Another poll predicts Tory wipeout - but will it actually happen? | LBC analysis

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  • Опубліковано 2 кві 2024
  • The Conservatives are facing a worse election defeat than in 1997 at the next general election, as Labour prepare for a landslide victory that could give them more than 400 seats, the latest election poll has revealed.
    YouGov's latest seat-by-seat poll will cause further headaches for Rishi Sunak, predicting even worse elections than an equivalent poll in January earlier this year.
    Sir Keir Starmer's Labour will be handed a majority of 154 after winning 403 seats in the House of Commons, according to the poll.
    The Conservatives, meanwhile, will have just 155 seats - losing 210 seats from the last general election in 2019 - according to the prediction which uses multi-level regression and poststratification (MRP) method of polling.
    Several prominent Tory MPs are also predicted to have their own 'Portillo Moment' and could lose their seat.
    Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, Leader of the House of Commons Penny Mordaunt, former Conservative leader Sir Iain Duncan Smith, and leading Brexiteer Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg would be on course to lose their seats.
    According to the pollsters, Rishi Sunak is heading for a worse result than John Major's 1997 defeat, when the then-Tory leader won a total of 165 seats.
    The poll for Starmer, however, could put him on course to win a victory on par with that of Tony Blair in his first term of office. In 1997. The party's longest-serving prime minister won 418 of the available 659 Commons seats.
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    #tomswarbrick #iaindale #ukpolitics #LBC
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 1,1 тис.

  • @rustynail1194
    @rustynail1194 Місяць тому +694

    "The people don't want an election" says PM who wasn't elected by the people.

    • @theman2017inc
      @theman2017inc Місяць тому

      EXACTLY
      another 6 months Tory backbenchers are worried about losing their seats and their future ie ££££££ this is selfish but understandable, so another 6 months will equates £50k in their pockets
      However what about the public who are worried about day to day living?
      Let’s have a General Election NOW!

    • @barnbersonol
      @barnbersonol Місяць тому +32

      Rishi should be glad he doesn't face a presidential style election or he wouldn't even come 2nd.

    • @rustynail1194
      @rustynail1194 Місяць тому +8

      @@barnbersonol haha true

    • @ffotograffydd
      @ffotograffydd Місяць тому

      No UK Prime Minister is elected, that’s not how the UK system works.
      He should definitely call an election, but not for that reason.

    • @ianstafford4809
      @ianstafford4809 Місяць тому

      No PM is ever elected. That is not how our system works. We are not USA.

  • @lowerorchard
    @lowerorchard Місяць тому +680

    Why is it so incredible? The Tories are beyond contempt and 100 seats are 100 too many

  • @williamling3056
    @williamling3056 Місяць тому +213

    The Tories deserve zero seats!

    • @AndrewBuckleBookReviews
      @AndrewBuckleBookReviews Місяць тому +6

      No argument there

    • @phoenixreborn6065
      @phoenixreborn6065 Місяць тому +7

      That's the new campaign from the Tories and I agree with them. Zero Seats! Zero Seats! Zero seats! Zero Seats! Let's help them achieve their goal.

    • @slayerrocks2
      @slayerrocks2 Місяць тому +10

      A Net Zero policy we can all get behind. 😂

    • @dkevans
      @dkevans Місяць тому +3

      Less than zero!

    • @calicokittenproductions591
      @calicokittenproductions591 Місяць тому

      ​@@phoenixreborn6065
      Including starmer

  • @alexritchie4586
    @alexritchie4586 Місяць тому +261

    Tom Swarbrick was a special advisor to Theresa May. He's one of the idiots who got us here 😂

    • @MaxDamageTV
      @MaxDamageTV Місяць тому +14

      True.

    • @user-tx1qn1zf8t
      @user-tx1qn1zf8t Місяць тому +30

      Do you mean Tom ‘the mouth piece for Israel’ Swarbrick. AKA Tom ‘Goebbels’ Swarbrick?

    • @adnanchowdhury614
      @adnanchowdhury614 Місяць тому +6

      He is totally biased and bought.

    • @RobinHarris-nf4yv
      @RobinHarris-nf4yv Місяць тому

      @@user-tx1qn1zf8t he is not a mouthpiece for Israel
      I guess you must be a mouthpiece for Hamas

    • @RobinHarris-nf4yv
      @RobinHarris-nf4yv Місяць тому

      @@adnanchowdhury614 no he isnt

  • @DilanPerera1
    @DilanPerera1 Місяць тому +158

    150 seats are still way too much for Tories... I want them to fall below 100 seats.

  • @reiteration6273
    @reiteration6273 Місяць тому +310

    How are they still polling above 150 seats? How can this country possibly have so many people who still want to vote Tory?

    • @dj_cakes
      @dj_cakes Місяць тому +22

      shareholders.

    • @ColinBarrett001
      @ColinBarrett001 Місяць тому +39

      Because so many of the newspapers are owned by the Tories.

    • @kevindare3113
      @kevindare3113 Місяць тому +15

      How anybody can vote Tory or Labour amazes me, but then again the sheep will follow each other

    • @ffotograffydd
      @ffotograffydd Місяць тому +28

      Because FPTP always favours the Tories, that’s why we’ve had a disproportionate number of Tory government over the past century, despite them only getting more than 50% of the vote twice! That’s why we need PR.

    • @apinksquid
      @apinksquid Місяць тому +4

      From the few people I've asked its "because Tony Blair is a war criminal"

  • @peterdollins3610
    @peterdollins3610 Місяць тому +98

    The Tory's will be very lucky to get a hundred seats let alone 150.

