Global Population Problem
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- Опубліковано 30 тра 2024
- Niall Ferguson, Hoover Institution Senior Fellow says that immigration in western countries is only a short-term solution to a global slump in fertility rates.
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I spend $22,000 in childcare to get $600 tax credits. Elon Musk probably gets to write off his private jet 😂. And you want to know why folks aren’t having children?
And Elon wants us plebians to keep breeding.
A Ukrainian family that came to Canada was 8 kids they want to go back to Ukraine it's too expensive for them here (parents) income wasn't enough
That is not the reason. Well definitely not an important reason. Entertainment options is a more important reason I believe. People reduced the number of children they make ever since "super" modes of entertainment appeared, such as TV, video, films, internet, UA-cam videos, games.
How other people are doing has little to do with you. The rise in standard of living in general is a product of capitalism.
... The biggest problem with having children is housing. The more people move to dense cities, the fewer kids they have.
You spoke of children and never mentioned love. You quite literally shouldn't have children at all. Keep your money.
The wolfs are worried the sheeps are not multiplying 😂
Very true how will folks buy cars and make Elon richer if they don't need more than 1 car. If I can't raise my income then the only way for me to survive is to have less expenses. Which the kids are as they need housing, education and energy. I only realized this after I had kids that my expenses shot up so much and I now have to support them forever. If I didn't have kids I could have been in peace 20 years back without worrying for financial armageddon and inflation all the time.
100%
That’s it. 100%
@@blafonovision4342 It is literally 0% it and it was a kneejerk statement because Wall Street was mentioned at the beginning of the interview. Most global elites have advocated depopulation.
Exactly.😂😂😂No more wage cucks.💪💪💪
Humans aren't stupid. We can do basic math.
Not everyone
Make transportation cheap. Make utilities cheap, make housing cheap. Make food cheap and people will have more kids.
Only comunis do that
thats only half of it. more and more women just dont want to have kids. all they care about is traveling consuming. social media.
@@kurtlowder3276 they also don’t date down… woman need a top 15% earning man to stay home and woman who work want a man who earns more than they do.
@kurtlowder3276 Absolutely! It's logical because the women NEED MATERIAL RESOURCES to raise kids. Men MUST bring tangible to the table in order for that to happen. We are not going back to raising kids alone and in abject poverty.
@@KeithAllen-ti4iy They do. Please watch other e celebs other then andrew tate or go outside and touch grass.
Crash the cost of living down to what it was 50 years ago and you'd have plenty of people that would have 3 kids.
That plus instilling morality and a sense of pride in one's community
true i have one kid but we have been struggling to get another kid due to insane daycare costs, housing costs, education costs that is very hard to afford with one good paycheck.
Not gonna happen who is gonna pay for my McMansion 😊
Thats not true. Why do more rich countries have lesss kids than poor countries. Why do poor have more kids than rich kids in rich countries ? Its all due to life styles. Like expecting exotic trips every few months
@@phi68951 poorer countries dont have daycare costs or need daycare. All have family and elders living in same roof with one income. Education costs are also not as absurd as in US. And lol goto to India or Vietnam. Middle class take exotic trips every few months as well. Not that expensive to go to Thailand or Dubai from those places.
World population is 8 billion now.
World population at 6 billion - we were fine.
World population at 4 billion - we were fine.
World population at 2 billion - we were fine.
More black Africans less caucasian European global racists.👎🏿
Were we? I'd say we live healthier and certainly longer than 100 years in the 1920s, no?
@@Zucker2007 I'd say that is because of modern medicine and health care and an increased standard of living, not because we have 8 billion people on the planet.
I would say we are living better despite higher population not because of it. We would live even better if we went back to 4 billion or even 2 billion.
Less people means less economic activity which means less wealth creation which means more poverty
I am a 30 years old male, and with no property inherited working 40+ hours a week within hospitality and agriculture, as a lower middle class with a university diploma, i can't simply get to the numbers that would allow me to start up a family, hell even buy some decent clothes and take a gal for a dinner. Don't get me wrong this is not a whining, I do believe there is a way for everybody to accumulate enough capital and wealth at some point to start own business and buy own property, i just think it might be too late in the sense of one life span to start a family.
