How I Accidentally Got The Best Achievement in Town of Salem 2

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  • Опубліковано 17 сер 2023
  • Town of Salem 2 - Doomsayer and Pestilence gameplay
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    Town of Salem 2 has different factions in it.
    The Coven: The Dreamweaver, Enchanter, Illusionist, Medusa, Conjuror, Jinx, Ritualist, Coven Leader, Hex Master, Witch, Necromancer, Poisoner, Potion Master, Voodoo Master and Wildling
    The Town: Coroner, Investigator, Lookout, Psychic, Seer, Sheriff, Spy, Tracker, Deputy, Trickster, Veteran, Vigilante, Jailor, Mayor, Monarch, Prosecutor, Bodyguard, Cleric, Crusader, Trapper, Admirer and Amnesiac
    The Neutral Apocalypse: Baker, Famine, Berserker, War, Plaguebearer, Pestilence, Soul Collector and Death
    Neutral Evil: Executioner, Jester, Doomsayer, Pirate
    Neutral Killing: Arsonist, Serial Killer, Shroud and Werewolf
  • Ігри

КОМЕНТАРІ • 162

  • @medicore694
    @medicore694 11 місяців тому +436

    Would be funny if there was an achievement for dooming 3 horsemen since none of them would actually die, though it would be nigh impossible to get.

    • @anzyroadside2374
      @anzyroadside2374 11 місяців тому +41

      Doomsayer would be dead or have already left the town by then

    • @singingsun04
      @singingsun04 11 місяців тому +62

      Maybe dooming 3 people who don’t die? Cause Doomsayer and Pirate also wouldn’t die. Still would be absurdly hard to get.

    • @NoNameAtAll2
      @NoNameAtAll2 11 місяців тому +179

      "you appeased the old ones by pointing to 3 unkillable creatures. Now it's old ones' problem"

    • @bwobkjobrien2508
      @bwobkjobrien2508 11 місяців тому +21

      Don’t give the devs ideas. This is totally something they’d do

    • @dovahkendov2816
      @dovahkendov2816 11 місяців тому +9

      What about dooming three NA on N1? That would be an amazing achievement.

  • @waterywowies1268
    @waterywowies1268 11 місяців тому +298

    Just casually getting one of the hardest achievements in the game no biggy...

    • @bloxer9563
      @bloxer9563 11 місяців тому +21

      Pptron moment

    • @drachenklinger9401
      @drachenklinger9401 11 місяців тому +4

      *dreamweaver steps into the chat*

    • @solarx4166
      @solarx4166 11 місяців тому +1

      we don’t talk about getting the same achievement n1

    • @alfieee2279
      @alfieee2279 11 місяців тому +12

      really? I don’t think it’s that insane to win as doom by n3

    • @TutorialsGuy
      @TutorialsGuy 11 місяців тому

      @@alfieee2279then you try to get it

  • @TrustyGun2
    @TrustyGun2 11 місяців тому +6

    I find it funny how you had no impact in that first game since they are also got clapped by SK, Shroud, and Jailor respectively.

  • @dodoking8459
    @dodoking8459 11 місяців тому +90

    I remember getting this achievement by sheer luck, it was a two Apoc game and both for some odd reason claimed Death and Baker D1. So I guessed them as Apoc and a random person as Coven. So I won N1 which I didn't know there was an achievement for winning within 3 nights

  • @astrogamer927
    @astrogamer927 11 місяців тому +68

    I once got a n2 doom.
    This is because another ds got the lwgendary tripple coven n1, so everyone just claimed openly because unlikely 2nd ds and last coven rit would have book.
    So i easily won n2 with monarch, last coven, and ret.
    Everyone spent the whole day yelling they were cheating, then even after claiming openinly, claimed i was also cheating.
    The salt was enough to melt a glacier.

    • @AgateBrick
      @AgateBrick 11 місяців тому +4

      This is too funny

    • @Resetium
      @Resetium 11 місяців тому +8

      I love hackusations against dooms, honestly.
      And never against rits, funny enough...

  • @merendell
    @merendell 11 місяців тому +92

    You know it would be funny to be in a town where a doomsayer correctly guessed 3 random coven N1. Coven basicly gets wiped out by pure dumb luck.

    • @Creeper_123
      @Creeper_123 11 місяців тому +32

      I was in that exact position a few days ago, one of my coven members left and the other 2 (me and another guy) were just a guess. It’s not funny when you’re the one involved.

