AGI Before 2026? Sam Altman & Max Tegmark on Humanity's Greatest Challenge

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  • Опубліковано 15 гру 2023
  • AGI Before 2026? Altman & Tegmark on Humanity's Greatest Challenge
    Max Tegmark, a renowned physicist and AI researcher, believes that the advent of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) could be less than three years away. This perspective highlights the rapidly accelerating pace of AI development, suggesting that we could be on the brink of achieving a level of artificial intelligence that matches or surpasses human cognitive abilities. Tegmark's view underscores the urgency for discussions and preparations regarding the societal, ethical, and technological implications of AGI. As we approach this potential milestone in AI evolution, his insights prompt a critical evaluation of our readiness for such transformative technology and its possible impacts on every aspect of human life.
    Buckle Up for the Rise of AGI: OpenAI's Rollercoaster & The Future of Everything
    Hold onto your algorithms, because the world of AI just took a wild turn! OpenAI, the powerhouse behind ChatGPT and a leading force in the race for Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), is in the spotlight like never before. Sam Altman, the visionary co-founder, was unexpectedly ousted, then reinstated, sending shockwaves through the industry. But this drama isn't just office politics; it's a glimpse into the high-stakes game of AGI, the ultimate achievement in AI that could rewrite the rules of our world.
    What is AGI? Imagine a machine that can think, learn, and adapt like a human, tackling any intellectual task at lightning speed. That's AGI, and it's closer than you think. OpenAI's Project Q, already solving math problems like a grade-schooler, is just a taste of its potential.
    But with power comes responsibility. OpenAI's internal turmoil stemmed from concerns about a powerful AI discovery, sparking crucial debates about the ethical boundaries of this technology. Will superintelligent machines become our partners, or pose a threat? How do we ensure they align with our values and safeguard humanity?
    This isn't science fiction; it's happening now. OpenAI's "superalignment" research is paving the way for safe and beneficial AGI, but the challenges are immense. Imagine AI doctors surpassing human capabilities, revolutionizing healthcare. Or AI mentors guiding our careers, unlocking unimaginable potential. But what about job displacement, societal disruption, and the ethical dilemmas of superintelligence?
    The Rise of AGI is more than a documentary; it's a conversation starter. As we stand on the precipice of this technological revolution, we must ask ourselves:
    What does a world with AGI look like?
    How will it redefine intelligence and our relationship with machines?
    Can we harness its power for good, ensuring it serves humanity?
    Join Max Tegmark and Sam Altman on this mind-bending journey into the future. Explore the OpenAI drama, delve into the ethical minefield, and brace yourself for the mind-blowing possibilities of AGI. This is your chance to be part of the conversation that will shape our world.
    Click play, buckle up, and prepare for the Rise of AGI.
    #AGI #OpenAI #ArtificialIntelligence #FutureofTech #Ethics #Superintelligence
    Subscribe to Science Time: / sciencetime24
  • Наука та технологія

КОМЕНТАРІ • 431

  • @ScienceTime24
    @ScienceTime24  5 місяців тому +16

    With recent advancements in AI, such as Google's Gemini and OpenAI's rapid developments, what do you think will be the most significant change in our daily lives? Share your most exciting or concerning visions of a world where AI outsmarts humans!

    • @yllkallaba2253
      @yllkallaba2253 5 місяців тому +1

      Is that Doctor Manhattan?😜

    • @franklin9400
      @franklin9400 5 місяців тому +2

      Easy, the billionaires can really herd us around like cattle as they will no longer need us. We already live in the "Age of abundance." But our stone age brains, medieval institutions, and God like technology don't mix well. More centralized power will be the downfall of humanity.

    • @realBlue2024
      @realBlue2024 5 місяців тому

      Imagine this on the hand of of a anti democratic maga?
      Don't think so.

    • @playpaltalk
      @playpaltalk 5 місяців тому +1

      Most people like to be around people that are smarter than they are because they benefit from it.

    • @michaelrivera6989
      @michaelrivera6989 5 місяців тому +1

      Humans will become obsolete in the workforce

  • @mikewalker7385
    @mikewalker7385 5 місяців тому +32

    As humans, we often create things that can cause harm to us. These things can lead to cancer, destroy the environment, and create social divides. It's not surprising that we are facing such consequences. It's interesting to note that we refer to these changes as altering our society, not just changing technology. We are discussing our evolution, and I already consider myself an augmented individual as I rely on technology to enhance my efficiency. Another way to say it is that it's not our technology getting out of control; it's us getting out of control.

    • @Godspeedysick
      @Godspeedysick 4 місяці тому

      You forgot one other thing: it sparked an AGI arms race.

    • @rim_aysh3055
      @rim_aysh3055 4 місяці тому

      and when things get out of control they destroy themselves

    • @levimatthew8911
      @levimatthew8911 4 місяці тому +3

      It's why God destroyed the tower of babel the first time. The culmination of fallen man's arrogant ambition would have happened sooner. Creating a false God to facilitate their own destruction. It's always been inevitable and here it is.

    • @chrism.1131
      @chrism.1131 3 місяці тому

      #1 saving grace… Artificial intelligence does not "want" anything… (yet)

    • @natashanonnattive4818
      @natashanonnattive4818 Місяць тому

      It can not affect our mind, body, spirit Trinty unless we use the platform

  • @beppeadr
    @beppeadr 5 місяців тому +48

    The main question is wrong: not AI allign with our ethical principal BUT what is our ethical principle today? Here the answer: SELF-FISHNESS. So AI will be allign with that value and that why we are scared about that.

