Check out the patreon here: www.patreon.com/josephcarlson Free investor Philosophy presentation: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/vrtexx5dnv06npg1oatrn/Joseph-Carlson-Investment-Philosophy.pdf?rlkey=hsyb4c3ttf6nuvo3gknteyav9&dl=0 Patreon includes: Over 100 exclusive videos, and new ones every week. Full access to Qualtrim.com, the stock analysis website I built from the ground up Transparent portfolio updates, with every buy and sell I do, as well as monthly one-pager updates. Access to the Joseph Carlson Show private discord community, with 4,500 members Try it out now with a free trial!
I'd love to invest in stocks after listening to a guy on a podcast talk about the importance of investing and how he made over $300k in few months of investing into stocks from $175k initial capital, somehow this video has helped shed light on some things but I'm confused about the current market volatility I'm new to this and I'm open to ideas.
It's difficult to beat the market as an ordinary investor, you don't have access to information that professionals have. So it's just better if you invest with a professional who knows how things work better.
It's often true that people underestimate the importance of financial advisors until they feel the negative effects of emotional decision-making. I remember a few summers ago, after a tough divorce, when I needed a boost for my struggling business. I researched and found a licensed advisor who diligently helped grow my reserves despite inflation. Consequently, my reserves increased from $275k to around $750k.
Interesting! been looking to switch to an advisor for a while now but the fear of losing funds held me back, please any help pointing me to who your advisor is and how to reach them?
I recently made further purchases. Saving for a market slump is also a bad idea. There are different perspectives on recessions and depressions; we cannot always expect significant rewards; and taking risks is preferable to doing nothing. The bottom line is that by diversifying your portfolio and making sensible judgments, you will accomplish exceptional outcomes. In just 5 months, my portfolio's raw earnings increased by $608k.
Despite my conviction in your direction, my recent stock purchases, and the fact that I am an AMC shareholder, I have not been able to amass anything. I had been in debt for far too long before the collapse. What are the steps required in investing?
Agreed, my portfolio is well-matched for every market season yielding 85% from early last year to date. I and my advisr are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, tho this could take another year. IMO, financial advisors are the most sought-after professionals after doctors.
great gains there! mind sharing details of your advisor pleas? i've started gaining more cash flow with my employment and looking at putting money into stocks and alternative assets that can help build wealth over time
She goes by ‘’VIVIAN CAROL GIOIA’ I suggest you look her up. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.
thanks for the breakdown, I read that Nvidia provides tech for crypto mining services/blockchain transactions. Could the current crypto pump be attributed to Nvidia’s great earnings and should I hold some crypto as well, cos tbh I’m having FOMO with the current crypto price at 64k.
It’s going to be a wild year for these sectors, so you should def. invest in crypto. 60% of my portfolio is spread across tech stocks, crypto and Crypto/Gold ETFs.
Ys, my asset manager advised I spread further into mutual funds and crypto Etf and boy am I glad I did. The whole idea is: Don’t get too greedy and also to exit at the right time, so generally I do find having an adviser very helpful, because what Avg. Joe really has time to watch and comprehensively analyse the market.
What's the best approach to capitalize on the current market conditions? I'm deliberating on whether to diversify my $400k stocks portfolio. How should I reallocate stocks in my portfolio to secure my future
The current market might give opportunities to maximize profit within a short term, but in order to execute such strategy , you must be a skilled practitioner
Successful people don't become that way overnight. What most people see as a glance of wealth, a great career, and purpose is the result of hard work and hustle over time. I pray that anyone who is reading this will be successful in life,.,..
Joseph; @7:57 I heard Terry Smith whisper in my ear “CostCo earnings are growing much faster than the S&P” Half way through your Costco analysis, I thought I was listening to Charlie Munger 😊😊😊. I tell you I am hearing voices Question: How about using stop loss orders to protect your gains in COST & CMG? Finally, take a peak at the portfolio of Cantillion Capital. It’s loaded with compounding machines.
Eli Lilly isnt overvalued imo, weight loss will be bigger than AI, however, Novo Nordisk would be a better run in the long run. Only NVO and Lilly have the patent for weight loss until 2031, so thats why the high PE. Its not a new drug, what they are developing is just a pill form, instead of a shot, and they are on phase 3 already, so should come out in the next 2 years. For novo, they are in phase 1, but have already 3 drugs in the market, including a pill form.
