I Visualized the Population Projections for Every Year
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- Опубліковано 26 кві 2024
- The UN projects a global population of 10,8 billion by the year 2100. How will it be distributed?
When the population in Europe and much of the richer world is declining and the most populated nations in the world, China, India, Indonesia and Bangladesh are stagnating, the population increase from today will be concentrated to the African continent.
The high fertility rates in Africa means the continent will almost threefold in just 80 years. Nigeria will reach 700 million inhabitants in 2100, passing the United States along the way and reaching the spot as the world's third most populous nation. How will this affect the countries on the continent? Will Africa be a case of overpopulation and the growing global population mean our chances of reaching global emission targets are out the window? Or could this bring economic opportunities and prosperity? What influence will migration have?
00:00 Intro
00:40 Population growth visualized
08:18 Population projections
10:22 The population of Africa
12:40 Population decline
13:48 Outro
The map uses current day geographical borders and divisions. The borders on the map does not necessary represent the views of me.
Small Circles Forward by Daniel Karlsson Lönnö 2022.
Follow my updates on Instagram @smallcirclesforward
Sources:
United Nations Population Division - World Population Prospects 2020 population.un.org/wpp/Downloa....
Our World in Data - Future population growth ourworldindata.org/future-pop...
Institute for security studies - Africa’s population boom: burden or opportunity? (2017) issafrica.org/iss-today/afric...
The Guardian - Population growth in Africa: grasping the scale of the challenge (2016) www.theguardian.com/global-de...
Music from Epidemic Sounds:
"Assembly Line" by Piper Ezz downloaded from Epidemic Sounds. www.epidemicsound.com/
"Copper" by Farrell Wooten downloaded from Epidemic Sounds. www.epidemicsound.com/
"Cyberpunk" by Marten Moses downloaded from Epidemic Sounds. www.epidemicsound.com/
"Hydrogen H" by Marten Moses downloaded from Epidemic Sounds. www.epidemicsound.com/
"Trimorphic" by Lucention downloaded from Epidemic Sounds. www.epidemicsound.com/
Vectorized map: World with Countries - Single Color by FreeVectorMaps.com
I would like to congratulate my entire continent of Oceania for going unnoticed.
It's not the most eventful continent when it comes to population levels in the coming decades, I'm afraid. Many significant parts of the world that could get a lot more attention but I try to focus on the large changes :)
You will get noticed when the sea waters will really start to rise...
finally somebody mentions it
@Complexus *hint* thats in south america
You’ll all be in boats reading the waves again.
I think population stagnation and decline will come faster and sooner. War, climate change and inflation will make it very difficult for people with large families to survive.
I remember being a teen in 1980 with a world population of 4.3 billion not 8 billion like today.
The planet and environment preferes 4.3 billion any time.
Not necessarily true. There is plenty of food in the world. Just think of how much the west is wasting for the sake of profit. Food isn't an issue if it's distributed well. While there is a war in Ukraine going on, we are still living in the most peaceful time ever. Inflation monetary wise is only a temporary issue should there be a crisis. Diplomacy is at an all time high as well so there are good odds for resolving them. At the same time technology is constantly improved. Climate change however is a real threat to global food production and living conditions.
@@nordicnostalgia8106 when have resources been properly distributed? are common diets, household products and common possessions of better quality than 50 years ago? We have been in decline due to more people and less resources. Optimists have been eating their words for decades.
@@Abcflc I don't know where you're getting this from. A good motivator for better distribution is increased food prices which would rise if food becomes more scarce. Higher prices means wasting is less viable and gets more attention while exports becomes more profitable.
Another thing that's possible is to eat less meat. Producing meat is inefficient so we could have a lot more if we ate less of it.
AH, you and the aliens will have to start keeping a better tally ?
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
I don't think Nigeria and other parts of the world will have the infrastructure and the ability to feed such a large population in the future.
you're using now as a indication of tomorrow. People said the same about China when they were poor.
Population will not grow that large if there aren't enough resources. High birth rate but also high infant mortality
Our modern problem isn't that we don't have enough food it's more like the distribution of that food in imbalanced. When other countries population falls that won't mean their food production will. Nigeria and others will be able to buy from those countries if necessary.
How will the feed themselves? Relying on food imports is risky.
@@DirtyEdonpeople didnt say the same for china lmao
I agree with Bricker and Ibbitson. Linear projection from historical data simply ignores too many unknown variables. Limited resources, government actions (like sterilization programs, passive warfare...), climate change, fragile infrastructure...
Yeah like who predicted the pandemic?
@@kellharris2491 The pandemic is a great example of passive warfare.
