EXACTLY When To BUY TLT STOCK

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  • Опубліковано 25 вер 2024
  • The stock market is about to go crazy as we get the CPI & Fed Dot Plot tomorrow, but with all the volatility in markets, many traders are asking if its time to buy TLT stock. Given I have hit this trade with over 30,000% gains and it has only happened 2 times in the last 20 years, I thought I would weigh in on the topic and give my TLT ETF analysis. The problem with trying to trade TLT stock in this environment is that there has been many false signals and many traders think it will be a clear cut moon trade once we cut rates. Sadly this isn't true and duration risk has claimed many traders over the last 2 years. The key of when to buy TLT stock relies solely on the steepening of the yield curve and once it goes back from inverted to normal. Beyond that, the velocity and expectations when this occur will be the difference between a major trade and a slow move. My goal of this video is to help traders out and save some people money. Take the trade, but know what you are looking for. None of this is a recommendation, I have no TLT position currently, I own a lot of bonds from a couple years ago, I do not gain or lose off of telling you this. If you don't want me to make videos on this, don't like the video and don't share it. If you do want me to, then show some love and spread the word. Both TLT plays all I asked for was a like and subscription so lmk what you think.
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    DISCLAIMER: These videos are for educational purposes only. Nothing in this video should be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any sort of security or investment

КОМЕНТАРІ • 219

  • @heathermason7875
    @heathermason7875 3 місяці тому +75

    I was in chat the day TLT popped off, I remember somebody thanked Josh and said they were able to buy a new car because of Josh's TLT play. Hoping that happens for the rest of us one day chadidonia lol 🙏

    • @alaskanassassin7332
      @alaskanassassin7332 3 місяці тому +10

      Tha day we learned “I just wanna Lexus….”

    • @danielwestereng155
      @danielwestereng155 3 місяці тому +3

      I was camping when the tlt plays were going down.
      I was also very new to trading and inexperienced with the macro world especially.

    • @VS-xo8db
      @VS-xo8db 3 місяці тому +3

      Strike and expiry ?

    • @kdavidse
      @kdavidse 3 місяці тому +1

      You mean buy TLT call options when it’s steepening? Orrr?

    • @BM-kw2tu
      @BM-kw2tu 12 днів тому +1

      And here we are with the possibility of another possible opportunity! God bless you Chads!!!

  • @Chasingbuildsnyc
    @Chasingbuildsnyc 3 місяці тому +12

    came on this channel in 2019 and can never forget months later when TLT sky rocketed i turned $500 to $50,000 ... i definetly want you to put more videos on TLT

  • @christopherstarnawski7923
    @christopherstarnawski7923 3 місяці тому +25

    Keep talking about TLT, it's your perspective on topics like this which makes your channel more valuable than others ✌️

  • @nicholasanderson6284
    @nicholasanderson6284 3 місяці тому +15

    BEEN HERE SINCE 2019, SAW THE FIRST TLT, SAW THE SECOND. YOURE THE GOAT. KEEP GOING! HERE FOR THE 3rd. LFGGGGGGGGGGGGG

  • @timwhitman
    @timwhitman 3 місяці тому +34

    Cuz the TLT won't let me be, or let rates be, so let me see... They tried to shut powell down on the SEP, but it feels so empty without me.🎶

    • @lunaticbz3594
      @lunaticbz3594 3 місяці тому +3

      I thought it was the SEC won't let me be.

  • @MikeyLeach
    @MikeyLeach 3 місяці тому +11

    Yield Curve Explanation is literally insane + TLT this watchlist is so informational and so firee💯🔥

  • @BRAS64076
    @BRAS64076 3 місяці тому +8

    Tmf basically same as tlt except triple leverage!!!!.... im DEEP into TMF hopeing for lifechanging money!!! Been buying for 3 months already! 🎉

  • @uncleterry4863
    @uncleterry4863 3 місяці тому +9

    GOD BLESS CHADADONIA!!! LEGENDARY STUFF AS PER USUAL... PRAYIN FOR YALL!!!!!!!!!! ❤

  • @damroyalty
    @damroyalty 3 місяці тому +54

    _Intro/TLT_ - 0:05
    *Sources* - 2:29
    *Keys/All About TLT* - 2:57
    *Historical Charts on Yield Inversion* - 7:57 and 21:12
    *Answering Chad Question* - 26:43
    *Wrapping Up Watchlist* - 34:34
    🤍

    • @uncleterry4863
      @uncleterry4863 3 місяці тому +3

      PRAYIN FOR U G ❤

    • @richardjudge2322
      @richardjudge2322 3 місяці тому +2

      God Bless You

    • @damroyalty
      @damroyalty 3 місяці тому

      @@uncleterry4863 thank you brother 🤍 sending prayers right back

    • @damroyalty
      @damroyalty 3 місяці тому

      @@richardjudge2322 God, bless you & your family Richard. thank you🤍

  • @bearlybullish1183
    @bearlybullish1183 3 місяці тому +5

    Josh I can proudly say I’ve honestly learned soooo much more here let alone your aura of positive and comedy!