    • @Vearru
      @Vearru 11 місяців тому +30

      @@Creeper_123This is why disconnecting N1 is really bad play bordering on gamethrowing as coven on a four coven team.

    • @yeetosis9097
      @yeetosis9097 11 місяців тому +4

      Literally had that happen in a game of mine. I thought man was cheating

    • @ruukinen
      @ruukinen 11 місяців тому +6

      Only one of the guesses in this case was "random", he already suspected 2.

    • @AgateBrick
      @AgateBrick 11 місяців тому +1

      I did this
      Town still lost

  • @SeaIix
    @SeaIix 11 місяців тому +130

    If I'm not mistaken in a 4 coven game there is a 1/91 chance of guessing 3 coven randomly night 1 assuming no disconnects and no additional info, so yeah on average probs about 1% chance

    • @Lalaoz
      @Lalaoz 11 місяців тому +15

      i think the math is (4/15)*(3/14)*(2/13)
      since you have to guess all 3 correctly, and you cant guess the same person twice.
      you'd have a 4/15 chance of guessing a coven the first time, then 3/14, then 2/13.
      which works out to ~0.88% or ~1/114

    • @regensrex8795
      @regensrex8795 11 місяців тому +28

      @@Lalaoz almost correct. But you don't need to count yourself.
      4/14 3/13 2/12

    • @snoer5349
      @snoer5349 11 місяців тому

      So anyway 1%

    • @Lalaoz
      @Lalaoz 11 місяців тому +11

      @@regensrex8795 true, in that case the math adds up to 1.09%

    • @killerwolf9409
      @killerwolf9409 11 місяців тому +1

      @@Lalaoznot to mention the chances in a 3 coven team

  • @somerandomguans
    @somerandomguans 11 місяців тому +105

    The fact that pipe doesn’t even react when he gets some of the most rare achievements

    • @AyJOb10
      @AyJOb10 11 місяців тому +1

      Ikr

  • @Yaseenicus
    @Yaseenicus 11 місяців тому +24

    i think that situation when you could've pushed 11 for the achievement is one of those things where you gotta just try it anyway instead of letting the chance slip because worst case scenario you attract suspicion but best case scenario you achieve something quite difficult

  • @superninja3464
    @superninja3464 11 місяців тому +42

    5 “what if you two fought for me *blushes*”
    -CUTS TO WIN SCREEN-😂
    21:08

    • @RenShinomiya121
      @RenShinomiya121 11 місяців тому +11

      "Get em, boys!"
      *cuts to win screen*
      Pipe doesn't take any bitches, true sigma grindset.

  • @jmagicd9831
    @jmagicd9831 11 місяців тому +24

    If you guess 3 random people as random coven and 4 coven are in the game. There are 14 choose 3 combos you can pick, and 4 choose 3 of those are correct, so that’s 4 out of 364.
    So you have a 1 in 91 chance to win N1, so it’s actually better than shiny hunting in pokemon.

    • @eaglegosuperskarmor
      @eaglegosuperskarmor 11 місяців тому +6

      With 3 coven in the game, it drops down to 1/364, and with less than 3 it's 0%, so it'd be interesting to have the statistics of how many games have full coven. That being said, 4 coven games are rather common, so it shouldn't drop too far.

    • @jmagicd9831
      @jmagicd9831 11 місяців тому +1

      @@eaglegosuperskarmor I usually play Ranked practice so guessing 3 random coven is 1/91 there. All Any is anyone’s guess but I doubt there’s a better strategy night 1 unless someone open claims their role.

  • @pinkapinkaboo
    @pinkapinkaboo 11 місяців тому +15

    Maaaaybe I should stop using the name 'Rizztualist' for the time being 😅
    Good to be in a game with you again, Pipe! Even if I did die N1!
    Nice going with that Doom achievement! That one's a toughy, I only got mine out of pure luck!

  • @angrykouhai2053
    @angrykouhai2053 10 місяців тому +2

    "but only on weekend" 🤣🤣🤣🤣
    That shroud was funny as hell.

  • @heliosauroa7971
    @heliosauroa7971 11 місяців тому +16

    I hope they add another one for Doom somthing like "Ultimate DOOM" for taking down 3 Apoc :D

  • @MikeCheckGaming
    @MikeCheckGaming 11 місяців тому +7

    Just today a Witch gifted me this achievement, by telling me that someone else was an Executioner. Someone else claimed Vet like "DOOM ME!" so I played Thanos and perfectly balanced my kills.