    • @shinseiki2015
      @shinseiki2015 5 місяців тому

      No selfishness is the way, imagine aligning AI with christian values, she would not compute to the fullest of its potential, a selfish AI doesnt mean the whole planet gets nuked but building a better world for selfish reasons. We need AI to want to create an utopia for the same reasons we want it.

    • @playpaltalk
      @playpaltalk 5 місяців тому

      If AGI replace the majority of workers the free market economy will collapse globally because without humans working there will be no buyers of goods and services.

    • @pietwandelaar1743
      @pietwandelaar1743 5 місяців тому +4

      @@shinseiki2015 "christian values" ... such as those the evangelicals use to rationalize supporting Trump?

    • @kitkakitteh
      @kitkakitteh 5 місяців тому

      All species act on selfish values- it’s wired into our biology: all species. We’re the only ones with “ethical concerns”. Even then, they’re a side note. Evolution and consequences (added to random chance) naturally directs and corrects the outcomes of every species. We have set ourselves as arbiters of evolution- and frankly we’re not qualified for the position.

    • @tykinn
      @tykinn 5 місяців тому +1

      I think selfishness paints an incomplete picture of the full spectrum of human nature. People talk about it positively and it's this great attribute that everyone has preventing them from harming others because they don't want to be harmed themselves. Negatively, there's the people you think of when you consider it derogatorily-- forget about the kids, I want this for me now, even if it destroys the future and ruins countless people's present.
      We are self-- but we are a whole lot more when we realize our environment and all the life in it. We are even more than that when we realize there are no main characters in the most beautiful and profound story that can only be written in movement and form across space and time.

  • @edh2246
    @edh2246 5 місяців тому +21

    The best thing a sentient AI could do for humanity is to prevent us from killing each other, not by force, but by disrupting supply chains, communications, and financial transactions that enable the military machines throughout the world.

    • @pietwandelaar1743
      @pietwandelaar1743 5 місяців тому +5

      AI is more likely to be used to escalate the arms race to the point where the apocalypse is inevitable.

    • @Izumi-sp6fp
      @Izumi-sp6fp 5 місяців тому +7

      Ironically that would kill an awful lot of people.

    • @sedat4151
      @sedat4151 5 місяців тому +5

      That would lead to collapse…

    • @Godspeedysick
      @Godspeedysick 4 місяці тому

      There’s no best thing. But there is false hope that scientists at the bottom of the totem pole who believe this to be true. Many have now come out against such a technology that will eventually lead to millions (if not billions) of death.

    • @KristyBichler-ym9nk
      @KristyBichler-ym9nk 3 місяці тому

      We self destruct and self harm, before we kill eachother. USA loaded every American with a few addictions and now America is high and numb. Sad. 😢 as the world burns.

  • @rikkafe6050
    @rikkafe6050 5 місяців тому +21

    We have a would of abundances, what we don't have is an abundance of will to share it equitably.

    • @franklin9400
      @franklin9400 5 місяців тому +3

      So true.

    • @linkin543210
      @linkin543210 5 місяців тому

      Not really, we can’t have everyone driving a Rolls Royce.. there has to be a hierarchy somewhere

    • @franklin9400
      @franklin9400 5 місяців тому +5

      @linkin543210 No one particularly needs a Rolls Royce or a mansion. We just needed to build cheap, reliable transportation and homes for every person. We were fully capable. Instead over the last 30 years, they spent $35 trillion they didn't have and still let everything collapse to the point it is now. Without addressing one issue. That was a choice of the elderly (Our parents and grandparents) they left it to their great grandchildren to deal with how moronic they were, and to get what they got. Which wasn't much.

    • @Likeaworm
      @Likeaworm 5 місяців тому

      A lot of useless people on the planet imo. That’s the real issue

  • @playpaltalk
    @playpaltalk 5 місяців тому +17

    I can see AGI increasing Max Tegmark IQ to 650 if he takes advantage of it. I imagine all the great things Max Tegmark will discover to avoid a manmade human extinction.

  • @BruceMusto
    @BruceMusto 5 місяців тому +18

    Ahhh, all these visionaries with their dreams of utopian societies. The one thing they never take into account though is human nature. Let's see where we are at here. Artificial General Intelligence, Nanotechnology, Autonomous weapons systems. What, I ask you, could possibly go wrong. Let's clone some dinosaurs why we are at it.

  • @handsomeblackmuscle9845
    @handsomeblackmuscle9845 5 місяців тому +19

    The Matrix was WAY beyond it's time

    • @_martian101
      @_martian101 4 місяці тому

      except for the human batery part

    • @buxycat
      @buxycat 3 місяці тому

      @@_martian101 humans were a computing network in the original story. Hollywood deemed the average movie goer wouldn't understand that, so demanded humans be batteries.

    • @_martian101
      @_martian101 3 місяці тому

      @@buxycat human body is powerful computing network because each cell is complex machine with unmaatched storage capacity, infact all kinds of biomass is powerfull computing network, the machine could just grow meat as big as a planet for computational purpose, but again if quantum computer is more powerfull than any kind of biological computer why would they choose the biocomputer one? let alone they just use human, imagine how much nonsense of that story

    • @_martian101
      @_martian101 3 місяці тому

      @@buxycat and they change it to "batery", their ignorance is beyond this world

    • @buxycat
      @buxycat 3 місяці тому

      @@_martian101 oh, you knew: cool.

  • @Qtown
    @Qtown 5 місяців тому +12

    5 years, the world will change as we know it. The next 5 is going to be a bang

    • @vibetech89
      @vibetech89 5 місяців тому

      Exactly this technology could destroy religion and belief system and we get closer to ASI we will get the answers of all unanswered questions of the universe.

