I find it strange that so many content creators like Fernandez, but won't go near Luiz Diaz. Diaz is cheaper, has higher xG+A plus has scored 5 goals more than Fernandez.
@@FPLFran : haha! I have to take your word for it Fran, but personally these numbers make it easier for me to separate the 2. I will stick with Diaz for now, but I will need to decide who to remove for Mbeumo at some point. 👍
It's minutes. Diaz has competition, Bruno, and Eze, who's another one who falls into this, don't. Personally, I think the minutes risk is worth it, but the content creators generally like to play it safe
Had 2FTs, did Porro to Gabriel. Now I'm wondering if keeping salah for one more wolves game could be an option. Arsenal just played two tough games fitness wise and wolves have been so bad defensively. If i do Salah to Saka now I cant even spend the rest of the surplus money without a -4 so seems less worth it. thoughts?
@@Maxrodon unfortunately not - Kovacic will be coming in but that makes Gvardiol almost nailed on to start as will need the height at set pieces lost by Rodri. Lewis will still get a few games and halves.
Hey Fran love your content. Also on a Wc. I'm fairly certain I want Smith Rowe, Rogers, saka locked at least for a while but leaves me the choice between. Semenyo Palmer Or Diaz Mbuemo Whatdya think?
Hey Fran, i'm wondering if i should do salah palmer and Jp to Haaland, bowen/diaz/eze and Seemenyo for a hit. Don't massively like the look of them on paper, but haaland is just different and needs to come in. I maybe could wait a week but i could be priced out of the move or it forces me into taking a hit next week anyway to get funds elsewhere. Seriously considering it. Thoughts?
Hey Fran, why do you think Maddison is a yellow pick and not a green? Considering he has a fantastic fixture run coming up and is second amongst all players(!) in xga. Do you think that kind of form is sustainable for someone like him?
Hey, fran, thoughts on going for bowen instead of diaz as a punt as everyone in my mini league has him ?? Could end very badly, but im up for the risk...
Is Henderson to Raya worth it for a -4? Usually I would never consider a GK transfer for a hit but I think some Arsenal clean sheets seem inevitable over the next few. I also avoid my attackers playing against Henderson for the next 3 and have nowhere to spend the extra 1m this week.
Fran i'm thinking of subbing watkins for either jackson /havertz so that i can get an arsenal defender...do u think it's right move and between jackson and harvetz who should i buy
You are the goat! Make fernandes a green pick! You know the haul is coming! … I told you to add Dibling last week 😉 voted for you on the content created awards!
A question about Dibling, his minutes has only been over 60 minutes the two last fixtures. Why didn’t he play more the first 3 fixtures? How sure are we that he will play 60 min or more going forward?
Because this is his breakthrough season, he has played himself into the team now. I took advantage of this and brought him in for gw4 (it was a risk, for sure). I checked some forumes, and southampton fans are saying things like: «he’s the best southamton talent since bale», «hes our best player», «he’ll get picked up by a bigger team next summer» etc
I feel the comment below captures the point - Mins feels like a graduation of Mins on his way to becoming a starter. Does it make any sense to have him as a perma-playing option? No. Is he better than Winks? Most certainly
@@FPL-TonyOf course. I did some research on him myself before i went for him. Hes genuinely one of their best players, at 18. One of Englands best talents. His decision making is great, and hes very effective. He started against United, played well (won a penalty too), and then was benched in the cup where they rotated heavily. And then he started and scored
So Eze's npxG+xA/90 is the same as last year (0.59), when he scored 136 points all season, and when he started at £6m, and he wasn't important in the game (I started with him and dropped him and never regretted it), and now he's £6.9m/7.0m, and not converting that npxG=xA/90. And he's Green. What am I missing?
He’s not the most important player in the game but I still think he’s a good shout. He was injured for a bit last year and performed well towards the end of the season under Glasner. Of course Palace aren’t clicking as well yet this year
Wait and pick eze up for 6.8 then I moved on this week myself to Mbuemo but that was the plan anyway he has been unlucky but also wasteful so either it comes or it doesn’t I’m done lol
Hi Fran. I've just used my x2 FT's for Team Value purposes and may take a -4 to avoid WC6. If I activate WC6 before the deadline, will I get my x2 FT's back and the hit cleared. I assumed I would but have read content to the contrary. I've given a vote to you in regards to the Content Creator awards.earlier this evening. Thanks for the great work and help you have given.
Maz is nice but I tend to think he isn't going to be highly involved in production vs Dalot and may not keep his spot if Shaw returns. Still certainly a good pick if you're not worried about Luke. Robinson - really poor defence IMO and fixture run is gone
@@ShyGuyRacing This Heat are the greatest band ever. Like 0.0001% of FPL community know them. You are one of these rare ppl. Pleased to meet you. I was expecting ppl to urge me to hit, but I get paper hats, or maybe even roses. The sounds of EXPLOSIONS...
