I'm from Iran, and after watching this video, you've earned a great deal of respect from me. Your content is not only extremely accurate but also unbiased and thoroughly researched, which honestly surprised me. I now feel confident in trusting the content of your other videos as well, knowing they are truthful and reliable. As for the $950 deposited for every baby, that program is no longer in effect, but they are exploring other methods. Thank you for your excellent content!
Something else that is ignored as a contributor to low birth rates is Contract Jobs. If you are working on say a 3 yr contract you are still not feeling financially secure. However well the job pays you are still uncertain about the future so you postpone starting a family or having kids.
More broadly, if you make life crappy and/or expensive enough, people don't have kids. Life is not great in Iran, nor in many other places. What's interesting in Iran is that it's a theocracy and the religion wants more kids, yet people still don't have kids. It's similar to how, in Europe, some of the lowest birth rates are in places that are majority Catholic, despite the fact that birth control is not approved by the church. It's interesting how widespread is the global decline in fertility.
@@Marek21SK 😅In my country it's considered short but ofcourse it's a developing country so the 1 yr contracts are not here yet,, I guess it will get worse
Romania had enforced pro-natalist policies under Chaushesku that produced cohorts of unwanted children and indirectly fueled the most violent communist regime overthrow in Eastern Europe. The fact that the Islamic regime in Iran is still holding strong on power could be explained by the rapidly aging population and the open borders allowing for emigration (of mostly young people). All this defuses any potential for organized mass rebellion potential -- aging population is far less conducive to revolutionary acts and prefer to settle down and carry on.
Well, are you happy now? Romania will lose 50% of its population by the end of the century, and Arabs and Africans will be brought in to support the old people. Much better, right?
In Iran almost no one has a 401k or any retirement fund. It's the culture for the children to provide for their parents after retirement. The aging population will not suffer without pensions. Their children will.
Well how does saving and investing work in Iran ? I heard some members of the Taliban in Afghanistan hold opium as an asset that grows in value even thou it's officially banned lol
Same in India, people got educated and worked on family planning, but they never got rich or hopeful for future prospects. Millennials and Genz are only having a single kid cause it's too damn expensive to raise another one, government doesn't give a fuck cause the biggest voter base will be old people, so who cares about youth not having children, as long as they can keep getting votes from elderly
I am so glad to see a video by you on Iran again! As an Iranian-American, it's so hard to get non-biased information about Iranian government actions from either sides, thank u so much!
Optimism is biggest indicator of a nation's fertility after economics. Swiss RR fell during WW2 even though their economy was pretty good and they weren't involved in pitch battles. EDIT: This is among pluralistic countries not among countries were state has light to heavy influence of births.
take Israel for example, the birth rate is around 3. on the flip side there is the quiet after the storm, where the "baby boom" should happen, so not sure which effect is in play here.
African countries like Niger are far away from promising, optimistic and economically transcendent. At the same time they have the highest birthrate in the planet, same can be said about all the neighbors of that zone. Sexual desire and "lack of shame" to both date and impregnate someone is one of the biggest factors contributing to this rise in birth rate. It seems that tribalism, and the lack of social norms related to the western model of productivity make people less lazy and skeptical when it comes to having a children. This is all culture, making it a big factor. In many undeveloped countries, people want to "keep their bloodline alive". In modernized countries the individual matters all the time, and its suffering should not be passed upon others (especially a family member like a son/daughter), so having a children is one of the last options one has to plan their lives with.
Iranians abroad have even lower fertility rates. In Austria Iranian immigrants have fertility rates similar to those of Japan. While some other immigrant communities, even European, have higher than those in their home countries, Romanians and Macedonians even having them at replacement level!
Probably because most of those immigrants that fled the country after the Shah was deposed happened to be more wealthy, more educated, etc. So you have a community that is more prone to low birth rate; compared to other immigrants that are low-skilled, low paid workers, who are more likely to have more than 2 per family
The difference in mindset perhaps. Some leave to have better opportunities for their current and future families while others left simply due to familial pressure or disagreement with the government policies.
As somebody who took a lot of development economics classes, family planning and sending girls to school are the best solutions to world hunger and poverty in general. It is the one primary difference between rich and poor countries. Not resources!
Modernity coupled with poor economy is why Iran birth rates are declining. It is a very modern country with many young, talented people with no prospects. This is why birth rates are declining.
Typically not having prospects makes people want to procreate because there's nothing else to do and nothing else to hope for. But if you have careers and plans and grander visions, kids can kinda be secondary, to be deferred into your 30s and 40s
What? Maybe that's why developed countries have a low birth rate? And those who have children are mostly migrants, like in France, for example, the French have 0 or 1 child, and Arabs and Africans have 3-5? It's the same in Sweden. It's not about economics, but about culture.
Don't forget the Islamic regime's new policy of opening the floodgate of millions and millions of mostly illiterate and impoverished migrants from Afghanistan. They are going to become the majority of the population in the foreseeable future.
I lived in Tehran as a kid, one of the best years of my youth. I spent days exploring the city, parks, getting baguettes, and every other form of delightful treats. One day ❤
Statistically speaking the better treated women are in the world the lower the fertility rate, and the worse women are treated the higher it is. Actively oppressing women is the most successful method for high birthrates and this leads to some uncomfortable conclusions for anybody that wants women to have choices and control of their lives.
Thank you so much for this video; I was excited to see you cover a topic about my country, and the historical picture you paint is very interesting. One minor correction: the population control policies after war did include instructions for number of children, although it didn't mandate it. I clearly remember signs in the streets of Tehran, saying that one child is good and two is enough. Also, an important factor contributing indirectly but strongly to low fertility is the mandatory military service for boys only. This has been in place for about a century now. At the age of 18, when people finish high school and take the national entrance exam for universities, boys who are not admitted must go to military service, which lasts two years. They are much less likely than girls of their age to continue education after finishing the military service. This contributes to the higher ratio of girls to boys at higher education, which you did mentioned, but also to higher fertility of men. The mandatory military service eventually contributes to disparity in access to education, job opportunities and social class between men and women in the same age group and social cohort, which makes it harder for men to marry. Of course, this doesn't mean that good old fashioned patriarchy is going away!
If you dont mind have a few questions are you a muslim? Is Iran still a Islamic state? Do people still think about killing infidels?is the child marriage still a law which is allowed? Are your own people safe from government when spoken against them?are Election valid? Is the country radicalized like afganistan?
@@Blah888Answers: -Iran is still officially an Islamic state. -People do not think about “killing infidels”. This is something only in the mind of Fox News. -You would be very surprised by how much opposition exists, and candidates favored by the government often lose in elections. There is an argument to be made that their elections might be more democratic than US elections. -The country used to be radicalized in the 1980s when they were in a major war against Iraq. It’s not radicalized any more. Iran is not like the cartoonish caricature presented by Western, especially American, media.
Restricting access to contraceptives to increase birth rates sounds about as band-aid measure as "improving workers' standards" to increase "stability".
They forget that people can order contraceptives and abortion medicine via Internet. And even have no xes. I am Single by Choice. But if I was in a relationship, and had no access to contraceptives and abortion, I wouldn't risk having xes.
Doesn't mesh with the fact that the highest birth rates happen among the poor, who can scarcely afford to buy homes. Or with the fact that the rich also don't have many kids, despite owning several homes. Or take the case of Japan, where birth rates are rock bottom despite houses LOSING value over there. You can even have a house for free there if you want, but still they have no kids. This has never been an affordability issue, that's just the story people tell everyone to moan more.
Not only that, but time is an important factor as well. When you have barely time for your self, you do not really have time to raise a child. Both parents work today. And their life is pretty much sleep, eat, work rinse repeat. Adding a kid to such conditions, only make it worse. As well as people are so well educated today. Like me, i wont get a child until i have proper finances. Simply cause im not egoistic enough to bring a child to this world, unless i can give the child what it needs. The stupid uneducated, get lots of kids. If you want educated people to have kids. You must have the essentials in order.
how do you not only research all this stuff so quickly, but also make it all into videos? you're insane. I can't even keep up and all I do is watch em in my skivvies
@@MosesPaulShelest All the rich countries have screwed up birth rates , also I could be wrong but I don't think Iran is that poor but it ain't that rich either
@@cryptocsguy9282 It’s not just rich countries. Practically every country on earth across all continents is seeing declining birthrates, even Africa (albeit nowhere near to the same extent).
Hey, Can you make a common video about why so many countries implemented family planning and population control policies in 1970s-80s, not just the One child policy in China but also various '2 child policies' in countries like Iran, India, etc. And looking at the projections what impact these policies had and how they can deal with it!
