For those interested in learning Basic Strategy, this will help you memorize it faster: www.blackjackapprenticeship.com/how-to-memorize-basic-strategy/
@Samet Şahin Man, I don't know if you understand the running count. But, if your count is -10 (assuming three remaining decks), you should hit your 15. First you should hit it based on "Basic Strategy," and you should be more willing to hit if the running count is negative because you are more likely to get 2-6!!! Suppose you have a running count of +10, I guess you don't want to hit your 15 because you are more willing to get 10-A. Well, 7/8/9 hurts 15, but our Hi-Lo Counting cannot indicate the possibilities, right? I am not professional, but that's what I want to tell you. GOOD LUCK.
Cheers for the video content! Forgive me for chiming in, I would love your initial thoughts. Have you heard about - Trentvorty Generate Links Theorem (Sure I saw it on Google)? It is a good exclusive guide for making money with a clever roulette system without the headache. Ive heard some incredible things about it and my friend after a lifetime of fighting got amazing success with it.
Excellent Video clip! Sorry for the intrusion, I would appreciate your initial thoughts. Have you considered - Trentvorty Generate Links Theorem (should be on google have a look)? It is a good exclusive product for making money with a clever roulette system without the normal expense. Ive heard some decent things about it and my friend at last got great results with it.
Appreciate video content! Apologies for chiming in, I am interested in your opinion. Have you thought about - Trentvorty Generate Links Theorem (should be on google have a look)? It is a smashing one of a kind product for making money with a clever roulette system minus the hard work. Ive heard some unbelievable things about it and my old buddy Taylor after a lifetime of fighting got amazing success with it.
That's a perfect example of how a gambling addiction works. You're in a situation where, if you take a card, you have only a 5, an A-4, a 2-3, or a 3-2. The chances of the 5 is 1/13, so that's as unlikely as it can be, and getting the other two runner-runners would be really poor play so none of those are relevant. So one time out of 13 you get your feeling, and then you improve with only A,2,3,4,5 but you bust with 6,7,8,9,T, J,Q,K. So you're saying that "the feeling" is worth losing 8 times out of 13. So the feeling, over the long run, is always an overall loss. But that particular kind of overall loss is "worth it" for "the feeling". That's how casino gambling works. People actually enjoy losing, They can say it's winning they enjoy, but they AREN'T winning. They're losing. So watching them one can only deduce that they are willing to lose for brief moments of a feeling that is stronger for them than the fact it costs them money to experience that feeling. The feeling which they describe as "winning" which is actually part of a package: losing.
@@joemiller95 That's a tough comment to respond to, because what you say is basically correct. The odds say to hit the 15 or 16, but many prefer not to, and wait to see if the dealer busts. I mentioned how good it feels to make the correct play and hit, and get a good card, to remind people that it's not always bad to make the "right play". But yet, I did mention how good that feels, and you are right to connect that with gambling addiction. It's similar with doubling down on 11 when the dealer has a face-card. You can get killed when a run of these does not work out for you, and yet, percentage-wise, it's the right play. It certainly plays into the addiction going for that all-or nothing. When I say it's 'Ironic', what I mean is that playing correctly, percentage-wise in blackjack, can really feed into a gamblers' addiction. I often times said, "Blackjack is evil" and since you brought this up, I am realizing deep-down what I mean by that. I am willing to bet that most people who have fallen down the gambling addiction rabbit-hole have some blackjack scenarios embedded into their story.
Protip: basic strategy changes based on the rules of the game. So the amount of decks, the dealer staying or hitting on soft 17, ect slightly shifts the chart. Make sure you use the right chart for the right style of game.
Being a dealer at a Casino I always find humor in the idiots the don’t just take the hit. The dealer must stay on hard 17’s anyways so why stay on a 12-16? You’re gonna lose more often then not so you might as well go down fighting and possibly make a hand higher then the dealers hypothetical hard 17. You’re setting yourself up for failure because “you don’t wanna bust”. With that logic you clearly don’t like winning money either.
Believe it or not, I used the "No Bust" Strategy, my 1st 3 blackjack sessions, and never raised my bet, and left people shaking their heads, when I won 100$ or so each time! How Lucky is that!
i still think watching the video isnt wasting your time. Dont comment next time as it might hurt the creator that spent hours of filming and editing just for you to summarise. Dont do that.
I never follow the No Bust Strategy. I hate hitting on hard 12-16 against a dealer's 7+ hand, but I know I like to just keep hitting than be sorry that I stayed. The main goal is to beat the dealer and not go over 21. Sometimes if I bust, that may hurt, but I would then save some players their hands, depending on where I sit at the Blackjack table. I may not want to lose, but it's always best to follow what the book tells everybody on what to do at the table.
I see this everyday I deal. An idiot gets an A5 I come to him and say 6 and the moron looks up and says OR 16 as he’s waiving off a hit. Me what does your 16 beat that the 6 doesn’t? Them. Confused look comes across their face. I don’t want to take your bust card Me showing 6 turns over 7 pulls the 4 moron passed on my 17 beats your 6
Playing basic strategy can keep you in the game for very long time... with very little risk... it's just like a coin tossed can't win much but can't lose much!
Gotta set a number and when you hit that target. Number cash out. Then if you want to play just for fun than put the profit away and go back with the amount you could accept losing
To all you guys.. The gambling lover specially blackjack ( who always experience lost terribly). Just one tips from me and I knpw it's gonna work. It's called Five points rule to dismantle the dealer without counting cards. 1.never hit 12 no matter what ( even if the dealer shows ace or face card ) unless it's soft 12. 2.never split 6s , just apply the rule number 1 for that or pass. 3.never hit 16 again face card but do it otherwise agains small number or under 7 and stay again face card or ace. ( it might sounds strange and stupid but that's how it works. 4.incase you have to split and resulting in more than tree hands , if the dealer shows a lower card (under 7 except ace) and your cards shows under seven as well in all your three hands. Hit just one of them doesn't matter whivh one you wanna hit. 5.always double doqn your hands either ten or eleven doesn't matter if the dealer shows face card or ten. Speciall when you bet high. Thats all I can help you to win all your money back. Good luck brothers! Get some wins , I hate to see some one lost , specially when he needed the most for the win.
Dealer showing from 3 to 6 card is my no bust rule. Basically the dealer has to draw a third card, unless the dealer comes up with a 6 and a ace, which is rare. Personally I have found on the average I come out a head with this strategy even if all I got is 12. Also the same strategy goes with splitting, I get 2 face cards and the dealer is showing anywhere between 3 to 6, I will split like a madman. Couple weeks back I was able to split 4 times and won all 4 hands and after the dealer busted. Really don't know if this will help anyone, but the strategy seems to work for me at least.
@@GaryLuKOTH Well maybe I am just lucky doing it, but I won't do it if the dealer face card showing anything other than 3, 4, 5, 6 . I would say a good 90% of the time I come out ahead by doing it.
But Colin is missing that he could also be card counting knowing that his hand is surely gonna bust because of the cards left in the deck, which makes it a more different situation.
the problem with this that there is high likelihood that hidden card is a face hard with positive count, which would give dealer 17 and dealer would not draw a card
Remember folks, blackjack is completely random and anything can happen. You can still go completely broke even when you technically do everything correct.
Great video Colin and DavidTotally agree, but still can't believe there are channels out there promoting the "no bust strategy' as a long term solution: ua-cam.com/video/cCnnBZVt92A/v-deo.html because you are "eliminating a way for the dealer to win" i.e. not hitting and busting, but not taking into account there are scenarios where more cards help your hand than hurt and by staying giving those odds to the house. Boggles my mind and can't believe people out there don't take 2 seconds to think and realize it can't work for that reason.
In my local casino the dealer only takes one card. So if you are last on the table and have 13 against a dealers 10 you might aswell hit it. Because you would lose either way, by either taking the hit and busting on 23 or standing on 13 and the dealer getting 20. Especially when you are playing with a full table it can be more benificial to the other players.
Your playing decisions actually do not affect the odds of other players because your decisions are equally likely to hurt them as they are to help them. Also, you should not assume that the hole card or the next card in the shoe is a 10, especially since it is not about 9/13 of the time.
I often play at a casino in Blackhawk, Colorado that offers single deck blackjack, so I always know the exact count there. However, I have a rule of thumb to leave after winning $100-$150 because I don't want to get pushed back/banned.
