The most interesting part of this conversation was seeing how the propoganda model of the West has warped the historical understanding of this theorist.
I think the Doctor has overlooked the significance of the 2014 US instigated coup and the extent of the psychosis of the neocons in Washington behind it. I think they are more than happy to see the war continue and care little about the Ukrainian lives being sacrificed. Politicians on both sides of the aisle in the US have more or less said that it’s better that Ukrainians are dying to protect US interests than to have US bodies returning in bags. I don’t see the Doctor’s admirable approach overcoming that kind of lunacy.
You are right about that. What Glasl does is he takes the conflict and squeezes it into the box of his theory. What that does is that you stop focusing on "who was wrong first" and start looking at "how did this become a war?" with the action-reaction dynamic between the different parties. That's why his approach is useful but it is also not the whole picture, as you correctly identified. But it is a tenet of conflict management to move away from the blame game and start looking at dynamics to break them. This, however, often sacrifices things like "justice" and therefore can infuriate people who suffered from one or the other side.
And I don't think bleeding Russia is in US interests from a strategic point of view. Mearsheimer is on the money when he says the US foreign policy elite - he referred to them as "knuckleheads" - made a major blunder in driving Russia into the arms of China.
Yes. Thank you for bringing this up. This is a TYPICAL American Imperialist war and nothing else. This follows the script of EVERY American Imperialist regime-change war used especially in in Latin America. America goes into a stable situation where there is relative peace, finds some opposers or dissidrnts to the ruling party, pays and bribes and arms thosevrebels and ultimately starts a war and in the end overthrows the government and replaces it with a puppet American government. All in the name of demicracy with no hint of irony. This is America's number one export. Regime-change wars.
I believe that, in addition to these stated three wars, there is also still some unfinished business of WW2 going on. This is why we are seeing all those Nazi symbols on Azov uniforms.
The hatred resulting from WW2 felt by the various countries and peoples that were actually involved and invaded invariably also means resolution of unfinished business if and when the opportunity arises, i.e.revenge, and that is usually not realised by the powers that were involved but not invaded like the USA and to a lesser extent the UK The people of the Balkans don't just remember the Soviets and the nazis, they even remember the Ottomans, some Serbs still think of the moslem Bosnians as Turks, the US understands as little of their history as that of Afghanistan or the middle east
@@befeleme If I was a Russian in1945 when Patton said that whilst knowing the holocaust started there and up to 27 million mainly civilian Soviets had been murdered by the nazis before the Soviets eventually killed up to 75% of German troops to defeat nazism, I would feel the paranoia the West accuses the Russian leaders AND the Russian people of If I had then witnessed the creation of an anti-Russian Nato with warheads virtually on the Russian border I would probably feel a bit more paranoid, and if I considered all the various invasions and devastations of Russia from the West including Napoleon and Hitler I would wonder if the US actually agreed with Patton
Read this book by Lindsay O´rourke, it give you a good insight/analysis of how much damage they have done "Covert Regime Change: America's Secret Cold War: Cornell Studies in Security Affairs"
Right! Dr Glast left out the significant particular Agent Provocateur that actively triggered & escalated the existing cleavages! The repeat & rinse strategy of a certain foreign superpower, which exploits any and every cleavages in the target body politic ... The cleavages will be the undoing of the target society.
@alexnosal2277 - As Merkel, Scholtz and the troops must all have known the effect that US sanctions on Germany's cheap Russian energy would have on their economy, why did they go along with it? What did they think the US corporates would do if they didn't cooperate, surely they didn't fear anything as drastic as the US blowing up a Nato ally's Nordstream 2 energy pipeline or financing a proxy war that could go nuclear on their doorstep? How much worse could US disapproval be than what is now happening in Germany, all very strange
So your comment is about you? (YOU are afraid, but you fail to explain, leaving it as a personal complaint.) Not particularly useful in a forum, as nobody here either knows you, and thus cannot care about you.
Ukraine wasn't "considered" as part of Russian Empire. It WAS a part of Russia. And Boksheviks didn't "disrespect' Ukraine. They artificially CREATED Ukraine by adding Russian industrial territories to the small agrarian Malorussia. They forced Russian speaking officials to learn Ukrainian language they never spoke in order to occupy governmental positions in Ukraine.
@@wnklee6878 There were never a country called "Ukrain" before 1922. There was Russian Empire. Very often people mistake Kiev Rus, with Ukrainian synthetic state.
The famine in 1936 mostly affected the Russian speaking in the eastern part of the Ukraine. As for the "Holomodor", it was a term created in the late 1980's to promote western propaganda. There is not historical record showing the use of this label before the 1980's.
The ones screaming the loudest on social media about "Holodomor" are my Ukrainian friends from Lviv, a part of POLAND during that time!!! My father lived through the Holodomor in eastern Ukraine (Kharkov area), lost a baby brother at that time (not to hunger directly but epidemic), spoke Russian (like most of the people there) and hated western Ukrainian Nationalists with a passion having witnessed their war crimes and eager cooperation with nazis during WW2. -- The Western Ukrainians here whose ancestors lived in prewar Poland speak about it as if they experienced it. Sickening.
@@vazeuax even the family of G. Jones (Welsh journalist) protested against the fact that the film they made "Mr. Jones" was too much focused on Ukraine , because there where during that time more famines where in the former USSR.
0:23: 🌍 The conflicts in Ukraine are intertwined and rooted in the competition between the transatlantic and Eurasian powers. 7:54: 🌍 The tension between Russia and Ukraine stems from issues related to the Crimea region and language disputes. 16:59: 📚 The conflict in Ukraine is an interlocking of different levels of conflict, with each level having its own thresholds and red lines. 23:55: 😨 The speaker discusses the dangerous escalation spiral between the US and Russia, where each side pushes the other further towards mutual assured destruction. 29:17: 🌍 The speaker discusses the potential for expanding cooperation and creating a new architecture of peace and security involving neutral countries and organizations. 34:54: 🌍 The speaker suggests forming an alliance of stakeholders to address climate change and other global issues, and calls for cooperation and alternative energy sources. 41:39: 🌍 The speaker believes that cooperation among Brazil, South Africa, and other neutral countries can help save the planet from climate change and other global issues. Recap by Tammy AI
Uh, more people died In Russia from the famine than people from Ukraine, not to mention Kazakhstan. Grain was exported to fund industrialization, not 'sent to Russia'
and the main problem with the grain was that the USSR only could pay in grain - nice supportive Western countries did not accept anothe types of payments for their industrial export into USSR. And Stalin knew that the war was not long away, the industrialization was absolutely needed. Nice kind Western friends have those deaths of innocent people on their hands as well.
At least, the latter has good faith on its side. Both Ukraine and the NATO countries, as well as the EU, have been so highly hypocritical towards Russia since the collapse of the USSR, unceasingly playing with fire for 3+ decades in the most irresponsible way.
I am American. From my perspective, there are actually much more than three overlapping simultaneous Wars going on. Besides the three that doctor Glasll mentioned, US/NATO's proxy war against Russia, now aimed at China. . . Has unexpectedly produced more parties to join the contest, on the side of BRICS, much to the Chagrin of the Imperial West... As they are now scratching their arrogant heads, trying to understand the tectonic shift taking place before their very jaundiced Colonial eyes. . . A wave of Nations from the global South, from Africa to Latin America, from Southeast Asia to Eurasia and the Middle East. . . rushing to join the ranks of BRICS, in the hopes and desire to be freed from the Yoke of Western colonial Wars not only to sabotage their drives for Independence, but to also continue for the extraction and hijacking of natural resources from occupation of indigenous territory by proxy or otherwise. But, the most important War for me ---> is the war-at - home; just like the mass movements for Peace and Civil- Rights during the GENOCIDAL War-of-aggression against Vietnam... As many citizens, inside and outside of America, I believe will agree with me, that we are long overdue for a constitutional regime-change.
there are only two outcomes to that war. either Russia will win & the West, US included will back off. or we all gonna die in WW3 & Russia will still remain undefeated though as dead as we all. either way, Russia will win, only arrogant americans can believe any other outcome is possible. the window of opportunity where Russia could have been maybe defeated on the battlefield was gone a decade ago.
It is very important to undertake an epistemic approach to the object rather than a doxic one. It is precisely the media's journalistic role to do that; ask those critical questions, but that is not happening. Instead, they follow a faith-based narrative over an empirical, knowledge-based approach, as you discussed with Graham in the previous interview. In other words, back to axiomatic narratives. Great to see it here, as with N. Petro (who also talks about these three conflicts in Ukraine); one must look at government documents, treaties and what academics write and say. Bottom line. Who tried to resolve this conflict for eight years before the February 2022 escalation through Minsk-2? Who has sabotaged the negotiations again and again afterwards? Who affirms in his security strategy that "the aim Is to weaken Russia in Ukraine"? (Which followed escalation again in the summer of 2022.) To break this dangerous pattern we're in (back to 17th century authority-based narratives), I therefore sympathize with the Russians, as well as fellow Ukrainians who get dragged into this through no fault of their own. I say this without excusing Russia's mindless escalation on February 22, but that doesn't mean everything is black and white. One must understand that it was provoked aggression, which coincides with continued sabotage of negotiations. We (Norway) must be some of the biggest hawks in this war, who are now one of the few that send F-16s. It is almost a witch hunt if you dare to ask questions. I experience censorship and banning because I try to advocate for downscaling. It's really crazy times. I'm absolutely ashamed, that there isn't a damn debate, or someone asking questions. Everything is just axiomatically accepted, and every person is suddenly an expert on Ukraine-Russia overnight. How about reading/listening to what the actual experts say? No, that doesn't fit the narrative! When will the escalation end??! I also hope there will be a strong settlement of this when the war hopefully ends.
