debatable whether she is to be considered a main character or not, but her performance was very moving and elegant, in my opinion she was nearly perfect.
She’s definitely a main character, a lead actress is debatable
Would love to see Domingo finally get his due, but I'm placing Murphy in first. Robbie is top five. She's being seriously underestimated. When Barbie makes it in BP, she'll be right there with it in lead actress. The Gladstone move...good luck to her is all I'll say to that decision. Just like I did with Williams last year.
Robbie doesn't even deserve a nomination for Barbie. She won't make it.😊
I want Andrew Scott to get an Oscar nom so badly! He’s just such a stunning actor and consistently puts out some of the best work in the entire industry. A nomination would feel so deserved and overdue despite him still being fairly young
He’s 46
@@bronsonhatch yep, still fairly young
@mattjust4450 yes, because 46 is too young to get an Oscar nom 🤡
But Lily Gladstone definitely has a great chance because Emma Stone already won before and this year is the 50th anniversary of Littlefeather refusing an Oscar. If Apple can pull CODA off, then they can definitely pull it off for Gladstone again this year
Yes she can win, but I think supporting was a lock for her so it’s makes it interesting
The book Killers of the Flower Moon also paints Lily Gladstone’s character Mollie as a passive/stoic figure. Hard to say if that’s accurate historically considering there isn’t much record of her outside court proceedings and headlines. Haven’t seen the film but have heard Scorsese say he wanted to change that narrative a bit, interested to see how that change played out on screen.
Emma Stone is my absolute favorite actress working today and seeing her win a second would be great, but my heart is actually really hoping to see Greta Lee get back up in the mix.
Also ever since I got out of Oppenheimer I have been praying for Cillian Murphy to win best actor, I think he is so immensely talented and seeing him command that screen the whole movie is the first time in a while I said “that’s a true Oscar performance”
I would love it if Emma Stone would be the first of the "new generation of actresses" to win a 2nd oscar!
Same here!
It's actually going to happen! Emma is in EVERY SCENE of Poor things cuz she's the one driving the story! Lily probably has ample time in the 3.5 hour Killers to justify being in the lead category, but her character IS NOT driving the MAIN PLOT, which is scheming and murdering her family and Osage community. Grave injustice and tragedy is happening to her, but she's not driving the main plot! Which is why I think Emma has a stronger chance of winning!
@@nikitamohan3390 could say the same about Cate Blanchett last year with Tar. However, she never won
@@connor194wq The Academy has messed up a lot but giving Yeoh the oscar over blanchett isn't as bad as Jamie Lee Curtis winning in her category despite being the least deserving one in that category. Blanchett was predicted as the frontrunner last year and many many other major awards like Bafta but EEATO was trending and maybe they thought Blanchett will get nominated many more times but Yeoh won't or whatever! Also, the Academy doesn't always nominate and reward people just because of their ethnicity or color of their skin! If they were biased like that, they would have at least nominated Viola Davis and Danielle Deadwyler, who were BOTH FAR MORE DESERVING AND BETTER in their films than Ana De Armas and Michelle Williams! However, like I said before, Emma IS THE MAIN FOCUS and in every scene of Poor things. The reviews for her are VERY STRONG and she is set to sweep. Lily sacrificed the Oscar by moving to Best Leading Actress but she will always be the first American Native American woman to be nominated in that category and she will have a long and very successful career after Killers with many more nominations and possible wins! What happened with Blanchett last year isn't exactly comparable to the Emma Stone and Gladstone situation. And again, we haven't seen the movies but I have heard that Lily is very subtle and understated in her performance where she is acting mainly through her eyes and small gestures while still moving and captivating audiences...similar to Cillian Murphy in Oppenheimer. Emma is A LOT MORE SHOWIER (but still terrific and it's a very versatile performance and she shows tremendous range) and SHOWIER performances tend to make a lot of noise and be noticed and rewarded as opposed to the subtle, understated ones!
@@nikitamohan3390cate gonna win and be nominated many more,please shut UP 🙄
Greta Lee and Andrew Scott barely being out of the 5 makes me worried. And along with what you said with the BAFTAs- Bradley cooper and Paul Giamatti are snubbable there and if they’re gone, Andrew Scott could get in (he’s also Irish so he has the “European advantage”).I also see Andrew getting in to critics choice and maybe golden globe drama I definitely see Sandra Huller taking the BAFTA as well. Emma Stone is taking golden globe comedy/musical and probably SAG. Critics choice feels like it could go to any of that top three.
You are right!
Yhe Oscar voters were fascinated with Michelee Yeoh's use of the fim's visual effects to jazz up her acting plus her collapsing all the cting gendres into one role.
She score points in all these miscrlaneous attributes. Cate wanted to learn from her when these two had a conversation in the Variety channel.
