Lithium Battery Pack Prices Crash - Legacy auto is about to be crushed

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  • Опубліковано 23 січ 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 2,1 тис.

  • @electricviking
    @electricviking  29 днів тому +5

    Click here to get a free charger and installation when pre-ordering the G6
    xpeng.com.au/?qr=726XPO
    The best solar company in Australia just installed my new solar system.
    Check them out here:
    www.resinc.com.au/electricviking

    • @zelareka
      @zelareka 29 днів тому +1

      If I cant charge my car in 5 minutes and without changing course the of the trip. I am not interested in a EV !!! You EV lovers just dont get it. Its not just about the price .

    • @amyw1850
      @amyw1850 27 днів тому

      @@zelareka Some people are simply not interested. But I am excited to discover there have been recent advances in Solar /EVs that could eliminate the need for stopping to charge! The combination of potentially doubling the capacity of solar with perovskites, and new lighter / high density solid state batteries could revolutionize solar/EV production and use.

    • @shazzz_land
      @shazzz_land 26 днів тому

      fire estinguishers suddenly gone sold out :))))))))

    • @shazzz_land
      @shazzz_land 26 днів тому

      let's be frank, why pay 25 k euro's whilst risking of having a ruined battery in 2 5 years? you don't pay that much money to waste time at an EV charger ....... I won't make my life around chargers, sorry but I'll pass. it is enough that from charging one phone and possibly a laptop now I charge headphones, electric cigar (i happily quit it but had to charge it once a day or twice, yeah I smoked that much), another set of headphones, 2 batteries and even a fucking gaming soarec; luckily the soarec is on wire now, the headphones I use wired, and I ve reduced the need for portable battery. So no thank you, don't need a travel car that dictates my travel.

    • @harrywalker5836
      @harrywalker5836 16 днів тому

      vloger in u.k.. bought a 130k porsche, 2 yrs ago.. its now worth 30k.. but no one wants it.. work it out, there crap..get a real job. where people dont hate you..like, not a lefti, or wokei..

  • @painfulorwhat8872
    @painfulorwhat8872 Місяць тому +386

    Battery costs are high yes, but there is also a huge cost associated with making EV’s only at a premium specification and with lots of high tech equipment in them. I don’t need a luxury car. I don’t need 90% of the toys. I want a dumb car that “does the job”, is cheap to buy and cheap to run.

    • @MyLoganTreks
      @MyLoganTreks Місяць тому

      Auto manufacturers don't make money off these cars, they need to pay their executives bonuses. It's Probably Why Elon wants to end regulations on EPA and shitting his pants to get to Mars.

    • @Hookeslaw
      @Hookeslaw Місяць тому +44

      👍 Cheap and easy to fix, no over the air stuff.

    • @Soulboy63
      @Soulboy63 Місяць тому +32

      Small ,simple EV s are hitting Europe @ £20 K NEW , 5 - 8 YEAR warranty. Used ev from 6 k

    • @kitatit
      @kitatit Місяць тому +16

      Absolutely! A light, single cab chassis ute(pickup) that’s simple and affordable for city work. But that won’t happen because most people want luxury, 4x4, capacity to tow a small universe, but most importantly, look cool.

    • @TimMountjoy-zy2fd
      @TimMountjoy-zy2fd Місяць тому +22

      That will be an EV - they are low cost to build bar the battery which is expensive. So if the battery becomes cheap you will get a cheap EV that does the job and costs less. The world is moving in your direction.

  • @misty671
    @misty671 Місяць тому +41

    Giving up our manufacturing base was a blunder of unimaginable scope.

    • @LH1980XX
      @LH1980XX Місяць тому

      giving it up? Capitalists realised they could make more profit by moving manufacturing. So they did it the capitalists don't care about you.
      You voted for politicians who enabled this. Ross Perrot in the 1990s literally said giant sucking sound, you voted for Clinton.

    • @ChrisKasper-wc7cf
      @ChrisKasper-wc7cf 27 днів тому

      You didn't 'give up' anything! You were out-competed on labour costs, and out-dated by robotic manufacturing. Until the US can address reality, it will continue to lose.

    • @FirstLast-vr7es
      @FirstLast-vr7es 22 дні тому +3

      The shareholders don't think so. They made major BANK! Almost like 'the future' doesn't even factor into their thinking, or something. Weird.

    • @rusty9045
      @rusty9045 18 днів тому +1

      In the US we are unable to get the best and brightest to enter civil service, we don't encourage any kind of meaningful central planning on the national level, and we don't have the student STEM numbers to compete in the new technologies with most of the up and coming developing world like Vietnam and China. Without all of this it was eventually inevitable that our manufacturing base moved off shore to enhance shareholder value. As much as I cannot stand either Biden or Trump, they both realize that the current status must change or we will get trashed at our own game. Thank God it just so happens that most of the supply chain for advanced microchips exists outside of China and that China is unable to manufacture the most technically advanced chips on its own otherwise the game would have been already over for us.

    • @misty671
      @misty671 17 днів тому +1

      @rusty9045 You make a lot of good points. Ultimately, it's about incentives. The wrong things have been rewarded for far too long.

  • @gregwatling4041
    @gregwatling4041 Місяць тому +165

    Sorry Sam just correct you, it’s wright’s law not Moore’s law.

    • @dorapadilla5731
      @dorapadilla5731 Місяць тому +32

      Hey Greg. Glad you could be Moore Wright. ❤

    • @zes7215
      @zes7215 Місяць тому

      wr

    • @babublue69
      @babublue69 Місяць тому +2

      He is talking about mos law not mores law 😅

    • @electromega3077
      @electromega3077 Місяць тому +5

      I prefer the Cheap's law

    • @The_Macaroon
      @The_Macaroon Місяць тому +14

      Hahaha he's been banging on incorrectly about Moore's law in all his videos.

  • @plodderexup
    @plodderexup Місяць тому +297

    By the time a Chinese EV gets to a buyer in the UK, the protectionists have doubled the price. So we'll struggle to see the benefit.

    • @TheSmallRabbit
      @TheSmallRabbit Місяць тому +25

      Just buy a 2nd hand EV they are very affordable and last a long time. With this even longer !

    • @dailyrd
      @dailyrd Місяць тому +2

      Nah I'll handle this Sam. I have huge news for European market. Huuuuuge. I'll create a channel just for that

    • @tyo0815
      @tyo0815 Місяць тому +12

      ​@@TheSmallRabbitbut to get used ones in the Market there need to be new ones sold

    • @Puzzoozoo
      @Puzzoozoo Місяць тому

      @@TheSmallRabbit 🙄🤣

    • @danutavram831
      @danutavram831 Місяць тому +8

      @@TheSmallRabbit Second hand EV last longer !!🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • @michaelblom2883
    @michaelblom2883 Місяць тому +90

    Hej Sam, Moores law : chips will double the capacity and halve the price every 18 months. Wrights law : For every accumulative doubling of production the cost will decline by a fixed percentage. Which percent is depending on the product.

    • @NoiserToo
      @NoiserToo Місяць тому +9

      Sam doesn’t read the comments 🤣

    • @chinesecrested9528
      @chinesecrested9528 Місяць тому +7

      Sometimes, Moores' Wright...

    • @christianlibertarian5488
      @christianlibertarian5488 Місяць тому +2

      So which is more right? Moore or Wright?

    • @NoiserToo
      @NoiserToo Місяць тому

      @@christianlibertarian5488- Wrightmore shall suffice

    • @Belaziraf
      @Belaziraf Місяць тому +5

      Tim Cooks laws : for each 1% performance, double the price. For each cent improvement, charge $200.

  • @wests3771
    @wests3771 Місяць тому +37

    12v lifepo4 battery's are running $1 per ah for the first time ever. I installed a 9kw system in my 24' cabin boat and it can run the ac for 3 days. All for about $700 in batteries. Cost has halved in 1.5 years

    • @thefpvlife7785
      @thefpvlife7785 Місяць тому +1

      Based on your number I believe it's .7 cents per wh. A dollar per wh is a bit to high.

    • @oldbutstillcurious3615
      @oldbutstillcurious3615 27 днів тому

      ? If prices are falling so fast - why buy Now !

    • @wests3771
      @wests3771 27 днів тому +2

      Cost benefit analysis. We don't live forever. They are already cheaper than lead batteries. I don't regret purchasing my first flat screen TV either!

    • @amyw1850
      @amyw1850 27 днів тому +1

      I am a fan of LiFePo4 batteries/plug in power supply combined with solar panels. Pakistan is apparently going solar electric the DIY plug and play way! Wink Motor has a solar/LFP micro-car for around $10,000 (but it is low speed, so probably not great for urban use). But I am excited to discover there have been recent advances in Solar /EVs that could eliminate the need for charging vehicles to a large extent! The combination of potentially doubling the capacity of solar with perovskites, and new lighter / high density solid state batteries could revolutionize solar/EV production and use.

