🔥 Get a 14-day 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄 trial to Real Vision 👉 rvtv.io/unfk TIMESTAMPS: 00:00:10 Why Our Future Will Be Pricier, Worse & Slower 00:03:52 The Benefits of Globalization 00:05:43 The Demographic Effect at a Global Scale 00:08:36 The End of the Supply Chain Network As We Know It 00:14:53 Solving Demographics Through Immigration Policies. Is it Possible? 00:15:39 The One-Child Policy & the Decline of China 00:23:32 The Risk of Global Famine Is Real 00:31:47 The Future of the U.S. Dollar As the Strongest Currency 00:34:48 Globalization vs. Regionalization 00:41:51 Productivity, Demographics, Technology and Europe's Future. 00:47:48 What Determines the Geography of Success? 00:55:12 Opportunities for Latin America in a World Starved of Food & Energy 01:02:47 Is there Hope for a Better Future?
Well done Real Vision Finance for bringing Peter Zeihan to the platform and date stamping the conversation in the Title summary and Airing date. simply professional ...
If Peter Zeihan is correct, shorter supply chains, localized produce and production then this had other potential ramifications. Some of his statements: inflation, baby boomers retiring, reduction of younger workers to fill jobs across many developed countries to include China and India, and potential lose of globalization. With reduction of workers will reduce pollution, assumption retirees pollute less, shorter supply chains reduction in energy consumption and waste, localized companies will have to find better methods for managing waste/pollution, who wants to live in a garbage dump, famine could equate to a moderate drop in population, war the same. These issues seem to point to less pollution and significantly more smaller localized produce.
I’ll give it to Peter Zeihan- he’s been preaching this same narrative for about a decade now. He’s certainly intelligent, and I agree with majority of his perspectives, but I think some of his messages are spoken in terms that are too absolute and don’t allow for alternative potential scenarios. We’ll just have to see how the future unfolds!
I'm very confident that none of Zeihan's predictions will come true. It's just a bunch of hyperbolic projections based on flawed premises, faulty logic, totally unreliable statistics. & Wishful thinking. China will "collapse" in the next 10-15 years? That's utter nonsense. I'm willing to bet real money against him on this.
Events might not be so straightforward as he is describing. But we can anticipate the general trend he's describing, just based on the limitations of resources and demographics. These things have inevitable consequences.
If you’re selling seminars and books, saying “things might go this way, but on the other hand it may go that way, but I’m not really sure!?”. Yeah, that would sell!🤣
This interviewer is outstanding…I’ve listened to many people ask questions to Peter on many different lectures, podcasts, etc…and this lady is asking questions and exploring directions that I’ve wanted to ask…it’s well done.
I'm fascinated by this guy. His thinking can be careless, and his logic sketchy and flawed, but he gets it right often enough. He is great at communicating and condensing complex issues. His energy is positive. He's not trying to bum listeners out, unlike a lot of journalists, experts, pundits, and others these days. He is not as boring as most others are.
You say he has got it right often enough. This is the first I have ever heard of him , and this is the first time I’ve heard this detailed prediction for china. I was hooked. But then I wondered if there is documentation of him getting anything right. Do you know of any time he nailed a prediction?
Climate change alarmist. Never badmouths any big names in the Fed/gov't. How is that possible? He's big on signal intelligence, himself - he's playing for team Pentagon and loves to hear himself talk..
@@brady3474 the 2008 collapse. that made him famous. he has like hundreds of 1hr presentations before it and also in the 2010s where he predicts ukraine. in all of these examples he really just observes macro trends so it’s not predicting. it’s just saying “china has no ppl, so it collapses soon”
Wow, this is the best explanation of global economics I've ever seen. This is why the traditional media is falling apart - they are beholden to political parties and the corporations that sustain them. So, you never get a full picture without bias or promotion. Thanks for this breath of fresh air.
Absolutely. You have young excited reporters who go into the field because they want to uncover truth and report on hard hitting news. When they see how lucrative it is to go with the status quo, or the alternative is they are shuffled off to a middle of the cornfield news station,(if they don’t go along with them). They become the very people that they set out to investigate.
An interviewer asking the tough questions and guest who is ready to give real answers....so rare and sooooo refreshing...definately worth subbing, can wait for more vids to see.
Peter is blaming inflation on china?! the u.s printed 3 trillion dollars during 2020 to help stay at home unemployed Americans during lockdown. It sanctioned and put tariff on chinese goods, effectively raising prices on common household items. And Peter blames CHINA?!
@@ruoyuli4091 he talking about inflation on a global scale and how the decisions the CCP has made on the Globl Markets has effected not only the wolrd markets but also the US Markets and yes pumping 3 trillion into the economy has contributed to our inflation but that has only been made worse but a government that has made bad decisions for a country and its economy that 4X bigger than ours. So yes 3 trillion is one thing but China mistakes are magnified when its 4X times bigger than it main rival.
After trying to watch two previous interviews with Peter that I had to turn off because the host couldn't keep up, this was a breath of fresh air. It's always nice when the host and the guest are on the same intelligence level to have a fruitful conversation.
Because the West never really did their “homework” on the CCP! They went into this “ romance” mindlessly. The outcome was already laid in the stone back then!
Maggie knocks it out of the park every time. Insightful questions, provocative logical assertions and great timing for her interviewee interactions. I really enjoy watching her.
Yup, globalization has been great for everyone except the American worker, who has seen millions of their jobs shipped overseas so the 1% could get richer.
I'd argue it's been great for the top 33%, with an exponential increase as an individual's/family's wealth increases on the curve. If you make over 100k, even in wealthier areas in the US, you've been able to purchase all the high quality goods you need, enjoy expensive services, and benefited from the financial market boom over the last 30 years. I'm now in a high earning percentile, too bad I finally have money to invest and am entering what could be a long dark winter. I sure hope Zeihan is wrong on the severity of things...
Globalization has been great for everyone, including the American worker, but simply less so than for the upper classes. Even the poorest Americans have an income exponentially larger than the global worker class. Think about it: would you have more purchasing power waiting tables in America or assembling iPhones in China? I hope the answer is obvious.
This interview is hypnotic. I have never listened to this kind of stuff in the past. But at 58 I am learning so much listening to Peter. Also this host really knows her stuff. Thanks!😎😎😎
he speaks through the lens of white supremacy. Subtle but nontheless obvious when he references global order as European western order. and the rest to the world follows.