  • @1purpleman1
    @1purpleman1 3 місяці тому +4

    This is excellent. I completely missed the 5/10 bond inversion history. I always love it when you dive into the macro.

  • @owenosborne4878
    @owenosborne4878 3 місяці тому +4

    TLT was my first play in 2019 in the stock market. Thank you Josh for the great info!

  • @nrg_fre
    @nrg_fre 3 місяці тому +10

    Definitely keep sharing on this Topic & anything you think is helpful, Thx Josh

  • @rexraxx
    @rexraxx 3 місяці тому +4

    The economic lessons.. The daily education.. The analysis on data, options, news, EVERYTHIIIIING you provide is truly SECOND TO ANYONE ANYWHERE!!!!! AND FOR THE FREEMIUM!
    Thank you, Josh.
    GOD BLESS YOU & GOD BLESS THE CHAD!
    P.S. I look forward to the lessons today and all the future lessons and value you provide.

  • @vonnnn7
    @vonnnn7 3 місяці тому +3

    Josh thank you so much you all always hit it baby, it happened with the bank overnight repo in 2019 and Covid in 2020 finger to the sky ☝️

  • @ReBirthbeatz
    @ReBirthbeatz 3 місяці тому +2

    I don't catch every watchlist, but glad I saw this one. You've gotten so good at explaining TLT now

  • @CocoHCTIB
    @CocoHCTIB 3 місяці тому +4

    I come here every fomc for fomc and tlt knowledge. Please keep going!

  • @HakunaAmil
    @HakunaAmil 3 місяці тому +3

    Josh, just dropping by to say Thank you for everything you do and God bless you, Uncle answers, Girlfriend answers, Moma Answers, Dad Answers, LT and MAY GOD BLESS THE CULT BABY !!!!! ❤❤❤❤ see ya tomorrow 😘

  • @bearmarkettradeideas
    @bearmarkettradeideas 3 місяці тому +9

    "You can still drive the Honda with the check engine light on Chad." -Josh I LOVE THAT! hahaha! HIT the LIKE button for this man! SO-CAL hit that like, stop PLAYIN.

  • @hawkins7719
    @hawkins7719 3 місяці тому +3

    I love what you do Brother! I love your insight on the market. Please continue what you are doing.

  • @MarieC-q6e
    @MarieC-q6e 21 день тому

    This is wonderful. Thank you. Please keep TLT videos.

  • @danielwestereng155
    @danielwestereng155 3 місяці тому +1

    Thank you sir. I love the yield curve inside scoops and analysis.
    Keep up the macro classes we’ve been waiting for it. I love it.
    God bless the cult!
    Keep the source clean

  • @Bigronc303
    @Bigronc303 3 місяці тому +1

    I joined the Chad in 2020 right after the last one you hit… won’t be the story next time!💯 keep these comin!!

  • @mack10blue
    @mack10blue 3 місяці тому +4

    Oh man what a crazy video and a learning lesson hmmmm, that good old TLT- Horn!!!

  • @Chrislongterm
    @Chrislongterm 3 місяці тому +3

    I love all the education! You make it easy to learn.

  • @rami9660
    @rami9660 3 місяці тому +3

    Thank you, Josh, for your knowledge and consistency.

  • @MrMostBe
    @MrMostBe 3 місяці тому +2

    One of my favorite funny memories about TLT is CNBC pumping the short TLT trade days before the thing blew out

  • @LockDoggg
    @LockDoggg 3 місяці тому +3

    We love the watchlist baby!!!

  • @alaskanassassin7332
    @alaskanassassin7332 3 місяці тому +15

    “When the 3 month on the fall that’s when you don’t buy the dip.” - Unc

    • @timwhitman
      @timwhitman 3 місяці тому +5

      TLT 3: Re-Vengeance, Staring Chad & Josh Answers... with LT as "Old Man Tinfoil" *Helicopter Noises* "In a world, where Cycles shift on a schedule, one man will defy the odds and grab glory in the middle of volatility... FOR A THIRD TIME"

    • @danielwestereng155
      @danielwestereng155 3 місяці тому

      Banger call out.

  • @marcusbryant32
    @marcusbryant32 3 місяці тому +2

    Thank you Josh bro I’ll always be thankful for your knowledge and insight brother god bless you

  • @haydenres3484
    @haydenres3484 3 місяці тому +5

    bro forgot the intro, tomorrow is going to be insane!! What would make long term rates spike but not short term interest rates

  • @z4rkenny
    @z4rkenny 21 день тому

    i just started trading this year hoping to be there live for the next one josh!!! gl chadadonia and thank you for everything!!!