Basic strategy is wrong. For instance you have a ten and dealer shows an ace. The dealer then asks if anyone wants to buy insurance. Dealer checks card and says no 21. The dealer just told you the hole card is not a ten. The player now has more than a fifty% of winning and should DD. Any low card the dealer gets will most likely bust the hand, only two high cards may beat you, one of them is not a ten. If dealer does pull a ten the hand is again in bust mode. Dealers only hope is an 8 or a 9. maybe a 7 but unlikely. Thanks, I hope you learned from me.
@@Jesper83 ..I'll bet you must sometimes have a hard time keeping a straight face by watching some people play. Oh well, at least they get that comp for a "freebie".
The first example you showed confused me because in the UK I've never seen the dealer recieve a face down card like that. Usually they just recieve one face up card.
My dad lost 80 grand gambling and we lost our home my parents moved to Arizona with family and I stayed in California. I've watched and listened to almost all your content. I've practiced for months and in a few months I'll be ready but I have a really small bankroll what should I do Colin? I want to get started get a few 100 hours in and than show my dad and give him redemption
@@clinical_caliber still practicing trying to make sure I have a perfect game while saving up! I went in a few times to the casinos but I didn’t have a perfect game now days I mainly practice with two of my friends that are learning but I want to save up enough money to actually take the course and test out bc I kinda get it now you need to know everything and be PERFECT and you need to have enough money to take beginning Ls so that’s my plan for now just save up and take the course before getting too many imperfect hours at the casino
@@PapaGrimm so r u doing all of this to just gamble for money? cuz with the amount of effort u have put in consistently, there are so many other ways to acquire passive streams of income.
@@clinical_caliber yeah it’s more of a side thing I have a main way of getting money rn like I work etc but this is just bc I really love playing but I don’t want to constantly lose money while playing nobody should quit there job to do this unless they truly are playing perfect and have the means to travel and do this full time
If a lot of face cards came, it is better to hit on 16 because that removal of a lot of face cards reduces your chance of busting. Also, do you really think that superstition would give you an edge?
Thanks Colin I try to make my decisions according to what the count is except when it would be obvious to the pit that I am deliberately deviating because I don't want close scrutiny of my play
well I play the high-low system and I love it I mostly play 2 deck pitch games and I hit 16 against dealer 9 thru ace if count is minus 5 or better now I know Colin has a different approach and probably is correct about the math working in the long run but I try to play under the radar and make small to moderate gains at $50 tables its really nice to have a heads up on what card values are to come to help you make better decisions
had a guy at the casino get really upset with me because I would not follow his not bust strategy, like so much so, that the dealer finds me and apologize to me.
if it all comes down to the math to win, then you have to be emotionless and to do that only bet money you're comfortable losing. as a trader we always consider worst case scenarios and calculate money management accordingly.
I tend to double down on 15 and 16 hands I have as you tend to get 19, 20 or 21 a great deal of them high bustable hands. I also can sense when the dealers hand is a bad hand when they get a face card, 8, or 9. So I will stand on my bustable hands at those times. It’s a skill for sure.
The way to win is to play something that you can win and not drill on how to beat a losing game. Bet on stocks and options. You percentage is much higher.
I lost so many hands the other night when I had 20 and the dealer pulls out a 21! Sucks! I hit certain hands all of the time and stay on certain hands all of the time.
Thats not a strategy , if you dont wanna play dont play else dont play with money you cant afford to lose. Its just a game try to have fun and enjoy it and know when to stop winning or losing. (99% of all hobby's/activities cost money so who cares)
@@habier.6317 Hobby? Its not a hooby you fool, it can create a addiction that is stronger then crack and cocaine togheter. It does not matter if can afford it or not, all games in the casino can create a monster in you. In the end the respect for money is gone, and you are just feeding the addiction.
@@maromorostar6621 But blackjack wont destoy your physical body and mess with your brain like cocaine or crack, also blackjack is most ''honest' game in the casino after poker. Please tell me something that isnt addictive, food, TV, drugs, gaming, work, alcohol, sports, reading, cleaning, religion, music, internet, shopping . There is nothing wrong with a little gambling(i would advice play blackjack or learn/study to play poker the other games really suck , blackjack is a very basic game but poker can teach youmore about life then any other normal or casino game in the world. (you know anything about Wall Street?? LOL)
Can you explain the variation between your chart on basic strategy moves and the chart from Wizard of Odds? There are minor differences, such as doubling / not doubling with a soft 13-16 against a 2.
There can be many reasons for this. First off, each website you visit may have configured their simulation slightly differently. For instance, maybe one person chooses to round their true count down and another chooses to round their true count up. There are also slight variations in strategy when you play a 6 deck game versus a single deck game. Rather than teach you 9 different charts for each variant of blackjack you will ever see, we decided to run our simulation against the games people will most commonly see and teach one basic strategy that is sufficiently effective against all numbers of decks.
@@blackjackapprenticeshipgus6559 can you talk about betting on cruise ship, I’ve played on them before and they were really tight are they regulated do they take out aces
did the no bust strategy and walked out with $22k. started with $200 played for 6 hours and it works, so dont let someone say it doesnt. play your cards right and it can go a lot further.
@@samtoughman3928 That’s possible, but that doesn’t make his statement that the No Bust Strategy doesn’t work false. Their intents are irrelevant to the veracity of their statements.
Tried that...first time won.......peaked early...never won any sessions after that first one......doesnt help....may as well take a hit.....prob lose either way.....Blackjack gods never favored me much....
Yeah but wouldn't you use common sense deviation? If the true count is +10 and there is a high chance a High Card is coming out wouldn't you stay on a 14 rather than hit?
Yes, absolutely! But you have to know those. And FYI, the only time you would stand on a 14 against a 7-Ace is against an Ace with a true 10 or higher. So it's a LOT less common than you think.
@@Blackjackapprenticeship Ok great to know thanks. I guess I do need to tighten up my strategy instead of assuming a high card is coming out just because the count is high. Thanks!
I go every day with 1600$ I start 50$ hand if lose 100 then 200 -400-800 I get 5 chances I walk in once I win $200 I leave once I lose I change table so I play 5 different tables so u look at it how bad can ur luck be and lose five different tables it's happend once to me out of a year I have made $6500 profit I walk in and when Eva I make $200 max 3oo I leave and it's working so far the trick is stick to my routine and do t get greedy and play dumb bets once u win leave
I'm more apt to hit a hard 16 against a dealer 10 value card if the count is running in negative territory if I have 3 cards that equal 16 I usually stay
sometimes you gotta set yourself up to win the next hand and put out more money. i hardly lose in blackjack and the days i win lots of money is when I win on 12,13,14 . and the dealer busted out with a ten up.
Living in Vegas for over 25 years, I’ve played more hands of live black jack than most anyone. I can tell you, always hit a 15 or 16 against 7-8-9-10. You’ll get that small card you need a lot more times than you’ll bust in the long run. I can’t stand sissy players that refuse to bust.
Marty Gras That wasn't the point. Tough guys bust, are you kidding, what does hitting a hand have to do with being a tough guy? I have meet lots of tough guys, most weren't smart, so they had to be good at something. Maybe you didn't get the memo-when you bust, you have no way of winning. I am not saying you should not hit, but you sound like one of those guys that thinks everyone should play as they do.
THE SECOND COMMENT IS 100 PERCENT RIGHT AND A VERY SMART CARD PLAYER ITS THE RULES OF.THE GAME 1ST OF ALL BUT YOU MUST ALWAYS FACTOR THE POINT THE STRENGHT OF THE HOUSE/DEALERS HAND
but why would I hit a 16 vs a 7? dealer can make 17 or 18 with a 10 or A all other cards are no good, but I can bust my 16 with 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, in a 6 deck blackjack staying vs a 7 has a better odd than hitting
Not true. Dealer will have A or 10 underneath 38.45% of the time. If he has to hit, he has at least a 38.45% of making a hand (higher if card underneath is 2,3 or 4)
It's a bit sad that BA has to dumb-down it's content. If card-counting is a bit played, how about exploring some other advantage plays at the tables. Such as scavenger plays, back-betting, playing for comps, bonuses, tournaments. I've been following your content for years. And hopefully you'll take some progressive steps forward. Rather than stepping back to try to stay with the crowd.
