The backwards compatibility really will make all the difference. The Switch almost has the biggest install base of any console, so it'll be an easy transition for established fans.
I agree. The idea of playing my older Nintendo Switch games on a new shiny console is really appealing to me, as I'm sure it is to a lot of others too.
I am so glad it's backwards compatible. I have turned into a pretty casual gamer in the last 10 years, but i think i have more games in my switch collection than any other console I've ever owned. It's going to be nice to be able to replay them all when i want to without switching console set ups.
Guys it’s Mario’s 40th Anniversary this year, we’re getting multiple big Mario games this year, with the momentum both the Switch and Mario now have (with the theme park and movie etc), there’s absolutely no way the Switch 2 won’t do insanely well
Depends on some key factors: If it's $399 and has good exclusives, it'll sell quickly. If it's $499 and there are lots of cross-gen games, a lot more people will be hesitant to upgrade.
@LARAUJO_0 Exactly. I recently got a PS5 and returned it after realizing it only had 1 game I was interested in that I couldn't already play on PS4 or PC.
Actually the cross gen and backwards compatibility is what makes me want to upgrade. Love my switch but damn it is struggling with some games, mostly 3rd party, but TOTK has way too many framedrops (Love the game), same thing with the Links Awakening and with Echoes.
it’s better having a specific date to look forward to for all the info we want instead of anxiously awaiting every week to be met with nothing. if i see a dumb switch 2 rumour i wont be as upset and i wont be watching slop youtubers for any crumb of new info, i will know everything on april 2nd
Awesome to hear! Resident Evil Biohazard and Red Dead Redemption II pulled me out of a dark place for sure. You guys are awesome and keep on moving forward 👍
The 3DS series only sold half of the classic DS series, which was still a respectable 79 MILLION! The Switch 2 will be a success if it follows that trajectory, maybe better given the price cut for the 3DS was necessary for it to avoid to same fate as the Wii U.
@@youtubeuniversity3638Calling the 3DS a financial failure because it didn't sell as much as the DS is some serious CEO brainrot that I don't even think anyone at Nintendo has.
There are people in their 60’s and beyond who play games. They were there before we were born with pong and pac-man and space invaders. I remember my dad having a SNES with a super scope and all that shit. He still plays Zelda games in his retirement. He’s getting a Switch 2 too.
If the switch 2 launches exactly halfway through the year, and expected to sell 20 million in 6 months, they would have to sell a single unit every 0.78 seconds
Maybe I'm misunderstanding their statement about 20 million units, but I'm pretty sure they meant 20 million within the first 12 months it's out, not 20 million before the end of 2025, that would be so insane that I don't think even an overly optimistic company would expect numbers like that
Nintendo its playing super safe with this one, and they are right to do so. They are still burned for the Wii U marketing fiasco, old Nintendo would never call a new system just with a 2 because its in some way inelegant, but now they have a better understanding of how easily confused consumers can actually be, and they nailed their marketing giving just few, simple and direct messages: its bigger, its more powerful, its 2 so its the newest one. They renounced (aparently) to new major gimmicks, to crazy and confusing names and just did the simplest thing to do, reiterate something successful, just like their competition that does it since decades. Good job Nintendo, you'll sell gazillions of Switch 2s!
Agreed! I really hoped for “super” or “new” in the name, because it’s just so Nintendo, but I appreciate what they’re doing to lessen confusion post Wii U.
I really hope we get some kinda Player's Choice/Nintendo Selects thing for Switch games once the Switch 2's out Like, I'm gonna be getting the Switch 2 as soon as I possibly can no matter what, but Nintendo Selects for Switch 1 games'd be very nice in giving me that little kick I've been needing on finally getting some major games that I keep putting off on getting for no reason, like Metroid Dread, WarioWare Move It, Another Code: Recollection, and other games that're slipping my mind right now Hell, even games I wasn't planning on getting before will probably look a little more appealing when they're, y'know, a cheaper price
The idea of the console actually not being too difficult to get within the first few months is a breath of fresh air after the PS5/XSX took over a year to finally not be scalped to death. I do think they mean 20m in the first 365 days of release though, not in 2025.
The biggest determining factor for Nintendo selling that many Switch 2 conoles this year is the price. If Nintendo prices it right it will be easier for owners of the first Switch to transition over to the newer device.
20 million seems pretty ambitious, but I guess no nintendo console has ever had a brand new mario kart and a brand new pokemon game as it's year 1 holiday titles. Honestly I can see it happening (assuming the economy doesn't implode and everyone stops buying games this year).
Not really PS5 sold 17 million in the first year and was constantly sold out and impossible to get probably would of sold more if the inventory was there
i feel they just want to get ahead of scalpers, so that isnt an issue on launch so they just make a ridiculous amount. there is no way they do 20 mil in the first year surely..... steam deck is just so much better as a deal these days for switch owners, you got the old switch for all the switch games so whats the point of upgrading without really good launch titles... and all we see is mario kart, which looks cool with the new features but i dont see it being a system seller as most people would be satisfied with mario kart 8 and will likely be adverse to the new changes to the formula (even though it may be better), but time will tell.
@homeyworkey as much as I love the steam deck it's really not selling that well so far there's only 3 million reported units sold most Nintendo owners don't even know the steam deck exists It's really not converting anyone because people buy Nintendo systems to play Nintendo games and I don't see switch two emulation happening anytime soon and if it does happen it definitely won't be able to run on the steam deck because emulation usually requires like 10 times the power of the original system
it feels like it could be a tears of the kingdom vs breath of the wild situation, as in the switch 2 will sell a lot in its first year and then slow down vs the switch being pretty consistent over the years
As long as I get one day 0 I literally cannot care. It worries me that the reveal trailer not only got 23 million views in less than 16 hours compared to Switch 1 that took a whole week to reach that number, but Switch 2 has reached mainstream. That did not happen to Switch 1. How am I supposed to get Switch 2 day 0? Hope for the best.
The legend of Zelda series always sells well consistently so that’s not the best comparison. Both TOTK and BOTW are still selling in the 200k-300k every quarter. Maybe a Wii situation where it drops off a cliff during its final years but that’s not likely.
In keeping with the theme of Switch 2, they will release: Super Mario Kart 2, Super Mario Odyssey 2, Super Mario Sunshine 2, Super Smash Bros. 2, LoZ: Ocarina of Time 2, Luigi's Mansion 2: 2, and the long awaited HD Remakes of Super Mario Galaxy 2... Also, "The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2" will exclusively be streamed through Nintendo Online.
The backwards compatibility is such an awesome feature, you already know millions of people are gonna buy Switch 2 just to keep playing Odyssey and Wonder.
I think we forget that Nintendo always, ALWAYS, over estimates their units sold. At the switch's peak in FY21 they estimated they would sell 30+ million units and hit 28.83 million, and now in FY25 they originally estimated to sell 13.5 million units, but they have since adjusted shareholder expectations to 12.5 million (which frankly I still doubt they'll hit, since we're at just over 4.7 million for the first half of the fiscal year). If nintendo estimates 20+ million unit sales for the Switch 2 in 2025, I think it is safe to expect it's true number will fall between 13-17 million (which to be fair is still impressive and indicative of a healthy console launch).
