2030: Privacy's Dead. What happens next?

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  • Опубліковано 5 вер 2014
  • tomscott.com - / tomscott - At dConstruct 2014, I spin a tale of the future: not to make a prediction, but to put our current world in perspective.
    Thanks to all the dConstruct folks at the Brighton Dome: crew, volunteers, and audience!
  • Наука та технологія

КОМЕНТАРІ • 3,9 тис.

  • @jasbitmaster
    @jasbitmaster 4 роки тому +4766

    What I find most interesting about this is brutal truth in "Privacy was already dead in 2014, we just hadn't realized it yet".

    • @adrianalexandrov7730
      @adrianalexandrov7730 3 роки тому +153

      Yep. In hindsight in 2020 it was kinda obvious. But we still missed it.

    • @TheAlison1456
      @TheAlison1456 3 роки тому +37

      It died when the telephone was invented. Stop with the recency bias.

    • @yotokil2914
      @yotokil2914 3 роки тому +115

      @@TheAlison1456 how did the telephone kill privacy?

    • @Alex-02
      @Alex-02 3 роки тому +22

      @@yotokil2914 Because you can be contacted at any point, u can’t just “lay low” anymore.

    • @connor___
      @connor___ 3 роки тому +155

      @@Alex-02 Telephones couldn't always be carried with you.

  • @Xenuos
    @Xenuos 5 років тому +5013

    2030: "We've updated our privacy policy."

  • @sporter113
    @sporter113 3 роки тому +4492

    "This Sea Shanty band won't ever reach number 1."
    2021 says hi.

    • @pinkmandymoo
      @pinkmandymoo 3 роки тому +63

      Yes! Say that to Nathan Evans!

    • @therealdoc
      @therealdoc 3 роки тому +11

      It's not a *band*, it's a song from a game.

    • @DawidKov
      @DawidKov 3 роки тому +232

      @@therealdoc Wellerman? It's an actual whaler song, it's not from any games. Even if it is present in a game.

    • @takashi.mizuiro
      @takashi.mizuiro 3 роки тому +15

      hi

    • @mcmonkey26
      @mcmonkey26 3 роки тому +21

      this *folk rock* sea shantie band won’t ever reach number 1

  • @kagitsune
    @kagitsune 3 роки тому +2153

    "everyone knows that a folk rock sea shanty band isn't going to make to the top of the Radio 1 playlist"
    *_welcome to late 2020_*

    • @fancyacuppa7857
      @fancyacuppa7857 3 роки тому +241

      "Yes, knowing the identity of every face in the mob is devastating knowledge, but that won't stop them from storming the gates of your palace if they're already there."
      *welcome to 2021*

    • @wheezel55
      @wheezel55 3 роки тому +43

      @@fancyacuppa7857 January 6th to be exact

    • @purpledevilr7463
      @purpledevilr7463 3 роки тому +5

      Ah, I love that song.

    • @wheezel55
      @wheezel55 3 роки тому +8

      @@purpledevilr7463 ai want to be neenja

    • @purpledevilr7463
      @purpledevilr7463 3 роки тому +3

      @@wheezel55 ?

  • @eddedomer
    @eddedomer 4 роки тому +3356

    2030: "we've deleted our privacy policy"

    • @salj.5459
      @salj.5459 4 роки тому +185

      "Wait, there's no privacy policy?"
      "Never has been."
      Seriously, people need to read those things more carefully because it's usually just companies admitting that they sell your data to advertisers and you must accept that to use their product

    • @nashanderson7209
      @nashanderson7209 4 роки тому +62

      @@salj.5459 It isn't really possible for the average person to read the entire TOS and Privacy Policy and comprehend it....

    • @leonardochapman4736
      @leonardochapman4736 3 роки тому +9

      @@WillWood282 nobody likes you

    • @universenerdd
      @universenerdd 3 роки тому +7

      @@WillWood282 idiot, you don't understand humans hate doing what there told

    • @carleflores9065
      @carleflores9065 3 роки тому +8

      could you like not be assholes to will?

  • @Breakfast221
    @Breakfast221 8 років тому +5906

    Tom, your talks terrify me sometimes.

    • @Ry-vh3js
      @Ry-vh3js 7 років тому +81

      Breakfast221 More like the future and life scares you

    • @ThePCguy17
      @ThePCguy17 6 років тому +49

      That's sorta the point

    • @inanjarif1388
      @inanjarif1388 5 років тому +142

      @@Ry-vh3js More like a dystopian version of the future scares them. Like Tom said in the video, it's not *THE* future,just *A* future out of the infinite possibilities there are. Who knows,maybe,just maybe, humanity will not screw up as predicted by almost every sci-fi work ever and instead create a _good_ future for once?

    • @sweiland75
      @sweiland75 5 років тому +68

      @@inanjarif1388 This isn't the future. This is NOW. We have surrendered too much of our privacy to the Internet for convenience.

    • @Ry-vh3js
      @Ry-vh3js 5 років тому +3

      @@inanjarif1388 that would be great mate, also I forgot that i ever made that comment haha

  • @cruxmind
    @cruxmind 3 роки тому +568

    Tom Scott is like a social media Stephan Hawking. I adore his way of storytelling opinions that are needed to be discussed.

    • @MultiCheeseLouise
      @MultiCheeseLouise 2 роки тому +3

      can you imagine stephen hawking coming up with anything as batshit insane as the idea of people communicating through what seems to be telepathy via mumbling quietly into a 'throat microphone'? comparing this absolutely nuts ted talk to one of the smartest men of our generation makes you sound almost as crazy as tom does.

    • @22tfortnitevevo
      @22tfortnitevevo 2 роки тому +21

      @@MultiCheeseLouise the whole point of this is to see what the future might resemble and give commentary on the present, not to actually be accurate lmfao

    • @jsrsd
      @jsrsd 2 роки тому +8

      @@MultiCheeseLouise imagine being this two dimensional

    • @Wiibiplay
      @Wiibiplay 6 місяців тому

      I'm sure Tom Scott isn't visiting Epstein's Island though!

  • @shreyanshsingh999
    @shreyanshsingh999 3 роки тому +586

    Legends say that Tom has been wearing that same red shirt for more than 20 years

    • @deepaparakkal4241
      @deepaparakkal4241 2 роки тому +5

      *30

    • @rusty9705
      @rusty9705 2 роки тому +5

      I mean, at the very least he’s been wearing red shirts for 12, possibly 14.

    • @solgato5186
      @solgato5186 2 роки тому +2

      it could just be an app

    • @determiedmech1187
      @determiedmech1187 2 роки тому +4

      And the gray sweater with a slight tinge of blue

  • @mads_in_zero
    @mads_in_zero 5 років тому +3975

    "Yes, knowing the identity of every face in the mob is devastating knowledge, but that won't stop them from storming the gates of your palace if they're already there."
    *Damn* now there's a good line.

    • @johannalvarsson9299
      @johannalvarsson9299 5 років тому +171

      only IF they are already there and not imprisoned yet (or worse)

    • @johnfouse6847
      @johnfouse6847 4 роки тому +75

      Johnann Alvarsson
      The fact that tyrannies don't care about privacy does not mean that a lack of privacy creates tyranny.

