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This is How China Could Invade Taiwan
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- Опубліковано 28 чер 2023
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The People's Liberation Army of China is ramping up preparations for a full scale invasion of Taiwan. However, the danger could come from an enemy attack along the less defended East Coast of Taiwan, which would cut foreign supplies from reaching the island. China could be using its entire arsenal, a combination of saturation missile strikes to defeat enemy air defense, an aggressive air campaign to target decision making centres, as well as amphibious operations using PLA Marine Brigades. The Chinese Navy will also play a crucial role in sealing off the island, and securing the safe passage of amphibious landing crafts.
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Cool
Nah i'm good thanks
Ok
Helh nah
5th video where I am asking for you to analize operation Storm (Oluja)
I'm always baffled when professional military analysts and experts don't take civilian vessels into account... the French army used city taxis to transport their troops to the Marne in 1914 and the Israelis used school buses and ice cream trucks(!!!) as troop transports to reach the Suez Canal in 1956
French taxis to the Marne was propaganda, taking only a few thousand of the million men involved.
Plenty of civilian vehicles used on both sides in Ukraine
@@rodiculous9464 and yet, the Russia has "air" control of Ukraine, picking them off like ants....
@@rodiculous9464
Plenty of civilian vehicles were used to move military supplies from Poland to Ukraine.
The Ukrainian have a private car, drive up to Poland, pack up as many Stingers or Javelins as possible into the car and drive back to Ukraine patriotically.
If there is a battle, it will not be a hand to hand combat, but more recover of the island to China PRC.
The 23 millions plus are not an issue to prevent U.S.A. having a foot hole in China again.
fyi KMT est. 2 millions plus native Taiwanese remove for them to take control of the island. That's Democracy.
I am a Taiwanese. The issue between Taiwan and China is political, not military. China does not need to invade Taiwan to complete the work of unifying Taiwan. Putin is a smart man, and he immediately saw that China could solve the Taiwan issue without using force. Besides, Deng Xiaoping also said, "Chinese people don't fight Chinese people". If you really need to use force, there is a limit. The east coast of Taiwan is rocky and the west coast is sandy, so the ports that accept natural gas, oil and coal are all on the west coast. And the stupid Taiwanese government will decommission all nuclear power plants in 2025 under the pretext of environmental protection. So China only needs to block the southern and northern ends of the Taiwan Strait with smart mines, and Taiwan will go back to the stone age within 1 month due to lack of electricity, because the stock of natural gas is less than 2 weeks, and natural gas power generation accounts for 50% of Taiwan's total power generation. While the People's Liberation Army has sea and air superiority, Taiwan simply does not have the ability to clear mines. Therefore, without energy, the 23 million people in Taiwan cannot live. More and more people advocate negotiation. As long as they sit at the negotiating table, the possibility of armed conflict will be reduced. The other method is simpler, which is also Putin's method, and he made it very clear at the press conference in 2021. Simply put, by 2028, Taiwan's total GDP will be less than 4% of China's. China can "buy" Taiwan with money. As for how to "buy" Taiwan, it is already in progress!
"Surrender the enemy without fighting"---Sun Tzu's Art of War.
In addition, if war really breaks out, the United States will immediately evacuate the U.S. troops from the Okinawa base to Hawaii. The Japanese constitution also stipulates that Japan can only defend itself and cannot send troops to attack other countries, so Taiwan can only rely on itself.
Indeed, but we know that NATO will try to make it a military conflict.
I myself don't think that Taiwan is stupid enough for that (like west Ukraine for example or Georgia).
I lost you right after you claimed Putin is a smart man.
And of course you "are from Taiwan "
I you want to make that two brothers will fight, you only need to invite an english to dinner with they.
@@stefanbodlen8707Except when they're shooting unarmed civilians in Tiananmen Square. That's a loophole.
if taiwan can keep away nato and usa from their land then no invasion going to happen
people should see the logic that by Xi taiwan is chinese
so he has no plan to kill his own
its only western propaganda
usa need to keep it hot creating a pretext to move in taiwan and stay
just take a look on the map
japan south korea philippines
for full encirclement need taiwan
also watch out usa plan is moving TSMC to usa
after usa plant start to work, then usa no longer any interest in taiwan
for usa, after that better the whole TSMC destroyed so china can not use it
As an Indonesian I'm happy that my country doesn't allow any foreign military bases on our soil. So Indonesia could stay neutral in a conflict between China and Taiwan (USA)
We also act as a gateway for international trading for both parties, so being neutral is important and won't cause geopolitical issues and stuff
As a Filipino, we are totally fucked
Ya, tapi klo perang tetep aja Indo harus milih, klo ga milih bisa rata, bukan swiss yang bisa bikin bunker sampe ke gunung.. Indonesia flat wkwk..
Indonesian have wise leaders.
@@astrophotos8368 Wishes Indonesian could be the example of South East Asia.
At one point a long time ago, I was the Marine Corps Pubic Relations Rep for the Commander-in-Chief of the Pacific, Admiral Larson. I am continually impressed with your ability to sort thru bullshit and make logical assessments of situations. I also like your humor, which makes it more palatable. You missed your calling in life. You are a smart man. Keep it up. I would enjoy a campfire conversation over a beer with you. Keep up the good work.
Well, he's young enough isn't he? He could still find his place somewhere else...but of course then we'd all miss out on these great videos! :D
much more comfy behind a screen getting ad money than on the front line, bucko
Now do the US: How could the US invade Texas?
they already have
*How could Texas invade the US
How could Florida invade California?lol
Isn't the US Military made up of mostly Texans?
Texas has already started to invade Chicago and New York. Right now the migrants are being sent to create disturbance. Then we will use humanitarian assistance as a casus belli
Going to be fun in social media when everyone dumps Ukraine flags and stand with Taiwan lmao.
probs gonna be both
I will support both Russia and Taiwan
It's sure to be fun too
@@crash8218 based
@@crash8218Very Based
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The Chinese high command watching this: "interesting, interesting..."
PLA have thousands of considerable large fishing boats and civilian vessels. There is a reason why PLA didn't bother to build amphibious landing vessels.
Not really that easy. How many of these ships can take troops directly to shore and get back to sea. Or are they going to sit out 100 years from shore and ferry troops. While under artillery fires and having zero armor. If they beach only a small number can land before the beach is blocked up with ships.
Any of these ships crew have experience sailing in formation on open waters? How will you communicate with these ships and coordinate the attack? Plans change so you can’t depends of coordination before you set out. How can you identify these ships as friendly? What happens if there is a storm? How crews react under fire? With ships of different sizes you will have to split up units so cohesion. Will any of these ships need to be refueled.
Civilian ships are good for a simple operation like pick up troops and bring them home. But coordinating a invasion and landing at a location at a specific time in a country you don’t know with 1000s of ships all around you isn’t an easy task.
@@Kevlar_soul You are right, that is why Chinese fishermen can become militia, they are being trained and paid. Plus China is continuing to build amphibious landings for Taiwan, or perhaps Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, the South China Sea?
