Experts slugfest: 2024 SAG Awards recap -- who's winning the Best Actress Oscar now?

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  • Опубліковано 9 лют 2025

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  • @ella2117
    @ella2117 11 місяців тому +31

    Thank you Joy for stating what many of us have been saying for weeks about how people have been treating Cillian

  • @maryconway4728
    @maryconway4728 11 місяців тому +10

    Paul Giamatti did an interview on PBS Newshour. During that interview, Paul talked about how easy it was for him to play the role because Paul attended a New England boarding school during the 1980s - and he easily knew how to play the character. In contrast, 60 minutes did an interview of Cillian Murphy. In that interview, it was discussed how hard it was for Cillian to transform himself to play role of Oppenheimer (I.e., lose weight (28 lbs), learn a foreign language, work on American accent).

  • @awardego
    @awardego 11 місяців тому +27

    LOL love the subtle shade Chris & Joyce threw at Tariq Khan and his SAG voter polling. Just a reminder that Khan kept insisting all season that Danielle Brooks and even Fantasia Barrino (!) would win the Oscar even after Color Purple flopped, and even this week he said there was no doubt Brooks was winning SAG. He also said there were a lot of votes for Robbie and he was not hearing any votes for Lily. 😂

    • @danielkenealy7503
      @danielkenealy7503 11 місяців тому +9

      Tariq Khan has had a very peculiar Oscar season. The persistent insistence on Danielle Brooks has been truly odd (he even predicted her to win at BAFTA I think). And his recent defensiveness about his SAG voter polling was, frankly, bizarre.

    • @jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719
      @jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719 11 місяців тому +1

      😂

  • @nicholasmorre7371
    @nicholasmorre7371 11 місяців тому +37

    You guys are such pros getting these vids up right away. Thank you Chris and Joyce for being the BEST oscar experts out there.

  • @whatsup4825
    @whatsup4825 11 місяців тому +16

    Cillian Murphy winning Best Actor at the Oscars would be a great win. He’s a class act who lets his work speak for itself. 👌

  • @caleblee8405
    @caleblee8405 11 місяців тому +34

    The Glenn Close comparison isn’t even close because she was the Wife’s only nomination, everyone’s acting like people strongly dislike killers as if it didn’t still get 10 Oscar nominations 😭😭

    • @Worldtravla
      @Worldtravla 11 місяців тому +11

      100% - well said. Only 1 less nomination than Poor Things. Plus it’s Scorsese! They clearly like or at least respect the movie. Best actress could go either way. Or they split & the brilliant Sandra Huller takes it

    • @chrisjrosen
      @chrisjrosen 11 місяців тому +9

      If we suggested people dislike Killers that was in error or a misspeak. What I believe is that there is less enthusiasm for it than Poor Things. It’s in the “liked-not-loved” category as evidenced by its failure to land Leo and the script nominations and the fact that it hasn’t won anything significant since the Globes. Now, you could argue Poor Things has waning enthusiasm too, considering it lost some key BAFTA awards like Best British Film. But I think their trajectories are passing now. Doesn’t mean Lily can’t win!

    • @ella2117
      @ella2117 11 місяців тому +3

      ​@DavidLayt to be fair Scorsese's movies have a history of blanking especially in acting category 😂. Hopefully Lily breaks the curse

    • @danielkenealy7503
      @danielkenealy7503 11 місяців тому +3

      @@chrisjrosen Perfect summary of the situation.

  • @NiyooxV9HD
    @NiyooxV9HD 11 місяців тому +16

    Very happy for Cillian Murphy. For my part I found the ceremony rather quick, but I think I am biased because the day before I had watched the Cesar ( french awards ) whose ceremony lasted 4 hours.🤣

  • @Waffle-tv7rg
    @Waffle-tv7rg 11 місяців тому +7

    I like that there’s a legitimate debate- all Best Actress nominees deserve a spot there.

  • @aaronvillagomez3548
    @aaronvillagomez3548 11 місяців тому +6

    Poor Things is nominated with 11 but has the chance to win more Oscars than Killers. Making it a heavier favorite. Poor things could really walk away with Costumes, Production Design, Makeup & Hair, along with Lead Actress. While Killers I have predicted to win nothing. I think Poor Things has more passion and will carry Emma to a win cause she is extremely likable and humble and really did turn in the best performance of the year. She’s also a producer on the film. I think she’s much stronger, She got the Globe, CCA, Bafta and I really think is on track to win the Oscar, The Academy is more snobby and picky than SAG. SAG is more democratic and diverse. I think they both have passion so it’s hard to call but I really think Emma has the edge predictably wise.

