I have seen Conclave twice in the first two weeks (and listened to the audiobook). Such a masterful performance. Such a wonderful book (explains everything that you just glide through in the movie). I love Ralph Fiennes and it is a tragedy he didn't win for Schindler's List.
I'm so happy for it. I loved it and was completely absorbed by it. A nice, intelligent (slightly soapy) movie for adults (rated PG). Perfectly cast, flawlessly adapted from the book.
@EnzoFigueres-d7y it hasn't been released in the UK. Comeback 2 months from now. The budget is 20 million and it has already made 17 million. For a movie like this, its really impressive.
Ralph Fiennes has the greatest narrative he's a great actor he's an old member at the academy he never won he did some astonishing performances in the english patient, the constant Gardner, Schindler's list, the end of the affair and more
I think that's the real competition too, though Brian makes a good case for Timothee. But Ralph and Adrian are more experienced actors and this is a category in which older actors tend to win more than younger ones (it's the opposite for Best Actress). I am also Team Fiennes; Ralph gave us such a deeply felt and subtle performance. He often spoke volumes without saying a word. I haven't seen "The Brutalist" yet though, so I'll have to see how I feel about Adrian's performance afterward.
1. Ralph Fiennes (Conclave) 2. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) 3. Colman Domingo (Sing Sing) 4. Timothee Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) 5. Daniel Craig (Queer) Daniel Craig could easily miss since Queer is divisive. I have no idea anymore about slot #5. Gladiator II is divisive and Mescal has detractors. After the election, Sebastian Stan is done for The Apprentice. I wish people paid more attention to Andre Holland in Exhibiting Forgiveness or Cillian Murphy in Small Things Like These.
Just because the movie is divisive does not mean the actor won't get nominated. Brendan Fraser won best actor for The Whale and Joaquin Phoenix won for Joker, two extremely divisive films. I do think Daniel Craig can land a nomination.
I saw "Conclave" in the cinema and was gobsmacked - I haven't seen such a good Hollywood film in years, most of the best films are now coming from abroad or are indies - and Ralph Fiennes was cheated of a win in both "The English Patient" and "Grand Budapest Hotel" , he totally deserves it. And Stanley Tucci, John Lithgow and Isabella Rossellini all deserve supporting actor/actress nods as well IMHO.
My top 5: 1. Ralph Fiennes - Conclave 2. Adrien Brody - The Brutalist 3. Colman Domingo - Sing Sing 4. Timothee Chalamet - A Complete Unknown 5. Cillian Murphy - Small Things Like These
1. Ralph Fiennes - Conclave 2. Adrien Brody - The Brutalist 3. Coleman Domingo - Sing Sing 4. David Howard Thornton - Terrifier 3 5. Timothee Chalamet - A Complete Unknown
Genuinely believe that Cillian has given his best performance in Small Things Like These. It's such a small and quiet film - it's easy to overlook but I hope it gets more attention and exposure.
There's no doubt in my mind that he'll get nominated. People consistently consider him in those four fairly certain nominations, and he has support due to his prolific career yet lack of nominations. It would just be really surprising if he didn't make it
Don't worry. Ralph will walk into this third nomination. If for some absolutely remarkable reason he doesn't, like everyone at the Academy collectively loses their minds, I'll protest with you.
The Leo myth is very misleading, it posits that Leo is like the only actor who has to wait a long to win his first Oscar. He was 41 which is a fair age to get an Oscar imo. Many of the time you need a lot of nominations before you get your win. Not to mention he had to face some pretty competitive years in his previous nominations prior to The Revenant and I think he should a fairly low chances at winning at the other nominations. Its funny how Leo is the only actor being given this “waiting so long for an Oscar” people really forgot Deborah Kerr, Peter O’Toole, Geraldine Page, Shirley McClain, etc. these guys either never got it but got it so later on too and I think they should be recognised
Dune was terrible. People who "loved" Dune have no sense of film history. They loved it because of the art direction and consistency of tone. It was boring and confusing.
Honestly, after watching Anora, I was somewhat underwhelmed and wouldn't even call it my favorite Sean Baker film. So I'm back to hopedicting Dune until I watch the Brutalist.
Yes and both Austin and Timmy are singing in their respective films also. There's a lot of similarities here... particularly when you consider that Austin got beat by a dramatic performance from Brenden Fraser where the entire film focused on him. Much like Adrien Brody having so much screentime in The Brutalist. So it makes a lot of sense that Brody would win with Timmy in second position.
I don’t think the fact that Adrian Brody won over 20 years ago decreases his chances whatsoever. Emma Stone just won last year over an extremely deserving candidate in Lily Gladstone, Adrian could absolutely win. I think it’s between Adrian and Colman this year.
Small things like these is doing better than Anora in the UK and Ireland with significantly less theatres, getting the entire box office run for Sing sing, adm in 3 days, if it breaks out in America then I'm keeping an eye out for him. Especially since the reviews are so glowing about his performance.
Cheered when you mentioned Sebastian Stan in A Different Man. Super underrated movie and his performance is great, even more than that I’d love to see Adam Pearson in supporting actor. Though I agree the academy will likely ignore it (except maybe Makeup which it also super deserves a nod for)
Timothee Chalamet for OSCAR , his record and his work effort in his movies which I have watched from Interstellar, Little Women, CMBYN, Dont look up, Wonka, Dune 1 which I thought his performance as Paul was magnificent only to magnify it to Epic in Dune 2 plus the Bob Dylan movie which I am looking forward to and I know he will bring his A game because thats what he does.. if he does not win I want to know why ???? TIMOTHY FOR OSCAR 💕
@ He doesn't have zero chance. He is not the favourite to win it, but the chances are not zero. I think he is strong second in that order, and the fact that he doesn't have an Oscar, and Brody does, just helps him. Also, he was in two movies this year and he was great in both
Wonderful analysis. After seeing your honorable mentions, I would say we have a good year for Best Actor. It's just that there are 4 solid contenders and the only open slot is that fifth one.