This dude is one of the best UA-camrs in this genre. So engaging. Incredible. Been watching for a year now.
WOW VERY DANGEROUS SIR! 😠😠I WILL NEVER GO TO TAIWAN ! 😠BUT THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗
@@indiasuperclean6969 Perhaps you should seek medical intervention?
He’s a Russian fan boy
@@scottyahol Still way more talented than you
Agreed!
Steps 1. Flatten Military instalations. 2. Surround Taiwan with Submarines, declare it a warzone 3. Blockade them and chill until they give up.
You forgot to sink any US ships as they approach. Remember China has carrier killer missiles that can cover 80% of the earths oceans. If they saw them approaching Taiwan they could sink the entire fleet as it appeared.
WOW VERY DANGEROUS SIR! 😠😠I WILL NEVER GO TO TAIWAN ! 😠BUT THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗
@@indiasuperclean6969 troll
@@indiasuperclean6969 you really hate india huh lmao
didja get scammed or something?
Sounds like a medieval siege
China invading Taiwan is like Brazil invading Rio de Janeiro... If the U.S. warmongers and war hawks just chill out, China and Taiwan will get along just fine. They can work an agreement like Hong Kong and keep their prosperity. We don't need no more trouble.
true, but that is not what usa wants, it needs more war to indebten other countries to pay for the arms. how long before ukrane out of the debt it is running up , uk took over 50 years to pay off its war debt to usa.
@@victormuckleston That and to affect China's economy. While Taiwan burns, they set sanctions, default bonds payments to China, block the sea to China exports... for "humanitarian" purposes, of course. That's why China won't take the bait. For now...
What was described in this video could have been the PLA's war plan *IF* forced reunification took place in the 2010s. However, in the 2020s & beyond, such a war plan would be largely obsolete, as it doesn't take into account 2 key PLA capabilities - long range MLRS & drones. The opening "missile" campaign to execute the SEAD mission would probably not use "thousands" of missiles as described in the video, but rather a combination of a few hundred missiles, coupled with long-range MLRS (e.g. PCL-191 - which has enough range to reach the majority of TW from the Mainland), as well as thousands (or even tens of thousands) of Kamikaze UCAVs (something roughly comparable to the Russian Geran UCAVs & Lancet-like loitering munitions). Those assets are far cheaper than SRBM/MRBMs & will wear down TW's air defenses much quicker. To the extent that missiles are used in the opening phases, they're likely to be used only on high-value targets such as C4ISR nodes & fixed infrastructure (e.g. the US PAVE PAWS radar on TW, airstrips, ammo depots, command posts, etc.).
Moreover, I doubt the PLAN even needs any active ships (let alone large capital ships) to impose a blockade of TW's ports, even its coastal defense anti-ship missile batteries have more than enough range to put all of TW's west coast ports under a missile blockade. To the extent that it needs any ships to blockade the east coast of TW, a large number of small fast attack missile boats (e.g. Type 022), combined with SSKs & UUVs will have more than enough range & firepower to do the job. The large capital ships - be it the DDGs, FFGs, CVs, or SSNs - will primarily be a support force for the aforementioned smaller, cheaper assets, & also have the responsibility of holding off any foreign intervention force, if such intervention should occur.
With regards to the PLAAF, I don't think their cross-strait patrols should be any indicator of how they'll fight an actual war. circling TW in patrol flights is a POLITICAL move designed to undermine any notion of TW "sovereignty". In an actual war, they don't need to fly anywhere close to TW, they'll gain air supremacy through crippling the RoCAF on the ground, & engage in BVR combat vs RoCAF remnants with the support of AWACS & loyal wingman UCAVs.
The initial amphibious landing will likely make heavy use of drones as well - UGVs would make up much of the 1st wave of landings for drawing fire, demining, & putting down suppressive fire to avoid casualties. UCAVs such as the CH-series, armed with ATGMs & glide bombs, will be used to provide CAS vs RoCA armored vehicles.
Finally, if forced reunification doesn't happen until the 2030s, then we'll have to take into account yet another technology - PLA/PLAN railgun artillery. But for now, it's still way too early to speculate about that, since the PLA is still in the early stages of miniaturization & power management for such a technology.
Lastly, I doubt any aspect of the operation would be a "surprise" for either side. There will be heavy mobilization done on both sides prior to the conflict, & both sides will have mapped out every single inch of the opponent's assets. So the side with the superior firepower & more survivable C4ISR will be the victor.
Bottom line - in the 2010s if the Mainland was forced to invade, it would have had to use much of the big ticket capital assets described in this video. However, we're well past that stage now, & the PLA has the ability to use much cheaper & more expendable unmanned assets to execute all phases of a forced reunification op. It will also reserve its big ticket capital assets for the real fight against the foreign intervention forces. To that end, the longer the Mainland waits for reunification, the cheaper it becomes for them; the military balance of power is getting increasingly & inevitably lopsided in favor of the Mainland. Perhaps this is why the US is trying to provoke the Mainland into a war. It knows that time is on the PRC's side.
I think this is the best analysis of the Chinese military in the comment. They didn't factor in the advancement of Chinese AI and drone technology in their videos.
Excellent analysis. But I still think Mainland will possibly start the invasion with a surprise attack on the Taiwanese president in order to create chaos. They may also attempt a surprise airborne landing at a politically significant spot such as Taipei. Such landing will be very risky but worth trying. If somewhat successful, the landing may break the Taiwanese will for resistance and bring the war into a quick end.
Time is not on the PRCs side. Look at Russia. Russia had plenty of advanced military technology but Ukraine ended up being trench warfare like WW1. China will be the same if they want taiwan. The Taiwanese will just not let them on the island even after being bombarded by missiles. This will make it hard for an invasion to happen with new technology. Also the Chinese demography is collapsing much quicker than the US. The Chinese stopped having replacement birth rates in 1980. In the US it was 2010 (Great Recession). This means the Chinese have had 40 years of single child families (every generation is half the population size of the older ones) and the US has a current large pool of young potential recruits until the mid 2030s when Gen Z ages out and Gen alpha becomes adults. China already has a shrinking pool of young people to recruit
@@LucasFernandez-fk8seRussian GDP is only equivalent to China's Guangdong Province.Russia's industrial capacity is very fragile.China's industrial output value is equivalent to that of the United States plus Japanese and German.Russia cannot even manufacture military drones, and even needs to import them from Iran.If China is willing to provide equipment to Russia,It only takes a month to end the Russian-Ukrainian war.
Even if China's fertility rate drops, China's population is more than three times that of the United States.China still has far more soldiers than the United States.
@LucasFernandez-fk8se why are you comparing Chinese and American recruitment? Are you thinking about a war between Taiwan and China or a WWIII?
I believe China would not try an "invasion" they would probably just try blockading the island to get what they want. Amphibious assaults are extremely risky and also since they see Taiwan as part of China and the Taiwanese people as their own citizens they would want to avoid destruction as much as they can.
for economic reasons only if their draconian policies during the pandemic are any measure, locking people in cages and draining their bank accounts while at it doesn't seem very concerned.
