Purchase access to LIVE JOSH TAN FINANCE SUMMIT DEC 2022 . Everything you need to be a better investor for 2023 at $67 ONLY now ► jtinvestacademy.thinkific.com/courses/josh-tan-finance-summit-2022
“If you cannot take me at my worst, then you don’t deserve me at my best.” This is something that I think about constantly when looking at the market these days. Like you mentioned, if we have invested into fundamentally good companies, just need to ignore the noise and see this as an even greater buying opportunity. The bear won’t be around forever, it needs to go to sleep for winter as well 😂 make use of it when it’s here!
Hi Josh, appreciate the timely advise when all hopes seemed lost. Been through several ‘BEARS’ and what you have shared resonates with me. Selling out now is like jumping out of a roller coaster ride when it is in motion, which is an extremely unwise thing to do. It is also through these ‘BEARS’ that I have also learnt to be indifferent when the market crashes. Of course, the basic fundamentals of holding on to shares with strong credentials is important. Thank you and have a great staycation with the family!
I like how he is in a serious tone and then suddenly reminding us to like the video. Jokes aside, thank you josh for giving us these advices. Hope everything goes well soon!
Everyone should know that a panic selldown of less than 0.1% of total outstanding shares of a liquid counter can cause a more than 10% price drops, vice versa . Everyone should know this fact before deciding what to do at this moment. This is how volatile the stock market can be. Stock markets are 'controled' by irrational people.
This remind me of some quotes by few great investors; It’s in the nature of stock markets to go way down from time to time. There’s no system to avoid bad markets. You can’t do it unless you try to time the market, which is a seriously dumb thing to do. Conservative investing with steady savings without expecting miracles is the way to go - Charlie Munger The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient - Warren Buffett Your ultimate success or failure will depend on your ability to ignore the worries of the world long enough to allow your investment to succeed - Peter Lynch
Josh time to buy, the question is how much to buy. I have been limiting myself to a certain amount each time as I feel the market will go down even more. Thanks for the videos!!
Hi Sisca, if your income is still strong, its merely deploying some of it there consistently. If you've a pot on hand then deploy over the next 12mths equally. You wouldnt be too far from hitting the absolute bottom imo. Hope it answers
The market today is very different from post Leman Bro quantitative easing policy. Go back to basics, look at valuations and cash flow positive companies and start to nibble at the current down trend. Round the corner is US Housing market crash which will ignite the debt bubble. The commodity cycle will boom and eventually FED will surrender and continue to print more $$$ by mid 2023. Worst scenario is stagflation and this will prolong the sufferings ??? Don’t have to time the market but most people got out of markets back in Dec/ Jan.
Time in the market with what we already have invested is more important since we cannot predict the future. In regard to our war chest & deploying funds in downturn ..... better do technical analysis as well.
Well done , boss ! Different investors have different emotion n action when bear mkt. I would buy some ocbc n keppel if STI drop below 3070. As my counters r profitable, still can get some dividends thru next yr. If next yr, USA recession, then buy more ocbc n keppel . Just like ( apr-may 2020) . Enjoy the sun ,swimming pool during the vacation !
Thank you sir for the great advice. I am a long term investor and my investment is only within my investment piggy bank fund, nothing beyond that and based on the principle of fundamental. Love the rest of the comments here as well, learning and still learning from the the best.
It seems like doom and gloom among most shareholders across the board during the bear cycle. I have been sharing your video around, hopefully it will shed some light over the whole situation with more investors have a better understanding of the bear cycle.
If the goal of investment is for 20-30 years, all these noise will not affect you much. People affected are mostly short term thinking and want quick money instead of building long term wealth.
Hi Josh, I asked Chicken Genius about this but I think he needs time alone, if the stock market is crashing, is it a good idea to buy a call option on SQQQ or even the ETF itself for a short term?