Feb 22 was not "Russia's mindless escalation", maybe the war would have been over already soon after that if it would have been, but we'll never know, in any case, that war began anything than mindless on the russian side, not so on the western side though. the West, foremost US but by now all of western Europe is indeed so far mindlessly following US into the abyss. Europeans, if they want to keep even a quarter of their social, economic & political achievements done in the past 100 years, they must rethink who they align with, cause the rich capitalists have ruined US & are spreading the pillage everywhere else they only can. "the rest" of the world is standing up now, Europe still sits in the US lap in hopes it's only a temporary hickup.
At least Norway is a member of NATO. What perplexed me was the reaction from Sweden and Finland. Especially with Finland, whom not only joining without much deep public debate, but also no referendum with an effectively constitutional change.
In Crimea was referendum around 2015 and 86 % population wanted to be in Russia. International body was there to monitor election and they didn't find any panipulation.
Why do these people persist with this stupidity, I most heartily agree with what you say ! This man is supposed to be educated ! But it is a window into his mind. The info you supplied is easy to find, so he has no excuse
International body? What is that? Thirteen of the Council's 15 members voted in favour of the draft text, Russia voted against, and China abstained. By your logic anybody can invade anywhere and force a referandum. Russia is a federation and there are many ethnic minorities majorly occupying vast areas. Not the mention rest of the world.
Majority of Ukrainians struggled to afford food, despite fact they live on richest soil on earth 0_0 Ukraine was literally somalia of europe, hive of crime, deseases, human traffickers, black market. It should be stripped down for good of these people.
Americans have been in war from 1941 to present. Who is the biggest contributor to climate change. Soviet Union had participated in wars that I can count on one hand. Hmmmmmmmm
Lol, the US history brainwashed you. 😂😂😂 It's actually other way around. BTW USSR won the WW2. The role of the USA in the Victory of 1945 is negligible. For three years they waited and sought to bleed the USSR. On November 6, 1943, at a solemn meeting dedicated to the 25th anniversary of the Great October Socialist Revolution, at the most tense time for our country, when the fate of the Fatherland was being decided, Stalin said: “The main reason for the tactical successes of the Germans on our front this year is that that the absence of a second front in Europe made it possible for them to carry out this operation without any risk to themselves. And how did the United States and its allies fight? For example, at the same time, when millions of soldiers and officers of the Red Army bravely and wisely fought near Stalingrad and on other fronts of the Great Patriotic War, the Allies carried out the only operation on the European continent, insignificant in terms of the number of forces and means involved. On August 17, 1942, a landing force of 5,000 Canadians was landed in the area of the French city of Dieppe. The Germans, of course, quickly defeated the Canadians: 900 Canadian soldiers were killed, about 2,000 were taken prisoner. Such operations only raised the spirit of the Nazi army, but had no effect on the battles on the Soviet-German front. Having a significant superiority over the German troops in forces and means, the Allied troops began to retreat. “In a matter of days, Hitler’s troops broke through the weak defenses of the 1st American Army on a front of up to forty kilometers, by December 22 they captured the cities of Saint-Hubert and Marsh and, soon reaching the Meuse River, found themselves at the line of Dinant, Liver, without introducing for the development of this offensive no reserves. Thus, having penetrated 100-110 kilometers into the territory occupied by American troops, they expanded the breakthrough front to one hundred kilometers, dividing the British and American troops into two parts. The world glorifies the armies of the USA and England, despite the fact that they did not learn how to conduct military operations in 1944. On June 6, 1944, and in the following days, Hitler did not take any effective measures against the landing troops of the United States and England. He clearly considered their armies incapable of fighting the troops of Germany and he threw all his forces and means against the advancing troops of the Red Army...
The US/UK wanted the USSR to loose WW2, but they didn't. The same is going to happen in Ukraine. The role of the USA in the Victory of 1945 is negligible. For three years they waited and sought to bleed the USSR. On November 6, 1943, at a solemn meeting dedicated to the 25th anniversary of the Great October Socialist Revolution, at the most tense time for our country, when the fate of the Fatherland was being decided, Stalin said: “The main reason for the tactical successes of the Germans on our front this year is that that the absence of a second front in Europe made it possible for them to carry out this operation without any risk to themselves. And how did the United States and its allies fight? For example, at the same time, when millions of soldiers and officers of the Red Army bravely and wisely fought near Stalingrad and on other fronts of the Great Patriotic War, the Allies carried out the only operation on the European continent, insignificant in terms of the number of forces and means involved. On August 17, 1942, a landing force of 5,000 Canadians was landed in the area of the French city of Dieppe. The Germans, of course, quickly defeated the Canadians: 900 Canadian soldiers were killed, about 2,000 were taken prisoner. Such operations only raised the spirit of the Nazi army, but had no effect on the battles on the Soviet-German front. Having a significant superiority over the German troops in forces and means, the Allied troops began to retreat. “In a matter of days, Hitler’s troops broke through the weak defenses of the 1st American Army on a front of up to forty kilometers, by December 22 they captured the cities of Saint-Hubert and Marsh and, soon reaching the Meuse River, found themselves at the line of Dinant, Liver, without introducing for the development of this offensive no reserves. Thus, having penetrated 100-110 kilometers into the territory occupied by American troops, they expanded the breakthrough front to one hundred kilometers, dividing the British and American troops into two parts. The world glorifies the armies of the USA and England, despite the fact that they did not learn how to conduct military operations in 1944. On June 6, 1944, and in the following days, Hitler did not take any effective measures against the landing troops of the United States and England. He clearly considered their armies incapable of fighting the troops of Germany and he threw all his forces and means against the advancing troops of the Red Army. What can NATO teach Ukrainians if they never learned or know how to conduct military operations in Easter Europe? Laughable.
Herzlichen Danke daß ihr es auf Englisch gemacht haben. One point that I think it's now crucial, is that it isn't in the Russian and Chinese interest to negotiate a peace anymore. The longer this drags on the more time they have to garner support through the brics. Peace was a great option when Boris Johnson put a stop to it, by now power balance has seriously shifted and with more time it will provide a new structure of power... Great to be European these days ... /S
So Glasi has forgotten the role played by the USA that led to the Kiran uprising ,the interference by Victoria Nuland that led Ukraine to this disaster in human life.
Regarding the "collective memory," the famine resulting from the First Five Year Plan actually hit all of the Soviet republics but it was especially hard in the Ukraine. The evidence points to a blind obsession with forcing the success of collectivization and the disaster that resulted across the Soviet Union. The "Holodomor" term was coined in the 1980s along with an emphasis on defining the famine as a genocide although that definition requires a conscious intent at death by starvation while the reality appears to be more a religious adherence to a faulty ideology.
A better reference for explaining the Ukrainian civil war phenomenon is Prof. Richard Sakwa (University of Kent). He explains it through the pluricultural-monocultural views of the different constituents. Either way, Prof. Glasl omits the influence of US-EU influence in promoting the toxic mono-culturalism....
Opinion - India is not supplying drones to Russia; Iran is. The respected Doctor has committed an important error and I wonder if that is because he dislikes India..
he has committed several errors during this interview. I really doubt that he is knwledgeable even in his own area of expertise - he showed total luck of understanding of the world around him.
Unfortunately, man doesn't really seem to know what he's talking about, particularly when it comes to 1930-s famine. First of all, there were no "Ukrainian farmers" anymore at that time: all agricultural production was already forcefully "collectivized" by Soviet State. My own grand grandfather was deprived of his land and sent to concentration camp, and he was not from Ukraine, but another region of Russia. Second, other grain producing regions of Russia has suffered the same tragic fate, not only Ukraine. Third, those crops weren't sent to Russia: they were sent to the West to get money for the industrialization. The whole thing was terribly miscalculated, but this was a tragedy, caused by bad planning, for all agricultural regions of USSR, not only Ukraine.
I was watching a video here called "The World at War (Ralph Raico)" shot in 1983 by the channel Libertarianism org, and at 37:43 - 38:45 of that video he says about the Cuban missile crisis the Rus said "This is the last time"
A source of instability in conflicts is that ones own suffering tends to feel worse than that of an opponent. Consequently, what may seem proportional by the retaliator, often seems like an escalation by the receiver, provoking further retaliation and escalation. The only way to deescalate is to forgive.