    • @sirdeadlock
      @sirdeadlock 4 роки тому +97

      Actually, it might. You can call out to each person and address their concerns, then remind them why this isn't the answer they need. It's not a sure thing, but a whole building being able to pick apart a crowd and personalize the action, saying "I've already called your mum. What do you want me to tell her?" can have a lot of weight.

    • @jwadaow
      @jwadaow 4 роки тому +135

      @@johnfouse6847 The lack of privacy is tyranny.

    • @Djorgal
      @Djorgal 4 роки тому +13

      @@jwadaow Just repeating what someone just said after reversing it does not constitute an argument. Would you care to support your claim?

  • @MickyVideo
    @MickyVideo 8 років тому +12804

    Can't wait to see the "Like if you're watching in 2030" comment.

    • @thecelestialstarship
      @thecelestialstarship 8 років тому +99

      14 years to go...

    • @dannytran2134
      @dannytran2134 8 років тому +137

      +Micky Like if you're watching in 1998

    • @soulkiller3
      @soulkiller3 8 років тому +189

      Good luck with that. UA-cam comment section was deleted in 2025 when telepathic communication to the google super hub was installed in all Brain chips. Anyway am wasting time on youtube comment section, time is short, i must stop Hillery Clinton the future is at risk.

    • @zinqtable1092
      @zinqtable1092 8 років тому +7

      Nostalgia...

    • @lukafi
      @lukafi 7 років тому +11

      11 years to go!!

  • @manpluscamera5482
    @manpluscamera5482 3 роки тому +502

    Tom Scott predicted Tiktok: “You still need an editor to package up the highlights… and put it together for consumption. Powered by measuring attention responses and constant A/B testing.
    Everyone is providing a life log for their friends, and if they’re good at it, an audience beyond that as well. They’re the ones getting sponsorship and product placement.”

    • @brocolindo1
      @brocolindo1 2 роки тому +4

      legend

    • @Wayloz
      @Wayloz 2 роки тому +22

      Applies to tiktok as well as youtube and really any platform that delivers video content. Though UA-cam is the main one who will actually let you see those analytics.

    • @bilingualistic8514
      @bilingualistic8514 2 роки тому +7

      13:37

    • @eraven1982
      @eraven1982 2 роки тому +5

      I was coming to say this... Glad someone already did!

    • @cloudysky5701
      @cloudysky5701 2 роки тому +1

      I was just thinking that

  • @blockmath_2048
    @blockmath_2048 4 місяці тому +10

    Tom Scott perfectly described the rise of AI language models. This man was given the gift of prophecy

  • @TotalElipse
    @TotalElipse 5 років тому +2943

    For anyone keeping track, modern-day Google Assistant is now quite capable of solving the "Where should we eat tonight" problem.

    • @ashleybyrd2015
      @ashleybyrd2015 4 роки тому +61

      S T O P

    • @Kannot2023
      @Kannot2023 4 роки тому +226

      answer in covid 19 pandemic: at home

    • @thatpitter
      @thatpitter 4 роки тому +55

      And can call and order. Unless that controversial feature was removed...

    • @Mercilessonion
      @Mercilessonion 4 роки тому +13

      @@thatpitter You mean Google Duplex?

    • @albertjackinson
      @albertjackinson 4 роки тому +5

      @Jack Sibley How can it do that?

  • @joaquinguzman1669
    @joaquinguzman1669 7 років тому +4184

    2030: Privacy's Dead. What happens next?
    But everytime Tom sighs it gets faster

    • @cilliqn2747
      @cilliqn2747 6 років тому +44

      yES

    • @samuelgunter
      @samuelgunter 5 років тому +25

      @@TNTzx77 -2 hours

    • @OnlyEpicEmber
      @OnlyEpicEmber 4 роки тому +15

      I miss this meme

    • @OrangeC7
      @OrangeC7 4 роки тому +4

      @Wardhouse AND it gets faster

    • @TunaBagels
      @TunaBagels 4 роки тому +56

      Tom exemplifies the highly British talent of always seeming exhausted

  • @scheimong
    @scheimong 3 роки тому +151

    I've committed to watching this video every year or so, and for the past few years it's been getting scarier and scarier every time I watch it.

  • @brendan308
    @brendan308 3 роки тому +232

    “A folk rock sea shanty band won’t make the top of the chart”

    • @therealdoc
      @therealdoc 3 роки тому +4

      It's not a band, it's just one song.

    • @egorkhristov2467
      @egorkhristov2467 3 роки тому +5

      @@therealdoc soon may the tendieman come

    • @dafoex
      @dafoex 3 роки тому +1

      Yet Port Isaac's Fisherman's Friends have a movie

    • @MediumDSpeaks
      @MediumDSpeaks 3 роки тому +1

      @@egorkhristov2467 I did not expect this but you've made my life more than my GME gains

  • @erictaylor5462
    @erictaylor5462 8 років тому +3724

    Many of the teenagers of 2030 are ALREADY ALIVE!
    Update: Now that it is 2018, we are less than 12 years away from 2030. Anyone born after 31 December 2017 will not be 13 until 2031.

    • @LordFennel
      @LordFennel 8 років тому +370

      Holy sh*t that's a terrifying thought.

    • @erictaylor5462
      @erictaylor5462 8 років тому +204

      LordFennel
      2030 is now less than 14 years away. In fact the last teenagers of 2030 will be born next year (2017). babies born in 2017 will turn 13 in 2030.
      I heard one that made me feel old. High school freshmen of this year were not alive in any part of the 20th Century.
      "Time keeps on slipping slipping slipping into the future...."

    • @PassionPopsicle
      @PassionPopsicle 8 років тому +80

      My daughter will be 17 in 2030. I can't even.

    • @erictaylor5462
      @erictaylor5462 8 років тому +112

      PassionPopsicle
      Just remember. Teenage daughters are God's punishment for men for being teenage boys.

    • @ndgoliberty
      @ndgoliberty 8 років тому +6

      +Eric Taylor im going to be old that will suck

  • @0cellusDS
    @0cellusDS 4 роки тому +712

    Me in 2030: "Kids these days! And their fancy Mind Reading! Back in my days, you'd get to chose which parts of your opinions you'd yell at people on the internet!"

    • @andrewmaperson
      @andrewmaperson 3 роки тому +4

      hehe

    • @roblamb8327
      @roblamb8327 2 роки тому +11

      Meanwhile back in the InfoCapital those who disliked your opinions would selectively edit and subvert your message by massaging your body language and facial expressions. With prolonged experience the recipient will learn to recognise and interpret those edited visual and audible tags, leading to the misinterpretation of telepathy as those skills would be used in face-to-face contact.