LMFAO. Dude, palantir has been profitable for 5 straight quarters, they have 3.8 billion in cash and NO DEBT. They will be added to the S&P 500 next quarter, and they are getting contract after contract from the government, as well as, commercial. Their product is nearly impossible to duplicate, and would take a significant amount of time and money to attempt, which some countries have tried, just ask Germany. Now they want Palantir back because they finally realize they can't do it, and want to upgrade their counter terrorist AI. Do you simply hate palantir, and vomit nonsense about it or do you have puts on it and want to try to ensure it goes down because it's completely suspicious. Perhaps you might want to dig a little deeper and look at the fine points of the company, and how their transformation from relying on government contracts have now shifted to commercial, and their bootcamps are bringing in a significant stockpile of clients.
Joseph, PLEASE try analyzing companies using the method you shared in your video “Why I Love Stocks” I found your logic of comparing the risk free rate to a company’s free cash flow margin and projecting out 5 years using the free cash flow per share growth rate a super helpful exercise! I’ve been using it myself and would love to see it demonstrated in a future video. I bet others would love to see you demonstrate this technique too! Keep up the amazing content, Joe! 🙏
A tool i'm currently working on in Qualtrim is called "scenarios" and it does analysis on stocks exactly like that video. You add in some assumptions to create a 5 year financial projection for a stock. Then you look at the starting yield, what you think the cash flow will be in 5 years, and what you think the multiple will be for the stock (the appropriate yield), from that it calculates a rate of return over the 5 years. It's in beta right now and we have a number of people using it. But I want to get it out of beta and finished and I'll start doing some analysis on stocks showing people more in-depth about my assumptions on cash flows and rate of return for a stock.
Great Analasys, what do you think about VICI Properties right now, or REITS at all they are pretty exiting valued right now, whats your opinion? Thanks
Why is wing stop forward PE over 100?? Amzn and nvda are both mid 30s. Did they add cocaine to their sauce? Edit: 40:30 no cocaine just “less crappy” than BDubs. 🤷🏼♂️
Joseph you’re my favourite investing channel. Your long-term outlook and style is commendable. However how can you use p/e for a company that is just profitable? I can completely understand overvaluation arguments for Palantir but using p/e makes no sense.
Well sooner than later there will a market correction! That’s why I have limited the number of stocks I currently own! If they have a price dip probably I will buy more.
If you've been on tiktok you'd know that influencers and food reviewers go crazy on wingstop - the chicken looks delicious and is marketed ryt on those platforms. Just my 2 cents ..
Hello Joseph. Have you considered some hedge strategies that generate additional income? For example, covered calls on those stocks you’re currently long but think are a bit overvalued.
$PLTR is a definitely one of the most difficult stocks to establish valuation in recent memory. Lots of cloak and dagger mostly because lots of government contracts and companies with the most sensitive data. According to many of the analysts and industry pundits, PLTR is one of very few companies, if not the only company that these particular organizations will trust with their most sensitive data.
PE ratio is just useless metric, you have to ask the right question - why some of these companies have such a PE ratio (e.g. PEG ratio might give a clue), because there might be a reason why e.g. PLTR is trading at the current valuation.
I agree that PEG (FWD) is a good metric to normalize the PE ratio by their EPS growth. But even when looking PEG (FWD), Costco is trading at 5.04, which is insanely overvalued. For context, AAPL is at 2.79, SPGI is at 2.53, MSFT is at 2.43, V is at 2.15, etc.
I only disagree with Chipotle - there is something wrong with their staff. No matter where I travel in the country, Chipotle employee hate their jobs, have a bad attitude, and don't treat customers well.
Growth is tricky: as an example, PLTR may be as "overvalued" as NVDA in the 300s... As you surely know, when a company turns profitable, EPS growth can be explosive. Even more if it's in a secular trend. I will hold; any dip below 20 I will consider adding up to the position. Thanks and have a good day.
