New Ukrainian Weapons Hit Russia Where It Hurts || Peter Zeihan
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- Опубліковано 22 вер 2024
- Ukraine has successfully attacked several major Russian ammunition depots, with explosions detectable hundreds of miles away. These strikes suggest Ukraine's war strategy is evolving...
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The WWII us bombers channel is covering how German rail network was disabled. For instance fighters would make 70 small cuts of the rail and later relentlessly strafe repair crews. Germans were quoted as saying rail damage was the biggest problem of the war.
and rail stations underwent almost total destruction such as Frankfurt Hauptbahnhof as it was a crossroads location.
Funny thing is how this Toropets depot was meant to supply Russia in a war against NATO. If some drone debris did this, how on earth could it survive a proper missile attack.
you dont really believe Russia's standard excuse of "nono, we definitely shot down the missile, but the debris...", do you?
The Russians would rather lie to themselves and others than face reality, which is EXACTLY why they're in this mess.
It only stored conventional ammunition, for NATO tactical nuclear weapons are reserved.
Drones are a big upset for most modern militaries! If Ukraine can do this to Russia you better believe it can happen to every other military!
@@Jimmy-ye3wg It was you I saw last week making a depot inspection then.
“In my country there is problem…and the problem is transport.”
😆😆😆😆😆
Hahaha😂
The new nickname for this Ukrainian drone is "Debris".
Zeihan is still lost in the wilderness. I hope he finds his way back to civilisation soon.
Bigfoot says he is happy, he “has found his place” in the wilderness.
He's gonna meet with Primitive Tech eventually.
This guy seems to be all over the world, he’s constantly on the move! 🚴🧗🏊♂️🏎️🛺🛫🚁⛴️
@@apemancommeth8087that's what happens when you are an asset to 3 letter agencies
Word of the day…”Blammy”
"Things are very blammy"
Quite the technical terminology there lol
Latest reports are that the train got away. But the stuff it unloaded was still sitting around.
One report I just saw said the Waxed Cardboard Drones that are being sent to Ukraine by Australia, are almost impossible to detect. The Ukrainians are cutting a hole in the bottom and installing a Go Pro for recon missions. Drone goes out, does the fly over, but instead of broadcasting the data from the Go Pro back, and making the Drone a target, they just fly back home. Data gets downloaded then. These Drones have a 475km range, and because they are wax covered, all weather. Might be a great way to get railroad intelligence. Slava Ukraini
We've been sending them for like 3 years
“(...) victory is about justice. A just victory is one whose outcome satisfies all - those who respect international law, those who live in Ukraine, those who lost their loved ones and relatives. For them the price is high. For them there will never be an excuse for what Putin and his Army have done”.
V. Zelenskyy, Sep 22nd 2024 Interview.
Whens the election in ukraine zelenksy??? Lets see how popular he really is
@@chrimbus71 Well thank you for your comment! But I must ask you; at which point in my comment have I given you the impression that I was going to be interested in going down the rabbit hole of ru propaganda, "discussing" with a paid-for lying trollarsky?
@@AirB-101 standard denial from a war propagandist. Just a uk citizen who wants peace, whilst you psychos back govts in the west and east that want war. No one wins this thing, wake up!!!
"Blammy"... I learned a new adjective today
It's how you change from surprise (blimey) to oh sh!t ( blammy).
Love this quote “things go very blammy’
Good morning, man. Thanks for the continuing work.
The main advantage the Ukrainians seem to have is the ability to shift and adapt tactic's quicker than the Russians.
and deal with both higher quality and more numbers (quantity) without making it public. Look at how many people at the beginning thought that Ukraine would fall. I decided that after the 2nd week, this was going to be a slugfest until Ukraine could buy/loan/build whatever equipment was available/buildable.
the ukrainian army is being ground down while the russian one keeps gettting stronger
@@jebes909090if they keep getting stronger, why are they increasingly unable to actually do anything?
@@Minerals333 they literally take more cities each and every day.
Logistics are so cool.
Thanks for everything you do Peter!
Ukraine continues to amaze me with their fierce resistance and innovation. What a shame it would be if US politics curtailed the good work they're doing. Happy to see them give Putler his Waterloo moment of history.
You mean it would be a shame if US politicians acted in the interest of the US?
Fear not, the Dems will pull this election off. There’s a sweet smell of another Trump defeat in the air.