    • @edwardthompson9981
      @edwardthompson9981 18 днів тому +1

      Should talk about the Canadian company making batteries that will last 1.5 million miles.

  • @tonypower9315
    @tonypower9315 Місяць тому +119

    Very Interesting, however we will still be paying 30-40k for a car that should be 10-15k , not matter which company it is….the robbing barstewards! We never see the benefits as consumers….only the shareholders….

    • @michaelthomas7898
      @michaelthomas7898 Місяць тому +5

      Exactly no auto producing country is going to let their industry crash. We the people will take up the slack.

    • @ski1749
      @ski1749 Місяць тому +10

      You missed the viking's videos on Chinese $15k ev and $20k cars. Based on the videos, they are as automated as Tesla.
      Chinese EV markets are going for market share. VW, Ford, GM and Stellantis are only thinking about profitability.
      Viking in a different video in early 2024 said that China had told all car makers 8 years ago that they would not allow sale of gas cars after July 2024. World car markers ignore the coming ban and now have nothing to sell in China.

    • @iscadean6038
      @iscadean6038 Місяць тому

      It’s called capitalism. And it’s coming to the end of its useful life. Capitalism is essentially a giant ‘ponzi’ scheme. Those at the top get everything. We at the bottom get the crumbs. Marx had it right.

    • @pasdevosaffaires3038
      @pasdevosaffaires3038 Місяць тому +1

      So buy their share

    • @jimtoomey9522
      @jimtoomey9522 Місяць тому +2

      Have you not seen Teslas written goals?
      Tesla is providing less inexpensive cars every year .
      Bitter much ?

  • @situationalawarenes
    @situationalawarenes Місяць тому +55

    I found a method of reducing ev prices through prolonged meditation. I will do that a few more years.

    • @Stiffytheenlightened
      @Stiffytheenlightened Місяць тому +1

      Me too, probably forever.

    • @FrunkensteinVonZipperneck
      @FrunkensteinVonZipperneck Місяць тому

      Pramahansa Yogananda, parlez-vous?

    • @andrewlim7751
      @andrewlim7751 Місяць тому +1

      Nah, the western givts will constantly up the tariffs to disrupt your meditation.

    • @bjb7587
      @bjb7587 29 днів тому +1

      Driving a 2009 Hyundai Genesis now with 113k miles. Nothing wrong with it. Can afford to wait some more.

    • @MrDuncl
      @MrDuncl 29 днів тому +1

      It's called The Osbourne Effect.

  • @markjames1260
    @markjames1260 Місяць тому

    Thanks!

  • @claudio39295
    @claudio39295 29 днів тому

    Grazie.

  • @stumckhall
    @stumckhall Місяць тому +85

    European car makers have just raised their ICE prices to cope with the fines of not selling enough EVs further closing the gap

    • @ChickensAndGardening
      @ChickensAndGardening Місяць тому +21

      EU is shooting itself in the foot (tire?).

    • @taylorc2542
      @taylorc2542 Місяць тому +14

      About to buy my last ICE, a manual Porsche Cayman. I’m gonna enjoy driving curving backroads before it’s too late.

    • @FrunkensteinVonZipperneck
      @FrunkensteinVonZipperneck Місяць тому +16

      Ah! The “cutting off your nose to spite your face” strategy.😮

    • @rvc25
      @rvc25 Місяць тому +1

      @@FrunkensteinVonZipperneckor maybe this signifies the needs to relax emission standards to save jobs, industry, etc?

    • @NoiserToo
      @NoiserToo Місяць тому +8

      @@stumckhall - time to replace the politicians, ya?

  • @CARambolagen
    @CARambolagen Місяць тому +34

    So when do these prices finally reach eBike battery prices then??? My bike dealer still wants 800 Euros from me for a 500w/h battery 😡

    • @bobdebouwer7835
      @bobdebouwer7835 18 днів тому +1

      Diy? Aliexpress?

    • @psoon04286
      @psoon04286 17 днів тому +1

      My question too. I was expecting e-bike batteries to also enjoy price slashes. What’s the difference?

    • @amyw1850
      @amyw1850 10 днів тому +1

      An entire folding e-bike costs about $600 20" wheels. Hopefully the replacement battery prices will go down as well.
      I just got an electric scooter that I am thrilled with for $150. It goes 19 MPH - plenty fast enough for city riding, but more convenient and easier to fold and carry. I can take it with me, rather than locking it outside and worrying about theft. It charges up faster than my bike as well. I like the bike for grocery shopping.
      I got rid of my car and occasionally use a friends once a month or so, or rent one for trips.

    • @psoon04286
      @psoon04286 10 днів тому

      @@amyw1850 we plan to cut down on our car ownership too, and renting for the occasional road trips.

    • @amyw1850
      @amyw1850 10 днів тому

      @@psoon04286 That's great! I live in the city, and it was such a relief to get rid of mine! No more insurance, repairs, maintenance, parking hassles, moving for street cleaning, shoveling out of heavy street snow, gas, inspection sticker... While some people need cars, for a lot of us in the city they are largely unnecessary.
      It would be great to have some additional car sharing options for the occasional day trip. We do have zip-car, turo and rental nearby (actually pretty convenient with the scooter) but a neighborhood solar electric car would be ideal! Solar just made a big leap forward as well as batteries! They expect to have double the solar capacity with a special coating, I think it is called perovskite .

  • @georgewarriner4017
    @georgewarriner4017 29 днів тому +6

    In Thailand you can buy the low mileage BYD Dolphin (435km) for under $17,000 US. This car is the same size as a Honda Civic, but cheaper.

  • @roscoevideo99
    @roscoevideo99 28 днів тому

    Thanks

  • @RichardWeeks-f8w
    @RichardWeeks-f8w Місяць тому +16

    Moore's law refers to the number of transistors on a micro processor. Wright's law describes the cost
    of production decreasing by a constant percentage for each doubling of cumulative production.

    • @jamesvandamme7786
      @jamesvandamme7786 28 днів тому

      You're the 37th person to point this out, but Sam doesn't read comments so save your breath.

  • @DefiantAML
    @DefiantAML Місяць тому +98

    I'm in Japan and I'm legit worried about car companies here. I've seen more and more BYD dealers pop up recently.

    • @chrissmith2114
      @chrissmith2114 Місяць тому +8

      BYD have eye-watering debts, and they are one of the more 'successful' EV junk makers.

    • @JCSY1
      @JCSY1 Місяць тому +31

      @@chrissmith2114 Every car companies have debts. All the top car companies have huge debts. EVs are not junk. Only those who stay stuck with traditional cars will stay stuck in the past.

    • @ashleyschaefferkia2734
      @ashleyschaefferkia2734 Місяць тому +18

      @@chrissmith2114 Hate spotted. Go drive a BYD and feel the difference.

    • @711colonel
      @711colonel Місяць тому +22

      So BYD debt is bad but VW debt is good. Got it

    • @BillJohnston-y7o
      @BillJohnston-y7o Місяць тому +4

      Your gov should NOT have let them in, now your car industry is gone. In turn your country will be crushed.

  • @glennmartin6492
    @glennmartin6492 Місяць тому +13

    I've got an 8 year old Chevy Spark EV with an 80 K. range. More than adequate for 80% of my mileage but I would still love a new battery pack with extra range. But the cost of replacement packs is almost twice the price I paid for a used Spark. Seems to me there's demand for a company to manufacture replacement packs for used EVs with better batteries.

    • @jamesvandamme7786
      @jamesvandamme7786 28 днів тому +1

      Look around, there is. But there's not many Sparks. You can get a Leaf battery upgraded, and you get more range and active cooling so it will retain range longer.

    • @SigFigNewton
      @SigFigNewton 26 днів тому +1

      Yeah batteries are far better than they were 8 yrs ago

  • @lidiasantoro3098
    @lidiasantoro3098 Місяць тому +144

    Actually India has been manufacturing iphones since 2017 and has 15% of Apple production, rapidly rising.

    • @MrSinnerBOFH
      @MrSinnerBOFH Місяць тому +11

      Thank you, I came to post the same.

    • @Adrian_Nel
      @Adrian_Nel Місяць тому +19

      This bro gets a few things wrong

    • @danielvilliers612
      @danielvilliers612 Місяць тому +11

      I like what is happening for battery price, but he has become like china mouthpiece. Everything is great their and doom and gloom elsewhere.

    • @kamanda007
      @kamanda007 Місяць тому +26

      Yes, but 90% of the components and parts are sourced from China, primarily a matter of assembly rather than manufacturing the entire product

    • @S0ulinth3machin3
      @S0ulinth3machin3 Місяць тому +8

      @@kamanda007 for now. There's a huge effort to outsource the chain. Like that $30 billion chip fab which just opened in Phoenix, Arizona.

