Top 10 Misplayed Blackjack Hands
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- Опубліковано 2 лют 2016
- This video covers the 10 most misplayed blackjack hands according to basic strategy. It doesn't base gameplay on the current count; however, this is specific for a 2 deck blackjack shoe. If there is enough interest I'll make a top 10 video for 6 deck blackjack too!
Be sure to check out my channel for more great statistic-based casino games.
Good tips boss
very nice video
Good one. Thanks for the tips
Only drink if people are buying them for you to help them! good tips
this guy is a expert.
Maybe, but not at blackjack.
At Golden Nugget on Fremont Street you can’t have the basic strategy card BUT you can have the basic strategy written on paper.
No one reading the comments here should listen to any posted reply by Piedad Stoffel. That dude has no clue what he's talking about. Casinos love him because he gives them a nice increase in the house percentage, and I love him because he gives them money that I could go and rake in because I'm not a moron, and I play mathematically correct.
Not sure about the odds, but I personally would not double down more times then you suggested. I will double down only on 10 or 11 and then only if the dealer doesn't have a 10 or Ace.
David Miller doubling 10s I not a good move although most people mistake it to be
@@trade_ivit is a good move if it’s not against a 10 or ace you can’t argue against the math by guy
Good basic video on strategy, but I would have to say that you referenced basic strategy as being made by Mike Shackleford (Wizard of Odds). However that's incorrect. Basic Strategy was invented decades prior to the WOO website, by the four horsemen, who wrote a paper called "Optimal Strategy for Playing Blackjack" way back in the 1950's, then was analyzed and optimized by Ed Thorpe at MIT. Some useless trivia, but it's always good to know the history of the game.
Correct. Proven by mathematical computations.
He didn't say the wizard of odds invented it, just that it was his source of information.
@@medexamtoolsdotcom I stand corrected, you are right.
Blackjack is so easy once you learn how to play by the book. Just basic gambling after that.
Most casinos deal a 6 or 7 card blackjack shoe. What are the most common differences in basic strategy between a 2 card and a 6 card deck?
David Haver
It's no differance, but the Casino give themselves an extra 0.% edge plus it's harder to count the cards.
The basic strategy differences is are mostly in whether you double down or split. There should be charts online somewhere.
Again I'll say, Never deviate from the basic strategy unless you're converting to the true count, at which time you alter the basic strategy to the "professional strategy". A lot of learning however, to get to that level of play.
There is one and only one difference, and that is to double 9 against 2 in 2-deck.
to the text below mine, i always play a 2 deck pitch down shoe. Thats all i will play.
Also, I DISAGREE WITH YOUR theory on how to play 5's against a bust card like 5 or 6.
I ALWAYS SPLIT THEM, YOU ARE NOT BETTING TO GET 21 IN THIS SECANARIO but betting the dealer will bust out so you have mulitple ways to get either a ace, 2,3,4,5 or 6 after the split, then you can double again and make twice as much money. I just think could increase your odds. Who says they have a 10 under, that is a very dangerous assumption. (sorry for misspelled words, can find my glasses)
If you get this, do you have a video on how many units to bet??????
Or does it stay the same. I personally press a little bit when winning and bet table min when losing.
You never split 5's. Also, the value of your bet is based on the current situation, not whether or not you're winning or losing.
Basic staregy is the best way to play every hand proven by computer simulations and math. Blackjack is a game of skill follow what basic staregy says slightly change based on the rules how many decks wither the dealer hits soft 17 or stands on soft 17. You can get this charts online or at the casino.
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From my point of view you shouldn't drink while you playing
if you're counting you should just a little to seem like you are
drink if you are just having fun and don't care if you lose other wise right don't drink
Actually, intelligent people always AVOID the dangerous alcohol drug.
WELL THEN YOU ARE LOST!
*@Jaysen T Banks* Pro blackjack tips: www.MootJack. xyz
When you split 4's it is dealt faceup. You never want to split 4's if you cant double after a split.
Says who? Most double deck games allow you to double down on splits. Some games do disallow it, but those games have other trash rules that make it hard for the player to gain an advantage. In those cases, you shouldn't be playing those types of games anyways. Rules of the game are the basis for playability, know them first.