This is the best interview I’ve seen with Peter. Thanks for asking my questions. I love listening to Peter. He gives me a shred of hope for our grandchildren.
I keep hoping that the interview would last longer than it did just so I could hear more from this intelligent discussion. We were all schooled big-time by these two!
The truth of this man's vision is coming true before our very eyes. Great interview because the interviewer is truly professional and allowed the interviewee to fully answer insightful questions.
Future America at the macro level looks like it will be okay. At the meso level, I wonder. A white minority USA with wealth concentrated in walled compounds with private security forces... because there are other aspects of demographics that a respectable academic can’t discuss.
What is amazing about it. This guy is very misleading. His bias is high and leaves out massive issues that are effecting globalisation. I wouldn't put too much stock into what he says.
Fascinating and insightful questions and answers... Great interview to listen to, and despite the ~ pain ~ to come in the near future, Peter's outlook for the U.S. is the most positive I've heard lately. My hope and prayer is that as a nation we are able to maintain our attitude of helping humankind where and when we can. May Love be the guiding light as we head into these trials and tribulations... ❣
You are correct. Zeihan is more right than wrong. I've noticed also that when he is wrong (usually about something trivial) he will correct it subsequently. Also, when time passes and a prediction he made is wrong, the prediction was logical, and one of the players may have taken Zeihan's advice to heart and managed to change the predicted outcome.
Peter is brilliant. I started looking into futurists and the coming boomer retirement 20+ years ago. Troubling and sobering. But it does give me some hope here in Canada. God bless you all.
I would have liked to hear Zeihans thoughts on the possibility of a digital currency and the idiotic push by some countries like Holland to decimate their farming industry in a time of global food shortages!
Gain and fuel prices are fine, low even. The Russians didn't lose their pipelines. Peter makes these big predictions based on nothing being done to avoid the impending doom. Then people take action and the problem is avoided and the predictions fail to come true.
This guy reminds me of someone at work, who utters everything with such confidence that it makes you question their intellect. A Mr. Know-it-all who's basically just a Wish-it-all.
Do you have anything to add to the discussion? Would you like to make a cogent argument about anything in his talk? Or are you the type of person who does nothing but fling out worthless insults?
I’m a management professor - American- but lived in Thailand for 30 years and experienced the rise (and decline?) of globalization from both sides of the Pacific. This is a great conversation-so illuminating that I actually shared it not only with friends but my whole faculty here in Thailand. Most of the assumptions we’ve been living (and teaching) are in for a bumpy ride. It will require innovation and new business models. Thanks Maggie. I admire your ability to listen and make good choices in the interview. Really well done!
Thanks you so much for putting the "Air Date:" on your content and leaving it up there. It makes a big difference. I have subscribed because of the date stamp.
This is by far the best (of 15) interviews I have listened to with Peter, due to Maggie's intelligence, knowledge of global markets, and ability to quickly assimilate information, play it back and challenge Peter on the implications of his hypothesis. Awesome! However, where is the interview that says Peter is dead wrong and that the world is not about to completely break down and tens of millions begin to starve, governments fall, and geopolitical risks explode? Finally, how does one invest to come out ahead in the coming environment? When is Raoul Paul going to talk with Peter - I would have thought this topic is the most important one for investors in the next two years?
The core of his argument is that global commerce relies entirely on the US navy protection and that US is going to withdrawl its presence patrolling the oceans. He doesn't discuss that, just throw these ideas as a given premise. Both assumptions are, at the very least, questinable though. And if you rule out any of these two assumptions all his reasoning falls apart.
@@ddoppster You're missing the point. He indeed spends most of the time talking about demographics, but that's not at all how he explains deglobalization, which he states will unfold due to US stopping patrolling the oceans and the rest of the world being unable to secure global trading by themselves. If you rule out those two assumptions then global commerce will remain and, without this deglobalized world scenario, all his reasoning based on demographics falls apart.
@@K-1Tube I've been critical of this Ziehan guy, but I think there is some evidence that the US involvement in securing waterways matters. The activities of Somali pirates along the Horn of Africa alone were wrecking havoc and it doesn't take much to commander a freighter. Sooner or later, given freighter hijackings, exports will slow or stop.
Great interview. You pulled a ton out of Peter. On that end, how does Peter know so much? Feel like others are so much more narrowly informed. How does one get that much "true" (real) information at the levels of industries he talks about...
I just found out about him 2 hours ago by watching a speech from him 7 years ago and 100% of all his predictions came true these past few years it's insane huh. Glad I found him. Going to binge watch him today. Any best videos you love please let me know. Cheers
He reads, analyzes and postulates. While a lot of what he says does make intelligent sense there is not a way to ever fully predict the future. Factors could change that affect some of his analysis but he’s definitely a great speaker and postulator. I think there have always been the world is nigh type people. The one thing he doesn’t rely on is the capabilities for human response and innovation. If countries he mentions struggle and start falling as he suggests one would hope people would find ways to adapt and overcome so the doom and gloom this man predicts may not quite unfold as he predicts. Remember he is predicting based on numbers and analysis. That is never a perfect science. I find him very thought provoking but the hopelessness he indicates for humanity seems destructive and I have more faith in humanity than that.
Zeihan has also mentioned having a team that helps him collect information. He's not just a one-man-band. I'm not sure who's paying him for all of this, or whether his book sales are enough to fund the whole enterprise.
He has said that he gets a lot of information in the process of preparing presentations for his clients, who explain their perspectives to get the most out of his.
Great interview. In the time I watched this interview it’s more time than I have watched msm in the last 3 years. I live in Canada and learned our media is bought by our government and has no interest in providing information to viewers that isn’t corrupted. I appreciated the questions were about learning and not seeking a narrative. Great job on the interview!
This must be the 5th time I watched this interview. Maggie, thanks for thoughtful and insightful observations and questions. Terrific to find a deeply intelligent conversation.
Totally Brilliant interview. Peter Zeihan -- absolutely smooth, concise, very interesting ... a master of this knowledge! Maggie lake elegantly birthing the most appropriate questions seemingly on the fly. Fantastic presentation. Worth multiple listens.
