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Daily Gambling Tip: How to Spot "Hot" 🔥 and "Cold" 🥶 Slot Machines 🎰
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- Опубліковано 31 січ 2024
- Going to a casino can be nerve wracking at times, but we are here to help you to become a better gambler.
If you are interested in being on the interview, or if you are interested in a private session, please contact us: gamblesmartgamblesafe@gmail.com
Please understand that there are NO GUARANTEED methods for winning at gambling. Gambling is about risk and reward. We teach you how to become BETTER gamblers by watching your budget, creating sessions, knowing when to walk away and what style machines to play at what time.
We wish you the best of luck!
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I've noticed at my local casino that when the first machines I play do not pay out, most of the other machines don't either.
They ALL work on the same algorithm. Totally random. And the "win" percentage can be set pretty low.
Another tip. The casino will say the machine is hot with a sign or saying it over the intercom, etc. don’t listen to them. I sat next to a “hot slot” per the casino and won more than the person next to me. It’s all random. Thanks Mark for the videos!
Great guitarist 🎸
I always take that to mean it's hot - because a lot of people are playing it.
Good tip
To add to what you said, a lot of people mistakenly believe that the 'law of large numbers' means that winning/losing streaks will eventually get 'balanced out.' Here is an example of what is really meant" Say in 100 coin flips you get 45 (45%) heads and 55 (55%) tails. Then the next 900 flips are 50/50. You now have 495 (49.5%) heads and 505 (50.5%) tails. As the 'law of large numbers' really predicates, you are approaching the expected outcome of 50%/50% without ever having made up for any streaks. (It's not saying that temporary lopsided outcomes will or won't be made up - it's just that they don't have to be.)
I’m good at finding the cold ones
Me too 😂
$15 is now considered a “Big Win!” on some of the newer games.
I get "Hot" if I lose alot 🔥 Then my wife is "Cold" on the way home 🥶
LOL
😂
😂
😂😂
😅
Thanks mucho! You guys are the best on UA-cam. You come across as so sincere and believable. I appreciate the information you share.
Wow, thank you!
I have been playing at slots for the past 3 decades though on an irregular basis. My average playing time is about 8 hours.
My bet amount is on a smaller scale but not the minimum.
I do notice in the last few years on the digital slots, there are times I find it hard to believe the bonus feature or big payouts are really random.
Yes, all video slot experts always mention RNG and every spin is as random as the previous. While RNG is a fact, I believe there are other factors
that will influence this so-called 'randomness' outcome.
What I notice is a slot can be very very cold for almost an hour or so, but suddenly the bonus feature or big payouts kept appearing over the next 15 minutes.
I do not think it is still random, but certain factors added to the RNG number , cause this to happen.
It’s because the volatility of the games has become higher and higher over the years. Higher volatility means larger swings (variance) from the payback % settings. I should do a video on that - great topic :)
fascinating.. what are the factors?
Guys, I think I like your show so well is because it’s like sitting down with family and playing at the casino. You all cheer each other on or console each other or just give each other a hard time it is so enjoyable to watch you all, and you’re not trying to outdo each other or anyone else keep up the good work
We can't even begin to tell you how touching and welcoming this comment was thank you so much it means a lot to us.
Your “heads/tails”analogy is so understandable for me. Thanks so much.
@GambleSmart
I'm so happy Marc that you have made this video. I heard from all these other gamblers on UA-cam or people at my local casinos here in the Greater Toronto Area in Canada telling me that Slot Machines get hot or cold. Slot Machines don't get hot or cold. It's random and all luck. 👌
Some of what hes said is fair but the way the machine plays is very intentional. Its fit with a for f algorithm, so its designed to play in cycles, making and creating hot/cold spells. Thats not random, its programmed that way.
It's not designed to play in cycles. In most jurisdictions, It's the law that any spin has to be completely independent previous spins on that machine (except for bonus rounds)
THANK ALWAYS MARC FOR ALL YOUR SLOT EDUCATION !
I think “near misses” are programmed in, just like there’s more dead spins than line wins, even during the bonus feature.
Even Vegas Matt, with his humorous bankroll, says,
“There’s a lot of fives!”
Hi Mark...great to see you again!!!! Im subscribing.
