I think whatever Trump thinks or does, he is 100% correct that the EU needs to shoulder more of the military burden. It is wrong that European security, particularly Ukraine's fate, would depend on which person the US elects as their president. If the aid came mostly from the EU and the UK then the US wouldn't have a say in Ukraine's diplomacy.
Europe has been leeching off of American tax dollars for many years now. All the while lecturing Americans how EU has a superior (they don't) social security (subsidized by the hardworking American taxes). About time the Americans stop slaving for the racist Europeans. Europe is making the same mistakes it made 80 years ago. Supporting a racist power hungry dictator while Russia has to step in again to clean up the mess.
As a Greek person, I hate seeing the top EU shot-callers stuck on perpetual bureaucratic limbo and criminal complacency in the guise of civility and refinement. A war is happening right next to us and everyone's like "hmm maybe additional restraint and understanding will solve everything..." while patting themselves in the back for being as useful as a boy scout.
This is 2 fold, one the over reliance on U.S. support / aid and two not taking the threat of Putin seriously because "it's not our side if Europe" mentality. It seems the majority of Europe is ok with giving up it's Eastern side to Russia. I knew the experiment that was the E.U. was failing but looks like the same can be said for NATO now.
I absolutely agree with you. I'm from Poland and I feel like we're alone grabbing onto the American support. The EU is completely delusional at this point. And you guys in Greece are over worked, especially with the recent Saturdays added to your work week and you still manage to fund your military. But the rest of the EU is just "going green" that's where their focus is. So annoying.
@@dernwine Actually, Article 5 was invoked by NATO (can't recall which country led the charge UK maybe??) not the USA. And it should be noted that only the UK, Australia, and Poland directly participated. France and Germany abstained from the whole thing despite being allies. Not sure what country you are in but odds are literally no one came crying to you 🙄
@@mriccardi825After 9/11 Usa used thr article 5. A lot of europeans helped, and many spend far more money compared to gdp pc than usa. And this was also done by countrys with a higher gdp pc than usa
Not really. Anyone who has paid attention to american history would know that we'd eventually get sick of the racism, sexism and authoritarianism and reject it overwhelmingly like we have so many times before. The biggest difference this time is that the democrats convinced themselves and their supporters that they aren't the racist sexist authoritarians. Every time someone learns what those words actually mean and examine the actions of the alt-left they stop voting democrat.
I recently read a comment left on one of T1J's community posts that I thought was brilliant. They posit that the world was actually supposed to end in 2012, but it kept going, and now whoever's in charge of what happens on the "Earth Show" has been struggling to figure out where to take it next. So now they're just throwing things at the wall and seeing what sticks.
@@AllanHinde-mb2prIs the shift good or bad in your opinion? From the outside looking in European citizens need to reign in their governments, a lot. They seem to be doing very little that benefits the citizens.
@@AllanHinde-mb2prwhat shift? The only shift I see is bringing in people from the 3rd world that won’t assimilate into Europe lmfao good luck Oh wait you can’t mention that bc you’ll get arrested
This video has the worst and most biased take I ever heard on Biden's mess of Afghanistan withdrawal. Reducing Biden's poor execution of that withdrawal to being Trump's fault is just lazy research at best.
Normally a fan but as someone who was literally executing the plan to withdraw from Afghanistan in real time, this is quite off. What you aren't understanding here is that there was X plan in place to withdraw ~ May 2021, but when Biden was inaugurated, there were 3 months between January and April that they were revising the plan, which would become plan Y. Weekly we would get updates from Generals explaining to us we are legitimately waiting on the executive branch to make this decision, but oh wait, by April we were in crunch time (due to a 3 month intermission) hence why the withdraw was pushed to August, where the shit show happened. The pause and delay in the original plan due to the new administration actually caused things to go worse than if plan X was carried out. Additionally, as you can tell most of your negative feedback is completely correct in that the Afghan National Army had absolutely 0 desire to fight. Their mission was (generally speaking) get paid by day as an Afghan soldier, get paid by night as Taliban. Again, normally a fan, but this came off as really biased and uninformed. Hard for me to forget as someone who was literally in the middle of it x)
@@vazquezcarlosI don’t think you can stop someone from deserting if things go sideways, but you CAN prevent them from going sideways by not pulling out expeditiously and leaving a power vacuum for a superior organized force to retake the country in a matter of days.
What many people forget: Pressuring EU countries to spend on military means equipment purchases from US companies they often have to rely on. It's not about total military spending, it's about how it's spent. If EU countries increase spending, they should decouple such spending from the US companies that are the profiteers, but instead invest into domestic company build-up to reduce the real dependency to the US.
We already do, and we should do more. There is absolutely nothing we can't produce in Europe, at least as good or even better. The fact is that we need the Americans , but the Americans need the Europeans just as much. Radar technology, ultra high tech semiconductors technology, money, high end steel etc etc. Stuff that isn't produced and can't be produced in the US but in Europe. China is very much willing to buy European tech to strengthen their military capabilities. Americans are ignorant. We can, and we will strengthen our Europeam military. Money isn't the problem.
2 things 1) Even if we Europeans finally decide to step up military production, despite the painful costs for already indebted countries, it will take literal years to build factories and equipment 2) In case of a DMZ on the territory of Ukraine as outlined in this video, guarding the DMZ border would not be enough! The border with russia and Belarus would also have to be fortified. We are looking and 100s of thousand personnel here
The Euro is dead, the euro-bloc economies are screwed and the euro is the next currency on the chopping Block that will bend the knee to the mighty dollar
You might want to look at Polish plans for presidency in EU, which just started, including: - stepping up coordinated war-material production in EU; -further fortifying border with Kaliningrad Oblast and Belarus.
@ news flash, the Euro is dying, once Trump takes office the exchange rate for our dollars will continue to sharply fall and the problems will just increase
The fact that most of NATO is unwilling to spend 2.5% of their GDP on defense is super annoying. At least France has a nuclear triad and an aircraft carrier with less than 2% of its GDP...looking at you Germany who still doesn't have an armored brigade.
If they could defend themselves then they could be autonomous and denounce war acts like, for example, the US destroying North Stream to bring Germany’s economy down.
Tbf to Germany, their recent history probably makes military spending a bit of a touchy subject. Especially more closely following WW2, Germany re-arming again would likely have been taken pretty poorly by the rest of the world. I think ultimately that's where it comes from with Germany, it doesn't really matter today but I still think that overall mindset still exists today.
Post WW2 it was understandable that the US would be a large chunk of European security, and it made sense that Europe would encourage that. Sometimes though, in order for history to move on, things have to happen that sort of force it. Times are just changing
Post Cold War after the Soviets Lost, Europe Kind of Kicked its feet up and let USA handle Security. Theyve gotten Lazy and Indeed Times Are Changing. Starting in 2025 they need to go back to defending themselves
USA asserted themselves everywhere around the world and not a single time they did it from the goodness of their heart, they always had something to gain, be it resources or influence. Despite everything Trump says, USA WANTS Europe to rely on them because if they don't, they have no political leverage nor influence over the old continent.
I would agree. It’s crazy how countries in the EU will say they want American to stop “policing the world”, but then not invest more into defense. I would love for US to stop policing the world, but that can only happen when the world takes responsibility. If the US were to pull out right now, the world would be screwed. Prices of middle eastern oil would skyrocket because of the subsequent wars and takeovers that would happen to essential routes and oil reservoirs. The global trade would also hurt because of similar reasons. I think allied countries need to spend more on military and we need our military to have integrated bases and train the joint armies accordingly.
Well WW2 Russia did a lot of work but yes. Having U.S involved in the war. You have to defend two sides which is hard to defend both sides with certain numbers.
Your numbers are not correct, or at least incomplete, concerning EU aid. Your $133B figure of EU aid only considers direct bilateral aid and ignores aid rendered by EU institutions. The total EU-aid is estimated to be $176B. And if you expand it to geographic Europe (which includes the UK and others) , the amount is $203B. It's all in the datasheet of the source you're quoting for this video.
Outsourcing European defence to the US is by far the biggest fuckup in our history. If we join the budgets of all E.U.-states, we have a budget of €326 billion and it's rising every year. That's the sort of money with which we can buy our own aircraft carriers, build our own fighter jets -Rafalle, Eurofighter, Saab Gripen,... our own tanks and artillery. Why would we spend our money on US weaponry, while we also have quality stuff right here in the E.U.? Keeps European jobs in tech, R&D, industry,... here with us. Not spending it on American hardware, where -as US-government proved over and over again in Ukraine- we're not even allowed to use it, should shit hit the fan. Think Biden's refusal on Ukraine to use HIMARS and ATACMS on Russian soil. Think Biden's eternal stalling on Ukraine acquiring F-16, on acquiring enough 155mm shells, and all the other "export licenses" related stuff. We would't have to ask the Americans "Pretty please, can we use your arms to defend ourselves?" I am sick and tired of Europeans having to ask "Uncle Sam" for anything like little children. Time to step up our game: build our own nukes, or "Europeanise" the ones of France. In case Russia nukes Berlin, Moscow will be turned into highly radioactive glass by a nuke fired from France.
It's a repeat of history. The U.S. will become isolationist once again, like it did after WW1, and once war reaches American soil again, like it did in WW2, we will once again become the world's policeman.
@@Rexsuprime @Rexsuprime like mentioned in the video most of Europe did not hold up their part of the deal, so the “promise” that US made, can’t be applied. You know like being delinquent on your rent, you eventually will be kicked out.
From 🇵🇱: No matter what America does, Europe needs to get serious about Putin and dramatically increase military readiness, including aid to Ukraine. He sees you as his enemy and wants to weaken your society, whether you like it or not. Take our word on this one.
Exactly. "What Europe needs to do" is exactly what Europe needs to do, regardless of who the incoming president is. They continue to kick the can down the road at their own peril.
Why should we Americans pay for your defense?We don't owe you anything Trump should pull us out of Nato we don't have any threat from Russia and we should focus on China
Just take a minute and consider how unfathomably much bigger global trade is in 2025 compared to 1796. Should the US also give up on protecting Taiwan if China invades? It's not 1796 anymore. Foreign entanglements are inevitable.
@disrupt94 President Trump has already told NATO allies that they must contribute what the treaty they signed requires. The cost of Ukraine's defense against Russia should be paid for by the Europeans. Etc.
I think this can turn out to be a good thing for us Europeans. We have relied on the USA too much and for too long. The USA drew its power from being the world’s police, but as we can see, this is no longer what the American people want their country to be. The idea of isolating America and focusing on domestic issues is not Trump’s idea-it’s the idea of the American people, and that’s why he was chosen by them. It's important to understand that. Many have criticized Trump for his actions, but he says and does things that Americans want to hear and see, which makes it very democratic. This shift could take Europe out of its lethargic state. In fact, it might turn out to be very unfavorable for the USA, as the rise of Europe could deal a financial blow to the United States.
I would not be so sure on that one. Yalls demographics are cooked. Americas is getting cooked as well. We both just going to be on the struggle bus here soon and as we get old, no retirement from the gov cus no young workers :/
I should point out that the american people are just tired of being yanked around by everyone, all of your nations tarriff american goods, yet the us threatens to do the same and you act like we've somehow stabbed you in the back, the us taxpayer literally funds half the world's countries through our economy yet you call us braggarty hicks, also your socialized healthcare is subsidized by americans paying out the nose for our medicines (though red tape doesn't help there either). America might have more or less ruled the world for the last 80 years, but the rest of the world, outside of maybe japan, has treated america like it's some backwards trash heap for at least the 40 years i've been alive, we as a people are tired of doing everything for everyone else while our people are treated badly and suffer, until trump came along our government has completely ignored our anger and worry. Also let me be clear, even during the cold war most americans were isolationist, but saw nato and european assistance as a necessary evil to maintain safety in the us, the us has at least since before ww1 been isolationist and nationalist, our bureaucrats in government however, were globalist, even against the will of the average american, we are not against helping europe, but we're tired of being treated like a sugar daddy with europe and other so called allies not pulling their weight.
