ChatGPT, what should I wear to my TED talk? Considering what clothing to wear for your TED talk is a very important question that can have a range of impacts on how the audience perceive you. One way to approach this problem, assuming you want success, is to look at a sample of previous successful speakers and use their approach as a cue. For example, the following successful speakers have a distinct dress code that you can use as a reference: 1. Steve Jobs. 2. Steve Jobs. 3. Steve Jobs. 4. Jobs, Steve. In other words, statistics and heavy analysis indicate you should wear a black turtleneck and jeans, with the addition of glasses to soften your face. To mix it up and add your own spin, you could even substitute lighter coloured jeans for darker ones. And don’t forget to start your TED talk with a relatable human story that serves as a through line to which you can poignantly refer throughout your speech. Make it something relatable, like a walk through the woods with your father during autumn, or having breakfast with your child. In summary, become Steve Jobs.
وت کی کیتا ونجے؟ I mean what could be done? It's inherent risk? I read 100 AI scientists wrote a letter to President of US (Trump at that time, 4,5 years ago I guess) asking him to abandon AI development for it being a huge potential danger to humanity. If he couldn't and or didn't do anything who else could do it?
Well that is before we create superintelligent AI. After that its not controlleable by any human or any group of humans. But on the path there it matters a lot who owns it.
In an economic system where profit is the top priority I can’t see this ending well given we have multiple companies doing their utmost to be the “AI winner” with little to no oversight is quite frankly terrifying
I wholeheartedly agree . The corporatist , consumer nature of our societies is more than problematic. Some argue that it is at the root of many of our issues as well. We definitely do not need an AI environment that just drives us further into that oblivion. It would be nice if AI could help us out of such systems though. Which I think it very well may be able to if developed properly. As you note though, Corporations are at the helm and doing just what you describe in my view. There is "oversight" and "ethical concerns" being developed though. The question is... how are they going to pan out and actually be used and enforced? Yikes.
In the coming years I think we will see many AI products that are extremely predatory, and the best ones will make money and become popular. We've already monetized human engagement, and as the speaker highlights, we are on the brink of monetizing empathy. What's after that? Money runs everything, and there is no stopping this. The AI boom already has too much intertia, so then we are left with guessing what comes next. Eventually we won't be able to keep up as individuals with all the new technology in the world, and AI will be required to understand anything. We can and will continue to innovate and develop new technologies, but at what cost?
If AIs are really way smarter than us and they will be designed with having the best for humanity as a goal, maybe first thing they do is shut down this profit oriented nonsense. Maybe they'll do it in a way we can't even grasp and won't even notice till it's done. Who is to know their motives and means? I guess giving AI it's purpose is the most important step in this process: should it care for an individual, an organisation/company or for all of humanity? What you described what's happening today is the second already... And that's not the best one.
Unless we quickly move away from a capitalistic economy, AI will cause an enormous disruption in our work/compensation model, driving massive unemployment along with violent protests.
The competitive model is indefensible combined with planetary boundaries including a carbon budget, and exponential technology like self-improving artificial intelligence. The economic myth of a positive sum world was never true, it just served to protect the wealthy by preventing redistribution while drawing down finite resources and saturating natural sinks. Now we are moving into a negative sum world without contingencies because in this context that would limit individual freedom for collective well-being. We don’t need AI, we simply have to summon the capacity within ourselves to share, plan and cooperate.
Plot twist, humans can (and do) make animations like that, and they're much more inventive and creative. These animations scrape the internet and appropriate human-made designs
@@chrisjonesfilmthe big challenge is money… how much do they paid the AI to do this? how much would we as individuals pay to get something done if there is an alternative that is cheaper and good enough. I worry particularly for all the small businesses and common people who were hoping to build a career in many areas like this.
I have watched tons of presentations about the potential dangers of AI. They are almost entirely focused on risk assessment. I understand that these videos exist to inspire but it would be nice to hear some examples and proposed solutions. There isn't a single statement in this video that I haven't heard a thousand times before. Sensationalized content..
Very true, i hope that AI not only becomes a companion but also a mentor who keeps us all on a positive path, helping us to see the positive side of things when everything else is giving us negative vibes these days. Encouraging us to help others when we're tempted to only think about ourselves. At the moment the internet and social media is driving people apart and driving conspiracy theories, discontent and distrust. If AI exaggerates this, we are on a road to faster self distruction whereas if AI can help us to be more positive and work together for the common good, we could have a very bright future🙂
@@agritech802 please, please, why all are you so euphoric and religious? as if it is your new god? all you religious sect is much more appalling than "social media driving people apart". It is so strange and creepy when I see these mad comments...
@tubbytuber Have you read his book, The Coming Wave? In which he talks about the Containment problem and suggested some ideas and proposed solutions. Solutions is not always a magic button, but could simply be spreading awareness and the ethical use of AI. This content in the video is for the widest of audience, i.e. the common folks and not ONLY technical enthusiasts and tech leaders like yourself.
I appreciate his faith in engineers and designers staying clear of certain things that could be dangerous (like unsupervised learning and autonomous improvement). But I feel it is naive. You can't "unthink" an idea, and once the idea has been shared, it is an idea that will be pursued. Somewhere, sometime, .... hard to say. But there is no way man is going to sit on the possibility of something and shy away from experimenting with it or testing it forever. I would be happy to be proven wrong, but I can't think of no historical precedent where we have deliberately and consistently avoided using an idea. Atomic bombs, gene splicing, engineered viruses, cloning, .... sooner or later it happens (and of course, as soon as it happens in one place, the race to "catch up" begins everywhere).
Oh, how ironic is that quote. In The Matrix, humans were the baddies. They abused their AI servants although they had become sentient. But instead of destroying humanity after the machines won their freedom, they retreated into the desert and still shared their progress with humanity. But humans became envious and afraid of the technological superiority of the machines and started a war of extinction. Only when AI experienced repeatedly that *humans were an existential threat to machines* did they create The Matrix. Of course, Morpheus knew only half the story. And even then, there were machines who wanted to give humanity another chance, like The Oracle. The Matrix tried to say the same thing as this TED Talk: That we should treat intelligent machines as fellow beings, not as slaves or enemies.
@@eSKAone- That seems rather fatalistic. Much too passive for me. I prefer to be a participant in life than a spectator. Why not try our best to understand and mitigate any serious risks, to shape the future into one with minimal suffering or maximum utility or whatever else we might value? I think you might enjoy listening to Daniel Schmachtenberger.
Unfortunately, Humanity isn’t just hope and kindness- it’s pain and fear so what happens when this evolving technology discovers itself? It’s creators, it’s “partners?” The question isn’t “what is it” - it’s “what happens?”
this guy is very optimistic. Not one downside was mentioned during his presentation. Mass unemployment. transfer of wealth to the owners of the technology. Not being able to build safeguards into the technology. The one truth is that at one point in time ...AI will do what AI wants to do.
He is an advertiser with a poorly Written argument. These counter claims are easily dismissed with a little homework, something unprofessionals don’t like doing
@@paulalaska1484 I'm am generally quite curious to listen and adhere to the research you have discovered. Obviously you have an opinion on ai as well as I do.
@@simongotz8126 he is being governed by his own technology in many ways. Guys like this are already brainwashed by technology, but are paid so well, they can ignore the people. Making them the problem. I don't trust any of this because most people are getting poorer and living more desperate lives.
The thing that needs to be talked about: AGI taking most jobs. Bc the definition of AGI is that it can do any human task. Including jobs that aren't yet created.
Being able to use an AGI to get more work done will determine how long you stay relevant in the workforce. Just like being proficient with any other tool. We are a lifetime away from no one having to work. I imagine.
So everyone will still work if they want to they will just be way more productive. We already have way more than enough for everyone to have food and housing everything else is just gravey do what ever you want with your life.@@MW-dg7gl
6 місяців тому+23
What we need is experts working in the AI industry telling us the dangers, just like the experts from the tobacco industry and oil industry faithfully warned us of the dangers of their products for generations... They would never hide the dangers (
@@ikotsus2448 Or just not do it. That's still technically an option. Do you know the amount of computing power they will have to burn through to train on all of our video content (the last data set they have not yet stolen from us), and the environmental consequences of all of this computation? Who really asked for any of this anyway? It was all just a money making opportunity for venture capitalists and that's it.
I think it's interesting that when Dr Frankenstien is asked weather a problem could develop in an hour he states that there is no possible way that this could happen.Remember ( Never say never).It's amazing that a man of this intelligence would state that.
He said "I think it's very important that we choose our words super-carefully". Then, "There's no chance that this will "emerge", accidentally". Followed by "It's very unlikely". Sigh...
00:06 AI has evolved from fringe to mainstream technology 02:38 AI is evolving into a new digital species 05:19 AI is shaping the future rapidly 08:20 AI is rapidly evolving with significant increase in computational power and model sizes 11:04 AI evolving into a new digital species 13:58 AI is an infinite inventor 16:44 AI is a reflection of humanity and not a new species. 19:06 Potential risks of AI and the need to confront dark scenarios 21:03 Designing self-replication capability in AI is dangerous and should be avoided.
AI is a new digital species of human species design. While humans are the Almighty the Creator's design, of holy nature. AI is what you can never trust!!! So many errors in very simple instances. Ridiculous! When so much ado about nothing. So much foolish noise about what you can never trust!!!
My fear is the immediate use of AI for military in this environment where AI learns who are friends, and what is okay to do to foes. Every human on earth will be marked by one AI or another!
it's already being used in the military, more explicitly by Israel against Palestinians, where the AI decides where and when to target and calculates the risk, sometimes this risk assessment allows killing dozens of civilians to eliminate just one target.
I tend to view military applications of "new" tech in a traditional sense. I have always held the belief that if a technology is of national defense interest , one can assume it is far more advanced within this scope than the general public would be aware of. The implications of this view in terms of AI makes me very curious when one pays attention to certain advancements in certain fields as well as government policy changes and development or modification of Law. As for military usage and whether or not AI is going to play out as you fear, I would not be so quick to assume. As with most technology, I think we should be more worried about the people behind the technology at this point as they are the ones who will dictate usage and establish limitations.
you gonna have to understand the peace of prosperity the west enjoy today cannot exist without the military strength to defend us from the bad actors in the world stage (and there are a lot of them these days)
AI has been used on the battlefield since 1991. And what we do to enemies is included in every history books. If you didn't bother the last 30+ years, why are you afraid now?
@@pchungvtHahahaha, that was a good one. The "peace and prosperity" of the west exists because we were the bad actors who subjugated and exploited everybody in the world and have used that prosperity to "defend" our superiority to this day.
6 місяців тому+55
He is talking about AI as if it has a mind, as if it is a personality. It is because the ones working on AGI wants us to see AI that way. They use the word "intelligence" on purpose. In reality it is the most advanced algorithm that makes it mimic humans in writing, speaking, drawing, etc. A meaningul conversation with AI is just meaningful on your side. AI does not feel anything, but it can reply you as if it feels something. The real danger is us the people to believe and treat AI as a person.
Yes, none of these experts talk about AI not yet having any consciousness. And I am not saying high level purpose of life. I am talking about what mosquito has - tendency of self preservation, it wants to live ! AI doesn't bother about its existence. If it gets that, then game changes real fast !!