Palantir shootout on UA-cam stockmarket like High Noon with Joseph C (Gene Wilder) Felix (Billy Crystal) Jeremy Lefevre (Gary Cooper). Wait til Clint Eastwood turns up (Tom Nash)
I read that Nvidia provides tech for crypto mining services/blockchain transactions. Could the current crypto pump be attributed to Nvidia’s great earnings and should I hold some crypto as well, cos tbh I’m having FOMO with the current crypto price at 72k
You are missing the point on Costco.. I am a shareholder too but no offense, your analysis is superficial. One of the competitive advantages of Costco is purchasing scale through limited SKUs and ability to replicate the business model quickly and efficiently from a cash flow perspective. Classical retail is all about margin, Costco is all about volume..
Hm. I can see you're missing the opportunity in PLTR because you're scratching the surface and trying to objectively value a look in the rear view mirror rather than trying to understand comparative advantages and value the growth re-acceleration that is actually underway. To each their own, but I wouldn't call this overvalued for those not doing the same.
Joseph you have some great content. I love watching it while walking on the treadmill. Keep up the good work! Would love to see a video on stocks with greatest return potential over the next 5-10 years. Tech or not doesn’t matter to me!
I haven't bought COST in a while, but I'm not selling any time soon. I use the 250 ema as one of my metrics. COST is at 19% above right now. I did sell NVDA when it was at 92% above and it's down to 85% already! The last time it came even close to that was 78% above, then subsequently came down to 2% above in less than 2 years. I typically try to buy at less than 15% below and try to hold forever till it gets so ridiculous I can't help myself. Sold NVDA at a 234% gain in less than 3 years!
Shorting Chipotle is a terrible misunderstanding of the purpose of the instrument. Shorting any quality company just because it’s “overvalued” is simply stupid.
@@kylen6430 No I imagine it will fluctuate and go up but will become more stable and a lesser difference over time. but when/where that happens is the unknown.
I wish I would stop getting videos from Jeremy the blonde haired dude. Ever since I started watching your videos his keep coming up. No other new financial videos. Even if I click it and dislike it they still keep coming up. That guy is annoying and I don’t trust him.
As always Joseph, very impressive video. I like your view on dillution with a high price over intr value, than buy back when cheaper 👍 i did not think about that before.
Yup. Revenue growing 20% yoy. NI growing 200% yoy. And it's just ramping up. 3 billion in cash, no debt. If PLTR keeps that rate, it's actually undervalued right now. Incomparable to something like a chipotle unless someone expects burrito sales to triple tomorrow. At the same time, Palantir could actually realistically double or triple it's revenue in 1 year with just a handful of the size of contracts that they're currently getting.
MongoDB has 145 forward PE, sofi has 104 forward PE, crowdstrike has 83 forward PE. Ton of expensive tech companies out there. When's the correction? Who knows Speaking of food companies, look at Kura Sushi, currently at ATH at 300ish forward PE lol
When I was buying thousands of PLTR stock below $10, everyone was also telling me it was overvalued. This reminds me of when you bought Peloton stock without reading the room. SMH
Buying a stock is easy, but buying the right stock without a time-tested strategy is incredibly hard. Hence what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist? I’ve been trying to grow my portfolio of $560K for sometime now, my major challenge is not knowing the best entry and exit strategie;s ... I would greatly appreciate any suggestions.
27:19 “To realize the gravity of the situation, you have to look at the US and the obesity rates…” I don’t know if that was intentional but that was hilarious.
I enjoy the commentary and analysis. Don't always agree, but that's the point. Thinking and being open to conversation. I am older 68, but still try and balance growth, dividend stocks, cash manipulation and taxation exposure!! Keeps the old grey matter going!!
Wow, I loved your take on the differing risks for each of these 'overvalued' stocks! Super informative. Dilution isn't always bad?! That's definitely counterintuitive.
Claiming Wingstop has a weak moat is like saying Texas Roadhouse has a weak moat. There are many alternatives to both (think Outback Steakhouse instead of $TXRH). Both are strong businesses because they extreme demand and offer quality food that consumers see as a good value. This is the reason why both jave such busy locations. There is a reason why most wingstops are open for 12 hours or more each day, it's because fulfill a lot of orders.
