I Predicted Every WCA World Record
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- Опубліковано 27 сер 2024
- Using statistics to predict the next WCA records... let's see how well this video ages :)
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Ah yes, a -0.98 second solve on December 30th 1899
Prety legit
Nothing can go wrong, right?
Lmao😂
Only 1899 kids understand
I did it.
That guess honestly sounds pretty realistic for mbld. I've been mainly attempting 67 lately, and am aiming for trying that many in all my big comps this summer. And my overall PB is also 65/67 lol
That’s cool. I hope you get 65/67 (or even 69/69).
@@table5584 6969
i hope you get that wr!!!!!
Hope you get a 60+ points
thanks everybody, i will try but i cannot promise anything as official mbld hard D:
Remember when Kit Clement (who is also a statistician) predicted in early 2019 that a 17 in FMC would take a long time and then 5 months later there was a 16 lol
2019 was insane, a 16 and two 17s, insect, 2/3 of 17s come from 2019.
@@otamota7563 insect
Just yesterday Max Park got the 3x3 WR Single with a 3.13! Crazy times we’re living in…
I didnt see this comment until now, but yes! That was a crazy day. I competed at that comp, so I witnessed and recorded the amazing solve. I posted on my channel (this one).
Hi future! Feel free to comment on how bad (or good) my predictions were :)
I think tymon record on June 3rd is like not realistic. If this happened I will literally hit my head with the wall.
@@VivaanSah same
Same
The comp that he is going to has 3x3 on 4th June 2023!
Not 3rd.
@@249cubegame we’ll see if he breaks the record there
For the fmc wr, it predicted that Cale Schoon would get it next year, one day later jayden McNeal does it
And now there’s squan single
The FMC WR just got tied today by Jayden McNeil (21 moves) .
WR Avg?
@@auradr2776 yes FMC WR mean.
@@cubingcubez6678 oh, thanks for the clarification
21 OBTM Mean of 3
This video: *exists*
Anyone whose name wasn't mentioned in the video: And I took that personally (Jayden McNeil, Ryan Pilat, Max Park)
Max Park, beating all the expectations with his 3.13 3x3 WR single:
The date for Yiheng's average is the date of worlds, which is interesting because I just released my latest worlds prediction to the public in my facebook group a few hours ago, and I predicted a 4.47 at worlds from Yiheng.
Literally got a 4.48 today. Nice guess man!
For FMC the mean was tied by Jayden Mcneil of 21 moves yesterday (June 3rd 2023) and the Square-1 WR is now 3.73s by Ryan Pilat today (June 4th 2023)
A few months later, we've realized that Yiheng got a 4.48 Average in I believe June this year xD
(Also Max Park got a 3.13 single in June lol)
5:03 the megaminx records are not amibitous at all for lml, he will do sub those predictions in june or july for sure
Predicted it, 27.27 avg
3x3 Single date was really close to be fair
Wow, Its been a day and one of the predictions is already wrong Ryan Pilat got a 3.73 wr sq-1 single
jayden mcneill also got another tie on 3x3 fmc with a mean of 21.00
@@GalacticCubing not rly wr but ig wr
But it is not yet sub the prediction.
true
I really hope Tymon sees this before tomorrow haha
Yeah
I hope he doesn’t he might be too nervous 😂
Ayeee tysm for putting me in the video. I am honored to be included :)
are you gonna try and get the exact avg on the exact date lol
there is a new square-1 wr. 3.73 by Ryan Pilat
7:46 lol that’s the date of a comp I’m organizing that Max is going to and has 7x7
Hopefully it happens lol
Don't tell max he'll get nervous lol
@@DomBrungardtCubing I won’t
Cube Master you were right with the dates on 3x3 single
I hope Tymon actually breaks the record that soon
its predicted for today so not gonna happen
@@harveymcdonald759 it didn’t happen
Max broke the record ua-cam.com/users/shorts9WO5DsgZf8M?feature=share
at least max park got a 3.13
0:57 wow, late 19th century cubers were just built different
also jacob chambers goes by they/them
I did not think I would be back here this soon - but the prediction of 20.66 FMC mean is looking super likely by the end of this year after Jaydens 21.00 tied WR mean
yo dude, max park for 3.13 wca 3x3 single!! 3.47 -> 3.13 is a big gap tho
i cant wait for tymon to break the record tommorow
LOL
He didnt brrak tommorow
Because 3x3 is on 6th
@@speedruner_1WR grammar please
Im from poland
Jayden McNeil just tied the FMC WR
Me now 4 months after this was posted, You were actually really close on some of the dates and times!
Can’t wait for Tymon to get wr tomorrow
Hey I just woke up from a comma, since 2011.
I hope feliks can beat many records tomorrow :D
3.6.2023 Jayden Mcneil tied WR FMC average of 21
4.6. 2023 Ryan Pilat New WR square-1 single of 3.73
11.6. 2023 Max Park New WR 3x3 eingle of 3.13
Tommy cherry clock 2.61 soooo close but the person is wrong
max park broke the wr single with 3.13 today
HE GOT THE NUMBER RIGHT FOR CLOCK
2.61 -Tommy Cherry on June 17
I was at the competition with Tymon this weekend. when I saw the first scramble of 2x2 i instantly grabbed his cube and scrambled it for him. he found 5move solution with the time of 0.6s. also NR tied average of 1.35 cause these scrambles (except 5th) were really good. unfortunately, he wasn't even close to beating the WR 3x3 single, and he is not going to compete for a while as he told me. we'll see how it goes. fingers crossed, that Poland will get the WR back.
ryan pilat broke the single wr for squan one day after this was predicted 😂
MAX PARK BROKE THE WORLD RECORD 3.13!!!!! 💥💥 3X3 WR SINGLE
max park just broke the 3x3 single wr at 3.13 seconds.
loll max park just got 3x3 wr
damn it was only a week off on the 3x3 wr thats kinda cool
Decent predictions. Pyra single in september is kinda funny though
@user-ln1cm8eu1fhaha thanks, really excited for shannon it should be a good comp
The squan average prediction was actually not that far off, Max siauw beat it with a 4.91 average
Great video, Sam! I love these statistic based videos.