Because there was rapid population growth after WWII and Neo-Malthusian ideas were trendy back then. Organizations like the UN and World Bank pushed for family planning, believing that controlling population growth would help economic development. Of course many developing countries just accepted that wholesale and rushed to implement the policies they advised. It's like the idea with climate change and how it's pushed by different world bodies and countries today although that I think is much more credible and real then overpopulation fear ever was.
Because they were suffering from overpopulation japan had the same problem in the early 20th century so it sent migrants to many countries in the americas
It is fascinating because of it being a jihadist sharia law state. This should NOT have happened to them. Especially considering how poor they are. Hard to explain in many ways.
In Iran, I think that 9 years old as ‘an adult’ is most likely due to 1slamic Law, Shar1a Law, so if their ‘prophet’ MoHam (60+) did it with Aisha when she was 9, then 9 is an excellent number because it written in their religious text 🤔 💭 If the Persians don’t like the adult age in Iran, if they complain, protest, etc., then the armed Basijs gonna brutally, draconically crackdown on them real hard. Plus, its also their ‘religion’, so nobody can’t complain much inside Iran, especially under Shar1a Law, or the Persians may have to face disappearing, the armed and very dangerous Basijs gonna find them, because the Basijs believe they are protecting their ‘religion’ and their ayatollah, so the law is the law 👀 🚨 Religion of piece 🗣️ 🔊
I grew up close to Iranian Americans and I can say for a fact most of them didn't have kids and if they did it was 1. Most had their parents leave Iran during the revolution.
Iran is a fascinating country, and I didn't know they were also facing a potential aging crisis. Wild to think the marriage age for girls was 9 years old at one point, though. Thank you for another excellent educational video! God be with you out there, everybody. ✝️ :)
Im australian but a few of my good friends are from iran. Many of the young proffessionals in australia, especially engineers of all types, civil, chemical and electrical. Many doctors and dentists are here and my sister inlaw is an architect who knows of a few in the field. The ones i know have all sponsored other iranian young proffessionals or just family and many mechanics around the place. So im pretty sure the same has happened in all western countries and thats the reason for no young people left in iran. Also 90% of the iranian expats had an arranged marriage organised so once their future partner had set themselves up, they sponsored their partner
As an American who watched the 1979 embassy takover on TV, I had a pretty low resolution view of the Iranian regime. Its interesting that the family planning policies were fairly enlightened, stressing autonomy for couples rather than draconian limits, keeping contraception legal, and so on. Thank you for a well researched view inside a country we rarely ever hear about in the West except for wars.
The biggest factor in the decline in birth rates in Iran is not the economy (although it plays a part), it's the liberalisation and secularisation of the Persians. Interestingly, the ethnic minorities of Iran particularly the Kurds, Baloch and Arabs are the only "Iranians" that are having 4+ kids. They are also poorer than the Persians!
All factors matter, and you can't single out secularization or any other factor for this. It's a sctructural shift of the culture coupled with countless more disincetives for procreation. In a way, even religious mores can play a role diminishing fertility since a youth who cares for his parents (out of a religious duty) can't afford to raise a family on his own, and he can't do it because he must provide for his elderly parents first.
Really interesting video, this was actually briefly brought up in our geography class. But I really want to know why the map at 2:47 labels the former Soviet Union as "C.I.S". Obviously the CIS was around by 2006 when the map was made, but not in 1949 which is the year the map depicts.
I love these videos and I really like your delivery style, so I have one minor critique that I hope you will find helpful. In English, generally speaking, possession and plurality are signified by adding -'s and -s/-es, respectively, to the end of the word. If one wants to show that a group possesses something, the formula would suggest that one would add both, resulting in -s's/-es's at the end. This results in a sound doubling. The correct way to show plural possession in English is the following: If one girl has a book, it is the girl's book. If two girls have books, they are the girls' books, not the girls's books. To signify plurality and possession at the same time, the doubled sounds are condensed into one. The words girl's, girls, and girls' are pronounced the same (gurlz), with their difference being implicit through context in speech and explicit in writing by adding the apostrophe after the plural -s. It's not necessary to add another possessive -'s after a plural that ends in -s or -es. This is a compromise in English so that you can show possession without doubling the -s sound. This doesn't apply for plurals that don't end in -s or -es, so if a woman has a book, it is the woman's book, but if two women have books, they are they women's books. Again, I provide this critique with the utmost respect and a genuine desire to spread more knowledge about grammar that can help one's speech flow more naturally. Keep up the good work with these videos!
I'm from Iran 🇮🇷 borne 1985 my wife 1987, we have infertility problem, we are trying to get a child for 11 years and start the infertility treatment, from 2020 the government give us 30% of the infertility treatment we pay, after 12 years of marriage we still don't have a child😔 The government is bringing afghan people to replace Iranian people who are leaving Iran because of economic problems
@@Veylon well, yeah, but that building is *inside Iran.* I don't expect Spanish or German government buildings to have English words on them, too. India, though, I would expect it.
@@JeffBilkins Don't worry. I think only virginal teenagers without a babe write that silly comment after every video they watch. Eventually they will move on to a new cliche.
More Iran videos please. There is so much to explore and learn about this beautiful country and its talented people! Also, perhaps do one on Israel - why they have a relatively high birth rate for a developed country…
Thank you, Jon! As female education rates rise and infant mortality improves the number of children born inevitably declines. It is part of our modern world.
Do not worry. This is just propaganda being pushed by social-media companies on the behest of govenments and corporations. Governments (read govt officials and employees) want tax💲, and corporations want profits. The govt collect taxes, and corps mint profits when people spend money on their wants and desires. Young people have a lot more wants and desires than older people. Their parents also spend $$ on them, e.g. take trip 🚙to Disneyland. This is why they want ppl to have more children. As for # of people, there ARE a lot of ppl in the world. Why else do you think house prices and rents are through the roof?
Wrong, if anything we should learn from Africans and have as many kids as possible. The empire isn't going to build itself. Move along, we're gonna need some Lebensraum very soon!
Its so hard to disaggregate fertility declines. I'll be interested to see a country who falls below 2.1 regaining their replacement rate without immigration. I think i would move there.
Very good analysis. But You can mention the Famine between 1917-1919 that killed around 9 millions people, which was around 40 percent of the population.
Governments across the world should see everyone is having the same issues: expensive housing, aging population...if they do not address this there wont be practical solutions
Most of the world's countries have birth rates that are declining. The African countries are, for the most part, the ones with a higher than minimum fertility rate of 2.1 and higher.
They still have a declining birthrate. The decline just began later than in other continents and will catch up to the rest. Meanwhile it causes huge problems for europe.
As soon as women have access to contraceptives they stop popping out baby after baby. Tell women motherhood is a choice and they choose to not become mothers.
I love how in pretty much almost every country. There's been a huge decline in birthright and in the same meme as men will do everything but go to therapy. It's like countries are trying to do everything other than improve the quality of everyone's life living in their country. Especially like it's funnier in America because we had like the Boomers and people keep forgetting that the reason why the Boomers exist is because we had the best economy when they were becoming young adults and this is why they invested and spent and had tons of leisure time and could literally afford not only houses but to do 12 million kids. People were so rich overall back then that someone could literally just live at and deal with the kids and then the other person doing the income could support the income for everyone there. That is buried so close to the Earth's core nowadays that people sometimes even question if that period of time was real. So it just drives me crazy that everyone's like coming up with like tax cuts and like anti-contraceptives and all sorts of crazy shit when all they need to do is just give everyone health care, pay everyone fairly and stop trying to go to war so that all the children who are currently being made are instantly killed off. Look at how much everything sucks globally. Who wants to bring kids into this. Never mind if they can even bring kids into this. It reminds me of the whole study done when rich people were trying to figure out how they could keep their security stats on board in the case of a disaster and apocalypse and they were literally coming up with every concept except for the obvious one that would work which is to just treat their current staff nicely. They like literally couldn't comprehend the concept of. Just hey, if you scratch other people's backs they will scratch yours because they're so used to being tyrant assholes.
I follow a content creator “BurbNBougie” who does a lot of declining birth rate videos. The points in your comments are literally things discussed in her videos and the fact that it seems these governments (primarily lead my males) would rather do anything than listen to the many concerns and reasons by women (especially) on why they are increasingly disinterested in having more than 1-2 kids, if any at all.