  • @johntomkins8906
    @johntomkins8906 Місяць тому +135

    Let's hope, keep them out of power forever

  • @boogaloo4640
    @boogaloo4640 Місяць тому +137

    Sunak isn't the main problem. It's the Tories themselves as a whole & what they've done to the country over the past 14 years. People are just sick of them & want stability. A new lick of paint isn't going to work again

    • @chatham43
      @chatham43 Місяць тому +1

      @boogaloo So Labour's lick of paint is out of the question too..or do you just prefer red?😊

    • @Eleventhearlofmars
      @Eleventhearlofmars Місяць тому

      @@chatham43labour is going to make problems we already have worse, woke ineptitude is going to get this country absolutely destroyed. Plus diversity is not working and never has in Britain. 🇬🇧

    • @dawnwilliams6061
      @dawnwilliams6061 Місяць тому +1

      So you like Starmers calm and gentle voice? You are fooled already.

    • @Eleventhearlofmars
      @Eleventhearlofmars Місяць тому +1

      My fkin comment has been removed again!!! 😩

    • @mattvjmeasures
      @mattvjmeasures Місяць тому +2

      May and Sunak inherited a disgusting poisoned chalice (at least those two seem honest and to have integrity). Time for change, time for a move to the left, centre ground.

  • @ThomasKing19933
    @ThomasKing19933 Місяць тому +309

    Tories will get less than 100 seats.

    • @michaelfoy
      @michaelfoy Місяць тому +31

      I'd dance in the Street IF that happened! AND I'v not long had two hips replaced! I 😄

    • @dudeyfeb88coach
      @dudeyfeb88coach Місяць тому +2

      Its as if he does not want to lose of course

    • @paulnewman2000
      @paulnewman2000 Місяць тому +14

      Less than 100 tory seats could very well happen, if enough people turn to tactical voting. Out of those 150+ tory seats, nearly half have less than a 5% lead. With enough tactical voting, tories could have fewer seats than the lib-dems, and not even be the official opposition. In that scenario, a narrowing of the poll lead by labour over the tories would happen, because more votes would be switching from labour to lib-dem in tory marginals with currently second placed lib-dems.

    • @MaxDamageTV
      @MaxDamageTV Місяць тому +2

      @@paulnewman2000 🙏

    • @Time12345A
      @Time12345A Місяць тому

      ​@michaelfoy 😂😂

  • @bigtoe333333
    @bigtoe333333 Місяць тому +119

    The thing that astonishes me is that anyone sane could vote tory after looking at where we are after 14 years of having them in power.
    We have almost 8 million people desperate and suffering on hospital waiting lists, sewage flooding rivers and coasts, roads and infrastructure falling apart, life expectancy is actually getting shorter for the first time in modern history, Victorian malnutrition diseases such as scurvy and rickets now making a comeback, many people actually forced to try pulling out their out teeth because they cant get an NHS dentist, hundreds dying on trolleys and floors in A+E depts every month just waiting to even get looked at, hundreds of billions of pounds stolen from the nation's coffers via PPE contracts and numerous other frauds- etc, etc etc. The list of crimes, negligence and deliberately evil acts goes on and on, and millions are suffering in all sorts of ways.
    Who in their right mind could look at this national healthcare catastrophe and this enormous scale of suffering, compare that with how things were under the last Labour government (when for example, you got a GP appointment in less than 48 hours), and still think that the tories deserve another 5 years? Who in their right mind could think the NHS will ever work under the tories?
    I've been finding it really hard to stay on speaking terms with tories and brexit voters, but if any of them vote tory this year, I think I'll really struggle to ever speak to them again.

    • @RPKGameVids
      @RPKGameVids Місяць тому +1

      It's probably mainly filthy rich people who are selfish who are voting tory now.

    • @archvaldor
      @archvaldor Місяць тому +4

      All that is true but Labour are carrying on with the same policies. It is not as if they are even promising to deal with any of that stuff. So all your energy is getting channeled into making the problems you describe worse.

    • @bigtoe333333
      @bigtoe333333 Місяць тому +9

      If you can look at the last Labour government's record on the NHS and still say that Labour will make the NHS worse, I have to assume you are a right wing troll, and just pretending to be a left wing anti Starmerite.
      I would warn other viewers and readers not to engage with this user account.
      Typically these people will be paid based on engagements and responses, so I don't even really want to reply here- but I will reply once, just so that other people can be warned.
      Folks, do NOT be fooled by these paid far-right trolls and bots who try to tell you that Sunak and Starmer are essentially the same, and that its not worth voting Labour.
      That tactic is their last hope to spoil the Labour vote and salvage a few more seats.
      Don't fall for their cheap lies. Think about the NHS you had under Blair and Brown, when it was one of the best in the world.
      There is only one route back to that world, and it is the Labour Party.
      If you comment, do NOT do that via a reply to the user account above- you will only be helping the far right trolls.

    • @lizdocherty3067
      @lizdocherty3067 Місяць тому +5

      But some people are quite happy to sit and watch the country crumble, and more people die needlessly as long as its not them or their family, rather than have a government who will at least try to make a difference for the better.

    • @mogznwaz
      @mogznwaz Місяць тому

      I’m not a Tory or Brexit voter but Brexit is NOTHING to do with any of this and the problem with the Tories is that they’re now basically woke globalist Blairites in thrall to the WEF. The Uniparty of Davos is the problem and you’re its shill.

  • @coppershark1973
    @coppershark1973 Місяць тому +50

    Aw Tom. That must hurt. Why can’t you believe it? Look at the last 14 years and say you are ‘surprised’.