  • @lehcaraz1
    @lehcaraz1 11 місяців тому +8

    What your missing is that Cillian is a newcomer to the awards circuit. Despite incredible performances he has been overlooked for any major awards. He is also a newcomer to a lead role in a major movie. His previous five movies with Nolan were small parts.

    • @ella2117
      @ella2117 11 місяців тому +2

      So that gives him a narrative too now! Overlooked Actor working in the shadows who never got award recognition despite grinding the grind

  • @HermitForHire
    @HermitForHire 11 місяців тому +12

    The narrative for Paul Giamatti just never made sense to me. They're trying an elder statesman vs. rookie thing when as you rightly say Cillian is only 9 years younger, their careers started 7 years apart, and the arguable breakout roles that brought them to greater public attention happened only four years apart. It' just isn't true and I've seen the sentiment how nice it is to see Cillian get his "due" because people have been following him for 20 years repeated pretty often in comment sections just like this one, so Giamatti isn't the only one with that going for him.
    I loved the Holdovers and I loved Paul in it, but frankly I've seen more pundits predict him for awards as a form of "lifetime achievement" than for just the performance alone.

    • @maryconway4728
      @maryconway4728 11 місяців тому +4

      I agree. I respect Paul’s work - he deserved awards for American Splendor (2003 movie). But, compared to Oppenheimer, the Holdover movie is an independent film about an elite New England boarding school - that type of storyline just doesn’t compare to a blockbuster movie like Oppenheimer.

  • @emillion4470
    @emillion4470 11 місяців тому +17

    Take that! Oscar prognosticators! (and you too Film Twitter) Your heads might be saying Emma but your hearts say Lily. SAG just blew our collective minds.
    I'm all for a good show and damn, it's back to the races!

  • @chiazoman
    @chiazoman 11 місяців тому +3

    Man, I love y’all, man! Wonderful work

  • @oldschoolabrahamhicks2742
    @oldschoolabrahamhicks2742 11 місяців тому +2

    YAY! Couldn't wait for some SAG analysis from u both x

  • @emillion4470
    @emillion4470 11 місяців тому +2

    About Streisand's speech, the Lady has a template. The last time she got some sort of life-time achievement award, (that being the Golden Globes) she also:
    a) goes long
    b) references her sh**ty childhood in Brooklyn
    c) drones on about a current favorite film of hers. The Green Mile for the Globes and Une Belle Course for SAG.
    d) "the Truth"

  • @braveheartedlion
    @braveheartedlion 11 місяців тому +3

    Oscars voting opened only 3 days after BAFTA, on the 22nd.

  • @laurenbendik2006
    @laurenbendik2006 11 місяців тому +6

    Im so happy for pedro!!! He has worked his butt off for 25 yrs.

    • @laurenbendik2006
      @laurenbendik2006 11 місяців тому +4

      And he is so humble. He said he even voted for kieran.
      But dont call sag aftra basic, wth. You’re discounting the intelligence of actors.

  • @SamBryans128
    @SamBryans128 11 місяців тому +8

    I switched back to Lily. SAG winners have gone 4/4 at the Oscars the past 2 years. I'm predicting SAG winners until I don't. And if it does happen I think the conversation needs to be "do actors have too much power in the Academy?"

    • @SamBryans128
      @SamBryans128 11 місяців тому

      @@rehnumachowdhury3629 Yeah for acting nominations, but when they can vote for the winners in all the categories they kind of ruin what all the other awards could be.

  • @jamielee7943
    @jamielee7943 11 місяців тому +14

    Everything you said about Cillian Murphy is exactly what I’ve been saying all season. So I agree 👏 I’m beyond happy he won & I think it’s been his awards season all along. Hope he takes the Oscar home 🤞🏆
    Thrilled Lily Gladstone is back in the race. I would love her to win the Oscar. 👏

    • @nafischowdhury7375
      @nafischowdhury7375 11 місяців тому +2

      she was never out of the race.