Just wanted your thoughts on Digne. I’m a bit gutted I put Digne in my team instead of Konsa. He also went off at HT. I can conceivably sell him for a TAA or Gabriel if I do decide to take -4 to bring in either Diaz or Saka for Mo. Just feel like every decision I make goes against me at the moment 🤣 😢 Worried Digne is a mins risk basically.
I think I've said many times on the cheatsheet that Digne is playing on a knife's edge and that his mins will eventually be cut short. He is and will always be a mins risk with Maatsen not injured. I'd probably bite the bullet with the -4 as you will rest assured it's a better long term move
@@Sound6838I have Raya Trent Konsa Dunk Robinson Greaves Saka Mbeumo ESR Rogers Diaz Haaland Watkins and JP with 1.3 mil in the bank for future transfers
I have a doubt, Why is there a price difference between the quoted price of a player and the same player in my team? Example, Luis Diaz is quoted to be 7.9 but in my team he is 7.7
I would give a tip: Go to transfers in FPL, sort by list. You will notice that there is a difference between all the different prices. There is a purchase price (original purchase) Selling price (what you can sell the player for) and current price (what the player is worth on the market)
Semeneyo is a green pick in the cheat sheet and travernier isn't even there. Travernier has 0.42xg per 90 whereas semenyo has 0.35xg. Travernier has 0.57xgI per 90 and semenyo has 0.63xgI per 90 and both have played equal minutes so far. Why is he not even in the sheet and if you would add him in the cheat sheet then what color would he be? Also who should I pick between rogers and travernier. I don't have .1 to get to semenyo
I'd pick Rogers still. With Tavernier the production has been there to start this season but based on his historical underlyings the leap so far (which is mostly xGI accumulation in 3 nice easy games) is quite hard to reason with re: him making such a huge leap vs Semenyo who has made a less significant one. I would probably class him as an orange right now.
Hey all, i had 2 free transfers last night and used one of them to bring in Diaz. I’m now considering using my WC in GW6 - if I activate it, will I get the free transfer I used back? So I start GW7 with 2 free transfers? Thanks!
To put Diaz yellow and want to put Bruno green is absolutely ridiculous mate. I know you admittedly rely very much on models so not sure if you watched many pool and UTD games but there are reasons Diaz is top scoring mid and Bruno is being Bruno, being a poor finisher and a 1 season wonder when they had a pen a game. I get the feeling you and Bakar have the same team again with seeing his and the players you are taking up. Are you not concerned the model hasn't really done very well and you are just going from frying pan to fire? DCL is another. Have you seen how poor he is at converting chances. A walking talking reasot to avoid XGI. I do like these videos but i think sometimes you should be objective without putting your own bias in there. Hope you take this as constructive feedback
I admittedly use models and rely on underlying data to play and navigate the landscape. Luis Diaz starting the season with 5 goals in 5 is an aberration for him, unless you are suggesting he is on a 38 goal pace. Diaz also plays close to 70 mins a game on average (could be less, but I doubt that) so a lot of his underlying data are actually comparable to Bruno so far despite the mins gap. So far LD has 0.4 xGI more than Bruno. Most models account for finishing skill - that is the point you make re: DCL and his absurdly poor finishing. Bruno is less of a case of a poor finisher but clearly has exhibited poor finishing to start the season. Hope you learnt something today
I’ve been following Fran for years now and rest assured I’ve sometimes had my own moments where I look at Frans analysis and say “that can’t be right” but he has consistently proven me wrong. Just look at Frans finishes for the last few seasons which is overwhelming evidence his system is tried, tested and works. And not to take away from the other FPL pundits who are also exceptional, Fran is actually in the upper tier of FPL pundits based on historical season finishes. Even last season he started by recommending Havertz and everyone gave him a hard time about it and towards the middle of the season and start of this Season, Havertz has become a very decent pick. So all I can say is no matter how odd it may seem, hate it or love it Frans model works.
@@FPLFran fair enough. I am glad people are going with Bruno over Diaz but you do forget we have transfers and when things look shaky we can then move out. You don't need to select a full 11 for the next 15 weeks or whatever . The problem when you are so reliant on models you don't learn lessons. You need a balance. Ps I've got a number of great ranks over the many years so I know my stuff too. Persisting with Bruno is why you have had a bad start. Every year he fails to deliver and live up to his hype. I've just seen your wildcard draft and I actually like it btw.
Hi Fran, I hit the wildcard after seeing the lack of Saka, Gabriel and Spurs attack/Porro. What do you think about Trent + Solanke vs Robertson+ Watkins? Thanks!