Hi Ming Jie, my message here has been consistent. Simplify the approach and do not have options and short positions to "hedge". It is still an attempt to avoid losses because of market timing, just disguised differently
@@joshconsultancy I actually don't have much stocks in hand previously and sold off more than 90% off at the end of January at a profit. Since then I shorted, buy puts or got inverse leveraged ETFs like SQQQ and have been making quite a bit of profits also. Thing is, I do have a feeling even though it is bad news everywhere, the market is reacting but not by much and so I do plan on stopping all these shortings, puts and inverse leveraged ETFs.
If you sell, then thats money lose. Else its paper lose now. But in the first place, you should only invest with money you do not need for the next few months or years. And only invest in long term. People who lose money now are mostly traders. Ironically, my only proft stock is Tesla where many had been claiming it as high risk for past few years. The rest are paper lose but manageable. Just DCA..... similar to my cryptos.
Hi Josh, thanks for the advice. I started contributing a fix amt per mth into a portfolio of unit trust that gives me monthly dividends for the last one over years. It is currently down around 15-18%. I have changed the plan and am putting a same fixed amount every week and is planning to do the same DCA for the next one to two years. Can you let me know if I am on the right track to ride out this recession ? Thank you!
Just want to ask, bank lending rate will increase due to inflation. Banking stocks should perform well. With Fed keeps increasing leading rate, will bank stocks drop in price ?
Banks benefit from higher interest its true BUT there is default risk to balance against. Share prices are also impacted by sentiment in the short term
Have been waiting for this BEAR opportunity for quite awhile. Have recently enter the market slowly to take up positions. Let’s see how long this BEAR will be around.
Tesla going back to low level dip soon again ? Bloomberg reports that the world's richest person has warned employees in an internal memo that Tesla Inc. has had a “very tough quarter” as it struggles with supply-chain snags. “This has been a very tough quarter, primarily due to supply chain and production challenges in China,” Musk said in an email to employees over the weekend. “So we need to rally hard to recover!”
@@joshconsultancy do u think starting DCA on china tech is a good choice for now? is kind of contradicting considering the whole world battling high inflation while we long on china tech stock?
U need to put disclaimer that ur refering to the 90% of the people out there. Cos there are 10% of people (hopefully me) that just look at numbers and nothing else. And there are the 1% of people who are able to sell off at the relative highs and buy back at the relative loWs EVERYTIME
Hi Josh, thanks for sharing. Would this apply to taking profits now (not crystallising losses) to build future watchest for further short term dips (assuming that is my macro market view)?
No. It will be taking the "exiting market" out of context. Trading is trading. Investing is exiting in overvalued/late cycle situations. This is an example I Sold Away This Share, Once My Biggest Holding | Property Peaked For Propnex & Apac Realty Shares? ua-cam.com/video/ty0JbemKlYk/v-deo.html
NEW Ebook "HOW TO $1,000,000" - What You Need To Know - Edition June2022 - payhip.com/b/MHstJ Financial problems are deep rooted. They cannot be solved with a lottery ticket win. They also cannot be solved by financial literacy lessons in schools which lack inspiration, hard truths and actionable steps. ** Sales will be until June2022 | $7.90 | Get Your Copy Now - payhip.com/b/MHstJ ** In this book, I hope to guide you on what to look out for financially with stories from my own journey. These are things you must know to play the money game in Singapore. The title of $1,000,000 is to hopefully serve as an inspiration and I'd like to share with you as it should be told. (All sales will be part of the $10,000/y Josh Tan Bursary To NTU for two deserving students)
Levels: - 1 Fear, 2 despair, 3. Panic, 4. surrender, 5. depression, 6. Riot/taking Legal action/ declared bankruptcy/sell your house to cover debts.. or can't afford cheap netflix anymore? 7. Finally - new Hope (end of dip) Which stage most investor are now? Worst is over?
