UK hospital admissions will rise

The unknown is by how much, as the UK reopens, it is going to be a difficult summer
Neil Ferguson, (SAGE member)
England and Scotland have eases restrictions
Almost all legal restrictions on social contact end in England
Almost certain to reach
100,000 cases per day
1,000 hospital admissions per day
Maintaining this level could be described as success
Possible to reach
200,000 cases per day
2,000 hospital admissions per day
This would cause major disruption to the NHS
Much less certain to predict
May be a need to slow the spread to some extent
If hospital admissions were to reach 2,000 or 3,000 per day
Best projections
Peak, between August and mid-September
It will take 3 weeks to know effects of easing
Covid passports
In the UK from end of September
Long Covid
Another 500,000mpeople could get long Covid
I think case numbers are likely to be declining at least by late September, even in the the worst-case scenario
Going into the winter, I think we will have quite a high degree of immunity against Covid,
the real concerns are a resurgence of influenza, because we haven't had any influenza for 18 months
Flu could be, frankly, almost as damaging both for health and the health system, by December or January, as Covid has been this year
Pingdemic
Health Secretary Sajid Javid positive
Doubled jabbed, pinged Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak
www.bbc.co.uk/...
Rising exponentially
W/E 7th July
500,000 alerts sent to NHS Test and Trace app users
Up 46% on previous week
Pinging level is about 3:1 of Covid cases
From 16 August
Fully vaccinated will not have to self-isolate if they are pinged
Instead advised to take PCR test ASAP
Supermarket boss
The clock is ticking and the government needs to act fast to get people back to work if they have a negative test
If not, we could be heading towards crisis point next month
Morrisons
Throughout the whole of the pandemic, we have not been required to close a store
British Retail Consortium
Government must bring forward the changes on self-isolation from 16 August
so that people who are fully vaccinated or have a negative test are not forced to needlessly quarantine
The Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI)
www.bbc.co.uk/...
12 to 17s soon
Vulnerable 12 to 15-year-olds and those nearly 18
Jeremy Hunt
the government was likely to have to reintroduce some controls in the autumn
Hospital admissions, NHS was facing a very serious situation
Prof Jonathan Van-Tam
Bumpy winter ahead
Approach the easing, in a cautious, steady, gradual way