WOW VERY DANGEROUS SIR! 😠😠I WILL NEVER GO TO TAIWAN ! 😠BUT THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗
This is the same case as for Crimea, they voted to be Russia, Taiwan voted to be independent. Pretty conflicting thoughs, huh?
@@BlockdaCoolguyTaiwan has never voted for independence.
@@BlockdaCoolguy Not the same. Read more history please..
I seriously hope the situation will de-escalate. We don't need another brutal bloodbath in our world right now...
You don't, but arm dealers they need. More war more money
I WANT IT NOW
We do.
@@imperatorofman yes we do, maybe something will move here in Occident.
We do. Armageddon now
I hope Taiwan is good at diplomacy. Its industry and economy gets wrecked whether it’s China or the US that wins a war over it
Taiwan is same to China as Ukraine to Russia - its an artificial cultural weapon, converted and brainwashed population to use against own kind. It is designed to be wrecked from ground up against China. Disposable.
As a Taiwanese, I think good diplomacy is more important than any national defense. Although the Ukrainian government was not easily defeated as everyone imagined, and won everyone's encouragement and support, compared to the impact of this war on The harm caused by that piece of land may not be worthwhile in the eyes of the people
As a country sandwiched between two great powers, you can only mediate between the two as much as possible, rather than placing all bets on one side
Ukraine has already demonstrated the end of all pressure on one side, I hope the Taiwan government can learn from it... (Although some politicians still rely on hatred of China to get votes)
@@user-rd4ox1yc6p You must remember one thing about your allies, they only give you support if you're useful enough to get it.
bad news: they suck at diplomacy, basically betting all-in on the hope of US intervention, and attacking those trying to make peace or maintain status quo
@@user-rd4ox1yc6p Ukraine has a long common border with NATO countries - it allows to supply Ukraine with NATO weapons, mercinaries, etc. Taiwan is an island and such sneaky help is impossible. So if USA won't declair war to China, Taiwain will fail heavily and quickly.
Besides, Putin told many times that Ukrainian people are brother nation and not enemy of Russia. How do you think: will mr. Xi so merciful?
Every time I watch one of your videos I am impressed. And this comes from a retired Air Force officer who has taught in two of the advanced warfighting schools of the DOD.
thanks for your service
America is not fighting for Ukraine , they are just supplying them .... why do you think America is gonna be different with Taiwan ?
Very true
@@cractrick9225 i don't think he believes this crap,,, he's just exaggerating making a video like this for views
Mainly because of the microchips. The US is actually very dependant on them so they want to secure their supply by defending Taiwan.
Perhaps because of TSMC and the dependency of the US-military on semi-conductor production.
@ark0nx0x I would say it's clickbait for nato hoes, they seem to think they're gods or something. As IF they'll win every war, funny how the taliban got a new army....
As a Chinese, I can confidently say that there's almost zero chance that Japan will strike at Chinese forces first or be directly involved in the conflict. Due to historical reasons, doing such would ensure the complete destruction of Japan itself, if not, than the CPC would lose all support amongst the populace and its own rule would come under threat.
Lmao chong with an opinion 😂
That is a very interesting comment, and I think the Japanese are very much aware of this. Difficult situation for Japan since they rely on the U.S. for protection but they would have a big problem with the US launching attacks on Chinese forces from Okinawa.
Historically? you mean japan rolling through shanghai and nanking again?
@@Hauke69@Hauke69 well considering Japan kicked china's butt, and we kicked thiers. Don't you think the old saying history repeats itself rings true?
Things change but between the animosity of the Chinese against the Japanese for all of thier atrocities and the fact that we have active military bases there, im pretty sure it would go down this way.
@@JamieLannyster 你所说的“上海和南京”现在就在海峡对面🤣
A typical BS view by a westerner whose understanding of China abd Taiwan is infantile.
Bro you nail every video. It's incredible. No bias no bullshit just deep and data driven analysis
Appreciate the feedback brother 😎
“No bias”
@@novadream1454you have a problem with unbiased videos chump?
@@historylegends Shame on you for this for the ccp wumao bootlicking clickbait, stick to the ukraine conflict and not pro mainland china gaslighting.
china will NEVER win a war with Taiwan who will be protected by USA(Japanese territorial waters are only 50km off the coast of Taiwan and Japan is part of the post WWI USA protection treaty who have the most concentrated mass of nuclear warheads and troops outside the US in Okinawa) and skorea who are a puppet state of the us and will be drawn into the war.
Also you and the ccp bots NEVER mention that ccp china is a weak paper army that has NEVER won a modern war, they was totally pwned and partly colonised by Japan which had near zero natural resources like oil and rubber and is the size of California in the 1930-40s (also ccp propagandists always hide the fact that the KMT did ALL of the fighting against Japan when the spineless communists under mao hid 100s miles inland away from the conflict.. this is why mao rose to power after Japan surrendered to the US during the chinese civil war as the KMT already lost almost all of their troops ) so stop drinking ccp cool aid and promoting party line propaganda and lies,
xi pooh bear and the party leaders are not stupid enough to fight a war because of the risk of failure is high and they will lose face if they fail which might lead to civil conflict and mutiny back home.
china is a weak paper tiger and will lose a ground invasion, remember that they only have an history of genocide and slaughtering their own people or powerless regions with no military (Tiananmen square massacre,Guangxi Massacre, Uyghur genocide, Tibet genocide etc ) so talks of a Taiwan invasion against a nation who can defend themselves with REAL weapons is basically ccp funded clickbait larping trying to paint ccp china as a serious threat military and not the paper tiger joke they actually are .
This video is a clear wumao propaganda fantasy not based off any fact or realistic scenario.
@@novadream1454Yep
When the Ukraine war starts, everyone was thinking that Russia is going to just march in and occupy Kiev, but turns out they are fighting a war of attrition. If China attack Taiwan, they could be playing the same game, with their manufacturing capacity, they probably keep attacking power plants and military bases in Taiwan with rocket, drones and missiles, and probably won't land any actual troops on the island until they wear out Taiwan's weapon stock piles, exactly the same game that the Russia is playing with Ukraine right now.
Could China survive US trade and naval blockade? What would happen if American rockets start destroying Chinese indurstry and infrastucture?
@@alehanedilko2147then the world will end in nuclear fire. Simple.
@@alehanedilko2147 If you don't see US blockade Russia and attacking Russia, you won't see that with China, nuclear powers don't directly attack each other, the risk is too huge.
@@alehanedilko2147 Better question, could USA and Europe survive the blockade they impose? Their economies depend on buying cheap stuff from China and selling them expensive stuff.