28.83 million is still very impressive, and 2017 was mainly just carried by a big Mario kart, Odyssey, and A Zelda game that was also on Wii U. This console launching with a completely exclusive Mario kart, and definitely a Mario 3d platformer, and more and I think that they’re potentially underestimating
@@jatarokemuri5443 You're right, 28.83 million is still a remarkably good number, by no means am I saying the switch failed to hit impressive milestones and sales numbers. I appreciate your optimism and as a Nintendo fan I hope your prediction proves right 😊
@@eieofdashy What franchises do you think are gonna come to Switch 2 in 2025? Probably not Kirby or Zelda but Fire Emblem sounds like a safe bet, and maybe they’ll do Punch Out with good Joy con motion controls
@@jatarokemuri5443 ooh good question, you know I think we may see a new 2D Metroid. There were 4 years between Samus Returns and Dread, and now it's been 4 years since Dread so I am hoping MercurySteam will have something new for Metroid. Besides MarioKart and a new 3D Mario, I am not sure what else they can fit into the year depending on when the console releases. It would be really cool to see Punch Out return though!
@ Hm, it sounds a little odd for there to be a new Metroid when Prime 4 is coming out this year, and Nintendo might be against having Metroid compete with Metroid, but it’s possible. Maybe there’s be a Chibi Robo remake, with this being the game’s 20th year of existence, and with the popularity rising thanks to praise from people like the Woz
All the articles I’ve seen mentioning 20 million in the first year, I assumed they meant the first 12 months and not calendar year. Crazy to think about them doing that in six or seven months.
I think the only reason I could see it ending up more expensive than $400 is if tariffs end up bumping up the price. I'm sure Nintendo would be just as annoyed about that as consumers would if that happened.
can we stop joking like this? the whole purpose of TopicArlo as a channel is so he could release more videos between Arlo channel videos that take more work to make. People are somehow REALLY annoyed that the channel designed to post more videos for less effort is posting more videos for less effort and I do not understand it.
Tariffs could really hurt switch 2 sales depending on which direction they end up taking shape. I think this is an achievable goal undisrupted but not disrupted.
I’m worried about the potential tariffs hiking the price up an extra $100. I don’t know if I can justify paying $499 at launch as much as I want the thing
I think it's because of that that a lot of Trump's talk about tariffs is going to end up as smoke and mirrors, with a few token actions to placate anti-China voters. Nearly all major American corporations have big investments in China, and if they feel like their position is threatened, they'll lobby like hell to prevent tariffs against their products.
I do kind of want something like Breath of the Wild for the Switch 2. I feel like Mario Kart 9 is objectively the best launch game… but it isn’t really the same draw that Breath of the Wild created for the Switch 1 for me.
This video strangely made me think of 8 years ago, back when I first discovered Arlo’s channel, when the Nintendo Switch was announced and we got the video “How the Switch can change EVERYTHING”
In Japan the financial year starts in april, so a build up to actual a fixed date of release makes sense. I assume a june release and another release of system selling games november/december.
I’m definitely getting one. Day one. Looks great. The leaks were all spot on so far and if the specification leaks are as accurate this is going to be an awesome console. Roll on April.
I also wouldn't be at all surprised if the Switch 2 didn't perform quite as well as the first one over its lifetime - gotta remember all those people who bought one in lockdowns to play Animal Crossing and then never looked at it again. Like you say, lightning in a bottle!
sure, but i think if they manage to put all the third parties on their side, along with their own games, that will do all the heavy lifting needed to achieve those numbers (and their own franchises which are massive now such as Mario, Zelda, Pokemon, Splatoon, Smash Bros, Animal Crossing, Mario kart, which is crazy to think switch era built all those)
Those people definitely exist for sure but there's probably some who did get one during lockdowns and it got them into gaming and they still play it. I actually do know someone in that camp. How many people that is though would be impossible to determine.
ive never had a nintendo console and the switch 2 is the first time ive felt so.. invested, and so tempted to buy one! the first one felt too clunky and small but this one feels just right. the fact that itll have SO MANY games is a factor for sure, with all the switch games plus new ones to come
They kind if have to if they have hopes of outselling switch. 20 million x 8 = 160 million units meaning they wouldnt be all that ahead if that were the average sales. I think the right price is 400.
@@mildhoof Nintendo has a manufacturing plant in the US, luckily. I'll die of stress before these next four years are up, but we're probably at least going to have reasonable priced Nintendo plastic.
@@AltName7 If it’s any consolation, American imperialism means the rest of the world will be dying of stress right alongside you buddy. He’s inescapable. Fingers crossed we all have our Switch 2’s soon so we have something to distract ourselves with 😅
I’m curious about the cost. If there are tariffs, will those impact the cost of goods from Japan due to a nuance in the laws? My whole households is ready to put in an order - my 3 kids each want their own, because they want to duel in Mario Kart. It’s not happening, but that’s the hype they are at - but then it’s a matter of cost and supply.
Nintendo has a US manufacturing plant, so the chances of Switch 2 tariffs is low. Unless they go slap happy with tariff, and start applying them to domestic good too. Wouldn't rule that out at this point honestly.
@@AltName7I wonder about the components. Sure built here, but components sometimes need to be imported as they’re built somewhere else. That’s the nuance I’m curious to see.
It’s crazy to think the teen that I bought my used Switch from in 2017 is now in his twenties. Soooo much has changed in the last 8 years. I wonder how Nintendo has accounted for it. Very different audience now. Very different landscape now. They shouldn’t rely on OG Switch confidence. They’ve gotta bring it.
Arlo, you on about rumours feeling better. The announcement basically just lifted a massive mind fog of off my brain. Yeah, we don’t know anything really, but we have dates. The dates just make my brain far happier than waiting without nothing. I don’t have to fixate on anything. Just have to wait for that date. It’s so reliving
@@mangekyos82 OG Switch sold 13 Million units in the first year. And of note, it had: A party game A cross-gen Zelda Splatoon sequel Mario Kart remaster A new 3D Mario A Xenoblade sequel. I'm talking LegensZA Mario Kart 3D Mario 3D All stars sequel Metroid Prime Fire Emblem Splatoon A party game and some surprises. I don't expect those specifically, but something of an equivalent or greater level. And those are just first party titles.
@@LJAlex-something like mario Galaxy 3 would make me preorder one on the spot but they first have to show that at least a 3d mario is in development to raise my hopes up
Hopefully they’ve got some titles with more impressive graphics than Mario Kart, because that’s not convincing anyone except Nintendo superfans to upgrade.