    • @gorky1317
      @gorky1317 2 роки тому

      People can't handle others freedom of speech as it is. And with how many speaking mistakes we all make in a lifetime - there is no cost to speech that is affordable for anyone.
      They'd lose their sanity attempting to share free thought.
      Don't let totalitarianism take away the only things you actually own - choices, like what you share with the world, and what ideas shooting about your head are worth indulging - because everyone gets screwy thoughts, its how your personal identity filters them and ranks their validity and importance that matters - and that is entirely for the individual to weigh and decide.
      Because you can't learn otherwise, and nobody starts at the finish with no learning.
      All these modern movements are nothing but thoughtless emotional knee jerks free of any kind of logical assessment of whether we can even actually live that way.
      Modernists believe we haven't figured life out a LONG long time ago, they think this "age of technology" changes things - it doesn't change anything at all in the base make-up of the animal we are.
      Evolution is physiological - not behavioural. And you can't just turn a switch and say "know our minds will work like this" - its just braindead nonsense purported by fools and the control class to keep the sheep asleep at the trough.

    • @AverageUsernames
      @AverageUsernames 2 роки тому

      You own nothing and be happy

    • @NDS8027
      @NDS8027 2 роки тому +2

      Kids in 2030: “What is a internet? All I know is Auto-interning-algorithms!”

  • @KanshouB
    @KanshouB 3 роки тому +317

    It is scary how complacent people have become when it comes to privacy

    • @Noelciaaa
      @Noelciaaa 3 роки тому +38

      I feel like many have realised so much of their info has already leaked out, that the damage is done and don't care to do anything.

    • @KanshouB
      @KanshouB 3 роки тому +16

      @@Noelciaaa they can still try to prevent new people from getting their info, and try to prevent companies from collecting more information on them

    • @kole1ful
      @kole1ful 2 роки тому +33

      Everybody values ease, instant result and instant gratification now unfortunately.
      Once you taste ease and comfort, as a human being it’s difficult to go back.
      Also the deed was already done from when these apps started many people do not just care anymore.

    • @KanshouB
      @KanshouB 2 роки тому +2

      @@kole1ful its a shame that this is the way things are

    • @Noelciaaa
      @Noelciaaa 2 роки тому +1

      @@kole1ful well said

  • @EricRedbear
    @EricRedbear 3 роки тому +78

    Almost 7 years have passed since this video was posted --- just a little algorithm bump here. Tom Scott, I've only discovered you in the last week and am amazed at the vast majority of your videos. This one is going in my Favorites folder.

  • @allie-ontheweb
    @allie-ontheweb 9 років тому +766

    I've taken it as a personal challenge to download this to my computer and to try and preserve this until 2030. Then I'll look back on it and see how naïve we all were (maybe).

    • @Alche_mist
      @Alche_mist 5 років тому +114

      If you still have it, make several backups. The storage deteriorates and changes too.

    • @joychapman9228
      @joychapman9228 4 роки тому +3

      'n'

    • @saulo4302
      @saulo4302 4 роки тому +66

      Do you still remember this?
      It's 2020 when I'm writing this.
      Anyway, have a nice day or night, or whatever.

    • @UNBOUNDWR
      @UNBOUNDWR 4 роки тому

      Hello

    • @BowlOfHotDogs
      @BowlOfHotDogs 4 роки тому +3

      @@UNBOUNDWR Top of the morning to ya

  • @TheKeatonWarrior
    @TheKeatonWarrior 7 років тому +3627

    I can't wait to get memes streamed to me at 800 wpm 24/7

    • @Paul-sj5db
      @Paul-sj5db 5 років тому +129

      Is it ironic that I watched this, and most videos at 1.5-2x faster?

    • @Dekeullan
      @Dekeullan 5 років тому +19

      @@Paul-sj5db I thought it was just me doing that

    • @Paul-sj5db
      @Paul-sj5db 5 років тому +47

      @@Dekeullan nope, me too. Do you find that it makes everyone sound the same? Or that they sound reaaalllyyyyy slowwwwwww at normal speed?

    • @ShivamSan
      @ShivamSan 5 років тому +17

      I wonder what 2030 memes would be like. smh.

    • @adamgray9212
      @adamgray9212 5 років тому +83

      @@ShivamSan by 2030 memes will be so devoid of any discernible meaning they'll be used as seeds for true random number generators

  • @memento_mori921
    @memento_mori921 3 роки тому +109

    from the perspective of someone in 2020 tom really did predict the future

  • @charchar635
    @charchar635 3 роки тому +116

    it's kinda funny how this is already becoming reality with still 9 years to go

  • @dross6206
    @dross6206 4 роки тому +3752

    2014: Everyone laughs at a comment about getting info from Twitter.
    Now: Twitter is the primary way to get info from the US President

  • @turnedtables8516
    @turnedtables8516 4 роки тому +10875

    tom scott: “a magical currency based on a credit score of reputation”
    china: yes, i’m listening.

    • @MichaelS-vy1ku
      @MichaelS-vy1ku 4 роки тому +244

      this is from 2014, and china started their credit score program in 2015 hmm

    • @qwertykeyboard5901
      @qwertykeyboard5901 4 роки тому +236

      You spelt america wrong

    • @crazyoncoffee
      @crazyoncoffee 4 роки тому +439

      qwerty keyboard China is actually implementing this

    • @bulldozer8950
      @bulldozer8950 4 роки тому +147

      China: write that down! WRITE THAT DOWN!!!

    • @thespanishinquisition8853
      @thespanishinquisition8853 4 роки тому +139

      Dude no, it's just one Chinese company trying to determine their users' trustworthiness on a second hand selling platform, and no it doesn't spy on people's social media, only their selling records and qualifications are taken into account. I'm shocked on how twisted this news had became.

  • @TRVladdy
    @TRVladdy Рік тому +43

    Its incredible how well this story is written.
    Everything that is being said, is being said with a purpose and makes you reflect on our current time and just how much it makes sense.
    Tom Scott you are a freaking legend.

  • @antigonemerlin
    @antigonemerlin 7 місяців тому +7

    It is stunning to think how similar the current AI boom is to what Tom said, and it is less a reflection of Tom's genius than it is a stunning indictment of tech's utter predictability.

  • @Jayanky
    @Jayanky 4 роки тому +469

    Hello to the people this gets recommended to in 2030 from 10 years ago.

    • @oliverjepp3113
      @oliverjepp3113 4 роки тому +8

      thumbs up to make it happen

    • @xexpaguette
      @xexpaguette 3 роки тому +21

      DO NOT COMMENT UNTIL 2030, THE REPLY LIMIT IS 500 SO WE SHOULDN'T WASTE THE REPLY SPACE WITH US PRE-2030 PEOPLE.

    • @TejasIsAmazing
      @TejasIsAmazing 3 роки тому +4

      Hmm, if someone sees this in the future in 2030,
      K cool, so wat

    • @HOTD108_
      @HOTD108_ 3 роки тому +3

      @@xexpaguette This video already has over 2000 comments. I question your 500 comment limit statement.

    • @xexpaguette
      @xexpaguette 3 роки тому +11

      @@HOTD108_ sorry, I meant 500 reply limit
      (a comment can have a maximum of 500 replies)

  • @Xaith89
    @Xaith89 9 років тому +870

    I love how the there's this... horrified silence in the crowd.
    The silence when someone tells you that in 15-16 years the end of the world is coming and it may be good, it may be bad, but it's coming.
    And about the smartphones thing? He's absolutely right. I suddenly remembered that no, I didn't always had an iPhone, before that I had the Nokia 3310 brick. Before he mentioned that specific part I never really thought about that...

