To cut Orr not to cut | Raw Politics | Newsroom
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- Опубліковано 4 вер 2024
- This week on the Raw Politics podcast: The Government drops a new climate plan and inflation falls faster than expected
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The public finally gets to peek behind the curtain at the details of the Government's approach to climate - and it's an unimpressive, if not unsurprising, view.
This week, the Raw Politics panel breaks down the 123-page emissions reduction plan and of course its 65-page technical annex. Recognising this isn't a relatable task, they also try to put themselves in the shoes of regular people.
Newsroom senior political reporter Marc Daalder, Newsroom Pro managing editor Jonathan Milne and political journalist Emma Hatton look at forestry, electric vehicles and net zero by 2050.
We also break out the crystal ball to attempt to divine what Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr will do in response to better-than-expected inflation numbers. Economists are virtually unanimous in calling for him to cut rates this year - but will he hold his nerve?
Finance Minister Nicola Willis was quick to claim credit for the drop in inflation too, but most of the Government's actions hadn't even begun by the end of the period in question. We ask whether it's fair to say the Government is fulfilling its promise to rein in the cost of living and whether the answer to that question even matters to Willis.
Our audience question this week asks for an update on the wayward former Green Party MP Darleen Tana, who sat down for an interview with TVNZ on Monday.
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This week's recommendations:
Emma: The exclusive TVNZ interview with Darleen Tana, where she claims she's been silenced and isolated but doesn't give straight answers to big questions
Marc: A scoop from his hated rival, RNZ climate correspondent Eloise Gibson, on the Government's plans to rollback insulation regulations
Jonathan: Looking overseas, an analysis in The Economist on big business fears about Donald Trump's new vice presidential pick
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newsroom.co.nz
Silt from grassland was The major devastation from cyclone Gabrielle, forestry slash was a force multiplier. The real issue is clear steep land that was forest 150 years ago. Now it's eroding topsoil at the fastest rates on the planet. Be clear it's grassland on steep marginal land that did most damage.
The original proponent of "creative forestry carbon accounting" was of course Simon Upton (the current PCE) when he was Minister for the Environment in Bolger's National government of the 1990s. He explicitly pushed for excluding forestry removals from the Kyoto 1990 'baseline' (gross) and including forestry removals (net) in the Kyoto 2008 to 2012 target. So Aotearoa could comply with Kyoto even though gross emissions increased. Because the choice of emission 'accounting' allowed gross emissions to increase by the amount of forestry removals while target 'net' emissions were still less than baseline 'gross' emissions.
Somewhere online years ago I found a MFAT regulatory impact analysis (for signing an international treaty: Kyoto) that explicitly stated that MFAT thought 1) NZ could profit in $$ from carbon removals, 2) NZ could allow gross emissions to increase, and 3) NZ would still comply with the Kyoto Protocol. So MFAT supported signing up to Kyoto. We seem to be now repeating the cycle on forest carbon!🤐🤐
What is the 'median voter' view of NZ climate policy? It's MEGO. "My eyes glaze over" - in response to the alphabet soup of abbreviations: net zero, ETS NZU, Zero Carbon act, ERP, EBs, 'net' vs 'gross'. It's just too much cognitively for people to take in in their spare time after doing their work hours, networks, families, cultures, sports hours and the rest.
Appreciate the overview and recommendations. Someone else has mentioned it here, about the climate discussion becoming so garbled, it can sap the strength out of you. Which I tend to believe is the intention of our politicians tbh.
Same National policy since the 50s.." Lest possible costs " doesn't meet functional requirements though. Government yet sorted the Cook Strait ferry fiasco. Really backward looking, finger in the dike philosophy. By not meeting emissions reductions, could cost NZ $23 billion.
Electric cars are a temporary fad, working people are reluctant to stretch to buy an EV, which may well prove to a poor economicpurchase. Better to wait for Hydrogen or Ammonia.
New climate plan 🤣🤣🤣yeah right
I like the title
Comments so far are just a series of bots talking to each other?... Creepy
I they've been evaporated 😉