This episode is very short sighted as is Zeihan. We operated the most efficient and prosperous nation in human history when our population was 175-200 million less in America. Om top billions of jobs will be reduced by software automation, robotics, A.I....etc in a time of de-globalization where the 8 billion shortly will be fighting over resources. The transition to lower population will be hard but we need to reduce the population of the working class by at least 70-80% and all the elite/rich/higher paid government wokrwr families by 99.99%. Strict child control policy should be implemented on the upper strata where only 1 in a million families should be allowed to have children, all the other families should have forced tubal ligation among this wealtheir and even upper level government families. For the other 99.99% of the population, no more than 1% of families should be allowed to have 2 children maximum then tubal ligation should be done. Otherwise expect a dystopian nightmare you cannot imagine.
Excellent interview. I’ve gotten hooked on Mr. Zeihans works. As an American millennial, I see it as short term pain (investment in our own manufacturing) for long term gain (secure supply chains and the resurgence of manufacturing jobs in the states). Although I don’t think globalization will be completely dead as Peter makes it seem I still see some investment in Vietnam and like he mentioned Mexico (I have a new Samsung TV made in Mexico) and I’d argue against his prediction on South Korea and I think disadvantaged will probably stick with it as much as they can for survival. I think South Korea will probably follow what he said about Japan in that they will commit to US partnership as they are heavily investing in US manufacturing from Samsung for chips and EV batteries, LG the same, and Hyundai as they have a large market share in the US auto market like Toyota, Honda, and Nissan.
Last month was in Argentina, I had low expectations from it but to my surprise totally love it & infrastructure is great. It’s a cheep South Spain. Seen from air the Agriculture area, it’s just like USA.
I used to work in BA and I do love Argentina, but don’t get lured into thinking that Argentina is another Spain. Argentina has very volatile political environment, is economically inefficient, and isn’t very friendly to business.
I had this episode in my playlist for a while. And as I finally had a chance to watch, just about halfway through, I saw the news of Shinzo Abe gunned down (IN JAPAN? FOR REAL?). I believe he was a real culprit in bringing the country out of the never-ending mess Peter is talking about. RIP.
Culprit? Abe san was a visionary. He had done lots to prepare Japan to ride the coming political and economic waves. He was the one convinced India to join the Indo-Pacific alliance.
Wow, these 2 are absolutely brilliant. Peter knows everything about everything. The fact that maggie is able to keep up and ask further probing questions, shows that she’s just as smart. Maggie’s a great interviewer, but I’d love to hear her thoughts more too!
@@FLAC2023 I ask for 1-2 because I don’t expect you to refute every argument he made lol. Peter makes some convincing arguments that China’s in a bad place. Ray Dalio has some convincing arguments why they’ll be the next global leader. I was hoping you’d give 1 solid, specific example so I can look into it more.
While I appreciate the insightful analysis, I know for 100% certainty that every prediction he has is probably correct in the short term, and horribly wrong in the long term. We as humans just do not the intellectual capacity to predict the weather that is global geopolitics in the long term. Whatever the outcome of the future, I hope and pray for peace.
Yeah it's all based on givens. Europe won't start buying Russian oil again for any reason. All manufacturing will leave China or need to. Things can happen. Its still a worth while exercise to see where we are currently headed if nothing changes.
Change is inevitable, the world never stays the same, demographics are easy to predict, it takes 20 years to produce a 20 year old educated worker and member of society. We either have children or we don’t, mathematics don’t lie. Peter Zeihan was quite accurate when in 2015, when he predicted the invasion of Ukraine by Russia, he then said in 2015, that the annexation of the Crimea peninsula was the beginning and in approximately 5 to 10 years, Russia was going to annex more Ukrainian territory and possibly swallow the entire country, and he was right, it’s happening right now, 8 years later as he predicted.
As the great ecologist Bill Reese said of the global economy - we have created a system way to complex to ever understand or control. ( and turn around )
I am very wary of anyone who says he knows with 100% certainty about anything at all. I hate to break this news to you but no one alive on this Earth is a living deity, not even you.
Just imagine how robust Americas production/consumption numbers would be (PEOPLE) if it wasn't for 3rd wave feminism / abortion / birth control etc.. I'm not sure why this isn't even mentioned as a contributor for the plunge in "birth rates" in western countries... its one of the biggest reasons
Great interview. As a retiring Baby Boomer I have consistently heard about the diminishing purchasing of the boomer generation. Inflation is here to stay for years.
Hang on. Diminishing purchasing is deflationary. U know fewer dollars chasing same amount of goods=lower prices? Or stagflationary which is even worse.
@@joshuajames2425 This is the feeling I’ve been getting about Dalio lately. Especially with his latest book The Changing World Order, which is extremely bullish on China.
Change is always scary but change is the only place you find opportunity. Some will be frozen with fear (hopefully not literally) but for those people (especially the young) who are able to be see the light at the end of tunnel…we are looking at the most exciting, innovative times for decades. My sense is that people have not enjoyed being dulled by comfort in the last few years, here’s your chance to get snappy.
Thank you for the totally unfiltered look at future economic and political trends, its so refreshing to get information without a political bias subverting the information.
If the US must partner with a highly populous nation for cheaper manufacturing, why partner with China ? India makes much of sense. India has a large population. India has a better education system. India practices democracy. The last plus I can name is that everyone speaks English.
Erm - nowhere near everyone speaks English in India .. They list 10% as the population as speaking English - but probably 2-3% are actually fluent. Not saying India is not a better choice - but the idea that everyone or even a large minority speak English it is patently false.
India is very diverse. It's more like a combination of many small countries with different languages. It's hard to build a competitive and complete supply chain there. You may have also overestimated the purchasing power of India young population. Company like Activision Blizzard does not even have an office there. It's very like China in 1990-2020. But I also think India will grow into a global top 5 power house this century. But it will face more problems which China and Japan have faced. When it's powerful, we will see more negative coverage about India from Western media. I teach at a US university. Elite young Indian speak English and come to US for jobs. They are the most desperate students to try their best to stay in US. I doubt top Indian students will go back and develop India in the near future.
39:00 - 40:46 - reassuring for India, that's if we continue to build our industrial capacity & shorten supply chains especially avoiding China & East Asia - we will have to source our energy needs from the Persian Gulf rather than Russia though. 56:55 - 57:40 - Very interesting on Argentina, positively so! 1:01:54 - 1:02:44 - Labour seemingly will have more leverage over capital in the surviving/thriving regions, 1:05:33 - 1:05:44 - Cautiously optimistic or at least neutral for South Korea. Great conversation! Maggie is by far the best interviewer I've seen in quite some time!
don't be impressed by having a way to present views with fanfare. He's too sure of what the Chinese are capable or not. I lived in China and don't agree with his take.