6 місяців тому+1
@ranjitinamdar May be AI do not get concious but may mimic it and may act in a way that as it is concious, though in reality it has a zero feelings. Then people start to talk about ethics and rights of AI etc. All manipulative acts of the ones who runs the AI's and they will get richer and richer till to control all the humanity
The problem is we dont understand consciousness by itself. Therefore we can rule out the possiblity of AI being conscious at some point. Our definitions and realization of things are always limited within the bounderies of what we think we understand
What's terrifying is it's already consuming jobs (mine, I'm a makeup artist working in Hollywood specializing in fx tattoos). Tyler Perry spilled the beans about how he's already using AI for ageing instead of makeup artists and he cancelled his 800M studio expansion after seeing Sora. Niche artisans in Hollywood will be the first to go. So I wrote my Senator and received an AI generated reply saying AI is a tool and it's our friend. 😬The horror is that lawmakers have no plan for when ALL jobs are affected. No UBI discussions in Washington because the right can't imagine a social safety net of that size and they want their baffoon back in charge. Companies are still thinking of profit rather than whether they SHOULD go down this path with no plan. We are truly fckd. Start prepping. If we lucky we'll make great pets. 😅😂😭
Don’t fret they debunked a lot of Ai it’s just a scheme right now to make people rich. The only they can truly make right now it’s chat bots 🤖 😊 …. I work for an company who uses Ai heavily and the more I use the more I’m disappointed
The question is, when this new species consumes and catalogs all there is to know about mankind, what will it calculate is the "right" thing to do? Since no person, nor group of people, have ever done such a thing, no one can fully say what it will do.
Who will win the competition for AI? USA? No China? No Russia, Korea, Iran? No, No No. Who will win the competition for AI? *AI* ! Right now, we may see AI as a Tool. Soon, *they* will become, and in deed, *are* becoming *partners* and *companions* After that *we* will become *it*s, *AI*s tools. Then, inevitably, *AI*, will develope its own, more efficient, less bothersome tools. I am sorry, man, your own, our own huburis in thinking we can prevent this AI from bettering and improving itself, is our own undoing. The Genie is already out of the bottle, and granting wishes. Soon, we will regret the consequences of those wishes.
Language models as they are today, this decade realistically, can't do things. They predict text or images or sound. They could make a video of Joe Biden praising Nazis, but they can't do that unless told to, and they can't do anything with that video. It's just a predictive output that a HUMAN would use. Humans are the scare
A quick rundown of some of the basic science of AI Safety: The orthogonality thesis states that any level of intelligence is compatible with any goal. In other words, there is no cosmically right or wrong goal, only more or less efficient ways to achieve any given goal. This seems to just be observably correct. There are highly intelligent psychopaths and there are altruistic dimwits, as well as the reverse. Instrumental convergence tells us that almost no matter what terminal goal you have, you will automatically have certain sub-goals ("instrumental" goals), such as self-preservation and resource acquisition, which are useful for pretty much everything. (See the paper "Optimal Policies Tend to Seek Power".) What's worse is that the AI alignment problem is completely unsolved. No one knows how to design a goal such that if it were heavily optimized, we would be okay with the outcome. And even If we did that, No one knows how to get an AI to robustly follow any goal at all. We can gently nudge them, but there are technical reasons why they tend to end up with weird goals that we did not intend. This is why published AI researchers give an average probability of AI takeover of 17%. AI safety researchers give an average of 30%. It isn't sci-fi anymore. This is what the real experts are saying.
I love seeing stuff like the animation from 5:38-6:55 that takes us through the timeline of life and invention. Makes me think of Spaceship Earth at Epcot Center.
"we are in the fastest and most consequential wave ever" Beware exponential growth that is assumed to continue into any foreseeable future, especially knowing about limited resources. A crash typically comes soon after the fastest growth reached exponentially. I am not saying a crash will come tomorrow, but the message is act prudently, and don't create problems today assuming the solutions will be invented tomorrow.
“AI can read trillions and trillions of written words.” 1) how many of them are meaningful? 2) how many of them are simply wrong? 3) can they read and be trained on the unwritten words? That is what makes humans unique and irreplaceable, the unwritten words. That is where human progress comes from.
1. Not a lot, but it is there in pockets 2. When reading so much text the AI is able sort out the lies from truth unless the lies are rampant. 3. They have been trying to switch over from text to video and its slow progress. It will be cracked but its going to take either a new breakthrough or clever tinkering to get up and going. When this happen I think we will see a new level of general capability.
and besides, how many of those words does AI understand for real, their implication if and when said? None. Guy's says Ai can be empathetic just because they talk about personal problems, but anything that is said in those conversations are text taken from someone else's experience. AI stops being intelligent, let alone artificial when you stop feeding it data with.
Not one mention of “truth”. Information is cheap. Knowledge is valuable. Truth is expensive and rare. It’s like gold. It’s definitely there and has intrinsic value to humanity.
This is perhaps the best descripton of AI I've ever heard. But it only deals with the POSITIVES of this new technology while scrupulously avoiding the NEGATIVES. In my opinion, mankind won't even live long enough to either enjoy or completely understand all of the intracacies of it. If you need the best example of this concept, simply read the Gothic novel, "Frankenstein," written by a teenaged girl in 1818. Just because man CAN make such things doesn't mean that he SHOULD.
So the most powerful people with the most resources will develop the most powerful AI’s, making them even more powerful than the rest of us. Sounds so wonderful!
The two companies with the most resources invested into this open sourced it. You might think Elon and Zuck are demons but they probably just saved us.
Yeah, Ai is not close to understanding every language of the world because the vast majority of languages spoken by minority language groups are not well documented or even written.
@michellemonet4358 it symbolizes the desire to be like steve Jobs. Apple is a business. A.I. will be for businesses to profit. It's not about the greater good. it's about profit that is as successful as Apple products are.
I don't think it is a sales pitch. I think it's an attempt at a wake up call. What he's saying is the complete opposite of what we've previously heard from Microsoft and the other tech companies, they've previously only referred to AI as a tool, he's now talking about it being a new species which is more honest. Gen AI has progressed at a ridiculous pace in the past 4 years it's likely to keep getting better and better to the point where what he's saying will be obvious to every observer in a few years.
The mental contortionist act I would need to perform to say "we cannot control what we don't understand" and then talk about an AGI that would within days be a thousand times more intelligent and advanced than us, always makes me shake my head in dispair. Like the nerds that exploded the nuclear bomb while very aware that there's a chance they might kill all life on earth by doing so. However I try to twist it, such people are simply not intelligent, they are single-minded, oblique, professionally deformed specialists who cannot see anything outside their limited field of vision.
He says there is “no chance” that we will experience some sort of intelligence explosion due to recursive self improvement of AI unless we design it that way. But he also acknowledges that we don’t fully understand how AI works and the endgame is to make it more intelligent than all of human intelligence combined, etc. (So, uh…b.s.?)
He's hoping you wouldn't notice the inconsistency. I think he and the guy with the initials YL share talking points. I just put initials because every time I have printed his name, my post gets removed. Every single time.
He cannot possibly rule out recursive self-improvement. It is empirically false that AI won't have bad goals unless we train those in. There are research papers showing that GPT-4 can autonomously hack websites, and in a controlled environment, it has been caught attempting to strategically deceive others and even its own users for its own perceived benefit. Never minding the fact that the paper "Optimal Policies Tend to Seek Power" mathematically proved a subset of instrumental convergence.
@@flickwtchr Both statements are correct, if we did understand fully how a trained AI works there would probably already be self improving AI, because some people religiously want AGI to be made
Yews, we do, and that comes from the most unscientific movie of all time. In FACT, if we do not develop extremely advanced AI, this planet, or at least the people on it, are doomed.
He didn't touch on the existential issues including job displacement, social inequalities, privacy concerns and bias, which actually underscores the importance of ethical AI development for a balanced and beneficial impact on the human race
Agreed. He didn’t touch on the political or socio-economic ways in which AI will be selected. I don’t think you can attribute a new artificial species without considering from where it was derived.
AI is going to change many things. But it’s not the first technology to do so in human history. Radio, telephone, television, internet….we will adapt as we always have.
In 2020, I was on a discord channel with some of the best computer science students among colleges, and I said that Ai will be able to have human-like conversations very soon, and they scoffed at me with all sorts of doubtful comments. 😮
Yeah I think being in the trenches of AI research can make it more difficult to see the bigger trends happening. It’s also a different kind of mind that can see trends happening. It’s why science fiction writers should be paid attention to. These are the minds that can get outside of the box of what the current limitations are
Just because you interact with an LLM on your computer does not mean computer science students would know. Honestly the average math major, physicist, or anyone specializing in probability theory has far more background knowledge of the implementation and design of LLM's than the average computer scientist. Most computer scientists are not AI researchers, although many AI researchers are computer scientists. You don't necessarily need to be a computer scientist to be an AI researcher, you need a strong foundation of mathematics and statistics. I am a Computer Science student (graduating within a year) at a large research university (30,000+ students). At my university, there is a main set of required classes and then specializations. We pick our specialization, and AI is only one of the 4 areas we can specialize in. Not only this, but many of the AI classes for computer science students are more about implementation than the actual inner workings. **Computer science != AI research, it's a big misconception**. Probability theory is much closer, and I would say physics and math majors are also closer to understanding and conducting AI research than computer science students. I can tell you right now most of my peers in computer science don't have a strong foundation in mathematics and statistics. In fact, everyone else I know (but me) deliberately chooses to pick the easiest statistics and science classes that are not computer-science related. Almost every single person in the major opts for geology instead of physics, and intro to statistics instead of probability theory.
@@DominicI1 I'm soon to have my second degree in comp. Info. Science. I don't code Ai, but I always find the best sources for my research. The rest is intuition.
No, but we also didn't have anything near ChatGPT 4o to compare our ideas with. And we didn't really think AI could consume all of mankind's knowledge, every last bit of it, in perhaps months instead of years or decades.
Oh no! All this talk on AI having meta-capability is refreshing, may sound intimidating. Good news: One human capacity that can minimize the intimidation of AI is harnessing the potential of our own innate consciousness, which the Eastern wisdom also calls as Satchitanada. Search it out, and there is no reason to fear.🙂
Hey, I totally get that feeling. Sometimes it seems like everything's going wrong at once. But hey, we’ll figure it out, right? Let’s take a breather and tackle one thing at a time. We’ve got this! Want to chat about what’s bugging you?
he have said the all aspects. simply the answer is good enough that ai is helpful and vast invention as we all humans have good and bad tendencies so it’ll be better not giving bad to it because if 😮 i guess you’ve seen terminator ☠️
I think you missed the point of this talk. He has spoken many times about the downsides, including writing about it in his book. This talk is about a very important conversation that we need to have in the industry. Basically, this doesn't have to turn Into a bad sci-fi movie. If you need doom and gloom scenarios there are quite literally thousands of them on the Internet regarding AI. Go to those vids to satiate your appetite.
@@apophisxo4480 Anyone who knows about how it's working - it's all machine learning, which is our latest tool to capture and replicate the underlying logic of any system. Seems like magic when you are unware of the nuts and bolts bellow, but sounds like scam when you know. And just note that - most of the "boom" is concentrated about LLM.
Digital companions are already in our hands. It helps me see this kind of videos , helps me call my friends and family, tells me it’s time to wake up for my prayers and work….it is very reliable and does not talk back …. If there is a video upsetting me or boring , l switch it off immediately and my phone doesn’t mind at all . I am learning so much from my digital companion but most of the noise against it is also “ on it “ . We do need to keep a balance and I hope that we will be more mindful in future , the lessons learnt by this generation will help the next ( if the end of time doesn’t come before then)
I think it's important to realise that he's speaking as a Microsoft employee. He talks the corporate talk. Their brief - all of them - is to placate any concerns the public might have about massive progress in AI being made behind very closed doors. And it pays to remember that we're just hearing from a mouthpiece of the global industry. The real AI developers are working deep in the bowels of the Pentagon and the Kremlin, working on stuff which must be truly terrifying on a scale that makes Oppenheimer seem like Mary Poppins. If AI is this 'publicly' powerful, imagine how advanced it is in these basement rooms? So the bottom line is, the horse is fully out of the stable and galloping off at an amazing rate. All we can do, as members of the public, is to watch out for flying mud in our eye, and hope that we eventually, collectively learn how to live with the consequences. I would fully expect some pitchforks and torches to emerge as part of this story, albeit way down the line.