This is all by design the Elite want the masses wiped out mainly due to resource scarcity. Your not a lone and your very smart for not breeding.
Yes it’s different for you guys I got out of the army 72 married 73 had a few thousand to but down on a fixer upper had 3 kids by 79 made good money on every house I sold, my wife and I worked for 45 , 48 years never inherit we retired at 65
Everything is paid for we have a little Ponderosa. We don’t travel that much so just keep up the hard work and it’ll come to you.
You are not alone, there are millions of people like you in the US. You have done a good job and I am going to tell you that yes raising a family with all the expenses and guaranteeing food is very hard. When you get married please make sure that you have at least 2 years of expenses saved for a 3-4 people family and never touch it unless absolutely needed. All these TV / UA-cam guys will not come to save you when you don't have a job (in a bad situation) or put food on your table. It's easy to implore people to have kids without taking any financial responsibility by these TV Guys. My friends who lost their jobs recently (with college and masters degrees) are unable to sleep as they are running out of savings. So save enough money before bringing cute, lovely and innocent kids to this world so that they never starve and always have a roof over their head.
Change stereotypes and get the girl to pay for dinner!
Problems of neoliberalism in our societies, made it too expensive, don't have those problems in poorer and less neoliberal countries
At 3:32 "people decide to spend their resources not on having more children, but on having more vacations or requiring yachts and McMansions."
WHAT?!
Only the uppermost income bracket are doing that! His answer comes off as really uneducated.
every upper, middle and lower middle class woman that i know want to "travel the world" so he's not wrong about that part
wolves crying that sheep 🐏🐑 is not reproducing .
stop providing pawns for the rich
Because having babies is expensive? Housing.. milk powder.. child education.. nursery costs
How about raise your own babies
But that is just it. What is expensive to us, is "economic activity" to the people siphoning off money from all of those areas of raising a kid.
I don`t think this is the true. Why the most children are born in poorest countries?
@@krzysztofrozbicki1776 and then those kids eventually try to leave and head North and West. Why is that?
@@donaldjohnson-ow3kq because just as i said they were born in a poor country. What is your point?
Corps are very worry, no more slaves for tomorrow..
Either the cost of living needs to come substantially down or the government needs to start cutting $20,000 annual checks to people per kid they have. Nobody is interested in setting themselves back economically to provide fresh workers.
Very well said.
To provide future slaves
Is 20k enough? Either way, that figure needs to be tied to inflation. Will need more if gas is $400 a gallon.
Don’t you guys pay overv 1000$/month for childcare ?
Setting yourself back? Who the hell are you? I hope you enjoy being neglected by nurses in your later years.
I can remember in the 1970's and 1980's they were concerned with overpopulation , Just like they were predicting the coming Ice Age.
Proving these people are a bunch of idiots.
Yeah i was gonna have a kid but then i bought a yacht.
Yeah, who has time for raising kids when I'm adding on to my McMansion. Lol.
@@stevecarey2030 damn boys, gief me moniiiiiiii
It’s not like humans or a country would go extinct if their population halved. At some point of population decline, the economics of having children will improve because their will be more resources spread across less people.
Why must populations seek constant population growth? This talks about it being a problem but never explains why it’s a problem.
Exactly. I don't know why these fearmongers ignore that point. Societies adapt to their conditions and if population decreases, there will come a point where natural resources will become abundant and having children will become economically viable and socially encouraged
The only problem will be last tex players for the government to leach money off of and less consumers for billion $ corporation to get rich off of. Also, there will be a need for more immigrants from places like Africa and India.
That's not true, the economy will collapse, there is no resources with a dead economy. And the minority alive will simply fly away to another country.
People are getting smarter. They are making informed and wise decisions. No one in their right mind should have children unless you are financially ready to cater for a child.
Imagine for a million years your ancestors had kids to end up with you existing and then you just say “hey not a good time in history, wouldn’t be able to afford my new car and Starbucks.”