He was right about inflation being an issue but everyone was saying that. He’s proven to be wrong about everything else, especially famine and China collapse.
Peter, though very well researched, makes a lot of assumptions. The Saudis have also been lapping up Russian sweet crude. Other than the USA, Canada and EU (maybe Australia and Japan too), the rest of the world is doing brisk business and helping themselves to forge a world order that is less dependent on the western powers, whose time has come. Things may pan out quite different from what Peter is saying. Ancient world superpowers like China and India are very resilient and if Xi goes and China democratizes in 10 years, the whole world order as we know it today could change
![Lp. Сердце Вселенной #60 РОЖДЕНИЕ ЛОЛОЛОШКИ [Финал] • Майнкрафт](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/YoR0pAV9FVQ/mqdefault.jpg)
🔥 Get a 14-day 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄 trial to Real Vision 👉 rvtv.io/unfk
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:10 Why Our Future Will Be Pricier, Worse & Slower
00:03:52 The Benefits of Globalization
00:05:43 The Demographic Effect at a Global Scale
00:08:36 The End of the Supply Chain Network As We Know It
00:14:53 Solving Demographics Through Immigration Policies. Is it Possible?
00:15:39 The One-Child Policy & the Decline of China
00:23:32 The Risk of Global Famine Is Real
00:31:47 The Future of the U.S. Dollar As the Strongest Currency
00:34:48 Globalization vs. Regionalization
00:41:51 Productivity, Demographics, Technology and Europe's Future.
00:47:48 What Determines the Geography of Success?
00:55:12 Opportunities for Latin America in a World Starved of Food & Energy
01:02:47 Is there Hope for a Better Future?
Just a tip, if you put the time stamps in the description, it divides your video up into "chapters" and it's a much nicer interface for viewers.
Well done Real Vision Finance for bringing Peter Zeihan to the platform and date stamping the conversation in the Title summary and Airing date.
simply professional ...
The thumbnail for this video looks like a time capsule from the 90's, and I'm here for it.
If Peter Zeihan is correct, shorter supply chains, localized produce and production then this had other potential ramifications. Some of his statements: inflation, baby boomers retiring, reduction of younger workers to fill jobs across many developed countries to include China and India, and potential lose of globalization. With reduction of workers will reduce pollution, assumption retirees pollute less, shorter supply chains reduction in energy consumption and waste, localized companies will have to find better methods for managing waste/pollution, who wants to live in a garbage dump, famine could equate to a moderate drop in population, war the same.
These issues seem to point to less pollution and significantly more smaller localized produce.
@@hibatica Thanks mate - We'll apply that on our next upload! Stay tuned...
I’ll give it to Peter Zeihan- he’s been preaching this same narrative for about a decade now. He’s certainly intelligent, and I agree with majority of his perspectives, but I think some of his messages are spoken in terms that are too absolute and don’t allow for alternative potential scenarios. We’ll just have to see how the future unfolds!
I'm very confident that none of Zeihan's predictions will come true.
It's just a bunch of hyperbolic projections based on flawed premises, faulty logic, totally unreliable statistics. & Wishful thinking.
China will "collapse" in the next 10-15 years? That's utter nonsense.
I'm willing to bet real money against him on this.
Look at global news keyword famine. Looks like he is right so far
demographic analysis is what he knows.
you know what they say about a man with a hammer.
one of the biggest source of basic human misjudgement.
Events might not be so straightforward as he is describing. But we can anticipate the general trend he's describing, just based on the limitations of resources and demographics. These things have inevitable consequences.
If you’re selling seminars and books, saying “things might go this way, but on the other hand it may go that way, but I’m not really sure!?”. Yeah, that would sell!🤣
This interviewer is outstanding…I’ve listened to many people ask questions to Peter on many different lectures, podcasts, etc…and this lady is asking questions and exploring directions that I’ve wanted to ask…it’s well done.
I'm fascinated by this guy. His thinking can be careless, and his logic sketchy and flawed, but he gets it right often enough. He is great at communicating and condensing complex issues. His energy is positive. He's not trying to bum listeners out, unlike a lot of journalists, experts, pundits, and others these days. He is not as boring as most others are.
Yes, You are right. I think so too. BTW 1:05:32 Wow! That's so cool! I like that!!!
After discovering him during a Rogan podcast, I concur. He has such a great flow. Continuous but not overwhelming.
You say he has got it right often enough. This is the first I have ever heard of him , and this is the first time I’ve heard this detailed prediction for china. I was hooked. But then I wondered if there is documentation of him getting anything right. Do you know of any time he nailed a prediction?
Climate change alarmist. Never badmouths any big names in the Fed/gov't. How is that possible? He's big on signal intelligence, himself - he's playing for team Pentagon and loves to hear himself talk..
@@brady3474 the 2008 collapse. that made him famous. he has like hundreds of 1hr presentations before it and also in the 2010s where he predicts ukraine. in all of these examples he really just observes macro trends so it’s not predicting. it’s just saying “china has no ppl, so it collapses soon”
A person could easily do a whole college course spinning out from this interview. Excellent interview.
Or a clear understanding of why college's have regulated themselves to the dumpster useless institutions
Wow, this is the best explanation of global economics I've ever seen. This is why the traditional media is falling apart - they are beholden to political parties and the corporations that sustain them. So, you never get a full picture without bias or promotion. Thanks for this breath of fresh air.
Thanks for watching!
Absolutely. You have young excited reporters who go into the field because they want to uncover truth and report on hard hitting news. When they see how lucrative it is to go with the status quo, or the alternative is they are shuffled off to a middle of the cornfield news station,(if they don’t go along with them). They become the very people that they set out to investigate.
It also takes brains to internalize all this information and draw logical conclusions, something 99% of today’s media personnel lack.
Wow! 1:05:32 This is the best depiction of S. Korea I've ever seen. See! This is why the West is the best, East is evil.
Traditional media is nothing but entertainment
Maggie, I have heard several people interview Peter over the last few months. I think yours was one of the best. Wonderful insightful questions!
