Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe | George Friedman | Talks at Google
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- Опубліковано 5 чер 2024
- Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe.
A major new book by New York Times bestselling author and geopolitical forecaster George Friedman (The Next 100 Years) with a bold thesis about coming events in Europe, this provocative work examines ‘flashpoints’-unique geopolitical hotspots where tensions have erupted throughout history-and why conflict is due to emerge again.
“There is a temptation, when you are around George Friedman, to treat him like a Magic 8-Ball.” -The New York Times Magazine
With uncanny accuracy, George Friedman has forecasted coming trends in global politics, technology, population, and culture. Now, in Flashpoints, he focuses on the continent that was the cultural and power nexus of the world for five-hundred years: Europe. Analyzing the historical fault lines that have existed for centuries within the borderlands of Europe and Russia--which have been the hotbed of numerous catastrophic wars--Friedman walks readers through the flashpoints that are smoldering once again. The modern-day European Union was crafted in large part to minimize these built-in geopolitical tensions, but as Friedman shows with a mix of fascinating history and provocative cultural analysis, that design is failing. Flashpoints is George Friedman’s most timely book, delivering an unflinching forecast for the coming years.
About the author:
George Friedman is the Chairman and founder of Stratfor, the world's leading private intelligence company. He is frequently called upon as a media expert in intelligence and international geopolitics, and is the author of six books, including the New York Times bestsellers The Next Decade and The Next 100 Years. He lives in Austin, Texas.
This Authors at Google talk was hosted by Boris Debic.
Breathtaking to look back at this speech from march 2022
Yes.
We got here because of flawed views as people like him is promoting, due to his bitternes towards the Europeans. He's a good speaker though!!
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Nothing breath taking. Just theft
Indeed! Gotta go see if he's spoken anywhere lately.
It is an eye opener to watch this in Jan 2023
I am glad he mentioned the 100 million because in 2019 many history teachers deny it. all rights reserved
It's now 2022 and Russia is on Ukraine. Your talk is very relevant even after 7 years.
You foresight is spot on.....
Now let's see where the bluff of USA/NATO leads us to
Even if Russia takes most of Ukraine, it still loses. It will take an empty territory which is totally destroyed with zero economic value. On top of that Russia doesn't have the resources to rebuild. 99% of Ukrainians are moving to western Ukraine and the EU.
Well he predicted that Russia is not going to invadde Ukraine...and also the europeans would remain divided.
well russia did invade ukraine, and the europeans/americas showed a lot of solidarity.
So I'd say the foresight isn't exactly spot on.
Hard to believe this was from 2015! so timely for 2022
All said, he concluded there wouldn't be an actual war in Ukraine. And I'd be of the opinion that nobody was more shocked at the speed that NATO and the EU found its calling than George Friedman. The EU was also there with a big stick for Germany to beat them into line!
excellent, extraordinary. thank you for this lecture.
I love that George always answers questions at the end of every talk.
“Europeans will never change. they will just pretend it never happened.” -What a strong, eye opening sentence when I look around in Europe in 2023.
He should admit he is talking about EAST-europeans.
George Friedman's books and lectures certainly age well! It's mid-2019 and this lecture is even more current (after the refugee crisis and the Brexit vote).
awuma
That's because he belongs to people who actually control the world events. He actually acts as advertiser of the agenda of new world order.
I agree with him about Putin. Does anyone not understand that that the Ukraine is not called “Little Russia” for nothing? The very idea of Russia began in Kiev,.
@@JRobbySh And here we are.
Age well? His whole point is that the EU will devolve into civil war, due to the 2008 financial crisis. "Greece 26% unemployment..." Fast-forward 7 years and not only is there no war in the EU, but the outer states have almost fully recovered to unpemployment rates of around 10%. Meanwhile the US started a proxy war with Russia to maintain its currency dominance.
@@jurycould4275 What happend in 2008 will happen again with a bigger rebound. 2008 was only a demo
I like George Friedman, because he is honest, experienced, clear sighted and has vast perspective!
His predictions on which countries would emerge as world powers and the current war in Ukraine are dismal.
His arguments are sound though. Just that God's plans supercede our own as the saying goes.
So clear! Thank you!
"I see no example of any empire that so rapidly destroyed itself, not because
there were external forces but because internally it was so unstable and so disorderly." ~ George Friedman
As an American who has lived in Europe for over a decade, I see that quote as more closely describing America than Europe, even granting the fact that George Friedman's analysis of the structural problems of the European Union is as impeccable, as his expectation of Russian behavior is flawed.
All in all, a brilliant lecture...jt
America has always been loud and brash BUT always open with its faults whereas others try to hide it also never forget USA is always in the spotlight so its EVERY move is observed, analyzed and critiqued. I mean look at Europe always Subsidizing its industry or bailing it out bit now that the US is doing it they are having strokes. Hipocracy at its peak I would say. No matter what you will always notice people saying that they love their country.
Brilliant lecture
>> 0:30:00
I really "LOVE" how he talks about Russia invading Georgia as if Georgian state did not try to oppress their Ossetian minority group. Yet when it comes to U.S. going to Yugoslavia to prevent ethnic cleansing by Miloshevich, that is "Peacekeeping".
1 mans terrorist is another mans freedom fighter.... 17 76 happy 4th July from the UK.. its all about respect..
The dad wanted to go to a strong country...the son wants to support the strong country.
Yup, evident aint it! And now grandson makes weapons for same army.
What? His dad wanted to go to a nation that was both internally and externally stable because his livelihood had been threatened twice by things outside of his control.
Now, Friedman is a geopolitical analyst. Is he supposed to say America isn’t all that important of a country? That America’s international clout hasn’t been injected everywhere? That any other nation post-Cold War offsets influence in any way? Get real, dude
yep pretty much. George's whole outlook seems to come from this story.
Friedman's father faced geopolitical reality and chose the United States. Good choice.
Friedman now analyzes geopolitical reality, and proves that his father made the right choice.
The only problem with that is that the United States continues to be involved in Europe ---currently confronting Putin's threat to use nuclear weapons.
The United States doesn't need Europe, and the smart basis for American foreign policy was identified by George Washing as America's first President "No entangling foreign alliances."
The United States should abandon Europe, and the world, to solve it's own problems. The United States is not the policeman of the world, and shouldn't try to be.
Priceless presentation. By the way, the town he mentions at 8:42 where his father met the Jews / weapons smugglers is Bratislava (capital of Slovenia, I think). Congratulations, Google!
Bratislava is capital of Slovakia.
The entire talk is fascinating, but it begins to take off with the idea of the European Union, attributed to de Gaulle, around 27:20. 👍👍
As a European myself, i watched with lot´s of atention Dr Friedman´s points towards Europe´s fate while we do all recognize that all arguments made by him are well established, there´s a point that has escaped from his analysis, and that´s having to do with what new generations feel about European project, nationalism indeed exist in our continent, but the interesting think is that younger Europeans consider themselves primarily Europeans and secondly whatever their nationality might be, that´s because they travel freely ,establish relations, work , study in other countries plus a significant percentage is able to communicate easily in more than four languages,younger Europeans are quite educated sophisticated and see the future of their native land linked entirely into European project, we do know that in a world scene no European country alone can raise a loud enough voice inside a theater composed by actors as USA, China, India, Russia,Japan, Brazil, Indonesia,Mexico and so on....together we are a giant.....alone we are just a bunch of countries, at the end is not the only prediction in which Dr Friedman has failed....so far, as the one made for China some years ago, does not corresponds with today´s reality.Do we Europeans disagree one with other? of course we do,but we do not and especially the younger ones think of raising walls or going to war....... to give you an example : as you know during iiww almost all European families have suffered by some other European army, and while this is true for older generations to us younger such an incident represents a tragic moment in our common history, who in some strange way has contribute to the peace and thrive of Europe....yes we do not always agree with EU decisions, and that´s because we want Europe to mature and to act as a single entity......we are quite overconnected over here.....in every aspect: family,friends,work,studies,travel.....and so on, European project can´t be stopped because is moved by Europeans themselves.....Dr Friedman could not be more inaccurate....