Yikes those sounds even more terrifying than overpopulation but i know for a fact that some of these African nations might do something like China did during Mao Zedong or worst
AH, ' VARIABLES" that's the word I was reaching for ! Possibly "extenuating circumstances 'and "collateral damage would even apply , yes ??"
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER :
There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ?
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
"My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe"
Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
i would agree with anyone who could make a "remake" of this video while considering YOUR "variables", btw...Why don't YOU help him to CREATE that video ? You are either an MD or a statistician, yes Dr. Bradley ? (and am I psychic ?)HOPE HE SEES THIS SUGGESTION...My time can be better spent trying to convince the Catholics they might need to consider birth control pills to help God out a bit? ha ha ...God has a sense of humor , you know...He crated elephants with backwards knees, didn't he ?
"I Ain't no Middleman"
FredGold& LyndaFaye
Africa: *Now we're the one with skyscrapers.*
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER :
There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ?
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
"My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe"
Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@@lyndafayesmusic thats the mothers fault not the worlds fault
she had 40 children and expected to be able to clean all of them, feed all of them, and more
Its worse to have 10 unhealthy dying children then to have 2 well fed clean smart children
@@lyndafayesmusic are you ok?
@@ojmikey have you thought that mother had no other option in life but marriage and her African husband considers a litter of children a sign of manhood, which if she doesn't give him, he beats her or leaves her out to starve
@@l-kin3480 why would any man want 39 children
Everybody is concerned about the statistics and facts being presented in this video, but nobody is paying any attention to this man's level of skill and dedication in stacking tiny disks into straight columns without knocking anything over.
I love population projects but Id love to see what the rough population approximats after 2100 are. I know that even for 2100 the calculations can deviate a lot so it doesnt make sense to look even further into the future but still id love to see what the Un population projection says about the following century with the current data.
And of course, great video again 👍
I'd like to see that too. I've heard one estimate (but can't remember the source now) that by the mid 2100 it could have plummeted to around 3 bn. Would like to know more about the reasons for this hypothetical scenario.
yes, we'll wait for THAT one.
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
By 2150 or 2200, civilization will end or will be super depressing. Too many old people will put enormous weight on young workers who won't be able to have kids. Once the African population starts to decline, that's the end.
Africans should be enlightened, otherwise there will be an imbalance in the world and massive floods of refugees. and that will lead to extreme problems in the world.
Great video Loved it
Although i find UN data and projections lags behind actual levels for some countries.
Agree. Lancert's prediction say world population peaking at 9 to 9.5 billion by 2060s. Looking at the slowing growth rate of India I kind of agree with them. India is already below the replacement rate
@@najibyarzerachic ya lancers report also says india's population will peak at 1.6B in 2047 but it will drastically reduce and will be 1.09B by 2100, also even india's govt servey stats that fertility rate (2.0) is fallen below replacement rate (2.1)
@@prathmesh4049 you are right even lancert's report is conservative. I have a feeling the world population might not even hit 9b, probably 8.5-8.8b will be the ceiling
though I find the data inaccurate, I still like what you are doing! Let's see what the future holds with us!
Yeah I mean obviously the data is inaccurate as you cannot foresee the future but for this I think they are good approximates
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
@@lyndafayesmusic very passive aggressive but alright
Are the physical limitations of a country even taken into account here? Nigeria's projected growth is simply bonkers, but also Niger and Somalia, largely desertic. Tanzania is also up to water/land limitations, and Uganda is simply too small. Many countries rely on imports to feed themselves, so I really can't see Pakistan or Nigeria for example not hitting limits hard, very hard, much sooner than these projections.
You are clearly a clueless demagogue who doesn't even know what you are talking about.
What do you mean Tanzania has water/land limitation yet Tanzania hosts 3 of the Biggest Lakes in Africa and an arable land mass Bigger than Germany, France, Britain & Spain Combined?
Do you even know where Tanzania is Located or just yapping around. Uganda is Bigger than Germany & UK with a smaller population than both how is that "too Small". Nigeria is already the biggest Economy & already feeds its over 200 million population and West Africa.
Go do more research on Africa you Academic dwarf.
You gotta remember Nigeria is a bit over double the size of Germany, but still it’s kind wacky
To be fair Bangladesh is around the size of North Korea and has a population higher than that of Russia.
@@beaver2527 russia is so big compared to its population that it should not be used in any comparison here.
the physical amount of space is not what matters, its resources that matters.
Thank you for making this brilliant video, your work is greatly needed! I'm certainly a long term optimist for humanity, though we will face many challenges in the future as we do today and as we have done throughout history.
I really hope you get more and more subscribers. With the amount of effort you pit into all your videos you definitely deserve it! Keep up the quality content 😊
Amazing. Very interesting stuff. Thanks for making all that effort.
