What I find strange is that in every analysis I've heard no one considers that the Russians may actually be concerned by what was happening to the people in the Donbass, that the ethnic cleansing that took over twelve thousand lives was horrifying to them. But what if they were in fact concerned? Turn back to 2004 and the USA had parachuted Mikheil Saakashvili into the presidency of Georgia using all the techniques we would see in the 'colour revolutions'. By 2008 Saakashvili had used clashes, in some places engineered by those who would become The Georgian Legion - a far right militia of whom members of which admitted to being the snipers in 2014 Ukrainian Maidan coup, with ethnic Abkhazians and South Ossetians to mount an incursion into those enclaves even though Russia had massed troops on the border and warned them to cease. At the same time NATO promised Georgia membership. Sound familiar? It should. It's *exactly* what happened prior to the Russian incursion into the Donbas. A US puppet had started to ethnically cleanse Russian minorities, was offered NATO membership, threatened the Russian borders, mounted a rapid incursion into the territories of the minorities and started ethnically cleansing said minorities. All that remained to see was what the Russians would do. The Russians went over the border and drove to the capital with comparatively small, fast force. They toppled the president and forced new elections. The Georgians, sick of Saakashvili's antics, kicked him out. Notably Saakashvili went on to be the governor of Odessa, a critical city in Ukraine's southern 'Russian belt' where Russian is primarily spoken, in time for the Maidan coup and where over a hundred anti-Maidan protesters were shot or burned to death. It is my thesis is that US planning for Ukraine started far earlier than most surmise, that the Russo-Georgian War was a dry run to study Russian strategy and tactics and develop counters, counters like packing the attack routes to Kyiv with javelin-armed troops to stall the Russian attack and let the sanctions crush the economy just as the 'shock therapy' of Boris Yeltsin had crushed the Russian economy in the late 1990s. This thesis accounts of the fact that the Russians' attack force of was woefully small for an invasion at 190,000 troops but about right to quickly drive the capital and decide the issue. To actually invade Ukraine with a total territorial seizure planned the Russians should have by their own doctrine used 2,500,000 troops and half again as many reserves, a number derived from their bitter experiences in Chechnya. The USA and NATO started this war in the early 2000s, probably after Yeltsin was removed. The probable war aim was to fragment Russia into smaller, easily-dominated republics that could not combine against NATO or the USA and could be controlled by loans from the WHO and the IMF. This was occurring when Chechnya bloodily tried to leave the federation but the use of Chechen terror attacks hardened Russian resolve. In closing, I find it totally credible that the Russian Duma wanted to try a 'Georgian Strike' on the US-controlled Ukrainian far-right proxy slaughtering Russians right on their border, sending refugees fleeing into their country and the death and destruction on domestic nightly news. And I think they fell into a well-laid trap that almost worked.
You make a lot of valid points. People tend to forget about event from 2014 to 2021. I never considered the similarities with Georgia. Cheers for the info. with Geotgia
Sorry, only read the first part. It may be that the Kremlin was concerned about the ethnic Russians in Ukraine. But not enough to go to war. For a state like Russia to risk all that it's risking, it takes something truly big, like a serious threat to national security.
And when I tell people that Yugoslavia fell apart because USA wanted so, I get labeled as crazy conspiracy theorist. Tensions were already there, but there is always USA behind the curtains financing and arming. Same in Kosovo few years later. KLA was listed on CIA's list of terrorist organizations up until 1998. The same group had ties with the Taliban. It's just sickening how much pain and suffering USA has been doing to the world after ww2.
I have been following this war from 2014, being from the US with my Grandparents from the region.....lately I have watched everything podcast on the war - which for me is the US war against Russia....your podcast articulated so well the situation....and I say bravo !!! to Dr. Philip, who beforehand was unknown to me....thank you
Do you see similar tactics being used after 1945 in Central/South America as being what NATO and the EU IMF do wherever they go? ua-cam.com/video/_65wFeHIgiA/v-deo.html&pp=ygUMVW5pdGVkIGZydWl0 The Octopus (United Fruit Company / Dole Food Company) ua-cam.com/video/GUtumGk0E6Q/v-deo.html The Empire Files: The U.S. School That Trains Dictators & Death Squads It seems rather Nazi-like IMHO.
@@geoeconomics5629 He was an asset to Brussels, rather than the US, who would have gotten nothing as a prize. All the opium gathered by NATO in their 20-year illegal occupation of Afghanistan went to the "WHO' in Brussels, rather than any profits ended up in the US. (to do what, pay down part of the $35T owed to the bankers in Brussels?)
A very illuminating talk. I have thought throughout that the unrelenting propaganda coming from Western politicians and media had a kind of comic book quality to it in its dumbing down: good vs evil, democracy vs. autocracy, "Russia wants to invade Poland and recreate the Russian Empire" etc. Yet it seems stupid as Pascal says that despite the massive amount of information tens of millions of us have contradicting that narrative, they still continue with it 20 months after the war started.
The persistence of those false narratives has also surprised me to a slight extent. Given that both the historical facts and the ongoing realities counter the officially-sanctioned narratives, and given that the various NATO state governments have lost credibility in a number of other ways, and lastly given the obvious failures and weakening of Ukraine's position in this conflict, I suppose I expected that eventually those at the helm (e.g. the U.S. Administration, NATO, etc.) might begin to evince a bit more realism. Instead, the Blinken/Biden crew and their sycophants in the EU have seemingly doubled down on their positions.
Unfortunately the majority of the Americans n those of their vassal states still buy into this garbage narrative for the world is not just destroyed by the evil but also the ignorant
That is because the methods of mass management have stopped working: they were good 70 years ago, not today, when you have no monopoly over mass media.
@@RyanM-ts7pwThey view Ukraine as a "business project" (other than the geopolitical rammifications of the NATO proxy war). They want their money, they want their political and capital investment to be "realised", so they're going to double down on stupid until the very bitter end (of Ukraine).
I disagree that Hamas violence has no political value. I think their goal was to bring the Palestine issue to the forefront as the people of Gaza have been forgotten completely and oushed aside by not only Israel/US but also Saudi Arabia and the Arab world was gradually to signing agreements with Israel. It has caused people to talk again about a two state solution and insist that the Palestine issue be solved finally and politically.
I agree. Politics is about how to run a human society. We humans need pride, joy and faith/hope just as much as we need food and shelter. Life expectency in a population without pride and hope is very low. What hope does the population in Gaza have, but the hope that Hamas or pressure from UN/the world one day will make Israeli politicians change their minds.
Social Justice, it's philosophy has been around for awhile, Plato, etc. The current social justice atmosphere that we are currently living through, was, ironically, brought to us by Jews, the divide and conquer strategy. It's blowing back in their face now, unless of course, they manage to convince the rest of world that they are exempt from justice, because they are socially superior.
I remember in the 80s, Britain seemed to "get bored" with the troubles of Northern Ireland, the news reports of sectarian killings, or violence involving the armed forces or the RUC began to be framed more like "foreign news", distant, irrelevant, intractable, tiresome. The IRA clearly noticed this, and began a bombing campaign in the financial district in the City of London (usually picking Sundays, where the place is almost deserted). London's financial industry found itself a target, and no doubt applied political pressure for a solution. Westminster was coerced to act, leading ultimately to the peace talks, the Good Friday Agreement and a lasting (if fragile) peace. I think Hamas have made similar calculations here. I am not defending any violence against civilians, or civilian infrastructure but the fact is, we have never seen such global consensus for a peaceful solution in Israel/Palestine than that which has emerged since October 7th 2023.
Ofc ukraine is winning… in the mind and the hearts of the people in the west cause we are the good guys and the goid guys always wins (at least in most of the holywood movies) /sarcasm off
45:00 The Arab Spring members have always been aligned with Brussels. They were under the same 'ownership' as Iran was between 1953-1979. SAVVAK was the secret police loyal to Royal Dutch Shell, Iran broke free in 1979, Hugo helped Venezuela break the same ownership by 1995. Both countries are labelled as terrorist states, yet the Arab Spring nations have willingly allowed Secret Police that are loyal only to Brussels. The close relationship between the KSA and France is why Lebanon can be bombed by Israel for weeks on end, and the UN is actually helping that happen. That is why nobody will come to their aid. The term used is 'in their pocket' where crimes against their own citizens will never result in criminal charges at the ICC. Any questions so far?
NATO wasn’t prepared for war? Obviously. Mainly because NATO didn’t expect the prolonged war. NATO (USA) expected that the sanctions would cripple Russian economy which would collapse under the economic 😮pressure. It is the Russian economic and military resilience that shocked NATO.
I had never heard of Dr Philip Cunliffe before I watched this conversation but I am extremely impressed by his wisdom. He is a truly brilliant analyst.
It shows clearly that there are brilliant analysts in every country but the actual governments just flatly ignored them and carried on with the plans of their handlers.
To ensure the superiority of the British Empire, Halford Mackinder summarised his theory on geopolitics as follows: "Who rules East Europe commands the Heartland (edit: roughly the area of Western Russia and Eastern Europe); who rules the Heartland commands the World-Island; who rules the World-Island commands the world." Note here that Royal Navy battleships could not reach this "heartland" for direct rule, the own population figures were to low for overpowering or invading this region, and the local continental European political/economic powers here were too strong for an outside power to implement indirect rule (per proxy). A hundred years later, the new "rulers of the world" in Washington DC, still eager to assert their own "full spectrum domination" (yes, that is a real term used in other strategy papers): "... how America *manages* Eurasia is critical. Eurasia is the globe's largest continent ... About 75 percent of the world's people live in Eurasia, and most of the world's physical wealth is there as well, both in its enterprises and underneath its soil. Eurasia accounts for about 60 percent of the world's GNP and about threefourths of the world's known energy resources. Eurasia is also the location of most of the world's politically assertive and dynamic states... The world's two most populous aspirants to regional hegemony and global influence are Eurasian. All of the potential political and/or economic challengers to American primacy are Eurasian." Excerpt from "THE GRAND CHESSBOARD American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives" by Zbigniew Brzezinski Notice the word: "manages". *Strategies like "managing", "moderating", or the similar concept of "steering", all taking place in a comprehensive strategy aka "divide and rule".* A strategy so simple most people will kick themselves when they find out how it works: Once one has attained a position of superior power, pick a favorate (favoratism), or two, or three, and start "managing/directing" like the boss of a company delegating tasks... The only difference between the two powers, one gaining and the other waning, was that after WW2 the USA took over this very same strategy from London. More and more analysts are discovering (archival evidence) that this overpowering of the British Empire, which was implemented in stages by her own "special relationship"-best friend the USA after WW2, was not simply a matter of luck, or a matter of "global hegemony falling into the lap of the USA" or the "good guys winning", as popularly believed, but rather a long-term premeditated strategy. Search for "Ho--w Amer..ica bro-ke the Br.tish Empire / the other Graet Gam..e 1941-1947" here on UA-cam... Washington DC overpowered their own "best fwiends" using the very same "divide and rule"-technique London had previously implemented ON THE CONTINENT. Critical question. If it is the historical realisation ever since before Mackinder (Geographical Pivot of History/1904) that a united Eurasia in some or other form, at the "core" of the planet is the danger to the periphery, then what is the strategy to avoid that? This simply begs the further question: What strategies were the periphery (UK, USA) going to employ to avoid/prevent these regions from uniting into mutually beneficial cooperation, or formating as single powers (by military force or close alliances)? Answers: The Treaty of Versailles, was "divide and rule": Europeans were *divided,* with a *ruling...* The Truman Doctrine was "divide and rule": Europeans, were yet again, *divided* with a *"ruling".* *Even today, Europeans are being "managed" in ways they simply cannot imagine for themselves (individual level).* Creeping up on Russia post-1990s, using "proxies/tools" (Eastern Europeans ex-WP states), is the exact same technique. The desired endsieg is to get others into the state of "extending" the rival to such a point, doing the "heavy lifting", so that the "dividers" can move in and "divide" Russian citizens (of course, these are multi-lingual and multi-ethnic) with "rulings" to surround China... *Whatever the outcome in the Ukraine or Israel/Gaza, the dividers in Washington DC have already achieved their aim. Eurasia is "divided" into multiple "teams", all arguing with each other and pointing fingers, playing the blame game, unable to unite into greater powers...*
@@geoeconomics5629 Yes. So true. In a nutshell, to keep Central European "brains" (technology, innovation), and Eastern European "muscle" (raw materials, manpower) *divided* with *rulings* has been the key objective for the outsiders, for more that 200 years.