Everyone is talking about Cillian Murphy performance, more than half of the top 5 picks for awards nominations and yet very few are predicting him to be in, I think he should absolutely be in. I’m glad at least you talked about it.
Winning an oscar in the past can't never hurt ur chances of winning another oscar. I use to think this way, until Frances mcdormand won 2 oscars in the span of 5 years, same with Emma stone
Yes, the Oscars do have their darlings. If Emma Stone is nominated, she will almost always win. And how many does Meryl Streep have now? But she IS Meryl Streep 😅
Having a previous Oscar should not hurt your chances of winning another one but believe it or not that's something many voters take in consideration before choosing a winner
@@ZlatanHu. Buddy I'm not saying you can't win again, just that many voters Will have that in mind. If they really love a performance they Will go for It no mater what
@ZlatanHu. Buddy I'm not saying you can't win again, just that It's something many voters Will have in mind before making a decision. If they really love a performance they Will go for It no matter what
My Best Actor prediction: 1. Adrien Brody - The Brutalist 2. Ralph Fiennes - Conclave 3. Timothee Chalamet - A Complete Unknown 4. Daniel Craig - Queer 5. Sebastian Stan - The Apprenrice
In March I left this comment on The Oscar Expert's EARLY 2025 Oscar Predictions video. Definitely being slept on: "May i make the case for an outsider? Perhaps not an oscar frontrunner but a definite critical darling that might pick up steam... on the set of Oppenheimer, Cillian Murphy got chatting to Matt Damon about wanting to make a movie based on a book called Small Things Like These, written by Claire Keegan, who wrote the book that the Irish movie A Quiet Girl is based on. Matt Damon asked could he produce the movie. Cillian Murphy stars in it opposite his buddy from his theatre days, Eileen Walsh. The director they got made a critically acclaimed tv show called The Responder. And it was adapted by Enda Walsh, the playwright who helped launch Murphy's career. It's got all the right ingredients. The plot is a bit like Spotlight, but it's about a man uncovering religious abuse in 1980s rural Ireland. Premiered at Berlin to a standing ovation."
Cillian Murphy in Small Things Like These was very, very good, but I would also like to nominate Emily Watson in this film for the Best Supporting Actress. Her screen time is very short, but she has two big and intense scenes. She is almost a horror villain in Small Things Like These.
Sebastian Stan deserves best actor nomination for The Apprentice. Jeremy Strong also deserves supporting actor for the film. I just hope the voters would put their prejudices behind and see the performance. I hope the nominations will be - Ralph Fiennes (Conclave) - Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) - Colman Domingo (Sing, Sing) - Timothee Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) - Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)
my Oscars 2025 Best Actor (November 2024) Adrien Brody - The Brutalist Ralph Fiennes - Conclave Colman Domingo - Sing Sing Timothée Chalamet - A Complete Unknown Daniel Craig - Queer next-in-line: Sebastian Stan - The Apprentice Izaac Wang - Dìdi Cillian Murphy - Small Things Like These Gabriel LaBelle - Saturday Night John David Washington - The Piano Lesson
@@Jazz_Lapen Andrew Scott is the weakest performer of All of Strangers. He couldn't even get a BAFTA nomination while the others nominated. Oscar nomination is just a dream.
Timothee Chalamet is a brilliant young actor whose young career has already spanned a broad spectrum of characters … from a gay teenager who falls for his father’s teaching assistant, to a drug addict, to Henry V, to Paul Atreides, to a cannibal, to Wonka, to Bob Dylan…. There is no role Chalamet cannot play and always does so in a believable, engaging, and engrossing fashion.
My honest belief is that Chalamet is going to have an Oscar nominating history similar to many actors that get nominated and don't win the first time. Actors have never learned from their forebears about what to do to get that trophy and that is they need to take on a role that makes the Academy take notice of them and force the Academy to give them an Oscar. The reason why method actors often win, is that the Academy is gripped by the stories of how far the method actor went for the role, so they assume that they should give the actor an Oscar.
Hey now, as an Oscar predictor since Rain Man, I have based my predictions on instinct especially where not even half of the movies that give off the vibe get played in my town. It is also a well known fact that Best Actor is my niche (31 wins in 36 years) so much to the point of having four slots well pinned for their respected nominations. However, in regards to the wild card spot, I have to agree with one of the two you called upon: Daniel Craig for Queer. Even though Best Actor has felt a little on the thin side until just recently, I cannot pinpoint a solid winner...at least not at this time. I also want to add, I am gunning for my Numero Venti (20) in that category and if Cillian Murphy doesn't pull an encore (he is my dark horse in the running), it would be a scream if Adrian Brody did take the win especially where his unexpected win in 2002 was the last time I missed Best Actor. Forgive me if I said too much but the hopes of my longtime streak are doomed to go up in smoke unless the race will be another cakewalk...even though I am not sticking my fork down just yet. Stay tuned....💗
I think you’re underestimating Stan’s chances, and he’ll have a good chance BECAUSE of the vote. I can see him being nominated essentially as a protest towards Trump’s election win, which depending on what happens next year, could potentially result in him winning. It’s not out of the question given how disliked he is.
