The surprise names that could lose their seats at the election | LBC analysis

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  • Опубліковано 29 вер 2024
  • The polls are all showing one thing: Conservative wipeout. But how severe will it be, and who will be caught in the crossfire? LBC's political editor and correspondent Natasha Clark, and our new political correspondent Aggie Chambre take a look at the most interesting battleground seats.
    Will Nigel Farage make it eighth time lucky and win in Clacton? Will any big name Labour candidates be thwarted from imminent government by George Galloway's upstart Workers' Party? And who will be left in the Conservative ranks to lead the party into the next Parliament?
    00:23 Jeremy Hunt
    02:05 Grant Shapps and Suella Braverman?
    02:31 Penny Mordaunt
    02:45 Rishi Sunak
    03:43 Giles Watling vs Nigel Farage vs Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
    06:01 Lee Anderson
    07:51 Sir Geoffrey Cox
    09:53 Thangam Debbonaire vs Carla Denyer
    11:45 Iain Duncan Smith
    13:45 Steve Baker
    15:03 Angela Rayner vs George Galloway’s Workers’ Party
    15:53 Stephen Flynn
    Listen to the full show on Global Player: app.af.globalp...
    #natashaclark #ukelection #LBC
    LBC is the home of live debate around news and current affairs in the UK.
    Join in the conversation and listen at www.lbc.co.uk/
    Sign up to LBC’s weekly newsletter here: l-bc.co/signup

КОМЕНТАРІ • 614

  • @davidpanton3192
    @davidpanton3192 3 місяці тому +182

    Look, a Portillo moment is when someone unexpectedly loses their seat. If it's expected, it's not a Portillo.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 3 місяці тому +10

      True... But, still, we would all love to see many, many ' Portillo moments '....

    • @julianshepherd2038
      @julianshepherd2038 3 місяці тому +5

      Still funny though

    • @katrinabryce
      @katrinabryce 3 місяці тому +8

      There's two factors that made it a Portillo moment:
      One, as you pointed out is that it was unexpeccted.
      The other is that he was one of the favourites to become the next Tory leader.
      If Kemi Badenoch were to lose her seat, that would be a Portillo moment.
      Mordant, Hunt, etc, are expected.
      Sunak is the one person who will definitely not be the next Tory leader. If he were to lose his seat, it would be a Sunak moment, not a Portillo moment.

    • @ethzero
      @ethzero 3 місяці тому +4

      One does not expect a _Portillo_ moment,
      One does expect a _Portaloo_ moment.

    • @Mitjitsu
      @Mitjitsu 3 місяці тому +3

      @@katrinabryce It's unthinkable for a sitting PM to lose their seat. Even if Sunak plans to move to California after the election. He would not want that on his CV.

  • @michaelmouse4024
    @michaelmouse4024 3 місяці тому +10

    The Sunday 'mail & express' headlines say Starmer will wreck Britain in 100 days. That's interesting... Truss was much faster than that

  • @davidallen3977
    @davidallen3977 3 місяці тому +13

    Jeremy Hunt does not mention which party he is standing for.

    • @Steve-s8k
      @Steve-s8k 2 місяці тому

      If it is anything like the last few years, the Lib Dems.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 2 місяці тому

      @@Steve-s8k The Lib Dems would disown him, if they have any common sense... We really need to get ALL this shower OUT !

  • @bernardmaasdijk734
    @bernardmaasdijk734 3 місяці тому +62

    "Farage's Clacton". Let's not get ahead of ourselves please.

    • @JennyDarren
      @JennyDarren 3 місяці тому +1

      I don’t think they are.

    • @bernardmaasdijk734
      @bernardmaasdijk734 3 місяці тому

      ​@@chadvader974Yeah, you're right.

    • @plasterer1672
      @plasterer1672 3 місяці тому +2

      A vote for any body else other Reform will be a disaster for our country

  • @davidellis2021
    @davidellis2021 3 місяці тому +18

    Weird pronunciation of Godalming.

    • @stephenpalmer9375
      @stephenpalmer9375 3 місяці тому +2

      i know right, it makes me cringe every time someone says it. It's similar to when people pronounce Havant as HAVE-ANT

    • @ethzero
      @ethzero 3 місяці тому +1

      ​@@stephenpalmer9375Yeah, those people Havant got a clue!

    • @richard766723
      @richard766723 3 місяці тому +3

      Being a resident of da ming for years thats not the worst mispronounciation I've heard

    • @RonnieMcNairney
      @RonnieMcNairney 3 місяці тому +1

      Is that where Genesis came from ???
      Vote Labour 😊

    • @Leigh-ry3yb
      @Leigh-ry3yb 3 місяці тому

      ​@@richard766723Recently moved from Godalming to Yeovil! West Country is a 3rd world dump due to mass immigration it's destroyed England

  • @parametr
    @parametr 3 місяці тому +4

    These two have great chemistry. Loved the format.
    Natasha is also turning out to be quite brilliant as a host.
    Well done you!

    • @beasmith1
      @beasmith1 3 місяці тому

      Isn't a patch on Theo. Wish he'd come back.

  • @AuntieSally-go1lh
    @AuntieSally-go1lh 3 місяці тому +6

    James cleverly!its on a knife edge here in Braintree, come on everyone get out and vote

    • @markryan3498
      @markryan3498 3 місяці тому +1

      i will *REFORM UK ALL THE WAY*

    • @clivekallman1201
      @clivekallman1201 3 місяці тому +1

      That would definitely be my moment of the night
      You may hear me cheering all the way from Lancashire

    • @BeccaAl
      @BeccaAl 3 місяці тому

      According to tactical voting website- Vote Matthew Wright Labour (not the LBC host!) to UNSEAT James not-so Cleverly!
      Not-so’s Gaffs include- ‘joking’ about putting a date rpe drg in drinks hours after introducing a raft of new measures to supposedly tackle the epidemic of sxual crimes, with less than 1% of assailants convicted.
      If you care about peoples safety from sxual predators crimes- vote Matthew Wright.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 2 місяці тому

      @@clivekallman1201 Possibly another famous 'Portillo moment ' then...