I disagree with Philip. Hamas violence absolutely had political aims and it achieved those aims: 1st put sovereign state back on Great Power Agenda 2nd. It unified entire Arab, Muslim & Western left 3rd it provoked Israel to act without restraint which diminishes Israel international atanding
I agree, Hamas wanted to reveal the true nature of the Israeli regime and mobilise the Arab masses against the cooperation of the Arab gov with Israel.
I would not subscribe to the assumption about unification of the Arab world, there are no facts supporting it in real actions, declarations are not considered.
Both Ukraine and Israel could have made peace (Minsk accords; Two-State solution) but were encouraged not to by US power. Both Israel and Ukraine have instead been oriented towards serving US interests in their respective regions, and wholly to their detriment. The destruction of much of Ukraine and hundreds of thousands of young Ukranians shows once again the degree US power is willing to sacrifice others in pursuit of its goals.
You are not right on this: biden and nulland came several times to Ukraine back in 2015 and tried to rape the Parliament to adopt changes into the Constitution to make russia happy. Because a two-state is a nonsense which leads to continuous conflicts, inability to reach compromises and develop the state (Bosnia and Herzegovina is a good example), or to civil war. So, I beg you, if you are not a professional on the issue, stop issuing your pink pony’s ideas about two state strategy.
...I quite agree with this analysis, because there is no willing to go to peace in this war, mainly from the US neo-cons. It seems to me that the purpose of this war is to keep on a juicy business and get rid of a maximum casualties possible, both sides. I believe Russians understood that, the reason why they adapted their strategy to the attrition. This war will last up to the last Ukrainian...
"All the world's a stage, And all the men and women merely players; They have their exits and their entrances, And one man in his time plays many parts, His acts being seven ages. " - Shakespeare, As You Like It. 1599. Its just struck me that Zelensky in Ukraine is a puppet-actor-comedian in real life. Remember Charlie Chaplin's The Great Dictator 1940 where a comedian falls into the role..... More than any other movie Hitler hated this one as it spoke truth to power and Chaplin was at the head of his blacklist for execution if he had won the war. "I am so deep in sin that sin doth pluck on sin" Shakespeare Richard III (1599) - the greatest portrayal of evil and one man's descent into self-destruction and his world's destruction, ever!
Very good points. But wasn't Shakespeare a little biased towards Richard III, writing in the context of Tudor monarchy? There is a society of rehabilitation of Richard III in Britain, I believe.
Here's the question. As it was obvious upon the Russians completing their strategically designed multilayer defensive trenches and fortifications before the U counter offensive began the Ukrainian was going to suffer massive loses of manpower and machines. The science of siege warfare is well understood as is the success of the Soviets defensives in defeating WW2 Germany. So why has US and its NATO minnions insisted on sacrificing hundreds of thousands of UKrainians and billions in equipment when the result was predictable and confirmed daily for 18 months all along the Front. The Ukrainian soldiers were knowingly sent by their High Command to be slaughtered by attacking an all but impregable defensive system designed to defeat the Ukrainian Army by way of attrition.
The performative nature of these wars certainly makes one think of the performative nature of events of the Roman Coliseum and the Byzantine Hippodrome at a larger scale. Some of the plebs get to be entertained, some get to go to Pain City. Those who are entertained get to choose a team. Some teams will always win, some lose, but they must always entertain. Many permutations, but always violent, but without rational purpose, unless one considers the perverse entertainment value. Wow, decadent and particularly evil at the same time. Sad thanks for this discussion. Lacrimae rerum.
@edwardlouisbernays2469 UA-cam is MESSING with your channel. only 3 Plus (I bumped it to 4 Plus) for the THIRD TIME. All PLUS are BUMPED OFF By UA-cam.
Did you catch Terry Jones' take on that? (3 part TV doc series, "Barbarians") He said that the gladiatorial shows were a way to "import" the routine violence at the fringes of the Roman Empire into the very centre of Roman society - as a safe, but thrilling spectacle, for the "civilised" Roman audience. And of course, the deaths and maiming in the amphitheatre were both hyper-real (gladiator "classes", with their special uniforms and weapons that never appear on the battlefield) and absolutely deadly for most participants.
@@BrennanYoung and now violence , blood , chaos , rape , destruction , killing , war , bravery , heroism , fighting , martial arts , masochism , impossibilities , etc; it's all over the media in big quantity , but certainly not Quality , rather the opposite . " Panem et circenses "
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You give too much credit to our leaders and are very theoretical. About Ukraine I think the situation is simple. A deal was indeed going to be struck in March and Russia started pulling back. Then Zelensky and co, due to inexperience, threats and convincing weapon speeches, fell into the Bojo/US trap. And from there on Zy is biting his nails as US spoon feeds him to ensure a long lasting war. US could not miss this unique opportunity.
"We couldn't miss this unique opportunity." The most ironic thing is that countries hostile to the United States will definitely take advantage of the "unique opportunity" in relation to the United States
@@evgeniya7853 The USA is doing the attacking due to: IT IS IMPERATIVE that no Eurasian challenger emerges capable of dominating Eurasia and thus of also challenging America - Zbignew Brzezinski
Position of the majority of Russians both living in Russia and Ukraine, is that Smallrussia and Crimea became part of Ukrainian Soviet Republic as a result of Communist Party political games. Nobody asked local, predominately Russian population if they want to be a part of something they never were. It didn't mutter so much when it was still a part of the same country, but when Russia and Ukraine became independent, many Russian people in both countries felt that they've been cheated and a hostile to Russia nation gets to keep territories that it doesn't has a legitimate claim to.
Correction: Annexation, in international law, is the forcible acquisition and assertion of legal title over one state's territory by another state, usually following military occupation of the territory. A state consists of its people and is defined by the (democratic) will of its people, and the people in Crimea voted to rejoin Russia (as they had done before, also) in 2014 - they rejected the West's illegally installed putsch regime (a color revolution), an act by the West that along with violating human rights also violated the basis of international law (the principle of national sovereignty), a gross interference in Ukraine's internal affairs. Russia's Black Sea Fleet is situated in Crimea (since 1783). The choice of the people in Crimea, as documented by the referendum, is to be respected as a democratic decision by the people of Crimea, and as such has nothing to do with annexation (as defined by law).
Jean Baudrillard is referenced. At 21:43: In that context (with power "outsourced" to independent regulatory agencies, transnational institutions, supranational authorities, international courts and so on, since the 1970s) in which states have willingly handed over power to non-political entities (or foreign powers, the very definition of treason), then politics becomes less meaningful, political power becomes less meaningful, and what we are left with is the performance of political power. ... The performance is the more important part of the conflict (in Ukraine), and it always will be until the Ukrainian political elite, until the Ukrainian state is in a position to begin deciding on its own what it wishes to do on its own options independently of the influence and domination of outside actors. ~ Philip Cunliffe
Jean Baudrillard is referenced. At 21:43: In that context (with power "outsourced" to independent regulatory agencies, transnational institutions, supranational authorities, international courts and so on, since the 1970s) in which states have willingly handed over power to non-political entities (or foreign powers, the very definition of treason), then politics becomes less meaningful, political power becomes less meaningful, and what we are left with is the performance of political power. ... The performance is the more important part of the conflict (in Ukraine), and it always will be until the Ukrainian political elite, until the Ukrainian state is in a position to begin deciding on its own what it wishes to do on its own options independently of the influence and domination of outside actors. ~ Philip Cunliffe
The situation in Israel/Gaza has developed dramatically (in both senses of the word) since the time of this interview. Philips analysis through Baudrillards lense still fits the images. I am going to look for a more recent interview with him. His way of looking at things resonates and i hope that he also can bring some "mental order" in the current heart wrenching chaos in the world. Thanks to both of you for this time.
Very wrong, Ukraine was depended on USA/EU support already since 2015. I distinctly remember their various representatives visiting NATO AND EU headquarters asking for 'support' because they were already fighting for 'democracy' for Europe ( whatever that meant then and whatever that means now)
I have paid some thought to Baudrillard's angle in this war. It really seems like the western political classes are living in a mirror house made of war propaganda (made by their own institutions), conformity and group think and pure political and intellectual incompetence (inability to realistic analysis). Thus, there are now so many surprises. Russia and Putin didn't fall due to sanctions or all the moral huffin' and puffin'. Wonder weapons are burning or going ineffective. Europe's economy is going to the drain while the global economic system is reorganizing in unexpected ways. The supposed "green salvation" has been thrown into a backseat indefinitely until power hierarchy is restored and "dangerous" international depencies are broken. Institutions which were built in trust to provide true information for rational politics (peace & prosperity) seem to work in on the opposite way. Partly, all this dysfunction and nightmares of Habermas may be old-fashioned war psychosis, but I would too prefer to continue analysis to direction how neoliberalism and it's current informational stage has accelereted changes to mental constitution of western populations. And clusterfuck we've arrived ecologically too. It's kind of a frightening combination that's in our hands. BTW thanks for great discussions, Pascal!
Yeah, we are not looking at a bright future imho. I myself am very worried that things go very bad in the foreseeable future. And I have 2 kids… Which books would you advice to read from Baudrillard?
I have, for some time, referred to it as 'the counter-productive offensive'. But even someone as cynical as me had not realised that it nothing more than spectacle. War as spectacle. It doesn't get more evil than that. Is this a first in global history?
The discussion on Gaza completely ignores the the nearly century-old history of genocidal slaughter of a helpless, voiceless and longsuffering people in preference for the odious language of bothsidesism. Both interlocutors pretend not to be aware that only one side is the occupier in this murderous story and the other the occupied; that only one side has treated UN Security Council resolutions with contempt. that only one side has established ever-expanding illegal settlements in open defiance of international law; that only one side has justified its reputation as a murderous apartheid state which routinely detains or slaughters children and their mothers. Nor do you have to take my word for it: Einstein and other prominent Jews warned the world about the evil nature of Zionism on the pages of the New York Times when it was a newspaper in 1948, but were ignored. How prescient. I love this show, but it's let itself down disgracefully.