Hi, I really enjoyed reading your post. Its refreshing whenever someone tries to form genuine arguments based on reason. I would like to start by testing some of your reasoned assertions here; simply reasoning that the EU is largely 'unified' and 'all together' is nice (this is the picture you are painting), but this approach discounts the real major problems the block faces and has failed to resolve for over decades now, and, misrepresents massively important divisions as a result within and across Europe ... deep structural economic and political problems that cause 'disunity' and now even part 'disintegration' via the second largest EU net contributor leaving under the banner of Brexit. Sure, we can discuss these issues 'together' ... we can say that "every territory has its problems" ... but this would be dismissive and doesn't alter matters. Maybe I should be more specific and less general. You 'say' or 'reason': "... we want Europe to mature and to act as a single entity ..." Really? Who's "We"??? (Who wants Europe to be a "single entity"? does this include Germany?) How many decades does it take to 'mature'? and why does EU economic growth consistently lag and remain so elusive?????? A "single entity"??? Really? Does this mean you are wishing for 'full alignment'? because Germany won't stand for full alignment on economic grounds - why would it do that? And in much the same way, as the EU increasingly centralized power the UK European skeptics increasingly became fearful of being less in control of policy decision-making versus centrally driven EU reprisals due to 'non-compliance' - this helped drive Britain away! As a result, the EU lost one of its largest most lucrative net contributors and you want to maintain a discourse about 'unity'? You say: "European project can't be stopped because is moved by Europeans themselves ...". With respect, you are conveniently lumping all Europeans together by reason alone. Which European project are you citing specifically? Broad political integration? Economic integration? A single immigration policy for all? - i.e., regardless of differences in democratic feeling (think Poland) or geographic vulnerability. Don't get me wrong, its good that you want to remain being a European. But the way the EU is being run is frankly irresponsible on behalf of nearly half a billion people. Its not "maturing" ... its being RUN!!!! Think about that and how the EU is being maintained (I contend that the EU is being run to benefit some more than others).
More specifically, Germany is the biggest beneficiary of "European integration" ... right?, which is not really full integration or "Europeans together" at all (you are wrong). The EU supplies the political and economic certainty on which German prosperity has been built and maintained against consistent low growth. No country has more to lose from a break-up than Germany. Thus it is not simply that "together we are giant ..." but Germany continues to do very nicely from the single currency indeed. Just look at the unemployment figures in Germany (4%?) and compare this with most of Southern Europe (25% youth unemployment?). What the Dang? There has been a spectacular rise in support for far-right parties in Europe over the last two decades, but what has driven this electoral success? Drawing on new research, Vasiliki Georgiadou, Lamprini Rori and Costas Roumanias demonstrate that different types of far-right party have benefitted from different factors: economic insecurity has helped increase support for ‘extremist right’ parties, while cultural factors have been associated with the growth of the ‘populist radical right’. This is just one existential threat that could lead the break-up of the EU. And this is just one of many links you can find on this subject (see below). The problem is, the EU has other massive problems too, each of which partly stem from how the EU is being run. It seems that political 'disunity' is a growing phenomena withing the EU (this is not "Europeans all together").
newrepublic.com/article/153964/will-radical-right-break-eu
It was the Americans that created the EU and funded the rebuilding of Europe towards this project after WWII (the EU didn't just happen because "Europeans wanted it"). Friedman observes this.
In terms of Friedman's central thesis though, he also makes various valid points 'for discussion' (The Next 100 Years is not a 'fixed prediction', it provides a framework for discussion about the possible future and he's clear about the limitation and role his methodology plays). That's my understanding.
He asks: if the EU fails to provide 'prosperity' what comes next? This is one of his big questions, because the EU is 'failing' on the back of this particular promise upon which it is fundamentally founded!!!! And people become more resistant to immigration and power being centralized once prosperity eludes them - our instinct is to regain something 'for ourselves' (think Brexit): I would argue that Brexit is an example of this happening as the EU starts to 'disintegrate'. And it is not going to stop there. Just as another example, what do you think will happen with Poland? Poland is now set to exploit the Polish Bloc's increased sphere of influence to rebuild its economy. The United States has begun to look at the Polish Bloc's growing strength as a potential future threat. To prevent Polish hegemony in Europe, the United States will ally with its former enemies Japan and Turkey, as well as the UK, to prevent Poland from dominating Eurasia, and will prevent Poland from making use of space for military purposes. Poland is already an regional power emerging that is land-locked hence the resistance to mass immigration we have seen. As it becomes even more powerful, it will naturally want to assert itself separately (It will only 'buy' EU 'unity' for a time and we already see cracks emerging).
Just a few thoughts, of which there is far much more I could inject to support a counter-argument to your own. But 'disunity' and 'disintegration' are present for us to see already.
We can disagree, that's fine.
Regards
At what point does support for European centralisation and unity simply become a new nationalism? And when it does will it be any less dangerous than the nationalisms it replaced?
@@rodneyhenchliffe754 thank you. As a North American curious about International Polices, your perspective is how I understand the current situation. Very well done!
PS, we, in the US are beginning to see similar fractions within the
primary 48 states. It raises concerns for me.
@@kirstinstrand6292 no worries, Kirsten. Interesting stuff this.
@@rodneyhenchliffe754 The "problem" with EU is that Friedman along with many others seem to think the goal of EU is to become "United States of Europe" while most Europeans simply see the EU for what it is, a structure of cooperation. What is breaking EU apart is rather the fact that the elite is striving for the "USE" while common people look at USA as something deterrent, showing how we don't want our future to look like.
Great talk.
A brilliant presentation.
I am a German immigrant to the USA since 1963. Managing a German automation supplier / builder in the USA gave me insight in German and USA problem solving. USA and Germany have provided a good standard of living for most of their citizen but not all of them. The constant struggle to improve the lower income population is a serious challenge. Worrying what this constant struggle does to other countries takes a back seat. I do not see any solution from Mr. Friedman's video.
He is a jew so he claims Muslims as a problem and blames Germany then pretends he is not blaming anyone. Doublespeak bull.
" Is life so dear and peace so sweet as to be purchased with chains and slavery?"
Thank you
Great conference, no matter you like the man's ideas or not.
There are ... many things wrong here.
First, Europe was not an empire, it was a collection of empires. And it had in fact long periods of peace - Germany for example, nowadays considered the most militaristic and ambitious state, fought no wars from 1871 to 1914. Fourty years of peace in europe. So it is completely wrong to say that all europeans lived in fear of each other. Quite the opposite was the case. Everybody was convinced that war would not come, and secondly, that they would win. And the July Crisis was not really that remarkable. Similar crisis had come before and were solved diplomatically, without any bloodshed. What was different this time was that this balance was threatened on two fronts. First, Germany had risen to become the most powerful empire, at least industrially, and was seeking to do what all the other empires had done before: Act on a global scale. Secondly, Austria was facing a slow but steady decline into meaninglessness. There was a lot of conflict in the air, because there was peace for so long. France felt humiliated and faced a similar decline, Great Britain was losing relative power in the face of a rising Germany and US, Russia was just Russia (some things never change). So, naturally, everybody tried to either better their standing, or not lose their position. That is really important, because Germany, being the youngest of the empires, and the strongest, had no natural allies besides Austria - who only were natural allies because they were also German, but they were weak. Much like the Ottoman Empire, the Sick Man of Europe, the KuK Monarchy was at that point a paper tiger. So Germany found itself surrounded by more or less hostile nations, with only one ally. And that ally was intent on regaining past glory. The Austrians basically gambled: Either they win the next war, which means renewing their empire, or they lose it and go down in flames, but they would also go down if they do nothing. And Germany was stupid enough to stand by their ally. The rest is history.