    • @jamielee7943
      @jamielee7943 11 місяців тому +1

      @@nafischowdhury7375I meant literally since she lost at Critics & wasn’t nominated at BAFTA. I’ve always believed Lily would win but it was nice to hear her name called again so the ones predicting her to be out… now realise she’s still very much in this & I believe will win.

  • @ernestmhs
    @ernestmhs 11 місяців тому +2

    Part of me wonders if the HUGE voting base that comprises non-Academy folks and are very big on rewarding narrative helped Lily nab the victory here. I still think Lily suffers slightly from the Academy being less inclined to vote based on narrative alone, as well as Lily being relatively new and less established in the scene. Her not placing top three in BAFTA signals some weakness in the Academy that’s more international.

  • @chrismacdonald2251
    @chrismacdonald2251 11 місяців тому +10

    What the heck are you even talking about? The show was fine. Do not bring back commercials. AND there is enormous online love and support for Cillian Murphy! He has been trending for days. What a weird comment and people were cheering online.

    • @chrisjrosen
      @chrisjrosen 11 місяців тому +6

      We disagree about the ceremony but I think there does seem to be a reticence among pundits and journalists toward embracing Murphy. However, perhaps I should take Kendall’s advice: we’re too online, we’ve lost context.

    • @ella2117
      @ella2117 11 місяців тому +4

      Predictors on Gold Derby barely moved the needle after Murphy won BAFTA and were on the Paul train since he won his GG (ignoring Cillian also won his btw) and got emboldened and kept moving the goalposts to consider Murphy the frontrunner: Ignored he took out Cooper, then "if he wins BAFTA he's still in the race or else he's done", then he won BAFTA "he won because he is Irish" (laughable and such a logical fallacy with how many Americans have easily won over Brits and Irish in the past, Cillian was the first Irish born actor to win in a lead category at BAFTA btw) so he has to win SAG. He won SAG and i half expect some wannabe outlier will still predict Bradley Cooper lol

    • @chrismacdonald2251
      @chrismacdonald2251 11 місяців тому +4

      @@chrisjrosen I don’t think we’ve lost context, I think they have. Is that what do you mean? Oppenheimer is loved. It’s loved by audiences and people that love cinema. Ignoring Murphy was ridiculous on the part of these people.

    • @charmainechin5709
      @charmainechin5709 11 місяців тому +3

      Thank you Joyce for believing in CM all season long. No offense to PG ( no doubt he’s a great actor) Most critics depended solely on PG’s narratives ( Jeff Wells’s 2004 Sideways) PG was a veteran actor this and that. PG’s Father was an educator. Maybe it was in his blood to played a professor flawlessly.
      Then there’s another group of sheep’s aka Oscar experts wannabes on UA-cam following PG’s trains from GoldDerby. Pitiful.
      CM took a blank canvas turn it something amazing. CM made Oppenheimer reborn to the silver screen. I hold on my heart dearly fingers crossed for CM to take the Oscar. Truly was the best performance of the year.

  • @Suzd.2591
    @Suzd.2591 11 місяців тому +1

    Did Gary Oldman also get in on the SAG ensemble win for Oppenheimer? One of my favorite scenes in the whole movie, he was outstanding.

  • @mudstyle5288
    @mudstyle5288 11 місяців тому +9

    Lily Gladstone. Never Wavered.

  • @jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719
    @jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719 11 місяців тому +2

    Some of the most interesting races right now:
    Best Actress
    Best Animated Film
    Best Visual Effects
    Best Makeup and Hairstyle
    Best Sound
    What else is still up for grabs?

  • @danielkenealy7503
    @danielkenealy7503 11 місяців тому +2

    So, come Oscar night, is there any way we can feel "comfortable" as the Best Actress envelope is opened? I guess not. And I love that. Even if "Poor Things" wins costumes, makeup, and production design, I don't think that tells us much about how the night will play out. I always love a top category race where there's literally nothing you can do but wait. Go with your gut and wait to see. It's what the season is all about. I wish there were a few more categories like that this year. Anything else - Paul winning for example (not gonna happen) - would be a shock the like of which I can't recall in recent years, apart from Olivia Colman. Going into the home stretch my head-scratchers now are -
    1. The shorts (as always).
    2. Visual effects (where I feel Godzilla has cool RRR type vibes for its single nomination).
    3. Sound (I'll agonise until the final day of predicting about a Zone upset - but probably not right?).
    4. Makeup (Maestro or Poor Things, I just don't know).
    5. The design categories - I really don't know how they'll pan out.
    So, actually, lots of dwell on 🙂