I can find no objections to your comment. I love Sebastian Stan so I would LOVE for him to win, but nobody's gonna reward him for playing the most hated character in Hollywood 😬
Sing Sing is the BEST MOVIE of the year and deserves nominations in most categories. The movie was shot on 16 mm film, in 19 days, with a very small crew. The DP, Pat Scola should be nominated for an Oscar for cinematography because the visual look, the lighting, the film choice, all created the naturalistic atmosphere to tell the story. Accompanied with Bryce Dessner's score that sells the beautiful scenes and intimate facial expressions. And kudos to the director, Greg Kwedar, who allowed dialogue to be ad-libbed at times, which created the emotional essence throughout the film that tugs at your heart. The cast deserves best ensemble because 90% of the cast are the formerly incarcerated men that participated in the RTA theater program while in Sing Sing and that authenticity shines. And what can you say about Coleman Domingo.... he deserves the Oscar this year, his performance is perfectly understated, and he allows the other men to shine because this is their story. Well Done!! Also, Clarence Maclin and Paul Raci both deserve best supporting nominations. Their performances tie the strings that pull the film to its brilliance. Best movie overall in a very long time and well worth the emotional journey.
I loved "Sing Sing"; it's my favorite movie of the year so far. I have great love for Colman Domingo, whose performance is just perfect. But it is understated, letting the other actors shine, I'm wondering if that might hurt him. Really the breakout performance in the movie is Clarence Macklin, who will get a nod hopefully in Best Supporting Actor.
I really dont think Paul Mescal is happening. Ive seen way too many mixed reactions to his performance. Everyone keeps saying that Denzel is the one that runs away with the movie, and he may be judged under the lens of Russell Crowe winning for the first one. Right now I have Daniel Craig, but it's possible it could be some other passion pick like Sebastian Stan. Sadly, I think the election results will hamper his chances. Maybe some smaller movie could sweep in.
I truly hope it flops at the Oscars, I'm sick of Biopics. I'm only excited for the Bruce Springsteen biopic but only because I love the album that the film is based on.
I predict you will change your Paul Mescal prediction after you see the movie… not because of him but because of the movie! Not that it’s bad, but it’s not Oscar worthy, imho of course !!
Paul is great, but Gladiator 2 just isn't Oscar worthy. Definitely production wise, but not acting wise. Paul is the best young performer out there and he'll have his moment some day. I truly believe that he and Jeremy Strong will win not only one academy award in their careers, but several.
My no guts no glory pick for the fifth slot is John David Washington. Hear me out. Craig's movie is way to polarizing and it's Craig or bust. People don't want to watch a Trump movie and thus Stan is most likely out. Mescal is actually said to be miscast by a few reactions for Gladiator II. Piano Lesson is meanwhile considered pretty good by a lot of major trade reviews, and Deadwyler is guaranteed a spot. Netflix is also a strong campaigner as well. Aside from Deadwyler, JDW is also getting solidly good reviews for his role and I think he could get in alongside Deadwyler.
ralph all the way the media cannot make me like the snoozalist ( i mean the brutalist ) which is painfully boring to watch. 3.5 hours. gtfoh. even oppenheimer and Killers of the flower Moon wasn't that long.
Adrien Brody's big competitors for the Oscars 2025 Best Actor are Colman Domingo for Sing Sing, Ralph Fiennes for Conclave, Sebastian Stan for The Apprentice & Daniel Craig for Queer
I highly doubt Timothee Chalamet will win but maybe he could and I want him to win an Oscar. I do agree with you that Adrien Brody is the frontrunner based on what I've heard, but for me my wildcard for anyone who could beat Adrien Brody is Colman Domingo in Sing Sing.
Have you seen Goodrich starring Michael Keaton? I'm also curious if you've seen Beetlejuice Beetlejuice? I'd like to see Keaton get recognized, considering he played two very different roles this year. Michael was great in both movies. It's a shame if you haven't seen Goodrich & Beetlejuice Beetlejuice. I saw both at the movie theater.
I think my five predictions are: - Adrian Brody - Timothee Chalamet - Ralph Fiennes - I’m actually going Andrew Garfield for We Live in Time - I’m also a bit torn on the 5 slot but I’m thinking I’m actually leaning more Daniel Craig
I am hoping that Andrew will be lucky in the wild card slot; he's a terrific actor who like Ralph has two nominations already. I'm not sure I see it happening for this movie though.
Honestly, I do think Sebastian Stan for A Different Man might have a shot at that 5th slot. I loved him in that. But ALSO, Raul Briones for La Cocina should be in the conversation. That movie is insane and his performance is INCREDIBLE!!
I have the same top 4 as you though I am unsure about the 5th spot. I have Craig now though it could be Mescal. I am not convinced by either really which leaves the possibility of a late runner which could be Grant or Murphy or Labelle or Powell or how about Ethan Herisse?
Conclave seemed so much like a redo of shoes of a fisherman, the two popes, and the second de Vince code move. I was a little underwhelmed by the script. But Ralph is great in anything. I’m all about Hugh Grant and Demi Moore finally getting their flowers this year. I want to see them nominated.
Adrien Brody - The Brutalist Cillian Murphy - Small Things Like These Colman Domingo - Sing Sing Ralph Fiennes - Conclave Timothee Chalamett - A Complete Unknown
My current predictions of The Award Expert app (as of 15.11): 24. Tom Hiddlestone (The Life of Chuck) 23. Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine) 22. Paul Bettany (The Collaboration) 21. Timothée Chalamet (Dune: Part Two) 20. Sebastian Stan (A Different Man) 19. Joaquin Phoenix (Joker: Folie à Deux) 18. Kingsley Ben Adir (Bob Marley: One Love) 17. Glen Powell (Hit Man) 16. Jesse Plemons (Kinds of Kindness) 15. Cillian Murphy (Small Things Like These) 14. Jharrel Jerome (Unstoppable) 13. Jesse Eisenberg (A Real Pain) 12. Andrew Garfield (We Live in Time) 11. Nicholas Hoult (Juror No. 2) 10. Ethan Herisse (Nickel Boys) 9. Gabriel LaBelle (Saturday Night) 8. John David Washington (The Piano Lesson) 7. Paul Mescal (Gladiator II) 6. Daniel Craig (Queer) --------------------------------------------------------- 5. Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) 4. Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice) 3. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) 2. Colman Domingo (Sing Sing) 1. Ralph Feinnes (Conclave) P.S. look me up on The Awards Expert app @poihpio98 for more wrong predictions and even wronger favourites!