  • @akaski777
    @akaski777 3 місяці тому +20

    Reform all hot air again

    • @tryingmybest9819
      @tryingmybest9819 3 місяці тому

      Only because of FPTP. They'd get lots of representation in PR or AV. Almost makes me re-think my support for voting reform.

    • @johnholmes5674
      @johnholmes5674 3 місяці тому

      VOTE REFORM. Tory’s failed. LIEbour is the continuity party. No change there. Just more immigration.

    • @MrDavey2010
      @MrDavey2010 3 місяці тому +1

      And extremely dangerous!

    • @Steve-s8k
      @Steve-s8k 3 місяці тому

      @@MrDavey2010 Oh dear, listening to MSM again without even knowing the party or their manifesto. The party that looks like will win the GE .are more dangerous than them

    • @unknownguy-le1hr
      @unknownguy-le1hr 3 місяці тому

      they will win cry about it

  • @davekincla9818
    @davekincla9818 3 місяці тому +15

    I remember when we used to condemn fascists… Yet you called them marmite. Would you called BMP marmite? Because thats essentially what they are as shown in that undercover video by Channel 4.

    • @methanedirigible
      @methanedirigible 3 місяці тому +1

      The British Mational Party? 🇰🇾

    • @Steve-s8k
      @Steve-s8k 3 місяці тому +1

      No, a few extreme canvassers, which you get in ALL parties doesn't represent the whole party, because if that is the case, then Labour should be tarred with the same brush.

    • @Dilbert-o5k
      @Dilbert-o5k 3 місяці тому

      Probably wasn't reform but ch4 or other setup, keep up.

    • @arabellacox
      @arabellacox 3 місяці тому +2

      It's true! Reform has replaced the BNP

    • @Steve-s8k
      @Steve-s8k 3 місяці тому

      @@arabellacox And Labour have just replaced the Soviet Communist Party.

  • @luke7708
    @luke7708 3 місяці тому +1

    I can't quite understand a journalist saying something along the lines of "obviously something we've not had much time to talk about so far in this election" with regards to the SNP's potential loss of seats.....the election has been six weeks, one of the longest on record, journalists choose what they decide to talk about and they have mainly gone along with the politicians and focused on tax. The laser focus on tax increases has been at the detriment of all the important issues that needed to be talked about. There's issues I wanted more clarity on to make an informed decision at the polls.
    Politicians and backroom spin doctors should not be setting the media agenda and real journalism needs to be asking about the subjects that the public want clarity on and what the politicians are deliberately being evasive about.

  • @markwilliams1374
    @markwilliams1374 3 місяці тому +2

    that subtle hint of schadenfruiede in the air

  • @carlitor4173
    @carlitor4173 3 місяці тому +13

    I hope rayner does that would be classic, tories 0 seats

    • @dragonfly6908
      @dragonfly6908 3 місяці тому

      You have heard of the phrase "thick as mince"?.

    • @carlitor4173
      @carlitor4173 3 місяці тому

      @@dragonfly6908 I think you misunderstood me

    • @beasmith1
      @beasmith1 3 місяці тому

      @@dragonfly6908 She's not part of the Reform National front LTD company.

  • @actionjackson493
    @actionjackson493 3 місяці тому +1

    A perfect election result would be a labour landslide but Raynor losing her seat. Can't stand the woman.

  • @PaulHooton-w8w
    @PaulHooton-w8w 3 місяці тому +1

    Come on you could put a blue rosette on pig in west Devon they'd still vote Tory their not going to lose west Devon

  • @alanpartridge1385
    @alanpartridge1385 3 місяці тому

    "Literally anything could happen"?
    Beg to differ with you there, Jeremy. "Literally anything" couldn't happen, unless you literally think it's possible that, for example, Elvis could descend on a white cloud on polling day, add his name to the ballot and win with a majority of 50,000.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 2 місяці тому +1

      Ha ha ha... Very funny, and correct... I think that most people don't understand what the word..... ' Literally ' ..... actually means... Perhaps would have been better to say.... " Almost anything could happen " ?

  • @orraman5427
    @orraman5427 3 місяці тому

    Was the real reason why Sunak was campaigning in a "safe seat" in Devon simply that he was hiding from anyone who would ask him an awkward question?

    • @Nemothewonderfish
      @Nemothewonderfish 3 місяці тому +1

      Nope, desperation as no safe seats

    • @orraman5427
      @orraman5427 3 місяці тому

      @@Nemothewonderfish You've got a point there.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 2 місяці тому

      @@Nemothewonderfish Yes, totally agree... I doubt if there is such a thing as a ' safe Tory seat ' any longer... Will be fascinating as the results start to come in, after 10 pm on 4th July.... Exciting, isn't it ?

  • @stevebell6057
    @stevebell6057 3 місяці тому

    Enjoyed that - more of these two please (and give the Usual LBC Windbag Suspects - a few months off).

  • @JohnPark-xf2gq
    @JohnPark-xf2gq 3 місяці тому +2

    They both sound like tories to me.

  • @michaeltschuertz
    @michaeltschuertz 3 місяці тому

    1:20. No. Not Portillo. There is no chance Jeremy Hunt will lead the tories after the election.

  • @bigkdog5091
    @bigkdog5091 3 місяці тому +1

    Bring Theo back, LBC

  • @jonathanpaske2739
    @jonathanpaske2739 3 місяці тому

    There in Wales its a one party state Labour never anything else your fecked if you want anything different

  • @cg986
    @cg986 3 місяці тому

    The moment is now.