It's weird to think that UA-cam came out just before the wii launched, and now we have the switch 2. I wonder if there's many videos back then of people speculating about new wii games
I would be very happy with an overstocked launch for real. When the Switch 1 launched I wasnt quite old enough yet to have a job so i had to wait until my birthday 3 months later, but i know in that time i basically never saw the switch on store shelves. The OLED was the first time I was actually able to even attempt getting one at launch, and the only reason i was successful was because I happened to be going to a wedding 3 hours of town that weekend and i managed to get an order for one in at a nearby Best Buy the day of. As far as im aware, I dont think i have anywhere super out of town to be in June or whenever this comes out, so I would prefer not to have to make a road trip to get one on launch day if i dont have to lmao
I think the fact the vast majority of the eShop library and, I'm assuming the NSO apps will be there, too, that makes the console more appealing for NS1 owners.
Arlo, to calm your doubts out whether building 20 million is possible, consider the following estimated ramp-up rate of units per month. This is similar growth to Switch 1 rate, but with the roughly 30% higher capacity Nintendo has now over 2017. Since we know from FY2021 sales numbers that Nintendo can push at least 2.4 million units per month at maximum output (and possibly 2.5M or higher), we can assume Nintendo should be able manufacture up to two million similar Switch 2 units per month at full ramp-up, reserving a 400K or so capacity of Switch 1 units per month so they can still offer smaller numbers of the old models through the holiday season. My model assumes the production started in September (as shipping data suggested) and grows by about two hundred thousand units per month, until it slows as they near full ramp-up capacity around July or August. Sept 2024: 0.2 million, Oct: 0.4M, Nov: 0.6M, Dec: 0.8M, Jan 2025: 1.0 million; Feb: 1.2M; Mar: 1.4M, Apr 1.6M, May: 1.8M, Jun 1.9M, Jul 1.95M, Aug 2.0M, Sep 2.0M, Oct 2.0M, Nov 2.0M, Dec 2.0M Assuming a June launch this model puts between 9 and 10.9 million Switch 2 units into market within the first few weeks of release*, and ends 2025 with 20.85 million units constructed. (Along with several million Switch 1s.) Granted, there is some fluctuation and it takes time move units from factories to retail shelves, but if by August or so they felt they were behind schedule but were seeing strong sales support, they could push up to 2.1 or even 2.2 million, putting more Switch 2s into market before end of year while sacrificing a bit of Switch 1 supply for holiday season. There is the question of whether they can actually sell that many**, which is going to matter heavily on the price and economic factors, but there seems to be little doubt that they can actually get 20 million into market before end of year. In fact, when I heard the Bloomberg report number I felt my ramp-up rate here was pretty well justified. If Bloomberg had said 25 million I'd have though that unrealistically high, and if they'd said 15 I'd have worries about Nintendo's ramp-up pace or a very high price dampening sales, but its right on the mark of where I think the sales should be at end of calendar year. * Launch volume note: I think the earlier 6-7 million launch number was assuming a release around April. That seems pretty doubtful now, but when that leak came about (October? early November?) it seemed like a perfectly reasonable estimate for a late March to early May window. But if its June or July, it should be quite a bit larger number than 6-7 million unless some parts shortage crops up between now and then. It may also be 6-7 million available for retail sale day one, with another 3-4 million in warehouses ready to go within a week or two. Retail store space and delivery trucks are a finite resource so there may be some constraints here. ** Sell rate note: Just because they make 2 million units in a month, doesn't mean they'll sell two million that month. I fully expect August, September, and October they'll only put about a million units per month into market, as they withhold about half the supply to build up the holiday reserve and then deliver that to retail stores in November and December. I think the late Summer/early Fall period will be the hardest time to actually buy a Switch 2, as that's when supply will be the most lean. (So if you want one, probably best to get it early or you may still be hunting until holiday season.)
The Switch 2 could possibly overtake the sales of its predecessor or at least it could sell beyond the 110 Million Sales threshold. That would still make the Switch 2 still successful and still surpassing the Wii sales of 101 Million sales. If Nintendo consoles have an average lifespan of 7 or 8 years then the Switch 2 can still make hardware improvements within that lifespan and new games built specifically for Switch 2. After 8 years Nintendo will have a big problem for the next big step forward for the future of gaming and to top the Switch 1 and 2 consoles. But we will just have to cross the bridge when we get there. For now, I cannot wait for the arrival of Switch 2 and wait for the feedback and reviews from gamers.
My biggest, ultra super duper long shot wish for the switch 2 is that it launches with either Luigi’s mansion 4 or a full remake of the first game where it also serves as a showcase for how good games could look on it just like back in the GameCube
I believe that those projections tell me that it won’t just be Mario kart. I think they except sales because they’re going to have bangers coming out right away
The original Nintendo switch will go down as one of Nintendo's best consoles ever. Some could argue maybe even the best. Genius hardware ideas, great games(some being better than that and some worse but mostly great games), you actually have a way to play the games normally(looking at you wii). I mean it's just been an amazing console generation and I just adore this console ❤. Hopefully switch 2 can at least scratch the surface of what switch has done
Can easily see it happening. Will be an insane first 6 months. This is a pure iterative backwards compatible product with tech architecture from 5years ago, launching with MK9 and has mario3d ready for holiday. I addition it was delayed 6 months, so every 3rd party should be ready for launch window with games, and they have had time to produce enough systems also. All this is coming together to make demand very front loaded (if the price is right), so I'll sure be hovering the preorder button april 4th.
My hopes as of right now are: i hope the mario kart thing that was shown in the trailer is its own new gamemode and that the classic 12 racer, narrow, challenging courses still exist. And i hope that the new 3d mario that they will definitely show off in april actually looks graphically impressive compared to the new mario kart. They need a game that wows people with graphics to really give people a reason to buy the new console
Arlo, I know you like to talk about Nintendo; so if you have a gap in video ideas, I think it would be cool to give your opinion on how easy most Nintendo games are. Pikmin is a great exception, and I don't think that all or most games need to be challenging. Breath of the wild is a great example of optional difficulty, with enough shrines to buff Link up, and cooking buffs make a great difficulty aide that's entirely ignorable without forcing yourself to not use it. The Trials of the sword are also a great additional challenge, and master mode is probably too hard for me honestly. But more than difficulty alone, the handholding in games like pikmin 4, Mario & Luigi Brothership totally halts the fun. Even some "older" games of theirs were pretty bad, pmttyd, Skyward Sword, etc.. I am a really big fan of their IP, but not including challenge in most of their games makes it hard to keep my interest. Some of the most challenging moments in first party switch games has been user made levels in Super Mario Maker 2. Their games really don't need to become dark souls, but a hard mode option that has a decent challenge shouldn't be too much to ask for. Anyway, whether you see this and respond or not, I appreciate the channel, especially your long videos on Botw and Pikmin! I'd also like to mention that my opinion is basically a much softer version of my friend's opinion. He basically thinks most Nintendo games are trash and boring. While I don't agree with that, I do agree with my version of similar arguments, and games like Princess Peach showtime and the switch's Yoshi title make it hard to say he's wrong outright.
It will sell well. But they need to have a killer year for games if they want it to go crazy. Which means they need to start advertising new games soon. Backwards compatibility is a big deal, no one is losing their switch games, so there is not as much to lose
I think it will be a huge success but I’m not sure they should be expecting Switch 1 numbers here. Another factor that helped the Switch, especially at launch, was that the Wii U was such a failure. Loads of people hadn’t been playing Nintendo games for a whole generation and were excited to jump back in with a console with much more promise and a new gimmick. As much as I’m excited about Switch 2, I’m sure many people are just fine with the Switch they already have, it has a huge backlog of great games that people haven’t played yet.