It's not Ukraine, it ukraina. Meaning the adge. To protect Russian empire as a buffer from Western aggressions such as Swedish king and Nepolian. By the way which both lost. So did the Natzi Germany.
Excellent discussion...You argue the belligerence in Washington/Kiev/Moscow is identical.....Moscow's situation vis a vis threat/survival is at stake is mutually exclusive from Washington.
At this point, US survivability as the world dominant power is at stake, too. Just think about the amount of investment the US has put into this war to get a feeling: it's not just the billion of dollars, but also the dragging of Europe into the conflict. If the US led war effort against Russia fails, that will not look beautiful for the US.
Dear Mr. Pascal Lottaz, I must confess that Prof. Friedrick Glass disappointed me. Like many authors of "political science" or "international relations" they have a tendency to offer explanations that are too general or too specific. This conflict as many people say and that you interview some of them can be formulated simply: for Russia it is unacceptable for Ukraine to become a member of NATO. Greetings (Porto, Portugal)
4:40 yeah, that's why they created huge Ukraine republic and added Russian populated areas to that and forced Ukraine language and culture there through education. Sorry but this has zero knowledge about Soviet history.
I suspect due to short time things have been over simplified but I like the way he examines the layered structure of conflict..that it is not one dimensional...that it has thresholds of escalation or de-escalation. I will look up his work. At which layer do you start de-escalation for example.?
You can (and should) deescalate at what ever stage you are at. The further down you fall on the escalation ladder, the harder it gets and the longer it will take. The important hing about his model is that it gives functional definitions of what is going on in the relationship between the conflicting parties, which then gives a way of analysing what is going on. So instead of "just a big mess" you suddenly see that you are inside a process that functions according to predictable rules and you can try to counteract some of the steps that might still come in the downward spiral. For instance (taking the example of an organisation), you can start a anger management training, or a team training, or you can do mediation, etc. to improve understanding about the dynamics the team is in and then ameliorate the situation. On the country-level, you could do the same, and Kenneth Cloke (earlier video of this year) said he was involved in inter-state mediation, but it is of course even harder to do because the political process to get there is so much more tedious.
Listen to him for the first 5 minutes reminds me of George Carlin's depiction of the 10 commandments - Moses could have cut it down to one sentence commandment and carried down the mountain in his sleeve. Waste of time and full of holes assessments.
Speaking about Golodomor check Russias Rostov province and East Poland areas and how was there with food. Kommunist added fuel to the fire but there was another significant reason.
Western and Southern Russia also suffered from famine during the supposed 'holodomor'. I've spoken to Russians whose parents endured this. It was not deliberate - it was a screw up by early Bolshevik policy and Mao made the same mistakes with the same consequences.
This is the standard Teutonic and warped vision of history. No drang nach Osten and Lebensraum, which started at the end of the 19th century, aided and abetted by Ango-Saxon capital, already...Bismarck & co missed the boat to Africa and dreamed of Ukraine and its riches to catch up belatedly in the Imperial/Colonial race...and as a successor to the Austro-Hungarian dominion...the Ukrainian saga of today is just an American regurgitation of the German wet dream via a rump Banderist nazi residual, of which they imported around 300.000 to the US, post 1945. Bis repetita placent? Poland would not mind annexing what will be left of Ukraine, once the Yankees pack up and do another Afghanistan run. History repeats itself, sometimes farce, mostly tragedy. The Ukrainians are footing the bill. For the hegemon it just prints a few more $$ from the magic money tree... If you ignore the long tail law of causes and consequences, you end up mostly with the corollary of unintended consequences. Mackinder will be proven right!
I.thought you would start with Hitler's armies coming towards Moscow via the Ukraine SSR and when later Ukraine's Nazis crossed over to Poland, to join Hitler's pogroms against the Jews.
Why did the Soviets not stop with defeat of Germany and go on to take over Eastern European countries like Poland, East Germany, Lithuania etc. but not France and Southern Europe??
Your welcome! Glasl's theories are really great. I recommend them. He's not as famous in English language as he is in German, but most of his theories exist in English too. Highly useful!
Ok, at about the 5:40 mark he lies about the famine in Ukraine . He says all he grain in Ukraine was taken and broight to Russia and thus the Ukrainians starved. This is a lie. The famine was in many pars of the USSR at the time. The problem in Ukraine was the result of the farmers not wanting to give up their farms so the refused to grow enoigh crops. Also the miss management by the Stalinist Bureaucracy in general. The result was not enough grain for the major Ukrainian cities at a time when a famine started.
The international price of grain fell due to the great depression so USSR collected more grain to meet quotas and people had no food. That's how it is usually described
dr, you present an accurate story of events , and parties involved , except for getting into the parties mix the politics of cia (for usa benefit) and the german and french and canadian etc / ithe cia going back to end of world war 2 and the bandera movement growing and nurturing in the usa
West is already well on it`s way to push Nato towards Georgia and Kazakstan. Have also seen plans of a big base to secure Black sea ( if i remember right, Ben Hodges did the presentation). So i beelive it was now or never for the Russians. Is it so hard to leave counties neutral?
Starting out with the fiction about collectivisation and the impact only on Ukraine doesn’t bode well. If you are unable to understand the historical details of the (multiple) famines during the early Soviet period then an analysis of internal political issues within the Ukrainian SSR, and later ‘independent’ state, is unlikely to be very sound.
In my opinion it is just one ongoing war with different hot spots . the war i am talking about is the west vs the rest of the world.everything else is detail.
Conflict resolution is a skill that does not utilize punitive coersion. Waving an olive branch of reducing harmful & destructive pollution might be a focus of joint interest but to call it saving humanity from "climate change" is absolute bollocks. That would only favor PTB & financial controllers. Glasl needs to dissociate his work from the hot potato of climate narrative.
Addendum: I always prefer to listen to competent and honest soldiers or people from the intelligence services, there are some of them, than academics in "political science" or "international relations". The former know from the inside, if I may say so, what interstate politics is.
Here actually used the Ukrainian neofascist framing of he famine in Ukraine in he 1930s. Notice how the name the Ukrainian nationalists used is similar to the word holocaust.
Biden for his campaign purpose alone should encourage and even support European to engage direct talk with Russia for pan European security framework which is the first proposal Russia initiated one(1) month before Ukraine conflict started 2022/02/24. The second Russia proposal by the time then is for Ukraine to honor signed Minsk II agreement, but ground situation had changed to this date and new agreement should be negotiated between Russia and Ukraine themselves, possibly mediated by neutral states (including Brazil, India, China …etc) plus the West, but never by the West alone because West has lost its credibility being a trustee.
At 32:00, Pascal asked about agency of escalation/de-escalation, saying that Washington and Moscow being the dominant parties and Kiev being more reactive (" they fight because RUssia is attacking them"). One point we should bear in mind is, the far-right elements in Kiev are equally motivated (perhaps even more) to escalate and push Moscow into ever-more extreme actions (evidence by bombing Kerch Bridge twice, attacking Sevastopol, and drone attacks in Russia itself), in order to drag NATO into the war. I would venture to say that these elements will contemplate the use of WMDs on Ukr territory (effectively poisoning their own country) if these options were made available to them by Washington. So we should not underestimate the agency of the Kiev regime to escalate.
The 3 wars can be restated as .1 China led BRICS versus USA led G7. 2 The Ukraine civil war. 3 The Russian Ukraine war. The Civil war has ended with the breakaway republics now part of Russia. The Ukraine Russian war seems to be frozen with neither side making headway. The Big change is the Russian response to sanction has led to undermining the Petro Dollar and the Dollar as the reserve currency and the USA SWIFT banking system. The 3 main pillars of USA Global hegemony. I guess the US military is a fourth pillar but even that is challenged by China and Russia who have apparently unstoppable US carrier sinking hypersonic missiles !
Ukrainian grain and Russian grain were both confiscated to feed Soviet industrialisation. Both directly and indirectly, by expoting it for much sought hard cash (dollars, francs, and pounds).
@@MrDeicide1 - there was no war in late 1920s, early 1930s. Stalin considered wealthy peasants (plenty of those in Ukraine with fertile soils and along Volga in Russia), to be almost countryside bourgeoisie and considered them class enemies. This is exactly why the grain was confiscated - to weaken class enemies and to get cash for building numerous factories and plants. With Great Depression in early 1930s, US companies were not very selective whom they were helping to build industry. USSR used an opportunity.
@@c94d44027 Wrong Cities during the war, and in post-war years, because of all the devastation - starved, all over soviet union. The garbage in ukraine (military base, and a springboard for invasion of soviet union), vere liberated against their will. They were much happier with foreign occupiers, and domestic quislings, and a fascist puppet regimes than with new government of SSSR. They didn't care that the working class in the cities were starving. Held on to food reserves. Refused to accept government prices, and would rather destroy it if they couldn't get a better price on black market. The government's clamp-down, although expected and justified - was however too harsh, and led to the other extreme. Caused a famine, in those food producing regions. Yah, but there was a famine in the cities the kulaks didn't give a damn about... So the tables turned. They Were class enemies. And ideological enemies. There's no doubt about it. Your ASSertion that food was simply confiscated to export for hard currency -- is just... I never heard of such nonsense before.