  • @saturdayplayer2492
    @saturdayplayer2492 3 місяці тому

    Can't think of many of any political persuasion that I'd trust.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 2 місяці тому

      Was that a spelling mistake ?.... Did you mean... Can't think of ANY.....?

  • @Morefreebies
    @Morefreebies 3 місяці тому

    Natasha clarke is beautiful

  • @tamhunter5025
    @tamhunter5025 3 місяці тому

    These two are hsvering

  • @garethgriffiths1674
    @garethgriffiths1674 3 місяці тому +1

    Interesting that they refer to Farage just by his first name, very chummy. Something of a "tell" of their allegiances.

  • @jasoncooper9391
    @jasoncooper9391 3 місяці тому +304

    Duncan Smith should be in jail for what he did to the sick and disabled people

    • @El_Paracleto
      @El_Paracleto 3 місяці тому

      Dunked in Schmidt is currently penning his argument to 'justify such cruelty', as he starts to fade away into JUDGEMENT!!!

    • @luke7708
      @luke7708 3 місяці тому +13

      Probably be continued under Labour

    • @mildlydispleased3221
      @mildlydispleased3221 3 місяці тому +29

      ​@@luke7708Oh, grow up.

    • @luke7708
      @luke7708 3 місяці тому +11

      @@mildlydispleased3221 I'm saying it out of fear and because of Liz Kendall's past history

    • @russellbradley454
      @russellbradley454 3 місяці тому

      What nonsense about locking up people you don't agree with it's no Russia,China or North Korea

  • @BeccaAl
    @BeccaAl 3 місяці тому +30

    5:15 mmm Jeremy Corbyn drew more than 7,000 people to cheer for his Labour Party so Nigel isn’t all that at drawing crowds.

    • @johncranwell3783
      @johncranwell3783 3 місяці тому +2

      Doesn’t stop Farage being a huge danger to this country

    • @Fencesitter-cb9md
      @Fencesitter-cb9md 2 місяці тому

      Corbyn has led the largest ( by number of votes cast nationwide) party in the UK……he should be drawing crowds of hundreds of thousands…..Farage has never been a British MP and is drawing huge crowds everywhere he speaks…oh how salty are the lefty tears

  • @AgentGreyFox
    @AgentGreyFox 3 місяці тому +78

    The whole ERG, hard right and the Brexiteers should go. Patel, Braverman, Kemi, Mogg, Truss, Shapps, Smith, Gendrick ...🤞🏽

    • @chrisjames5478
      @chrisjames5478 3 місяці тому

      Vote reform to keep out the return to the most globalist corrupted organisation in the planet the European Union off corruption that why the populism party to rise to kick out the hated corrupted unvoted corrupted organisation on the planet it about time it was broken up and country's got there sovereignty back and have the own independence like we have here in are own country a FREE Britain 🇬🇧 go madam pen villa France 🇫🇷

  • @markc8956
    @markc8956 3 місяці тому +12

    ALL of us in Scotland will be delighted when Penny loses her seat as she's shown so much contempt and hatred for us up here.

  • @peterrauth118
    @peterrauth118 3 місяці тому +179

    Please let it be Mogg 🙏🙏

    • @simonporter8372
      @simonporter8372 3 місяці тому +19

      I've been following the polls on a few seats for last month. Mogg is definitely out.

    • @peterrauth118
      @peterrauth118 3 місяці тому +11

      @@simonporter8372 Thanks. Prayers hopefully answered.

    • @geraldbutler5484
      @geraldbutler5484 3 місяці тому +11

      So many people want to see that smug get Mogg get the rough end of the pineapple.

    • @simonporter8372
      @simonporter8372 3 місяці тому +4

      @@peterrauth118
      Aside from Tory unpopularity there has also been a boundary change. His seat now also part of the one won in a by election earlier in the year by Labour.
      Last four weeks polls Labour have been circa 44%, Conservatives dropped from 34% to 25%. Reform increased from 10% to 17%.

    • @boogaloo4640
      @boogaloo4640 3 місяці тому +6

      He's been very quiet for the past few weeks, hasn't he? I guess he's seen as a vote loser & have him locked away somewhere in the hope that his constituents forget how awful he is & just tick the Tory box, as usual

  • @RichardStephens-bt6or
    @RichardStephens-bt6or 3 місяці тому +84

    Clacton chanting Nigel Farages name This has never happened before? Have you ever heard of a guy called Jeremy Corbyn?

    • @sfactory8253
      @sfactory8253 3 місяці тому +9

      So many errors in this piece like they did it on purpose .

    • @johnholmes5674
      @johnholmes5674 3 місяці тому +9

      Oh yea Jeremy. The top man that Heil Starmer kicked out of the party 🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂

    • @juliejeavons6949
      @juliejeavons6949 3 місяці тому +15

      She gave away her allegiance when she said it was amazing. Most sane people find it alarming.
      No mention of how many of those hundreds were bused in.

    • @ArtyFactual_Intelligence
      @ArtyFactual_Intelligence 3 місяці тому +4

      And, from the account it was a few hundred chanting, like at a League One Game.

    • @colinbaker3916
      @colinbaker3916 3 місяці тому +2

      Farage’s fellow Brexiter?

  • @troubledjoe6201
    @troubledjoe6201 3 місяці тому +57

    Why refer to Nigel Farage in such chummy first name terms when that is not extended to the others under discussion ?

    • @mrbeezkeez1599
      @mrbeezkeez1599 3 місяці тому +3

      Because he is not MP nor has held the title of Rt.Honorable. He is just a privateer.

    • @Under-Shepherd
      @Under-Shepherd 3 місяці тому

      The same goes for Sunak with folk and the media referring to him as Rishi as if he's their best mate when actualy he is just another Tory rat.