Completely agree!
Any interview is better the that ARK Investment one
Definitely agree. The interview was a concise summary of Peter's perspective.
Agreed.
big agree James, she asked the best questions I've ever seen him asked
An interviewer asking the tough questions and guest who is ready to give real answers....so rare and sooooo refreshing...definately worth subbing, can wait for more vids to see.
Thanks for watching and welcome to Real Vision!
Peter is blaming inflation on china?! the u.s printed 3 trillion dollars during 2020 to help stay at home unemployed Americans during lockdown. It sanctioned and put tariff on chinese goods, effectively raising prices on common household items. And Peter blames CHINA?!
@@ruoyuli4091 he talking about inflation on a global scale and how the decisions the CCP has made on the Globl Markets has effected not only the wolrd markets but also the US Markets and yes pumping 3 trillion into the economy has contributed to our inflation but that has only been made worse but a government that has made bad decisions for a country and its economy that 4X bigger than ours. So yes 3 trillion is one thing but China mistakes are magnified when its 4X times bigger than it main rival.
After trying to watch two previous interviews with Peter that I had to turn off because the host couldn't keep up, this was a breath of fresh air. It's always nice when the host and the guest are on the same intelligence level to have a fruitful conversation.
Thanks for watching!
She read the notes and fed him easy questions
When Kissinger and Nixon engineered the opening to China, it was assumed that China would liberalize, but it never happened.
Because the West never really did their “homework” on the CCP! They went into this “ romance” mindlessly. The outcome was already laid in the stone back then!
Maggie knocks it out of the park every time. Insightful questions, provocative logical assertions and great timing for her interviewee interactions. I really enjoy watching her.
This lady is an amazing interviewer
And Peter is brilliant
Thanks for watching!
Who is this lady lol
Maybe to you . Only
Yup, globalization has been great for everyone except the American worker, who has seen millions of their jobs shipped overseas so the 1% could get richer.
I'd argue it's been great for the top 33%, with an exponential increase as an individual's/family's wealth increases on the curve. If you make over 100k, even in wealthier areas in the US, you've been able to purchase all the high quality goods you need, enjoy expensive services, and benefited from the financial market boom over the last 30 years. I'm now in a high earning percentile, too bad I finally have money to invest and am entering what could be a long dark winter. I sure hope Zeihan is wrong on the severity of things...
@@robbiep742 Well, you can always throw your money at the throngs of homeless gangs moving to a neighborhood near you. 🤪😊
Globalization has been great for everyone, including the American worker, but simply less so than for the upper classes. Even the poorest Americans have an income exponentially larger than the global worker class. Think about it: would you have more purchasing power waiting tables in America or assembling iPhones in China? I hope the answer is obvious.
This is where he underestimates the trend.
Thanks!
Thanks for watching, Thomas! Welcome to Real Vision
This interview is hypnotic. I have never listened to this kind of stuff in the past. But at 58 I am learning so much listening to Peter. Also this host really knows her stuff. Thanks!😎😎😎
Welcome to Real Vision Ken! That's what we do best, helping people access the best financial intelligence.
I have been living now in China for 7 years and I fully agree with Peter’s vision. It’s spot on.
which city ?
you better get out of there
@@xsaxsa4706 Shanghai
Say more?
@@objectivefreedom5301 Get out now while you still can....
I follow Peter and have seen a lot of interviews. This interview was on of the very best. The interviewer was outstanding, bravo.
But, not even one thing he said about China is true. With people like this guy brainwashing its people, China can "sit back and relax".
he speaks through the lens of white supremacy. Subtle but nontheless obvious when he references global order as European western order. and the rest to the world follows.
Thanks for watching!
This is the best interview I’ve seen with Peter. Thanks for asking my questions. I love listening to Peter. He gives me a shred of hope for our grandchildren.
Just a wish like going to heaven
I’m
We appreciate that Bernadette!!
I was thinking the same
This interview is why I like Real Vision, smart people, different voices with different perspectives.
Thanks David!!
I keep hoping that the interview would last longer than it did just so I could hear more from this intelligent discussion. We were all schooled big-time by these two!
He was just on Joe Rogan, it's a great podcast, make sure to listen!
@@J-Woke Thanks for the info! I will check that out.
Also, the book is great. If you're not much of a reader, try the audio book.
The truth of this man's vision is coming true before our very eyes. Great interview because the interviewer is truly professional and allowed the interviewee to fully answer insightful questions.
Thanks for watching!
I love listening to this guy. He reminds us not to give up on America and its blessings.
And trust me, we've had the taste of alternative...
Nice! Great to see an optimist here! Gracias!!
Future America at the macro level looks like it will be okay. At the meso level, I wonder. A white minority USA with wealth concentrated in walled compounds with private security forces... because there are other aspects of demographics that a respectable academic can’t discuss.
This is absolutely amazing. This should have way more views than it does.
What is amazing about it. This guy is very misleading. His bias is high and leaves out massive issues that are effecting globalisation. I wouldn't put too much stock into what he says.
It's catching up 🔥Thanks for watching!
Fascinating and insightful questions and answers... Great interview to listen to, and despite the ~ pain ~ to come in the near future, Peter's outlook for the U.S. is the most positive I've heard lately. My hope and prayer is that as a nation we are able to maintain our attitude of helping humankind where and when we can. May Love be the guiding light as we head into these trials and tribulations... ❣
Thanks for watching!
Don't forget God's wisdom (Prov. 3:17b). Absolutely crucial.
Helping mankind? All you have done is wage war on millions of people and now you are paying the price with immigrants.
I am amazed at the intelligence on which this interviewer directed the conversation, you're so smart and well informed 👍🏻
Agree with all. One of the best interviews of Peter.
Thanks for watching!
The best interview I’ve seen lately with Peter.
Thanks for watching!
Best interview of Peter ever! Lots of questions that people want to know the answers to!
Thanks for watching, Julie!
I’m a professor of management and these interviews make me feel uniformed! Great interview questions. Really impressed.
Very informative and easy to follow. ENCORE! More should see this.
More to come!
Zeihan is much more right than wrong over the haul. Been following him a long time. Thanks for your time and effort !
Thanks for watching!
You are correct. Zeihan is more right than wrong. I've noticed also that when he is wrong (usually about something trivial) he will correct it subsequently. Also, when time passes and a prediction he made is wrong, the prediction was logical, and one of the players may have taken Zeihan's advice to heart and managed to change the predicted outcome.