  • @geraldmonger1921
    @geraldmonger1921 Місяць тому +70

    They are a bunch of Grifters who obviously care more about their salary than they do about the country. Just Go !!!!!!!!

    • @chatham43
      @chatham43 Місяць тому

      @gerald Not really. They're just politicians being politicians. Grow up.

    • @lizdocherty3067
      @lizdocherty3067 Місяць тому

      No they are just politicians out to fill their own pockets, I hope they have nightmares about the number of people in this country who have died under their watch, COVID, NHS staffing and lack of beds where are the 40 new hospitals? Destitution for the poorest in the country while they sit in their little bubble sniggering at us.

    • @kanedNunable
      @kanedNunable Місяць тому +6

      @@chatham43 ah, the tory bot. arent you a bit embarrassed?

    • @Sovereign-kh4ng
      @Sovereign-kh4ng Місяць тому

      @@chatham43 Still evil people in this country I see... or people willing to defend evil.

    • @jsd8981
      @jsd8981 Місяць тому

      Been that way for at least the past 14 years...

  • @DavoInMelbourne
    @DavoInMelbourne Місяць тому +51

    The country is on its knees but the Tories will still retain over 150 seats; that is tragic.

    • @hugodrax71
      @hugodrax71 Місяць тому

      Alas, Wales isn't a great advert for Labour.

    • @TalesOfWar
      @TalesOfWar Місяць тому

      @@hugodrax71 Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland are still largely beholden to Westminster too. They're not sovereign nations, only the UK as a whole is and Westminster is where the power is.

    • @hugodrax71
      @hugodrax71 Місяць тому

      @@TalesOfWar They're not sovereign states but they're not beholden to Westminster. I live in Wales and the Senedd is responsible for health, social care, housing, education, local transport, economic development, social services, language and culture, the environment, and local government. It also has some tax-raising powers, including control of local taxes, taxes on property transactions (stamp duty land tax) and landfill, and the power to vary income tax rates in Wales. Only policing and the justuce system remains entirely in the Westminster remit. And the Welsh resident receives more per capita than the English resident, under the Barnett formula.

    • @DavoInMelbourne
      @DavoInMelbourne Місяць тому

      @@hugodrax71 Yeah i heard Mark Drakeford was an idiot. 20mph ruling from a non driver 🙄

    • @bunz637
      @bunz637 Місяць тому

      @@hugodrax71The funding given to labour to fund their missions is allocated by Westminster…ruled by conservatives…it’s also been shown that labour councils are purposefully underfunded when compared to conservatives councils.

  • @raystewart3648
    @raystewart3648 Місяць тому +54

    Don't Forget about Party Gate People...........there they where having fun with wine and friends and we where alone and down right depressed. Also the Disco Party. Dont Forget about these two things and the fact Tories have have more non elected PM than any other Party in recent times.

    • @user-dc1xk9lt7m
      @user-dc1xk9lt7m Місяць тому +10

      Let the bodies pile high…Dido spending 36billion on a fkn app…missing billions written off with a shrug and a wink…Matt Hancock…just..Matt…Hancock…

    • @lizdocherty3067
      @lizdocherty3067 Місяць тому +7

      Ensuring their friends, supporters and big companies profited from the misery of the rest of us and no doubt received a healthy thank you.

    • @user-sd3ik9rt6d
      @user-sd3ik9rt6d Місяць тому +6

      We don't forget and we will not forgive.

    • @briancox8518
      @briancox8518 Місяць тому +1

      Criminals

  • @jmw-qt2ih
    @jmw-qt2ih Місяць тому +78

    I have no idea why this presenter sounds so surprised does he expect more people to vote Conservative.
    Where has he been for the last 5 years?

    • @archvaldor
      @archvaldor Місяць тому +3

      The Tories have been terrible for the last 50 years (at least). People kept on voting for them. I see no reason why the public will wise up this time.

    • @kanedNunable
      @kanedNunable Місяць тому

      @@archvaldor the only age group who prefer the tories are the over 65s. many of whom tories killed with covid.

    • @josephnott2956
      @josephnott2956 Місяць тому +1

      14yrs

    • @jmw-qt2ih
      @jmw-qt2ih Місяць тому +2

      @@josephnott2956 Well the bottom line is like it or not they have been re elected 3 times in that period although only their real diehards will vote for them this time .

    • @michaelcoward1902
      @michaelcoward1902 Місяць тому +2

      I've no idea what goes on in this blokes head...he must have a relative on the board who got him his hosting slot because it certainly wasn't his natural talent or charisma.

  • @machidaman
    @machidaman Місяць тому +30

    Why do these people keep insisting that Sunak is a 'decent' person? Maybe I'm being harsh but I tend to judge folk on their words and deeds...

    • @alisonwilson9749
      @alisonwilson9749 Місяць тому +1

      He lies in the HoC and deosn't correct his lies even he's when told to because, e.g., the figures he stated have been wrong. That is not the act of a 'decent' person.

  • @robakajackflash
    @robakajackflash Місяць тому +38

    They've been abhorrent. Their run has been unforgivable. How is this a surprise?

    • @ant5743
      @ant5743 Місяць тому

      That is a strong word. Do you know how to use it?

    • @ant5743
      @ant5743 Місяць тому

      Do you have command of the language?