    • @methanedirigible
      @methanedirigible 3 місяці тому +3

      Because people, in the end, when you boil it down, are morons.

  • @reggied1250
    @reggied1250 3 місяці тому +247

    Speaking as a genuine revolutionary socialist I would gladly tactically vote lib Dem if it meant getting sueella out of parliament

    • @Boghopper9999
      @Boghopper9999 3 місяці тому +33

      Thumbs up for all anti Reform and Tory tactical voting; one exception, Vote Tory to keep Farage out if you live in Clacton (sadly none of the progressive parties have a realistic chance of winning there, so lesser evil time)

    • @thedirtychips8556
      @thedirtychips8556 3 місяці тому

      Nazis were a socialist party

    • @oceanofrose
      @oceanofrose 3 місяці тому +1

      what party would you usually choose to vote for?

    • @mup_pet
      @mup_pet 3 місяці тому +31

      I'm going to be disappointed if the Libs don't become the official opposition, now. Can you imagine how this would shift the nation's debate? No more, or at least far less of this anti-woke, anti-refugee dog whistling, but a focus on the really important issues, like PR, closer ties with Europe, the cost of living, public services and the NHS.

    • @oceanofrose
      @oceanofrose 3 місяці тому +4

      @@mup_pet don’t get my hopes up too much. we’re only winning in my constituency by a matter of hundreds of votes- my nails are the shortest they’ve ever been

  • @two20john
    @two20john 3 місяці тому +26

    Johnson ran away before he could suffer the humiliation of losing his seat, in the same way he ran off after being expelled from Parliament. Coward!! My wishlist is Rees-Mogg, Truss, Sunak, and many other big mouths whose names escape me.

  • @gabrielc1989w
    @gabrielc1989w 3 місяці тому +64

    Penny Mordaunt is a joke with her “stand up and fight” speech. But I will remember her by her coronation Poundland outfit.

    • @sfactory8253
      @sfactory8253 3 місяці тому +2

      Lego character .

    • @JohnPark-xf2gq
      @JohnPark-xf2gq 3 місяці тому +5

      Penny more dense.

    • @colinbaker3916
      @colinbaker3916 3 місяці тому +3

      But didn’t she look great in a swimsuit when she belly flopped?

    • @boogaloo4640
      @boogaloo4640 3 місяці тому +6

      It's weird how many Tories seem to think that the ability to hold a sword without falling over, means that someone is fit to run the country. I'll laugh my socks off if she loses her seat

    • @growlerthe2nd712
      @growlerthe2nd712 3 місяці тому +1

      @@boogaloo4640She’s in real danger of losing her seat 😂🎉

  • @Jourifouler
    @Jourifouler 3 місяці тому +126

    1 seat too many for the Torys

    • @CRINOTH
      @CRINOTH 3 місяці тому +1

      That depends upon who the 1 is...

    • @adblocker276
      @adblocker276 3 місяці тому

      One story MP is too many crooks in the Commons

    • @adblocker276
      @adblocker276 3 місяці тому

      *Tory

    • @davidmorgan6896
      @davidmorgan6896 3 місяці тому +3

      ​@@CRINOTHthey mean any seat is one too many. And quite right too.

    • @CRINOTH
      @CRINOTH 3 місяці тому

      @@davidmorgan6896 Yes, I understood that exactly. I just can't agree that one Conservative MP would be one too many as an abstract idea. If they went down to one MP I'd decide whether that was one too many based upon who that lone MP was.

  • @ivorlongshot
    @ivorlongshot 3 місяці тому +2

    Id love to see Streeting & Starmer to lose their seats & Akehurst to not win North Durham losing Labour a 20,000 majority.

  • @slumbercat
    @slumbercat 3 місяці тому +13

    please please please tell me that Hatred Grease Smug will lose his seat!!!! PLEASE!!

    • @methanedirigible
      @methanedirigible 3 місяці тому +1

      😂 just the idea of someone naming their baby ‘Hatred’. 👶

    • @slumbercat
      @slumbercat 3 місяці тому

      @@methanedirigible haha

  • @RichardFraser-y9t
    @RichardFraser-y9t 3 місяці тому +68

    Stop The Tories dot Vote

  • @tryingmybest9819
    @tryingmybest9819 3 місяці тому +14

    Sunak is resigning even if he does hold his seat

  • @julianshepherd2038
    @julianshepherd2038 3 місяці тому +63

    Do not vote Tory ffs

    • @johnholmes5674
      @johnholmes5674 3 місяці тому +3

      No one is voting Tory. EVERYONE IS VOTING REFORM

    • @ramkedoodle
      @ramkedoodle 3 місяці тому +13

      ​@@johnholmes5674when you walk do the clown shoes make a squeaky noise or is it more of a quiet honk

    • @LainLainyLain
      @LainLainyLain 3 місяці тому +1

      ​@@ramkedoodle😂👏🏻

    • @meltodd4103
      @meltodd4103 3 місяці тому +1

      @@ramkedoodle 🤣🤣🤣

    • @col.hertford9855
      @col.hertford9855 3 місяці тому +1

      Except in clacton

  • @NoJusticeMTG
    @NoJusticeMTG 3 місяці тому +8

    Talking about Ashfield with no mention of Jason Zadrozny? The labour-indy split is the only thing keeping Lee Anderson in the hunt.

    • @Jdsfbgfvbvxv
      @Jdsfbgfvbvxv 3 місяці тому

      30p lee is a feckless hunt

    • @JohnPark-xf2gq
      @JohnPark-xf2gq 3 місяці тому

      Don't forget about 30plee mate who made out he did not know goril
      Aman

    • @BeccaAl
      @BeccaAl 3 місяці тому

      What a character Jason Zadrozny is 🤦🏻‍♀️
      Ashfield certainly has a few of them!