Second, IF the diplomats of 1914 had nuclear weapons at their disposal, there would have been no war. It wasn't better diplomatic skills or sober tempers that kept the Russians and Americans from fighting, it was the utter dread of complete nuclear annihilation.
Third, Europeans have been extraordinarily violent. Woohoo, here we go again... I guess he just ignores the American conquests and the native genocide to prove his point. He also ignores literally EVERYTHING ELSE. The only reason that Europeans seem violent to him is because he does not know any other history. You just have to look to China, the middle east, India, or really any other place that has produced civilization, to see that all of them also produce war. Need I remind you all of the Azteks? Who where so violent and hated that neighbouring countries banded together with the european conquistadors and wiped them from the face of the earth? And America is only pacifistic in the way that Europeans were pacifistic up until WW1: They fought all their close wars already, beating everybody surrounding them into submission (plus their civil war), and once they asserted complete dominance over their neighbours, they started to colonize the world and fight their wars on foreign soil.
The emerging crisis in Europe is unraveling exactly as it was planned 50 years ago by the same people who sent this Bozo to try and brainwash us into another crock of shit!
One of the reasons WW1 dragged on as it did, instead of one side running out of money and having to give up, like in most wars before (which raised volunteers expectations for a quick end - obviuosly a victory for them), was central banking. Germany vould not inflate its way into,m military victory (and future economic defeat), like the British and Amricans could, so they had to hyper-inflate to pay off the loans.
Also, civilization means, that a nation organizes its military horizontally and vertically, instead of all warriors charging into battle after the chief,
Early Europe may not had being an Empire,,, BUT, the inter marriages among the "autocracy" seems to make them, acting like one ??? All in the families, the ruling classes of Early Europe, then they started to fight each other, for power and greed ???
@@ludwigvanel9192 No, WW1 ended because of the Lord sending the Spanish flu to infect the combatants and populations supporting them, because the chastisement for sins of the flesh was sufficient.
However, the BVM came to Fatima in 1917 announcing the imminent cessation of the war, but warning us that unless we bettered ourselves, a worse war would erupt in the pontificate of Pius IX, who had not yet been elected. Man did not better himself and became a licentious monster, WWII broke out and world wide carnage of the illicit issue of fornicating men became cannon fodder.
Today, since satan unleashed the unholy Trinity of sex, drugs and rock ‘n roll, mankind, overwhelmed by carnal addictions, have reached the point of internet porn saturation driving men into masturbating nitwits, and a pandemic of prostate cancer rendering the west's ability to procreate null and void, while Islam increases to exponential levels of superior numbers to fulfill Isaiah 10:1-7.
All because we have forgotten God and how to pray and fast. Armageddon is on the horizon and its 11:59:57 PM.
Pray the Rosary if you know what's good for you. And, trust me, you don't.
@@roberthalf1094very interesting
A very wise and interesting man .
I wouldn't call him wise. If he was he'd shut the frack up a long time ago.
There are many things right here. Europe needs to start paying for It's own defense and I whole heartedly agree that Europeans calling the US "Cowboys" is laughable considering they themeselves wiped out 100 Million of their own population in the last century alone. There is a reason why there are no competitive technology companies in Europe. I love the place, I love a lot of European people -- Being a Canadian (A very new country) it is so nice to see old culture, however, It is so evident that Europeans have so many conflicting Interests that It seems Impossible to form a coherent government body.
I see the value in maintaining Nationalism but I also see value in uniting, but it's so fraught with difficulty that I do not think It's going to happen. All the best and all the luck (You guys are going to need it!).
The Canadian :)
It might pain you to know that America actually financed WW2 and provided the means of industrial output to get the bombs dropping. Another thing, you gallant Americans are the ones poking and prodding the planet into hostilities that could otherwise be adverted. You start wars in the Middle East and for some reason, we get the refugees even though America starts the war???? You owe us more than money given you have effectively instigated a passive genocide from the influx of refugees you demanded we take along with the yes men America installed in Europe after the war. Typical Yank, clueless to the world outside of itself.
@@dunner079 possible. this is a serious test however, of your commitment to survival and the ability to adapt.
I agree with your assessment though, congress are responsible for a whole heap of shit, that they eventially didnt pay for.
There's not much I can disagree with here. I could only add to it, for example the other day an EU citizen/ debater told me that "the Americans run NATO" and argued that 'Europe' doesn't want the U.S. dictating their level of military spending. Fine, but 1.2% of combined EU GDP doesn't 'cut it', they have to start spending and cannot continue rely on the US/UK military alliance and spending to support them forever. Also, it shouldn't go unmissed that the current secretary general of NATO is the former Norwegian prime minister Jens Stoltenberg, who took office on 1 October 2014. Stoltenberg's mission as secretary general was extended for another four-year term, meaning that he will lead NATO until September 30, 2022.
Brexit itself remains testimony to the "return to nations" and the EU 'disintegration' process in action we now see has begun (it doesn't end with Brexit - UK Euroskeptics and the British electorate ultimately couldn't square greater EU centralization with dwindling prosperity under the banner of this 'grand project' - the natural instict is to take something back 'for your country'). Germany continues to prosper while EU growth continues to lag, and there isn't the prospect that Germany would ever advocate true economic integration - why the heck would they do that?
I won't continue ... but I see all of the 'disunity' and deep structural cracks that will ultimately bring devastating EU 'disintegration' on the back of how the EU is being RUN more for some than others. And we all know about the 'regional geo-political tensions', the history of Europe and how it likes to start wars on itself when things don't look 'Rosy'. I'm scared for them.
First 13 mins. is about his father and family.
Gort Newton
Yes, but the question is if everyone is holocaust survivor then who died in the the holocaust lol.
@@anaesthesia1549 To be counted as survivor, you only had to be within certain parts of Europe, not necessarily in a camp. Basically everyone is counted and Germans pay a pension.
Wars are not fought with people you don't know? How about all the wars of conquest of nations around the world? Here we are 4 years later and Europe didn't fall apart...yet. Europe has other problems like confronting efficient Chinese production and unfair trade practices. They are also contending with an unprecedented amount of underproductive people who are on the dole.
they are unproductive because they dont see a future worth fighting for. its really that simple. To energize a population you must give them something to be hopeful about and an enemy to fight and win against.
>
Ummm. Here we are SEVEN years later and both peace AND prosperity in Europe are gone.
Thank you Mr. Friedman for adding clarity to what is like to be part of the human condition. People, we are all one family, let's take care of each other and let's stop repeating the mistakes of the past.
You weren't listening to Friedman. He WAS being clear about the human condition, at least for Europeans, and that human condition is resort to war to settle differences that aren't settled by other means. His lecture discusses the prospect of war between Russia and EU-United States, and that is happening in pretty much the way he described.
I love listening to this guy
This is the internet at its best, as a tool for educating and informing...exposing us all to great minds like that of George Friedman.... Truly interesting. Thanks.
