The Eurasian Future: War in Europe, China Rising & the decline of Russia - Fiona Hill
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- Опубліковано 2 сер 2022
- Eurasia is an increasingly important area of the world as China expands its economic and political influence through the Belt and Road Initiative, whilst Russia wages war as it fails economically. In Western countries populism and identity politics polarise our populations, hindering intellectual creativity to find solutions for post-industrial growth and well-being in our societies. The Russian invasion of Ukraine has thrown Europe into crisis with around 12 million refugees from Ukraine, and also had an impact on the global economy as well as political relations in Asia have been more tense with speculation that the People's Republic of China could be emboldened to take military action against Taiwan.
This highly complex situation is discussed with Fiona Hill, one of the most experienced thinkers who can comment on the social, economic and political problems facing the world at the moment. Fiona Hill is a Senior Fellow in the Center on the United States and Europe in the Foreign Policy program at Brookings. She served from 2017 to 2019 as deputy assistant to the president and senior director for European and Russian affairs on the National Security Council, where she was responsible for interagency interactions relating to Europe, the European Union, NATO, Russia, Turkey, and the situation in Ukraine. From 2006 to 2009, she served as national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia at The National Intelligence Council.
She is author of “There Is Nothing for You Here: Finding Opportunity in the 21st Century” and co-author of “Mr. Putin: Operative in the Kremlin” (Brookings Institution Press, 2015). Prior to joining Brookings, Ms. Hill was director of strategic planning at The Eurasia Foundation in Washington, D.C. From 1991 to 1999, she held a number of positions directing technical assistance and research projects at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government, including associate director of the Strengthening Democratic Institutions Project, director of the Project on Ethnic Conflict in the Former Soviet Union, and coordinator of the Trilateral Study on Japanese-Russian-U.S. Relations.
She holds a master’s in Soviet studies and a doctorate in history from Harvard University where she was a Frank Knox Fellow. She also holds a master’s in Russian and modern history from St. Andrews University in Scotland, and has pursued studies at Moscow’s Maurice Thorez Institute of Foreign Languages. Hill is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations.
Of all the pro-western commentators, Fiona Hill is the one I find by far the most reasonable and convincing.
Putin should be paying Fiona for disinformation, for such a stupid Russian expert.
Historians in general seem to have balanced views on Ukraine. For example Stephen Kotkin and Timothy Snyder are worth listening to in my opinion.
Fascinating. Each time she enters the discussion Dr. Fiona Hill manages to explain further layers of complexity that surround the challenges that we face. There is an enormous amount to 'unpack' from this webinar.
Thank-you for sharing your insights.
What is the Rules based Order? Is there a List? Is it in Writing?
It's an obey-me-or-else rule
What an encyclopedic understanding of the nuance of history.
Fantastic conversation! This is a cogent, intelligent, informed explanation of global situations in light of previous, recent, and current history. Very much appreciated!
07:06 - *"Ukraine has a history of being a breadbasket of Europe going back to the 19th century."* Expand that to the 6th-5th century BC when Crymean wheat fed the ancient Greek world, most prominently, the maritime Athenian Empire of the Delian Leaque.
Great interview i always LOVE to hear Fiona Hill she has an incredible amount of knowkedge you can learn so much
This conversations unfortunately predates the Pelosi Taiwan visit and it would be interesting to hear her views now that the visit has taken place.
Also no mention that a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia soon after the war started which would have ended it and saved so many lives.
Failures of intelligence; as with all autocracies and dictatorships, subordinates only tell their bosses what they think their bosses want to hear.
Not an iota of self reflection or self criticism. Brexshit, The Afghanistan debacle, Nordstream 1-2 and the missing alternative. Polarization and the rift in US. It is naive and tbh stupid to blame Putin for everything. Ukraine was a uber-corrupt shithole since beginning and EU/NATO had 14 years to address this. Fiona seems to be a public intellectual careerist who threads carefully because the life is good in her position.