@@maverickjones9418 its more than Starbucks lol how tf did you get to that point. Guess you want kids raised poorly, with stressed out parents.
@@maverickjones9418”the last million years have been crap, but hey let’s keep having kids”
@@maverickjones9418 My ancestor Keyrock didn't have that level of strategic thinking capability
@@donaldjohnson-ow3kq If there are genes that predict a preponderance to a political ideology then Modern day society as it is, is going to selectively breed a mostly Conservative leaning species. Takes about 3 generations but it is a thought.
If we don’t know why population is falling how do know we did something that “fixed the problem”.
Why do we need 8 billion people?
Because *_*they*_* need cheap workers...
It's about the ratio of old people to young people. Who will take care of all the old people. Labor shortages.
@@mrstyle4863 hopefully my three daughters
Because of economic growth. for example property owners are shaking in their boots because they wont have a steady influx of young people to extract rent from.
@@Pestbringer89 so things were really bad in the 50,s when we only had 2-3 billion ,I don’t think so
why is population decline a problem when technology including AI can automate much of of the work/activity and decline works well when it comes to limited resources … it may only impact companies who were betting on more people to get more profits
Because these boomers know nothing about it their projections are not calculating it in.
Deflation
Because it means that humanity will decline to dust, and never reach its true potential as a species. Humanity will never gain the capacity to protect the tiny candle we call Life, from a violent and incredibly dangerous universe that could extinguish Earth tomorrow, in a pitiless flash of a cosmic itch.
The funny thing is that people said Elon Musk was crazy about this. But there are too many people out there that are scared to have kids as well
@@HTtwentyten It's not an immediate threat to our short term future and therefore we don't care. In the long run it matters, but it's hard to convince people to take the long term ramifications of a low birth rate personally.
People do what is beneficial to them, not future generations.
A dear friend of an acquaintance of mine died this morning giving birth to twins, here in the USA where maternal deaths, especially among African American women, has been really high. As of this writing I do not knwo if the twins will survive. If the babies survive, her partner will be left with the task and expense of funeral, hospital bills, and child rearing. This may be another reason why many young women are choosing not to have children at all these days. 😨😰😢
What is the ratio of African women died during childbirth to non -deceased during childbirth?!
I think it's a very small percentage, even if this happened, that her destiny because God appreciated her death on that day and at that hour, even if she hadn't given birth, she would have died for another reason because her age is over.
Put immigration policy to a vote.
"So what happened? Why is it that we have the fertility rates going down in so many countries around the world?"
"Well that's not the easiest question I've been asked today"
How about women in the workplace, rising cost of living relative to wage growth (stagnant in real terms since the late 70s), high cost of housing or rent, high cost of childcare, high rates of divorce, there being many more ways to entertain yourself (or keep yourself mentally occupied) today than in the 90s, less societal pressure to marry and have children, high cost of raising children to age 18, mass immigration lowering wages and raising demand for housing, higher access to credit cards which puts people in high-interest debt quickly, higher and more insecure unemployment since the late 1970s or early 80s, globalism - global marketplace for talent. It's one of the easiest questions to ask if you look at how life's changed over the last 40 - 50 years, but those who benefitted well regardless of these changes obviously don't want to think about them. There's also those who never had to live through them due to when they were born, who live in denial about them even as they're now in their fifth decade of existence.
how many people is enough? 10 billion 1000 billion? guess the number cant go up forever
Ppl are smarter now than before. They realize life isn’t all that great, no point in passing on the struggles to next generation.
People are more of idiots now in general than they were in the 1980s, for example
Price people out of owning or renting a property with mass immigration and its bound to hit the economy as it also impacts wages and peoples spending.
The population can’t drop fast enough for me. Can we make it to this coming drop?
Time will tell.
You can educate women or have enough kids - not both. Everywhere that's pushed women into education and careers fulltime is now suprised they don't have time to have kids.
How many misogynists in the comments…
I’m not saying it’s a bad thing. Just a law of nature, women can’t do everything, there’s only so many hours in the day.