Thank you! Glad to have you :)
Hi Marc I understand yr words on hot and cold machines. But when yr playing and the machine begins to hit, the human in me kicks in and u use the word "hot".
The question is, when do u stop to retain yr winnings.
I know this also is a decision u hv to make to get up and walk away. But, boy is that when the hits pull u in to stay there, thinking the big one is coming.
I'm going to try to use the method of doubling my initial input to the machine.
This is a gd topic to follow this mornings tip.
Thanks Marc for yr tips. I really love seeing you growing and so enjoy watching you and Dave together very much.
😊😊😊😊😊
Think of it this way. If you found $1000 blowing around would you gather them up and throw em up in the wind in hopes of finding $10000 or would you be glad for the $1000 you have in your hand?
Money management is the name of the profit game.
You stop when you win, cash out and run out of there. Or the Casinos will take it back and you will go to the ATM. I know it's hard but when you're up....LEAVE!
Totally makes sense…..this was a video I needed to hear because now I understand…..
On my last casino visit, I made the mistake of believing the machine I had just won on two days in a row that week was a paying machine. I felt she would come around.... I had changed bets, changed denominations, but nothing. I did not realize, or want to believe that the machine was just not in a paying cycle that day for me before losing most of my money for the day. If there was a "Cold" she was it. :-p
Obviously, the machine algorithm must have programming to pay out 87% (or less) of what it takes in. So because the machine uses a random number generator, there must be a sub-algorithm to "stear" the outcomes (it can't be truly random). Your point is valid insomuch as the balancing algorithm is probably set to resolve (balance toward the casino) over days or weeks, NOT hours.
It's pure math. When they make the game, they can manipulate what the final outcome will be by having the RNG pick from a set of symbols. The higher the payback %, the more "paying" symbols are available for it to pick from. For example, on the virtual reel strips on a Double Diamond machine, a 85% payback setting might have 25 blanks (no symbol wins), where a 98% payback might have 21 blanks (more symbol wins). The important thing is that the algorythm is not ACTIVELY balancing - it does it naturally using the Law of Large Numbers.
@GambleSmart That makes sense, but I've noticed casinos "monitor" each machine's payout history. If it's locked-in, full-proof, why the extra layer of tracking? Just curious.
Purely for accounting reasons - They also look to make sure the game is performing well.. not with how much it is taking in or giving out but in how often the game is played. They need this info because the most critical thing for casinos is to pick games that people will play, otherwrise, the valuable space isn't being used well.
Great tip! Good luck at the Casino 🍀🍀🍀
Words like hot & cold are used for a reason, I can understand why people describe their experiences this way. For me, it's more about describing the experience post session rather than before or during it. Yes, the machines are random, but there is a cyclical component to these machines that you'll never be able to predict. For example, I have a favorite machine that I like to play regularly. There are definitely active vs inactive sessions on it, where it's completely dry one week, literally zero hold & spins or free games, then the following week it's bonus after bonus - it's a completely different machine. In that sense, I've had hot & cold sessions on it. Would I ever be able to predict which one it will be before playing? No, of course not. I will only know afterward, once I've had the session.
That’s a great explanation. Everyone has experienced this. That’s why they find it hard to believe that it’s all random. But like you said… it doesn’t make any difference. Because you’ll never know until after you’ve played the session anyway.
And also, there are always those instances where the machine is “cold” then all of a sudden, you get a big win. You don’t know what’s going to happen.
interesting. what are the reasons hot and cold are used?
anyone can describe a hot or cold session after it is over
what this video is about, and the main trick is, how to figure it before the session starts.
what is your advice for that
@@DrSchor If I have 10 dead spins, I change machines. If I am seeing action (bonus symbols and/or orbs), and possibly getting small line hits, I might stay for 20 spins. I'm not going to sit at a cold machine and continue to feed it and lose all of my money in a few minutes. I mainly play Dragon Link, at 50 cents a spin, to make some money, other games/slot machines for fun. Sadly, our local casino does not have any of the bank roll building slots that the UA-camrs talk about. Gamble Smart has taught me about money management and micro wins and that has helped me immensely to at least not get slaughtered playing slots; I go to the casino 2-3 times a week. It's my "Cheers". My friends go there, I know the employees, live free bands on weekends, etc. But money management is the key and taking breaks like Dave and Marc say. They've saved my wallet. To be disciplined you must remove emotion from the equation. I tell myself, the machine will still be there tomorrow. Learn to walk away. Dave/Marc thank you.