    • @jamiemcgrath4914
      @jamiemcgrath4914 6 років тому +1

      Xaith89 Yu

    • @JoshSweetvale
      @JoshSweetvale 5 років тому +7

      Not the end of the world. The end of lies.

    • @thinkublu
      @thinkublu 5 років тому +20

      It was probably that there was no mic for the crowd tbh

    • @vienlacrose
      @vienlacrose 4 роки тому +17

      @@JoshSweetvale
      Wrong.
      The end of consensus reality.

    • @Chicomacheeno
      @Chicomacheeno 4 роки тому +16

      When I grew up, phones were attached to the wall with a cord and when we went to the cabin, there was no phone at all. We talked with each other, who were actually there sharing our experience in reality, not some imaginary “Black Mirror” meta life.

  • @ElectricS01
    @ElectricS01 Рік тому +18

    The funny thing is that he's just describing modern Large Language Models and its only 2023

  • @tonyhakston536
    @tonyhakston536 3 роки тому +57

    So would sensory overload count as a major disability if being able to process 800 words a minute is necessary for day to day life?

  • @LiftedStarfish
    @LiftedStarfish 4 роки тому +551

    "UA-cam and it's successors" Still waiting for those successors...

    • @bassfight2936
      @bassfight2936 4 роки тому +47

      Twitch, tiktok, probably some others

    • @kommentator1157
      @kommentator1157 4 роки тому +82

      @@bassfight2936 The two you mentioned fill obviously different needs.

    • @gatedrat6382
      @gatedrat6382 4 роки тому +19

      All it takes is one major problem/a better platform than youtube and it's gone

    • @darkfuji196
      @darkfuji196 4 роки тому +43

      @@gatedrat6382 Nah, lookup the network effect. You'd need to somehow bring over an entire cohort of users incredibly quickly.

    • @gatedrat6382
      @gatedrat6382 4 роки тому +8

      @@darkfuji196 But isn't that what a major problem/better platform (or maybe both actually) would do?

  • @dirtyd2162
    @dirtyd2162 4 роки тому +2720

    2020
    Google has removed “don’t be evil” from their manifesto

    • @lineriderrulz
      @lineriderrulz 4 роки тому +217

      I dare say that's a long overdue removal

    • @rightwingsafetysquad9872
      @rightwingsafetysquad9872 4 роки тому +229

      Not 2020, like 2017. You weren't predicting the future, you just missed a headline.

    • @spb1179
      @spb1179 4 роки тому +3

      @@evonsusk9731 Whats wrong with Nestle?

    • @Magmafrost13
      @Magmafrost13 4 роки тому +112

      @@SenhorAlien Not to forget their penchant for child slavery and stealing water from drought-stricken areas

    • @SenhorAlien
      @SenhorAlien 4 роки тому +5

      @@Magmafrost13 huh, didn't know those other two

  • @Pikachu0071000CS
    @Pikachu0071000CS 3 роки тому +67

    “Everyone knows that a folk rock sea shanty band won't make the top of the Radio 1 playlist"
    There once was a ship that put to sea...

    • @janik6882
      @janik6882 3 роки тому +1

      @Terry Gershman The winds blew up, her bow dipped down...

  • @finalolympian6912
    @finalolympian6912 3 роки тому +240

    15:01 Tom, I would like to inform you that Wellerman by the The Longest Johns is currently #37 on the UK’s top 40, and that I hope your predictions on privacy go as well as your insight in sea shanties

    • @jackgreenearth452
      @jackgreenearth452 2 роки тому +4

      Yes

    • @tao8150
      @tao8150 2 роки тому +11

      You have to be blind to think privacy isn't dead.

    • @dylanharding5720
      @dylanharding5720 2 роки тому +6

      @@tao8150 it's not dead. It's definitely dying though.

  • @brandinthompson4405
    @brandinthompson4405 8 років тому +1050

    2006, spell one word wrong and never find what I need
    2016, misspell most of my search terms and google still knows what I want.
    I'm afraid for what 2026 holds, let alone 2030.

    • @JohnJ-xm3fg
      @JohnJ-xm3fg 7 років тому +40

      Brandin Thompson 2017 put the wrong words like "virus downloed 2018" will put "anti virus downloads 2017"

    • @tengentopka727
      @tengentopka727 5 років тому +87

      Whenever Hardcore is typed Porn Hub comes up. They even know what kind of BBC I was searching for.

    • @succiboi4045
      @succiboi4045 5 років тому +15

      @@tengentopka727 funking hell, you killed me! Hahaha

    • @noesunyoutuber7680
      @noesunyoutuber7680 5 років тому +33

      @@tengentopka727 This is actually very annoying to me. I like Hardcore Punk, but guess what search term gets automatically stricken from my search history for being explicit?

    • @KentoKei
      @KentoKei 5 років тому +11

      Can't wait for 2027 where there is a 1% chance that more than 50% of all electronical devices stop working due to the sun of all things

  • @Kapin05
    @Kapin05 5 років тому +567

    "Would they think we're in a dystopia or a utopia? It'd be somewhere in the middle"
    What, like a neutopia?

  • @Living_Target
    @Living_Target Рік тому +22

    Tom Scott predicted ChatGPT. Not sure how how else to interpret "take petabytes of data, analyzes it, looks for patterns."

    • @alistairwall5470
      @alistairwall5470 11 місяців тому +3

      Especially the bit around "giving it the right hints" and it being like learning typing

  • @thegamingotaku78
    @thegamingotaku78 Рік тому +18

    here we are Tom, Ganymede is here, CHATGPT

  • @northernleigonare
    @northernleigonare 4 роки тому +420

    6 years later and this title makes so much more sense.

    • @fundamentalsofknowledge6902
      @fundamentalsofknowledge6902 3 роки тому +31

      7 years later and it makes even more sense...

    • @blingproductions4560
      @blingproductions4560 3 роки тому +13

      @@fundamentalsofknowledge6902 it’s only gonna make more sense as time progresses

    • @seth7745
      @seth7745 2 роки тому +4

      Seven years later and all his predictions are wrong. The change has arrived, we do live in a dystopia, the revelation that everyone is a criminal increased crime because it exonerates everyone. Everyone has accepted that our lives are not going to get better which is a paradox in that its a self fulfilling prophecy of society as a whole as we have duped ourselves into thinking we have to accept it. The only possible next big change that can make things better at this point is a solar flare that wipes it all out and forces us to once again interact as human beings.

    • @blingproductions4560
      @blingproductions4560 2 роки тому +2

      @@seth7745 holy crap, Lois

  • @dawnqwerty
    @dawnqwerty 9 років тому +352

    Ok did google guide me to this video because I love folk rock sea shanties? Because that is so spot on what I like.

    • @brettyarnall8322
      @brettyarnall8322 4 роки тому +1

      Epcot lp I was so confused until I got to that part

    • @Thermalions
      @Thermalions 4 роки тому +1

      I have no idea what folk rock sea shanties sound like - but the idea sounds awesome.

  • @osirisapex7483
    @osirisapex7483 3 роки тому +60

    Wow, that quote at 16:30 about knowing the identities of a mob that’s already storming the palace is a little too real...