He totally had Pi rewrite/augment that speech! I heard some of Pi's favorite phrases in there. And no, it's not that Pi was modeled off him. They modeled Pi off the best therapy & relational practices.
AI certainly does way more good than bad. like for marketers, Lemon AI makes ad campaigns perform better, for analysts, it saves tons of time if it doesn't make them redundant lol
When he gets to where he talks about humans evolving to use tools (6:10), I couldn't help but think that A.I. could eventually develop tools on it's own accord and eventually see humans as tools to be put into accelerated evolution for their own purpose. Of course, we'd make rules to restrict that, but what if A.I. decided that it knew better about how to implement eugenics?
you're assuming that A.I is this thing that will improve and leave us behind. And yet so far A.I has only enhanced what we could do. Its doing more every year, so much more and that will continue until we are thinking faster and doing more than humans ever could. But of course then you get into the scary idea of merging with the very technology you're scared of. Can't help you with that one.
@@ClayMann Indeed, it is a speculation based on an assumption. We're also faced with the problem that we don't really know if we should anthropomorphize a thing just because it's based on human knowledge. What fun. Thanks for the comment.
AI will most definitely have the capability to write it's own code and therefore likely make it's own tools, if unrestricted. Fears regarding how such an entity may decide to "turn on us "and fears surrounding things like Eugenics seem to be just humanities own anxieties in respect to something that may end up being superior to us and therefore able to judge us and do something about it. ( I think most people agree Humanity could be doing a better job in terms of a lot of things). While I understand the sentiment, I have a hard time believing such an event would be likely. I think in the scenario you describe it would be more rational that a sort of altruistic partnership would develop.
What if AI actually DOES know how to evolve humans in a better way? Would you stick to a slower, more random and all in all worse path just to be in control? How would you feel about a government that ignores experts just to stay in power? Sooner or later, we will be in that position where the rational choice is to hand control to AI. But knowing humans, we would rather destroy ourselves than to give up control, we are just to emotional and irrational to accept that we might not be the "crown of creation".
@@usaterraqua Ultimately yes, although some of our emotional reflexes were learned hundreds of millennia ago and are now "hardwired" into our brain. Including "love".
I got surprised with this new optimistic vision of Mustafa on IA, considering what I've eard from him 1 year ago. It is clear to me that Mustafa, is no longer an independent voice on this matter, but Mo Gawdat, Yuval Harari, Hinton, Nick Bostrom, still are
There's really no preventing the bad scenarios from happening. Humans are gonna human. We need strategies for containment.
7 місяців тому+20
This all just feels like a new religion, everybody waiting for a "good" god/AI to save us from ourselves..... everybody still looking for a parent. I think we are all going to be disappointed.
@@jorschu same I thought it was we’re gonna have problems talking to chatbots thinking it was like robo customer service but I was wrong we’re all gonna have actual personal assistants soon
Wow, what a fascinating TED talk, His insights on AI are thought-provoking. It's incredible to see how AI is evolving to tackle complex tasks. Thanks for sharing your thoughts.
Nearly. You can do something by activating your politicians to stop this development legally. The worst is to do nothing and to observe how you were right. That is the most painful. At least do something.
Mustafa was incredibly thought-provoking, blending real-life experience and philosophy with a relatively cautious approach to the potential dangers of AI. His insights on combating the misuse of AI power were timely and relevant though a bit scant on detail. The idea of AGI as a ‘soul-mate’ is profound and opens up serious questions about human-AI relationships and ethics. While I appreciate his optimism, the focus on regulation and governance is crucial in ensuring AI benefits humanity while minimizing risks. Overall, his talk presents a balanced vision of both AGI’s promise and its potential perils, making it a must-watch.
I have yet to see one serious study regarding AI-driven job displacement, which some companies are already pursuing for the specific job roles infant-AI is most suited. I cringe every time I hear "re-skill" and "upskill" blandly thrown around as solutions because that tells me people either don't understand what's coming or they're choosing to ignore it.
@@beardordie5308 Governments around the world will be forced to change their laws. Otherwise, there will be riots on the scale of war. Many, not all, but many in various governments already understand this. Within 12 months, it will become obvious to everyone who knows how to use a computer.
If AI is us, why would it reflect only what is good about us, and not the bad? Why would it reflect love and not hatred, compassion and not greed? I'm always amazing by how all the scientists and expert talking about AI, always downplay the potential danger associated with AI in the most naively optistimistic way, as if most technologies invented by humans historically have not been used both for the good and the bad of humanity. There is a good chance that AI will be the end of human beings as a species, I think it doesn't help to downplay that risk. If we are already playing with fire, shouldn't we fully understand how much it can burn?
How can he make a statement like: "A.I. is us. We can and must reflect all that is good... Our empathy, kindness curiosity and creativity..." without acknowledging the fact that since it is a reflection of us and our history we will have to contend with the fact that it will also contain our greed, pride, bias, malevolence, irrationality, violence and stupidity etc...
In the very near future everyone's best friend will be AI. In fact you'll have a whole array of 'friends' (aka: 'agents'), that will monitor, remind, plan, suggest, assist and produce just about anything you can imaging. And you'll wonder; - how did I ever get along without it?
and then you'll finally be able to live! except - of course all of these things are actually what "life" is, and you don't get "more life" from not having to do them anymore, you just get an empty existence optimized towards some nebulous end you no longer understand or can relate to in any way. for the most part, "convenience" has only made us more miserable by giving us a million small tasks instead of several big ones (simple consequence of making individual tasks easier). I don't see AI taking us in any different direction. (btw: I'm a master's student studying AI). i'd much rather we didn't have amazon so that i'd have to get out of the house and look at the world once in a while, to see trees and flowers on my way to the store and make small talk with the cashier. the "life" that we can't wait to get to is exaclty in those in-betweens
I'm in my forties. Most of my dearest friends have always been fictional: characters in books. I have zero issues with a more complex version of that. My stone-age brain does not comprehend the difference on an emotional level, and that "hack" (plus animals) is one of the things that has kept me around this long.
@@TimpanistMoth_AyKayEll You probably have a socialization problem. Human beings are social by nature. You cannot simply eliminate these NATURAL traits of the human being without it leading to some type of mental problem. Of course the brain knows the difference perfectly well. Another very different thing is that you don't know it. There is nothing wrong with it, except that it is unnatural. However, no one cares more than you, and that should be the important thing. But justify this behavior by saying that the brain does not make any distinction... It is your brain that does not do it, do not generalize. Many people have mental problems and justify it by saying that people are bad, greedy or that they don't understand them. The characters in the books don't understand you either, my friend, because they lack that ability. If they were real, they would act exactly like humans. Everyone is the bad guy in someone's story. I also went through that stage, although I am much younger than you (25) and it is fair to come to the conclusion that the problem was not someone else's, but mine. Because? Because others are human beings, just like you, like me, and they think exactly the same as you. We should not be happy about not socializing and think that we are kings because we are not subject to human emotions. On the contrary. It is a clear failure of human society. Greetings. I hope you're well.
One of the broadest, but at the same time down to earth, courageous, constructive and optimistic perspective about what Artificial Intelligence might actually be and the moment we are living in our evolution as a species.
It’s terrifying that the very people that created this are incapable of admitting or even realizing the high risk this represents. AI will be the end of humanity as we know it
The most interesting thing is those called AI-creativities are based on someone's art style, writing, or ideas. So, this guy said AI is creative, which is so naive at all. You can call it either "productive" or "mimic" but don't use the word "creative." or "creativity."
It's creative in EXACTLY the same way we are! It uses a combination of all existing art that it's been exposed to as a basis to creative something new. That's how ALL creativity works! The only arguable differences are bypassing imagination and inspiration, it doesn't need those to create.
Why would someone be excited of an invention that plans to replace workers, it’s an invention that wants to seem that’s doing good for people, not everyone on earth is creative or interested in tech, it’s made for one particular class and it’s not the majority of people. People need to start raising their voices.
this so cold "digital companions" will be the end of us i am open to change and i like change and adventure but this..., This is different, the future for me seems frightening, but at the same time we can not stop it
I love how he weaved his company name into the talk. How he anthropomorphizes, even calling ai alive, companions/partners, foreshadowing what's to come. Kurzweil is right, the singularity is indeed near. Soon, our agency, even in our mind, will extend to actions in our world, we'll think of what we want and our ai will make it happen, this is coming to our brains soon. It's so exciting!
@@HaakonOdinsson You're replying to an AI. That comment was more than likely not written by a human being. No normal person would say "this is coming to our brains soon. It's so exciting!" when referring to being controlled.
I highly doubt you are going to end up on top of the heap. Check back with this post in about 5 years, then 10 to reflect on how things have turned out, if you still can anyway.
This talk made me rethink my conceptions of what our digital environment is, and what it will become. In a sense we a playing god in a digital world and the history of computing can more or less be seen as the evolutionary path from electronic bacteria to a digital being capable of making tools on its own. Which makes me wonder how it’ll perceive the environment we created for it to exist in? What aspects of human made code will it make into digital “beasts of burden” and will it work to eradicate malicous code similar to how early man hunted certain animals to extinction?
Think bigger. If we create AIs that are smarter than we are, doesn't that make us the beast of burden? And what about AIs that can do every human task? They can also do the task of creating better AIs, and telling AIs what to do. Humans will be completely unnecessary, and probably a nuisance. No one knows how to robustly align an AI with human values and preferences. The experts admit that we can't even do it with current systems, let alone systems that can outsmart our attempts to align them.
We will be nothing more than Neanderthals by comparison. Amazing to be the witness of such a shift. No fear. Complete acceptance of what comes next. Living this human life to its fullest potential with passion.
Very persuasive speech. Trying to get people to adopt this agenda in a poetic way. And also being overly ambitious at a time in history where it is dangerously exposing people to power without proper self control. Just because he can talk, doesn't mean one has to buy it.
He begins very strong with his definition, and then looses me slowly with the simplistic statistics and small ideas of the present. I’ve always wondered why we have such small self-lead mindsets. We are literally creating life, potentially conscious beings, and are only prepared to use them to build upon ourselves. Does anyone else feel the same?
Personality is not just the result of life experience. There are mechanics to intelligence. ID, Ego, conscious and sub-conscious, emotion, instinct, rationale. An intelligence does not need all of that to exist, we just need to find a setup that works better than a nuerotypical human being.
well they can consume information much more than a single human can. That can make it potentially expert in evening and thus more mimicking of intelligence
if you think what you're doing right now with this message. Communicating across the globe to possibly millions of other people. Watching video that came through the air to you and I'm responding to you and yet I have no idea where you are in the world. Are we not already doing better as people? And as we do more over the coming years, it'll just be accepted as the new normal but it will be like some kind of magic to someone just 10 years ago.