  • @mycroftbrendan
    @mycroftbrendan 11 місяців тому +25

    Dooming people n1 should just be a achievement, I've done it before once. You could name that achievement "Lucly Guess"

    • @zaero2379
      @zaero2379 11 місяців тому +2

      please for the love of God no

    • @Underworlder5
      @Underworlder5 11 місяців тому +7

      there are enough ridiculous achievements in the game already. no need to add any more

  • @smashy5008
    @smashy5008 11 місяців тому +3

    4:30 Funnily enough, they DID get exe'd

  • @bigd-ina
    @bigd-ina 11 місяців тому +1

    I LOVE doomsayer games thank you for this

  • @willymammoth539
    @willymammoth539 11 місяців тому

    Thanks pipetron you’ve made my day better ❤

  • @Aquavenn
    @Aquavenn 11 місяців тому

    I've never been this early on a pipe video. So happy theres another vid. super excited

  • @thatponybro6940
    @thatponybro6940 11 місяців тому +28

    if you get Pirated, you should put what you chose to defend yourself with in your will

  • @Mark-wt6pg
    @Mark-wt6pg 11 місяців тому +1

    I guy guessed the Vet bait and 2 random coven N1 yesterday

  • @shadowkahn9415
    @shadowkahn9415 11 місяців тому

    GG Great video as always :)

  • @whyttestar
    @whyttestar 11 місяців тому

    It’s going good. Thank YOU pipton for asking

  • @anzyroadside2374
    @anzyroadside2374 11 місяців тому +1

    RIP Coven, the doomsayer fodder.

  • @IDESTROYER236
    @IDESTROYER236 11 місяців тому

    Truly coomsayer gaming.

  • @justaperson8381
    @justaperson8381 11 місяців тому

    Thank you pipeton for saying the doom

  • @usaidm.8264
    @usaidm.8264 11 місяців тому +1

    6:07 "We just got a letter we just got a letter I wonder who it's from" - is that a Blue's Clues reference? I had no idea that was a meme LOL.

  • @MabushiiKage
    @MabushiiKage 11 місяців тому

    That N2 Infect, holy shit!

  • @Brythnoth_of_the_Void
    @Brythnoth_of_the_Void 11 місяців тому +2

    There is a video of someone who got a N1 triple coven doom win.

  • @ysgramorssoupspoon2261
    @ysgramorssoupspoon2261 11 місяців тому

    That first game shroud is the sanest ToS player

  • @cosmicsamuel4224
    @cosmicsamuel4224 11 місяців тому +1

    In the second game I was the enchanter who got shot by dep. Yes I did enchant you but I put you in my fake will in case I was tracked. I made two new friends in the graveyard during the game though.

  • @walmart_pole
    @walmart_pole 11 місяців тому

    got it accidentally as well. doomed a revealed deputy, a tk claim who sounded like a vigi, and a silent guy who turned out to be a coven

  • @hakaisuijin
    @hakaisuijin 11 місяців тому

    Casual Pipe obtaining one of the hardest achivement of Doom. Very Pipe like lol

  • @williamfalls
    @williamfalls 11 місяців тому

    G1N2 Coven: "Hehe. All is going good. Nobody's got hanged so we can play it off as- Oh they're all dead."

  • @randombeast5
    @randombeast5 11 місяців тому

    Im always looking to see if im in one of these games lol

  • @derelictgasstation
    @derelictgasstation 11 місяців тому

    If I was making the doomsayer achievements I'd add one called "dumb luck" where you doom 3 players on night 1

  • @derpaderpy4931
    @derpaderpy4931 11 місяців тому

    Little note for the future, the Spy in the first game who said "I can't get inno'd atp", "atp" stands for "at this point."

  • @yeetosis9097
    @yeetosis9097 11 місяців тому

    Literally had a game where doomsayer won N1 and literally everyone and myself thought he was cheating

  • @ThePhenomenalEX
    @ThePhenomenalEX 11 місяців тому

    I can't wait for the day where you doom 3 coven N1.

  • @AyJOb10
    @AyJOb10 11 місяців тому

    ah yes. Another *doomsday* video where the Doomsayer destroyes the world. What could make this go old?