Better to focus on Quality of life rather than Quantity of life due to inflation, rising taxes and costs, rising interest rates, shortage of food and essential commodities which inturn will endure the future generations to suffer like anything
I truly appreciate your unbiased and reasonably accurate analysis. Personally, I'm deeply concerned about the large influx of Afghan migrants into Iran. While many of the country's most skilled and educated citizens are leaving, the majority of Iranians are hesitant to marry or have children due to the high cost of living. At the same time, millions of mostly illiterate and impoverished migrants are entering the country, with families often having around five children. Given the combined impact of this high immigration rate and the migrants' high fertility rates, I fear that Iranians like myself may eventually become a minority in our own homeland. 😢
This phenomenon is happening everywhere all over the world believe it or not. Mass immigration from all parts of the world are happening in every country even ones in Africa, Kenya currently is suffering from mass Congolese immigration because their economy is slightly better. It’s sad but I don’t know what can be done
@@Parthian6 I wish they were, but unfortunately, they're not! Although all of them aren't bad, there are too many bad apples. Iran already has too many problems. We don't need to import other people's problems as well. Iran has limited natural resources like water. Iran has a huge unemployment problem. There's too much poverty here. Rent is already through the roof. Job security is almost non-existent unless you're a government employee. A sizable portion of the migrants are connected to the T organization (if you know what I mean). And on top of that, the government is using them, turning them into regime supporters. With all that said, still most of them are good people, trying to escape the literal misery in Afghanistan.
@@mayer14474 What kind of a legitimacy do we have if we do not help out our brothers and sisters? Yes I am aware that some of them are radicalized but we are the foremost global authority on dealing with and eliminating T ists. We can absolutely adapt Afghans to Iran to the benefit of both populations.
I appreciate the data, graphs & context you've provided in this video. I encourage viewers who'd like to learn more, to check out the work of David P. Goldman / "Spengler". (His interviews on UA-cam over the years, and also his 2011 book, "How Civilizations Die" (which changed my thinking on the subject.) In my own words, one of Goldman's repeated points is: words can't describe how screwed Iran is, as a society: Iranian women in their 40s, grew up as one of 7 or 8 siblings. But that same woman, will have one or two children. No retirement or pension system (past or present, ancient or modern) could possibly handle a change like that (occurring in only one generation). When these people become dependent elderly... who cares for them? This would be an unprecedented disaster even in a wealthier country (Europe or the US), but Iran doesn't have the per capita wealth of those places. Goldman concluded (and I agree) that this makes Iran's government more dangerous, not less so. His analogy was to a bank robber, with hostages, surrounded by police, but with terminal cancer that he knows will kill him in two weeks or less. Law enforcement would normally negotiate, with the expectation that the gunman would want to preserve his life. But, the fact that he knows that his death is imminent no matter what he does, substantially reduces his perception of the threat or punishment that others can inflict on him. In other words: 'If this country is going to be a very different kind of society in 25 years,' the thinking goes, 'then we must act (war, terrorism or other desperate measures) now, which is the only time when we will be the kind of society capable of having the impact that we wish to have.'
...... Do you know Jesus Christ can set you free from sins and save you from hell today Jesus Christ is the only hope in this world no other gods will lead you to heaven There is no security or hope with out Jesus Christ in this world come and repent of all sins today Today is the day of salvation come to the loving savior Today repent and do not go to hell Come to Jesus Christ today Jesus Christ is only way to heaven Repent and follow him today seek his heart Jesus Christ can fill the emptiness he can fill the void Heaven and hell is real cone to the loving savior today Today is the day of salvation tomorrow might be to late come to the loving savior today Romans 6.23 For the wages of sin is death; but the gift of God is eternal life through Jesus Christ our Lord. John 3:16-21 16 For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life. 17 For God sent not his Son into the world to condemn the world; but that the world through him might be saved. 18 He that believeth on him is not condemned: but he that believeth not is condemned already, because he hath not believed in the name of the only begotten Son of God. 19 And this is the condemnation, that light is come into the world, and men loved darkness rather than light, because their deeds were evil. 20 For every one that doeth evil hateth the light, neither cometh to the light, lest his deeds should be reproved. 21 But he that doeth truth cometh to the light, that his deeds may be made manifest, that they are wrought in God. Mark 1.15 15 And saying, The time is fulfilled, and the kingdom of God is at hand: repent ye, and believe the gospel. 2 Peter 3:9 The Lord is not slack concerning his promise, as some men count slackness; but is longsuffering to us-ward, not willing that any should perish, but that all should come to repentance. Hebrews 11:6 6 But without faith it is impossible to please him: for he that cometh to God must believe that he is, and that he is a rewarder of them that diligently seek him. Jesus
I'm thinking many seemingly unrelated policies in developing countries politics are mostly about fertility rates more than anything. Women freedom and safety, education, banking reforms, digital, micro-loans for women etc. Even wars and separatist insurgencies are started, if there are too many young men with nothing worthwhile to do.
Iranian potential is infinite. All the people I've met from Iran are very open minded and highly intelligent. I think the world would be such a better place if we shared beliefs instead of fighting over them.
@@BasedAchaemenidhe is nothing more than a western 🐕 now,A slave of the Israelis,Better any of the old ruling dynasties come back,Maybe Zororashtrian old families still there in the pockets
@@johng8837The akeel poster you are responding to is I believe a pro-Basij, pro-Ayatollah. I see there are 2 different kinds of Persians, the Persians who love their ayatollah and fully support him, they love his regime, and the Persians who are against the ayatollah and his traitorous regime, those Persian fly the previous Persian flag, the Persian Lion and Sun flag So, if that supposed Persian is a pro-Basij, pro-ayatollah, then there is no point talking to him, as he has been indoctrinated. He’s likely one of those dangerous Basijs, countless Persians don’t like the Basijs one bit at all.
I left Iran at 1970 ,the population was almost 30, million. And I visited after 25 years ,every box of goodies I bought ,had massage written “ Less children ,Better life” I was impressed !
What's this dramatization of age of consent by the west?It changes with time,as far back as 1930s,Girls from the age of 8-9 were married to Dudes 27-32 in Oklahoma,Don't act like it's something eastern
Population reduction IS a need for any country, specially for those islamic countries that are strapped of resources and export both population and unrest.
Absolute nonsense, you're talking about India not Iran. Iran is neither a population exporter nor is it strapped of resources. Agriculture, Oil, Mining, Manufacturing Industry. It has it all. Its also the most educated country in the Middle-East by many metrics. Without the sanctions, it would have been one of the richest countries in the middle-east. You probably don't have any clue how big a country Iran is, even if the population grew to 120 million, it would still be less densely populated than every country in western Europe. Western sanctions are what destroyed Iran's future.
One of the key drivers of decreasing fertility rates worldwide is the rapidly increasing number of young women who are choosing to be permanently childless. What is the rate of childlessness among Iranian women between the ages of 18-35, and how has this trend changed over the last two generations? No mention was made of this demographic phenomenon regarding Iran.
Your 100 percent correct on that observation. The Islamic republic really shot themselves in the foot by granting their women education. They should have followed the Afghanistan route and all you need to do is look at Afghanistans TFR as proof of it working.
What is rich to you? Have you seen how people live in Nigeria or Bangladesh? They use the beaches and streets as toilets... Many live on the street or in barracks. Iran is not such a poor country, not Switzerland of course, but it can be much worse.
@@testtestrees4794 Have you been to Iran yourself? Iran is an open air toilet society, with liquid piles of crap everywhere- especially if laborers are present.
..... Jesus Christ is the only hope in this world no other gods will lead you to heaven There is no security or hope with out Jesus Christ in this world come and repent of all sins today Today is the day of salvation come to the loving savior Today repent and do not go to hell Come to Jesus Christ today Jesus Christ is only way to heaven Repent and follow him today seek his heart Jesus Christ can fill the emptiness he can fill the void Heaven and hell is real cone to the loving savior today Today is the day of salvation tomorrow might be to late come to the loving savior today Holy Spirit Can give you peace guidance and purpose and the Lord will John 3:16-21 16 For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life. 17 For God sent not his Son into the world to condemn the world; but that the world through him might be saved. 18 He that believeth on him is not condemned: but he that believeth not is condemned already, because he hath not believed in the name of the only begotten Son of God. 19 And this is the condemnation, that light is come into the world, and men loved darkness rather than light, because their deeds were evil. 20 For every one that doeth evil hateth the light, neither cometh to the light, lest his deeds should be reproved. 21 But he that doeth truth cometh to the light, that his deeds may be made manifest, that they are wrought in God. Mark 1.15 15 And saying, The time is fulfilled, and the kingdom of God is at hand: repent ye, and believe the gospel. 2 Peter 3:9 The Lord is not slack concerning his promise, as some men count slackness; but is longsuffering to us-ward, not willing that any should perish, but that all should come to repentance. Hebrews 11:6 6 But without faith it is impossible to please him: for he that cometh to God must believe that he is, and that he is a rewarder of them that diligently seek him. Jesus
Three people can crap in a river forever, and the river won’t care. But, if 1000 people crap in a river, it’s “done” in three days. Of course, you could but 997 of those people to work building sewage treatment systems, and hope the other three can provide enough food for the rest. Numbers are “illustrative” only, but, I hope you get the point. . .