Personally I believe that world population will peak below 10 billion. And climate change will be a large contributing factor. But it is very hard to make predictions about the future.
9 billion (give a take a few hundred million). Too many countries are faking their data. Makes me think it is lower than we thought.
@@everythingisfine9988 Yes I heard someone say that China might have already peaked in population. They're probably lying about their fertility numbers too.
Well, at some point we will also have people on mars
Africans should be enlightened, otherwise there will be an imbalance in the world and massive floods of refugees. and that will lead to extreme problems in the world.
Climate change will cause alot of suffering, But it's really not a big deal. We will live, most of us anyway.
Wow, I'm pretty sure your original world population video was the first video of yours I found. Back then you were still a very small channel.. awesome to see you grow, and glad to see your videos are still super interesting :)
super underrated content!
I appreciate your presentations! My focus has been on feeding the world 50 years in the future, and I have made many presentations worldwide, but not on UA-cam. My major concern with Africa is the relatively slow improvement in agricultural productivity. I say the problem is "culture", not "agricculture". There are many simple steps that farmers and countries could take to improve productivity, but changing traditions in producing food has been slow. One comparison that I use is to ask how many dairy cows it takes to produce 100 liters of milk in 1 day. In the USA it takes 3.5 cows to produce 100 liters in 1 day, but in Tanzania, it takes 176 cows to produce 100 liters in 1 day. GHG output per liter in Tanzania is 7-fold greater than in the USA.
Such an underrated channel. More power to you my guy!
@@cCuteCoffee kid
If Africa shall be able to grow to 4B people, they need to industialize their agriculture sector. A decrease in Ukranian weat production due to the war will lead to famine in Africa next year. Africa must be able to produce their food them self. The weat fields in Ukraine and Russia, the largest exporters to Africa today, will not be enough.
Africa might be just fine. We have humanitarian aid and the west waste a lot of food so it's definitely possible to sell food to everyone
@@nordicnostalgia8106 THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER :
There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ?
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
"My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe"
Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
Don't forget that many companies and developed nations grow food in Africa, but then export it and sell for a large price rather than feeding local population. That is a huge reason for food insecurity. Seems like that practice must be stopped by local governments
@@nordicnostalgia8106 it’s possible to sell food but you act like the west will become better with food waste.
You want to compare Ukraine With Africa is your head really working? Ukraine is Poorer than Kenya how the hell will it's tiny land feed Africa yet Nigeria alone produce more Food than the entire Eastern Europe Combined. Use your brain. Perennial Dunderhead
Love the visualization as well as the timeline of statistics! New sub
I love this video and the visual demonstrations thanks
I'm just gonna call bullshit on Nigeria getting to 700m inhabitants. Nigeria would have almost twice the population density of New Jersey, the densest state, and 10X the population density of Illinois. Not only that, but the country is facing a huge desertification issue.
Edit:
Also, I have no clue how you stacked that many circles for Nigeria, that thing was a gosh darn skyscraper by the end of that.
@@anujpandita3387 true
I doubt Nigeria to get those Numbers , i just don't see it happening .
@@anujpandita3387 Which African country have Indian loans? You Indians are very delusional thinking you help poor Africans while India have more poor people than the entire Africa.
I don't know how long we will be alive, so why think so far ahead
@@anujpandita3387 The world is not endiya, you can barley feed your own people. Africa relies still on europe.
Nigeria is ridiculous. 700 million people by 2100 from around 205 million today. The problem? There isn't enough water in Nigeria. Unlike rather wet India or China, with their enormous rivers (the Ganges has the largest delta in the world while the Yangtze is the third longest river on Earth) half of Nigeria is in the Sahel, a region renowned for its lack of water. 350 million of those people, at least, will be in this very dry half of Nigeria. Where are they going to get sufficient amounts of water for those people? The Niger River is not nearly big enough for that, especially when you consider that Niger, the nation right north of Nigeria (which is even drier) will have 250 million people by 2100. This is so unsustainable it's not even funny...
The Nigerians are fin, we have many rivers particularly in the Igbo land, the Niger River goes from Atlantic to Sahel and it’s the 3rd longest river in Africa
Nigeria will face many novel challenges. They should start implementing one child policy soon.
In india, we had rigorous family planing program in early 70s, that's what controlled our population, otherwise india would've faced the same population boom crisis as nigeria. Still, india has too much population.
@@Aman-qr6wi you say that as if having children is bad…? The less people, more economic stagnation, worse and worse healthcare, less investments, one sided politics, and a stagnating GDP per capita which will make countries poorer and crippled,
the niger river flows in nigeria
AFRIKA IS THE BEST CONTINTENT OF THE WORLDDDDDD
IN THE FUTURE

You have a relaxing voice good video
great video
can you please make a population map of switzerland? i absolutly love your videos. you put so much work into it!