@@c94d44027 You probably have not heard the story about how in the 1930s the Russians caught the UkrainianNazi' (traitors)? They were grain thieves in Odessa. Hence the Holodomor in Ukraine began. This ukrTraitors loaded barges with grain in Odessa and send tons to the West. When this was reported to Stalin, the thieves were caught and shot. Stalin was not a bad leader, he was very fair to UkrainianNazi's...
Ukrainian grain WAS Soviet grain, as the region was then a part of the Soviet Union: the Socialist Republic of Ukraine. Grain in what is now Western Ukraine, and which THEN (until 1945) was a part of Poland, NATURALLY was not confiscated.
Obviously professor has lack knowledge of history. He declares the facts that didn't happened, probably applying to researches that are not true. he just have to learn a little more, probably do some researches. probably look for some archives.
Soviet union and settlite states, now USA setlite states. 😂😂😂 Europe is USA's setlite states now. No, corrections, colony and butlers of USA. 😂 ironic, colonizers are colonized by another.
I think this issue is an old one fancy I find it rather odd its arising in this modern time.. very sad indeed its an east west issue and its rather clear Us ending its border and was final in UK between Us west and collective east through the Berlin wall and the Warsaw pact
What. WHAT is this man saying -accidental war crimes. Oh ok what sort of life does this animal lead, wow I'm just so astonished. I think I can guess which government he's working with
Too many approximations and generalizations. 5:00 The territory of modern Ukraine was not "considered" but it WAS part of the Russian Empire. 6:00 The Bolshevik pressure on kulaks did NOT strike just Ukraine, the modern Ukrainians are appropriating this for ethno-chauvinsit reasons.
Hear what? A theory of conflict? No space for that and not wasting my time on it. I do have a better understanding of the Ukraine conflict, more importantly of conflicts and hotspots globally. I guess this prof has leisure time to ponder, speculate and dream theorize over conflicts (is Ukraine entering people's head in Europe?).
there is no reason for Russia to negotiate with anyone at the moment, because they have been stabbed in the back multiple times by the west and Ukraine and Russia is holding all the cards.
He is completely delusional regarding the famine in Soviet (not only in Ukraine). But since he’s educated in the West, maybe he can’t help it … (coming from Norway myself)
Sir, Trump is the one of the most corrupt people that have risen this far. If you look at a documentary about the disgraced lawyer, Roy Cohn, he was his "fixer". Cohn eventually was a big part of Reagan getting elected. You'll get more understanding of his personality.
Consider also geoeconomics here, any nation to have multi-ethnicity is never and will never be a problem if their people’s wealth continue to grow thru either brutally by militarism, by colonialism or peacefully by economic growth conditioned some degree of fair and evenness in wealth distribution is mandate. An economically weak or even close to bankruptcy Russia after the fall of USSR who can NOT deliver either growth to Slavic people is the root cause of or give ground to inter-continental (West vs East), inter-state (Russia vs Ukraine) and intra-state (Pro-Russia vs pro-Ukraine) conflicts now in front of our eye in Ukraine.
Excellent analysis. However the conflict is much broader with a non negigeable hidden part of the parties involved. Situation on the ground should determine the course of events. That's what has been going on for centuries. Ignoring that there is a winner and looser is irrealistic.
Friedrich Glasl: Konflikteskalation und „windows of opportunity“ am Beispiel des Russland-Ukraine-Krieges ua-cam.com/video/YLfmkL-haiY/v-deo.htmlfeature=shared
WHAT colonization, in the particular case of Ukraine? Not that it was some independent country, with a name ("Ukraine" is a fairly recent term), at some point colonized by the Tsarist Russia. There was a Cossack Hetmanate (or "Sich"), and a rather smallish one, which asked to be incorporated into the Tsarist Russia in exchange for protection from the then powerful and aggressive Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. 1654 Pereiaslav Agreement.
Interesting analyses, but I would advise to concentrate on Germany’s role in this conflict! Russia does what it has to be done, exactly because of Germany failing to understand that it was in Germany’s interest to implement Minsk agreement and all stages of Russia’s sober suggestions. Dig into your own subconscious and especially in Germany’s Stockholm syndrome!
Yes, unquestionably. The two countries who were most vocal about expanding it are currently fighting together Imperial wars one of them already lost about 100 years ago, literally in the same order. Oddly, it's reaping the very same outcome: implosion and explosion of the empire, good thing anyway, empires are death traps. Basically, the UK and US wanted this expansion as a means of consolidating their power. To expand one's power is a definite aggressive approach. And then they launched on these former and current colonial wars, that the British empire also went into, incredibly in the same order. The reason was they had defeated the counterbalance to capitalism that the Soviet Union was and they wanted to lock down whatever advantage they could. But they did it with careless disregard for the people, both their own and foreign ones. At this point, the people inhabiting the leaders of the empire are at best dr*gged up to their deaths, at worst living on the streets with no other future than the end. They tried to secure control of petrol production like it was 1949 again, and failed, they tried to secure the roads East to West and North to South and they failed, they tried yet again to take Russia down and they are failing, they think they can win a rerun of the war against China and likely will fail (it's presumably part of the Russian+China strategy: it's ironic that by pushing Russia into the war they triggered a cascade of responses that look like they were smartly plan and destined to topple them, a great combination of chess and go). They could have lived up to their proclaimed ideals and continued the way of life that existed in the west before 1989, which wasn't perfect but relatively well balanced between all players rather than to the benefit of the most brutal in the room. In the US, the glass steagall act was repealed de facto destroying the option of a balancing power between actors of society. Not the only element but an essential cornerstone. Anyway, the expansion of NATO was a perpetuation of war mongering not of Peace creation
The most interesting part of this conversation was seeing how the propoganda model of the West has warped the historical understanding of this theorist.
I think the Doctor has overlooked the significance of the 2014 US instigated coup and the extent of the psychosis of the neocons in Washington behind it. I think they are more than happy to see the war continue and care little about the Ukrainian lives being sacrificed. Politicians on both sides of the aisle in the US have more or less said that it’s better that Ukrainians are dying to protect US interests than to have US bodies returning in bags. I don’t see the Doctor’s admirable approach overcoming that kind of lunacy.
You are right about that. What Glasl does is he takes the conflict and squeezes it into the box of his theory. What that does is that you stop focusing on "who was wrong first" and start looking at "how did this become a war?" with the action-reaction dynamic between the different parties. That's why his approach is useful but it is also not the whole picture, as you correctly identified. But it is a tenet of conflict management to move away from the blame game and start looking at dynamics to break them. This, however, often sacrifices things like "justice" and therefore can infuriate people who suffered from one or the other side.
And I don't think bleeding Russia is in US interests from a strategic point of view. Mearsheimer is on the money when he says the US foreign policy elite - he referred to them as "knuckleheads" - made a major blunder in driving Russia into the arms of China.
Yes. Thank you for bringing this up. This is a TYPICAL American Imperialist war and nothing else. This follows the script of EVERY American Imperialist regime-change war used especially in in Latin America. America goes into a stable situation where there is relative peace, finds some opposers or dissidrnts to the ruling party, pays and bribes and arms thosevrebels and ultimately starts a war and in the end overthrows the government and replaces it with a puppet American government. All in the name of demicracy with no hint of irony. This is America's number one export. Regime-change wars.
@@neutralitystudiesvery good analysis. Do you want to do webinar inviting neutral or less of experts to share their insight to end war?
They hate US bodies too, don't fool yourself.
I believe that, in addition to these stated three wars, there is also still some unfinished business of WW2 going on. This is why we are seeing all those Nazi symbols on Azov uniforms.
The hatred resulting from WW2 felt by the various countries and peoples that were actually involved and invaded invariably also means resolution of unfinished business if and when the opportunity arises, i.e.revenge, and that is usually not realised by the powers that were involved but not invaded like the USA and to a lesser extent the UK
The people of the Balkans don't just remember the Soviets and the nazis, they even remember the Ottomans, some Serbs still think of the moslem Bosnians as Turks, the US understands as little of their history as that of Afghanistan or the middle east
@@richardenders6606 💯
i agree. Euroepans never liked the fact that USSR won ww2
@@FrancesSanchez-gw7lt "We defeated the wrong enemy." - Gen. George S. Patton
@@befeleme If I was a Russian in1945 when Patton said that whilst knowing the holocaust started there and up to 27 million mainly civilian Soviets had been murdered by the nazis before the Soviets eventually killed up to 75% of German troops to defeat nazism, I would feel the paranoia the West accuses the Russian leaders AND the Russian people of
If I had then witnessed the creation of an anti-Russian Nato with warheads virtually on the Russian border I would probably feel a bit more paranoid, and if I considered all the various invasions and devastations of Russia from the West including Napoleon and Hitler I would wonder if the US actually agreed with Patton
I am afraid that Dr. Glast underestimates the role that American investors played in pushing the two Eastern European countries towards war.