@@nickashton8139 Actually american demographic trends are weird, we're not really reducing in population in the way you think we are, our cities are having far less kids but rural is having more kids, while this would cause a crunch at the top end for old age millenials, it likely will not have as big of a effect in the long run outside of shifting america more and more to the right as again, rural is having a boom while cities populations are contracting, especially among african americans (which seems to be highly influenced by abortion numbers, but i'm not gonna get into THAT conversation here). Europe however, needs to rework it's systems to stop relying on social safety nets at the rate they are demographically collapsing, but well, politicians only think about their term, and the next term is the other guy's problem. For what it's worth, china, russia and arguably india are far worse off than europe with demographic predictions, but all 3 have a tendency to lie about their numbers.
I mean Trump was already in office and people claimed relations between Europe and the US would sever and he would withdraw the US from NATO and none of it ever happened. He also warned about Russia during his first term and about Europe’s reliance on it for energy. For a matter of fact as someone who voted for Trump I don’t even know any Americans who actually want to abandon Europe vs them spend more on defense. The US sees China as its biggest threat now
If all we know about trees is correct, then they have no intellectual capabilities which allows them to learn from history. Despite this, sometimes new trees appear by chance in areas where there were no trees before. In fact, a _huge_ amount of novelty appears from total randomness, like us humans and our intellectual capabilities. So no, fk u and ur alleged destiny :)
Yes. They should have relied on the much more expensive US LNG. So now that they refused the cheap Russian gas, their economy is independent of Russia and booming. Wait, no. It’s collapsing. How’s that an improvement?
You both hate Germany in fact, judging by your acid comments and fakes about Germany's economy collapsing. In your dreams. Russia's economy is collapsing too, if so.
@vladsch1 all the money they spent of Nord Stream could have been spent on US natgas nodes and the country would have tackled the issue at its own pace instead of at gunpoint
It really can't be understated how important it is that a Baltic state like Estonia is proposing a lot of these ideas. They very much seem to remember their time being forced into the Soviet Union and they want to do everything possible to prevent that from happening again. Everyone that was freed of the Warsaw Pact doesn't want it coming back and the larger countries like France, Germany, and the UK need to take note as the higher ups seem to have forgotten a bit.
UK spends the most on defence in Western Europe and has nuclear weapons and aircraft carriers? UK is also increasing its defence spending too. France also has the same. Nuclear weapons and aircraft carriers. Germany and the UK also make a lot of weapons too. Some aren't pulling their weight to be sure.
Many in those larger countries look at the Soviet Union with nostalgia-like Spain's ruling coalition, in a country that barely spends 1% of its GDP in defense, less than even the much-criticized Canada's 1.3%.
I was certainly already giving up on this uploader with his recent posts and complete whining toward Google but his extreme liberal viewpoints and overall lack of understanding of almost anything he posts about I think Google is correct, he’s basically the msnbc of UA-cam I look forward to his further whine posts about why no one likes him for no understanding, well, anything and being so matter of fact. Screw you real life bs
threat to whom, is a question to USA every country that want control and power is a threat, that is why Europe does not have army if European countries were independent of USA they would also be considered as a threat Just look at the scandal when Germans caught USA - CIA spying on their officials..... is germany a threat to USA ? right now no, but in the Future might be
Yea. The weak almost none existing answer to Russia's invasion of Georgia in 2008 was a green light for Putin. Mc Caine was also very on point about russia. But nowdays Biden is too weak on flexing US muscles because the demage was done, but at least the messege has been clear, while here we are guessing what the hell Trump will do. I must admit I put more of my hopes into Putin accidently steping the line and offend Trump, where Trump will have to act against it to not look weak, rather than Trump have actualy any real plan or strategy for this war.
He will definitely change Europe and effectively force it to take more initiatives on its own. I'm not so sure USA is going to benefit from that though.
It won’t. Closed military bases, less trade, less trust, which is what keeps our dollar afloat.. this is what we get for letting the adult literacy rate in this country fall below 60%.
@@razorramon780 I agree and I am not an American. I am Dutch. Obama asked nicely and politely. Trump asked in 2016 2020 again more insistently. To raise militairy spending to 2% of the national income. We did nothing or not nearly enough. The invasion of Ukraine was an indirect result of European failure to comply by NATO standards. Dont blame Trump. What he asjed of us was fair. And we (Europe) complained about the mean words he used. Western European countries who did not spent 2% are to blame.
I feel like this video lacks an economic view on the topic. War and international relations over territory especially with Russia's role in Europe are one thing, but the economical relations between the US and Europe might also change drastically with all the austerity measures Trump promised. What he might accidentally cause is a complete shift of Europe's committment to its business relations with the US. If Europe wants to find funding it will (plenty of billionaires that fare very low tax rates compared to workers) and if it deems necessary it might even collaborate with China to step over an extremely erratic US which breaks out of e.g. climate protection agreements, the NATO, etc.. All of it might result in the US losing its more or less total dominance on the world stage, instead having to step down and actually act on eye-level with other superpowers instead of playing the role as world-police. Something the "greatest nation under god" might not be ready for yet.
@@Reaverkiller7 people said that about the roman empire, mongol empire, portuguese, spanish, french, dutch, british and many more empires and look at where we/they are now
I mean, when you've had US military bases and training exercises throughout most of Europe for longer than most people have been alive, then it gets quite easy to assume they will always be there to defend you. Basically, the same way a child won't learn how to do the dishes if you never make them; Why would Europe spend lots of money on their military when the USA has been there to protect them for the last 60-70 years? The European countries definitely should have spent more on defence, but why would they when the largest superpower on the face of the planet has been protecting them for longer than most people in the country have been alive?
Luxembourg, Liechtenstein and Lebanon should cover 100% of NATO's budget imo. Germany, Austria and Yemen should start a mutual defence organisation under the name GAY (which stands for Gay Army Yoga). Also, Russia should become NATOs best friend forever, and they should kiss sometimes.
You need to study international relations first Then focus on one aspect of foreign policy, you’re not going to keep up with every one I specialize in Latin America policy but my colleagues are all Asia and Europe
Even Real Life Lore said his own opinion could be wrong depending on what will happen later, as IR could be impulsive. But we can guess some based on history, just like the weather.... but even weather gets wild now
As on older Irish man that's embarrassed by the current state of our national defenses, I hope that if the Americans abandon Ukraine and that the Polish and Brits do go all in to replace them, that the large expat communities here put real pressure on the government to finally pull it's head out of the sand and do something about it. We have the money, the manpower and friendly countries who'd be more than happy to help us to properly beef up our defense forces enough to meaningfully support our European brothers, we're just lacking the political will to do it.
"I hope that if the Americans abandon Ukraine and that the Polish and Brits do go all in to replace them" You say that like the US was actually helping which mostly it wasn't.
What are you on about. The current state of the irish national defences??? And youre embarrassed. When have ireland had any sort of national defence? What wars did you fight in? Irish cabbage.
The US has carried the defense Burden for Europe. This allowed Europe to build its generous social programs and drift to totalitarianism as people give up freedoms for security.
Poland is the only one in the region who truly know the colors of ruSSia and Belarus. US should help Poland secure central and Eastern Europe and not count on silly Germany to do so!
One of the flaws with Western countries in our current decade.... They aren't interested in including people who are straightforward. Because they don't have the "correct" vibes. They want folks who are "exciting." Instead of smart. -With eastern NATO countries being the only exception. (For obvious reasons.)
It's a common issue with Western countries in our current decade..... They won't include folks who lack the "correct" vibes. Even though Poland has the experience and knowledge to help out.
@@MALUR82For real. The German government seems to think if they have a decent military it's only a matter of time until France is invaded. Meanwhile Poland is preparing for a unilateral reformation of the USSR.
Europe needs to modernize and invest in its military to the point where it can field an actual fighting force that can fight a defensive AND offensive (counterattack) war. Europe shouldn’t leave its security in the hands of another country.
Yes, but sadly most Western EU countries (including France where I live) are buried deep in public debt, going worse, they can't spend the necessary big billions to equip and modernize well enough their national army and military. Including France, whose army budget keeps getting cut year after year, frankly in spite of nuclear weapons, a few modern nuclear submarines and a few big destroyers the French army is far from being in good shape, it doesn't have enough budget to provide the army bases located in other countries with all the equipment necessary. If China, Russia and India's armies together invaded Western EU tomorrow it'd be a blitz krieg and they'd reach France quickly. The biggest BRICS countries have been massively increasing their respective military budgets for over a decade, we don't even know how much China spends annually bc there are 't official numbers, only spéculations. As a French it's frightening bc our leaders are so arrogant and ruled by delusion that they can't fathom BRICS would dare attack Europe, that's also why they aren't increasing massively their military budgets, unlike much smarter countries in Northern Europe. France and Germany's Govs in particular are so freaking wrong. It's the same arrogance and delusion than in 1938-39 when they+the UK didn't believe Nazi Germany would dare attack them.. That's why the blitz krieg will be successful, France and Germany's inland armies will be quickly and easily overwhelmed and outnumbered by an invasion of Russian, Chinese and Indian armies together.. Macron and whoever the current German Chancellor is are both arrogant and deluded, more high ranking officers in both countries have been trying to sound the alarm for years, without success. We're heading towards extremely difficult times and it's absolutely terrifying bc we are governed by deluded hubris ruled people, too greedy and drunk in power to do what's in the people's best interests. Macron is the worst, when he tries to step up to "save the EU" you'll know the end is near.
This. State building was a naive ambition and it would've never worked. Evident in the military loss to the Taliban. You can't make the indigenous population believe some novel foreign values. The fight against Taliban was a fight against the native culture.
That's exactly why Trump just decided to pull out. They weren't an effective government and nothing we could do was going to change that. Hence the last 20 plus years of the war.
@@humanbeing4841 Those are important things. Hell, they are a net positive in the long term anyway. Sorry, but not everyone wants to throw away their future investments just to have a marginally more powerful military in the short term.
@redman_10t39 Climate change is not important whatsoever, it's a product of decadence. Welfare need to be reduced because it's killing economic incentive for entrepreneurship and eating up money that could be used for military. Welfare is like a drug that once introduced is very difficult to develop political will to cut.
He is very biased when it comes to war stuff. I wish he did more videos on like disconcerting under Antarctica, or those videos talking about the weird borders and why it happened. Those seem to be more correct and interesting imo.
To be fair about the Afghan withdrawl, they had decades to prepare to fight the Taliban, they simply choose not to. I would rather have left as we did then stay there any longer.
I wouldn’t bc 12 us soldiers died. It was supposed to be a slow withdrawal. Instead we left our equipment over there while hundreds of afghans died some where clinging and dying on the planes as they were departing
I agree that the EU should send more military aid to Ukraine, but let's be honest about the real reason US is sending so much: Military-Industrial lobbying. Every "donation" to Ukraine is another sale and manufacturing contract to replenish American stockpiles. They're not just doing it out of the goodness of their hearts, nor is the US sacrificing its own military to do so.
@@christianpetersen163 the reality is trade and balancing socialism with capitalism. It is no accident Scandinavian countries have the highest living standards and social safety nets. Certainly not because of their armies.
@@DarkElfDiva Uh, I get where you're coming from but that's not really right. Naturally *our* timeline is primary to us. We can't put stock in alternate timelines, they're of no causal relevance to us except as thought experiments and what-ifs. We have this reality. It might be entirely illusory, but acknowledging that does nothing for us except let us stare at our navels.
Because it's a lie. Russia would have serious trouble with Italy much less all of Europe NATO. China only spends 1.6% of it's GDP. 2.5% is absurd. Europe NATO was never in any danger spending that much is just for flashy but non effective force projection(not defense)
@@Emmanuel-co6sm Nope they brought this situation upon themselves by meddling in every countries affairs to spread capitalism, every country can commit atrocities as long as they are on the side of American imperialism.