    • @ant5743
      @ant5743 Місяць тому

      I do

    • @ant5743
      @ant5743 Місяць тому

      Get out more. So should I

    • @ChrisSmith-mu1we
      @ChrisSmith-mu1we Місяць тому +2

      @@ant5743Are you a bot?😊

  • @gvigary1
    @gvigary1 Місяць тому +85

    Sunak isn't any more the problem than Hunt, Mordaunt, Rees-Mogg, Braverman, Badenoch and the rest. We're sick of the entire corrupt, dishonest, incompetent bunch.

    • @peterknight6535
      @peterknight6535 Місяць тому +1

      And Starmer will be better?
      Cloud cuckoo land here we come.

    • @AndrewHart-xn9yk
      @AndrewHart-xn9yk Місяць тому +1

      Mogg who told us all how great it would be after brexit
      Did he tell us how many millions he made backing the £ I our pockets to loose its value
      Or Dyson another backer of Brexit who mover his factory abroad
      Funny that

    • @bernardm2528
      @bernardm2528 Місяць тому +1

      ​@@peterknight6535 Exactly who in their right mind would vote for Labour or Tory? The Reform party is the only viable option. Even by default if you're not sure who to vote for?

    • @jackd9928
      @jackd9928 27 днів тому

      @@peterknight6535 You'll find out soon enough.

    • @jackd9928
      @jackd9928 27 днів тому

      @@bernardm2528 They aren't a viable option if you want to vote for a party that has enough votes to actually win a majority on the day. The reform party don't. I think the reform party will in time become more realistic as a possible government. But if everyone spreads their votes at the next general election between labour, reform, green...and whoever else...that's how tories are going to edge their way back in again. The realistic way to get the Tories out (although it already appears to be a forgone conclusion) is to vote Labour.

  • @roryluukas2703
    @roryluukas2703 Місяць тому +34

    I mean when you turn your party into the BNP, you should expect to get about as many votes as the BNP would get.

  • @catherinemartin6258
    @catherinemartin6258 Місяць тому +21

    I know loads of young people who are wanting to vote this time around because of the hate they have for the Tory’s .

    • @jjefferyworboys8138
      @jjefferyworboys8138 Місяць тому +2

      I know lots of older people who remember what a Labour government was like and want to vote to keep them out.

    • @random6809
      @random6809 Місяць тому

      @@jjefferyworboys8138
      Yeah I have no love for the Conservatives, but there was a reason people voted Labour out.
      Short memories!

    • @jordanwood3150
      @jordanwood3150 Місяць тому +2

      ​@@jjefferyworboys8138By pretty much every single metric, the country was in a better state under the last Labour government than it is under this government. I could list a whole bunch of achievements of the Blaire/Brown government, what have the Tories achieved in 13 years?

    • @amh9494
      @amh9494 Місяць тому

      ​@@random6809tell me what worse under new labour, boomers tend to refer back too the 70s as if 50 years ago is relevant.

  • @nakul1966
    @nakul1966 Місяць тому +81

    Why wouldn’t it happen. Not calling GE is disgusting. He’s playing games with the country which will not be forgotten

    • @patriciahiggins9188
      @patriciahiggins9188 Місяць тому

      There aren't any 'proper conservatives' they're all crooks without exception

    • @patriciahiggins9188
      @patriciahiggins9188 Місяць тому +10

      Laughing at us always

    • @chatham43
      @chatham43 Місяць тому +2

      @nakui Yes it will. Because it's what all struggling governments do. Where have you been!!!?

    • @Edward-cv2gw
      @Edward-cv2gw Місяць тому +2

      I hope it doesn't come till January,the longer we can keep Labour out the better

    • @user-wj9ru9if8p
      @user-wj9ru9if8p Місяць тому +1

      ​@@Edward-cv2gwit must haole this year mate. Face it labour will win a massive majority 😊

  • @bobito8997
    @bobito8997 Місяць тому +113

    And this poll doesn't even take into account tactical voting. The Tories will be lucky if they get 100 seats

    • @thebruceleefan
      @thebruceleefan Місяць тому

      I’m pretty sure the only thing that this toll takes an account is what the communist overlords told them to say

    • @wiicow
      @wiicow Місяць тому +14

      Or the 3 million extra voters from abroard who at rpissed off by the extra paperwork needed in their lives

    • @Matthew-bu7fg
      @Matthew-bu7fg Місяць тому +2

      it must take into account tactical voting... there's no possible way they have the lib dems on 49 seats otherwise

    • @neilonaniet
      @neilonaniet Місяць тому

      @@Matthew-bu7fg But surely they arrived at this figure by actually asking people in those constituencies who they'd be voting for? Based on that, you can assume that in 49 constituencies, more people said they've vote LD than anyone else. I think around 50 seats for the Lib Dems is perfectly plausible WITHOUT tactical voting.

    • @paulnewman2000
      @paulnewman2000 Місяць тому +2

      @@Matthew-bu7fg The lib dem improvement comes from 2019 blue wall tory voters switching to lib-dem, not from tactical voting. With tactical voting, greens could win 1 more, labour could win a few more, and lib-dems could win way more, even displacing the tories as the official opposition.

  • @iandhr1
    @iandhr1 Місяць тому +40

    With tactical voting, it could be bigger.

  • @tomthumb2361
    @tomthumb2361 Місяць тому +18

    Thatcher's project has led to corporatism and has been a road to serfdom in a neo-feudal society.

  • @user-ol6rd7pl5t
    @user-ol6rd7pl5t Місяць тому +113

    Call a GE & we can have the poll that really counts. Stop prolonging the inevitable so we can all move on & begin to repair the damage of the last 14 years.

    • @clivet3252
      @clivet3252 Місяць тому +4

      How on earth do you expect that to happen with a Starmer government?