I agree mostly, not with your critics as it is very important to hear both sides. There is always some learnings in hearing the other side and I have come accross multiple good and very good comments in the comment section of this video😊. Myself trying to find root causes, but also trying to understand human nature and how it shaped the complex and dangerous world we are living right now. It reminds me of a quote: Paleolithic emotions, medieval structures and godless powers. The emotions especially allow the powerful to play the game of division for their own benefit
@@OneDayWillFlyAway The difference between my position and yours lies in the word "always". For while it is sometimes necessary to understand your opponent's position, I refuse to accept that necessity in all situations, unless you believe the Nazis should also have been listened to (and if you can find the moral difference between the Israeli regime and the Nazis, keep it to yourself). Nor are there any "root causes" of the revolting moral and genocidal obscenity that is Zionism. For, whatever the history, Israel's admission to the UN was conditional upon it accepting a Palestinian state alongside it, which Israel has since made impossible with ever-expanding illegal settlements filled with armed and murderous fascists from the US and Eastern Europe. How much more of this do you want to see before you reject whatever position that Israel has? In any event, you can only adopt your position (which is shared by the entire MSM and their political masters) if you ignore the fact that only one side is the murderous and atrocious occupier here, and the other side the occupied - a callous and contemptibly disingenuous position if one ever existed.
@@akpanekpo6025I stick with always as I am curious to know why people have certain believes. I also believe it’s always easy to condemn someone else when you are by coincidence born on the ‘righteous’ side (which ofc is also related to the values of societies over the centuries). I think the problem is that you have good people, bad people and evil people. How do we as society make sure only the good ones will lead the population?
@@OneDayWillFlyAway Problem is, by the time you discover why people hold certain beliefs, it's too late. Imagine, for example, that instead of fighting the Nazis (whose ideological offspring now rule Israel), the world had tried to understand why they wanted all disabled people, Jew, gays, Gypsies, Communists, Black people, Jehovah's Witnesses, and non-Aryans dead. Or imagine that instead of prosecuting paedophiles, society focused on understanding them instead. You don't always need to understand the other side. And I'll let you have the last word.
It's so weird! For the past 6 months or so, I could practically hear the swelling strains of a blockbuster movie soundtrack playing as I read the news stories. It seems that, more and more, they have a tone of 'Epic Battle' rather than an accounting of the environmental and human costs. Looking back, that was the tone, all along.
I have a different spin on these things. The west suffers from a crisis in masculinity. The feminist class has worked overtime to get rid of the patriarchy, but the patriarchy was a balanced system. Now we live in a state of gynocentrism, everything is geared to benefit women. From a bird perspective you can see it. We have gender studies and wokeness in the west, engineers and entrepreneurs in the east. Propaganda and empty words in the west, brutal force in the east.
I'm sorry but this is a misleading and dangerous description of events. It was theatre only in as much as the Ukrainian military and political leadership knew that they didn't have the resources to win. It wasn't theatre, it was a juggernaut set in motion decades earlier that was pushed on with everybody on top dancing whilst it gained momentum. There was no stopping it without collapsing Ukraine and NATO. I'm sure even the Ukrainian and NATO military were shocked and surprised by the level of failure of the whole operation. They thought they could focus on a small victory and spin it out of proportion. They didn't even get that. Great interview overall, with one quibble: Hamas is achieving political goals for regional powers it is tied to.
Ukraine's counteroffensive had 0% chance of working. There were many many analysts saying that. Most of the front still has not reached or passed Russia's first line of defense, yet you can still read "leaders" in Ukraine claiming they will "liberate Crimea". Pure theater which only feels real to people because the media and some governments are saying it, but this counteroffensive was stillborn and the people who claim that it has a chance of success are in on the scheme or listen only to those that are in on the scheme.
I completely agree on both points. The great game turned into a pantomime, and anyone that doesn't think Hamas scored a tremendous though expensive political victory isn't paying attention.
@8:50 to claim that there is Russian propaganda without any context suggests that there is some kind of propaganda equilibrium and so it sort of cancels its own importance out of the discussion. The importance, at least, is that there isn't an equilibrium, and that perhaps in an imbalanced sort of way, Russians are dealing with more reality than are western populations. Russia is on the receiving end of a western coalition proxy war. That's not something in dispute. As such, Russia is clearly on the defensive, and not losing. What kind of propaganda is going to serve the Russian government's communication with its own population than the truth, itself? Russia isn't motivated by the effect of propaganda, so to even suggest that there is propaganda in Russia, you first must explain why there would be such a market for it.
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The bloody spectacle by Israel does benefit Netanyahu though…it has refurbished his image from corrupt butcher loathed by the majority to hero of a Israel with soaring popularity. In his case the personal IS political- Vicki
Bibi Netanyanu is doomed to live in the shadow of his dashing, charming, handsome older brother, Yoni, eternal hero of Israel, cut down heroically at the age of 30 during the heroic storming of Entebbe airport in 1976, Lt Col Yoni Netanyahu (hero) could've been the leader to bring Israel out of this mess, instead they get fat ugly Bibi, who, despite everything, despite being a slimy sadistic prick, was really close to his older brother, best friends really, and I think he still carries that loss with him, and that's where his dark ass streak comes from. My brother is my best friend, maybe if he was killed like that it'd turn me into a dark sadistic fuck too, who knows? Don't want to find out
The extremely aggressive posturing of the US State Department is also a performance. The leadership at State isn't stupid; they know their approach is destabilizing the world's governments and economies. The American government appears clueless and the the economy is floundering. It's all a messy show, but who is the audience? Who benefits from world turmoil?
It was made to be a couner offensive. It didn't succeed, so there was a counter offensive that failed. If in the moves that Ukraine did,if they had succeeded by beating the Russians and taking over Cremea as the Ukrainian had wished, will he now say there was a counter offensive?
It was 100% real. They took this very seriously and threw every single thing they had at the Russians, but it ultimately failed because they (NATO) seriously underestimated the Russians ability to successfully absorb and hold. 70k + men and thousands of armoured vehicles, including loosing the politically valuable Leopards, Bradleys and Challengers prove they were very serious.
Yes ! - This analysis clarifies things for me. I am glad I found this interview For a moment these ideas give clarity to the water that has been purposely muddied in the well of political discourse
I don't agree that it was a performance for everyone...this is rather a cynical analysis. However I agree that some actors are controlled for cynical ends.
What else do we expect from a country led by an actor ? Tragic for the poor young men whose lives are thrown away Russian and Ukrainian. The EU politicians are inept and are led like donkeys by the US warmongering financiers
"Cry 'Havoc!', and let slip the dogs of war." - Shakespeare Julius Caesar (1592-3) Russell Brand is also a comedian by trade. It used to be the job of the court jester to tell the king the truth as he was allowed that licence but only upto a point - a red line that if crossed would lead to his "cancellation."
The slave army created for this offensive was predominantly racial, from the Romanian, Russian and Hungarian minorities. These are now all dead/wounded, so from now on it will be from the Ukrainian conscripts. this will change the political support for the war
Philip's theory of "not a genuine Ukrainian counter-offensive, but a show" sounds absurd and childish. I stopped watching the video after the first 7 minutes.
How do you mean? There was a lot of talk about co.bined arms, except you NEED total air supremacy as step 1... step zero even, it HAS to be there, without it, those tanks are just steel coffins... the West eggs Ukeaine into this big-arrow offensive with the same implied contemporary that Hitler showed last century "we have only to k7ck the door in and the whole rotten edifice will come crashing down." Sounds great, it's a fantastic soundbite, but oh wow, what a miscalculation, and you can show me videos of tanks being clapped but there's only one side which has the ability to create new machines from scratch all the way West, to the Urals, so naughty Western planes can't start messing with them...and every T64 that gets spanked, there's no more, all gone, the factory is half rubble. Goddamn it. Zoglenskiy: PREPARE FOR NEXT YEARS OFFENSIVE, ALL MALES AFED 4 TO 84 TO REPORY TO MILITARY RIGHT AWAY.. NOT PASS GO, NOT LEAVE country all men and women ages 18 to 50 report for military training and compulsory humiliating hazing rituals...
The word "Ukraine" translates to sort of "Borderland" although they have a discrete language which started splitting from Russian when England was fighting the wars of the Roses, searching for the holy grail in the latter 1400s. 500 years is a fair amount of time in language terms
A very anglo-centric analysis, projecting onto others what you are doing is a common trait among the ethnocentric britons, Von Der Leyen, Borrell, all suffer the same aliment. His suggestion Russia is complicit in a charade I find offensive and obscene and I’m not even Russian.
Both these wars are indeed performances. The prime audience is of the peoples of the Western nations who are being kept focused in the direction away from what is happening in their own legislative bodies. Laws are being pushed through in parliaments and in supra-national organisations, that will be applied in full to give all wealth to the central banks (ultimately the Bank for International Settlements) and all health sovereignty to the WHO. Cash will be taken away and if you don't take the jab, then it's no food for you. What is being arranged is every bit as evil as that.
Thanks Pascal.... For inviting Dr Cunliffe to shed light on the performative aspect of the spectacular drama entitled "A Super Duper Counter Offensive" The value I took away from this conversation is how seeming opposites of two aspects of let's say Yin / yang or covert / overt or real / fake or performance / substance.... Aren't necessarily mutually exclusive. To add to your discussion I was thinking how the half-truth filled virtual-reality of the Western ruling Elites virtue - posturing served their purpose of not only to add "value" to their performance on traditional news media as well as social-media... But key is to concretely add value precisely to its Military-industrial Complex, by which I mean... How concretely this bipartisan stopgap funding scheme has turned out practically to be a money laundering venture ( if we look at how all the carefully timed in slow incremental measured verbalization in all the speechifying of Biden and his defense secretary towards gradual arms transfer in a Drip by drip escalation for as Biden put it "as long as it takes"; not for Ukraine to win back territory mind you but to give themselves ( the Congressional- military- industrial Nexus) more time as I see it to space out this graduated funding only on paper to Ukraine; funding that's actually fiscally "laundered" to benefit pentagon's REAL actual budget in order to stockpile its weapons Depot with the latest and greatest Cutting Edge Super Sonic weaponry. If you'll allow me this pun to counter Russell Brand's pun: This "performance" of theirs is not just about the "fleas in a dog's fur". Given the wanton Slaughter on two fronts of hot proxy Wars Biden just delivered his thoroughly virtuous posturing speech on this week's news.... the key substance I honed in on is... The virtuous crumbs the president offered in Aid to Gaza in the Millions versus The 100 new BILLIONS to add to hundreds in BILLIONS already spent thus far... Adding this new luxurious stop Gap fiscal lavishness in order to open up a new front with another proxy this time from Tel Aviv ( in a unexpected case of our own tail wagging the Top Dog-of-War that's the US)... Or as General Alexander Haig once put bluntly "our Unsinkable aircraft carrier in the Middle East". ( In response to doctor Cunliff's Discussion of Baudrillard's Study of 'performative' aspect of 'Narratives', like Pentagon propaganda for example, . . . This performace "Froth" Pitched by secretary Austin of Raytheon Is precisely what makes this trillion dollar Latte' so attractive; That a bipartisan congress keeps coming back to not Starbucks for more treats, kickbacks and other rewards , but to. . . Daddy-Warbucks, like loyal consumers addicted to a HYPEr-Marketed product.