  • @pladmitry
    @pladmitry 3 роки тому +37

    "Earbuds in, throat mics on"
    Idk, by that point we might actually have functional neurallink

  • @mlucasl
    @mlucasl 10 років тому +131

    The future of internet have two possibilities
    No one knows who you are, or everyone does.
    And both terrifies today's man.

    • @MrCmon113
      @MrCmon113 6 років тому +1

      Mariano Lucas
      You can always make a private connection and be entirely obscure to any outsider.

    • @daca8395
      @daca8395 5 років тому +9

      Allways walk the middle path

    • @joychapman9228
      @joychapman9228 4 роки тому +3

      I pick the former

    • @horstherbert35
      @horstherbert35 4 роки тому +2

      the only "private connection" is one that uses protocols that are completely new and only known to you and whoever you connect to.
      So either you start coding your own encryption algorithm, or you'll never have that.

    • @BlakeGeometrio
      @BlakeGeometrio 4 роки тому +6

      I don't see the issue with no one knowing who I am.

  • @Brok3nC4rrot
    @Brok3nC4rrot 10 років тому +734

    That's it, I'm going to be a technophobic old fossil. Thanks, Tom.

    • @rollingtroll
      @rollingtroll 5 років тому +6

      how about today?

    • @johnw2026
      @johnw2026 5 років тому +4

      I may just buy a Chevy Citation so as to be inconspicuous and do the same thing!

    • @JoshSweetvale
      @JoshSweetvale 4 роки тому +9

      @@johnw2026 So you'd say there's a... _citation needed?_ :D :D :D :D
      ...we have fun here.

    • @markm0000
      @markm0000 4 роки тому +20

      I used to work in IT and I can say for certain I’m going to retire somewhere in the middle of nowhere on a farm. Most people won’t be able to survive this when the engine turns evil.

    • @kdmedia1534
      @kdmedia1534 3 роки тому +2

      @@markm0000 I’m glad I live in a village

  • @benjamin_markus
    @benjamin_markus Рік тому +21

    even a year ago this would’ve been seen as largely fictional, though certainly possible in some not so near future. now in may 2023 i say it proved to be extremely prescient.

  • @eLBehmo
    @eLBehmo 3 роки тому +142

    16:28 "it will not stop that mob storming the gates of your palace" - oh boy, this didn't age well!

    • @smeagolplaysgames4517
      @smeagolplaysgames4517 3 роки тому +41

      No, it aged perfectly.

    • @Em-jc7ct
      @Em-jc7ct 3 роки тому +13

      Well it didnt stop them so this is perfect

    • @koruto721
      @koruto721 3 роки тому +3

      Yes it did

    • @Agnt14
      @Agnt14 3 роки тому +1

      Wait what happen

    • @smeagolplaysgames4517
      @smeagolplaysgames4517 3 роки тому +7

      @@Agnt14 Um were you watching the news around January 6th? Or were you under a rock?

  • @DOPEBEATZBOYS
    @DOPEBEATZBOYS 4 роки тому +615

    weird how outdated the 2014 references already are

  • @pleasureincontempt3645
    @pleasureincontempt3645 4 роки тому +414

    You probably won’t read this since UA-cam comments are generally cancerous. Tom Scott, you speak to world as a truthful altruist. I initially found your content while you were describing the Bolton Abbey strid. But the clarity and quality of your content has made me a permanent subscriber. Despite how non-aged this current video is; It needs to somehow be re-launched; It’s way more precient than ever.

  • @Royale9
    @Royale9 3 роки тому +31

    It will be a strange experience to see this video in 10 years again.

  • @commenter4898
    @commenter4898 Рік тому +8

    One development in the predicted direction is that we don't own the files and programs anymore. We pay subscription fee to use software, to stream music and film, while the tech companies own them and have every access to our data.

  • @VideoSage
    @VideoSage 5 років тому +3116

    "Teenagers are becoming telepathic" & people laugh.
    Yet, 4 years later, we have inventors and financers, like Elon Musk, talking about neural interfaces.

    • @FirstNameLastName-gh9iw
      @FirstNameLastName-gh9iw 4 роки тому +17

      Shoot

    • @parzival9639
      @parzival9639 3 роки тому +71

      @EbonyDarknessDementiaRavenWay well this technology is what allows some people who are paralyzed to use their hands, etc again (this is already here)

    • @carleflores9065
      @carleflores9065 3 роки тому +1

      AHHHHH

    • @PashaGamingYT
      @PashaGamingYT 3 роки тому +52

      And 2 years after that, we have commercially available neural interfaces for $600.

    • @parzival9639
      @parzival9639 3 роки тому +2

      @@PashaGamingYT exactly. Just incredible

  • @thedonk6062
    @thedonk6062 4 роки тому +1272

    2014 Tom Scott: App investors will lose all their money
    2019 Mobile game developers: _laughs in only 1% can beat level 5_

    • @mihasmradovic6486
      @mihasmradovic6486 4 роки тому +21

      @@lost2116 and voodoo

    • @rec8127
      @rec8127 3 роки тому +54

      Laughs in You Need 200 IQ To Beat This Game

    • @codinghub3759
      @codinghub3759 3 роки тому +40

      @@rec8127 You need -200 IQ to even think about downloading them. At least -1000 for actually downloading them. And -Infinte to keep playing it.

    • @rynzoku8662
      @rynzoku8662 3 роки тому +8

      animegeek96 some other apps like minecraft, roblox or other big well known games still hold up most of the mobile community

    • @nodell8729
      @nodell8729 3 роки тому +4

      @@depression_isnt_real It changed. Mobile apps for open market - mostly gone, less and less wants them. Apps ordered by clients for their internal needs only - booming. Apps are now easier then ever to make, therefore they went through super customization.

  • @Twisted_Code
    @Twisted_Code 2 роки тому +6

    "The Internet give us access to everything; but it also gave everything access to us" -James Veitch, from his TED talk "The agony of trying to unsubscribe"

  • @Svenne23
    @Svenne23 Рік тому +26

    2014 - The next big thing is around the corner
    2023 - Hello Chat GPT

  • @poetryinwinter9581
    @poetryinwinter9581 4 роки тому +351

    When Tom Scott opens his closet:
    Which red shirt should I wear today?
    But in all seriousness, I love your videos! keep it up!

  • @pantheon6920
    @pantheon6920 3 роки тому +65

    At the sponsored lives section, I was about to scoff but then... snapchat. Instagram influencers. We didn't have to wait for 2030 for this one. It's here right now in 2020.

  • @_creare_2742
    @_creare_2742 Рік тому +22

    I cant wait, in 7 years, to look back at this video and see how right he was.

    • @misadique845
      @misadique845 Рік тому +4

      We can already see that he's right.

  • @LeoLeito.
    @LeoLeito. Рік тому +9

    The fact that Facebook "survives" maybe was a risky gamble in 2014, but now you can't even uninstall their app from your phone.