😂
one of the greats
I'm curious what he has to say about the Muslim influence in Europe, specifically how it'd being affected by the large amount of immigration.
its not just islam, its the demographic change, large influx of Africans and Arabians storming into Europe replacing the native populations. That is the real issue, Islam, is just a political entity, we make it out to be this mythical thing that cannot be stopped, well it can look at the mongols, ooh so terrifying, just dudes on horseback, yet we beat them with new tech and a will to fight, something we have to give the proto Russians credit for, but we must first get rid of the traitors at home, the corporate and the elites with their monetary influence,
Europe must be made self sufficient to where a small loyal local business can compete and win against the international corporate and their scumbag bought politicians.
That takes innovation and a European community mindset, an alternative tribalism, and an end to the worship of celebrities, money, and material culture.
You should read the French novel "Submission." en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Submission_(novel)
It relates a plausible scenario in which the Muslim minority winds up taking control of the French government and imposing Sharia law.
The most poignant moment for me is when two French people are discussing the event. One says he's decided to immigrate to Israel. The other says, "I don't have any place to go."
Yes so well said! People in rich countries often tend to lose touch with reality!
Muslim countries have filthy rich people, what is your opinión about that?
Interesting Man! I have almoust read his book.
Excellent lecture
Great talk, once he actually got started. Do yourself a favor and skip ahead to about 27:00. That's where he gets to the substance.
Too many vulgar comments. People need to make their comments with a little less emotion and a lot more intelligence. I think most people would agree it would be embarrassing to them to read after they grow up.
I find George very thoughtful and I like the way he precedes his views with the facts as he understands them. I believe in listening to as many viewpoints as possible and drawing my own conclusions, knowing that the future becomes more recognizable the closer it comes.
I am grown up...BUT GUESS WHAT! I DON'T GIVE A SHIT!
Very noble speech or talk. I do really appreciate
A moving story and a compelling presentation.
The key is for Europeans to embrace what our Jewish citizens have added - have contributed - to our European identity.
Once we have acknowledged that and then seek to work with our fellow Jewish European Citizens we will go forward ...this is what European Citizens need to realize at this time (2018)
In Greece the state paid jobs had ridiculous high salaries. Like a common bureaucrat got a house (yes, a house) after some 30 years in the job. Had a nice salary too. The train drivers had a so called extra month salary. They had 13, 14, 15, 16., 17. 18 and 19th month salary.
To understand Europe, take a look as this war lists from 1500 until WWI:
c. 1500-1854 Lekianoba
1501-1512 Dano-Swedish War (1501-12)
1502-1543 Guelders Wars
1503-1505 War of the Succession of Landshut
1508-1516 War of the League of Cambrai - 31,000 killed in action[1]
1509-1510 Polish-Moldavian War
1514 Poor Conrad's Rebellion
1514 Dózsa rebellion
1514-1517 Saxon feud
1515 Slovene Peasant Revolt
1515-1523 Frisian peasant rebellion
1519-1521 Polish-Teutonic War
1520-1521 Revolt of the Comuneros
1521-1523 Revolt of the Brotherhoods
1521-1523 Swedish War of Liberation
1521-1526 Italian War of 1521-1526 - 30,000 killed in action[1]
1521-1718 Ottoman-Habsburg wars
1522-1523 Knights' Revolt
1524-1525 German Peasants' War
1526 Revolt of Espadán
1526-1530 War of the League of Cognac - 18,000 killed in action[1]
1529 First War of Kappel
1531 Second War of Kappel
1531-1532 War of Two Kings
1534 Silken Thomas Rebellion
1534-1535 Münster Rebellion
1534-1536 Count's Feud
1536-1537 Reformation in Norway
1536-1537 Pilgrimage of Grace
1540 Salt War
1542-1546 Italian War of 1542-1546 - 47,000 killed in action[1]
1542-1543 Dacke War
1543-1550 Rough Wooing
1546-1547 Schmalkaldic War
1549 Kett's Rebellion
1549 Prayer Book Rebellion
1550 Battle of Sauðafell
1551-1559 Italian War of 1551-1559 - 75,000 killed in action[1]
1552-1555 Second Margrave War
1554 Wyatt's rebellion
1554-1557 Russo-Swedish War
1558-1583 Livonian War
1559-1564 Spanish-Turkish War - 24,000 killed in action[1]
1560 Siege of Leith
1562-1598 French Wars of Religion
1563-1570 Northern Seven Years' War
1565 Great Siege of Malta
1566 Siege of Szigetvár
1568-1570 Morisco Revolt
1568-1648 Eighty Years' War
1569-1580 Spanish-Turkish War - 48,000 killed in action[1]
1569-1570 Rising of the North
1569-1573 First Desmond Rebellion
1573 Croatian-Slovene Peasant Revolt
1578 Georgian-Ottoman War
1579-1583 Second Desmond Rebellion
1580-1583 War of the Portuguese Succession
1583-1588 Cologne War
1585-1604 English-Spanish War - 48,000 killed in action[1]
1588-1654 Dutch-Portuguese War
1587-1588 War of the Polish Succession
1590-1595 Russo-Swedish War
1593 Battle of Sisak
1593-1606 Long Turkish War
1593-1617 Moldavian Magnate Wars
1594-1603 Nine Years' War (Ireland)
1595-1621 Moldavian Magnate Wars
1596-1597 Cudgel War
1598-1599 War against Sigismund
1600-1629 Polish-Swedish War
1602 Savoyard escalade of Geneva
1605-1618 Polish-Muscovite War
1606-1607 Bolotnikov Rebellion
1606-1608 Zebrzydowski Rebellion
1610-1614 Spanish-Turkish War - 15,000 killed in action[1]
1610-1617 Ingrian War
1611-1613 Kalmar War
1615-1618 Uskok War
1615-1617 Spanish-Savoian War - 2,000 killed in action[1]
1617-1621 Spanish-Venetian War - 5,000 killed in action[1]
1618-1619 Spanish-Turkish War - 6,000 killed in action[1]
1618-1648 Thirty Years' War
1624-1625 Siege of Breda - Spain vs. Holland, England
1635 Siege of Leuven - Spain vs. Holland, France
1637 Battle off Lizard Point - Spain vs. Holland
1638 Battle of Getaria - France vs. Spain
1639 Battle of the Downs - Spain vs. Holland
1643 Battle of Rocroi - France vs. Spain
1648 Battle of Lens - France vs. Spain
1618-1639 Bündner Wirren
1620-1621 Polish-Ottoman War
1625 Zhmaylo Uprising
1627-1629 Anglo-French War
1628-1631 War of the Mantuan Succession
1630 Fedorovych Uprising
1632-1634 Smolensk War
1637 Pavlyuk Uprising
1638 Ostryanyn Uprising
1639-1653 Wars of the Three Kingdoms
1639-1640 Bishops' Wars
1641-1653 Irish Confederate Wars
1642-1651 English Civil War
1642-1646 First English Civil War
1648-1649 Second English Civil War
1649-1651 Third English Civil War
1649-1653 Cromwellian conquest of Ireland
1640-1668 Spanish-Portuguese War - 80,000 killed in action[1]
1648-1659 Franco-Spanish War - 108,000 killed in action[1]
1648-1657 Khmelnytsky Uprising
1651 Kostka-Napierski Uprising
1651-1986 Three Hundred and Thirty Five Years' War
1652-1674 Anglo-Dutch Wars
1653 Swiss peasant war of 1653
1654 First Bremian War
1654-1667 Russo-Polish War
1654-1660 English-Spanish War - 15,000 killed in action[1]
1655-1660 Second Northern War
1656 War of Villmergen
1663-1664 Austro-Turkish War
1666 Second Bremian War
1666-1671 Polish-Cossack-Tatar War