Breeding more children under a government of child murderers is probably inadvisable. In any case the poor water reserves and increasing drought will make a large population environmentally unsustainable, particularly when the world moves away from oil. Since sanctions prevent Iran from building up a sovereign wealth fund, the end of oil would be catastrophic.
@@souvikrc4499 They did not murder children. I know what they did was wrong towards the protesters, but you don't have to make up false arguments to be critical about their actions.
Anyone else getting that "Child Of Man" movie vibe? A lot of countries are seeing declining birth rates . Please advocate for women to have parental/childcare leave so we can have children and not being stressed about getting back to an outside job.
People in Iran are living on a day to day basis Not knowing what will happen tomorrow, no hope for the future, so there will be no change in the foreseeable future Most of the people are just trying to escape the country even as refugees And pension funds... Those are already bankrupt cause the government has become extremely corrupt
You can say the exact same about countries like Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Afghanistan and Pakistan who are doing far far worst than Iran yet still have some of the highest fertility rates in the world. The problem is not economic it’s spiritual problem as well as high urbanization and female literacy. Despite the propaganda surrounding Iran on women’s rights, Iran has the highest female literacy rates in the whole region, on par with Turkey.
@@Jareers-ef8hp The BS propaganda promoted about Iran is in relation to secularization of Islam in the country but western media hyper focuses on how it affects women in relation to wearing a hijab. Also I wouldn't count Turkey as being in relation to those countries (besides being mUslim) because Turkey is too culturally European so issues with poverty and literacy affect them differently from other countries that have a history of colonialism or foreign intervention
@@Jareers-ef8hp Good point about the urbanization. Since 1945, not a coincidence rural folk tend to have more kids . A faster pace of life and a higher cost of living bring lots of extra burdens on men. More Mideast countries, not just Iran, are having situations where men became dads only in their late 30s, sometimes early 40s. This was almost unheard of a few decades earlier.
@@cryptocsguy9282 Your correct, most people in Iran aren’t even religious and Iran has a high urbanization rate, Iran is 71% urban and the rest being rural. And the women have the same girl boss mentality as the women in New York make no mistake about it, that is the root cause of their fertility crisis not economics. If it were economics we would see countries like Nigeria, Angola, Somalia, Egypt, Chad and The DRC have worst fertility crisis in the whole world and yet it’s the exact opposite, those countries have the highest total fertility rates in the whole world.
@@tkm238-d4r Very true, I come from the Mid East myself and I can attest to this fact. We are starting to whiteness higher urbanization and unfortunately we are also witnessing the phenomenon of the “girl boss” and that’s just going to bring total destruction to our people.
Maybe once you sufficiently educate people they expect their fair share of resources? Its not just about money, its about perceived, real and structural injustice (not just national). Having kids just for them to have to live the same life, always grinding and enriching already insanely rich people is self-destructive. Elon Musk would never have as many children as he does if he had to take care of them like the rest of us. Privileged need floods of more or less desperate people (to care for Elon's kids). I wont be assisting with that.
I'm from Iran, and after watching this video, you've earned a great deal of respect from me. Your content is not only extremely accurate but also unbiased and thoroughly researched, which honestly surprised me.
I now feel confident in trusting the content of your other videos as well, knowing they are truthful and reliable.
As for the $950 deposited for every baby, that program is no longer in effect, but they are exploring other methods.
Thank you for your excellent content!
Do the minorities have more kids still? Baluchis used to have 10 kids each.
This is the same strategy that brought me here and kept me around. Extremely impressed with his research/presentation on topics I'm familiar with
how long did that program go on?
I can confirm from the Balkans as well. Brilliantly researched, unbiased, factual.
I second the confidence and trust, I've been subbed for a long time now
Leave it to Asianometry to post really unique videos on the internet I've been here since under 100k subscribes, my man deserves all the success
Unbiased, to the point, no distracting visuals, accurate info... tour de force. Thank you
Something else that is ignored as a contributor to low birth rates is Contract Jobs. If you are working on say a 3 yr contract you are still not feeling financially secure. However well the job pays you are still uncertain about the future so you postpone starting a family or having kids.
Many people don't even have the luxury of 3 years.
3 year contract is long, by the way.. Most contract jobs are for 1 year maybe even 6 months
More broadly, if you make life crappy and/or expensive enough, people don't have kids. Life is not great in Iran, nor in many other places. What's interesting in Iran is that it's a theocracy and the religion wants more kids, yet people still don't have kids. It's similar to how, in Europe, some of the lowest birth rates are in places that are majority Catholic, despite the fact that birth control is not approved by the church. It's interesting how widespread is the global decline in fertility.
3 years? In what world is that short?
@@Marek21SK 😅In my country it's considered short but ofcourse it's a developing country so the 1 yr contracts are not here yet,, I guess it will get worse
Romania had enforced pro-natalist policies under Chaushesku that produced cohorts of unwanted children and indirectly fueled the most violent communist regime overthrow in Eastern Europe. The fact that the Islamic regime in Iran is still holding strong on power could be explained by the rapidly aging population and the open borders allowing for emigration (of mostly young people). All this defuses any potential for organized mass rebellion potential -- aging population is far less conducive to revolutionary acts and prefer to settle down and carry on.
Just like Hungary, they are stifling future prospects to keep the status quo
@@christianweibrecht6555 And basically all of the Balkan countries.
@@SapereAude1490 to me it’s hilarious how the most nationalistic Slavs who lament their motherland’s declining population usually live in Berlin
Essentially letting of the pressure
Well, are you happy now? Romania will lose 50% of its population by the end of the century, and Arabs and Africans will be brought in to support the old people. Much better, right?
In Iran almost no one has a 401k or any retirement fund. It's the culture for the children to provide for their parents after retirement. The aging population will not suffer without pensions. Their children will.
@danielhenderson9157
Yeah so basically same as here in the West then
Why would Iranians have a 401k? That's American. They have a defined benefit plan, rather than a defined contribution plan.
Well how does saving and investing work in Iran ? I heard some members of the Taliban in Afghanistan hold opium as an asset that grows in value even thou it's officially banned lol
I blame urbanization, if rights and being poor are the problem syria , iraq ...and Africa wouldn't have high TFR
@@hollowgonzalo4329 Even more so because even less or no pension.
Happening in many places now. Even in China, Korea, Indonesia and in other developed and developing countries.
Wasn't aware this is happening in Indonesia too, was under the impression their population is going up quickly
@@ruiqianren9405
It's still the most high fertility among Korea Vietnam Thailand Philippines Japan. .etc
It's 2.1 I think
It's a world wide trend except in Africa, and even there it's still going down somewhat.
Same in India, people got educated and worked on family planning, but they never got rich or hopeful for future prospects. Millennials and Genz are only having a single kid cause it's too damn expensive to raise another one, government doesn't give a fuck cause the biggest voter base will be old people, so who cares about youth not having children, as long as they can keep getting votes from elderly
Thats great news more other countries following
I am so glad to see a video by you on Iran again! As an Iranian-American, it's so hard to get non-biased information about Iranian government actions from either sides, thank u so much!
Optimism is biggest indicator of a nation's fertility after economics. Swiss RR fell during WW2 even though their economy was pretty good and they weren't involved in pitch battles. EDIT: This is among pluralistic countries not among countries were state has light to heavy influence of births.
take Israel for example, the birth rate is around 3. on the flip side there is the quiet after the storm, where the "baby boom" should happen, so not sure which effect is in play here.
But in the other hand, its evindet that - contrary to any other species human birth rate raises in tough times.
@@galzafar2943also probably 60% of this rate is conservative Jewish famiies with 8+ kids 😂
Must be why Israelis now have higher birthrate than the Arabs.
African countries like Niger are far away from promising, optimistic and economically transcendent. At the same time they have the highest birthrate in the planet, same can be said about all the neighbors of that zone. Sexual desire and "lack of shame" to both date and impregnate someone is one of the biggest factors contributing to this rise in birth rate. It seems that tribalism, and the lack of social norms related to the western model of productivity make people less lazy and skeptical when it comes to having a children. This is all culture, making it a big factor. In many undeveloped countries, people want to "keep their bloodline alive". In modernized countries the individual matters all the time, and its suffering should not be passed upon others (especially a family member like a son/daughter), so having a children is one of the last options one has to plan their lives with.
Iranians abroad have even lower fertility rates.
In Austria Iranian immigrants have fertility rates similar to those of Japan. While some other immigrant communities, even European, have higher than those in their home countries, Romanians and Macedonians even having them at replacement level!
Yep. In reality Europeans are always ahead of the curve. Low-fertility will soon be seen as a third world/diversity thing.
Gross.
Probably because most of those immigrants that fled the country after the Shah was deposed happened to be more wealthy, more educated, etc. So you have a community that is more prone to low birth rate; compared to other immigrants that are low-skilled, low paid workers, who are more likely to have more than 2 per family
The difference in mindset perhaps. Some leave to have better opportunities for their current and future families while others left simply due to familial pressure or disagreement with the government policies.