Well you were right with one thing about Pyra Average, it was broken by Ezra Shere; 1.51
I’m curious what you would’ve gotten if you predicted the 3x3 average based on Yiheng’s results alone. He clearly improves at a faster rate than anyone else, and I’d bet 4.48 would be closer to what the computer predicts
Clock single was 2.61! But by Tommy Cherry and sooner than expected.
Lol the square-1 wr single just got broken by Ryan Pilat 🤣
However, the record could still be broken again around the end of this year by Max Siauw! Can't wait to see what happens!
if the 3x3 wr is actually broken tmrw imma go insane
Too bad the 3*3 round is on Sunday not tomorrow 😂
@@michalsozanski lmao
for fmc, jayden mcneill tied the world record on june 3rd, the day after this video was published
10:20 I don't see a big jump in this record happening anytime soon...
Yiheng Wang got a 4.48 average lol
Ok, the prediction for clock was spot on what the time would be, but lacking in everything else
Ezra now has a sub 1.5 pyra avg
WCW now has a 20 flat FMC mean
LML now has a sub 27 megminx average
The only problem is you called Jacob Chambers by he/him instead of they/them
Why is it a problem ?
@@samueljehanno because cube master mis-gendered them
im going to the comp where tymon "breaks the wr"
The ai was actually really close! Max park got the wr of 3:13 today!
bro that time prediction for clock was freaking flawless holy crap
But wrong person
It was max, not tymon. The record was broken just two weeks later though, so not bad.
4 months later... Stanley drops 5X5X5 blindfolded to 2 min 4 sec
3:07 oh wait ryan pilot just broke the record xd
And then Max Park broke it…
This video is actually aging pretty well.
I don’t like the clock avg prediction bc Cham has had two counting twos in the avg so he prolly will have a big drop
14.15 mean 3bld, 1:07.11 mean 6x6 after worlds :)
Max Park 5x5 WR single
32.88
Tommy Cherry Clock Wr Avg
3.50
Patrick Ponce Tied WR OH avg
8.65
Clock avg, megaminx single+avg, and square-1 avg wrs all happened on the same day (as well as a competition I went to)
Little did the model know, that the SQ-1 record would be broken the next day!
also there were 4 wr's in one weekend???
Max park broke the world record single 3.13
Update : yiheng wang got 4.48 average and Jayden McNeil got 21 average in fmc and max park got 3.14
3.13*
I knew that but I didn’t see my typo
Meanwhile Max Park
Yiheng casually with the 0.78 average on 2x2. Pack your bags everyone.
Lol the squan one was off within hours
Welp its a day later and the wr still haven’t been broken
Ryan pilat got the new Squan Wr Single of 3.73 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
another factor we have to add is how the person is feeling that day
he guessed the clock time right, just not right person and date lol
Watch some random WR occur by some random person on the weekend…
Edit: OMG I’m right (not to say Ryan is unknown or anything but it was certainly unexpected)
Talk about under rated
Ik but just the fact that we aren't just statistics makes me think only 3-4 will be within A sec and maybe 2 of them being by the wrong competitors
Tomarrow Max is going to a comp that’s has one handed. Can’t wait to watch him at my first comp!
0.44 I think is a good guess since zayn would likely get that time on a 4 mover since his tps is crazy
Here after Max broke the 3x3 single WR, the algorithm knows
Sam Jayden McNeill got a 21.00 tied WR average for FMC!!!!
Max park just got 5x5 wr avg
July 23 2023- Mega wr Single and avg by lml and pyraminx avg by ezra shere
Expecting a world record TOMORROW
Today 11th of june 2023, max park broke the 3x3 wr single of 3.13
And in square is 3.73 from ryan pilat
For Bld the prediction was actually close, date a bit off but the person who broke it was indeed Tommy Cherry so there’s that
*Cham is apparently gender neutral, don't say "he"
You got clock single time right but by Tommy Cherry
5:29 It got the clock time right, just not the date or person.
5:46 it’s me again! Guy with the glasses on the left! 😂
MAX PARK BROKE THE WORLD RECORD 3.13!!!!!
Max park just straight up said “no” to your 3x3 prediction
Bro he sees a sub 20 official 4x4 average and a 1.5 skewb average and sub 3.5 3x3 single and he says “thats pretty good”💀💀💀
You should remake this for the new yeat
Jayden just got a 21 FMC mean wr lol
OMG RYAN GOT A 3.73 SQUARE 1 SINGLE!!!!
My body is ready for the Tymon wr
hype
LML broke the megaminx single and average (24.44 and 27.09) several months before it was predicted to happen
Also Luke Garrett got a 3.44 solve in 3x3 single
You are kinda already wrong before this vid has been out for a day lol. Jayden McNeill 21 Move FMC WR Mean!
Oh well lol, at least result was correct! I knew that was definitely one of the more inaccurate ones
yo i was literally about to comment the same thing, gg jayden
He deserves it after the 3x3 WR fail...
@@CubeMasterYT And then their was 2 wrongs lol. Ryan Pilat 3.73 Square-1 World Record Single!
Yo I love these vids!
fmc mean just got broken by jay mcneill
This aged well 3.13
for oh 3x3 he got the time right but its with sean not max. crazy!
Bro seriously put my birthday with Samuel Fang LOL