The main difference between the Wii U and even the 3ds, compared to the Switch 2 is that there has been a demand by game devs for years, for a better, more powerful system. It could under perform at launch if the price is too high(I haven't seen any reason yet for it to cost more than $350), but sales will pick up inevitably.
I’m personally hoping for a June release, so I’m happy Nintendo *potentially* having such high sales goals feeds into them trying to have a good amount of time in the year to release
I wonder if, besides anticipating high demand, another reason Nintendo might be doing a massive stockpile of units would be to get ahead of the expected sizable tariff hikes the next US presidential administration (I shall not name names) plan on China, where most Switch 2 units almost certainly have been manufactured. If they go with the 60% tariff we've been hearing in the news, that could be disastrous for Nintendo's launch. If they can import those units stateside before the tariffs are enacted, they won't have to either eat the enormous cost themselves, or hike the retail price, which would be probably devastating for sales. Nintendo needs high Switch 2 attach rates to keep their momentum and sell their games, so they can't let this hurdle get in their way and timing may be EVERYTHING. That said, if Nintendo can get ahead of this for the Switch 2 launch, this instead becomes a problem for Sony and Microsoft for their next console gen. Nintendo can ensure they are the cheap alternative if they play their cards right. Just a thought. I do not claim to be an expert on any part of this, so feel free to chime in if I am off base.
Just for reference the ps5 sold 17 million and it was impossible to get probably would of sold more with more supplies so im hoping 20 million is enough
I just KNOW Mario kart 9 is gonna be the biggest Mario kart of all time. Nintendo’s trying so hard now and I absolutely love it. They’ve learned from every single mistake they made with the Wii U, and now they’re coming for the number 1 spot on the list of best selling consoles of all time. I predict a double dash mode for the nostalgia factor and for 48 racer chaotic madness. Maybe I’m just fantasizing though.
I think the 20 million units will be what’s shipped not necessarily what they intend to sell. They want to make sure anyone who wants one can feasibly get their hands on one and not face shortages.
The backwards compatibility really will make all the difference. The Switch almost has the biggest install base of any console, so it'll be an easy transition for established fans.
I agree. The idea of playing my older Nintendo Switch games on a new shiny console is really appealing to me, as I'm sure it is to a lot of others too.
@@Tribdinosaur yesss there is so many switch games i own but don’t want to play until i have a better system to run them on.
I am so glad it's backwards compatible. I have turned into a pretty casual gamer in the last 10 years, but i think i have more games in my switch collection than any other console I've ever owned. It's going to be nice to be able to replay them all when i want to without switching console set ups.
It literally parallels the PlayStation 2
Its predecessor was extremely successful and it all works on the new one definitely called the “Switch 2”
@@jahnotreal darkest dungeon 2 and metal slug tactics are waiting for me but I'm sure I'll enjoy them more on the switch 2
Last video "I'm Full" now "more Switch 2 rumors"
hes hungry again after the official reveal
@@waxcutter9813 does arlo even make money from this channel
@@questionmarkquestionmarkques why wouldn't he
@@oligarchies he does, its not much though. this channel seems more like "for the love of the game" type content
He pooped
Yes, talk rumours to us silly blue monster
talk dirty to us silly blue monster. Dirty rumors.... there's no salvaging this is there.
@@TeltStoryErm... Tf
@@TeltStorysalvage what, it's perfect
I get the feeling that the upcoming Nintendo Direct is gonna be for the history books.
Silksong and Prime 4 trailers on the same day.
ironic with your username, but I agree
@@hmon661 If the MODEST Zach thinks this, we are in for a ride.
@@Tunneltoowoooo
2025 is gonna be yuge for Nintendo
Guys it’s Mario’s 40th Anniversary this year, we’re getting multiple big Mario games this year, with the momentum both the Switch and Mario now have (with the theme park and movie etc), there’s absolutely no way the Switch 2 won’t do insanely well
Oh snap really. Dang I'm old.
Never guarantee success with nintendo no matter how likely. If there is a way for nintendo to fuck this up, they will absolutely find it.
The movie comes out in 2026, not this year.
@ I mean the movie that’s already been released lmao
@ As if the last 8 years have shown they’ve gotten their act together, they’ve got it the most right of anyone in the industry currently
Depends on some key factors: If it's $399 and has good exclusives, it'll sell quickly. If it's $499 and there are lots of cross-gen games, a lot more people will be hesitant to upgrade.
Basically they just need to not be like the PS5 or Xbox Series
@LARAUJO_0 Exactly. I recently got a PS5 and returned it after realizing it only had 1 game I was interested in that I couldn't already play on PS4 or PC.
Actually the cross gen and backwards compatibility is what makes me want to upgrade. Love my switch but damn it is struggling with some games, mostly 3rd party, but TOTK has way too many framedrops (Love the game), same thing with the Links Awakening and with Echoes.
@jk966 There's no reason to think your current Switch games will run better on Switch 2. Nintendo does expensive re-releases for that.
$499 would be a bummer.
Yeah I fully agree that having the reveal makes any rumor feel better than before to me. It is great that it finally was officially revealed!
Finally getting an official look is so nice. When you’re justing looking at rumors, it feels like being in Plato’s allegorical cave.
it’s better having a specific date to look forward to for all the info we want instead of anxiously awaiting every week to be met with nothing. if i see a dumb switch 2 rumour i wont be as upset and i wont be watching slop youtubers for any crumb of new info, i will know everything on april 2nd
Great to see some Origami King footage again. It was the first game I played when my two-year depression began to lift. Video games are a blessing.
This is the game I also played when my depression was getting better! I’m proud of you for getting through it 👏
Awesome to hear! Resident Evil Biohazard and Red Dead Redemption II pulled me out of a dark place for sure. You guys are awesome and keep on moving forward 👍
You've given me some hope that I can eliminate my depression I've had for 4 years, id already decided that its going to be eliminated this year
Ngl I zoned out watching it and had to rewind half the video to actually take in what Arlo said
The 3DS series only sold half of the classic DS series, which was still a respectable 79 MILLION! The Switch 2 will be a success if it follows that trajectory, maybe better given the price cut for the 3DS was necessary for it to avoid to same fate as the Wii U.
...why must all the things I love be such financial failures...?
It might be the case that this happens. But Switch is actually even more popular and well known than 3DS was. It could potentially sell better
@@youtubeuniversity3638Calling the 3DS a financial failure because it didn't sell as much as the DS is some serious CEO brainrot that I don't even think anyone at Nintendo has.
I doubt these are deliberate decision, maybe they just ran out of idea juice?
At the age of 39 the switch 2 will be the first console I will pre order.. I want to be there from the start with this one
I can't even imagine my dad wanting to play my switch lol
@DR.DisInfect well I'm not your dad.. Sorry to disappoint you.. Arlo is my age btw 😂
Arlo is 39??