  • @CristiCroicu
    @CristiCroicu Місяць тому +11

    Small correction: iPhones are made also outside of china. India is the other country where it is produced. Also, there are talks to move production for US market in the US.

    • @blueeyes6192
      @blueeyes6192 Місяць тому +1

      lmao India is only assembly . Most parts are shipped from china to india 😂

    • @cidie1
      @cidie1 Місяць тому +3

      @@blueeyes6192 The crucial components are not even made in China, Apple design the processors, TSMC make them. memory chips much comes from south korea, many sensors come from japan or europe, displays come from south korea or japan. Much assembly is done in china yes, by a taiwanese company that is moving more assembly to other countries.

  • @endrefidje5698
    @endrefidje5698 Місяць тому +43

    Some iPhones are made in India so the Electric Viking is talking BS at times ... 🤔

    • @DerVersteherPlus
      @DerVersteherPlus Місяць тому +18

      The Electric Mao talks bullshit quite often.

    • @williamlewandowski129
      @williamlewandowski129 Місяць тому

      India get their components to build the I Phone from China. But yes, Apple is slowing attempting to reduce manufacture of I Phones completely in China, this is their first baby step.

    • @ZgO_o
      @ZgO_o Місяць тому

      They already left India, what are you talking about?? Apple had over 50% defect, quality and destruction issue there plus it cost far too much since India transportation system is a mess.
      No wonder Apple, Tesla etc price gouges consumers with geniuses like you people. most big brand names have from 20 to 60% of their profits coming from China
      Name any brands and then look at where they sell most and where they manufacture to export. Tesla builds most of its cars in China then exports it even many in U.S tesla have CATL battery.
      What a bozo, living in 80s where everything came from U.S

    • @DaveBarnes1
      @DaveBarnes1 Місяць тому +12

      His fact hit rate is about 80% and he doesn't understand some of the new technology, but the general direction is pretty spot on.

    • @cidie1
      @cidie1 Місяць тому

      since it is far off it makes me doubt the rest. the crucial iphone components are not even made by china.

  • @lewiswithrow1936
    @lewiswithrow1936 Місяць тому +8

    You are referring to Wright's law, not Moore's law.
    In 1936 Theodore Wright an aircraft engineer working for Curtiss-Wright aircraft manufacturer made an observation and model. Wright's law is a model for predicting manufacturing costs based on cumulative production volume. It states that for each doubling of production volume, costs decrease by a consistent percentage (typically 10-30%). The formula is: Y = aX^b, where Y is unit cost, X is cumulative production, a is first unit cost, and b is the learning rate.
    This model has proven remarkably accurate across industries, from aircraft manufacturing to semiconductor production, helping companies forecast costs and plan production strategies.

    • @therealthreadkilla
      @therealthreadkilla 27 днів тому

      So then by that measure if I double enough times productions costs drop to zero?

    • @lewiswithrow1936
      @lewiswithrow1936 27 днів тому +1

      @@therealthreadkilla Upon repeated doublings the cost asymptotically approaches the cost of the raw materials which itself declines due to volume purchase.

    • @therealthreadkilla
      @therealthreadkilla 27 днів тому

      @@lewiswithrow1936
      So no then,

  • @TomTom-cm2oq
    @TomTom-cm2oq Місяць тому +40

    Sam doesn’t read ANY comments. It’s been pointed out in previous videos that it’s Wright’s law, not Moore’s law.

    • @NoiserToo
      @NoiserToo Місяць тому +6

      Correct 🤣 but somebody on his staff delete them.

    • @jj9749
      @jj9749 Місяць тому +5

      If you produce as many videos as he does I don't think you would read the comments either

    • @NoiserToo
      @NoiserToo Місяць тому +5

      @@jj9749- agreed, quantity over quality…

    • @Acemeistre
      @Acemeistre Місяць тому +1

      absolutely Incorrect as he's replied to mine in the past as well as others.

    • @miroslawkaras7710
      @miroslawkaras7710 Місяць тому

      Problem with Sam, that he putting a lot BS and China's propaganda.

  • @joewilder
    @joewilder Місяць тому +6

    According to Cairn's research, Tesla pays an average of $142 per kWh for cells purchased from its three previously mentioned suppliers. Meanwhile, companies like GM are paying $169 per kWh, while the industry average runs around $186, according to the firm's report. (generated by Gemini)

    • @External2737
      @External2737 28 днів тому

      @@joewilder Tesla has 4680 production and volume negotiating leverage. If the suppliers lose Tesla, they lose economies of scale. So, not a surprise. As Tesla ramps 4680 production, which I readily admit is way behind my expectations, battery vendors will have to cut margins to continue supplying Tesla.

  • @paulmontague4918
    @paulmontague4918 Місяць тому +3

    Like solar panel the cost of cells is no longer a material , in a typical solar plant the panels are less than 15% of the cost. Balance of plant costs are increasing…

    • @jamesvandamme7786
      @jamesvandamme7786 28 днів тому

      We'll write new regulations to ensnare them in red tape!

  • @oldwelda
    @oldwelda Місяць тому +2

    Not just a battery pack price crash, manufacturers seem to be slashing prices of new ev's.
    Probably nothing to do with the immense end of year fines manufacturers will face for not hitting quotas from the Uk Government, or the sales figures not showing how many are lease/company cars as opposed to private.

  • @EngsaidIbrahim
    @EngsaidIbrahim Місяць тому +5

    Fantastic channel 🎉🎉🎉 👏👍👏👍👏👍

  • @mr.goeser1867
    @mr.goeser1867 Місяць тому +8

    Exellent analysis, I wish you an Electric Christmas🎉

  • @ridervfr2798
    @ridervfr2798 Місяць тому +13

    I have a Hayunday ionic 5 with a level 2 charger installed at my house. Its a fast car and wife goes too fast in it. Not my thing but i can accept technology

    • @Scotty_AU
      @Scotty_AU Місяць тому +3

      I don't understand why they don't tone down performance and instead provide a longer range

    • @tyo0815
      @tyo0815 Місяць тому +1

      ​@@Scotty_AUbecause it makes no difference.
      With ab bigger engine you also can recuperate more Energy.

    • @ridervfr2798
      @ridervfr2798 Місяць тому +1

      @@tyo0815 that is if you set up the regen feature to the maximum. Whe i drive it, it is in sport mode with the least amount of regen braking. She like the acceleration and will pay the price in tires when the lease is up.

    • @nguyep4
      @nguyep4 Місяць тому

      ​@@Scotty_AUThey have "chill" options. Reduce wear and tear to the tires and better range...

    • @Trashed20659
      @Trashed20659 24 дні тому

      @@Scotty_AU Because EVs have had to combat a "golf cart" image for years. But there are makers over seas that are producing EVs with smaller motors and that have great range for a smaller battery pack.

  • @scene2much
    @scene2much 22 дні тому +1

    Now let's get the cost of a network of Charging Stations to scale with the price changes.

  • @douglascutler1037
    @douglascutler1037 Місяць тому

    Merry Christmas!
    I mean, Electric Viking with Good News for Christmas.

  • @iamspock
    @iamspock Місяць тому +16

    We keep hearing about how many miles a battery pack will last, but this isn't so important when most people average around 10,000 miles/year .... more important is how many years the pack will last as we can expect cells to degrade with age and environmental conditions.

    • @sd70cal
      @sd70cal Місяць тому

      degrading due to age is still because of discharge and charge cycles. When in storage the battery will very slowly discharge. It will need to be recharged.
      This counts against its life-time charge/discharge cycles. Degradation from this will be much slower than if the vehicle is in daily use.

    • @iamspock
      @iamspock Місяць тому +1

      @@sd70cal This is not the case ... aging is a totally different phenomenon and that's why you won't see a lifetime battery warranty on a Tesla. Some lithium cells can lose capacity rapidly with age. Once the capacity drops to around 70% the cell can suddenly fail without much warning.

    • @sd70cal
      @sd70cal Місяць тому

      @@iamspock What is the physics of the aging of LFP batteries other than charge cycles?
      What is your data for sudden failures of batteries when they fall to 70% of capacity?

    • @MrDuncl
      @MrDuncl 29 днів тому

      This. I have had quite a few Lithium Ion batteries fail. The common theme was that they weren't being used. The most annoying was a brand new power bank which I tested then put aside for about four years only to find it had swelled up. In contrast I would put money on the ICE model aircraft engine I got fifty years ago still running fine.

    • @sd70cal
      @sd70cal 28 днів тому

      @@MrDuncl If you do improper storage for either piece of equipment they will degrade. If they were built with inferior material or process they will fail.
      Your comparison of an engine to a fuel storage system is not an even comparison. A better comparison would be a motor.