@@ConcernedCitizen117 oh my fault og. then you’re in agreement :) yea welcome to unfettered capitalism. women are expected to take care of their child and work. women can do both if our government actually cared about women, ie: child care stimulus, allow them more time with children after birth, etc… women have been doing both since the birth of patriarchy. your first sentence is kind of misogynistic. im sure you dont mean it, but thats what millennia of patriarchy does. men put down women in some weird way without even knowing. both men and women dont have the time or money to have kids. its not that they’re educated. we literally just have no time for anything, especially women. impossible to raise a child with just one man. the 1950s are long gone. Both have to be wage slaves. The system must change. remember, we were a matriarchal society first. it was women who led us here. they can definitely do both and more. confining them to the home was man’s worst mistake.
@@ConcernedCitizen117 Women are forced to work because buying a home now requires two full time incomes for average people. Housing requires two full time incomes because the world population has doubled in my lifetime driving the cost of housing up. So in a way the world is solving it's own overpopulation problem, or trying to.
If women marry at 18, they can have 4 children at least after the last one enters school, they will be able to continue their education and career, I think the problem is in priorities.
It's why all Western countries are allowing unlimited immigrant migration. Experts are wrong and need to change policies to encourage raising children.
I think I prefer robots and having a roof over my head.
The current economic system doesn't support having kids. But the world has too many people anyway. We should work to make it a better place for those already born instead of trying to have more miserable people on earth.
Why does the world have too many people ?
yes you are right, the world has too many people,
You are a person so you are part of people,
If you are part of people, you are part of the too many
So if you think "the world has too many people anyway" please make us a favour and start removing yourself from the space-time equilibrium first and become good compost for the plants ;)
Too many old people because of modern medicine but they are our grandparents so it’s a catch 22.
Good luck everyone
My last hope for buying a home left when my aunt stole my inheritance.
Women are getting wise
3:50 Bruh, because it's extremely EXPENSIVE due to increasing income but especially wealth inequality. The "conservative" wondering about the topic is absurd and laughable.
You could afford it if you weren't being taxed so much to pay for nonsense.
Going to retire early but now I have two kids. I’ll be lucky if I retire at 65, kids are catastrophically bad financially
I think the problem isn't with children, but in the environment of the city, upbringing, and peer influence.
Ive already given up hope that any of my 3 children will be financially stable enough to support themselves independently, much less help me at my old age.
@@kimpeater1
I think that children aren't a burden if you make the right decisions from the beginning, My father always blames me while he makes many wrong decisions in his life and still, I'm not saying that I make all the right decisions for my life, but those ones I think suit me, if my father didn't make the right decisions for his life, how he can decide that I make the wrong decisions for my life?! (who lacks something doesn't give it) I hope that my father gives up like you, but unfortunately my father never gives up, and I hate him because of his wrong style of upbringing, If I get married, I will try to get married while I'm rich to ensure that I'm able to take care of my children in my life and after I die.
The real issue is we are running low on resources.
Think about it. The Earth is a finite place with finite resources. Trees are renewable but we’re razing old growth forests and soon there will be no more, The Earth’s human population, however, is infinite. It will keep on growing and will depend on our fixed resources.
We are currently siphoning off the waters of the Colorado River, for human use, so that it now never even reaches the Gulf of California, which it used to rush into. With the decimation of our old growth forests in South America and Oceana, the reduction of livable and farmable land, major flooding in low-lying cities and coastlines caused by rising ocean waters, and the decimation of animal and plant species in our oceans and on land, just to highlight a few current and looming adversities, it’s clear we are already well overpopulated and growing exponentially.
We are eating and taking resources that mother nature cannot keep up with. Humans cuased overpopulation, pollution, burning fossil fuels, and deforestation. Changes like these have triggered climate change, soil erosion, poor air quality, and undrinkable water.
We are the issue and not being mean but with the populations going down is fixing the issues.
