Playing GTO in your local home game will not annihilate your bank roll, but it will win you much less than an exploitative strategy. For example, GTO dictates that you should be bluffing 1/3 of the time when you pot the river. If you do that against an opponent who never folds, you’re going to lose all those hands BUT you’re still going to make it all of it back and more because you always get called when you have a value hand. But obviously you could have won even more, if you just didn’t bluff at all.
Man,u seriously provide to find an editor and release more video!⭐️ BEST POKER CHANNEL NO DOUBT. Btw when u put (6days ago) the question which hand u defend i was very struggle between 55 and A9 and in the end i was right !! 👌🏻🤩
Can you make a video about how poker players made money the early days without any GTO or wizards or any of these things. I mean this is just too crazy to review hands like this. Props to you or doing this
I noticed you are using HRC for preflop ranges? Do you solve the preflop range for every video you make? How many GB of ram does a preflop spot like BB vs SB 3b take and how long do you solve it if I may ask? Great video btw, thank you
Happy you liked it! :) Yes it's HRC - I don't run custom sims for every video, usually I just take GTOW ranges as the spots are more common. But since this one included exploitative preflop ranges I had to make a custom one. My PC has 64GB RAM and this sim was a 3 handed sim which took about 10-20 mins if I recall correctly. I do think I already used HRC on my laptop which had 16GB. Took a bit longer, but still very usable
im not sure, but, i think the ammount of rake at lower stakes, make some plays way less profitable, for example, if you call down expecting a bluff with some random hand, to in the end win like 10bb on avg, at higher stakes you would pay 2bb of rake in total, while at lower stakes you would pay like 8 easily, this is true for a lot of thing pre flop as well, for example, a hand wich would be 0 ev 3bet , would start to be losing with more rake, i think the rake also impacts together with the lack of creative play from the opponents.
also, disagree completly about the "your fold equity is lower 4beting preflop at lower stakes", its not, its actually way higher, there are many players who over fold to 4bet there.
I didn't say fold equity is lower 4betting at lower stakes. I said fold equity is lower against a more linear range compared to a polarized range. Which is the case overall for midstakes population BB vs SB. Whether population under-calls or over-calls against 4bets is not the same in every spot, it varies for every position
@@2CardConfidence I watched again, and i mean, It can bê interpreted the way i Said, since you Said "If you are playing nl200 etc etc.., your best option Will bê doing this because against a this type of range you have less fold equity", but, ok, i think you Said "If the oponent hás this range and play optimally he Will fold less", and not saying that the players at nl200 fold less .
Ok I understand how it can be misinterpreted as I shortened the explanation. What I meant to say was that that range is the average midstakes population's range. So against an unknown player of the pool you can expect them to play like that on average. Thus your best approach against that would be to use the exploit strategy shown. :)
I think in GTO the SB herocalls a few A highs and Kx pairs, so you don't want to block those. And since SB has quite some 7x and boats, those blocking effects remove enough worse calling hands that a shove becomes unprofitable. I doubt that's the case in reality though
I don't understand why professionals play regular HU cash games against each other. One of two things is occurring: Either they are equally skilled or so close they can't even tell who's better, so the website wins from rake, or one guy is actually better than the other, so the other player should never play him. I get why recreational players play against people who are better than them, because they are stupid and/or don't care about money, but professionals shouldn't be playing like that. They play the game as their job.
Don't act like you don't know me Stefan deserves a trophy Baby, it ain't no mystery Linus is the best in history These plays will make you show up I know you see them fold up As GTO BERRI GTO BERRI
I can't beat 5NL or 10N, Does that mean I suck. or they are tougher to win consistently than 200+? Because of variance and loose players? (I can beat it quite regulrly. but not consistently. I'll run 15. 20 bucks up to $100 over a few days. then in 24 to 36 hours I'll get cooler after cooler, second bests, huge draws I can't fold, endlessly, until my account is $0. This pattern has repeated for 6 months, it's like, wtf If I fold everything I'm playing during the crash, then during the normal period I'd never win a dollar. I'm consistently at 29% hands played, or I play a lot of Omaha, which I'm even more consistent at 39%. I do not GTO, my 29% looks a bit different than GG's autoplay, cz I don't play garbage, lol I imagine I just end up splitting the differing hands between different spots, so I'm not comfortable setting it on auto. eg. A rag, gapped broadways, suited hi/los, I'll play them when the ROI is high, I exploit from instinct. And. you know, I'm almost always right about where I am at, or should be, I see a high frequency of coolers every day, i.e. set over set, flush over straight in HE. I get raised a lot from.dogs, that catch A LOT, I never draw if the pot odds are not there. I saw like 4 set over set, turn into quad over set yesterday, 1 day, 1 was me losing, but 3 or 4 times I lost to quads with something else..... but I can't get past a week with a balance Anything jump out at you as an obvious category of player, or leak I might be poster boying, lol?? Peace
Lol, I clicked your link, I didn't realize you were selling a course. However, to that end, on your site, near the top, you ask 3 questions. I can say that for me all 3 are a very strong and honest, 'NO'. So, Idk where I'd go if I payed you anyway. That's not a slight at all, I'm just speaking the truths I'm putting together a step at a time. .... I'm stuck in suckout and 95th percentile land, and I can't find out if it's me, or outlier luck. Idk man, I'm losing it... I'm gonna lose it over here! lol
I honestly call bs on this video, i like it, its not that, but its just that poker isnt about 4 betting K4o because its GTO, at some point it basically becomes bingo and just never being able to fold. I dont think these guy would crush a good NL500reg, im determined that the only reason they are playing the stakes they are is because they got lucky at the right time and they have the roll to play such stakes. They might crush against like minded people but i think they struggle just like everyone else against competent players. Their strategy doesnt work against regular decent players.