There are people in their 60’s and beyond who play games. They were there before we were born with pong and pac-man and space invaders. I remember my dad having a SNES with a super scope and all that shit. He still plays Zelda games in his retirement. He’s getting a Switch 2 too.
@NoDramatix "He's getting a Switch 2 2."
If the switch 2 launches exactly halfway through the year, and expected to sell 20 million in 6 months, they would have to sell a single unit every 0.78 seconds
The Switch’s first year would refer to its first 12 months on the market, not 2025.
So aktshually it would be one every 1.6 seconds
@@kingyeti15no way did you edit your comment and not correct ‘aktshually’
@@Fox121102 he knows what he wrote
@@Fox121102 It’s deliberate, to express self-awareness at their own slightly nerdy/dorky correction.
Well if a million people preorder it then that changes things.
Maybe I'm misunderstanding their statement about 20 million units, but I'm pretty sure they meant 20 million within the first 12 months it's out, not 20 million before the end of 2025, that would be so insane that I don't think even an overly optimistic company would expect numbers like that
Nintendo its playing super safe with this one, and they are right to do so. They are still burned for the Wii U marketing fiasco, old Nintendo would never call a new system just with a 2 because its in some way inelegant, but now they have a better understanding of how easily confused consumers can actually be, and they nailed their marketing giving just few, simple and direct messages: its bigger, its more powerful, its 2 so its the newest one. They renounced (aparently) to new major gimmicks, to crazy and confusing names and just did the simplest thing to do, reiterate something successful, just like their competition that does it since decades. Good job Nintendo, you'll sell gazillions of Switch 2s!
Exactly this!
Agreed! I really hoped for “super” or “new” in the name, because it’s just so Nintendo, but I appreciate what they’re doing to lessen confusion post Wii U.
I really hope OG switch games run better on Switch 2. I will go on a first party shopping spree and play all the games I’ve wanted to play on switch.
Me too! But it might take time
I really hope we get some kinda Player's Choice/Nintendo Selects thing for Switch games once the Switch 2's out
Like, I'm gonna be getting the Switch 2 as soon as I possibly can no matter what, but Nintendo Selects for Switch 1 games'd be very nice in giving me that little kick I've been needing on finally getting some major games that I keep putting off on getting for no reason, like Metroid Dread, WarioWare Move It, Another Code: Recollection, and other games that're slipping my mind right now
Hell, even games I wasn't planning on getting before will probably look a little more appealing when they're, y'know, a cheaper price
Fiscal year starts in April in Japan maybe they’re considering April 2025-April 2026 the “first year”?
Well the console won’t be out in April 2025 so it’s probably safer to say the “first 12 months”
Imagine if the launch lineup is MASSIVE.
You know what else you can imagine is massive?
Does it need to be though? Honestly I’d be happy with performance boosted switch games to try (if Nintendo hopefully does this)
I feel like the hype might fade away or taper off if there's a low amount of games at launch.
@@TheRealVbrosliteral child
@@TheRealVbros LOOOOOOOOOOOW TAPER FADE
Sure, we were all full from the pre-reveal rumors, but there's always room for post-reveal rumor dessert.
The idea of the console actually not being too difficult to get within the first few months is a breath of fresh air after the PS5/XSX took over a year to finally not be scalped to death. I do think they mean 20m in the first 365 days of release though, not in 2025.
The biggest determining factor for Nintendo selling that many Switch 2 conoles this year is the price. If Nintendo prices it right it will be easier for owners of the first Switch to transition over to the newer device.
20 million seems pretty ambitious, but I guess no nintendo console has ever had a brand new mario kart and a brand new pokemon game as it's year 1 holiday titles. Honestly I can see it happening (assuming the economy doesn't implode and everyone stops buying games this year).
No way the new gen of pokemon is coming in time for holidays, the Z-A game maybe but they still haven't revealed anything.
Not really PS5 sold 17 million in the first year and was constantly sold out and impossible to get probably would of sold more if the inventory was there
i feel they just want to get ahead of scalpers, so that isnt an issue on launch so they just make a ridiculous amount. there is no way they do 20 mil in the first year surely..... steam deck is just so much better as a deal these days for switch owners, you got the old switch for all the switch games so whats the point of upgrading without really good launch titles... and all we see is mario kart, which looks cool with the new features but i dont see it being a system seller as most people would be satisfied with mario kart 8 and will likely be adverse to the new changes to the formula (even though it may be better), but time will tell.
@homeyworkey as much as I love the steam deck it's really not selling that well so far there's only 3 million reported units sold most Nintendo owners don't even know the steam deck exists It's really not converting anyone because people buy Nintendo systems to play Nintendo games and I don't see switch two emulation happening anytime soon and if it does happen it definitely won't be able to run on the steam deck because emulation usually requires like 10 times the power of the original system
@@homeyworkeyactually the switch 2 seems like it'll be better at running games than the steam deck.
it feels like it could be a tears of the kingdom vs breath of the wild situation, as in the switch 2 will sell a lot in its first year and then slow down vs the switch being pretty consistent over the years
As long as I get one day 0 I literally cannot care. It worries me that the reveal trailer not only got 23 million views in less than 16 hours compared to Switch 1 that took a whole week to reach that number, but Switch 2 has reached mainstream. That did not happen to Switch 1. How am I supposed to get Switch 2 day 0? Hope for the best.
I agree. Switch 2 could sell over 100 million but will not reach the 150 million sales of Switch 1.
The legend of Zelda series always sells well consistently so that’s not the best comparison. Both TOTK and BOTW are still selling in the 200k-300k every quarter. Maybe a Wii situation where it drops off a cliff during its final years but that’s not likely.
I dont think theyre talking about the exact numbers of the game, they just meaning the overall projectory of the sales graph @THEONETRUEOVERLORD
In keeping with the theme of Switch 2, they will release: Super Mario Kart 2, Super Mario Odyssey 2, Super Mario Sunshine 2, Super Smash Bros. 2, LoZ: Ocarina of Time 2, Luigi's Mansion 2: 2, and the long awaited HD Remakes of Super Mario Galaxy 2... Also, "The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2" will exclusively be streamed through Nintendo Online.
Ok, but the idea of streaming the Nintendo movies via NSO goes hard
And Tomodachi Life 2 and Pictochat 2 and Wii Sports Resort 2 and Splatoon 2
Don’t forget breath of the wild 2
@@quintonconoly You're gonna wanna sit down for this next fact /j
Lol the copium is being huffed
The backwards compatibility is such an awesome feature, you already know millions of people are gonna buy Switch 2 just to keep playing Odyssey and Wonder.
Unrelated but DAMN I forgot how gorgeous of a game Origami King was!
If there's one thing Origami King nailed, it's the overall presentation.
I think we forget that Nintendo always, ALWAYS, over estimates their units sold. At the switch's peak in FY21 they estimated they would sell 30+ million units and hit 28.83 million, and now in FY25 they originally estimated to sell 13.5 million units, but they have since adjusted shareholder expectations to 12.5 million (which frankly I still doubt they'll hit, since we're at just over 4.7 million for the first half of the fiscal year). If nintendo estimates 20+ million unit sales for the Switch 2 in 2025, I think it is safe to expect it's true number will fall between 13-17 million (which to be fair is still impressive and indicative of a healthy console launch).