Peter is brilliant. I started looking into futurists and the coming boomer retirement 20+ years ago. Troubling and sobering. But it does give me some hope here in Canada. God bless you all.
Great interview, Peter's books are amazing, highly recommend to read it
Thanks for watching!
This is awesome. Just ran into this tonight and have subscribed. I love these macro perspectives of how everything works. Thank you!
Thanks for watching!
Peter Zehan is really on top of all the significant concerns and Maggie is awesone drawing out Peter's wisdom.
Thanks for watching!
I would have liked to hear Zeihans thoughts on the possibility of a digital currency and the idiotic push by some countries like Holland to decimate their farming industry in a time of global food shortages!
Epoch times has the vest breakdown on the weirdness behind the food crisis imo
He's not a fan of crypto currency. He said it's like betamax
Your currency has been digital for decades. What is different with CBDC's is a central ledger.
So, now that we are into Q4, world cereal production is set to be the highest ever, this contradicts Peter’s forecast.
Gain and fuel prices are fine, low even.
The Russians didn't lose their pipelines.
Peter makes these big predictions based on nothing being done to avoid the impending doom. Then people take action and the problem is avoided and the predictions fail to come true.
This was a really, really great interview!
Thanks for watching!
Easily one of the best interviews I’ve seen with him
Thanks for watching!
This guy reminds me of someone at work, who utters everything with such confidence that it makes you question their intellect. A Mr. Know-it-all who's basically just a Wish-it-all.
Do you have anything to add to the discussion? Would you like to make a cogent argument about anything in his talk? Or are you the type of person who does nothing but fling out worthless insults?
@@gatoryak7332 I already made my argument. Maybe you didn't get my point. And that's ok.
I’m a management professor - American- but lived in Thailand for 30 years and experienced the rise (and decline?) of globalization from both sides of the Pacific. This is a great conversation-so illuminating that I actually shared it not only with friends but my whole faculty here in Thailand. Most of the assumptions we’ve been living (and teaching) are in for a bumpy ride. It will require innovation and new business models. Thanks Maggie. I admire your ability to listen and make good choices in the interview. Really well done!
Thanks you so much for putting the "Air Date:" on your content and leaving it up there. It makes a big difference. I have subscribed because of the date stamp.
Welcome aboard!!
Maggie, you are a gem. Thank you for what you do. 😊
True that! Thanks for watching Michael.
This interview is a rollercoaster. Travelled all the world. What an amazing find this has been! Got a little more sense about the world.
Thanks for watching!
Very captivating interview. Maggie's clearly a most capable interviewer and Peter equally knows his stuff. Flowing, interesting, thought provoking 😁👍
Thanks for watching!
This is by far the best (of 15) interviews I have listened to with Peter, due to Maggie's intelligence, knowledge of global markets, and ability to quickly assimilate information, play it back and challenge Peter on the implications of his hypothesis. Awesome! However, where is the interview that says Peter is dead wrong and that the world is not about to completely break down and tens of millions begin to starve, governments fall, and geopolitical risks explode? Finally, how does one invest to come out ahead in the coming environment? When is Raoul Paul going to talk with Peter - I would have thought this topic is the most important one for investors in the next two years?
Such an amazing interviewer with precise insightful questions! Learned so much.
Thanks for watching!
The core of his argument is that global commerce relies entirely on the US navy protection and that US is going to withdrawl its presence patrolling the oceans. He doesn't discuss that, just throw these ideas as a given premise.
Both assumptions are, at the very least, questinable though. And if you rule out any of these two assumptions all his reasoning falls apart.
Correct
No, much of his conclusions also come from demographics, the shrinking of many workforces while the retired segment is a huge burden, coming soon.
@@ddoppster You're missing the point.
He indeed spends most of the time talking about demographics, but that's not at all how he explains deglobalization, which he states will unfold due to US stopping patrolling the oceans and the rest of the world being unable to secure global trading by themselves.
If you rule out those two assumptions then global commerce will remain and, without this deglobalized world scenario, all his reasoning based on demographics falls apart.
@@K-1Tube I've been critical of this Ziehan guy, but I think there is some evidence that the US involvement in securing waterways matters. The activities of Somali pirates along the Horn of Africa alone were wrecking havoc and it doesn't take much to commander a freighter. Sooner or later, given freighter hijackings, exports will slow or stop.
... and Zeihan really believes that a Biden Regime is superior to long-term planning of China's communist party.
Your message over the global economy is music to my ears, and I tend to agree on it about 98 percent, thank you for a great interview 😀
Thanks for watching Hernando!
Great interview. You pulled a ton out of Peter. On that end, how does Peter know so much? Feel like others are so much more narrowly informed. How does one get that much "true" (real) information at the levels of industries he talks about...
I just found out about him 2 hours ago by watching a speech from him 7 years ago and 100% of all his predictions came true these past few years it's insane huh. Glad I found him. Going to binge watch him today. Any best videos you love please let me know. Cheers
He reads, analyzes and postulates. While a lot of what he says does make intelligent sense there is not a way to ever fully predict the future. Factors could change that affect some of his analysis but he’s definitely a great speaker and postulator. I think there have always been the world is nigh type people. The one thing he doesn’t rely on is the capabilities for human response and innovation. If countries he mentions struggle and start falling as he suggests one would hope people would find ways to adapt and overcome so the doom and gloom this man predicts may not quite unfold as he predicts. Remember he is predicting based on numbers and analysis. That is never a perfect science. I find him very thought provoking but the hopelessness he indicates for humanity seems destructive and I have more faith in humanity than that.
Zeihan has also mentioned having a team that helps him collect information. He's not just a one-man-band. I'm not sure who's paying him for all of this, or whether his book sales are enough to fund the whole enterprise.
He has said that he gets a lot of information in the process of preparing presentations for his clients, who explain their perspectives to get the most out of his.
@@extrememiami Well, he did predict Russia would take Kiev easy and quickly but that did not happen.
Great interview. In the time I watched this interview it’s more time than I have watched msm in the last 3 years. I live in Canada and learned our media is bought by our government and has no interest in providing information to viewers that isn’t corrupted. I appreciated the questions were about learning and not seeking a narrative. Great job on the interview!