More banks...
The continent of Africa will likely go through many famines and disasters as most of the nations inside the continent are incapable of feeding and providing for their current populations. Terrible economic practices and corruption spell little hope of modernising for most nations on the continent.
Those terrible economic practices are largely due to exploitation by transnational corporations, which also take part in corrupting local political elite. And western governments bow to those corporations, cause they want to continue receiving tax money from them, cause most corporations have headquarters in.developed nations and pay taxes there
@@KateeAngel Somewhat true but the main issue stems back to decolonisation. The Soviets messed with the politics of many African nations and what was left was many socialist African nations. You are going to stay poor when you tariff your neighbours goods 80%. When your leader would rather bleed your country die and send that money off to the Cayman Islands or Switzerland rather than invest in his country. The average iq of a person in Africa is very low as well.
You are living in a World of propaganda and wishful thinking.
Africa already has the Fastest Growing Economies in the world as we speak it is not only growing by population but also economically & Agriculturally. More countries that were facing war and famine 10 years ago are already stable like Rwanda and Somalia. Nigeria is not only having the largest population but also the largest Economy in Africa. It is also the largest Agricultural producer in Africa feeding not just it's population but also west Africa.
Kenya, Tanzania, Angola, Morocco, Egypt, Algeria & Cameroon just hit the middle income economy level and are now better than most Eastern European countries.
Africa will end up topping like China & India. But with a more bigger economy, Population and military power. Already Egypt is the 23rd most powerful military in the world. Nigeria fast racing behind.
The middle class in Africa has also tripled reaching 500 million at the close of 2020. That's bigger than the entire American population
@@nairobinyeusi5811 Most of those nations you mentioned are in North Africa and have already had established economy’s. Except for a few Central African countries I expect disasters not seen since the Russian revolution of 1917/1918.
@@nairobinyeusi5811 The data does not lie. These African nations do not have the production to sustain these populations. The only reason most of these nations get away with this fact now is due to foreign aid.
I like your videos but maybe you can do one with the color representing birth rate or density, I think that would be really interesting to see
Great video, shows your effort.
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER :
There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 30 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ?
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
"My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe"
Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
This info is interesting, but it can’t take into consideration the likely fabrication of numbers in countries like China, nor what decreasing food security might do to poorer countries like those in subsaharan Africa. Further, I do wonder how birth rates will change as people panic over decreasing populations, but that is even more speculative.
Panicking over decreaseing population doesnt lead to people finding love, and of all people I know who have children never have they sighted national interest as the reason for having them.
@@kungszigfrids1482 Thats not exactly what I’m saying.
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER :
There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ?
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
"My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe"
Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
I believe that 70 to 80% of pregnancies in sub-Saharan Africa are unwanted and planned pregnancies, the UN needs to throw tons of abortion pills there, and anticipate the male contraceptive with 99.9% effectiveness.
This data is quite questionable. China, for example, is going to lose people in 2022, for the first time in recent history. Many nations have departed downwards from old UN projections in the last decade, and I don't think your data reflects that.
Agreed, the fertility rate in the 'developing world' has gone down much faster than previously projected. Prime examples are China peaking in population this year and countries such as Mexico, the Philippines, India, and Iran already having a fertility rate below 2.1.
@@jacobgavrilov5989 many developing countries are also moving in that direction thanks to the access to interenet they can get birth controll when they are sexually active
Love the vids!
I hope this one goes as viral as the other population video!!! You are extremely underrated
AFRIKA IS THE BEST CONTINTENT OF THE WORLDDDDDD
IN THE FUTURE
I would never use the word "stagnating" in this context. *Stabilizing* is far more accurate and appropriate.
stagnating kind of tells you population will most likely fall
A declining population is not a good thing, and I think 'stagnating' is used because it has a negative connotation, because if more and more old people are sucking up capital in an economy, that means fewer and fewer young people have the money to take care of themselves because all of it goes to pay for elderly pensions. Demographics like that are asking for a societal breakdown or riot, and we're already starting to see it.
Canda has plans to reach 100M by 2100, but that seems ambitious.
With Global Warming and Orange trees growing in Alaska , maybe.
They are insane.
Canada would be destroyed. How many of those people would be from the third world? Canada's culture and history would be destroyed
If only they cared more about restoring indigenous land rights
@@KateeAngel They dont care for the locals of Canada, if they get to 100 mill by 2100 30 mill will be locals and 70 mill will be immigrants.
very useful video
Nice Video
I somewhat agree with Bricker and Ibbitson. Recent survey in 2021 found that India's fertility rate has dropped below replacement level.