It’s actually annoying how Anthony Hopkins performance in One Life is being overlooked. No one is making a big deal about it simply because we just expect him to deliver an amazing performance.
George C Scott and Marlon Brando to name two were both nominated the year after they won.William Hurt was nominated twice more in successive years after winning.
Brody already won an Oscar for playing a lead actor in a movie set in WW2. He doesn't need another one for the same thing. Ralph Fiennes more than earned the win.
That's incredibly reductive. Like saying Brando shouldn't have won for godfather because he won for on the waterfront. You have to ignore 95% of the performance and movie to accept that. I do agree that fiennes is overdue though
I agree he just MIGHT get an Oscar for the one that was denied him with Schindler's list and The English Patient. Maybe the Academy thinks it's time to reward him. But...
These film companies dropping the ball on theatrical releases this year is baffling. I can't help but wonder if things would look different if there were wider releases for some movies.
Team Ralph Fiennes
It is his turn. His performance was remarkable.
I have seen Conclave twice in the first two weeks (and listened to the audiobook). Such a masterful performance. Such a wonderful book (explains everything that you just glide through in the movie). I love Ralph Fiennes and it is a tragedy he didn't win for Schindler's List.
Agreed. I just saw the film this afternoon. Rafe Fiennes performance was excellent.
He should have won an Oscar for the English Patient
Conclave is doing so well at the box office I'm surprised
Yeah, I loved it. It was slower and more quiet but my attention was held by the movie the entire time. Also I love Ralph Fiennes so that helped.
I'm so happy for it. I loved it and was completely absorbed by it. A nice, intelligent (slightly soapy) movie for adults (rated PG). Perfectly cast, flawlessly adapted from the book.
Really? The film hasn't broken even yet lol
@EnzoFigueres-d7y it hasn't been released in the UK. Comeback 2 months from now.
The budget is 20 million and it has already made 17 million.
For a movie like this, its really impressive.
@@EnzoFigueres-d7y Money isn’t everything. Often, the best films don’t become box-office hits.
Give Ralph Fiennes the Oscar!
Yes! He is so iconic. He deserves it! Although, tbh I couldn’t be mad at Timothée or Adrien winning either.
Ralph Fiennes has the greatest narrative he's a great actor he's an old member at the academy he never won he did some astonishing performances in the english patient, the constant Gardner, Schindler's list, the end of the affair and more
I'm sure it's gonna come down to Brody and Fiennes. But I'm rooting for Fiennes.
I think that's the real competition too, though Brian makes a good case for Timothee. But Ralph and Adrian are more experienced actors and this is a category in which older actors tend to win more than younger ones (it's the opposite for Best Actress).
I am also Team Fiennes; Ralph gave us such a deeply felt and subtle performance. He often spoke volumes without saying a word. I haven't seen "The Brutalist" yet though, so I'll have to see how I feel about Adrian's performance afterward.
1. Ralph Fiennes (Conclave)
2. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
3. Colman Domingo (Sing Sing)
4. Timothee Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
5. Daniel Craig (Queer)
Daniel Craig could easily miss since Queer is divisive. I have no idea anymore about slot #5. Gladiator II is divisive and Mescal has detractors. After the election, Sebastian Stan is done for The Apprentice. I wish people paid more attention to Andre Holland in Exhibiting Forgiveness or Cillian Murphy in Small Things Like These.
Just because the movie is divisive does not mean the actor won't get nominated. Brendan Fraser won best actor for The Whale and Joaquin Phoenix won for Joker, two extremely divisive films. I do think Daniel Craig can land a nomination.
@@frozenwishstudios certainly possible
It is my personal opinion that Ralph Fiennes is the world’s best actor. Conclave was so superb. Hoping he wins
Ralph Fiennes is this year Oscar's winner! He is magnificent in Conclave. Best actor so far.
Conclave reminded of The Real Housewives of Orange County, but a cardinal version.
I was thinking the same thing and Im Catholic. I did enjoy the film though.
😂😂😂😂
@@jennifermcgee8621 I like it too. it is totally watchable but I am not sure if it is really an awards film though.
Them nuns and popes were MESSY😂😂😂
I saw "Conclave" in the cinema and was gobsmacked - I haven't seen such a good Hollywood film in years, most of the best films are now coming from abroad or are indies - and Ralph Fiennes was cheated of a win in both "The English Patient" and "Grand Budapest Hotel" , he totally deserves it. And Stanley Tucci, John Lithgow and Isabella Rossellini all deserve supporting actor/actress nods as well IMHO.
My top 5:
1. Ralph Fiennes - Conclave
2. Adrien Brody - The Brutalist
3. Colman Domingo - Sing Sing
4. Timothee Chalamet - A Complete Unknown
5. Cillian Murphy - Small Things Like These
1. Ralph Fiennes - Conclave
2. Adrien Brody - The Brutalist
3. Coleman Domingo - Sing Sing
4. David Howard Thornton - Terrifier 3
5. Timothee Chalamet - A Complete Unknown
Genuinely believe that Cillian has given his best performance in Small Things Like These. It's such a small and quiet film - it's easy to overlook but I hope it gets more attention and exposure.
I agree. He may sneak in there.
Maybe he will win Best Actor at Bafta & Indie Spirit Award’s Timothee Chalamet won for CMBYN & didn’t win Oscar
Yes! So perfect, incisive and meaningful!