Read this book by Lindsay O´rourke, it give you a good insight/analysis of how much damage they have done
"Covert Regime Change: America's Secret Cold War: Cornell Studies in Security Affairs"
Right! Dr Glast left out the significant particular Agent Provocateur that actively triggered & escalated the existing cleavages!
The repeat & rinse strategy of a certain foreign superpower, which exploits any and every cleavages in the target body politic ...
The cleavages will be the undoing of the target society.
@alexnosal2277 - As Merkel, Scholtz and the troops must all have known the effect that US sanctions on Germany's cheap Russian energy would have on their economy, why did they go along with it?
What did they think the US corporates would do if they didn't cooperate, surely they didn't fear anything as drastic as the US blowing up a Nato ally's Nordstream 2 energy pipeline or financing a proxy war that could go nuclear on their doorstep?
How much worse could US disapproval be than what is now happening in Germany, all very strange
So your comment is about you? (YOU are afraid, but you fail to explain, leaving it as a personal complaint.) Not particularly useful in a forum, as nobody here either knows you, and thus cannot care about you.
That is a part of the geopolitical war East vs West dimension. Both sides want political and economical control over smaller countries.
Ukraine wasn't "considered" as part of Russian Empire. It WAS a part of Russia. And Boksheviks didn't "disrespect' Ukraine. They artificially CREATED Ukraine by adding Russian industrial territories to the small agrarian Malorussia. They forced Russian speaking officials to learn Ukrainian language they never spoke in order to occupy governmental positions in Ukraine.
Exactly!
Western Ukraine was part of the Austrian empire until 1918 Versailles.
@wnklee6878 yes, it is 15% of Ukrainian territory. But it is that rotten 15% that provided foundation for current Nazi ideology.
@@wnklee6878
There were never a country called "Ukrain" before 1922. There was Russian Empire.
Very often people mistake Kiev Rus, with Ukrainian synthetic state.
I agree with you 100%.
The famine in 1936 mostly affected the Russian speaking in the eastern part of the Ukraine. As for the "Holomodor", it was a term created in the late 1980's to promote western propaganda. There is not historical record showing the use of this label before the 1980's.
The ones screaming the loudest on social media about "Holodomor" are my Ukrainian friends from Lviv, a part of POLAND during that time!!! My father lived through the Holodomor in eastern Ukraine (Kharkov area), lost a baby brother at that time (not to hunger directly but epidemic), spoke Russian (like most of the people there) and hated western Ukrainian Nationalists with a passion having witnessed their war crimes and eager cooperation with nazis during WW2. -- The Western Ukrainians here whose ancestors lived in prewar Poland speak about it as if they experienced it. Sickening.
It should also be noted that famine impacted not only Ukraine, but Southern Russia as well.
@@vazeuax even the family of G. Jones (Welsh journalist) protested against the fact that the film they made "Mr. Jones" was too much focused on Ukraine , because there where during that time more famines where in the former USSR.
i bet.The west is great at coining terms out of mid air,which has no historical facts to back it.
The Soviet Famine affected large regions, including Kazakhstan, which doesn't complain and accuse Russia of any intentional "genocide".
0:23: 🌍 The conflicts in Ukraine are intertwined and rooted in the competition between the transatlantic and Eurasian powers.
7:54: 🌍 The tension between Russia and Ukraine stems from issues related to the Crimea region and language disputes.
16:59: 📚 The conflict in Ukraine is an interlocking of different levels of conflict, with each level having its own thresholds and red lines.
23:55: 😨 The speaker discusses the dangerous escalation spiral between the US and Russia, where each side pushes the other further towards mutual assured destruction.
29:17: 🌍 The speaker discusses the potential for expanding cooperation and creating a new architecture of peace and security involving neutral countries and organizations.
34:54: 🌍 The speaker suggests forming an alliance of stakeholders to address climate change and other global issues, and calls for cooperation and alternative energy sources.
41:39: 🌍 The speaker believes that cooperation among Brazil, South Africa, and other neutral countries can help save the planet from climate change and other global issues.
Recap by Tammy AI
Uh, more people died In Russia from the famine than people from Ukraine, not to mention Kazakhstan. Grain was exported to fund industrialization, not 'sent to Russia'
Whereas in the 19th Century the British deliberate starved millions of Irish to death
@@seaofcronos675...and Indians 🇮🇳
@@stuartwray6175 yes Also in Bengal in 1944
and the main problem with the grain was that the USSR only could pay in grain - nice supportive Western countries did not accept anothe types of payments for their industrial export into USSR. And Stalin knew that the war was not long away, the industrialization was absolutely needed. Nice kind Western friends have those deaths of innocent people on their hands as well.
@@panchitaobrian1660 Henry Ford?
I actually thought that there were different wars being fought in Ukraine. I do wish Russia will succeed.
At least, the latter has good faith on its side. Both Ukraine and the NATO countries, as well as the EU, have been so highly hypocritical towards Russia since the collapse of the USSR, unceasingly playing with fire for 3+ decades in the most irresponsible way.
russia is already winning.
I am American. From my perspective, there are actually much more than three overlapping simultaneous Wars going on.
Besides the three that doctor Glasll mentioned,
US/NATO's proxy war against Russia, now aimed at China. . .
Has unexpectedly produced more parties to join the contest, on the side of BRICS, much to the Chagrin of the Imperial West...
As they are now scratching their arrogant heads, trying to understand the tectonic shift taking place before their very jaundiced Colonial eyes. . .
A wave of Nations from the global South, from Africa to Latin America, from Southeast Asia to Eurasia and the Middle East. . .
rushing to join the ranks of BRICS, in the hopes and desire to be freed from the Yoke of Western colonial Wars not only to sabotage their drives for Independence, but to also continue for the extraction and hijacking of natural resources from occupation of indigenous territory by proxy or otherwise.
But, the most important War for me ---> is the war-at - home; just like the mass movements for Peace and Civil- Rights during the GENOCIDAL War-of-aggression against Vietnam...
As many citizens, inside and outside of America, I believe will agree with me, that we are long overdue for a constitutional regime-change.
there are only two outcomes to that war. either Russia will win & the West, US included will back off. or we all gonna die in WW3 & Russia will still remain undefeated though as dead as we all. either way, Russia will win, only arrogant americans can believe any other outcome is possible. the window of opportunity where Russia could have been maybe defeated on the battlefield was gone a decade ago.
I wish Russia would succeed too as this war was and is unjust.
Totally created by the deep state in the US.
It is very important to undertake an epistemic approach to the object rather than a doxic one. It is precisely the media's journalistic role to do that; ask those critical questions, but that is not happening. Instead, they follow a faith-based narrative over an empirical, knowledge-based approach, as you discussed with Graham in the previous interview. In other words, back to axiomatic narratives. Great to see it here, as with N. Petro (who also talks about these three conflicts in Ukraine); one must look at government documents, treaties and what academics write and say. Bottom line.
Who tried to resolve this conflict for eight years before the February 2022 escalation through Minsk-2? Who has sabotaged the negotiations again and again afterwards? Who affirms in his security strategy that "the aim Is to weaken Russia in Ukraine"? (Which followed escalation again in the summer of 2022.)
To break this dangerous pattern we're in (back to 17th century authority-based narratives), I therefore sympathize with the Russians, as well as fellow Ukrainians who get dragged into this through no fault of their own. I say this without excusing Russia's mindless escalation on February 22, but that doesn't mean everything is black and white. One must understand that it was provoked aggression, which coincides with continued sabotage of negotiations.
We (Norway) must be some of the biggest hawks in this war, who are now one of the few that send F-16s. It is almost a witch hunt if you dare to ask questions. I experience censorship and banning because I try to advocate for downscaling. It's really crazy times. I'm absolutely ashamed, that there isn't a damn debate, or someone asking questions. Everything is just axiomatically accepted, and every person is suddenly an expert on Ukraine-Russia overnight. How about reading/listening to what the actual experts say? No, that doesn't fit the narrative! When will the escalation end??! I also hope there will be a strong settlement of this when the war hopefully ends.
Excellent. I would like to do podcast with you to bring different perspective
Feb 22 was not "Russia's mindless escalation", maybe the war would have been over already soon after that if it would have been, but we'll never know, in any case, that war began anything than mindless on the russian side, not so on the western side though. the West, foremost US but by now all of western Europe is indeed so far mindlessly following US into the abyss.
Europeans, if they want to keep even a quarter of their social, economic & political achievements done in the past 100 years, they must rethink who they align with, cause the rich capitalists have ruined US & are spreading the pillage everywhere else they only can. "the rest" of the world is standing up now, Europe still sits in the US lap in hopes it's only a temporary hickup.
At least Norway is a member of NATO. What perplexed me was the reaction from Sweden and Finland. Especially with Finland, whom not only joining without much deep public debate, but also no referendum with an effectively constitutional change.
sometimes those who coat their lies with some layers of truth are worse than those who outright lie
In Crimea was referendum around 2015 and 86 % population wanted to be in Russia.