@adriannguyen8891 nah don't think China would nuke Europe If it takes them a long time to get there China would nuke Canada and USA not Europe it would be too chaotic considering you nuke France everyone will retaliate. China want to avoid nuclear war they could just puppet Taiwan
My man wakes up one random day and decides to make a video teaching generals on how to wage ther wars properly
Everybody in Taiwan has a cousin or nephew in mainland china . A ton of taiwanese work in mainland china and have residency. This is a family affair the rest of the world need to stay out of it !! 😤
Thats true, The ROC should take back the mainland so those families can be reunited
Same sht with russo ukraine war. Both russians/ukrainians have relatives on the other sides
The communist rebels should give power back to the nationalist government that currently resides in China then.
lmao
It's not that exaggerated actually
Taiwan and China have been ruled separately for more than 50 years, and they have been in confrontation for a long time during this period, until 2000 AD
Only later did more exchanges begin.
This is not the same as the relationship between Ukraine and Russia. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the two countries still had a close relationship, which only deteriorated in recent years.
Decades and decades of training but the Ukraine war has shown us that doesn't really matter in comparison to combat experience. Let's see if they'll be able to execute their heavy planning or if it'll fall apart at the very first steps
🙄
It depends potato head I the chinese wait 4 or 5 years and prepare even more than and strengthen their army both by training and making their equipment more high tech and produce more they could invade taiwan by 2027 and if they win they would come out of this conflict as the strongest nation in the world and you have forgotten potato men that the chinese has make a lot of training with the russians and taking more military experience and lessons from them
They'll win just like Russia is winning in Ukraine
they have taiwans twin island they can train on as well
Years of training is always good. But you are deeply mistaken that the offensive will fail because of losses. What is the biggest loss for you? When hundreds fought in Europe, tens of thousands fought in China. Like the Russians, after huge losses in World War II, it is "easy" to lose 10-20 thousand soldiers, so for China to lose even 100 thousand will be a small victim in a percentage of their population. At the same time, Europe or the USA are not ready to lose even 1000.
I completely forgot... Because of the "One family - one child" policy, there is a big surplus of men in China. So they will not even have a demographic loss, like Ukraine.
Love your videos man, I watch and enjoy in every single one. Would love to see your analysis of Yugoslav air defense tactics vs nato in 99.
Now do the US: How would US invade Hawai
Most important question is left out: When in the timeline the US bombs TSMC and destroys the islands economy
Prob immediately. Nothing like an "ally" that is actively trying to destroy your own island.
They are in process of moving the production to USA right now. When they are done, they will dump them real fast.
@@targe4070 Lies
@@ZeroResurrectedmao, what's that TSMC plant doing in Arizona then? The goal of thr US is to become a Semiconductor self-sufficient country again, and that means no dependance on foreign nations, especially one that is on the verge of being invaded by their adversary. Once they aquire the technology and the know-how from the TSMC, Taiwan is finished. Hell, if the invasion happens, I'm pretty sure they are going to send in some stealth bombers to deny the fabs to China.
@@ZeroResurrecteddid u bother to read "chip act" of biden last year?? In 10 yrs usa wont need anything from taiwan. They wont allow chip.shortages like in 2021 to happen agai
Day 1: Mainland attacks
Day 2: Everyone in Taiwan gets new passport.
They said the same thing about Ukraine.
@@toodreammy and russia literally gave them all passports and citizenship lmao
@@toodreammy Ukraine is 17 times larger than Taiwan island.
@@toodreammy This is a common joke in Taiwan. I find it funny people making videos and comment about Taiwan know next to nothing about the actual people who live there.
I'm stating they said the same thing about Ukraine and look what's happening there. 1 year later and Russians are still being shitted out by dogs. 🇷🇺🇷🇺🇷🇺🇷🇺
Taiwan is historically part of mainland China . I.e. China does not need or want to invade Taiwan.
Prigozhin for Ukraine president!!
Lol what? ☠
let Prigozhin cook man
@@lolololzzzzzzzzzzzzPRIGOZHIN?, SMOKE AND MIRRORS. KEEPS THE USA/NATO * GUESSING *.
That’s the plan
@@lolololzzzzzzzzzzzzi wonder if he really is that good of a cook? I mean if putin likes it it must be pretty good
Actually the Ferry stuff is interesting because its using the most used type of ships to transport cars, which is the "Roll-on Roll-off" those basically allow you to transport cars into a port by driving them, and massed ammount of cars, this means they just need a port secure and they can bring some 50 MBTs, just in one go, and they are "ready to fight" the moment they leave the ramp
Too many targets to hit is the problem
@@TrusePkay yes, but you ask why no more nations consider this. (tho Don't think many are planning invassions like this, talking more about NATO)
@@gerfand if that ship gets hit it goes down with all the tanks with it. Big targets like that are sitting ducks with modern surveillance capability
@@TCGdp yes however:
1- clandestine ops
2- who said its gonna be hit vs any other ship, if any transporter is hit, all those tanks are gone. but if you have a port and can get a ship like this to transport a bunch of tanks, use it.
@@gerfand that's the problem: you can't "just" use anything anymore and using this massive tanker will require the adequate air defence and naval defence to keep it from going down, as well as emergency ships and crews that could tow it in the event of a hit to the boat. I don't doubt that the Chinese have the resources to accomplish this task but one must consider this is a big burrito for the military budget to swallow.
Dude I love this channel so dam much. You are fucking GREAT at teaching history and going over certain scenarios for war breaking out. I’m sure what you do takes LOADS of research. Thank you very much.
all those eagle sound effects made me think i was becoming a scitzo
The best way Taiwan can defend itself is to not go against China
Unfortunately they may not have a choice If china comes after them.
Tywun doesn't even have anything to defend itself
You think China is giving them a choice? And there’s a word for what you’re describing. It’s called appeasement
@@ZeroResurrected yes they are giving them a choice
@@ZeroResurrected Munich! Appeasement! Neville Chamberlain!
Can't hawks get another argument for once?
Taiwan is a prisoner of geography, no matter what strategy it uses, it’s only a matter of time until China is able to bring it back into the fold.
Sure Like 3 days in kiev 😂
China can take it, but is it worth hundreds of ships lost, hundreds of dead pilots and lost aircraft, and the economic damage in the region?
Bro, how would China know if the missile came from a Taiwanese sub or a NATO one? Do you think that the open ocean is a threat only to Taiwan? Add to that the naval drones. It is not as simple as it looks.
@@test-qz4dqGet a PFP fed
@@test-qz4dq Russia and Ukraine signed a peace treaty at the start of the conflict. Russia pulled its convoy heading to Kiev back due to the terms of the agreement. Then Ukraine ignored the agreement. Russia never intended nor stated they would take Kiev in 3 days. That's entirely a western narrative. Russia clearly stated there goal was to destroy the Ukrainian military. Secure the LPR and DPR. Ukrainian military was defeated within a month and Ukraine lost 20% of its land. Only NATO support stopped Ukraine from being completely destroyed.
Ukraines military has suffered 400,000 killed in action. Typically wounded is 3 times KIA. Also typically allot of wounded end up back in the fight. I would say Ukraine lost about 600,000 men. Ukraine's on its 11th mobilization and this is the last one. As Ukraine is calling up every male18 to 65. This is Ukraine's last mobilization. Most of these conscripts will get a few days of training maybe a few weeks. They'll be thrown into a meat grinder and have no hope of making any difference. Ukraine is just throwing lives away now.