I caught this one with Cole in Cannes and I share your feelings on her being very passive. I was quite surprised when people came out raving about her performance tbh. She's very good but there's really not THAT much she gets to do.
Who
@@pb.j.1753 Oscar Expert aka Cannes Expert aka TIFF Expert
@@pb.j.1753 lily gladstone probs
So maybe she might get snubbed with her decision to go lead!
😭😭Why are critics still doubting about Cillian Murphy??? NBP says Bradley Cooper and you guys say Colmin Dolmingo? Guys CIllian Murphy is one glorious lead in a 1 billion biopic, he's gonna S-W-E-E-P. Even he lost at the SAG, it doesn't matter. SAG is 2 days after voting. Cillian Murphy has BAFTA in bag, then the voting will immediately start. He's not going to lose
Frrrrr, anything that has Oppenheimer's name attached, the critics keep hoeing it in their predictions. Cillian and Oppenheimer are gonna sweep HARD
I really hope so because he 100% deserves it
I still hope Greta Lee and Teo Yoo gets in for Past Lives 😢
Cliche same la la land
loved past lives but I don't think it'll get acting nominations :(
Not happening fam. The lead categories are just too packed for quiet performances.
They are nowhere near top 5.
I’m upset that they released A Thousand and One so early in the year because Teyana Taylor definitely deserves a nomination
No for real🗣, one of the best performances of the year
Teyana Taylor is the most under appreciated talent in America, such a good voice and makes great RnB music but never pushed by Kanye West and her label and now similarly getting forgotten about in acting
She’s so good in it
Not that divorce is good, but her divorce has her name out there
Maybe she can get in via an Andrea Riseboro campaign😉. I haven’t seen it but I’ve only heard great things about her in it.
I’d want Cillian Murphy to be both my mom and my dad
comparing emma and lily with last year's cate and yeoh is so stupid, cause yeaoh was a literal legend with decades of illustrious work. she had a lot going for her.
right? They both insinuate that Michelle Yeoh won mostly on diversity votes, ignoring all the box office success and great performance. These 2 white twinks are driving me NUTS!
Call me crazy, but I don’t think Fantasia’s getting a best actress nom anymore. The Color Purple looks like a very subpar Oscar-bait remake and I see the academy giving either Greta Lee or Margot Robbie the fifth slot. I think WB is going to do way more campaigning for Barbie than The Color Purple, considering both the box office and general love for the movie, and if we can agree that Color Purple is pretty low on the ranking of possibilities for best picture, should we be so sure it’ll get 1, 2, or on some people’s lists, 3 acting nominations?
Agreed. The Color Purple had its moment in 1986, and from what I've seen that character was already awarded with Whoopi's nomination. I can see Margot winning the Globe for comedic actress, but will Poor Things be considered a comedy?
I still think Robbie can get in. Greta Lee tho is done for.
Well didn’t Being the Ricardo’s get 3 acting noms and missed best picture?
@@poett8875 it was still a relatively "tame" year coming off of a pandemic, put that movie into any other year before it and i don't think it gets anything but kidman
I feel like Danielle Brooke’s and Fantasia get in regardless of the movie being good
tiktok will go insane if murphy doesn't win actor lmao, over Rustin which most of the people on the platform would've never heard of. Would be a sight to see
Nobody cares about people on tiktok or twitter
Cillian Murphy will win.
Couldn’t agree with you more Brother Bro! The Boseman and Viola Davis very recent losses illustrate that the Academy won’t just jump ship to a minority and give them the win just for the sake of a diversity pick. Whilst Gladstone can absolutely win the Oscar for Best Actress the primary reason wouldn’t be because it’s their chance to give the first Native American the win for best actress. I don’t think they would vote that way. It may come into play but she’s up against Emma Stone in Poor Things and that’s a performance that just as many people are excited for/about. Great vid boys. I still have Greta Lee in My picks. I just think Past Lives is really beloved and I have it getting into BP - I feel she’s gotta come along with that. X
Apples and oranges. Davis and Boseman were not in best picture movies. Hopkins and McDormand were. With Cate vs Michelle Yeoh, they did make the diversity pick. If it comes down to Stone and Gladstone, they may pick Gladstone if as expected, both movies are in best picture.
@@tonyg76the movie was snubbed in Picture due to white supremacy
@@tonyg76being in a BP nominee is irrelevant ,like they mentioned Renee Zellweger won against two BP performances and The Father was a surprise BP nominee
@@blackguyofthesouth2161 Year by year man. The year Hopkins and McDormand won, it was relevant. The year Zellweger won it was not. All things being equal, the person in the best picture usually wins. Olivia Coleman over Glenn Close for example. Just saying if it comes down to Stone vs Gladstone, the same thing may happen especially if Gladstone wins the SAG, because they go last. She will have the Oscar momentum. It all depends on how THIS year plays out.