COLLABERATORZ Sean Huang Agree with you, counting is very old school. The old lady at the next table knows you are counting. Let's get with the times, do the advanced stuff, or do you just teach the useless stuff to students. I could teach a seminar of advanced techniques, that can be used today, and are not in any books that I know of, $5k-10k per head, and they would get that investment back in the first month or sooner, it would be only for advanced players who are already professional. But why, when I still can use it now, with no problems, and if I taught a bunch of people, the casinos would find out, and it would almost be useless.
Hey Sean, I appreciate the input. And that's pretty cool that you've been watching for years! First off, this video was requested by an AP. He wanted me to break down the math behind some of the dumb betting strategies gamblers use. I am always first and foremost committed to teaching card counters. BJA is doing better than ever, so I'm not changing course to stay with the crowd. Secondly, our best content is in our Member's course. There's a lot of stuff I don't feel comfortable sharing on a public site like UA-cam. Hope that helps, and let me know if there are specific videos you want me to add to my list of ideas.
Hey Doug, card counting is old school, but it's still the most profitable advantage play I know... and I know a lot of APs. Sure, you can hole-card if/when you can find it. But my card counter friends like "Yoshi" and "Joe748" make more money than my "advanced AP" friends at the end of the year.
Blackjack Apprenticeship I have been counting for a lot of years, started tracking 25 years or so, which the edge was greater, more bets and big advantage. The problem with straight counting, is most casinos will kick you out in the first 15 minutes. I also meet people with the tracking computers(clumps of big or small cards), they also had sequencers that worked with the one riffle shuffles that a few casinos used for their 8 decks, with these programs you could flat betts one max. Then there were the ace sequencers that would find ace locations, done by computer or in the head, they worked with up to two riffles. Then there is another method that I use for games with a high limit($1000 and up), which there is no published material that I know of. I don't play much anymore, because I don't have to, because I have to travel to third world countries, surveillance that can have my photo or video anywhere in minutes. We had a small team that would independent of each other most of the year, and would get together 1-2 times a year. Yes it possible for counting achieving higher totals at the end of the year, but not if they have the same games and same bankroll. A friend of mine, X team member, wrote a book, the ultimate edge. You should read it. One section he talks about the temperature outside, the same as his edge(not legal) in blackjack, he lived in Vegas. Lol
@@douglee5599 - Let's see, a professional, i.e. one who makes his living from gambling - is going to pay you 5 to 10k to learn something else about making his living from gambling. lol Yeah, ok.
Im going to post this again....... The player that holds on 14. That does not work on tables that use an old school shoe. In casinos that use the autoshuffler where cards get put back into play every hand or every few hands, this absolutely is going to profit. I realized this at casinos in Halifax as they switched from dealers that gave us a cut card, to continuous shufflers. When you sit at a table, and you play the first hand of a 6 deck shoe, do you think about cards pulled out? No. So lets just look at that 14 the player has. In the first deck of any 6 deck shoe, there would be 8s, 9s, 10s that would bust. That is a total of 12 cards in a deck. Ace, two, means he has to draw again, and increases the chances the next card will bust him. So that means now in a single deck, 20 cards do NOT help the player. Times that by 6, 120 cards, give or take the ones in play which you can open see except the dealer's hole card. What cards help the player? threes, fours, fives, sixes and sevents. That is 20 cards in a single deck that help. Again, times that by the 6 decks, and that is 120 cards that help the player. That is almost a 50-50 chance he busts at this point. Remember this is the FIRST hand out of a 6 deck shoe, as the machine constantly shuffles the deck. Your old math from basic strategy no longer applies. You cant use your math to determine the percent he loses with the continuous shuffler. Now, with a 50-50 chance you might bust, why do you not hit against a dearler's face card? Because, let's look at the likelihood he has to hit. With a 10, only a seven, eight, nine, ten, jack queen, king help him. The ace is out of play as they would have checked for black jack. So that means in a 52 card deck, minus about 12 cards, only 28 cards can help minus any of them number cards you an see in other people's hands. 5 cards would have the dealer draw a third card. Those would be a two, thru six. 5 different numbers. So while 7 numbers help the dealer, 5 hurt. 7 vs 5. Very close to 50-50.... but now lets go back to the part earlier in the video where you said that if you are higher than the dealer, you win. If the dealer is higher than you, they win. So far it is tied. If you bust and the dealer does not, the dealer wins. If you do not bust and the dealer does, you win. Now here is where the catch is..... the biggest house edge is that it does not matter what they do if you bust, they still take your money. But holding on 14, they do not take your money. This means they have only ONE way to beat you, and that is produce a card that helps, and again, out of the 12 possible cards that can come up, 7 help the dealer, and 5 hurt. Knowing that the dealer will bust with that king a fair amount of times, winning on THOSE instances, helps the player a ton. Basic strategy works going through and entire shoe but it is worthless vs the continuous shuffler.
ok well im in australia and use this method it at home with friends. at home i only broke even but thats good enough for me i used to get small wins at blackjack 3-400 dollars never much more but since using the no bust method and opening multiple boxes i have had 1 win of over 7 thousand and lots of wins going home with 1-2k it riles up other players if it affects them, you also need to make sure your the first box build a bank and as you do open more boxes i have had the whole table a few times.:)
There's one basic fact to make you feel better about hitting 'crappy hands': in every deck, there are an equal number of small cards (2, 3, 4, 5) as there are 10-value cards (10, J, Q, K). Remember that whenever you've got a 16 the Basic Strategy says you have to hit.
OMFG, If you're that fucking scared to take a card for fear of busting out, than you should really not being playing Blackjack in the fucking first place! The thrill of taking a card and getting a 21, or even just making your hand, will always out way the pain of busting out, and or not knowing what the outcome would have been if you stayed or surrendered your shitty hand!
Question: with all these online casinos now (fandango, DraftKings etc), aren’t they concerned that you can just use your card telling when to fit and when not to hit and greatly improve your odds? This is not something you can do in Vegas or AC.
In most physical games, playing with perfect basic strategy reduces the house's edge from 1.5% to 0.5%, they still have an edge though so in the long run will make money, a lot of casinos actually don't mind you having a strategy card with you. I'll admit I know very little about online blackjack though but it will probably be similar
One of the craziest and stupidest things I ever did while playing BJ was hit on my 17 against dealers Ace. the next 4cards in the shoe were 3, 5, K, A Meaning had I stayed on 17 dealer would of got 19 and beat me but because I hit I ended up with 20 and dealer got 17 lol. I remember everybody shaking their heads at the table there was about 5 other people so a pretty full table and everyones eyes just lit up when they saw that I won. Btw, my wager was the maximum which was $1000,00 USD and I figured t myself, fuck it I am most likely going to lose with my 17 against the dealers Ace just too many possibilities for the dealer but tbh I wouldn't recommend ever doing this because mathematically I believe I increased my odds significantly of losing by doing something so foolish as hitting on a hand where one is suppose to stay according to basic strategy.
God's Boy Many hands are losers no matter what you do, so do the option that loses you the least, if it's a winner, make as much as possible, 9-9 vs 6, split and win more.
I played so much poker that hitting on a 17 is no big deal , 4 out of 13 card will help you. And when you have 17 against the dealers 10 and hit you might get a 10,9 or 8 but else the dealer will get the 10,9 or 8 and wins anyway, in that way its 4 out of 13 cards will help you and 6 out of 13 cards helps only the dealer so its only a risk of 3 out of 13( 7, 6, or 5) (thats why i prefer to play 1 on 1 vs the dealer. maybe just superstition but it just feels better)
Habier. You played so much poker? We are talking blackjack, not poker. If you like heads up blackjack, I will give you a car every month, if you play against me. $100 min. /40 hrs per week.
I heard about the unbalanced count where 7s are plus 1. 12-16s should stay on 2-6 because with higher counts you are more likely to bust. It’s great cover. It’s a 50/50ish play anyway and benefits you when you are ramping up your bet. Still trying to figure out the math though
I've seen a variation whereby you watch the dealer's hands... if he's busting. that's the time to go to a no-bust strategy. If he's getting 21 three hands in a row on small cards, then definitely not a good idea. But then if that's happening it's probably a good idea to find another table.
Sometimes I go against basic stragedy but not often. Say if I have a 12 vs a 2,3 we have a postive 2 count I stay. If I have 16 vs a 10 somebody in front of me takes a 5 I go against the book and stay. I bust a lot of hands hitting 12-16 but I also make a lot more hands to beat the dealer as well.