That's not called an invasion. It's called retaking taiwan.
Very interesting to see this analysis as a Taiwanese, we have analyzed it like this many times every year on various TV shows with military experts and veterans, I'd say you also need to take into the account that PLA has a serious corruption problem, where their military would privately sell their weapons to black market make a fortune, the numbers on their military weapons you see from China may not be the actual number they have.
I think these information are not widely spread and have access in English world, so people outside of Taiwan do not have such information(perhaps US intel has it, but they don't release it), most of them reply on media such as CNN or BBC, which they usually just do general surface level coverage, and people get more scared than Taiwanese because they don't have the information, nor they focus on Taiwan military all day long before, they only started studying Taiwan after Ukraine got invaded, and about 6 months later, the world starts to focus on Taiwan, and that's when many of you started to study Taiwan, but we have been analyzing and tracking for more than 70 years, we have spy inside PLA too, one of them died in 1996, and we claimed we no long have any spy in PLA, but do we really? ;)
We do run through our own test and analysis, we know we're not prepare enough and it never going to be enough when you have to face a country with this size, but so is China, they're not ready for the war, if they do, the war's already happened.
I'd say take a grind of salt on the news you received from foreign news such as CNN and BBC, way back in 2014 and 2016 we already knew how our advanced chip industry works would protect us from China, but it wasn't until 2022, US and the entire world starts to find out we have a such valuable industry, so nervous that an American even wrote a book call Chip War with many Taiwanese experts helping to tell the history and given analysis, yet many people still don't understand how the industry works, thinking it's very easy to move the entire supply chain and industry out of Taiwan, in case the war breaks out in Taiwan.
The point here I'm trying to make is, we have a lot more accurate intelligence than English speaking world, most people do not understand Taiwan and China very much, a lot of time when we look at China, then compare to international English news, we always find it strange why they don't point out all these weaknesses of China and PLA?
Our intelligence also alters us about Covid19 way back in 2020 December, and we enter national medical and travel emergency in January 2021, where most of the world didn't realize the virus news until March 2021 and start lock down, because of it, we were able to last more than one year when Covid19 took over the world, and our exports were benefiting from it a lot because almost every country has their problem with Covid19, making Taiwan one of few countries that avoid the economic crash during Covid19
I know most of you are nervous, but we're not dumb or unaware of the situation, we have been monitoring and preparing for decades, but China still decided to do it, we will have to fight, and most of us have the will. In fact, we think our government and military is too slow, so we founded a civil defense organization called "Kuma Academy"(黑熊學院), it doesn't not have any military grade weapon, but we're starting by training people to use drone, learn basic medical skills, survival skills, knowledge on anti cognitive warfare from internet such as UA-cam, once war breaks out, we expect our military will take it in and utilize these trained civilians to help our formal military and keep the society running.
All you need to do, is just support us like you would to Ukraine, it doesn't have to be military, money or civilian supplies, just a supportive comment to Taiwan on the UA-cam videos like this all over the internet, and that, goes for a long way my friend :)))
Good luck mate
作为大陆人，我只是想说不要把自己的胜利，寄希望于敌人的弱小，与他人的强大。
I'd say your information has outdated at least for 10 years, probably mislead by your own media. but I don't see why china want to invade taiwan if it is laid to waste. Better to spend that money and resources to build their own microchips. Takes time, yeah. but a lot more time to recover from world war 3. I didn't say china won't try to capture taiwan. Just not direct assault. China likes to play long game. So I'm actually keen to see what if Taiwan claim indepedent now. Forcing china to play the short game. how would they react?
In the morning China invades
In the afternoon, Taiwan residents collect their new ID cards
Comes from the dreamers of 3 days in kiev 😂
@@test-qz4dq They learned the lessons. China will just launch a massive salvo of missiles, rockets, drones and take down all they need to. Then after Taiwan is crippled they gonna storm it.
Ez pz, lemon zqwez
WOW VERY DANGEROUS SIR! 😠😠I WILL NEVER GO TO TAIWAN ! 😠BUT THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗
@@test-qz4dq NAFO bots trying not to say "3 day SMO in every video" challenge (impossible)
@@Jaqen_Hghar Russian bots stop calling everyone that resists imperialism nazis challenge impossible
East coast of Taiwan has little port facility, and the road geography makes supplying the rest of the island through fishing ports extremely difficult. Take out like 2 roads that normally fails during heavy rains, and there is no way to get any supply to the west side of the island, where most of the population is.
Yeah you're not wrong. I've been all over Taiwan and the east coast is very rough, full of cliffs, very few landing opportunities and the entire island is mountainous, apart from the western seashore where obv all the people live.
But Japan I think suggested they would fight and the US probably too... given their semiconductor supply is mostly in Taiwan - they have no choice. What's clear is that China would be blockaded themselves. They couldn't pass a ship anywhere. That's the whole point of all that 1st,2nd,3rd Island chain stuff. China would finish their export economy and they couldn't get ANY oil or other energy in except that one old leaky low volume pipeline. So China would shoot itself in the foot. So basically, they're not making any moves.
@@mysterioanonymous3206 Well, China just can trade in whole Asia without any ships.
Also semi conductor industry is HEAVILY linked with China, too.
@@miriamweller812 no they can't....
@@miriamweller812Chinese can’t make semi conductors because they have bad tolerance. Chinese build things to the “visual eye test” standard. That standard is fine on a hot wheels car but it doesn’t work on something as precise as a micro chip. Also China doesn’t have road links to other Asian nations because those nations are all 3rd and 4th world countries that surround China. It’s not as good a road network as the US interstate highway network is. Hell even the US Canada and US Mexico borders have better road networks connecting the 3
@@LucasFernandez-fk8seIgnorant prejudice, you don't even want to find some relevant information.
I'm Filipino and that Balut reference caught me off guard lmfao. Great work as always, HL!
Hi, was thinking the other day.. how's the general public opinion with the US setting up their military base there?.
I had a friend from Taiwan we spoke a lot it is not that clear cut that taiwanese people would all want to be independent from China ... By the way did you know that Taiwan also has a lot of small islands garrisoned by the coast of mainland China and they have artillery on them .... China tried to overtake Taiwan before for example in the 60s and failed ...
It’s not an invasion. It’s an unification.
no its an invasion taiwan and the taiwanese people have separated themselves from mainland
they are now entirely different people
* Unification by force
@@banegas0411by any chance did they declare independence?
Entirely different lol. They’re ethnic han chinese
I have decided to conduct a Special Reunification Operation
The Chinese can only afford water cannons.
This is actually hilarious. This guy just bought a camo jacket and thinks he’s a military analyst now.
as if you know more than him
@@Xilley1 I probably know about the same amount
@@Rdude4444 same for Zelensky the actor.