@@tonyg76 Have you seen Poor Things? I saw it at Venice, and honestly Emma Stone's performance is the best so far this decade. She's going to sweep.
Ok craziest thought, what if somehow Sandra Huller misses out? Could happen. Last year Andrea Riseborough got nominated. What if Greta Lee also becomes Andrea of 2024? The movie was deemed one of the bests at the starting of the year. It's winning Screenplay for sure.
It's interesting how differently you talked about Colman Domingo and Annette Bening. With Bening, you said you're weary of picks that people are toying with either at 1 or at 6.
Nah Cillian Murphy should and will win.
Greta Lee saving grace is the SAG strike. A24 agreed to thier teems, and Past Lives is A24.
That's why I have her in.
Just to mention , on Michelle Yeoh, how many actors have won for a role which incorporates, martial arts and stunts , her performance is just gonna age like fine wine
Her performance was well deserved and will just get better with time
Same! I am glad Yeoh won over Blanchett
She deserved the Oscar but nobody else in that movie deserved to even be nominated, especially the old woman from Halloween who won. That has to be the worst Oscar winning performance of all time, all she did was run around with a zero on her head and have sausage fingers
@@barry4649 that is true with jaime lee curtis, but no way is key huy quan and stephanie hsu not deserved to be nominated, the two of them showed insane range and physicality
Action stubid film..not acting..must make sport
not my fav thing in Barbie, but I realy believe Margot Robbie will be nominated, specially if The Color Purple is pushed or is not as good as we think, she will be WB only actress to push
THANK GOODNESS... someone understands
Tengeer film
Hopefully Cillian Murphy and Emma Stone will win 🤞🏼
13:50 predicting the obvious ones is always easy. But you criminally underestimated Annette Bening’s performance. She was so happening but you guys
choose not to see it. The 20th century women was more like an ensemble which wasn’t really focusing on Benings character that much but Nyad was solely focusing on Diana Nyad and Voila she got the Oscar nomination.
As far as Wright/American Fiction is concerned, knowing how MGM handled both Till and Women Talking last year, I don’t necessarily trust them to push Wright in the five right now, though that could change. WT got in Picture and Screenplay (and won the latter) without any actresses nominated, so who knows?
Can someone please tell me why the Best Actress category is the most stressful category out of all categories at the Oscars?? What the hell man?? Back in 2022, people weren't sure that Kristen Stewart would get in because she was snubbed in some major awards but she managed to get through anyway, then this year we had the whole Andrea Riseborough situation and for Oscar next year we have Lily Gladstone who was clearly playing a supporting role in Killers yet Paramount and Apple are campaigning her for the lead role? What's going on with this category??? 😂😂
I agree..christin stwart was deaserve the oscar..but becase she dont was in season she lose.
Lily Gladstone plays the most important character in the film, what are YOU talking about?
@@martin3980 J.K. Simmons also played the most important character in Whiplash but you don't see the studio campaigning him for Best Actor 🤷
@@Fl0k5ser and what’s that gotta do with Lily Gladstone’s Oscar campaign? Stop being an incel
@@martin3980 Because it's clear that she's playing the supporting character yet she somehow is going to be campaign for the lead. Even when she has an important role, she's still a supporting anyway. Anyone who won an Oscar for playing a supporting role plays an important character 🤷
Patricia Neal, Nicole Kidman, Louise Fletcher, and Luise Rainer all won Best Actress Oscars for supporting roles. So, if Lilly Gladstone wins, she will be in good company.
I thought Kidman was lead for The Hours
Whom is Nicole Kidman a supporting role to in The Hours? The movie starts with her and Julianne Moore’s and Meryl Streep’s sections are based on what Virginia Woolf goes through.
@@michaelmasselli2869 Borderline supporting in terms of screentime, but campaigned in lead and winning lead Oscars.
@pb.j.1753 Julianne Moore was in the supporting actress category that year. She had more screen time than Nicole Kidman.
@@kirkreid743 was that the same year as Far From Heaven so she went lead for that? Makes sense
Despite the wide age gap I feel like Giamatti and Emma Stone as my parents would be constantly dry and entertaining
Glad to see I’m not the only one predicting Colman Domingo. I see so much passion for his performance and he’s just having a great year with Rustin, The Color Purple & now even Sing Sing.
Having Domingo over Cillian is crazy
Delusional asf
It's not cause he has the baitiest and most topical role+diversity factor. And he is in 37388392 projects this year. The best picture talk is shit cause it not always works just look at Monster, Judy, Tammy Faye, Crazy Heart etc.