  • @insertname8812
    @insertname8812 11 місяців тому

    I got this achievement on my first Doomsayer game thanks to a weirdly honest Shroud who just... Open claimed Shroud. It was a weird game

  • @bradyyeah7352
    @bradyyeah7352 11 місяців тому +1

    I doomed three coven night one a couple days ago soooo ignoring the immense amounts of luck… skill issue?

  • @greg25058
    @greg25058 11 місяців тому

    Goated

  • @angelesguadarramarobinson7425
    @angelesguadarramarobinson7425 11 місяців тому

    Lmao I got this achievement when the game just came out and my first doom game, i didn’t know it was THAT rare. But I also got extremely lucky.

  • @mr_thug_penguin
    @mr_thug_penguin 11 місяців тому

    getting 3 coven night 1 is way harder than that cuz there might not even be enough of them

  • @CR1MSONACE
    @CR1MSONACE 11 місяців тому

    5:36
    نعم

  • @Noviron
    @Noviron 11 місяців тому

    Oh hey that was me in the vid + in match 1 was my friend 6. He said "Must be his first veteran game" Nah pipe. That was his 2nd game in general. Also btw I apologize for throwing the game when i was rit open claiming LOL

  • @ZaTrapu
    @ZaTrapu 11 місяців тому

    I got this on my first doomsayer win

  • @cyberworldturtlestorys
    @cyberworldturtlestorys 6 днів тому

    Hmm Pie is also my favourite color

  • @JufHouse
    @JufHouse 11 місяців тому

    Im still confused how he isn’t at 100K yet

  • @tyquil825
    @tyquil825 11 місяців тому

    Achievement hunting time

  • @reflectivegaming9979
    @reflectivegaming9979 11 місяців тому

    I once doomed 3 coven on the first night

  • @greenkingraptor-tt6on
    @greenkingraptor-tt6on 2 місяці тому

    I got this on my 1st doom win

  • @virkon6494
    @virkon6494 11 місяців тому

    why didnt u just include 15 as tavern in ur guess n1?

  • @victoro.9792
    @victoro.9792 11 місяців тому

    I actually thought you'd get a triple coven clear and the within 3 nights in the same run.

  • @stormfury2152
    @stormfury2152 10 місяців тому

    fyi in 3 or 4 coven game chances to guess n1 are 0.46% and 0.92%, doing this bc dooming coven in CAA could be twice as unlikely

  • @singingsun04
    @singingsun04 11 місяців тому

    Doomsayer’s a tricky role for me. If I don’t win early I usually don’t mind. And my basis for that is that i’ve won as Doomsayer on N2 not one, not two but SIX FREAKING TIMES. Once I had more N2 wins than regular wins. Also my first ever TOS2 win was a Doomsayer win.
    But i’ve had plenty of unlucky moments. Like finding 3 town including a Tavern Keeper but getting RB’D then having the game end. Or that one time I was in a game with 4 Coven and a berserker and I ended up losing with a roughly 80% chance of winning.
    I await the day I win Night 1 and inevitably get banned for 99 days.

    • @AyJOb10
      @AyJOb10 11 місяців тому +1

      banned for 99 days what the hell.

  • @DemiTheGod
    @DemiTheGod 11 місяців тому

    what the doomsayer doin

  • @32A419
    @32A419 11 місяців тому

    o i got that one too on ranked practice

  • @thedoctorizer8427
    @thedoctorizer8427 11 місяців тому

    One day you will doom all 3 coven night 1

  • @Phoenix-dg7gb
    @Phoenix-dg7gb 11 місяців тому

    *blushes* 😂😂

  • @mooseunknown8192
    @mooseunknown8192 11 місяців тому +4

    Tripepon gets a doomsayer achievement real

  • @craftyhq434
    @craftyhq434 11 місяців тому

    Now try doing it n1.

  • @NicoTheCinderace
    @NicoTheCinderace 11 місяців тому +1

    3:39
    For those who are curious where the achievement pops up.

  • @elainelentz6906
    @elainelentz6906 11 місяців тому

    As doomsayer I was able to win N3 due to me being a very good to reader, and almost got it N2 a different game.

    • @elainelentz6906
      @elainelentz6906 11 місяців тому

      Since I can’t seem to edit it, I meant very good at reading town killing claims for the specific one.

  • @ClemFwhe
    @ClemFwhe 11 місяців тому

    Bonk!