1667-1668 War of Devolution - 4,000 killed in action[1]
1670-1671 Razin's Rebellion
1672 First Kuruc Uprising
1672-1678 Franco-Dutch War - 342,000 killed in action[1]
1672-1673 Second Genoese-Savoyard War
1675-1679 Scanian War
1676-1681 Russo-Turkish War
1679 Covenanter Rebellion
1683-1684 War of the Reunions - 5,000 killed in action[1]
1683-1699 Great Turkish War - 384,000 killed in action[1]
1685 Monmouth Rebellion
1688 Glorious Revolution
1688-1697 Nine Years' War - 680,000 killed in action[1]
1689-1692 First Jacobite Rising
1700 Lithuanian Civil War
1700-1721 Great Northern War - 30,000 Russians killed in action[2]
1701-1713 War of the Spanish Succession - 1,251,000 killed in action[1]
1703-1711 Rákóczi's War of Independence
1707-1708 Bulavin Rebellion
1712 Toggenburg War
1714-1718 Ottoman-Venetian War
1715-1716 Jacobite rising of 1715
1716-1718 Austro-Turkish War
1718-1720 War of the Quadruple Alliance - 25,000 killed in action[1]
1722-1723 Russo-Persian War
1727-1729 British-Spanish War - 15,000 killed in action[1]
1733-1738 War of the Polish Succession - 88,000 killed in action[1]
1735-1739 Russo-Turkish War
1737-1739 Austro-Turkish War
1740-1748 War of the Austrian Succession - 359,000 killed in action[1]
1740-1763 Silesian Wars
1741-1743 Russo-Swedish War
1745-1746 Jacobite rising of 1745
1756-1763 Seven Years' War - 992,000 killed in action[1]
1757 Georgian-Ottoman Battle
1763-1864 Russo-Circassian War
1768-1772 War of the Bar Confederation
1768-1774 Russo-Turkish War
1770 Georgian-Ottoman Battle
1770 Orlov Revolt
1774-1775 Pugachev's Rebellion
1775-1783 American Revolutionary War
1778-1779 War of the Bavarian Succession
1784 Kettle War
1784-1785 Revolt of Horea, Cloșca and Crișan
1785 Battle of the Sunja
1787 Dutch Patriot Revolt
1787-1792 Russo-Turkish War
1788-1791 Austro-Turkish War
1788-1790 Russo-Swedish War
1790 Saxon Peasants' Revolt
1792 Polish-Russian War of 1792
1792-1802 French Revolutionary Wars - 663,000 killed in action[1]
1794 Kościuszko Uprising
1795 Battle of Krtsanisi
1798 Irish Rebellion of 1798
1798 Peasants' War
1803 Irish Rebellion of 1803
1803 Souliote War
1803-1815 Napoleonic Wars
1804-1813 First Serbian Uprising
1804-1813 Russo-Persian War
1806-1812 Russo-Turkish War
1808-1809 Finnish War
1809 Polish-Austrian War
1815-1817 Second Serbian Uprising
1817-1864 Russian conquest of the Caucasus
Battle of Dervenakia (1822) by unknown
1821-1832 Greek War of Independence
1821 Wallachian uprising
1823 French invasion of Spain
1826-1828 Russo-Persian War
1827 War of the Malcontents
1828-1829 Russo-Turkish War
1828-1834 Liberal Wars
1830 July Revolution
1830 Ten Days' Campaign (following the Belgian Revolution)
1830-1831 November Uprising
1831 Canut revolts
1831-1832 Bosnian Uprising
1831-1836 Tithe War
1832 War in the Vendée and Chouannerie of 1832
1832 June Rebellion
1833-1839 First Carlist War
1833-1839 Albanian Revolts of 1833-39
1843-1844 Albanian Revolt of 1843-44
1846 Galician slaughter
1846-1849 Second Carlist War
1847 Albanian Revolt of 1847
1847 Sonderbund War
1848-1849 Hungarian Revolution and War of Independence
1848-1851 First Schleswig War
1848-1849 First Italian War of Independence
1853-1856 Crimean War
1854 Epirus Revolt of 1854
1858 Mahtra War
1859 Second Italian War of Independence
1861-62 Montenegrin-Ottoman War (1861-62)
1863-1864 January Uprising
1864 Second Schleswig War
1866 Austro-Prussian War
1866-1869 Cretan Revolt
1866 Third Italian War of Independence
1867 Fenian Rising
1870-1871 Franco-Prussian War
1872-1876 Third Carlist War
1873-1874 Cantonal Revolution
1875-77 Herzegovina Uprising
1876-78 Serbian-Ottoman War
1876-78 Montenegrin-Ottoman War
1877-1878 Russo-Turkish War
1878 Epirus Revolt of 1878
1885 Serbo-Bulgarian War
1897 Greco-Turkish War
1903 Ilinden-Preobrazhenie Uprising
1904-1908 Macedonian Struggle
1904-1905 Russo-Japanese War
1905 Łódź insurrection
1905 Revolution of 1905
1906-1908 Theriso revolt
1907 1907 Romanian Peasants' Revolt
1910 Albanian Revolt of 1910
1910 5 October 1910 revolution
1911 Albanian Revolt of 1911
1911-1912 Italo-Turkish War
1912-1913 Balkan Wars
1912-1913 First Balkan War
1913 Second Balkan War
1913 Tikveš Uprising
1913 Ohrid-Debar Uprising
Thank you! This history is mind boggling; it puts life in a different perspective. What is to happen next?
Much Appreciated.
I think what you demonstrated there is what a huge place Europe is, and how many people live there. Ohh and you demonstrated that copy and paste works. just saying.
Yes, Europe has a thousand years of war as history. And it's future history is a thousand years of history into the future.
Heh, heh! You left out a few, though....
This man is a genius. To answer the question of the power of germany: it's a country of engineers that at the one side takes pride in its bureaucracy and other side is driving by people that are fundamentally afraid and depressive.
They have a very functional efficient government (relatively speaking to most governments). They are very efficient administrators as well as engineers. More than any other country they have been able to handle the displaced workers of globalization by retraining for new jobs. But, being a mercantile power is their weakness. (Fine Living is the French's weakness lol).
"Get your facts first, then you may distort them as you please." (Mark Twain)
The emerging crisis in Europe is unraveling exactly as it was planned 50 years ago by the same people who sent this Bozo to try and brainwash us into another crock of shit!
@Robert Bonneau We don't need help fighting and killing each other ...
@Robert Bonneau The Nazis and Communists were put into power by the American bankers and corporations like Henry Ford.and Rokerfeller Standard Oil The allies were used as pawns for the globalists Britain didn't loose Palestine it was all planned by Theodor Herzl and the Transfer Agreement.Operation Market garden in September 1944 was a deliberate failure with Prince Berhard ss working with the British planners of the operation its why Monty said it was a success because they had the Bilderburg group meeting there ten years later in 1954 these group of globalists and Club of Rome created the EU the industrialists enslaving the European nations with their totalitarian anti democratic regime with the bread and circuses to pacify the sheep remainers making them believe in the EU as if they were Europe. The bankers took over America after the act of 1871 making up laws and new rules to make it difficult to acccess justice and the truth especially when they had the Federal reserve Act.And Thodor Herzl and Zionists who wanted to take over Russia because the Tsar didnt want the League of Nations and as Churchill a great supporter of the Zionsts said Jews were divided into Communists and Zionists Its bascially about the few who wanted to enslave the many through their distorted Satanic banking and law making hijack of the nations snake oil salesmen and their Frankfurt school Mkultra indoctrination of the school education system and the Tavistock institution school of popaganda .and the socialist marxist long march through the institutions and mass consumerism through cultural marxism.