    • @tonyshortland8812
      @tonyshortland8812 Місяць тому +4

      Labour repair, is an oxymoron

    • @matthewburnett3894
      @matthewburnett3894 Місяць тому +9

      @@clivet3252anything is better than Tory

    • @clivet3252
      @clivet3252 Місяць тому +2

      @@matthewburnett3894 you're foolish to think that

    • @turquoise7817
      @turquoise7817 Місяць тому +6

      @@clivet3252 you're right, only reform would be worse

  • @pip1723
    @pip1723 Місяць тому +30

    No surprise just look the state of the country.

    • @Edward-cv2gw
      @Edward-cv2gw Місяць тому

      The intriguing thing is most of the problems with the country are as a result of left wing thinking implemented by a party masquerading as centre right.

  • @stevesmith4667
    @stevesmith4667 Місяць тому +14

    Dear PM, the UK needs a government that is not out of touch with reality, please call a General Election now, let the people decide.

    • @jsd8981
      @jsd8981 Місяць тому

      And one that is not corrupt to the max...

  • @Sausage1958
    @Sausage1958 Місяць тому +21

    I feel like a crow standing in a roadside tree, looking down at roadkill and smiling inside.

  • @Royboy50
    @Royboy50 Місяць тому +114

    Mordaunt is as bad if not worse than the snake

    • @chatham43
      @chatham43 Місяць тому +2

      @Royboy And if she isn't..she should be...being a Tory!

    • @matthewmitchell6899
      @matthewmitchell6899 Місяць тому +5

      Don't forget she'll get the party to "stand up and fight" ... for something or other.

    • @JFerreira995
      @JFerreira995 Місяць тому +1

      She held the sword very eloquently at the coronation stop being mean she is obviously in control

    • @nickbarton3191
      @nickbarton3191 Місяць тому +7

      She's in a marginal seat, Portsmouth I think. She's likely to loose.

    • @cartercarter3260
      @cartercarter3260 28 днів тому

      At least she will stand and fight! And make others stand and fight!

  • @ianh452
    @ianh452 Місяць тому +20

    Fabricant holds his seat. Oh joy for Lichfield. I for one will try and stop that.

    • @lizdocherty3067
      @lizdocherty3067 Місяць тому +2

      Is that the trying to be Boris Johnson look alike?

    • @paulwilliams8389
      @paulwilliams8389 Місяць тому +1

      The Tory members are that crazy that hopefully he will end up as party leader. That will finish them for 20 years.

    • @zombietwostep
      @zombietwostep Місяць тому

      Yeah, guy with the Syrup ​@@lizdocherty3067

  • @AgentGreyFox
    @AgentGreyFox Місяць тому +80

    They have a plan and the plan is working. Just look at all the sewage.

    • @gavinreid9184
      @gavinreid9184 Місяць тому +3

      It's all at sea, or flowing as fast as it can to leave these shores.

    • @geraldmonger1921
      @geraldmonger1921 Місяць тому +2

      Are you referring to the cabinet or the rivers?😂

    • @chatham43
      @chatham43 Місяць тому

      @Agent The sewage has always been there. Even under Labour😊

    • @user-wj9ru9if8p
      @user-wj9ru9if8p Місяць тому

      ​@@chatham43as much and as often. How much do the water companies need to invest to bring our services to thd 21st centry😊

    • @lizdocherty3067
      @lizdocherty3067 Місяць тому +1

      And who privatised gas, water and electricity companies, to make sure those with money profited hugely.

  • @petermizon4344
    @petermizon4344 Місяць тому +17

    THE BRITS HAVE REMEMBERED THEIR ROOTS FROM WHEN MOST PEOPLE WERE POOR, ONLY FEW WERE VERY RICH SO WE ARE BACK THERE

    • @lizdocherty3067
      @lizdocherty3067 Місяць тому

      Agree they have brought back the Victorian values that the majority of the people are only here to ensure that the minority continue to prosper and should be happy for any crumbs they are given.

  • @wendyholland2339
    @wendyholland2339 Місяць тому +67

    TOM THEY WON'T GET 154 SEATS (WATCH)

  • @45LiveRecords
    @45LiveRecords Місяць тому +14

    Exactly zero conservative seats would be just perfect

    • @lovepeaceandrespect8808
      @lovepeaceandrespect8808 23 дні тому

      and labour, have u watched the lobbie, their no different, don't vote Labour or tory, what's up with people

  • @rowellwilkinsonwilkinson5235
    @rowellwilkinsonwilkinson5235 Місяць тому +9

    Sunak has become even more disappointing. He is more interested in doing what is right-wing than doing what is right.

  • @crayontom9687
    @crayontom9687 Місяць тому +14

    If only LBC and other clown car media outlets had bothered holding them to account 14 years ago, we wouldn’t be in this mess now

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 26 днів тому

      Don't know about 14 years.... more like 50 years of incompetence !

  • @ianevans6122
    @ianevans6122 Місяць тому +9

    "Sunak is a decent bloke"??? Really? I must have missed that.

  • @GregOrCreg
    @GregOrCreg Місяць тому +9

    'The economy's turning a corner'
    Didn't the country officially go into a recession a few weeks ago?

  • @MurphyOCP-001
    @MurphyOCP-001 Місяць тому +29

    Just one poll of 15k people by one of the most accurate pollsters in the business

    • @nickmagee-brown739
      @nickmagee-brown739 Місяць тому

      Lol . exactly, absolutely meaningless. The conservatives can still win with help from reform

  • @Tom_murray89
    @Tom_murray89 Місяць тому +22

    It’s not us that doesn’t want an election it’s rishi that doesn’t want one

  • @StanleyKubick1
    @StanleyKubick1 Місяць тому +30

    why does this govt spokesperson have their own radio show?