Eze green, but Diaz yellow like Bowen, Maddison, Fernandes and Foden is a “bit” puzzling to me I must admit. Eze hasn’t delivered for a mediocre team, Bowen has been ok for a poor team, Maddison has been quite good (and should be green imo), Fernandes has been poor for a mediocre/poor team and Foden has barely played. Diaz might have “over performed” or maybe he just fits Slot’s system better than Klopp’s. I also am a bit puzzled about Havertz being green when he clearly isn’t used a forward every game currently.
Havertz has LEI SOU (H). Eze has decent fixtures, great underlyings and all SPs + a decent chance of pens if Mateta is off the field (and is 6.9). Maddison has slightly poor mins and is performing well but doesn't have the best games till 8+ Foden is just about expecting ahead, we have enough data to know what Foden with good mins looks like. Diaz is running into slightly tougher fixtures over the next 4 I'd say, has been running molten hot but has great data (but poor-ish mins too). I do often feel our arguments constantly are about how to predict ahead and I give you my reasons but you still won't take them aha and mostly get an understanding of the game through past points which I've argued isn't a good indication of anything without more context
@@FPLFran It´s not like those predictions are totally independent on past points. It´s not an epiphany that Salah, Haaland, Son, Bowen, Saka Palmer are predicted to get more point than many other, just like it´s no surprise that players like Reese James most probably will be out with injury more than they will be on the pitch. Eze is playing for a team that season after season after season has shown that they do not score many goals. If they suddenly should do so this season would be a big surprise to me anyway. Eze is surely a good football player, but he hasn´t been much better than several other alternatives in the past, and I am willing to bet he won´t be this season either. Right now he has exactly the same amount of points as Hudson-Odoi and just 4 more than Gibbs-White which I still predict will have at least as many points as Eze when this season is over.
I am (obviously) aware of that. I'm not sure what made you listen to the video thinking I didn't think that? I was clearly referring to them performing worse than under Moyes.
@@FPLFran "...And we usually associate someone like Moyes with being a little bit more defensive manager".Either you forgot about Lopetegui or you just misspoke. Now, it was in a context as if you are talking about the current manager, so it seemed that way. An honest mistake, just wanted to point it out. Keep up the good work!
I played Robinson over Konsa and took a -8 to replace muniz and munoz with CL and aina. Could have scored 20+ points if I didn't act so hasty Do you think it is good idea to sell Arnold for Gabriel?
I personally think so. In that he is like Fernandes. If you watched all of Ezes games and saw his underlying data, it’s very unlucky that he hasn’t returned more. Or to re-word it in all his games he was more than likely to have been involved in a goal and should have been but was unlucky. If he keeps those numbers up the returns will begin to show. Rogers is another example of this.
@@Maxrodon I just think too many are desperately hoping for more from Eze than he actually will be able to deliver. He plays for a mediocre team which is not known for scoring many goals (take a look at previous season going back many years). Rogers has potential as long as Watkins and Duran stays fit, though don’t expect many 10 pointers from him going forward.
@@FPL-Tony I think you make a valid point that some (like me) who own him may have a bias to defend him based our rationale for still sticking with him. I will admit that Crystal Palace have not been firing on all cylinders so far but regardless of how medicore they have been, the numbers are still there. Forrest have been "ok" but have not stood out as an attacking side and Wood has quietly been clocking away with points. Same goes for Bowen and Westham. The different between them and Eze is that Eze hasn't returned as much despite having more goal scoring opportunties. If Rogers assits were not converted this week, I would still hold onto him because the numbers and chances are still promising, just like Eze. But if someone wants to sell, I can understand but for me it's just a bit more patience needed.
He would be in the Bruno territory basically. Where I would put him yellow but I have him close to a green. The pen share thing is the most significant piece that actually dampened my expectations on him. I saw Eze as close to essential and now no longer see him as such
@@Maxrodon The main reason I brought in Rogers is his price. I would prefer Smith-Rowe and maybe even McNeil, but they are both quite a bit more expensive currently. Adama, Onana, Amad, Sinisterra and Soucek are around that same price bracket, but though both Adama and Onana absolutely have tempted me I haven´t had the guts to go for either of them.
@sillyWiseman Yeah but Mbuemo has penalties aswell Semenyo doesn't plus better fixtures. What I would do if I was you is go for Mbuemo up until about GW13 then if you look at the fixtures Semenyo then has good fixtures after GW13 when Brentfords fixtures start to turn also Mbuemo is gonna perform and then go up in price so it's easier to go down to Semenyo later than it is to go back up to Mbuemo, hope this helps😊
@@wandanielhasif7064 So do I however it looked like he was asking to choose between the two and if I could only pick 1 it would be Mbuemo over Semenyo however both great options at their price point if you ask me😊
Absolutely mental that Salah is still green when Diaz is yellow. It is so so backward looking. Salah now in his current age and form is worse than Diaz, definitely at his price he is a much weaker asset. And he is not nailed for 90 minutes right now.