@@hcorazao1 if you used your fkn eyes to read i just said they got lucky and now they have the bankroll, i dont, are you trying to sound moronic or are you doing it without knowing how you sound?
Moronic take in every single way. “Hey bro, you see those chess grandmasters playing in the top chess tournaments? They could never play at my local club. Billy Dave over here is undefeated 🤓”
@@hcorazao1 I am somewhere in between. He is definitely somewhat correct that these guys would not just steamroll a top tier nl500+ hold open tables type of reg. They would have an edge, but less than most assume
But isn’t this a bit of a flawed explanation considering you are showing heads up videos of the best players in the world and comparing them to unknown 6 max videos??
There's 0 strategies involved. Grindeds at nl100-nl200 are mostly nits, so it's often bad beats. People with more money in poker often banked big in tourneys and gamble. Stop justifying calls with 9-4 suited from tom dwan as 'polarized' or 'bluff catching'. High stake is just pure gambling. Which is why they never last long and can't beat a bankroll challenge in micro stakes.
I think you advices are good, but I want to clearify that you missing information. I talk about the exploitive part of your analysis. When playing NL 200, you will face a lot of different players and a lot of them know the difference btw. polarizing 3bet in BB / SB config vs. merged 3bet strategies e.g. CO vs BU. To me, NL 200 players are already quite skilled and finished players (online). I guess the density that players are unskilled in GTO is higher the lower you get by limit, but I would assume even in NL2 there will be some people knowing something. Poker is big, you can not make premature assumptions. Even with a HUD, it's somethings hard to deviate. Take your time with deviations. Play GTO first and then deviate when you are sure, not the other way around. Never underestimate your opponents, even when they play NL2!
You're right that there a many good players on NL200 and a lot of them know how to construct GTO ranges. However, as a whole, the player pool makes a lot of mistakes. And I say that because the exploitative ranges for midstakes are based on actual data, not my imagination. NL200 players are skilled, but far from finished. But so is everyone, even high stakes players :)
Picking a hand out of context that was built around the dynamics that led to the specific hand, finding back up arguments in debatable outputs from a third party software that makes the same mistake, creating a provoking clickbait headline to prey on the convinced are couple of reasons why you and those like you will remain observers. As for the KTs vs A9s hand the call line was taken because of aggressors preflop 3bet sizing in this very spot, in this very lineup in this very moment in time, or to be more precise and simple - the call line was a capitalization of a recently spotted leak the aggressor acquired, again, in this very line up, in this very spot, in this very moment in time.
Crush your player pool by exploiting them preflop:
► www.2cardconfidence.com/preflop-exploits
best poker content creator hands down, your work is very unappreciated
Comments like yours definitely make it feel appreciated, thank you! :)
hol up. I appriciate it. that's at least 1
Super endboss strategy 101: never ever fold anything for any reason
But at the same time never stop bluffing in any spot bc bluffing is soooo good!
And of course - open shove SB 20BB for your tournament life! 🤪
sklansky was right when he said that betting every single time is the best strategy
You just need a lot of money to be a good poker player doesn't even matter if you win or lose
Whatsoever… for any reason whatsoever
You and Poker Giraffe are the Goats of poker material.
Appreciate the love! :)
They should put a disclaimer, do not try this at your local home game, 100% guaranteed annihilation of bankroll
Playing GTO in your local home game will not annihilate your bank roll, but it will win you much less than an exploitative strategy. For example, GTO dictates that you should be bluffing 1/3 of the time when you pot the river. If you do that against an opponent who never folds, you’re going to lose all those hands BUT you’re still going to make it all of it back and more because you always get called when you have a value hand. But obviously you could have won even more, if you just didn’t bluff at all.