  • @macmcleod1188
    @macmcleod1188 Місяць тому +17

    We need to see these cheap prices in batteries for home systems.
    Last I looked it's still running about $800 per thousand Watts.
    It should be down to about $400 per thousand Watts now. They are artificially holding up the prices.

    • @TheSmallRabbit
      @TheSmallRabbit Місяць тому +7

      You are so correct. Even if these were treble the stated $53 /kWh a home battery system would make sense. The costs at the moment are artificially being kept high, but why and by who? Is it just profiteering? $53 per kWh a home battery of 15kWh is now only going to cost $795 ! wow even if that was $1500 it makes commercial sense to the seller and buyer. But no in the UK this system would be close to £10K

    • @SuperMassman
      @SuperMassman Місяць тому +5

      .. I see a market for people using car batteries for home power storage,, also stripping new cars of batteries and selling them on the black market 😄.. welcome to the future

    • @heikoguckes5693
      @heikoguckes5693 Місяць тому +3

      I just bought an Alpha 7.8 kWh for about 4k€ in Germany. I still think it's way too expensive compared to numbers like 69$ per kWh.

    • @ski1749
      @ski1749 Місяць тому +1

      Lfp batteries are 59% cheaper than 2 years ago the Viking says.
      The solar/wind storage batteries are success because of the huge price drop.

    • @jamesvandamme7786
      @jamesvandamme7786 28 днів тому

      @@SuperMassman Not so easy to take out a battery when it's on the ground. Cat converters are easier.

  • @mauriziomauricone
    @mauriziomauricone Місяць тому +16

    I will never buy a Chinese EV for that reason and the other reason is I don’t trust those cheap batteries.

    • @allelectric1330
      @allelectric1330 Місяць тому +7

      Tesla either, they All have the same problems ... extremely dangerous Lithium batteries

    • @changeofseason8054
      @changeofseason8054 Місяць тому +4

      Hybrid and petrol vehicles are way more likely to catch fire than full battery vehicles. According to people that have looked at the facts.
      ua-cam.com/video/GBxxxBU9T08/v-deo.htmlsi=3_OVk65M6ZD4rfZ5

    • @manwdashade
      @manwdashade Місяць тому

      All your other EV uses Chinese battery including your iPhone. Stop buying anything because everything you use is most likely made in China or Taiwain (Republic of China).

    • @bhabbott
      @bhabbott Місяць тому +3

      @@changeofseason8054 Yes, and it's the gas engine that makes them dangerous. I had a gas car that nearly caught fire when the fuel hose broke, pouring petrol all over the engine. Glad I don't have to worry about that anymore!

    • @openzuing
      @openzuing 12 днів тому +2

      Pure hatred will soon make you poor

  • @leos3003
    @leos3003 11 днів тому +1

    That's nice imagine what happens in a year or two when the batteries get longer and cheaper? Once cars go 500 miles or more and they can produce them for 20 or 30K. The market will only need reliable charging infrastructure, and the market will flip. That's very simple to execute if you put your mind to it, only to attack vectors.

  • @bencoman
    @bencoman 29 днів тому

    Howdy, Love you channel. One correction... the cost reduction from doubling production is Wrights Law not Moores Law. Moores Law is derived from Wrights Law but is based on cost reduction over time, not cost reduction over volume.

  • @h2rider953
    @h2rider953 Місяць тому +32

    Legacy Auto in China is in deep trouble.

    • @mikerelf1362
      @mikerelf1362 Місяць тому

      They are incapable of producing quality ICE vehicles that is why the promote this battery powered junk!

    • @tyo0815
      @tyo0815 Місяць тому +2

      Non existent enymore

    • @houseofancients
      @houseofancients Місяць тому +6

      Legacy auto is in trouble everywhere

    • @tyo0815
      @tyo0815 Місяць тому

      @@houseofancients because it is obsolete

    • @budbud2509
      @budbud2509 Місяць тому +1

      China is in very deep financial trouble , whether its the collapse of the
      housing market , or the 60 Trillion yuan local gov debt that will rise to
      65 Trillion yuan in 2025. The outlook for chinese is bleak . Over the last
      1 year 5 million people have left Shanghai and gone back to the provinces
      because there is no work there anymore Thousands of companies are
      going bankrupt , and overseas companies are shutting up shop and leaving,
      not just in cars , but in electronics.
      One of the reasons that the chinese markets are buying more EV's is the new
      stringent OBD tests on ICE cars in china , if a car fails an OBD test it twice it is
      automatically scrapped , even though it may only have 20k km on the clock it
      will be crushed. But when it fails u can only get it repaired at a gov station ,
      so u are screwed
      ua-cam.com/video/ysDMvQx5pTY/v-deo.html
      Lots of evidence about a chinese financial collapse
      ua-cam.com/video/Xox2ihkba3o/v-deo.html
      ua-cam.com/video/f_0GhfBrt58/v-deo.html

  • @COLLAPSE.of.US.ECONOMY
    @COLLAPSE.of.US.ECONOMY Місяць тому +4

    Thank God for China! Thank you Sam for your video👍

  • @paulmarc-aurele5508
    @paulmarc-aurele5508 Місяць тому +22

    I am driving my first EV a used 2020 Bolt. It’s a perfect car for 150 miles or less per day. It’s a basic car just what most people want and need.

    • @Kismetix
      @Kismetix Місяць тому +4

      Are you driving it in a climate that gets down to -30C for half the year?

    • @musk-eteer9898
      @musk-eteer9898 Місяць тому +4

      do NOT park inside while charging that car

    • @waynek805
      @waynek805 Місяць тому +1

      @@musk-eteer9898 Bingo!! The fire hazard alone is enough reason to steer far clear of these Li ion battery powered cars. Supposedly the new 'solid state' batteries are much superior in that respect and several others, but we''ll have to see how economically feasible that technology is and how it works in real world conditions before we reassess the viability of large scale EV adoption.

    • @sd70cal
      @sd70cal Місяць тому +8

      @@waynek805 Most EVs of recent have batteries which are LFP. They do not have the fire hazard associated with Li batteries. Even with Li you would still be in greater danger of an ICE vehicle catching fire than the EV.

    • @waynek805
      @waynek805 Місяць тому +2

      @@sd70cal Difference is you can put out the fire under the hood of a gasoline powered vehicle with a simple fire extinguisher while the EV battery fires often can't even be put out by the fire department. As for LFP, they are still not the majority of EV batteries and they have lower energy density than the older Li-ion batteries, so not a very great improvement.

  • @ronthered138
    @ronthered138 Місяць тому +1

    Remember how expensive big screen TVs were back in the day? It seemed like prices would never drop, then they started building factories in a big way, and today they are practically giving them away. Same thing.

  • @armoureddiver5262
    @armoureddiver5262 28 днів тому

    We have seen improvements across the board but they always seem to be related to new production. What about retrofit into existing vehicles? I own a 5 year old EV, instead of a replacement battery to rectify losses,how about a cheaper option that increases capacity, range speed of recharge even providing future wireless charging capabilities? Lest get the hardware to match the improvements we already have from OTA software enhancements to existing vehicles?

  • @jj9749
    @jj9749 Місяць тому +25

    Enough with the Moore's Law error

    • @The_Macaroon
      @The_Macaroon Місяць тому +7

      Don't tell Sam, tell his script writer at Xpeng

    • @DGlass-yg8xk
      @DGlass-yg8xk Місяць тому +6

      I suspect ChatGTP and Xpeng.

  • @generator6946
    @generator6946 Місяць тому +3

    A cheap high quality car that works and keeps working. What a concept.

    • @davidanderson7138
      @davidanderson7138 Місяць тому +1

      you mean a petrol car?

    • @generator6946
      @generator6946 Місяць тому

      @
      Yeah. That.

    • @paulc6766
      @paulc6766 Місяць тому

      @@davidanderson7138 Definitely not, unless you can do it yourself, but that has not been possible since the mid 80's.

  • @ChrisPat-kq4fw
    @ChrisPat-kq4fw Місяць тому +20

    The cheapest EV car is the Nissan Leaf at 30 grand. The rest only go up from there. The cheapest good gas car is the Mirage at 18 grand. There are a lot of really good, brand-new gas cars well under 30 grand. It will be quite a while before EVs can be priced under ICE.

    • @drakekoefoed1642
      @drakekoefoed1642 29 днів тому

      byd seagull.

    • @MrDuncl
      @MrDuncl 29 днів тому

      If you start to include Government subsidies you can lease a Fiat 500E for free in some states. With Trump in power that definitely won't be happening with the BYD.