He pointed to Canada as a country doing immigration right…. They’ve had a record increase in legal immigration which has led to a massive housing shortage and an over burdened public health sector, Canada is set this year to have its highest rate of Canadians emigrating to the United States bc of how tough it’s become to live in Canada, that was a weird country to reference lol
I live in new zealand and the cost of living does contribute to the mind set of most european new zealanders here. But most of the reason is just culture here. Most young new zealanders who are european new zealand descent usually move out and have nuclear families and so the cost of living is so much of a struggle for them.
They also dont have many support networks such as grandparents living with them at home to care for any children they have and they find it strange to have a large family structure such as aunts and uncles helping out as well.
But native Maori and pacific island cultures have maintained birthrate of above 2 and even 3. Some families still have many children because of an enormous familial style of living such as the fact that polynesian culture considers aunts and uncles to also be equal to the parents and so anyone that struggles is aided by them. Its also considered disrespectful to have elders go into homes unless theyre really sick, so usually you could find grandparents living in the same house so they can contribute their pensions and care for their children.
Despite the average birthrate being around 1.6 or 1.7 for european new zealaders, these other ethnic groups with big familial structures and strong support networks are actually doing really well. Its only on the decline in new zealand since western culture and cost of living is affecting the change.
Im an urban planner in new zealand and we have been doing a study on the population decline here to find trends. So it is quite interesting to see how despite expenses, culture plays a huge part in it.
Balanced, measured, intelligent comment. thank you.
That makes a lot of sense. Urbanisation is part of the nuclear family story for generational change. People have moved into small apartments and don't have room for multiple generations in the same apartment. But I love the point of what you are saying because that suggests there is another way. They say it takes a village to raise a child.
Agreed, If I had a kid, my partner and I would truly have to do it on our own in the US. Think of this alternative
My partner and I live with another couple who we are best friends with. The four of us share rent and have one, probably two kids. Two of us are very career minded and can focus on semi-fulfilling high paying careers to make good money. One of us majored in child psychology, has raised twins from babies as a nanny, teaches day care classes of ages 2-3 and 3-5. She would be an incredible primary parent and would be able to focus on the kids full time while being able to hand them off anytime for her own self care/relaxation time/hobbies. Three of us are native English speakers and one is native Spanish, so the kid/s would grow up bilingual, With four of us it would be easier to have two kids so they could grow up with a sibling which has a lot of pros. Expenses are less because more things are shared and we can split responsibilities like chores to better specialize. And one person loosing a job or dying isn't so devastating.
Now imagine we make it easier for people to do this. Like creating a way for mortgages to be split between more than two people, a better way to share cars with shared insurance for more than two people, and maybe a parent system with a primary parent and multiple secondary parents.
There are cons of course, but this feels like a real way to bring back a more communal raising of children. Encouraging living with family members and/or friends through legal means is a more simple starting point.
Feudalism leads to capitalism leads to fascism leads to totalitarianism leads to feudalism.
Neil Ferguson is so far up his own arse for the last 10 years... just go away already mate.
Canadian GDP per capital is declining. Not sure the policy is one to follow.
The best of trudeau
Think long term.
They seem to forget that we are using finite resources, for the better with less people
I get where you are coming from, but thats pretty short sighted, a culture that is not interested in keeping its liberal values going will be succeeded by a culture that explicitly uphelds its own continuation.
They don't forget. They know what's coming. They just want to keep their foot on the accelerator.
Is it really a problem, and for who? It's a way of nature. Species born and fade away. Now our time has come.
When Senator Tommy Tuberville stated "We need more kids" he wasn't talking about brown or black kids. Climate Change is not only causing extreme weather events but possiby decreasing human fertility rates which is why "IVF" is so important to Republicans whom are making abortions illegal in red states not for altruist reasons but to increase the population of non black and brown babies
Yes, even though technology is more advanced we can't afford as many children as when we weren't as advanced. No one questions it either.
But if population decreases the stock market might go down :(
/s
Sounds like the world is going back to where it started.
ferguson is stuck in an old economic idea that population growth is needed to increase productivity. in fact, in the future world populations are going to be a burden. few people the better it seems. unless we figure out a new model of wealth distribution or some method of people obtaining products without income, we are going to be screwed. more people is needed is only the dream of manufacturers and economists. in the real world people increasingly cant afford housing and necessaries. governments need to solve this first before pushing population expansion.