28.83 million is still very impressive, and 2017 was mainly just carried by a big Mario kart, Odyssey, and A Zelda game that was also on Wii U. This console launching with a completely exclusive Mario kart, and definitely a Mario 3d platformer, and more and I think that they’re potentially underestimating
@@jatarokemuri5443 You're right, 28.83 million is still a remarkably good number, by no means am I saying the switch failed to hit impressive milestones and sales numbers. I appreciate your optimism and as a Nintendo fan I hope your prediction proves right 😊
@@eieofdashy What franchises do you think are gonna come to Switch 2 in 2025? Probably not Kirby or Zelda but Fire Emblem sounds like a safe bet, and maybe they’ll do Punch Out with good Joy con motion controls
@@jatarokemuri5443 ooh good question, you know I think we may see a new 2D Metroid. There were 4 years between Samus Returns and Dread, and now it's been 4 years since Dread so I am hoping MercurySteam will have something new for Metroid. Besides MarioKart and a new 3D Mario, I am not sure what else they can fit into the year depending on when the console releases. It would be really cool to see Punch Out return though!
@ Hm, it sounds a little odd for there to be a new Metroid when Prime 4 is coming out this year, and Nintendo might be against having Metroid compete with Metroid, but it’s possible. Maybe there’s be a Chibi Robo remake, with this being the game’s 20th year of existence, and with the popularity rising thanks to praise from people like the Woz
*full of rumors*
*nintendo provides the rumor laxative*
*we poop out all the rumors*
*we're now hungry for more*
All the articles I’ve seen mentioning 20 million in the first year, I assumed they meant the first 12 months and not calendar year. Crazy to think about them doing that in six or seven months.
I think the only reason I could see it ending up more expensive than $400 is if tariffs end up bumping up the price. I'm sure Nintendo would be just as annoyed about that as consumers would if that happened.
20 mil is practically the sales you get with free money included. But hey, at least that many units means scalpers have a worse time
Free money? Huh?
He posted on his spinoff channel “Arlo” just to try to fool us…
But it looks like this is still the main channel.
can we stop joking like this? the whole purpose of TopicArlo as a channel is so he could release more videos between Arlo channel videos that take more work to make. People are somehow REALLY annoyed that the channel designed to post more videos for less effort is posting more videos for less effort and I do not understand it.
@ lol I’m not annoyed 😂 I completely understand the purpose of the second channel
Tariffs could really hurt switch 2 sales depending on which direction they end up taking shape. I think this is an achievable goal undisrupted but not disrupted.
Tariffs probably won’t be an issue. They aren’t something you just put on overnight.
I’m worried about the potential tariffs hiking the price up an extra $100. I don’t know if I can justify paying $499 at launch as much as I want the thing
I think it's because of that that a lot of Trump's talk about tariffs is going to end up as smoke and mirrors, with a few token actions to placate anti-China voters. Nearly all major American corporations have big investments in China, and if they feel like their position is threatened, they'll lobby like hell to prevent tariffs against their products.
I do kind of want something like Breath of the Wild for the Switch 2. I feel like Mario Kart 9 is objectively the best launch game… but it isn’t really the same draw that Breath of the Wild created for the Switch 1 for me.
Yeah that’s true
This is the earliest I’ve got to a video holy moly
This video strangely made me think of 8 years ago, back when I first discovered Arlo’s channel, when the Nintendo Switch was announced and we got the video “How the Switch can change EVERYTHING”
I've never seen a recommended video say "16 seconds ago".
If it had current generation games running on it, they might justify a higher price, but like 450 is definitely the max
I'm bored as heck, keep giving me switch 2 rambles Arlo it's getting me through the week
They don’t plan on selling selling 20M in 6 months
It’s 20M for the first year (ONE THE MARKET)… meaning 12 months which is totally reasonable
jason schreier of Bloomberg, please put some respect on his name. 2:20
In Japan the financial year starts in april, so a build up to actual a fixed date of release makes sense. I assume a june release and another release of system selling games november/december.
I’m definitely getting one. Day one. Looks great. The leaks were all spot on so far and if the specification leaks are as accurate this is going to be an awesome console. Roll on April.
I also wouldn't be at all surprised if the Switch 2 didn't perform quite as well as the first one over its lifetime - gotta remember all those people who bought one in lockdowns to play Animal Crossing and then never looked at it again. Like you say, lightning in a bottle!
sure, but i think if they manage to put all the third parties on their side, along with their own games, that will do all the heavy lifting needed to achieve those numbers (and their own franchises which are massive now such as Mario, Zelda, Pokemon, Splatoon, Smash Bros, Animal Crossing, Mario kart, which is crazy to think switch era built all those)
Those people definitely exist for sure but there's probably some who did get one during lockdowns and it got them into gaming and they still play it. I actually do know someone in that camp. How many people that is though would be impossible to determine.
I think having extra units available so that scalpers do not have the opportunity to scam consumers is a good idea.
If they really expect 20 million in the first year the games this year have got to be BIG I cannot wait
ive never had a nintendo console and the switch 2 is the first time ive felt so.. invested, and so tempted to buy one! the first one felt too clunky and small but this one feels just right.
the fact that itll have SO MANY games is a factor for sure, with all the switch games plus new ones to come
They kind if have to if they have hopes of outselling switch.
20 million x 8 = 160 million units meaning they wouldnt be all that ahead if that were the average sales.
I think the right price is 400.
For context, the Switch sold 15 million in its first year.
That's 1/3 more in half the time.
Not exactly half the time. 6 months vs 9 months.
2/3 the time
Even though the reveal was very short it made everything feel clearer and like a weight was lifted
I just hope the price doesn’t exceed $399.99.
To be honest, that depends on your incoming president’s tariffs. Rest of the world I think equivalent to $400 is a safe bet.
@@mildhoof Nintendo has a manufacturing plant in the US, luckily. I'll die of stress before these next four years are up, but we're probably at least going to have reasonable priced Nintendo plastic.
@@AltName7 If it’s any consolation, American imperialism means the rest of the world will be dying of stress right alongside you buddy. He’s inescapable. Fingers crossed we all have our Switch 2’s soon so we have something to distract ourselves with 😅
Bro is milking the console to death, and I don't blame him because January always sucks for UA-cam creators
I’m curious about the cost. If there are tariffs, will those impact the cost of goods from Japan due to a nuance in the laws? My whole households is ready to put in an order - my 3 kids each want their own, because they want to duel in Mario Kart. It’s not happening, but that’s the hype they are at - but then it’s a matter of cost and supply.
Nintendo has a US manufacturing plant, so the chances of Switch 2 tariffs is low. Unless they go slap happy with tariff, and start applying them to domestic good too. Wouldn't rule that out at this point honestly.
@@AltName7I wonder about the components. Sure built here, but components sometimes need to be imported as they’re built somewhere else. That’s the nuance I’m curious to see.