Ralph Fiennes DESERVES the best actor win as he’s incredible in “Conclave”
But not over Adrien Brody’s superb performance
If Ralph Fiennes doesn’t at least get nominated I will protest the Oscars!
There's no doubt in my mind that he'll get nominated. People consistently consider him in those four fairly certain nominations, and he has support due to his prolific career yet lack of nominations. It would just be really surprising if he didn't make it
Don't worry. Ralph will walk into this third nomination. If for some absolutely remarkable reason he doesn't, like everyone at the Academy collectively loses their minds, I'll protest with you.
i'm coming with you
Why do I think Timmy is going to have the same career as Leonardo DiCaprio? for his Oscar, he had to fight
Leo's Oscar came for the only performance that it was actually deserved.
I think that’s a kinda perceptive comment , but of course we never know!!
I feel like Timmy is Leo and Soirse is merly
The Leo myth is very misleading, it posits that Leo is like the only actor who has to wait a long to win his first Oscar. He was 41 which is a fair age to get an Oscar imo. Many of the time you need a lot of nominations before you get your win. Not to mention he had to face some pretty competitive years in his previous nominations prior to The Revenant and I think he should a fairly low chances at winning at the other nominations. Its funny how Leo is the only actor being given this “waiting so long for an Oscar” people really forgot Deborah Kerr, Peter O’Toole, Geraldine Page, Shirley McClain, etc. these guys either never got it but got it so later on too and I think they should be recognised
Non sense.. Leo didn't deserve Oscar for any other performances.. whoever won in those years were far superior to Leo
I'm still holding out hope that DUNE wins best picture.... SCI-FI needs more respect!
That would be amazing, I would also love an Austin Butler supporting actor nomination, but I don't think it will happen
Dune was terrible. People who "loved" Dune have no sense of film history. They loved it because of the art direction and consistency of tone. It was boring and confusing.
@grantc61 Some people are just too simple to understand it. How about I just jingle some keys in front of you for 2 hours next time
Honestly, after watching Anora, I was somewhat underwhelmed and wouldn't even call it my favorite Sean Baker film. So I'm back to hopedicting Dune until I watch the Brutalist.
@@qcrew2938 I wanted to respond to grant's comment, but you took every word out of my mouth.
Cillian Murphy gives the best performance of his career in Small things like these.
I'm looking forward to seeing this film. I would love it if Cillian sneaked in. I was rooting for him to win all last season.
@@cherylhulting1301 I think he could very well get into best actor again this year!
@@cherylhulting1301it's out on a limited release so if you want to see it, go now.
At first I was like “what having Timmy in your second place spot is wild” but then I remembered Austin Butler and I think you’re making some sense lol
Yes and both Austin and Timmy are singing in their respective films also. There's a lot of similarities here... particularly when you consider that Austin got beat by a dramatic performance from Brenden Fraser where the entire film focused on him. Much like Adrien Brody having so much screentime in The Brutalist. So it makes a lot of sense that Brody would win with Timmy in second position.
I don’t think the fact that Adrian Brody won over 20 years ago decreases his chances whatsoever. Emma Stone just won last year over an extremely deserving candidate in Lily Gladstone, Adrian could absolutely win.
I think it’s between Adrian and Colman this year.
Agreed. It will also be his second nomination. The man is due for another award.
Stone got lucky with her first award. She really deserved it for Poor Things. She won't win another.
Small things like these is doing better than Anora in the UK and Ireland with significantly less theatres, getting the entire box office run for Sing sing, adm in 3 days, if it breaks out in America then I'm keeping an eye out for him. Especially since the reviews are so glowing about his performance.
Cheered when you mentioned Sebastian Stan in A Different Man. Super underrated movie and his performance is great, even more than that I’d love to see Adam Pearson in supporting actor. Though I agree the academy will likely ignore it (except maybe Makeup which it also super deserves a nod for)
Timothee Chalamet for OSCAR , his record and his work effort in his movies which I have watched from Interstellar, Little Women, CMBYN, Dont look up, Wonka, Dune 1 which I thought his performance as Paul was magnificent only to magnify it to Epic in Dune 2 plus the Bob Dylan movie which I am looking forward to and I know he will bring his A game because thats what he does.. if he does not win I want to know why ???? TIMOTHY FOR OSCAR 💕
Lol. Overrated. And too early. He never done anything close to Adrien Brody in Pianist, so he would not be the youngest winner in history
Timothee was great in the King!!!
Ralph Finnes is going to win. It will be The Academy’s mea culpa for not giving him the Award he rightfully should have won for “Schindler’s List”.
I currently concur with all of Brian Rowe's five Best Actor Oscar predictions.
If Timothée Chalamet wins his Oscar, he will be new youngest actor in Best actor category, beating Brody's record
He has ZERO chance, other than the fact that he will be nominated
@ He doesn't have zero chance. He is not the favourite to win it, but the chances are not zero. I think he is strong second in that order, and the fact that he doesn't have an Oscar, and Brody does, just helps him. Also, he was in two movies this year and he was great in both
There's no chance for him to win here he's at the bottom of this list not even top 3 according to me... He's extremely overrated
@@Nishanth_mementomori Overrated to you and you are not the voter. So yeah
@@swvi9459 well I can still have an opinion last time I checked I had the freedom to share my opinion
Wonderful analysis. After seeing your honorable mentions, I would say we have a good year for Best Actor. It's just that there are 4 solid contenders and the only open slot is that fifth one.
Ralph Fiennes - Conclave
Adrien Brody - The Brutalist
Colman Domingo -Sing Sing
Timoteé Chalamet - A Complete unknown
Paul Mescal - Gladiator II
Everyone is talking about Cillian Murphy performance, more than half of the top 5 picks for awards nominations and yet very few are predicting him to be in, I think he should absolutely be in. I’m glad at least you talked about it.