So the static image of this picture has the player peeking at his cards as they were the hole cards in hold ‘‘em yet blackjack cards are felt face up and players aren’t supposed to touch their cards. Maybe they could have picked a better picture?
Even if you hit a 16. You only have a 37% chance of busting. Mathematics. Dealers only have a 17% chance of busting on any given hand. (Dealer does not stand on soft 17.)
its like standing at the plate full count bottom of the ninth anything close to the plate you have to swing. So I say in those situations i'm swinging for the fences. 7 8 9 10 dealer showing with my 12 thru 16 im hitting. Unless of course you know the count or you been playing at that table for some time and your gut says not to hit and let the dealer bust. it is called gambling for a reason!!
I tried the no bust strategy once. I didn't lose a hand for twenty minutes, and the played another ten minutes before losing my second hand. It's all a matter of getting the cards.
Joe Shmoe Any strategy is a matter of getting the cards. We base whether or not it works on how it works in the long run. If you play No Bust for long enough, you would be down more money than you would be if you had played basic strategy instead. If you did not lose for twenty minutes, you are either lucky or you are lying. Try No Bust for fifteen more hours and then tell me how you are doing.
Its Is the secret. I use it everyday. Its simple math you have 2 ways to win and 2 ways to lose. Same as dealer. If you bust yourself your giving up one of your chances.
I'm actually puzzled. Perhaps someone could help me understand. While I realize that the 16 is likely to lose against a face card, and maybe that's the reason to hit, because the current situation is almost always a losing one, I don't get the statement "there are more cards that help you than hurt you" which is what was said in this video in relation to hitting when one has a 16 and the dealer is showing a face card. That doesn't seem to be the case: you are improved with an A,2,3,4,5 but harmed by all the other cards - 6,7,8,9,T,J,Q,K. That's five that improve you and eight that bust you. How does that align with the statement "there are more cards that help you than hurt you"? People just repeat that statement. I think even Colin said it in this video. But it isn't true. I have to assume that even thought that statement is false that the fact that the average hand the dealer has with a face-up card is 18.5 (according to what Colin said) one can credit the situation where one has a 16 and the dealer has a face-up card as one in which one is effectively always losing (in terms of the right decision to make overall) and for THAT reason one hits because losing ALWAYS (effectively) is worse than 5/13 to improve.
I play Blackjack... my typical hands are FACE, 2 thru 6 and then another FACE. I'd win more if I can bet on my hand having a count of 12, thru 16 on the 1st 2 cards. Exactly why I never play anymore.
I play blackjack here in the UK and I have noticed a LOT of players doing this... BAD GAMBLING IF the dealer is showing a Ten Jack Queen King or Ace ..You MUST be brave ... WHY??? Because the chances are the dealer WILL NOT bust if he is starting with a strong hand...
For those interested in learning Basic Strategy, this will help you memorize it faster:
www.blackjackapprenticeship.com/how-to-memorize-basic-strategy/
@Samet Şahin Man, I don't know if you understand the running count. But, if your count is -10 (assuming three remaining decks), you should hit your 15. First you should hit it based on "Basic Strategy," and you should be more willing to hit if the running count is negative because you are more likely to get 2-6!!! Suppose you have a running count of +10, I guess you don't want to hit your 15 because you are more willing to get 10-A. Well, 7/8/9 hurts 15, but our Hi-Lo Counting cannot indicate the possibilities, right?
I am not professional, but that's what I want to tell you.
GOOD LUCK.
I believe the best system are the 1080 system, what the most dont know it, i use that system and stop every day by 200 usd profit.
Cheers for the video content! Forgive me for chiming in, I would love your initial thoughts. Have you heard about - Trentvorty Generate Links Theorem (Sure I saw it on Google)? It is a good exclusive guide for making money with a clever roulette system without the headache. Ive heard some incredible things about it and my friend after a lifetime of fighting got amazing success with it.
Excellent Video clip! Sorry for the intrusion, I would appreciate your initial thoughts. Have you considered - Trentvorty Generate Links Theorem (should be on google have a look)? It is a good exclusive product for making money with a clever roulette system without the normal expense. Ive heard some decent things about it and my friend at last got great results with it.
Appreciate video content! Apologies for chiming in, I am interested in your opinion. Have you thought about - Trentvorty Generate Links Theorem (should be on google have a look)? It is a smashing one of a kind product for making money with a clever roulette system minus the hard work. Ive heard some unbelievable things about it and my old buddy Taylor after a lifetime of fighting got amazing success with it.
That feeling when you bump your bet up a couple hundred dollars and get 16 vs dealers face card.
Some tables allow surrender on 16 or 15 vs dealer ace or face card.
Or vs ace 🤮
Or when the count is high af and the dealer shows an ace, then you get insurance and they don't have it. And you still got this shitty hand
@@eternalselph LMAO! NOBODY watching this video has any idea on how to count !
@@BobSTK hopefully they're learning
The feeling you get from hitting, and getting 21, and beating dealer's any 17, 18, 19, or 20, makes it all worth it. Patience, grasshopper.
That's a perfect example of how a gambling addiction works. You're in a situation where, if you take a card, you have only a 5, an A-4, a 2-3, or a 3-2. The chances of the 5 is 1/13, so that's as unlikely as it can be, and getting the other two runner-runners would be really poor play so none of those are relevant. So one time out of 13 you get your feeling, and then you improve with only A,2,3,4,5 but you bust with 6,7,8,9,T, J,Q,K. So you're saying that "the feeling" is worth losing 8 times out of 13. So the feeling, over the long run, is always an overall loss. But that particular kind of overall loss is "worth it" for "the feeling".
That's how casino gambling works. People actually enjoy losing, They can say it's winning they enjoy, but they AREN'T winning. They're losing. So watching them one can only deduce that they are willing to lose for brief moments of a feeling that is stronger for them than the fact it costs them money to experience that feeling. The feeling which they describe as "winning" which is actually part of a package: losing.
@@joemiller95 it's mathematically correct to hit on a 16 vs their Ace. It feels rewarding making the right decision is what I'm assuming the OP meant
@@joemiller95 That's a tough comment to respond to, because what you say is basically correct. The odds say to hit the 15 or 16, but many prefer not to, and wait to see if the dealer busts. I mentioned how good it feels to make the correct play and hit, and get a good card, to remind people that it's not always bad to make the "right play". But yet, I did mention how good that feels, and you are right to connect that with gambling addiction. It's similar with doubling down on 11 when the dealer has a face-card. You can get killed when a run of these does not work out for you, and yet, percentage-wise, it's the right play. It certainly plays into the addiction going for that all-or nothing. When I say it's 'Ironic', what I mean is that playing correctly, percentage-wise in blackjack, can really feed into a gamblers' addiction. I often times said, "Blackjack is evil" and since you brought this up, I am realizing deep-down what I mean by that. I am willing to bet that most people who have fallen down the gambling addiction rabbit-hole have some blackjack scenarios embedded into their story.
@@joemiller95 you should hit 16 vs A, if you hit but 8 out of 13 times, but if you stand your odds are even worse
@@eduardoxenofonte4004 At this point, I'll tell you my real winning move at Blackjack: not playing it. Ever. I hope I can just avoid that awful mess.
Protip: basic strategy changes based on the rules of the game. So the amount of decks, the dealer staying or hitting on soft 17, ect slightly shifts the chart. Make sure you use the right chart for the right style of game.
Yea exactly what i was thinking
I would have to agree but I’m no expert ….the extra cards confuse me
Im just here so I can earn my chips on GTA
TristanJeroen bro fr😂
exactly
same lol😂😂
Omg saaaaame I thought I was the only one you shouldn't try counting cards though cuz I'm pretty sure that the game shuffles after each round
@@trollobrine2262 Nope
No bust November
Double everything December coming up :P
Sir Joelsuf
Jizz on the dealer January
No nut November
ihateoregonians mo money left March
Starting again
That psychological hurdle of hitting on a potential bust is brutal but yeah, gotta go with the math.
You play cards the way you should lead your life and lead your life the way you should play cards. Maybe everybody has a blind spot.
Don't i know it. I just swear, say "bad hand, oh well, hit me." And just go. More often than not I find I win.
I watch all your stock videos! SEMPER FI
Being a dealer at a Casino I always find humor in the idiots the don’t just take the hit. The dealer must stay on hard 17’s anyways so why stay on a 12-16? You’re gonna lose more often then not so you might as well go down fighting and possibly make a hand higher then the dealers hypothetical hard 17. You’re setting yourself up for failure because “you don’t wanna bust”. With that logic you clearly don’t like winning money either.