Another thing to be careful about is payout in some sense. I could be on a "hot" machine by getting repeated bonuses and features.....but the payouts aren't always equal. One time I was slowly sinking on a Mighty Cash Double Up with my bankroll despite several free games, same with Gengis Khan Dragon Link another time. I was thinking eventually one of these has to hit good since I'm getting more than normal bonuses than I'm used; along with them often being hard to get.
Great tip looking forward to meeting up with you again. I will be there😀
Sounds great!
Keep running strong! Good luck this weekend! I will be in Florida. ☘️☘️💰🙌
Thanks Nat! Good luck in your old stomping ground!
Machine is never due to pay you back anything,even after putting in lots cash. Random wins, thats all folks! Good luck this weekend-lots red screens.
Good subject.
Good Morning Good Tip. Good Show and Audit last night
I believe there is control.
One test I heard about to visualize randomness is to flip a coin 200 times and record the result. This was from a professor of finance that gave this as a homework assignment to his students. You have a 1 in 128 chance of getting the same result 8 flips in a row. So if you flip 200 times, there should be a run of 8 flips in a row with the same result.
The professor knew who cheated on the assignment because the cheaters never had any long runs like that.
Exactly, the flipping of a coin is a great example of probability distribution. The important thing to remember, however, is that spins on a slot machine aren't sequential - so just because you had 8 wins in a row, doesn't mean the odds have changed to have 9 wins in a row.
Wish you guys would come to a casino in ohio.!!!...love your channel...♥️♥️👍👍
Weathers gonna be bad fri nite into Sat I’m hoping we can attend either way Stay safe
I usually carry a thermometer around the casino checking the slots temperature 🤓
got a serious question for you mark...... i'm a low budget player and play quite a few dollar machines for 1 smacker a spin.... on the machines that have 5 dollar and 9 dollar max bets i take my 1 dollar spin and see HUGE line hits and even hand pays on the lines i'm not playing ...... if i take the bait and up my bet, all those massive line hits vanish .... that sure the hell don't seem random to me ..... try it yourself and test my vision please ..... thank you for the tips .... but i do certainly agree that a random number generator does not give you a taste like that bozo professor slots says....
What you are describing is now possible. There was a law passed in 2015 that allows manufactuers to show "near hits" IF and ONLY IF the RNG has decided it's a losing spin. So, if you don't have a line covered, they can have the reels fall to make you feel like you would have gotten it. It's just super important to understand that this can occur ONLY AFTER the RNG has made the determination that it's a losing spin.
RNG! Simply that! Push the button at the exact time then you hit a Jackpot! It's all about timing! That's it!
Yes!
so how do you learn timing? that is what the world wants to know
Bust we can see when a slot is on the positive or negative cycle for a period of time ! My tip is truing a slot with $20,00 and if she give nothing a move on to the next one . There is so many…. This is how l try my luck and l play very low the max bet will be no more than $2.40
Cycles do exist, but it's not due to programming of the game or is it predictable. Cycles occur in randomness. Just like flipping a coin is 50% heads and tails. You could have a string of flipping heads several times in a row. Odds are still 50%
So you told us nothing we didn't already know. Thanks for that.
You’re welcome
I played a video poker machine for 6 hours straight and didn't hit anything. Once I leave a lucky old vulture woman immediately sits down puts in $20 and on that money she hits a royal and two sets of loose deuces for $2200. I can't help to believe that she took my royal and deuces.
she did take it. all gamblers lose because they stop one spin to early.
If you use your casino card it will read your play limiting you after a win it will take back your winnings
Completely false
Thanks!
Do you ever come up to Norman to the Riverwind?
Can you talk about the way keno works versus the other slots? If there’s any differences.
Hi 👋🏽 …Where did you get your cash box from???
Cheers, Marc - good old probability theorem, eh? 😁
Absolutely - but, always try to explain it in a way most people can understand :)
I wish they did actively balance...😅👍Thanks for sharing Marc, appreciate you guys!❤❤❤
MY PROBLEM I HAVE WHEN I HIT DEAD SPINS WHERE I SPIN ONE MORE ETC. I NEED TO GET UP AND MOVE AROUND MORE.