Salah has literally played nothing but close to pure 90s this season vs a LD who plays 70 mins a game. Not sure what point you're making here. He might be on worse form than Diaz, but unless you're suggesting Diaz will score 38 goals this season then I think we can probably say LD's form is unsustainable.
@@FPLFran it’s only the start of the season. With CL Salah will be rotated as much as others (some people just assume that he will play 90+90 every week. Not gonna happen). Plus if he continues playing like he does, he will be benched for other reasons.
@@graziano1688 with respect mate just cause he’s not getting you points doesn’t mean he’s not playing well… he’s been great and got another assist at the weekend - also no need to keep editing the comments, if you think something go ahead and say it
I brought Dibling into my team this week, and he got 11 points 🤩
Incredible work. Are you a SOU fan?
22:42 "That's why Wood gets such a substantial rise" 😉
I gotta start just saying Chris haha
I swear there are some people who just go straight to the 'Wood' section of the video
@@FPLFranlol
@@Lim5547 looool
I find it strange that so many content creators like Fernandez, but won't go near Luiz Diaz. Diaz is cheaper, has higher xG+A plus has scored 5 goals more than Fernandez.
They are 0.4 xGI apart and Luis Diaz has 5 goals and 1 assist and Bruno has 1 assist. Think that's just why it's hard to separate the two
@@FPLFran : haha! I have to take your word for it Fran, but personally these numbers make it easier for me to separate the 2. I will stick with Diaz for now, but I will need to decide who to remove for Mbeumo at some point. 👍
@@FPLFran what increases rank? Actual points or XG?
It's minutes. Diaz has competition, Bruno, and Eze, who's another one who falls into this, don't. Personally, I think the minutes risk is worth it, but the content creators generally like to play it safe
Most content creators are paid by FPL Hub and orher bullshit AI stats. They are all contractually forced to say this exact same BS expected data.
Had 2FTs, did Porro to Gabriel. Now I'm wondering if keeping salah for one more wolves game could be an option. Arsenal just played two tough games fitness wise and wolves have been so bad defensively. If i do Salah to Saka now I cant even spend the rest of the surplus money without a -4 so seems less worth it. thoughts?
I am keeping Salah for 1 mre week
Midweek off for the arsenal starters so no concerns there after a tough week
@@samwoodward2676 Oh crap, great point! Didn't cross my mind. Salah might not be as fresh then..I'll have a think about it!
I'm planning to go Colwill and Mazrauoi in wildcard. If you look at their fixtures they rotate really well
Wow this comment section is like a witch hunt for some reason, y’all are salty about your rank 😂 keep up the great content Fran
Hi Fran do you think Rodri’s injury creates an opportunity for Lewis given Lewis was often played in formations without Rodri?
@@Maxrodon unfortunately not - Kovacic will be coming in but that makes Gvardiol almost nailed on to start as will need the height at set pieces lost by Rodri. Lewis will still get a few games and halves.
Hey Fran love your content. Also on a Wc. I'm fairly certain I want Smith Rowe, Rogers, saka locked at least for a while but leaves me the choice between.
Semenyo Palmer
Or
Diaz Mbuemo
Whatdya think?
Do yall think i take the hit for smith rowe out for semenyo?
Hey Fran, i'm wondering if i should do salah palmer and Jp to Haaland, bowen/diaz/eze and Seemenyo for a hit. Don't massively like the look of them on paper, but haaland is just different and needs to come in. I maybe could wait a week but i could be priced out of the move or it forces me into taking a hit next week anyway to get funds elsewhere. Seriously considering it. Thoughts?
Hey Fran, why do you think Maddison is a yellow pick and not a green? Considering he has a fantastic fixture run coming up and is second amongst all players(!) in xga. Do you think that kind of form is sustainable for someone like him?
Hey, fran, thoughts on going for bowen instead of diaz as a punt as everyone in my mini league has him ?? Could end very badly, but im up for the risk...
How is sepp van den berg for an option?
Hi Fran, which asset under 6.0m is better: Semenyo or ESR? and why?
Bro where is van den Berg in your cheetsheet?!
Its not clear whether he'll start over Pinnock or Collins if Brentford play 4 ATB, which they will do against weaker teams.
Is Henderson to Raya worth it for a -4?
Usually I would never consider a GK transfer for a hit but I think some Arsenal clean sheets seem inevitable over the next few. I also avoid my attackers playing against Henderson for the next 3 and have nowhere to spend the extra 1m this week.