Believe it or not, I used the "No Bust" Strategy, my 1st 3 blackjack sessions, and never raised my bet, and left people shaking their heads, when I won 100$ or so each time! How Lucky is that!
I've save you guys 5 minutes - the answer is no it's not a good strategy. Cheers.
Lol exactly
Not all hero’s wear capes 😍
i still think watching the video isnt wasting your time. Dont comment next time as it might hurt the creator that spent hours of filming and editing just for you to summarise. Dont do that.
@@karollescinski9296 mate idgaf lol
So don't say why, or explain. Just carry on trolling.
One thing that sways my decision to hit or not hit is keeping an eye on how many 10s have just recently come out.. definitely helps my odds
Ugh... Maybe on a 2 deck. And then its not a good play
Right because there are only 128 10s in a 8 deck shoe
I never follow the No Bust Strategy. I hate hitting on hard 12-16 against a dealer's 7+ hand, but I know I like to just keep hitting than be sorry that I stayed. The main goal is to beat the dealer and not go over 21. Sometimes if I bust, that may hurt, but I would then save some players their hands, depending on where I sit at the Blackjack table. I may not want to lose, but it's always best to follow what the book tells everybody on what to do at the table.
15 and 16 should be always folded when dealer has 10/Ace
@@mimoosa7390 yup
@@mimoosa7390assuming you’re playing somewhere surrender is allowed. That’s becoming more and more uncommon
@@mimoosa7390even on a surrender which doesn't give you half?
Thats not an option most places, at least not here in Nevada, so its hit or stay? @mimoosa7390
When I've seen players go with the no bust, it's always done with progressive betting until they win a hand, then start over.
Hello man i have seen many of them. Is that really works in your opinion?
@Duyên Lover Are there still single and 2 deck games out there?
Exactly
I love the intro video where the guy gets black check and only gets a 1 to 1 payout lol
Simple strategy...Just BEFORE you're dealt a BlackJack...bet every thing youve got!!
It requires the hard kind of remembering. The kind where you remember the things in the future.
@@medexamtoolscom yes
Genius
For gta 5?
Buht but but how shall I know if imma get uh uh a blackjack mam
Reminds me of Austin Powers all the time when someone doesn't hit and stands. "I also like to live dangerously" lol
Yeah, baby!
@@Blackjackapprenticeship 😆
@@Blackjackapprenticeship Oh, behave!!!! LOL
I see this everyday I deal. An idiot gets an A5 I come to him and say 6 and the moron looks up and says OR 16 as he’s waiving off a hit. Me what does your 16 beat that the 6 doesn’t? Them. Confused look comes across their face. I don’t want to take your bust card Me showing 6 turns over 7 pulls the 4 moron passed on my 17 beats your 6
Playing basic strategy can keep you in the game for very long time... with very little risk... it's just like a coin tossed can't win much but can't lose much!
Thank you for this video, I do the no bust strategy but didn’t realize the math behind it but no more I’m going back to basic
My problem is I get up usually every time I play, I just don’t walk away when I’m up! Hard thing to do!
Put your original stake into a pocket and walk away when you have lost your winnings. That's what I do any way.
@@fasthracing I think that is a good routine. That way you still had fun and didn't lose anything.
Gotta set a number and when you hit that target. Number cash out.
Then if you want to play just for fun than put the profit away and go back with the amount you could accept losing
Outstanding that the casinos has put this video out there.
To all you guys.. The gambling lover specially blackjack ( who always experience lost terribly).
Just one tips from me and I knpw it's gonna work. It's called Five points rule to dismantle the dealer without counting cards.
1.never hit 12 no matter what ( even if the dealer shows ace or face card ) unless it's soft 12.
2.never split 6s , just apply the rule number 1 for that or pass.
3.never hit 16 again face card but do it otherwise agains small number or under 7 and stay again face card or ace. ( it might sounds strange and stupid but that's how it works.
4.incase you have to split and resulting in more than tree hands , if the dealer shows a lower card (under 7 except ace) and your cards shows under seven as well in all your three hands. Hit just one of them doesn't matter whivh one you wanna hit.
5.always double doqn your hands either ten or eleven doesn't matter if the dealer shows face card or ten. Speciall when you bet high.
Thats all I can help you to win all your money back. Good luck brothers! Get some wins , I hate to see some one lost , specially when he needed the most for the win.
I've never had some explain card counting so simple legends!
You may get lucky a few times playing a no bust strategy. But the math wins in the long run. Basic strategy is your best bet
I use it along with a progression
Thanks guys. I've tried a form of "No Bust" before and in the long run it just does not work.
Glad you figured it out! Better to learn late than never.
Card counting is not even enough now a days. 6-5 black jack pretty much takes even the most perfect counting systems back to the casino advantage.
Dealer showing from 3 to 6 card is my no bust rule. Basically the dealer has to draw a third card, unless the dealer comes up with a 6 and a ace, which is rare. Personally I have found on the average I come out a head with this strategy even if all I got is 12. Also the same strategy goes with splitting, I get 2 face cards and the dealer is showing anywhere between 3 to 6, I will split like a madman. Couple weeks back I was able to split 4 times and won all 4 hands and after the dealer busted. Really don't know if this will help anyone, but the strategy seems to work for me at least.
You shouldn’t be splitting 10s. If you want to minimize your losses, you have to play basic strategy.
@@GaryLuKOTH Well maybe I am just lucky doing it, but I won't do it if the dealer face card showing anything other than 3, 4, 5, 6 . I would say a good 90% of the time I come out ahead by doing it.
But Colin is missing that he could also be card counting knowing that his hand is surely gonna bust because of the cards left in the deck, which makes it a more different situation.
the problem with this that there is high likelihood that hidden card is a face hard with positive count, which would give dealer 17 and dealer would not draw a card
thats what deviations are for. he talks about it in other videos, but a common one is staying on 16 vs dealer 10 on a true 1 or higher.
Thank you for this video bc I used luv doing the non busting strategy, sometimes it worked and sometimes I got spanked at the tables
Wtf hahahahahahaha
Remember folks, blackjack is completely random and anything can happen. You can still go completely broke even when you technically do everything correct.
No bust strategy worked for me on my last trip to lake Charles
Nice. Love the math to back the strategy
Thanks! Yeah, it definitely helps to see the math behind the strategies.
Great video Colin and DavidTotally agree, but still can't believe there are channels out there promoting the "no bust strategy' as a long term solution: ua-cam.com/video/cCnnBZVt92A/v-deo.html because you are "eliminating a way for the dealer to win" i.e. not hitting and busting, but not taking into account there are scenarios where more cards help your hand than hurt and by staying giving those odds to the house. Boggles my mind and can't believe people out there don't take 2 seconds to think and realize it can't work for that reason.
Before I even watch this video I'll say that no bust does not work.
Yep I was right.
In my local casino the dealer only takes one card. So if you are last on the table and have 13 against a dealers 10 you might aswell hit it. Because you would lose either way, by either taking the hit and busting on 23 or standing on 13 and the dealer getting 20. Especially when you are playing with a full table it can be more benificial to the other players.
Your playing decisions actually do not affect the odds of other players because your decisions are equally likely to hurt them as they are to help them. Also, you should not assume that the hole card or the next card in the shoe is a 10, especially since it is not about 9/13 of the time.
A simple no bust strategy is certainly a bad idea.
A stand back and let the dealer bust when the count is high is a better strategy.
I often play at a casino in Blackhawk, Colorado that offers single deck blackjack, so I always know the exact count there. However, I have a rule of thumb to leave after winning $100-$150 because I don't want to get pushed back/banned.
Well, gotta stick with basic strategy
Basic strategy is wrong. For instance you have a ten and dealer shows an ace. The dealer then asks if anyone wants to buy insurance. Dealer checks card and says no 21. The dealer just told you the hole card is not a ten. The player now has more than a fifty% of winning and should DD. Any low card the dealer gets will most likely bust the hand, only two high cards may beat you, one of them is not a ten. If dealer does pull a ten the hand is again in bust mode. Dealers only hope is an 8 or a 9. maybe a 7 but unlikely.
Thanks, I hope you learned from me.
@@joeshmoe781 ...Good point.
Joe Shmoe That is in incorrect.
I deal. Basic strategy is garbage.