  • @billfisher1887
    @billfisher1887 3 місяці тому +19

    Not bothered one bit they all had their chance and blew it

  • @strictlygrey
    @strictlygrey 3 місяці тому +11

    I thinks theres a serious disconnect, or void even, between politics and the experiences of a majority of people in this country. People are absolutely sick beyond comprehension of the fun and games these morons play with peoples lives.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 3 місяці тому +1

      So it is up to ALL of us to do something about it.... Don't stay at home..!

    • @AngloSaxonFreeBritain
      @AngloSaxonFreeBritain 3 місяці тому

      Yes vote Reform…let’s make the change

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 3 місяці тому

      @@AngloSaxonFreeBritain Yes... I believe that, no matter what happens during the last few days before 4th July, that most people already know where they are going to put their ' X ' on the Ballot paper... This is a ' once in a Century ' chance for all of us to do SOMETHING for our Country...

  • @IRE59
    @IRE59 3 місяці тому +56

    Why should we talk about the constituency of Reforms only MP, why not talk about the only constituency represented by a Green .
    The media must take responsibility for feeding the awful extremists ,fuelling bigotry and enabling the rise of extremism

    • @mocko9912
      @mocko9912 3 місяці тому +2

      Trouble is if you love him or hate him, he gets you clicks and views

    • @johnrussell3961
      @johnrussell3961 3 місяці тому

      The British media totally ignored what actually happened in the Europeans. There was no huge surge to the far right.
      Millions switched from the socialists to the greens!

    • @colinbaker3916
      @colinbaker3916 3 місяці тому +4

      They talked about the constituency the Greens could take from a high profile Labour figure.

    • @denz180
      @denz180 3 місяці тому +1

      Yeah it's insane the amount of coverage reform get

    • @beasmith1
      @beasmith1 3 місяці тому

      Because the country may be more centrist, but the media including people working for LBC, are right wing.

  • @AL-YT-comment
    @AL-YT-comment 3 місяці тому +8

    Johnny Mercer, that nearby Portsmouth seat. This proving that Plymouth is a far removed politically from London as say Whitehaven. Just because they have the same first letter, and finish in the same fairly common ending, it doesn’t make them near each other. Google makes it a 3.5 hour drive.

    • @sfactory8253
      @sfactory8253 3 місяці тому +1

      Noticed that . Lee Anderson no mention of the independent candidate making it a 3 or 4 way marginal.

  • @duckweedy
    @duckweedy 3 місяці тому +11

    Locals don't like Lee Anderson as they see him as a chancer as he has changed party allegiances twice now.

  • @snacks1184
    @snacks1184 3 місяці тому +49

    I want to vote Green but I am voting Labour for tactical reasons. Keep the Tories out.

    • @janwallace5005
      @janwallace5005 3 місяці тому +5

      Don't forget to email the labour MP if they win and tell them you are only loaning them your vote and you want to see PR on the next manifesto.

    • @rolandrothwell4840
      @rolandrothwell4840 3 місяці тому +5

      Mistake! Vote for what you believe in - Vote 🗳 Green 💚

    • @KatytheNightOwl
      @KatytheNightOwl 3 місяці тому +1

      ​@@rolandrothwell4840
      I had a postal vote, & voted Green!
      Labour is guaranteed to get in, no matter what, with FPTP, so we really should vote for who we truly believe in - I believe in the Greens, but NOT in Starmer! :/

    • @jeanpaice2021
      @jeanpaice2021 3 місяці тому

      Foolish person..out of the frying pan into the fire.. no one should vote tory or Labour. You vote Labour.. they are the tories or worse by another name.

    • @adamwilcox6405
      @adamwilcox6405 3 місяці тому +6

      ​@@KatytheNightOwlThe idea that Labour are guaranteed to get in and so not voting for them is exactly what the Tories want you to think.

  • @gascaptain
    @gascaptain 3 місяці тому +26

    Please do not make "Nigel" a thing, his name is either Nigel Farage or Farage. It was bad enough with "Boris"

    • @tx5190
      @tx5190 3 місяці тому +3

      "That Pillock" is what I call him.

    • @kevinwillis6707
      @kevinwillis6707 2 місяці тому

      And rishi

  • @marksandsmith6778
    @marksandsmith6778 3 місяці тому +4

    When can we hear Natasha's
    Programme?
    Can't Iain Dale spare a few hours
    ❔❔❔❔

  • @stephenhill545
    @stephenhill545 3 місяці тому +8

    A new public school political correspondent.🤔

  • @johnproton259
    @johnproton259 3 місяці тому +35

    It's going to be fascinating to see just how ignorant the people of Clacton, Essex are. Fascinating!

    • @stephenhill545
      @stephenhill545 3 місяці тому +3

      Don't get your hopes up.

    • @alanpage3973
      @alanpage3973 3 місяці тому +5

      I live in Clacton believe me there ignorant

    • @markryan3498
      @markryan3498 3 місяці тому +3

      they would have been Monumentally ignorant if they had gone on to vote in the Labour candidate.

    • @johnwhalley8270
      @johnwhalley8270 3 місяці тому

      Ironically, they live in South Holland, an area of the UK named of course for the southern area of the Netherlands. But pay no mind to this. ​@@stephenhill545

    • @ArtyFactual_Intelligence
      @ArtyFactual_Intelligence 3 місяці тому +11

      @@markryan3498 Reform are appropriately named.
      Like the ingredients on McD chicken nuggets...
      Reformed, mechanically separated pieces of ukip skin, brexit-party bones and BNP connective tissue.