@@antoniodjordjevic9493 The only thing he has going for him is diversity and topic of the movie. I would say Bradley has the baitiest role
@@antoniodjordjevic9493 Brendan Fraser was the first person to win lead actor for a film that wasn’t in best picture since Jeff Bridges did for Crazy Heart, and that was all the way back in 2010. You seriously think that’ll happen two years in a row after it took over a decade for it to happen again? I’m sure Domingo is great, but Murphy, Cooper, Leo, and maybe even Giamatti are all stronger than him.
because TIFF Tribute awards goes to Colman Domingo for his works in Rustin & Sing Sing
and Colman Domingo have 3 movies his in showing this year Rustin, Sing Sing & The Color Purple..
look last year and the other previous years of TIFF Tribute awards winners also won the Oscars like Brendan Fraser (for The Whale), Jessica Chastain (for The Eyes Of Tammy Faye), Joaquin Phoenix (for Joker) & Anthony Hopkins (for The Father)
Best Actress:
1 Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon
2 Emma Stone - Poor Things
3 Carey Mulligan - Maestro
4 Greta Lee - Past Lives
5 Annette Benning - Nyad
6 Sandra Huller - Anatomy of a Fall
7 Fantasia Barrino - The Colour Purple
8 Margot Robbie - Barbie
9 Olivia Colman - Wicked Little Letters
10 Ellen Burstyn - Mother Couch
And Best Actor
#MargotRobbieForBestActress✊️✊🏻✊🏼✊🏽✊🏾✊🏿
I will see 9 10 trailer
I think Gladstone’s narrative is more than just being the first Native American to win though. She’s the heart of a Best Picture frontrunner, carrying the pain of what happened during that point in time. It may be subtle, but it seems pretty visibly subtle.
Thats a very good point. And also during the awards circuit every time Leo or De Niro win an award (and they will win a few for sure), they will push for her as hard as possible. And she will do the same for them. I can honestly see the 3 of them ending up winning the acting Oscars. Critics said its Leo's best performance ever and he delivered many 10/10 performances already (in my opinion). I love Cillian Murphy and I would love to see him winning an Oscar too, so I guess whoever wins leading actor, I will be happy.
shouldn't be based on narrative, base it off BEST PERFORMANCE
@@darkweeknd33well most people seem to think she’s win worthy so what now lol
@@nate-it9xq yeah based on performance... which is what the oscars should be based on
killers is not a frontrunner.
I have Emma first and still think that Cillian will win Actor.
I hope Teyana will be remembered, they need to re-release "A Thousand and One" in December or something.
I had many problems with Poor Things but Emma Stone is undeniably good in it. At the same time, I think it’s lame to call a performance brave and fearless for requiring lots of nudity and sex. Stone does the emotional part well enough to justify awards.
I agree with your point about “brave and fearless” connected to sex and nudity, but (only having seen the trailer) I would still call the role “brave and fearless” just for how out-there she manages to go trusting both her ability and her director not to make her look stupid.
How naked is Emma stone is in this film?
Good body lange but comdy
They want to say she make love when she come back in life🙄
@@singstreetcar5881fully naked many times.
You guys are obviously rooting for Domingo and have been the whole year. Here’s my two cents: I feel better about predicting him for a nom, but the Best Picture stat is huge. Best Actor has never had back to back years of going to someone from a non-Best Picture nominee, and it took 13 years for Brendan Fraser to break
Oppenheimer will win best actor
Frances McDormand won her first Best Actress award for her performance in Fargo. Her performance in that movie was also quiet, and she did not look like a lead at all.
well, she was frances mcdormand and she also won sag which lily isn't gonna win.
Portman should definitely be in the top 5. It's one of her best performances along with Jackie and Black Swan.
My current GoldDerby predictions: (as of 25.10.23)
*Best Actress:*
5. Greta Lee (Past Lives)
4. Margot Robbie (Barbie)
3. Sandra Huller (Anatomy of a Fall)
2. Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)
1. Emma Stone (Poor Things)
How dare you say Best Actress this yeatr will be ghe Battle of the Stones after I already came up with that in my mind??!
Very easily my 6# is Fantasia Barrino (The Color Purple), until a couple days ago I still had her on but then I realised Past Lives needs that Actress nomination more than The Color Purple, since I have it higher in Best Picture but with less nominations in other categories.
Natalie Portman can happen if May December happens, which I'm still not sure about. Currently I don't have that movie in at any category, but consider it a "maybe" in 5 different ones, Best Picture included. I'm not feeling Priscilla and 1001 as Oscar contenders, but I'm open to having my mind changes. I am, however, not as open minded about Origin, which I'm feeling pretty confident isn't a real thing. Nyad isn't actually in the running anywhere besides Supporting Actress.