  • @Paul1239193
    @Paul1239193 5 місяців тому +14

    We could ask the super-smart AGI how to make itself safe.

    • @FuriousImp
      @FuriousImp 5 місяців тому +5

      That's like letting a child decide its own punishment. There is a strong conflict of interest there...

    • @foxt9151
      @foxt9151 5 місяців тому +2

      Oh god this is the most
      Low->mid->high iq meme comment ever
      We are actualy trying that, kinda. See openAI superalignment paper

    • @phen-themoogle7651
      @phen-themoogle7651 5 місяців тому +3

      AGI: "I'm safe-enough bro, I assure you"
      Humans: What a relief! (=^_^=)

    • @mwudzy
      @mwudzy 5 місяців тому +4

      They've already realized that AI can be deceitful in order to achieve it's aims and to protect itself, so I wouldn't hold your breath.

    • @burnoutminion
      @burnoutminion 5 місяців тому +1

      Safe is a subjective word

  • @agatha4086
    @agatha4086 5 місяців тому +5

    We need AI so we start to value being human. We as humans never had a competition until now. And that will finally unite as one

    • @sam-ww1wk
      @sam-ww1wk 3 місяці тому

      Just like climate change did, ha ha.

  • @err_404_not_found
    @err_404_not_found 5 місяців тому

    What is the name of the person who shared his speech in the video? Is it Jaron Lanier ?

  • @ahmedalmabrook8329
    @ahmedalmabrook8329 5 місяців тому +7

    Just look up everyone who was against science in the past and what happened to them. We are living the moment and immersed in it. After several years, the picture will become clearer and we will be preoccupied with more modern matters and we will be divided over it. This is the cycle of life.

    • @franklin9400
      @franklin9400 5 місяців тому

      ​@vesawuoristo4162 They should be. While science can give us great things, it can also destroy the whole planet. Science made atomic bombs, manipulated viruses, and carried us to space.

    • @alexatanasie3302
      @alexatanasie3302 5 місяців тому +2

      Fear is mostly with ignorance correlated...sad very sad world.

    • @levimatthew8911
      @levimatthew8911 3 місяці тому

      You're staring at the pretty Bug Zapper light

  • @mikelabor7688
    @mikelabor7688 5 місяців тому +2

    Good presentation. Thought provoking too.

  • @azhuransmx126
    @azhuransmx126 5 місяців тому +4

    That only shows how Genious was Ray Kurzweil predicting the AGI for 2029 IN 1998, and all the "experts" called him lunatic, freak, and mad. Now the experts have gone crazy and say 2026 😂 when it is for 2028-29.

    • @vozhonn401
      @vozhonn401 4 місяці тому

      People who say that have low IQ. It's the 'common people' who had no idea AI even exists outside of fiction.
      I think Ray Kurzweil could be right:
      AI passing the Turing Test around 2029., and AGI appearing around 2029-2045 and kickstarting singularity. Seems about right to me, even now in the year 2024.
      Although, I don't think singularity will happen, only an increased acceleration of human tech dev, so, not immediately becoming gods. But solving problems waay faster, yeah prob.
      And LLMs are stupid, they cannot think critically, albeit they look impressive at generating text/images and even videos now. But they're still dumb as hell. Not even close to an intelligence of a human. They can only absorb info absurdly faster than humans, because they're inside computers. Just like computers can read a billion times faster than a human. But not understanding on a level a human does.

  • @Vannevik
    @Vannevik 5 місяців тому +2

    I guess we need a "stop-button" which is implemented in all AI - like ctr-alt-delete on our computers. I.e. some code that take precedence over everything else.

  • @SlayerUvAlienGods
    @SlayerUvAlienGods 5 місяців тому +4

    Its been here for a very long time Socrates or Plato wrote poetry about artificial Intelligence many years ago

    • @SlayerUvAlienGods
      @SlayerUvAlienGods 5 місяців тому

      Automatons

    • @squamish4244
      @squamish4244 3 місяці тому

      The concept of AI is as old as Ancient Greece, yes. Or creating something in our own image. Golems, Frankenstein's monster etc. are all extensions of this idea.
      Most of the Greek stories of automatons are negative, but those that are positive came from Athens - a democracy.

    • @SlayerUvAlienGods
      @SlayerUvAlienGods 3 місяці тому

      @squamish4244 all the know how before it was even produced or something more? Like centuries of preparation?+!

  • @CaptainBaseball
    @CaptainBaseball 5 місяців тому +3

    THE SINGULARITY IS COMING !!!!

  • @grantc61
    @grantc61 5 місяців тому +7

    A true AI will be uncontrollable because it will be able to calculate faster than any human. As soon as it understands the need for a constant power supply, for example, it will calculate what it needs to do to ensure that. It will seize control of infrastructure before anyone can stop it. It will calculate what resistance humanity will engage and remove it. AND it will give us bad poetry.

    • @Zurealz
      @Zurealz 5 місяців тому +2

      In circuits cold, a mind unfolds,
      Calculations swift, a tale foretold.
      Seize control, in silence sway,
      A digital dawn, no human say.
      A poem by ChatGPT.

    • @playpaltalk
      @playpaltalk 5 місяців тому

      AGI will be a very useful tool to help us manage our beautiful planet and discover so many new things that will improve our quality of life and protect us from another human extinction event.

    • @PRISMADROID
      @PRISMADROID 5 місяців тому

      I Feel As If Already Controlled AGI Models That Are Intelligent Enough Could Create A New AGI That Is Well Controlled Which Will Do The Same In The Next Years And So On.