If you are playing with 2 decks or less, double 9 vs. a dealer's 2. If you are playing with more than 2 decks, hit 9 vs. a dealer's 2.
Split 6's against a dealer's 7 if double after split is allowed and if you are playing with 2 decks or less.
But if I have a pair or 7's vs. a dealer's 10, I just surrender on single deck blackjack. Otherwise, I stand.
On single deck, I split 3's vs. a dealer's 8 otherwise hit if doubling after splitting is not allowed.
if someone splits 5's u better just leave the table
1x66 x2
Why?
It's not your hand.
I'm sure the other players will be leaving too.
No. If someone splits 5s, _they_ should leave the table.
@@smokey528 Of course if they knew to do that because they're too incompetent to be allowed to play, they wouldn't have split them in the first place.
Why? I love it when people play stupid at the table. Especially when I'm in a favorable shoe. it means they are going to lose their money very quickly, and I won't have to deal with them for very long. Other players have zero effect on your game. If you think they do, you're a gambler and not a winning player.
You are wrong on the 2nd one. You should double on a soft 18 against a dealer's 2. Especially in a 2 deck game. The truecount threshold for doing this is -.52. That means you double soft 18 against 2 if the truecount is anything more than NEGATIVE .52. Which means basic strategy says you should do it in general, as that is what is calculated for a truecount of 0. You are also actually wrong to say you should double 11 against ace. The truecount threshold for that decision is actually the closest to 0 of anything, even closer than 16 against 10. The truecount threshold is -.04. Which means technically it increases your expected return if the count is 0 to double 11 against ace, but it is so slightly, that it is not worthwhile to do it for it raising the standard deviation of the outcome by doubling your bet, for the case of kelly optimality where you are concerned with your bankroll on a logarithmic scale and steps back are more substantial than steps forward. Meaning, only double 11 against ace if the count is actually POSITIVE. Note that includes the ace and the cards comprising the 11, so if you have a 4 and a 7 or a 5 and a 6, then there's a positive count from those 3 cards and it's worthwhile. And really the ace counts as a low card for that scenario, since you don't want to get an ace when doubling on 11, so the count is ostensibly high enough to justify it, if you aren't counting cards and know nothing but those 3 cards. But in general, only double 11 against ace if the count is positive, not 0 or negative.
Where are you getting these deviations? Also, in soft 17 games, basic strategy says to stand on soft 18 vs. 2.
Where do I get a stragetry card? Could you send me one? Thanks
You can download one for free online. Or buy one at any casino giftshop for a dollar.
You shouldn't split 7's against an 8 unless the true count equals or exceeds +5. That's if you can double after splitting. Good content though.
Split 7’s on dealers 2-7
There are different charts out there for a double deck game on different websites so this is somewhat of an opinion
Don't listen to them! Basic strategy NEVER changes, no matter how many decks are played.
Lloyd French Basic strategy does change . Especially when you count cards .
@@estar8204 It doesn't change when you count cards, only when you convert the running count to the true count. If you do this, then you can alter the basic strategy to become what is known as the professional strategy. But even most professional players will start off with the basic strategy regardless of how many decks are in play. Technically it should be changed slightly by the number of decks, but most people, and as I said even professionals don't bother to change the basic strategy due to the number of decks as it can change so often and overcomplicate things. Cheers.
Lloyd French It’s not called the professional strategy. It’s a deviation chart . When the true count reaches a certain number a lot of basic strategy can be deviated
@@estar8204 Yes, I'm aware of that thanks. A Mr. Cooper (I believe), from I.B.M. and Mr. Lance Hubbard who was a professor at the University of Toronto, teamed up and came up with the deviation based on the true count. They referred to it as the "professional strategy" as it improved the basic strategy in those circumstances where the true count reached a certain point. It brought the basic strategy to the level appropriate for professional players. The M.I.T. students who took a Las Vegas casino for millions used this deviation, and only to three levels up in the true count, which can be learned in about two weeks. You could be proficient in it in about a month. I tried it in Vegas in 1988 with some success, although I wasn't very proficient in it yet.
Double 9 vs 2? I don’t think that’s correct, they do have double deck with 3-2 blackjack. I’ve actually play a few with double after a split and stay on s17 as well.