@@EIKLURAM - What a load of crap. Sounds like you got your history from RT news (Russia). Russia is run by oligarchs afraid that "those clever Europeans" would usurp their control over the Russian people with European freedom and prosperity if given a chance.
@@rumchjoe No sorry nice try but you can't pretend there was no English Civil war and dismiss history as being part pf a Russian TV programme I was actually a well researched Bsc undergraduate in Psychology and Social science and .Whats your educational background?
Very interesting video.
Scary how perpetual warfare has become the new norm. Business as usual takes on a whole new meaning.
Absolutely fantastic lecture. Gathering the threads and putting them together into a coherent story. I guess I have to buy the book.
How much were you paid for this comment?
@@GlendaBlumenthal That was in 2015.How are things now in 2022 ?
@@GlendaBlumenthal "gay music for gay people" you say? looooooool
@@GlendaBlumenthal Pretty cynical comment. It does reflect on what happens often on the internet. But I actually never did buy the book.
/价😢
Couple of questions? How does the current changing demographics in Europe; influx of African and Middle East immigrants, effect it in the long term in reference to Mr Friedman's predictions? If he believes that a nation is a generalized collective set of values and cultural norms and vote along those said values, how can he effectively predict what a nation will do if their demographics change? This is especially true a couple generations down the line; many of these immigrants have many more children as compared to ethnic Europeans.
He is probably a race "realist" and believes that your voting patterns come down to genetics, no joke. For example, they believe things like You can't let Hispanics have citizenship because they are brown skin which means they are lazy and dumb, and always vote Left for more welfare. Yes they really believe that, never realizing that Hispanics vote democrat because Conservatives are racists who call them dumb and lazy for being a little darker skinned.
@@tijuanaforeplay8232 why is the majority of welfare used by people with a darker shade of skin? Explain it without resorting to institutional racism. Bc you know indians and Asians do quite well. Why don't Mexicans and blacks?
Excellent question. Who knows what he'll say, all that matters is that we act, we must breed beyond replacement rates, we must incentivize our women to breed more, incentivize our men to be their husbands and rear children, that is our only way out of this shit show. Focus on the old gods, for they knew the way, your choice of course, as it cannot be forced. But nature demands. We must obey, OR WE PERISH. They show natures path, and in order to survive we must adapt. David I hope this reaches you and touches your soul, however you wish to act, is only up to you.
@@jonfungg like also jews were supressed in every contry where they were minority, but they often still got more wealthy the original population because they are smarter
In America, immigrants have traditionally contributed far beyond their due. If Americans continue to destroy those attributes that make this happen and if the Europeans don't evolve to make this possible, the point I think you are alluding to, might come to fruition. This is why the current Democratic party in America is proving to be mentally bankrupt. (Republicans have their own bankruptcy problems.)
Excellent
He misunderstand the Ukraine geopolitical dilemma. Ukraine has warmwater ports that Russia desperately needs and has been using under Ukraine for a long time peacefully. When the status of Ukraine came under question their hand was forced and they were obligated to invade. Europeans tempted Ukraine, but when push came to shove they had no ability or even thoughts about defending Ukraine
Not misunderstood. He just not tell it.
He understand it. And he will never say it in a direct way. He want to make another picture of the situation.
Ukraine is the birth of Russia.
@@kirschkern8260 well said
He quite rightly pointed out the great change that happened with the voyages of discovery. He failed, though, to acknowledge that the world today is undergoing just as great a change. The rise of huge corporations that can and do ignore international boundaries, choosing where to pay taxes and where not to, and when some of those corporations have a vested interest in armaments etc., in waging pointless wars in parts of the world in which they have have nothing on the ground to lose, and when they can effectively buy politicians, news media and therefore elections, it is as much of a change in geopolitics as in the age of discovery.
The private central banks are above the mega corporations in the food chain. They print money out of thin air and lend it for principal and interest.
Do you not smell corruption and tyranny just from that last statement alone?
Please do your research, but please keep the power of the bankers in mind while doing that research!!
Mike, and how evident it is all, the reality of the American Exceptionalism! Thank you for your well said comment.
Friedman is todays Machiavelli and that is it what this wolrd need! Good jog George!
Thanks
A great summary of recent economic history and where we're heading
Friedman is a joke. Charlatan trying to sell his books.
@@alterego157 Seems like it aged very well
In light of current events isn't hard to see those who are pulling the strings.
curioso
And George Friedman is their prophet - to psychologically prepare the public about what is coming in the near future - ultimately controlling the world from Jerusalem.
Anaesthesia
Not only preparing the public but contributing towards the events( keen warmongering).
I remember in elementary school when I was a child many Hungarian children enrolled in our school and didn’t speak English at all. At the end of the school year they were fluent in English. I’m 75 and I wonder what happened to them in life.
In the government.
I thoroughly enjoyed this lecture which filled in quite a few gaps in my understanding. Thankyou Mr Friedman.
That's the problem with these predictive videos , when viewed from the future ,
they somehow seem to miss the point.
So many PC reactions here. The man got right.
I disagree with the speaker on wars; So many wars of conquests, had nothing to do with inter dependence; they had more to do with ambitions to take land and other resources from the weaker countries.
This is a surprisingly good talk. I agree with a lot of what George Friedman says here.
Agreed, so nuanced and I like the objectivity over the Ukraine crisis. It isn't often a man uses a personal story, disavows it as personal, and ties it into understanding the whole.
I think I´m gonna watch more of his talks. It has wide appeal both to academics and the everyday person.
"why did you buy it?"....because Standard & Poors gave it a triple-A rating??
Exactly! It’s a convenient omission by him.
And the financial channels still talk about ratings agencies as if they're not engaging in laughable conflicts of interest.
Italy has a whole tax police department that has probably never caught anyone.
They caught Sophia Loren.
@@Withnail1969 I would have caught her too, who could resist.
>
Heh, heh! That's a good joke!
I am a Californian cowboy and Providence has blessed me.
Trab Rex, you are a poor wrench, victim of your own illusion, Fukushima radiation is responsible for many abnormal baby tumors and miscarriages in California, your Los Angeles is a breeding place for bubonian plague, and Californians are leaving the state in ever growing numbers as prices explode due to inflation, Yellowstone will blow soon, and many former silicon Valley employees are becoming broke and homeless, this is the dire truth of the black hate dark lord, which you so studiously ignored... I can easily bombshell your effin mind with more inconvenient truths, especially on your US satanic history... Yes you could say, you are the devils own country, and you trust in him, to lead a wonderful sensual live, full of comfort at the expense of the rest of the world, which you despise, until your venerated Saran molech Luzifer calls for repayment of your treaty with him, and you end up at the bottom of hell, where you will hear my terrible laughter, you s. O. B.... Mesukiel Aketeriel Mahakala Bala Bala HeHeHe... If you Don t reform or regret I will curse you before all humanity and all the angels and before all the seven hells until judgment day, I solemnly swear to God with everything, that is holy in me and for me... Don t you mess with the wrong guy.... Mesukiel Aketeriel Mahakala Bala Bala HeHeHe.......
Satan
Still probably true, though you be cursed with a plague of Democrats.
I'm not a fan of the EU experiment but we might actually need some unity to battle the global changes humanity can expect in the coming centuries.
europe was attacked. the common currency demands repayment of trade deficits.
they didnt do this. they tried to loan their way out. so the strangled became the strangler.
what a difference 70 years makes.
