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Great work on the video, I do a lot more prop plays now that my state allows betting now. Before I was stuck just betting the normal stuff, now I have a much-needed better edge. Thanks coach
Is it worth it to place a bet on a -200 to -300? For example: risking $100 to win $50 (-200) or risking $100 to win $30 (-300) Is it better just to do a 2 bet Parlay?
@@mikegoodness2673 Frank certainly teaches that that’s the case and in my humble opinion it does make sense. Frank says you don’t always take -200 or -300 so if they are mixed in at the right times you can still succeed
"Stop donating to the Sportsbooks" -- That's a great line, Frank and a great service you're providing. Truly an innovation in the space and I'm very happy with the membership program. Truth be told, I absolutely sucked at sports betting before joining Linemaker (ha). Thank you! 🖖😎
I do follow every word from Frank like the word of God and have save my bankroll nevertheless we don't have player props in our local sport book in Nigeria. To Frank I should forever give thanks like pilgrim
great advice but once it gets deeper into the season the lines get super tight. And you will start to see some bets are a toss up there is no edge unless you know more.
This video may have opened up my eyes to stop ignoring -200 or -300 odds and I think that I ignore it because my profit margins are so poor, but I may need to switch up my strategy and just bet a little more money and take those odds. Also, player props has been working for me since I've tried them more in football in the past few days. I always come out either profitable or breaking even. In the NFL, they really work because you can live bet them whereas in college you have to bet them before the game. I think team bets in college work a lot better with team totals because it's more predictable than the NFL. In the NFL, you can't find a good edge in team edge and you end up donating money very easily, so I am finding out that player props are more profitable for NFL betting. I am going to try the higher odds strategy on the Monday night games tonight and see how it goes for me. I've seen some more better odds with alternate yards that are easier to achieve for player props that I may take tonight.
Is it worth it to place a bet on a -200 to -300? For example: risking $100 to win $50 (-200) or risking $100 to win $30 (-300) Is it better just to do a 2 bet Parlay?
@@mikegoodness2673 That's a good question, I did try to take -200 and -300 odds and I didn't find it worth it profit wise and I actually still lost a couple of bets with those odds as well. I'd say stick to below -160 odds. If you do -200 and -300 odds, just do a 2-leg parlay like you said.
this video is particularly important for over - unders (not for player props... true that you don't need a whole team to come together to achieve a result, however, players get benched-ejected-injured-heckled... so the data pool is tainted)
Won more from -250 odds and up then below that. Only take the +100 or greater, when i see a team with great momentum. Just like the titans beating the dolphins last night. The dolphins were not doing crap, compared to what was predicted. Same thing giants vs Packers. college basketball team with 2nd second half momentum comeback usually pans out. Nba 3rd quarter and 4th quarter come back. Thats a 50/50. 😮 I miss college football and baseball together 😭😭😭😭 I do like Nhl 3rd period under 2.5 if one team has a 2 or more goal lead. Take the under with 18 mins to go. Sometimes it doesn't work out, but usually for me 70/30
How big of sample do you need for the data you use to make the true value comparison? The pitcher was 69% successful based on the stats. I assume if you use L10 that isnt the best indicator? But what if we combine season long relevant games or previous matchups? I just dont know how to weight the importance of those.
That is an interesting data point to look at, the fact that the bookmakers dont focus as much on the -200 odds range accuracy. Same could be for the +200 also but you will have a lower strike rate..
To calculate odds take 200/200+100= 200/300 =66.6%. So you need to win this bet 66.6% of the time to break even. So if the player hits this particular bet 69% of the time you have a true edge of 2.4%
You really don't need to research. Just adjust the line in your favor. For example, if LeBron's over-under is 20 points, adjust it down to 15 points. Do the same with another player, then do a 2 legged parley.
@Frank-ison1 0 seconds ago Thanks for the math. You’d be surprised how many folks don’t know. In another note, how full of 💩 do you think these guys are? On a scale from 1-100%
Some stuff they say is straight forward and accurate. However, when I was asking pressing questions to one of their reps, they seemed to get offended and ghosted me..
✅ Work With Us Now❗Take Your Betting To The Next Level & Win Consistently Here 👉 bet.linemakersports.com/?el=youtube
🔥 [Free Downloads] Bet Tracker, PDFs, & More In The Linemaker Sports App Here 👉 go.linemakersports.com/linemaker-vault?el=youtube
Always appreciate the work you do Frank. You are one of, if not the only sports bettor on youtube that can actually be trusted.
Great work on the video, I do a lot more prop plays now that my state allows betting now. Before I was stuck just betting the normal stuff, now I have a much-needed better edge. Thanks coach
Tried this already this past weekend and hit 2 of 3 player props. Appreciate the wisdom Frank
Nice Great Job!
Is it worth it to place a bet on a -200 to -300? For example: risking $100 to win $50 (-200) or risking $100 to win $30 (-300)
Is it better just to do a 2 bet Parlay?
@@mikegoodness2673 Frank certainly teaches that that’s the case and in my humble opinion it does make sense. Frank says you don’t always take -200 or -300 so if they are mixed in at the right times you can still succeed
At these odds you need that to break even. Not saying it’s not a good strategy, but like all systems it needs a big sample to see if it works.
"Stop donating to the Sportsbooks" -- That's a great line, Frank and a great service you're providing. Truly an innovation in the space and I'm very happy with the membership program. Truth be told, I absolutely sucked at sports betting before joining Linemaker (ha). Thank you! 🖖😎
Thanks Chuck appreciate the words!!
Appreciate the explanation. Makes 100% sense.