@@Jesper83 ..I'll bet you must sometimes have a hard time keeping a straight face by watching some people play. Oh well, at least they get that comp for a "freebie".
The first example you showed confused me because in the UK I've never seen the dealer recieve a face down card like that. Usually they just recieve one face up card.
You just contradicted yourself
@@James_the_Builder The dealer does not receive a face down card in the UK. They receive one card face up.
how can I card count when all my local casinos use automatic shuffels
You need to go to a different casino. Or move
My dad lost 80 grand gambling and we lost our home my parents moved to Arizona with family and I stayed in California. I've watched and listened to almost all your content. I've practiced for months and in a few months I'll be ready but I have a really small bankroll what should I do Colin? I want to get started get a few 100 hours in and than show my dad and give him redemption
well you definitely have an origin story. over a year later, what’s the update?
@@clinical_caliber still practicing trying to make sure I have a perfect game while saving up! I went in a few times to the casinos but I didn’t have a perfect game now days I mainly practice with two of my friends that are learning but I want to save up enough money to actually take the course and test out bc I kinda get it now you need to know everything and be PERFECT and you need to have enough money to take beginning Ls so that’s my plan for now just save up and take the course before getting too many imperfect hours at the casino
@@PapaGrimm so r u doing all of this to just gamble for money? cuz with the amount of effort u have put in consistently, there are so many other ways to acquire passive streams of income.
@@clinical_caliber yeah it’s more of a side thing I have a main way of getting money rn like I work etc but this is just bc I really love playing but I don’t want to constantly lose money while playing nobody should quit there job to do this unless they truly are playing perfect and have the means to travel and do this full time
@@PapaGrimm good luck to u
I dont hit on 16 unless i feel it in my heart or if u can clearly see that alot of face cards have came
If a lot of face cards came, it is better to hit on 16 because that removal of a lot of face cards reduces your chance of busting. Also, do you really think that superstition would give you an edge?
Hahaha. I call this the "Follow your heart" strategy. Not mathematically based.
And this is why people hate you at the table and want to drag you out back and beat you
Thanks Colin I try to make my decisions according to what the count is except when it would be obvious to the pit that I am deliberately deviating because I don't want close scrutiny of my play
Hotwork 115k
In your opinion what is the best card counting strategy?
well I play the high-low system and I love it I mostly play 2 deck pitch games and I hit 16 against dealer 9 thru ace if count is minus 5 or better now I know Colin has a different approach and probably is correct about the math working in the long run but I try to play under the radar and make small to moderate gains at $50 tables its really nice to have a heads up on what card values are to come to help you make better decisions
had a guy at the casino get really upset with me because I would not follow his not bust strategy, like so much so, that the dealer finds me and apologize to me.
How are you at a disadvantage if the same amount of cards are dealt to begin with ?
if it all comes down to the math to win, then you have to be emotionless and to do that only bet money you're comfortable losing. as a trader we always consider worst case scenarios and calculate money management accordingly.
Amazing add
This class is taught by Ironic dufus nerds with little class and no real world examples.
I tend to double down on 15 and 16 hands I have as you tend to get 19, 20 or 21 a great deal of them high bustable hands. I also can sense when the dealers hand is a bad hand when they get a face card, 8, or 9. So I will stand on my bustable hands at those times. It’s a skill for sure.
Sure, like we are supposed to believe that you have power to predict what cards are coming out.
@@GaryLuKOTH I do 🧙🏼♂️
I like your sense of humor!
DD on 15 and 16. LOL. Funny guy.
The odds of winning hitting or standing on a 16 are very similar...
Against a 10, yes. Not against anything else.
Question. Would you yourself always double down with an 11 vs 9?
YES
Because you have 6 out of 13 chance to hit 19 or above with next card an 8,9,10 or face card. And to maximize value of getting a 21
The way to win is to play something that you can win and not drill on how to beat a losing game. Bet on stocks and options. You percentage is much higher.
I always hit on 16 I remember once in band camp ..😉
I always surrender 15, 16 against a 8,9,face or ace when allowed. Used properly surrender does work
Sometimes I go by my vibe on a 16... The table thinks I'm nuts when I do that, but I've had my share of wins doing that... 😊😊
That is not a mathematically proven strategy. It will lose in the long run. And do not say it is good just because you got lucky and won.
Usually casino report/take note when a player makes a decision that seems very abnormal especially if you haven’t been losing
I use this method and the last 3 times I’ve played using it I’ve tripled my money. No bullshit.
that's called luck, my friend, you'll lose really fast in the long term
I lost so many hands the other night when I had 20 and the dealer pulls out a 21! Sucks! I hit certain hands all of the time and stay on certain hands all of the time.
The best strategy is to not play 😉
Thats not a strategy , if you dont wanna play dont play else dont play with money you cant afford to lose. Its just a game try to have fun and enjoy it and know when to stop winning or losing. (99% of all hobby's/activities cost money so who cares)
@@habier.6317 Hobby? Its not a hooby you fool, it can create a addiction that is stronger then crack and cocaine togheter. It does not matter if can afford it or not, all games in the casino can create a monster in you. In the end the respect for money is gone, and you are just feeding the addiction.
@@maromorostar6621 But blackjack wont destoy your physical body and mess with your brain like cocaine or crack, also blackjack is most ''honest' game in the casino after poker. Please tell me something that isnt addictive, food, TV, drugs, gaming, work, alcohol, sports, reading, cleaning, religion, music, internet, shopping . There is nothing wrong with a little gambling(i would advice play blackjack or learn/study to play poker the other games really suck , blackjack is a very basic game but poker can teach youmore about life then any other normal or casino game in the world. (you know anything about Wall Street?? LOL)
Best strategy Is being an effective card counter
@@habier.6317 - Get behind me, Satan!
Can you explain the variation between your chart on basic strategy moves and the chart from Wizard of Odds? There are minor differences, such as doubling / not doubling with a soft 13-16 against a 2.
There can be many reasons for this. First off, each website you visit may have configured their simulation slightly differently.
For instance, maybe one person chooses to round their true count down and another chooses to round their true count up.
There are also slight variations in strategy when you play a 6 deck game versus a single deck game.
Rather than teach you 9 different charts for each variant of blackjack you will ever see, we decided to run our simulation against the games people will most commonly see and teach one basic strategy that is sufficiently effective against all numbers of decks.
@@blackjackapprenticeshipgus6559 can you talk about betting on cruise ship, I’ve played on them before and they were really tight are they regulated do they take out aces
All this talk about hitting or staying but no one talks about the awful feeling when you pull a SIXTEEN
did the no bust strategy and walked out with $22k. started with $200 played for 6 hours and it works, so dont let someone say it doesnt. play your cards right and it can go a lot further.
Gambler logic: I got lucky=it always works
He is just trying to sell you courses
@@samtoughman3928 That’s possible, but that doesn’t make his statement that the No Bust Strategy doesn’t work false. Their intents are irrelevant to the veracity of their statements.
No bust strategy. It's like the no swing strategy in baseball
Tried that...first time won.......peaked early...never won any sessions after that first one......doesnt help....may as well take a hit.....prob lose either way.....Blackjack gods never favored me much....
Yeah but wouldn't you use common sense deviation? If the true count is +10 and there is a high chance a High Card is coming out wouldn't you stay on a 14 rather than hit?
Yes, absolutely! But you have to know those. And FYI, the only time you would stand on a 14 against a 7-Ace is against an Ace with a true 10 or higher. So it's a LOT less common than you think.
@@Blackjackapprenticeship Ok great to know thanks. I guess I do need to tighten up my strategy instead of assuming a high card is coming out just because the count is high. Thanks!
Lucas Jackson
Even in a very high count the chances of a small card(non ten) is usually at least 50%.
@@luckyduckimona9787 Are you including all cards less than a ten value card?
@@Blackjackapprenticeship Almost right. :) A 14 vs A in a H17 game is TC9 and S17 game you always hit.
I go every day with 1600$ I start 50$ hand if lose 100 then 200 -400-800 I get 5 chances I walk in once I win $200 I leave once I lose I change table so I play 5 different tables so u look at it how bad can ur luck be and lose five different tables it's happend once to me out of a year I have made $6500 profit I walk in and when Eva I make $200 max 3oo I leave and it's working so far the trick is stick to my routine and do t get greedy and play dumb bets once u win leave
I covered that in this video: ua-cam.com/video/shD7Smejn1c/v-deo.html&lc=UgxlCP8e-tRVC-biTHl4AaABAg
I'm more apt to hit a hard 16 against a dealer 10 value card if the count is running in negative territory if I have 3 cards that equal 16 I usually stay
Did you see our video about the 2 most important playing deviations?