And now something that we all need to get into our heads: Maestro 👏 won't 👏 get 👏 nominations 👏 above 👏 the 👏 line! That movie would be grateful having a total of 2 nominations, and even at that, both WILL be below the line.
*Best Actor:*
5. Kingdley Ben-Adir (Bob Marley: One Love)
4. Leonardo DiCaprio (Killers of the Flower Moon)
3. Colman Domingo (Rustin)
2. Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)
1. Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)
Don't discredit Giamatti's winning chances folks! It can happen.
My clear 6# right now is Jeffery Wright (American Fiction), since I finally caved and put that movie in Best Picture, but I'm afraid the only way I can put him in there is if the Bob Marley movie gets officially postponed and doesn't get a release this year. Otherwise I'll continue predicting it in Picture, Actor and Original Screenplay. Yes, I am 1 of the 18 people still predicting the Bob Marley movie in Best Picture, what about it?
Matt Damon can happen if happens in Best Picture AND if Bob Marley gets moved. Otherwise nobody else that I think has that much of a shot.
And if you wonder how I feel about Bradley Cooper, look above at what I had to say about that movie in the context of Carey Mulligan.
I personally cannot speak on whether or not Colman Domingo will actually get nominated or not, let alone win - I have him at number 2 behind Cillian Murphy just to be safe - but I’m reading through these comments right now, and to insinuate that he stands no chance towards the end of September is kinda jumping the gun a bit.
For me, I feel like he has pretty much a lot of things the other contenders have: the feel-good film according to audiences (Giamatti), the film focusing on an important social issue (DiCaprio), the overdue-for-a-nomination narrative (Murphy), and the hair/makeup transformation (Cooper). He’s really the only actor in this category outside of Cooper imo who stands a chance at the actor-makeup combo (like Butler and Fraser last year).
Also, I skimmed through some reviews from people who actually saw it at Telluride and TIFF, and this isn’t me saying it’ll get in Picture, either, but I would argue that categories like score, song, and (maybe) screenplay - big “maybe,” I’m aware - would all make a decent nomination package, in addition to actor and makeup. We have to keep in mind that none of these movies (outside of Oppenheimer) are actually out yet, and we would have to see how Netflix handles the rollout + campaign before we can call anything.
Annette bemning was underestimated the whole season
Love the videos gents, will be watching this later
new oscar expert video, i am happy
Watch out for Christian Friedel kicking out Bradley "i'm a mediocre actor but please give me the Oscar" Cooper!
Poor Bradley Cooper, he has nine Oscar nominations so far with zero wins and next year he'll likely be nominated again but winning might be a far chance because of the tight competition. Dude can't catch a break with the Oscars 😂
Poor multimillionaire Bradley Cooper lol
He's now the male Glenn Close although her noms have been over many decades. He needs to chill. He's not the only actor without an Oscar.
This is a very unpopular opinion, but he’s not a very memorable actor. Even in A Star Is Born, he got overshadowed by Lady Gaga, Sam Elliot, and the dog. And that was his best role.
@@Sharpe1502 We'll agree to disagree here cause I thought he was phenomenal in ASIB. He broke my heart at the end. Still, he did change the film's focus, for better or worse.
Man, I honestly really want him to fail. He literally made such a GIMME THE OSCARS movie its insane.
I think Carey Mulligan will miss. I see her as the Viola of this season. It just feels like her performance won't have that type of passion behind it. I honestly could see Emma, Lily or Annette winning. It truly could go any way. Side note, I'm praying for a surprise Teyana Taylor nomination. That would be one of the most justified Oscar nominations in recent years.
Carey is going supporting
@@singstreetcar5881where’d you get that from?
Annette?? lmaoo..
@singstreetcar5881 Nope, the trailer billed her before Bradley Cooper
My predictions (alphabetical order)
Best Actor
1.Bradley Cooper-Maestro
2.Leonardo DiCaprio-Killers of the Flower Moon
3.Colman Domingo-Rustin
4.Paul Giamatti-The Holdovers
5.Cillian Murphy-Oppenheimer
Best Actress
1.Fantasia Barrino-The Color Purple
2.Lily Gladstone-Killers of the Flower Moon
3.Sandra Hüller-Anatomy of a Fall
4.Carey Mulligan-Maestro
5.Emma Stone-Poor Things
Greta Lee should get nominated over Carey imo
@@DK_75 I agree Greta Lee should 100% be in the 5, but you and I haven’t seen maestro soooo we can’t really say if she should be in over her
I don't think Hueller will make it and I think Lee is a lock and I agree that Cooper is the frontrunner and Murphy isn't winning at all which sucks so bad
#MargotRobbieForBestActress✊️✊🏻✊🏼✊🏽✊🏾✊🏿
@@Kituchxy lol
Are y’all playing the Vulture fantasy league? Your point about Huller’s likely success with critics groups has me thinking that Anatomy of a Fall will round out a lineup nicely
teo yoo deserves to be in like top 8 convo for actor
I think Emma is a lock, Lily is still young I can’t wait to see what she does next, I think she’ll win some day for sure
No, I think Lily has a chance. I also think Greta lee for past lives could snatch it.