@@mountainman066Continued assistance for Ukraine IS in the interest of the US, friend 😊
@@mountainman066 We certainly wouldn't want to help Russia, now would we?
@@brokenaura23 cool story, keep chugging the kool aid 👍
The drone is called Palianytsia and is a medium sized turbojet powered ground launched cruise missile. It's not a rocket. Conceivably they might use rocket assist for launch, but I doubt it. The only reason for calling it a drone is if it's piloted, or has manually adjustable terminal guidance, which cruise missiles like the Tomahawk traditionally don't have although who knows, maybe they do now. It looks like it has a fairly large wing for a cruise missile, which implies a less powerful engine and lower top speed than the Tomahawk or Storm Shadow, but basically a cheaper, smaller ground launched variant on those systems. By cheaper, reportedly about $1m each, but while that's super expensive for a drone it's super cheap for a cruise missile. The Turbofan will be the big ticket item, and the limiting factor on production. Wonder what they're using, and where they're getting them from.
In some of the photos Ukraine released of the drone, there was snow onthe ground. Hopefully they have been producing these all summer long. I recall that UK and Latvia were taking the lead on drone assistance.
@@justmejustme4444 That makes sense. They reportedly used about 100 in these attacks, possibly 100 on an individual target, although that's not clear. If they have hundreds right now, they must have been churning them out for a while, so testing in the winter is reasonable.
I just don't get the trepidation of our governments to fully support Ukraine - whereas Russia is able to utilise relationships with China, Iran and Nth Korea with impunity.
The problem is that the general public likely has 20-30% of the inside info.....the administration has expert military advisors and high-quality Intelligence being used to form policy. The Ukrainians are succeeding beyond belief, given their numbers and military-industrial infrastructure.....and that says a lot.
The big fear is, that Russia could colapse.
Even if they don't start a nuclear war
This means you have multiply "ownerless" atomic bombs in a highly corrupt system that could end up anywhere....
The question is what would Ukraine be able to do to any of Russia'a allies compared to what Russia could do to Ukraines allies.
You have to remember, it's sadly about optics. The last thing the US wants to do is push Russia hard and fast. Putin is the type of person that is willing to commit all manner of acts and ware crimes to save face for himself. Random bombings in Europe, including things like dirty bombs wouldn't be off the table if he felt too closed in. The goal is to get mainly Russia people and staff around Putin to largely give up on the endeavor. Putin can only do what he's doing because many people in the government still have some faith and trust in him. You shake that and it's only a matter of time before he's forced to give up. The Optics part is that Putin frequently uses US involvement to stir and rally the Russia people. So if it mainly looks like Ukraine doing this, it make it harder for him to use that tactic.
@@MrkBO8 Russia cannot do jack to Ukraine's allies, unless it wants nuclear war;
And while China or North Korea dont have NATO's arsenal of nukes, they still do have a handful or two, which also open the possibility of retaliatory nuclear strikes...
long story short, neither side can do anything to the other side's allies.
That's why Russia lost the Crimean War in the 19th Century, no rail.
Yes they have found a way to track the trains, it’s called the US military industrial satellite complex.
Really though? America wouldn't want to cause any "escalation" or something.
I believe that new missile drone is pronounced for us English speakers - pah lya nit si ah
I usually try to not correct mispronounsiation of Ukrainian words by English speakers (because I know we have a hell lot of sounds which are disaster to you) but in this case I think this would be relevant, so... You shouldn't separate t and s to different syllables because they make a single sound (letter Ц in Cyrillic). It's short, a bit whistly and it doesn't sound like t or s themselves. It's more like clicking sound made by tip of your tongue :)
@@oleksandrbespalov9713 why is it so difficult for Russians to pronounce? I am a light Russian speaker myself and I don't see any missing facilities... Unless Ukrainian does something different with these letters?
@@todorkolev7565 the problem for russians is not with any of those sounds individually, but in how they're sound together. They have Ц (ts) and Я (ya or ia) in their language, but those sounds never meet together. And in Ukrainian it's a common thing, used in many words. Russians have tsa instead, and they pronounce it when read Ukrainian words with tsia. And it sounds funny and you definitely hear that it's a russian person who's speaking :)
The Toropets ammunition dump had over 30,000 tons of ordinance stored when it blew after the Ukrainian drone-missile strike.