    • @ChrisPat-kq4fw
      @ChrisPat-kq4fw 29 днів тому +1

      @@drakekoefoed1642 Most Chinese cars are much cheaper than other cars manufactured elsewhere around the world. Both EV and ICE. There are two problems however; most Chinese cars are junk and no matter what price is paid they are only good for a year or two, and secondly, Trump will be placing 100% tariffs on products from China making them much more unattractive and unaffordable.

    • @Trashed20659
      @Trashed20659 24 дні тому

      It won't be that long. Demand will increase supply, and the tech gets cheaper, and on the higher end EV prices are already matching ICE. That will trickle down. In the mean time, tax incentives can make up the difference, and gas and service savings mean they can already be cheaper than a new ICE over a 7-10 year span of ownership.

  • @bigeye4520
    @bigeye4520 29 днів тому +1

    Sam, would you also comment on the downward trend of gross weight of EVs as energy density improves. Is it going to cross below that of ice cars and when, thanks.

  • @Gutowski1944
    @Gutowski1944 Місяць тому +2

    It will be epic if China comes out with a low-cost EV Camper Van to address all the people escaping the high cost of housing.

  • @Corkfish1
    @Corkfish1 28 днів тому +5

    Wouldn't take it if it was free.

  • @Steve-co1ic
    @Steve-co1ic Місяць тому +4

    Great Video Sam, a Merry Christmas to you and your family

  • @ChickensAndGardening
    @ChickensAndGardening Місяць тому +5

    A slight correction: Apple & Foxconn have begun manufacturing iPhones in Vietnam and India (but some components still made in China, Malaysia, Japan, etc.). If Apple can successfully "de-risk" all of its manufacturing out of China, suddenly the center of gravity of technology will shift and China will suffer.

    • @kamaraxs
      @kamaraxs Місяць тому +2

      In fact,Apple will suffer for losting China market if it successfully "de-risk".

    • @lauchlanguddy1004
      @lauchlanguddy1004 Місяць тому

      yes in nam also. China a bit risky

    • @ChickensAndGardening
      @ChickensAndGardening Місяць тому

      @@kamaraxs China government is working hard to push Apple products out. They already banned iPhones for public workers, who have to buy crappy, inferior quality HuaWei. It might actuall be worth losing the china market to get their manufacturing out of there. Anyway, no one buys huawei in the rest of the world. China is becoming a walled garden.

  • @FutureSystem738
    @FutureSystem738 Місяць тому +1

    A new battery for my Tesla - IF I needed one - (I don’t) is already cheaper than a new engine for my ICE SUV. (I might need one, very soon. 😢)

  • @KeithWallsVocals-od5ry
    @KeithWallsVocals-od5ry 2 дні тому

    What you need to realize is that in the U.S., even if BEVs are really cheap (they aren’t,) you have range and charging infrastructure issues.

  • @chesshooligan1282
    @chesshooligan1282 Місяць тому +4

    EV is very good I buy very nice 🙂

  • @StipanRamon
    @StipanRamon Місяць тому +12

    Moore's law is about computing Power and chip size, Not about batteries...

    • @tyo0815
      @tyo0815 Місяць тому

      That is right the Evolution of batteries is faster.

    • @DaveBarnes1
      @DaveBarnes1 Місяць тому

      Its about the number of transistors on a chip. However, it's generally used as a proxy to show exponential growth, as it's showing here.

    • @stevebrooks2361
      @stevebrooks2361 Місяць тому

      True, better to reference the Experience Curve Effect which predicts similar effects for different products. Also Swanson's Law as applied to photovoltaic modules that predicts 20% price drop for each doubling in shipping numbers. This is a misuse of Moore's Law, but similar rules apply in other manufacturing processes.

    • @kng128
      @kng128 Місяць тому

      He really means Wright's law for manufacturing.

    • @DGlass-yg8xk
      @DGlass-yg8xk Місяць тому +1

      Sam screws this up constantly or maybe ChatGTP does

  • @rondg2
    @rondg2 Місяць тому +25

    batteries are going to get better and cheaper. we aren't even close to the theoretical limits yet so there's PLENTY of room for improvement. future batteries are simply going to be mind blowing, the same way the "supercomputer" in my pocket (mediatek g99) is compared to my first computer (286 processor)

    • @TheSmallRabbit
      @TheSmallRabbit Місяць тому +4

      100% look back at the Z80's of the 1980's and the VHS recorders that were £1000's even back then. Now you have something x1000 better for less than £300. I predict in less than 5 years we will be down to $25 per kWh with energy density over 700Wh/kg so smaller lighter and cheaper. Making solar in sunny places very very attractive, and for very low cost vehicles. Maybe I will see an EV campervan with 500 miles range and 5 days off grid capacity :-)

    • @williams4434
      @williams4434 Місяць тому +8

      they had over a hundred years to get the batteries better

    • @mart34
      @mart34 Місяць тому +5

      Try explaining how they're going to get better. Batteries are a well established technology, they're practically at the limits of energy density (kwh per volume/weight), charging speed might have some improvements. Then there's the big negatives - firstly longevity, people can't afford to change the battery at 20K cost every 15 years. Secondly, if all the ICE vehicles were replaced with EV, watch the rare earth metals commodity prices sky rocket making them even more unaffordable.

    • @FabioCapela
      @FabioCapela Місяць тому +3

      @@mart34 So well established that prices have fallen by over 98% in the last 33 years (over 99% in China) while energy density continues to climb.
      Battery tech is advancing fast enough you can't even take battery tech that's a mere few years old as a parameter. For example, you think batteries don't work in the extreme cold? CATL is starting production of a battery that works without issue at -40°, a temperature so low that regular gasoline freezes over.

    • @FabioCapela
      @FabioCapela Місяць тому +2

      @@mart34 As for rare minerals, modern batteries use Lithium (we have more than enough), iron (converting everything from fuel to batteries wouldn't even make a dent in our iron usage), and phosphate (same, as it's used in fertilizers). And we can use sodium also, which is hundreds of times more abundant than lithium (we could get all we need just from seawater).

  • @profounddamas
    @profounddamas 28 днів тому +2

    Funny or not so funny, EV prices here in Europe remain the same, I guess Australia is a real special place to live. But not just EV prices, pc component prices here in Europe are sky high, energy is sky high, food is sky high, shoes are sky high, clothing is sky high.

  • @hashmanclub
    @hashmanclub Місяць тому +1

    You are showing us the future ........

  • @MyWasteOfTime
    @MyWasteOfTime Місяць тому +6

    I think Grid Storage is going to be a bigger prospect for batteries until the power density gets better!

    • @NoiserToo
      @NoiserToo Місяць тому

      @@MyWasteOfTime - I agree, I would love to get as off grid as possible.

  • @T0MapleLaughs
    @T0MapleLaughs Місяць тому +24

    It's the lower noise pollution i'm most looking forward to.

    • @timewa851
      @timewa851 Місяць тому +2

      You'll be hearing diesel trucks & jet engines till you die. Sorry.

    • @NoiserToo
      @NoiserToo Місяць тому +1

      @@T0MapleLaughs - what, coal plants don’t make noise? 🤣 no, not in my backyard they don’t….. same goes for the actual pollution.

    • @simonpaine2347
      @simonpaine2347 Місяць тому

      @@T0MapleLaughs The planet is looking forward to lower fossil fuel pollution.

    • @stevecoinitin7521
      @stevecoinitin7521 Місяць тому +3

      @@NoiserToo No Coal plants in the UK now.
      We have a cunning plan to 'clean' our environment and pat ourselves on the back.
      We have replaced Coal with wooden pellets mostly from the US.
      It's so good that we stopped mining a local natural resource, then switched to chopping down 200+ year old trees (which will take another 200 years for newly planted ones to get to maturity), shipping across the seas, using oil and Diesel in the process.
      Then we burn it at power stations like Drax and guess what?
      It burns dirtier and has a worse carbon footprint than coal!
      And we feel so much 'greener' now....what a fantastic idea!

    • @NoiserToo
      @NoiserToo Місяць тому +1

      @ - wow, it’s worse than I had ever imagined in the UK! Perhaps you should buy a eco-friendly rickshaw - they’re having a two for one sale in Guangzhou 👀🤣

  • @TKevinBlanc
    @TKevinBlanc Місяць тому +7

    Not really related, but I saw my first BYD on the roads in Colombia. It was a very nice looking SUV.

  • @miked8121
    @miked8121 Місяць тому +1

    I'm glad the price of batteries is going down but the price of electricity (currently $.43/kwh in CA) is going up faster. With a Model 3 getting 3.5 miles per kwh, my hybrid at 42 mpg ($3.79/gal) costs significantly less to drive per mile than an EV.

    • @jamesvandamme7786
      @jamesvandamme7786 28 днів тому

      How much is it when you charge at night rates?