I don't even care about new games. I just want a Switch 2 to play Switch 1 games with better resolution, faster load times, and a crisp 60FPS 😅
Also, if it’s gonna be closer to holiday, there’s gonna be some competition between the day 1ers and families that wait till the holidays
It’s crazy to think the teen that I bought my used Switch from in 2017 is now in his twenties. Soooo much has changed in the last 8 years. I wonder how Nintendo has accounted for it. Very different audience now. Very different landscape now. They shouldn’t rely on OG Switch confidence. They’ve gotta bring it.
Arlo, you on about rumours feeling better. The announcement basically just lifted a massive mind fog of off my brain.
Yeah, we don’t know anything really, but we have dates. The dates just make my brain far happier than waiting without nothing. I don’t have to fixate on anything. Just have to wait for that date.
It’s so reliving
I’m totally here like “yeah, I’ll wait to see the games”…but absolutely will be killing my fingers on pre-sale day, I’m so sure
Software lineup gonna have to be CRAAAAAAZY to sell 20+ mill
Biggest potential problem is that 20 million units is a lot of units to recall if there end up being big tech problems with the hardware.
i mean that'd be being very unlucky, i dont think the whole 20 million units can be defective 😭
@@LUN4RA Sure, but even if it's Xbox 360 like Red Ring of Death numbers (25%-50%) that's still 5 to 10 million units to recall.
Either Nintendo is drunk on power, or they have some SERIOUS heavy hitting titles ready for launch
they have mario kart
@@mangekyos82 OG Switch sold 13 Million units in the first year.
And of note, it had:
A party game
A cross-gen Zelda
Splatoon sequel
Mario Kart remaster
A new 3D Mario
A Xenoblade sequel.
I'm talking
LegensZA
Mario Kart
3D Mario
3D All stars sequel
Metroid Prime
Fire Emblem
Splatoon
A party game
and some surprises.
I don't expect those specifically, but something of an equivalent or greater level. And those are just first party titles.
@@LJAlex-something like mario Galaxy 3 would make me preorder one on the spot but they first have to show that at least a 3d mario is in development to raise my hopes up
@@LJAlex-the xenoblade II did not sell the switch + it was for december 2017
Hopefully they’ve got some titles with more impressive graphics than Mario Kart, because that’s not convincing anyone except Nintendo superfans to upgrade.
The last preview event is on 1st June, so that rules out a release in May
I read the Bloomberg article. It doesn’t say 20 million in 2025. It says after a full year (four quarters)
It's weird to think that UA-cam came out just before the wii launched, and now we have the switch 2. I wonder if there's many videos back then of people speculating about new wii games
The Switch probably got a substantial sales bump from the pandemic. I doubt the Switch 2 will out sell it, unless Nintendo has some rabbit up its hat.
I would be very happy with an overstocked launch for real. When the Switch 1 launched I wasnt quite old enough yet to have a job so i had to wait until my birthday 3 months later, but i know in that time i basically never saw the switch on store shelves.
The OLED was the first time I was actually able to even attempt getting one at launch, and the only reason i was successful was because I happened to be going to a wedding 3 hours of town that weekend and i managed to get an order for one in at a nearby Best Buy the day of.
As far as im aware, I dont think i have anywhere super out of town to be in June or whenever this comes out, so I would prefer not to have to make a road trip to get one on launch day if i dont have to lmao
I think the fact the vast majority of the eShop library and, I'm assuming the NSO apps will be there, too, that makes the console more appealing for NS1 owners.
10:52 Arlo, you are great at your job, and I'm here for it!❤
Spreading rumors and continuing hyping up leaks? Nintendo’s not happy with the manufacturers leaking the console contents early
Getting one for my daughter day one. I'll probably wait on one myself for a special edition and play on hers in the meantime.
Arlo, to calm your doubts out whether building 20 million is possible, consider the following estimated ramp-up rate of units per month. This is similar growth to Switch 1 rate, but with the roughly 30% higher capacity Nintendo has now over 2017. Since we know from FY2021 sales numbers that Nintendo can push at least 2.4 million units per month at maximum output (and possibly 2.5M or higher), we can assume Nintendo should be able manufacture up to two million similar Switch 2 units per month at full ramp-up, reserving a 400K or so capacity of Switch 1 units per month so they can still offer smaller numbers of the old models through the holiday season.
My model assumes the production started in September (as shipping data suggested) and grows by about two hundred thousand units per month, until it slows as they near full ramp-up capacity around July or August.
Sept 2024: 0.2 million, Oct: 0.4M, Nov: 0.6M, Dec: 0.8M, Jan 2025: 1.0 million; Feb: 1.2M; Mar: 1.4M, Apr 1.6M, May: 1.8M, Jun 1.9M, Jul 1.95M, Aug 2.0M, Sep 2.0M, Oct 2.0M, Nov 2.0M, Dec 2.0M
Assuming a June launch this model puts between 9 and 10.9 million Switch 2 units into market within the first few weeks of release*, and ends 2025 with 20.85 million units constructed. (Along with several million Switch 1s.) Granted, there is some fluctuation and it takes time move units from factories to retail shelves, but if by August or so they felt they were behind schedule but were seeing strong sales support, they could push up to 2.1 or even 2.2 million, putting more Switch 2s into market before end of year while sacrificing a bit of Switch 1 supply for holiday season. There is the question of whether they can actually sell that many**, which is going to matter heavily on the price and economic factors, but there seems to be little doubt that they can actually get 20 million into market before end of year. In fact, when I heard the Bloomberg report number I felt my ramp-up rate here was pretty well justified. If Bloomberg had said 25 million I'd have though that unrealistically high, and if they'd said 15 I'd have worries about Nintendo's ramp-up pace or a very high price dampening sales, but its right on the mark of where I think the sales should be at end of calendar year.
* Launch volume note: I think the earlier 6-7 million launch number was assuming a release around April. That seems pretty doubtful now, but when that leak came about (October? early November?) it seemed like a perfectly reasonable estimate for a late March to early May window. But if its June or July, it should be quite a bit larger number than 6-7 million unless some parts shortage crops up between now and then. It may also be 6-7 million available for retail sale day one, with another 3-4 million in warehouses ready to go within a week or two. Retail store space and delivery trucks are a finite resource so there may be some constraints here.
** Sell rate note: Just because they make 2 million units in a month, doesn't mean they'll sell two million that month. I fully expect August, September, and October they'll only put about a million units per month into market, as they withhold about half the supply to build up the holiday reserve and then deliver that to retail stores in November and December. I think the late Summer/early Fall period will be the hardest time to actually buy a Switch 2, as that's when supply will be the most lean. (So if you want one, probably best to get it early or you may still be hunting until holiday season.)
i’m gonna be waiting a bit after launch to make sure there’s no critical issues like the switch 1 had
This thing is going to have some amazing games at launch. It kind of needs to, new hardware in the same form isnt gonna cut ut by itself
This wait for the Switch 2 is growing more painful for me...
also... what is the background music in this video?? It's so good
The controllers doubling as a mouse make it a gold mine for 1st person shooters.