  • @gordonarmstrong2208
    @gordonarmstrong2208 3 місяці тому +1

    I can’t hear Steve Baker’s name without thinking “Brexit hardman Steve Baker” (thankyou, James O’Brien, for that)

    • @kevinwillis6707
      @kevinwillis6707 2 місяці тому

      "Fast catamaran sailing"😅 he resembles partridge more and more each day.

  • @bustedfender
    @bustedfender 3 місяці тому +5

    It’s pronounced Goddle-ming and Ash, like Jeremy’s career.

    • @methanedirigible
      @methanedirigible 3 місяці тому

      Actually it’s pronounced ‘Gooth-oil-mung’. Source: I live there

    • @bustedfender
      @bustedfender 3 місяці тому

      @@methanedirigible twinned with Golgafrincham

  • @jackpirie7382
    @jackpirie7382 3 місяці тому +3

    Regarding Scotland there will be thousands normally voted SNP will vote Labour. However the voters after 2014 were Labour voters and went to the SNP. I believe if Starmers keeps verging into the right, (remember the polls for Independence are still 45% plus) people and voters will turn again to the SNP and Independence polls for Independent will go sky high. Scots do not trust the Tories and hoped Starmers will aid them if he goes too right they will not trust Labour.

  • @connclissmann6514
    @connclissmann6514 3 місяці тому +4

    All seats COULD change. What your introduction might have said is which seats are*likely* to change the MP.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 2 місяці тому

      Yes, precisely.... All 650 seats COULD change.... What we will find out, on 4th/5th July, is ... How many will ACTUALLY change.... Not long to wait.....

  • @mrsmiggins9465
    @mrsmiggins9465 3 місяці тому +4

    I havent had ANY candidate knock on my door??? Where are they? My daughter has had ONE..we live 15 mins apart..surely you would work work work to canvas when you know THIS ELECTION is CRUCIAL😮

    • @alana8863
      @alana8863 3 місяці тому +1

      My constituency has 60,000 people in it. If the candidate spent three mins at each door, that would take about 2,000 hours.
      Most candidates work, so eight hours a week going door-to-door each week would be a lot. The candidates in some cases have been chosen in just the last few weeks, but even the earliest choices were made a year ago. So their time to go door-to-door is limited.
      Even if the candidate could manage eight hours it would take five years to reach all doors.
      But it's worse than that.
      This eight hours wouldn't include the time spent at campaign meetings. debates, preparation of materials, leafletting, writing to specific constituents, dealing with local and national media, answering enquiries, visiting local places of importance such as hospitals, schools, etc, attending party meetings, doing publicity work, organising canvassers, etc, etc.
      My local Labour candidate has worked tirelessly. I can't believe how hard it's been for him (he's a friend of a friend so I know a lot about him). He's the CEO of a charity, and still has to do his job every day. I doubt that he's got to more that a fraction of the doors.
      So don't be upset if you don't get a visit.

    • @alanmichael5619
      @alanmichael5619 3 місяці тому

      There's a few reasons why that might happen.
      1) There's a *lot* of doors in a constituency. It takes literally thousands of hours to do - there's only about 1000 hours in total throughout the entire campaign (6 weeks).
      2) Door knocking isn't the *only* method of campaigning
      3) MPs will be helping to campaign in *competitive* seats. So if your constituency isn't competitive you're less likely to get a visit.
      4) If you ward isn't very competitive then, again, the MP is unlikely to visit.
      5) Political parties know if you are a reliable voter or not - when they're canvassing they'll literally have a list where it shows which elections you've voted in. If they've spoken to you before they're likely to have a record of your party allegiance and your most important issues (seriously, their databases are massive). So if you consistently vote one way - then, again, you're less likely to get a visit (especially earlier in the campaign) as the parties want to target voters that are likely to change their mind.

  • @andiidoode
    @andiidoode 3 місяці тому +5

    Are these two the exact same person?🤔

    • @stevemanser.
      @stevemanser. 3 місяці тому +1

      Hahah I thought exactly the same thing. Like a classic student UA-cam skit for a final year project, with some fun cuts.

  • @bombheadgames9565
    @bombheadgames9565 3 місяці тому +1

    If your undecided its simple. Vote for the party that when you google [party] russian money doesn't scare you to death!

  • @ay2257
    @ay2257 3 місяці тому +4

    Do I dare to dream of these outcomes

  • @gerardmackay8909
    @gerardmackay8909 3 місяці тому +47

    Sounds like Labour supporters in Clacton should tactically vote Tory.

    • @Boghopper9999
      @Boghopper9999 3 місяці тому +12

      Agreed; lesser evil

    • @FranzBieberkopf
      @FranzBieberkopf 3 місяці тому +5

      Or vice-versa😊

    • @Nice0n3
      @Nice0n3 3 місяці тому

      @@FranzBieberkopf Except most tory voters in those areas spontaniously go up in flames in they go anywhere near the box sayin "Labour".

    • @johnrussell3961
      @johnrussell3961 3 місяці тому +2

      Or just remove their candidate?

    • @anonomous8719
      @anonomous8719 3 місяці тому +9

      Just give up - vote reform

  • @JennyDarren
    @JennyDarren 3 місяці тому +1

    I can’t believe that David Cameron is actually wearing shoes that are relative to walking. When he was on holiday a few years ago, he was wearing his black no 10 trousers & his smart black shoes in a beach cafe! unbelievable! Press really picked up on it. In the meantime: Mrs. Cameron was wearing a strappy summer dress and flip-flops. When in Rome……..

  • @latest3dsgames
    @latest3dsgames 3 місяці тому +1

    Vote Labour for more of the same

  • @mikestorey4023
    @mikestorey4023 3 місяці тому +2

    Why are you spending so much time talking about a minor party with limited appeal? Where is the discussion on the Greens, or the Lib Dems? This is not a balanced coverage at all.