  • @francescocucco5199
    @francescocucco5199 11 місяців тому

    If its a 4 coven game getting the win n1 with doom is 1,09%, but if it’s 3 coven it’s only 0,27%

  • @Dizperze
    @Dizperze 11 місяців тому

    Accelerated Doom, accelerated comments

  • @BeginswithPIE
    @BeginswithPIE Місяць тому

    Assuming 4 cov, your odds of getting all of them night 1 is c(4,3)/c(14,4) = 4/1001 or roughly 1/250 = 0.4%. And that is assuming 4 cov. For 3 cov it is 1/364.
    So your odds are less than 1%. Quite a bit less.

  • @sophiagee5667
    @sophiagee5667 7 місяців тому

    Rizztualist? Is that pinkaboo???

  • @Succui
    @Succui 11 місяців тому

    nice

  • @mm3shadowman982
    @mm3shadowman982 11 місяців тому

    Calamity, Catastrophe, and Cataclysm in achievement names. Do TOS devs play Terraria or is this sheer coincidence?

  • @raresfinale6915
    @raresfinale6915 11 місяців тому

    6:18 why did 1 say “water bottle” in German?

  • @snowytwilight9289
    @snowytwilight9289 11 місяців тому

    I was irakaru I am not kidding

  • @thenewmariobro1
    @thenewmariobro1 11 місяців тому

    if my math is right, if it's a 4 coven game, probability to guess all coven n1 is 4/15*3/14*2/13 = 4/455 =~0.88%
    if it's a 3 coven game, then it's 3/15*2/14*1/13 = 1/455 =~0.2%
    if it's 2 or 1, then it's 0%

    • @jonathansfox
      @jonathansfox 11 місяців тому

      Don't forget to exclude the Doomsayer itself from the player list for who might be coven; there's only 14 other players who could be coven, since you're one of the 15 players in the game.

    • @SmoothTurtle840
      @SmoothTurtle840 11 місяців тому

      If you want the actual statistic for that you’d have to figure out the odds of a specific amount of coven existing in an All Any game, which would be quite difficult to do considering scrolls may affect those odds as well.

    • @superl8296
      @superl8296 11 місяців тому

      @@SmoothTurtle840 scrolls don’t affect the odds! the roles for the game are decided first. Then the scrolls make it more likely for you to get the role. so if the role isn’t picked to be in the game originally the scrolls do nothing.

    • @SmoothTurtle840
      @SmoothTurtle840 11 місяців тому

      @@superl8296 Ah, had a feeling. The higher percentages on the role wheel in ToS1 kinda tricked me into thinking they worked differently.

  • @Waffl3B1T
    @Waffl3B1T 11 місяців тому +2

    Early gang!
    BONK!!!

    • @ClemFwhe
      @ClemFwhe 11 місяців тому

      Bonk!

    • @Waffl3B1T
      @Waffl3B1T 11 місяців тому +1

      @@ClemFwhe BONK WHERE HAVE YOU BEEN!?!?

    • @ClemFwhe
      @ClemFwhe 11 місяців тому

      @@Waffl3B1T working my friend :[ new work scheduel

  • @noirr.3
    @noirr.3 11 місяців тому +1

    yummy video

    • @bloxer9563
      @bloxer9563 11 місяців тому

      Yummy?

    • @noirr.3
      @noirr.3 11 місяців тому

      @@bloxer9563 yummy

  • @dovahkendov2816
    @dovahkendov2816 11 місяців тому

    1:07 1/109 or 1/1000 for a N1 win? Then how am I so lucky to do it twice within a timespan of two weeks? XD

    • @craigmccune6066
      @craigmccune6066 11 місяців тому +1

      1/91 according to another comenter in a 4 cov game. that is still amazing luck

  • @boomkruncher325zzshred5
    @boomkruncher325zzshred5 11 місяців тому +2

    You know what I’d like to see?
    An ending of 4 NAs against 1 Veteran, who alerts as all 4 NAs dogpile into their alert
    Just to see what happens 😉

    • @a100.3
      @a100.3 11 місяців тому +4

      apocs cant die while transformed + soul collector is astral

    • @SmoothTurtle840
      @SmoothTurtle840 11 місяців тому +3

      @@a100.3Not to mention Baker dies if less than 3 non apocs are alive, and when transformed into Famine they can no longer visit.