  • @ferdimemelli3858
    @ferdimemelli3858 3 місяці тому +5

    When the yeild curve steepens, also the tlt price goes up, simultaneously. So when to buy the Tlt? When the Tlt price goes up. Roger….

  • @mcclainsgarage3917
    @mcclainsgarage3917 3 місяці тому +3

    I love the TLR lore I missed the last one please make more video on it.

  • @dankingsleyyyy
    @dankingsleyyyy 3 місяці тому +6

    Thank you Josh

  • @SonsOfAveraging
    @SonsOfAveraging 3 місяці тому +14

    Day 210 of consistency, LET’S GOOOOOO!

    • @richardjudge2322
      @richardjudge2322 3 місяці тому +1

      Let's Go! Praying for you

    • @SonsOfAveraging
      @SonsOfAveraging 3 місяці тому +1

      Bless you brother! Get hyped for CPI and Powell tomorrow! 🎉

    • @KSOULJA114
      @KSOULJA114 2 місяці тому +1

      Consistency! Amen - 🙏🏽 Do the work reap the Rewards.

    • @SonsOfAveraging
      @SonsOfAveraging 2 місяці тому

      @@KSOULJA114 Couldn’t have said it better myself! 🙏

  • @localguides8653
    @localguides8653 3 місяці тому +2

    1st year and 2nd year are on the meeting agenda tomorrow at 2pm EST. Don't remember ever seeing that on FXStreet.

  • @popmonsterMC
    @popmonsterMC 3 місяці тому +3

    I’m liking the video tomorrow at 9am with different accounts 💪💪

  • @haideralzerj
    @haideralzerj 3 місяці тому +1

    Keep doing the vids bruddda. We innit all the way with you brother

  • @wilberivs19
    @wilberivs19 3 місяці тому +10

    Lambo money on the way! All glory to God!!

  • @alexanderb.9872
    @alexanderb.9872 3 місяці тому +4

    Bringing the TNT for the TLT play baby 💳

  • @daltondavis1530
    @daltondavis1530 3 місяці тому +2

    been waiting on this one

  • @abastidas11
    @abastidas11 Місяць тому

    I saw the watchlist on 8/4/24 and it led me back here!! LETS GO! STUDY THIS!! LETS GO GUYS!

  • @metaphorium1328
    @metaphorium1328 3 місяці тому +1

    Return of the Goat

  • @sking6344
    @sking6344 3 місяці тому +4

    I don’t understand the 50000%, is this from options ?

  • @BlissB
    @BlissB 3 місяці тому +3

    We are here🤘🤘!!

  • @SVM886
    @SVM886 3 місяці тому +3

    Witnessed the first, missed the second, making sure I'm ready for the third 😤

  • @erikherrlich934
    @erikherrlich934 3 місяці тому

    I've been loving all the leasons you've been doing. Thank you so much.

  • @sasha_kahlo
    @sasha_kahlo 3 місяці тому +1

    Keep posting this stuff!!

  • @KayKay14m
    @KayKay14m Місяць тому +1

    I don't need the TLT "big one" using options. I own 500 shares of the ETF. When rates are cut, TLT will go higher. It doesn't have to go higher overnight to make money. Also, TLT is paying monthly dividends. I don't see TLT getting much above 125 at the end of the Fed easing cycle to keep interest rates at about 2.5% to 3%

  • @Mknight22
    @Mknight22 3 місяці тому +1

    LOVED THE VIDEO LETS HAVE FUN AND HANDLE BUSINESS TOMORROW

  • @royflynn6445
    @royflynn6445 3 місяці тому +3

    Definitely will i have shared and want to know more

  • @reservecurrency
    @reservecurrency 3 місяці тому +3

    No way the FED allows things to run higher, unless they are looking for inflation to be increasingly sticky. CPI will be hot and the Fed will be hawkish tomorrow, I'm booking it. If I'm wrong, things will rip and that's fine for me. Let inflation run wild, I don't care at this point. 😂

  • @donkeysmash86
    @donkeysmash86 3 місяці тому

    This topic so important, I slowed the playback to .75 and listened twice

  • @6pm.Chicago
    @6pm.Chicago 3 місяці тому +3

    Bring on the volatility! 🎉

  • @devthelurker
    @devthelurker 3 місяці тому +2

    Thank you 🙏🏼

  • @eanesenterprise9013
    @eanesenterprise9013 3 місяці тому +2

    I just want the Lexus !! 👏👏❤💯

  • @richardjudge2322
    @richardjudge2322 3 місяці тому +2

    Check Your Heart God Bless You Josh and Chad ❤

  • @FightingComa
    @FightingComa 3 місяці тому +1

    Thank you for the info 🙏🏽

  • @SJ-hg6hr
    @SJ-hg6hr 2 місяці тому

    I love this content! Please keep it coming!!!