  • @AwardsJunkie1999
    @AwardsJunkie1999 11 місяців тому +3

    Disagree on printed sheet, she needs to memorize it at this point

  • @JKAlcala
    @JKAlcala 11 місяців тому +11

    I think that Lily’s win is reminiscent of Halle Berry’s year, she won SAG and that’s how she went all the way to the Oscar’s. She will be THE FIRST like Halle was THE FIRST. So Lily’s taking it

    • @laurajones1773
      @laurajones1773 11 місяців тому +4

      Lily won the Golden Globe too. Same with Michelle Yeoh last year.

    • @jlc2395
      @jlc2395 11 місяців тому

      Stop with the patronizing minority comparisons. It’s honestly micro aggressive, that’s why a lot of minorities dislike the academy and their supposed liberalism. They all had very different paths and roles the only thing in common they have is that they’re not full white.

    • @minavamp2811
      @minavamp2811 11 місяців тому +2

      @@laurajones1773 as much as we don't like narrative, but narrative matters, halle berry first black to win best actress, michelle yeoh first Asian to win best actress, and soon lily gladstone will be first indigenous to win best actress. what all 3 have in common is that their main rival had already won an oscar, sissy spacek, cate blanchette, and emma stone.

  • @laurenbendik2006
    @laurenbendik2006 11 місяців тому +4

    Kieran’s wife already said she is happy pedro won because it humbles kieran, he needed to be let down lol. And kieran rejected pedro’s make-out which is not surprising bc kieran is a downer.

  • @timgriffin3368
    @timgriffin3368 11 місяців тому +2

    Nothing negative here just honest curiosity: is the Marlon Brando native American still alive?
    If so, Hollywood is crazy, so obvious and over the top that I would wonder if they put her on with Frasier to announce Best Actress as they did with Halle last year?
    Toooooo much, if so.

  • @lisannebaumholz5028
    @lisannebaumholz5028 11 місяців тому +1

    I don't have Netflix, so didn't see the SAG awards, but I'm totally thrilled that you name-dropped someone named 'Lisanne' in relation to some award. What award? Don't know. Is this person's name spelled exactly like mine? Don't care.
    FYI, up here in Canada, indigenous actors have been recognized and awarded for their work in movies and TV (both in front of the camera as actors and behind as writers, directors, producers and activists) as well as in theatre for many years. Not as often as they should have been but still...more than in the U.S.
    Graham Greene was nominated for an Oscar in 1990's "Dances with Wolves", but of course, he's Canadian. And that was 24 years ago.
    No Tantoo Cardinal (Canadian) who was also in "Dances with Wolves" as well as "Killers of the Flower Moon", no recognition for Lily Gladstone as an actor.
    No Robbie Robertson (Canadian), no killer soundtracks (pun intended) for many Scorsese films.

    • @edo4896
      @edo4896 11 місяців тому

      I'm assuming that First Nations people in Canada have been getting hired for industry roles behind and in front of 📷 more often. These opportunities need to be open to minorities more often in order to diversify the potential winners in the US.

  • @red1963
    @red1963 11 місяців тому

    I remember Halle Berrys win over 20 years ago. Lily Gladstone is going to win the best actress race

  • @InsertCleverNameHere0
    @InsertCleverNameHere0 11 місяців тому +7

    Congratulations to Greta Gerwig for directing Chris this evening 🎉

  • @CalRoberts-gx3jt
    @CalRoberts-gx3jt 11 місяців тому

    That' a really weird jumper Chris is wearing did he get that from Gerwig herself

  • @EnglishActor
    @EnglishActor 11 місяців тому +2

    The Academy strives for diversity and inclusivity. Wouldn't it be so beautiful to see Indigenous actress winning an Oscar for a truly great performance? 50 years ago Marlon Brando refused to accept an Academy Award because of how Indigenous people in America and Hollywood were treated. We've come a long way. And Lily Gladstone deserves to become the symbol of that mesmerising moment of change.