International body was there to monitor election and they didn't find any panipulation.
Why do these people persist with this stupidity, I most heartily agree with what you say ! This man is supposed to be educated ! But it is a window into his mind. The info you supplied is easy to find, so he has no excuse
according to the USA / West, people have the right to self determination - but only when it suits the USA
International body? What is that? Thirteen of the Council's 15 members voted in favour of the draft text, Russia voted against, and China abstained.
By your logic anybody can invade anywhere and force a referandum. Russia is a federation and there are many ethnic minorities majorly occupying vast areas. Not the mention rest of the world.
Ukrainians want to liberate people who have already been liberated by who they want to be liberated by.
Majority of Ukrainians struggled to afford food, despite fact they live on richest soil on earth 0_0 Ukraine was literally somalia of europe, hive of crime, deseases, human traffickers, black market. It should be stripped down for good of these people.
Americans have been in war from 1941 to present. Who is the biggest contributor to climate change. Soviet Union had participated in wars that I can count on one hand. Hmmmmmmmm
If you want to talk about climate change then look how much fuel the US military machine uses on a daily basis
Lol, the US history brainwashed you. 😂😂😂 It's actually other way around. BTW USSR won the WW2.
The role of the USA in the Victory of 1945 is negligible. For three years they waited and sought to bleed the USSR. On November 6, 1943, at a solemn meeting dedicated to the 25th anniversary of the Great October Socialist Revolution, at the most tense time for our country, when the fate of the Fatherland was being decided, Stalin said: “The main reason for the tactical successes of the Germans on our front this year is that that the absence of a second front in Europe made it possible for them to carry out this operation without any risk to themselves.
And how did the United States and its allies fight? For example, at the same time, when millions of soldiers and officers of the Red Army bravely and wisely fought near Stalingrad and on other fronts of the Great Patriotic War, the Allies carried out the only operation on the European continent, insignificant in terms of the number of forces and means involved.
On August 17, 1942, a landing force of 5,000 Canadians was landed in the area of the French city of Dieppe. The Germans, of course, quickly defeated the Canadians: 900 Canadian soldiers were killed, about 2,000 were taken prisoner. Such operations only raised the spirit of the Nazi army, but had no effect on the battles on the Soviet-German front.
Having a significant superiority over the German troops in forces and means, the Allied troops began to retreat. “In a matter of days, Hitler’s troops broke through the weak defenses of the 1st American Army on a front of up to forty kilometers, by December 22 they captured the cities of Saint-Hubert and Marsh and, soon reaching the Meuse River, found themselves at the line of Dinant, Liver, without introducing for the development of this offensive no reserves. Thus, having penetrated 100-110 kilometers into the territory occupied by American troops, they expanded the breakthrough front to one hundred kilometers, dividing the British and American troops into two parts.
The world glorifies the armies of the USA and England, despite the fact that they did not learn how to conduct military operations in 1944. On June 6, 1944, and in the following days, Hitler did not take any effective measures against the landing troops of the United States and England. He clearly considered their armies incapable of fighting the troops of Germany and he threw all his forces and means against the advancing troops of the Red Army...
The US/UK wanted the USSR to loose WW2, but they didn't. The same is going to happen in Ukraine.
The role of the USA in the Victory of 1945 is negligible. For three years they waited and sought to bleed the USSR. On November 6, 1943, at a solemn meeting dedicated to the 25th anniversary of the Great October Socialist Revolution, at the most tense time for our country, when the fate of the Fatherland was being decided, Stalin said: “The main reason for the tactical successes of the Germans on our front this year is that that the absence of a second front in Europe made it possible for them to carry out this operation without any risk to themselves.
And how did the United States and its allies fight? For example, at the same time, when millions of soldiers and officers of the Red Army bravely and wisely fought near Stalingrad and on other fronts of the Great Patriotic War, the Allies carried out the only operation on the European continent, insignificant in terms of the number of forces and means involved.
On August 17, 1942, a landing force of 5,000 Canadians was landed in the area of the French city of Dieppe. The Germans, of course, quickly defeated the Canadians: 900 Canadian soldiers were killed, about 2,000 were taken prisoner. Such operations only raised the spirit of the Nazi army, but had no effect on the battles on the Soviet-German front.
Having a significant superiority over the German troops in forces and means, the Allied troops began to retreat. “In a matter of days, Hitler’s troops broke through the weak defenses of the 1st American Army on a front of up to forty kilometers, by December 22 they captured the cities of Saint-Hubert and Marsh and, soon reaching the Meuse River, found themselves at the line of Dinant, Liver, without introducing for the development of this offensive no reserves. Thus, having penetrated 100-110 kilometers into the territory occupied by American troops, they expanded the breakthrough front to one hundred kilometers, dividing the British and American troops into two parts.
The world glorifies the armies of the USA and England, despite the fact that they did not learn how to conduct military operations in 1944. On June 6, 1944, and in the following days, Hitler did not take any effective measures against the landing troops of the United States and England. He clearly considered their armies incapable of fighting the troops of Germany and he threw all his forces and means against the advancing troops of the Red Army.
What can NATO teach Ukrainians if they never learned or know how to conduct military operations in Easter Europe? Laughable.
Herzlichen Danke daß ihr es auf Englisch gemacht haben.
One point that I think it's now crucial, is that it isn't in the Russian and Chinese interest to negotiate a peace anymore. The longer this drags on the more time they have to garner support through the brics. Peace was a great option when Boris Johnson put a stop to it, by now power balance has seriously shifted and with more time it will provide a new structure of power... Great to be European these days ... /S
So Glasi has forgotten the role played by the USA that led to the Kiran uprising ,the interference by Victoria Nuland that led Ukraine to this disaster in human life.
Probably on purpose. Nuland McCain Graham Biden...all were in Ukrain during and after Maidan 2013-2014...
Regarding the "collective memory," the famine resulting from the First Five Year Plan actually hit all of the Soviet republics but it was especially hard in the Ukraine. The evidence points to a blind obsession with forcing the success of collectivization and the disaster that resulted across the Soviet Union. The "Holodomor" term was coined in the 1980s along with an emphasis on defining the famine as a genocide although that definition requires a conscious intent at death by starvation while the reality appears to be more a religious adherence to a faulty ideology.
not a well prepared speaker - had to turn off after 3 minutes.
A better reference for explaining the Ukrainian civil war phenomenon is Prof. Richard Sakwa (University of Kent). He explains it through the pluricultural-monocultural views of the different constituents. Either way, Prof. Glasl omits the influence of US-EU influence in promoting the toxic mono-culturalism....
If you want a better understanding of the conflict, you need to interview Jacques Baud. The Dr. has a somewhat sketchy understanding.
Or the New Atlas with Brian! The guy knows what's he talking about.
All this old fossils are cold war Rambo's 😂 who is full of Russophobia.
He's also a terrible, boring speaker.
Opinion - India is not supplying drones to Russia; Iran is. The respected Doctor has committed an important error and I wonder if that is because he dislikes India..
or misspoke.
Russia is making drones under Iran license but, Russia is also making their own drones.
Yes
Because everyone dislikes india
he has committed several errors during this interview. I really doubt that he is knwledgeable even in his own area of expertise - he showed total luck of understanding of the world around him.
Thanks 🇮🇷. India, please do remember your colonial history!
Thank you dr. Glasl and Pascal Lottaz for this interesting conversation.
The guy is literally trying to argue that the Ukrainian far right that glorifies Bandara are not all neofascists .
Unfortunately, man doesn't really seem to know what he's talking about, particularly when it comes to 1930-s famine. First of all, there were no "Ukrainian farmers" anymore at that time: all agricultural production was already forcefully "collectivized" by Soviet State. My own grand grandfather was deprived of his land and sent to concentration camp, and he was not from Ukraine, but another region of Russia. Second, other grain producing regions of Russia has suffered the same tragic fate, not only Ukraine. Third, those crops weren't sent to Russia: they were sent to the West to get money for the industrialization. The whole thing was terribly miscalculated, but this was a tragedy, caused by bad planning, for all agricultural regions of USSR, not only Ukraine.
I was watching a video here called "The World at War (Ralph Raico)" shot in 1983 by the channel Libertarianism org, and at 37:43 - 38:45 of that video he says about the Cuban missile crisis the Rus said "This is the last time"
They just have to be able!
@@gilianrampart8514 who has to be able?
@@gilianrampart8514 please tell
A source of instability in conflicts is that ones own suffering tends to feel worse than that of an opponent.
Consequently, what may seem proportional by the retaliator, often seems like an escalation by the receiver, provoking further retaliation and escalation.
The only way to deescalate is to forgive.
It's not Ukraine, it ukraina. Meaning the adge. To protect Russian empire as a buffer from Western aggressions such as Swedish king and Nepolian. By the way which both lost. So did the Natzi Germany.
Excellent discussion...You argue the belligerence in Washington/Kiev/Moscow is identical.....Moscow's situation vis a vis threat/survival is at stake is mutually exclusive from Washington.