We all struggle with that!
Well machines are pre-programmed. Which means they are predetermined 100%. If you think I’m lying go to any casino and there is a 95% chance you will always get the mini on a progressive. Second, when it’s a multiplier involved nine out of 10 times you’ll get the least available. To only get worse it’s not even worth gambling anymore.
I think if I've fed it to the point of frustration I'm going to move. There are plenty to choose from.
If you "feel" something it's just gas!!🤣
I saw a story about a slot machine in Vegas that has Never hit a jackpot. Is this true? Maybe it can't hit a jackpot ever?
Doesn’t the machine’s payback/RTP setting really determine this? Can’t individual slot machines be set with different RTPs? If so, wouldn’t that result in certain machines programmed with a higher RTP hitting more frequently?
Yes, but over millions of spins does this occur. Which is why you can’t spot this in such a short term session.
What is not mentioned is the laws in states that also play a role in this. If a machine has not paid out for some time there are algorithms that come into play so that the machine can get back into state laws and regulations.
No, that’s not correct. There are no algorithms that balance it back out.
There's no magic to slots. It's totally random, and sitting at the right machine at the right time. And luck on your side. That's part of the challenge, you never know and win when you least expect it
There is no such thing as a hot or cold machine. The only one thing that is constant with slot machines, and you can look up the casino payout records they submit to the gaming commission, is that the higher the denomination the higher the payout percentage. That being a fact, the best odds of winning are playing the higher denomination slots. This doesn’t mean you will win but you will have a better chance at winning. Oh., and another thing, those “themed” slots such as Frankenstein, Tarzan, Monopoly, etc. payout less than a typical slot machine. The casinos have to pay royalties for these machines and guess where that extra money comes from, lower payouts. Again, it doesn’t mean you can’t hit a big jackpot, it is just less likely and with slots the odds of you winning are so ridiculous, why pick a machine that you know is less likely to win?
You got it! The only comment I'll say to people is to not raise your bet unless you can safely afford to do so. Even though the odds are winning are slightly higher, it's not something you'd be able to witness in such a short time at the casino.
Lots of hits; small paybacks, or larger ones? It's how each of us perceive them.
Love the daily tips! Thankyou
You're so welcome!
Good Tip
I was recently watching an old episode of the Twilight Zone and there was a scene in the episode that really made me stop to think. We've all used the "flip-a-coin" example for a 50-50 outcome of heads or tails. Is it really? While the odds are astronomical; doesn't the coin have the possibility of landing on its edge? (kind of like your chances of winning a networked progressive slot).
Yes, that's why it's never truly 50/50 there can be edge cases. It will get really really close though the more times you do it.
My casino pulled in a couple of different electronic crap games but they are classified like a slot machine. The Bubble Craps is a 1-on-1 unit but the Stadium unit has multiple machines with multiple game offerings (craps, roulette, blackjack ...). Since these are classified as slot machines they have a payout/take control right? I've yet to find anything on the internet that talks about how these units control the outcome to fall into that payout amount? Do you have any insight on how these things work? I've developed a very large distaste/distrust for these things. I've played at real felt crap tables for over 40 years and I've never seen number strings "rolled" like what these machines have done not just on 1 occasion but multiple times. Amazing how the player gets sniped just at the right moment (as in when a bet is significantly increased). Any insight on these things?
I've flipped my cigarettes thousands of times and every once in a while it lands face up. Strange
I played Pinball at Circa on Sunday and it sucked up $500 on max bet without one Pinball bonus. Never has done that before. I was disgusted.
dont be disgusted. you picked a machine that was not about to pay. keep trying.
@@DrSchor It shouldn't be that bloody stingy
How to spot a cold machine
Anyone at coconut creek or hardrock in Florida
True
There's no such thing. They ALL work on the same algorithm. Totally random.
they do not work on an algorithm.
@@GambleSmartDon't believe that. Anything else is illegal. The results must be random. There are no "systems" Same as with craps and cards. It's random.
There is a random aspect and a control aspect. Just like in craps, throwing the dice is random, but it has to be one of 6 numbers per dice. It’s all about probability distributions, but the randomness is that nobody can predict what will come next.
However...when you aren't hitting anything...you need to get up. How many times have we watched youtube channel gamblers sit there and run through $1000 and not hit a thing..and we are all thinking the same...get the hell off of that machine!