Because of the pandemic?
@@tabby73 Must have happened before, came to light because of the survey.
will that affect the future projections?
@@ryanbrown4618 Might be the case, it was not expected that India's TFR will come down below replacement level this early. To some extent I agree with tabby73 that the pandemic might have helped to make this happen. The pandemic have postponed and cancelled many marriages and engagements. Many families have shelves their plans to have more children or any children at all.
@@ryanbrown4618 Of course, 0.5 babies more, you have 16 bln people by 2100, 0.5 babies less, only 7 bln by 2100. The effects are huge.
I wonder how many times the tower of little circles for nigeria fell down mid recording
With hopes of becoming a city planner one day, I can tell just from the giant spire coming from that part of the map that Nigeria is going to need some seriously well designed cities to hold that many people, and even after that, Nigeria will probably have a lot of cities sprawling to each other to become a giant conglomerate far larger than the Northeast US and even the Pearl River Delta
Nigerians, I sincerely hope you guys are ready for the ridiculous density that's coming your way
These videos are 10x better quality than any other yt videos looking at demographics
What is the population of the space colonies?😎 and note that China has been over counting for some time. China is allready 2nd behind India which has been under counting.
How much is climate change factored into these projections? I often hear than we should expect a billion or more climate refugees given current trends. Won't migration have a large effect in the future?
I think it gets quite tricky, most nations don't want to take immigrants, like the USA or Japan, so everything will come to politics. Although I think that climate change will have a major negative impact on the population because it will increase vector driven diseases, pandemics and heat waves combined with bacterial resistance to antibiotics will cause the death of millions. :')
AFRIKA IS THE BEST CONTINTENT OF THE WORLDDDDDD
IN THE FUTURE

Africans should be enlightened, otherwise there will be an imbalance in the world and massive floods of refugees. and that will lead to extreme problems in the world.
wow this is cool i subbed
This man is going to soon have millions of subs
As soon as Africa gets wealthier, their fertility declines fast. Sort of like China a few decades ago.
No it wouldn’t because we have a different culture and we value family, relationships and communities to hel raise families. We aren’t the same mentality even with money
According to National Family Survey of 2021, India is already at 2.0 fertility rate, i.e. the Stagnation point. Thus, India's Population will be growing slower and might start to decline by 2030-2035 itself
It takes much longer to see any decline, just because people are having less the 2 kids doesn’t mean more people are gonna start dying more often. India’s population is still pretty young.
@@josesaavedra6106 but if you read about these approximations, you will get to know that they expected India to reach Fertility Rate of 2.1 by 2035 ...... But it was achieved pretty early. My concluding point is, the projections are highly based data from past and doesn't technological development or Environmental Issues or Social Situations of the Future
@@gunadityapatil5009 The projections used in this study are up to date and India’s population won’t decline according to any prediction before 2050. There are countries that had a fertility rate below 2.1 for decades and their population is still growing. Not to mention India is the country with most births in the world.
India should implement one child policy asap.
@@Aman-qr6wi no need of it,that would be disastrous.
I told you your channel will boom
Great vid but you left out one major factor wars
And how do these 3rd world countries feed themselves?
No explanation how small Nigeria can eat with a population 3 x lager than than North America.
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER :
There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ?
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
"My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe"
Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
Given the high urbanization and terrible air quality of China -- in addition to high rates of smoking, I'm thinking that lung cancer cases will begin to really spike in China in about 10 years - thus contributing to population decline.
In my country Colombia those who maintain fertility are the Venezuelan immigrants in their majority, my country during the last six decades has lived an internal war and the people of the countryside have been the most affected, in fact Colombia is the second country in the world with more internal migrants after Afghanistan, many people who lived in the countryside went to live in the cities, and mostly they no longer have children, we are currently 51 million and we will only reach 55 million
Acá en mexico igual, la guerra del narco no ha afectado tanto en el tema de migración, pero igual, ahorita estamos en 132 millones pero para 2050 alcanzaremos pico maximo de 143 millones
you forgo to say at he end about south america and Oceania but other than that the video was really nice
Oh wow, this video is creazy !
For the most accurate population prediction check out the recent paper published in the Lancet. Total world population will peak in the 2060s. Nigeria is forecast overtake China by the 2080s. India is forecast to have the largest working age population at about 620 million by 2100. Second is Nigeria with about 500 million and forecast to equal India's working age population by 2120.
@@anujpandita3387 Ready the study before jumping to conclusions
China in the next 20 years will have an elderly problem even worst than Europe probably
UN population prediction is the most ridiculous population prediction.
Nigeria's population will peak at 350M and will never reach more than 400M. Mark my words.