  • @wau-l9
    @wau-l9 8 років тому +1956

    Tom Scott = 12th Doctor confirmed

    • @wau-l9
      @wau-l9 8 років тому +14

      (you'd fit in the show quote well)

    • @kobiemelverton2231
      @kobiemelverton2231 8 років тому +13

      +Geron Phillips no, twelfth as smith (don't forget about the war doctor)

    • @kobiemelverton2231
      @kobiemelverton2231 8 років тому +1

      +Geron Phillips *is

    • @MirrorscapeDC
      @MirrorscapeDC 8 років тому +9

      The war doctor dosn't count because he dosn't consider himself the doctor.

    • @blackoak4978
      @blackoak4978 8 років тому +2

      +Andrew Robinson The Doctor has said how old he is a few times recently. Somewhere north of 900 I believe

  • @God-yb2cg
    @God-yb2cg 5 років тому +283

    But I use the GNU engine, the engine that respects my freedom and privacy, it uses a federated decentralized data set, the only downside is that it never has the data I need and can't communicate to other engines' users, but who needs that anyway?

    • @taliakellegg5978
      @taliakellegg5978 3 роки тому +1

      wait, i'm to slow to know if this could work? i want to believe that decentralization can fix this

    • @kajurn791
      @kajurn791 3 роки тому +12

      @@taliakellegg5978 It won't, because user adoption would be minimal compared to the mainstream engines. Much in the way of how Linux has a very very small % of marketshare in PCs, adopting the decentralized engine will prive you from many features the mainstream ones (windows in Linux's case) can offer, which in turn will be it's downfall since the average user simply won't give those up or know better. Much like how Tom says on the video, the mainstream engines share data amongst themselves so decentralization in terms of competition won't do much because if there are additional engines they'll be either sharing data and be mostly the same thing or be irrelevant in the grand scheme of things.

    • @eness379
      @eness379 3 роки тому +5

      @Deadpoppin ツ teenagers wont understand what gnu means

    • @eness379
      @eness379 3 роки тому +1

      @Deadpoppin ツ ok so what

    • @carleflores9065
      @carleflores9065 3 роки тому +3

      @Deadpoppin i think they mean in the future (those who are kids now who will be teens then)

  • @kaz49
    @kaz49 Рік тому +5

    2022, turning 2023, this video is still very much worth watching.

  • @handlesnipe
    @handlesnipe Рік тому +12

    Fun fact: 2030 is closer then the upload date of this video.

  • @starilie
    @starilie 8 років тому +400

    I personally think this is the most probable version of the future that I have heard.

    • @btCharlie_
      @btCharlie_ 8 років тому +58

      +starilie It's rational, that's true, but I think it's more about the details Tom provided. He's always been a master of presenting "fake" material of hard-to-imagine scales and making it sound believable (like his "the day google stopped checking for password" or something video). And while that doesn't say anything about the probability of any such scenario happening, I believe it comes down to a believable presentation, not necessarily the content itself.

    • @RazorM97
      @RazorM97 5 років тому +2

      Look at the number of views of this video.. your view is in there

    • @conceptofeverything8793
      @conceptofeverything8793 Рік тому +1

      Does it seem any worse now?

  • @jacobusburger
    @jacobusburger 3 роки тому +168

    “Grandpa what is that Clichy-clack thing on The table?”
    “It’s my mechanical keyboard :^)”

    • @XBW3
      @XBW3 3 роки тому +2

      * :sad-face:

    • @BiscuitFever
      @BiscuitFever 3 роки тому +7

      It’s funny because you’re too young to realize mechanical keyboards are older than you.

    • @RTMonitor
      @RTMonitor 3 роки тому +1

      @@BiscuitFever I know that.

    • @bobthegamingtaco6073
      @bobthegamingtaco6073 3 роки тому +8

      Oh that? That's my asmr machine, I push the buttons and it gives me the happy feelings. It can also make words!

  • @aidenbagshaw5573
    @aidenbagshaw5573 2 роки тому +8

    Watching in 2022. We’re about halfway there, both in terms of time, and technological advancements. You can’t convince me that Tom doesn’t have a crystal ball.

    • @Я_Яша
      @Я_Яша Рік тому +1

      He doesn't, he just comes from the future, cuz mate there's no way he doesn't and can predict so accurately what the future will be like...

  • @johnchessant3012
    @johnchessant3012 Рік тому +6

    Every time I come back to this video it becomes more plausible, and dystopian

    • @sanjeethmahendrakar
      @sanjeethmahendrakar Рік тому +1

      Not exactly. He says it in the conclusion of his talk. It's not gonna be a utopia, it won't solve all the problems we face, hell it'll also create new ones, but it's also not gonna be a dystopia, it won't destroy our lives and end humanity or anything close to that dramatic, it'll be something in the middle.

    • @parkman29
      @parkman29 Рік тому

      @@sanjeethmahendrakar Its always something in the middle

  • @jaredfocose2048
    @jaredfocose2048 8 років тому +94

    Wow! This got me so immersed into the year 2030 that I really had trouble bringing myself back to 2014 at the end… I had to rewind the video several times to catch the point where Tom shifted back to the present day.

    • @Djorgal
      @Djorgal 8 років тому +117

      I understand why you had problems getting back to 2014 because you're actually stuck in 2016.

    • @sansyboy4181
      @sansyboy4181 7 років тому +5

      nope, 2017

    • @TraxxasJr
      @TraxxasJr 7 років тому +2

      Wait what do you mean shifted back to the present wasn't he always talking about the present

    • @derekkaplan3420
      @derekkaplan3420 6 років тому

      SansyBoy 2018

    • @egohicsum
      @egohicsum 8 місяців тому

      2023

  • @DrScrubbington
    @DrScrubbington 4 роки тому +433

    "A magical currency based on reputation score"
    Oh, you mean China?

    • @j4878
      @j4878 4 роки тому +3

      ahhhhhh

    • @evooff
      @evooff 3 роки тому +30

      China is a testing ground for ideas that will be implemented worldwide.

    • @mohit_panjwani
      @mohit_panjwani 3 роки тому +1

      Dw, it’ll come everywhere.

    • @takashi.mizuiro
      @takashi.mizuiro 3 роки тому +13

      Evoo i just hope not..

    • @nodell8729
      @nodell8729 3 роки тому +3

      The occident is most likely gone, and although I hope we can keep it, I really doubt it. Modern orient is going to dominate the world :(

  • @CaveJohnson376
    @CaveJohnson376 Рік тому +12

    2023: chatgpt exists now, information accessability is waay higher now

    • @AcerTheRaccoon
      @AcerTheRaccoon 3 місяці тому

      but most of that information is dubious, unprovable, who knows if it's sound? Is it real or is it a 'truth' been fed into a language model by political wingers or an authoritarian state? Who knows. My prediction of 2030 is that integrity and validity of information will completely fall out of relevance

  • @dannykmack
    @dannykmack 3 роки тому +42

    15:00 "Everyone knows that a folk-rock-sea-shanty band is not going to make the top ..." It's not Radio 1, but TikTok: Welcome to 2021 :)

  • @ramaaowidah2944
    @ramaaowidah2944 8 років тому +121

    This creeps me out and now I am starting to understand 35 year olds and up

    • @Lucy-ng7cw
      @Lucy-ng7cw 8 років тому +22

      I have for a while. Have you seen CPG greys videos on humans need not apply and digital Aristotle? Combined with this its all pretty terrifying at least for me. I know change inevitable but I think we have a decent thing going as it is and this will completely change what it means to be human. It doesn't seem worth the sacrifice to me.