@@FrenzyLive1 If I was in a restaurant with a table of people I can barely communicate with much less stand for extended periods, and the waiter offers to presume what we want in exchange for a 50% discount, I'm saying yes, not considering if it makes me look too reliant to people looking in from the window.
Statistics showed that from the end of WWII in 1945 to 2001, among the 248 armed conflicts that occurred in 153 regions globally, 201 were initiated by the US, accounting for 81 percent of the total number.
If Europe want to spend 2.5% of its GDP on arms for NATO, stop buying overpriced American weapons, and create jobs by spending this money on homegrown weapons. Canadians would likely get on board with this if it creates Canadian jobs.
Every country except Slovenia anywhere close to Russia are already reaching this target. The only countries that aren't are Croatia (1.81%), Portugal (1.55%), Italy (1.49%) Canada (1.37%), Belgium (1.30%), Luxembourg (1.29%), Slovenia (1.29%) and Spain (1.28%). Canada doesn't have the will to secure its own arctic waters from Russian encroachment so I won't hold my breath for Canada to do anything with regards to Europe lmao.
Um.. perhaps you haven't noticed, but the US has budget overruns like crazy from weapon systems development. You think that would wind up being different in Europe? Europe probably saves a lot of money by just buying what they need.
@@sinister184 Oh, I know this. And part of that is because the US is always trying to do something better to be above and beyond all others. They soak billions into trying to make things work, which end up being too complicated. In Europe, there are already aircraft manufactures building quality fighter craft. It already has a good ship building industry. The problem is, you want to build effective weaponry, not glossy weaponry. I know from following Canadian politics, that buying weaponry from the US makes it very hard for Canada to reach it's target. Yet Canada has the means and people to develop and build its own. But if we mush use US made/developed military systems, then at least make it part of the contract that those systems are built in the country buying them, not the US.
@@BestCoastLife Correction: "Some of us want to have more in common with Europe than the US. Although... Quebec tries so hard it makes our eyes roll and we quietly - as it's most polite - want them to go as much as many of them loudly want to go. Er, nvm sorry about that, eh."
This means, the Budapest agreement signed by UK, USA, Russia, and Ukraine + other East European countries coming out of breakout of USSR, where the laters had let go of N Weapons in exchange of protection, the Budapest agreement is nor worth the paper it’s written
@@orange123yoshi Yes, what you say is true. The UN recognized borders of Ukraine included Crimea. The (not big) amount of territory that is Crimea although very strategic in Black Sea, led to illusion that Russia/Putin territory grab greed would stop there. Despite breaking UN law, I think most politicians and most people chose to overlook as a minor infraction. Now the scenario is blatant land grab +20%, and even with an interim peace deal, no one can say won’t go for a larger chunk. This is unmistakably a break of UN/international law, this is unmistakably the reduction to irrevelance of Budapest agreement (2014 qualitatively it was a break, quantitatively could be overlooked also given history of that patch of land).
Exactly. No country should give up defending itself. Like Europe. They should not give up defending themselves. Even NATO is just paper. Maybe the US will help? Maybe countries will pay their share? Maybe...
This video assumes that Europe has no military industry and no ability to develop further... How wrong that is. Europe's issues with its economy, that affected investment in defense, have been mostly related to weak demand for European products, not technical and production issues. But if the EU does not have to buy American weapons anymore and can just ramp up own production, all of this changes considerably.
It is interesting how the North Koreans troops in Russia are still being perceived as "reinforcements". In a war like this and with the rates of attrition being what they are for both sides, 10000 foreign troops who don't speak the language and do not integrate within the Russian military structure are nothing significant. If they were more, like a 100000 with their own equipment and resources, sure; but not at these numbers. What's most likely here is that the Koreans are involved to gain actual war fighting experience, since in a multipolar geopolitical reality and with China viewing North Korea more like an embarrassment rather than an asset, they need all the benefits they can get. If the rate of Koreans involved in the Russian side starts to changing upwards, then this may become a different matter. As for US disengagement from the European region, I suspect they will find it as hard as, if not more, than managing to reindustrialize in the next 10+ years(it will take much more than tariffs to do that in a world of integrated economics). With regards to Ukraine, I fear that the US has a proven history of abandoning affiliated regimes when things become inconvenient; then again, it is still their proxy war, so I don't know if Trump can have the pull to distort current US external politics. But one thing that remains true is that us Europeans definitely need to fortify our economies and achieve geopolitically independent, geostrategically significant military capabilities, or risk being reduced to the equivalent of Balkans in the context of our influence in global politics(no insult to the Balkans, I'm Greek myself). Time to start looking in our own interests realistically, Ladies and Gentlemen; both apart from the US and Russia. Something I don't believe our current crop of politicians and Brussels can survive.
Bullies? Christ dude, this is power geopolitical strategy, not a semester in high school. I would orient your filter of the world into something more based in the real world.
You neglected the fact that the professional and experienced people who worked with Trump during his first term have mostly abandoned him and were supporting Harris during the last election. Trump's cabinet picks are all just people who would kiss his ass no matter what he says as long as he deports immigrants (but only the 'wrong' immigrants as the presence of Musk attests), attacks minorities and women and lowers their rich asses' taxes. He could tell them to invade Mexico and they would fucking do it.
You don’t understand the full range of the situation. Trump has publicly stated that he will build an Iron Dome for America, just like Israel, a defensive military spend rather than an offensive one. That’s his deal to the Military Industrial Complex, no more wars but spend on an iron dome on their own soil to keep the companies happy.
@@asishreddy7729 For the love of god, is the american public actually buying that? With the economy and stock prices there is at least some wiggle room for trump because nobody know what will happen there but this is just showing a clear lack of physics education. The "Iron Dome" is a SHORT RANGE (up to 70km) missile defense system. Thats why it works. For Long range ICBMs there is (for numerous reasons, some physical constraints, some political) no system in existence that can reliably defend a country from icbms. Even further such a system would require extensive deployed long range radars across the globe. If Trump truly plans to fuck their allies by not honoring NATO Europe will wean itself of the US.
I am from Czechia and it's sad that so many people now say we shouldn't help Ukraine anymore 😢 I think it's not most of people,but still ... I can get it from some very poor people, they feel like the Czech state doesn't help them enough and sends money to Ukraine...but that's not only them who says that and I feel like these thoughts are spread from Russia to our country
Why make life for your people harder with increasing taxes and such by sending money to UKR, when you can put that money into building your own defence and own military. It would be different if UKR was winning though but its kind of a stalemate with slow minuscule RUS gains, and if the aid keeps coming its just going to remain a stalemate with deathpoll steadily rising on both sides.
We are not sending actual cash. The "money" is in terms of supplies, munition and old cold war era vehicles and machinery. Which in turn gets replaced by modern supplies and vehicles like F-35s from the US. So yes, we are actually putting the money into our own military.
True but plz edit that missing space after the comma in. My autistic brain HATES when i know theres this particular specific typo. I know, i know, sounds trivial, soudns random, but what can i say? Mentalhealth is funky like that. And it only takes a second for you to edit
The first war Soviet Union attacked Finland. This war Germany approved. The second war 1941 Finland did not fight FOR Germany, but WITH Germany to protect themseleves. Note the difference. Furthermore the map over lost land is wrong. It does not show the Petsamo area in the north with the important nickel mine.
The reason that Ukraine is in this state of war is because Ukraine was assured its protection by the US and UK and Russia to give up its nuclear weapons by signing the Budapest Memorandum. Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons and got attacked! What responsibilities do the countries that assured Ukraine have?
@@BrunoDias1234 That's really vapid. You clearly know nothing about how to prevent wars, only create them. If you keep on being toxic to powerful leaders you don't like, all they're going to do is want a war. If you are reasonable, rational, and nice to BOTH sides, then your chances of not causing a war is much greater by far. Maybe this takes a genius to understand or someone without cocky issues. If you want to run for president where your main goal is to aggravate and harass NK and promote people targeting them, don't come whining that they start war with your country.
@@thematthew761 bro. The objective isn't to actually NATO, it's to force NATO countries to pay their f'ing bills. The majority of them are delinquent on their agreement.
@@thematthew761 Trump NEVER had any intention of leaving NATO. It's called negotiating. Now these dumb but well-meaning politicians in the House and Senate have hamstrung those effective negotiating tactics. The only reason NATO members massively increased defense spending was because they feared Trump MIGHT go through with his threats. Take the threat away, and you've taken away the incentive for NATO members to increase defense expenditures. Congress made a huge mistake by passing that law. I'll call it the NATO law of unintended consequences.
Interesting video set in a universe where the USA has military interests in Europe out of kindness for it's allies, and not out of a need to exert economic and military control of Europe.
People keep on saying that he has a insane timeline. Meanwhile, he literally said in the beginning that he wants everyone to take this with a huge grade of salt and he’s trying to predict not actually predicting.:/
One interesting piece not highlighted here is if EU would feel US abandoned them would EU stand with US against China? European countries mostly don't see it as a threat and would actually be happy to get more cheap goods/resources from there. Recall for example last year Macron's visit there...
nothing most likely, I doubt everything will crumble down and switzerland is mostly independent to begin with (I think oil, natural gas and power are the few things you guys actually fully require from the outside, and even then there's enough buying power to import whatever is needed)
Those new boundaries, another major victory for Russian century's expansion. Russia seized land and expanded their country before & post WWII, from Poland, Germany, Finland, Romania & Japan. Russia was once a tiny land around Moscow, they expanded in all directions, incorporating Finland to the west, Crimea to the south, to the tip of eastern Asia. They sold Alaska to USA out of fear the English will invade Alaska.
when you’re worried his foreign policy is gonna be insane and threatens to take canada and denmark… :/ even if he’s not really attempt to this obviously has intentions behind it and whatever they are they’re not good.
It’s not much different than the Louisiana Purchase or buying Alaska; but i don’t think we’re going to goto war against Greenland like we did the Native Americans, if anything it’s better.
No matter how Vance dresses it up, a frozen conflict and demilitarized zone is just another way of saying "let's reward Putin for his aggression and at the same time, I look good to the public".
An important lesson here for Aussies, as we also rely on America for our security. AUKUS is the right direction to go, I just hope it’s not too little too late.
How?? His explanation of Afghanistan is pretty close to what really happened, at least diplomatically… Did Trump NOT cut a deal directly with the Taliban, bypassing the elected (corrupt) Afghan government? (he did) Did the Taliban NOT renege on its side of the deal? (it did, although the Afghan Army was a paper tiger anyway) Did Trump NOT intentionally set the withdrawal date after for after January 2021? (he did)
"Europe hasn't paid their fair share in NATO" - sure, since the war almost all European countries do though and most exceed the 2% GDP commitment. What the US is doing if they pull out of Ukraine over the heads of the EU is alienating a stable ally for absolutely no good strategic reason.
Usually like your vids, but this one dropped the ball. First, the way you framed the Afghanistan withdrawal implies that it all went according to the deal Trump negotated, which it did not. However, even if it did, the logistical failure of the withdrawal, causing the deaths of our service members and untold allies, happened completely under and at the fault of the Biden defense department. It is these deaths and the chaotic rushed outcomes of poor logistical planning that makes the withdrawal a failure, not the overarching deal laid out by Trump's administration to withdrawal. It could have been orderly and no one should have died, but they did in the end. A classic case of a good idea but terrible execution, the idea forming from the deal Trump negotiated, and the execution failing under Biden. You seemed perplexed as to why Trump got good PR from the event, but most Americans are anti-war, so liked the idea that we were getting out, just not the way we did it, hence why Biden got bad PR for the execution. Secondly, you focused almost exclusively on Ukraine and military policy, while ignoring the economic and political parts of Trump's agenda. Tariffs, trade, regulations on tech and food, and the political realignments happening across Europe. Instead, I got a video half about how Ukraine might be Finland and half about the US being tired of being the world police and the world purse, a mindset that has been the majority in America for a while now, and I already knew. Third, while you stated what might happen immediately, i.e. Europe forced to spend more on defense, but did minimal analysis into what the 2nd and 3rd wave effects could be and how these effects could change Europe in the moderately distant future, failing the stated goal in the title of theorizing "How Trump's 2nd Term Will Change Europe Forever". I didn't learn anything new, and some of what was said could mislead an uniformed viewer about historical events. Because of this, I was forced to leave a rare dislike. In the future, I suggest to keep the goal of the video in mind, avoid going down side paths or excessive info dumps that cloud stated goal, and collect a more diverse sources to avoid biases and speculative inferences. This video was painfully biased, painted Trump as a madman and maybe even corrupt (Ukraine phone call in which Trump suggested reopening the case investigating Burisma and their dealings with Hunter on the board that Biden forced closed just a few years earlier.) To avoid perceived bias, don't bring up unnecessary politically charged information, such as the impeachment, unless absolutely necessary for the narrative. Anyways, hope your next vid is great. Thanks for the work you do.