YESSSS. Slava Ukraini!!
No.
Краснодар, Торо́пец, Тихоре́цк. The latter means The Quiet Place, which I find especially ironic.
The missile drone is called Паляниця.
The Quiet Place... hahahaha....
Great vid. Ukraine keeps adapting & upping their logistical & strategic targeting ability to disrupt Russian supply chain. Seems pretty critical. Thanx Peter & team. Cheers, Milan
Really good analysis. Than you!
While I listen intently to every word, I also look for bears in the background even though I can't wave them off from sunny Thailand...
Well if so I hope he's got a camera man, as the old joke in America here goes I don't have to outrun the bear I only have to outrun you
Funny, I've thought the same thing.
When the Kerch bridge was hit it was at a point where a fuel train just happened to be. That was back in October 2022. Rumours now that sailors from the Russian surface fleet are being sent to Ukraine to take part in meat wave assaults. Very interesting and terminal if confirmed.
The word is that personnel from the laid-up carrier Kuznetsov were redeployed to the front in a mobile artillery unit of some sort. If nothing else, it confirms Kuznetsov will probably never sail again, and Russia is abandoning carrier ops since they're about to waste the guys with the institutional knowledge of how to run one.
Well the Russian navy is rather free these days
@@VisibilityFoggy They won't be loosing much, the Soviets never really figured out how to run a carrier, hell, their navy couldn't do actually underway replenishment.
I read that they're pressing drone pilots, radio operators, and mechanics for their "self deletion" assaults.
You gotta be really short of manpower to do that shit.
@@VisibilityFoggyfor some of us it was a forgone conclusion that the carrier admiral kuznetsov was never to ‘set sail’ again.
Ukrainians should rename these drones to "debris"
The Russian advance on Pokrovsk has been stalled for a few weeks not a few days.
I disagree. 10-14 days ago they were still moving forward. Maybe only a 100 metres, but still technically 'forward'
Osint accounts showed ‘before’ satellite pics of how much ammo was stacked outside the Toropets bunkers. Some comment that the bunker doors were probably left open too
Initial guesses were it would only be the older section that was blown up but the ‘after’ pics showed half the new section was blown up too
"3 days", ladies and gentlemen.
I honestly dont understand the point of these comments anymore. They made sense in mid/late 2022 when Ukraine was regaining territory and the momentum was on their side but now we havent seen significant movement along the frontlines in almost 2 years. The damage to Ukraine´s economy has been immense and the demographic damage is irreversible (especially considering the low birthrates + high rates of emigration already before the war). Ukrainian men between the ages of 18 and 60 are not allowed to leave the country. But hey, at least we can repeat for the 478th time that Russia wasnt able to take Kiev in 3 days.
"Special Military operatzi" or something like that...angry little vlad
@@anarcho-boulangistllamaent2023can we rub it in when year 3 comes? I think pointing out such an upset of the world’s second strongest military is essential *plus repeating and reminding everyone seems to get the supporters of Russia…… irritated
The underdog is biting back! 🎉 never give up!
Thanx for starting my morning off with a blam.
Brilliant success for 🇺🇦- might need to brief Putin fan boys on USA media
An army succeeds or fails based on the availability of supply.
Disrupt their ability to supply their army and for all intents and purposes the war stops.
A gun without ammo is useless. a missile without fuel is useless.
So IF they can disrupt logistics that's a massive issue.
You don’t say? Captain Obvious 🫡
😂 not quite that simple
Correct. It's all about logistics.
@@Chr1s-fm6bi Who the hell is stating it’s a simple task? 😂
@@brokenaura23 Considering most of your posts are to try and be “first” there’s little value trying to make a point you would understand anyways but here’s what OP missed….if a military’s success depends on their ability to resupply, the war would have ended nearly 3 years ago when Russians forgot fuel and food in their 40 mile convoy. Russia has always has terrible logistics.
Stop sniffing glue.
Paul-yan-it-sa!
Putin-in-shit-ya?
Pa lya ni tsya
Паляниця 😂
It's difficult to pronounce for those who don't speak Ukrainian
When the war broke out there was a joke in Ukraine making a stranger to say this word if you had doubts whether a guy was russian.
You pronounced the placed correctly, Peter
You don't mess with the Zeihan!