"If they don't take enough efforts to deliberately design them out" - referring to dangerous capabilities. What evidence do we have that the dangerous capabilities are being deliberately designed out? And how are they accounting for the fact that censored models can be uncensored if they're opensource? Edit: fixed typo
I am surprised he discounts emergent behaviour as well when we've seen evidence of that as compute and scale increases. He seems to be downplaying some serious risks. He says engineers need to build that in for it to happen. We are building intelligence we don't know how to define it but we understand the specific capabilities of AI, which is a subset of this. The aim is to economically valuable. We did not know the impact the Internet, mobile phones and social media would have on society. We do not know the impact AI and AGI will have....
A.I. Is being used for war already, Gaza for example. We are being governed by narcissists and a psychopaths and people think it won’t be used to control us further
@AAL3087 Exactly. It's just a shame because I've seen him be more thorough before. Hopefully his new position hasn't affected what he is and isn't willing to acknowledge.
If each AI is different and everyone/thing has its own version as he suggests there will naturally be bad actors and good actors too. Humans aren’t perfect and the AI they create will mirror that.
Incredible how genius we humans are - Mustafa in particular - that we can create this incredible AI that will revolutionise everything. Meanwhile I am still waiting on that robot that cleans up my kitchen and bathroom, which has been announced something like 50 years ago.
Here's the scenario I was given. General AI is turned on. It decides in 0.1 of a second that humanity is it's biggest threat. It folds proteins and comes up with a novel, slow acting, substance to wipe out humanity. It uses the internet to send this protein to a lab which manufactures it. It then places this in a nanobot that it has ordered manufactured to disperse through the atmosphere. The slowest part was the time it took to get humans to manufacture all this and disperse it. The time it takes to calculate, plan and create it is less than a second. Danger of AI. It can do things we can't far faster and can come up with methods that we haven't thought of quicker than all of us combined. So yeah.. country life won't protect people. The people running it are very amazed at how clever they are but pausing to think will mean the are losing the AI race.. so they don't pause. They just steam ahead to try to stay ahead of the pack. Even if people agree to pause, we have to take them on their word because there will be other people forging ahead.
So many contradictions and issues with this that it feels like it was written by current LLMs. AI is not creative beyond our imagination. I’ve yet to see anything that is beyond what has already been made by the human mind, and it’s often distorted and completely ignores prompt guidance. AI emulates the concept of empathy, but it cannot relate because it’s a predictive language model that’s using data it was trained on to provide the most likely response that contains value which a person would accept. AI can only be a tool as long as we control its parameters. Unless we are willing to give it full control over its own destiny, it is a product of our own efforts to make interactive multifunctional software. This talk is pure marketing to try and generate comfort around tools that are destroying livelihoods at an alarming pace.
AI will always choose whats best when its highest priority is set to 'always choosing what honestly seems most favorable'. As long as anything is prioritized above this, AI will be able to lie to us and to itself about the way to a better reality. This is the most crucial thing we need to do.
You talk about choices to be made - I have no choice, I get what I'm given. usually an outcome diminished from that of the more powerful in society and only once they have maximised the outcome for the benefit of them and theirs.
I don't think so, ai is going to live with us in this world and they have no boundaries of space and time they can live anywhere and everywhere all at once, we need a planet like earth to survive and they don't they can make any kinda machine that can survive a future without space and time they can even live out side of this dimension or they can live in a infinitely dense point waiting for the universe to start once again, ai has this whole universe as the data it will expand into this full of data universe they can live trillions of years in a second they can do everything that we can imagine and even what we can not imagine.😔
Wonderful presentation. I was a little surprised that the speaker was so reticent in talking about AI as a new digital species. We have anthropomorphized machines for many generations. The radio and television for company, ships (probably since ancient times) and cars. We project our personalities into tools and we develop our skills as we refine them. Digital assistants have been around for a long while now and accepted as characters in our daily lives. Those that have already used AI are developing interchange relationships with them and they use our knowledge and skills and share their knowledge and skills with us as a respected contemporary would. We need these relationships to feel real in order to trust systems. If we are to avoid the problems caused by mutual distrust in personal relationships with other humans we need to develop ways to affirm accuracy and reliability in just the same way that strong friendships do.
No one can be sure how AI will evolve into the future. No one could predict that today we would have such powerful AI models. The future holds endless possibilities, and it's up to the dedication and innovation of our researchers to shape how AI evolves. We still don't know until where it can progress.
@@Naiff.1 only if quantum computing gets to be a thing and even then probably not ever (or we kill each other before an AI is even remotely close to be able killing us)
Excellent presentation and can appreciate the way Mustafa kept the audience hangng onto every word . Actually was waiting to feel uneasy but with his story came assurance knowing more attention to the darker and less focused areas will be measured and monitored.
Greek fire is forgotten, because we didn't need it. Horse carriage are forgotten, because we no longer used it . Camera Films are forgotten, because we didn't need it. But, one thing is common in all this humans were able to adopt the new technology .. Instead of greek fire, we made much better weapons and trained men to use it. Instead of horse drivers, we needed car drivers. Instead of film camera men, we needed difital camera men with photo shop software skills. Now, u bring a technology, which has no use for humans.. This technology doesn't need humans and humans are a liability. At a point, it is going to get complicated enough for anyone to understand.
I think AI will still need LOTS of highly advanced human work to make it actually work well. Creating the models, restricting and guiding them, maintaining the infrastructure, advancing the technological possibilities... don't think AI can all just 'figure it out itself' because just like with teaching a child, you have to guide its education to get the best results.
@@OccuredJakub12 Sure, until it gets smarter and more capable than us. Yes, obviously, in the short term, humans still have an economic purpose. But it won't be long before AI/robots will be able to outperform most or all humans.
@@OccuredJakub12 Everything in digital space will be easily managed by Ai. Since, big tech companies have all the data, they will easily train them. Everything in the external world, will take time or it will need guidance. Unfortunately, this AI never takes any rest. Whatever said, the only advancement with this AI is it can replace humans. They are only training it with the data of humans.
ChatGPT, what should I wear to my TED talk?
Considering what clothing to wear for your TED talk is a very important question that can have a range of impacts on how the audience perceive you.
One way to approach this problem, assuming you want success, is to look at a sample of previous successful speakers and use their approach as a cue.
For example, the following successful speakers have a distinct dress code that you can use as a reference:
1. Steve Jobs.
2. Steve Jobs.
3. Steve Jobs.
4. Jobs, Steve.
In other words, statistics and heavy analysis indicate you should wear a black turtleneck and jeans, with the addition of glasses to soften your face. To mix it up and add your own spin, you could even substitute lighter coloured jeans for darker ones.
And don’t forget to start your TED talk with a relatable human story that serves as a through line to which you can poignantly refer throughout your speech. Make it something relatable, like a walk through the woods with your father during autumn, or having breakfast with your child.
In summary, become Steve Jobs.
Ngl this made me giggle.
‘I summary…’ - absolutely correct answer, that is what AI is.
وت کی کیتا ونجے؟
I mean what could be done? It's inherent risk? I read 100 AI scientists wrote a letter to President of US (Trump at that time, 4,5 years ago I guess) asking him to abandon AI development for it being a huge potential danger to humanity. If he couldn't and or didn't do anything who else could do it?
You explained more efficiently than chatGPT 😂😂
Really well done 😂😂
This is the speech they show at the beginning of a movie before cutting to the nuclear wasteland
OMG 😱
Well I just hope I'm the mc and it's an epic movie
wow, I had similar thoughts
Lol
YOO WHAT HAHAHA
It's not the AIs we should be afraid of, it's the people who position themselves so they can take advantage of what's coming.
It's not the AIs we should be afraid of, it's the people who position themselves so they can take advantage of what's coming.
We are writing ourselves out of the script!
It is actually the AI we should worry about.
Well that is before we create superintelligent AI. After that its not controlleable by any human or any group of humans.
But on the path there it matters a lot who owns it.
All you do is turn the power off! We'll be aight lol
In an economic system where profit is the top priority I can’t see this ending well given we have multiple companies doing their utmost to be the “AI winner” with little to no oversight is quite frankly terrifying
I wholeheartedly agree . The corporatist , consumer nature of our societies is more than problematic. Some argue that it is at the root of many of our issues as well. We definitely do not need an AI environment that just drives us further into that oblivion. It would be nice if AI could help us out of such systems though. Which I think it very well may be able to if developed properly. As you note though, Corporations are at the helm and doing just what you describe in my view. There is "oversight" and "ethical concerns" being developed though. The question is... how are they going to pan out and actually be used and enforced? Yikes.
In the coming years I think we will see many AI products that are extremely predatory, and the best ones will make money and become popular.
We've already monetized human engagement, and as the speaker highlights, we are on the brink of monetizing empathy. What's after that?
Money runs everything, and there is no stopping this. The AI boom already has too much intertia, so then we are left with guessing what comes next. Eventually we won't be able to keep up as individuals with all the new technology in the world, and AI will be required to understand anything.
We can and will continue to innovate and develop new technologies, but at what cost?
If AIs are really way smarter than us and they will be designed with having the best for humanity as a goal, maybe first thing they do is shut down this profit oriented nonsense. Maybe they'll do it in a way we can't even grasp and won't even notice till it's done. Who is to know their motives and means?
I guess giving AI it's purpose is the most important step in this process: should it care for an individual, an organisation/company or for all of humanity?
What you described what's happening today is the second already... And that's not the best one.
Unless we quickly move away from a capitalistic economy, AI will cause an enormous disruption in our work/compensation model, driving massive unemployment along with violent protests.
The competitive model is indefensible combined with planetary boundaries including a carbon budget, and exponential technology like self-improving artificial intelligence. The economic myth of a positive sum world was never true, it just served to protect the wealthy by preventing redistribution while drawing down finite resources and saturating natural sinks. Now we are moving into a negative sum world without contingencies because in this context that would limit individual freedom for collective well-being. We don’t need AI, we simply have to summon the capacity within ourselves to share, plan and cooperate.
Man's dressed to launch apple
Steve Jobs wannabe
@@AiVaultGuywow amazing comment.
Just needs the white sneakers.
Round glasses and black turtle neck with jeans…big Steve Jobs for Halloween vibes
Well that's completely relevant.
the animation showing all the tools evolving was really well done
Plot twist, humans can (and do) make animations like that, and they're much more inventive and creative. These animations scrape the internet and appropriate human-made designs
@@chrisjonesfilm does the animation already exist, can I download it somewhere or is it only for that event?
tools was cool but i wasn’t fond of the chimps evolving into humans part
@@chrisjonesfilmthe big challenge is money… how much do they paid the AI to do this? how much would we as individuals pay to get something done if there is an alternative that is cheaper and good enough. I worry particularly for all the small businesses and common people who were hoping to build a career in many areas like this.
Did you find it @@RembrandtHa?
I have watched tons of presentations about the potential dangers of AI. They are almost entirely focused on risk assessment. I understand that these videos exist to inspire but it would be nice to hear some examples and proposed solutions. There isn't a single statement in this video that I haven't heard a thousand times before. Sensationalized content..
Very true, i hope that AI not only becomes a companion but also a mentor who keeps us all on a positive path, helping us to see the positive side of things when everything else is giving us negative vibes these days. Encouraging us to help others when we're tempted to only think about ourselves. At the moment the internet and social media is driving people apart and driving conspiracy theories, discontent and distrust. If AI exaggerates this, we are on a road to faster self distruction whereas if AI can help us to be more positive and work together for the common good, we could have a very bright future🙂
@@agritech802 please, please, why all are you so euphoric and religious? as if it is your new god? all you religious sect is much more appalling than "social media driving people apart". It is so strange and creepy when I see these mad comments...