There are times that none of the machines are paying! When more people are playing it seems that the machines pay more!
Do the ODDS of wins INCREASE regarding a BET AMOUNT ? Machines paying out a 90% win rate and they are ONE CENT machines. If the MAX bet is $5 wouldn't a $5 bet INCREASE the ODDS of a win payout instead if you were betting .50 cents per bet ?
No, odds are based on the denomination of the machine. The only exception to this is some games that have progressives attached to them - it can be easier to win those progressives the higher you bet.
There is no such thing as hot and cold machines!Amazing how gullible gamblers are!
speak for yourself. obviously, many are skillful
Great tips and explanation. Have 'fun' (win) at 'Win'star! 😘🍀🍀🍀🌹
Since ever machine today has an is linked to a data line odds can be altered at will. I was at San Pablo Casino in the East Bay playing 2 different Prosperity Link's. Where you see illuminated balls accumulate. And of course after that hoping for a bonus.
2 machines 2 different locations in the casino's. While playing both machines RESET themselves removing balls.
Of course I didn't get a bonus. As you also know your payoff varies with the amount you bet. When I played I was betting over $11.00 a spin. I would get a three whatever payoff and I'd get .60 cents.
So not only are the machines being reset in play they are also not paying you off per level of play.
I know this can be done remotely as each is monitored and linked to some system
No, that is not correct
@@GambleSmart Could you explain a little more.
Could go either way
It’s not possible for a casino or anyone to manipulate game play in any way. They can’t even change the odds remotely. I’d have to know more about the situation you had to know for sure what happened. A video would be helpful :) But, I just want you to feel comforted knowing that nobody can monkey with machines like you described, so it might be something else in the game mechanics that isn’t understood.
@@GambleSmart you are very cruel to burst his bubble. let him have hope, what is the harm?
If the slot machines are random, how come the casino posts payout rates?
Aha, I see, it is based on the past performance , you say, but it is never close to
100% payout in any week/month as the law of averages would imply, right ?
Payback % are to be realized after about 10,000,000 games played. That is when the math works itself out. The part that is random is that the RNG randomly picks a symbol on the virtual reel. Think of the virtual reel as a deck of cards. If you were to randomly select a card from a standard 52 deck of cards, that part is random (RNG), but the percentage is the odds of you selecting a specific card (the control).
The algorithm knows, if it has paid out a certain amount, it needs to recoup monies to keep the percentage paid out at the prescribed level programmed in the machine (computer terminal nowadays).
No, that's not how it works. It does not "actively" balance as you described. It's passive. It's all about long term math using the Law of Large Numbers.
@@GambleSmart In our casino, once you get a nice large payout or hand pay, spin no more than ten times if you must. Machines I've played go into recoup mode and no matter what you do you are throwing away your money on that machine and sometimes that bank of the same machines.
Out of 100 machine only 1 or two wins.
Isn’t this the Cowboy slots guy?
Yes, that’s me :) Just a new project.
I just left Winstar haha
Don't they tell you a machine is hot because the machine isn't bringing in money?
Great tip of day.are U still working with Bradley as I see U here lot more then over a cbs
A little here and there - but, this is my primary focus (marc)
Randomness in this context depends on how it is determined.
It’s pRNG - impossible to be truly random, but as random as it can be with machine code.
@@GambleSmartso depending on how they generate said number it maybe possible (probably very slim to almost 0) to predict a pattern
It’s become much more difficult over time as the pRNG no longer follows any sequence. You’d have to reverse engineer the algorithm. Back in the day, if the machine lost power, it would seed the pRNG at the beginning so there was some predictable sequence. Those days are long gone though.
I watch your videos and think you're great but I disagree with this. I refuse to go to a casino when they are having some crazy promotion or dinners. I've never won a dime on those nights. The casino is either hot or cold. Usually I will put my money in the first machine and know how the night is going to go within 30 minutes. I 100% believe the casino can turn the odds up or down at any given time. Anyone that knows anything about Vegas knows that the old downtown casinos like Golden Nugget pay more than the ones on the main strip (Bellagio, Caesars, etc. That's because they control the percent paid out. If they weren't able to control this and it was "just the machine" then how is this possible?