After that shipping accident its hard to look at Peter with any knowledge beyond what certain agencies tell him to say
Listening to this made me want a subway
Does Russia have any means at all to protect itself from this new drone? The Russian mil bloggers are saying there is nothing they can do short or long term. But I would expect they are just panicking now.
Those were not drones. So no they can't protect from those. Those long range missiles use Synthetic Aperture terrain maps to closely follow ground. You can't jam them since they don't really need to use GPS, its hard to track them since they fly very low and fast. Also they are not used by Ukrainian but US,UK special operators. Since Ukraine is not in NATO they are not allowed near those guidance systems. Otherwise you could just handle them over to RU - that is how many spies there are in UA.
I think Ukraine has made a missile more than a drone that was used. Flies fast/big payload.
there is always just a propability of intercepting a target in active defense, not a certainty.
Read somewhere else that the depots are defended, but got overwhelmed. 90 get shot down but 10 get through.
That was the principle the USSR was going to depend on to attack US aircraft carriers. Now Russia is seeing the principle proven.
It's not a drone. Probably best bet would be sth like Israeli Iron Dome. Pretty short range, deals well with low altitude attacks. But even if they had the tech, it would have to be installed at every facility. Iron Dome is supposed to protect cities in tiny Israel, not vast Russia with hundreds of military facilities sprawled around it.
“ I don’t know what weapons will be used in WWIII, but WW IV will be fought with sticks and stones”. Albeit Einstein
Although I agree with the principle behind Peter's statement about the reason for the lack of road infrastructure, that did not prevent the USSR from building the largest military kit in history, which they ended up using 30 years after the fall.
Either Ukraine has built an analogue of the Taurus cruise missile with MEPHISTO-type warhead technology or Russian construction is sorely lacking when it comes to building hardened bunkers. For a subsonic drone weighing less than a ton to be defeating Russian bunkers is a damning indictment of baked-in corruption and nepotism.
Could it be the bunkers collapsed due to the ammo stored outdoors cooking off?
@@peterflohr7827 I doubt it, according to the satellite photos, the area where ammunition was stored outside was some distance away from the bunkers. Some of the bunkers are nothing more than craters so there was definitely an internal detonation. Russia said that over 100 drones where used (which I doubt) but it’s possible that multiple drones targeted the same bunker and just smashed their way through.
Russian people should protest to stop the war
From an american? Encouraging the war like Peter
Lol meanwhile Americans (Democrats and neocons) want war
Great update, thank you 👏
Courage et ténacité à l'Ukraine.
Ukrainians track Russian rail? NATO/U.S. is suppling vast amounts of Intel to them, quite sure.
Normal people? If I'm not mistaken palletization is a NATO & allies thing, not a people thing.
Nothing about the way this war has been conducted makes sense
Damn, foggy Colorado looking good
“Blammy” should be used for descriptions more frequently.
Yes they are able to monitor the rail system via sudka
And the Russians cannot cut them off
Exellent!
Russian government could have built road networks with all their fossil fuel money if there wasn’t so much corruption and so many snouts in the trough!
Hello Peter
Feel smarter watching to you
That you Kamala??
Blammy, dig it!
Back in WW2 the Allies spent a great deal of resources and effort at trying to take out German oil production. After the war it was discovered that Germany had a constant increase with their oil production throughout the war. It wasn't until the Allies started going after German rail infrastructure when it put the hurt to them.
Too late..
Russia would be smarter to use random trucks for ammunition and have decoy trucks rather than relying on rail so much.
As peter pointed out, they don't have a sufficiently well developed road network, they don't have enough trucks, and empty decoy trucks are just a further degradation in the number of trucks doing useful work, eating into capacity.
They don't have the road network to drive those trucks where they need to be. Most Russian cities are not connected by road at all, only by rail.
@@jnorth3341 I wouldn't go that far, and it's not as though Russia has no trucks. It's just that the scale and capacity of the infrastructure including the truck fleet, depot infrastructure, fuel distribution, etc isn't comparable to e.g. the USA or Europe, and they rely much more on trains.
If u check out every video of Zeihan u'll find a 100% pattern: all his prediction - all of them - were shown to come out the other way around.
Two thirds of their trains are electric...boogie ooggie woogie
Which is why electric substations in Russia are doubtlessly on list of important targets for the Ukrainian drones now.