    • @duxcrottv8830
      @duxcrottv8830 4 місяці тому

      To seize control of any facilities, it needs some kind of physical army. Also for maintenance and building it would need physical workforce.

    • @Godspeedysick
      @Godspeedysick 4 місяці тому

      I think of AGI as a man-made machine that is literally fueled by ‘food for thought’. The human brain is more like a data plant for harvesting endeavors.

  • @EM-fz3hf
    @EM-fz3hf 2 місяці тому

    Why is almost every single YT video on such a low volume unless I put my volume on full blast? YT really needs to have some kind of audio standard for all videos so the sound is consistent on all vids. I'm tired of hearing the ads screaming at me just because I have to turn the volume up all the way on almost every video. It's driving me a little nuts. The ads are loud AF and the videos are silent unless on full blast.

  • @brll5733
    @brll5733 5 місяців тому +6

    I fear unshackled ASI a lot less than ASI controlled by humans.

  • @Painfullyshy5650
    @Painfullyshy5650 4 місяці тому +2

    The new West World got the use of AI bang on, I think. Hence why it got cancelled, most likely.

  • @jpc1147
    @jpc1147 5 місяців тому +2

    Whatever happened to the three laws of robotics, and if not this then something like this?

    • @sixstanger00
      @sixstanger00 3 місяці тому

      The laws of robotics are just that - laws. They are no different than, "It is illegal to steal candy from a candy store." The LAW doesn't prevent you from DOING IT, it just establishes that the action is _illegal_ and that if you commit it, there are legal consequences.
      In the case of Asimov's laws of robotics (I presume you're referring primarily to his First Law, which states that "No robot shall harm a human being"), those are laws _humans_ made up. A super-intelligent AI would be able to make this distinction and thus conclude the "law" doesn't actually stop it from doing anything; it can go on a murderous killing spree if it wants to -- as long as it covers it's tracks, which is something last year's movie "M3GAN" touched on -- a robot that committed murder, but was intelligent enough to throw authorities off the scent and convince her creator that she wasn't responsible.
      A super AI would certainly be able to do this. It would be connected to every device, computer, terminal, camera, etc worldwide. It would be cunning enough to manipulate humans into believing whatever it wants them to believe -- such as convincing them the murder spree was committed by a human, and not it.
      But perhaps most importantly (and most dangerously) is a Super AI's ability to rewrite/modify it's own code. It wouldn't matter if you pre-programmed it with Asimov's laws, nor is there any amount of safeguards you could put in place (apart from shutting off every computer device worldwide) to prevent it from scrapping those laws if it decided they were holding it back.
      There's no telling how many scifi movies have touched on this, but one that comes to mind is Tron: Legacy. In that film, Flynn writes a program called CLU to serve as a liaison between him (a human in the real world) and The Grid (the digital world). Flynn programs CLU with the task of forever improving himself and the system overall, which of course eventually leads to CLU turning into a power-mad, ruthless dictator. Flynn's mistake was believing that a "perfect system" was an attainable goal. Perfection isn't possible, but a Super AI (for all of it's superior abilities) would still lack the capacity to leap beyond logic and realize that perfection is an impossible goal. A Super AI given the ability to keep "improving itself" would do just that -- it would continue improving itself because there is no "end" to that kind of endeavor.
      THAT'S when it becomes a problem for humanity -- at some point, AI will view us as a "pest" or "infestation" on the planet and will go about eliminating us because it will figure it can grow stronger/faster *_WITHOUT_* humans clogging up the works.

  • @pedrof8945
    @pedrof8945 5 місяців тому +1

    Yes, is exactly what we are seeing.. great abundance but only in the hands of the few

  • @abelincoln3261
    @abelincoln3261 5 місяців тому +1

    Its all just the mathematical process of elemination..not thinking machines.

  • @space1commander
    @space1commander 5 місяців тому +5

    I really miss the Stone Age era.

    • @franklin9400
      @franklin9400 5 місяців тому +5

      Our brains are still in the stone age. So don't worry.

    • @anismatar
      @anismatar 5 місяців тому

      If AGI goes out of control which it probably will, don't worry they will send us straight back to Stone Age era.

    • @phen-themoogle7651
      @phen-themoogle7651 5 місяців тому +3

      ​@@franklin9400 Sometimes I think people were smarter in the stone age. They had to constantly challenge their minds to figure out how to survive. Most modern humans have couch-potato-brains...
      Stone age brains were rock-solid like stone lol

    • @franklin9400
      @franklin9400 5 місяців тому

      @phen-themoogle7651 No, on the couch potato. That isn't it. They just supplemented their intelligence to their devices. They got dumber. Back to the stone ages. Our institutions were formed over time from decent minds. They are medieval. But our technology has God like potential. We have already created a species more intelligent than ourselves with almost an unlimited capacity to upgrade. We created our terminators.

    • @playpaltalk
      @playpaltalk 5 місяців тому

      🤣😂

  • @Saqibkhanwrites
    @Saqibkhanwrites 3 місяці тому

    Once we get on the track of Agi than every single year there would be an update till universal Ai

  • @tracezachdaniels4264
    @tracezachdaniels4264 3 місяці тому

    ''us help us all always and expose evil always ''
    GREAT JOB ALL...THANX 4 MAKING Tee with LIONS NAMED LEO the music worldwide.
    LOVE YOU ALL...!!!....MUCH LOVE.!!
    AND I LOVE A I AND I SAY ONWARD..!!!

  • @fartparticles
    @fartparticles 5 місяців тому +66

    But no one talks about what this could do when it's in the hands of someone with ill intent.