Love that you included "They not like us". Banger song and fits with the topic of the video. Excellent work.
Lol I should have watched the whole video before commenting! Love the way you circled back to the song at the end, great stuff.
MAN! so glad i found your channel! One of the best poker chanels out there! keep it up, mate!
Much appreciated my friend!
Excellent clip. Keep these coming, especially with Linus and Stefan
Such an incredibly good video
Glad you like it, thanks! :)
Such a good video, I'll buy your course if I ever study poker seriously for a year
Awesome and informative video as always but today the music is also goated ❤
Appreciate your taste ;)
Man,u seriously provide to find an editor and release more video!⭐️
BEST POKER CHANNEL NO DOUBT.
Btw when u put (6days ago) the question which hand u defend i was very struggle between 55 and A9 and in the end i was right !! 👌🏻🤩
Thanks for the great compliment ❤️️ Planning to release more in the upcoming months!
Can you make a video about how poker players made money the early days without any GTO or wizards or any of these things. I mean this is just too crazy to review hands like this. Props to you or doing this
What a incredible video ! Thank you so much
My pleasure, glad you like it :)
Lovely editing/music
I already do this exploits as midstake player. Using simple preflop I realized especially vs BB's linear 3bet you shouid fold 80%+.
Great insights
nice the course comes out on sale exactly on my birthday
Time to celebrate 🥳
Brilliant video, thank you so much
Top as always, tks man!
I wait so long your vid🎉 keep it up. Also interested ny xploit chart
Appreciate your patience ;)
Expert analysis! 👌
Who won the A9 hand?
Stefan - it's in the end
"They not like us! They not like us!" XD
Switch reference?😅
I don't know man, i guess there's a really thin line between reckless gambling and this, cause it's hard for me to understand, and manage all the risk
I noticed you are using HRC for preflop ranges? Do you solve the preflop range for every video you make? How many GB of ram does a preflop spot like BB vs SB 3b take and how long do you solve it if I may ask?
Great video btw, thank you
Happy you liked it! :)
Yes it's HRC - I don't run custom sims for every video, usually I just take GTOW ranges as the spots are more common. But since this one included exploitative preflop ranges I had to make a custom one.
My PC has 64GB RAM and this sim was a 3 handed sim which took about 10-20 mins if I recall correctly. I do think I already used HRC on my laptop which had 16GB. Took a bit longer, but still very usable
im not sure, but, i think the ammount of rake at lower stakes, make some plays way less profitable, for example, if you call down expecting a bluff with some random hand, to in the end win like 10bb on avg, at higher stakes you would pay 2bb of rake in total, while at lower stakes you would pay like 8 easily, this is true for a lot of thing pre flop as well, for example, a hand wich would be 0 ev 3bet , would start to be losing with more rake, i think the rake also impacts together with the lack of creative play from the opponents.
also, disagree completly about the "your fold equity is lower 4beting preflop at lower stakes", its not, its actually way higher, there are many players who over fold to 4bet there.
I didn't say fold equity is lower 4betting at lower stakes. I said fold equity is lower against a more linear range compared to a polarized range. Which is the case overall for midstakes population BB vs SB.
Whether population under-calls or over-calls against 4bets is not the same in every spot, it varies for every position
@@2CardConfidence I watched again, and i mean, It can bê interpreted the way i Said, since you Said "If you are playing nl200 etc etc.., your best option Will bê doing this because against a this type of range you have less fold equity", but, ok, i think you Said "If the oponent hás this range and play optimally he Will fold less", and not saying that the players at nl200 fold less .
Ok I understand how it can be misinterpreted as I shortened the explanation. What I meant to say was that that range is the average midstakes population's range. So against an unknown player of the pool you can expect them to play like that on average. Thus your best approach against that would be to use the exploit strategy shown. :)
You are the best professor there is! Congratulations
PD: Where you from?
Honored to have that title! 🤓
I'm from Germany
Hi Josh, wish you a great session today!
🤔
Can you make an NL10 course ?
Unfortunately not at the top of the list atm, but maybe someday
What preflop solver were you using, thanks!