This video is not about Europe, it's about Ukraine. I know Americans suck at geography but Europe is multiple countries under a common currency. When you talk about Europe you usually talk about European economic region.
The 2% spending on military thing is not a requirement, it is a recommendation. So, technically, nobody was/is obligated to spend that amount. But as an European I have always found it stupid that we do not spend more in our own military, hopefully things will change now. And not buy too much American weapons but develop our own more, as Trump has shown we can not rely too much on the US.
14:00 Why did Biden decide to withdraw the troops at Karbul airport where there was a lot less security when he could have withdrawn the troops from the military base? Withdrawing from the military base would have been far more secure. Also, all of those weapons and helicopters that were left behind. It can't have been that hard for e.g. to fly or transport the helicopters and the other military equipment to Ukraine or the US base in Germany.
The amount of stupid people right here Saying that you’re “breastfeeding their enemy” first of all, europe actually have not made that big of a trade with russia and that alone an accomplishment Europe has been able to sustain itself without having to rely on Russia And it’s not as if they had a choice They can’t replace 30% of their natural resources overnight Europe is not like the US where it has natural reserves that can sustain itself without having to rely on others Now before all of you attack me, I am not Russian. I am Mongolian. I know all of you will see my username and say you’re Russian “so you’re defending them” meh meh So annoying
Excellent opening statement: we can only speculate! You're being honest. It's ridiculous how all the pundits speak with certainty about what Trump will do and not do.😂
I am always very interested in language and accents. And Sam, I cannot place yours. It's American, certainly, but I don't know if I've ever heard anyone pronounce "Britan" as "Briddun." It's common for Americans to reduce the t sound, but usually for this word, they reduce it to Brih-un. I'm curious if Sam's accent is regional or is more a combination of what he listens to online or something. Does anyone know where that particular accent feature is from? I have noticed it in other videos too. Particularly, your pronunciation of "written" sounds just like your pronunciation of "ridden."
In America, the glottal stop is typically written with an apostrophe due to the Hawaiians writing it that way (Hawai’i). My best guess as to his accent, is that he had a speech impediment with consonants like T and CK and R. And he probably worked to get rid of those impediments which makes him over-pronounce certain letters. The same thing happened to me, so now I talk like a radio host, and sound half Australian, half American, full Moron, due to watching a diverse set of TV shows as a kid, and copying the way they spoke.
We should have woken up years ago, trump or not.
We europeans have been too lazy
I dont want ANYTHING woke in Europe!
Lazy?
We made a lot of money with and off Russia.
We still do.
Classic European L
Arent you guys socials anyway? Whats the difference?
@@gewitterhund3164Like many otthers. But for Europeans it's especially crazy, they feed their worst enemy.
I think whatever Trump thinks or does, he is 100% correct that the EU needs to shoulder more of the military burden. It is wrong that European security, particularly Ukraine's fate, would depend on which person the US elects as their president. If the aid came mostly from the EU and the UK then the US wouldn't have a say in Ukraine's diplomacy.
Europe has been leeching off of American tax dollars for many years now. All the while lecturing Americans how EU has a superior (they don't) social security (subsidized by the hardworking American taxes). About time the Americans stop slaving for the racist Europeans.
Europe is making the same mistakes it made 80 years ago. Supporting a racist power hungry dictator while Russia has to step in again to clean up the mess.
And we should spent it in Europe, not in the US. At least, that's the plan.
They should shoulder ALL of the costs. They should be PAYING for our security. In fact, invoice the lazy socialist cowards
@thetroytroycan given how much wealth europe has extracted from the rest of the world, it seems fair they should return some of the wealth they stole
@@thetroytroycangiven how much wealth they extracted from the rest of the world, repayment is only fair
As a Greek person, I hate seeing the top EU shot-callers stuck on perpetual bureaucratic limbo and criminal complacency in the guise of civility and refinement. A war is happening right next to us and everyone's like "hmm maybe additional restraint and understanding will solve everything..." while patting themselves in the back for being as useful as a boy scout.
Ungrateful rat. Russia fought over 10 wars to help free Greeks from ottoman and this how you pay them back?
"Hmmm. Appeasement didn't work. Maybe we need to try more appeasement?"
You can help them all you want but for the US we are done
This is 2 fold, one the over reliance on U.S. support / aid and two not taking the threat of Putin seriously because "it's not our side if Europe" mentality. It seems the majority of Europe is ok with giving up it's Eastern side to Russia. I knew the experiment that was the E.U. was failing but looks like the same can be said for NATO now.
I absolutely agree with you. I'm from Poland and I feel like we're alone grabbing onto the American support. The EU is completely delusional at this point. And you guys in Greece are over worked, especially with the recent Saturdays added to your work week and you still manage to fund your military. But the rest of the EU is just "going green" that's where their focus is. So annoying.
Refreshing to see a lot of comments from Europeans wanting to defend their own land and be less reliant on the U.S.
Rich coming from a citizen of the only country to ever come crying to NATO to help with an Article V situation.
@@dernwine I'm just going to assume you're trolling and ignore you. Have a nice day!
@@dernwine Actually, Article 5 was invoked by NATO (can't recall which country led the charge UK maybe??) not the USA. And it should be noted that only the UK, Australia, and Poland directly participated. France and Germany abstained from the whole thing despite being allies. Not sure what country you are in but odds are literally no one came crying to you 🙄
@@mriccardi825After 9/11 Usa used thr article 5. A lot of europeans helped, and many spend far more money compared to gdp pc than usa.
And this was also done by countrys with a higher gdp pc than usa
Its whether or not our governments will listen.
This timeline is actually legitimately insane.
I find it highly improbable.
It should have been pruned a long time ago.
It's already been insane if you throughout history. We’ve been in the intermission period and now the plot is kicking in.
Not really. Anyone who has paid attention to american history would know that we'd eventually get sick of the racism, sexism and authoritarianism and reject it overwhelmingly like we have so many times before.
The biggest difference this time is that the democrats convinced themselves and their supporters that they aren't the racist sexist authoritarians. Every time someone learns what those words actually mean and examine the actions of the alt-left they stop voting democrat.
Make BAGUETTE Great Again 🥖
I recently read a comment left on one of T1J's community posts that I thought was brilliant. They posit that the world was actually supposed to end in 2012, but it kept going, and now whoever's in charge of what happens on the "Earth Show" has been struggling to figure out where to take it next. So now they're just throwing things at the wall and seeing what sticks.
Let’s come back to this in 2029 and see if he’s right
He won’t be the political shift across Europe is huge at the moment and nobody can predict rightfully what will happen
Lets Go BRANDON 🇨🇳
@@AllanHinde-mb2prIs the shift good or bad in your opinion? From the outside looking in European citizens need to reign in their governments, a lot. They seem to be doing very little that benefits the citizens.
@@AllanHinde-mb2prwhat shift? The only shift I see is bringing in people from the 3rd world that won’t assimilate into Europe lmfao good luck
Oh wait you can’t mention that bc you’ll get arrested
You can come back by yourself
You assume the Afghan military forces had any interest in fighting the Taliban after the US withdrew, they didn't.
Agree+
just like syria today
they go into the military for a paycheck, not for patriotism
This video has the worst and most biased take I ever heard on Biden's mess of Afghanistan withdrawal. Reducing Biden's poor execution of that withdrawal to being Trump's fault is just lazy research at best.
@@Randomodnar123 They didn't do that and both of them are culpable for the mess.
@@KM_Mountain Both do hold responsibility. The video however is correct.
04:32 Imagine being an anonymous rando and in the only video the world will ever know of you, you're sneezing lol
Normally a fan but as someone who was literally executing the plan to withdraw from Afghanistan in real time, this is quite off. What you aren't understanding here is that there was X plan in place to withdraw ~ May 2021, but when Biden was inaugurated, there were 3 months between January and April that they were revising the plan, which would become plan Y. Weekly we would get updates from Generals explaining to us we are legitimately waiting on the executive branch to make this decision, but oh wait, by April we were in crunch time (due to a 3 month intermission) hence why the withdraw was pushed to August, where the shit show happened. The pause and delay in the original plan due to the new administration actually caused things to go worse than if plan X was carried out.
Additionally, as you can tell most of your negative feedback is completely correct in that the Afghan National Army had absolutely 0 desire to fight. Their mission was (generally speaking) get paid by day as an Afghan soldier, get paid by night as Taliban.
Again, normally a fan, but this came off as really biased and uninformed. Hard for me to forget as someone who was literally in the middle of it x)
Great info!
Ok, plan X may have caused less embarassment, but most likely still a Taliban victory, right?
Lots of comments saying similar things to you, but your comment was the clearest and most level headed, hats off to you
What changed between the two plans? And would Trump's plan have prevented the Afghan military from also deserting?
@@vazquezcarlosI don’t think you can stop someone from deserting if things go sideways, but you CAN prevent them from going sideways by not pulling out expeditiously and leaving a power vacuum for a superior organized force to retake the country in a matter of days.
Sweden and Finland joining NATO is not worth Russia’s current Ukrainian territorial gain, even if Russia keeps the territory.
Ukraine? Is that little Russia?
Dosen't appear like it. Did Ukraine get nukes or find a way to rely on it's self?
@@BridgesDontFlyOh a putler troll!
Second time I've seen you comment today lol
@@konradreinelt5242
Who's trolling? Is Russia not winning? Is the USA not gonna stop funding in January?
What many people forget: Pressuring EU countries to spend on military means equipment purchases from US companies they often have to rely on. It's not about total military spending, it's about how it's spent. If EU countries increase spending, they should decouple such spending from the US companies that are the profiteers, but instead invest into domestic company build-up to reduce the real dependency to the US.
Yes but US weapons are battle tested world leaders. Not only that but euro gear often has massive amounts of US components inside.
We already do, and we should do more. There is absolutely nothing we can't produce in Europe, at least as good or even better. The fact is that we need the Americans , but the Americans need the Europeans just as much. Radar technology, ultra high tech semiconductors technology, money, high end steel etc etc. Stuff that isn't produced and can't be produced in the US but in Europe. China is very much willing to buy European tech to strengthen their military capabilities. Americans are ignorant. We can, and we will strengthen our Europeam military. Money isn't the problem.
@@MA_KA_PA_TIEAmerican military equipment is filled with high tech European made technology. You don't know anything.
Europe: systematically removes all reasons why US would care about their defence
US: stops caring about European defence
Europe: :O how dare you
Amen!
2 things
1) Even if we Europeans finally decide to step up military production, despite the painful costs for already indebted countries, it will take literal years to build factories and equipment
2) In case of a DMZ on the territory of Ukraine as outlined in this video, guarding the DMZ border would not be enough! The border with russia and Belarus would also have to be fortified. We are looking and 100s of thousand personnel here
The Euro is dead, the euro-bloc economies are screwed and the euro is the next currency on the chopping
Block that will bend the knee to the mighty dollar
I agree with you. I believe a DMZ deal with no USA support would just result in Russia invading through Belarus in maybe half a decade.