Purchase access to LIVE JOSH TAN FINANCE SUMMIT DEC 2022 . Everything you need to be a better investor for 2023 at $67 ONLY now
► jtinvestacademy.thinkific.com/courses/josh-tan-finance-summit-2022
“If you cannot take me at my worst, then you don’t deserve me at my best.”
This is something that I think about constantly when looking at the market these days. Like you mentioned, if we have invested into fundamentally good companies, just need to ignore the noise and see this as an even greater buying opportunity. The bear won’t be around forever, it needs to go to sleep for winter as well 😂 make use of it when it’s here!
Nice quote Lynn! I may borrow for future presentations 😉
@@joshconsultancy sure!
This quote sure sounds applicable to a romantic relationship as well
"Difficult roads leads to beautiful destinations", a quote I got from one CNA documentary.
Hi Josh, appreciate the timely advise when all hopes seemed lost. Been through several ‘BEARS’ and what you have shared resonates with me. Selling out now is like jumping out of a roller coaster ride when it is in motion, which is an extremely unwise thing to do. It is also through these ‘BEARS’ that I have also learnt to be indifferent when the market crashes. Of course, the basic fundamentals of holding on to shares with strong credentials is important. Thank you and have a great staycation with the family!
Thank you for the kind wishes Max, cya around
I like how he is in a serious tone and then suddenly reminding us to like the video. Jokes aside, thank you josh for giving us these advices. Hope everything goes well soon!
Ya I sudd remembered about the LIKE part while narrating. Thanks cya around arias
@@joshconsultancy always like your video without telling me hha
This is EXACTLY the question that I want your opinion about. Great timing :)
Wow, basically me in 2021. Nice storytelling.
Thanks Chi Keng, cya around
Thanks for the 'pep' talk video. Many people need to hear this.
No worries. Share with someone who can benefit from hearing this
Everyone should know that a panic selldown of less than 0.1% of total outstanding shares of a liquid counter can cause a more than 10% price drops, vice versa . Everyone should know this fact before deciding what to do at this moment. This is how volatile the stock market can be. Stock markets are 'controled' by irrational people.
1 thing I learnt from investing is nv sell at a loss! Conviction is key!
Very good explanation!!
Thanks Kelvin, cya around
This remind me of some quotes by few great investors;
It’s in the nature of stock markets to go way down from time to time. There’s no system to avoid bad markets. You can’t do it unless you try to time the market, which is a seriously dumb thing to do. Conservative investing with steady savings without expecting miracles is the way to go - Charlie Munger
The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient - Warren Buffett
Your ultimate success or failure will depend on your ability to ignore the worries of the world long enough to allow your investment to succeed - Peter Lynch
Love the quotes
Josh time to buy, the question is how much to buy. I have been limiting myself to a certain amount each time as I feel the market will go down even more. Thanks for the videos!!
Hi Sisca, if your income is still strong, its merely deploying some of it there consistently. If you've a pot on hand then deploy over the next 12mths equally. You wouldnt be too far from hitting the absolute bottom imo. Hope it answers
The market today is very different from post Leman Bro quantitative easing policy. Go back to basics, look at valuations and cash flow positive companies and start to nibble at the current down trend. Round the corner is US Housing market crash which will ignite the debt bubble. The commodity cycle will boom and eventually FED will surrender and continue to print more $$$ by mid 2023. Worst scenario is stagflation and this will prolong the sufferings ??? Don’t have to time the market but most people got out of markets back in Dec/ Jan.
Oooh. It’s an interesting pov but don’t be too sure safer. Cya around
Wow.. quite close.. yes .. by .. December
Surprisingly good. 👏🏻👏🏻
Yes.. There are expert out there.. I happen to know 2 or 3 of them.. But the knowledge is it of this world..
Thanks Josh! Appreciate this video during these period of time
Glad it was helpful! Invest safely and stay optimistic
Josh got set up lighting eh? The shadow cast on your face and background sets a serious tone. Hah
Loves those tips👍🏻 time in the market > timing the market 🤫😉
Absolutely!