Google: Gerhard Schröder im Interview: So scheiterten die Friedensverhandlungen zwischen Ukraine und Russland in the berliner-zeitung for the explanation of the March-2022 agreement
Pretty obvious to anyone who’s been paying attention, but might be new insights for a lot of people. I would add that this isn’t an “It’s not this, it’s that,” argument, but more of a, “It’s both this and that.” That is, sure it’s all a show, but there is infinite capacity for hope and self delusion in the human heart (even for political leaders) and one assumes that some of them actually believe the idealistic blather used to sell the conflict, or at least have hope that it will achieve some good (as they define it.) One thing that does surprise me, though, is that people like Dr Cunliffe exist and are allowed to speak in London. I thought they had laws against that sort of thing.
You have to permit the free flow of ideas, we're experiencing an narration blackout and force fed whatever comes from the Ukrainian Intelligence services, taken completely as read with no critical analysis, not even basic smell test, we're asked to buy the myth of Ukraine's resistance to tyranny, when all along it simply took another crisis, one involving Joe Biden's re-election fund, I mean Israel, to divert Washington's gaze, like a kid with ADHD after a movie theatre size bag of M&Ms. Bad, very bad
point one: in other channels we constantly saw that various conditions were needed for the AFU to have a successful attack and that included aircover and artillery . So why attack if they were not sufficent ? for PR These day in many fields it seems PR or spin is all that is required
That the Ukrainian state and elites are focused on - and at least to an extent controlled by - foreign interests is an excellent insight. It's remarkable how many top Ukrainian politicians and wealthiest oligarchs are of Jewish or other non-Ukrainian ethnic backgrounds. Are these groups also as overrepresented among the troops fighting, being maimed, and dying at the front? And are the military and diplomatic objectives pursued by the Zelensky government in the best interests of the people who are making the biggest sacrifices?
Of course it never existed. There is no counter offensive, no offensive , no war in Ukraine. Nothing of the sort. We don't know what you are talking about. Nobody is fighting in Ukraine and there are no weapons there. NATO doesn't exist and doesn't support Ukraine because they don't need it because all the russians are happily at home with their families eating borsjt or other disgusting stuff. It's all a load of bull crap. Obviously. But let's get real. The answer to the number of Ukrainian casualties is obviously: "way too high". Every dead Ukrainian soldier is one too many and every single one of them is a result of the murderous imperialist delusions of grandeur of the so called russian empire. Every one of them is murdered by Vladimir Putin and his nazi orcs. I saw a video today of a 10 year old Ukrainian boy reading a letter he wrote to his fallen father. Devastating. Of course you can say the fallen ukrainian soldiers are heroes and they died for freedom and justice, but when you see that boy it brings home that every dead soldier is a human being. They all had mothers. Many of them are respected family fathers who deserved to have a good and peacefull life. A family, job, a carreer, a beer in the pub on friday nights. But they have nothing of that now. All taken away because some deranged russian dictator thought it was a good idea to attack a peaceful country that had never done any harm to Russia and even harboured the biggest russian naval base for them. And if it was only Ukrainians forced to fight and die for their right to be on this earth, but no. Countless russians were also sent to their doom in this war. The number now approaching 300,000 fast. of course not all of them are russians. Putin carefully selects vulnerable groups that are considered "of lower value" (in german: "untermenschen"). For instance immigrants, people in areas that are colonized by russia but never obtained full citizen rights and equality in the russian colonial empire, like tatars, chechens, ossetians and who knows what other groups as long as it is not moscovites. People whose lives don't matter to russian leaders. And they have them slaughtered by the hundreds. The thousands even. 1380 dead russian soldiers in 1 day. All because Putin stole 100 billion dollars from the russians and doesn't want to face the consequences. It's always been like that in Russia. Russian lives have no value. Or at least that is how they see it themselves. And you, editors of the "Neutrality Studies" channel that neither is Neutral nor has anything to do with studies, you are the supporters and propaganda clowns endorsing all this. You should be ashamed of yourself. That is just an understatement. You should be held accountable as accomplishes and co-conspriators. This is all your fault. You should know better. In fact I am sure you DO know better. But yet you keep supporting this. Despicable. Incomprehensible. Lower than criminal. Below any conceivable standard of humanity.
I think this kind of analysis overcomplicates things. There are material interests, and the interests of individuals don’t always coincide with those of the collective they belong (at least nominally to). So yes, oligarchs in Ukraine may certainly have considered in their interests to do what their western backers required of them. But to claim they knew they had no chances of retaking the territory they had lost and they were willing to suffer catastrophic losses in the process, ultimately threatening their own security, that is to much of a stretch. It’s more likely they believed some intermediate objective could be accomplished and that would have kept them fed by maintaining western support. In this they miscalculated, but not because they knew their actions would lead to total failure and they consciously decided to undertake them anyway.
Ceci, n'est pas une guerre.. Interesting topic, I see it as even more applicable to the situation in Israel than Ukraine. I haven't followed events in Gaza closely, but Hamas seemed to be seeking attention after years of Corona and Ukraine took the spotlight away. Israel seems unwilling or unable to mobilise for a serious invasion and imho is just talking big and flexing its muscles. I think they will use this time of international indecision to simply create an 'acceptable' 10:1 or 20:1 kill ratio for the whole episode and then back out. No Northern Hezbollah front either.
What does this guy mean by "history will tell why they rejected the peace treaty" - we already know this through insiders- Fiona Hill, Naftali Bennet & the Turkish FM!
42:00 This guy has no clue. Of course the violence has a purpose. The whole aim of instilling war is to provoke your enemy into extreme, into unwarranted violence, which retroactively provides the proof that you where right after all (with your provocations). All that matters is the perception you create in your hemisphere, the rest is a long game over 20 or mabe 200 years. Dont underestimate the destructiveness of certain people. The sheer fact that there are people outside of your influence which are living under different rules, living not under your power, which are demonstrating by their actions that you are wrong - this extremely upsetting and such people devote their entire lifes to gain that total power over everybody.
Strained interpretation of Ukrainian offensive. It was simply playing the odds. We wager these resources and it'll pay off if the Russians are weaker tgan they seem. The oldest strategic miscalculation in the world. Underestimating the enemy
It's not difficult to obtain the information here in Russia. The current Ukraine/NATO vs Russia War casualty list is approximately 740,000 Ukrainian military personnel dead, 227,000 Russian military personnel dead, and approximately 3,800 NATO contractors dead.
So what? According to the Pentagon, there were 110,000 Iraqis killed during the war. That number comes the AP. The UN claimed 255,000 in early 2006. The Johns Hopkins School of Public Health came up with a number of 300,000 to 600,000. Like the Pentagon doesn't know.
The problem with considering hyperreality to be a motivation for Oct 7 with violence for no political end is that the political end was an exchange of prisoners of war for 3000 Palestinians in the Zionist Colony's military prisons and maybe absolute desperation due to Israel's serial aerial assaults the next of which was coming with or without Oct 7. There was a pragmatic objective. Few, and that likely included Hamas, anticipated Israel's own hyperreality / psychotic genocidal reaction to Oct 7. Also to correct the record, the mutilations claimed by Israel have been demonstrated to be atrocity propaganda for inciting a genocide. Otherwise i do think this hyper reality / political performance construct is useful. The political objectives are there. They are just more amorphous and less concrete.
Ukraine were not prepared to go "all in" without air support after they first encountered the minefields. Russian have 600km of front line to defends with major losses of soldiers and arms. Ukraine have made small gains on the way to Tokmak which is only 15 kim south and is very strategic. There is a new front forming in Kherson which is another huge problem for Russia.
There's no front, just feint, there's no strategy it's just...soundbite warfare...oh, a tank blowed up, as drone hit an IFV, have we won yet? There's no balance,Ukraine's air defence has fallen apart, allowing Russian aviation to operate closer to Ukraine including the eye in the sky AWACS planes. Ukraine lost 10-12 aircraft shot down ambushed by S400 which talk to the AWACS birds which guide the missiles until their active radar locks on... a capability that couldn't be exercised when the S300 network still had missiles
well, the Ukraine lost their sovereignity/independence in 2014 after the key. When usa and eu occupies your country- one accumulate losses,no gains. USA and eu delights in caRnage, they enable carnage and, they find carnage and terrorism since after USSR WON WW2.
This Guy just waffles. Knows nothing of the history of this region. A typical Anglo not understanding what its all about. It started in 2014. The Ukranians Nato have been preparing this proxi war. The Minsk Agreement was a ploy to arm Ukraine for the war. They thought they would be drinking vodka in Moscow by imposing sanctions on Russia. Ukrain could have been a neutral country but they chose otherwise. Cant watch this BS.
What I find strange is that in every analysis I've heard no one considers that the Russians may actually be concerned by what was happening to the people in the Donbass, that the ethnic cleansing that took over twelve thousand lives was horrifying to them. But what if they were in fact concerned?
Turn back to 2004 and the USA had parachuted Mikheil Saakashvili into the presidency of Georgia using all the techniques we would see in the 'colour revolutions'. By 2008 Saakashvili had used clashes, in some places engineered by those who would become The Georgian Legion - a far right militia of whom members of which admitted to being the snipers in 2014 Ukrainian Maidan coup, with ethnic Abkhazians and South Ossetians to mount an incursion into those enclaves even though Russia had massed troops on the border and warned them to cease. At the same time NATO promised Georgia membership.
Sound familiar?
It should. It's *exactly* what happened prior to the Russian incursion into the Donbas.
A US puppet had started to ethnically cleanse Russian minorities, was offered NATO membership, threatened the Russian borders, mounted a rapid incursion into the territories of the minorities and started ethnically cleansing said minorities. All that remained to see was what the Russians would do.
The Russians went over the border and drove to the capital with comparatively small, fast force. They toppled the president and forced new elections. The Georgians, sick of Saakashvili's antics, kicked him out.
Notably Saakashvili went on to be the governor of Odessa, a critical city in Ukraine's southern 'Russian belt' where Russian is primarily spoken, in time for the Maidan coup and where over a hundred anti-Maidan protesters were shot or burned to death.
It is my thesis is that US planning for Ukraine started far earlier than most surmise, that the Russo-Georgian War was a dry run to study Russian strategy and tactics and develop counters, counters like packing the attack routes to Kyiv with javelin-armed troops to stall the Russian attack and let the sanctions crush the economy just as the 'shock therapy' of Boris Yeltsin had crushed the Russian economy in the late 1990s. This thesis accounts of the fact that the Russians' attack force of was woefully small for an invasion at 190,000 troops but about right to quickly drive the capital and decide the issue. To actually invade Ukraine with a total territorial seizure planned the Russians should have by their own doctrine used 2,500,000 troops and half again as many reserves, a number derived from their bitter experiences in Chechnya.
The USA and NATO started this war in the early 2000s, probably after Yeltsin was removed. The probable war aim was to fragment Russia into smaller, easily-dominated republics that could not combine against NATO or the USA and could be controlled by loans from the WHO and the IMF. This was occurring when Chechnya bloodily tried to leave the federation but the use of Chechen terror attacks hardened Russian resolve.
In closing, I find it totally credible that the Russian Duma wanted to try a 'Georgian Strike' on the US-controlled Ukrainian far-right proxy slaughtering Russians right on their border, sending refugees fleeing into their country and the death and destruction on domestic nightly news. And I think they fell into a well-laid trap that almost worked.
YES, i TAKE Note- it is always about Putin.Never about the security of Russians whose invasions have always happened on the western borders??