You might want to look at Polish plans for presidency in EU, which just started, including:
- stepping up coordinated war-material production in EU;
-further fortifying border with Kaliningrad Oblast and Belarus.
@ news flash, the Euro is dying, once Trump takes office the exchange rate for our dollars will continue to sharply fall and the problems will just increase
Europe must rely on itself, not on the US...
The fact that most of NATO is unwilling to spend 2.5% of their GDP on defense is super annoying. At least France has a nuclear triad and an aircraft carrier with less than 2% of its GDP...looking at you Germany who still doesn't have an armored brigade.
If they could defend themselves then they could be autonomous and denounce war acts like, for example, the US destroying North Stream to bring Germany’s economy down.
Tbf to Germany, their recent history probably makes military spending a bit of a touchy subject.
Especially more closely following WW2, Germany re-arming again would likely have been taken pretty poorly by the rest of the world.
I think ultimately that's where it comes from with Germany, it doesn't really matter today but I still think that overall mindset still exists today.
germany 2.5% would be theyr total domination
@@MarcusMaybenot Bringing up WW2 after 80 years is fucking insane.
@@MarcusMaybenotthey need to get over it just look at Japan. They are holding themselves back take it how you want.
Post WW2 it was understandable that the US would be a large chunk of European security, and it made sense that Europe would encourage that. Sometimes though, in order for history to move on, things have to happen that sort of force it. Times are just changing
Post Cold War after the Soviets Lost, Europe Kind of Kicked its feet up and let USA handle Security. Theyve gotten Lazy and Indeed Times Are Changing. Starting in 2025 they need to go back to defending themselves
USA asserted themselves everywhere around the world and not a single time they did it from the goodness of their heart, they always had something to gain, be it resources or influence. Despite everything Trump says, USA WANTS Europe to rely on them because if they don't, they have no political leverage nor influence over the old continent.
I would agree. It’s crazy how countries in the EU will say they want American to stop “policing the world”, but then not invest more into defense. I would love for US to stop policing the world, but that can only happen when the world takes responsibility. If the US were to pull out right now, the world would be screwed. Prices of middle eastern oil would skyrocket because of the subsequent wars and takeovers that would happen to essential routes and oil reservoirs. The global trade would also hurt because of similar reasons. I think allied countries need to spend more on military and we need our military to have integrated bases and train the joint armies accordingly.
Well WW2 Russia did a lot of work but yes. Having U.S involved in the war. You have to defend two sides which is hard to defend both sides with certain numbers.
@@DumbTheWise after the USSR collapsed there wasnt a need for large militaries in Europe not until 2022.
Your numbers are not correct, or at least incomplete, concerning EU aid. Your $133B figure of EU aid only considers direct bilateral aid and ignores aid rendered by EU institutions. The total EU-aid is estimated to be $176B. And if you expand it to geographic Europe (which includes the UK and others) , the amount is $203B.
It's all in the datasheet of the source you're quoting for this video.
Does the military spending number change as well or is that all humanitarian spending
it is better to count by GDP % of the country. E.g for Poland it is 5% GDP where for US and Germany around 1%.
It’s a very stupid UA-cam channel.
Yet here you are
@@woutr9024 quote: _"Yet here you are"_
Indeed, here I am......
Outsourcing European defence to the US is by far the biggest fuckup in our history.
If we join the budgets of all E.U.-states, we have a budget of €326 billion and it's rising every year.
That's the sort of money with which we can buy our own aircraft carriers, build our own fighter jets -Rafalle, Eurofighter, Saab Gripen,... our own tanks and artillery.
Why would we spend our money on US weaponry, while we also have quality stuff right here in the E.U.?
Keeps European jobs in tech, R&D, industry,... here with us.
Not spending it on American hardware, where -as US-government proved over and over again in Ukraine- we're not even allowed to use it, should shit hit the fan.
Think Biden's refusal on Ukraine to use HIMARS and ATACMS on Russian soil.
Think Biden's eternal stalling on Ukraine acquiring F-16, on acquiring enough 155mm shells, and all the other "export licenses" related stuff.
We would't have to ask the Americans "Pretty please, can we use your arms to defend ourselves?"
I am sick and tired of Europeans having to ask "Uncle Sam" for anything like little children.
Time to step up our game: build our own nukes, or "Europeanise" the ones of France.
In case Russia nukes Berlin, Moscow will be turned into highly radioactive glass by a nuke fired from France.
It is our responsibility here in Europe to protect our land, not the responsibility of the USA.
@@Rexsuprime Yes, I was also thinking of all this countries you mentioned at the end. My government here in Germany has to do more.
It's a repeat of history. The U.S. will become isolationist once again, like it did after WW1, and once war reaches American soil again, like it did in WW2, we will once again become the world's policeman.
Then ummmmm, do it?
@@Rexsuprime Hi, American here. I made no promise to protect Europe. I'm not dying to defend your country. That's your job. Good luck!
@@Rexsuprime @Rexsuprime like mentioned in the video most of Europe did not hold up their part of the deal, so the “promise” that US made, can’t be applied. You know like being delinquent on your rent, you eventually will be kicked out.
80 years is a long time to outsource your own defense
It’s almost as if they were asking for this
The U.S. MIC rigged it so in order to benefit itself and inflate its profitability.
It was our decision they didn’t have a choice. lol you should have a better understanding of world history.
It’s really not it’s the lifespan of a single generation
Europe is an American colony. They are all vassal states. Empires usually don't want their subjects to have large armies
From 🇵🇱: No matter what America does, Europe needs to get serious about Putin and dramatically increase military readiness, including aid to Ukraine. He sees you as his enemy and wants to weaken your society, whether you like it or not. Take our word on this one.
Polish cope
Exactly. "What Europe needs to do" is exactly what Europe needs to do, regardless of who the incoming president is. They continue to kick the can down the road at their own peril.
Why should we Americans pay for your defense?We don't owe you anything Trump should pull us out of Nato we don't have any threat from Russia and we should focus on China
@@JesusOrDestructionour schools actually encourage us to read history. Try it sometime
Putin is not a monarch. He answers to the rich of Russia
In his Farewell Address in 1796 President George Washington essentially said, "Avoid foreign entanglements."
Just take a minute and consider how unfathomably much bigger global trade is in 2025 compared to 1796. Should the US also give up on protecting Taiwan if China invades?
It's not 1796 anymore. Foreign entanglements are inevitable.
@disrupt94 President Trump has already told NATO allies that they must contribute what the treaty they signed requires. The cost of Ukraine's defense against Russia should be paid for by the Europeans. Etc.
I think this can turn out to be a good thing for us Europeans. We have relied on the USA too much and for too long. The USA drew its power from being the world’s police, but as we can see, this is no longer what the American people want their country to be. The idea of isolating America and focusing on domestic issues is not Trump’s idea-it’s the idea of the American people, and that’s why he was chosen by them. It's important to understand that. Many have criticized Trump for his actions, but he says and does things that Americans want to hear and see, which makes it very democratic.
This shift could take Europe out of its lethargic state. In fact, it might turn out to be very unfavorable for the USA, as the rise of Europe could deal a financial blow to the United States.
I would not be so sure on that one. Yalls demographics are cooked. Americas is getting cooked as well. We both just going to be on the struggle bus here soon and as we get old, no retirement from the gov cus no young workers :/
I should point out that the american people are just tired of being yanked around by everyone, all of your nations tarriff american goods, yet the us threatens to do the same and you act like we've somehow stabbed you in the back, the us taxpayer literally funds half the world's countries through our economy yet you call us braggarty hicks, also your socialized healthcare is subsidized by americans paying out the nose for our medicines (though red tape doesn't help there either).
America might have more or less ruled the world for the last 80 years, but the rest of the world, outside of maybe japan, has treated america like it's some backwards trash heap for at least the 40 years i've been alive, we as a people are tired of doing everything for everyone else while our people are treated badly and suffer, until trump came along our government has completely ignored our anger and worry.
Also let me be clear, even during the cold war most americans were isolationist, but saw nato and european assistance as a necessary evil to maintain safety in the us, the us has at least since before ww1 been isolationist and nationalist, our bureaucrats in government however, were globalist, even against the will of the average american, we are not against helping europe, but we're tired of being treated like a sugar daddy with europe and other so called allies not pulling their weight.
@@nickashton8139 Actually american demographic trends are weird, we're not really reducing in population in the way you think we are, our cities are having far less kids but rural is having more kids, while this would cause a crunch at the top end for old age millenials, it likely will not have as big of a effect in the long run outside of shifting america more and more to the right as again, rural is having a boom while cities populations are contracting, especially among african americans (which seems to be highly influenced by abortion numbers, but i'm not gonna get into THAT conversation here).
Europe however, needs to rework it's systems to stop relying on social safety nets at the rate they are demographically collapsing, but well, politicians only think about their term, and the next term is the other guy's problem.
For what it's worth, china, russia and arguably india are far worse off than europe with demographic predictions, but all 3 have a tendency to lie about their numbers.
I mean Trump was already in office and people claimed relations between Europe and the US would sever and he would withdraw the US from NATO and none of it ever happened.
He also warned about Russia during his first term and about Europe’s reliance on it for energy.
For a matter of fact as someone who voted for Trump I don’t even know any Americans who actually want to abandon Europe vs them spend more on defense. The US sees China as its biggest threat now
@@nickashton8139 True if Z-ers don't have a lot more kids were in trouble, but it's ok men can be women now 🙄
Those who don't learn their history are destined to repeat it.
If all we know about trees is correct, then they have no intellectual capabilities which allows them to learn from history. Despite this, sometimes new trees appear by chance in areas where there were no trees before.
In fact, a _huge_ amount of novelty appears from total randomness, like us humans and our intellectual capabilities. So no, fk u and ur alleged destiny :)
better than the potential history that the other "candidate" could ever provide.
@@sylentknight Exactly! ☝🏻
Like from Chamberlain?
if there is ONE thing we learn from history
Picking fights with Russia is a GREAT idea
just ask Napoleon and the Nazis
I remember when Germany laughed at Trump when he told them they were too reliant on Russian natural gas.
They laughed. Then winter came, and the world laughed.
Yes. They should have relied on the much more expensive US LNG. So now that they refused the cheap Russian gas, their economy is independent of Russia and booming. Wait, no. It’s collapsing. How’s that an improvement?
You both hate Germany in fact, judging by your acid comments and fakes about Germany's economy collapsing. In your dreams. Russia's economy is collapsing too, if so.
@vladsch1 all the money they spent of Nord Stream could have been spent on US natgas nodes and the country would have tackled the issue at its own pace instead of at gunpoint
Every US president warned Germany about that, they have not listened for decades, but to be fair for them the economical gain was worth the risk
Thanks!
Make Europe Great Again - MEGA
Mega = μέγας, mégas / “great, large, mighty”
MEGA > MAGA
Lol!
we are great.
@@nickt2822great at freeloading
Omg MEGA
It really can't be understated how important it is that a Baltic state like Estonia is proposing a lot of these ideas. They very much seem to remember their time being forced into the Soviet Union and they want to do everything possible to prevent that from happening again. Everyone that was freed of the Warsaw Pact doesn't want it coming back and the larger countries like France, Germany, and the UK need to take note as the higher ups seem to have forgotten a bit.
Or they’re just fear mongering… Russia could barely beat Ukraine and its been three years. They’re not invading NATO…
UK spends the most on defence in Western Europe and has nuclear weapons and aircraft carriers? UK is also increasing its defence spending too.
France also has the same. Nuclear weapons and aircraft carriers.
Germany and the UK also make a lot of weapons too.
Some aren't pulling their weight to be sure.
Many in those larger countries look at the Soviet Union with nostalgia-like Spain's ruling coalition, in a country that barely spends 1% of its GDP in defense, less than even the much-criticized Canada's 1.3%.