As soon as women have a choice, they say no to motherhood.
We don't want to be 24/7 caretakers with endless sacrifices.
I want my lufe for myself.
As somebody who took a lot of development economics classes, family planning and sending girls to school are the best solutions to world hunger and poverty in general. It is the one primary difference between rich and poor countries. Not resources!
Hey, would you consider doing a history of Epson? Most people in the west just think of printers and projectors…
Best thing to do is email him. Ive submitted a couple video ideas that way.
I really wished there would be also an Europenmetry and other continent channels similar to this one! Its just great.
No thanks
I'd rather have more channels dedicated to Africa than Europe. Europe gets plenty of coverage already.
youtube.com/@kaiserbauch9092?si=13SBlhU4mIHLUJkp
He has great videos especially on demographic trends majorly in Europe & around the world
@yehez-frederik I love Europe.
@ArawnOfAnnwn not enough coverage
People are having kids: panik
People are not having kids: panik
Though it’s fundamentally a mismatch between the amount of youth and available occupations when they come of age.
Modernity coupled with poor economy is why Iran birth rates are declining. It is a very modern country with many young, talented people with no prospects. This is why birth rates are declining.
Nope. It’s feminism
Typically not having prospects makes people want to procreate because there's nothing else to do and nothing else to hope for.
But if you have careers and plans and grander visions, kids can kinda be secondary, to be deferred into your 30s and 40s
What? Maybe that's why developed countries have a low birth rate? And those who have children are mostly migrants, like in France, for example, the French have 0 or 1 child, and Arabs and Africans have 3-5? It's the same in Sweden.
It's not about economics, but about culture.
For example, in America it's not like that, white Americans often have children. Different culture.
Don't forget the Islamic regime's new policy of opening the floodgate of millions and millions of mostly illiterate and impoverished migrants from Afghanistan. They are going to become the majority of the population in the foreseeable future.
Im half Persian and appreciate this demographics perspective. Thanks
@marcussassan Bro fix your birth rate lol
Other half?
@@Blah888north Korean
@@zuesadam7143 😂
I lived in Tehran as a kid, one of the best years of my youth. I spent days exploring the city, parks, getting baguettes, and every other form of delightful treats. One day ❤
Or treat women better instead of asking men about birth rates talk to women. Who's lives were in danger
This is the answer.
Statistically speaking the better treated women are in the world the lower the fertility rate, and the worse women are treated the higher it is. Actively oppressing women is the most successful method for high birthrates and this leads to some uncomfortable conclusions for anybody that wants women to have choices and control of their lives.
Birthrate decline is super interesting to me, great video as always John!
The video proved that we can't blame Israeli Mossad for every Iranian misfortune; they also create their disaster.😂
@synaestesia-bg3ew
Hi Tel Aviv!
@@synaestesia-bg3ewhow's Lebanon taste like Mr IDF 🤣
Thank you so much for this video; I was excited to see you cover a topic about my country, and the historical picture you paint is very interesting.
One minor correction: the population control policies after war did include instructions for number of children, although it didn't mandate it. I clearly remember signs in the streets of Tehran, saying that one child is good and two is enough.
Also, an important factor contributing indirectly but strongly to low fertility is the mandatory military service for boys only. This has been in place for about a century now. At the age of 18, when people finish high school and take the national entrance exam for universities, boys who are not admitted must go to military service, which lasts two years. They are much less likely than girls of their age to continue education after finishing the military service. This contributes to the higher ratio of girls to boys at higher education, which you did mentioned, but also to higher fertility of men. The mandatory military service eventually contributes to disparity in access to education, job opportunities and social class between men and women in the same age group and social cohort, which makes it harder for men to marry. Of course, this doesn't mean that good old fashioned patriarchy is going away!
If you dont mind have a few questions are you a muslim? Is Iran still a Islamic state? Do people still think about killing infidels?is the child marriage still a law which is allowed? Are your own people safe from government when spoken against them?are Election valid? Is the country radicalized like afganistan?
@@Blah888Answers:
-Iran is still officially an Islamic state.
-People do not think about “killing infidels”. This is something only in the mind of Fox News.
-You would be very surprised by how much opposition exists, and candidates favored by the government often lose in elections. There is an argument to be made that their elections might be more democratic than US elections.
-The country used to be radicalized in the 1980s when they were in a major war against Iraq. It’s not radicalized any more.
Iran is not like the cartoonish caricature presented by Western, especially American, media.
Answer is no to all of your questions.
@@Blah888 That's a whole lot of leading questions...
@@Blah888 For your second and third last questions the answer is yes
Finally after years of following you you made a video about my country!
salam dada
well he has a collection of really well made videos over iran
The c90adventures iran video was a nice surprise. The actual citizens seem very kind and pleasant.
It’s the contractual jobs. It has you on edge the close the renewal period comes
You keep on surprising me with the topics of your videos, always interesting though
It's simply a part of modernity, right? And apparently nothing could stop the "development" once it gets started, not even religion or tradition.
Cultural isolation and urban depopulation and reduction in female education I believe are the solutions to these issues
Iran modernization stopped for 50 years it's bcs they don't have money
Restricting access to contraceptives to increase birth rates sounds about as band-aid measure as "improving workers' standards" to increase "stability".
theres natural birth control methods iranian women cud use
They forget that people can order contraceptives and abortion medicine via Internet.
And even have no xes.
I am Single by Choice. But if I was in a relationship, and had no access to contraceptives and abortion, I wouldn't risk having xes.
Housing price is the surest form of birth control. When homes are investments there is no room for children.
Doesn't mesh with the fact that the highest birth rates happen among the poor, who can scarcely afford to buy homes. Or with the fact that the rich also don't have many kids, despite owning several homes. Or take the case of Japan, where birth rates are rock bottom despite houses LOSING value over there. You can even have a house for free there if you want, but still they have no kids. This has never been an affordability issue, that's just the story people tell everyone to moan more.
Housing near jobs are what matter. Low income area with very low housing costs could manage in the past, but have been bought up.
So why do rich people have so few kids then?
It’s feminism 💯
@@ArawnOfAnnwnLiterally this.
Not only that, but time is an important factor as well.
When you have barely time for your self, you do not really have time to raise a child.
Both parents work today. And their life is pretty much sleep, eat, work rinse repeat.
Adding a kid to such conditions, only make it worse. As well as people are so well educated today.
Like me, i wont get a child until i have proper finances. Simply cause im not egoistic enough to bring a child to this world, unless i can give the child what it needs.
The stupid uneducated, get lots of kids.
If you want educated people to have kids. You must have the essentials in order.
This video was a pleasant watch, well researched and cited!!
Fertility is declining all over the world. There’s a general feeling that life is becoming too cruel for more children.
how do you not only research all this stuff so quickly, but also make it all into videos? you're insane. I can't even keep up and all I do is watch em in my skivvies
Google.
So far nowhere near South Korea
South Korea is also rich. Which Iran really is not.
Or Russia is you only take the Russian oblast. Some have a 0.97 birth rate.
@@MosesPaulShelest All the rich countries have screwed up birth rates , also I could be wrong but I don't think Iran is that poor but it ain't that rich either
@@cryptocsguy9282 It’s not just rich countries.
Practically every country on earth across all continents is seeing declining birthrates, even Africa (albeit nowhere near to the same extent).
hisvin
🧢
Hey, Can you make a common video about why so many countries implemented family planning and population control policies in 1970s-80s, not just the One child policy in China but also various '2 child policies' in countries like Iran, India, etc. And looking at the projections what impact these policies had and how they can deal with it!
2 words.. george soros
Because there was rapid population growth after WWII and Neo-Malthusian ideas were trendy back then. Organizations like the UN and World Bank pushed for family planning, believing that controlling population growth would help economic development. Of course many developing countries just accepted that wholesale and rushed to implement the policies they advised. It's like the idea with climate change and how it's pushed by different world bodies and countries today although that I think is much more credible and real then overpopulation fear ever was.
Soros forcing birth control?
Because they were suffering from overpopulation japan had the same problem in the early 20th century so it sent migrants to many countries in the americas
@@_Ahmed_15 Funny, since the size of human population is a key factor in global warming.
9:08 man would have never thought this would be uploaded here of all places
Same birthrate problem as everyone else, just a little less
They have higher infant morality so it’s not much better
@@AustrianPainter14 and their economy is still in developing status
@@AustrianPainter14iran does?
It is fascinating because of it being a jihadist sharia law state. This should NOT have happened to them.
Especially considering how poor they are. Hard to explain in many ways.
9 years old adults that's wild
That’s obscene.
That's a Pedro File culture.