    • @miked8121
      @miked8121 27 днів тому

      @@jamesvandamme7786 I don't have a night rate. Only a flat rate because it is cheaper over a years use. Due to the large amount of solar in CA, we are surplus electricity during the day and short during the night. We are supposed to reduce our electrical consumption between 4:00 PM and 10:PM when electricity is in short supply.

  • @marcusoutdoors4999
    @marcusoutdoors4999 27 днів тому

    I’d say that a Tesla Model 3 Long Range is already cheaper than its ICE equivalent here in the UK. 436 mile range 0-60 in 5 seconds £45k full price, fully loaded. No ICE car gets close.

  • @pgiatrakis
    @pgiatrakis Місяць тому +8

    Thanks for the accurate videos and all your hard work.
    Great news for the industry! EVs are revolutionizing everything.
    Merry Christmas Electric Viking !

  • @snodgee
    @snodgee Місяць тому +25

    Just been on Auto Trader UK and EV’s are more expensive than ICE in the same models

    • @Soulboy63
      @Soulboy63 Місяць тому +1

      The best EV models , are holding price well , even at Auction

    • @FabioCapela
      @FabioCapela Місяць тому +5

      Do the same in China now, which is the country where price parity is starting to happen.
      As for the UK, the price difference between EVs and ICE cars is falling. In a few years (and assuming carmakers don't keep EV prices artificially high) there's a pretty good chance EVs will be cheaper than ICE cars.

    • @lauchlanguddy1004
      @lauchlanguddy1004 Місяць тому

      tax no tax in oz

    • @clivestainlesssteelwomble7665
      @clivestainlesssteelwomble7665 Місяць тому

      The clean air Zones in a growing number of cities is going to make them E vehicle only zones .. ICE are just going to get too complex and expensive ...plus the cost of F. Fuels isn't going to get any cheaper and the oil Co's are already converting fuel stations to Charging stations or swap stations.
      E vehicles are power source agnostic and cheaper to build.. they require less parts simpler manufacturing.
      Na cells are going start displacing Li in most storage /grid situations..
      The big shift will be away from those chemistries using rarer metals or expensive synthetic materials.

    • @FabioCapela
      @FabioCapela Місяць тому

      @@clivestainlesssteelwomble7665 Sodium cells are already starting to displace Lithium in China when it comes to large scale static storage (such as grid storage), with a few big systems already operational.
      It's going to take longer outside China because other countries aren't as advanced in Sodium battery tech, and many are blocking imports from - and, in some cases, even partnerships with - China.

  • @curtwuollet2912
    @curtwuollet2912 27 днів тому +8

    But, people in the US don't want EVs.
    And, just because they work in LA, doesn't mean they work in rural MN.

    • @mosquitobight
      @mosquitobight 26 днів тому +2

      There were Americans 100 years ago who didn't want to give up their horses, but most people eventually did.

    • @curtwuollet2912
      @curtwuollet2912 25 днів тому

      @mosquitobight That makes my point. They switched as it became economically advantageous, as roads improved, as gas became more available, etc. Not because someone mandated "We have automobiles now, we're going to ban horses to cut the manure footprint". It was a long time before you could get everyplace by road.

    • @Trashed20659
      @Trashed20659 24 дні тому +4

      I live in the US and I own and love my EV. I am surrounded by others who are the same, and see EVs increasingly everywhere I go. So stop thinking you speak for Americans, because you totally do NOT! What you want in MN is not what we want in MD.

    • @Trashed20659
      @Trashed20659 24 дні тому

      @@curtwuollet2912 But manure, though a problem, was not known to be literally destroying planet earth, either.

    • @curtwuollet2912
      @curtwuollet2912 24 дні тому

      @Trashed20659 Neither is CO2.

  • @timjudshore6907
    @timjudshore6907 Місяць тому +1

    outstanding content and insight 😮

  • @anuragpandey6554
    @anuragpandey6554 28 днів тому

    Have we started thinking of battery disposing process now ?

  • @nbi4220
    @nbi4220 Місяць тому +41

    Sorry to be a doubting Thomas, but I don't think the numbers support your assertion about battery pack replacement becoming more affordable than ICE engine replacement. ICE engine rebuilds are fairly routine and mine is a good example. My Honda Prelude rebuild was a grand total of about $4200. That includes everything. The result was I get at least another 100k miles and by the end of that lifetime EVs will be truly affordable (they mostly are *not* in the US right now). There's no way a battery pack replacement would be less than or equal to $4200 - not for an EV worth having (good range + good charging speed). We may get there eventually, but we're far from that right now. Don't get me wrong I'm quite enthusiastic about the prospect of an affordable EV and will likely end up getting one, but the numbers just aren't going to make sense for a few more years (probably 2030 or so).

    • @paulc6766
      @paulc6766 Місяць тому +7

      Have you looked at engine replacement costs recently? I posted above about this and they are way higher than even current battery costs.

    • @billhesford6098
      @billhesford6098 Місяць тому +5

      I don't think it will be cheaper to rebuild an ice engine over replacing a battery. 2030 will come pretty quickly as well.

    • @timewa851
      @timewa851 Місяць тому

      correct. ICE repairs will be cheaper than any battery replace/ repair of cells. For the time being. Time to chase down a few cores & stock up on parts. Pretty sure the gov't will be doing a 'Cash for Clunker Parts/Engines/Transmissions' to force their electron agenda on all of us eventually. Only answer is hoarding.

    • @captainwin6333
      @captainwin6333 Місяць тому +9

      Keeping a car for 10, 15, 20 years or more is uniquely an American thing. This really doesn't happen much at all in Europe or Asia. If someone has a very old car it's because they bought it 7th hand already very old because they can't afford anything newer or it's a classic.
      So it's had a load of previous owners and it's only going to cost them a few hundred or a thousand pounds to buy it. The issue with cars that age is you need suspension rebuilds and all the other mechanical parts get a bit tired too.
      Then you have to factor in European cities are now charging people who drive into those cities with older, more polluting cars. They set a standard your car has to pass in regards to pollution output (Euro V or Euro VI) and if your car isn't one that can hit the target, you're paying £x per day to enter the city. It's £12.50 a day in London, for example. In Aberdeen, Scotland, you get a £60 charge for entering a low emission zone in a car that doesn't meet the standards so what use is an old petrol or diesel car that you can't drive into any major city?
      Eventually old internal combustion engined cars like this will be banned from all major cities in Europe.

    • @ColinFox
      @ColinFox Місяць тому +6

      I replaced my 2013 Model S battery pack a couple years ago for about $12k, which indeed is more than $4200 but as I said this was a couple years ago, and my pack is a reconditioned one rather than a new one using cheaper tech. I have no doubt that the price for a pack replacement will drop below $4k. And this is on my 2013 Model S P85+, which was the plaid of the day. The top end car. Replacing a top end ICE is very expensive. There's a video here on youtube of a guy with a $100,000 mercedes that got hydrolocked and it destroyed the engine. The replacement price of the ENGINE was $75k.

  • @Radio_FM_3123
    @Radio_FM_3123 Місяць тому +5

    Very soon every household will have their own battery system in US, Canada, Australia ...etc,
    then the grid will be stable.

    • @leechavarie4675
      @leechavarie4675 Місяць тому +2

      Not with the weak Can $ and duties and taxes .

    • @jamesvandamme7786
      @jamesvandamme7786 28 днів тому +2

      It'll be the one in your garage that you already paid for to drive around. Charge cheap at night, then sell back to the utility if you're not driving. Profit!

  • @teemagict1175
    @teemagict1175 Місяць тому +2

    Hi Sam, That is great news,,,,,These legacy auto maker's have been ripping us all OFF for decades,,,,,it's payback time fellas 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

  • @daviddean8198
    @daviddean8198 26 днів тому

    My 2L ford focus is, and has been a fabulous car. When it goes to god, shortly, im going eV with a vengeance. Nothing complex, but simple with no need to do the quarter mile in 15 seconds. Just freeway acceleration for safe entry. SO, HUGE potential market for safe, cheap, simple eV's for economically challenged folks like me that just require transport, not complex cars. A friend's new eV Kia has a 700 page on-line manual. Screen buttons for everything. Fabulous car, but she's overwhelmed and suffering post purchase dissonance.

  • @chrissmith-gz7gr
    @chrissmith-gz7gr Місяць тому +32

    Sam just because a vehicle manufacturing plant is efficient dosent mean the product is of good quality or reliability. Nissan sunderland uk is efficient. But how many quashquis do u see on the roads after 5 years of manufacture! Hondas toyotas last for years my freind.brand value is not yet justified with the chinese

    • @paulc6766
      @paulc6766 Місяць тому +8

      Honda's and Toyota's used to be good quality that's how they became successful. They are not good quality now, the same happened to the Germans who became most interested in increasing their profit.
      I find it perplexing that you use Chinese products everywhere and every day yet you think that they haven't learned how to make cars?