I was certainly already giving up on this uploader with his recent posts and complete whining toward Google but his extreme liberal viewpoints and overall lack of understanding of almost anything he posts about I think Google is correct, he’s basically the msnbc of UA-cam I look forward to his further whine posts about why no one likes him for no understanding, well, anything and being so matter of fact. Screw you real life bs
What’re you talking about Estonia is like 2 cities sharing a border with Russia it’s obviously in their interest you weird plevbitor
It's funny how many people act like trump wasn't president once already and haven't seen what he actually does.
Because it's a cult and cult members don't question their leader.
It's funny how people never understand that he has filled his cabinet with yes-men unlike last time and can do literally whatever he wants!
@@alex__825 Its funny that people think Trump who had no wars during his term is worse than sleepy Joe Biden.
Nothing is funny about having a President that doesn't start new wars.
They didn't see what he did before, that's the sad part.
The NATO 2% of GDP rule was adopted in 2006, not 2014.
I’m old enough to remember when Obama mocked Mitt Romney for saying Russia was a threat. 😂
threat to whom, is a question
to USA every country that want control and power is a threat, that is why Europe does not have army if European countries were independent of USA they would also be considered as a threat
Just look at the scandal when Germans caught USA - CIA spying on their officials..... is germany a threat to USA ? right now no, but in the Future might be
Yea. The weak almost none existing answer to Russia's invasion of Georgia in 2008 was a green light for Putin. Mc Caine was also very on point about russia. But nowdays Biden is too weak on flexing US muscles because the demage was done, but at least the messege has been clear, while here we are guessing what the hell Trump will do. I must admit I put more of my hopes into Putin accidently steping the line and offend Trump, where Trump will have to act against it to not look weak, rather than Trump have actualy any real plan or strategy for this war.
He will definitely change Europe and effectively force it to take more initiatives on its own.
I'm not so sure USA is going to benefit from that though.
EU should be able to support themselves without us
It won’t. Closed military bases, less trade, less trust, which is what keeps our dollar afloat.. this is what we get for letting the adult literacy rate in this country fall below 60%.
@@kingslagathor4178 Ukraine is not in the EU
@@razorramon780 I agree and I am not an American. I am Dutch.
Obama asked nicely and politely.
Trump asked in 2016 2020 again more insistently.
To raise militairy spending to 2% of the national income.
We did nothing or not nearly enough.
The invasion of Ukraine was an indirect result of European failure to comply by NATO standards.
Dont blame Trump.
What he asjed of us was fair. And we (Europe) complained about the mean words he used.
Western European countries who did not spent 2% are to blame.
The USA will do better under Trump by a lot actually
Here before the video title change
"How Trumps 2nd term, will change Europe forever"
Got ya cover👍
"How Trump's 2nd Term Will Change Europe Forever"
lets see how long it takes
Genuine question, why would it change, is it about demonetisation? Performance??
@@EKF4N To capture the attention of the widest audience (some may be lured by one title while others another)
I feel like this video lacks an economic view on the topic. War and international relations over territory especially with Russia's role in Europe are one thing, but the economical relations between the US and Europe might also change drastically with all the austerity measures Trump promised. What he might accidentally cause is a complete shift of Europe's committment to its business relations with the US. If Europe wants to find funding it will (plenty of billionaires that fare very low tax rates compared to workers) and if it deems necessary it might even collaborate with China to step over an extremely erratic US which breaks out of e.g. climate protection agreements, the NATO, etc.. All of it might result in the US losing its more or less total dominance on the world stage, instead having to step down and actually act on eye-level with other superpowers instead of playing the role as world-police. Something the "greatest nation under god" might not be ready for yet.
Usa doesn't many more years as a world hegemon anyways. Better exit while still have the power to exist in our own terms.
@@ollehkacb”USA doesn’t have many more years as a world hegemon”
Oh, you poor, poor fool…
@@Deco1ze i may be wrong and hope to wrong. But the institutional rot is pretty pervasive.
@@ollehkacbpeople have been saying that since Vietnam. Trust me US dominance ain’t going anywhere anytime soon.
@@Reaverkiller7 people said that about the roman empire, mongol empire, portuguese, spanish, french, dutch, british and many more empires and look at where we/they are now
It's crazy how long Europeans have neglected their own national defenses
Decadence is the reason. Europe has lost its vigor and urgency since WW2. They only care about preserving the welfare state.
While simultaneously mocking the only ones that would defend them. They really have no intelligence.
I mean, when you've had US military bases and training exercises throughout most of Europe for longer than most people have been alive, then it gets quite easy to assume they will always be there to defend you.
Basically, the same way a child won't learn how to do the dishes if you never make them; Why would Europe spend lots of money on their military when the USA has been there to protect them for the last 60-70 years? The European countries definitely should have spent more on defence, but why would they when the largest superpower on the face of the planet has been protecting them for longer than most people in the country have been alive?
well.. could be something to do with not needing them up until.. oh.. 2 and a half years ago. guess they were a bit overly optimistic
@@Phraxas52 Right, but still more intelligent than any Trump supporter
The fact Luxembourg, which is rich and has no way of defending itself, is paying less than 2% is unacceptable. Eff it. Make Lux pay for all of Europe.
Luxemburg went intriguing everywhere in Europe and making cash all over Europe, remember drunk men Claude Juncker 😉
Luxembourg, Liechtenstein and Lebanon should cover 100% of NATO's budget imo. Germany, Austria and Yemen should start a mutual defence organisation under the name GAY (which stands for Gay Army Yoga).
Also, Russia should become NATOs best friend forever, and they should kiss sometimes.
@@official_alphabet_inclol. Yeah that sounds good. I'm in favour.
@@paulgordon6949 You seem like a reasonable gentleman
Foreign policy is extremely complicated. I can't even pretend to have an educated opinion.
Indeed
That's on you.
At least you have enough humility to own it. That also is on you (appreciatively).
You need to study international relations first
Then focus on one aspect of foreign policy, you’re not going to keep up with every one
I specialize in Latin America policy but my colleagues are all Asia and Europe
I agree with OP
Even Real Life Lore said his own opinion could be wrong depending on what will happen later, as IR could be impulsive. But we can guess some based on history, just like the weather.... but even weather gets wild now
I'm sure the comments will be completely civil
Quite telling that I initially misread this as "completely evil" and didn't blink.
So far pretty good. Some pretty intelligent people follow this channel
And I'm sure this video isn't bias
Civil as in 90% trump haters and 500 replies on any trump sympathetic comments.
@@zenec_ Yea those crazy facts and truths always get in the way of maga delusions
As on older Irish man that's embarrassed by the current state of our national defenses, I hope that if the Americans abandon Ukraine and that the Polish and Brits do go all in to replace them, that the large expat communities here put real pressure on the government to finally pull it's head out of the sand and do something about it. We have the money, the manpower and friendly countries who'd be more than happy to help us to properly beef up our defense forces enough to meaningfully support our European brothers, we're just lacking the political will to do it.
"I hope that if the Americans abandon Ukraine and that the Polish and Brits do go all in to replace them" You say that like the US was actually helping which mostly it wasn't.
What are you on about.
The current state of the irish national defences??? And youre embarrassed. When have ireland had any sort of national defence? What wars did you fight in? Irish cabbage.
Yeh Ireland is not any sort of military power
@@archvaldor Remind me and yourself the US is a single country while the EU is many countries.
The US has carried the defense Burden for Europe. This allowed Europe to build its generous social programs and drift to totalitarianism as people give up freedoms for security.
I don't like how Poland is often omitted in those talks.
Poland is the only one in the region who truly know the colors of ruSSia and Belarus. US should help Poland secure central and Eastern Europe and not count on silly Germany to do so!
One of the flaws with Western countries in our current decade....
They aren't interested in including people who are straightforward. Because they don't have the "correct" vibes.
They want folks who are "exciting." Instead of smart.
-With eastern NATO countries being the only exception. (For obvious reasons.)
It's a common issue with Western countries in our current decade.....
They won't include folks who lack the "correct" vibes. Even though Poland has the experience and knowledge to help out.
@@MALUR82For real. The German government seems to think if they have a decent military it's only a matter of time until France is invaded.
Meanwhile Poland is preparing for a unilateral reformation of the USSR.
Poland failed to defend itself when it had no right to Western protection, they also failed to liberate themselves and became a soviet puppet.
Europe needs to modernize and invest in its military to the point where it can field an actual fighting force that can fight a defensive AND offensive (counterattack) war. Europe shouldn’t leave its security in the hands of another country.
Yes, but sadly most Western EU countries (including France where I live) are buried deep in public debt, going worse, they can't spend the necessary big billions to equip and modernize well enough their national army and military. Including France, whose army budget keeps getting cut year after year, frankly in spite of nuclear weapons, a few modern nuclear submarines and a few big destroyers the French army is far from being in good shape, it doesn't have enough budget to provide the army bases located in other countries with all the equipment necessary. If China, Russia and India's armies together invaded Western EU tomorrow it'd be a blitz krieg and they'd reach France quickly. The biggest BRICS countries have been massively increasing their respective military budgets for over a decade, we don't even know how much China spends annually bc there are 't official numbers, only spéculations. As a French it's frightening bc our leaders are so arrogant and ruled by delusion that they can't fathom BRICS would dare attack Europe, that's also why they aren't increasing massively their military budgets, unlike much smarter countries in Northern Europe. France and Germany's Govs in particular are so freaking wrong. It's the same arrogance and delusion than in 1938-39 when they+the UK didn't believe Nazi Germany would dare attack them.. That's why the blitz krieg will be successful, France and Germany's inland armies will be quickly and easily overwhelmed and outnumbered by an invasion of Russian, Chinese and Indian armies together.. Macron and whoever the current German Chancellor is are both arrogant and deluded, more high ranking officers in both countries have been trying to sound the alarm for years, without success. We're heading towards extremely difficult times and it's absolutely terrifying bc we are governed by deluded hubris ruled people, too greedy and drunk in power to do what's in the people's best interests. Macron is the worst, when he tries to step up to "save the EU" you'll know the end is near.
You're delusional if you think Russia is still a threat to Europe as a whole
@@Sissi-c3dthat's not America's fault nor our problem.
what does he do if Ukraine and Russia both disagree with his plan? how does he simultaneously withhold aid and increase aide at the same time?
Trump will probably say "Nobody can end this war in 24 hours" and pretend he didn't say otherwise
@LazloVimes
Increase the weapons given to Ukraine, but not the actual aid money.
You’re assuming Trump has any amount of intelligence or forethought. He’s all vibes and ego bro, he doesn’t know what he would do.
I can't understand how stupid people need to be, to believe him. It's just the typical advertising bullshit, that means nothing, but sounds good :D
Russia's agreement is far more important that Ukraine's. The US represents Ukraine, but not Russia. So if Russia backs out, he's supporting Ukraine.
If the Afghanistan security forces weren't ready by the time we left, they were never going to be ready, regardless of how long we stayed😅
This. State building was a naive ambition and it would've never worked. Evident in the military loss to the Taliban. You can't make the indigenous population believe some novel foreign values. The fight against Taliban was a fight against the native culture.
I agree completely. There were American soldiers in Afghanistan in 2021 were literally not even born when it started back in 2001.
Facts
That's exactly why Trump just decided to pull out. They weren't an effective government and nothing we could do was going to change that. Hence the last 20 plus years of the war.
Exactly. They clearly didn't want to fight the Taliban. That's an uncomfortable fact.
Europe is about to start seeing a lot more tax increases and austerity as public money is being redirected towards military spending.
Europe too busy fighting climate change with their tax money…HAHAHA!!! 🤣🤣🤣
@@oGrasshopperoHmm
Maybe they should stop spending money on climate and welfare and focus on important things.
@@humanbeing4841 Those are important things. Hell, they are a net positive in the long term anyway. Sorry, but not everyone wants to throw away their future investments just to have a marginally more powerful military in the short term.
@redman_10t39 Climate change is not important whatsoever, it's a product of decadence. Welfare need to be reduced because it's killing economic incentive for entrepreneurship and eating up money that could be used for military. Welfare is like a drug that once introduced is very difficult to develop political will to cut.