Fran i'm thinking of subbing watkins for either jackson /havertz so that i can get an arsenal defender...do u think it's right move and between jackson and harvetz who should i buy
You are the goat! Make fernandes a green pick! You know the haul is coming! … I told you to add Dibling last week 😉 voted for you on the content created awards!
Brought in palmer and Jackson this week taking me to top 100k from 400k so pretty happy. Wild carding this week as well I think.
incredible!
Gvardiol, Son, Havertz (double Ars att) or Saliba, Cole Palmer, Solanke (double Ars def)?
Hey Fran, is gundogan a sleeping giant? I feel he will be a 20 min fill in player
A question about Dibling, his minutes has only been over 60 minutes the two last fixtures. Why didn’t he play more the first 3 fixtures? How sure are we that he will play 60 min or more going forward?
Because this is his breakthrough season, he has played himself into the team now. I took advantage of this and brought him in for gw4 (it was a risk, for sure). I checked some forumes, and southampton fans are saying things like: «he’s the best southamton talent since bale», «hes our best player», «he’ll get picked up by a bigger team next summer» etc
I feel the comment below captures the point - Mins feels like a graduation of Mins on his way to becoming a starter. Does it make any sense to have him as a perma-playing option? No. Is he better than Winks? Most certainly
@@MK-mm7ui Fans are not the manager.
@@FPLFran I would absolutey be willing to pick him over Winks, I was just wondering if anyone knew a bit more about him than I do.
@@FPL-TonyOf course. I did some research on him myself before i went for him. Hes genuinely one of their best players, at 18. One of Englands best talents. His decision making is great, and hes very effective. He started against United, played well (won a penalty too), and then was benched in the cup where they rotated heavily. And then he started and scored
So Eze's npxG+xA/90 is the same as last year (0.59), when he scored 136 points all season, and when he started at £6m, and he wasn't important in the game (I started with him and dropped him and never regretted it), and now he's £6.9m/7.0m, and not converting that npxG=xA/90. And he's Green. What am I missing?
He’s not the most important player in the game but I still think he’s a good shout. He was injured for a bit last year and performed well towards the end of the season under Glasner. Of course Palace aren’t clicking as well yet this year
no need to wild card for me but i have mitoma/rowe and i'm contemplating a maddison transfer for mitoma or maybe smith for mbuemo.
Hey fran!! Palmer+Semenyo+DCL, Bruno+Semenyo+Solanke, OR Son+Garnacho+DCL????
Im thinking to triple up with haland savinho and one of gvardiol / lewis / akanji. who would you suggest? Or do you prefer eze instead of savi?
Stay clear of Eze
@@chocobomtomNo get eze everyone should be getting rid of him so his more likely to score...
Wait and pick eze up for 6.8 then I moved on this week myself to Mbuemo but that was the plan anyway he has been unlucky but also wasteful so either it comes or it doesn’t I’m done lol
Hi Fran. I've just used my x2 FT's for Team Value purposes and may take a -4 to avoid WC6. If I activate WC6 before the deadline, will I get my x2 FT's back and the hit cleared. I assumed I would but have read content to the contrary. I've given a vote to you in regards to the Content Creator awards.earlier this evening. Thanks for the great work and help you have given.
Sure it wipes them out I’m sure buddy xx
Thanks mate, love that Format
Who will start, timber or calafiori?
mavididi is such an underrated pick
With rodri out are you still a fan of City defense?
For Brentford, why do you prefer Pinnock to Collins who is the same price with 2 assists?
Not much splitting the two. Tend to think Pinnock is more nailed but I might be wrong and Collins might be the main man currently
Hi Fran, why does the 24/25 expected data for each player on the fpl app not match the data on the cheat sheet?
they come from different sources of xGI unfortunately
Would you still pick joao pedro over vardy with the upcoming fixtures? (Gw7 onwards)
And Wood over DCL all day right?
Wood Mcneil or DCL Semanyo ?
Hi Fran, i hope you're doing well.
your thoughts about Arsenal players : Raya, Gabriel and Saka or Gabriel, Saka and Haverts ? Thank you !
You can't really pick wrong. IMO any assortment of the green picks are best but I really would try to own Saka + Gabriel + one more
For defenders what do you think of Mazraoui and Robinson?
Maz is nice but I tend to think he isn't going to be highly involved in production vs Dalot and may not keep his spot if Shaw returns. Still certainly a good pick if you're not worried about Luke.
Robinson - really poor defence IMO and fixture run is gone
Got 97 points. Eze been so annoying though. Do I get rid of him for Mbuemo for a 4 point hit, or keep him for Everton?