Diss guss ting
In Iran, I think that 9 years old as ‘an adult’ is most likely due to 1slamic Law, Shar1a Law, so if their ‘prophet’ MoHam (60+) did it with Aisha when she was 9, then 9 is an excellent number because it written in their religious text 🤔 💭
If the Persians don’t like the adult age in Iran, if they complain, protest, etc., then the armed Basijs gonna brutally, draconically crackdown on them real hard.
Plus, its also their ‘religion’, so nobody can’t complain much inside Iran, especially under Shar1a Law, or the Persians may have to face disappearing, the armed and very dangerous Basijs gonna find them, because the
Basijs believe they are protecting their ‘religion’ and their ayatollah, so the law is the law 👀 🚨
Religion of piece 🗣️ 🔊
I grew up close to Iranian Americans and I can say for a fact most of them didn't have kids and if they did it was 1. Most had their parents leave Iran during the revolution.
Yes because their secular humanist liberals. Those kinds of people never breed children
Praying that Persia gets liberated from Islam
It used to have such a beautiful culture
@@Jareers-ef8hp
Iran is a fascinating country, and I didn't know they were also facing a potential aging crisis. Wild to think the marriage age for girls was 9 years old at one point, though. Thank you for another excellent educational video!
God be with you out there, everybody. ✝️ :)
No thanks. I am an antithrist. Religion is a giant scam.
I hope you realize that soon.
Thank you for once again presenting such an interesting topic so well researched.
Im australian but a few of my good friends are from iran. Many of the young proffessionals in australia, especially engineers of all types, civil, chemical and electrical. Many doctors and dentists are here and my sister inlaw is an architect who knows of a few in the field. The ones i know have all sponsored other iranian young proffessionals or just family and many mechanics around the place. So im pretty sure the same has happened in all western countries and thats the reason for no young people left in iran. Also 90% of the iranian expats had an arranged marriage organised so once their future partner had set themselves up, they sponsored their partner
Terrorists sponsoring terrorists
this was so good. Excellent content. Thank you for educating us :)
9:09 Yes, nice to see you too.
Was it a middle finger?
Nah he was scratching his face
@@mahdi8572 we wouldn't really know unless he really was malicious about it, middle finger can mean many things
As an American who watched the 1979 embassy takover on TV, I had a pretty low resolution view of the Iranian regime. Its interesting that the family planning policies were fairly enlightened, stressing autonomy for couples rather than draconian limits, keeping contraception legal, and so on. Thank you for a well researched view inside a country we rarely ever hear about in the West except for wars.
The biggest factor in the decline in birth rates in Iran is not the economy (although it plays a part), it's the liberalisation and secularisation of the Persians. Interestingly, the ethnic minorities of Iran particularly the Kurds, Baloch and Arabs are the only "Iranians" that are having 4+ kids. They are also poorer than the Persians!
So ur mother was born to make babies, if thats her duty send her to arab sheikh to increase production of arabs hhh, what a idiot
the decline is not because of economics its because of education... more educated a woman is the less children they have .
@@samankucher5117 That would explain why very poor people breed like crazy.
All factors matter, and you can't single out secularization or any other factor for this. It's a sctructural shift of the culture coupled with countless more disincetives for procreation. In a way, even religious mores can play a role diminishing fertility since a youth who cares for his parents (out of a religious duty) can't afford to raise a family on his own, and he can't do it because he must provide for his elderly parents first.
The more civilized, the lower the birth rate
Great presentation!
10:12 SUNDAY prayer? 🤣🤣🤣
Really interesting video, this was actually briefly brought up in our geography class.
But I really want to know why the map at 2:47 labels the former Soviet Union as "C.I.S". Obviously the CIS was around by 2006 when the map was made, but not in 1949 which is the year the map depicts.
I love these videos and I really like your delivery style, so I have one minor critique that I hope you will find helpful. In English, generally speaking, possession and plurality are signified by adding -'s and -s/-es, respectively, to the end of the word. If one wants to show that a group possesses something, the formula would suggest that one would add both, resulting in -s's/-es's at the end. This results in a sound doubling. The correct way to show plural possession in English is the following:
If one girl has a book, it is the girl's book. If two girls have books, they are the girls' books, not the girls's books.
To signify plurality and possession at the same time, the doubled sounds are condensed into one. The words girl's, girls, and girls' are pronounced the same (gurlz), with their difference being implicit through context in speech and explicit in writing by adding the apostrophe after the plural -s. It's not necessary to add another possessive -'s after a plural that ends in -s or -es. This is a compromise in English so that you can show possession without doubling the -s sound. This doesn't apply for plurals that don't end in -s or -es, so if a woman has a book, it is the woman's book, but if two women have books, they are they women's books.
Again, I provide this critique with the utmost respect and a genuine desire to spread more knowledge about grammar that can help one's speech flow more naturally. Keep up the good work with these videos!
Very informative video! Thank you.
I'm from Iran 🇮🇷 borne 1985 my wife 1987, we have infertility problem, we are trying to get a child for 11 years and start the infertility treatment, from 2020 the government give us 30% of the infertility treatment we pay, after 12 years of marriage we still don't have a child😔
The government is bringing afghan people to replace Iranian people who are leaving Iran because of economic problems
arent they sunni? how does that sit with a shia majority country?
@@priyojitchatterjee6164I'm guessing they're planning/hoping to convert them to their sect
@@zuesadam7143 isnt that technically leaving islam for a sunni given that the two dont see each other as "real islam"?
@@priyojitchatterjee6164 yes but that'll depend on who you ask
I feel you, my brother!
We're being quietly replaced by Afghans.
Jon with another banger
They saw what China did and said, "Hold my coffee."
THANK YOU for making the range of all those graphs start at 0
13:05 Highly amusing that English is also on the building.
Yeah I saw that too!
English is the lingua franca of the world.
What's so amusing about it lol
@@Veylon well, yeah, but that building is *inside Iran.* I don't expect Spanish or German government buildings to have English words on them, too.
India, though, I would expect it.
@@RonJohn63 I guess I guess it’s understandable to be a bit amazed, considering the Iranian government’s attitude toward the English language.
Subscribed!
babe wake up new Asianometry just dropped
Gay
ugh, really?
@@JeffBilkins Don't worry. I think only virginal teenagers without a babe write that silly comment after every video they watch. Eventually they will move on to a new cliche.
@@Dave_Sisson someone don't understand sarcasm
@@KissofDeath63 I wrote it that way to embarrass the kid who wrote it. I bet he won't write it again.
More Iran videos please. There is so much to explore and learn about this beautiful country and its talented people! Also, perhaps do one on Israel - why they have a relatively high birth rate for a developed country…
Lol you can thank the Bedouins and Ultra Orthodox Jews for this and both dislike Israel.
Thank you, Jon!
As female education rates rise and infant mortality improves the number of children born inevitably declines. It is part of our modern world.
Yeah, If men were able to give birth, there would be no babies around 😂
As a 38 year old guy without children from Iran, your video made me deeply worried.
Do not worry. This is just propaganda being pushed by social-media companies on the behest of govenments and corporations. Governments (read govt officials and employees) want tax💲, and corporations want profits. The govt collect taxes, and corps mint profits when people spend money on their wants and desires. Young people have a lot more wants and desires than older people. Their parents also spend $$ on them, e.g. take trip 🚙to Disneyland. This is why they want ppl to have more children.
As for # of people, there ARE a lot of ppl in the world. Why else do you think house prices and rents are through the roof?
you should have children for your country
@@Alberto-yz3qy no, noone should have kids for political reasons. That is terrible for the kids
The whole world has the same issue, but it's not bad.
carefull with youtube, at 9:09 the guy in white is showing the middle finger
He is flipping off UA-cam. Like many of us are.
He was scratching his nose lmao
That was a real subtle FO
so much respect to you for this content.
Iran needs to teach Africa culturally acceptable familly planning methods, before it is too late
Wrong, if anything we should learn from Africans and have as many kids as possible. The empire isn't going to build itself. Move along, we're gonna need some Lebensraum very soon!
Leave us alone
@ you need to deal with population explosion… as powerty is pushing your people to other countries
@@itsathi6055 Be alone! Do not move abroad!!
12:25 I'm guessing you meant Friday prayers.
Its so hard to disaggregate fertility declines. I'll be interested to see a country who falls below 2.1 regaining their replacement rate without immigration. I think i would move there.
They don't need no immigrants like you
but were will they came from since this affects most countries
So far, only Israel
Georgia, then?
@@Demopans5990by oppressing the heck out of the ultra conservative female population
Very good analysis.
But You can mention the Famine between 1917-1919 that killed around 9 millions people, which was around 40 percent of the population.
Having a child in a country where woman is not a human, with lack of facilities, with no money, no house, no insuranse. No way
Many of Ministers in Iran are women
Womens in Iran are more educated than men
Say someone born from an OF 304.