10 year soldier here. Terrible take on the afghan draw down.
It came across extremely biased, i don't know how he didn't see that.
here before UA-cam demonetise another RLL Video
*demonetises
stop slurping another UA-camr's b...s you n......
@@The_Orgazoidfighting the good fight.
cant spell demonetize without *demon*
Don’t worry it talks about Trump so it’ll probably get promoted considerably the algorithm
Poland with its history of pre-invasion treaties, is now increasing its military defence with good reason as well as providing arms to Ukraine.
He is very biased when it comes to war stuff. I wish he did more videos on like disconcerting under Antarctica, or those videos talking about the weird borders and why it happened. Those seem to be more correct and interesting imo.
To be fair about the Afghan withdrawl, they had decades to prepare to fight the Taliban, they simply choose not to. I would rather have left as we did then stay there any longer.
FACTS
I wouldn’t bc 12 us soldiers died. It was supposed to be a slow withdrawal. Instead we left our equipment over there while hundreds of afghans died some where clinging and dying on the planes as they were departing
@@pluton__ that was bc Biden botched the withdrawal.
@@safuu202was it not because trump made an impossible dead line and was sluggish which left Biden with a time bomb
15 years to build an effective military? After you've invaded their country?? Not possible at all
I agree that the EU should send more military aid to Ukraine, but let's be honest about the real reason US is sending so much: Military-Industrial lobbying. Every "donation" to Ukraine is another sale and manufacturing contract to replenish American stockpiles. They're not just doing it out of the goodness of their hearts, nor is the US sacrificing its own military to do so.
I like the tone: "Finland was FORCED to ENDURE neutrality"
Do you understand that neutrality means that you have a huge army to protect yourself?
@christianpetersen163 are you saying a nation of five million people was defending itself (from both sides) with a huge army for almost 100 years?
@@stststefan Yes.
@@christianpetersen163 the reality is trade and balancing socialism with capitalism. It is no accident Scandinavian countries have the highest living standards and social safety nets. Certainly not because of their armies.
Oh bad, they have been forced to endure peace. Such a madness...
As insane as this timeline is. It's our canon timeline, and our prime timeline. we must make the most of our life here.
Assuming your own timeline/universe is the canon/prime one is pretty arrogant.
@@DarkElfDiva what are you even saying rn. The concepts of time and reality are arrogant?
@@DarkElfDiva Uh, I get where you're coming from but that's not really right. Naturally *our* timeline is primary to us. We can't put stock in alternate timelines, they're of no causal relevance to us except as thought experiments and what-ifs. We have this reality. It might be entirely illusory, but acknowledging that does nothing for us except let us stare at our navels.
Timeline travelers get to postpone their existence for as long as they wish tho
Well, if you believe that the information in this video is the truth, then you live in a wild alternative reality 😂
What real power did the afghan government have. The president wasnt even in Afghanistan
One of the very few times I didn't want to cancel a subscription because of a baked-in advertisement. It's actually extremely relevant. Well done.
The absolute lack of leadership that it needs to have American president to guide us to be self sufficient is beyond me.
It’s insane to know that the most developed countries on earth hate the idea of being independent!
American really needs to hold everybody's fucking hand all the time i guess
Because it's a lie. Russia would have serious trouble with Italy much less all of Europe NATO. China only spends 1.6% of it's GDP. 2.5% is absurd. Europe NATO was never in any danger spending that much is just for flashy but non effective force projection(not defense)
@@Emmanuel-co6sm Nope they brought this situation upon themselves by meddling in every countries affairs to spread capitalism, every country can commit atrocities as long as they are on the side of American imperialism.
@@FrenzyLive1 If I was in a restaurant with a table of people I can barely communicate with much less stand for extended periods, and the waiter offers to presume what we want in exchange for a 50% discount, I'm saying yes, not considering if it makes me look too reliant to people looking in from the window.
It’s going to be an interesting few years
The shortest answer is "we don't really know" cause the guy is really unpredictable.
Statistics showed that from the end of WWII in 1945 to 2001, among the 248 armed conflicts that occurred in 153 regions globally, 201 were initiated by the US, accounting for 81 percent of the total number.
If Europe want to spend 2.5% of its GDP on arms for NATO, stop buying overpriced American weapons, and create jobs by spending this money on homegrown weapons. Canadians would likely get on board with this if it creates Canadian jobs.
Every country except Slovenia anywhere close to Russia are already reaching this target. The only countries that aren't are Croatia (1.81%), Portugal (1.55%), Italy (1.49%) Canada (1.37%), Belgium (1.30%), Luxembourg (1.29%), Slovenia (1.29%) and Spain (1.28%). Canada doesn't have the will to secure its own arctic waters from Russian encroachment so I won't hold my breath for Canada to do anything with regards to Europe lmao.
Um.. perhaps you haven't noticed, but the US has budget overruns like crazy from weapon systems development. You think that would wind up being different in Europe? Europe probably saves a lot of money by just buying what they need.
@@sinister184 Oh, I know this. And part of that is because the US is always trying to do something better to be above and beyond all others. They soak billions into trying to make things work, which end up being too complicated. In Europe, there are already aircraft manufactures building quality fighter craft. It already has a good ship building industry. The problem is, you want to build effective weaponry, not glossy weaponry. I know from following Canadian politics, that buying weaponry from the US makes it very hard for Canada to reach it's target. Yet Canada has the means and people to develop and build its own. But if we mush use US made/developed military systems, then at least make it part of the contract that those systems are built in the country buying them, not the US.
As a Canadian, I agree with your message. We have more in common with Europe than we do with the USA and their MAGA bullies. 🇨🇦❤🇪🇺
@@BestCoastLife Correction: "Some of us want to have more in common with Europe than the US. Although... Quebec tries so hard it makes our eyes roll and we quietly - as it's most polite - want them to go as much as many of them loudly want to go. Er, nvm sorry about that, eh."
This means, the Budapest agreement signed by UK, USA, Russia, and Ukraine + other East European countries coming out of breakout of USSR, where the laters had let go of N Weapons in exchange of protection, the Budapest agreement is nor worth the paper it’s written
That one was broken in 2014 when the Crimean peninsula was annexed tho
@@orange123yoshi
Yes, what you say is true.
The UN recognized borders of Ukraine included Crimea.
The (not big) amount of territory that is Crimea although very strategic in Black Sea, led to illusion that Russia/Putin territory grab greed would stop there. Despite breaking UN law, I think most politicians and most people chose to overlook as a minor infraction.
Now the scenario is blatant land grab +20%, and even with an interim peace deal, no one can say won’t go for a larger chunk.
This is unmistakably a break of UN/international law, this is unmistakably the reduction to irrevelance of Budapest agreement (2014 qualitatively it was a break, quantitatively could be overlooked also given history of that patch of land).
@@orange123yoshi Thanks, Obama!
Exactly. No country should give up defending itself. Like Europe. They should not give up defending themselves. Even NATO is just paper. Maybe the US will help? Maybe countries will pay their share? Maybe...
@@lv3609UN Law is less than worthless.
This video assumes that Europe has no military industry and no ability to develop further... How wrong that is.
Europe's issues with its economy, that affected investment in defense, have been mostly related to weak demand for European products, not technical and production issues. But if the EU does not have to buy American weapons anymore and can just ramp up own production, all of this changes considerably.
if anything, increasing production of and demand for european products would help a lot with the constant emigration of our graduates
Trump will tax countries not purchasing US military products. Europe must follow America First or get punished.
It is interesting how the North Koreans troops in Russia are still being perceived as "reinforcements". In a war like this and with the rates of attrition being what they are for both sides, 10000 foreign troops who don't speak the language and do not integrate within the Russian military structure are nothing significant. If they were more, like a 100000 with their own equipment and resources, sure; but not at these numbers.
What's most likely here is that the Koreans are involved to gain actual war fighting experience, since in a multipolar geopolitical reality and with China viewing North Korea more like an embarrassment rather than an asset, they need all the benefits they can get.
If the rate of Koreans involved in the Russian side starts to changing upwards, then this may become a different matter.
As for US disengagement from the European region, I suspect they will find it as hard as, if not more, than managing to reindustrialize in the next 10+ years(it will take much more than tariffs to do that in a world of integrated economics). With regards to Ukraine, I fear that the US has a proven history of abandoning affiliated regimes when things become inconvenient; then again, it is still their proxy war, so I don't know if Trump can have the pull to distort current US external politics.
But one thing that remains true is that us Europeans definitely need to fortify our economies and achieve geopolitically independent, geostrategically significant military capabilities, or risk being reduced to the equivalent of Balkans in the context of our influence in global politics(no insult to the Balkans, I'm Greek myself).
Time to start looking in our own interests realistically, Ladies and Gentlemen; both apart from the US and Russia. Something I don't believe our current crop of politicians and Brussels can survive.
I strongly feel bullies should win nothing with their aggression.
America invaded Afganistan and Iraq and dozens of other countires and "won" to an extent
So bullies can win, you just want your bully to win
so Zelenski bullying ethnic Russians shouldn't have won all that sweet support, gotcha
Bullies? Christ dude, this is power geopolitical strategy, not a semester in high school. I would orient your filter of the world into something more based in the real world.
You should read provoked then
@@almichaels4128 Putin is a bully by personality
Nah the US military industrial complex won't allow trump to get out of NATO. They are making way too much money for trump to cancel that.
Time to clean the swamp
You neglected the fact that the professional and experienced people who worked with Trump during his first term have mostly abandoned him and were supporting Harris during the last election. Trump's cabinet picks are all just people who would kiss his ass no matter what he says as long as he deports immigrants (but only the 'wrong' immigrants as the presence of Musk attests), attacks minorities and women and lowers their rich asses' taxes. He could tell them to invade Mexico and they would fucking do it.
You don’t understand the full range of the situation. Trump has publicly stated that he will build an Iron Dome for America, just like Israel, a defensive military spend rather than an offensive one. That’s his deal to the Military Industrial Complex, no more wars but spend on an iron dome on their own soil to keep the companies happy.
I thought they were losing money, Im completely lost now
@@asishreddy7729 For the love of god, is the american public actually buying that? With the economy and stock prices there is at least some wiggle room for trump because nobody know what will happen there but this is just showing a clear lack of physics education. The "Iron Dome" is a SHORT RANGE (up to 70km) missile defense system. Thats why it works. For Long range ICBMs there is (for numerous reasons, some physical constraints, some political) no system in existence that can reliably defend a country from icbms. Even further such a system would require extensive deployed long range radars across the globe. If Trump truly plans to fuck their allies by not honoring NATO Europe will wean itself of the US.
I am from Czechia and it's sad that so many people now say we shouldn't help Ukraine anymore 😢 I think it's not most of people,but still ... I can get it from some very poor people, they feel like the Czech state doesn't help them enough and sends money to Ukraine...but that's not only them who says that and I feel like these thoughts are spread from Russia to our country
If continuing the war only results in more death and no significant progress, then is it worth it?
Why make life for your people harder with increasing taxes and such by sending money to UKR, when you can put that money into building your own defence and own military.
It would be different if UKR was winning though but its kind of a stalemate with slow minuscule RUS gains, and if the aid keeps coming its just going to remain a stalemate with deathpoll steadily rising on both sides.
the problem is that the biggest ukraine supporters are also the same people who are so woke that they wants to destroy europe
@@TonguelessDanny no money spent s most effective in ukraine now
We are not sending actual cash. The "money" is in terms of supplies, munition and old cold war era vehicles and machinery. Which in turn gets replaced by modern supplies and vehicles like F-35s from the US. So yes, we are actually putting the money into our own military.
00:06 seconds into the video, “Swored back into office”. 😂 This should be good.