This guy explains Europe so well. Brilliant speech
EU is nothing like he describes. 13 minutes in i'm gone
nah, I think he hits the nail pretty good, especially when you see what happened in the last 2 years
Greetings from Southern Bavaria
That’s because u don’t see their Agenda and the influence of the Pope.
I now know who he reminds me of: Ben Gazzara.
David Kennerly He reminds me the least of G.W. Bush ......but he looks a little bit like him.
Dr. Smith from Lost in Space?
You're right. Ben Gazzara.
David Kennerly that is of no importance!
Dead on!
Great program. Thanks.
Mr. Friedman SEEMS like unable to distinguish between "to unite" and "to conquer" (see e.g. 17:50), but he is not an idiot and hence it could have some un/conscious (or just unsaid) reason/purpose... Does he want to throw out a suggestion that Europe should be conquested? Does he mean that conquest of Europe (by various means), which culminated in the bombimg of Yugoslavia by USA? ...and continues by invasion of non-assimilable immigrants expelled from their home countries by USA? (and is it just coincidence that those immigrants are mostly men in the age fitting for military service?... etc....)
BTW, NATO completely failed to defend European NATO member states against this invasion!
No it means if you start ethnic cleansing for two years and Europe does nothing the US not wanting to wait until that country gains enough strength to cause another WW like the appeasement of Germany
"... NATO completely failed to defend European NATO member states against this invasion!..."
This is an excellent point. How the top brass stood by and watched Merkel's insanity demonstrates the lack of a well-defined core principle within the NATO alliance.
This will (almost certainly) result in the various nations' militaries intervening and taking over fully, until the invaders are booted out. It's not going to be pretty. The leftist UN will try to 'encourage peace'; and this could bring the UN 'Peacekeeping' forces into conflict with the armies.
Such a civil war has never occurred before, where several allied armies are each forced to take over their own governments, while trying to round up the invading class and expel millions. Who will actually start? Who will be the most dispassionate? There's no way to do this "nicely"; and it's going to make interesting reading for future history scholars.
What's very clear, is the people like Merkel; and those in official positions who so enthusiastically embraced this self-destroying idea, should be prosecuted.
What surprised me is the complete lack of IMMEDIATE push-back when Merkel's invitation to the whole Third World went out. Trying to understand this, I noticed that this same 'silence' followed the islamic rape-fest in Cologne and in other European centres; and I realised with horror and anger, the medias' role in this deliberate failure to report public outrage. The media, of course, can claim, with some justification, that the government clamp-down on honest reporting prevented them from telling the world what was going on, but as usual with the media, this is nonsense.
The government and police, across Europe HAD certainly issued gag orders , but since when have the media been bound by this?
It was at this point that I understood how the complicit media are in fact (just as all leftist governments are) part of this world-wide movement to destroy Western Society.
This sounds like a 'Soros-style conspiracy'.... and it is. Time will prove this conjecture right.
...and the counter-movement to overcome this conspiracy, not going to be pretty.
Pride, Greed, tribalism mostly can start wars, people think that they’re better than their neighbors and it’s ok to take what they have and dominate them.
Awsome ,Eloquent Analyser ! Brilliant professor .
I am Hungarian and I was born 1957. I have studied history and especially thouse times when the I. and II. world war broken out. It was really crazy . The English king Edward the VI and the Willhelm the II were cousins. Yes, I agree that was really tragic what happened in Europa and what is happening now because of Brexit. But I wonder when I am listening G. Friedman how he couldn't realized America is doing the same? After 9/11 they fought 7 war in the Arabian Penninsula, and what about Vietnam, what about Serbia, what about other wars what they fought? Are they really so much different? No, I don't think so.
He completely lost me going into detail on Europe. Comparing Germany as an export nation in Europe to the United States hypothetically exporting 50 % of its product to Canada and Mexico is ridiculous considering the population sizes involved.
Germany has been a manufacturing center in Europe for a long time, that by itself has got nothing to do with the Maastricht Treaty.
He's trying to help Europe by telling it like it is don't need to get offended
I lost my grandfather in war, my dad was 4 when he lost his daddy. This trauma never leaves, it stay in your cells even after several generations. My grandfather was brought into a camp, died somewere but my father and grandmother never found his body. His other brothers were also in camps budt they came back. These are heavy traumas. Now Germany is still a. country that I never connect with because of this. I know Germany is not Ok, some say that merkel is the daughter of Hitler, I know that they have always been steong in technology and that the nazi s moved to America after the war to work for NASA like Werner von Braun. It hurts that you speek like we are all evil, but the evil is on the top not with the normal people. Greed and power, that is what they want, we are just numbers, slaves. We have always been that, I know there is going to be a collaps, but this time it will be worldwide. We all have to get through because of all the money printing, the lies, the corruption.....but we all he e to get through it. My grandparents lost everything during war, my parents lost everything during crisis and probably we will lose it too, but better to be aware of whats coming then be unaware, then the shock will be so severe.
Buy Gold and silver
@@3m5r56 Hello Michael, thanks for your respond, I am protected, thx
What a load of horsecrap. If trauma stays with us then almost everyone in the world has genetic PTSD, your ancestors were in camps, mine were getting starved and shelled. No one had a good time back then, not even the Germans as individuals. You are right about the collapse and whatnot though.
It is true I am a descendant from the Caribbean and I know that the enslavement of Africans over centuries and the serious mistreatment has left a real scar and legacy that we have not been close to dare to contend with, but dare we must. Thank goodness the PM of Barbados is attempting to ask us to address this trauma and giving us confidence to move forward and ahead. I fully understand where you are coming from.
@@BillyBob-qu1fs The difference is only the Germans turned against the good democracy that their voters elected, to support a nasty Austrian with a supreme desire to torture & kill even tiny babies, with his writings published when he came to power. The real shocker is he started with the people of the Bible, but he or his successors would have eventually killed even the Japanese. I think what this woman is sharing is how aftershocks are real. One of my best History professors appeared to find it quite hard to like many people, knowing that his grandmother was raised up from the mud, by a young Russian soldier, in a German concentration camp. He was teaching Aggies, & the point was clear to me---- raise up as you go---don't rape & destroy--- because stories will be told about your actions, for centuries.
He just glorified Europe and ignored the sufferings of the colonies!
The triggered far left and far right hand in hand in this comment section is worth the popcorn. The full weight of history and geopolitics is squarely behind Friedman.
I was wondering why comments seem so unhinged...I'm watching 2 years behind
Matthew Revell
He hasn't touched upon the elephant in the room:
inconvenienthistory.com/5/2/3209
inconvenienthistory.com/6/2/3294
Learned enough about history.
Thanks to George Friedman!
Like his very distant relative, Benjamin H Freeman.
Brilliant mind
If no continent 'knew' any other continent, please explain how the megalithic structures were built, 10, 20, 30,000 years ago, using exactly the same methods and designs on every one of those continents.
Seriously. He also diminishes the vastness of the Incas, Aztecs, and Mayas. Those were immense, complex civilizations. Yet I'm sure there was exchange among smaller tribal societies to the North.
Speaking of which, the people of the Western Hemisphere had a different relationship with the Earth. They had complex structures to inhabit albeit not in tacky baroque gold leafing or anything. They had a more intimate relationship with the Earth, they valued harmony with Earth and its flora and fauna. They did not have a supremacist attitude that the followers of Abrahamic religions uphold that manifests in subjugation of women, of other races, of animals, does not manifest in a psychotic dominion over Earth to the degree that we now have "Christian" America engaging in weather engineering while refusing to acknowledge climate destabilization due to industrial contamination of our environment that results when one exploits and extracts natural resources.
IDK who this guy is but he is whack.