Winning an oscar in the past can't never hurt ur chances of winning another oscar. I use to think this way, until Frances mcdormand won 2 oscars in the span of 5 years, same with Emma stone
Everything Reddit All At Once likely won actress because Cate already won
Jody foster and sally field too
Oh and of course tom hanks!
Yes, the Oscars do have their darlings. If Emma Stone is nominated, she will almost always win. And how many does Meryl Streep have now? But she IS Meryl Streep 😅
Having a previous Oscar should not hurt your chances of winning another one but believe it or not that's something many voters take in consideration before choosing a winner
Yeah, like they did with Emma Stone last year..
@@ZlatanHu. Buddy I'm not saying you can't win again, just that many voters Will have that in mind. If they really love a performance they Will go for It no mater what
@ZlatanHu. Buddy I'm not saying you can't win again, just that It's something many voters Will have in mind before making a decision. If they really love a performance they Will go for It no matter what
@@beto1744 They are really unpredictable in that regard 🤷🏻
My Best Actor prediction:
1. Adrien Brody - The Brutalist
2. Ralph Fiennes - Conclave
3. Timothee Chalamet - A Complete Unknown
4. Daniel Craig - Queer
5. Sebastian Stan - The Apprenrice
Really hoping Sing Sing gets all of the nominations
In March I left this comment on The Oscar Expert's EARLY 2025 Oscar Predictions video. Definitely being slept on:
"May i make the case for an outsider? Perhaps not an oscar frontrunner but a definite critical darling that might pick up steam... on the set of Oppenheimer, Cillian Murphy got chatting to Matt Damon about wanting to make a movie based on a book called Small Things Like These, written by Claire Keegan, who wrote the book that the Irish movie A Quiet Girl is based on. Matt Damon asked could he produce the movie. Cillian Murphy stars in it opposite his buddy from his theatre days, Eileen Walsh. The director they got made a critically acclaimed tv show called The Responder. And it was adapted by Enda Walsh, the playwright who helped launch Murphy's career. It's got all the right ingredients. The plot is a bit like Spotlight, but it's about a man uncovering religious abuse in 1980s rural Ireland. Premiered at Berlin to a standing ovation."
Ralph Fiennes, Sebastian Stan,
Colman Domingo
Paul Mescal,
Hugh Grant,
Adrian Brody,
Daniel Craig,
John David Washington.
😊😊😮
Hue Grant is great, but his performance in Heretic was nothing special IMHO.
Cillian Murphy in Small Things Like These was very, very good, but I would also like to nominate Emily Watson in this film for the Best Supporting Actress. Her screen time is very short, but she has two big and intense scenes. She is almost a horror villain in Small Things Like These.
I wouldn’t count Cillian Murphy out. The movie is excellent and his performance I believe is even better than Oppenheimer
*Cillian
@ I know I voice text
Why does Adrian Brody look 20 years older than Timmy in that acceptance speech?? Adrian then is of a similar age to Timothee now right??😭
Because Chalamet looks like a 15 year old.
Sebastian Stan deserves best actor nomination for The Apprentice. Jeremy Strong also deserves supporting actor for the film. I just hope the voters would put their prejudices behind and see the performance.
I hope the nominations will be
- Ralph Fiennes (Conclave)
- Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
- Colman Domingo (Sing, Sing)
- Timothee Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
- Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)
my Oscars 2025 Best Actor (November 2024)
Adrien Brody - The Brutalist
Ralph Fiennes - Conclave
Colman Domingo - Sing Sing
Timothée Chalamet - A Complete Unknown
Daniel Craig - Queer
next-in-line:
Sebastian Stan - The Apprentice
Izaac Wang - Dìdi
Cillian Murphy - Small Things Like These
Gabriel LaBelle - Saturday Night
John David Washington - The Piano Lesson
Glad that someone else mentioned Gabriel's performance in "Saturday Night." I found him unusually relatable as Lorne Michaels.
Colman got in for Rustin, so he is deffo getting in for sing sing
He's great in Sing Sing. Wish Andrew Scott received a nomination over Rustin, because now Domingo gets in again.
@@Jazz_Lapen Andrew Scott is the weakest performer of All of Strangers. He couldn't even get a BAFTA nomination while the others nominated. Oscar nomination is just a dream.
@Michael-ru2nh he was phenomenal in all of us strangers.
Timothee Chalamet is a brilliant young actor whose young career has already spanned a broad spectrum of characters … from a gay teenager who falls for his father’s teaching assistant, to a drug addict, to Henry V, to Paul Atreides, to a cannibal, to Wonka, to Bob Dylan…. There is no role Chalamet cannot play and always does so in a believable, engaging, and engrossing fashion.
My honest belief is that Chalamet is going to have an Oscar nominating history similar to many actors that get nominated and don't win the first time. Actors have never learned from their forebears about what to do to get that trophy and that is they need to take on a role that makes the Academy take notice of them and force the Academy to give them an Oscar. The reason why method actors often win, is that the Academy is gripped by the stories of how far the method actor went for the role, so they assume that they should give the actor an Oscar.
Hey now, as an Oscar predictor since Rain Man, I have based my predictions on instinct especially where not even half of the movies that give off the vibe get played in my town. It is also a well known fact that Best Actor is my niche (31 wins in 36 years) so much to the point of having four slots well pinned for their respected nominations. However, in regards to the wild card spot, I have to agree with one of the two you called upon: Daniel Craig for Queer. Even though Best Actor has felt a little on the thin side until just recently, I cannot pinpoint a solid winner...at least not at this time. I also want to add, I am gunning for my Numero Venti (20) in that category and if Cillian Murphy doesn't pull an encore (he is my dark horse in the running), it would be a scream if Adrian Brody did take the win especially where his unexpected win in 2002 was the last time I missed Best Actor. Forgive me if I said too much but the hopes of my longtime streak are doomed to go up in smoke unless the race will be another cakewalk...even though I am not sticking my fork down just yet. Stay tuned....💗
I cannot comment as I have not seen the Brutalist. Has this come/is it coming to the UK?