I'll hold you to it
hopefully they dont reach 400M, but if it does it will go downhill extremely fast from there
@@ojmikey Well they will, most likley pass 500 million however the newest UN estimates dont put their population as high as 700 million now but 540 million. Still, Africa will dominate in the future, enslave the few whites left and do whatever they want to their beautiful young women. HAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHA
@@eatinsomtin9984 wtf african extremist
@@eatinsomtin9984 lmao a black extremist troll who speaks a white language, uses white inventions and probably lives in a white country
Can you make a video for low and high prediction for 2100 population
Due to pandemic
Phil. Fertility growth slowed a lot
So we don't know if this trend gonna continue
The projections over the past 10 years were surprisingly wrong. E.g. Germany was supposed to peak a few years ago, but with a total refugee influx of almost 2 million in the past 7 years this was not the case. Also the fertility rate is increased and are itself difficult to project as people become parents later in life.
It is extremely difficult to project even over 1-2 decades so it will be off quite a lot by 2100. the general tendency that effectively all of the growth will happen in Africa will certainly be true.
Africans should be enlightened, otherwise there will be an imbalance in the world and massive floods of refugees. and that will lead to extreme problems in the world.
has Germany peaked (minus the recent influx) ?
@@FsimulatorX depends on immigration. Germany had several hundred thousand immigrants per year even without refugees. On the other hand Germany has a high amount of old people. So I think it will likely remain stable but with a higher ratio of old people. But as I said. Difficult to predict.
I luv how all of Oceania just doesn’t exist in this video and Brazil is the only South American country talked about lol
And about Argentina?
Brazil every year the birth rate has decreased, Oceania is a big country in territory with a super small population and also with low birth rates.
this is epic
Hello, can i ask you on population in Czech Republic and Slovakia?
Bulgaria, Kazakhstan, and Romania have the most extreme depopulation. In 1990 Romania had roughly 26 Million people but now it is right around 19 Million and by 2100 it will probably be around 10 Million. Bulgaria had roughly 10 Million people in the 1980s and now it around 6 Million and is expected to decrease to 2-3 Million by 2100. Kazakhstan had nearly 28 Million people in the 1990s but is now only around 15 Million, by 2100 it is expected to be less than 4-5 Million!
why? sounds scary
@@omgreensexpress5396 Low birth rate and big emigration rate, I suppose.
Kazakhstan is actually growing. People are having more babies, Russian economy is bad, so more Russians will move to Kz. Also, lots of people from Central Asia will shift from Russia to Kazakhstan. Islam is spreading, which increases the fertility rate further.
Kazakhstan had 13 million in the 90s now they have 19 million. Where did you get your stats from? They have a highbhirth rate and manny russians go there
yeah no wonder theres depopulation in bulgaria and romania people want to get out of the balkan hellhole
i'm surprised Bangladesh can even reach 190+ million.
Inertia
Nightmare for Bangladeshi People
alot of sex in Bangladesh
As a Bangladeshi I wouldn't be surprised if we pass 200 million. Our population is young and birthrate has been stuck in 2.3 since the last decade.
@@saminyasir1847 To actually increase population you'd need 2.8 or above, So reaching/crossing 200 million might not be feasible
Like many commenters here, I am sceptical of the UN's projections. When I looked into the topic, looking into the big contributors for lower fertility such as urbanization, women's access to education and birthcontrol, as well as softer facts like the introduction of telenovelas (which promoted 2-children families in South America), western dating habits (i.e. looking for love as opposed to arranged marrige) and the gap between official and unofficial data (see China), I have concluded that population decline will come far sooner than projected. Maybe as soon as the 2030s, if you exclude Africa. And even inside Africa, it's really only Nigeria and Niger that pose a huge challenge to population control. I would like to see population predictions with numbers you consider more realistic.
I wish I had like those circle things that you have so I can make my population chart thingy or whatever like you have
Here's a guide :) ua-cam.com/video/GNSRtHauSq0/v-deo.html&t
That puts Nigeria at nearly 2k people per square mile. Not sure if that would be sustainable.
In the future will better tech? probably
As a South African i hating losing to Nigeria but I'd rather have them beat us in this one
How do these projections treat emigration? If a person from a developing country with high birth rate, moves to a developed country with stagnant population? How is that persons number of children predicted?
All it would take to throw this population guess off is a fertilizer shortage or a cold snap where and when it normally doesn't get one or really any other changes in the weather and boom u got a food shortage and if you are not trading goods you don't get fed in your country
Anyone else find population decline more interesting?
why
@@GenericUsername1388 Everybody makes such a big fuss about it. I find it interesting to see the consequences as it's not seen much these days. Would there be more area and resources available? How would it affect taxes and aging population? Would there be an increase in automation in response and how far would the government go to support parents? Wages might increase due to higher demand from workers if they don't rely too much on foreign workers. What is the reason for not opening up for immigrants? Nationalism is one of them.