The west, whatever that is, has become awful at crafting cohesive long term strategy. There is a crude reluctance on the right to endorse anything perceived as associated with the wrong values, but no positive affirmation of what values to endorse. And a fleeting desire to on the left to return to normalcy, which never existed, and to avoid any antagonism with anyone. We’re doing this now, so we should see it through. There are other options available.
Just so much to learn from her. Russia could be the grain monopolist of the future.
Not totally, once again people forget the most sparsely populated country in the world with a similar climate to Russia. Canada.
even here in western china, underground parking garages have huge blast doors on them. we know very well imperialists will never stop being imperialists.
China actually coerced Tajikistan to cede 1000+ skm of territory adjacent to Xinjiang
Clearly you’re very knowledgeable about these issues Ms Hill but isn’t the overriding consideration how incredibly dangerous this situation is and how it needs to be defused? Ukraine wasn’t even a member of NATO and already a partitioned country and nothing happening there could be worth risking nuclear war between the US and Russia. Providing all these weapons has allowed most of this death and destruction to occur and made both sides unwilling to negotiate. A settlement seemed near in April and we should have done everything possible to facilitate it. You’ve spoken for an hour here but not about the most important thing.
I disagree with your points. The Soviet and now Russia, have a non stop practice to cede territories of others. If the rest of the world just responded lightly as is in the case of Crimea, the 👻 & sphere of authoritarianism will be multiplied unbridled again. Thus it's the right time to tell this guy that enough is enough. Unlike the savagery era before the 19th century, the world we're in is having a set of fundamental rules to follow, like the sovereignty of an UN member nation has to be respected, rather than violated. If any nuclear nation has the unfettered right to stampede over other small nations, your kids and my kids will one day end up stabbing each other unpunished, correct? The world has to respond, the western world is doing the right thing, no question about that.
Every NATO member has a right of veto
"The longer this war goes on, the more your seeing the rise of Ukrainian nationalism" - it was unleashed in 2014: the ant-Russian language law; honouring of Bandera; Neo-Nazi battalions terrorising Donbas.
You lost me on 'neo-nazi'🥱
The western Ukrainians have never got rid of their love for Bandera and his kind of nationalism, which resulted in ethnic cleansing of the Polish population in Volyn in 1943. They still honor Bandera by building his monuments, and naming streets after him. In Lviv they proclaimed 2022 a year of Bandera
@@MissAnastasiyaD Svoboda; Azov; Right Sector
@@stuartwray6175 Sorry to disappoint, but none of those have any relation to Neo Nazis.
@@MissAnastasiyaD Your speaking in the present tense - 'none of those have' - has no bearing on what I said.
Russia will not decline.. Maybe the US and Europe !?!
How can this clown has Putins playbook.?? He think he knows but knows nothing.
So Fiona is a mixed martial arts fan? Can't read a book by its cover.
10 milion ppl left Ukraine after 1993, long before this conflict. That was 1/5 of the population.
Now around 5mio left, but be correct, majority to Russia!!!, up to almost 2mio, then over 1mio to Poland, 800k to Germany and 400k to my country, CZ, where they historically represent the first or second place of permanent immigrants living here.
Be fair when talking about Ukraine "fighting for their freedom and for their democracy", when speaking about the most corrupt regime in Europe, left by 1/5 of its own citizens, with 20% Russian ethnicity still being the citizens of the country!!!
We are talking about a country corrupted upside down, full of oligarchy and mafia, with ethnic clushes within, used by USA and NATO to provoke this nonsensual killing of people who in most cases have mixed families with each other and do not want to fight each other!
Just pls, be fair. At least with the numbers.
Given the total corruption of Ruzzia, and the number of its own citizens fleeing the jackboot of Putler, should China launch a special military operation to cleanse the Stalinist filth?
TOTALY KORECT,BRO.
china's almost bankrupt... lol
Non sense.
Well I can ignore this, "China Rising".
Why? I definitely don't buy all this about a declining US and China inevitably taking over as the global superpower; but unless you're Peter Zeihan, I think most people do see China as rising and becoming a peer competitor to the US.
US dollar in decline.
Yet more misinformation