You make a lot of valid points. People tend to forget about event from 2014 to 2021. I never considered the similarities with Georgia. Cheers for the info.
with Geotgia
Sorry, only read the first part. It may be that the Kremlin was concerned about the ethnic Russians in Ukraine. But not enough to go to war. For a state like Russia to risk all that it's risking, it takes something truly big, like a serious threat to national security.
In this conflict everyone miscalculated and made few very strategic mistakes … US/West, Ukraine and Russia
And when I tell people that Yugoslavia fell apart because USA wanted so, I get labeled as crazy conspiracy theorist. Tensions were already there, but there is always USA behind the curtains financing and arming. Same in Kosovo few years later. KLA was listed on CIA's list of terrorist organizations up until 1998. The same group had ties with the Taliban. It's just sickening how much pain and suffering USA has been doing to the world after ww2.
I have been following this war from 2014, being from the US with my Grandparents from the region.....lately I have watched everything podcast on the war - which for me is the US war against Russia....your podcast articulated so well the situation....and I say bravo !!! to Dr. Philip, who beforehand was unknown to me....thank you
Do you see similar tactics being used after 1945 in Central/South America as being what NATO and the EU IMF do wherever they go?
ua-cam.com/video/_65wFeHIgiA/v-deo.html&pp=ygUMVW5pdGVkIGZydWl0
The Octopus (United Fruit Company / Dole Food Company)
ua-cam.com/video/GUtumGk0E6Q/v-deo.html
The Empire Files: The U.S. School That Trains Dictators & Death Squads
It seems rather Nazi-like IMHO.
Grandparents? Da Fu. What year did they immigrate? 1945?
100% right. God bless. ❤
For America the chief geopolitical prize is Russia
-
Zbignew Brzezinski
@@geoeconomics5629 He was an asset to Brussels, rather than the US, who would have gotten nothing as a prize. All the opium gathered by NATO in their 20-year illegal occupation of Afghanistan went to the "WHO' in Brussels, rather than any profits ended up in the US. (to do what, pay down part of the $35T owed to the bankers in Brussels?)
A very illuminating talk. I have thought throughout that the unrelenting propaganda coming from Western politicians and media had a kind of comic book quality to it in its dumbing down: good vs evil, democracy vs. autocracy, "Russia wants to invade Poland and recreate the Russian Empire" etc. Yet it seems stupid as Pascal says that despite the massive amount of information tens of millions of us have contradicting that narrative, they still continue with it 20 months after the war started.
The persistence of those false narratives has also surprised me to a slight extent. Given that both the historical facts and the ongoing realities counter the officially-sanctioned narratives, and given that the various NATO state governments have lost credibility in a number of other ways, and lastly given the obvious failures and weakening of Ukraine's position in this conflict, I suppose I expected that eventually those at the helm (e.g. the U.S. Administration, NATO, etc.) might begin to evince a bit more realism. Instead, the Blinken/Biden crew and their sycophants in the EU have seemingly doubled down on their positions.
Unfortunately the majority of the Americans n those of their vassal states still buy into this garbage narrative for the world is not just destroyed by the evil but also the ignorant
That is because the methods of mass management have stopped working: they were good 70 years ago, not today, when you have no monopoly over mass media.
@@RyanM-ts7pwThey view Ukraine as a "business project" (other than the geopolitical rammifications of the NATO proxy war). They want their money, they want their political and capital investment to be "realised", so they're going to double down on stupid until the very bitter end (of Ukraine).
I disagree that Hamas violence has no political value. I think their goal was to bring the Palestine issue to the forefront as the people of Gaza have been forgotten completely and oushed aside
by not only Israel/US but also Saudi Arabia and the Arab world was gradually to signing agreements with Israel. It has caused people to talk again about a two state solution and insist that the Palestine issue be solved finally and politically.
I agree. Politics is about how to run a human society. We humans need pride, joy and faith/hope just as much as we need food and shelter. Life expectency in a population without pride and hope is very low. What hope does the population in Gaza have, but the hope that Hamas or pressure from UN/the world one day will make Israeli politicians change their minds.
Social Justice, it's philosophy has been around for awhile, Plato, etc. The current social justice atmosphere that we are currently living through, was, ironically, brought to us by Jews, the divide and conquer strategy. It's blowing back in their face now, unless of course, they manage to convince the rest of world that they are exempt from justice, because they are socially superior.
And I think the 1500 Hamas warriors that invaded Israel did so as a suicidal act to project the Palestinian cause to the world's attention.
@@ellengran6814not possible as long as the USD hegemony is still around
I remember in the 80s, Britain seemed to "get bored" with the troubles of Northern Ireland, the news reports of sectarian killings, or violence involving the armed forces or the RUC began to be framed more like "foreign news", distant, irrelevant, intractable, tiresome. The IRA clearly noticed this, and began a bombing campaign in the financial district in the City of London (usually picking Sundays, where the place is almost deserted). London's financial industry found itself a target, and no doubt applied political pressure for a solution. Westminster was coerced to act, leading ultimately to the peace talks, the Good Friday Agreement and a lasting (if fragile) peace. I think Hamas have made similar calculations here. I am not defending any violence against civilians, or civilian infrastructure but the fact is, we have never seen such global consensus for a peaceful solution in Israel/Palestine than that which has emerged since October 7th 2023.
Wait, do you mean to tell me that CNN is not correct when they say that Ukraine is winning?
Folk need to update this line and replace CNN with MSNBC, which is worse nowadays.
Ofc ukraine is winning… in the mind and the hearts of the people in the west cause we are the good guys and the goid guys always wins (at least in most of the holywood movies)
/sarcasm off
willdavis7254 for a wintersleep it is still to early , or did you sleep through your last year's wintersleep .
@willdavis7254 LMAO
Do you believe that cnn tells you the truth??
45:00 The Arab Spring members have always been aligned with Brussels. They were under the same 'ownership' as Iran was between 1953-1979. SAVVAK was the secret police loyal to Royal Dutch Shell, Iran broke free in 1979, Hugo helped Venezuela break the same ownership by 1995. Both countries are labelled as terrorist states, yet the Arab Spring nations have willingly allowed Secret Police that are loyal only to Brussels.
The close relationship between the KSA and France is why Lebanon can be bombed by Israel for weeks on end, and the UN is actually helping that happen. That is why nobody will come to their aid. The term used is 'in their pocket' where crimes against their own citizens will never result in criminal charges at the ICC.
Any questions so far?
NATO wasn’t prepared for war? Obviously. Mainly because NATO didn’t expect the prolonged war. NATO (USA) expected that the sanctions would cripple Russian economy which would collapse under the economic 😮pressure. It is the Russian economic and military resilience that shocked NATO.
I had never heard of Dr Philip Cunliffe before I watched this conversation but I am extremely impressed by his wisdom. He is a truly brilliant analyst.
It shows clearly that there are brilliant analysts in every country but the actual governments just flatly ignored them and carried on with the plans of their handlers.
To ensure the superiority of the British Empire, Halford Mackinder summarised his theory on geopolitics as follows: "Who rules East Europe commands the Heartland (edit: roughly the area of Western Russia and Eastern Europe); who rules the Heartland commands the World-Island; who rules the World-Island commands the world."
Note here that Royal Navy battleships could not reach this "heartland" for direct rule, the own population figures were to low for overpowering or invading this region, and the local continental European political/economic powers here were too strong for an outside power to implement indirect rule (per proxy).
A hundred years later, the new "rulers of the world" in Washington DC, still eager to assert their own "full spectrum domination" (yes, that is a real term used in other strategy papers):
"... how America *manages* Eurasia is critical. Eurasia is the globe's largest continent ... About 75 percent of the world's people live in Eurasia, and most of the world's physical wealth is there as well, both in its enterprises and underneath its soil. Eurasia accounts for about 60 percent of the world's GNP and about threefourths of the world's known energy resources. Eurasia is also the location of most of the world's politically assertive and dynamic states... The world's two most populous aspirants to regional hegemony and global influence are Eurasian. All of the potential political and/or economic challengers to American primacy are Eurasian." Excerpt from "THE GRAND CHESSBOARD American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives" by Zbigniew Brzezinski
Notice the word: "manages".
*Strategies like "managing", "moderating", or the similar concept of "steering", all taking place in a comprehensive strategy aka "divide and rule".* A strategy so simple most people will kick themselves when they find out how it works: Once one has attained a position of superior power, pick a favorate (favoratism), or two, or three, and start "managing/directing" like the boss of a company delegating tasks...
The only difference between the two powers, one gaining and the other waning, was that after WW2 the USA took over this very same strategy from London. More and more analysts are discovering (archival evidence) that this overpowering of the British Empire, which was implemented in stages by her own "special relationship"-best friend the USA after WW2, was not simply a matter of luck, or a matter of "global hegemony falling into the lap of the USA" or the "good guys winning", as popularly believed, but rather a long-term premeditated strategy.
Search for "Ho--w Amer..ica bro-ke the Br.tish Empire / the other Graet Gam..e 1941-1947" here on UA-cam...
Washington DC overpowered their own "best fwiends" using the very same "divide and rule"-technique London had previously implemented ON THE CONTINENT.
Critical question.
If it is the historical realisation ever since before Mackinder (Geographical Pivot of History/1904) that a united Eurasia in some or other form, at the "core" of the planet is the danger to the periphery, then what is the strategy to avoid that? This simply begs the further question: What strategies were the periphery (UK, USA) going to employ to avoid/prevent these regions from uniting into mutually beneficial cooperation, or formating as single powers (by military force or close alliances)?
Answers:
The Treaty of Versailles, was "divide and rule": Europeans were *divided,* with a *ruling...*
The Truman Doctrine was "divide and rule": Europeans, were yet again, *divided* with a *"ruling".*
*Even today, Europeans are being "managed" in ways they simply cannot imagine for themselves (individual level).*
Creeping up on Russia post-1990s, using "proxies/tools" (Eastern Europeans ex-WP states), is the exact same technique. The desired endsieg is to get others into the state of "extending" the rival to such a point, doing the "heavy lifting", so that the "dividers" can move in and "divide" Russian citizens (of course, these are multi-lingual and multi-ethnic) with "rulings" to surround China...
*Whatever the outcome in the Ukraine or Israel/Gaza, the dividers in Washington DC have already achieved their aim. Eurasia is "divided" into multiple "teams", all arguing with each other and pointing fingers, playing the blame game, unable to unite into greater powers...*
IT WILL ALL END WITH THE PARTITION OF THE USA. The circle will close
An Existential threat to the British empire and later the USA is
Germany - Russia strategic partnership
This defined European destiny
NATO pact was created to keep Germany down
Russia out
and the USA in Europe
@@geoeconomics5629 Yes.
So true.
In a nutshell, to keep Central European "brains" (technology, innovation), and Eastern European "muscle" (raw materials, manpower) *divided* with *rulings* has been the key objective for the outsiders, for more that 200 years.
I disagree with Philip. Hamas violence absolutely had political aims and it achieved those aims: 1st put sovereign state back on Great Power Agenda 2nd. It unified entire Arab, Muslim & Western left 3rd it provoked Israel to act without restraint which diminishes Israel international atanding
me too
I agree, Hamas wanted to reveal the true nature of the Israeli regime and mobilise the Arab masses against the cooperation of the Arab gov with Israel.
Deep, very strategic and with great sacrifice
I would not subscribe to the assumption about unification of the Arab world, there are no facts supporting it in real actions, declarations are not considered.