Excellent video bro. Ima been betting as a side hustle for years and u are one of the best hands down. 👍🔥
I do follow every word from Frank like the word of God and have save my bankroll nevertheless we don't have player props in our local sport book in Nigeria. To Frank I should forever give thanks like pilgrim
That’s scary. You follow every word of his like god? Yikes. Let me ask you brother, how much to you pay for his picks package?
70 is incredible brother
Listening to you , I feel like I’m a better sports bettor , especially when it comes to discipline, thank you
great advice but once it gets deeper into the season the lines get super tight. And you will start to see some bets are a toss up there is no edge unless you know more.
Great info can't wait to try
This video may have opened up my eyes to stop ignoring -200 or -300 odds and I think that I ignore it because my profit margins are so poor, but I may need to switch up my strategy and just bet a little more money and take those odds. Also, player props has been working for me since I've tried them more in football in the past few days. I always come out either profitable or breaking even. In the NFL, they really work because you can live bet them whereas in college you have to bet them before the game. I think team bets in college work a lot better with team totals because it's more predictable than the NFL. In the NFL, you can't find a good edge in team edge and you end up donating money very easily, so I am finding out that player props are more profitable for NFL betting. I am going to try the higher odds strategy on the Monday night games tonight and see how it goes for me. I've seen some more better odds with alternate yards that are easier to achieve for player props that I may take tonight.
Is it worth it to place a bet on a -200 to -300? For example: risking $100 to win $50 (-200) or risking $100 to win $30 (-300)
Is it better just to do a 2 bet Parlay?
@@mikegoodness2673 That's a good question, I did try to take -200 and -300 odds and I didn't find it worth it profit wise and I actually still lost a couple of bets with those odds as well. I'd say stick to below -160 odds. If you do -200 and -300 odds, just do a 2-leg parlay like you said.
I need to start using player prop bets. Thanks for the tips
Thank you,you truly are a diamond among rocks 😊😊😊
My issue is why would the odds drop lower then the percent?I always feel like it’s just a lesser chance for that game or against that team
this video is particularly important for over - unders (not for player props... true that you don't need a whole team to come together to achieve a result, however, players get benched-ejected-injured-heckled... so the data pool is tainted)
Won more from -250 odds and up then below that. Only take the +100 or greater, when i see a team with great momentum. Just like the titans beating the dolphins last night. The dolphins were not doing crap, compared to what was predicted. Same thing giants vs Packers. college basketball team with 2nd second half momentum comeback usually pans out. Nba 3rd quarter and 4th quarter come back. Thats a 50/50. 😮 I miss college football and baseball together 😭😭😭😭 I do like Nhl 3rd period under 2.5 if one team has a 2 or more goal lead. Take the under with 18 mins to go. Sometimes it doesn't work out, but usually for me 70/30
How big of sample do you need for the data you use to make the true value comparison? The pitcher was 69% successful based on the stats. I assume if you use L10 that isnt the best indicator? But what if we combine season long relevant games or previous matchups? I just dont know how to weight the importance of those.
For tru value how far back are you going? Last 25? Last 10 games? What’s the best way to approach it if looking at a certain players stats?
Thanks man
That is an interesting data point to look at, the fact that the bookmakers dont focus as much on the -200 odds range accuracy. Same could be for the +200 also but you will have a lower strike rate..
So how do you look through all the player props in a significant time?
Hey Frank, another great video, I have a question, which sportsbook do you like most for props? Because the one that I use is not so good for it.
“Like” is a relative term. The book the offers the best odds is the book you should “like” the most. Do you know where to find and compare that info?
How do u decide if it’s a 1 unit play or 2,3?
I did this yesterday and went 7-1
I only have one question, what if sample size is 2 years of performance rather than last year performance?
You could do 2 years as well to compare the %
What if you’re looking at an under and the true value is lower than the actual odds?
New to sport betting, how did you get 66% of -200 odds?
To calculate odds take 200/200+100= 200/300 =66.6%. So you need to win this bet 66.6% of the time to break even. So if the player hits this particular bet 69% of the time you have a true edge of 2.4%
you calculate is no good 200/200 = 1 and 1+ 100 = 101 and 101/ 300 = 33,66% @@robertade9246
Can you apply this to -115 as well?
You really don't need to research. Just adjust the line in your favor. For example, if LeBron's over-under is 20 points, adjust it down to 15 points. Do the same with another player, then do a 2 legged parley.
I honestly kill it in two leggers with $50 dollar bets , if the first leg hits i can always hedge or cash out
@@dilonsmith5143 Makes alot of sense. So, what would a normal cash out amount be on a $50 bet? And, is cash out always available? Thanks.
What Sportsbook lets you adjust the prop lines?
Crickets
wow, i know nothing of baseball.
Why is -200 automatically a 66% chance of winning? Is there a formula?
-200= 1.5 So 100% /1.5 =66,66%
If you bet $100 odds -200 you win $50 So $100 x 1,5 = $150 profit $50
@Frank-ison1
0 seconds ago
Thanks for the math. You’d be surprised how many folks don’t know. In another note, how full of 💩 do you think these guys are? On a scale from 1-100%
Some stuff they say is straight forward and accurate. However, when I was asking pressing questions to one of their reps, they seemed to get offended and ghosted me..
I can’t find any negative -200 odd😂😂😝
There edge is the -200 lol u gotta win 2 of those for 1 loss
Bro u dont think sportsbook do that? What a nerd with a strategy from 2010 when really works lmao , guys dont waste ur time watching full video.
Sportsbooks do but the general public doesn't hence why they all make bad bets
I want to book a call,I need u teach me the strategy u use
Excellent !!!! , Frank you can teach an old “Dog” great stuff!