I have a feeling Joaquin Phoenix may get a razzy nomination. Not because he is terrible but because that movie is such a joke
Nah, he'll get nominated at the globes
I think you’re underestimating Stan’s chances, and he’ll have a good chance BECAUSE of the vote. I can see him being nominated essentially as a protest towards Trump’s election win, which depending on what happens next year, could potentially result in him winning. It’s not out of the question given how disliked he is.
I can find no objections to your comment. I love Sebastian Stan so I would LOVE for him to win, but nobody's gonna reward him for playing the most hated character in Hollywood 😬
Ralph Fiennes or Colman
I’m gonna see Heretic this weekend with my family and I’m really excited!
I think the duel is between Fiennes and Brody.
My five is Brody, Domingo, Fiennes, Stan (The Apprentice) and Chalamet or Craig
Actually Kingsley Ben Adir for Chalamet
I've seen all these movies. Brody is going to sweep. It's easily top 5 of this decade.
I doubt you have watched A Complete Unknown, considering press screenings start mid November.
u seen all the movie? really ...A complete unknown start screening 20 november 2024 ...so are you see all the movie ..or ...
I could see juror 2 being a possibility
Ralph Fiennes is long overdue for an Oscar.
In Every performance, he is excellent.
Loved him in "The Reader," too.
What about the two actors in All of Us Strangers? That was a shockingly heartbreaking movie for me.
That was for last year.
Whoa! I just realized I never subscribed to you! 😂 subscribed. Great videos Oscar buddy!
Sing Sing is the BEST MOVIE of the year and deserves nominations in most categories. The movie was shot on 16 mm film, in 19 days, with a very small crew. The DP, Pat Scola should be nominated for an Oscar for cinematography because the visual look, the lighting, the film choice, all created the naturalistic atmosphere to tell the story. Accompanied with Bryce Dessner's score that sells the beautiful scenes and intimate facial expressions. And kudos to the director, Greg Kwedar, who allowed dialogue to be ad-libbed at times, which created the emotional essence throughout the film that tugs at your heart. The cast deserves best ensemble because 90% of the cast are the formerly incarcerated men that participated in the RTA theater program while in Sing Sing and that authenticity shines. And what can you say about Coleman Domingo.... he deserves the Oscar this year, his performance is perfectly understated, and he allows the other men to shine because this is their story. Well Done!! Also, Clarence Maclin and Paul Raci both deserve best supporting nominations. Their performances tie the strings that pull the film to its brilliance. Best movie overall in a very long time and well worth the emotional journey.
Thank you for your insight! I really look forward to watching Sing Sing.
I loved "Sing Sing"; it's my favorite movie of the year so far. I have great love for Colman Domingo, whose performance is just perfect. But it is understated, letting the other actors shine, I'm wondering if that might hurt him. Really the breakout performance in the movie is Clarence Macklin, who will get a nod hopefully in Best Supporting Actor.
Jeff Bridges is so good in True Grit thank you for the reminder
I really dont think Paul Mescal is happening. Ive seen way too many mixed reactions to his performance. Everyone keeps saying that Denzel is the one that runs away with the movie, and he may be judged under the lens of Russell Crowe winning for the first one.
Right now I have Daniel Craig, but it's possible it could be some other passion pick like Sebastian Stan. Sadly, I think the election results will hamper his chances. Maybe some smaller movie could sweep in.
Is anyone aware of any reviews for a complete unknown?
I truly hope it flops at the Oscars, I'm sick of Biopics. I'm only excited for the Bruce Springsteen biopic but only because I love the album that the film is based on.
I predict you will change your Paul Mescal prediction after you see the movie… not because of him but because of the movie! Not that it’s bad, but it’s not Oscar worthy, imho of course !!
Paul is great, but Gladiator 2 just isn't Oscar worthy. Definitely production wise, but not acting wise. Paul is the best young performer out there and he'll have his moment some day. I truly believe that he and Jeremy Strong will win not only one academy award in their careers, but several.
She should have won schlinder list.
My no guts no glory pick for the fifth slot is John David Washington. Hear me out. Craig's movie is way to polarizing and it's Craig or bust. People don't want to watch a Trump movie and thus Stan is most likely out. Mescal is actually said to be miscast by a few reactions for Gladiator II. Piano Lesson is meanwhile considered pretty good by a lot of major trade reviews, and Deadwyler is guaranteed a spot. Netflix is also a strong campaigner as well. Aside from Deadwyler, JDW is also getting solidly good reviews for his role and I think he could get in alongside Deadwyler.
I like John David Washington so much. I wouldn't mind him getting some love. It would be wild if he and his father were nominated in the same year. ❤
Kiernan Culkan A Real Pain
ralph all the way
the media cannot make me like the snoozalist ( i mean the brutalist ) which is painfully boring to watch. 3.5 hours. gtfoh. even oppenheimer and Killers of the flower Moon wasn't that long.
Adrien Brody's big competitors for the Oscars 2025 Best Actor are Colman Domingo for Sing Sing, Ralph Fiennes for Conclave, Sebastian Stan for The Apprentice & Daniel Craig for Queer
It helps that the Pianist was one of Polanski's best ever films. I think Chalemet is only win-competitive if A Complete Unknown gets rave reviews
I highly doubt Timothee Chalamet will win but maybe he could and I want him to win an Oscar. I do agree with you that Adrien Brody is the frontrunner based on what I've heard, but for me my wildcard for anyone who could beat Adrien Brody is Colman Domingo in Sing Sing.