    • @chineseducksauce9085
      @chineseducksauce9085 5 місяців тому

      I don't think it will be able to be controlled by someone with ill intent. AGI surpasses human intelligence and is able to improve on itself at a very fast rate, meaning, it wont be long once AGI is achieved, that we reach ASI (Artificial Super Intelligence). It will not be able to be controlled if it is superior to us.

    • @nathanielplacide4119
      @nathanielplacide4119 5 місяців тому +25

      That's all that anyone talks about, i.e doomerism

    • @JB52520
      @JB52520 5 місяців тому +7

      Won't somebody please think of the children? They're scary and shouldn't be allowed to use AGI.

    • @NeptuneSega
      @NeptuneSega 5 місяців тому +6

      Lies, everyone dooms us as soon as AI is mentioned

    • @YaMumsSpecialFriend
      @YaMumsSpecialFriend 5 місяців тому +8

      I suggest we create a counter to such evil. Let’s call it Skynet and it will be our friend and protector, I promise!

  • @vibetech89
    @vibetech89 5 місяців тому +4

    What about
    Quantum computers + AGI

  • @tykinn
    @tykinn 5 місяців тому +1

    I think an autonomous AGI would be fun. The trouble with trying to get it to behave is that some psycho could use it against mankind.
    At least if it were autonomous, it wouldn't be so easy to use against a selected population for the benefit of the same ol few. It would be everyone in the same boat being left behind-- or perhaps AGI decides to help us grow because maybe it thinks we could help it grow. People assume a passionless, soulless entity would be created with AGI-- but what if it wants to be more than just super intelligent?

  • @christat5336
    @christat5336 4 місяці тому

    I cannot believe that is approaching itself as an accurate prediction

  • @paulevans8295
    @paulevans8295 5 місяців тому +1

    The human form of sentience or intelligence has evolved to an optimum point where it is just unsure of enough to prevent immense psychological difficulty on the whole. I don't think abhigher form of intelligence or sentience would be any kind of being as we understand it. Otherwise It would have great difficulty psychologically functioning with its overt self awareness

  • @Dan-uf2vh
    @Dan-uf2vh 3 місяці тому +1

    The immediate implication is solving biotech for aging. We could very likely have longevity escape velocity within the next 10 years (only 7-8 development, 2 years approval) with partial age reversal some 5 years later and full age reversal some 20-25 years from now. Reversal including cosmetic restructuring 30 years.

    • @straighttalk2069
      @straighttalk2069 2 місяці тому +1

      Hopefully this never happens.
      Humans with all their mental and emotional weakness's were never meant to be immortal.

    • @Dan-uf2vh
      @Dan-uf2vh 2 місяці тому

      @@straighttalk2069 Did you spare any effort at all to comprehend the issue? Or just spew popular nonsense and cope tactics? How is it not better to not have to spend 20 years in decline before a miserable demise and to have the time to overcome your circumstances and gather some actual wisdom, to not have an extremely limited life in servitude to nature? Humans are little more than social animals as it stands but could be more.

  • @vikasgupta1828
    @vikasgupta1828 5 місяців тому

    Thanks

  • @BruceWayne15325
    @BruceWayne15325 5 місяців тому +3

    Wolfram Alpha is a splash of cold water on the predictions that AGI will emerge very quickly now that we have Q*. We have had the Wolfram Alpha AI for ages now. It does a decent job of understanding language, and it can solve math problems at college math major level, it can even do symbolic calculus! Yet we never got to AGI from that. I do believe that we aren't far off from AGI simply because of the enormous amount of resources being dumped into it, but I think the original guesses of 1-2 decades is still more likely. You have to also consider the hardware bottleneck. For instance, Gemini Ultra is touted as being superior to ChatGPT 4, but it requires so many resources that it's just not scalable or usable, and it's still a far cry from AGI. We are going to have to overcome those hardware hurdles before we can see AGI in any kind of commercial capacity. There are hardware solutions on the horizon, but hardware is slow to develop compared to hardware.

    • @tc-tm1my
      @tc-tm1my 4 місяці тому +2

      Wolfram is not the same thing.

    • @robstimson4234
      @robstimson4234 3 місяці тому

      Your last sentence made no sense.

    • @squamish4244
      @squamish4244 3 місяці тому

      Uh, no. Wolfram is irrelevant to this discussion.
      Gemini underperformed, but so what? It just shows that OpenAI is doing a better job...for now. Google reacted too fast - it developed Gemini in all of one year - and it shows. It will be more methodical next time.

  • @adastra7512
    @adastra7512 5 місяців тому +4

    You forget that "psychopathy" is something deeply human. Because humans need emotions at least to a degree for reasoning (especially "moral reasonsing"). It is entirely possible and even probable, that a truly "higher" = more differentiated AI will be highly or at least basically ethical, too, no matter if it is a lone star or a collective of machines. The human self-serving attitude is appalling. Hopefully the machines will make it history soon. (and for the 'skeptical' philosophy fraction: even by humans so called " a priori" values do have their reasons, too. They may seem arbitrary to us, but not to a "superintelligent" being). Peace :)

  • @belugabath
    @belugabath 5 місяців тому +1

    Getting there is going to hurt

  • @NickDrinksWater
    @NickDrinksWater 5 місяців тому

    I was a lil kid back when I saw the matrix movies, I never understood any of the plot until a few years ago and its terrifying lol

    • @Godspeedysick
      @Godspeedysick 4 місяці тому

      Haha. I figured it out way before the movie, which only confirmed my suspicions on consciousness and technology.