Don’t take the -4 hit, everton is a great fixture
I wouldn't do it for a hit usually but if you aren't planning a WC anytime soon I don't mind it
This Heat x FPL Crossover 🔥🔥🔥
@@ShyGuyRacing This Heat are the greatest band ever. Like 0.0001% of FPL community know them. You are one of these rare ppl. Pleased to meet you. I was expecting ppl to urge me to hit, but I get paper hats, or maybe even roses. The sounds of EXPLOSIONS...
Hi fran Would you keep Bowen or would you go to Sancho Will he start more
bowen is better than Sancho, Sancho's mins are always going to be dicey unfortunately
Just wanted your thoughts on Digne. I’m a bit gutted I put Digne in my team instead of Konsa. He also went off at HT. I can conceivably sell him for a TAA or Gabriel if I do decide to take -4 to bring in either Diaz or Saka for Mo. Just feel like every decision I make goes against me at the moment 🤣 😢 Worried Digne is a mins risk basically.
I think I've said many times on the cheatsheet that Digne is playing on a knife's edge and that his mins will eventually be cut short. He is and will always be a mins risk with Maatsen not injured. I'd probably bite the bullet with the -4 as you will rest assured it's a better long term move
Much appreciated mate. Cheers. Think -4 for Diaz or Saka & then either TAA or Gabriel. Thanks.
is it just me or did he miss talking on Mbeumo?
88 points this week! Up to 7k overall. Moved Jota and Palmer to Mbeumo and Saka
Why would you sell Palmer 😬
@@RileyEvansFantasy Look at the next 3 fixtures for Arsenal, it’s a risk I’m willing to take
I don't have haaland but I have Jackson, DCL, Palmer, saka, smith Rowe, Trent, Gabriel, maddison, Luis daiz
@@Sound6838I have Raya Trent Konsa Dunk Robinson Greaves Saka Mbeumo ESR Rogers Diaz Haaland Watkins and JP with 1.3 mil in the bank for future transfers
Nice mate! I’m at 91 k not a great week for me but I’m hoping to keep climbing a bit more every week
Start Colwill or Gvardiol/Lewis depending on who starts
Is Sepp Van den Berg not considered a good option at 4.0m?
I really have no guarantee he starts over Collins + Pinnock in a back four.
I have a doubt,
Why is there a price difference between the quoted price of a player and the same player in my team?
Example, Luis Diaz is quoted to be 7.9 but in my team he is 7.7
That's what you could sell him for. Every 0.2 increase means a 0.1 for your sell value.
I would give a tip:
Go to transfers in FPL, sort by list. You will notice that there is a difference between all the different prices.
There is a purchase price (original purchase)
Selling price (what you can sell the player for)
and current price (what the player is worth on the market)
@@FPLFran Thanks!
Semeneyo is a green pick in the cheat sheet and travernier isn't even there. Travernier has 0.42xg per 90 whereas semenyo has 0.35xg. Travernier has 0.57xgI per 90 and semenyo has 0.63xgI per 90 and both have played equal minutes so far. Why is he not even in the sheet and if you would add him in the cheat sheet then what color would he be? Also who should I pick between rogers and travernier. I don't have .1 to get to semenyo
I'd pick Rogers still. With Tavernier the production has been there to start this season but based on his historical underlyings the leap so far (which is mostly xGI accumulation in 3 nice easy games) is quite hard to reason with re: him making such a huge leap vs Semenyo who has made a less significant one. I would probably class him as an orange right now.
@@FPLFran thanks fran, loving this series!!
Going for Palmer over Trent !
What's the city guys twitter? You just mentioned Luke.
@dis_fpl
Surely Martinelli looks promising following the trossard injury?
it was a suspension but yes. I generally would like to hold a pick for the medium to long so that's my only concern really with Mart.
I think Granacho should be here what do you think
Hey all, i had 2 free transfers last night and used one of them to bring in Diaz. I’m now considering using my WC in GW6 - if I activate it, will I get the free transfer I used back? So I start GW7 with 2 free transfers? Thanks!
Yes! It resets.
Can you give more info about this man Luke, that makes predictions about Man City. Thanks :)
@dis_fpl
Start Dibling or Vardy this week? tough call
gotta say dibling
what about van den berg?
To put Diaz yellow and want to put Bruno green is absolutely ridiculous mate. I know you admittedly rely very much on models so not sure if you watched many pool and UTD games but there are reasons Diaz is top scoring mid and Bruno is being Bruno, being a poor finisher and a 1 season wonder when they had a pen a game. I get the feeling you and Bakar have the same team again with seeing his and the players you are taking up. Are you not concerned the model hasn't really done very well and you are just going from frying pan to fire? DCL is another. Have you seen how poor he is at converting chances. A walking talking reasot to avoid XGI. I do like these videos but i think sometimes you should be objective without putting your own bias in there. Hope you take this as constructive feedback
Ur clearly a shitpool fan so stfu and stop watching
I hope your day got better
I admittedly use models and rely on underlying data to play and navigate the landscape. Luis Diaz starting the season with 5 goals in 5 is an aberration for him, unless you are suggesting he is on a 38 goal pace.