  • @DilanPerera1
    @DilanPerera1 3 місяці тому +8

    Can we give Tories a penny drop moment by voting out Penny Mordaunt? 🤣🤣🤣

  • @1petermoore
    @1petermoore 3 місяці тому +2

    WE HAVE FAILED OUR KIDS AND THERE KIDS FOR ALLOWIN THIS TO HAPPEN UNDER OUR WATCH

  • @hansweissmann_xviii6754
    @hansweissmann_xviii6754 3 місяці тому +4

    Eject Richy Rishi to Rwanda! Just for fun!

  • @davidhodgson3901
    @davidhodgson3901 3 місяці тому +4

    Talking about mixing metaphors. “Champing at the bit” or “nipping at the heels”. 🙄

    • @methanedirigible
      @methanedirigible 3 місяці тому

      Hey - there’s no point crying over spilled beans.

  • @robh8814
    @robh8814 3 місяці тому +4

    Aggie is a former Sky News Political Editor & ITV Producer. The days of Theo as Political editor are solely missed.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 3 місяці тому

      Do you mean.... surely missed... or... sorely missed...?

    • @robh8814
      @robh8814 3 місяці тому

      @@richardruff8712 Sorely Missed. You are far too clever to be a regular LBC listener.
      Best thing you can do to help your mental health is turn LBC off.

  • @donnahouston9126
    @donnahouston9126 3 місяці тому +1

    Scotland gets the Westminster government England votes for. Still voting for SNP up here.

  • @steverichmond7142
    @steverichmond7142 3 місяці тому +3

    You could dress a pig up in blue in north yorkshire and it would win.... ... hence Sunak

    • @sarahmarley108
      @sarahmarley108 3 місяці тому

      Not so much now. Selby went Labour in a bye election, and York Outer is also predicted to go to Labour, which would previously have been unthinkable.

  • @georgefoord7087
    @georgefoord7087 3 місяці тому +17

    When has Plymouth been near Portsmouth?

    • @Thanos1908
      @Thanos1908 3 місяці тому +3

      Since Aberdeen neighbours Amsterdam...

    • @sfactory8253
      @sfactory8253 3 місяці тому

      Or even called Portsmouth

    • @johnholmes5674
      @johnholmes5674 3 місяці тому +2

      Well they are on the south coastline

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 3 місяці тому +2

      About 500 million years ago, before plate tectonics stretched the land !

  • @pms9838
    @pms9838 3 місяці тому +2

    You think she would know how to pronounce Godalming before going on

  • @waqaszafeer9375
    @waqaszafeer9375 3 місяці тому +8

    Reform = 0 seat

    • @unknownguy-le1hr
      @unknownguy-le1hr 3 місяці тому +1

      HAHAHAHAHAH what drugs you smoking? They going to win 18 says the polls

    • @waqaszafeer9375
      @waqaszafeer9375 3 місяці тому

      @@unknownguy-le1hr I think they'll win 118

    • @unknownguy-le1hr
      @unknownguy-le1hr 3 місяці тому +1

      @@waqaszafeer9375 to say they will win 0, just shows you can’t critically think. And you’re a Farage hater

    • @kenfigg2871
      @kenfigg2871 2 місяці тому

      @@unknownguy-le1hryes I hate the prat too very slippery not to be trusted!!!

  • @neon_jam1127
    @neon_jam1127 3 місяці тому +2

    It's grating to hear "July the 4th" instead of "The 4th of July" ..even the yanks say it correctly on that day

  • @bigslydoc
    @bigslydoc 3 місяці тому +1

    The Portillo moment would be if Sunak loses his seat. Don’t think it can’t happen. Here in Australia in 2007, John Howard, then the PM lost his seat to Labor.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 3 місяці тому

      Yes, I remember that event.... Don't rule it out here... There isn't a safe Tory seat, anywhere in the UK right now....

  • @Dean-kg2py
    @Dean-kg2py 3 місяці тому +1

    Natasha Clark a breath of fresh air. Her exchanges with james obrian are always brilliant. ❤

  • @davidallen3977
    @davidallen3977 3 місяці тому +1

    Where Hunt lives the local liberal democrat councillor has 85% of the vote....Tories are long gone in Godalming

  • @zakarianadir4938
    @zakarianadir4938 3 місяці тому +2

    why are you guys speaking so fast?

  • @feebster11
    @feebster11 3 місяці тому +1

    No-one said "Where where you when Portillo lost his seat?" They said "Were you still up for Portillo?" Do your homework.

  • @chrisgeorgiou1516
    @chrisgeorgiou1516 2 місяці тому

    My prediction for this election is that tories will be left with LOW double digit seats, its very likely that Labour will win however, Reform UK will scoop up a lot of the tory and even labour seats, maybe even taking as much as 20-30+ seats..

  • @deanmckay-rapson5225
    @deanmckay-rapson5225 3 місяці тому

    Reform?😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 man up front successfully convinced people to vote him into redundancy. How can anybody vote for someone who shoots himself in the foot everytime he runs a campaign. Then disappears into the shadows. Oh, wait a minute, that would be the simple people who thought brexit waa going to give us back the world

  • @emmaeltringham91
    @emmaeltringham91 3 місяці тому +1

    The 'Portillo moment' was named because it was so unexpected. Going through all these seats that Tories may well lose does not make the 'Portillo' moments. A 'Portillo moment' would be someone like Liz truss or Kemi Badenoch losing their seats because that would be unexpected.

  • @agedhippy2407
    @agedhippy2407 3 місяці тому +7

    Come on anti Tory and anti Reform people up and down the country. Lets do 100% tactical voting in those marginals and push the Tories into 3rd or 4th place.
    History in the making.

  • @dragonfly6908
    @dragonfly6908 3 місяці тому +5

    The toilet is usually a safe seat.