Thanks for watching!
This must be the 5th time I watched this interview. Maggie, thanks for thoughtful and insightful observations and questions. Terrific to find a deeply intelligent conversation.
Thanks for watching!
I did the same.
Watching the video over & over again.
Each time learning new things.
So much info to digest👏
Totally Brilliant interview. Peter Zeihan -- absolutely smooth, concise, very interesting ... a master of this knowledge! Maggie lake elegantly birthing the most appropriate questions seemingly on the fly. Fantastic presentation. Worth multiple listens.
Thanks for watching!
This episode is very short sighted as is Zeihan. We operated the most efficient and prosperous nation in human history when our population was 175-200 million less in America. Om top billions of jobs will be reduced by software automation, robotics, A.I....etc in a time of de-globalization where the 8 billion shortly will be fighting over resources. The transition to lower population will be hard but we need to reduce the population of the working class by at least 70-80% and all the elite/rich/higher paid government wokrwr families by 99.99%. Strict child control policy should be implemented on the upper strata where only 1 in a million families should be allowed to have children, all the other families should have forced tubal ligation among this wealtheir and even upper level government families. For the other 99.99% of the population, no more than 1% of families should be allowed to have 2 children maximum then tubal ligation should be done. Otherwise expect a dystopian nightmare you cannot imagine.
@@rejectionistmanifesto8836 The dystopian nightmare would be brought about by the totalitarian and evil approach YOU are demanding!
Actually one of the best interviewer Peter Ziehan ever had.
Thanks for watching!
Maggie Lake, thanks for a great show! Great questions. This guest has got fascinating insight.
maybe one of the best podcast I have ever listened to.
Thanks for watching!
I can't imagine avoiding global conflict with all the transition pains.
Best interview I’ve seen in a long time. Thank you
Thanks for watching, Josh!
Fantastic interview! Peter always shares an immense amount of insights and value.
Thanks for watching!
Excellent interview. I’ve gotten hooked on Mr. Zeihans works. As an American millennial, I see it as short term pain (investment in our own manufacturing) for long term gain (secure supply chains and the resurgence of manufacturing jobs in the states). Although I don’t think globalization will be completely dead as Peter makes it seem I still see some investment in Vietnam and like he mentioned Mexico (I have a new Samsung TV made in Mexico) and I’d argue against his prediction on South Korea and I think disadvantaged will probably stick with it as much as they can for survival. I think South Korea will probably follow what he said about Japan in that they will commit to US partnership as they are heavily investing in US manufacturing from Samsung for chips and EV batteries, LG the same, and Hyundai as they have a large market share in the US auto market like Toyota, Honda, and Nissan.
Thanks for watching!
We have a Free Trade Agreement with Korea
Fabulous insights thank you
I've started following him. Very informative. Great interview👍
Last month was in Argentina, I had low expectations from it but to my surprise totally love it & infrastructure is great. It’s a cheep South Spain. Seen from air the Agriculture area, it’s just like USA.
I used to work in BA and I do love Argentina, but don’t get lured into thinking that Argentina is another Spain. Argentina has very volatile political environment, is economically inefficient, and isn’t very friendly to business.
What an awesome interview! Agree with most of his conclusions but you have asked exactly the right questions thank you!!
Thanks for watching!
I had this episode in my playlist for a while. And as I finally had a chance to watch, just about halfway through, I saw the news of Shinzo Abe gunned down (IN JAPAN? FOR REAL?).
I believe he was a real culprit in bringing the country out of the never-ending mess Peter is talking about. RIP.
In your playlist for a while? This video was posted on July 7th. Today is July 10th and it says that your comment was posted 2 days ago.
Ah, I notice in the pinned comment that they offer an early access deal. Maybe you have that.
Culprit? Abe san was a visionary. He had done lots to prepare Japan to ride the coming political and economic waves. He was the one convinced India to join the Indo-Pacific alliance.
Great program - I'm so grateful that the questions being asked are pointed & clear as opposed to those being asked to impress.
Very educational! My worldview expanded tremendously.
Thanks. This has been one of the best interviews I've seen on UA-cam. Thanks both.
Thanks for watching!
Wow, these 2 are absolutely brilliant. Peter knows everything about everything. The fact that maggie is able to keep up and ask further probing questions, shows that she’s just as smart. Maggie’s a great interviewer, but I’d love to hear her thoughts more too!
Lol... he's just making shix up... that's how all these experts make their money
@@FLAC2023 maybe…can you point out 1-2 things that he made up?
@@kennyavallon3466 why do you need only two?
There are many more than that...
Let me start with China...no it's not going to collapse... 😂
@@FLAC2023 I ask for 1-2 because I don’t expect you to refute every argument he made lol. Peter makes some convincing arguments that China’s in a bad place. Ray Dalio has some convincing arguments why they’ll be the next global leader. I was hoping you’d give 1 solid, specific example so I can look into it more.
@@kennyavallon3466 He said the juice works by saying chinese juice is bad. WE know the juice don't work ours or theirs.
While I appreciate the insightful analysis, I know for 100% certainty that every prediction he has is probably correct in the short term, and horribly wrong in the long term. We as humans just do not the intellectual capacity to predict the weather that is global geopolitics in the long term. Whatever the outcome of the future, I hope and pray for peace.
Yeah it's all based on givens. Europe won't start buying Russian oil again for any reason. All manufacturing will leave China or need to. Things can happen. Its still a worth while exercise to see where we are currently headed if nothing changes.
Change is inevitable, the world never stays the same, demographics are easy to predict, it takes 20 years to produce a 20 year old educated worker and member of society. We either have children or we don’t, mathematics don’t lie. Peter Zeihan was quite accurate when in 2015, when he predicted the invasion of Ukraine by Russia, he then said in 2015, that the annexation of the Crimea peninsula was the beginning and in approximately 5 to 10 years, Russia was going to annex more Ukrainian territory and possibly swallow the entire country, and he was right, it’s happening right now, 8 years later as he predicted.
As the great ecologist Bill Reese said of the global economy - we have created a system way to complex to ever understand or control. ( and turn around )
Sure, everyone will get it wrong, but some insights are nonetheless useful.
I am very wary of anyone who says he knows with 100% certainty about anything at all. I hate to break this news to you but no one alive on this Earth is a living deity, not even you.
Excellent speaker and interviewer; both sharing fascinating insights.