"Moscow belligerence" is a reaction to EU/UK.USA provocationS. using ex soviet states. USA is protected by 2 big oceans
At this point, US survivability as the world dominant power is at stake, too. Just think about the amount of investment the US has put into this war to get a feeling: it's not just the billion of dollars, but also the dragging of Europe into the conflict. If the US led war effort against Russia fails, that will not look beautiful for the US.
Long, meandering and not very fluent English. Had to sign off.
English doesn't have to be perfect, it's the really horrible delivery and superficiality that put the listener off.
Dear Mr. Pascal Lottaz, I must confess that Prof. Friedrick Glass disappointed me. Like many authors of "political science" or "international relations" they have a tendency to offer explanations that are too general or too specific. This conflict as many people say and that you interview some of them can be formulated simply: for Russia it is unacceptable for Ukraine to become a member of NATO. Greetings (Porto, Portugal)
He is an old fossil of the cold war, he's clearly Russophobic...
Thanks!
USA is the escalation king which directs eu/ukraine/uk- Moscow is defending itself always.
It's easier to read your comment if you put a full stop after UK.
4:40 yeah, that's why they created huge Ukraine republic and added Russian populated areas to that and forced Ukraine language and culture there through education. Sorry but this has zero knowledge about Soviet history.
I suspect due to short time things have been over simplified but I like the way he examines the layered structure of conflict..that it is not one dimensional...that it has thresholds of escalation or de-escalation. I will look up his work. At which layer do you start de-escalation for example.?
You can (and should) deescalate at what ever stage you are at. The further down you fall on the escalation ladder, the harder it gets and the longer it will take. The important hing about his model is that it gives functional definitions of what is going on in the relationship between the conflicting parties, which then gives a way of analysing what is going on. So instead of "just a big mess" you suddenly see that you are inside a process that functions according to predictable rules and you can try to counteract some of the steps that might still come in the downward spiral. For instance (taking the example of an organisation), you can start a anger management training, or a team training, or you can do mediation, etc. to improve understanding about the dynamics the team is in and then ameliorate the situation. On the country-level, you could do the same, and Kenneth Cloke (earlier video of this year) said he was involved in inter-state mediation, but it is of course even harder to do because the political process to get there is so much more tedious.
Listen to him for the first 5 minutes reminds me of George Carlin's depiction of the 10 commandments - Moses could have cut it down to one sentence commandment and carried down the mountain in his sleeve. Waste of time and full of holes assessments.
Speaking about Golodomor check Russias Rostov province and East Poland areas and how was there with food.
Kommunist added fuel to the fire but there was another significant reason.
Western and Southern Russia also suffered from famine during the supposed 'holodomor'. I've spoken to Russians whose parents endured this. It was not deliberate - it was a screw up by early Bolshevik policy and Mao made the same mistakes with the same consequences.
@Internetbutthurt You are correct, however, you missed one more region that was affected by the famine - Kazakhstan.
"Soviet sattellites which now are independent states" :)) Is this man a stand-up comedian?
This is the standard Teutonic and warped vision of history. No drang nach Osten and Lebensraum, which started at the end of the 19th century, aided and abetted by Ango-Saxon capital, already...Bismarck & co missed the boat to Africa and dreamed of Ukraine and its riches to catch up belatedly in the Imperial/Colonial race...and as a successor to the Austro-Hungarian dominion...the Ukrainian saga of today is just an American regurgitation of the German wet dream via a rump Banderist nazi residual, of which they imported around 300.000 to the US, post 1945. Bis repetita placent? Poland would not mind annexing what will be left of Ukraine, once the Yankees pack up and do another Afghanistan run.
History repeats itself, sometimes farce, mostly tragedy. The Ukrainians are footing the bill. For the hegemon it just prints a few more $$ from the magic money tree...
If you ignore the long tail law of causes and consequences, you end up mostly with the corollary of unintended consequences. Mackinder will be proven right!
extraordinary excellent interview .. and constructive: What is Neutrality Studies? A UA-cam Channel only, or more?
This channel is so interesting.
I.thought you would start with Hitler's armies coming towards Moscow via the Ukraine SSR and when later Ukraine's Nazis crossed over to Poland, to join Hitler's pogroms against the Jews.
Why did the Soviets not stop with defeat of Germany and go on to take over Eastern European countries like Poland, East Germany, Lithuania etc. but not France and Southern Europe??
Such an enlightening presentation! Thank you Pascal, from India.
Your welcome! Glasl's theories are really great. I recommend them. He's not as famous in English language as he is in German, but most of his theories exist in English too. Highly useful!
@@joyaroy8532Since you obviously have access to the internet, look up "Percentage Agreement" rather than post infantile, uneducated questions.
Thank u so much 4 ur wonderful interrviews
Thanks for your support 🥰
An expanded war in Europe would benefit some countries, but I can think of one that for sure benefit the most…..guess which one
China definitely.
Interesting background info. Helps to understand.
Glad it was helpful!
Ok, at about the 5:40 mark he lies about the famine in Ukraine . He says all he grain in Ukraine was taken and broight to Russia and thus the Ukrainians starved. This is a lie.
The famine was in many pars of the USSR at the time. The problem in Ukraine was the result of the farmers not wanting to give up their farms so the refused to grow enoigh crops. Also the miss management by the Stalinist Bureaucracy in general. The result was not enough grain for the major Ukrainian cities at a time when a famine started.
The international price of grain fell due to the great depression so USSR collected more grain to meet quotas and people had no food. That's how it is usually described
dr, you present an accurate story of events , and parties involved , except for getting into the parties mix the politics of cia (for usa benefit) and the german and french and canadian etc / ithe cia going back to end of world war 2 and the bandera movement growing and nurturing in the usa
He's a waffler.....
..inarticulate...!
West is already well on it`s way to push Nato towards Georgia and Kazakstan. Have also seen plans of a big base to secure Black sea ( if i remember right, Ben Hodges did the presentation). So i beelive it was now or never for the Russians. Is it so hard to leave counties neutral?
It is interesting to address 3 conflicts.
The historic asoects are definitely not at its best.
Starting out with the fiction about collectivisation and the impact only on Ukraine doesn’t bode well.
If you are unable to understand the historical details of the (multiple) famines during the early Soviet period then an analysis of internal political issues within the Ukrainian SSR, and later ‘independent’ state, is unlikely to be very sound.
In my opinion it is just one ongoing war with different hot spots . the war i am talking about is the west vs the rest of the world.everything else is detail.
Conflict resolution is a skill that does not utilize punitive coersion. Waving an olive branch of reducing harmful & destructive pollution might be a focus of joint interest but to call it saving humanity from "climate change" is absolute bollocks. That would only favor PTB & financial controllers.
Glasl needs to dissociate his work from the hot potato of climate narrative.
Or it can be used to separate the wheat from the chaff. Climate cult and global hegemonists are one in the same.
There's a fourth war as well, the culture war, it is part of the Ukraine conflct. Immigration, transgenderism etc.
Addendum: I always prefer to listen to competent and honest soldiers or people from the intelligence services, there are some of them, than academics in "political science" or "international relations". The former know from the inside, if I may say so, what interstate politics is.
Here actually used the Ukrainian neofascist framing of he famine in Ukraine in he 1930s. Notice how the name the Ukrainian nationalists used is similar to the word holocaust.
Biden for his campaign purpose alone should encourage and even support European to engage direct talk with Russia for pan European security framework which is the first proposal Russia initiated one(1) month before Ukraine conflict started 2022/02/24. The second Russia proposal by the time then is for Ukraine to honor signed Minsk II agreement, but ground situation had changed to this date and new agreement should be negotiated between Russia and Ukraine themselves, possibly mediated by neutral states (including Brazil, India, China …etc) plus the West, but never by the West alone because West has lost its credibility being a trustee.
Why should a non sovereign Ukraine be involved in peace negotiations ? Ukraine died in 2014 coup.
@@robertgriffin6668For the looks of it.
Mr. Friedrich, you are conveniently forgetting lots of history...
That's actually a great idea. Let's stop fighting to save the planet. It's sooooo stupid it may just work.
At 32:00, Pascal asked about agency of escalation/de-escalation, saying that Washington and Moscow being the dominant parties and Kiev being more reactive (" they fight because RUssia is attacking them"). One point we should bear in mind is, the far-right elements in Kiev are equally motivated (perhaps even more) to escalate and push Moscow into ever-more extreme actions (evidence by bombing Kerch Bridge twice, attacking Sevastopol, and drone attacks in Russia itself), in order to drag NATO into the war. I would venture to say that these elements will contemplate the use of WMDs on Ukr territory (effectively poisoning their own country) if these options were made available to them by Washington. So we should not underestimate the agency of the Kiev regime to escalate.