    • @jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719
      @jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719 11 місяців тому +1

      🤔

    • @minavamp2811
      @minavamp2811 11 місяців тому +2

      well said. i totally agree. also gladstone performance isn't slouching either. just because her performance is more reserved and internal like cillian murphy, doesn't mean that it's not as good as her fellow nominees. there is a reason why she won so many critic awards this season over emma stone,

    • @EnglishActor
      @EnglishActor 11 місяців тому +1

      @@minavamp2811 I was thinking about the gentleness and raw honesty of her performance the other day. I can't help but draw another parallel to Marlon Brando who was nothing short of exceptional in On the Waterfront. Remember that scene in the car and his beautiful sensitivity? Lily Gladstone's performance is ALL ABOUT THAT. She's like an open wound, so delicate and touching and yet reserved and innerly expressive and, boy, what a beautiful breakthrough role! Truly one of the greatest acting performances in the history of the 21st century. I pray she wins. I love Emma Stone and she's great in Poor Things, but this year's Lead Actress battle reminds me of Denzel Washington/Adrien Brody Oscar moment. Some people will find it surprising but it's deserving as hell!

  • @ssshar2176
    @ssshar2176 11 місяців тому +3

    I agree! It did feel long. We did not need those after win “interviews”. Bring back the montages!
    The actor and actress races are real races now! 🎉
    Here is my out of the box prediction though. I think America Ferrera will do a Halle Berry and surprise win over Divine.

    • @gileadeandradesilva
      @gileadeandradesilva 11 місяців тому +2

      There is no actor race. Cillian won both BAFTA and SAG awards.

  • @mariodimaio9291
    @mariodimaio9291 11 місяців тому +1

    The first thing you talk about is the runtime and you want commercials. People need to stop being obsessed with runtimes. Just watch it later and FF what you don’t like. We had a good time and glad we didn’t watch with complainers.

  • @friendlypup5650
    @friendlypup5650 11 місяців тому +2

    The agonizing length in between the awards. And oh my god the backstage interviews during the broadcast kill me

    • @Jigganaut80
      @Jigganaut80 11 місяців тому +2

      Sucked so bad .. and Barbara talked forever.

    • @friendlypup5650
      @friendlypup5650 11 місяців тому

      @@Jigganaut80 lifetime achievement for talking for a lifetime

  • @MissPerriwinkle
    @MissPerriwinkle 11 місяців тому +3

    same winners as all the other award shows : zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

  • @matilda0410
    @matilda0410 11 місяців тому

    I don't think it's that people discredited Cillian, so much as Paul won the globe and CC, which Cate did last, and Chris stated she would "sweep" everything from then on. So again, an example of revisionist history. And yes, Lily won, as expected. Much like Michelle. I get we need to debate scenarios, but sometimes it just feels like a reach.

    • @chrisjrosen
      @chrisjrosen 11 місяців тому

      Got me again! Thanks for keeping me honest, a valuable and insightful comment.

    • @matilda0410
      @matilda0410 11 місяців тому

      @@chrisjrosen You're welcome! Anytime.

    • @maryconway4728
      @maryconway4728 11 місяців тому +1

      Paul won GG for comedy and Cillian won GG for drama

  • @JKAlcala
    @JKAlcala 11 місяців тому +8

    I'm still mad at RDJ because he never thanks or acknowledges Calista Flockhart or David E Kelley, they were the ones who gave him the opportunity that kept him working, insured, and sent to rehab, even when he hid his addictions and practically messed with Ally McBeal midway the season. How terrible that he thanks Gibson and not the good people.
    PS. What a terrible show, the pacing was terrible, the worst production and direction for an awards show ever, last year's show on UA-cam was a million times better (and Idris Elba must have something on Ted Sarandos, because there's no way anyone thought Elba had some rizz to semi-present the program)

    • @Jigganaut80
      @Jigganaut80 11 місяців тому +4

      People need to leave Mel alone everyone makes mistakes and he literally housed Downey when he was broke and high on drugs.