Always bounces to sell. VIX at 25 is a sell signal.
Time in the market with what we already have invested is more important since we cannot predict the future. In regard to our war chest & deploying funds in downturn ..... better do technical analysis as well.
Your advice very alight to John C Bogle.
He's a legend =)
100%correct
Sorry.. it's now time to rebound to complacency
its like asking will u wait 10yrs if u know car will b cheaper then ?
Useful advice
Well done , boss ! Different investors have different emotion n action when bear mkt. I would buy some ocbc n keppel if STI drop below 3070. As my counters r profitable, still can get some dividends thru next yr. If next yr, USA recession, then buy more ocbc n keppel . Just like ( apr-may 2020) . Enjoy the sun ,swimming pool during the vacation !
Thank you Vincent and cya around
Josh, thanks for your advice.
No worries! Cya around Kai Siang
Thank you sir for the great advice. I am a long term investor and my investment is only within my investment piggy bank fund, nothing beyond that and based on the principle of fundamental. Love the rest of the comments here as well, learning and still learning from the the best.
No probs, cya around more and share with someone who should hear the message too
It seems like doom and gloom among most shareholders across the board during the bear cycle. I have been sharing your video around, hopefully it will shed some light over the whole situation with more investors have a better understanding of the bear cycle.
swee la josh... great quotes.
Thanks JL. Share with someone who should hear too
If the goal of investment is for 20-30 years, all these noise will not affect you much. People affected are mostly short term thinking and want quick money instead of building long term wealth.
Hi Josh, I asked Chicken Genius about this but I think he needs time alone, if the stock market is crashing, is it a good idea to buy a call option on SQQQ or even the ETF itself for a short term?
Hi Ming Jie, my message here has been consistent. Simplify the approach and do not have options and short positions to "hedge". It is still an attempt to avoid losses because of market timing, just disguised differently
@@joshconsultancy I actually don't have much stocks in hand previously and sold off more than 90% off at the end of January at a profit. Since then I shorted, buy puts or got inverse leveraged ETFs like SQQQ and have been making quite a bit of profits also. Thing is, I do have a feeling even though it is bad news everywhere, the market is reacting but not by much and so I do plan on stopping all these shortings, puts and inverse leveraged ETFs.
U mean put option? To go down?
@@louth1770 SQQQ is a leveraged inverse ETF, this is not financial advise but don't buy unless you know what you are doing
@@mingjieng1426 it's time to the opposite
If you sell, then thats money lose. Else its paper lose now. But in the first place, you should only invest with money you do not need for the next few months or years. And only invest in long term. People who lose money now are mostly traders. Ironically, my only proft stock is Tesla where many had been claiming it as high risk for past few years. The rest are paper lose but manageable. Just DCA..... similar to my cryptos.
Agree that only money that is not needed should be invested. This period of downturn has reinforced that importance
Hi Josh, thanks for the advice. I started contributing a fix amt per mth into a portfolio of unit trust that gives me monthly dividends for the last one over years. It is currently down around 15-18%. I have changed the plan and am putting a same fixed amount every week and is planning to do the same DCA for the next one to two years. Can you let me know if I am on the right track to ride out this recession ? Thank you!
Weekly or monthly may not make a very big difference. They both require market to recover. Give it that 2 years as planned and stick to it
Just want to ask, bank lending rate will increase due to inflation. Banking stocks should perform well. With Fed keeps increasing leading rate, will bank stocks drop in price ?
Banks benefit from higher interest its true BUT there is default risk to balance against. Share prices are also impacted by sentiment in the short term
Tesla shares seen to recover to USD 700 last night. Are we on the road to recovery?
Hi WK, the question needs to be refined. I have no idea and I guess no one also. More importantly I havent voted with my money on it. Cya around
@@joshconsultancy I see. Noted and cya. =)
R fed is serious about draw 20 triliion from the market !