HRC - Holdem Resources Calculator
Id love to hear the strategies on how you get to the turn with k3 off😮
3b pre, cbet flop 😜
Best poker content by far
Much appreciated my friend ❤️️
The difference is the amount they are playing for. What makes them good is that they have money
They also started low stakes and made their way to the top
what linus had in 1st example
KTs of clubs
It's at the end
Why does GTO check back AA and KK in the BB on the river? At 3:31
I think in GTO the SB herocalls a few A highs and Kx pairs, so you don't want to block those. And since SB has quite some 7x and boats, those blocking effects remove enough worse calling hands that a shove becomes unprofitable. I doubt that's the case in reality though
tight players are the problem for me. i guess just increase the calling range eh?
Which calling range do you mean? Against a tight player's 3bet you definitely want to decrease your calling range for example
@@2CardConfidence like calling with lower suited cards. not saying 3betting a 25 offsuit, blind defense etc
but which sizings of 3b are you gonna use in preflop exploits?
3x for IP, 10bb from SB and 12.5bb from BB
So did Stefan win the first hand with A9???
Result is in the end
But, yes he did
Why the Mini-Course: BTN vs BB Preflop Exploits is closed ? I want to see some preview vidoes before buying the preflop exploits course
I made some changes to it. It's coming back today or tomorrow
@@2CardConfidence Thanx. The preflop exploits course looks very good course but expensive
Hey Boss ! ! 15" POKER HAAAAARRRRDDD
LFG!!!
Those NL 10ks are closer to $100ks cos they play at 10 to 1 so they don't need to transfer so much money to the site
Sometimes it feels like we went full circle, and what was once considered fish play is now super again…
Poker is so interesting, one day i will be able to call myself a pro
How much is the course ?
It'll be 397 for early birds
This is what you call good advertisement 😂
using complete coolers (as if they dont also happen at NL10k) doesn't give a good example of the point that you are trying to make
fair enough
Shout out to "average 200 NL player" welshgaz!
I never said that! :D
Wait did he win the first hand?
I don't understand why professionals play regular HU cash games against each other. One of two things is occurring: Either they are equally skilled or so close they can't even tell who's better, so the website wins from rake, or one guy is actually better than the other, so the other player should never play him. I get why recreational players play against people who are better than them, because they are stupid and/or don't care about money, but professionals shouldn't be playing like that. They play the game as their job.
Also to be king of the lobby and never miss a seat when the fish sits in.
@axileus9327 I don't understand what you are even talking about or how it relates to this comment.
If A9 is a GTO call, why is Linus pushing KT there? Doesn’t it just get called by better and fold out worse?
It also folds out better hands (in theory). Most other A highs and some pairs would be folds OTR
Don't act like you don't know me
Stefan deserves a trophy
Baby, it ain't no mystery
Linus is the best in history
These plays will make you show up
I know you see them fold up
As GTO BERRI
GTO BERRI
🤣🤣 so good
At first Stefan hand you can simply suggest on a river by your experience, that Llinus pattern tells he has nothing. QJ KJ I suppose
I can't beat 5NL or 10N, Does that mean I suck. or they are tougher to win consistently than 200+? Because of variance and loose players? (I can beat it quite regulrly. but not consistently. I'll run 15. 20 bucks up to $100 over a few days. then in 24 to 36 hours I'll get cooler after cooler, second bests, huge draws I can't fold, endlessly, until my account is $0. This pattern has repeated for 6 months, it's like, wtf
If I fold everything I'm playing during the crash, then during the normal period I'd never win a dollar. I'm consistently at 29% hands played, or I play a lot of Omaha, which I'm even more consistent at 39%. I do not GTO, my 29% looks a bit different than GG's autoplay, cz I don't play garbage, lol I imagine I just end up splitting the differing hands between different spots, so I'm not comfortable setting it on auto. eg. A rag, gapped broadways, suited hi/los, I'll play them when the ROI is high, I exploit from instinct. And. you know, I'm almost always right about where I am at, or should be, I see a high frequency of coolers every day, i.e. set over set, flush over straight in HE. I get raised a lot from.dogs, that catch A LOT, I never draw if the pot odds are not there. I saw like 4 set over set, turn into quad over set yesterday, 1 day, 1 was me losing, but 3 or 4 times I lost to quads with something else..... but I can't get past a week with a balance
Anything jump out at you as an obvious category of player, or leak I might be poster boying, lol??
Peace
Lol, I clicked your link, I didn't realize you were selling a course. However, to that end, on your site, near the top, you ask 3 questions. I can say that for me all 3 are a very strong and honest, 'NO'. So, Idk where I'd go if I payed you anyway. That's not a slight at all, I'm just speaking the truths I'm putting together a step at a time. .... I'm stuck in suckout and 95th percentile land, and I can't find out if it's me, or outlier luck. Idk man, I'm losing it... I'm gonna lose it over here! lol
Your genius with not like us thing haha
Just like us... They not like us
I honestly call bs on this video, i like it, its not that, but its just that poker isnt about 4 betting K4o because its GTO, at some point it basically becomes bingo and just never being able to fold.