@@nordicnostalgia8106 oh yeah I agree with you that does sound interesting
In the next centuries, humanity will disappear. Is that good? Bad? Interesting? Up to each person to decide I guess.
@@nordicnostalgia8106 Population decline is stupid, in an ideal world, every cuntry would slowly be growing but no, once you have a declining population you cannot stop it from declining.
0:50 "By 2027, India will surpass China as the most populous nation in the world".
I know this is based on UN population projections, but the UN's projections are notoriously conservative and way behind the curve. In fact, it is most likely that India's population will surpass that of China already in 2023. That's next year, people! By 2060, India could have 50% more people than China, although projections that far into the future are very uncertain.
In 2022 china Russia population declining faster like Japan and other European countries. On September india reach 1st where China decline to 2nd .
I expect these rates without natural disasters especially in Africa due to natural disasters being more unpredictable
Do a map on indian states ...
What about central and south America? Not even mentioned 1 country.
2:27 :)
brazil lol
It's very difficult to imagine that Africa will develop as projected. I think Africa in particular is likely to have population growth arrested as a result of a variety of limiting factors. A very good project, though. Well done!
You’re living in the past and propaganda . Africa is currently in a revolution and industrial development era this century . Your going to wake up one day and it will be to late. Africa will be a global economic powerhouse
Namibia and Botswana just chilling.
I think countries where population is stagnating or declining will open borders for others for the sake of labour and support. Which will adversely affect the projected population levels. Although there is an element of A.I and automation support which may make that assumption less valid. My best guess is we will never reach 10 billion because of increase access to internet.
This video definitely doesn’t account for immigration or trend changes enough.
It's scary to think that in the future successful countries will go downhill by population but the unsuccessful countries in Africa will suffer more with a lot of people the successful countries cannot help because the population will go downhill.
High population makes success
Industrialized countries have been going down because for the moment that's the result of the demographic transition everywhere. Meaning that Africa's population can be kept to lower levels precicely by making them more ''successful''.
I do wonder what will do in, say, 200 years. Assuming we manage to deal with the climate crisis, the human specie will find itself in a world where the birth rate is below the replacement level. Many developped states today are already offering huge financial help for couples that decide to have children, with relatively little success. Would be interesting to know what their solution for this problem would be, but sadly no one here will be able to see it.
@@legrandliseurtri7495 No one will be left to see anything. Humanity will cease to exist. I wonder what the next dominating species will be.
@@kko5779 only for the country, the people live in shit
@@kko5779 technology makes success.
Is it just me that the blocks look like city buildings and skyscrapers?
I can think of some objections to some of these numbers. Notably Russia, South Africa and above all China. Also not accounted for is migration, both in- and out-.
The UN numbers are accounting for migration. But it is of course a difficult task, no doubt.
This doesn’t account for pronatalist policies. Do you think governments will just watch their nations decline and not do anything about it, they will and in many places are trying to increase birth rates. Some governments will also use immigration as a stop gap solution but of course that has its limits before becoming politically unacceptable.
I wonder what people from 2100 will think of this and how accurate it is
If humanity exists by then
I wouldn’t bet on humanity surviving if we don’t take responsibility and caution before then. Following our current mindless trends I think we’ll be extinct by 2072 at the latest.
Depends
We could stagnate much earlier or we could grow more
It will highly depends on:
Qol
Diseases
War
Economy
Culture
So far. Young generation has little interest in reproducing which could be worrying in the future if the replacement line didn't met
@@AnimaRandom Human survival shouldn’t be dependent on upholding past reproductive quotients. We’re smarter than that, if we only realized it. Our current world isn’t the only possible world and never has been.
Thank you so much your video,May be peaceful all World 8.1billion people,animals &birds from Myanmar.❤
Nigeria’s circles is a literal skyscraper
Imagine if he knocks one down while making this…
Gotta do those breathing exercises 🐱👤
@@SmallCirclesForward lol
Me parece curioso y hasta emotivo que aquel lugar donde empezó el humano será el futuro de la misma humanidad
En el siglo XXll viviremos en marte
@@sanexpreso2944 But it is very sad that by that time we will all be dead.