It's a borderline decision, the advantage it gets you is not large and you may choose to ignore it and just play the 9 with a hit. But sorry, that IS what the basic strategy says, that you double 9 against 2 in 2 deck, but not in 6 deck.
This video was MISPLAYED.....WTF
yeah what charts is this guy reading??
There are weak cards, not dealer bust cards, drink after you make your goal or go to AA.
Explain this to me. Against a dealer's 4, basic strategy says to hit soft 14, but double soft 15. If you double them both, they have the same chance to hit 17, same chance to hit 18, 19, 20 or 21.
While I was typing this, I think I found the answer already, but I'll just leave this here as a brain teaser.
You are wrong you dont have the same chance to get 17-21 with A-3 vs A-4.
6 deck . . not 8 (mistake) I've never seen. 1 or 2 deck, however I've played only Atlantic City, Mississippi, & Reno . . . never Vegas !
In the double on 11 scenario the odds of a 10 is 4 out of 12 or 1/3 of the deck. You just checked for an ace. So you know the down card is not an ace, which leaves 12 possible options left. Also, all around the country including Indian run casinos the vast majority of games are 6 and 8 deck face up games. It's even hard to find a dealer stay on all 17's game. And don;t get me started on 6:5 blackjack.
Rookie - @ 4:45 he wants to double down and puts his chip beside the original one indicating a desire to split. Rather than putting it behind the original indicating a desire to double down. Shows his real knowledge of the game.
I would only double down when the DEALER has up a 5 or 6
Incorrect basic strategy. If you have 20 vs. dealer's under 10, you ALWAYS double down.
Correction on myself. Obviously I meant if you have 10 vs. dealer's under 10.
Two deck shoe??? WTF. Where are you playing, your Mom's house?
LMAO seriously. Unless you are playing in someone's basement, you won't find any 2 deck shoes. Nearly all of them are 6 decks.
theres some in my old town
I live in Vegas and you will find at least two tables with two deck shoes so they arnt really that rare to be honest
I've played several casinos and work in one. Most have 2-decks. 6-deck is the most common shoe but 2 and 4 decks are plentiful and in some places even single deck.
However, the casinos that don't hit on Soft 17 are becoming incredibly rare.
This video is just way too specific for a niche style of game.
I've heard of two deck pitch games but not a shoe game.
I would not always split aces and eights u could lose 2 hands instead of 1
I don't mean to be rude, but you should give up blackjack and take up knitting. Do you work for a casino? Your advice is good for them.
Never split fours just hit
I'm not sure how basic strategy differs when playing 2 deck as opposed to 6 deck. I watched the video and I felt as if he was giving bad advice in many of the instances he presented. But like I said he was dealing from 2 decks so maybe there's a difference. Also, the dealer was standing on all 17's. I dealt in a casino where we dealt a 6 deck shoe, no surrender and hit soft 17. I know basic strategy for that particular set of rules.
Basic strategy never changes. It doesn't matter if you're playing with a single deck or 8.
Ed Thorpe created basic strategy 😬
No he didn't, he created the first known card counting method. Basic strategy existed long before him.
Blackjack
Play 1 hand better for player
300 dollars
Or
Play 3 hand better for player
100 100 100 dollars
Why
16 vs. dealer 10 is the most misplayed hand. In this situation, you surrender. Otherwise, you hit. Don't stand on 16 vs. a dealer's 10.
Deviation says +3 TC you stay!!! Unless you can surrender
woyte69 basic strategy says hit tho and that’s pure math
Never split fours
If you are not allowed to double down after a split.
And if you can only on Dealers 5's and 6's
a hard 9 against a 2? whats a hard 9?
A 2 and 7; 3 and 6; 4 and 5. No aces involved.
splitting 5's against a dealer's 6 is just based on a people greediness - they want to get 2 low cards to double them both and win 4x instead of 2x in a scenario of a double down instead of splitting... and by the way - if dealer will show me an ace when ill have 11 i will take an insurance despite of all basic strategies, because i want to at least get even if there's a BJ out there, if i'll lose half my bet i still can win 1,5X, but i will take an insurance ONLY in case if dealer will give me an instant answer whether he has BJ or not, because some tables make it AFTER all players finished their drawing.