I dont think these guy would crush a good NL500reg, im determined that the only reason they are playing the stakes they are is because they got lucky at the right time and they have the roll to play such stakes.
They might crush against like minded people but i think they struggle just like everyone else against competent players. Their strategy doesnt work against regular decent players.
So wrong at every level. If you are so confident play heads up against them. I will grab popcorn to see how they crush you
@@hcorazao1 if you used your fkn eyes to read i just said they got lucky and now they have the bankroll, i dont, are you trying to sound moronic or are you doing it without knowing how you sound?
Moronic take in every single way. “Hey bro, you see those chess grandmasters playing in the top chess tournaments? They could never play at my local club. Billy Dave over here is undefeated 🤓”
@@hcorazao1 I am somewhere in between. He is definitely somewhat correct that these guys would not just steamroll a top tier nl500+ hold open tables type of reg. They would have an edge, but less than most assume
@@revis1157 I think they'd beat the winning regs for more than they would the nits. Even though the winrate of the regs is higher than the nits.
Chơi bóng gì vậy
Who else is here watching this in 2024? Time flies.
Jayser likes Kendrick 💯
I'm not Jayser? 😅
But isn’t this a bit of a flawed explanation considering you are showing heads up videos of the best players in the world and comparing them to unknown 6 max videos??
It's not heads up, those are 3 handed games. So SB vs BB compares to the situation in a 6max game
why you never show results in the explaining?
He showed in the end, Linus had KcTc
Because in theory it's irrelevant. You only have to base your decisions on the EV+ of the play to avoid being results oriented
@@hcorazao1 but its like watching a movie without the ending, i like results.
Triple barrel bluff that doesn’t make sense
NL200: braindead play
NL10k: Genius move
My only problem with this is: ONLY LOSING PLAYERS SELL COURSES
that's definitely not true.
negreanu, ivey, doug polk, bencb and fedor holz are examples of winning players who sells a lot of poker stuff
There's 0 strategies involved. Grindeds at nl100-nl200 are mostly nits, so it's often bad beats.
People with more money in poker often banked big in tourneys and gamble. Stop justifying calls with 9-4 suited from tom dwan as 'polarized' or 'bluff catching'. High stake is just pure gambling. Which is why they never last long and can't beat a bankroll challenge in micro stakes.
So to be good you have to be willing to throw 10k away 95% of the time? Lol
Noted : Everyone's a nit until proven otherwise till about $10k NL.
Монтаж просто супер!
what Linus has in the first hand?
I did understand nothing; but yay ok.
I think you advices are good, but I want to clearify that you missing information. I talk about the exploitive part of your analysis. When playing NL 200, you will face a lot of different players and a lot of them know the difference btw. polarizing 3bet in BB / SB config vs. merged 3bet strategies e.g. CO vs BU.
To me, NL 200 players are already quite skilled and finished players (online). I guess the density that players are unskilled in GTO is higher the lower you get by limit, but I would assume even in NL2 there will be some people knowing something.
Poker is big, you can not make premature assumptions. Even with a HUD, it's somethings hard to deviate.
Take your time with deviations. Play GTO first and then deviate when you are sure, not the other way around. Never underestimate your opponents, even when they play NL2!
You're right that there a many good players on NL200 and a lot of them know how to construct GTO ranges.
However, as a whole, the player pool makes a lot of mistakes. And I say that because the exploitative ranges for midstakes are based on actual data, not my imagination. NL200 players are skilled, but far from finished. But so is everyone, even high stakes players :)
Anyone else here watching this in 2024?
Not I
Me
You think you're funny? Leave the jokes to me pal
@@ChristopherBoothe-zl8dc make me
goat
❤️️
I see dead people...that's the pinnacle.
Stefan is hacker and can see cards
9800$😂
Picking a hand out of context that was built around the dynamics that led to the specific hand, finding back up arguments in debatable outputs from a third party software that makes the same mistake, creating a provoking clickbait headline to prey on the convinced are couple of reasons why you and those like you will remain observers.
As for the KTs vs A9s hand the call line was taken because of aggressors preflop 3bet sizing in this very spot, in this very lineup in this very moment in time, or to be more precise and simple - the call line was a capitalization of a recently spotted leak the aggressor acquired, again, in this very line up, in this very spot, in this very moment in time.
GTO is mostly nonsense in real life scenarios.
Gto, gto, gto...🤦
Yolo 🥸🥸💪🏼💪🏼🙃🙃🥸🥸🐳🐳🐋🐋
This is so stupid