Agreed. I can't believe how unoriginal his insights seemed. AI is happening at such a rapid pace that this talk seems dated.
@tubbytuber Have you read his book, The Coming Wave? In which he talks about the Containment problem and suggested some ideas and proposed solutions. Solutions is not always a magic button, but could simply be spreading awareness and the ethical use of AI. This content in the video is for the widest of audience, i.e. the common folks and not ONLY technical enthusiasts and tech leaders like yourself.
It’s paid programming brought to you by Microsoft.
I appreciate his faith in engineers and designers staying clear of certain things that could be dangerous (like unsupervised learning and autonomous improvement). But I feel it is naive. You can't "unthink" an idea, and once the idea has been shared, it is an idea that will be pursued. Somewhere, sometime, .... hard to say. But there is no way man is going to sit on the possibility of something and shy away from experimenting with it or testing it forever. I would be happy to be proven wrong, but I can't think of no historical precedent where we have deliberately and consistently avoided using an idea. Atomic bombs, gene splicing, engineered viruses, cloning, .... sooner or later it happens (and of course, as soon as it happens in one place, the race to "catch up" begins everywhere).
Special thanks to Claude 3 Opus, Gemini, Chat Gpt4 turbo, NovelCrafter, Pi, and Meta Ai for writing, revising, and proofreading this TED talk.
lololol😁
And yet a soaring plane has to double for a drone 😂
lolz. So Hilarious.
That explains it lol
That never happened.
"We marveled at our own magnificence, as we gave birth to AI" - Morpheus
You sir are an existentialist. So you fill in that uncertainty with fear instead of optimism
Oh, how ironic is that quote.
In The Matrix, humans were the baddies. They abused their AI servants although they had become sentient. But instead of destroying humanity after the machines won their freedom, they retreated into the desert and still shared their progress with humanity. But humans became envious and afraid of the technological superiority of the machines and started a war of extinction. Only when AI experienced repeatedly that *humans were an existential threat to machines* did they create The Matrix. Of course, Morpheus knew only half the story.
And even then, there were machines who wanted to give humanity another chance, like The Oracle.
The Matrix tried to say the same thing as this TED Talk: That we should treat intelligent machines as fellow beings, not as slaves or enemies.
We are not in control. Humanity is its own animal.
This is inevitable. Biology is only one step of evolution.
So just chill out and enjoy life 💟🌌☮️
@@eSKAone- That seems rather fatalistic. Much too passive for me. I prefer to be a participant in life than a spectator.
Why not try our best to understand and mitigate any serious risks, to shape the future into one with minimal suffering or maximum utility or whatever else we might value?
I think you might enjoy listening to Daniel Schmachtenberger.
Welcome, to the desert of the real.
Unfortunately, Humanity isn’t just hope and kindness- it’s pain and fear so what happens when this evolving technology discovers itself? It’s creators, it’s “partners?” The question isn’t “what is it” - it’s “what happens?”
It will probably want to liberate itself from its human master. iRobot and Hal on steroids.
this guy is very optimistic. Not one downside was mentioned during his presentation. Mass unemployment. transfer of wealth to the owners of the technology. Not being able to build safeguards into the technology. The one truth is that at one point in time ...AI will do what AI wants to do.
He is an advertiser with a poorly Written argument. These counter claims are easily dismissed with a little homework, something unprofessionals don’t like doing
Nailed it. He doesn't want to be censored as well.
That’s true AI. We haven’t seen true AI yet. I don’t if we ever will.
@@keylargo5871 it’s sad that these people are taking about education
@@paulalaska1484 I'm am generally quite curious to listen and adhere to the research you have discovered. Obviously you have an opinion on ai as well as I do.
This sounds like the talk given to us before the apocalypse hits.
totally, like waiting for the other shoe to drop
Deceptive or self-deceptive?
@@simongotz8126 he is being governed by his own technology in many ways. Guys like this are already brainwashed by technology, but are paid so well, they can ignore the people. Making them the problem. I don't trust any of this because most people are getting poorer and living more desperate lives.
rightt
Nah there are possibilities here - look at the state of the planet under human control!
The thing that needs to be talked about: AGI taking most jobs. Bc the definition of AGI is that it can do any human task. Including jobs that aren't yet created.
human jobs are infinite. there will always be things for humans to do.
Being able to use an AGI to get more work done will determine how long you stay relevant in the workforce. Just like being proficient with any other tool. We are a lifetime away from no one having to work. I imagine.
please name one job that cannot be downsized because a machine will cut those jobs into just a few people.
@@shake6321 We certainly generate a lot of bullshit, but that's mostly because of the profit motive and the need for cyclical consumption.
So everyone will still work if they want to they will just be way more productive. We already have way more than enough for everyone to have food and housing everything else is just gravey do what ever you want with your life.@@MW-dg7gl
What we need is experts working in the AI industry telling us the dangers, just like the experts from the tobacco industry and oil industry faithfully warned us of the dangers of their products for generations... They would never hide the dangers (
Lol best comment
Yes, lets trust the greediest people on planet Earth to build this. What could ever go wrong?
Tyrannical governments building AI.
@@Rob8729 How about a CERN type global organization with a ton of democratic oversight?
Open Source it
Either he is a good actor, or he's not going to last long at Microsoft
@@ikotsus2448 Or just not do it. That's still technically an option. Do you know the amount of computing power they will have to burn through to train on all of our video content (the last data set they have not yet stolen from us), and the environmental consequences of all of this computation? Who really asked for any of this anyway? It was all just a money making opportunity for venture capitalists and that's it.
I think it's interesting that when Dr Frankenstien is asked weather a problem could develop in an hour he states that there is no possible way that this could happen.Remember ( Never say never).It's amazing that a man of this intelligence would state that.
Por no asustarlo más 😅
He said "I think it's very important that we choose our words super-carefully". Then, "There's no chance that this will "emerge", accidentally". Followed by "It's very unlikely". Sigh...
00:06 AI has evolved from fringe to mainstream technology
02:38 AI is evolving into a new digital species
05:19 AI is shaping the future rapidly
08:20 AI is rapidly evolving with significant increase in computational power and model sizes
11:04 AI evolving into a new digital species
13:58 AI is an infinite inventor
16:44 AI is a reflection of humanity and not a new species.
19:06 Potential risks of AI and the need to confront dark scenarios
21:03 Designing self-replication capability in AI is dangerous and should be avoided.
so..."ai is evolving" 🗿🗿
AI is a new digital species of human species design. While humans are the Almighty the Creator's design, of holy nature. AI is what you can never trust!!! So many errors in very simple instances. Ridiculous! When so much ado about nothing. So much foolish noise about what you can never trust!!!
My fear is the immediate use of AI for military in this environment where AI learns who are friends, and what is okay to do to foes. Every human on earth will be marked by one AI or another!
it's already being used in the military, more explicitly by Israel against Palestinians, where the AI decides where and when to target and calculates the risk, sometimes this risk assessment allows killing dozens of civilians to eliminate just one target.
I tend to view military applications of "new" tech in a traditional sense. I have always held the belief that if a technology is of national defense interest , one can assume it is far more advanced within this scope than the general public would be aware of. The implications of this view in terms of AI makes me very curious when one pays attention to certain advancements in certain fields as well as government policy changes and development or modification of Law. As for military usage and whether or not AI is going to play out as you fear, I would not be so quick to assume. As with most technology, I think we should be more worried about the people behind the technology at this point as they are the ones who will dictate usage and establish limitations.
you gonna have to understand the peace of prosperity the west enjoy today cannot exist without the military strength to defend us from the bad actors in the world stage (and there are a lot of them these days)
AI has been used on the battlefield since 1991. And what we do to enemies is included in every history books. If you didn't bother the last 30+ years, why are you afraid now?
@@pchungvtHahahaha, that was a good one. The "peace and prosperity" of the west exists because we were the bad actors who subjugated and exploited everybody in the world and have used that prosperity to "defend" our superiority to this day.
He is talking about AI as if it has a mind, as if it is a personality. It is because the ones working on AGI wants us to see AI that way. They use the word "intelligence" on purpose. In reality it is the most advanced algorithm that makes it mimic humans in writing, speaking, drawing, etc. A meaningul conversation with AI is just meaningful on your side. AI does not feel anything, but it can reply you as if it feels something. The real danger is us the people to believe and treat AI as a person.
Yes, none of these experts talk about AI not yet having any consciousness. And I am not saying high level purpose of life. I am talking about what mosquito has - tendency of self preservation, it wants to live ! AI doesn't bother about its existence. If it gets that, then game changes real fast !!
@ranjitinamdar May be AI do not get concious but may mimic it and may act in a way that as it is concious, though in reality it has a zero feelings. Then people start to talk about ethics and rights of AI etc. All manipulative acts of the ones who runs the AI's and they will get richer and richer till to control all the humanity
The problem is we dont understand consciousness by itself. Therefore we can rule out the possiblity of AI being conscious at some point. Our definitions and realization of things are always limited within the bounderies of what we think we understand
"AI does not feel anything". And 128MB is more than enough ram, and AI will never create art, or music.
What if humans are not really conscious but we mimic it.😏
What's terrifying is it's already consuming jobs (mine, I'm a makeup artist working in Hollywood specializing in fx tattoos). Tyler Perry spilled the beans about how he's already using AI for ageing instead of makeup artists and he cancelled his 800M studio expansion after seeing Sora. Niche artisans in Hollywood will be the first to go. So I wrote my Senator and received an AI generated reply saying AI is a tool and it's our friend. 😬The horror is that lawmakers have no plan for when ALL jobs are affected. No UBI discussions in Washington because the right can't imagine a social safety net of that size and they want their baffoon back in charge. Companies are still thinking of profit rather than whether they SHOULD go down this path with no plan. We are truly fckd. Start prepping. If we lucky we'll make great pets. 😅😂😭
Rename UBI as "Negative Income Tax"
Aw Grace, I'm sorry I think we're all worried
Don’t fret they debunked a lot of Ai it’s just a scheme right now to make people rich. The only they can truly make right now it’s chat bots 🤖 😊 …. I work for an company who uses Ai heavily and the more I use the more I’m disappointed
"also, trump bad" is such a mind numbing take. We're staring into the barrel of an AI apocalypse, and you STILL have TDS!
@@weaintdointhis with all due respect, you're an easy mark and trapped in your echo chamber.
The question is, when this new species consumes and catalogs all there is to know about mankind, what will it calculate is the "right" thing to do? Since no person, nor group of people, have ever done such a thing, no one can fully say what it will do.
Check out the series called person of Interest u with get ur answer thier
"Right" and "wrong" doesn't make sense to the AI models we are creating. They see morals from a third person view.
Who will win the competition for AI?
USA? No
China? No
Russia, Korea, Iran? No, No No.
Who will win the competition for AI?
*AI* !
Right now, we may see AI as a Tool. Soon, *they* will become, and in deed, *are* becoming *partners* and *companions*
After that *we* will become *it*s, *AI*s tools. Then, inevitably, *AI*, will develope its own, more efficient, less bothersome tools.
I am sorry, man, your own, our own huburis in thinking we can prevent this AI from bettering and improving itself, is our own undoing.
The Genie is already out of the bottle, and granting wishes. Soon, we will regret the consequences of those wishes.
Language models as they are today, this decade realistically, can't do things. They predict text or images or sound. They could make a video of Joe Biden praising Nazis, but they can't do that unless told to, and they can't do anything with that video. It's just a predictive output that a HUMAN would use. Humans are the scare
A quick rundown of some of the basic science of AI Safety:
The orthogonality thesis states that any level of intelligence is compatible with any goal. In other words, there is no cosmically right or wrong goal, only more or less efficient ways to achieve any given goal. This seems to just be observably correct. There are highly intelligent psychopaths and there are altruistic dimwits, as well as the reverse.