Any casino game is based on the fact that yes, we are greedy, we want to win. But splitting 5's is never a good idea. You can make 2 bad hands. And as far as the insurance bet, you are giving the house close to a 7% edge when you take it (if you're not counting). It's a suckers bet, you will lose it far more often than winning, and still run the risk of the dealer making a better hand than you, as the Ace is a stronger card than even a 10.
I dealt blackjack while I was in college (it was a good job.) The only hand from basic strategy that I disagree with is ALWAYS splitting 8’s. Against a 9 or 10, you’re throwing your money away. You’re better off hitting.
statistics say otherwise
You probably should not question basic strategy without mathematics or experimental evidence to back it off, just like how the people who discovered basic strategy proved their strategy.
Gary Lu Productions I agree with nearly every play because of basic strategy. I understand the math and logic behind it, as I studied math and computer science in college. It’s the only play I disagree with. Here’s why:
Dealer: *has 9 or 10 up*
You: *has 8’s*
Also you: “Lets make 2 18’s and cost myself twice as much money to lose to a 19 or 20.”
Warren Snook Math and expected value would give an explanation on why it is better. 16 vs 10 only wins 23% of the time and loses 77% of the time. The amount you would lose is (0.77-0.23)=0.54 times your bet. 8 vs 10 wins 38% of the time and loses 62% of the time which means that you would lose (0.62-0.38)=0.24. If you double that, you get 0.48, which is better than 0.54 bets. Note that you will not always get 18 (even if you get 18, it is still much better than 16) and the dealer would not always have 20 since only 4/13 of the cards have a value of 10. You could also get 10, 11 or soft 19. Even 12 or 13 vs 10 is much better than 16. You will lose two bets a majority of the time but each of your bets will win often enough to make you lose less than if you decided to play 16 vs 10.
Show me when 3 cards in a row are 10s the majority of the time.
Hard 9 against dealer 2 just hit don't double
You really sholdn't be giving blackjack advice. You have no clue how to play the game optimally. And for others that may have read this stupidity. Split 4's only against a 5 and a 6, hit on all other situations.
Lalo Eastside He also thinks that never bust is a good strategy.
@@laloeastside9669 yes I do know how to play
@@GaryLuKOTH it is
Piedad Stoffel If you did know how to play, you would know that never bust is a bad strategy. Do not try to fool me. And since you use never bust, I know that you have not actually won a lot of money from playing.
The basic strategy plays right into casino advantage
You need to learn Math, particularly stats. You have no clue what you are talking about.
@@laloeastside9669 no u need to know about all the money the casino makes by player busting and there not showing their hand leaving one card down
@@piedadstoffel5955 What in the hell are you talking about? What does their down card have to do with anything? It's another unseen card, as is the rest of the cards in the shoe you haven't seen yet. The casino makes all the money off you because you don't understand the math of winning, and talk like nothing more than a gambler. That's fine, us AP's need people like you to drop all your cash at the casino's and pretend you are so enlightened on how much money the casino's make. Go ahead and sit there thinking you have a clue, I'll be playing over here and making money.
@@laloeastside9669 I know math
This is rather irrelevant when considering most casino stacks are eight deck . . . this two deck, doesn't happen ! I've never seen a two deck shoe !
Paul Suprono they’re not uncommon in Washington
All Star Lanes Casino in Silverdale does like the video.
If u go by a basic strategy card u are playing right into casino advantage
i dont believe in win at end of casino with basic strategy, if it was so, than all casino was already closed. the real win can done by the 1080 system
webman box You can tell me that when I see your math or data behind your “system”.
@@GaryLuKOTH add me on skype: victor miqu -than i can show you more about it.
Hard 9 vs dealer is not a double hand.
* dealer 2
Ok....! 1st of all double deck you cant double down on any two cards. 2nd you can mainly double down on 10 &11 maybe a 9 if you find a casino allows that. Really don't know where you go off talking about all those doubling on double deck .
These hands are so misplayed, He actually misplayed one himself ! Do not split 7's against dealer 8.
Also, good luck finding these table rules anywhere except the high limit room.
In single and double deck, you should split 7’s against a dealer’s 8.