@@Xilley1 There're other analysts that have uploaded their thoughts on UA-cam with a far better understanding and analysis. This guy didn't mentioned Taiwan bases between china and Taiwan, vast water border, mountains that block china's option to attack from different side, low amount of suitable bays, allies that would fight Taiwan to the teeth, TMSC facilities that china wouldn't want to destroy, the fact that after russia's failed "take Kyiv in 3 days" has awaken the allies and they watch china closely now, china's army has zero battle experience(outside of private companies that they send to Africa countries) and much more in-depth analysis on china and allies fleet, aircraft and so on.
@@nickmansfield1 I will acknowledge there is some truth to that lol
The greatest lesson of the war in the Ukraine is NOT to attack with a small, western-style professional army equipped for bullying people who aren't properly armed rather than winning a real war.
The greatest lesson of the Ukraine war is you can't enslave people who don't want to submit to your rule.
The greatest lesson from Ukraine is not to provoke a world power after it has repeatedly warned you to stop. Study history. It's free.
@@Stephen-bq4nqCope azov bot
Yes, "western style professional armies" are known for having broken down logistic trucks with deflated tires and no fuel on day 1, 50km traffic jams, no air superiority 1 year into the war, unsupported yolo airborn operations deep behind enemy lines and of course having a different war goal every week depending how you feel at the time.
@@Stephen-bq4nqsame with Afghanistan
The biggest defender of Taiwanese Island is the One-China policy which Taiwan, the US, and every member of the UN agree to.
Taiwan don't agree
@@vorpanzer5991 Argue that with Taiwan who signed the policy. Lmao.
2:45 - The British never said that about the Japanese. The Japanese took part in amphibious operations against the Chinese, Koreans and Russians and captured German possessions during World War 1.
In the meantime China have
1 termite out break
2. Single male who have to provide for 4pairs of grandparents ,one pair of parents and himself.
3. Married man who have to take care of wife, kids, two pair of parents eighr pairs of grandparents.
4 droughts
5. Famines
6 200 millions unemployed
7.billions of dollars rapped up in ghost cities
8. Red sandstorm
8. Hails
Etc
War gets rid of some of those problems.
Can you do a video on the IADS Yugslovia and Serbia had which limited NATO air forces? It would be a great example of how difficult SEAD is and why even NATO has often failed to ascertain it when it does not come to fighting in an open desert.
SAM radars were active for a small period of time to get location of NATO planes, than unguided missiles were launched in direction of fighter jets. Than SAM radar would be turn on again to guide missiles when they reached high altitude. There was not enough time for NATO anti radiation missiles to take out SAM units. Many units said that NATO missiles would explode near them sometimes, blowing away their cover. Around 400 harm 88 missiles were fired at radars but since radars were turned off, there wasn't a direct contact.
Congrats on getting a sponsor 🥳
After this video, I think Chinese fishing industry is the largest navy in the world now.
Imagine this video becoming the next "I Told you so" video in the future
One thing should consider, Taiwan does not have moral boost like Ukraine had. Most people in Taiwan are rather surrender than fight back.
Slavs tend to act before thinking.
Garbage. The Taiwanese people will fight to the end!
@@henrywang3977 Depends on the type. Russians and Czechs think first. Serbs and Ukrainians act first (usually out of evil or hatred).
@@Mortablunt How the fuck Ukrainians shouldn't hate Russians? How long did Russians think before trying to capture multimillion city with 30 000 troops?
One should know, China PRC does not want "surrender" but the open gate door welcome.
China also supports TEXAS and California independence ❤
Difference is China is an illegitimate pariah state.
Ah Zap Brannigan..the only general to wipe out the pacifists from the Ghandi nebula.
you are scarily accurate in your predictions, hope this time you are wrong😂😂😂
Trump in office: no new wars, progress towards peace all over the world.
Trump out of office: war, war everywhere.
Hrm...
syria? lybia?
As a Canadian leftie i have to admit you're right ... jeez: yhe Democrats in the States r ridiculous.
Happened before him
Let's not forget Obama's strategy. Just bomb the shit out of the evil dictator, leave, then Pikachu face when it decends into total chaos far worse than the old regime lmao. Democrats love war
Ha, Ha, Ha,
Another thing to think about. Penghu, on certain parts of the island - brings Chiayi city, and much of the coastline that the pla would be fighting on into guided artillery and mlrs range. Allowing them to dominate the landings with fire support.
if china gets air superiority none of that matters
@willl7780 yeah but china does not even need air superiority. China has developed ground based long range precision fire systems like smart artillery,drones,missiles,hypersonic missiles. China is also developing railguns,laser weapons and space based weapon systems
The lesson most clearly learned from Ukraine: Air supremacy is gained, by use of non manned aerial munitions. It takes time, Taiwan's air defense will not be toppled as quickly as people think. It will inevitably. Infantry will need heavy guns. Penghu island is: closer to mainland china, logistically easier to supply - in range, with regard to heavy guns and mlrs. If there was to be a ground landing on Taiwan, they would need that island. Until of course they weed out the air defense of Taiwan and dismantle them. More likely however, complete and effective blockade of Taiwan, wait for Taiwan's allies to intervene, use the mainland advantage.
@@pathat8869 Taiwan has very high quality electronic warfare which will limit precision weapons capabilities considerably unless the PLA Navy can get much closer first to support the precision weapons but they will become easy targets for anti ship weapons so it's a chicken vs egg problem. Most probably the PLA will send the Navy first but if many ships are lose they will pull back and hope the PLA Airforce and missiles can do damage but if that fails there is a big problem, PLA Navy cannot approach so really that risks failure before any landing craft are even sent which will make China look very weak and risk Communist Party falling so that is a lot of risk. I think China will not attack Taiwan and will try and take over with other methods such as running their own political candidates, war is too dangerous for China, they have more to lose
the east Germany and west Germany belong to one Germany .
the north Vietnam and South Vietnam belong to one Vietnam .
the north Korea and south Korea belong to one korea .
the republic of China and people' republic of China belong to one China .
Scary considering almost everything history legends has predicted has come to fruition. Will this too?
That has to be the best joke of the day.
SEAD isn’t just for air force bases but anti aircraft batteries which can be placed anywhere and not know until their radars are enabled…
Man, you unleashed literally hundreds of chinny-poohbitch-chicom trolls and bots on your comments with this video. Congrats!
How could the United States invade Hawaii
Land with Marines in 1893 and depose the native royalty? Lol
war criminals invaded and destroyed so many sovereign countries, killing millions inocent people... what a stupid question, where do you live?
@@ennnellll it isn't for the lack of trying, because they can't.
Already happened
That about Texas?
Stop promoting an American false narrative. You get a Dislike for the first time.
As an Asian where I’ve seen people make do with what we have in the provinces… I had to laugh at the 14th minute. The use of RORO and Merchant class 😂, “If it floats, it’s good enough.” Nice one, Alex. 😆👏
There won’t be military action unless tw and/or US declares independence. And even then, it would be blockade and economic cutoff. China prefers patiently waiting for favorable politics in tw for peaceful reunification
A blockade will be short as China supplies a lot of Taiwans essentials.