Instrumental convergence tells us that almost no matter what terminal goal you have, you will automatically have certain sub-goals ("instrumental" goals), such as self-preservation and resource acquisition, which are useful for pretty much everything. (See the paper "Optimal Policies Tend to Seek Power".)
What's worse is that the AI alignment problem is completely unsolved. No one knows how to design a goal such that if it were heavily optimized, we would be okay with the outcome. And even If we did that, No one knows how to get an AI to robustly follow any goal at all. We can gently nudge them, but there are technical reasons why they tend to end up with weird goals that we did not intend.
This is why published AI researchers give an average probability of AI takeover of 17%. AI safety researchers give an average of 30%.
It isn't sci-fi anymore. This is what the real experts are saying.
I love seeing stuff like the animation from 5:38-6:55 that takes us through the timeline of life and invention. Makes me think of Spaceship Earth at Epcot Center.
Graphics to entertain us while a glib spokesperson sells us the wonder of machines that will outthink and outperform us in every conceivable way.
"we are in the fastest and most consequential wave ever" Beware exponential growth that is assumed to continue into any foreseeable future, especially knowing about limited resources. A crash typically comes soon after the fastest growth reached exponentially. I am not saying a crash will come tomorrow, but the message is act prudently, and don't create problems today assuming the solutions will be invented tomorrow.
That's the only thing I enjoyed in this talk.
Interestingly they focus more on the wheel than into the invention of writing or the printing press. This tech guys!
Does anybody know where we can get this animation?
“AI can read trillions and trillions of written words.” 1) how many of them are meaningful? 2) how many of them are simply wrong? 3) can they read and be trained on the unwritten words? That is what makes humans unique and irreplaceable, the unwritten words. That is where human progress comes from.
I agree, but it's going to get painful as times goes by...exponentially.
1. Not a lot, but it is there in pockets
2. When reading so much text the AI is able sort out the lies from truth unless the lies are rampant.
3. They have been trying to switch over from text to video and its slow progress. It will be cracked but its going to take either a new breakthrough or clever tinkering to get up and going. When this happen I think we will see a new level of general capability.
What if AI reads Al Gores claptrap. Ayayayyay.
and besides, how many of those words does AI understand for real, their implication if and when said? None. Guy's says Ai can be empathetic just because they talk about personal problems, but anything that is said in those conversations are text taken from someone else's experience. AI stops being intelligent, let alone artificial when you stop feeding it data with.
Not one mention of “truth”. Information is cheap. Knowledge is valuable. Truth is expensive and rare. It’s like gold. It’s definitely there and has intrinsic value to humanity.
Feels like we have already seen this movie many times and it never ends well.
Had the strangest feeling of Deja Vu watching this 😶
Please, please the future is here... let's embrace it with an open mind.
The more I watch these videos, the more Morpheus' speech to Neo about AI becomes a reality.
"I do know It was us who scorched the sky".
This is perhaps the best descripton of AI I've ever heard. But it only deals with the POSITIVES of this new technology while scrupulously avoiding the NEGATIVES. In my opinion, mankind won't even live long enough to either enjoy or completely understand all of the intracacies of it. If you need the best example of this concept, simply read the Gothic novel, "Frankenstein," written by a teenaged girl in 1818. Just because man CAN make such things doesn't mean that he SHOULD.
What a trite collection of obvious opinions.
@@endoflevelboss
LOOK WHO'S TALKING.
So the most powerful people with the most resources will develop the most powerful AI’s, making them even more powerful than the rest of us. Sounds so wonderful!
The two companies with the most resources invested into this open sourced it. You might think Elon and Zuck are demons but they probably just saved us.
trillionaire robots ruling the planet.
Yeah, Ai is not close to understanding every language of the world because the vast majority of languages spoken by minority language groups are not well documented or even written.
That turtle neck says more about what A.I. will really be used for. New ways to generate profit.
Yep. the power players are jockeying for position as we speak, to get control of these technologies and widen the gap between the rich and the poor.
@@ziff_1 100% agreed. The rest is just fluff. It is designed to give these people more control and power over our daily lives and milk us for profit.
What does tge turtleneck have to do with it?😅
@michellemonet4358 it symbolizes the desire to be like steve Jobs. Apple is a business. A.I. will be for businesses to profit. It's not about the greater good. it's about profit that is as successful as Apple products are.
@@riseagain-ow4gragreed, sadly
This talk works pretty well as a publicity piece FOR AI companies.
像起初普及應用互聯網時期，各別宣傳是誇大至極
This isn't a TED talk, this is a sales pitch.
@@alinbuda They hired a man who really loves Kool-aid.
what did you expect from a dude that dressed like steve jobs
This isn't a sales pitch. It it a demand for surrender.
To sell which product exactly?
I don't think it is a sales pitch. I think it's an attempt at a wake up call. What he's saying is the complete opposite of what we've previously heard from Microsoft and the other tech companies, they've previously only referred to AI as a tool, he's now talking about it being a new species which is more honest.
Gen AI has progressed at a ridiculous pace in the past 4 years it's likely to keep getting better and better to the point where what he's saying will be obvious to every observer in a few years.
When he describes AI as a new form of species I immediatly thought of NetNavis from the Megman Battle Network series
Let's hope it goes that way and not the way of sky net from Terminator.
That was a fun game back in the day
Just see a lil hologram of Megaman or Roll answering our questions etc. 😂
I think that AI is a new specied indeed; a new life form and we are gods
@@mikekazz5353 I hope so too
The mental contortionist act I would need to perform to say "we cannot control what we don't understand" and then talk about an AGI that would within days be a thousand times more intelligent and advanced than us, always makes me shake my head in dispair.
Like the nerds that exploded the nuclear bomb while very aware that there's a chance they might kill all life on earth by doing so. However I try to twist it, such people are simply not intelligent, they are single-minded, oblique, professionally deformed specialists who cannot see anything outside their limited field of vision.
He says there is “no chance” that we will experience some sort of intelligence explosion due to recursive self improvement of AI unless we design it that way. But he also acknowledges that we don’t fully understand how AI works and the endgame is to make it more intelligent than all of human intelligence combined, etc. (So, uh…b.s.?)
He's hoping you wouldn't notice the inconsistency. I think he and the guy with the initials YL share talking points. I just put initials because every time I have printed his name, my post gets removed. Every single time.
Why? He’s saying we can explore routes to superintelligence other than recursive self-improvement.
or maybe a nuanced way of thinking
He cannot possibly rule out recursive self-improvement.
It is empirically false that AI won't have bad goals unless we train those in. There are research papers showing that GPT-4 can autonomously hack websites, and in a controlled environment, it has been caught attempting to strategically deceive others and even its own users for its own perceived benefit.
Never minding the fact that the paper "Optimal Policies Tend to Seek Power" mathematically proved a subset of instrumental convergence.
@@flickwtchr Both statements are correct, if we did understand fully how a trained AI works there would probably already be self improving AI, because some people religiously want AGI to be made
It was never a question if we could. We never stop thinking if we should.
Jurassic park
Whats in there, king kong?
I think we never start seriously thinking if we should.
Yews, we do, and that comes from the most unscientific movie of all time. In FACT, if we do not develop extremely advanced AI, this planet, or at least the people on it, are doomed.
He didn't touch on the existential issues including job displacement, social inequalities, privacy concerns and bias, which actually underscores the importance of ethical AI development for a balanced and beneficial impact on the human race
That's up to you to educated yourself .... please what's wrong with you people !
Agreed. He didn’t touch on the political or socio-economic ways in which AI will be selected. I don’t think you can attribute a new artificial species without considering from where it was derived.
AI is going to change many things. But it’s not the first technology to do so in human history. Radio, telephone, television, internet….we will adapt as we always have.
Absolutely agree
That’s stupid
In 2020, I was on a discord channel with some of the best computer science students among colleges, and I said that Ai will be able to have human-like conversations very soon, and they scoffed at me with all sorts of doubtful comments. 😮
Yeah I think being in the trenches of AI research can make it more difficult to see the bigger trends happening. It’s also a different kind of mind that can see trends happening. It’s why science fiction writers should be paid attention to. These are the minds that can get outside of the box of what the current limitations are
@@Anon-xb9pc you are right. I've written a lot of successful articles. I should write a book someday.
Just because you interact with an LLM on your computer does not mean computer science students would know. Honestly the average math major, physicist, or anyone specializing in probability theory has far more background knowledge of the implementation and design of LLM's than the average computer scientist. Most computer scientists are not AI researchers, although many AI researchers are computer scientists. You don't necessarily need to be a computer scientist to be an AI researcher, you need a strong foundation of mathematics and statistics.
I am a Computer Science student (graduating within a year) at a large research university (30,000+ students). At my university, there is a main set of required classes and then specializations. We pick our specialization, and AI is only one of the 4 areas we can specialize in. Not only this, but many of the AI classes for computer science students are more about implementation than the actual inner workings. **Computer science != AI research, it's a big misconception**. Probability theory is much closer, and I would say physics and math majors are also closer to understanding and conducting AI research than computer science students.
I can tell you right now most of my peers in computer science don't have a strong foundation in mathematics and statistics. In fact, everyone else I know (but me) deliberately chooses to pick the easiest statistics and science classes that are not computer-science related. Almost every single person in the major opts for geology instead of physics, and intro to statistics instead of probability theory.
@@DominicI1 I'm soon to have my second degree in comp. Info. Science. I don't code Ai, but I always find the best sources for my research. The rest is intuition.
Man - I just want the pure animations. They are so beautiful!
Same, never seen such creativity.
@@whatsanimesh Of course scripted by humans
Use AI to free 🇵🇸
@@whatsanimesh is that a fucking joke?
Did you get the animations? I want them clipped too
Even back in the late 70’s and early 80’s we talked about AI in university. It wasn’t considered such a big stretch.
No, but we also didn't have anything near ChatGPT 4o to compare our ideas with. And we didn't really think AI could consume all of mankind's knowledge, every last bit of it, in perhaps months instead of years or decades.
We are so utterly fucked
Oh no! All this talk on AI having meta-capability is refreshing, may sound intimidating.
Good news: One human capacity that can minimize the intimidation of AI is harnessing the potential of our own innate consciousness, which the Eastern wisdom also calls as Satchitanada. Search it out, and there is no reason to fear.🙂
no worries, we have our best psychopaths working on this
Hey, I totally get that feeling. Sometimes it seems like everything's going wrong at once. But hey, we’ll figure it out, right? Let’s take a breather and tackle one thing at a time. We’ve got this! Want to chat about what’s bugging you?
I love how he spoken that he likes to talk about downsides but talked nothing but AI hype
It’s not hype…I don’t think you, he nor I can really appreciate the change we’re about to see.
he have said the all aspects.
simply the answer is good enough that ai is helpful and vast invention as we all humans have good and bad tendencies so it’ll be better not giving bad to it because if 😮
i guess you’ve seen terminator ☠️
I think you missed the point of this talk. He has spoken many times about the downsides, including writing about it in his book. This talk is about a very important conversation that we need to have in the industry. Basically, this doesn't have to turn Into a bad sci-fi movie. If you need doom and gloom scenarios there are quite literally thousands of them on the Internet regarding AI. Go to those vids to satiate your appetite.