I’ll be waiting for a pokemon edition like I did last time, hopefully it’ll come faster than a year in this time
I've seen this confidence before, but I think the Wii U will have this console looking more economical
The Switch 2 could possibly overtake the sales of its predecessor or at least it could sell beyond the 110 Million Sales threshold. That would still make the Switch 2 still successful and still surpassing the Wii sales of 101 Million sales.
If Nintendo consoles have an average lifespan of 7 or 8 years then the Switch 2 can still make hardware improvements within that lifespan and new games built specifically for Switch 2.
After 8 years Nintendo will have a big problem for the next big step forward for the future of gaming and to top the Switch 1 and 2 consoles. But we will just have to cross the bridge when we get there. For now, I cannot wait for the arrival of Switch 2 and wait for the feedback and reviews from gamers.
i think it will depend on what games it releases with and if those games will be switch 2 exclusives.
i still wish we got a dedicated console though.
Still going to wait until the Switch 2 OLED inevitably releases, which it should have in the first place.
My biggest, ultra super duper long shot wish for the switch 2 is that it launches with either Luigi’s mansion 4 or a full remake of the first game where it also serves as a showcase for how good games could look on it just like back in the GameCube
That's not happening on either front, probably won't see Luigi's mansion 4 for a very very long time
I’m just hoping for charming apps and menu music
I really hope that the games this year are going to be Amazing, especially if they want to sell all those consoles.
I believe that those projections tell me that it won’t just be Mario kart. I think they except sales because they’re going to have bangers coming out right away
The switch 2 trailer is still #1 on trending
And people were saying it was gonna flop when we got hyped that much?
The original Nintendo switch will go down as one of Nintendo's best consoles ever. Some could argue maybe even the best. Genius hardware ideas, great games(some being better than that and some worse but mostly great games), you actually have a way to play the games normally(looking at you wii). I mean it's just been an amazing console generation and I just adore this console ❤. Hopefully switch 2 can at least scratch the surface of what switch has done
Can easily see it happening. Will be an insane first 6 months.
This is a pure iterative backwards compatible product with tech architecture from 5years ago, launching with MK9 and has mario3d ready for holiday. I addition it was delayed 6 months, so every 3rd party should be ready for launch window with games, and they have had time to produce enough systems also.
All this is coming together to make demand very front loaded (if the price is right), so I'll sure be hovering the preorder button april 4th.
My hopes as of right now are: i hope the mario kart thing that was shown in the trailer is its own new gamemode and that the classic 12 racer, narrow, challenging courses still exist. And i hope that the new 3d mario that they will definitely show off in april actually looks graphically impressive compared to the new mario kart. They need a game that wows people with graphics to really give people a reason to buy the new console
Arlo, I know you like to talk about Nintendo; so if you have a gap in video ideas, I think it would be cool to give your opinion on how easy most Nintendo games are. Pikmin is a great exception, and I don't think that all or most games need to be challenging. Breath of the wild is a great example of optional difficulty, with enough shrines to buff Link up, and cooking buffs make a great difficulty aide that's entirely ignorable without forcing yourself to not use it. The Trials of the sword are also a great additional challenge, and master mode is probably too hard for me honestly.
But more than difficulty alone, the handholding in games like pikmin 4, Mario & Luigi Brothership totally halts the fun. Even some "older" games of theirs were pretty bad, pmttyd, Skyward Sword, etc.. I am a really big fan of their IP, but not including challenge in most of their games makes it hard to keep my interest. Some of the most challenging moments in first party switch games has been user made levels in Super Mario Maker 2. Their games really don't need to become dark souls, but a hard mode option that has a decent challenge shouldn't be too much to ask for.
Anyway, whether you see this and respond or not, I appreciate the channel, especially your long videos on Botw and Pikmin!
I'd also like to mention that my opinion is basically a much softer version of my friend's opinion. He basically thinks most Nintendo games are trash and boring. While I don't agree with that, I do agree with my version of similar arguments, and games like Princess Peach showtime and the switch's Yoshi title make it hard to say he's wrong outright.
I have my doubts here. They haven't talked much about the ports that the tablet has for the Joy-Cons...
It will sell well. But they need to have a killer year for games if they want it to go crazy. Which means they need to start advertising new games soon.
Backwards compatibility is a big deal, no one is losing their switch games, so there is not as much to lose
I really want to know what millions of units looks like in a Nintendo warehouse. That’s absolutely immense.
I think it will be a huge success but I’m not sure they should be expecting Switch 1 numbers here. Another factor that helped the Switch, especially at launch, was that the Wii U was such a failure. Loads of people hadn’t been playing Nintendo games for a whole generation and were excited to jump back in with a console with much more promise and a new gimmick. As much as I’m excited about Switch 2, I’m sure many people are just fine with the Switch they already have, it has a huge backlog of great games that people haven’t played yet.
The main difference between the Wii U and even the 3ds, compared to the Switch 2 is that there has been a demand by game devs for years, for a better, more powerful system. It could under perform at launch if the price is too high(I haven't seen any reason yet for it to cost more than $350), but sales will pick up inevitably.
I’m personally hoping for a June release, so I’m happy Nintendo *potentially* having such high sales goals feeds into them trying to have a good amount of time in the year to release
I wonder if, besides anticipating high demand, another reason Nintendo might be doing a massive stockpile of units would be to get ahead of the expected sizable tariff hikes the next US presidential administration (I shall not name names) plan on China, where most Switch 2 units almost certainly have been manufactured.
If they go with the 60% tariff we've been hearing in the news, that could be disastrous for Nintendo's launch.
If they can import those units stateside before the tariffs are enacted, they won't have to either eat the enormous cost themselves, or hike the retail price, which would be probably devastating for sales. Nintendo needs high Switch 2 attach rates to keep their momentum and sell their games, so they can't let this hurdle get in their way and timing may be EVERYTHING.
That said, if Nintendo can get ahead of this for the Switch 2 launch, this instead becomes a problem for Sony and Microsoft for their next console gen. Nintendo can ensure they are the cheap alternative if they play their cards right.
Just a thought. I do not claim to be an expert on any part of this, so feel free to chime in if I am off base.
Just for reference the ps5 sold 17 million and it was impossible to get probably would of sold more with more supplies so im hoping 20 million is enough
Me: FIRST, I'm COOL now right?
Normal ppl: No.
Im pretty sure i wont be able to get my hands on one right away
I’d love it if the switch 2 launches in the summer bc my wages are much higher then lmao
I just hope this means I will get my hands on this thing at launch.
I just KNOW Mario kart 9 is gonna be the biggest Mario kart of all time. Nintendo’s trying so hard now and I absolutely love it. They’ve learned from every single mistake they made with the Wii U, and now they’re coming for the number 1 spot on the list of best selling consoles of all time. I predict a double dash mode for the nostalgia factor and for 48 racer chaotic madness. Maybe I’m just fantasizing though.
I think the 20 million units will be what’s shipped not necessarily what they intend to sell. They want to make sure anyone who wants one can feasibly get their hands on one and not face shortages.