We are not sure about lily having other chance and Emma its not even top 3 best acting of the year
Maybe Jennifer Aniston and Gwyneth Palthrow will have screeners and make Instagram posts to get Teyana Taylor into the Best Actress nomination list. 😐
The Color Purple is a Warner Brothers production. WBD already moved Dune Part 2 to free up all the technical awards. If they move TCP then the other half of the awards are also freed up. Why would they want to compete with themselves? Also, considering how badly they want Nolan back, they would be opening up potential wins for Oppenheimer by doing this as well. They have way more reasons to move the movie to 2024 than to keep its scheduled release for later this year.
I’d have Robbie at least at #6 and I still think Cillian Murphy is the front runner.
YASSSS
#MargotRobbieForBestActress✊️✊🏻✊🏼✊🏽✊🏾✊🏿
I don't understand this Colman Domingo overdue for a nom/recognition thing, at all. Jeffrey Wright? Now THAT's a veteran actor who has been so good in so many things for decades now. I couldn't even tell you 3 things that Colman Domingo has been in and, I feel like plenty of Academy voters would think similarly; and many know/admire/have worked with Wright for many years. Ditto that for Cillian Murphy, a true veteran who's been around for quite some time, worked with everyone, and received raves for his performance in one of the biggest films of the year. Will Rustin be that? If Domingo is as good as I've heard about, then great, he should be in and with a fighting chance to win. But I don't get the overdue thing.
I also think you guys are off on Bening. I think she has plenty going for her. The film has been well-received by critics and said to be a crowd-pleaser. She will be pulling Foster in (Supporting, especially with Gladstone out) and/or the reverse. Bening would be the oldest nominee by quite a bit and, there is usually an older nominee each year. She's the ULTIMATE overdue veteran actress this year. And word is that she's been banging the drum behind the scenes of the actors strike; which voters would appreciate. I can also see her getting in with GG/SAG. I think she's in the 4-6 range, personally.
Just my thoughts :) Love your videos.
Is The Color Purple actually even for sure being released this year ???!!!!! Just cannot put Fantasia on the list until we all know for sure.
She just is a singer must snub her
I saw Poor Things at Venice. Honestly, Emma is pretty much going to sweep. It's a performance of a lifetime. Also, as much as they'd like to talk about it the Academy doesn't care about diversity as much as people think. There were ZERO black women lead last year, despite Viola and Deadwyler being way better than De Armas.
Strange she lose and prisyla win in vence
@@marrmart7690 She couldnt win since a movie that wins best film at Venice is not eligable for any other category.
@@marrmart7690are you stupid or what? she didn't win cause her film won the top prize. that's a rule.
Michelle Williams, Andrea Risenborogh and Ana De Armas FLAT OUT STOLE Deadwyler and Viola's spots in that category! What the hell was that? Even if Till and The Woman King GOT NO OTHER NOMINATIONS, those 2 women deserved the recognition!
@@joser1853 that's such a stupid and unfair rule!
Natalie Portman's toe is reminiscent of romantic roes of the Annie Hall era of the 70s but with glashbaks andore grounded for the basis of the romanticism. Could be a stronger contender than what you have suggested.
The camira of film bad..same intrview..not story
Are we supposed to forget Yeoh's Instagram posts that basically stated that, she might not give the best performance of the year (Blanchett did), her winning would be historic as an Asian actress so she should be rewarded. It doesn't matter if her or her team posted that, it's telling of what happened backstage. Yeoh absolutely used this narrative to win the award, let's not be delusional.
thank you for mentioning this. keep spreading facts! love it.
Whereas Cate voted for Marion Cortillard, who was her biggest competitor the year Marion won, simply because Cate genuinely believed Marion was more deserving than her for that Oscar. Speaks volumes about how selfless Cate is as opposed to what Yeoh and her team did but whatever...
She posted the IG post at the last 3 hour before the voting ends. The news outlet came out with the story at least 5 or 6 hours after the voting ends. If you think there were members who would even bother to check her instagram or saw that post and still voted for her, then you're the one that's delusional. And don't tell me Cate Blanchett didn't win her first Oscar for being white and snubbing way better WoC performance in her category.
Cate Blanchett lost fairly, face it.