There’s a new WingStop in Eugene, OR and everyone was excited to try it. Everyone I heard from trying from the new store said they hated it due to the poor service and most people I talked to didn’t like the wings. Our market here is blessed with local wing restaurants like Hot Mama’s, Chicken Bonz, and Toxic Wings. Thanks for coming into town WingStop but I’ll happily go to the competition. Edit: The poor service was likely due to all the new employees being high school kids who were probably still getting used to the ropes. So we’ll see how it does in the long run.
aye could you do me a favor, I like your kinda of investing and I like the way you explain things so if you would could you do a small quick video of how to analyze a stock, and what it all means, i'm trying to go over my longterm dividend porfolio and make sure that the companies that I did do my research into are growing and producing more cash year over year, if i'm being honest the way I Picked out my companys was just watching a lot of sock analysts videos for each company and going off that, and Im only 17 and have a really small clue in what im doing but I would like to understand and analyze a stock some what like you do because I don't agree with everything you say I just cant because I'm human
Check out the patreon here: www.patreon.com/josephcarlson
Free investor Philosophy presentation: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/vrtexx5dnv06npg1oatrn/Joseph-Carlson-Investment-Philosophy.pdf?rlkey=hsyb4c3ttf6nuvo3gknteyav9&dl=0
Patreon includes:
Over 100 exclusive videos, and new ones every week.
Full access to Qualtrim.com, the stock analysis website I built from the ground up
Transparent portfolio updates, with every buy and sell I do, as well as monthly one-pager updates.
Access to the Joseph Carlson Show private discord community, with 4,500 members
Try it out now with a free trial!
You know something about m1 is landing our share 😮
You missed cost gets overvalued when they do special dividend. 30%drop inc
I'd love to invest in stocks after listening to a guy on a podcast talk about the importance of investing and how he made over $300k in few months of investing into stocks from $175k initial capital, somehow this video has helped shed light on some things but I'm confused about the current market volatility I'm new to this and I'm open to ideas.
It's difficult to beat the market as an ordinary investor, you don't have access to information that professionals have. So it's just better if you invest with a professional who knows how things work better.
It's often true that people underestimate the importance of financial advisors until they feel the negative effects of emotional decision-making. I remember a few summers ago, after a tough divorce, when I needed a boost for my struggling business. I researched and found a licensed advisor who diligently helped grow my reserves despite inflation. Consequently, my reserves increased from $275k to around $750k.
Interesting! been looking to switch to an advisor for a while now but the fear of losing funds held me back, please any help pointing me to who your advisor is and how to reach them?
Melissa Terri Swayne maintains an online presence that can be easily found through a simple search of her name on the internet.
she actually appears to be well-read and educated. I just did a Google search for her name and found her webpage, I appreciate you sharing
I recently made further purchases. Saving for a market slump is also a bad idea. There are different perspectives on recessions and depressions; we cannot always expect significant rewards; and taking risks is preferable to doing nothing. The bottom line is that by diversifying your portfolio and making sensible judgments, you will accomplish exceptional outcomes. In just 5 months, my portfolio's raw earnings increased by $608k.
Despite my conviction in your direction, my recent stock purchases, and the fact that I am an AMC shareholder, I have not been able to amass anything. I had been in debt for far too long before the collapse. What are the steps required in investing?
Agreed, my portfolio is well-matched for every market season yielding 85% from early last year to date. I and my advisr are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, tho this could take another year. IMO, financial advisors are the most sought-after professionals after doctors.
great gains there! mind sharing details of your advisor pleas? i've started gaining more cash flow with my employment and looking at putting money into stocks and alternative assets that can help build wealth over time
She goes by ‘’VIVIAN CAROL GIOIA’ I suggest you look her up. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.
Amber Dawn Brummit
Joseph "texas Roadhouse" Carlson
I was going to say Joseph (Charlie CostCo Munger) Carlson 😊
Joseph “Suzaku Kururugi” Carlson
(They have the same voice, good luck un-hearing it)
Talk about a hot potato. When the economy dips, that stock will free fall. Now, I can’t see the future, I sold LLY @ $350 😂
thanks for the breakdown, I read that Nvidia provides tech for crypto mining services/blockchain transactions. Could the current crypto pump be attributed to Nvidia’s great earnings and should I hold some crypto as well, cos tbh I’m having FOMO with the current crypto price at 64k.