Robots don’t consume bud
If your population is rapidly declining with a median age of 60 than the demographics start to tell a whole lot about your economics, if you're the US with a median age of 40, is even several years from a net birth negative, and has a massive surplus of migrants annually, than yes, it isn't a problem anytime soon
"Populations are going to be a burden": burden for who ?
The US is also backwards because it's super difficult to immigrate as an educated or skilled person, the people who massively increase GDP. Meanwhile, uneducated people mass migrate illegally and keep the economy down.
@@standardprocedure7017Burden for the next generation who have to support the current soon to be retirees.
Greed is destroying the world...Take care.
I think it's a good thing, way too many people in planet earth
What is that statement based on? Personal perception?
@@Zucker2007 yes
If climate change is the worst problem, then why would anyone be worried about population decline? Surely, as population declines, pollution will as well? No?
The problem with the 2.1 population rate is that even if we did all have sustainment levels of children, the increased average lifespan means that we'd face social collapse and overpopulation. The need for housing would increase exponentially, further exasperating an overly inflated real estate market. Medical advances and technology means an easier life and allows for people to be productive much longer than they were before, but this chokes out the younger generations from being able to grow and flourish. Less real estate, less chance for advancement, all work to diminish the possibilities people have and with limited chances/choices it can lead to mental health issues with stress/anxiety/self-esteem. Coupling that with the fact that most mental tasks are handled by computers, ai, or machines, most skilled jobs are strictly related to mental fields which doesn't lead to a sense of accomplishment. It's a catch-22, we use technology to make people more capable, but they become reliant on technology so they are actually less capable, so we have to rely on technology to make them more capable.
Abolish all taxes for all families with 4 or more kids. Having kids is so expensive.
How do you slow population growth without anyone even realising it? Empower women (even to the point of absurdity) but say it’s about equality. Also important to keep in mind is that as we fall back down to one billion people globally, the proportion of elderly is going to get larger and larger. I believe it should be about 1 young person to about 10 senior citizens by then, if not sooner. The whole planet is going to be one big nursing home. Unless a virus or something starts wiping out the elderly.
Who is responsible for caring for all the childless elderly? No one. They should plan accordingly.
Can’t blame women when men have been abusive toward them for centuries. It’s a balance on who to blame and chances are it’s a shared accountability
We have kind values, liberal values but at this time, we should close our borders to the USA because we have no logical screening for gangss, spies etc.. Keep work permits for highly educated or child medical humanitarian cases
Canada is not a good example to hold up as an example of anything. GDP is not even in the top
30, no affordable housing, medical service chaos, highly educated leaving, wages static in terms of cost of living, no industrial spending due to overtaxing. Goes on and on. This reference is deeply flawed.
If you hear closely, the worry is economic growth, but then again that's the focus that might have to change... specially with from now on dwindling fossil fuels our whole perspective will have to change. I'm almost sure we won't become extint, unless someone pushes the button.
There was a leader who gave $1m loans to married couples and wrote off $250k for every child they had. I forget who but i do remember his economy booming.
Rats of Nihm
So the Great Replacement isn’t a conspiracy theory, it’s government policy. Thanks for the info Niall!
No shit! Life is for rich people now. 🤨
This guy is arguing that economic policies are not sufficient to raise birth rate.
Sufficient or not, they are necessary.
This is almost trivial to demonstrate for anyone with a background in mathematics. Musk studied physics and is probably why he is one of the few public people concerned about it.
Pay people much more money to have children, that will solve the problem.
That's idiotic, that's how you get welfare mommas
greedy wealthy people don’t want to do it.
@@leontaecoleman3644 Then enjoy crash of civilization because we the people decide if we want to multiply or not and entire civilization course totally in our hands.