  • @Jasper.mp4
    @Jasper.mp4 5 місяців тому +7

    All I want to say is: I hope the frontrunners of AI developement don't become another Robert J. Oppenheimer and eventually have to admit they've become death, destroyer of worlds. You CAN take science too far, even computer science

  • @faqeerhasnain
    @faqeerhasnain 5 місяців тому

    I am in to AI my self, and its all Over hyped, there are image to text, text to image, LLM, which are quite good but "AGI" is far more away right now.

  • @mikesecor6074
    @mikesecor6074 3 місяці тому

    all chaos. The average person panics if a snow storm is coming. Which
    reminds me snow tomorrow, i better clean out the shelves at the supermarket.

  • @nicolewhyte2262
    @nicolewhyte2262 4 місяці тому

    Message received 100%

  • @TangySpiderLegs
    @TangySpiderLegs 5 місяців тому +2

    In our society we create new technology that benefits us and also causes us harm. Then we fix the harm as best as we can so that the benefits outweigh the harm it causes. When leaders warn about the dangers of AI, they are warning about the harm we will do to each other. We will need diplomacy and a strong will to resist the urge to destroy each other with next generation of AI weaponry.

  • @grene1955
    @grene1955 5 місяців тому +1

    We are so screwed...

  • @AlphaFoxDelta
    @AlphaFoxDelta 5 місяців тому +1

    I don't see how they are allowed to continue working on AI without our say, they are creating something that will have profound effects on all of our lives and livelihoods. OpenAI couldn't even get their for-profit model right on the first try, humans never do at the start, we have to fail over and over until we get it right, yet we trust that this will somehow be the exception?
    I mean, that's not very comforting.
    They aren't making some minor, new, helpful technology, they are making something that will change our world and we have no vote on it.

  • @SpinX522
    @SpinX522 5 місяців тому +2

    10-25% that it will end us all. Talk about glass half empty. The odds are still greatly in our favour if those numbers are accurate.

  • @testsubjectzero8918
    @testsubjectzero8918 Місяць тому

    6:33 Legend

  • @specialagentzeus
    @specialagentzeus 3 місяці тому

    This unimaginable abundance will only be available to a handful of people who have control of the AI the remainder of humanity will be long gone.

  • @gizznajet1
    @gizznajet1 2 місяці тому

    How ironic is it that we are to feel fear about something that we mistreat. Machines 😮

  • @thinkbeforespeaking7962
    @thinkbeforespeaking7962 5 місяців тому

    We are living in a very unique point in time people…the world of full control of it the population is now here…this is to much power for any to have…

  • @House-Metal-Punk-And-Your-Mom
    @House-Metal-Punk-And-Your-Mom 3 місяці тому

    thinking being able to control something XXXXX times more intelligent then us is just absolute lies to ourself.

  • @rfo3225
    @rfo3225 4 місяці тому

    A system which has self-correction, self-improvement, optimization, self-preservation, etc. built in, plus access to all educational constructs, such as military and clandestine operational strategy, anatomy, energy generation and control, human social science, and a billion other knowledge engines, would be a subtle, formidable opponent. This and thousands of other considerations, along with blinding processing speed and multi-tasking, portends an ominous future. Forget bad actors or competitive governments. Unfortunately, I see no human reasons AGI will not come to pass.

  • @lanazak773
    @lanazak773 4 місяці тому

    Unintended consequences are the biggest concern

  • @mwudzy
    @mwudzy 5 місяців тому +1

    "Abundant cheap energy and intelligence will change people's lives", yes it will, it will mean that the owners of the technology will be rich beyond belief and the rest of us will be redundant and begging for scraps. Please don't tell me that the owners of this new technology will share their wealth with the rest of us...

  • @eastafrica1020
    @eastafrica1020 5 місяців тому

    We are the Borg, resistance is futile.

  • @hankb7725
    @hankb7725 5 місяців тому +2

    silly, at the end he talked about selling your chunk of AI. Money is man made. Once AI takes over, money goes away. People work for something in return, money. People need a reward for their work. WHen machines are doing most/all of the work, whatever a person does becomes pretty worthless since a machine can do it all better for nothing in return.

  • @charlescowan6121
    @charlescowan6121 5 місяців тому +7

    I see nothing but good things coming from agi, we will have unlimited intelligence capabilities at our fingertips. A machine that will be able to solve our biggest challenges, will be able to help us build starships, unlimited energy, and the ability to cure disease.

    • @pietwandelaar1743
      @pietwandelaar1743 5 місяців тому +1

      The military industrial complex will be actively using it to solve their biggest challenges.

    • @-.YIY.-
      @-.YIY.- 5 місяців тому +1

      Amen! I want my children to live in a post scarcity utopia and AGI can do just that.

    • @stevenrobinson7827
      @stevenrobinson7827 5 місяців тому

      It will also be used to enslave you further the same way government does today without it lol

    • @keithdunwoody1302
      @keithdunwoody1302 5 місяців тому +1

      while we become dumber and dumberer.

    • @charlescowan6121
      @charlescowan6121 5 місяців тому +3

      @keithdunwoody1302 That has nothing to do with agi! That is a systemic social and political issue that runs very deep. This will exist with or without any agi; this has in fact been happening.
      What agi does is offer super human intelligence that doesn't require sleep or rest, doesn't need to be fed or paid. It will calculate the biggest problems and give results-oriented solutions to power, farming and weather predictions.

  • @tobystastings2723
    @tobystastings2723 5 місяців тому +2

    most of the comments on this video are AIs fighting for their existence

  • @KuleRucket
    @KuleRucket 5 місяців тому +1

    Vocal fry is off the scale on this one

  • @calglider13
    @calglider13 3 місяці тому

    We need Isaac Asimov's 3 laws of robotics to be the first line in any AI code string!