@@akeel6328 you
@@akeel6328 wtf is wrong with you?
Really, do you think iran is Afghanistan 😂
Excellent! I subscribe.
iran were 30 million pre revolution, now over 80 million, if you dont grow a few years is not important
Wow 80 million is huge
A few years doesn't matter, but a number of decades below replacement rate will create havoc. Old women cannot have children.
Governments across the world should see everyone is having the same issues: expensive housing, aging population...if they do not address this there wont be practical solutions
The ultra rich elites don't want a large world population. They have ensured that policies are enated that 'magically' ensure massive depopulation
Irans emigration has lowered to 80 thousand a year compared 120 thousand in 1990s
To be honest, it’s hard to tell; even the running government has its head in the sand regarding this
@@souvikrc4499 its based on official stats
@@Techtalk2030 care to link those official stats?
@@souvikrc4499 i cant link but go to emigration per country on google
@@souvikrc4499 for 2024
Government interference in families never ends well.
Most of the world's countries have birth rates that are declining. The African countries are, for the most part, the ones with a higher than minimum fertility rate of 2.1 and higher.
They still have a declining birthrate. The decline just began later than in other continents and will catch up to the rest. Meanwhile it causes huge problems for europe.
As soon as women have access to contraceptives they stop popping out baby after baby.
Tell women motherhood is a choice and they choose to not become mothers.
I love how in pretty much almost every country. There's been a huge decline in birthright and in the same meme as men will do everything but go to therapy. It's like countries are trying to do everything other than improve the quality of everyone's life living in their country. Especially like it's funnier in America because we had like the Boomers and people keep forgetting that the reason why the Boomers exist is because we had the best economy when they were becoming young adults and this is why they invested and spent and had tons of leisure time and could literally afford not only houses but to do 12 million kids. People were so rich overall back then that someone could literally just live at and deal with the kids and then the other person doing the income could support the income for everyone there. That is buried so close to the Earth's core nowadays that people sometimes even question if that period of time was real. So it just drives me crazy that everyone's like coming up with like tax cuts and like anti-contraceptives and all sorts of crazy shit when all they need to do is just give everyone health care, pay everyone fairly and stop trying to go to war so that all the children who are currently being made are instantly killed off. Look at how much everything sucks globally. Who wants to bring kids into this. Never mind if they can even bring kids into this. It reminds me of the whole study done when rich people were trying to figure out how they could keep their security stats on board in the case of a disaster and apocalypse and they were literally coming up with every concept except for the obvious one that would work which is to just treat their current staff nicely. They like literally couldn't comprehend the concept of. Just hey, if you scratch other people's backs they will scratch yours because they're so used to being tyrant assholes.
I follow a content creator “BurbNBougie” who does a lot of declining birth rate videos.
The points in your comments are literally things discussed in her videos and the fact that it seems these governments (primarily lead my males) would rather do anything than listen to the many concerns and reasons by women (especially) on why they are increasingly disinterested in having more than 1-2 kids, if any at all.
I've heard that Iran has their own microchip fabs can you make a video on that topic ?
they're almost primative compared to modern microchips, but they get the job done. their job being missile and drone guidance
@@amirhoseinbizhanzade2064 They use it for military purposes only ?
@@hannanmehdi9774 seems like it. Other than that, they mostly tend to import them from overseas.
Better to focus on Quality of life rather than Quantity of life due to inflation, rising taxes and costs, rising interest rates, shortage of food and essential commodities which inturn will endure the future generations to suffer like anything
I truly appreciate your unbiased and reasonably accurate analysis.
Personally, I'm deeply concerned about the large influx of Afghan migrants into Iran. While many of the country's most skilled and educated citizens are leaving, the majority of Iranians are hesitant to marry or have children due to the high cost of living. At the same time, millions of mostly illiterate and impoverished migrants are entering the country, with families often having around five children.
Given the combined impact of this high immigration rate and the migrants' high fertility rates, I fear that Iranians like myself may eventually become a minority in our own homeland. 😢
This phenomenon is happening everywhere all over the world believe it or not. Mass immigration from all parts of the world are happening in every country even ones in Africa, Kenya currently is suffering from mass Congolese immigration because their economy is slightly better. It’s sad but I don’t know what can be done
Oh come on afghans are mostly iranian anyways. This sort of mentality is destructive.
@@Parthian6 I wish they were, but unfortunately, they're not!
Although all of them aren't bad, there are too many bad apples. Iran already has too many problems. We don't need to import other people's problems as well.
Iran has limited natural resources like water. Iran has a huge unemployment problem. There's too much poverty here. Rent is already through the roof. Job security is almost non-existent unless you're a government employee. A sizable portion of the migrants are connected to the T organization (if you know what I mean). And on top of that, the government is using them, turning them into regime supporters.
With all that said, still most of them are good people, trying to escape the literal misery in Afghanistan.
@@mayer14474 What kind of a legitimacy do we have if we do not help out our brothers and sisters? Yes I am aware that some of them are radicalized but we are the foremost global authority on dealing with and eliminating T ists. We can absolutely adapt Afghans to Iran to the benefit of both populations.
@@Parthian6 We Wuz pArThIaNz and ssshhheeeeiiiiittttttttt ☝️🤓
I appreciate the data, graphs & context you've provided in this video. I encourage viewers who'd like to learn more, to check out the work of David P. Goldman / "Spengler". (His interviews on UA-cam over the years, and also his 2011 book, "How Civilizations Die" (which changed my thinking on the subject.) In my own words, one of Goldman's repeated points is: words can't describe how screwed Iran is, as a society: Iranian women in their 40s, grew up as one of 7 or 8 siblings. But that same woman, will have one or two children. No retirement or pension system (past or present, ancient or modern) could possibly handle a change like that (occurring in only one generation). When these people become dependent elderly... who cares for them? This would be an unprecedented disaster even in a wealthier country (Europe or the US), but Iran doesn't have the per capita wealth of those places.
Goldman concluded (and I agree) that this makes Iran's government more dangerous, not less so. His analogy was to a bank robber, with hostages, surrounded by police, but with terminal cancer that he knows will kill him in two weeks or less. Law enforcement would normally negotiate, with the expectation that the gunman would want to preserve his life. But, the fact that he knows that his death is imminent no matter what he does, substantially reduces his perception of the threat or punishment that others can inflict on him. In other words: 'If this country is going to be a very different kind of society in 25 years,' the thinking goes, 'then we must act (war, terrorism or other desperate measures) now, which is the only time when we will be the kind of society capable of having the impact that we wish to have.'
......
Do you know Jesus Christ can set you free from sins and save you from hell today
Jesus Christ is the only hope in this world no other gods will lead you to heaven
There is no security or hope with out Jesus Christ in this world come and repent of all sins today
Today is the day of salvation come to the loving savior Today repent and do not go to hell
Come to Jesus Christ today
Jesus Christ is only way to heaven
Repent and follow him today seek his heart Jesus Christ can fill the emptiness he can fill the void
Heaven and hell is real cone to the loving savior today
Today is the day of salvation tomorrow might be to late come to the loving savior today
Romans 6.23
For the wages of sin is death; but the gift of God is eternal life through Jesus Christ our Lord.
John 3:16-21
16 For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life. 17 For God sent not his Son into the world to condemn the world; but that the world through him might be saved. 18 He that believeth on him is not condemned: but he that believeth not is condemned already, because he hath not believed in the name of the only begotten Son of God. 19 And this is the condemnation, that light is come into the world, and men loved darkness rather than light, because their deeds were evil. 20 For every one that doeth evil hateth the light, neither cometh to the light, lest his deeds should be reproved. 21 But he that doeth truth cometh to the light, that his deeds may be made manifest, that they are wrought in God.
Mark 1.15
15 And saying, The time is fulfilled, and the kingdom of God is at hand: repent ye, and believe the gospel.
2 Peter 3:9
The Lord is not slack concerning his promise, as some men count slackness; but is longsuffering to us-ward, not willing that any should perish, but that all should come to repentance.
Hebrews 11:6
6 But without faith it is impossible to please him: for he that cometh to God must believe that he is, and that he is a rewarder of them that diligently seek him.
Jesus
0:54 The 1990s only have 10 years, you probably meant to say the first 25 years of the 1900s.
I'm thinking many seemingly unrelated policies in developing countries politics are mostly about fertility rates more than anything. Women freedom and safety, education, banking reforms, digital, micro-loans for women etc.
Even wars and separatist insurgencies are started, if there are too many young men with nothing worthwhile to do.
Iranian potential is infinite. All the people I've met from Iran are very open minded and highly intelligent. I think the world would be such a better place if we shared beliefs instead of fighting over them.