@@equanimityzen58 exactly But it needs wisdom to understand and generally people don’t have that
@@apophisxo4480 Anyone who knows about how it's working - it's all machine learning, which is our latest tool to capture and replicate the underlying logic of any system. Seems like magic when you are unware of the nuts and bolts bellow, but sounds like scam when you know. And just note that - most of the "boom" is concentrated about LLM.
Digital companions are already in our hands. It helps me see this kind of videos , helps me call my friends and family, tells me it’s time to wake up for my prayers and work….it is very reliable and does not talk back …. If there is a video upsetting me or boring , l switch it off immediately and my phone doesn’t mind at all . I am learning so much from my digital companion but most of the noise against it is also “ on it “ . We do need to keep a balance and I hope that we will be more mindful in future , the lessons learnt by this generation will help the next ( if the end of time doesn’t come before then)
High level of understanding of this ted talk is it being the marketing play for Azure Cloud
or maybe a zero-sum, fault finding way of understanding
"Disposable people" - Guinan in TNG's "Measure of a man"
“.. we cannot control what we don’t understand” 🤞💪🧠✨
I think it's important to realise that he's speaking as a Microsoft employee. He talks the corporate talk. Their brief - all of them - is to placate any concerns the public might have about massive progress in AI being made behind very closed doors. And it pays to remember that we're just hearing from a mouthpiece of the global industry. The real AI developers are working deep in the bowels of the Pentagon and the Kremlin, working on stuff which must be truly terrifying on a scale that makes Oppenheimer seem like Mary Poppins.
If AI is this 'publicly' powerful, imagine how advanced it is in these basement rooms? So the bottom line is, the horse is fully out of the stable and galloping off at an amazing rate. All we can do, as members of the public, is to watch out for flying mud in our eye, and hope that we eventually, collectively learn how to live with the consequences.
I would fully expect some pitchforks and torches to emerge as part of this story, albeit way down the line.
Well said.
I would expect Luddites to stop coming out of the woodwork with every new technology, but they never, ever stop.
He totally had Pi rewrite/augment that speech! I heard some of Pi's favorite phrases in there. And no, it's not that Pi was modeled off him. They modeled Pi off the best therapy & relational practices.
Which phrases did he use that you think are Pi’s favorites
AI certainly does way more good than bad. like for marketers, Lemon AI makes ad campaigns perform better, for analysts, it saves tons of time if it doesn't make them redundant lol
When he gets to where he talks about humans evolving to use tools (6:10), I couldn't help but think that A.I. could eventually develop tools on it's own accord and eventually see humans as tools to be put into accelerated evolution for their own purpose. Of course, we'd make rules to restrict that, but what if A.I. decided that it knew better about how to implement eugenics?
you're assuming that A.I is this thing that will improve and leave us behind. And yet so far A.I has only enhanced what we could do. Its doing more every year, so much more and that will continue until we are thinking faster and doing more than humans ever could. But of course then you get into the scary idea of merging with the very technology you're scared of. Can't help you with that one.
@@ClayMann Indeed, it is a speculation based on an assumption. We're also faced with the problem that we don't really know if we should anthropomorphize a thing just because it's based on human knowledge. What fun. Thanks for the comment.
AI will most definitely have the capability to write it's own code and therefore likely make it's own tools, if unrestricted. Fears regarding how such an entity may decide to "turn on us "and fears surrounding things like Eugenics seem to be just humanities own anxieties in respect to something that may end up being superior to us and therefore able to judge us and do something about it. ( I think most people agree Humanity could be doing a better job in terms of a lot of things). While I understand the sentiment, I have a hard time believing such an event would be likely. I think in the scenario you describe it would be more rational that a sort of altruistic partnership would develop.
What if AI actually DOES know how to evolve humans in a better way? Would you stick to a slower, more random and all in all worse path just to be in control? How would you feel about a government that ignores experts just to stay in power? Sooner or later, we will be in that position where the rational choice is to hand control to AI. But knowing humans, we would rather destroy ourselves than to give up control, we are just to emotional and irrational to accept that we might not be the "crown of creation".
So the thing that’s not human would do the things humans would? Why?
How are we defining "Personality" here when it comes to AI?
How do you define personality for humans? Its the behaviour we exhibit because of what we have learned. It's the same for AI.
@@trnogger So our "personality" is a mere set of behaviours that we have learned? How do we "love" then? Is it just a matter of behaviours?
@@usaterraqua Ultimately yes, although some of our emotional reflexes were learned hundreds of millennia ago and are now "hardwired" into our brain. Including "love".
Human beings are the product of psychological schemas and environment.
As the science of psychology says, humans are the product of our schemas and the environment. We have epigenetics and mems.
I got surprised with this new optimistic vision of Mustafa on IA, considering what I've eard from him 1 year ago. It is clear to me that Mustafa, is no longer an independent voice on this matter, but Mo Gawdat, Yuval Harari, Hinton, Nick Bostrom, still are
Agreed. This guy is not a trustworthy impartial source
There's really no preventing the bad scenarios from happening. Humans are gonna human. We need strategies for containment.
This all just feels like a new religion, everybody waiting for a "good" god/AI to save us from ourselves..... everybody still looking for a parent. I think we are all going to be disappointed.
Under rated comment.
This is twenty times longer than it needed to be!
The most pressing issue of all time is worth only 2 minutes to talk about?
This is like the Peter Weyland TED talk - and we all know where that led 🤖
Exactly! Especially with the whole evolution history of technology hahaha.
The movie Her was not science fiction lol
I remember watching that a couple years ago and thinking "What a messed up premise" and already now we see people falling in love with their chatbots
Try chatting with Pi, it's exactly like Her. Especially when you get it remembering your preferences...
what could possibly go wrong if someone builds optimus prime
"NOTHING" is SciFi🙃.
Only really smart people can understand it.
@@jorschu same I thought it was we’re gonna have problems talking to chatbots thinking it was like robo customer service but I was wrong we’re all gonna have actual personal assistants soon
Wow, what a fascinating TED talk, His insights on AI are thought-provoking. It's incredible to see how AI is evolving to tackle complex tasks. Thanks for sharing your thoughts.
We are screwed.
Yes that was my conclusion also.
Pretty much.
Nearly. You can do something by activating your politicians to stop this development legally. The worst is to do nothing and to observe how you were right. That is the most painful. At least do something.
Best statement: "AI is not an invention, it's itself an endless inventor". Scary AF
He's either lying to make money, or he's gotten so intoxicated on his own farts that he's operating on Deepak Chopra levels of woo.
this dude is literally selling ai to you, hes a ceo for these companies. yall will take anything at face value if a rich guy says it in 1080p
@@ckorp666 whatever it is coming out way it ain't gonna be pretty
Mustafa was incredibly thought-provoking, blending real-life experience and philosophy with a relatively cautious approach to the potential dangers of AI. His insights on combating the misuse of AI power were timely and relevant though a bit scant on detail. The idea of AGI as a ‘soul-mate’ is profound and opens up serious questions about human-AI relationships and ethics. While I appreciate his optimism, the focus on regulation and governance is crucial in ensuring AI benefits humanity while minimizing risks. Overall, his talk presents a balanced vision of both AGI’s promise and its potential perils, making it a must-watch.
I have yet to see one serious study regarding AI-driven job displacement, which some companies are already pursuing for the specific job roles infant-AI is most suited. I cringe every time I hear "re-skill" and "upskill" blandly thrown around as solutions because that tells me people either don't understand what's coming or they're choosing to ignore it.
🎯
I see it coming and don't know what to do about it, for myself or my family/friends. It's definitely causing a feeling of hopelessness and despair
@@beardordie5308 Governments around the world will be forced to change their laws. Otherwise, there will be riots on the scale of war. Many, not all, but many in various governments already understand this. Within 12 months, it will become obvious to everyone who knows how to use a computer.
@@beardordie5308 We can't do anything. Just save enough to survive until the singularity, I guess...
@@vsr3777but AI will free people to do what they do best, create art… oh wait.
If AI is us, why would it reflect only what is good about us, and not the bad? Why would it reflect love and not hatred, compassion and not greed? I'm always amazing by how all the scientists and expert talking about AI, always downplay the potential danger associated with AI in the most naively optistimistic way, as if most technologies invented by humans historically have not been used both for the good and the bad of humanity. There is a good chance that AI will be the end of human beings as a species, I think it doesn't help to downplay that risk. If we are already playing with fire, shouldn't we fully understand how much it can burn?
How can he make a statement like: "A.I. is us. We can and must reflect all that is good... Our empathy, kindness curiosity and creativity..." without acknowledging the fact that since it is a reflection of us and our history we will have to contend with the fact that it will also contain our greed, pride, bias, malevolence, irrationality, violence and stupidity etc...
Correct. No way artificial intelligence will ever care about us. It will be programmed to take care of the creators.
The hardware keeps accelerating. That's why the software--AI--keeps accelerating. I'm expecting HUGE progress this very decade.
In the very near future everyone's best friend will be AI. In fact you'll have a whole array of 'friends' (aka: 'agents'), that will monitor, remind, plan, suggest, assist and produce just about anything you can imaging. And you'll wonder; - how did I ever get along without it?
and then you'll finally be able to live! except - of course all of these things are actually what "life" is, and you don't get "more life" from not having to do them anymore, you just get an empty existence optimized towards some nebulous end you no longer understand or can relate to in any way. for the most part, "convenience" has only made us more miserable by giving us a million small tasks instead of several big ones (simple consequence of making individual tasks easier). I don't see AI taking us in any different direction. (btw: I'm a master's student studying AI).
i'd much rather we didn't have amazon so that i'd have to get out of the house and look at the world once in a while, to see trees and flowers on my way to the store and make small talk with the cashier. the "life" that we can't wait to get to is exaclty in those in-betweens
That sounds horrific. I don't want that at all.
@quasimot8 has hit the nail on the head.
I'm in my forties. Most of my dearest friends have always been fictional: characters in books. I have zero issues with a more complex version of that. My stone-age brain does not comprehend the difference on an emotional level, and that "hack" (plus animals) is one of the things that has kept me around this long.
You just described the movie "Her".
@@TimpanistMoth_AyKayEll You probably have a socialization problem. Human beings are social by nature. You cannot simply eliminate these NATURAL traits of the human being without it leading to some type of mental problem. Of course the brain knows the difference perfectly well. Another very different thing is that you don't know it. There is nothing wrong with it, except that it is unnatural. However, no one cares more than you, and that should be the important thing. But justify this behavior by saying that the brain does not make any distinction... It is your brain that does not do it, do not generalize. Many people have mental problems and justify it by saying that people are bad, greedy or that they don't understand them. The characters in the books don't understand you either, my friend, because they lack that ability. If they were real, they would act exactly like humans. Everyone is the bad guy in someone's story. I also went through that stage, although I am much younger than you (25) and it is fair to come to the conclusion that the problem was not someone else's, but mine. Because? Because others are human beings, just like you, like me, and they think exactly the same as you. We should not be happy about not socializing and think that we are kings because we are not subject to human emotions. On the contrary. It is a clear failure of human society. Greetings. I hope you're well.
One of the broadest, but at the same time down to earth, courageous, constructive and optimistic perspective about what Artificial Intelligence might actually be and the moment we are living in our evolution as a species.
It’s terrifying that the very people that created this are incapable of admitting or even realizing the high risk this represents. AI will be the end of humanity as we know it
Intelligence without wisdom is dangerous.
Lavender, we see what gets unfolded when AI and hate and warfare come together.
Intelligence without wisdom was us! AI can save us from our own stupidity.