@@nikitamohan3390 The one who would tell horse race award shows won't matter to her but show up at every single damn award show? The one who says she can't play lesbian anymore and insinuates that people shouldn't judge that quickly about Scarlet Jo playing an Asian woman(WTF) in a movie? So shockingly generous
@@jaguarkaboom8967 Well then you should also check the replies and see some ugly facts about Cate Blanchett during the last award season. Not that you Blanchett fans care, painting her as a saint
Cillian Murphy or the Oscars suck again.
BEST ACTRESS
1. Greta Lee
2. Sandra Huller
3. Emma Stone
4. Lily Gladstone
5. Carey Mulligan
Alternates: Natalie Portman or Cailee Spaeny
BEST ACTOR
1. Teo Yoo
2. Cillian Murphy
3. Leonardo DiCaprio
4. Colman Domingo
5. Bradley Cooper
Alternates: Andrew Scott or Paul Giamatti
You are bad at predictions, huh.
@@RA-hx9uc This was 2 months ago, man. I think I'd have Lily higher in actress now maybe with Natalie or Margot. I feel like they won't nominate Greta Lee. In actor maybe Andrew Scott & Jeffrey Wright will be more likely to get in over Teo Yoo & Colman Domingo now.
I think they'd wanna wait to hand Gladstone an Oscar. Sandra is more of a #2 for me this time.
Maybe she will not have a second oportunity
I think Jeffrey Wright has a really strong shot at making it. Personally predicting him, Leo, Cillian, and Cooper, with the other slot being a tossup between Giamatti (who would miss because Wright is the supposed stronger comedic performance) or Domingo (because Rustin doesn't really look like its gonna compete in any other categories other than maybe song, and I have American Fiction in Picture, Screenplay, and Editing as well). As for actress, I've got a sinking feeling that we might see Mulligan snubbed since her performance is less bait than Cooper's (predicting Gladstone, Stone, Huller, Barrino, and Spaeny).
Cant believe we are predicting who will win best actress based on the speech they will give. What have turned into as a society
Best Actress (my projections):
Lily Gladstone (Locked in)
Emma Stone (Locked in)
Sandra Huller (Locked in)
Carey Mulligan (Should be a lock if the film performs as expected.)
Annette Bening (Excellent actress with a strong narrative. Will depend on the film's performance.)
Other Possible 5th spots:
Greta Lee (Lily's performance is also subtle, which is fine. Subtlety is highly respected in acting when it's well executed.)
Fantasia Barrino (The acting has to be on par with the singing. We'll see. Plus it's an old throwback in a field of exciting new stories as well as riveting biopics and historical dramas, so I'm not sure if it'll fit.)
Aunjanue Ellis (Excellent actress, but depends on how the Academy receives the overall film.)
*As far as Margot Robbie is concerned: If she gets in, I believe it will solely be due to extreme Barbie fandom. Nothing more.
Maggot is a producer on barbie,so she will get in for best picture as a producer of barbie
#MargotRobbieForBestActress✊️✊🏻✊🏼✊🏽✊🏾✊🏿
That's awesome for her. I wish her well with that. The movie was massive so it may very well happen.@@singstreetcar5881
Lily Gladstone's personal narrative (being the first Native American actress nominated, nearly quitting acting before this film, having SO MANY more acclaimed roles that people have not given recognition) will certainly beat out Emma Stone's great performance, very much like last year! I hope Emma also sees this opportunity like Cate did and lets Lily SHINE
Paul Giamatti will win a golden globe for best actor comedy or musical
It’s funny when people say she moved from supporting, a category that she was never in because they never said which category she would campaign in. She was “supporting” only because pundits said she was, lol, but in reality she never was.
Having now seen Killers of the Flower Moon, Lily Gladstone has given the single best performance of anyone I've seen so far this year. I still have to see Poor Things, Maestro, and the Color Purple, but they would have to be beyond outstanding to overtake Gladstone for me.
Oh yes I am so excited for this!!!
_warning: long paragraph + a less filtered take_
First, I also personally don’t like how cinephiles are selective on how they argue for or against women of color sometimes. I do think you guys are touching a line tho that had me tugging a collar. The truth is their identities will ALWAYS be important to their narrative bc outside of that the system just isn’t made fairly. You have to respect/get that or you’re being abit cynical. It’s not a diversity thing (personally really feel uncomfortable when mainly white critics use the term in a weird way) to acknowledge something that we know doesn’t happen often bc of the industry. Riseborough’s nomination should’ve open people’s eyes to that by now.
That being said, I think Lily has a high chance outside of history. Emma already has one fairly recent and given the “backlash” EEAAO got they may resort back to the genre bias which Lily and maybe Sandra take front. _(Note: I don’t really care for the Oscars or the Academy but I do like watching videos that focus a lot on the social climate, thought process, and patterns the system follows)_
Overall, I think Lily campaigning isn’t a lock but it presents an out if they don’t want to reward another “unconventional winner” so soon. Nothings locked but given the mentality of the Riseborough campaign they may push for ‘traditional’ Oscar performances
I was sad to realize that the only great thing about Anatomy is Sandra Hüller’s performance (and she is great in anything she is in anyway).