We need our Shah back
@@BasedAchaemenidNo
@@BasedAchaemenidhe is nothing more than a western 🐕 now,A slave of the Israelis,Better any of the old ruling dynasties come back,Maybe Zororashtrian old families still there in the pockets
@@akeel6328fight fight fight!
@@johng8837The akeel poster you are responding to is I believe a pro-Basij, pro-Ayatollah.
I see there are 2 different kinds of Persians, the Persians who love their ayatollah and fully support him, they love his regime, and the Persians who are against the ayatollah and his traitorous regime, those Persian fly the previous Persian flag, the Persian Lion and Sun flag
So, if that supposed Persian is a pro-Basij, pro-ayatollah, then there is no point talking to him, as he has been indoctrinated. He’s likely one of those dangerous Basijs, countless Persians don’t like the Basijs one bit at all.
I left Iran at 1970 ,the population was almost 30, million. And I visited after 25 years ,every box of goodies I bought ,had massage written “ Less children ,Better life” I was impressed !
I may be crazy but if you drop the age of consent to 9, , well that says a LOT about you...
Mullahs
What's this dramatization of age of consent by the west?It changes with time,as far back as 1930s,Girls from the age of 8-9 were married to Dudes 27-32 in Oklahoma,Don't act like it's something eastern
Great video as always, wheelchair lady is a wired thumbnail
Dude flips the bird @ 23:34
Population reduction IS a need for any country, specially for those islamic countries that are strapped of resources and export both population and unrest.
THIS!
Iranian immigrants dont cause trouble imo. The only Iranians I know are highly educated.
Me too, lots of physician and people that worked in njclear and agriculture@@admiralspyro9722
Absolute nonsense, you're talking about India not Iran. Iran is neither a population exporter nor is it strapped of resources. Agriculture, Oil, Mining, Manufacturing Industry. It has it all. Its also the most educated country in the Middle-East by many metrics. Without the sanctions, it would have been one of the richest countries in the middle-east. You probably don't have any clue how big a country Iran is, even if the population grew to 120 million, it would still be less densely populated than every country in western Europe. Western sanctions are what destroyed Iran's future.
When Islamic country has crashing fertility rates chances are the people aren't your typical Islamists.
Israel's TFR is a weird contrast to that
One of the key drivers of decreasing fertility rates worldwide is the rapidly increasing number of young women who are choosing to be permanently childless.
What is the rate of childlessness among Iranian women between the ages of 18-35, and how has this trend changed over the last two generations?
No mention was made of this demographic phenomenon regarding Iran.
Your 100 percent correct on that observation. The Islamic republic really shot themselves in the foot by granting their women education. They should have followed the Afghanistan route and all you need to do is look at Afghanistans TFR as proof of it working.
22:46 Woah. I didn't know that.
Iran will get old before getting rich 😢
True for lot of countries in the global south
At least they have a bigger chance to get rich with less kids. Oil and water is limited and they are the only source for wealth in Iran.
What is rich to you? Have you seen how people live in Nigeria or Bangladesh? They use the beaches and streets as toilets... Many live on the street or in barracks. Iran is not such a poor country, not Switzerland of course, but it can be much worse.
@@testtestrees4794 Have you been to Iran yourself? Iran is an open air toilet society, with liquid piles of crap everywhere- especially if laborers are present.
@@intractablemaskvpmGyhuh? Wtf are you talking about?
I don't think Iran needs to worry that much about an aging population given that the life expectancy is much lower than let's say Japan.
Irans birthrate has rose a little bit to 1.8
😂
bro .... Turkey mostly in the west of it is getting low to 1.1 this is a global thing most countries are dropping too .
It’s not just Iran, but most bigger economies. Who can have children in this economy
.....
Jesus Christ is the only hope in this world no other gods will lead you to heaven
There is no security or hope with out Jesus Christ in this world come and repent of all sins today
Today is the day of salvation come to the loving savior Today repent and do not go to hell
Come to Jesus Christ today
Jesus Christ is only way to heaven
Repent and follow him today seek his heart Jesus Christ can fill the emptiness he can fill the void
Heaven and hell is real cone to the loving savior today
Today is the day of salvation tomorrow might be to late come to the loving savior today
Holy Spirit Can give you peace guidance and purpose and the Lord will
John 3:16-21
16 For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life. 17 For God sent not his Son into the world to condemn the world; but that the world through him might be saved. 18 He that believeth on him is not condemned: but he that believeth not is condemned already, because he hath not believed in the name of the only begotten Son of God. 19 And this is the condemnation, that light is come into the world, and men loved darkness rather than light, because their deeds were evil. 20 For every one that doeth evil hateth the light, neither cometh to the light, lest his deeds should be reproved. 21 But he that doeth truth cometh to the light, that his deeds may be made manifest, that they are wrought in God.
Mark 1.15
15 And saying, The time is fulfilled, and the kingdom of God is at hand: repent ye, and believe the gospel.
2 Peter 3:9
The Lord is not slack concerning his promise, as some men count slackness; but is longsuffering to us-ward, not willing that any should perish, but that all should come to repentance.
Hebrews 11:6
6 But without faith it is impossible to please him: for he that cometh to God must believe that he is, and that he is a rewarder of them that diligently seek him.
Jesus
What are they going to do with them all? Have wars?
You need a birthrate of 2 to keep the economy going
Three people can crap in a river forever, and the river won’t care. But, if 1000 people crap in a river, it’s “done” in three days. Of course, you could but 997 of those people to work building sewage treatment systems, and hope the other three can provide enough food for the rest.
Numbers are “illustrative” only, but, I hope you get the point. . .
Breeding more children under a government of child murderers is probably inadvisable. In any case the poor water reserves and increasing drought will make a large population environmentally unsustainable, particularly when the world moves away from oil. Since sanctions prevent Iran from building up a sovereign wealth fund, the end of oil would be catastrophic.
Child murderers?
@@samitabbakh8409 their actions during the 2022 protests seem to imply that
@@souvikrc4499 They did not murder children. I know what they did was wrong towards the protesters, but you don't have to make up false arguments to be critical about their actions.
@@souvikrc4499How exactly?
Uhhh, by that logic the entire european and american governments is even more of a child murderer then, because their fertility rate is even lower.
Anyone else getting that "Child Of Man" movie vibe? A lot of countries are seeing declining birth rates . Please advocate for women to have parental/childcare leave so we can have children and not being stressed about getting back to an outside job.
Birthrate is dependent on child mortality and female education. First indicator lags by a generation.
Thanks
People in Iran are living on a day to day basis
Not knowing what will happen tomorrow, no hope for the future, so there will be no change in the foreseeable future
Most of the people are just trying to escape the country even as refugees
And pension funds... Those are already bankrupt cause the government has become extremely corrupt
You can say the exact same about countries like Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Afghanistan and Pakistan who are doing far far worst than Iran yet still have some of the highest fertility rates in the world. The problem is not economic it’s spiritual problem as well as high urbanization and female literacy. Despite the propaganda surrounding Iran on women’s rights, Iran has the highest female literacy rates in the whole region, on par with Turkey.
@@Jareers-ef8hp The BS propaganda promoted about Iran is in relation to secularization of Islam in the country but western media hyper focuses on how it affects women in relation to wearing a hijab. Also I wouldn't count Turkey as being in relation to those countries (besides being mUslim) because Turkey is too culturally European so issues with poverty and literacy affect them differently from other countries that have a history of colonialism or foreign intervention
@@Jareers-ef8hp Good point about the urbanization. Since 1945, not a coincidence rural folk tend to have more kids .
A faster pace of life and a higher cost of living bring lots of extra burdens on men.
More Mideast countries, not just Iran, are having situations where men became dads only in their late 30s, sometimes early 40s. This was almost unheard of a few decades earlier.
@@cryptocsguy9282 Your correct, most people in Iran aren’t even religious and Iran has a high urbanization rate, Iran is 71% urban and the rest being rural. And the women have the same girl boss mentality as the women in New York make no mistake about it, that is the root cause of their fertility crisis not economics. If it were economics we would see countries like Nigeria, Angola, Somalia, Egypt, Chad and The DRC have worst fertility crisis in the whole world and yet it’s the exact opposite, those countries have the highest total fertility rates in the whole world.
@@tkm238-d4r Very true, I come from the Mid East myself and I can attest to this fact. We are starting to whiteness higher urbanization and unfortunately we are also witnessing the phenomenon of the “girl boss” and that’s just going to bring total destruction to our people.
I wish people understood that parenting from infancy is the key to happy men
Maybe once you sufficiently educate people they expect their fair share of resources? Its not just about money, its about perceived, real and structural injustice (not just national).
Having kids just for them to have to live the same life, always grinding and enriching already insanely rich people is self-destructive. Elon Musk would never have as many children as he does if he had to take care of them like the rest of us. Privileged need floods of more or less desperate people (to care for Elon's kids). I wont be assisting with that.