@@sanexpreso2944 Pero es muy triste que para entonces todos estaremos muertos.
i know philippines birth rate remains high as we speak but it is slowly declining..by 2025 it will stagnate, is what i heard from the local news..males in some countries have dropping sperm counts like so korea so this population stagnation might be sooner than what we expect
Thank goodness. We just hope the teenage pregnancy will drop fast
How many people can you take care of?
nigeria: *yes*
In America, we are already seeing signs of strong stagnation that predicts population decline within the next two or three decades. Low marriage and birth rates compared to high divorce rates
refugees and immigrants fill that gap
In Usa, America is a continent
@@sanexpreso2944 Not in the English language, get on board or back to Latin America
@@sanexpreso2944 first of all there are two americas separated by panama
second, US' official name is united states of A-ME-RI-CA
I believe that China will receive millions of immigrants in the future especially when China's currency is more powerful and the GDP surpasses the US/America, I see many sub-Saharan Africans in the Middle East and Asia in the not so distant future.
I don’t know why African population growth is borders non Africans. The UN is known to be very inaccurate with their data, and even if the data is right I don’t know why you people are bordered. Nigeria’s population stats is very unreliable. If you leave the business areas like Lagos, and move inland into Nigeria , you will hardly see people. Lagos and kano are the ones with high population because of business. Majority of the remaining states are very underpopulated. Nigeria have always had problems with it population census.
There are accusations of corruption (Inflated population counts by states and local governments) to get more resources allocated to their states. All the population census before Nigeria independence have always had problems. Nigeria haven’t had a census since 2006 when the population was about 140 million, but because of the unreliable data the numbers have been inflated to over 200 million. Nigeria will have a peak at 400 million at best.
There are also ignorant comments about famine. Nigeria is the largest food producer in Africa. 7th agricultural production in the world. 10th largest arable land in the world. Nigeria only use a small percentage of it arable land for farming. Nigeria doesn’t import food products that much. The government closed all the land borders because of local businesses and farmers so that they can increase their productivity and banned many food items from importation. Nigeria have been battling BOKO haram for about a decade, and now that some peace is returning the government is closing refugee camps and sending farmers back to their lands. I know many people don’t focus on African countries unless it negative media but that doesn’t mean Africa isn’t growing.
If Africa is going to reach that big population, then the continent has to do something now.
I like how all around the world are getting massive population goals and than Oceania exists
Kinda depressing to see poorer countries growing significantly. They'll improve significantly though!
Not in the Americas. The U.S. and Canada will grow while LATAM will stagnate
There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 30 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ?
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
@@lyndafayesmusic This video is about population 🤦
It's kind of obvious that the numbers will show population only
What did you write "to her aid" between quotation marks?
@@lyndafayesmusic that woman asked for sterilisation for a long time, but doctors kept denying her. She also was "married" against her will at 12, and had first kid at 13. All of that situation happened due to women being denied control of their life including marriage and childbearing. I am 100% sure that 12 year old girl would rather play and study than being "married" and r***d by an adult man, being pregnant and having kids...
@@lyndafayesmusic It is enough to encourage the sterilization of girls and boys from the age of 12 in the poorest countries of sub-Saharan Africa, and create more contraceptive methods that are 99.9% effective.
Immigration does not compensate low feritliy, its like thinking you can poor water in your wine glass as you drink from it and you will neve run out of wine.
Low fertility is a advantage . Japan with 70 million would be a better place to live than it current crowded 125 million.
The US in 1960 with 200 million was a great place to live.
If the US had 1 billion people rather than 330 million it would be a polluted mess in every way.
@@Crashed131963 Agreed, fertility rate should be such that the countries population is stable at low population density.
@@kungszigfrids1482 My thinking is .
If a country NEEDS food imports to survive it is considered overpopulated.
Food imports for wider food "variety" is nowhere near the same as food imports for "survival".
@@Crashed131963 Aproximetly.
@@Crashed131963 My thinking is that Japan MIGHT be biting the bullet early, and later on will be one of, if not THE first nation to have rising population once again. This is just a theory but somewhat makes sense.
Economic growth and childbirth are closely related, people in richer countries have less kids, if Africa develops it’s economy it’s possible they experience a decline on their population growth
I think by then we will have ability Artificially growing population
Pregnancy prevention is free in southern Africa we have been on 60 million for so many years even London has more population than in a small place education and life style count a lot in having babies 3 is a lot to stop
Don't want to nag but using punctuation would make your text easier to follow.
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER :
There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ?
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
"My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe"
Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@@lyndafayesmusic Now how is that related to South Africa. Was that mother a South African. Or you sit here thinking Africa is a Country. Go back to school you Perennial Dunderhead.
This won't be taking account to rapid population decline and immigration that is going to occur in future
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER :
There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ?
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW.
Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ?
Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ?
Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ?
LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim,
"Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat."
"Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of
others, in time.
PRODUCERS ?
IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
"My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe"
Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
Are the dots magnetic? How does he stack them and make them stand up so tall?
No, they fall down from time to time let me tell you 😅 but I cheat with some glue occasionally
data maps are so god damn addictive man, its like crack....