  • @carolined5923
    @carolined5923 4 роки тому +50

    A stark reality check that so many still refuse to acknowledge even though it's staring us right in the eye. Great talk.

  • @JonatasAdoM
    @JonatasAdoM 3 роки тому +108

    Love how Tom Scott accidently revealed that books will be replaced by podcasts.

    • @marinbilic2893
      @marinbilic2893 3 роки тому +2

      Sad but true

    • @gertrudesuzan9253
      @gertrudesuzan9253 2 роки тому +18

      While plenty of people listen to podcasts and audio books, and there are plenty of benefits of audio media, I believe books will never die, books just have something special about them that demands to be loved.

    • @Incurafy
      @Incurafy 2 роки тому +7

      Honestly? Podcasts have plateaued. Meanwhile, the audiobook market has **exploded** in recent years. The big 4 publishers (Penguin, Macmillian, Hatchette, and Harper Collins) are investing millions into audio books and it's only growing.

    • @maxiguess9922
      @maxiguess9922 Рік тому

      @@marinbilic2893 it's not sad at all.

    • @TheNheg66
      @TheNheg66 Рік тому

      ChatGPT says hello

  • @foleyboyoo6165
    @foleyboyoo6165 Рік тому +10

    I feel like it's just beginning. With LLMs it looks like Tom might have got it somewhat right..

  • @Pseudomuse_
    @Pseudomuse_ 7 років тому +133

    holy crap, what a hell of a presentation.

    • @Neonb88
      @Neonb88 4 роки тому +3

      What a guy.

  • @makeshiftsavant
    @makeshiftsavant 4 роки тому +192

    God, the memes will be wild 10 years later, won't they be?
    ^ That phrase is gonna sound more dated than "Wow, everyone will be using the same BBS System won't they?"

    • @epekka
      @epekka 4 роки тому +11

      now laugh

    • @rockcheeks
      @rockcheeks 3 роки тому +5

      amogus

    • @rockcheeks
      @rockcheeks 3 роки тому +4

      @@epekka sususy

    • @xexpaguette
      @xexpaguette 3 роки тому +1

      @@rockcheeks sussy caca 🐱‍🐉😎💋😭😰😍😋🤦‍♂️👀💕💕🥵😘😳😰

    • @rockcheeks
      @rockcheeks 3 роки тому

      @@xexpaguette baka

  • @QuilloManar
    @QuilloManar Рік тому +13

    We are now closer to 2030 than the creation of this video.

  • @puzzLEGO
    @puzzLEGO 2 роки тому +95

    if the metaverse launches in 2030, this videos predictions will come true

    • @ni1661
      @ni1661 2 роки тому +1

      I was thinking exactly that...

  • @joelproko
    @joelproko 9 років тому +463

    What a horrifying prediction, partly because it sounds so very plausible.

    • @nolimitscoastermaniak2672
      @nolimitscoastermaniak2672 9 років тому +2

      +Technician72 😭

    • @iamagi
      @iamagi 7 років тому +21

      Yes, this is the same reason why Dolores Umbridge in Harry potter is so hated. We can relate to her but not to Voldemort

    • @DMack6464
      @DMack6464 5 років тому +3

      it's not horrifying, you just need to keep up the best you can and hope you dont end up with the normies

    • @highpath4776
      @highpath4776 5 років тому +1

      The future is somewhat here already, but only for the Western (Russia+Some Asia). Try it in other large states Africa and Rural Asia, not that the technology wont catch up, but the death by starvation, famine, natural catestropy, how will that be avertered , does anyone care, do they want to care ?

    • @purrplaysLE
      @purrplaysLE 4 роки тому +5

      And now with the government trying to pass something that destroys privacy... Yep, this is happening.

  • @jackkennedy98
    @jackkennedy98 8 років тому +396

    This made me feel physically sick with dread. Not sure how I'll adapt to your world.

    • @Lucy-ng7cw
      @Lucy-ng7cw 8 років тому +38

      Same. I don't want this. I think I'm going to have to live in some rural area or something

    • @nicholashaefeli8154
      @nicholashaefeli8154 6 років тому +18

      JackMcJackJack offline Win98 computer or WinXP. Completely inaccessible. That's my way around it

    • @gro_skunk
      @gro_skunk 5 років тому +3

      You keep up or get lost

    • @piguyalamode164
      @piguyalamode164 5 років тому +5

      This is not what will happen, but something like this must. Someone someday will figure out how to use all of your data, and that will be the end of privacy

    • @samb.6579
      @samb.6579 4 роки тому

      Pull a Ted K

  • @Christer2222
    @Christer2222 3 роки тому +25

    Weird how I keep loosing track of whether Tom is talking about 2030 or 2020, the "present".

  • @neuvocastezero1838
    @neuvocastezero1838 2 роки тому +23

    I wish I shared Tom's sanguine optimism about the future.

  • @toggerz7487
    @toggerz7487 4 роки тому +185

    Feels like a Black Mirror plotline.
    Actually, I think it is.
    Multiple episodes.

    • @arpitdas4263
      @arpitdas4263 4 роки тому +1

      Just wait till it's real

    • @uberson6141
      @uberson6141 4 роки тому +2

      Black mirror is a documentary from a time traveller

    • @BarginsGalore
      @BarginsGalore 3 роки тому +1

      Nah this is written way better

    • @nin2494
      @nin2494 3 роки тому

      @@BarginsGalore True that.

  • @DanaTheLateBloomingFruitLoop
    @DanaTheLateBloomingFruitLoop 5 років тому +65

    This video has become even scarier after the Neuralink presentation.

    • @joychapman9228
      @joychapman9228 5 років тому +4

      Imagine having to share a Minecraft dirt hut with someone else.

    • @caprianders
      @caprianders 4 роки тому +3

      ...the what? (you will get it when you see this comments date of writing)

    • @tfwthelsdkicksin6083
      @tfwthelsdkicksin6083 4 роки тому

      What's that?

    • @Azulicine.Cinemato
      @Azulicine.Cinemato 3 роки тому

      HEEHEEHEEHEE

    • @kantraa
      @kantraa 3 роки тому +1

      @@tfwthelsdkicksin6083 It's literally a chip that they put it in your brain you control it with the mobile app

  • @Liggliluff
    @Liggliluff 3 роки тому +14

    (6:25) I've disabled cookies, and only enable them per-site basis. It works fine. Facebook can no longer save cookies. I also have disabled third party requests, and enable them per-site basis. For example on UA-cam, I need to allow google, googlevideo and gstatic for streaming and logging in. But this prevents third party things to load and do whatever they want. No more Facebook plugins on websites to track me. It's better this way.

    • @susanrobinson2728
      @susanrobinson2728 2 роки тому

      He's talking about degoodled phones . Checkout rob braxman

  • @Empyric
    @Empyric 3 роки тому +15

    And 7 years later, VR lets you experience things in a fidelity that has never been seen before, can provide deeply personal and meaningful experiences, and is getting cheaper and more accesible all the time. Change is only ever noted in the history books.