    • @jpldriver
      @jpldriver Місяць тому

      Looks like a man to me!

    • @lizdocherty3067
      @lizdocherty3067 Місяць тому +1

      There are so many Tories on radio and television being given as many opportunities as possible to deliver their party political broadcasts with many of the interviewers either too weak or intimidated to call them out.

    • @pipins3616
      @pipins3616 Місяць тому

      @@lizdocherty3067just the same for Labour

  • @Discodave007licencedtothrill.
    @Discodave007licencedtothrill. Місяць тому +4

    Swarbrick sat there literally in denial. Next he’ll say, his Tory Yougov poll’s wrong, and won’t except it. Because the denial is strong, with this one.

  • @wrestlingp
    @wrestlingp Місяць тому +7

    We all need to make sure we get out there and vote and vote tactically to ensure that the tory candidates don't get in anywhere! Starmer might not be the best candidate but we NEED a time of calm and pragmatic politics to heal the destruction and decline caused by the Tories.

  • @CaptainOatwright
    @CaptainOatwright Місяць тому +25

    Let’s get this right, this would be a better, not a worse result than 1997! And it’s so deserving after all that’s happened over the past 5 years+

    • @user-wf1vg8tr3v
      @user-wf1vg8tr3v Місяць тому

      It was after 97 the flood gates opened. U get what u vote for

  • @thehealinggame
    @thehealinggame Місяць тому +8

    Badenoch as PM ? Surely we can do better than her ! Dear me.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 26 днів тому

      Yes, that really would be Bad enough, wouldn't it ?

  • @DeeLynn
    @DeeLynn Місяць тому +17

    I want the Tories to hold on to two seats.

  • @AB-zl4nh
    @AB-zl4nh Місяць тому +3

    Never Sunak. Never Conservative. Never again.

  • @loopwithers
    @loopwithers Місяць тому +7

    Laughter all round as Dale joyfully endorses the fall of the party he supports. What a political shrimp

  • @RogueWJL
    @RogueWJL Місяць тому +11

    155 too many.
    Never forgive
    Never forget.

  • @chrish961
    @chrish961 Місяць тому +7

    That many?? They won't get 100..I mean who really still votes Tory

  • @johntthomson7538
    @johntthomson7538 28 днів тому +1

    Afraid Sunak is detested by the
    public

  • @cncshrops
    @cncshrops Місяць тому +5

    Get the Election Done.

  • @verdebritanica
    @verdebritanica Місяць тому +3

    What a valid point, MPs hanging on for 6 months salary.

  • @MrArchie800
    @MrArchie800 Місяць тому +9

    The thing is; for most people the Tories are no longer being judged on what they currently say or promise! That doesn’t matter anymore as we are too far beyond that. They are now (quite rightly) being judged on their record and their actions, both of which which is the most abysmal performance in most people’s living memory - and nothing they can say or do will change that fact. Quite honestly many of them are very lucky they are not facing jail time.

    • @CryWillus
      @CryWillus Місяць тому +1

      Hey now, it's not just their awful record that they are being judged on. It's not just the lies and the incompetence or the corruption. It's also the deeply flawed (and nasty) ideologies they cling to.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 26 днів тому

      Yes, quite simply, the voters are NOT listening to the politicians any more.... Serve them right... Decades of unsuitable people, running our Country... Why can't these failure MP's be held accountable for their actions ?

  • @geraldbutler5484
    @geraldbutler5484 Місяць тому +17

    ‘The people don’t want an election,’ says Sunak. Who does that prat talk to.

    • @kanedNunable
      @kanedNunable Місяць тому +1

      he asked his family only i think

  • @joshwilliams0391
    @joshwilliams0391 Місяць тому +6

    All of this was set in motion by David Cameron’s referendum promise.

    • @jsd8981
      @jsd8981 Місяць тому

      Yep and look at him now, lo and behold he's Lord, figure that one out if you can, I can only take it that sunak is looking for the same thing or at least a knighthood or both, a knighthood and lordship title" he might even like to be a P.M someday when he grows up" he will need a whole load of grow bags for that one...

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 26 днів тому

      Yes, and when the Brexit vote was NOT what the establishment wanted, David Cameron said... " Right, I'm going now.... Bye Bye "

  • @AndrewHart-xn9yk
    @AndrewHart-xn9yk Місяць тому +2

    I do hope so
    Let Starmer bring back honest liberty the rule of law and cooperation with our democratic nabours
    The tories have always been about the rich and keeping the rest of society devided
    No more

  • @Putnamsmif
    @Putnamsmif Місяць тому +5

    We can only hope Michael Fabricant does become leader of the Conservative Party, because then they really would be consigned to the history books.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 26 днів тому

      Doesn't matter who is the PM, going in to the GE... The goose is cooked !

  • @snowman2970
    @snowman2970 Місяць тому +3

    Hope it’ll be worse than they are predicting!

  • @LooneyPoliticsTunes
    @LooneyPoliticsTunes Місяць тому +4

    Changing the leader can work , I’m assuming they have a time 🕰️ machine and can change the last 14 years of Tory rule and make it competent and effective

  • @Elxroid
    @Elxroid Місяць тому +2

    Sunak is running scared, spread the word

  • @musicman5075
    @musicman5075 Місяць тому +6

    And the MRP method used doesn't even take account of tactical voting.