Why do you say reunification when the CCP has NEVER governed the various Islands of Taiwan and were the REBELS in the civil war? Makes zero fucking sense at all.
@@davidlazarus67 Energy especially. It'll crippled Taiwan within days.
@@tinaforbes1059 They also take a lot of Taiwanese exports which could dry up overnight. Mass unemployment in Taiwan would make it harder to support independence.
@@davidlazarus67 Definitely. It makes you wonder sometimes whether the Taiwanese politicians actually use their brains or just headlines grabbing.
A chinese invasion, besides bloody among brothers, is UNNECESSARY: Just apply a FULL Air/Sea BLOCKADE, for as long as necessary, until the rebels of the unfinished Civil War surrender.
Free advice to the PLA... 🤣
That may take years/decades for them to starve the population.
The US could block the CCPs oil via the Indian Ocean
WOW VERY DANGEROUS SIR! 😠😠I WILL NEVER GO TO TAIWAN ! 😠BUT THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗
If you wanna go back to the civil war then the CCP would be the rebels and are an illegitimate terrorist government like that of the Taliban or ISIS
Just advise a Japanese ship to break the blockade... when it is sunk... Japan declares war on China and the US declares war as well... then China has a problem on its hands...
Two years ago, when someone from the States landed in Taiwan, I forgot her name. Chinese media went bananas; they were boasting and so eager to show the strength. It was comforting to see those people disappointed and no shots were fired even at the closest island to mainland China. I can’t imagine the chauvinism and extreme nationalism once one shot is fired.
Heard only 11 minutes of the video.
Based on that found it to be tooooooooooo elementary.
Why?
1) USN subs. They can - at will -stop any PLAN naval assets - IF the US wants to intervene. China has no counter to the USN subs. None
In fact, the US subs could impose an embargo if the US suspects an invasion.
2) Are you even aware that India and Taiwan have an OLD agreement where India opens a front in case Taiwan is invaded? Probably not.More than likely it you were not even born then.
Simply put India will not sit on her hands.
This topic is too complex for especially a European armchair UA-camr to build a credible narrative.
But, a good try.
Training for war and succeeding at war are different things.
Pretty sure they can do it without battle. Most people there already want to negotiate with China.
Source? Just trust me bro
@@toodreammy Yep. All wumaos lie
@@toodreammy
Just talk to the people there instead of consuming copium and Murican propaganda all day.
Its the same as in my country, the people are anti war and anti America, yet the politicians are the opposite, all Murican puppets.
@@toodreammy The attitude of Taiwanese shifted after the Ukraine war and Chinese navy drills, DPP government suffered massive lost during their local elections last December, now Taiwanese are mostly calling for peace and good relationship with China. Try to dig up info on your own if you don't believe others'.
As a Taiwanese, if it is a real military invasion, I don't think so negative.
But parties that fly the anti-China flag are losing ground, likely to be replaced by parties with more moderate policies toward China
It will be like a cheap version of Godzilla, with tiny Chinese soldiers being chomp'd up by the big bad baddie. They got no chance in hell.
*This is to show my interest in a Yugoslavia video. Maybe do an alternative history segment where you discuss how Yugoslavia could have prevented American intervention, such as the bombing of Belgrade. If that was even possible*
cant wait for this prediction to be right in about 3 weeks you have a knack for being correct
Let’s hope not this time 😮
I dont think you saw his videos about hiw the kherson offensive was "failing"
@@boxedtoast well, yes, as a pro-ukr I can safely say he was completely right. if you actually paid attention to ukrainian operations to liberate Herson oblast, you will find out that there were TWO offensives, not one. historylegends video of herson offensive 'falling apart' was released after the FIRST offensive, which did not make major gains and suffered fairly high losses. so yes, he was right.
it was the SECOND Herson offensive (which took place a few weeks after the Kharkiv blitz, and was a completely unexpected surprise attack), along with the later bombardments of key dniepr bridges which was a massive success and helped finally liberate the west bank of the dniepr in herson oblast from russian occupation.
Remind me in three weeks. If that would be true, you'll get p250 sand dune well worn for free
@@boxedtoast the Bakhmut one was hilarious
The only way to defend Taiwan is for its people to elect pro-China leader rather then pro-US and thus avoid the war.
Ah yes, the "submit or die" choice, truly china is a force of good in this world.
@@franzt8955 Over half of the island's economy is dependent on the mainland. The island's population also depends on import from mainland for their food supplies. They can't support their own population economically or even feed their own population on what they grow locally. They've already submitted in every way that matters. "The vote" is just a placebo for the masses, giving the illusion they have some degree of control. Here in the US, there's a 98% correlation between the most campaign contribution and who wins the office, on every level of election. It's a rubber stamp. The decision was already made via economic means. The only way to override said economic means, is if people are starving. If those 2 basic deciding factors are aligned, no other force can oppose them, certainly not hot air from western media - it won't provide for your family, or feed them.
that's called appeasment. "just be friends with them and you won't face the consequenses even though that means doing things you don't want to do"
@@franzt8955 iraq, syria, libya, afghanistan. LMAO, western bots are funny acting like they are morally superior. Keep crying about the base in Cuba little hypocritcal c***ed boy
@@franzt8955same sht with US, you either befriend US or they use their intelligence to lsunch coup on your government in silence that alreasy resulted in lots of dictatorships in various countries thanks to uncle sam
"This is How US Could Invade Hawaii", should be next video just to balance the absurdity of this claims...
You're a funny dude. You make learning about the world fun. Thanks for the vids. Keep it up.
Bro what the actual fuck??? I swear to god I just watched the ww3 games video you produced 3 hours ago!! And also of course thought I can’t wait to hear it when you said this video makes me want to create my own story behind this scenario. This is wild af to me right now lol.
How can you invade your own territory?
Taiwan is a country. Deal with it, wumao bot
@minecraft.9893 No. It’s a country
tywan isn't a part of china and hasn't been for years, this is by all accounts an invasion hence the deffense efforts, this isn't part of a civil war anymore.
@@ZeroResurrectedif it was a country why doesnt the US recognize it? One china policy?
Hmmm do you not know Taiwan is not a country but a province name? The regime you refer to is Republic of China who is ruling that island now. Not Taiwan, Check Wikipedia
I think the biggest dilemma China would face in resolving the Taiwan issue by force would be the choice of strike targets at the start of the war. If the PLA adheres to the principles of a civil war and restricts the target of strikes to the island of Taiwan, they will have to pay extra costs to defend themselves against possible attacks from the direction of Japan. If they had attacked US and Japanese bases in the Ryukyu Islands from the beginning, the war would have gone far beyond a "restart of the Chinese Civil War" and turned into a world war.
Given what we've seen with drones and what we know of China's manufacturing prowess.... What if China just launched 500 drones per hour at US naval vessels until they either left because they were out of ammo or were destroyed? What if they then launched 1000 drones per hour at Taiwan until they destroyed air defense?