Have been waiting for this BEAR opportunity for quite awhile. Have recently enter the market slowly to take up positions. Let’s see how long this BEAR will be around.
I agree with Slowly 👍
I have seen quite a few bears and this is just a cub 😂
crude palm oil seems to be in a downtrend, correction?
I certainly hope so. The cooking oil supply issue is still grave
You learnt a lot.. I can see...
Find chloe and learn the option trading...She looked good
Thank you.
You're welcome! Share with someone who should hear too
I afraid things could turn out ugly at the end that will cause a long period of stock price depression
Depends on how long our time period. Unless we think the world is crashing next 10 to 20 years
Tesla going back to low level dip soon again ?
Bloomberg reports that the world's richest person has warned employees in an internal memo that Tesla Inc. has had a “very tough quarter” as it struggles with supply-chain snags.
“This has been a very tough quarter, primarily due to supply chain and production challenges in China,” Musk said in an email to employees over the weekend. “So we need to rally hard to recover!”
havent see the report before. But Tesla decline is in line with market sentiment, prob not due to production drop I guess? (which is temporary)
could china tech stock in the disbelief stage? what is your view?
I do it possibly at disbelief stage hence I'm guessing the bear there could have ended
@@joshconsultancy do u think starting DCA on china tech is a good choice for now? is kind of contradicting considering the whole world battling high inflation while we long on china tech stock?
Time maket is not easy after sell never buy back.
very true
U need to put disclaimer that ur refering to the 90% of the people out there. Cos there are 10% of people (hopefully me) that just look at numbers and nothing else. And there are the 1% of people who are able to sell off at the relative highs and buy back at the relative loWs EVERYTIME
Hi CNT, treat it as a story not meant to be personal. And everyone was once starting out also
Hi Josh, thanks for sharing. Would this apply to taking profits now (not crystallising losses) to build future watchest for further short term dips (assuming that is my macro market view)?
No. It will be taking the "exiting market" out of context. Trading is trading. Investing is exiting in overvalued/late cycle situations. This is an example I Sold Away This Share, Once My Biggest Holding | Property Peaked For Propnex & Apac Realty Shares? ua-cam.com/video/ty0JbemKlYk/v-deo.html
Many thanks for your reply. Have a great staycation!
NEW Ebook "HOW TO $1,000,000" - What You Need To Know - Edition June2022 - payhip.com/b/MHstJ
Financial problems are deep rooted. They cannot be solved with a lottery ticket win.
They also cannot be solved by financial literacy lessons in schools which lack inspiration, hard truths and actionable steps.
** Sales will be until June2022 | $7.90 | Get Your Copy Now - payhip.com/b/MHstJ **
In this book, I hope to guide you on what to look out for financially with stories from my own journey.
These are things you must know to play the money game in Singapore.
The title of $1,000,000 is to hopefully serve as an inspiration and I'd like to share with you as it should be told.
(All sales will be part of the $10,000/y Josh Tan Bursary To NTU for two deserving students)
Perhaps it is time to add 1 more zero .. we are heading from inflation to hyperinflations ..
Will there be hardcopy book available?
@@tanjem it may be a few years only. Recessions deflate
@@AhWing89 it’s a eBook version Cya around
@@joshconsultancy what if the war drag and escalate ?? can we ignore this and be unprepared !!.. With war, do you think inflation will go away ??
Levels: - 1 Fear, 2 despair, 3. Panic, 4. surrender, 5. depression, 6. Riot/taking Legal action/ declared bankruptcy/sell your house to cover debts.. or can't afford cheap netflix anymore?
7. Finally - new Hope (end of dip)
Which stage most investor are now?
Worst is over?
US tech is unlikely at 7 yet imo. But thats not the problem. The problem is joining in during 2021 as explained in this sharing
Rebound to complacency
Great and concise
THanks THC cya around