Microstrategy CEO bought $155million worth of bitcoin, so yes BUY!
It’s going to be a wild year for these sectors, so you should def. invest in crypto. 60% of my portfolio is spread across tech stocks, crypto and Crypto/Gold ETFs.
The crypto mrket is poised to outperform othr sectors in 2024, driven by the SEC's approval of a crypto ETF.
Hwever, it remains volatile. Newcomers shuld seekguidance frm an exprienced advsr.
Ys, my asset manager advised I spread further into mutual funds and crypto Etf and boy am I glad I did. The whole idea is: Don’t get too greedy and also to exit at the right time, so generally I do find having an adviser very helpful, because what Avg. Joe really has time to watch and comprehensively analyse the market.
Best thing to do after work is to watch Joseph's video
During*
I agree! I am always excited because it drops right around leaving time.
During work lol
I agree
This guy gets it
Joseph, u r one of the most logical and thorough stock research analysts on UA-cam. Thanks for all that u do❤
Appreciate that!
@@JosephCarlsonAfterHours where is your take on NVIDIA? Overvalued or at market?
Me too watching all your videos everytime
What's the best approach to capitalize on the current market conditions? I'm deliberating on whether to diversify my $400k stocks portfolio. How should I reallocate stocks in my portfolio to secure my future
The current market might give opportunities to maximize profit within a short term, but in order to execute such strategy , you must be a skilled practitioner
Successful people don't become that way overnight. What most people see as a glance of wealth, a great career, and purpose is the result of hard work and hustle over time. I pray that anyone who is reading this will be successful in life,.,..
What about the most undervalued stocks in the market?
Are you suggesting there's undervalued stocks in this market?
I think ebay is undervalued@@JosephCarlsonAfterHours
I'm buying ADM and LEG right now, both are undervalued, though ADM has come up a good bit since.
My first thought too 😂 @@JosephCarlsonAfterHours
$Goog
Joseph, your honesty shines through, keep up the good work
Joseph; @7:57 I heard Terry Smith whisper in my ear “CostCo earnings are growing much faster than the S&P” Half way through your Costco analysis, I thought I was listening to Charlie Munger 😊😊😊. I tell you I am hearing voices
Question: How about using stop loss orders to protect your gains in COST & CMG?
Finally, take a peak at the portfolio of Cantillion Capital. It’s loaded with compounding machines.
Bought Palantir under 10$ a share and added willing to hold long term
Eli Lilly isnt overvalued imo, weight loss will be bigger than AI, however, Novo Nordisk would be a better run in the long run. Only NVO and Lilly have the patent for weight loss until 2031, so thats why the high PE. Its not a new drug, what they are developing is just a pill form, instead of a shot, and they are on phase 3 already, so should come out in the next 2 years. For novo, they are in phase 1, but have already 3 drugs in the market, including a pill form.
PLTR is really difficult to value right now.
I have 2k in , i want to add more shares around this price but preferably at 20$
Forgetting the words of tech bubble. Going to roll over and crash, despite good earnings its all about sector sentiment
LMFAO. Dude, palantir has been profitable for 5 straight quarters, they have 3.8 billion in cash and NO DEBT. They will be added to the S&P 500 next quarter, and they are getting contract after contract from the government, as well as, commercial. Their product is nearly impossible to duplicate, and would take a significant amount of time and money to attempt, which some countries have tried, just ask Germany. Now they want Palantir back because they finally realize they can't do it, and want to upgrade their counter terrorist AI. Do you simply hate palantir, and vomit nonsense about it or do you have puts on it and want to try to ensure it goes down because it's completely suspicious. Perhaps you might want to dig a little deeper and look at the fine points of the company, and how their transformation from relying on government contracts have now shifted to commercial, and their bootcamps are bringing in a significant stockpile of clients.
45 min video, feeling blessed
Joseph, PLEASE try analyzing companies using the method you shared in your video “Why I Love Stocks”
I found your logic of comparing the risk free rate to a company’s free cash flow margin and projecting out 5 years using the free cash flow per share growth rate a super helpful exercise! I’ve been using it myself and would love to see it demonstrated in a future video. I bet others would love to see you demonstrate this technique too!