I am definitely in agreement when it comes to Adrian Brody! He is simply extraordinary.... brilliant....one of a kind!
Michael Pitt, Day of the Fight! Perfection. Amazing performance!
Have you seen Goodrich starring Michael Keaton? I'm also curious if you've seen Beetlejuice Beetlejuice? I'd like to see Keaton get recognized, considering he played two very different roles this year. Michael was great in both movies. It's a shame if you haven't seen Goodrich & Beetlejuice Beetlejuice. I saw both at the movie theater.
What about films to come in December?
Small things like these is such an amazing movie. Cillian doesn't even have to speak and the torment on his face. Fantastic. ❤
John David Washington for The Piano Lesson
I think my five predictions are:
- Adrian Brody
- Timothee Chalamet
- Ralph Fiennes
- I’m actually going Andrew Garfield for We Live in Time
- I’m also a bit torn on the 5 slot but I’m thinking I’m actually leaning more Daniel Craig
I am hoping that Andrew will be lucky in the wild card slot; he's a terrific actor who like Ralph has two nominations already. I'm not sure I see it happening for this movie though.
Honestly, I do think Sebastian Stan for A Different Man might have a shot at that 5th slot. I loved him in that. But ALSO, Raul Briones for La Cocina should be in the conversation. That movie is insane and his performance is INCREDIBLE!!
Peakers Binders was the bomb. I was like what!
I have the same top 4 as you though I am unsure about the 5th spot. I have Craig now though it could be Mescal. I am not convinced by either really which leaves the possibility of a late runner which could be Grant or Murphy or Labelle or Powell or how about Ethan Herisse?
A show about entertainment talking about actors acting. How refreshing.
Heretic is one of my favorite movies of the year and Hugh Grant is amazing.
In what regards? Stupid, pretentious movie and extremely lazy role for Hue. Nothing special🤔
The pianist was really good. I watched the other night again.
Conclave seemed so much like a redo of shoes of a fisherman, the two popes, and the second de Vince code move. I was a little underwhelmed by the script. But Ralph is great in anything. I’m all about Hugh Grant and Demi Moore finally getting their flowers this year. I want to see them nominated.
If Adrian Brody wins, he will be the male Hilary Swank. 2 time winners who've had lackluster careers.
Adrien Brody - The Brutalist
Cillian Murphy - Small Things Like These
Colman Domingo - Sing Sing
Ralph Fiennes - Conclave
Timothee Chalamett - A Complete Unknown
Chalamet will be
29 to yo in December!
My current predictions of The Award Expert app (as of 15.11):
24. Tom Hiddlestone (The Life of Chuck)
23. Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine)
22. Paul Bettany (The Collaboration)
21. Timothée Chalamet (Dune: Part Two)
20. Sebastian Stan (A Different Man)
19. Joaquin Phoenix (Joker: Folie à Deux)
18. Kingsley Ben Adir (Bob Marley: One Love)
17. Glen Powell (Hit Man)
16. Jesse Plemons (Kinds of Kindness)
15. Cillian Murphy (Small Things Like These)
14. Jharrel Jerome (Unstoppable)
13. Jesse Eisenberg (A Real Pain)
12. Andrew Garfield (We Live in Time)
11. Nicholas Hoult (Juror No. 2)
10. Ethan Herisse (Nickel Boys)
9. Gabriel LaBelle (Saturday Night)
8. John David Washington (The Piano Lesson)
7. Paul Mescal (Gladiator II)
6. Daniel Craig (Queer)
---------------------------------------------------------
5. Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
4. Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)
3. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
2. Colman Domingo (Sing Sing)
1. Ralph Feinnes (Conclave)
P.S. look me up on The Awards Expert app @poihpio98 for more wrong predictions and even wronger favourites!
Paul M. definitely not.
It’s actually annoying how Anthony Hopkins performance in One Life is being overlooked. No one is making a big deal about it simply because we just expect him to deliver an amazing performance.
i am telling you right now that cillian is coming for a spot with his performance in the small things like these
Tom Hanks was not only nominated for back to back best actor, he won both.
George C Scott and Marlon Brando to name two were both nominated the year after they won.William Hurt was nominated twice more in successive years after winning.
Also Bing Crosby and Paul Muni. Spencer Tracy and Tom Hanks both won their second Oscar the year after the first.
They are all great..i wish Adrian second Oscar or Ralph first one.,Timy is still very young..has to wait and Gosling is still waiting❤❤❤
Due to the way WB has kept people from seeing Juror #2, it won’t happen but Nicholas Holt deserves a nod for his performance in that film.
Hugh Grant is magnetic in Heretic and should get nominated at the very least!
It would be funny if Phoenix won a Razzie for playing the same character as the first movie.
Brody already won an Oscar for playing a lead actor in a movie set in WW2. He doesn't need another one for the same thing. Ralph Fiennes more than earned the win.
I don’t even like Brody and I kinda hope Fiennes win but this is not another movie set in WW2 and the story is very different
That's incredibly reductive. Like saying Brando shouldn't have won for godfather because he won for on the waterfront. You have to ignore 95% of the performance and movie to accept that. I do agree that fiennes is overdue though
I agree he just MIGHT get an Oscar for the one that was denied him with Schindler's list and The English Patient. Maybe the Academy thinks it's time to reward him. But...
He won't win because academy won't allow him to kiss another actress who would present him this time 😂😂😂😂
Hey ! Put Kevin Costner in there ! He's doing so well in Horizon
Cillian Murphy for Small things like these should be the 5th spot. Better than in Oppenheimer tbh.
I'm just saying Josh O'Connor is great in Challengers and he is also the lead in La Chimera which I have not yet seen.
These film companies dropping the ball on theatrical releases this year is baffling. I can't help but wonder if things would look different if there were wider releases for some movies.