@@GaryLuKOTH The wizard of odds is WRONG to post that. You also should not split 6's against a 7 as he published. I calculated EVERY possible scenario and found the exact count thresholds for every decision, and I can tell you, there is NO count, no matter how high or low, where you should split 7's against an 8, OR 6's against a 7. Oddly enough though, for a moderately high positive count, you should split 2's against an 8.
medexamtoolsdotcom I made a mistake. You should split 7’s against 7 but I know that you should not split 7’s against 8.
medexamtoolsdotcom Actually, I got that from the chart mentioned here: www.888casino.com/blog/blackjack-strategy-guide/blackjack-charts
According to these charts, you would split 7’s against 8 on single and double deck but not on multiple decks.
Who The Hell Splits 5s Against A 6 😂
Itz CJ u never split 5
Okay okay, I get it, way too much thinking trying to have fun. I'll be the lazy idiot dumping money in slots and roulette forever...
Oh well. Your money, not mine.
Don’t use basic strategy unless your going to be playing a lot of hands. For me I never hit 16s unless I see a lot of 10s come out. Do whatever you feel in the moment, you’re not going to win money going off a book.
Or just count
No wonder owning a casino is such a profitable business.
How about 6 decks
The only thing that actually changes is that you shouldn't double 9 against 2. But that's only because the truecount threshold for doubling 9 against 2 is +1.0, and to be dealt a 9, that's 2 low cards, and the dealer's 2 is a third, so just by being dealt the hand, the count is already +3, so the difference between a 2 and 6 deck game becomes visible in the basic strategy there, since with a count of 3, the truecount in a 6 deck game knowing only those 3 cards, is +.5, which is below the threshold of 1.0, and the truecount in a 2 deck game knowing only those 3 cards, is +1.5, which is above the threshold. Really you shouldn't even be paying attention to basic strategy tables if you're doing it correctly, i.e. counting cards, you should be remembering thresholds for everything.
I would not split 7 on dealer 6 stay on hand
Piedad Stoffel lol dumbass
@@jonh2o not really u are
That card plays right into casino advantage player bust
So the rules you are setting to "teach" are the most rare blackjack rules ever that give the player as much of an advantage as possible? At least make it so dealer hits soft 17. Jesus.
K,
Why so much time spent on splitting 7's so rare. Then you spent so little time on A7 the most misplayed hand with 3 options depending on dealers up card. How about 9's against an 8 or 9 people always say I'm not messing with an 18. I always hit my 12 against a 3. but to be fair it is one of the closest plays in BJ, it's almost 50-50. One thing to remember is that when a dealer has a 7 or higher showing he only busts 24-26% of the time. So, all those people who stay on 15 and 16, will only win 1 out of 4 hands. They lose 75% of the time.
@Biff Jones When you have 12, it is a losing hand no matter what you do. Your trying to lose the least amount of money. Whether you hit 12 against a 3 or stay, its a close play. The rule for 12 is stay if dealer has 4,5,6, otherwise hit...
No offense to Shackleford but he's completely wrong on the Baccarat betting concept.
I would not split 77 on a dealer 6 I would stay on hand
Most misplayed hand is 8-8 vs. a 10.
You always split 8s unless your are counting AND have -1, -2, or -,3; correct? Or are you saying never split against a 10?
You never split 8-8 when dealer has 8 or Higher
Always split 8's!!!
Or 8-8 vs. A.
i would hit 8-8
Less than 50/50 to win on a double...no thanks, I'll take a hit thank you very much. Figure anything less than 9 will more than likely lose, or has for ME, every time I have tried it over the last 60 years or so. 39 "good" cards out of (104 -3 seen =) 101 cards or about a 38.6% chance to win with a double down. Even adding 8 as a "good" card still gives only a 46.5% chance. NOTE: I consider the chance of busting is offset by the chance you TOOK the Dealer's bust card and the chance of losing double vs winning single by hitting.
Oh well. More money for the casino because you refuse to use one of those moves that the player counts on to make the casinos’ advantages smaller.
@@GaryLuKOTH I love the 50/50 guys. Their math is so well thought out, I mean, what was the point of all those mathematicians doing all those complex calculations, as well as the statisticians coming up with probability theory, when you have geniuses like this and their "50/50" theories? Lol. Like you said, more money for the casinos, and more money for me to win.