Diaz also plays close to 70 mins a game on average (could be less, but I doubt that) so a lot of his underlying data are actually comparable to Bruno so far despite the mins gap. So far LD has 0.4 xGI more than Bruno.
Most models account for finishing skill - that is the point you make re: DCL and his absurdly poor finishing. Bruno is less of a case of a poor finisher but clearly has exhibited poor finishing to start the season.
Hope you learnt something today
I’ve been following Fran for years now and rest assured I’ve sometimes had my own moments where I look at Frans analysis and say “that can’t be right” but he has consistently proven me wrong. Just look at Frans finishes for the last few seasons which is overwhelming evidence his system is tried, tested and works. And not to take away from the other FPL pundits who are also exceptional, Fran is actually in the upper tier of FPL pundits based on historical season finishes. Even last season he started by recommending Havertz and everyone gave him a hard time about it and towards the middle of the season and start of this Season, Havertz has become a very decent pick. So all I can say is no matter how odd it may seem, hate it or love it Frans model works.
@@FPLFran fair enough. I am glad people are going with Bruno over Diaz but you do forget we have transfers and when things look shaky we can then move out. You don't need to select a full 11 for the next 15 weeks or whatever . The problem when you are so reliant on models you don't learn lessons. You need a balance. Ps I've got a number of great ranks over the many years so I know my stuff too. Persisting with Bruno is why you have had a bad start. Every year he fails to deliver and live up to his hype. I've just seen your wildcard draft and I actually like it btw.
Semenyo or jota?
Hi Fran,
I hit the wildcard after seeing the lack of Saka, Gabriel and Spurs attack/Porro. What do you think about Trent + Solanke vs Robertson+ Watkins? Thanks!
think I prefer the former.
Just 1 Q. Is Haaland essential?
Eze green, but Diaz yellow like Bowen, Maddison, Fernandes and Foden is a “bit” puzzling to me I must admit. Eze hasn’t delivered for a mediocre team, Bowen has been ok for a poor team, Maddison has been quite good (and should be green imo), Fernandes has been poor for a mediocre/poor team and Foden has barely played. Diaz might have “over performed” or maybe he just fits Slot’s system better than Klopp’s.
I also am a bit puzzled about Havertz being green when he clearly isn’t used a forward every game currently.
Havertz has LEI SOU (H).
Eze has decent fixtures, great underlyings and all SPs + a decent chance of pens if Mateta is off the field (and is 6.9).
Maddison has slightly poor mins and is performing well but doesn't have the best games till 8+
Foden is just about expecting ahead, we have enough data to know what Foden with good mins looks like.
Diaz is running into slightly tougher fixtures over the next 4 I'd say, has been running molten hot but has great data (but poor-ish mins too).
I do often feel our arguments constantly are about how to predict ahead and I give you my reasons but you still won't take them aha and mostly get an understanding of the game through past points which I've argued isn't a good indication of anything without more context
@@FPLFran It´s not like those predictions are totally independent on past points. It´s not an epiphany that Salah, Haaland, Son, Bowen, Saka Palmer are predicted to get more point than many other, just like it´s no surprise that players like Reese James most probably will be out with injury more than they will be on the pitch. Eze is playing for a team that season after season after season has shown that they do not score many goals. If they suddenly should do so this season would be a big surprise to me anyway. Eze is surely a good football player, but he hasn´t been much better than several other alternatives in the past, and I am willing to bet he won´t be this season either. Right now he has exactly the same amount of points as Hudson-Odoi and just 4 more than Gibbs-White which I still predict will have at least as many points as Eze when this season is over.
You think Duran can get starts?
definitely - Lopetegui said starts are near and the performances are hard to shy away from
Your opinion on Darwin Nunez?🎉
who is a good goalkeeper replacement for raya?
im .4 short
Flekken
Isak for Havertz or Robertson for Gabriel?
Havertz imo
@@FPLFran 👍🏾
Lopetegui is managing WH, not Moyes. 😂
I am (obviously) aware of that. I'm not sure what made you listen to the video thinking I didn't think that? I was clearly referring to them performing worse than under Moyes.
@@FPLFran "...And we usually associate someone like Moyes with being a little bit more defensive manager".Either you forgot about Lopetegui or you just misspoke. Now, it was in a context as if you are talking about the current manager, so it seemed that way. An honest mistake, just wanted to point it out. Keep up the good work!
What about Collins?
Collins is great too.
To put Joao Pedro green doesn’t make sense I’m sorry cannot agree with that
why not? He's only missed two games because of his knock - it doesn't reflect his ability to produce when fit.