  • @Repthabay
    @Repthabay 3 місяці тому

    I was live there in 2020..but went kind of small back then. been waiting for another one since... Let's get it brotha!!!

  • @jasonramos8665
    @jasonramos8665 3 місяці тому +2

    Thank you! LETS GOOOOOO CHAD

  • @stevekang1935
    @stevekang1935 3 місяці тому +7

    Tlt calls what price

  • @herofam6
    @herofam6 3 місяці тому +2

    THANKS JOSH!!!

  • @challengerband
    @challengerband 3 місяці тому +6

    Shared on X 🎉

  • @nielp91
    @nielp91 3 місяці тому +2

    Let’s go then.

  • @CristianHernandez-er4zn
    @CristianHernandez-er4zn 3 місяці тому +2

    GREAT VID. . I guess DCA could work

  • @exodisius7450
    @exodisius7450 3 місяці тому +4

    RUN IT!

  • @pandamoreno7274
    @pandamoreno7274 3 місяці тому

    Great stuff much love and appreciation

  • @Leartoearn
    @Leartoearn Місяць тому +1

    watching this on 8/11/2024. Get ready chads

  • @turntlary616
    @turntlary616 3 місяці тому +1

    Lurkin Lary letting you know I’m involved BABY!

  • @H1ddentransmission
    @H1ddentransmission 3 місяці тому +4

    TLT baggie checking in

  • @ivanhernandezpersonal5949
    @ivanhernandezpersonal5949 3 місяці тому

    Loving this video Josh

  • @LivinginbremertonWA
    @LivinginbremertonWA 3 місяці тому

    Great knowledge being
    Kicked!

  • @dondang6447
    @dondang6447 3 місяці тому +4

    Keep it up

  • @robertbanks3280
    @robertbanks3280 3 місяці тому +1

    Bless you bro

  • @cassiusmagnus8751
    @cassiusmagnus8751 3 місяці тому +3

    We here !

  • @Crispycalls
    @Crispycalls 3 місяці тому

    I feel like I've been waiting on this video my whole life

  • @cryptochris3551
    @cryptochris3551 3 місяці тому +2

    Do you save your Google Docs somewhere?! Would be crazy to see the history of notes

  • @SuperTakeoff
    @SuperTakeoff 3 місяці тому +2

    Like the video!
    Thanks josh for always giving out the free gems on how to hit the elusive TLT at the right time 3:34
    In case Elon gets his money. This is my play
    August 16 $240 call @ 2.07

  • @tommypickles7381
    @tommypickles7381 3 місяці тому +2

    More TLT videos please!

  • @calderon61919
    @calderon61919 3 місяці тому +4

    LIKE THE VIDEO! It’s all love.

  • @gl3.gainsthe183
    @gl3.gainsthe183 3 місяці тому

    The man goat knows the word

  • @ubpsundaydriver
    @ubpsundaydriver 3 місяці тому +3

    Who has the TLT biggie smalls gif from years back?

  • @justinliddicoat6275
    @justinliddicoat6275 3 місяці тому +6

    Like the video🎉

  • @btebo77
    @btebo77 3 місяці тому +2

    Let’s go TLT

  • @doc-illa
    @doc-illa 3 місяці тому

    BIG love to Josh and the Chad. The upcoming world events and market opportunities are looking excellent

  • @TheMurliprasad
    @TheMurliprasad 3 місяці тому +6

    ONLY BRADLEY FRIZZELL CAN BUY TLT

  • @levelplane8586
    @levelplane8586 3 місяці тому +1

    We was there

  • @mickharounian4905
    @mickharounian4905 3 місяці тому

    We love you Josh

  • @tsumello06
    @tsumello06 3 місяці тому +2

    Keep going

  • @Rajan-yz6bq
    @Rajan-yz6bq 3 місяці тому

    During canadas interest rate meeting they said they are going to follow the data and cut slow essentially. For this to play out we need fast unexpected cuts

  • @karmadrone6647
    @karmadrone6647 3 місяці тому

    We are INTERESTED!!!

  • @LadderWizard
    @LadderWizard 3 місяці тому

    BROOOOOOOO
    THANK YOU!

  • @Iamjustavibe
    @Iamjustavibe 3 місяці тому +3

    Everyone ((like)) the damn video
    👍 👍 i literary only play the big tlt plays

  • @DieselNutz
    @DieselNutz Місяць тому +1

    Bro it happened this week again… weeklies went 40x!!! Did you catch it again?

  • @brewdog8568
    @brewdog8568 3 місяці тому +4

    Let's go

  • @cash249384
    @cash249384 3 місяці тому +4

    What's up fam?

  • @5000miner
    @5000miner 3 місяці тому

    Ooohh boy here we go again

  • @ABQMAILMAN67
    @ABQMAILMAN67 Місяць тому +1

    Is it time?