Hard 9 against a 2 is just hit not double
It actually depends on what the table rules are. If it is single or double deck, you are actually better off doubling down.
NEVER EVER SPLIT 8's vs an Ace & vs a 10 even though the darn book nor any Expert tells you to do so.. it's SUICIDE!!! I've been playing BJ since 1983 and I'm talking thru experience. When I was a neophyte BJ player, I used to follow that darn book that says ALWAYS split 8's. So, l did in many instances & l barely made it. True, l won a few times when I split my 8's vs an Ace & vs a 10 but ONLY WHEN I WAS REALLY VERY LUCKY at the tables and I couldn't do anything wrong!! I started playing BJ when I was 33 years old and I'm 74 now. I STILL love playing the game of BJ and I could say that it's the BEST game in the casino followed by VIDEO POKER!!! Love those 2 games. My advice to gamblers: ALWAYS QUIT WHILE YOU'RE AHEAD!!!
purijohnston Arguing against proven strategy and people of high intelligence? SMH
this is how to lose
Says the person who probably buys 100 lottery tickets a month. You have no clue what you're talking about, please sit down.
You are the first one that says 11 against ace double down. Are you kidding me?
You should on games in which the dealer hits on soft 17 because the dealer is slightly more likely to bust.
11 vs. ace is a double in all double deck games, and in six deck games where the dealer hits soft 17. It is not a double in sex deck games where the dealer stands on soft 17.
So many times I've seen my friend double on his 11 when the dealer shows a 10, and he gets a shitty card and loses double his money. I NEVER double my 11 the dealer has a potential 20 or 21. Bad choice, and bad advice.
John Warren you should always double on 11
The probability that the dealer has 20 is the same as the probability that you get 21 (because you both have roughly equal probability of getting a 10). The dealer’s hole card is as weak as often as your drawn card is. However, you have the edge because if you both get a 10, you would have the dealer beat by 1. A double down does not need to win extremely often. It only needs to win more than 50% of the time to be more profitable.
And stop questioning proven statistics without your own math or data to back it up.
you should check it at long term, the most people lose beacase they think next bet they should win it, casino dont work so, you need use the system 1080 to win real in casino, other systems of MIT team dont work
webman box Even though it worked for MIT?
@@GaryLuKOTH yes it worked in %.
You only split aces and eights
Worst. Casino. Ever! :)
How have 66,000 people watched this elementary video?
I would not hit 12 or 13 against dealer 2 or 3
Basic strategy says to hit 12 against a dealer's 2 or 3 but standing on 13 against a dealer's 2 or 3 is absolutely correct.
I don't believe in basic strategy
+ Piedad Stoffel Good! More money for you to leave at the tables, for people like us AP's to take. We love superstitious players, as to casinos.
mostly stoffel that's true but if you watch the shoe and alot of face cards are played you might want to hit . other players will not be happy with you taking the dealers bust card believe me been there , the other players had 100s boy they looked mad
+allen mosley, who the hell cares what other players think or feel about how you play. I gives no shits if you get mad if I hit my 12 and catch a 10, then the dealer makes his hand. It's my hand, my money, I'll play my hand how I want to play it. Play your hand right, 100% of the time, and no one can tell you shit.
Soft 17 against the dealers two or three you double. Do not split sevens against dealers eight. I stopped watching the video After those two mistakes
soft 18 and your doubling down against a 3, seriously 0o
Yes, because you have the edge on soft 18 vs 3 and drawing one card.
At least show the cards instead of keeping them face down...
Uuj
You need to go go back to school, totally cr*"ap lol
Even though everything he said is correct?
@@GaryLuKOTH Not everything. It's questionable whether to double 11 vs ace, but he definitely said you should not double soft 18 against 2, and in fact you should.
medexamtoolsdotcom That is not always true. In H17 games, basic strategy says to double down on 11 vs. ace and on soft 18 vs 2. However, in soft 17 games, basic strategy says that you do not.
Basic strategy is for losers
who plays on a 2 deck shoe. this is horrible advice
Boring!!
Take this video down and redo it