  • @vincehammond1282
    @vincehammond1282 Місяць тому +22

    I truly can’t believe you’re surprised , look at what you have done ! No now look at this country , laugh and a joke ha ha fecking ha ! people are dying, living in poverty, the tories you have taken advantage of the people, every time.

    • @OldFutureCore
      @OldFutureCore Місяць тому

      Starmer will do exactly the same, he's a lier

    • @vincehammond1282
      @vincehammond1282 Місяць тому +2

      @@OldFutureCore do you mean liar? Evidence please?

    • @lizdocherty3067
      @lizdocherty3067 Місяць тому +2

      Is that not a Tory strategy keep repeating the same lies and it will become true, a bit like the plan that they keep talking about but have never told the voting public what the plan is.

    • @OldFutureCore
      @OldFutureCore Місяць тому

      @@vincehammond1282 google it ffs mate

  • @lordpurchase9189
    @lordpurchase9189 Місяць тому +5

    Why would the Tories being wiped out a disaster? You can tell there all Tory voters.

  • @Camcorder10
    @Camcorder10 22 дні тому +1

    We need a third party. No more tories, no more labour

  • @lizdocherty3067
    @lizdocherty3067 Місяць тому +3

    Can't believe they think that Davies will keep his seat what kind of people would vote for a man who has rented out his own flat in London and rented another flat in London so he can claim expenses for it as he is not allowed to claim mortgage payments on expenses, I know it's not illegal but it is disgusting hope he tells his constituents and thanks them for paying for his London flat.

  • @e575fho
    @e575fho Місяць тому +7

    Well earned if you ask me!

  • @IMBlakeley
    @IMBlakeley Місяць тому +29

    With a bit of luck they're done forever and Ed Davey will be leader of the opposition.

    • @clivet3252
      @clivet3252 Місяць тому +4

      Sir Ed put them in power in the first place.

    • @jonnobloggs8642
      @jonnobloggs8642 Місяць тому

      Nick Clegg for next Tory leader !

  • @ganrimmonim
    @ganrimmonim Місяць тому +3

    I'm a card-carrying LibDem who this time is voting Labour. Labour, only waybto oust my Tory MP, Labour seem to have constructed a fairly impressive coalition. The only people who dont seem to like it, are some ppl on the left of the Labour party itself and Brexit party voters. I'm hopeful it will help the country find a way forward hopefully as united as we can be.

  • @MartinParnham
    @MartinParnham Місяць тому +3

    Interestingly, 401 isn't as many seats as Labour won in 1997, which kind of gives some credence to the theory that it's an anti-tory vote.

  • @mattl1025
    @mattl1025 Місяць тому +3

    I don't know how the Tories can even break 100 seats. If they do, it's simply down to the insane FPTP voting system.

  • @choceclaire
    @choceclaire Місяць тому +4

    Electoral Calculas has them on 90 seats predicted.

  • @paulgilson2347
    @paulgilson2347 29 днів тому +2

    Never before in my 28 years of voting have I needed a none of the above option on the form more than now.

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 26 днів тому +1

      Absolutely... I've been putting comments on various YT channels for ages, about this... I think they are afraid to put a ' NOTA ' option on the Ballot paper, as that would probably win about 500 seats !

  • @aliceosborne3866
    @aliceosborne3866 Місяць тому +3

    So the Tories aren’t in it for the country, they are in it for themselves now?! Shocking… not…. This is why we won’t vote for them.

  • @dombaker1924
    @dombaker1924 Місяць тому +4

    It's this simple. The Tories alienated the electorate who voted Conservative expecting:
    1. Lower taxes
    2. A better country post-brexit
    3. Leveling-up
    Of course 2 & 3 were never going to happen anyway but once they failed to deliver on any of these they lost half of their voters!

    • @darrylsimpson4744
      @darrylsimpson4744 Місяць тому

      Brexit was what got them into power. Promising a better post Brexit life. But it was a fallacy. It was lies. It was Johnson at his lying baffoon best. And 52% believed it. Now us 48% despair.

  • @itequipment8251
    @itequipment8251 Місяць тому +2

    There is the very real prospect of a defeat worse than in tge disasters of 1906, 1997 and 2001.

  • @scottbarrett4746
    @scottbarrett4746 Місяць тому +3

    That's actually better for the Tories than many polls. It's therefore not spectacular news. Let us know if there's a poll showing them on fewer than 50 seats!

  • @bigcapa1973
    @bigcapa1973 Місяць тому +3

    If they (Tories) had any respect for themselves or their "consituates" they would end it now.

  • @lugano1999
    @lugano1999 Місяць тому +3

    Electoral Calculus has updated their numbers. They have Labour winning 459 seats and the Tories winning only 90.
    I like their poll better.
    If the public in marginals really take tactical voting seriously, they can get the Tories down to less than 50 seats possibly making the Lib Dems the official opposition.

  • @Elizabeth-jd3mn
    @Elizabeth-jd3mn Місяць тому +6

    Penny😂😂😂😂 she's on course to loose her seat you nobs😂😂😂 Not a chance.

    • @Simon-xc5oy
      @Simon-xc5oy Місяць тому +1

      Yep. Her claim to fame and skills seem to be looking pretty in a swim suit and being strong enough to hold a sword up. I have no clue where they get these people from, its simply a case of who they can throw out there who is the least....offensive to the public. And not on skill or merit...or experience or capability....