Not sure China has to do ww2 style beach landing in this scenario. If I have ammo and you don't, I dont have to storm your fortress. I can just set outside and take pot shots at any target poking it heads up until you give up.
drones underestimated, especially for decoy and attrition tactics
No idea why China would invade one of its own provinces.
🤖
If Taiwan declares independence, with a little push from the Americans.
@@jobolfapplies to you
Side note; China 🇨🇳 entering Taiwan 🇹🇼 will not be regarded as invasion because Taiwan is a part of China 🇨🇳
Taiwan is not a country.
That depends on your perspective.
correction those are not US bases in the Philippines.. those are Philippine bases.. the US are only granted access under EDCA (Enhance Defense Cooperation Agreement) and given permission to build storage facilities for their equipment and weapons. The VFA (Visiting Forces agreement) on the other hand grants them free entry for military operations.
the point is those base will be under Filipino control and the US will just have access.
That is the game of the words
When u want independence there will be a war..nothing comes free😂
Freedom is not given, but earned.
ROC has plenty of war under its belt
Then don’t complain about US invading Iraq and Afghanistan as well and bitch about American hegemony because the reality is that the strong dominates the weak.
Especially if China or Russia is your neighbor.
They don't want the western "freedom" in Taiwan though...the pro-unification party is going to win the next election
As a Chinese, super impressed at the research quality despite the language barrier
As a Chinese, I really hope Taiwan would hold this off.
@@seanzhang3873 台灣獨立萬歲
@@user-gc4yv6hl6q don't be stupid. Taiwan will lose heavily.
Taiwan has no sovereignty, it is not even a State after the United Nations its China. Literally no one recognize Taiwan as being a state. This includes the USA.
If China does this they'll go full it with all they have as not counter operation is to expect for many weeks. And of course they'd pick a weekend to attack.
With having a similar weapon arsenal like Russia, this included hyper sonic missiles and Carrier Killer like the Dongfeng missiles any US expedition force will be in very grave danger.
So there is a good chance this will go very early nuclear.
IMO the US is not able to defend Taiwan. And if they try it will be far more painful as Ukraine for them.
That classic age of empires clip won my heart
As always, the question is: are american politicians willing to put american cities at risk for any capital of their allies?
History legends finally with a sponsorship🔥
That Peasant death sfx of age of empires gets me every time.
China barks loud, a chihuahua barks loud too
Chine, I believe, would take over Taiwan with ease if, considering the taiwanese navy, US and Japan/South Korea don't intervene. And considering the state of the US economy and the sky high debt, I don't think it's likely that US will interfere (Or at least avoid it for as long as possible). China is often underestimated by western media, just like Russia.
Edit: Nice video btw
Taiwan being lost to China would be the destruction of American economic dominance in the tech sector. The US would 100% get involved.
@@DioBrando-mr5xs That why US is building own chipmaker in US while offer someone in Taiwan who make chip to move to US
The US and Japan will absolutely get involved
@@tiglishnobody8750That’s just a coincidence and Taiwan still dominates the chip industry by leaps and bounds
In times of war, traditional understanding of economics goes out the window.
The difference between Ukraine and Taiwan is that Ukrainian GDP is around 4k and TW is 33k. Much more expensive to finance a war in TW. Then China could destroy a trillion dollars worth of infrastructure in a few days. In Ukraine there were nothing valuable to destroy so the country nothing to prevent the war. Let alone Ukrainian fight to get a ticket to the EU subsidies. On the other hand Taïwanese would fight to keep acces to the Western markets at the cost of the Chinese market: not an obvious choice
destroy the world main source of advanced semiconductors... ya that's the way to go and have pretty much everyone pissed off and go against you
Taiwan's energy production is 42% coal, 38.8% natural gas which is completely dependent on import. In less than 1 month of blockade Taiwan will be incapable to fight back with no bear necessities.
Blockade wont work because the us would open that blockade and the chinese would have no other option but start shooting at american ships.
Bro is talking like the US and Japan are just gonna chill and let this happen lmao
About Japan, Perun did make a video couple of months back about Japan's Defence in 2022. It's some 500 page document that's available to public. In it it does mention that the status quo in Taiwan is part of their defense strategy. Can't remember the details but Japan will definitely react if a direct military invasion of Taiwan happens.
期待日本做出反应，中国一直再等待一个机会来报仇，日本从来没有对二战时候所犯的错误道歉
Good idea. I hope the Japs do something. So we pack them togerther with the Taiwan issue.
Yeah, Japan wouldn't have a choice just like the US. I don't think the majority of the people in the comments understand the significance of Taiwan being taken by China.
They said the same damn thing about Syria and Ukraine, and in both places, the US didn't directly intervene with the Russians.
I think not, They will lose the outposts. But maybe it will be expected
But Taiwan is supposed to be a part of China anyway. The Nixon government created the "One China" policy which simply states that there is only one government of Taiwan and it resides in Beijing. Unlike Ukraine, Taiwanese identify as ethnic Chinese, which is in fact what they are. Ukraine has ethnic Russians, ethnic Ukrainians, ethnic Poles and ethnic Hungarians. Furthermore, most of Taiwanese trade is with mainland China. Seems to me to make more sense for China to simply cut trade with Taiwan to precipitate an economic collapse rather than invading, if they, for some reason chose conflict. In any case, it seems likely that the current government will be voted out in next years election in favor of the party that is more inclined to reach a peaceful settlement on some kind of unification. But invading Taiwan is the least likely outcome imho.
Made the difference between chinese mainland and taiwanese is the same difference between ukranian and russian, they are of the same damned blood, read history!
There is no such thing as "ethnic Ukrainians". Encyclopedia Britannica has no reference to Ukraine until past 1910. There is no Ukrainian coin, no Ukrainian warlord or king. Even Blue-Yellow flag is South Austro-Hungarian flag (Niederösterreich), given to Galicia in 1848 after they helped slaughter the rebelling Hungarians. The fake itself has started in Poland around 1800 by converting Russians (Ruthenian is latin for Russian) into "Ukrainians", then continued under AustroHungary (Teresin and Thalerhof concentration camps, where over 5k Russians were executed), finally in 1910 when Russian Empire was broken by Great Britain, Bolsheviks promised those "re-formated" Galicians their own Republic - so "Ukrainian Republic" was created, but in consisted of Russian land over 90% people were Russian-speaking. They lost jobs if they refused to learn "Ukrainian" language, which was designed in Poland and AustroHungary (Kulish and then Zhelekhovsky systems). "Ukraine" is absolutely artificial culture, created on top of South-Russians (MaloRossy) and consists only of hate against own folk.
As a Taiwanese, I think peaceful reunification is not on any candidate’s political list. There are too many people in Taiwan who are hostile to China. In addition, under Taiwan’s democratic system, I think that even if a pro-China party is in power, Nor can he decide on reunification alone.
Taiwan once ushered in a very pro-China president around 2008 AD, the opposition party criticized him for selling Taiwan, and then the 8 years in power ended, my ID card still says the Republic of China