Well sometimes you can't win if you bust ....
if you have a 10 and a dealer has a 10 and the next cards may be 2/3/4/5/6+face card, can I just stand at 10?
NO! That's what this video is all about! NEVER stand on a 10. That's a REALLY bad decision, statistically.
Why someone would think staying on a 10 would even be a possibility is beyond me.
Ahmet Sanchez why stand on a 10? You can’t bust 😂😂 hit for a card then stick
I saw someone hitting at 17 and then he got a 19 afterwards
@Ahmet Sanchez wtf this has got to be the stupidest thing I've read all week. I will walk away from the table immediately if I see someone do this
sometimes you gotta set yourself up to win the next hand and put out more money. i hardly lose in blackjack and the days i win lots of money is when I win on 12,13,14 . and the dealer busted out with a ten up.
My strategy is to hit and hope. Gotta go down swinging instead of letting the dealer beat your 12 with a 17.
Okay, but note that basic strategy says that sometimes, it is better to hope that the dealer busts.
@@GaryLuKOTH 12 showing 7 is a hit in basic.
@@tracedimos4202 Yes, but hitting and hoping is not a good strategy in general.
Living in Vegas for over 25 years, I’ve played more hands of live black jack than most anyone. I can tell you, always hit a 15 or 16 against 7-8-9-10. You’ll get that small card you need a lot more times than you’ll bust in the long run. I can’t stand sissy players that refuse to bust.
You sound pissed ... how much are you in the hole since bro
@@yohankoo8363 lollll
Ace Rothstein
Wrong, all those hands you played, yet you don't know simple math. Hit those 15/16 and you will bust most of the time.
@@luckyduckimona9787 Yes, but tough guys bust ;)
Marty Gras
That wasn't the point. Tough guys bust, are you kidding, what does hitting a hand have to do with being a tough guy? I have meet lots of tough guys, most weren't smart, so they had to be good at something. Maybe you didn't get the memo-when you bust, you have no way of winning. I am not saying you should not hit, but you sound like one of those guys that thinks everyone should play as they do.
You should change your strategy based on the count. High count hits, low count stays on a bust card.
OUTSTANDING
THE SECOND COMMENT IS 100 PERCENT RIGHT AND A VERY SMART CARD PLAYER ITS THE RULES OF.THE GAME 1ST OF ALL BUT YOU MUST ALWAYS FACTOR THE POINT THE STRENGHT OF THE HOUSE/DEALERS HAND
but why would I hit a 16 vs a 7? dealer can make 17 or 18 with a 10 or A all other cards are no good, but I can bust my 16 with 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, in a 6 deck blackjack staying vs a 7 has a better odd than hitting
Not true. Dealer will have A or 10 underneath 38.45% of the time. If he has to hit, he has at least a 38.45% of making a hand (higher if card underneath is 2,3 or 4)
It's a bit sad that BA has to dumb-down it's content. If card-counting is a bit played, how about exploring some other advantage plays at the tables. Such as scavenger plays, back-betting, playing for comps, bonuses, tournaments.
I've been following your content for years. And hopefully you'll take some progressive steps forward. Rather than stepping back to try to stay with the crowd.
COLLABERATORZ Sean Huang
Agree with you, counting is very old school. The old lady at the next table knows you are counting. Let's get with the times, do the advanced stuff, or do you just teach the useless stuff to students.
I could teach a seminar of advanced techniques, that can be used today, and are not in any books that I know of, $5k-10k per head, and they would get that investment back in the first month or sooner, it would be only for advanced players who are already professional. But why, when I still can use it now, with no problems, and if I taught a bunch of people, the casinos would find out, and it would almost be useless.
Hey Sean, I appreciate the input. And that's pretty cool that you've been watching for years!
First off, this video was requested by an AP. He wanted me to break down the math behind some of the dumb betting strategies gamblers use. I am always first and foremost committed to teaching card counters. BJA is doing better than ever, so I'm not changing course to stay with the crowd.
Secondly, our best content is in our Member's course. There's a lot of stuff I don't feel comfortable sharing on a public site like UA-cam.
Hope that helps, and let me know if there are specific videos you want me to add to my list of ideas.
Hey Doug, card counting is old school, but it's still the most profitable advantage play I know... and I know a lot of APs. Sure, you can hole-card if/when you can find it. But my card counter friends like "Yoshi" and "Joe748" make more money than my "advanced AP" friends at the end of the year.
Blackjack Apprenticeship
I have been counting for a lot of years, started tracking 25 years or so, which the edge was greater, more bets and big advantage. The problem with straight counting, is most casinos will kick you out in the first 15 minutes. I also meet people with the tracking computers(clumps of big or small cards), they also had sequencers that worked with the one riffle shuffles that a few casinos used for their 8 decks, with these programs you could flat betts one max. Then there were the ace sequencers that would find ace locations, done by computer or in the head, they worked with up to two riffles. Then there is another method that I use for games with a high limit($1000 and up), which there is no published material that I know of. I don't play much anymore, because I don't have to, because I have to travel to third world countries, surveillance that can have my photo or video anywhere in minutes.
We had a small team that would independent of each other most of the year, and would get together 1-2 times a year.
Yes it possible for counting achieving higher totals at the end of the year, but not if they have the same games and same bankroll.
A friend of mine, X team member, wrote a book, the ultimate edge. You should read it. One section he talks about the temperature outside, the same as his edge(not legal) in blackjack, he lived in Vegas. Lol
@@douglee5599 - Let's see, a professional, i.e. one who makes his living from gambling - is going to pay you 5 to 10k to learn something else about making his living from gambling. lol Yeah, ok.
Im going to post this again.......
The player that holds on 14. That does not work on tables that use an old school shoe. In casinos that use the autoshuffler where cards get put back into play every hand or every few hands, this absolutely is going to profit. I realized this at casinos in Halifax as they switched from dealers that gave us a cut card, to continuous shufflers. When you sit at a table, and you play the first hand of a 6 deck shoe, do you think about cards pulled out? No. So lets just look at that 14 the player has. In the first deck of any 6 deck shoe, there would be 8s, 9s, 10s that would bust. That is a total of 12 cards in a deck. Ace, two, means he has to draw again, and increases the chances the next card will bust him. So that means now in a single deck, 20 cards do NOT help the player. Times that by 6, 120 cards, give or take the ones in play which you can open see except the dealer's hole card. What cards help the player? threes, fours, fives, sixes and sevents. That is 20 cards in a single deck that help. Again, times that by the 6 decks, and that is 120 cards that help the player. That is almost a 50-50 chance he busts at this point. Remember this is the FIRST hand out of a 6 deck shoe, as the machine constantly shuffles the deck. Your old math from basic strategy no longer applies. You cant use your math to determine the percent he loses with the continuous shuffler.
Now, with a 50-50 chance you might bust, why do you not hit against a dearler's face card? Because, let's look at the likelihood he has to hit. With a 10, only a seven, eight, nine, ten, jack queen, king help him. The ace is out of play as they would have checked for black jack. So that means in a 52 card deck, minus about 12 cards, only 28 cards can help minus any of them number cards you an see in other people's hands. 5 cards would have the dealer draw a third card. Those would be a two, thru six. 5 different numbers. So while 7 numbers help the dealer, 5 hurt.
7 vs 5. Very close to 50-50.... but now lets go back to the part earlier in the video where you said that if you are higher than the dealer, you win. If the dealer is higher than you, they win. So far it is tied. If you bust and the dealer does not, the dealer wins. If you do not bust and the dealer does, you win. Now here is where the catch is..... the biggest house edge is that it does not matter what they do if you bust, they still take your money. But holding on 14, they do not take your money. This means they have only ONE way to beat you, and that is produce a card that helps, and again, out of the 12 possible cards that can come up, 7 help the dealer, and 5 hurt. Knowing that the dealer will bust with that king a fair amount of times, winning on THOSE instances, helps the player a ton.
Basic strategy works going through and entire shoe but it is worthless vs the continuous shuffler.
I saw so many videos against this thanks for exposing the truth
Key thing is you will lose no matter what 12-13/hr vs100/hr
You still lose
Look up EV. Expected value.
All casino games have an edge for the house and the EV is different for different games.