Maybe they just forgot about one another? As hard as I've tried, I still don't know much about my ancestors beyond 5 or 6 generations. I think it's reasonable that over, say 1,000 generations it would be easy to forget other cultures. I doubt anyone will remember us or our technology 30,000 yrs from now.
Europe is a continent and not a people. And what ever the language suggest. There are no "Europeans". We have culturall differences like the US, Cuba, China, India. Therefore the consideration of Europe as a Union is a big mistake. Its fantasy!
+Martin Kaufmann too much past feuds between european countrys
Michael Corleone
And we are just to different..
yes america are pacifist, hmm a country based on genocide and slavery is pacifist. lets not talk about their wars in corea, vietnam, cambodia, iraq and afganistan. the whole of south america with some overtrowing of democratic elected goverments.
i do not understand this guy he thinks europe is an unified country ...
An interesting talk, but it left out some important points. The basic treaty locked in certain elements of Neo-liberal or Neo-classical economics. Basically, this put Europe back on the 'gold standard'. The rules say there are just x number of euros (like x tons of gold) and the nations must borrow euros from whoever has them. Fiat money has been found to work well and solve several problems with the gold standard. Add in limits on non-gov. lending/borrowing and it would pretty much end the business cycles the world saw while on the gold standard.
. . . International trade is [by definition] a zero sum game. Germany runs a trade surplus with most European nations. So, this sucks euros out of those nations. There is no countering process that replaces the euros of the importing nations. This means that as long as a nation has a trade deficit, no amount of taxation or austerity will provide that Gov. with the euros it needs. It must borrow. But, it can never pay the loan back because the loan doesn't result in a trade surplus.
. . . The EU can not be reformed, therefore all the importing nations must leave it ASAP. If and only if they do this, will it maybe be possible for Germany to accept the necessary reforms. Until then Ger. can turn a blind eye to the fundamental problems I outlined above.
. . . Modern Money Theory (and practice) shows clearly the problems with the EU rules. They are totally unworkable because they are based on a false economic theory. The new EU must be based on MMT. The EU must start over with a clean piece of paper.
If there were a new EU, with new paper, what do you suggest the importing countries do, so that it doesn't happen again?
Very interesting to listen to this analysis 5 0r 6 years foward.
Europa has survived. The Greeks have rebuild their economy on a better basis.
Same for Ireland, Spain and Portugal.
Europa has renewed itself and prospered.
Until the Covid 19 pandemic.
I suggest George you take a prediction about Europa and work backwords to see what went wrong with your analysis.
You were very brave trying to see into the future. My respect, as the Germans say.
With your analytic mind , I would love to read the history of how Europa together solved the terrible problems we had then
Thanking you.
isn't Britain gone? aren't right and left parties growing while the center is dieing?
i wouldn't say the EU collapsed, but it's not as stable as it used to be
Two year further on, Europe is engulfed in WAR! Energy shortages are threatening Europe with economic collapse! The EU is falling apart ---Britain has left the EU.
Why did Germany succeed after WWII is the same reason Japan is succeeding economically. Soviet and US post war occupation and redevelopment.
We blew them up and then rebuilt their country. If you want your country redeveloped host a war there. 🤷🏻♀️
Great talk!
This guy is beyond awesome :-)
19:04 Is he describing politics or relationships in a marriage? I can't tell.
Not that big a difference sometimes ...
I like his Star Wars analogy at approx 46:30. How do you “create a grand army of the Republic”?...like Chancellor Palpatine.
U.S. Civil War reference, which he plainly explained.
მადლობა ბატონო ფრიდმან!🇬🇪Дякую пане Фридман🇺🇦. 29:29
>> 0:32:40
"The problem with Europe is that the never had gone through financial crisis."
Really?! Never?!
Are you sure?!
"The problem with Europe is that they had never gone through a financial crisis" He's talking about the EU as an institution. Not the entire history of the European continent. He's talking about the actions and policies take be the EU and its subsets of groups.
Financial independence is something that people spend decades trying to achieve. For the average American worker, this can be a slow grind of saving a few hundred dollars per month in the hopes of being financially free at sixty-five so they can finally enjoy retirement. The problem? You spent three or four decades at a job, waiting to do what you want. Buddy, INVEST if you want to crack the code to financial freedom, retire early. In three years, I've earned more than $5 million.
Congrats. My husband is 55 years old, and I am almost 42. We saved about $386,000 from our farm. We're thinking about putting half of our money into the stock market. Having said that, we have been tracking stock recommendations from UA-camrs, particularly Jim Cramer.
@@justina_Earley There are trained financial/investment counselors who can help you get through this and feel more confident in your personal finance and investing journey, particularly those with more than ten years of experience.
@@Andrewgarrels Andrew, I concur wholeheartedly. I lost $63,590 in a savings account when my bank failed in 2008. I tried to get it out, but they refused. I was devastated and needed to invest as a backup plan. As a result, I sought the assistance of an investment advisor. Just last month, I received $158,000 in investment earnings.
@@Linda_Addams I'm glad I came across this. Could you please tell me the name and contact information of the investment advisor who assisted you with your investments, if you don't mind?
@@TeresaBrickle KATHERINE DUFFY BURKE, You can find her by searching her full name online. She is well-known. She has appeared on Fox Business, Bloomberg and WSJ to discuss market and portfolio growth.
Damn this aged well. That last point
A devoted enemy to EU does not always examine international conflicts with less bias
Uff... so much wisdom. Unfortunately for many Germans this man is far to honest.
True talk.
yes, I´m German, and all of my family had suffered, because of all of this.
@@corneliameyer8800 How?
Its just George's opinion. He didnt told many other facts and historical occasions.
Because he wants to shape a special picture.
I'm german and I dont really see how this talk should be worryieng to any german. Most of this is common knowledge in germany
It is really a strange view to talk about Europe as one single entity
American hubris
@@sonjak8265 Sure. He's from Hungary.
@@skunkjulio a long time ago..it does not count...his loyalties, if any, are elsewhere
He's a NWO man.
Why is it strange to talk about Europe as a single entity? - 28 nation states surrendered their national sovereignties to a central body (the EU) and when he talks of Europe he is talking about the EU.
Japan was never occupied or influenced by Europe.
This is a common misconception I see, but Japan at various points had European boots on the ground , European ministers advising the emperor, and, if nothing else, European technology being used to build the nation. Modern Japan as a single, unified nation state was created during what was, in effect, a proxy war between Britain and France - the Boshin War.
It's difficult to overstate just how deeply entrenched into the European sphere of influence Japan was. Just because there was never an India-style occupation of Japan, doesn't mean they remained completely sovereign. The real secret to Japan's success was their ability to quickly and effectively throw off the shackles of European imperial ambitions and establish themselves as a world power by crushing Russia in the Russo-Japanese War.
8:41 / ...town of BRATISLAVA. ;-)
His constant assertions about Europe rarely apply to the UK hence why we're offski
Chris Reeves Enjoy your trip!
we are Offski ok.. we hang on the outer edge of Europe .. I don't think Britain has ever tried to invade Europe ..helped with a few European freedom fighters and sorting out minor disputes ..the war of the Spanish Succession , Peninsular war, WW1 and WW2 .. I once had a major argument with a friend ... that if Britain had stayed neutral in WW1 we could have supplied both combatants with arms and made a mint .. instead we entered WW1 because 80 years before we guaranteed the freedom of Belgian.. MY great grand died my great uncle dies my grand father survived ..
@@patrickgordon9893 History is written by the winners the truth lies elsewhere ua-cam.com/video/tclAbWvBt70/v-deo.html
@@patrickgordon9893 there is an interesting debate on this topic on intelligence squared that you might find interesting