More guests like this please. Much more “real” than most of your guests… especially the weekly repeats
Thanks for the feedback!
Just imagine how robust Americas production/consumption numbers would be (PEOPLE) if it wasn't for 3rd wave feminism / abortion / birth control etc.. I'm not sure why this isn't even mentioned as a contributor for the plunge in "birth rates" in western countries... its one of the biggest reasons
Falling birthrate is strongly correlated with prosperity in every country. Poor people have babies .rich people have stuff
.
That was an incredible show. I am just blown away. Gives me a real understanding of the world in five years or so.
Thanks for watching!
Great interview. As a retiring Baby Boomer I have consistently heard about the diminishing purchasing of the boomer generation. Inflation is here to stay for years.
Atleast the decade
Yeah, but you probably have amassed at least a couple of revenue generating assets.
(Ex. Real-Estate)
Hang on. Diminishing purchasing is deflationary.
U know fewer dollars chasing same amount of goods=lower prices?
Or stagflationary which is even worse.
@@MrDoyley35 Diminished purchasing, diminished investment & capital and increased social security cost. That's what we're talking here.
@@manniking233 yes that’s not inflationary it’s depressionary.
A great guest, Peter is an incredible source of information and insight. This channel has SO many ads it's distracting to watch.
Peter Zeihan, one of my most favorite speakers. Thanks for that Premium AAA guest, very much appreciated.
Thanks for watching!
What a great conversation!!
Why don't we see more people like you two in politics?
Thanks for watching!
Because politics is for psychopaths and sociopaths
Because they are intelligent, wise, and strategic, all those things are forbidden in modern day politics.
Never heard of this guy but I like his message/research. Better than most of the doom and gloom I keep hearing on financial channels.
Would love to see Peter debate Ray Dalio on the decline / rise of China.
Such a great idea
Dalio is heavily invested financially in the outcome he predicts with a rising China ..
Basically he's paid to think that and has ties to ccp
@@joshuajames2425 This is the feeling I’ve been getting about Dalio lately. Especially with his latest book The Changing World Order, which is extremely bullish on China.
Change is always scary but change is the only place you find opportunity. Some will be frozen with fear (hopefully not literally) but for those people (especially the young) who are able to be see the light at the end of tunnel…we are looking at the most exciting, innovative times for decades. My sense is that people have not enjoyed being dulled by comfort in the last few years, here’s your chance to get snappy.
❤ Peter Zeihan
Thank you for the totally unfiltered look at future economic and political trends, its so refreshing to get information without a political bias subverting the information.
If the US must partner with a highly populous nation for cheaper manufacturing, why partner with China ? India makes much of sense. India has a large population. India has a better education system. India practices democracy. The last plus I can name is that everyone speaks English.
Maybe you should ask who would want to partner with the US. I have observed that if you are too successful you are eventually attacked!
Erm - nowhere near everyone speaks English in India .. They list 10% as the population as speaking English - but probably 2-3% are actually fluent. Not saying India is not a better choice - but the idea that everyone or even a large minority speak English it is patently false.
Why not Mexico? Shipping costs would be much lower
Because these countries are tired of working under the west, stop thinking we're the top of the food chain.
India is very diverse. It's more like a combination of many small countries with different languages. It's hard to build a competitive and complete supply chain there. You may have also overestimated the purchasing power of India young population. Company like Activision Blizzard does not even have an office there. It's very like China in 1990-2020. But I also think India will grow into a global top 5 power house this century. But it will face more problems which China and Japan have faced. When it's powerful, we will see more negative coverage about India from Western media.
I teach at a US university. Elite young Indian speak English and come to US for jobs. They are the most desperate students to try their best to stay in US. I doubt top Indian students will go back and develop India in the near future.
Absolutely awesome interview - real input and valid ideas
Thanks for watching!
39:00 - 40:46 - reassuring for India, that's if we continue to build our industrial capacity & shorten supply chains especially avoiding China & East Asia - we will have to source our energy needs from the Persian Gulf rather than Russia though. 56:55 - 57:40 - Very interesting on Argentina, positively so! 1:01:54 - 1:02:44 - Labour seemingly will have more leverage over capital in the surviving/thriving regions, 1:05:33 - 1:05:44 - Cautiously optimistic or at least neutral for South Korea. Great conversation! Maggie is by far the best interviewer I've seen in quite some time!
Peter Zeihan is a machine! A freaking genius!
He could fix and run the world with all of his knowledge.
Thanks for watching!
Maggie did such a great job asking the relevant questions. Thanks!
Thanks for watching Patrick!
This is a great interview, great questions.
Thanks for watching!
Great interview! Interesting/informative questions and answers.
Thanks for watching!
Great interview
Brilliant. One can only look at the political world with knowledge of Geography. Zaihan's knowledge allows us true upnderstanding of the world.
This was a brilliant interview, such a knowledgeable interviewer, amazing job.
don't be impressed by having a way to present views with fanfare. He's too sure of what the Chinese are capable or not. I lived in China and don't agree with his take.
Thanks for watching!
Does Peter realize a lot of US farms are being bought by big corp n China too.
Would love see you do a show about Canada throughout the eyes of Peter Zeihan.
He gets indepth about canada somewhat in his Ted talk
Unimportant vassal of the US. Crumbling along with the West
What a great interview! Thank you a lot.
Thanks for watching!
He was right about inflation being an issue but everyone was saying that. He’s proven to be wrong about everything else, especially famine and China collapse.
Awesome interview. And I agree with all of the comments. This guy Peter knows his stuff..👍👍👍👍👍👍🔥🔥🔥👍🔥
Thanks for watching!
Peter Zeihan _ The GOAT of Geo-politics !
Thanks for watching!
Peter, though very well researched, makes a lot of assumptions. The Saudis have also been lapping up Russian sweet crude. Other than the USA, Canada and EU (maybe Australia and Japan too), the rest of the world is doing brisk business and helping themselves to forge a world order that is less dependent on the western powers, whose time has come.
Things may pan out quite different from what Peter is saying. Ancient world superpowers like China and India are very resilient and if Xi goes and China democratizes in 10 years, the whole world order as we know it today could change
Great interview! One of the better Zeihan interviews I've seen. Well done!
Thanks for watching!
Best interviewer I’ve seen … great 😊 job
Thanks for watching!