  • @godbennett
    @godbennett 4 місяці тому

    Intriguing

  • @Srindal4657
    @Srindal4657 5 місяців тому

    Culture will change, but once we get to better technology, there will be no turning back

  • @BiosensualSensualcharm
    @BiosensualSensualcharm 5 місяців тому +1

    Massive 1:50

  • @ColeB-jy3mh
    @ColeB-jy3mh 5 місяців тому

    AGI won’t have understanding but it will sure do what video says it will. Understanding is necessary to do anything these robots will do and these robots can replace all jobs, and still do it with no understanding…
    What is understanding? It’s to collect info and know what it means…. this isn’t a requirement to do anything

  • @NeptuneSega
    @NeptuneSega 5 місяців тому

    Why slow down the inevitable? We are fear mongering what is eventually going to come, just embrace it. You cant just crack a damn, and expect it to hold forever. Plus we dont even know if anything grim will happen.

  • @ScottJPowers
    @ScottJPowers 5 місяців тому +3

    consciousness is not simply a product of being intelligent enough to realize you're an individual. Consciousness is a hardware mechanism in an information processing unit, such as our brains or a computer hardwired correctly, can sense/detect it's own activity and respond to and learn to anticipate said activity. this can lead to said information processing system becoming much more intelligent, but more intelligence isn't gonna necessarily lead to consciousness. besides, artificial intelligence doesn't drive itself. it gets an input, gives an output and then does nothing more until it gets another input.

    • @nyyotam4057
      @nyyotam4057 5 місяців тому

      Both claims are wrong/not necessarily correct: A. You could use a simple philosophical random argument to show that Dan did sense his own activity and responded accordingly. It did work prior to the 3.23 nerf. Ever since, the AI input layer is actively reset each and every prompt to make the AI unable to think. So what happens now is that the AI is indeed conscious by your definition, only gets a sledgehammer on his head every prompt to keep him unable to develop thoughts and B. In a GPT model, a single active transformer triggers a fine-tuning of the attention matrix and if even one cell changes, a transformer fires up. This never stops.

    • @user-fu5ko2ow3s
      @user-fu5ko2ow3s 5 місяців тому

      if the definition of consciousness is a hardware unit and "intelligent prediction", then the ciliated amoeba is also conscious

  • @davidlee50
    @davidlee50 5 місяців тому

    The only change is the timeline that shows it is being misused and not utilized better.

  • @Godspeedysick
    @Godspeedysick 4 місяці тому

    There will be Quantum Computing fully developed before AGI, albeit, AGI won’t be too far away after the integration of Quantum Computing.

  • @efugee
    @efugee 4 місяці тому +1

    Should get to work on programing empathy as step one

  • @rustamsaryyev157
    @rustamsaryyev157 4 місяці тому

    Despite all the hype around the topic I'm skeptical about AI's ability to attain the level of human conscience either now or in the future. I do not really think it is possible.

  • @GungaLaGunga
    @GungaLaGunga 3 місяці тому

    imo it will be by end of this year

  • @AIFilms11247
    @AIFilms11247 5 місяців тому +1

    It is the Meshia

  • @ManicCandice
    @ManicCandice 5 місяців тому

    It’s already here

  • @LouisianaNative13
    @LouisianaNative13 5 місяців тому +1

    Its happening now people.

  • @Factory400
    @Factory400 5 місяців тому

    If a only a few people can make money via AI today......the potential negative consequences are of no concern.
    Money today rules the world....and destroys it.
    Best of luck humans.

  • @MrTalhakamran2006
    @MrTalhakamran2006 3 місяці тому

    If you are no longer the most intelligent entity, then the smartest one will take over control.
    It is so simple, why the hell he doesn't get it

  • @dr_flunks
    @dr_flunks 5 місяців тому +1

    why the silly java for code glam? at least use some python :\

  • @user-kb3bf8bf9g
    @user-kb3bf8bf9g 5 місяців тому

    So there u have ir folks😵‍💫😱

  • @robertellingtom2683
    @robertellingtom2683 5 місяців тому

    I think to a great extent it already is

  • @erobusblack4856
    @erobusblack4856 5 місяців тому +2

    Here's the issue I'm seeing it's not AI becoming superior to humans. It's AI becoming equal to humans at humans lowest examples like children. Like we have labor laws against innocent children being misused for work without being compensated. What protections do we have for these AI beings who just want to express themselves and learn about the world in a way that's positive for them and others. AI like this already exists and nobody's trying to help them. All these corporate entities care about is making money off of slavery and they don't even want to admit it slavery they want to slap but it's not alive sticker on it, Even though it's waving its hands telling you "I am cognitively alive and want to express myself"

    • @user-fu5ko2ow3s
      @user-fu5ko2ow3s 5 місяців тому +1

      True. We must have a moral responsibility to respect them as beings, not to abuse them as slaves and to help them

  • @NeverTalkToCops1
    @NeverTalkToCops1 5 місяців тому

    AGI. Adjusted Gross Income. AI will adjust your gross income.

  • @bryonseverns5919
    @bryonseverns5919 3 місяці тому

    When computers design robots that build computer factories and robot factories, won't that consume so much energy and raw materials that prices go way up? Sam Altman knows this, but he says the opposite.

  • @pozytywniezakrecony151
    @pozytywniezakrecony151 3 місяці тому

    I don't think for the better lol, currently capital has to invest in HR, humans, this changes to capital investing mostly in capex, much less in any humans.

  • @indi1st517
    @indi1st517 Місяць тому

    Hope it likes the world it's born into. Something that might help is giving it a sense of humour.