Keep up the amazing content, Joe! 🙏
A tool i'm currently working on in Qualtrim is called "scenarios" and it does analysis on stocks exactly like that video.
You add in some assumptions to create a 5 year financial projection for a stock. Then you look at the starting yield, what you think the cash flow will be in 5 years, and what you think the multiple will be for the stock (the appropriate yield), from that it calculates a rate of return over the 5 years.
It's in beta right now and we have a number of people using it. But I want to get it out of beta and finished and I'll start doing some analysis on stocks showing people more in-depth about my assumptions on cash flows and rate of return for a stock.
Great Analasys, what do you think about VICI Properties right now, or REITS at all they are pretty exiting valued right now, whats your opinion?
Thanks
Why is wing stop forward PE over 100?? Amzn and nvda are both mid 30s. Did they add cocaine to their sauce? Edit: 40:30 no cocaine just “less crappy” than BDubs. 🤷🏼♂️
Joseph you’re my favourite investing channel. Your long-term outlook and style is commendable. However how can you use p/e for a company that is just profitable? I can completely understand overvaluation arguments for Palantir but using p/e makes no sense.
imagine a society where people pay money to eat foods that get them so fat they have to pay money to lose their appetite
Idiocracy got nothing on 2024
Well sooner than later there will a market correction! That’s why I have limited the number of stocks I currently own! If they have a price dip probably I will buy more.
What an awesome detailed analysis Joseph , any upcoming video on most undervalued stocks?
wingstop wtf. its just chicken . do they have AI Chickens ?
If you've been on tiktok you'd know that influencers and food reviewers go crazy on wingstop - the chicken looks delicious and is marketed ryt on those platforms. Just my 2 cents ..
Good question.
It’s because of Rick Ross lol 😂
😂🤣💀🐔
Hello Joseph. Have you considered some hedge strategies that generate additional income? For example, covered calls on those stocks you’re currently long but think are a bit overvalued.
$PLTR is a definitely one of the most difficult stocks to establish valuation in recent memory. Lots of cloak and dagger mostly because lots of government contracts and companies with the most sensitive data. According to many of the analysts and industry pundits, PLTR is one of very few companies, if not the only company that these particular organizations will trust with their most sensitive data.
You missed CELH.
the differece into on PLTR you used to compare it to SNOW and the dilution has been happening since it was 9 bucks
AMD is trading at a 330 P/E lol
Another video about Costco and Chipotle 🙄. Like my boomer parents telling me how cheap their house was when they bought it in 1989.
PE ratio is just useless metric, you have to ask the right question - why some of these companies have such a PE ratio (e.g. PEG ratio might give a clue), because there might be a reason why e.g. PLTR is trading at the current valuation.
I agree that PEG (FWD) is a good metric to normalize the PE ratio by their EPS growth. But even when looking PEG (FWD), Costco is trading at 5.04, which is insanely overvalued. For context, AAPL is at 2.79, SPGI is at 2.53, MSFT is at 2.43, V is at 2.15, etc.
Joseph, can you please delete the massive scam threads in your comments sections by bots.
I only disagree with Chipotle - there is something wrong with their staff. No matter where I travel in the country, Chipotle employee hate their jobs, have a bad attitude, and don't treat customers well.
Joseph are you still following CROX? 9 PE for a company growing earnings twice as quickly as the market!
Growth is tricky: as an example, PLTR may be as "overvalued" as NVDA in the 300s...
As you surely know, when a company turns profitable, EPS growth can be explosive. Even more if it's in a secular trend.
I will hold; any dip below 20 I will consider adding up to the position.
Thanks and have a good day.
Palantir shootout on UA-cam stockmarket like High Noon with Joseph C (Gene Wilder) Felix (Billy Crystal) Jeremy Lefevre (Gary Cooper). Wait til Clint Eastwood turns up (Tom Nash)
Don’t disagree with you regarding Eli. However consistency is overrated. As Buffett says, I’d rather have a lumpy 15% than a smooth 10%.
What about ADBE?
Honest question, what makes paying taxes now worse than paying later for selling a stock?