  • @samdam108
    @samdam108 Місяць тому +3

    People don’t like to be led by people they perceive as incompetent, self-serving liars. At this point, party policies are irrelevant; whether it’s a Labour switch, abstention or protest party, the vast majority are voting with their heart, and can simply no longer bear their country being run by these despicable people, regardless of their personal politics.

  • @agedhippy2407
    @agedhippy2407 Місяць тому +3

    With very mediocre tactical voting by Labour and Lib Dem supporters in the new marginal seats the Tories would lose another 50+ seats. Just 1 in 4 voting tactically in the new marginals would wipe the Tories out.

  • @springchicken893
    @springchicken893 Місяць тому +5

    The Brits woke up to their lousy government.

    • @Silver-st2zq
      @Silver-st2zq Місяць тому +3

      Only took 14 years 😂🤣

    • @richardruff8712
      @richardruff8712 26 днів тому +1

      @@Silver-st2zq Some would say.. It has taken 50 years to learn the truth !

  • @bacchusjnpierre
    @bacchusjnpierre 29 днів тому

    This woman have the nerve to say Penny for our thoughts 😮what a wow!

  • @manuelleluciani9208
    @manuelleluciani9208 29 днів тому +1

    It’s nothing to celebrate the Labour Party of today is so far removed from its core values there isn’t much

  • @peaeater1
    @peaeater1 Місяць тому +11

    ...and that’s with Starmer in opposition. Imagine if Labour had a decent leader.

  • @stevenhibberd4162
    @stevenhibberd4162 Місяць тому +3

    Can we drain our swamp now?

    • @OldFutureCore
      @OldFutureCore Місяць тому

      from what? foreigners? you're delusional mate

  • @MikeStock88
    @MikeStock88 Місяць тому +2

    Still too many seats

  • @vincentwalker6029
    @vincentwalker6029 Місяць тому +3

    Sunak just wants time to get his memorandum of understanding on the India deal, he'd push it to January if the party lets him.

  • @Joey-ct8bm
    @Joey-ct8bm Місяць тому +14

    How's Brexit going for you guys? Much love from the Netherlands. You can always come back.

    • @katywalker8322
      @katywalker8322 Місяць тому +2

      I hope we will be back as soon as possible. With luck the government which only had minority support that dragged us out of the EU will be crushed in the upcoming election

    • @OldFutureCore
      @OldFutureCore Місяць тому +3

      its going absolutely terribly, some Britons will deny the obvious in comments below but believe me it's going terribly, Spain is doing better than the UK economically now, what a great thing Brexit is!

    • @Joey-ct8bm
      @Joey-ct8bm Місяць тому +1

      @@katywalker8322 Come back, that will shut up the EU haters here. You'll be doing me a favor.

    • @katywalker8322
      @katywalker8322 Місяць тому +1

      @@Joey-ct8bm hopefully the Uk will. Although I am probably too old to work in mainland Europe again.

    • @random6809
      @random6809 Місяць тому

      @@katywalker8322
      You are going to be really disappointed when Labour don't re-join the EU then.

  • @alvanrigby6361
    @alvanrigby6361 Місяць тому +1

    And not a single word about the boats.

  • @eddiehughes6074
    @eddiehughes6074 16 днів тому

    Get them out now !

  • @Lilyyyyyy2244
    @Lilyyyyyy2244 Місяць тому +4

    VOTE LABOUR!

  • @CRINOTH
    @CRINOTH Місяць тому +2

    If I were a Conservative, I'd be jumping for joy at the idea that retaining 155 seats might be possible... The question now is not who will win the GE but whether or not whichever party comes second will have enough MPs to form a functioning opposition that can hold the new government to account. I suspect not, as I don't see any of them getting into triple figures in MPs.

  • @georgebolam-gb2lg
    @georgebolam-gb2lg Місяць тому +1

    the Tories deserve ALL THE GET ...I myself voted for the Tories NEVER AGAIN WE HAVE BEEN TAKEN FOR GRANTED....SUNAK IS A COMPLETE LIAR. .

  • @clivegeary4587
    @clivegeary4587 Місяць тому +1

    Get The Election Done

  • @willsrpi
    @willsrpi Місяць тому +3

    It's more incredible that the Tories are forecast to get 155 seats, who's still voting for them?

    • @danjames4086
      @danjames4086 Місяць тому +1

      Bear in mind, something like30% of UK adults have the reading age of an 11 year old. 😂

  • @vercoda9997
    @vercoda9997 Місяць тому +27

    I'm not exactly fond of your Labour party - and I'm also an unregistered migrant elsewhere in the UK than England, so not directly affected by whichever horse wins the race - but sweet Jesus, more than a decade of Tory rule has clearly left vast amounts of people absolutely impoverished, while millions rely on food banks simply to exist, while the NHS appears to be staggering along, and endless Far Right fuckwittery and corruption appears to swill around the Tories.
    Voting for them seems about as appealing as punching yourself in the nuts, frankly - I genuinely don't grasp the Tories' popularity, for want of a better word, considering the sorry state of Britain today after their rule, their control, their decisions for more than a decade.

    • @vercoda9997
      @vercoda9997 Місяць тому +8

      (Unregistered, but entirely Legal, I should say, before any curtain-twitchers start frothing at the mouth.)

    • @colinsmith1288
      @colinsmith1288 Місяць тому +2

      ​@@vercoda9997You really made border control unhappy.😅

    • @katywalker8322
      @katywalker8322 Місяць тому +2

      There are a large number of people who support a political party in the same way people support a football team. They don’t care how bad their choice is!

  • @comradeozzbug
    @comradeozzbug Місяць тому +2

    One can only wish