    • @hermanrosario7045
      @hermanrosario7045 Місяць тому

      @@paulc6766 the US government will never allow it's auto makers to fail. they will ban imports like toyota hilux. they will never allow any real competition in America, any company that gets to full of themselves will be tariffed into oblivion

    • @changeofseason8054
      @changeofseason8054 Місяць тому

      Chinese made products

    • @DH-oy4zf
      @DH-oy4zf 26 днів тому +2

      Most of your cars components have been made there for decades. Now without the emmissions laws for gasoline engines china will make almost every car part for Ev's.

    • @MickH60
      @MickH60 11 днів тому +1

      Honda, Nissan, Toyota, Mazda, all German brands, GM BMW Volvo, and many more have engines built in China, and have done for many years, It's the same for mainstream Motorcycle manufacturers , so your story is funny when what you are actually establishing is that Chinese built engines are already reliable....There's so much ignorance around Chinese made products....

  • @emeldahay
    @emeldahay Місяць тому +25

    I agree with you 100%. Wait...that just dropped to 71% for no reason. I love EV batteries.

    • @Berretotube
      @Berretotube Місяць тому

      Brilliant. Same my friend - EVs are a revelation and a revolution. What do you drive?

  • @robertzabalovici305
    @robertzabalovici305 Місяць тому +3

    not sure what are you taking man but i just visit the dealer and the prices on EV are still atrocios ridicoulos expensive

    • @paulc6766
      @paulc6766 Місяць тому +1

      Don't go to a dealer.

    • @jamesvandamme7786
      @jamesvandamme7786 28 днів тому

      Dealers hate them. That's their maintenance business going down the tubes. So they mark them up to 'prove nobody wants them'.

  • @Yan7001978
    @Yan7001978 Місяць тому

    -14C here in Quebec...more range especially in winter and a heater for the cabin that works at -25 and, yeah... be able to move the car at that temperature.

    • @chrishar110
      @chrishar110 Місяць тому

      How do you start your diesel trucks over there? Oh, I forgot you plug them to keep the engine warm. You can do the same with the EV. A warm EV doesn't lose the range as much as a cold one, some times doesn't lose any at all.

  • @autohmae
    @autohmae 29 днів тому

    When companies undercut their competitors so much than the competitors die off, that's good for the consumer in the short term, but will it lead to stagnation in the long run ?

  • @octuple505
    @octuple505 27 днів тому +3

    This is BS production is flat to falling, there is an inventory bubble at the moment.

    • @SigFigNewton
      @SigFigNewton 26 днів тому

      Not according to the various data sets I’ve seen

    • @SigFigNewton
      @SigFigNewton 26 днів тому

      ICE sales: 📉

    • @Trashed20659
      @Trashed20659 24 дні тому

      All car sales have dipped, but EV has remained stronger than ICE.

  • @zinkla10
    @zinkla10 Місяць тому +36

    If the CCP stops subsidising the car companies, then what? 🤔🤔

    • @simonpaine2347
      @simonpaine2347 Місяць тому

      Probably a similar effect that would happen ic western governments stop subsidies to fossil fuel companies.

    • @NoiserToo
      @NoiserToo Місяць тому +7

      Hehe…. But they won’t because they are the tip of the spear.

    • @blueeyes6192
      @blueeyes6192 Місяць тому +8

      lmao copium ? 😂

    • @22190971
      @22190971 Місяць тому +5

      They dont

    • @patton3338
      @patton3338 Місяць тому +12

      Are subsidies worse than CEO's getting paid hilariously large sums of money, jacking up the cost of every car sold for no reason?

  • @carloskleiber8500
    @carloskleiber8500 Місяць тому +16

    Still no help if battery gives up ghost and resale values drop due to uncertainty and replacement cpst

    • @simonpaine2347
      @simonpaine2347 Місяць тому

      @@carloskleiber8500 My battery is guaranteed for 7 years. Every car I've ever bought has experienced a drop in resale value. What cars are you buying that go up in value? The battery will probably last 15 years. If it's still worth keeping I'll replace it with the latest technology of the day. It will be way cheaper than any ICE engine replacement cost.

    • @theursulus
      @theursulus Місяць тому +4

      But they aren't anymore.. they are failing, in fact the opposite is true, they are proving to be more reliable than ever thought.. and it's not like ice car motors don't break down..

    • @mikemalone9678
      @mikemalone9678 Місяць тому +2

      You mean still no help when the ICE gives up the ghost and the car is now effectively scrap metal.
      Or the gearbox.
      Once an ICE has a few years on it, the cost of such repairs are on often prohibitive.

  • @Snowbikebro2
    @Snowbikebro2 23 дні тому

    the problem with all of this is the power grid.....

  • @horserous
    @horserous 20 днів тому +1

    I hope at the low price, the Lithium batteries made are well-conditioned and formed! Otherwise, I'd run.

  • @ksbrugh9886
    @ksbrugh9886 Місяць тому +10

    iPhones are also assembled in India. most of the high-tech internal parts of the iPhone are made in Western countries. Chip core, gyroscope etc etc

    • @Liboch
      @Liboch Місяць тому +4

      iPhone parts are made in dozens of countries. Based on the company HQ, the parts are mainly made by American, Chinese, Japanese, South Korean, Dutch and Swiss companies. But physically the parts are mainly made in China, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea.

    • @ksbrugh9886
      @ksbrugh9886 Місяць тому +2

      @Liboch yeah kind of what I was getting at just didn't have time to print out a novel on break lol. But they are assembled in India as well

    • @Liboch
      @Liboch Місяць тому

      @@ksbrugh9886apart from western companies from America, Netherlands and Switzerland, companies from Japan, China and Japan too make the parts. However most western companies make the components and China and Taiwan.
      Assembly of the phone is made in China, India and Brazil. China still assembles about 95% of iPhone.

  • @TheSmallRabbit
    @TheSmallRabbit Місяць тому +9

    This also has implications for older EV's too. Say 15-20 years old will be able to get a new possibly bigger replacement battery for maybe only a few thousand dollars making them last even longer. I mean the BMW i3 could last for ever ! at $53/kWh for the i3 that's $2226 or £1775 ! wow just think about that.

    • @Gabor-y3h
      @Gabor-y3h Місяць тому +5

      and who will build a battery for you ? you don't even know what a pain to work on an EV compare to any ICE car..... I have to dress up like a biohazard guy before even touch the power train..... 1000V PPE all around..... it is many more times sucks than repairing any ICE cars..... and it does not pay more and you are delusional of the price because I will charge extra several grand to give you warranty over the rebuilt battery ( you have to reseal that battery pack to air and water tight ..... )

    • @paulc6766
      @paulc6766 Місяць тому +3

      @@Gabor-y3h You don't sound qualified to me.

    • @MrDuncl
      @MrDuncl 29 днів тому

      It might happen with Tesla and the Nissan Leaf. The i3 is probably marginal. Anything rarer, even Porsches. will probably be throw away junk.

    • @jamesvandamme7786
      @jamesvandamme7786 28 днів тому

      @@Gabor-y3h Just get a junkyard battery and swap it. You can check the life unlike a junkyard engine. There will be plenty of battered, rusted out EVs available with good batteries.
      You can get upgraded Leaf batteries that give you more range and active cooling.

  • @samueldoss2464
    @samueldoss2464 Місяць тому +31

    Insurance will still be sky-high...

    • @paulc6766
      @paulc6766 Місяць тому +11

      My Model 3 is the same insurance cost as a Toyota Camry, why do I have to keep telling you people that.

    • @simonpaine2347
      @simonpaine2347 Місяць тому +9

      @paulc6766 it's probably because of ignorance about the facts, or they are just scared of new technologies.

    • @JonS
      @JonS Місяць тому +1

      In the USA, yes. But that's because of the potential injury lawsuits and the high number of uninsured drivers.

    • @im4udevco
      @im4udevco Місяць тому +5

      The insurance on our R1S Rivian is cheaper than our 2016 Honda Pilot. Don’t comment on something you don’t know.

    • @jamesvandamme7786
      @jamesvandamme7786 28 днів тому +1

      "Fox News said so!"

  • @TheZwevegemsb
    @TheZwevegemsb Місяць тому

    Its time to buy nano one stock! One pot from canada. Slides used in this video are from them 👍

  • @Adam-yy5fl
    @Adam-yy5fl 29 днів тому

    Also, replacement batts cost more than refurbished ice engines. I see you did not factor in the cost of the electric motors also, just the batts.

  • @thecatsofkipling5401
    @thecatsofkipling5401 Місяць тому +12

    Still not buying one 😂😂 I’m sure some 5 year old down a lithium mine will be happy.