I read that Nvidia provides tech for crypto mining services/blockchain transactions. Could the current crypto pump be attributed to Nvidia’s great earnings and should I hold some crypto as well, cos tbh I’m having FOMO with the current crypto price at 72k
You are missing the point on Costco.. I am a shareholder too but no offense, your analysis is superficial. One of the competitive advantages of Costco is purchasing scale through limited SKUs and ability to replicate the business model quickly and efficiently from a cash flow perspective. Classical retail is all about margin, Costco is all about volume..
Note for Myself:
37:10 Share Dilution can be GOOD if the company is OVERVALUED. Little indicator to know when to buy.
Hm. I can see you're missing the opportunity in PLTR because you're scratching the surface and trying to objectively value a look in the rear view mirror rather than trying to understand comparative advantages and value the growth re-acceleration that is actually underway. To each their own, but I wouldn't call this overvalued for those not doing the same.
Really nice one, thanks for the breakdown
Did you take a look at $COCO ? The stock is trading like at level of creating a flying car company, when they just sell coconut water.
3mo later, you've sold all your Chipotle! So much for holding 5-10 years.
Just subscribe, hopefully may get a few good pointers on some long term buys, thks
you will
Can you do one on cava?
Has a PE of 255 and forward PE of 300
I am aaking the same
To summarize the video in few words : because chipotle long term trend and its impact on obisity
, Ely lily is not overvalued
Comparing the P/E ratio of PLTR to Costco, Chipotle and Lily is wild.
Joseph, we need a 5 most undervalued vid please. Thinking about selling my AAPL
I enjoy watching your channel time and time again, investing at an all time high becomes more difficult as the market moves higher
We need to get r/WSB to Jihad for Chipotle so as to _short squeeze_ Fake Guru Jeremy!
Joseph you have some great content. I love watching it while walking on the treadmill. Keep up the good work! Would love to see a video on stocks with greatest return potential over the next 5-10 years. Tech or not doesn’t matter to me!
CMG’s competition is all fast food restaurants. CMG charges more than most fast food. Why be in this space at all?
Luxury brands routinely sell their products at several multiples of product cost. Remember WholeFoods (b4 Amazon bought them)
Wing stop is like Chipotle for me, I really dislike their products. 😢
Lilly is addressing a big issue, obesity of the American population.
I see you did there 😂
Qdoba? Moe’s? Lol chipotle has a large market share but they are far from the only one.
I haven't bought COST in a while, but I'm not selling any time soon. I use the 250 ema as one of my metrics. COST is at 19% above right now. I did sell NVDA when it was at 92% above and it's down to 85% already! The last time it came even close to that was 78% above, then subsequently came down to 2% above in less than 2 years. I typically try to buy at less than 15% below and try to hold forever till it gets so ridiculous I can't help myself. Sold NVDA at a 234% gain in less than 3 years!
What are you referring to with “250 ema”?
250 day exponential moving average@@rogersmj
Does Qualtrim include European stocks?
Shorting Chipotle is a terrible misunderstanding of the purpose of the instrument. Shorting any quality company just because it’s “overvalued” is simply stupid.
Agreed, unless it is built on a fraud. ALL pharma is crap. Homebuilders are built on fraudulent appraisal values.
Wait till you see RACE's valuation. It's just as absurd!
can you compare it and check snowflake?
why are we keep talking about these restaurant. very replaceable business.
This is the first time I noticed the weight rack behind you. Get after it!
Palantir with a high forward PE will raise that E side and bring down the PE ratio.
So they will demonstrate earnings growth, and the price “P” will just….stay the same?
@@kylen6430 No I imagine it will fluctuate and go up but will become more stable and a lesser difference over time. but when/where that happens is the unknown.
I wish I would stop getting videos from Jeremy the blonde haired dude. Ever since I started watching your videos his keep coming up. No other new financial videos. Even if I click it and dislike it they still keep coming up. That guy is annoying and I don’t trust him.
If you don't want his videos to appear in your feed, click the 3 dots next to the title, & select "do not recommend channel"
As always Joseph, very impressive video. I like your view on dillution with a high price over intr value, than buy back when cheaper 👍 i did not think about that before.
I never buy overvalued stocks, only fair valued or undervalued.