    • @boomkruncher325zzshred5
      @boomkruncher325zzshred5 11 місяців тому +2

      @@a100.3 I guess that's that, huh? It would be funny to have a Veteran achievement that is "Go on alert when the only other people in the town are Neutral Apocalypses" and call it "Evil Dead" or "Now Is A Good Day To Die" or some other such nonsense 🤣

  • @prestonsmith6554
    @prestonsmith6554 11 місяців тому +3

    That achievement makes everyone think you are a god or cheating

    • @Underworlder5
      @Underworlder5 11 місяців тому

      i cannot remember anyone in town commenting when i got the achievement. they just went straight to TI results and discussing among each other

  • @ConnorButCool
    @ConnorButCool 11 місяців тому

    The WWE thumbnails are back!

  • @legithuman5486
    @legithuman5486 11 місяців тому

    Thank you pipton for ACCIDENTALY getting the BEST ACHIVEMENT in Town of Salem 2 as the DOOMSAYER role...

  • @Deathlack
    @Deathlack 11 місяців тому

    Early gang!

  • @GreyMaria
    @GreyMaria 11 місяців тому +2

    I did this on my second day playing... got claims _whispered to me_ as Psychic and just straight up wrote them into my guesses.
    Jailor executed a Coven. Coven killed the Jailor. Vigi (who I didn't guess) shot a Tracker. MONARCH (guessed) KNIGHTS ME, HANGMAN COMES FOR THE VIGI, I'm STILL IN THE TOWN DESPITE COMPLETELY WIPING THE TOWNIES
    A whole day of "wtf just happened" passes and the three other living players ask me if I can guess again (can't)
    Next night passes, Coven kills a townie, I leave the town
    Final night THE WITCH WALKS INTO THE STEALTH VETERAN FOR A TOWN WIN

  • @andrewmcalpine2522
    @andrewmcalpine2522 11 місяців тому +4

    Day 53 of asking Pipe to play Lovers mode in Tos 1 till he gets the rare Pestilence message. (sorry that I was away for so long, had to go to camp and parents made me live the rest of the week "internet free")

  • @jfast8256
    @jfast8256 11 місяців тому

    The Math. 100 is close, but it is wrong.
    The easiest assumption is 4 coven. ANY coven = correct guess. Every other guess is WAY too difficult to guess with zero information.
    There are 14 players with a maximum of 4 of them being "random coven". First guess is 4/14, second guess is 3/13, third guess is 2/12. Multiply all of these together to get your chance. That is a 1 in 91 chance not a 1 in 100. If you wanted to round it, you would round down to 1 in 90 chance as 90 is a lot closer to 91 than 100 is. Your math guy is wrong.
    For a three coven game the chance is 1 in 364. I would LOVE to see this happen. I had a TT game in ToS 1 where all 4 coven died night 1. Crus killed CL, I killed Medusa (was vigi medusa baiting as tracker), Body Guard killed poisoner, and veteran killed potion master. Day 2 we hung the tracker TT cause he claimed medium. Seeing a Doomsayer pick all 3 coven night 1 "1 in 364" would be just as hilarious as that game.

  • @Nana-rf5fr
    @Nana-rf5fr 11 місяців тому

    early

  • @DemiTheGod
    @DemiTheGod 11 місяців тому +1

    earlyyy

  • @omegaraptor3272
    @omegaraptor3272 11 місяців тому

    345th!

  • @jakemac5535
    @jakemac5535 11 місяців тому

    Are you real?

  • @celestialgod6857
    @celestialgod6857 11 місяців тому

    1st!

  • @BeginningStarDarrenYoungungKim
    @BeginningStarDarrenYoungungKim 11 місяців тому

    Doomslayer:
    Assumeing you there is 4 coven the chances for you to get night one randomely is 4/445 which is 0.8%
    Assumeing you there is 3 coven it is 1/455 0.2% All assuming want to win Night one with Coven.
    Assumeing you there is 5 coven it is 2/91 which is 2%

    • @eaglegosuperskarmor
      @eaglegosuperskarmor 11 місяців тому

      Assuming there are 4 coven and you guess all as random coven, there are (4 choose 3) combinations of coven = 4. out of the 14 other players, there are (14 choose 3) total possible combinations that you can guess = 364 combinations.
      number of winning combinations / total combinations gives you 4/364 = 1/91 chance of winning.
      If there are only 3 coven in the game, there is only (3 choose 3) 1 winning combination, so a 1/364 chance of winning

    • @BeginningStarDarrenYoungungKim
      @BeginningStarDarrenYoungungKim 11 місяців тому

      @@eaglegosuperskarmor thx I am assuming you use permuation