@@FPLFran his fixtures aren't particularly good I suppose
@@Kittel_ yeah but he also plays for a better attack than say NFO/EVE
🎉🎉🎉
I played Robinson over Konsa and took a -8 to replace muniz and munoz with CL and aina. Could have scored 20+ points if I didn't act so hasty
Do you think it is good idea to sell Arnold for Gabriel?
What made you think Aina was gonna do anything against Brighton?
@@CodPatrol Again, stupid decision😂😂
think you should just play the fixtures most times. Konsa vs WOL(H) is that good. Obviously he still conceded but it was a screamer too.
@@FPLFran yeah you are right
Would Eze still be green if he hadn’t had a return in GW3?
I personally think so. In that he is like Fernandes. If you watched all of Ezes games and saw his underlying data, it’s very unlucky that he hasn’t returned more.
Or to re-word it in all his games he was more than likely to have been involved in a goal and should have been but was unlucky. If he keeps those numbers up the returns will begin to show. Rogers is another example of this.
@@Maxrodon I just think too many are desperately hoping for more from Eze than he actually will be able to deliver. He plays for a mediocre team which is not known for scoring many goals (take a look at previous season going back many years). Rogers has potential as long as Watkins and Duran stays fit, though don’t expect many 10 pointers from him going forward.
@@FPL-Tony I think you make a valid point that some (like me) who own him may have a bias to defend him based our rationale for still sticking with him. I will admit that Crystal Palace have not been firing on all cylinders so far but regardless of how medicore they have been, the numbers are still there.
Forrest have been "ok" but have not stood out as an attacking side and Wood has quietly been clocking away with points. Same goes for Bowen and Westham. The different between them and Eze is that Eze hasn't returned as much despite having more goal scoring opportunties. If Rogers assits were not converted this week, I would still hold onto him because the numbers and chances are still promising, just like Eze. But if someone wants to sell, I can understand but for me it's just a bit more patience needed.
He would be in the Bruno territory basically. Where I would put him yellow but I have him close to a green. The pen share thing is the most significant piece that actually dampened my expectations on him. I saw Eze as close to essential and now no longer see him as such
@@Maxrodon The main reason I brought in Rogers is his price. I would prefer Smith-Rowe and maybe even McNeil, but they are both quite a bit more expensive currently. Adama, Onana, Amad, Sinisterra and Soucek are around that same price bracket, but though both Adama and Onana absolutely have tempted me I haven´t had the guts to go for either of them.
❤
I can’t tell what your accent is???
Mbuemo or semenyo?
Mbuemo
That's my pick for now but I feel bournemouth is a better attacking team right now
@sillyWiseman Yeah but Mbuemo has penalties aswell Semenyo doesn't plus better fixtures. What I would do if I was you is go for Mbuemo up until about GW13 then if you look at the fixtures Semenyo then has good fixtures after GW13 when Brentfords fixtures start to turn also Mbuemo is gonna perform and then go up in price so it's easier to go down to Semenyo later than it is to go back up to Mbuemo, hope this helps😊
Is it okay to have both cause I did😅😂
@@wandanielhasif7064 So do I however it looked like he was asking to choose between the two and if I could only pick 1 it would be Mbuemo over Semenyo however both great options at their price point if you ask me😊
Ci Ci 😂
Thoughts on Jimenez?
I just think that with the fixtures worse and Muniz still around ready to get a chance back in the team it's not ideal
Second coment👀
Instant turn off when you speak about Dalot 😆 and Bruno ! Bloody utd fans
I'm not a united fan though but you do you
First comment first like
thank you bro!
Absolutely mental that Salah is still green when Diaz is yellow. It is so so backward looking. Salah now in his current age and form is worse than Diaz, definitely at his price he is a much weaker asset. And he is not nailed for 90 minutes right now.
Milan & Bournemouth this week… Salah (32) combined mins: 180 (actually 97+91 but we’ll just count 90)
Diaz (27) combined mins: 99 (27 + 72)
You’re welcome 😊
Salah has literally played nothing but close to pure 90s this season vs a LD who plays 70 mins a game. Not sure what point you're making here. He might be on worse form than Diaz, but unless you're suggesting Diaz will score 38 goals this season then I think we can probably say LD's form is unsustainable.
@@FPLFran already said that above mate 😅👍
@@FPLFran it’s only the start of the season. With CL Salah will be rotated as much as others (some people just assume that he will play 90+90 every week. Not gonna happen). Plus if he continues playing like he does, he will be benched for other reasons.
@@graziano1688 with respect mate just cause he’s not getting you points doesn’t mean he’s not playing well… he’s been great and got another assist at the weekend - also no need to keep editing the comments, if you think something go ahead and say it
Thank you Fran
Thank you mate!