How many are here after gta casino update?
Have been here before, but yeah.
lol goddam man >_
how many here have a life and dont play in life?
ok well im in australia and use this method it at home with friends. at home i only broke even but thats good enough for me i used to get small wins at blackjack 3-400 dollars never much more but since using the no bust method and opening multiple boxes i have had 1 win of over 7 thousand and lots of wins going home with 1-2k it riles up other players if it affects them, you also need to make sure your the first box build a bank and as you do open more boxes i have had the whole table a few times.:)
this will be hard cos im constanlty busting at the blackjack table. ive been kicked out so many times now.
when we gonna learn the real stretegy?
what do you mean? that's what we are teaching
I used to host single deck blackjack out of my house with no max bet and allowed players to split when their hand was suited.
Yup, I went broke
Hahaha.
ETA: I get it.
There's one basic fact to make you feel better about hitting 'crappy hands': in every deck, there are an equal number of small cards (2, 3, 4, 5) as there are 10-value cards (10, J, Q, K). Remember that whenever you've got a 16 the Basic Strategy says you have to hit.
Not against a 6 or lower tho.
Cause then the chance for the dealer to bust is higher
sometimes i do no bust but overall game i do basic strategy
You look like peter baelish
No offence 😂
Call me Littlefinger. 😆
Blackjack hahahah... really funny
Yes, another little finger!
When people with 16 or less stand when dealer shows a 7+ is so cringe
OMFG, If you're that fucking scared to take a card for fear of busting out, than you should really not being playing Blackjack in the fucking first place! The thrill of taking a card and getting a 21, or even just making your hand, will always out way the pain of busting out, and or not knowing what the outcome would have been if you stayed or surrendered your shitty hand!
Question: with all these online casinos now (fandango, DraftKings etc), aren’t they concerned that you can just use your card telling when to fit and when not to hit and greatly improve your odds? This is not something you can do in Vegas or AC.
In most physical games, playing with perfect basic strategy reduces the house's edge from 1.5% to 0.5%, they still have an edge though so in the long run will make money, a lot of casinos actually don't mind you having a strategy card with you. I'll admit I know very little about online blackjack though but it will probably be similar
One of the craziest and stupidest things I ever did while playing BJ was hit on my 17 against dealers Ace. the next 4cards in the shoe were 3, 5, K, A Meaning had I stayed on 17 dealer would of got 19 and beat me but because I hit I ended up with 20 and dealer got 17 lol. I remember everybody shaking their heads at the table there was about 5 other people so a pretty full table and everyones eyes just lit up when they saw that I won. Btw, my wager was the maximum which was $1000,00 USD and I figured t myself, fuck it I am most likely going to lose with my 17 against the dealers Ace just too many possibilities for the dealer but tbh I wouldn't recommend ever doing this because mathematically I believe I increased my odds significantly of losing by doing something so foolish as hitting on a hand where one is suppose to stay according to basic strategy.
Even doubling a hard 20 works 1/13 of the time. That doesn't mean it's a smart way to play.
God's Boy
Many hands are losers no matter what you do, so do the option that loses you the least, if it's a winner, make as much as possible, 9-9 vs 6, split and win more.
I hit hard 17s sometimes when i play spanish21
I played so much poker that hitting on a 17 is no big deal , 4 out of 13 card will help you.
And when you have 17 against the dealers 10 and hit you might get a 10,9 or 8 but else the dealer will get the 10,9 or 8 and wins anyway, in that way its 4 out of 13 cards will help you and 6 out of 13 cards helps only the dealer so its only a risk of 3 out of 13( 7, 6, or 5) (thats why i prefer to play 1 on 1 vs the dealer. maybe just superstition but it just feels better)
Habier.
You played so much poker? We are talking blackjack, not poker. If you like heads up blackjack, I will give you a car every month, if you play against me. $100 min. /40 hrs per week.
Everything depends on luck..
At the end 😉😉😉
In the VERY short term, this is true. But not in the long run. Casinos aren't just super lucky. 😉
Not to mention that the rest of the table will be pissed if you don't hit when you are supposed to
Since most gamblers probably don’t know basic strategy, I am pretty sure that if you hit on 16, other people will think you are new to Blackjack.
I heard about the unbalanced count where 7s are plus 1. 12-16s should stay on 2-6 because with higher counts you are more likely to bust. It’s great cover. It’s a 50/50ish play anyway and benefits you when you are ramping up your bet. Still trying to figure out the math though
The thing about " card counting" you need a single or 2 deck but most games now are 6ndecks .. side bets . 5 dollar tables are the riskiest
I've seen a variation whereby you watch the dealer's hands... if he's busting. that's the time to go to a no-bust strategy. If he's getting 21 three hands in a row on small cards, then definitely not a good idea. But then if that's happening it's probably a good idea to find another table.
You cannot predict future results based on past results. That is gambler’s fallacy. Whoever told you that strategy has no clue how to win.
Well let’s hear how you really bet how much per hand and how much if you lose 4-5 hands do you go higher
They said that they count cards. You should be betting based on whether or not the odds are in your favor, not on past results.
And the only guys I see making huge runs they bet big sometimes lose big anyone can do that
Sometimes I go against basic stragedy but not often. Say if I have a 12 vs a 2,3 we have a postive 2 count I stay. If I have 16 vs a 10 somebody in front of me takes a 5 I go against the book and stay. I bust a lot of hands hitting 12-16 but I also make a lot more hands to beat the dealer as well.
Ok, well that's gambling unless you know and are using the index numbers on the deviation charts.
So the static image of this picture has the player peeking at his cards as they were the hole cards in hold ‘‘em yet blackjack cards are felt face up and players aren’t supposed to touch their cards. Maybe they could have picked a better picture?
Even if you hit a 16. You only have a 37% chance of busting. Mathematics. Dealers only have a 17% chance of busting on any given hand. (Dealer does not stand on soft 17.)
The dealers 1 down card that is the trick to get the player to hit and at players seat you feel like u always have to try to beat the dealer
its like standing at the plate full count bottom of the ninth anything close to the plate you have to swing. So I say in those situations i'm swinging for the fences. 7 8 9 10 dealer showing with my 12 thru 16 im hitting. Unless of course you know the count or you been playing at that table for some time and your gut says not to hit and let the dealer bust. it is called gambling for a reason!!
I tried the no bust strategy once. I didn't lose a hand for twenty minutes, and the played another ten minutes before losing my second hand. It's all a matter of getting the cards.
Joe Shmoe Any strategy is a matter of getting the cards. We base whether or not it works on how it works in the long run. If you play No Bust for long enough, you would be down more money than you would be if you had played basic strategy instead. If you did not lose for twenty minutes, you are either lucky or you are lying. Try No Bust for fifteen more hours and then tell me how you are doing.
Its Is the secret. I use it everyday. Its simple math you have 2 ways to win and 2 ways to lose. Same as dealer. If you bust yourself your giving up one of your chances.
Wrong. If you do not hit, the chance you are giving away is being able to get a high hand.
I'm actually puzzled. Perhaps someone could help me understand. While I realize that the 16 is likely to lose against a face card, and maybe that's the reason to hit, because the current situation is almost always a losing one, I don't get the statement "there are more cards that help you than hurt you" which is what was said in this video in relation to hitting when one has a 16 and the dealer is showing a face card. That doesn't seem to be the case: you are improved with an A,2,3,4,5 but harmed by all the other cards - 6,7,8,9,T,J,Q,K. That's five that improve you and eight that bust you.
How does that align with the statement "there are more cards that help you than hurt you"? People just repeat that statement. I think even Colin said it in this video. But it isn't true.
I have to assume that even thought that statement is false that the fact that the average hand the dealer has with a face-up card is 18.5 (according to what Colin said) one can credit the situation where one has a 16 and the dealer has a face-up card as one in which one is effectively always losing (in terms of the right decision to make overall) and for THAT reason one hits because losing ALWAYS (effectively) is worse than 5/13 to improve.
I play Blackjack... my typical hands are FACE, 2 thru 6 and then another FACE. I'd win more if I can bet on my hand having a count of 12, thru 16 on the 1st 2 cards. Exactly why I never play anymore.
I play blackjack here in the UK and I have noticed a LOT of players doing this... BAD GAMBLING
IF the dealer is showing a Ten Jack Queen King or Ace ..You MUST be brave ... WHY???
Because the chances are the dealer WILL NOT bust if he is starting with a strong hand...