    • @lauchlanguddy1004
      @lauchlanguddy1004 Місяць тому

      No, they were all stolen from the chocolate or sex trades you dont even know or care about. What rubbish. Sure, world is supplied with lithium by 5 year olds carrying baskets of dirt. Gold is worth more and I never ever hear of child Gold Slavery. Just coal barons spreading garbage to empty minds.

    • @billhesford6098
      @billhesford6098 Місяць тому +2

      Lithium will not be used sooner or later. Batteries without lithium will though, just the way it is. Times change. I still love the burble of a big v8 - I grew up with it.

    • @trythis2821
      @trythis2821 Місяць тому +4

      @@billhesford6098 I love breathing fresh air, will be so happy when big v8 etc are not polluting and killing us.

    • @peterwait641
      @peterwait641 29 днів тому +1

      @@trythis2821 China has over 1200 coal power stations and building more, don't think it will improve much !

    • @drakekoefoed1642
      @drakekoefoed1642 29 днів тому

      tesla will have the 5 year olds. belt and road countries will have younger workers than that, like robbie over there. he has worked 24/7 since he was commissioned 3 years ago.

  • @KenSiebring
    @KenSiebring Місяць тому +3

    Looking forward to getting a powerwall for $63 per kw …….. lol

    • @jamesvandamme7786
      @jamesvandamme7786 28 днів тому +1

      Better to get an EV instead, with a V2G system. You can make money selling power back to the utility, and drive it besides.

  • @John-p7i5g
    @John-p7i5g Місяць тому +14

    The disruption of horse and carriage occurred when the ICE became cheaper than a horse.
    It went from being a niche hobby (hence the term motorist, like it's a private hobby) to the default option over horse and buggy.

    • @Puzzoozoo
      @Puzzoozoo Місяць тому +2

      You forget the development of the petroleum industry and sources of oil found around the world.

    • @NoiserToo
      @NoiserToo Місяць тому +3

      And promotion in the states of a vast road infrastructure system. Ironically, many environmentalists would like us to return to the horse! 🤣

    • @Mark-l9k9q
      @Mark-l9k9q Місяць тому +6

      Yeah. People bought ICEs because they were better than horses. EVs are not better than ICEs.

    • @GG-si7fw
      @GG-si7fw Місяць тому +2

      Check out Norway, China, Finland, Sweden, Denmark. The EV sales are growin, which means they are better than ICE vehicles. China overtook Japan as the largest exporter of vehicles in 2023, and Germany in 2022. This is 2024 not 2014, or 2019.

    • @FabioCapela
      @FabioCapela Місяць тому +3

      @@Mark-l9k9q But they are. EVs are much simpler mechanically (less parts to break or fail, and they are compact enough most pure blood EVs offer bigger internal space and trunk space for the same size car body), have a better performance curve (faster acceleration), have no exhaust (no odd smells, no chance of killing owners if they run the car in a closed environment), much lower fire risk than an ICE car (and doubly so for modern batteries), silent and vibration-free engines, and you can charge them at home saving big in the process (where I live charging at home is 80% cheaper than fueling a similar size car). The only disadvantages of EVs are battery weight and price (which is disappearing due to improvements in battery tech) and charging infrastructure (which not only is getting fixed, in many cases it don't matter anyway because, differently from an ICE car, you can charge an EV at home).

  • @Buggieboo69
    @Buggieboo69 23 дні тому

    We have 4 months a year where temps can get below MINUS FOURTY. Good luck with your "E-luck-trick" vehicles here!

  • @LuKiSCraft
    @LuKiSCraft Місяць тому +2

    7:02 I think you meant Wright's Law instead of Moore's Law but yes I totally agree with the point. Moore's Law is specific to semiconductors, no?

  • @johncampbell9216
    @johncampbell9216 Місяць тому +8

    It takes a special level of cognitive dissonance not to see the EV transition that is coming. Thanks Sam for your reports.

    • @PaulLorenzini-ny2yw
      @PaulLorenzini-ny2yw Місяць тому +3

      Thank you for calling me special!!!! Love my three Triton V10's!!!! They will still be running in 20 years, but where will your EV be consumer?

    • @billhesford6098
      @billhesford6098 Місяць тому +3

      @@PaulLorenzini-ny2yw My great grandfather told me he was wrong when he said nothing will replace the horse. Its coming, I never thought it would. Still, you have the right to keep that horse and love it.

    • @johncampbell9216
      @johncampbell9216 Місяць тому

      @@PaulLorenzini-ny2yw It'll still be running with an updated battery pack capable of 1000 miles on a single charge, just getting its first brake shoe change, its second full service and passing through its millionth mile.

    • @rosen9425
      @rosen9425 Місяць тому

      @@johncampbell9216
      and what fantasy novel are you reading from? cultist greenwashing 101. Might be a transition, but into what? You will not be happy when you're left the bag holder in the end

    • @M-dv1yj
      @M-dv1yj Місяць тому

      Ur level is hard to reach. Ev numbers for example in China are fake, well forced, the government is forcing people with perfectly good cars to have them scrapped to buy new EV’s
      Not economically or environmentally sustainable

  • @NoiserToo
    @NoiserToo Місяць тому +3

    Sam, Shanghai Rose 🤣

  • @Evsmart-w8n
    @Evsmart-w8n Місяць тому +27

    He's at it again. He'll say Anything to make Money on YT ... Anything

    • @paulc6766
      @paulc6766 Місяць тому +2

      Yes that's MGUY for you.

    • @jamesvandamme7786
      @jamesvandamme7786 28 днів тому

      He'd even blurt out the truth, as embarrassing it is to the oil industry propagandists.

  • @External2737
    @External2737 Місяць тому +1

    $1,500 to $115 during very high inflation! Wow. This is like 1990s computer chips.
    Cost to replace a battery pack less than an ICE engine? Wow.

  • @burningdieselproduction5498
    @burningdieselproduction5498 Місяць тому

    What EV would you recoment to purchase In EU?
    One that would be driver 100km per day. No performance needs. Just a daily commute to school and work.

    • @rosen9425
      @rosen9425 Місяць тому

      a diesel

    • @burningdieselproduction5498
      @burningdieselproduction5498 Місяць тому +1

      I’ve just acquired 10 year old 3.0 petrol.
      It sounds so nicely I couldn’t tell you

    • @rosen9425
      @rosen9425 Місяць тому

      @@burningdieselproduction5498
      a 3.0 what?

  • @davidanderson7138
    @davidanderson7138 Місяць тому +34

    And what is that I smell????, i think it is BS!

    • @timothyrussell4445
      @timothyrussell4445 Місяць тому +8

      Better than sniffing diesel fumes

    • @bloopbleepnothinghere
      @bloopbleepnothinghere Місяць тому +5

      @@davidanderson7138 dude has gotten on the clickbait train. The YT algo unfortunately rewards this.

  • @mikerelf1362
    @mikerelf1362 Місяць тому +12

    battery pack cheaper than an engine? I would hope so,

    • @ronaldlindeman6136
      @ronaldlindeman6136 Місяць тому +2

      battery pack cheaper than an engine and transmission.

    • @paulc6766
      @paulc6766 Місяць тому

      Just priced a reconditioned engine for my old Pajero $12,000, a new engine $18,000.

    • @timewa851
      @timewa851 Місяць тому

      the tesla pack is around 23-24k. That's a good used ICE car with 100,000+ miles left to go. The battery array is the dirty secret of 'lectric cars. There's no way to make them economical without going hybrid technology. Then they almost work out. i.e. Prius. An econobox with zero performance. And that battery is $5,500. currently. That buys a lot of gasoline.

    • @bhabbott
      @bhabbott Місяць тому

      @@timewa851 Don't look at spare parts price, 500% markup.

    • @mikerelf1362
      @mikerelf1362 Місяць тому

      ua-cam.com/video/K8Nz-4eEBTw/v-deo.html

  • @darthkek1953
    @darthkek1953 Місяць тому +9

    Everybody realises the Chinese endgame which is why 2025 will be the Chinese Year of the Tariff.

    • @igors6593
      @igors6593 Місяць тому +1

      I highly doubt that American labor unions would agree to workers earning $3 per hour.
      Or that American buyers would take on a 30-year mortgage to buy an ICE car.

  • @7443jan
    @7443jan 27 днів тому

    Nice figures, but what does that do with the depreciation of EV's? And is it relevant? How many times do insurance compagnies replace ICE engines? Replacing a battery is not the same as replacing a battery and an electric engine.

  • @DirkJacobsz
    @DirkJacobsz Місяць тому

    Ye Id like to see that - you need electricity to charge them in South Africa and Zimbabwe - you need your own diesel generator to drive your Tesla.. in Oz you can't afford the electricity.