I like the idea of invitation as opposed to compulsion. Positive sanction...sanction related to sanctity
The 3 wars can be restated as .1 China led BRICS versus USA led G7. 2 The Ukraine civil war. 3 The Russian Ukraine war. The Civil war has ended with the breakaway republics now part of Russia. The Ukraine Russian war seems to be frozen with neither side making headway. The Big change is the Russian response to sanction has led to undermining the Petro Dollar and the Dollar as the reserve currency and the USA SWIFT banking system. The 3 main pillars of USA Global hegemony. I guess the US military is a fourth pillar but even that is challenged by China and Russia who have apparently unstoppable US carrier sinking hypersonic missiles !
This is a peak oil war on top of a peak oil war on top of another peak oil war.
Ukrainian grain and Russian grain were both confiscated to feed Soviet industrialisation. Both directly and indirectly, by expoting it for much sought hard cash (dollars, francs, and pounds).
no
for use, by people, because of war, and famine
@@MrDeicide1 - there was no war in late 1920s, early 1930s. Stalin considered wealthy peasants (plenty of those in Ukraine with fertile soils and along Volga in Russia), to be almost countryside bourgeoisie and considered them class enemies. This is exactly why the grain was confiscated - to weaken class enemies and to get cash for building numerous factories and plants. With Great Depression in early 1930s, US companies were not very selective whom they were helping to build industry. USSR used an opportunity.
@@c94d44027
Wrong
Cities during the war, and in post-war years, because of all the devastation - starved, all over soviet union.
The garbage in ukraine (military base, and a springboard for invasion of soviet union), vere liberated against their will. They were much happier with foreign occupiers, and domestic quislings, and a fascist puppet regimes than with new government of SSSR.
They didn't care that the working class in the cities were starving. Held on to food reserves. Refused to accept government prices, and would rather destroy it if they couldn't get a better price on black market.
The government's clamp-down, although expected and justified - was however too harsh,
and led to the other extreme.
Caused a famine, in those food producing regions.
Yah, but there was a famine in the cities the kulaks didn't give a damn about...
So the tables turned.
They Were class enemies. And ideological enemies. There's no doubt about it.
Your ASSertion that food was simply confiscated to export for hard currency -- is just... I never heard of such nonsense before.
@@c94d44027
You probably have not heard the story about how in the 1930s the Russians caught the UkrainianNazi' (traitors)?
They were grain thieves in Odessa. Hence the Holodomor in Ukraine began. This ukrTraitors loaded barges with grain in Odessa and send tons to the West. When this was reported to Stalin, the thieves were caught and shot. Stalin was not a bad leader, he was very fair to UkrainianNazi's...
Ukrainian grain WAS Soviet grain, as the region was then a part of the Soviet Union: the Socialist Republic of Ukraine. Grain in what is now Western Ukraine, and which THEN (until 1945) was a part of Poland, NATURALLY was not confiscated.
Obviously professor has lack knowledge of history. He declares the facts that didn't happened, probably applying to researches that are not true. he just have to learn a little more, probably do some researches. probably look for some archives.
Soviet union and settlite states, now USA setlite states. 😂😂😂 Europe is USA's setlite states now. No, corrections, colony and butlers of USA. 😂 ironic, colonizers are colonized by another.
Ehhh
this "doctor" is a NATO propagandist. I don´t see any serious knowledge here. This was the waiste of time
Very very weak analysis
Another Herr Dr.Dr.. Aaah Germany, it is unlike anywhere else. Which makes the Poles less disconcerted these days
I think this issue is an old one fancy I find it rather odd its arising in this modern time.. very sad indeed its an east west issue and its rather clear Us ending its border and was final in UK between Us west and collective east through the Berlin wall and the Warsaw pact
Really good interview, thanks Pascal and Friedrich! :)
Yeah I think he forgot one it's sort of even obtained a greater grasp of all three of them it's a spiritual warfare
What. WHAT is this man saying -accidental war crimes. Oh ok what sort of life does this animal lead, wow I'm just so astonished. I think I can guess which government he's working with
Too many approximations and generalizations.
5:00 The territory of modern Ukraine was not "considered" but it WAS part of the Russian Empire.
6:00 The Bolshevik pressure on kulaks did NOT strike just Ukraine, the modern Ukrainians are appropriating this for ethno-chauvinsit reasons.
Really bad analysis and silly theorization.
let's hear yours???
Hear what? A theory of conflict? No space for that and not wasting my time on it. I do have a better understanding of the Ukraine conflict, more importantly of conflicts and hotspots globally. I guess this prof has leisure time to ponder, speculate and dream theorize over conflicts (is Ukraine entering people's head in Europe?).
A 🥰 bit tedius...better for Ukrain/Russia scholars.
Russians don't let you think of negotiating with the west
Russians generally/collectively; the entire population of Russia? ...don't allow 'you' to think/contemplate of negotiating with the West - 'you'?
there is no reason for Russia to negotiate with anyone at the moment, because they have been stabbed in the back multiple times by the west and Ukraine and Russia is holding all the cards.
Russias/USSR .Rus Peoples have been deceived from 1200 onwards non stop.
It took me about five minutes to realize the gentleman is actually quite ignorant about the subject matter.
He is completely delusional regarding the famine in Soviet (not only in Ukraine). But since he’s educated in the West, maybe he can’t help it … (coming from Norway myself)
Mearsheimer would disagree.
Vivek would work on the proposals mentioned here.
Trump would end the war within 24 hours.
Sir, Trump is the one of the most corrupt people that have risen this far.
If you look at a documentary about the disgraced lawyer, Roy Cohn, he was his "fixer".
Cohn eventually was a big part of Reagan getting elected. You'll get more understanding of his personality.
Consider also geoeconomics here, any nation to have multi-ethnicity is never and will never be a problem if their people’s wealth continue to grow thru either brutally by militarism, by colonialism or peacefully by economic growth conditioned some degree of fair and evenness in wealth distribution is mandate. An economically weak or even close to bankruptcy Russia after the fall of USSR who can NOT deliver either growth to Slavic people is the root cause of or give ground to inter-continental (West vs East), inter-state (Russia vs Ukraine) and intra-state (Pro-Russia vs pro-Ukraine) conflicts now in front of our eye in Ukraine.
Is English is fine. Knowledge is deep.
Excellent analysis. However the conflict is much broader with a non negigeable hidden part of the parties involved.
Situation on the ground should determine the course of events. That's what has been going on for centuries.
Ignoring that there is a winner and looser is irrealistic.
Friedrich Glasl:
Konflikteskalation und „windows of opportunity“ am Beispiel des Russland-Ukraine-Krieges
ua-cam.com/video/YLfmkL-haiY/v-deo.htmlfeature=shared
Yes Colonization has consequences for generations to come. Beautiful work by Dr Dr Friedrich Glasl.
WHAT colonization, in the particular case of Ukraine? Not that it was some independent country, with a name ("Ukraine" is a fairly recent term), at some point colonized by the Tsarist Russia. There was a Cossack Hetmanate (or "Sich"), and a rather smallish one, which asked to be incorporated into the Tsarist Russia in exchange for protection from the then powerful and aggressive Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. 1654 Pereiaslav Agreement.
This dude lives in fantasies.
You ar ea great interviewer Pascal, keep it going! gj
Interesting analyses, but I would advise to concentrate on Germany’s role in this conflict!
Russia does what it has to be done, exactly because of Germany failing to understand that it was in Germany’s interest to implement Minsk agreement and all stages of Russia’s sober suggestions.
Dig into your own subconscious and especially in Germany’s Stockholm syndrome!
But is the NATO expansion nonsense?
Yes, unquestionably.
The two countries who were most vocal about expanding it are currently fighting together Imperial wars one of them already lost about 100 years ago, literally in the same order. Oddly, it's reaping the very same outcome: implosion and explosion of the empire, good thing anyway, empires are death traps.
Basically, the UK and US wanted this expansion as a means of consolidating their power. To expand one's power is a definite aggressive approach. And then they launched on these former and current colonial wars, that the British empire also went into, incredibly in the same order.
The reason was they had defeated the counterbalance to capitalism that the Soviet Union was and they wanted to lock down whatever advantage they could. But they did it with careless disregard for the people, both their own and foreign ones.
At this point, the people inhabiting the leaders of the empire are at best dr*gged up to their deaths, at worst living on the streets with no other future than the end.
They tried to secure control of petrol production like it was 1949 again, and failed, they tried to secure the roads East to West and North to South and they failed, they tried yet again to take Russia down and they are failing, they think they can win a rerun of the war against China and likely will fail (it's presumably part of the Russian+China strategy: it's ironic that by pushing Russia into the war they triggered a cascade of responses that look like they were smartly plan and destined to topple them, a great combination of chess and go).
They could have lived up to their proclaimed ideals and continued the way of life that existed in the west before 1989, which wasn't perfect but relatively well balanced between all players rather than to the benefit of the most brutal in the room. In the US, the glass steagall act was repealed de facto destroying the option of a balancing power between actors of society. Not the only element but an essential cornerstone.
Anyway, the expansion of NATO was a perpetuation of war mongering not of Peace creation
In Italy, we say "he who wants too much grasps at nothing..."@@marie-laure.
what climate change ?
The natural and normal non-catastrophic one that is not caused by carbon dioxide or man in any significant way, of course.