Considering the exponential rise in childcare costs in Mumbai, India, Im better off without a child
World population declining from 10 billion to two billion? Gee weez, what a blessing! Global warming problem is solved!
polution too, why are they so alarming about this
less slaves
@@nah131 The only way it makes sense, is if they plan on using humans like batteries - like in the Matrix. In that scenario, one might want more people around.
@@nah131 less people = better working rights, less competition for land. we can thank the black plague wiping good chunks out of the peasantry for the kickstart to our rights.
globar warming does not solver, because as it happened without humanity 20k years ago wiping out 65% of medium to big size mammals ( megafauna ) from the entire planet..... and just Earth has decided to warm up a bit, without any HUMANS.... so you think too much about how much humans have control over their fate....
Peacefool communities having soccer teams driving this hike more than anyone .
The quantity of humans does not matter as long as we have genetic diversity. Regarding labor, machines and robots will fill the gap. Humans will be left to creative and management tasks aided by advanced AI agents, which is fine for the continuation of the species.
Without births, humans will be prosperous and still go extinct despite AI advances.
How does he not mention toxicity? All the pesticides and herbicides and Microplastics and Pfas? This is why 1 in 6 couples have trouble conceiving today. Jeremy Grantham is a million times smarter on this topic….
In the USA young adults can barely make a living for themselves. For many just getting out of their parents house is the goal not married with children. If the corporations and rich people want more workers in the future pay the workers today to have and raise them.
Who takes on the effort and work needed to bring up children? I personally found being a Mum, was hard work, and although working part time had to manage the household on my own. My other point is, why is it just males discussing this topic?
It may be the case that the Chinese of China have a minimum number of kids, but the Chinese of where I come from in the UK -- with its NHS, state schools, social services . . . -- often have more than two kids, Mr Hoover Institution Senior Fellow :-)
Population decline is a productivity (and military defense) problem. Disproportionate numbers of unemployed young males are a sociopolitical problem in less advantaged areas. In my opinion, the actual elephant in the room is declining populations in industrialized nations offset by contemporaneous Malthusian problems in contiguous geographic areas.
Those things from the 60's still apply, at least more people = more impact on the environment
Fewer people = economic downturn = more social unrest
@@fisal24 yep you may be right, but also a greater impact on the environment. My point was, dont pretend that some things dont apply anymore. Cheers for the comment man and have a good one
There are very few incentives to have children. A $2000 tax credit is a joke when child care for little ones is more like 20,000. How about making kids a tax deduction? They will pay all the social security for everyone who didn't have kids, so why are only the people who choose to have kids be barring the expens for our society as a whole?
Very informative talk. People are working too hard to make a living. Many people don't want to bring children into the world and live a similar life
Most of us are a product of the single mother boom. We dont know how to parent because we never grew up with it.
I heard Tyrone pounding my mom
Lowest rent for a 2 bedroom apartment in my area is 2300-3100. If you want to buy a condo then you're looking at 500,000 for a 1-2 bedroom.
What do you expect from us?
Baby Boomers own all the property and want to sell it for a million dollars. Human greed is directly responsible for this.
Each person must be limited to only having 2 houses.
500k looks very affordable though
@@user-qb2nw1pg5i to whom? That’s almost 10x the average salary. When we’re talking about a condo that’s insane
@@carkawalakhatulistiwa this is the way
Well, at least there are a few ways to make ur tc up to 200k or 300k and imagine u and ur partner are both working... then achievable in 10 yrs. I think like this because in my country South Korea, the average housing price is 1 million usd lol, while there is literally no way to earn more than 150k a year if you work for a company
Declining birth rate ?
Looks like a job for Nick Cannon...
Children are a labor, which is essentially an asset. As the world evolved, an uneducated labor became uncompetitive so a child's success became a project. Asset is an immediate wealth multiplier, project requires investment that not necessarily pays back. That's it. Successfully raising a child is like opening a business in a high entrance barrier industry. You simply cannot expect to see the growing number of business enteties as it gets higher. You either lower the barrier, or help with investment. Think about it, dear economists.