Im sorry to be the person to say this but actually Finland wasn't neutral in ww2, they fought for Germany 😅
True but plz edit that missing space after the comma in. My autistic brain HATES when i know theres this particular specific typo. I know, i know, sounds trivial, soudns random, but what can i say? Mentalhealth is funky like that. And it only takes a second for you to edit
The first war Soviet Union attacked Finland. This war Germany approved. The second war 1941 Finland did not fight FOR Germany, but WITH Germany to protect themseleves. Note the difference. Furthermore the map over lost land is wrong. It does not show the Petsamo area in the north with the important nickel mine.
You have no knowledge about WW2, do you.
@andersvinnefors5891 True, Finland also switched sides late war.sometimes, in maps of ww2 are shown in there own side of the war
@@slevinchannel7589 👍🏼
The reason that Ukraine is in this state of war is because Ukraine was assured its protection by the US and UK and Russia to give up its nuclear weapons by signing the Budapest Memorandum. Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons and got attacked! What responsibilities do the countries that assured Ukraine have?
UA-cam: how many times do we have to teach you this lesson old man
putin: you have done well.... my apprentice
trump: yes master
I love the young people!
UA-cam is so pro Putin at this point it's not even funny!!! I don't get it.
@@ulizez89 russia is using ai powered bot farms to flood all social media with bullshit...
@@BrunoDias1234 That's really vapid. You clearly know nothing about how to prevent wars, only create them. If you keep on being toxic to powerful leaders you don't like, all they're going to do is want a war. If you are reasonable, rational, and nice to BOTH sides, then your chances of not causing a war is much greater by far. Maybe this takes a genius to understand or someone without cocky issues.
If you want to run for president where your main goal is to aggravate and harass NK and promote people targeting them, don't come whining that they start war with your country.
I hope that this will lead to Europe's Federalisation mostly in military sector
Get ready for this video to “mysteriously disappear”😂
Dont forget to take DVMP 😎
Please download it and reupload
Why ?
@@subieasunayuukithat's the shitty thing to do.
@@jonyemmWhy would it be? I think the implication is to preserve the video's knowledge and content
Americans have no clue what a Europe who is no longer our largest trading partner means.
Congress passed a law that prevents Trump from pulling out of NATO. It was passed with both Republicans and Democrats strongly supporting it.
As Andrew jackson once said "john marshal made his decision, now lets see him enforce it."
Ever heard of driving a hard bargain? Pay the f up for your own defense, Europe.
@@tylershannon6593leaving nato is stupid
@@thematthew761 bro. The objective isn't to actually NATO, it's to force NATO countries to pay their f'ing bills. The majority of them are delinquent on their agreement.
@@thematthew761 Trump NEVER had any intention of leaving NATO. It's called negotiating. Now these dumb but well-meaning politicians in the House and Senate have hamstrung those effective negotiating tactics. The only reason NATO members massively increased defense spending was because they feared Trump MIGHT go through with his threats. Take the threat away, and you've taken away the incentive for NATO members to increase defense expenditures. Congress made a huge mistake by passing that law. I'll call it the NATO law of unintended consequences.
Interesting video set in a universe where the USA has military interests in Europe out of kindness for it's allies, and not out of a need to exert economic and military control of Europe.
People keep on saying that he has a insane timeline. Meanwhile, he literally said in the beginning that he wants everyone to take this with a huge grade of salt and he’s trying to predict not actually predicting.:/
One interesting piece not highlighted here is if EU would feel US abandoned them would EU stand with US against China? European countries mostly don't see it as a threat and would actually be happy to get more cheap goods/resources from there. Recall for example last year Macron's visit there...
As a swiss guy... I'm scared of what the EU will do to us once the rest crumbles down...
nothing most likely, I doubt everything will crumble down and switzerland is mostly independent to begin with (I think oil, natural gas and power are the few things you guys actually fully require from the outside, and even then there's enough buying power to import whatever is needed)
Oh no. We don't label it "Munich betrayal" because Hitler later betrayed his promises. He's not the traitor that we are referring to.
Those new boundaries, another major victory for Russian century's expansion.
Russia seized land and expanded their country before & post WWII, from Poland, Germany, Finland, Romania & Japan.
Russia was once a tiny land around Moscow, they expanded in all directions, incorporating Finland to the west, Crimea to the south, to the tip of eastern Asia. They sold Alaska to USA out of fear the English will invade Alaska.
I wonder if they're thinking of selling the land they gain again as some sort of get rich scheme
when you’re worried his foreign policy is gonna be insane and threatens to take canada and denmark… :/
even if he’s not really attempt to this obviously has intentions behind it and whatever they are they’re not good.
It’s not much different than the Louisiana Purchase or buying Alaska; but i don’t think we’re going to goto war against Greenland like we did the Native Americans, if anything it’s better.
No matter how Vance dresses it up, a frozen conflict and demilitarized zone is just another way of saying "let's reward Putin for his aggression and at the same time, I look good to the public".
An important lesson here for Aussies, as we also rely on America for our security.
AUKUS is the right direction to go, I just hope it’s not too little too late.
you should be more impartial, your coverage on the afghanistan disaster was biased and incorrect
@@apaullo1387 yea it makes me question the validity of all the other videos I’ve watched on this channel
No it was pretty factual
@@another_alex8738 no
@@another_alex8738no it was pretty much not accurate
How?? His explanation of Afghanistan is pretty close to what really happened, at least diplomatically…
Did Trump NOT cut a deal directly with the Taliban, bypassing the elected (corrupt) Afghan government? (he did)
Did the Taliban NOT renege on its side of the deal? (it did, although the Afghan Army was a paper tiger anyway)
Did Trump NOT intentionally set the withdrawal date after for after January 2021? (he did)
"Europe hasn't paid their fair share in NATO" - sure, since the war almost all European countries do though and most exceed the 2% GDP commitment. What the US is doing if they pull out of Ukraine over the heads of the EU is alienating a stable ally for absolutely no good strategic reason.
@ siberia? Russian bot lol
In other words, Trump gonna Trump just like he did last time.
If you're viewing this from the UK, nothing will change with you guys. If You're living in the EU, then things will change.
Usually like your vids, but this one dropped the ball.
First, the way you framed the Afghanistan withdrawal implies that it all went according to the deal Trump negotated, which it did not. However, even if it did, the logistical failure of the withdrawal, causing the deaths of our service members and untold allies, happened completely under and at the fault of the Biden defense department. It is these deaths and the chaotic rushed outcomes of poor logistical planning that makes the withdrawal a failure, not the overarching deal laid out by Trump's administration to withdrawal. It could have been orderly and no one should have died, but they did in the end. A classic case of a good idea but terrible execution, the idea forming from the deal Trump negotiated, and the execution failing under Biden. You seemed perplexed as to why Trump got good PR from the event, but most Americans are anti-war, so liked the idea that we were getting out, just not the way we did it, hence why Biden got bad PR for the execution.
Secondly, you focused almost exclusively on Ukraine and military policy, while ignoring the economic and political parts of Trump's agenda. Tariffs, trade, regulations on tech and food, and the political realignments happening across Europe. Instead, I got a video half about how Ukraine might be Finland and half about the US being tired of being the world police and the world purse, a mindset that has been the majority in America for a while now, and I already knew.
Third, while you stated what might happen immediately, i.e. Europe forced to spend more on defense, but did minimal analysis into what the 2nd and 3rd wave effects could be and how these effects could change Europe in the moderately distant future, failing the stated goal in the title of theorizing "How Trump's 2nd Term Will Change Europe Forever".
I didn't learn anything new, and some of what was said could mislead an uniformed viewer about historical events. Because of this, I was forced to leave a rare dislike. In the future, I suggest to keep the goal of the video in mind, avoid going down side paths or excessive info dumps that cloud stated goal, and collect a more diverse sources to avoid biases and speculative inferences. This video was painfully biased, painted Trump as a madman and maybe even corrupt (Ukraine phone call in which Trump suggested reopening the case investigating Burisma and their dealings with Hunter on the board that Biden forced closed just a few years earlier.) To avoid perceived bias, don't bring up unnecessary politically charged information, such as the impeachment, unless absolutely necessary for the narrative.
Anyways, hope your next vid is great. Thanks for the work you do.
Bro got so offended he had to wright like 8 paragraphs 💀
@@Prisoner94b did you even read it?
@@Goomlit yes
Yeah, so this video challenged YOUR biases. Deal with it.
@@SeanofAllTrades It's not just "biases" when the video claimed several factual inaccuracies.
Creating another Korea, Vietnam, and Cyprus scenario.
This video is not about Europe, it's about Ukraine. I know Americans suck at geography but Europe is multiple countries under a common currency. When you talk about Europe you usually talk about European economic region.
"Europe" means the European continent,... which includes Ukraine.
Oh it’s abt Ukraine Yk the country that is in Europe…….
UA-cam ads are crazy 3 unskipable ads within 4 minutes and 11 seconds into the video
You need to pay youtube extortion fee
Install UBlock Origin my man
Zero ads if you are from russia haha
Get an adblocker
Firefox + Ublock Origin = No ads.
The 2% spending on military thing is not a requirement, it is a recommendation. So, technically, nobody was/is obligated to spend that amount.
But as an European I have always found it stupid that we do not spend more in our own military, hopefully things will change now.
And not buy too much American weapons but develop our own more, as Trump has shown we can not rely too much on the US.
reelected him again ❌ reelected him ✅
14:00 Why did Biden decide to withdraw the troops at Karbul airport where there was a lot less security when he could have withdrawn the troops from the military base? Withdrawing from the military base would have been far more secure. Also, all of those weapons and helicopters that were left behind. It can't have been that hard for e.g. to fly or transport the helicopters and the other military equipment to Ukraine or the US base in Germany.
The amount of stupid people right here
Saying that you’re “breastfeeding their enemy”
first of all, europe actually have not made that big of a trade with russia
and that alone an accomplishment
Europe has been able to sustain itself without having to rely on Russia
And it’s not as if they had a choice
They can’t replace 30% of their natural resources overnight
Europe is not like the US where it has natural reserves that can sustain itself without having to rely on others
Now before all of you attack me, I am not Russian. I am Mongolian.
I know all of you will see my username and say you’re Russian “so you’re defending them” meh meh
So annoying
oh hey, mongolia is a pretty cool place, hope things are going alright for ya
I red:
"European's furniture w/o America"
We are OK, we have IKEA
Sigh. I just immediately went straight to the comments 😔
If I hear someone starts a video by saying this is a speculation, I would not watch it.
Excellent opening statement: we can only speculate! You're being honest. It's ridiculous how all the pundits speak with certainty about what Trump will do and not do.😂
Pure political bias against Trump. Full blown case of Trump Derangement Syndrome
Greetings from Czechia. Really appreciate your deep understanding of Münich betrayal, and also featuring our prime minister Petr Fiala next to Macron.
Please stick to Geography. Geopolitics isn’t your strong suit.
@@christinaxeni8444 lmao
And both England and USA signed in 1996, to protect Ukraine if they gave up there Atom bombs
And Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland.
Bs.
Dropping a note to stimulate the algorithm.
Thanks for all of the hard work you put into these videos!!!
I am always very interested in language and accents. And Sam, I cannot place yours. It's American, certainly, but I don't know if I've ever heard anyone pronounce "Britan" as "Briddun." It's common for Americans to reduce the t sound, but usually for this word, they reduce it to Brih-un. I'm curious if Sam's accent is regional or is more a combination of what he listens to online or something. Does anyone know where that particular accent feature is from? I have noticed it in other videos too. Particularly, your pronunciation of "written" sounds just like your pronunciation of "ridden."
In America, the glottal stop is typically written with an apostrophe due to the Hawaiians writing it that way (Hawai’i). My best guess as to his accent, is that he had a speech impediment with consonants like T and CK and R. And he probably worked to get rid of those impediments which makes him over-pronounce certain letters. The same thing happened to me, so now I talk like a radio host, and sound half Australian, half American, full Moron, due to watching a diverse set of TV shows as a kid, and copying the way they spoke.
There was definitely no biased in this video
TDS is strong with this one