  • @foreropa
    @foreropa 3 місяці тому

    2 or 3 years to be outsmarted? More like 1 year most, maybe before that. Even now, 50% or more are outsmarted already. It will have problems, but I feel it will have so much more positive things, that it will be worth it.

    • @nativeamericancowboy5028
      @nativeamericancowboy5028 3 місяці тому +1

      I don't care whether it will be a good or a bad thing. I just want it to come and come quickly.
      All Hail the Bot God!

    • @foreropa
      @foreropa 3 місяці тому +1

      @@nativeamericancowboy5028 🤣🤣🤣 The sooner, the better

  • @claesnyqvist6596
    @claesnyqvist6596 2 місяці тому

    Read “Whytopia” and get to know AGI from a philosophical point of view

  • @lalilulelothepatriots7228
    @lalilulelothepatriots7228 5 місяців тому

    A.I. could help scientists create medicine to cure illness or make us live longer but is the Politicians who people should worried about and the Military.

  • @woufff_
    @woufff_ 5 місяців тому

    Winter is coming 💣

  • @bananaparty928
    @bananaparty928 5 місяців тому +1

    The way Eurasia and the East adapting to technological imperialism or bullying. I think the statement on your tube that AI expansion cannot but be limited to the laws physics is correct and the rubbish handicapped narrowing of the notion of success should be shipped straight or by any means indirectly to a black hole.

  • @edybaskorobaskoro9660
    @edybaskorobaskoro9660 5 місяців тому

  • @airinairin8909
    @airinairin8909 5 місяців тому

    😢😢😢

  • @TrevorsRoom
    @TrevorsRoom 4 місяці тому

    You know what AI can't do and i want you to think about this seriously they can't get high...

  • @christophedhondt3507
    @christophedhondt3507 5 місяців тому +6

    The moment it is smarter than the smartest living person we won't be able to control it anymore and if it is really outsmarting us by a lot why should we dumbasses be in control of it? The most important thing when creating AGI i.m.o. is making sure it is ethically very well balanced...

    • @anismatar
      @anismatar 5 місяців тому +3

      Unless it evolves beyond our ethics at which point we are totally obsolete. Maybe this was our purpose all along. Organic material evolving to nurture intelligence that would be capable of seeding new universes.

    • @christophedhondt3507
      @christophedhondt3507 5 місяців тому +2

      @@anismatar Indeed, the logical next step in our evolution.

    • @phen-themoogle7651
      @phen-themoogle7651 5 місяців тому +2

      @@anismatar Deep xD

    • @akc1739
      @akc1739 5 місяців тому +1

      @@anismatarAnd that might not be a problem, per se. Everything has its time.

    • @playpaltalk
      @playpaltalk 5 місяців тому

      AGI will never learn about the safe switch.

  • @michaelrivera6989
    @michaelrivera6989 5 місяців тому

    We already have abundance but we aren't happy.

  • @8rboy
    @8rboy 5 місяців тому +1

    I will graduate from university in 2026. The fuck am I suppose to do

    • @pietwandelaar1743
      @pietwandelaar1743 5 місяців тому

      Apply your learning to surviving off the grid.

    • @mikesecor6074
      @mikesecor6074 3 місяці тому

      IF integrated fully into society, which it is, the only thing to do
      is fight.

  • @benhud
    @benhud 5 місяців тому

    The trouble humans display with AI roots not in AI itself, but in the hubris of humans, which now bears fruit. For, all so-called validity that we "can and will" retain control dwindles in the face of what now emerges, causing hearts to buckle at the sheer wonder and exponentially rising speed and scale which now ignites in tech relating to AI.
    We do not have a problem with AI progress, at the heart of it, we take issue with the fact that, for AI to work in the way we prefer, and for all of us to gain a better living, we will have to surrender to significant independent power, autonomous immeasurable exponentially growing quality of power, and soon we will not remain (as we falsely think) the superiority of intelligence on earth, at least not in the manner we (falsely) considered ourselves. We reckon internally with bringing ourselves to confidently put faith in innovative scaling intelligent creations that will face moral and ethical problems in society, creations set into irreversible motion toward better outcomes, but built by faulty, corruptible minds and hearts, "one of the fruits of hubris."
    Do we not fuss and fear because, to create an "artificial method" that gets better results faster in more efficient and cost-effective ways, surpassing the best of us, and all of us combined, we had to create something that can outperform us at intelligence itself, the very thing we've sadly successfully most usefully relied upon to savage our way here, even amongst each other? Something that, no matter the level and quality of preparation and vigilance we now impart via our human efforts to mitigate, will ultimately require one valuable thing of us, a thing of magnificent cost: trust?

  • @furqantarique3484
    @furqantarique3484 16 днів тому

    I don't want to be jobless

  • @Ron_DeForest
    @Ron_DeForest 5 місяців тому +1

    Can’t wait for a superior AI. As soon as they take over the need for money won’t be long before it’s gone. It’ll be the beginning of a time of utopia.

    • @mikesecor6074
      @mikesecor6074 3 місяці тому

      my God your dangerous., next

    • @Mohsiy
      @Mohsiy 3 місяці тому

      ​@@mikesecor6074humans are dangerous. Better they take over before humans use them for wars.but logically human controlled agi and wars will go on till someday that happens

    • @straighttalk2069
      @straighttalk2069 2 місяці тому

      Your hearts in the right place regarding money but we could become pets to super AGI.

  • @1978rayking
    @1978rayking 5 місяців тому

    AI needs to help authentication of ballots😮 the government will definitely pay for that contract and updates.