Both Ukraine and Israel could have made peace (Minsk accords; Two-State solution) but were encouraged not to by US power. Both Israel and Ukraine have instead been oriented towards serving US interests in their respective regions, and wholly to their detriment.
The destruction of much of Ukraine and hundreds of thousands of young Ukranians shows once again the degree US power is willing to sacrifice others in pursuit of its goals.
• • • •
the USA has been planning war in Ukraine since 1992
You are not right on this: biden and nulland came several times to Ukraine back in 2015 and tried to rape the Parliament to adopt changes into the Constitution to make russia happy. Because a two-state is a nonsense which leads to continuous conflicts, inability to reach compromises and develop the state (Bosnia and Herzegovina is a good example), or to civil war. So, I beg you, if you are not a professional on the issue, stop issuing your pink pony’s ideas about two state strategy.
An increasing number of people are coming to realize that not a single word uttered by Washington, London, Brussels or Kiev can be believed. ✔️
Z 🇷🇺
...I quite agree with this analysis, because there is no willing to go to peace in this war, mainly from the US neo-cons. It seems to me that the purpose of this war is to keep on a juicy business and get rid of a maximum casualties possible, both sides. I believe Russians understood that, the reason why they adapted their strategy to the attrition. This war will last up to the last Ukrainian...
• • • •
"All the world's a stage, And all the men and women merely players; They have their exits and their entrances, And one man in his time plays many parts, His acts being seven ages. " - Shakespeare, As You Like It. 1599.
Its just struck me that Zelensky in Ukraine is a puppet-actor-comedian in real life. Remember Charlie Chaplin's The Great Dictator 1940 where a comedian falls into the role..... More than any other movie Hitler hated this one as it spoke truth to power and Chaplin was at the head of his blacklist for execution if he had won the war.
"I am so deep in sin that sin doth pluck on sin" Shakespeare Richard III (1599) - the greatest portrayal of evil and one man's descent into self-destruction and his world's destruction, ever!
Very good points. But wasn't Shakespeare a little biased towards Richard III, writing in the context of Tudor monarchy? There is a society of rehabilitation of Richard III in Britain, I believe.
A brilliantly accurate analysis by Philip Cunliffe. Neutrality Studies is one of the best and most essential podcasts out there right now.
So, sad. Especially, the men who were forced to fight.
Same can be said about most wars. The guest is not directly involved, he can speculate as much as he likes.
Here's the question.
As it was obvious upon the Russians
completing their strategically designed multilayer defensive trenches and fortifications before the U
counter offensive began the Ukrainian was going to suffer massive loses of manpower and machines.
The science of siege warfare is well understood as is the success of the Soviets defensives in defeating WW2 Germany.
So why has US and its NATO minnions insisted on sacrificing hundreds of thousands of UKrainians and billions in equipment when the result was predictable and confirmed daily for 18 months all along the Front.
The Ukrainian soldiers were knowingly sent by their High Command to be slaughtered by attacking an all but impregable defensive system designed to defeat the Ukrainian Army by way of attrition.
Speaking of impregnable, Ukraine is making noises about drafting women, not sure whether into combat roles, I hope to God not
They were profiting from it, why else
The performative nature of these wars certainly makes one think of the performative nature of events of the Roman Coliseum and the Byzantine Hippodrome at a larger scale. Some of the plebs get to be entertained, some get to go to Pain City. Those who are entertained get to choose a team. Some teams will always win, some lose, but they must always entertain. Many permutations, but always violent, but without rational purpose, unless one considers the perverse entertainment value. Wow, decadent and particularly evil at the same time.
Sad thanks for this discussion. Lacrimae rerum.
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Did you catch Terry Jones' take on that? (3 part TV doc series, "Barbarians") He said that the gladiatorial shows were a way to "import" the routine violence at the fringes of the Roman Empire into the very centre of Roman society - as a safe, but thrilling spectacle, for the "civilised" Roman audience. And of course, the deaths and maiming in the amphitheatre were both hyper-real (gladiator "classes", with their special uniforms and weapons that never appear on the battlefield) and absolutely deadly for most participants.
@@BrennanYoung and now violence , blood , chaos , rape , destruction , killing , war , bravery , heroism , fighting , martial arts , masochism , impossibilities , etc; it's all over the media in big quantity , but certainly not Quality , rather the opposite . " Panem et circenses "
Once again a brilliant interview so many thanks and big respect to Philip Cuncliffe.
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"AMERICA'S MISSION TO SPOIL THE UNIVERSE" Charles Dickens
Nothing change from this time of Dickens comments we are still aggressive GANGSTERS!
Maybe I missed this, but I think terroristik actions and false flag operations belong to this analysis.
You give too much credit to our leaders and are very theoretical. About Ukraine I think the situation is simple. A deal was indeed going to be struck in March and Russia started pulling back. Then Zelensky and co, due to inexperience, threats and convincing weapon speeches, fell into the Bojo/US trap. And from there on Zy is biting his nails as US spoon feeds him to ensure a long lasting war. US could not miss this unique opportunity.
"We couldn't miss this unique opportunity." The most ironic thing is that countries hostile to the United States will definitely take advantage of the "unique opportunity" in relation to the United States
Wrong 😮
@@evgeniya7853 you may be right
The USA has been planning war in Ukraine since 1992
@@evgeniya7853
The USA is doing the attacking
due to:
IT IS IMPERATIVE that no Eurasian challenger emerges capable of dominating Eurasia and thus of also challenging America
-
Zbignew Brzezinski
Position of the majority of Russians both living in Russia and Ukraine, is that Smallrussia and Crimea became part of Ukrainian Soviet Republic as a result of Communist Party political games. Nobody asked local, predominately Russian population if they want to be a part of something they never were. It didn't mutter so much when it was still a part of the same country, but when Russia and Ukraine became independent, many Russian people in both countries felt that they've been cheated and a hostile to Russia nation gets to keep territories that it doesn't has a legitimate claim to.
Correction:
Annexation, in international law, is the forcible acquisition and assertion of legal title over one state's territory by another state, usually following military occupation of the territory. A state consists of its people and is defined by the (democratic) will of its people, and the people in Crimea voted to rejoin Russia (as they had done before, also) in 2014 - they rejected the West's illegally installed putsch regime (a color revolution), an act by the West that along with violating human rights also violated the basis of international law (the principle of national sovereignty), a gross interference in Ukraine's internal affairs. Russia's Black Sea Fleet is situated in Crimea (since 1783).
The choice of the people in Crimea, as documented by the referendum, is to be respected as a democratic decision by the people of Crimea, and as such has nothing to do with annexation (as defined by law).
Jean Baudrillard is referenced.
At 21:43: In that context (with power "outsourced" to independent regulatory agencies, transnational institutions, supranational authorities, international courts and so on, since the 1970s) in which states have willingly handed over power to non-political entities (or foreign powers, the very definition of treason), then politics becomes less meaningful, political power becomes less meaningful, and what we are left with is the performance of political power. ... The performance is the more important part of the conflict (in Ukraine), and it always will be until the Ukrainian political elite, until the Ukrainian state is in a position to begin deciding on its own what it wishes to do on its own options independently of the influence and domination of outside actors. ~ Philip Cunliffe
Jean Baudrillard is referenced.
At 21:43: In that context (with power "outsourced" to independent regulatory agencies, transnational institutions, supranational authorities, international courts and so on, since the 1970s) in which states have willingly handed over power to non-political entities (or foreign powers, the very definition of treason), then politics becomes less meaningful, political power becomes less meaningful, and what we are left with is the performance of political power. ... The performance is the more important part of the conflict (in Ukraine), and it always will be until the Ukrainian political elite, until the Ukrainian state is in a position to begin deciding on its own what it wishes to do on its own options independently of the influence and domination of outside actors. ~ Philip Cunliffe
The situation in Israel/Gaza has developed dramatically (in both senses of the word) since the time of this interview. Philips analysis through Baudrillards lense still fits the images. I am going to look for a more recent interview with him. His way of looking at things resonates and i hope that he also can bring some "mental order" in the current heart wrenching chaos in the world. Thanks to both of you for this time.
As always another brilliantly articulate guest, who nails it in my opinion. 👍 another name to look out for. thankyou so. 😉
But remember "we're losing no lives in Ukraine" Mitt Romney, US Senator
Very wrong, Ukraine was depended on USA/EU support already since 2015. I distinctly remember their various representatives visiting NATO AND EU headquarters asking for 'support' because they were already fighting for 'democracy' for Europe ( whatever that meant then and whatever that means now)
I have paid some thought to Baudrillard's angle in this war. It really seems like the western political classes are living in a mirror house made of war propaganda (made by their own institutions), conformity and group think and pure political and intellectual incompetence (inability to realistic analysis). Thus, there are now so many surprises. Russia and Putin didn't fall due to sanctions or all the moral huffin' and puffin'. Wonder weapons are burning or going ineffective. Europe's economy is going to the drain while the global economic system is reorganizing in unexpected ways. The supposed "green salvation" has been thrown into a backseat indefinitely until power hierarchy is restored and "dangerous" international depencies are broken. Institutions which were built in trust to provide true information for rational politics (peace & prosperity) seem to work in on the opposite way.
Partly, all this dysfunction and nightmares of Habermas may be old-fashioned war psychosis, but I would too prefer to continue analysis to direction how neoliberalism and it's current informational stage has accelereted changes to mental constitution of western populations. And clusterfuck we've arrived ecologically too. It's kind of a frightening combination that's in our hands. BTW thanks for great discussions, Pascal!
Yeah, we are not looking at a bright future imho. I myself am very worried that things go very bad in the foreseeable future. And I have 2 kids…
Which books would you advice to read from Baudrillard?
I have, for some time, referred to it as 'the counter-productive offensive'. But even someone as cynical as me had not realised that it nothing more than spectacle. War as spectacle. It doesn't get more evil than that. Is this a first in global history?
The discussion on Gaza completely ignores the the nearly century-old history of genocidal slaughter of a helpless, voiceless and longsuffering people in preference for the odious language of bothsidesism. Both interlocutors pretend not to be aware that only one side is the occupier in this murderous story and the other the occupied; that only one side has treated UN Security Council resolutions with contempt. that only one side has established ever-expanding illegal settlements in open defiance of international law; that only one side has justified its reputation as a murderous apartheid state which routinely detains or slaughters children and their mothers.
Nor do you have to take my word for it: Einstein and other prominent Jews warned the world about the evil nature of Zionism on the pages of the New York Times when it was a newspaper in 1948, but were ignored. How prescient.
I love this show, but it's let itself down disgracefully.
typical uk mouthpeice??
I agree mostly, not with your critics as it is very important to hear both sides. There is always some learnings in hearing the other side and I have come accross multiple good and very good comments in the comment section of this video😊.
Myself trying to find root causes, but also trying to understand human nature and how it shaped the complex and dangerous world we are living right now.
It reminds me of a quote: Paleolithic emotions, medieval structures and godless powers.
The emotions especially allow the powerful to play the game of division for their own benefit
@@OneDayWillFlyAway The difference between my position and yours lies in the word "always". For while it is sometimes necessary to understand your opponent's position, I refuse to accept that necessity in all situations, unless you believe the Nazis should also have been listened to (and if you can find the moral difference between the Israeli regime and the Nazis, keep it to yourself).