Actually due to logistics lag, the depot strikes couldn't have stopped the pokrovsk push this fast
That's amazing intel, considering the Russians themselves don't know when their trains are running.
Do you ever worry about Bears?
The Colts beat the Bears
Peter's a good enough looking guy. I'm sure most bears would treat him nicely.
Let's see an A-10 drone "comparable" drone next. Just a huge gun with 100s of rounds/seconds - we've gotta be close?
Watch out for the bears
I got some good info from Peter on this one. Admitting Ukraine is performing deep strike with missiles and the fact they are targeting the rail network as a weak-point for these depots. This analysis is way more then Peter usually does.
Peter,
Those huge transformers at the output end of the Russian nuclear and fossil electric generation plants take months or years to replace. Not an on the shelf item. They are not radioactive either.
Those explosions are in tactical nukes territory
This war is exposing the weakness in armor and artillery, as well as troop movement and concealment. Not to mention supply storage. This is tantamount to the change in trench warfare or sea warfare we saw in WWi and WWII. The current thinking on combat tactics and standoff ranges are gong to have to be reevaluated or new systems are going to have to be developed and employed to deal with drone technology.
that is what happens if you dont have airsuperiority if it was NATO Russian logistis would have been taken out completely on week one
Peter always has something original to say. At least we didn't have to hear the atrocity "NU-CU-LAR".
Nope. Drone swarm. They don't have hundreds of those Peter...
Trains are large and visible things easy to track from the air, also they can hack into the internal systems of the RZD to follow train movements.
"to peter out"? hehe
If the situation is comparable to the wider European one the passenger transport is likely electrified. However cargo is normally pulled by diesel locomotives. This would mean that if the Russians are willing to get the electric trains of the rails, and thus disrupting travel for people, the cargo would be able to continue.
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦🇺🇸🇦🇺🫡
FYI, the new drone/missile weapon is called the Palianytsia (pah-lia-nee-chia), in honor of a traditional Ukrainian bread that invading Russian troops find notoriously difficult to pronounce 😂😂
And yet, showels are still somehow closing in on Vuhledar.
still spinnin Ivan?
@@bbbf09the washing machines are yes
A Ballon with an attached Cable might do the Trick 🤔
I wonder what temperatures Moscow will have come winter.
did Peter just say peter out
Blamey sounds British.
Anyone remember the predictions he was making last year that never happened?
"Blammy"
Palantir baby!
The new drones are pronounced... "Made In The USA"...
Soo-dzja!
Thanks, but genuinely asking, how does an English speaker pronounce "dzja"?
@@Rob_F8Flike ja- in jacket
@@Kristof1 Thank you!
Peter says at 4:23 somehow the Ukranians are tracking trains... yeah somehow like nato cia etc... if this continues things are going to get glowy
Does this man ever go home?
And it's called "storm shadow"
Don't think so as it has a range of 'only' 250km, not far enough to reach these places.
100 storm shadows, ugh 😮 NO
they most likely stored some ammo outside due to being more than full. that caused a chain reaction
Storm Shadow is an Anglo-French cruise missile made by MBDA. That's not what he was talking about.
@@Keckegenkai the Site was struck with upwards of 100 of these new ‘drones’ genius.
The new missile drones raise a question, what is the warhead? Ukraine has now had plenty of time to cobble together undeclared capability in the 50kt class. If ruzz does use a nuke, ukraine now has the wherewithal to respond in kind.
Just as the Chinese are seriously opposed to Russian use of nukes, I would imagine that the US would be similarly opposed to Ukrainian use of nukes
Of course Ukraine has access to real-time satellite intel, because their allies do. However there are probably trains in active wartime depots as often as there are not, so that is spurious evidence.
Dont escalate behind the tree
For some reason his beard and sweater make him look like a king fu master
Now I don’t really know how they would work in Russia but someone putting apple air tags on trains by partisans or operatives, would that work?
Drissle?
I was wondering about how russian logistics were doing. I was curious if they had made improvements.
So this video was very much appreciated.
I'm also very curious about how well russia's internal security is working... Or should I say not working? Because I strongly suspect that their ability to collect and analyze intelligence is getting pretty bad.
Do you have any info to confirm or deny that?
Didn't Peter say Russia would take Kiev in months? Didn't he also say Bitcoin would drop from 16k to 0?