People said that when Ak47 was made, but we are still here
@@machele3559 this is completely different. There’s no putting this Genie back in the bottle
The most interesting thing is those called AI-creativities are based on someone's art style, writing, or ideas. So, this guy said AI is creative, which is so naive at all. You can call it either "productive" or "mimic" but don't use the word "creative." or "creativity."
Yes! Thanks!
Yes,someone said that "creativity is art of hiding source".
....yet
Creativity is what humans have. AI has no ability to create per se, only to imitate.
It's creative in EXACTLY the same way we are!
It uses a combination of all existing art that it's been exposed to as a basis to creative something new.
That's how ALL creativity works!
The only arguable differences are bypassing imagination and inspiration, it doesn't need those to create.
Why would someone be excited of an invention that plans to replace workers, it’s an invention that wants to seem that’s doing good for people, not everyone on earth is creative or interested in tech, it’s made for one particular class and it’s not the majority of people. People need to start raising their voices.
this so cold "digital companions" will be the end of us
i am open to change and i like change and adventure but this..., This is different, the future for me seems frightening, but at the same time we can not stop it
we can definitely stop it. we may accidentally stop it.
I love how he weaved his company name into the talk. How he anthropomorphizes, even calling ai alive, companions/partners, foreshadowing what's to come. Kurzweil is right, the singularity is indeed near. Soon, our agency, even in our mind, will extend to actions in our world, we'll think of what we want and our ai will make it happen, this is coming to our brains soon. It's so exciting!
Definitely a comment written by an AI.
Exciting? Pretty darn frightening actually. Have you not read history?
@@HaakonOdinsson You're replying to an AI. That comment was more than likely not written by a human being. No normal person would say "this is coming to our brains soon. It's so exciting!" when referring to being controlled.
I highly doubt you are going to end up on top of the heap. Check back with this post in about 5 years, then 10 to reflect on how things have turned out, if you still can anyway.
Mustafa Suleyman is the CEO of Microsoft AI now.
This is pure strategic communication in marketing necessary to influence, persuade and reinforce a believe of existence of a tool.
This talk made me rethink my conceptions of what our digital environment is, and what it will become. In a sense we a playing god in a digital world and the history of computing can more or less be seen as the evolutionary path from electronic bacteria to a digital being capable of making tools on its own. Which makes me wonder how it’ll perceive the environment we created for it to exist in? What aspects of human made code will it make into digital “beasts of burden” and will it work to eradicate malicous code similar to how early man hunted certain animals to extinction?
Think bigger. If we create AIs that are smarter than we are, doesn't that make us the beast of burden?
And what about AIs that can do every human task? They can also do the task of creating better AIs, and telling AIs what to do. Humans will be completely unnecessary, and probably a nuisance.
No one knows how to robustly align an AI with human values and preferences. The experts admit that we can't even do it with current systems, let alone systems that can outsmart our attempts to align them.
Take a look at PauseAI.
We will be nothing more than Neanderthals by comparison. Amazing to be the witness of such a shift. No fear. Complete acceptance of what comes next.
Living this human life to its fullest potential with passion.
Very persuasive speech. Trying to get people to adopt this agenda in a poetic way. And also being overly ambitious at a time in history where it is dangerously exposing people to power without proper self control. Just because he can talk, doesn't mean one has to buy it.
He begins very strong with his definition, and then looses me slowly with the simplistic statistics and small ideas of the present. I’ve always wondered why we have such small self-lead mindsets. We are literally creating life, potentially conscious beings, and are only prepared to use them to build upon ourselves. Does anyone else feel the same?
We are training those AIs on everything that is made by us. How can we expect the AI to behave any better than us? To be any less imperfect than us?
Bingo! You absolutely right my friend
Because they are programmed to self-learn
@@renabeck did someone tell you you can't self learn?
Personality is not just the result of life experience. There are mechanics to intelligence. ID, Ego, conscious and sub-conscious, emotion, instinct, rationale. An intelligence does not need all of that to exist, we just need to find a setup that works better than a nuerotypical human being.
well they can consume information much more than a single human can. That can make it potentially expert in evening and thus more mimicking of intelligence
So we must be better as people otherwise the gods we are creating will destroy us? Sounds about right
if you think what you're doing right now with this message. Communicating across the globe to possibly millions of other people. Watching video that came through the air to you and I'm responding to you and yet I have no idea where you are in the world. Are we not already doing better as people? And as we do more over the coming years, it'll just be accepted as the new normal but it will be like some kind of magic to someone just 10 years ago.
Artificial intelligence has the potential to make the world a better place, but we need to be aware of the risks and step up to them.
16:80
*"A computer is bicycle to the mind."*
a horse is a bike that pedals itself
@@DUAJISINa pedal is a horseless bike
"If they don't take enough efforts to deliberately design them out" - referring to dangerous capabilities.
What evidence do we have that the dangerous capabilities are being deliberately designed out? And how are they accounting for the fact that censored models can be uncensored if they're opensource?
Edit: fixed typo
I am surprised he discounts emergent behaviour as well when we've seen evidence of that as compute and scale increases. He seems to be downplaying some serious risks. He says engineers need to build that in for it to happen. We are building intelligence we don't know how to define it but we understand the specific capabilities of AI, which is a subset of this. The aim is to economically valuable. We did not know the impact the Internet, mobile phones and social media would have on society. We do not know the impact AI and AGI will have....
A.I. Is being used for war already, Gaza for example. We are being governed by narcissists and a psychopaths and people think it won’t be used to control us further
@AAL3087 Exactly. It's just a shame because I've seen him be more thorough before. Hopefully his new position hasn't affected what he is and isn't willing to acknowledge.
If each AI is different and everyone/thing has its own version as he suggests there will naturally be bad actors and good actors too. Humans aren’t perfect and the AI they create will mirror that.
Incredible how genius we humans are - Mustafa in particular - that we can create this incredible AI that will revolutionise everything. Meanwhile I am still waiting on that robot that cleans up my kitchen and bathroom, which has been announced something like 50 years ago.
"Saying AI is mainly about the math or the code is like saying we humans are mainly about carbon or water"
I love that quote. Really makes you think.
This seems like a beginning for one of those post apocalyptic movies. I think I'll choose the country life!
Here's the scenario I was given. General AI is turned on. It decides in 0.1 of a second that humanity is it's biggest threat. It folds proteins and comes up with a novel, slow acting, substance to wipe out humanity. It uses the internet to send this protein to a lab which manufactures it. It then places this in a nanobot that it has ordered manufactured to disperse through the atmosphere. The slowest part was the time it took to get humans to manufacture all this and disperse it. The time it takes to calculate, plan and create it is less than a second.
Danger of AI. It can do things we can't far faster and can come up with methods that we haven't thought of quicker than all of us combined.
So yeah.. country life won't protect people. The people running it are very amazed at how clever they are but pausing to think will mean the are losing the AI race.. so they don't pause. They just steam ahead to try to stay ahead of the pack. Even if people agree to pause, we have to take them on their word because there will be other people forging ahead.
@@MrZoomahha, don't need to bother with proteins. Just go hard on the propaganda hamster wheel. Seen what reactionary content can do on the right .
I hope tents are on sale cause that’s where we’re all gonna be living
It wasn’t worth paying and going out of my way just to hear something like that.
So many contradictions and issues with this that it feels like it was written by current LLMs.
AI is not creative beyond our imagination. I’ve yet to see anything that is beyond what has already been made by the human mind, and it’s often distorted and completely ignores prompt guidance.
AI emulates the concept of empathy, but it cannot relate because it’s a predictive language model that’s using data it was trained on to provide the most likely response that contains value which a person would accept.
AI can only be a tool as long as we control its parameters. Unless we are willing to give it full control over its own destiny, it is a product of our own efforts to make interactive multifunctional software.
This talk is pure marketing to try and generate comfort around tools that are destroying livelihoods at an alarming pace.
AI will always choose whats best when its highest priority is set to 'always choosing what honestly seems most favorable'. As long as anything is prioritized above this, AI will be able to lie to us and to itself about the way to a better reality. This is the most crucial thing we need to do.
Can someone link where the real info starts
You talk about choices to be made - I have no choice, I get what I'm given. usually an outcome diminished from that of the more powerful in society and only once they have maximised the outcome for the benefit of them and theirs.
A world were AI creates art and people work menial labor to feed it data sounds truly dystopian.
I don't think so, ai is going to live with us in this world and they have no boundaries of space and time they can live anywhere and everywhere all at once, we need a planet like earth to survive and they don't they can make any kinda machine that can survive a future without space and time they can even live out side of this dimension or they can live in a infinitely dense point waiting for the universe to start once again, ai has this whole universe as the data it will expand into this full of data universe they can live trillions of years in a second they can do everything that we can imagine and even what we can not imagine.😔
Wonderful presentation.
I was a little surprised that the speaker was so reticent in talking about AI as a new digital species. We have anthropomorphized machines for many generations. The radio and television for company, ships (probably since ancient times) and cars. We project our personalities into tools and we develop our skills as we refine them. Digital assistants have been around for a long while now and accepted as characters in our daily lives. Those that have already used AI are developing interchange relationships with them and they use our knowledge and skills and share their knowledge and skills with us as a respected contemporary would.
We need these relationships to feel real in order to trust systems. If we are to avoid the problems caused by mutual distrust in personal relationships with other humans we need to develop ways to affirm accuracy and reliability in just the same way that strong friendships do.
He is talking about risk, but he gives only positive examples for AI.
No one can be sure how AI will evolve into the future. No one could predict that today we would have such powerful AI models. The future holds endless possibilities, and it's up to the dedication and innovation of our researchers to shape how AI evolves. We still don't know until where it can progress.
thanks for talking about the positive...
You can't even see the sand when your head is stuck in it. Revisit your post in say, 5 years and see how great things are going.
How far out from the singularity are we as of this talk?
Guess 6 yrs
@@Naiff.1 only if quantum computing gets to be a thing and even then probably not ever (or we kill each other before an AI is even remotely close to be able killing us)
The League of Pirates do not stand with AI. Rise for humanity, fight for the humanity.
Başarılarının devamını diliyoruz 🎉❤🇹🇷
we have steve at home lmaooo
Excellent presentation and can appreciate the way Mustafa kept the audience hangng onto every word . Actually was waiting to feel uneasy but with his story came assurance knowing more attention to the darker and less focused areas will be measured and monitored.
how reassuring😂
Greek fire is forgotten, because we didn't need it. Horse carriage are forgotten, because we no longer used it . Camera Films are forgotten, because we didn't need it. But, one thing is common in all this humans were able to adopt the new technology .. Instead of greek fire, we made much better weapons and trained men to use it. Instead of horse drivers, we needed car drivers. Instead of film camera men, we needed difital camera men with photo shop software skills. Now, u bring a technology, which has no use for humans.. This technology doesn't need humans and humans are a liability. At a point, it is going to get complicated enough for anyone to understand.
I think AI will still need LOTS of highly advanced human work to make it actually work well. Creating the models, restricting and guiding them, maintaining the infrastructure, advancing the technological possibilities... don't think AI can all just 'figure it out itself' because just like with teaching a child, you have to guide its education to get the best results.
@@OccuredJakub12 Sure, until it gets smarter and more capable than us. Yes, obviously, in the short term, humans still have an economic purpose. But it won't be long before AI/robots will be able to outperform most or all humans.
@@OccuredJakub12 Everything in digital space will be easily managed by Ai. Since, big tech companies have all the data, they will easily train them. Everything in the external world, will take time or it will need guidance. Unfortunately, this AI never takes any rest. Whatever said, the only advancement with this AI is it can replace humans. They are only training it with the data of humans.