Nor are there any "root causes" of the revolting moral and genocidal obscenity that is Zionism. For, whatever the history, Israel's admission to the UN was conditional upon it accepting a Palestinian state alongside it, which Israel has since made impossible with ever-expanding illegal settlements filled with armed and murderous fascists from the US and Eastern Europe. How much more of this do you want to see before you reject whatever position that Israel has?
In any event, you can only adopt your position (which is shared by the entire MSM and their political masters) if you ignore the fact that only one side is the murderous and atrocious occupier here, and the other side the occupied - a callous and contemptibly disingenuous position if one ever existed.
@@akpanekpo6025I stick with always as I am curious to know why people have certain believes.
I also believe it’s always easy to condemn someone else when you are by coincidence born on the ‘righteous’ side (which ofc is also related to the values of societies over the centuries).
I think the problem is that you have good people, bad people and evil people. How do we as society make sure only the good ones will lead the population?
@@OneDayWillFlyAway Problem is, by the time you discover why people hold certain beliefs, it's too late. Imagine, for example, that instead of fighting the Nazis (whose ideological offspring now rule Israel), the world had tried to understand why they wanted all disabled people, Jew, gays, Gypsies, Communists, Black people, Jehovah's Witnesses, and non-Aryans dead. Or imagine that instead of prosecuting paedophiles, society focused on understanding them instead.
You don't always need to understand the other side. And I'll let you have the last word.
Thanks for this guest. This was a most insightful interview. Both extremely educational and depressing.
he speaks as if there is one country in the war-UKraine but, constantly badmouths Russians
Why this counteroffensive served Putin and his purposes? That's notion is is so illogical as suggested by the speaker. He did not initiate it, did he?
Yes this is a rather airy fairy and cynical analysis. Not everyone is performing.
*I FEEL SORRY FOR "UKRAINIANS"*
they have been TRICKED 😢
#sad
Russia isn't playing games.
It's so weird! For the past 6 months or so, I could practically hear the swelling strains of a blockbuster movie soundtrack playing as I read the news stories. It seems that, more and more, they have a tone of 'Epic Battle' rather than an accounting of the environmental and human costs.
Looking back, that was the tone, all along.
This conversation took place four months ago….is it still a spectacle?
Russia with Ukraine is a global power
Russia without Ukraine is a regional power
-
Zbignew Brzezinski
I have a different spin on these things. The west suffers from a crisis in masculinity. The feminist class has worked overtime to get rid of the patriarchy, but the patriarchy was a balanced system. Now we live in a state of gynocentrism, everything is geared to benefit women. From a bird perspective you can see it. We have gender studies and wokeness in the west, engineers and entrepreneurs in the east. Propaganda and empty words in the west, brutal force in the east.
I agree it served both sides.
The only ones that lost are the poor Ukrainan people that are sacrified on the battle field.
I'm sorry but this is a misleading and dangerous description of events. It was theatre only in as much as the Ukrainian military and political leadership knew that they didn't have the resources to win.
It wasn't theatre, it was a juggernaut set in motion decades earlier that was pushed on with everybody on top dancing whilst it gained momentum. There was no stopping it without collapsing Ukraine and NATO. I'm sure even the Ukrainian and NATO military were shocked and surprised by the level of failure of the whole operation. They thought they could focus on a small victory and spin it out of proportion. They didn't even get that.
Great interview overall, with one quibble: Hamas is achieving political goals for regional powers it is tied to.
Ukraine's counteroffensive had 0% chance of working. There were many many analysts saying that. Most of the front still has not reached or passed Russia's first line of defense, yet you can still read "leaders" in Ukraine claiming they will "liberate Crimea". Pure theater which only feels real to people because the media and some governments are saying it, but this counteroffensive was stillborn and the people who claim that it has a chance of success are in on the scheme or listen only to those that are in on the scheme.
I completely agree on both points. The great game turned into a pantomime, and anyone that doesn't think Hamas scored a tremendous though expensive political victory isn't paying attention.
There is so much stupidity pretty much sums up where we are in our modern world. Stupidity abounds!
@8:50 to claim that there is Russian propaganda without any context suggests that there is some kind of propaganda equilibrium and so it sort of cancels its own importance out of the discussion. The importance, at least, is that there isn't an equilibrium, and that perhaps in an imbalanced sort of way, Russians are dealing with more reality than are western populations. Russia is on the receiving end of a western coalition proxy war. That's not something in dispute. As such, Russia is clearly on the defensive, and not losing. What kind of propaganda is going to serve the Russian government's communication with its own population than the truth, itself? Russia isn't motivated by the effect of propaganda, so to even suggest that there is propaganda in Russia, you first must explain why there would be such a market for it.
Pascal, you always make such good points in your interactions with your guests, even when I don't always agree with what your guests are saying.
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The bloody spectacle by Israel does benefit Netanyahu though…it has refurbished his image from corrupt butcher loathed by the majority to hero of a Israel with soaring popularity. In his case the personal IS political- Vicki
Bibi Netanyanu is doomed to live in the shadow of his dashing, charming, handsome older brother, Yoni, eternal hero of Israel, cut down heroically at the age of 30 during the heroic storming of Entebbe airport in 1976, Lt Col Yoni Netanyahu (hero) could've been the leader to bring Israel out of this mess, instead they get fat ugly Bibi, who, despite everything, despite being a slimy sadistic prick, was really close to his older brother, best friends really, and I think he still carries that loss with him, and that's where his dark ass streak comes from.
My brother is my best friend, maybe if he was killed like that it'd turn me into a dark sadistic fuck too, who knows? Don't want to find out
The extremely aggressive posturing of the US State Department is also a performance. The leadership at State isn't stupid; they know their approach is destabilizing the world's governments and economies. The American government appears clueless and the the economy is floundering. It's all a messy show, but who is the audience? Who benefits from world turmoil?
what are you talking about? when you didn't win the war, this means you lost the war, don't try to kidding yourselves.
It was made to be a couner offensive. It didn't succeed, so there was a counter offensive that failed.
If in the moves that Ukraine did,if they had succeeded by beating the Russians and taking over Cremea as the Ukrainian had wished, will he now say there was a counter offensive?
he only talks about Ukraine-Russians are invisible
It was 100% real. They took this very seriously and threw every single thing they had at the Russians, but it ultimately failed because they (NATO) seriously underestimated the Russians ability to successfully absorb and hold. 70k + men and thousands of armoured vehicles, including loosing the politically valuable Leopards, Bradleys and Challengers prove they were very serious.
If it failed then it was merely a 4 month probing attack, bro. If it succeeds, well, let's be realistic here lul.
Yes ! - This analysis clarifies things for me. I am glad I found this interview
For a moment these ideas give clarity to the water that has been purposely muddied in the well of political discourse
The single most interesting discussion I have heard for years on the how to understand how the modern world works.
I don't agree that it was a performance for everyone...this is rather a cynical analysis. However I agree that some actors are controlled for cynical ends.
Most commentators who make sense about Ukraine war, make close to no sense regarding Gaza and Hamas by similarizing and comparing Israel and Hamas.
Can you elaborate a bit more pls?
I was caught up in the conversation😅😅
Hope to have more good videos like this, especially soon with issues surrounding Israel or the Middle East
The whole base assumption here is reflected in the word "occupied". Donbas has been liberated not occupied.
What else do we expect from a country led by an actor ? Tragic for the poor young men whose lives are thrown away Russian and Ukrainian. The EU politicians are inept and are led like donkeys by the US warmongering financiers
"Cry 'Havoc!', and let slip the dogs of war." - Shakespeare Julius Caesar (1592-3) Russell Brand is also a comedian by trade. It used to be the job of the court jester to tell the king the truth as he was allowed that licence but only upto a point - a red line that if crossed would lead to his "cancellation."
Appreciate your questions ❤❤❤🙏🙏❤️❤️
Thank you
The slave army created for this offensive was predominantly racial, from the Romanian, Russian and Hungarian minorities. These are now all dead/wounded, so from now on it will be from the Ukrainian conscripts. this will change the political support for the war
Philip's theory of "not a genuine Ukrainian counter-offensive, but a show" sounds absurd and childish. I stopped watching the video after the first 7 minutes.
How do you mean? There was a lot of talk about co.bined arms, except you NEED total air supremacy as step 1... step zero even, it HAS to be there, without it, those tanks are just steel coffins... the West eggs Ukeaine into this big-arrow offensive with the same implied contemporary that Hitler showed last century "we have only to k7ck the door in and the whole rotten edifice will come crashing down." Sounds great, it's a fantastic soundbite, but oh wow, what a miscalculation, and you can show me videos of tanks being clapped but there's only one side which has the ability to create new machines from scratch all the way West, to the Urals, so naughty Western planes can't start messing with them...and every T64 that gets spanked, there's no more, all gone, the factory is half rubble. Goddamn it.
Zoglenskiy: PREPARE FOR NEXT YEARS OFFENSIVE, ALL MALES AFED 4 TO 84 TO REPORY TO MILITARY RIGHT AWAY.. NOT PASS GO, NOT LEAVE country all men and women ages 18 to 50 report for military training and compulsory humiliating hazing rituals...
Crimea is Russia proper, just like the entire eadtern Ukraine, Ukraine never existed prior to the 1920s ussr
The word "Ukraine" translates to sort of "Borderland" although they have
a discrete language which started splitting from Russian when England was fighting the wars of the Roses, searching for the holy grail in the latter 1400s. 500 years is a fair amount of time in language terms
A very anglo-centric analysis, projecting onto others what you are doing is a common trait among the ethnocentric britons, Von Der Leyen, Borrell, all suffer the same aliment. His suggestion Russia is complicit in a charade I find offensive and obscene and I’m not even Russian.
Both these wars are indeed performances. The prime audience is of the peoples of the Western nations who are being kept focused in the direction away from what is happening in their own legislative bodies. Laws are being pushed through in parliaments and in supra-national organisations, that will be applied in full to give all wealth to the central banks (ultimately the Bank for International Settlements) and all health sovereignty to the WHO.
Cash will be taken away and if you don't take the jab, then it's no food for you.
What is being arranged is every bit as evil as that.
Thanks Pascal....
For inviting Dr Cunliffe to shed light on the performative aspect of the spectacular drama entitled "A Super Duper Counter Offensive"
The value I took away from this conversation is how seeming opposites of two aspects of let's say Yin / yang or covert / overt or real / fake or performance / substance....
Aren't necessarily mutually exclusive. To add to your discussion I was thinking how the half-truth filled virtual-reality of the Western ruling Elites virtue - posturing served their purpose of not only to add "value" to their performance on traditional news media as well as social-media...
But key is to concretely add value precisely to its Military-industrial Complex, by which I mean...
How concretely this bipartisan stopgap funding scheme has turned out practically to be a money laundering venture ( if we look at how all the carefully timed in slow incremental measured verbalization in all the speechifying of Biden and his defense secretary towards gradual arms transfer in a Drip by drip escalation for as Biden put it "as long as it takes";
not for Ukraine to win back territory mind you but to give themselves ( the Congressional- military- industrial Nexus) more time as I see it to space out this graduated funding only on paper to Ukraine; funding that's actually fiscally "laundered" to benefit pentagon's REAL actual budget in order to stockpile its weapons Depot with the latest and greatest Cutting Edge Super Sonic weaponry.