The gene pool needs to stabilize itself. Not everybody is mentally and physically healthy to produce children nor will they be good parents who will take care of their children so that they can grow up into socially adept and productive citizens. Not every child is going to grow up to contribute to economic growth. To equate economic growth with population growth is a concept that only existed in the 20th century when industrialization was at its peak.
Improving mechanisms for legal immigration of the skilled and talented could reduce the economic problem. However, efficient legal migration policies will NOT stem the flow of those whom the policies would not favor.
1/ Declining birth rates with homogeneous population and limited immigration is bad due to the national debts: we need a debt jubilee and big reduction in taxes to level out, otherwise the birth rates will continue to decline.
2/ Declining birth rates plus immigration from developed nations is a zero sum game. All developed nations have declining birth rates now, so if someone moves from one country to another it doesn't change the overall birth rate problem in developed nations.
3/ Declining birth rates plus immigration/illiegal immigration from poor nations is the probably the worst option. These will be low skilled migrants from poor countries. This will compress wages even further making it harder for the native population to have children. Plus more potential for crime/violence. Also if these illegal migrants claim benefits then that exasperates national debts even further.
Greatstuff Mr Dave western. Worthy insights.
Bravo, keep up the good work 🏁
Very good news, no need to just add consumers for gdp and numbers.
Keyword is feminism , that’s all
*the WORLD needs more PEOPLE...❤😂❤*
Speculation on reasons why. Fact: women have their first child at a later age and if they want a second child they can not concieve anymore because of age.
Why do we need rising population when robots will do a lot of the jobs ? Can’t we work 3 days and still support the elderly if robot operators pay taxes ?
Canada is not smiling it all. Life is hard there.
Say that to indigenous native brown citizens, clearly your a caucasian racist who loves living in native peoples lands.
I'm not shocked you will think that way...
Children farms plz
Nonsense. The population is already collapsing outside of a few countries. To see the real population collapse you need to track the population growth of people under 20.
House to expensive for new family . Old rich people have 4 home As an investment. Increase house prices
What happened? May be the ballsiest questions ever. You know what happened.
Read the room.
Starting a family can be costly. Extra curricular activities- soccer, karate, art, ceramics, endless birthday parties for all classmates gifts, shoes, braces, clothing, healthcare, pets, food, heating/ utilities, camps, gadgets, allowances. Gotta have a home close to schools!! Can only travel during school hols ++ expensive. Good chance (60%) r/ship falls apart. If so, court or mediation. House gone. Can result in massive depression and loss (debt). Child support. Regret only comes in the end. So choose wisely and use a crystal ball! Odds are not in your favour.
microplastics and nanoplastics have been discovered in both testes and ova... PFAS are ubiquitous... and are highly probable for infertility rates... the ecumenic inequalities also impact this decline, no question... Dr. Ferguson is brilliant and I recommend one to read all of his cogent, high-brow texts! Go Bloomberg!!!
can opportunities be found on other smart chains like ETC or poly, or is the software only for binance smart chain
This 'problem' is laughable. There are 8+ billion humans, and will be 10 billion by 2050. There are species on the planet that have a tiny fraction that number and we consider them not vulnerable.
There is a worry yes, but its that a smaller labor pool might force higher wages. I think its unfounded as AI should more than compensate for that if it ever happens.
I'm gonna wait for the population to drop to 7 billion before I panic.
Spry for my ignorance, but can we do stake on Binance and Kucoin for example?
You all worry about global population decline. What about the decline of jobs ? Why should people have kids when the jobs are not guaranteed. Some of my friends with 15 years of experience got laid off 1.5 years back and still haven't found jobs. Look at the joblessness in China and India and they can never employ that many educated people. So why educated people should bring fodder to this world when they know there will be no jobs. Also after paying taxes for 25+ years I am competing with offshoring and AI , so there's no one to save my butt if I get laid off and I am worried about my kids future. I am already telling my kids not to get married or at least not have kids so that they can survive. By the way Child tax credit is a pittance compared to the expenses of raising kids. Child tax credit is a drop in the bucket so don't joke about it. First guarantee jobs for future generation and current generation and then worry about all this. You have no idea what current people are going through to just keep food on the table.