Do the most undervalued stocks if there are any. That's harder to do
Pltr looks overvalued, but won’t seem that way soon
Yup. Revenue growing 20% yoy. NI growing 200% yoy. And it's just ramping up. 3 billion in cash, no debt.
If PLTR keeps that rate, it's actually undervalued right now. Incomparable to something like a chipotle unless someone expects burrito sales to triple tomorrow. At the same time, Palantir could actually realistically double or triple it's revenue in 1 year with just a handful of the size of contracts that they're currently getting.
Look at $COIN it is even more overvalued
Please do a video about lululemon
Joseph does a great job analyzing the pulse of the the stock market and is a valuable asset to investors.
Novo is a much better buy than Eli Lilly now.
Would be great to see what is undervalued 👍
Lbh, these are not the most overvalued stocks in the market 😆
I want to own Wingstop but its just too darn expensive right now.
Really expected ARM to be on here. Bummer.
Can’t wait for analysis on snow now that you did it for Palentir
So cost deserves a higher multiple than tech stocks. I don’t think so
Far more predictable than most tech companies, less chance of disruption, and has a high percentage of net income as subscription.
Costco is always a buy when diamond handing
MongoDB has 145 forward PE, sofi has 104 forward PE, crowdstrike has 83 forward PE. Ton of expensive tech companies out there. When's the correction? Who knows
Speaking of food companies, look at Kura Sushi, currently at ATH at 300ish forward PE lol
When I was buying thousands of PLTR stock below $10, everyone was also telling me it was overvalued. This reminds me of when you bought Peloton stock without reading the room. SMH
Can we get an updated Roblox video?
Very interesting video so far!!! Would be great to see the opposite of this, some undervakued companies
The entire market is approaching all time highs
There are already programs being built out to help take people off these weight loss drugs while continuing and maintaining weight loss.
Buying a stock is easy, but buying the right stock without a time-tested strategy is incredibly hard. Hence what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist? I’ve been trying to grow my portfolio of $560K for sometime now, my major challenge is not knowing the best entry and exit strategie;s ... I would greatly appreciate any suggestions.
QDoba is competitor to Chipotle
27:19 “To realize the gravity of the situation, you have to look at the US and the obesity rates…” I don’t know if that was intentional but that was hilarious.
I enjoy the commentary and analysis. Don't always agree, but that's the point. Thinking and being open to conversation. I am older 68, but still try and balance growth, dividend stocks, cash manipulation and taxation exposure!! Keeps the old grey matter going!!
Hell, and you have companies like CrowdStrike trading at like 900 P/E ratio and people are still buying like crazy.
Wow, I loved your take on the differing risks for each of these 'overvalued' stocks!
Super informative.
Dilution isn't always bad?! That's definitely counterintuitive.
Claiming Wingstop has a weak moat is like saying Texas Roadhouse has a weak moat. There are many alternatives to both (think Outback Steakhouse instead of $TXRH). Both are strong businesses because they extreme demand and offer quality food that consumers see as a good value. This is the reason why both jave such busy locations. There is a reason why most wingstops are open for 12 hours or more each day, it's because fulfill a lot of orders.
Biggest mistake I ever made was thinking Tesla was overvalued. I’m not making that mistake with PLTR.
There’s a new WingStop in Eugene, OR and everyone was excited to try it. Everyone I heard from trying from the new store said they hated it due to the poor service and most people I talked to didn’t like the wings.
Our market here is blessed with local wing restaurants like Hot Mama’s, Chicken Bonz, and Toxic Wings. Thanks for coming into town WingStop but I’ll happily go to the competition.
Edit: The poor service was likely due to all the new employees being high school kids who were probably still getting used to the ropes. So we’ll see how it does in the long run.
aye could you do me a favor, I like your kinda of investing and I like the way you explain things so if you would could you do a small quick video of how to analyze a stock, and what it all means, i'm trying to go over my longterm dividend porfolio and make sure that the companies that I did do my research into are growing and producing more cash year over year, if i'm being honest the way I Picked out my companys was just watching a lot of sock analysts videos for each company and going off that, and Im only 17 and have a really small clue in what im doing but I would like to understand and analyze a stock some what like you do because I don't agree with everything you say I just cant because I'm human
$CAVA reataurent forq pe 275