If you'll allow me this pun to counter Russell Brand's pun:
This "performance" of theirs is not just about the "fleas in a dog's fur".
Given the wanton Slaughter on two fronts of hot proxy Wars Biden just delivered his thoroughly virtuous posturing speech on this week's news....
the key substance I honed in on is...
The virtuous crumbs the president offered in Aid to Gaza in the Millions versus The 100 new BILLIONS to add to hundreds in BILLIONS already spent thus far...
Adding this new luxurious stop Gap fiscal lavishness in order to open up a new front with another proxy this time from Tel Aviv ( in a unexpected case of our own tail wagging the Top Dog-of-War that's the US)...
Or as General Alexander Haig once put bluntly "our Unsinkable aircraft carrier in the Middle East".
( In response to doctor Cunliff's Discussion of Baudrillard's Study of 'performative' aspect of 'Narratives', like Pentagon propaganda for example, . . .
This performace "Froth" Pitched by secretary Austin of Raytheon Is precisely what makes this trillion dollar Latte' so attractive; That a bipartisan congress keeps coming back to not Starbucks for more treats, kickbacks and other rewards , but to. . .
Daddy-Warbucks, like loyal consumers addicted to a HYPEr-Marketed product.
Google:
Gerhard Schröder im Interview: So scheiterten die Friedensverhandlungen zwischen Ukraine und Russland
in the berliner-zeitung
for the explanation of the March-2022 agreement
Pretty obvious to anyone who’s been paying attention, but might be new insights for a lot of people. I would add that this isn’t an “It’s not this, it’s that,” argument, but more of a, “It’s both this and that.” That is, sure it’s all a show, but there is infinite capacity for hope and self delusion in the human heart (even for political leaders) and one assumes that some of them actually believe the idealistic blather used to sell the conflict, or at least have hope that it will achieve some good (as they define it.)
One thing that does surprise me, though, is that people like Dr Cunliffe exist and are allowed to speak in London. I thought they had laws against that sort of thing.
Yeah they let them speak but they’re not heard/platformed.
In the West we have freedom of speech - as long as nobody listens.
You have to permit the free flow of ideas, we're experiencing an narration blackout and force fed whatever comes from the Ukrainian Intelligence services, taken completely as read with no critical analysis, not even basic smell test, we're asked to buy the myth of Ukraine's resistance to tyranny, when all along it simply took another crisis, one involving Joe Biden's re-election fund, I mean Israel, to divert Washington's gaze, like a kid with ADHD after a movie theatre size bag of M&Ms. Bad, very bad
point one: in other channels we constantly saw that various conditions were needed for the AFU to have a successful attack and that included aircover and artillery . So why attack if they were not sufficent ? for PR
These day in many fields it seems PR or spin is all that is required
REAILITY doesn't care about perceived reality.
That the Ukrainian state and elites are focused on - and at least to an extent controlled by - foreign interests is an excellent insight. It's remarkable how many top Ukrainian politicians and wealthiest oligarchs are of Jewish or other non-Ukrainian ethnic backgrounds. Are these groups also as overrepresented among the troops fighting, being maimed, and dying at the front? And are the military and diplomatic objectives pursued by the Zelensky government in the best interests of the people who are making the biggest sacrifices?
No, the counteroffensive never existed. What offensive was it countering?
Of course it never existed. There is no counter offensive, no offensive , no war in Ukraine. Nothing of the sort. We don't know what you are talking about. Nobody is fighting in Ukraine and there are no weapons there. NATO doesn't exist and doesn't support Ukraine because they don't need it because all the russians are happily at home with their families eating borsjt or other disgusting stuff.
It's all a load of bull crap. Obviously.
But let's get real. The answer to the number of Ukrainian casualties is obviously: "way too high". Every dead Ukrainian soldier is one too many and every single one of them is a result of the murderous imperialist delusions of grandeur of the so called russian empire. Every one of them is murdered by Vladimir Putin and his nazi orcs.
I saw a video today of a 10 year old Ukrainian boy reading a letter he wrote to his fallen father. Devastating. Of course you can say the fallen ukrainian soldiers are heroes and they died for freedom and justice, but when you see that boy it brings home that every dead soldier is a human being. They all had mothers. Many of them are respected family fathers who deserved to have a good and peacefull life. A family, job, a carreer, a beer in the pub on friday nights.
But they have nothing of that now. All taken away because some deranged russian dictator thought it was a good idea to attack a peaceful country that had never done any harm to Russia and even harboured the biggest russian naval base for them.
And if it was only Ukrainians forced to fight and die for their right to be on this earth, but no. Countless russians were also sent to their doom in this war. The number now approaching 300,000 fast. of course not all of them are russians. Putin carefully selects vulnerable groups that are considered "of lower value" (in german: "untermenschen"). For instance immigrants, people in areas that are colonized by russia but never obtained full citizen rights and equality in the russian colonial empire, like tatars, chechens, ossetians and who knows what other groups as long as it is not moscovites.
People whose lives don't matter to russian leaders. And they have them slaughtered by the hundreds. The thousands even. 1380 dead russian soldiers in 1 day. All because Putin stole 100 billion dollars from the russians and doesn't want to face the consequences.
It's always been like that in Russia. Russian lives have no value. Or at least that is how they see it themselves.
And you, editors of the "Neutrality Studies" channel that neither is Neutral nor has anything to do with studies, you are the supporters and propaganda clowns endorsing all this. You should be ashamed of yourself. That is just an understatement. You should be held accountable as accomplishes and co-conspriators. This is all your fault. You should know better. In fact I am sure you DO know better. But yet you keep supporting this. Despicable. Incomprehensible. Lower than criminal. Below any conceivable standard of humanity.
No hard information here, all speculation
Absolutely brilliant guest! His theory reminds me Guy Debord's Situationist ideas about political performances. Quite, quite interesting.
That’s certainly interesting!
Thank you Pascal ...very informative through your wonderful guest..keep up the great work
I think this kind of analysis overcomplicates things. There are material interests, and the interests of individuals don’t always coincide with those of the collective they belong (at least nominally to). So yes, oligarchs in Ukraine may certainly have considered in their interests to do what their western backers required of them. But to claim they knew they had no chances of retaking the territory they had lost and they were willing to suffer catastrophic losses in the process, ultimately threatening their own security, that is to much of a stretch. It’s more likely they believed some intermediate objective could be accomplished and that would have kept them fed by maintaining western support. In this they miscalculated, but not because they knew their actions would lead to total failure and they consciously decided to undertake them anyway.
The amount of casualties between 2014 to 2021 prior to the greater war beginning was over 14,000 dead, not 12,000.
Ceci, n'est pas une guerre..
Interesting topic, I see it as even more applicable to the situation in Israel than Ukraine.
I haven't followed events in Gaza closely, but Hamas seemed to be seeking attention after years of Corona and Ukraine took the spotlight away. Israel seems unwilling or unable to mobilise for a serious invasion and imho is just talking big and flexing its muscles. I think they will use this time of international indecision to simply create an 'acceptable' 10:1 or 20:1 kill ratio for the whole episode and then back out. No Northern Hezbollah front either.
What does this guy mean by "history will tell why they rejected the peace treaty" - we already know this through insiders- Fiona Hill, Naftali Bennet & the Turkish FM!
42:00 This guy has no clue. Of course the violence has a purpose. The whole aim of instilling war is to provoke your enemy into extreme, into unwarranted violence, which retroactively provides the proof that you where right after all (with your provocations). All that matters is the perception you create in your hemisphere, the rest is a long game over 20 or mabe 200 years. Dont underestimate the destructiveness of certain people. The sheer fact that there are people outside of your influence which are living under different rules, living not under your power, which are demonstrating by their actions that you are wrong - this extremely upsetting and such people devote their entire lifes to gain that total power over everybody.
Strained interpretation of Ukrainian offensive. It was simply playing the odds. We wager these resources and it'll pay off if the Russians are weaker tgan they seem. The oldest strategic miscalculation in the world. Underestimating the enemy
Isn’t it great that academics can turn getting your arse kicked into a book
100 percent agree.
Theater performance at the cost of 300,000 Ukrainian lives and embarrassmet of Western and European arms manufacturers 🤔
Who profits ? The one that gets money.
Agree.
haha, "Vladimir Putin's goals" you suggest are so funny... it's so British. Mother of the West's mistakes. Stepmother.
It's not difficult to obtain the information here in Russia. The current Ukraine/NATO vs Russia War casualty list is approximately 740,000 Ukrainian military personnel dead, 227,000 Russian military personnel dead, and approximately 3,800 NATO contractors dead.
Will be nice to have a link to your other languages site 😊
So what? According to the Pentagon, there were 110,000 Iraqis killed during the war. That number comes the AP. The UN claimed 255,000 in early 2006. The Johns Hopkins School of Public Health came up with a number of 300,000 to 600,000. Like the Pentagon doesn't know.
Ukraine is since long just another star on The stars and stripes
very sad in any case
The theatre of the absurd is a money machine for those who control it.
The problem with considering hyperreality to be a motivation for Oct 7 with violence for no political end is that the political end was an exchange of prisoners of war for 3000 Palestinians in the Zionist Colony's military prisons and maybe absolute desperation due to Israel's serial aerial assaults the next of which was coming with or without Oct 7. There was a pragmatic objective. Few, and that likely included Hamas, anticipated Israel's own hyperreality / psychotic genocidal reaction to Oct 7. Also to correct the record, the mutilations claimed by Israel have been demonstrated to be atrocity propaganda for inciting a genocide.
Otherwise i do think this hyper reality / political performance construct is useful. The political objectives are there. They are just more amorphous and less concrete.
We respond to hyperreality 🤔 So we do. Image is everything....... 🙈🙉🙊
Ukraine were not prepared to go "all in" without air support after they first encountered the minefields. Russian have 600km of front line to defends with major losses of soldiers and arms. Ukraine have made small gains on the way to Tokmak which is only 15 kim south and is very strategic. There is a new front forming in Kherson which is another huge problem for Russia.
There's no front, just feint, there's no strategy it's just...soundbite warfare...oh, a tank blowed up, as drone hit an IFV, have we won yet?
There's no balance,Ukraine's air defence has fallen apart, allowing Russian aviation to operate closer to Ukraine including the eye in the sky AWACS planes. Ukraine lost 10-12 aircraft shot down ambushed by S400 which talk to the AWACS birds which guide the missiles until their active radar locks on... a capability that couldn't be exercised when the S300 network still had missiles
well, the Ukraine lost their sovereignity/independence in 2014 after the key. When usa and eu occupies your country- one accumulate losses,no gains. USA and eu delights in caRnage, they enable carnage and, they find carnage and terrorism since after USSR WON WW2.
USA also won’t WW2, ya know we were on the same team for that one ? The US won the Cold War tho which is more relevant
This Guy just waffles. Knows nothing of the history of this region. A typical Anglo not understanding what its all about. It started in 2014. The Ukranians Nato have been preparing this proxi war. The Minsk Agreement was a ploy to arm Ukraine for the war. They thought they would be drinking vodka in Moscow by imposing sanctions on Russia. Ukrain could have been a neutral country but they chose otherwise. Cant watch this BS.
Well then, the Ukrainian soldiers are in fact gladiators. Slaves that are forced into combat for the entertainment of their owners (NATO).
Humas fighting the Us as well not surprising they will get help from their friends
Gaza should have looked like Dubai.