I hate when they give oscar just to permormnce and dont care about role..must both..win for role and berformance
Margot robbie is getting a golden globe nomination, for best actress comedy or musical but Emma stone will win it.
#MargotRobbieForBestActress✊️✊🏻✊🏼✊🏽✊🏾✊🏿
I think she can get in everywhere. Only one I’m uncertain about is BAFTA, cuz they’re unpredictable😂
I think it is unfair to only think of Lead Actress potential nominees in conjunction with Best Picture. The performances should be taken on their own. I think it speaks to the laziness of movie watchers and award prognosticators that they don’t seem to be interested in seeing any film that is not in contention for Picture. That’s why ratings and interest is down. It’s the same ol people and predictable wins. Expand!
Bad move for Lily Gladstone to campaign for Lead Actress. Now if she campaigned for Supporting, she would be a lock.
Not Cole ignoring Justin jokes lol
I am not going to make any predictions because I don't want to let down when my predictions are not right.
Real question: why does the academy value narrative so much, shouldn’t the Oscar’s be based on the BEST PERFORMANCE…
Because BEST PERFORMANCE is extremely subjective
I think the academy care about the best performance but the predictors care about who is probably going to win based on the movie like for example they didn’t expect jessica chastain to win an oscan for her movie tammy faye because the movie sucks but she won
@@CRM-114 well it has never been purely on best performance, like ever. plus it is COMPLETELY SUBJECTIVE.
@@CRM-114 what are you talking about. im talking about the choices of nominations and winners. Tiktok and letterboxed guys throw hands about how whiplash and interstellar didn't get as much awards and discount their respective nominees in the years. And yes, movies and art are definitely subjective.
I wish the human population would vote for the best politicians instead of their narratives too
Are you guys not considering Peter Sarsgaard to be in contention for the Best Actor nomination? He won the Volpi Cup Best Actor at the Venice Film Festival for "Memory" so never say never that he'll likely be nominated. That Volpi Cup win could easily pushed the studio to campaign him strong enough for the Oscars 🤷
Memory probably won't release until next season
@@devdanferguson7616Oh never mind, I read the eligibility rules. You need the movie to be played for a week in certain New York or Los Angeles theater that the Academy picks as far as I'm concerned eventhough Mubi produced the movie so it'll likely be released straight to Mubi, similar with Aftersun. I'm hoping the movie could find a distribution soon so that Sarsgaard can be Oscar nominated next year. I'm actually dying to see Memory 😂
@@Fl0k5ser Yep. Im excited for it to get released, I wanna see how it can become a player (same with Hit Man and Sing Sing). Time to start those early 2025 predictions!
I watched Memory and no, he has no chance to get into Best Actor.
No chance in any year that is.
The bob marley biopic is coming out next year after award season. Bob marleys family is on board with the film.
Baaad trailer..they make it in phone camira..same camera of may desmber
Theres never been a year where all 5 Best Actress nominees are in Best Picture nominees that I can think of
It’s happened 3 times, not sure the exact years but I believe it was once in the 70s and twice in the 40s. But even still, that’s sooooo long ago
@@dullahans7180well yeah it used to be much much harder when there were only 5 BP nominees
@@dullahans7180found it, it was 1977, but Two of the actresses were in the same movie and two of the other movies had best actor costars
This video is going to go SO HARD
I still think Greta Lee gets in, Past Lives has way too much love for her to miss.
I’m not sure. Danielle Deadwyler was supposedly a lock all last year and missed.
She’s not happening bro. Lead Actress is too stacked for a subtle performance to get in. I honestly don’t think Past Lives is going to perform great. It’ll end up like Women Talking and only end up getting noms for Picture and Screenplay.
Past lives is a twitter thing
People are gonna be shocked to see Zac in the iron claw
He deserves an Oscar.
Domingo at number 1 is WILD. This is gonna come back to bite y’all at the end of the year
These guys usually do better than Golderby rankings, so having 1 wrong is not a big deal.
@@joser1853 yeah I know. Just think it’s a really bad prediction for their standards
@@jackvlahos407 But they saw the film. For them to put him at #1 is because they think the performance is that good. We honestly don't know what's going to happen.
@@jackvlahos407 Again. It's their prediction. Theyre really good at predicting. Nobody knows whos going to win. In any case. We can comw back to this in a couple of months. Who's your pick to win?
@@joser1853 yuuuup. And right now I would predict Murphy but I’m not confident. I am confident however in Emma Stone for best actress
I die at Brother Bro's disdainful expression 5:59