  • @romanticosobrio
    @romanticosobrio 11 місяців тому +3

    Rachel can fight with me because i'm the Austin Butler's #1 hater

  • @cattusfattus6369
    @cattusfattus6369 11 місяців тому +1

    Crazy upsets

  • @matilda0410
    @matilda0410 11 місяців тому +1

    Emma & Cate are white women who won Oscars and won the GG, CC, & Bafta.... while Michelle & Lily are WOC who won the GG & SAG, and somehow Chris and Joyce act as if people are being offensive or "reductive " by literally seeing the glaring similarities in that. Regardless of the films they are in, it literally mirror's one another. Frankly to ignore it feels far more offensive.

    • @chrisjrosen
      @chrisjrosen 11 місяців тому +2

      I would say it is reductive because as we said in the video, the comparison is mostly false. In reality, Cate/Lily are in similar movies (critically acclaimed auteur epics) and Michelle/Emma are in similar movies (more mainstream comedy-dramas). In terms of performance, Emma has more in common with Michelle and you could argue Cate/Lily are in the same area code as well (although I think Lily's work is fairly unique and singular in terms of recent Oscar-nominated performances).

    • @matilda0410
      @matilda0410 11 місяців тому

      @@chrisjrosen No we're not talking about what type of movie they are starring in. People are specifically referencing the points I laid out in my comment. To gloss that over and pretend that last year and this year aren't exact replicas in the nominee's and winner's is intellectually dishonest. No one's saying TAR & Poor Things are the same, and frankly that's silly to compare. But Emma and Cate are in fact white women who have been heavily rewarded and the WOC they are competing against previously weren't, and they won the exact same awards format. Emma & Cate = GG, CC & BAFTA
      Michelle & Lily = GG, SAG.
      I haven't seen one person anywhere, on here, or in "Film Twitter" as you both frequently reference, state that EEAAO & KOTFM are the same film.

    • @chrisjrosen
      @chrisjrosen 11 місяців тому +2

      @@matilda0410 Yes, they've won the same awards. Got me there! I think it's "intellectually dishonest" to say this is an "exact replica" because of the reasons I laid out -- and for someone so pedantic in all your interactions, I'm surprised you would think it was an "exact replica," but alas, sometimes it's hard to remain consistent -- but I also know you won't ever agree, so thanks for watching and have a good one!

    • @matilda0410
      @matilda0410 11 місяців тому +1

      @@chrisjrosen Alright hold on now. Chris, you don't know me, and I don't appreciate your flippant remarks about me. I've never attacked your character. I've stated when you flip flopped on opinions, which your co host does to you every single episode. And you laugh and say nothing to her. Please don't disrespect me and say that I'm worrying about "pedantic" things when you and Joyce make a living discussing every single detail of awards season, actors, films and categories. I am a viewer. Viewers watch this channel. Which is what you guys do for a living. I've followed and genuinely enjoyed you and Joyce for years. I don't understand how you can be that combative and dismissive of a viewer who isn't calling you names or attacking your character but stating the exact thing your co host and frankly many viewers state.

  • @ericslee1980
    @ericslee1980 11 місяців тому

    Gladstone = Yeoh 2.0

  • @grimaldiramirez6003
    @grimaldiramirez6003 11 місяців тому +11

    I think Lily is taking it, and she always was. You guys let the Pundits' Choice Awards and the bigoted BAFTA to convince you that the Oscars were going to give Emma a second win this soon and this young. They aren't going to skip this history making win and just award an actress again. This is Yeoh/Blanchett all over again

    • @ktom5262
      @ktom5262 11 місяців тому +1

      Bigoted? LOL, you are a tool.

    • @Jigganaut80
      @Jigganaut80 11 місяців тому +12

      bigoted ? They gave Da’vine the aware for best supporting.

    • @ktom5262
      @ktom5262 11 місяців тому +1

      @@Jigganaut80 bigoted? LOL, don't be woke daft. Not every time a person of color or minority loses it's because the jury is racist or bigoted. Or maybe you think a person of colour or minority should defeat a white person every time.

    • @myytchanneldinakoha8498
      @myytchanneldinakoha8498 11 місяців тому +12

      SAG is all about social justice over artistic merit, so BAFTA over SAG anytime.

    • @lilchaos4792
      @lilchaos4792 11 місяців тому +1

      Agreed.

  • @anthonysherman2134
    @anthonysherman2134 11 місяців тому

    Long list of complaints from you two.