Completely understood - but, they don't change the payback % like you might believe. When you are dealing with a mathematical program that dishes out probabilities over 10,000,000 spins, you will see strings of "hot" and "cold", but that is just randomness at play, not the machine being changed. A good example, is flipping a coin - we know that it's 50% heads and 50% tails. But, you might flip 5 heads in a row.. why is that? Shouldn't it be 50/50? No, because in randomness, you will see strings like this - but, the more you do it, the odds will start to show itself.
They said in Vegas.the other day........a machine has to have $160.000 put thru it...before the jackpot of $8000 will go off............99% you will lose...so dont go..!
Who said that? They know absolutely nothing about how slot machines work.
@@GambleSmart did you not read his comment . someone in vegas said that. they should know. they were in vegas
3:57
I cant make this make sense. If a machine is low volatility, and has a 90%+ rtp, it cant be as random as flipping a coin?
Think of it this way. The random aspect of flipping a coin is you actually putting it on your thumb and tossing it into the air. The control part is it HAS to be heads or tails. For slot machines, the RNG is responsible for spitting out a random number (1 for each reel on the machine). This number then corresponds to a symbol on the reels (or virtual reels).
Low volatility machines have LESS symbols for the RNG to pick from. High volatility machines have MORE symbols for the RNG to pick from, but the values on those are larger.
@@GambleSmart Ok. Makes more sense! Btw, thank you for the informative videos!
Of course - glad that helped!
If a machine is totally random how do you explain all the near misses.
It's not totally random. There is a random aspect and a control aspect. The randomness means it's unpredictable as to what will come next. The control, is that the RNG has to pick from a certain set of symbols. If it's going to be a "loss", they can program it to show near hits... but that only happens AFTER the RNG has picked a losing set of symbols.
of course it cant be totally random. the casino has to win, and they have to play mind games on you like near misses to get you to keep playing. what were you thinking?
I think the “near misses” are programmed in to keep you playing!
👍🏽💜
I don't believe it. I watched in the high betting room the machines going off so a guy said they turned them on so I'm gonna bet big and he put money in 3 different machines in a row and on the first spin hit jackpots and then a few spins on 2 more machines, he was waiting on 5 jackpots to be paid within 5 minutes then they all stopped paying. If they can turn them on for high payouts in a slot tournament, then they can turn them on whenever they want to.
They can't do that. All of that is just anecdotal.
My biggest issue is not changing machines.
I feel invested. Chasing a bonus.
Most of us go through the same thing - it's tough!
I hate Windsor they cheat no matter what you say it ruined. Some good people
All computer genderaterd
Totally false….State law determines the percentage the machines pay out. The machine absolutely keeps track of when to pay out its 97% or whatever. It has to or it’s off the gambling floor. You see that machine paying out, stick around because it’s time. RNG and timer determine it. Your “time on device” absolutely matters.
Sorry, but you are not correct. State law determines min and max allowed payout settings, but it's up to casinos to set it how they want (with oversight from gaming control). Machines do not actively balance so there is not way to detect a hot or cold machine. It happens naturally through randomness with large probability distributions.
5 minute video to say machines dont go hot or cold 😂
People need they why, otherwise they'll never believe it. :)
@@GambleSmart no you need one to make more money
My anecdotal experiences go against everything I've heard you say, so I can never agree with what you say. Either you're on the player's side or the casino's side and from little bit I've heard from you, only watched 2 videos, it sounds to me that you're on the casino's side. Not to be trusted.
I’m on the side of providing facts. If you think that makes me belong to a side, that’s your decision.
You’re hysterical bro… what do you want from him? He’s trying to help you out with DECISIONS. Not trying to make you spend more. Actually less and giving you tools to help yourself. And you leave THAT as a fucking comment? I swear I don’t understand how in the fuck people can’t even understand help anymore… do you know how businesses and casinos work? No one’s gonna be out here twiddlin mustaches giving you predatory advice on all things SLOTS! Hahahahaha! wtf!
lol he didn't say no
Same here . 3 decades playing and also when you mention central server gaming control that DOES go on in some real world casinos they never give answers that make sense and disagree with well known facts In the industry- Also a lot of their Answers they give here are no your wrong and then proceed to split hairs on semantics but still to a critical thinker who’s talked to industry representatives you can see through the rhetoric.