  • @lilconfusedsquirrel
    @lilconfusedsquirrel 3 місяці тому

    Why no discussion of Faiza running as an independent?
    She may be the more credible threat to out Ian Duncan Smith given her ground campaign & is (in the context of the conversation) the reason there was only a 1000 majority before
    &&
    The reason there's any discussion of IDS retaining his seat (as there is some vote splitting between her and labour)

  • @colinbooth531
    @colinbooth531 3 місяці тому +28

    How anybody can vote for these ghouls is beyond me. Still, better than Reform and their roster of Fascists.

    • @markryan3498
      @markryan3498 3 місяці тому +6

      🤣 *Go Reform uk all the way*

    • @kat2023.
      @kat2023. 3 місяці тому

      ​@@markryan3498 filth attracts more filth. Reform = filth.

    • @beasmith1
      @beasmith1 3 місяці тому +1

      @@markryan3498 No

    • @jamesdavis-mann706
      @jamesdavis-mann706 3 місяці тому

      ​@@markryan3498would rather move to rwanda

    • @markryan3498
      @markryan3498 3 місяці тому

      @@jamesdavis-mann706 go for it.. im going to stay here and vote Reform Uk all the way so my wife and daughters and grand daughters have safe spaces

  • @francisravenscroft-dw6gi
    @francisravenscroft-dw6gi 3 місяці тому +3

    So what ? Does it matter which tories are left in the next government ? As long as they are no longer make promises they dont keep and pad their own pockets.

    • @johnrussell3961
      @johnrussell3961 3 місяці тому

      Starmer is trying very hard to not make promises he can’t keep.
      Lots of people keep demanding he should reverse Brexit. That is not in his power.

    • @redf7209
      @redf7209 3 місяці тому +2

      They'll still find a way to pad their pockets. They should all be in prison

  • @paulm_148
    @paulm_148 3 місяці тому +6

    It was “were you still up for Portillo?”, Get the history right Tash 🙄 Where are all the adults now (in politics AND the media) might be a better question ?

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 3 місяці тому

      Yes, I was still watching at 3.10 am, as the ' Portillo moment ' happened..... I strongly suggest that we all record on TV the events after 10 pm on 4th July.... Anticipate lots of ' Portillo moments ' this time... Exciting, isn't it ?

  • @ShaunieDale
    @ShaunieDale 3 місяці тому +2

    It’s not Ian Duncan-Smith. It’s plain old Ian Smith. The Duncan is just his second name. It’s just him putting on airs and graces trying to be posh.

  • @mandyharewood886
    @mandyharewood886 3 місяці тому +1

    Why are you two so excited? You do know that,whoever wins, your UK goose is cooked, don't you?
    Your politics are broken! That's nothing to be excited about.

  • @Bandungbill
    @Bandungbill 3 місяці тому +4

    If Suella Priti and Jenrick keep their seats gawd help the so called tory party

    • @johnholmes5674
      @johnholmes5674 3 місяці тому

      Never mind gawd. It’ll be Allah you’ll be thanking if LIEbore win.

    • @gerryman4589
      @gerryman4589 3 місяці тому

      You mean like the labour party who stood in 2019 😊😊😊😊😊😊

    • @davidbarrett1006
      @davidbarrett1006 3 місяці тому +2

      @@johnholmes5674 Are you worried about a Labour Government taxing your tinfoil hat?

    • @truebluehube
      @truebluehube 3 місяці тому +2

      It will be great because they will be even more unelectable guaranteeing at least a three term labour government. Tories and Reform will tear each other apart, they haven’t got enough of a support base between them. The British fight fascists not vote for them.

    • @gerryman4589
      @gerryman4589 3 місяці тому

      @@truebluehube 🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏

  • @etraudnoslen
    @etraudnoslen 3 місяці тому +2

    Just vote! Dont rely on poles! Hope Brexit did teach a lesson...

  • @degaulle30
    @degaulle30 3 місяці тому +5

    The level of analysis in this is absolutely abysmal 😂

  • @SimonSmith-yd6tt
    @SimonSmith-yd6tt 3 місяці тому +12

    After last nights QT on BBC I suspect the polls in Clacton aren't finished just yet.
    Last night was a car crash for the Public Limited Company of Politics.

    • @markryan3498
      @markryan3498 3 місяці тому +4

      🤣 the audience was typical BBC hand picked, given insults to throw at Nigel who handled them very well. *Reform UK all the way*

    • @juliejeavons6949
      @juliejeavons6949 3 місяці тому +2

      @@markryan3498you’re hilarious

    • @markryan3498
      @markryan3498 3 місяці тому +2

      @@juliejeavons6949 so are you

    • @juliejeavons6949
      @juliejeavons6949 3 місяці тому +1

      @@markryan3498 add unoriginal to my previous comment

    • @methanedirigible
      @methanedirigible 3 місяці тому

      @@markryan3498 Every time something goes wrong for Reform, Farridge cries ‘conspiracy’. Surely you realise this can’t be the case _every_ time? The BBC chose a random lot of Green/Reform voters and a load of undecideds. There were a few Lib/Lab/Cons too. Most of those hate Reform. Just deal with it

  • @stevehoward3475
    @stevehoward3475 3 місяці тому

    The ivory towers of LBC where, to the presenters, like politicians and the very wealthy, the real world does not physically exist!

  • @thelegendofspitfirehunter1457
    @thelegendofspitfirehunter1457 3 місяці тому +1

    Never VOTE LABOUR vote Refotm UK

  • @theshrink61
    @theshrink61 2 місяці тому

    Somebody needs to tell their new chief political correspondent the correct way to pronounce Godalming.

  • @anandpaulraj8094
    @anandpaulraj8094 3 місяці тому

    A generation of Tories holding office and the state of the country should be a clear indication that there should be a course correction!!! 😂😂