    • @m488thunderbird3
      @m488thunderbird3 Рік тому

      @Game Over which company is it

    • @SonicMaster519
      @SonicMaster519 Рік тому

      @Game Over what company?

    • @AcerTheRaccoon
      @AcerTheRaccoon 3 місяці тому

      I couldn't live without my VR and I suspect as the real world gets more and more insane it may be one of the last hiding places us uninitiated individuals have power over

  • @Niosus
    @Niosus 10 років тому +1360

    Soooo is it me or are you always wearing a red t-shirt? Is that a deliberate choice, coincidence or some evil plot to enslave humanity?

    • @NickiRusin
      @NickiRusin 10 років тому +202

      I'm sure that it's a plot to enslave humanity. Tom probably just likes the color.

    • @troyadams19
      @troyadams19 10 років тому +82

      Long as he doesn't join any landing parties...

    • @RagadabahCoUk
      @RagadabahCoUk 10 років тому +220

      I guess it's a branding thing, You'll always recognise him in his red t-shirts

    • @TechBlissTV
      @TechBlissTV 10 років тому +10

      Illumanitiii lol

    • @FachriAli
      @FachriAli 10 років тому +21

      i never wear anything but grey t-shirt. i don't know, maybe he's just too lazy to pick a shirt to wear everyday, just like me. hehe

  • @Chrisspru
    @Chrisspru 4 роки тому +154

    main problems:
    - complete filter bubble: inability for the engines to display content you would dislike, but that would be helpful to you and create novel viewpoints/makes you grow
    - manipulation of political positions and enforcement of the companies views /gouverment views
    - locking out of "undesireable" people
    - loosing the ability for manual problem solving and data analysis, making the people dependant on assistents
    The death of independant thought, and therby freedom.
    I would use all my influence to prevent such a brain network.
    The only thing i would endorse would be a completely decentralized system with a weak proposal system that lets trough unfiltered input, a social obligation to still teach independant thinking basics and strict encryption, no involuntary position tracking and anonymous ad profiles.

    • @spacefacey
      @spacefacey 3 роки тому +7

      Chill out doestevsky

    • @MrLordZenki
      @MrLordZenki 3 роки тому +18

      Everything you mentioned is already happening now.

    • @alexawedxz5057
      @alexawedxz5057 3 роки тому +4

      and this will be completely ignored after the '10s / '20s born kids would grow up

    • @BarginsGalore
      @BarginsGalore 3 роки тому +3

      You say that and yet your using at least one platform that violates multiple of those things

    • @Chrisspru
      @Chrisspru 3 роки тому +9

      @@BarginsGalore to spread the message on it.

  • @SaintHierophant
    @SaintHierophant Рік тому +24

    Imagine telling someone in 2014 about ChatGPT.

  • @lewisday8928
    @lewisday8928 3 роки тому +25

    2014 tom scott: sea shanties will never be at the top of the charts
    2021: watch this

    • @PimStoit
      @PimStoit 3 роки тому +2

      Does that mean the timeline Tom proposed is now non-canon?

  • @arooobine
    @arooobine 8 років тому +460

    Great talk, but disagree about the keyboard becoming niche. My prediction: until a reliable BCI (brain-computer interface) is made, keyboards will remain pretty much exactly like they are right now. Typing is the most comfortable way to get precise data from your brain into a regular PC. Think about it: would you write a novel, blog, or computer program using your voice? No. Even if it is "faster" to speak than type, it just doesn't feel as natural or comfortable when you're trying to choose your words carefully.

    • @jeffjefferson7237
      @jeffjefferson7237 7 років тому +137

      can you please tell my brother that? he uses the voice to text feature on his phone for practically everything, even in the middle of other people having a conversation or watching TV

    • @ShinPlays
      @ShinPlays 7 років тому +43

      its the future, we now have throat mic's that listen to your humming and translate that into text. loads quicker than using your hands and leaves your hands free for other tasks. until we get BCI :)

    • @ShinPlays
      @ShinPlays 7 років тому +7

      I made that reply as joke, but if you keep your mouth closed and hum the sentence (or anything you can read) it works. I can tell the diffrrence in the hum's so I computer would be able to too. why is this not a thing!

    • @mr.peanut2096
      @mr.peanut2096 7 років тому +39

      people probably said the same thing about using smartphones. Although I do agree that talking won't replace keyboards. In things like school or work you often spend several hours typing at a time, imagine talking for that long everyday.

    • @briandeschene8424
      @briandeschene8424 7 років тому +34

      Benjamin Hershey
      Sorry no. My 15 year old dictates anything more than a line or two into the Chromebook we bought that is required at her public high school. She's trained herself to how it works and it to how she works so that now together they are amazingly effective. Quite something to watch really.

  • @jugftw4868
    @jugftw4868 4 роки тому +32

    the scariest thing is that i find it difficult to tell when hes talking about the present vs the future

  • @SP-ny1fk
    @SP-ny1fk Рік тому +4

    It's 8 years later and today you have no privacy.

  • @Cynidecia
    @Cynidecia Рік тому +8

    "muttering teenagers"
    MMMM ICE CREAM SO GOOD SKKKDP SKKKDP

  • @MegaChickenfish
    @MegaChickenfish 5 років тому +27

    *I think I just went through my mid-life crisis,* and the future I'm mentally stressed about doesn't even exist yet.

    • @carleflores9065
      @carleflores9065 3 роки тому +1

      same D:

    • @kdmedia1534
      @kdmedia1534 3 роки тому +1

      You sure about that? Back then it was just a theory, but now we can already see implementations of these being put into everything already.

  • @captainnemo3
    @captainnemo3 4 роки тому +51

    take a shot every time tom sighs like he’s reminiscing about the good old days that haven’t happened yet

    • @mudfly3
      @mudfly3 2 роки тому +3

      Dies of alcohol poisoning halfway trough

    • @1a2b
      @1a2b Рік тому

      why did you point this out i can't stop hearing it

  • @GameBoy-ep7de
    @GameBoy-ep7de Рік тому +5

    This became much scarier when I just realized a moment ago that the 5 year old who loves roblox I taught how to use a mouse a few days ago would be 12 in 2030, and be a teenager when Tom's prediction comes true. (Since it would take a bit of time for something to go from is being done by many to being done by everyone.)

    • @MeiinUK
      @MeiinUK 7 місяців тому

      He would be able to code his own bank and coins or bitcoins or tokens or whatever.... and be able to Skype with the President or the Prime Minister etc.... More inequalities, and poverty is actually a real thing... as well...

    • @AcerTheRaccoon
      @AcerTheRaccoon 3 місяці тому

      Its supposed to be the most equal, fair and opportunity-rich moment in all of human history, yet I mostly just feel so bad for todays kids who are gonna grow up with it. Honestly don't want any of my own because the direction the world is going is too depressing to watch them grow up into

  • @robertlinke2666
    @robertlinke2666 8 місяців тому +8

    so the engine is just a LLM hooked up to a web search

    • @admaneb
      @admaneb 8 місяців тому

      You mean Google Bard